Long-Term Survival and Recurrence After Acute Myocardial Infarction in England, 2004 to 2010

Cost-effectiveness of incentives for physical activity in coronary heart disease in Germany: pre-trial health economic model of a complex intervention following the new MRC framework

Objectives

The German Incentives for Physical Activity in Cardiac Patients trial is a three-arm, randomised controlled trial for secondary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD). Guidance for developing complex interventions recommends pre-trial health economic modelling. The aim of this study is to model the long-term cost-effectiveness of the incentive-based physical activity interventions in a population with CHD.

Methods

A decision-analytical Markov model was developed from a health services provider perspective, following a cohort aged 65 years with a previous myocardial infarction for 25 years. Monetary and social incentives were compared relative to no incentive. Intervention effects associated with physical activity were used to determine the costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, incremental cost-effectiveness and cost-utility ratios. The probability of cost-effectiveness was calculated through sensitivity analyses.

Results

The incremental QALYs gained from the monetary and social incentives, relative to control, were respectively estimated at 0.01 (95% CI 0.00 to 0.01) and 0.04 (95% CI 0.02 to 0.05). Implementation of the monetary and social incentive interventions increased the costs by €874 (95% CI €744 to €1047) and €909 (95% CI €537 to €1625). Incremental cost-utility ratios were €25 912 (95% CI €15 056 to €50 210) and €118 958 (95% CI €82 930 to €196 121) per QALY gained for the social and monetary incentive intervention, respectively. With a willingness-to-pay threshold set at €43 000/QALY, equivalent to the per-capita gross domestic product in Germany, the probability that the social and monetary incentive intervention would be seen as cost-effective was 95% and 0%, respectively.

Conclusions

Exercise-based secondary prevention using inventive schemes may offer a cost-effective strategy to reduce the burden of CHD.

Effect of hemoglobin A1c change on 24-month clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes after acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

The average glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) may not accurately reflect glycemic control status during the mid-term after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We aimed to evaluate changes in HbA1c and their effect on mid-term clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes and AMI.

METHODS

We enrolled patients with diabetes (n = 967) who underwent HbA1c measurement in the Korean nationwide registry. These patients were categorized into three groups based on changes in HbA1c from index admission to the 1-year follow-up visit: a decrease in HbA1c > 1%, changes in HbA1c within 1%, and an increase in HbA1c > 1%. Clinical outcomes at 24 months were examined.

RESULTS

The baseline HbA1c levels were 8.55 ± 0.85, 7.00 ± 0.98 and 7.07 ± 1.05 (P = 0.001) and HbA1c levels after 1 year were 6.62 ± 0.73, 7.05 ± 0.98 and 9.26 ± 1.59 (P = 0.001) for patients with 3 groups, respectively. Patients with a 1% decrease in HbA1c had significantly lower incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), cardiac death, and rehospitalization after 24 months than those with a 1% increase in HbA1c. However, in the Cox regression analysis, a >1% decrease in HbA1c change was not an independent factor for MACE, cardiac death, and rehospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis indicates that an HbA1c decrease of >1% within the first 12 months was not an independent prognostic factor until the 24-month mark. Therefore, standard diabetic control is recommended for patients with diabetes and AMI for up to 2 years.

Convalescent Growth Differentiation Factor-15 and Long-Term Outcomes after an Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) has been shown to be associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients after an acute coronary syndrome when measured soon after an event. Although dynamic in the acute phase after myocardial injury, GDF-15 has been shown to remain stable during convalescence. In this study, we aimed to assess the value of GDF-15 as a long-term prognostic marker for clinical outcomes when measured in the convalescent phase following an acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS

GDF-15 concentrations were measured in 1945 patients who were recruited between 2002 and 2009 to the Coronary Disease Cohort Study. For this analysis, follow-up was curtailed at 10 years and association of GDF-15 with all-cause death, cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalizations were assessed with multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis.

RESULTS

After 10 years of follow-up, there were 648 deaths (348 from cardiovascular causes), 500 admissions for myocardial infarction, and 436 for heart failure. Four-month convalescent GDF-15 demonstrated a robust independent association with all endpoints, which remained after adjustment for Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score and other convalescent biomarkers. When compared to the lowest quartile of GDF-15 concentrations, those in the highest quartile had a 3-fold increased risk of all-cause death.

CONCLUSIONS

Convalescent plasma GDF-15 is a strong and independent predictor of 10-year all-cause death, cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and heart failure admission following an acute coronary syndrome.

AUSTRALIAN NEW ZEALAND CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRY TRIAL ID

ACTRN12605000431628.

Lipoprotein(a) is associated with recurrent cardiovascular events in patients with coronary artery disease and prediabetes or diabetes

PURPOSE

Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and diabetes mellitus (DM) are both associated with adverse events in high-risk patients with established coronary artery disease (CAD). Currently, the association between Lp(a) levels and recurrent cardiovascular (CV) events (CVEs) remained undetermined in patients with different glucose status. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of Lp(a) levels for recurrent CVEs in high-risk CAD patients who suffered from first CVEs according to different glycemic metabolism.

METHODS

We recruited 5257 consecutive patients with prior CVEs and followed up for recurrent CVEs, including CV death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke. Patients were assigned to low, medium, and high groups according to Lp(a) levels and further stratified by glucose status.

RESULTS

During a median 37-month follow-up, 225 (4.28%) recurrent CVEs occurred. High Lp(a) was independently associated with recurrent CVEs [adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR), 1.57; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-2.19; P = 0.008]. When participants were classified according to Lp(a) levels and glycemic status, high Lp(a) levels were associated with an increased risk of recurrent CVEs in pre-DM (adjusted HR, 2.96; 95% CI 1.24-7.05; P = 0.014). Meanwhile, medium and high Lp(a) levels were both associated with an increased risk for recurrent CVEs in DM (adjusted HR, 3.09; 95% CI 1.30-7.34; P = 0.010 and adjusted HR, 3.13, 95% CI 1.30-7.53; P = 0.011, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that elevated Lp(a) levels were associated with an increased recurrent CVE risk in patients with CAD, particularly among those with pre-DM and DM, indicating that Lp(a) may provide incremental value in risk stratification in this population.

