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Jani A, Liyanage H, Okusi C, Sherlock J, Hoang U, McGagh D, Williams J, Ferreira F, Yonova I, de Lusignan S. Exploring the levels of variation, inequality and use of physical activity intervention referrals in England primary care from 2017-2020: a retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open 2025; 15:e086297. [PMID: 39938960 PMCID: PMC11822388 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086297] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2024] [Accepted: 12/17/2024] [Indexed: 02/14/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES In this study, we explore the use of physical activity intervention referrals in primary care in England and compare their use with the rate of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in England from 2017 to 2020. We also explore variation and inequalities in referrals to these interventions in England across the study period. DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING England primary care via the Royal College of General Practitioners Research Surveillance Centre. PARTICIPANTS The Royal College of General Practitioners Research Surveillance Centre, a sentinel network across England covering a population of over 15 000 000 registered patients, was used for data analyses covering the 2017-2020 financial years and including patients with long-term conditions indicating CVD risk factors. OUTCOME MEASURES An existing ontology of primary care codes was used to capture physical activity interventions and a new ontology was designed to cover long-term conditions indicating CVD risk factors. Single factor analysis of variance, paired samples t-test and two-tailed, one proportion z-tests were used to determine the significance of our findings. RESULTS We observed statistically significant variation in physical activity intervention referrals for people with CVD risk factors from different ethnic groups and age groups across different regions of England as well as a marked decrease during the COVID-19 pandemic. Interestingly, a significant difference was not seen for different socioeconomic groups or sexes. Across all attributes and time periods (with the exception of the 18-39 group, 2017-2019), we observed a statistically significant underuse of physical activity intervention referrals. CONCLUSIONS Our findings identified statistically significant variation and underuse of physical activity referrals in primary care in England for individuals at risk of CVD for different population subgroups, especially different ethnicities and age groups, across different regions of England and across time, with the COVID-19 pandemic exerting a significant negative impact on referral rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anant Jani
- Heidelberg Institute for Global Health, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Baden-Württemberg, Germany
| | - Harshana Liyanage
- Department of Health and Social Care, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
| | - Cecilia Okusi
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Julian Sherlock
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Uy Hoang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Dylan McGagh
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - John Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Filipa Ferreira
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Ivelina Yonova
- Research and Surveillance Centre, Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
- Research and Surveillance Centre, Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
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Gu X, Agrawal U, Midgley W, Bedston S, Anand SN, Goudie R, Byford R, Joy M, Jamie G, Hoang U, Ordóñez-Mena JM, Robertson C, Hobbs FDR, Akbari A, Sheikh A, de Lusignan S. COVID-19 and influenza vaccine uptake among pregnant women in national cohorts of England and Wales. NPJ Vaccines 2024; 9:147. [PMID: 39143081 PMCID: PMC11324884 DOI: 10.1038/s41541-024-00934-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 07/25/2024] [Indexed: 08/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Vaccines against COVID-19 and influenza can reduce the adverse outcomes caused by infections during pregnancy, but vaccine uptake among pregnant women has been suboptimal. We examined the COVID-19 and influenza vaccine uptake and disparities in pregnant women during the COVID-19 pandemic to inform vaccination interventions. We used data from the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre database in England and the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales. The uptake of at least one dose of vaccine was 40.2% for COVID-19 and 41.8% for influenza among eligible pregnant women. We observed disparities in COVID-19 and influenza vaccine uptake, with socioeconomically deprived and ethnic minority groups showing lower vaccination rates. The suboptimal uptake of COVID-19 and influenza vaccines, especially in those from socioeconomically deprived backgrounds and Black, mixed or other ethnic groups, underscores the necessity for interventions to reduce vaccine hesitancy and enhance acceptance in pregnant women.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinchun Gu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Utkarsh Agrawal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - William Midgley