Digital variance angiography in patients undergoing lower limb arterial recanalization: cost-effectiveness analysis within the English healthcare setting

Aim: Digital variance angiography (DVA) is a recently developed image processing method capable of improving image quality compared with the traditionally used digital subtraction angiography (DSA), among patients undergoing lower limb x-ray angiography. This study aims to explore the potential cost-effectiveness of DVA from an English National Health Service perspective. Materials & methods: A two-part economic model, consisting of a decision tree and a Markov model, was developed to consider the costs and health outcomes associated with the use of DVA as part of current practice imaging, compared with x-ray angiography using standard DSA. The model explored the impact of DVA on the development of acute kidney injury (AKI), chronic kidney disease and radiation-induced cancer over a lifetime horizon. Both deterministic and probabilistic analyses were performed to assess the cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Results: Base-case results indicate that DVA results in cost savings of £309 per patient, with QALYs also improving (+0.025) over a lifetime. As shown in sensitivity analysis, a key driver of model results is the relative risk (RR) reduction of contrast-associated acute kidney injury associated with use of DVA. The intervention also decreases the risk of carcinoma over a lifetime. Scenario analyses show that cost savings range from £310 to £553, with QALY gains ranging from 0.048 to 0.109 per patient. Conclusion: The use of DVA could result in a decrease in costs and an increase in QALYs over a lifetime, compared with existing imaging practice. The potential for this technology to offer an economically viable alternative to existing image processing methods, through a reduction in contrast media volume and radiation exposure, has been demonstrated.

Cost-effectiveness of testosterone treatment utilising individual patient data from randomised controlled trials in men with low testosterone levels

BACKGROUND

Testosterone is safe and highly effective in men with organic hypogonadism, but worldwide testosterone prescribing has recently shifted towards middle-aged and older men, mostly with low testosterone related to age, diabetes and obesity, for whom there is less established evidence of clinical safety and benefit. The value of testosterone treatment in middle-aged and older men with low testosterone is yet to be determined. We therefore evaluated the cost-effectiveness of testosterone treatment in such men with low testosterone compared with no treatment.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis comparing testosterone with no treatment was conducted following best practices in decision modelling. A cohort Markov model incorporating relevant care pathways for individuals with hypogonadism was developed for a 10-year-time horizon. Clinical outcomes were obtained from an individual patient meta-analysis of placebo-controlled, double-blind randomised studies. Three starting age categories were defined: 40, 60 and 75 years. Cost utility (quality-adjusted life years) accrued and costs of testosterone treatment, monitoring and cardiovascular complications were compared to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves for selected scenarios.

RESULTS

Ten-year excess treatment costs for testosterone compared with non-treatment ranged between £2306 and £3269 per patient. Quality-adjusted life years results depended on the instruments used to measure health utilities. Using Beck depression index-derived quality-adjusted life years data, testosterone was cost-effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio <£20,000) for men aged <75 years, regardless of morbidity and mortality sensitivity analyses. Testosterone was not cost-effective in men aged >75 years in models assuming increased morbidity and/or mortality.

CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH

Our data suggest that testosterone is cost-effective in men <75 years when Beck depression index-derived quality-adjusted life years data are considered; cost-effectiveness in men >75 years is dependent on cardiovascular safety. However, more robust and longer-term cost-utility data are needed to verify our conclusion.

Evidence Synthesis and Linkage for Modelling the Cost-Effectiveness of Diagnostic Tests: Preliminary Good Practice Recommendations

OBJECTIVES

To develop preliminary good practice recommendations for synthesising and linking evidence of treatment effectiveness when modelling the cost-effectiveness of diagnostic tests.

METHODS

We conducted a targeted review of guidance from key Health Technology Assessment (HTA) bodies to summarise current recommendations on synthesis and linkage of treatment effectiveness evidence within economic evaluations of diagnostic tests. We then focused on a specific case study, the cost-effectiveness of troponin for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction, and reviewed the approach taken to synthesise and link treatment effectiveness evidence in different modelling studies.

RESULTS

The Australian and UK HTA bodies provided advice for synthesising and linking treatment effectiveness in diagnostic models, acknowledging that linking test results to treatment options and their outcomes is common. Across all reviewed models for the case study, uniform test-directed treatment decision making was assumed, i.e., all those who tested positive were treated. Treatment outcome data from a variety of sources, including expert opinion, were utilised for linked clinical outcomes. Preliminary good practice recommendations for data identification, integration and description are proposed.

CONCLUSION

Modelling the cost-effectiveness of diagnostic tests poses unique challenges in linking evidence on test accuracy to treatment effectiveness data to understand how a test impacts patient outcomes and costs. Upfront consideration of how a test and its results will likely be incorporated into patient diagnostic pathways is key to exploring the optimal design of such models. We propose some preliminary good practice recommendations to improve the quality of cost-effectiveness evaluations of diagnostics tests going forward.

CB2 Cannabinoid Receptor as a Potential Target in Myocardial Infarction: Exploration of Molecular Pathogenesis and Therapeutic Strategies

The lipid endocannabinoid system has recently emerged as a novel therapeutic target for several inflammatory and tissue-damaging diseases, including those affecting the cardiovascular system. The primary targets of cannabinoids are cannabinoid type 1 (CB1) and 2 (CB2) receptors. The CB2 receptor is expressed in the cardiomyocytes. While the pathological changes in the myocardium upregulate the CB2 receptor, genetic deletion of the receptor aggravates the changes. The CB2 receptor plays a crucial role in attenuating the advancement of myocardial infarction (MI)-associated pathological changes in the myocardium. Activation of CB2 receptors exerts cardioprotection in MI via numerous molecular pathways. For instance, delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol attenuated the progression of MI via modulation of the CB2 receptor-dependent anti-inflammatory mechanisms, including suppression of pro-inflammatory cytokines like IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-1β. Through similar mechanisms, natural and synthetic CB2 receptor ligands repair myocardial tissue damage. This review aims to offer an in-depth discussion on the ameliorative potential of CB2 receptors in myocardial injuries induced by a variety of pathogenic mechanisms. Further, the modulation of autophagy, TGF-β/Smad3 signaling, MPTP opening, and ROS production are discussed. The molecular correlation of CB2 receptors with cardiac injury markers, such as troponin I, LDH1, and CK-MB, is explored. Special attention has been paid to novel insights into the potential therapeutic implications of CB2 receptor activation in MI.

Acute Coronary Syndrome Subphenotypes Based on Repeated Biomarker Measurements in Relation to Long-Term Mortality Risk

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify patients with subphenotypes of postacute coronary syndrome (ACS) using repeated measurements of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and growth differentiation factor 15 in the year after the index admission, and to investigate their association with long-term mortality risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS

BIOMArCS (BIOMarker Study to Identify the Acute Risk of a Coronary Syndrome) was an observational study of patients with ACS, who underwent high-frequency blood sampling for 1 year. Biomarkers were measured in a median of 16 repeated samples per individual. Cluster analysis was performed to identify biomarker-based subphenotypes in 723 patients without a repeat ACS in the first year. Patients with a repeat ACS (N=36) were considered a separate cluster. Differences in all-cause death were evaluated using accelerated failure time models (median follow-up, 9.1 years; 141 deaths). Three biomarker-based clusters were identified: cluster 1 showed low and stable biomarker concentrations, cluster 2 had elevated concentrations that subsequently decreased, and cluster 3 showed persistently elevated concentrations. The temporal biomarker patterns of patients in cluster 3 were similar to those with a repeat ACS during the first year. Clusters 1 and 2 had a similar and favorable long-term mortality risk. Cluster 3 had the highest mortality risk. The adjusted survival time ratio was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.44-0.93; P=0.018) compared with cluster 1, and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.39-1.32; P=0.281) compared with patients with a repeat ACS.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with subphenotypes of post-ACS with different all-cause mortality risks during long-term follow-up can be identified on the basis of repeatedly measured cardiovascular biomarkers. Patients with persistently elevated biomarkers have the worst outcomes, regardless of whether they experienced a repeat ACS in the first year.

Early computed tomography coronary angiography and preventative treatment in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome: A secondary analysis of the RAPID-CTCA trial

BACKGROUND

Computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) offers detailed assessment of the presence of coronary atherosclerosis and helps guide patient management. We investigated influences of early CTCA on the subsequent use of preventative treatment in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS

In this secondary analysis of a multicenter randomized controlled trial of early CTCA in intermediate-risk patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome, prescription of aspirin, P2Y12 receptor antagonist, statin, renin-angiotensin system blocker, and beta-blocker therapies from randomization to discharge were compared within then between those randomized to early CTCA or to standard of care only. Effects of CTCA findings on adjustment of these therapies were further examined.

RESULTS

In 1,743 patients (874 randomized to early CTCA and 869 to standard of care only), prescription of P2Y12 receptor antagonist, dual antiplatelet, and statin therapies increased more in the early CTCA group (between-group difference: 4.6% [95% confidence interval, 0.3-8.9], 4.5% [95% confidence interval, 0.2-8.7], and 4.3% [95% confidence interval, 0.2-8.5], respectively), whereas prescription of other preventative therapies increased by similar extent in both study groups. Among patients randomized to early CTCA, there were additional increments of preventative treatment in those with obstructive coronary artery disease and higher rates of reductions in antiplatelet and beta-blocker therapies in those with normal coronary arteries.

CONCLUSIONS

Prescription patterns of preventative treatment varied during index hospitalization in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. Early CTCA facilitated targeted individualization of these therapies based on the extent of coronary artery disease.

Impact of standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors on 2-year all-cause mortality: Insights from an international cohort of 23,489 patients with acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Controversial findings have been reported in the literature regarding the impact of the absence of standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs) on long-term mortality risk in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). While the prognostic additive value of SMuRFs has been well described, the prognostic role of prior cardiovascular disease (CVD) by sex is less well-known in patients with and without SMuRFs.

METHODS

EPICOR and EPICOR Asia are prospective, observational registries conducted between 2010 and 2014, which enrolled ACS patients in 28 countries across Europe, Latin America, and Asia. Association between SMuRFs (diabetes, dyslipidaemia, hypertension, and smoking) and 2-year postdischarge mortality was evaluated using adjusted Cox models stratified by geographical region.

RESULTS

Among 23,489 patients, the mean age was 60.9 ± 11.9 years, 24.3% were women, 4,582 (20.1%) presented without SMuRFs, and 16,055 (69.5%) without prior CVD. Patients with SMuRFs had a higher crude 2-year postdischarge mortality (HR 1.86; 95% CI, 1.56-2.22; P < .001), compared to those without SMuRFs. After adjustment for potential confounding, the association between SMuRFs and 2-year mortality risk was substantially attenuated (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.98-1.41; P = .087), regardless of the type of ACS. The risk conferred by prior CVD was added to the underlying risk of SMuRFs to provide risk-specific phenotypes (eg, women with SMuRFs and with prior CVD were at higher risk of dying than women without SMuRFs and without CVD; HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.34-2.06).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large-scale international ACS cohort the absence of SMuRFs was not associated with a lower adjusted 2-year postdischarge mortality risk. Patients with both SMuRFs and prior CVD had a higher mortality irrespective of their sex.

Polarizing Macrophage Functional Phenotype to Foster Cardiac Regeneration

There is an increasing interest in understanding the connection between the immune and cardiovascular systems, which are highly integrated and communicate through finely regulated cross-talking mechanisms. Recent evidence has demonstrated that the immune system does indeed have a key role in the response to cardiac injury and in cardiac regeneration. Among the immune cells, macrophages appear to have a prominent role in this context, with different subtypes described so far that each have a specific influence on cardiac remodeling and repair. Similarly, there are significant differences in how the innate and adaptive immune systems affect the response to cardiac damage. Understanding all these mechanisms may have relevant clinical implications. Several studies have already demonstrated that stem cell-based therapies support myocardial repair. However, the exact role that cardiac macrophages and their modulation may have in this setting is still unclear. The current need to decipher the dual role of immunity in boosting both heart injury and repair is due, at least for a significant part, to unresolved questions related to the complexity of cardiac macrophage phenotypes. The aim of this review is to provide an overview on the role of the immune system, and of macrophages in particular, in the response to cardiac injury and to outline, through the modulation of the immune response, potential novel therapeutic strategies for cardiac regeneration.

Risk Factors of Secondary Cardiovascular Events in a Multi-Ethnic Asian Population with Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Cohort Study from Malaysia

This retrospective cohort study investigated the incidence and risk factors of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after 1 year of first-documented myocardial infarctions (MIs) in a multi-ethnic Asian population. Secondary MACE were observed in 231 (14.3%) individuals, including 92 (5.7%) cardiovascular-related deaths. Both histories of hypertension and diabetes were associated with secondary MACE after adjustment for age, sex, and ethnicity (HR 1.60 [95%CI 1.22-2.12] and 1.46 [95%CI 1.09-1.97], respectively). With further adjustments for traditional risk factors, individuals with conduction disturbances demonstrated higher risks of MACE: new left-bundle branch block (HR 2.86 [95%CI 1.15-6.55]), right-bundle branch block (HR 2.09 [95%CI 1.02-4.29]), and second-degree heart block (HR 2.45 [95%CI 0.59-10.16]). These associations were broadly similar across different age, sex, and ethnicity groups, although somewhat greater for history of hypertension and BMI among women versus men, for HbA1c control in individuals aged >50 years, and for LVEF ≤ 40% in those with Indian versus Chinese or Bumiputera ethnicities. Several traditional and cardiac risk factors are associated with a higher risk of secondary major adverse cardiovascular events. In addition to hypertension and diabetes, the identification of conduction disturbances in individuals with first-onset MI may be useful for the risk stratification of high-risk individuals.