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
| | - Stuart Bedston
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
| | - Sneha N Anand
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rosalind Goudie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark Joy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gavin Jamie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Uy Hoang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jose M Ordóñez-Mena
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Chris Robertson
- University of Strathclyde and Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
| | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ashley Akbari
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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Lindsay L, Mark K, Moore E, Carruthers J, Hopkins L, Jennings D, Wood R. Data resource profile: Scottish Linked Pregnancy and Baby Dataset (SLiPBD). Int J Popul Data Sci 2024; 9:2390. [PMID: 40151429 PMCID: PMC11949196 DOI: 10.23889/ijpds.v9i2.2390] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/29/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction Here we present the Scottish Linked Pregnancy and Baby Dataset (SLiPBD), a new national data resource held by Public Health Scotland (PHS). Methods SLiPBD comprises a population-based e-cohort of all fetuses and births (babies) from pregnancies to women in Scotland from 2000 onwards. It is updated monthly by linking and reconciling the following national datasets: antenatal booking records; general and maternity hospital discharge records; termination of pregnancy notifications; and statutory live and stillbirth registrations. Results Key information included on all babies in SLiPBD includes estimated date of conception, end of pregnancy date, gestation, multiple pregnancy status, pregnancy outcome, and maternal sociodemographic characteristics. For live births, additional information on the birth, the baby's sociodemographic characteristics, and subsequent infant deaths is included.Following the cohort refresh in January 2024, SLiPBD contained 1,770,226 babies from 1,750,830 pregnancies to 898,161 women. Of the 1,770,226 babies, 1,284,461 (73%) were live births, 5,731 (0.3%) stillbirths, and 316,897 (18%) and 114,840 (6%) came from a pregnancy ending a termination or early spontaneous loss respectively. 22,414 (1%) had an unknown pregnancy outcome, and for 25,883 (1%) the pregnancy was still ongoing. Data completeness for key sociodemographic characteristics except for ethnicity was very high, and variables showed expected patterns. Ethnicity data completeness is poor on historical records but improving over time. Completeness of unique patient identifiers was very high. External validation to source datasets was reassuring. Conclusion SLiPBD can be analysed standalone or linked to other national vital event and health datasets held by PHS. It supports longitudinal and intergenerational analyses, enabling epidemiological and health service surveillance and research on maternal and child health. Researchers interested in accessing pseudonymised extracts of SLiPBD through the Scottish NHS safe haven facility should contact Research Data Scotland. PHS will continue to refine SLiPBD as source datasets improve. Key features The Scottish Linked Pregnancy and Baby Dataset (SLiPBD) is a new national data resource created and maintained by Public Health Scotland to facilitate epidemiological and health service analyses focused on maternal and child health.SLiPBD comprises a population-based e-cohort of all fetuses and births (babies) from pregnancies to women in Scotland from 2000 onwards. At least 68,000 babies (of which at least 46,000 are live births) are included annually.SLiPBD is updated on a monthly basis by linking and reconciling records relating to ongoing and completed pregnancies from the following existing national datasets: antenatal booking records; general and maternity hospital discharge records; termination of pregnancy notifications; and statutory live and stillbirth registrations.Key information included on all babies in SLiPBD includes estimated date of conception, end of pregnancy date, gestation, multiple pregnancy status, pregnancy outcome, and maternal sociodemographic characteristics. For live births, additional information on the birth, the baby's sociodemographic characteristics, and any subsequent infant deaths is included.Inclusion of unique personal identifiers for the mother and (where applicable) baby used within the health service and on statutory birth registration records ensures SLiPBD provides a core intergenerational spine record, allowing linkage between mothers and babies, and to other national datasets.Subject to governance approvals, researchers can access pseudonymised extracts of SLiPBD (linked to other national datasets as required) through the Scottish NHS safe haven facility, which is supported by Public Health Scotland. Interested researchers should submit an initial enquiry form to Research Data Scotland (https://www.researchdata.scot/accessing-data/).