Recurrent myocardial infarction and emergency department visits: a retrospective study on the Stockholm Area Chest Pain Cohort

BACKGROUND

Patients who experience acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are at risk of recurrent AMI. Contemporary data on recurrent AMI and its association with return emergency department (ED) visits for chest pain are needed.

METHODS

This Swedish retrospective cohort study linked patient-level data from six participating hospitals to four national registers to construct the Stockholm Area Chest Pain Cohort (SACPC). The AMI cohort included SACPC participants visiting the ED for chest pain diagnosed with AMI and discharged alive (first primary diagnosis of AMI during the study period not necessarily the patient's first AMI). The rate and timing of recurrent AMI events, return ED visits for chest pain and all-cause mortality were determined during the year following index AMI discharge.

RESULTS

Among 1 37 706 patients presenting to the ED with chest pain as principal complaint from 2011 to 2016, 5.5% (7579/137 706) were hospitalised with AMI. In total, 98.5% (7467/7579) of patients were discharged alive. In the year following index AMI discharge, 5.8% (432/7467) of AMI patients experienced ≥1 recurrent AMI event. Return ED visits for chest pain occurred in 27.0% (2017/7467) of index AMI survivors. During a return ED visit, recurrent AMI was diagnosed in 13.6% (274/2017) of patients. One-year all-cause mortality was 3.1% in the AMI cohort and 11.6% in the recurrent AMI cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

In this AMI population, 3 in 10 AMI survivors returned to the ED for chest pain in the year following AMI discharge. Furthermore, over 10% of patients with return ED visits were diagnosed with recurrent AMI during that visit. This study confirms the high residual ischaemic risk and associated mortality among AMI survivors.

The Cost of Uncontrolled Blood Pressure in Australian General Practice: A Modelling Study Using Electronic Health Records (MedicineInsight)

BACKGROUND

Hypertension is the most common condition seen in Australian general practice. Despite hypertension being amenable to lifestyle modifications and pharmacological treatment, only around half of these patients have controlled blood pressure levels (< 140/90 mmHg), placing them at an increased risk of cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to estimate the health and acute hospitalisation costs of uncontrolled hypertension among patients attending general practice.

METHODS

We used population data and electronic health records from 634,000 patients aged 45-74 years who regularly attended an Australian general practice between 2016 and 2018 (MedicineInsight database). An existing worksheet-based costing model was adapted to calculate the potential cost savings for acute hospitalisation of primary cardiovascular disease events by reducing the risk of a cardiovascular event over the next 5 years through improved systolic blood pressure control. The model estimated the number of expected cardiovascular disease events and associated acute hospital costs under current levels of systolic blood pressure and compared this estimate with the expected number of cardiovascular disease events and costs under different levels of systolic blood pressure control.

RESULTS

The model estimated that across all Australians aged 45-74 years who visit their general practitioner (n = 8.67 million), 261,858 cardiovascular disease events can be expected over the next 5 years at current systolic blood pressure levels (mean 137.8 mmHg, standard deviation = 12.3 mmHg), with a cost of AUD$1813 million (in 2019-20). By reducing the systolic blood pressure of all patients with a systolic blood pressure greater than 139 mmHg to 139 mmHg, 25,845 cardiovascular disease events could be avoided with an associated reduction in acute hospital costs of AUD$179 million. If systolic blood pressure is lowered further to 129 mmHg for all those with systolic blood pressure greater than 129 mmHg, 56,169 cardiovascular disease events could be avoided with potential cost savings of AUD$389 million. Sensitivity analyses indicate that potential cost savings range from AUD$46 million to AUD$1406 million and AUD$117 million to AUD$2009 million for the two scenarios, respectively. Cost savings by practice range from AUD$16,479 for small practices to AUD$82,493 for large practices.

CONCLUSIONS

The aggregate cost effects of poor blood pressure control in primary care are high, but cost implications at the individual practice level are modest. The potential cost savings improve the potential to design cost-effective interventions, but such interventions may be best targeted at a population level rather than at individual practices.

Efficiency and effectiveness of intensive multidisciplinary follow-up of patients with stroke/TIA or myocardial infarction compared to usual monitoring: protocol of a pragmatic randomised clinical trial. DiVa (Dijon vascular) study

INTRODUCTION

The ongoing ageing population is associated with an increase in the number of patients suffering a stroke, transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or myocardial infarction (MI). In these patients, implementing secondary prevention is a critical challenge and new strategies need to be developed to close the gap between clinical practice and evidence-based recommendations. We describe the protocol of a randomised clinical trial that aims to evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of an intensive multidisciplinary follow-up of patients compared with standard care.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The DiVa study is a randomised, prospective, controlled, multicentre trial including patients >18 years old with a first or recurrent stroke (ischaemic or haemorrhagic) or TIA, or a type I or II MI, managed in one of the participating hospitals of the study area, with a survival expectancy >12 months. Patients will be randomised with an allocation ratio of 1:1 in two parallel groups: one group assigned to a multidisciplinary, nurse-based and pharmacist-based 2-year follow-up in association with general practitioners, neurologists and cardiologists versus one group with usual follow-up. In each group for each disease (stroke/TIA or MI), 430 patients will be enrolled (total of 1720 patients) over 3 years. The primary outcome will be the incremental cost-utility ratio at 24 months between intensive and standard follow-up in a society perspective. Secondary outcomes will include the incremental cost-utility ratio at 6 and 12 months, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio at 24 months, reduction at 6, 12 and 24 months of the rates of death, unscheduled rehospitalisation and iatrogenic complications, changes in quality of life, net budgetary impact at 5 years of the intensive follow-up on the national health insurance perspective and analysis of factors having positive or negative effects on the implementation of the project in the study area.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval was obtained and all patients receive information about the study and give their consent to participate before randomisation. Results of the main trial and each of the secondary analyses will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04188457. Registered on 6 December 2019.

Cost-utility and budget impact analysis of CPAP therapy compared to no treatment in the management of moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea in Colombia from a third-party payer perspective

OBJECTIVES

To conduct cost-utility and budget impact analysis of providing Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (CPAP) therapy versus no treatment for moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in Colombia from a third-party payer perspective.

METHODS

We used a Markov model to assess the cost-utility and budget impact analysis of CPAP in patients over 40 years old with moderate to severe OSA. Data on effectiveness and utility values were obtained from published literature. A discount rate of 5% was applied for outcomes and costs. ICER was calculated and compared against the threshold estimated for Colombia, which is 86% of the GDP per capita.