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Lindsay
- Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, EH12 9EB
- Joint first author
| | - Kate Mark
- Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, EH12 9EB
- Joint first author
| | - Emily Moore
- Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, EH12 9EB
- Joint first author
| | | | | | | | - Rachael Wood
- Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, EH12 9EB
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX
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Jamie G, Elson W, Kar D, Wimalaratna R, Hoang U, Meza-Torres B, Forbes A, Hinton W, Anand S, Ferreira F, Byford R, Ordonez-Mena J, Agrawal U, de Lusignan S. Phenotype execution and modeling architecture to support disease surveillance and real-world evidence studies: English sentinel network evaluation. JAMIA Open 2024; 7:ooae034. [PMID: 38737141 PMCID: PMC11087727 DOI: 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooae034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2024] [Revised: 04/02/2024] [Accepted: 05/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective To evaluate Phenotype Execution and Modelling Architecture (PhEMA), to express sharable phenotypes using Clinical Quality Language (CQL) and intensional Systematised Nomenclature of Medicine (SNOMED) Clinical Terms (CT) Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources (FHIR) valuesets, for exemplar chronic disease, sociodemographic risk factor, and surveillance phenotypes. Method We curated 3 phenotypes: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), excessive alcohol use, and incident influenza-like illness (ILI) using CQL to define clinical and administrative logic. We defined our phenotypes with valuesets, using SNOMED's hierarchy and expression constraint language, and CQL, combining valuesets and adding temporal elements where needed. We compared the count of cases found using PhEMA with our existing approach using convenience datasets. We assessed our new approach against published desiderata for phenotypes. Results The T2DM phenotype could be defined as 2 intensionally defined SNOMED valuesets and a CQL script. It increased the prevalence from 7.2% to 7.3%. Excess alcohol phenotype was defined by valuesets that added qualitative clinical terms to the quantitative conceptual definitions we currently use; this change increased prevalence by 58%, from 1.2% to 1.9%. We created an ILI valueset with SNOMED concepts, adding a temporal element using CQL to differentiate new episodes. This increased the weekly incidence in our convenience sample (weeks 26-38) from 0.95 cases to 1.11 cases per 100 000 people. Conclusions Phenotypes for surveillance and research can be described fully and comprehensibly using CQL and intensional FHIR valuesets. Our use case phenotypes identified a greater number of cases, whilst anticipated from excessive alcohol this was not for our other variable. This may have been due to our use of SNOMED CT hierarchy. Our new process fulfilled a greater number of phenotype desiderata than the one that we had used previously, mostly in the modeling domain. More work is needed to implement that sharing and warehousing domains.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gavin Jamie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - William Elson
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Debasish Kar
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Rashmi Wimalaratna
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Uy Hoang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Bernardo Meza-Torres
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Anna Forbes
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - William Hinton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Sneha Anand
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Filipa Ferreira
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Jose Ordonez-Mena
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Utkarsh Agrawal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6ED, United Kingdom
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Geretti AM, Austin H, Villa G, Smith C, Sabin C, Tsang R, Sherlock J, Ferreira F, Byford R, Meza-Torres B, Whyte M, de Lusignan S. Hepatitis B virus infection in general practice across England: An analysis of the Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre real-world database. J Infect 2023; 86:476-485. [PMID: 36906152 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2023.03.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2022] [Accepted: 03/01/2023] [Indexed: 03/13/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We analyzed hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) screening and seropositivity within a network of 419 general practices representative of all regions of England. METHODS Information was extracted using pseudonymized registration data. Predictors of HBsAg seropositivity were explored in models that considered age, gender, ethnicity, time at the current practice, practice location and associated deprivation index, and presence of nationally endorsed screen indicators including pregnancy, men who have sex with men (MSM), history of injecting drug use (IDU), close HBV contact or imprisonment, and diagnosis of blood-borne or sexually transmitted infections. RESULTS Among 6,975,119 individuals, 192,639 (2.8 %) had a screening record, including 3.6-38.6 % of those with a screen indicator, and 8065 (0.12 %) had a seropositive record. The odds of seropositivity were highest in London, in the most deprived neighborhoods, among minority ethnic groups, and in people with screen indicators. Seroprevalence exceeded 1 % in people from high-prevalence countries, MSM, close HBV contacts, and people with a history of IDU or a recorded diagnosis of HIV, HCV, or syphilis. Overall, 1989/8065 (24.7 %) had a recorded referral to specialist hepatitis care. CONCLUSIONS In England, HBV infection is associated with poverty. There are unrealized opportunities to promote access to diagnosis and care for those affected.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anna Maria Geretti
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Fondazione PTV, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy; School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