RESULTS

Over a lifetime horizon, the base case analysis showed the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained with CPAP therapy was COP$3,503,804 (USD$1,011 in 2020 prices). The budget impact analysis showed that the adoption of CPAP therapy in the target population would lead to a cumulative net budget impact of COP$411,722 million (USD$118,784,412 in, 2020 prices) over five years of time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

CPAP was cost-effective compared to no-treatment in OSA. According to the budget impact analysis, adopting this technology would require a budget allocation that is partially offset by reduced number of strokes and traffic accident events.

Clinical Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of CSL112

Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death worldwide. Although there have been substantial advances over the last decades, recurrent adverse cardiovascular events after myocardial infarction are still frequent, particularly during the first year of the index event. For decades, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) has been among the therapeutic targets for long-term prevention after an ischemic event. However, early trials focusing on increasing HDL circulating levels showed no improvement in clinical outcomes. Recently, the paradigm has shifted to increasing the functionality of HDL rather than its circulating plasma levels. For this purpose, apolipoprotein-AI-based infusion therapies have been developed, including reconstituted HDL, such as CSL112. During the last decade, CSL112 has been extensively studied in Phase 1 and 2 trials and has shown promising results. In particular, CSL112 has been studied in the Phase 2b AEGIS trial exhibiting good safety and tolerability profiles, which has led to the ongoing large-scale Phase 3 AEGIS-II trial. This systematic overview will provide a comprehensive summary of the CSL112 drug development program focusing on its pharmacodynamic, pharmacokinetic, and safety profiles.

Secondary Cardiovascular Prevention after Acute Coronary Syndrome: Emerging Risk Factors and Novel Therapeutic Targets

The control of cardiovascular risk factors, the promotion of a healthy lifestyle, and antithrombotic therapy are the cornerstones of secondary prevention after acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, many patients have recurrent ischemic events despite the optimal control of traditional modifiable risk factors and the use of tailored pharmacological therapy, including new-generation antiplatelet and lipid-lowering agents. This evidence emphasizes the importance of identifying novel risk factors and targets to optimize secondary preventive strategies. Lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) has emerged as an independent predictor of adverse events after ACS. New molecules such as anti-PCSK9 monoclonal antibodies, small interfering RNAs, and antisense oligonucleotides can reduce plasma Lp(a) levels and are associated with a long-term outcome benefit after the index event. The inflammatory stimulus and the inflammasome, pivotal elements in the development and progression of atherosclerosis, have been widely investigated in patients with coronary artery disease. More recently, randomized clinical trials including post-ACS patients treated with colchicine and monoclonal antibodies targeting cytokines yielded promising results in the reduction in major cardiovascular events after an ACS. Gut dysbiosis has also raised great interest for its potential pathophysiological role in cardiovascular disease. This evidence, albeit preliminary and needing confirmation by larger population-based studies, suggests the possibility of targeting the gut microbiome in particularly high-risk populations. The risk of recurrent ischemic events after ACS is related to the complex interaction between intrinsic predisposing factors and environmental triggers. The identification of novel risk factors and targets is fundamental to customizing patient clinical management with a precision medicine perspective.

Study Protocol of Cardiac Rehabilitation for Acute Myocardial Infarction From the JROAD/JROAD-DPC Database - JROAD-CR

Background: Although cardiac rehabilitation (CR) has been reported to be effective for improving the prognosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), more patients must participate in CR during admission and as outpatients. Factors contributing to, and countermeasures against, the low CR participation rate need to be identified. Here we describe the protocol for a study designed to evaluate the effectiveness and problems of CR for AMI from the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases (JROAD) and the JROAD-Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination system (JROAD-DPC) database. Methods and Results: This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study that will use the JROAD/JROAD-DPC database to evaluate the effectiveness of CR for AMI (JROAD-CR). Five thousand patients with AMI who were admitted to hospitals registered in the JROAD database in 2014 will be investigated with regard to their baseline characteristics, AMI severity and treatment, examination results, history of CR, and prognosis up to 5 years. We will also investigate the presence, quantity, and quality of CR, and evaluate the effectiveness of CR with respect to cost, exercise tolerance, and prognosis during admission and follow-up. Conclusions: The JROAD-CR study will seek to reveal the effectiveness of CR for AMI in the era of early reperfusion therapy and shortened hospitalization.

Cardiovascular Event Rates in Statin-Treated Korean Patients with Cardiovascular Disease: Estimates from a Real-World Population Using Electronic Medical Record Data

PURPOSE

To estimate the risk of recurrent cardiovascular events in a real-world population of very high-risk Korean patients with prior myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke (IS), or symptomatic peripheral artery disease (sPAD), similar to the Further cardiovascular OUtcomes Research with proprotein convertase subtilisin-kexin type 9 Inhibition in subjects with Elevated Risk (FOURIER) trial population.

METHODS

This retrospective study used the Asan Medical Center Heart Registry database built on electronic medical records (EMR) from 2000 to 2016. Patients with a history of clinically evident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) with multiple risk factors were followed up for 3 years. The primary endpoint was a composite of MI, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Among 15,820 patients, the 3-year cumulative incidence of the composite primary endpoint was 15.3% and the 3-year incidence rate was 5.7 (95% CI 5.5-5.9) per 100 person-years. At individual endpoints, the rates of deaths, MI, and IS were 0.4 (0.3-0.4), 0.9 (0.8-0.9), and 0.8 (0.7-0.9), respectively. The risk of the primary endpoint did not differ significantly between recipients of different intensities of statin therapy. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) goals were only achieved in 24.4% of patients during the first year of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

By analyzing EMR data representing routine practice in Korea, we found that patients with very high-risk ASCVD were at substantial risk of further cardiovascular events in 3 years. Given the observed risk of recurrent events with suboptimal lipid management by statin, additional treatment to control LDL-C might be necessary to reduce the burden of further cardiovascular events for very high-risk ASCVD patients.

Risk of Recurrent Acute Arterial Events Associated With Thiopurines and Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of acute arterial events. Treatment with anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) agents has been associated with a protective effect against the first occurrence of acute arterial events, but the impact of treatment with anti-TNF in patients with a previous history of acute arterial events remains unclear. We assessed the effect of anti-TNF and thiopurines on the risk of recurrent acute arterial events in patients with IBD in a nationwide cohort.

METHODS

Based on the French nationwide health insurance database, patients with IBD and a previous history of an acute arterial event were followed up from January 1, 2009, until December 31, 2018. The risk of acute arterial event recurrence associated with anti-TNF and thiopurine exposure was assessed using marginal structural Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for baseline and time-varying covariates.

RESULTS

A total of 27,185 patients were included. During 121,822 person-years (median follow-up period, 4.0 y), 6865 recurrent acute arterial events occurred (incidence rate per 1000 person-years, 56.4; 95% CI, 55.0-57.7). Exposure to both anti-TNF and thiopurines were associated with a decreased risk of recurrent acute arterial events compared with the absence of exposure to either treatment (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.63-0.90 and hazard ratio, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.88, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationwide cohort study of patients with IBD and a previous history of an acute arterial event, exposure to both anti-TNF and thiopurines were associated with a decreased risk of recurrent acute arterial events.

Antiplatelet Therapy Aims and Strategies in Asian Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome or Stable Coronary Artery Disease

Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) has been the mainstay treatment to reduce ischemic events, such as myocardial infarction or stroke, in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). The development of potent P2Y₁₂ inhibitors (ticagrelor and prasugrel) has helped to further reduce ischemic events, particularly among high-risk patients. Meanwhile, the evolution of newer generations of drug-eluting stents are also improving outcomes of percutaneous coronary intervention. Research studies on antiplatelet therapy in recent years have focused on balancing ischemic and bleeding risks through different strategies, which include P2Y₁₂ inhibitor monotherapy, escalation and de-escalation, and extended DAPT. Because results from the large number of clinical studies may sometimes appear conflicting, this review aims to summarize recent advances, and demonstrate that they are aligned by a general principle, namely, strategies may be adopted based on treatment aims for specific patients at several time points. Another aim of this review is to outline the important considerations for using antiplatelet therapy in Asian patients, in whom there is a greater prevalence of CYP2C19 loss-of-function mutations, and a common increased risk of bleeding, despite high platelet reactivity (the so-called "East Asian Paradox").

Plaque Burden and 1-Year Outcomes in Acute Chest Pain: Results From the Multicenter RAPID-CTCA Trial

BACKGROUND

In patients with stable chest pain, computed tomography (CT) plaque burden is an independent predictor of future coronary events.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine whether plaque burden and characteristics can predict subsequent death or myocardial infarction in patients with acute chest pain.

METHODS

In a post hoc analysis of a multicenter trial of early coronary CT angiography, the authors performed quantitative plaque analysis to assess the association between primary endpoint of 1-year all-cause death or nonfatal myocardial infarction and the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score, presence of obstructive coronary artery disease, and plaque burden in 404 patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

RESULTS

Following the index event, 25 patients had a primary event that was associated with a higher GRACE score (134 ± 44 vs 113 ± 35; P = 0.012), larger burdens of total (46% [IQR: 43%-50%] vs 36% [IQR: 21%-46%]; P < 0.001), noncalcified (41% [IQR: 37%-%47] vs 33% [IQR: 20%-41%]; P < 0.001), and low-attenuation plaque (4.22% [IQR: 3.3%-5.68%] vs 2.14% [IQR: 0.5%-4.88%]; P < 0.001), but not obstructive coronary artery disease (P = 0.065). Total, noncalcified, and low-attenuation plaque burden were the strongest predictors of future events independent of GRACE score and obstructive coronary artery disease (P ≤ 0.002 for all). Patients with a low-attenuation burden above the median had nearly an 8-fold increased risk of the primary endpoint (HR: 7.80 [95% CI: 2.33-26.0]; P < 0.001), outperforming either a GRACE score of >140 (HR: 3.80 [95% CI :1.45-6.98]; P = 0.004) or obstructive coronary artery disease (HR: 2.07 [95% CI: 0.94-4.53]; P = 0.07).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome, low-attenuation plaque burden is a major predictor of 1-year death or recurrent myocardial infarction. (Rapid Assessment of Potential Ischaemic Heart Disease With CTCA [RAPID-CTCA]; NCT02284191).

Impact of Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome on Ventricular Remodeling after Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Proof-of-Concept Study

Background: Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSA) is common in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Whether OSA impacts on the ventricular remodeling post-AMI remains unclear. We compared cardiac ventricular remodeling in patients assessed by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging at baseline and six months after AMI based on the presence and severity of OSA. Methods: This prospective study included 47 patients with moderate to severe AMI. They all underwent CMR at inclusion and at six months after an AMI, and a polysomnography was performed three weeks after AMI. Left and right ventricular remodeling parameters were compared between patients based on the AHI, AHI in REM and NREM sleep, oxygen desaturation index, and daytime sleepiness. Results: Of the 47 patients, 49% had moderate or severe OSA with an AHI ≥ 15/h. No differences were observed between these patients and those with an AHI < 15/h for left ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes at six months. No association was found for left and right ventricular remodeling parameters at six months or for the difference between baseline and six months with polysomnographic parameters of OSA severity, nor with daytime sleepiness. Conclusions: Although with a limited sample size, our proof-of-concept study does not report an association between OSA and ventricular remodeling in patients with AMI. These results highlight the complexity of the relationships between OSA and post-AMI morbi-mortality.

Photoresponsive Hydrogel-Coated Upconversion Cyanobacteria Nanocapsules for Myocardial Infarction Prevention and Treatment

Myocardial infarction (MI) is a common disease that seriously threatens human health. It is noteworthy that oxygen is one of the key factors in the regulation of MI pathology procession: the controllable hypoxic microenvironment can enhance the tolerance of cardiac myocytes (CMs) and oxygen therapy regulates the immune microenvironment to repair the myocardial injury. Thus, the development of an oxygen-controllable treatment is critically important to unify MI prevention and timely treatment. Here, a hydrogel encapsulated upconversion cyanobacterium nanocapsule for both MI prevention and treatment is successfully synthesized. The engineered cyanobacteria can consume oxygen via respiration to generate a hypoxic microenvironment, resulting in the upregulation of heat shock protein70 (HSP70), which can enhance the tolerance of CMs for MI. When necessary, under 980 nm near-infrared (NIR) irradiation, the system releases photosynthetic oxygen through upconversion luminescence (UCL) to inhibit macrophage M1 polarization, and downregulates pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), thereby repairing myocardial injury. To sum up, a photoresponsive upconversion cyanobacterium nanocapsule is developed, which can achieve MI prevention and treatment for only one injection via NIR-defined respiration and photosynthesis.