| | - Harrison Austin
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Giovanni Villa
- Department of Global Health & Infection, Brighton & Sussex Medical School, University of Sussex, Brighton, United Kingdom
| | - Colette Smith
- Institute for Global Health, University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom
| | - Caroline Sabin
- Institute for Global Health, University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom; NIHR HPRU in Blood Borne and Sexually Transmitted Infections at UCL, a partnership with UKSHA, London, United Kingdom
| | - Ruby Tsang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Julian Sherlock
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Filipa Ferreira
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Bernardo Meza-Torres
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Martin Whyte
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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Lyu T, Liang C, Liu J, Campbell B, Hung P, Shih YW, Ghumman N, Li X. Temporal Events Detector for Pregnancy Care (TED-PC): A rule-based algorithm to infer gestational age and delivery date from electronic health records of pregnant women with and without COVID-19. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0276923. [PMID: 36315520 PMCID: PMC9621451 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2022] [Accepted: 10/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Identifying the time of SARS-CoV-2 viral infection relative to specific gestational weeks is critical for delineating the role of viral infection timing in adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, this task is difficult when it comes to Electronic Health Records (EHR). In combating the COVID-19 pandemic for maternal health, we sought to develop and validate a clinical information extraction algorithm to detect the time of clinical events relative to gestational weeks. MATERIALS AND METHODS We used EHR from the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C), in which the EHR are normalized by the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model (CDM). We performed EHR phenotyping, resulting in 270,897 pregnant women (June 1st, 2018 to May 31st, 2021). We developed a rule-based algorithm and performed a multi-level evaluation to test content validity and clinical validity, and extreme length of gestation (<150 or >300). RESULTS The algorithm identified 296,194 pregnancies (16,659 COVID-19, 174,744 without COVID-19) in 270,897 pregnant women. For inferring gestational age, 95% cases (n = 40) have moderate-high accuracy (Cohen's Kappa = 0.62); 100% cases (n = 40) have moderate-high granularity of temporal information (Cohen's Kappa = 1). For inferring delivery dates, the accuracy is 100% (Cohen's Kappa = 1). The accuracy of gestational age detection for the extreme length of gestation is 93.3% (Cohen's Kappa = 1). Mothers with COVID-19 showed higher prevalence in obesity or overweight (35.1% vs. 29.5%), diabetes (17.8% vs. 17.0%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (0.2% vs. 0.1%), respiratory distress syndrome or acute respiratory failure (1.8% vs. 0.2%). DISCUSSION We explored the characteristics of pregnant women by different gestational weeks of SARS-CoV-2 infection with our algorithm. TED-PC is the first to infer the exact gestational week linked with every clinical event from EHR and detect the timing of SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnant women. CONCLUSION The algorithm shows excellent clinical validity in inferring gestational age and delivery dates, which supports multiple EHR cohorts on N3C studying the impact of COVID-19 on pregnancy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tianchu Lyu
- Department of Health Services Policy and Management, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Chen Liang
- Department of Health Services Policy and Management, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Jihong Liu
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Berry Campbell
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, School of Medicine, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Peiyin Hung
- Department of Health Services Policy and Management, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Yi-Wen Shih
- Department of Health Services Policy and Management, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Nadia Ghumman
- Department of Health Services Policy and Management, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
| | - Xiaoming Li
- Department of Health Promotion Education and Behaviors, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America
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Challa AP, Niu X, Garrison EA, Van Driest SL, Bastarache LM, Lippmann ES, Lavieri RR, Goldstein JA, Aronoff DM. Medication history-wide association studies for pharmacovigilance of pregnant patients. COMMUNICATIONS MEDICINE 2022; 2:115. [PMID: 36124058 PMCID: PMC9481638 DOI: 10.1038/s43856-022-00181-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2021] [Accepted: 09/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Systematic exclusion of pregnant people from interventional clinical trials has created a public health emergency for millions of patients through a dearth of robust safety data for common drugs. Methods We harnessed an enterprise collection of 2.8 M electronic health records (EHRs) from routine care, leveraging data linkages between mothers and their babies to detect drug safety signals in this population at full scale. Our mixed-methods signal detection approach stimulates new hypotheses for post-marketing surveillance agnostically of both drugs and diseases-by identifying 1,054 drugs historically prescribed to pregnant patients; developing a quantitative, medication history-wide association study; and integrating a qualitative evidence synthesis platform using expert clinician review for integration of biomedical specificity-to test the effects of maternal exposure to diverse drugs on the incidence of neurodevelopmental defects in their children. Results We replicated known teratogenic risks and existing knowledge on drug structure-related teratogenicity; we also highlight 5 common drug classes for which we believe this work warrants updated assessment of their safety. Conclusion Here, we present roots of an agile framework to guide enhanced medication regulations, as well as the ontological and analytical limitations that currently restrict the integration of real-world data into drug safety management during pregnancy. This research is not a replacement for inclusion of pregnant people in prospective clinical studies, but it presents a tractable team science approach to evaluating the utility of EHRs for new regulatory review programs-towards improving the delicate equipoise of accuracy and ethics in assessing drug safety in pregnancy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anup P. Challa
- Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
- Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37212 USA
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115 USA
| | - Xinnan Niu
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
| | - Etoi A. Garrison
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
| | - Sara L. Van Driest
- Department of Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37232 USA
- Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
| | - Lisa M. Bastarache
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
| | - Ethan S. Lippmann
- Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37212 USA
| | - Robert R. Lavieri
- Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
| | | | - David M. Aronoff
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
- Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203 USA
- Present Address: Department of Medicine, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46202 USA
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Vasileiou E, Shi T, Kerr S, Robertson C, Joy M, Tsang R, McGagh D, Williams J, Hobbs R, de Lusignan S, Bradley D, OReilly D, Murphy S, Chuter A, Beggs J, Ford D, Orton C, Akbari A, Bedston S, Davies G, Griffiths LJ, Griffiths R, Lowthian E, Lyons J, Lyons RA, North L, Perry M, Torabi F, Pickett J, McMenamin J, McCowan C, Agrawal U, Wood R, Stock SJ, Moore E, Henery P, Simpson CR, Sheikh A. Investigating the uptake, effectiveness and safety of COVID-19 vaccines: protocol for an observational study using linked UK national data. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e050062. [PMID: 35165107 PMCID: PMC8844955 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2021] [Accepted: 01/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, which emerged in December 2019, has caused millions of deaths and severe illness worldwide. Numerous vaccines are currently under development of which a few have now been authorised for population-level administration by several countries. As of 20 September 2021, over 48 million people have received their first vaccine dose and over 44 million people have received their second vaccine dose across the UK. We aim to assess the uptake rates, effectiveness, and safety of all currently approved COVID-19 vaccines in the UK. METHODS AND ANALYSIS We will use prospective cohort study designs to assess vaccine uptake, effectiveness and safety against clinical outcomes and deaths. Test-negative case-control study design will be used to assess vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Self-controlled case series and retrospective cohort study designs will be carried out to assess vaccine safety against mild-to-moderate and severe adverse events, respectively. Individual-level pseudonymised data from primary care, secondary care, laboratory test and death records will be linked and analysed in secure research environments in each UK nation. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models will be carried out to estimate vaccine uptake levels in relation to various population characteristics. VE estimates against laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection will be generated using a generalised additive logistic model. Time-dependent Cox models will be used to estimate the VE against clinical outcomes and deaths. The safety of the vaccines will be assessed using logistic regression models with an offset for the length of the risk period. Where possible, data will be meta-analysed across the UK nations. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION We obtained approvals from the National Research Ethics Service Committee, Southeast Scotland 02 (12/SS/0201), the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage independent Information Governance Review Panel project number 0911. Concerning English data, University of Oxford is compliant with the General Data Protection Regulation and the National Health Service (NHS) Digital Data Security and Protection Policy. This is an approved study (Integrated Research Application ID 301740, Health Research Authority (HRA) Research Ethics Committee 21/HRA/2786). The Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Clinical Informatics Digital Hub meets NHS Digital's Data Security and Protection Toolkit requirements. In Northern Ireland, the project was approved by the Honest Broker Governance Board, project number 0064. Findings will be made available to national policy-makers, presented at conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Ting Shi
- The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Steven Kerr
- The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Chris Robertson
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
| | - Mark Joy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ruby Tsang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Dylan McGagh
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - John Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Declan Bradley
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Dermot OReilly
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Siobhan Murphy
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Antony Chuter
- BREATHE - The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health, London, UK
| | - Jillian Beggs
- BREATHE - The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health, London, UK
| | - David Ford
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Chris Orton
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Ashley Akbari
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Stuart Bedston