Sustained Increase in Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein after First ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Acute ischemic cardiac injury predisposes one to cognitive impairment, dementia, and depression. Pathophysiologically, recent positron emission tomography data suggest astroglial activation after experimental myocardial infarction (MI). We analyzed peripheral surrogate markers of glial (and neuronal) damage serially within 12 months after the first ST-elevation MI (STEMI). Serum levels of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and neurofilament light chain (NfL) were quantified using ultra-sensitive molecular immunoassays. Sufficient biomaterial was available from 45 STEMI patients (aged 28 to 78 years, median 56 years, 11% female). The median (quartiles) of GFAP was 63.8 (47.0, 89.9) pg/mL and of NfL 10.6 (7.2, 14.8) pg/mL at study entry 0–4 days after STEMI. GFAP after STEMI increased in the first 3 months, with a median change of +7.8 (0.4, 19.4) pg/mL (p = 0.007). It remained elevated without further relevant increases after 6 months (+11.7 (0.6, 23.5) pg/mL; p = 0.015), and 12 months (+10.3 (1.5, 22.7) pg/mL; p = 0.010) compared to the baseline. Larger relative infarction size was associated with a higher increase in GFAP (ρ = 0.41; p = 0.009). In contrast, NfL remained unaltered in the course of one year. Our findings support the idea of central nervous system involvement after MI, with GFAP as a potential peripheral biomarker of chronic glial damage as one pathophysiologic pathway.

Long-term cardiovascular prognosis of patients with type 1 diabetes after myocardial infarction

Background

To explore long-term cardiovascular prognosis after myocardial infarction (MI) among patients with type 1 diabetes.

Methods

Patients with type 1 diabetes surviving 90 days after MI (n = 1508; 60% male, mean age = 62.1 years) or without any type of diabetes (n = 62,785) in Finland during 2005–2018 were retrospectively studied using multiple national registries. The primary outcome of interest was a combined major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; cardiovascular death, recurrent MI, ischemic stroke, or heart failure hospitalization) studied with a competing risk Fine-Gray analyses. Median follow-up was 3.9 years (maximum 12 years). Differences between groups were balanced by multivariable adjustments and propensity score matching (n = 1401 patient pairs).

Results

Cumulative incidence of MACE after MI was higher in patients with type 1 diabetes (67.6%) compared to propensity score-matched patients without diabetes (46.0%) (sub-distribution hazard ratio [sHR]: 1.94; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.74–2.17; p < 0.0001). Probabilities of cardiovascular death (sHR 1.81; p < 0.0001), recurrent MI (sHR 1.91; p < 0.0001), ischemic stroke (sHR 1.50; p = 0.0003), and heart failure hospitalization (sHR 1.98; p < 0.0001) were higher in patients with type 1 diabetes. Incidence of MACE was higher in diabetes patients than in controls in subgroups of men and women, patients aged < 60 and ≥ 60 years, revascularized and non-revascularized patients, and patients with and without atrial fibrillation, heart failure, or malignancy.

Conclusions

Patients with type 1 diabetes have notably poorer long-term cardiovascular prognosis after an MI compared to patients without diabetes. These results underline the importance of effective secondary prevention after MI in patients with type 1 diabetes.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01608-3.

Does the Structure Matter? An External Validation and Health Economic Results Comparison of Event Simulation Approaches in Severe Obesity

OBJECTIVES

As obesity-associated events impact long-term survival, health economic (HE) modelling is commonly applied, but modelling approaches are diverse. This research aimed to compare the events simulation and the HE outcomes produced by different obesity modelling approaches.

METHODS

An external validation, using the Swedish obesity subjects (SOS) study, of three main structural event modelling approaches was performed: (1) continuous body mass index (BMI) approach; (2) risk equation approach; and (3) categorical BMI-related approach. Outcomes evaluated were mortality, cardiovascular events, and type 2 diabetes (T2D) for both the surgery and the control arms. Concordance between modelling results and the SOS study were investigated by different state-of-the-art measurements, and categorized by the grade of deviation observed (grades 1-4 expressing mild, moderate, severe, and very severe deviations). Furthermore, the costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained of surgery versus controls were compared.

RESULTS

Overall and by study arm, the risk equation approach presented the lowest average grade of deviation (overall grade 2.50; control arm 2.25; surgery arm 2.75), followed by the continuous BMI approach (overall 3.25; control 3.50; surgery 3.00) and by the categorial BMI approach (overall 3.63; control 3.50; surgery 3.75). Considering different confidence interval limits, the costs per QALY gained were fairly comparable between all structural approaches (ranging from £2,055 to £6,206 simulating a lifetime horizon).

CONCLUSION

None of the structural approaches provided perfect external event validation, although the risk equation approach showed the lowest overall deviations. The economic outcomes resulting from the three approaches were fairly comparable.

Secondary Prevention Risk Interventions via Telemedicine and Tailored Patient Education (SPRITE): A randomized trial to improve post myocardial infarction management

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the impact of a low intensity web-based and intensive nurse-administered intervention to reduce systolic blood pressure (SBP) among patients with prior MI.

METHODS

Secondary Prevention Risk Interventions via Telemedicine and Tailored Patient Education (SPRITE) was a three-arm trial. Patients were randomized to 1) post-MI education-only; 2) nurse-administered telephone program; or 3) web-based interactive tool. The study was conducted 2009-2013.

RESULTS

Participants (n = 415) had a mean age of 61 years (standard deviation [SD], 11). Relative to the education-only group, the 12-month differential improvement in SBP was - 3.97 and - 3.27 mmHg for nurse-administered telephone and web-based groups, respectively. Neither were statistically significant. Post hoc exploratory subgroup analyses found participants who received a higher dose (>12 encounters) in the nurse-administered telephone intervention (n = 60; 46%) had an 8.8 mmHg (95% CI, 0.69, 16.89; p = 0.03) differential SBP improvement versus low dose (<11 encounters; n = 71; 54%). For the web-based intervention, those who had higher dose (n = 73; 53%; >1 web encounter) experienced a 2.3 mmHg (95% CI, -10.74, 6.14; p = 0.59) differential SBP improvement versus low dose (n = 65; 47%).

CONCLUSIONS

The main effects were not statistically significant.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

Completing the full dose of the intervention may be essential to experience the intervention effect.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The unique identifier is NCT00901277 (http://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov/ct2/show/NCT00901277?term=NCT00901277&rank=1).