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Gareth Davies
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Lucy J Griffiths
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Rowena Griffiths
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Emily Lowthian
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Jane Lyons
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Ronan A Lyons
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Laura North
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Malorie Perry
- Vaccine Preventable Disease Programme, Public Health Wales, Cardiff, UK
| | - Fatemeh Torabi
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | | | | | - Colin McCowan
- School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK
| | - Utkarsh Agrawal
- School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK
| | - Rachael Wood
- The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, UK
- Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sarah Jane Stock
- The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, UK
- Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Paul Henery
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Colin R Simpson
- The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, UK
- Wellington School of Health, Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute, Edinburgh, UK
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9
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Valproate prescription to women of childbearing age in English primary care: repeated cross-sectional analyses and retrospective cohort study. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2022; 22:73. [PMID: 35086478 PMCID: PMC8793222 DOI: 10.1186/s12884-021-04351-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2020] [Accepted: 12/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Valproate is a teratogenic drug that should be avoided during the preconception period and pregnancy. The aim was to explore general practitioners’ (GPs) prescription patterns over time, describe trends, and explore inter-practice variation within primary care. Methods We identified women of childbearing age (12–46 years old) in the Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) sentinel network. We performed repeated cross-sectional analyses from 2004 to 2018 to determine rates of prescription and a retrospective cohort estimated the prevalence of use of valproate during pregnancy. Results In 2004, 0.31% (95% Confidence Interval (95%CI):0.18 to 0.44%) women were prescribed valproate, decreasing to 0.16% (95%CI:0.07 to 0.24%) by 2018. Among women with epilepsy, the rate fell from 15.2% (95%CI:14.4 to 16.0%) to 8.8% (95% CI:8.2 to 9.7%) over the same period. In 2018, almost two thirds (62.2%) of women who were prescribed valproate had epilepsy only, whereas bipolar disorder and migraine accounted for 15.8% and 7.4% respectively. Contraceptive prescriptions did not increase over time, and only in 2018 was there greater odds of being prescribed contraception (OR 1.41, 95%CI:1.08 to 1.45). Just under a fifth (19.7%) of women were prescribed valproate during their pregnancy; two out of three of these pregnancies were preceded by folic acid prescription (5 mg). While some practices reduced their rate of valproate prescription, others did not. Conclusions Regulatory guidelines have changed GPs' prescription patterns in women of childbearing potential for valproate but not for contraception. Further research is needed to identify the barriers of GPs and women of childbearing potential to undertaking contraception. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12884-021-04351-x.
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10
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de Lusignan S, Sherlock J, Akinyemi O, Pebody R, Elliot A, Byford R, Yonova I, Zambon M, Joy M. Household presentation of influenza and acute respiratory illnesses to a primary care sentinel network: retrospective database studies (2013-2018). BMC Public Health 2020; 20:1748. [PMID: 33218318 PMCID: PMC7677442 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-020-09790-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2019] [Accepted: 10/29/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Direct observation of the household spread of influenza and respiratory infections is limited; much of our understanding comes from mathematical models. The study aims to determine household incidence of influenza-like illness (ILI), lower (LRTI) and upper (URTI) respiratory infections within a primary care routine data and identify factors associated with the diseases' incidence. METHODS We conducted two five-year retrospective analyses of influenza-like illness (ILI), lower (LRTI) and upper (URTI) respiratory infections using the England Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) primary care sentinel network database; a cross-sectional study reporting incident rate ratio (IRR) from a negative binomial model and a retrospective cohort study, using a shared gamma frailty survival model, reporting hazard ratios (HR). We reported the following household characteristics: children < 5 years old, each extra household member, gender, ethnicity (reference white), chronic disease, pregnancy, and rurality. RESULTS The IRR where there was a child < 5 years were 1·62 (1·38-1·89, p < 0·0001), 2·40 (2.04-2.83, p < 0·0001) and 4·46 (3.79-5.255, p < 0·0001) for ILI, LRTI and URTI respectively. IRR also increased with household size, rurality and presentations and by female gender, compared to male. Household incidence of URTI and LRTI changed little between years whereas influenza did and were greater in years with lower vaccine effectiveness. The HR where there was a child < 5 years were 2·34 (95%CI 1·88-2·90, p < 0·0001), 2·97 (95%CI 2·76-3·2, p < 0·0001) and 10·32 (95%CI 10.04-10.62, p < 0·0001) for ILI, LRTI and URTI respectively. HR were increased with female gender, rurality, and increasing household size. CONCLUSIONS Patterns of household incidence can be measured from routine data and may provide insights for the modelling of disease transmission and public health policy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Woodstock Rd, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK.
- Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre, 30 Euston Square, London, NW1 2FB, UK.
- Department of Clinical & Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, The Leggett Building, Daphne Jackson Rd, Guildford, GU2 7XP, UK.
| | - Julian Sherlock
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Woodstock Rd, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
- Department of Clinical & Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, The Leggett Building, Daphne Jackson Rd, Guildford, GU2 7XP, UK
| | - Oluwafunmi Akinyemi
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Woodstock Rd, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
- Department of Clinical & Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, The Leggett Building, Daphne Jackson Rd, Guildford, GU2 7XP, UK
| | - Richard Pebody
- Public Health England, 61 Colindale Ave, London, NW9 5EQ, UK
| | - Alex Elliot
- Public Health England, 61 Colindale Ave, London, NW9 5EQ, UK
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Woodstock Rd, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
- Department of Clinical & Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, The Leggett Building, Daphne Jackson Rd, Guildford, GU2 7XP, UK
| | - Ivelina Yonova
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Woodstock Rd, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
- Department of Clinical & Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, The Leggett Building, Daphne Jackson Rd, Guildford, GU2 7XP, UK
| | - Maria Zambon
- Public Health England, 61 Colindale Ave, London, NW9 5EQ, UK
| | - Mark Joy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Woodstock Rd, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
- Department of Clinical & Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, The Leggett Building, Daphne Jackson Rd, Guildford, GU2 7XP, UK
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11
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de Lusignan S, Liyanage H, McGagh D, Jani BD, Bauwens J, Byford R, Evans D, Fahey T, Greenhalgh T, Jones N, Mair FS, Okusi C, Parimalanathan V, Pell JP, Sherlock J, Tamburis O, Tripathy M, Ferreira F, Williams J, Hobbs FDR. COVID-19 Surveillance in a Primary Care Sentinel Network: In-Pandemic Development of an Application Ontology. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2020; 6:e21434. [PMID: 33112762 PMCID: PMC7674143 DOI: 10.2196/21434] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2020] [Revised: 10/02/2020] [Accepted: 10/02/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Creating an ontology for COVID-19 surveillance should help ensure transparency and consistency. Ontologies formalize conceptualizations at either the domain or application level. Application ontologies cross domains and are specified through testable use cases. Our use case was an extension of the role of the Oxford Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) to monitor the current pandemic and become an in-pandemic research platform. Objective This study aimed to develop an application ontology for COVID-19 that can be deployed across the various use-case domains of the RCGP RSC research and surveillance activities. Methods We described our domain-specific use case. The actor was the RCGP RSC sentinel network, the system was the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the outcomes were the spread and effect of mitigation measures. We used our established 3-step method to develop the ontology, separating ontological concept development from code mapping and data extract validation. We developed a coding system–independent COVID-19 case identification algorithm. As there were no gold-standard pandemic surveillance ontologies, we conducted a rapid Delphi consensus exercise through the International Medical Informatics Association Primary Health Care Informatics working group and extended networks. Results Our use-case domains included primary care, public health, virology, clinical research, and clinical informatics. Our ontology supported (1) case identification, microbiological sampling, and health outcomes at an individual practice and at the national level; (2) feedback through a dashboard; (3) a national observatory; (4) regular updates for Public Health England; and (5) transformation of a sentinel network into a trial platform. We have identified a total of 19,115 people with a definite COVID-19 status, 5226 probable cases, and 74,293 people with possible COVID-19, within the RCGP RSC network (N=5,370,225). Conclusions The underpinning structure of our ontological approach has coped with multiple clinical coding challenges. At a time when there is uncertainty about international comparisons, clarity about the basis on which case definitions and outcomes are made from routine data is essential.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Harshana Liyanage
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Dylan McGagh
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Bhautesh Dinesh Jani
- General Practice and Primary Care, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Jorgen Bauwens
- University Children's Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Dai Evans
- PRIMIS, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
| | - Tom Fahey
- Department of General Practice, Royal College of Surgeons, Ireland, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Trisha Greenhalgh
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Nicholas Jones
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Frances S Mair
- General Practice and Primary Care, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Cecilia Okusi
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Vaishnavi Parimalanathan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Jill P Pell
- General Practice and Primary Care, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Julian Sherlock
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Oscar Tamburis
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Productions, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
| | - Manasa Tripathy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Filipa Ferreira
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - John Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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12
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de Lusignan S, Lopez Bernal J, Zambon M, Akinyemi O, Amirthalingam G, Andrews N, Borrow R, Byford R, Charlett A, Dabrera G, Ellis J, Elliot AJ, Feher M, Ferreira F, Krajenbrink E, Leach J, Linley E, Liyanage H, Okusi C, Ramsay M, Smith G, Sherlock J, Thomas N, Tripathy M, Williams J, Howsam G, Joy M, Hobbs R. Emergence of a Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19): Protocol for Extending Surveillance Used by the Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre and Public Health England. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2020; 6:e18606. [PMID: 32240095 PMCID: PMC7124955 DOI: 10.2196/18606] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2020] [Revised: 03/24/2020] [Accepted: 03/24/2020] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) and Public Health England (PHE) have successfully worked together on the surveillance of influenza and other infectious diseases for over 50 years, including three previous pandemics. With the emergence of the international outbreak of the coronavirus infection (COVID-19), a UK national approach to containment has been established to test people suspected of exposure to COVID-19. At the same time and separately, the RCGP RSC’s surveillance has been extended to monitor the temporal and geographical distribution of COVID-19 infection in the community as well as assess the effectiveness of the containment strategy. Objectives The aims of this study are to surveil COVID-19 in both asymptomatic populations and ambulatory cases with respiratory infections, ascertain both the rate and pattern of COVID-19 spread, and assess the effectiveness of the containment policy. Methods The RCGP RSC, a network of over 500 general practices in England, extract pseudonymized data weekly. This extended surveillance comprises of five components: (1) Recording in medical records of anyone suspected to have or who has been exposed to COVID-19. Computerized medical records suppliers have within a week of request created new codes to support this. (2) Extension of current virological surveillance and testing people with influenza-like illness or lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI)—with the caveat that people suspected to have or who have been exposed to COVID-19 should be referred to the national containment pathway and not seen in primary care. (3) Serology sample collection across all age groups. This will be an extra blood sample taken from people who are attending their general practice for a scheduled blood test. The 100 general practices currently undertaking annual influenza virology surveillance will be involved in the extended virological and serological surveillance. (4) Collecting convalescent serum samples. (5) Data curation. We have the opportunity to escalate the data extraction to twice weekly if needed. Swabs and sera will be analyzed in PHE reference laboratories. Results General practice clinical system providers have introduced an emergency new set of clinical codes to support COVID-19 surveillance. Additionally, practices participating in current virology surveillance are now taking samples for COVID-19 surveillance from low-risk patients presenting with LRTIs. Within the first 2 weeks of setup of this surveillance, we have identified 3 cases: 1 through the new coding system, the other 2 through the extended virology sampling. Conclusions We have rapidly converted the established national RCGP RSC influenza surveillance system into one that can test the effectiveness of the COVID-19 containment policy. The extended surveillance has already seen the use of new codes with 3 cases reported. Rapid sharing of this protocol should enable scientific critique and shared learning. International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID) DERR1-10.2196/18606
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Oluwafunmi Akinyemi
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Ray Borrow
- Vaccine Evaluation Unit, Public Health England, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Alex J Elliot
- Real-time Syndromic Surveillance Team, Public Health England, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Michael Feher
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Filipa Ferreira
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | - Jonathan Leach
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, United Kingdom
| | - Ezra Linley
- Vaccine Evaluation Unit, Public Health England, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Harshana Liyanage
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Cecilia Okusi
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Mary Ramsay
- Public Health England, London, United Kingdom
| | - Gillian Smith
- Real-time Syndromic Surveillance Team, Public Health England, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Julian Sherlock
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Nicholas Thomas
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, United Kingdom
| | - Manasa Tripathy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - John Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Gary Howsam
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, United Kingdom
| | - Mark Joy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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