Cost Effectiveness of Inclisiran in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Patients with Elevated Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Despite Statin Use: A Threshold Analysis

BACKGROUND

Inclisiran is a novel, cholesterol-lowering therapy, with a long duration of effect, administered every 6 months (subcutaneously by a healthcare professional). In the ORION-10 trial in US patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in addition to maximum tolerated statins, with or without ezetimibe, inclisiran demonstrated statistically significant reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) of up to 51%. This is the first peer-reviewed publication to investigate the price at which inclisiran is cost effective in the US.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the maximum price at which inclisiran is cost effective in addition to standard of care, in US patients with ASCVD, versus standard of care alone, at different willingness-to-pay thresholds.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A lifetime Markov model from the US health system perspective, including 15 health states, was used to evaluate the cost effectiveness of inclisiran. The following states were separated by time from a previous cardiovascular event (0-1 years, 1-2 years, 2+ years ['stable']): initial, unstable angina, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Additional states included revascularization and death (cardiovascular or non-cardiovascular causes). Baseline risk of cardivoascular events were from US database sources or published literature. Reductions in LDL-C from inclisiran were from the ORION-10 trial. LDL-C reduction was used to adjust baseline risk of cardiovascular events, based on established relationships between 1 mmol/L reduction in LDL-C and decreases in cardiovascular events, from the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists studies. The population included adults with a history of ASCVD, and LDL-C ≥ 70 mg/dL, despite maximum tolerated doses of statin therapy.

INTERVENTIONS

Inclisiran as an adjunct to standard of care, compared with standard of care alone.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The threshold price of inclisiran.

RESULTS

Inclisiran as an adjunct to standard of care resulted in threshold annual inclisiran prices of $6383, $9973, and $13,563 at willingness-to-pay thresholds of $50,000, $100,000, and $150,000 per quality-adjusted life-year, respectively. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that at a threshold of $100,000 per QALY, inclisiran had a 100% probability of being cost effective, with an annual price below $9000. At the publicly available price of $3250 per dose, inclisiran was found to have an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio just above the $50,000 per QALY threshold, of $51,686.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study identified the price at which inclisiran is cost effective for the US health system, at generally accepted willingness-to-pay thresholds.

Short-term mortality differs between men and women according to the presence of previous cardiovascular disease: Insights from a nationwide STEMI cohort

BACKGROUND

Sex and prior cardiovascular disease (CVD) are known independent prognostic factors following an ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We aimed to examine whether the association between sex and 30-day mortality differ according to the presence of previous CVD in STEMI patients.

METHODS

Prospective, observational, multicentre registry of consecutive patients managed in 17 STEMI networks in Spain (83 centres), between April and June 2019. Unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models assessed the association of 30-day mortality with sex and prior CVD status, as well as their interaction.

RESULTS

Among 4366 patients (mean age 63.7 ± 13.0 years; 78% male), there were 337 (8.1%) deaths within the first 30 days. There was an association between crude 30-day mortality and sex (women 10.4% vs. men 7.4%, p = 0.003), and prior CVD (CVD 13.7% vs non-CVD 6.8%, p < 0.001). After adjustment for potential confounding, neither sex nor prior CVD were apparently associated with mortality. Nevertheless, we found a significant sex-CVD interaction (p-interaction = 0.006), since women were at lower risk than men in the subset of patients with prior CVD (OR = 0.30, 95%CI = 0.12-0.80) but not in those without CVD (OR = 1.17, 95%CI = 0.79-1.74).

CONCLUSIONS

Women as well as patients with prior CVD have an increased crude risk of 30-day mortality. However, sex-related differences in short term mortality are modulated by the interaction with CVD in STEMI patients. Compared to men, women had a similar prognosis in the subset of patients without CVD, whereas they were associated with a lower risk of mortality among those with prior CVD after adjusting for other prognostic factors.

Achieving Lower LDL-C Levels After a Recent Myocardial Infarction Might Be Associated with Lower Healthcare Resource Use and Costs in Spain

INTRODUCTION

There is little evidence on the relationship between achieved low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and costs in patients on lipid-lowering therapy (LLT). We described healthcare resource use and costs (direct and indirect) by achieved LDL-C in patients receiving LLT after a recent myocardial infarction (MI) in Spain.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study of anonymized electronic medical records from seven regions in Spain (BIG-PAC^® database; n = 1.9 million). Eligible patients were adults (≥ 18 years) hospitalized for an MI between January 2015 and December 2017, treated with a statin and/or ezetimibe, and having recorded LDL-C values at baseline and during follow-up. Healthcare resource use and direct and indirect costs (in 2018, €) were described by achieved LDL-C levels during a follow-up of 18 months.

RESULTS

Of 6025 patients (mean age, 69.7 years; 77% male), only 11% achieved LDL-C goals as defined in the 2016 ESC/EAS guidelines (< 70 mg/dL), and just 1% reached the lower target (< 55 mg/dL) in the current 2019 guidelines. Achieving lower LDL-C levels translated to lower healthcare resource use and costs. Mean total (direct and indirect) costs ranged from €5044 for patients with LDL-C < 55 mg/dL to €7567 for patients with LDL-C ≥ 130 mg/dL.

CONCLUSION

Very few patients achieved recommended LDL-C goals despite using LLT. Achieving lower LDL-C levels after an MI might be associated with lower healthcare resource use and costs. Use of more intensive LLT, leading to greater reductions in LDL-C, could therefore be beneficial both from a clinical and an economic perspective.

Association of albumin, fibrinogen, and modified proteins with acute coronary syndrome

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) comprises a pathophysiological spectrum of cardiovascular diseases related to atherosclerotic coronary plaque erosion. Oxidative stress and inflammation play pivotal roles in the development and progression of atherosclerosis, which affects circulatory proteins, including albumin and fibrinogen, thereby causing an imbalance in albumin to globulin and fibrinogen to albumin ratios. This study aimed to assess the effect of oxidative stress on circulatory proteins, correlate these parameters, and investigate their significance in patients with ACS. In this case-control study, the major blood proteins in patients with ACS and a control group were evaluated using standard methods. Out of 70 ACS cases, 75.7% had ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), 18.6% had non-STEMI, and 5.7% had unstable angina. The mean cardiac troponin I level in patients was 12.42 ng/mL. The patients demonstrated a significantly reduced level of human serum albumin (HSA), 3.81 ± 0.99 g/dL, compared to controls, 5.33 ± 0.66 g/dL. The albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) was significantly depressed in patients while their mean fibrinogen level and the fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR) were significantly higher. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that albumin and fibrinogen were significantly associated with the risk of ACS, showing the potential of these parameters to be used for risk assessment of ACS. The ischemia modified albumin (IMA) and protein carbonyls were significantly higher in patients which showed significant positive correlations with FAR. Albumin, IMA and protein carbonyls were found to have high diagnostic sensitivity and specificity for ACS. Overall, these circulatory and modified proteins in ACS patients, particularly lower HSA, AGR, and higher IMA and protein carbonyls may help assess risk.

Trends in 10-Year Outcomes Among Medicare Beneficiaries Who Survived an Acute Myocardial Infarction

Importance

Short-term outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have improved, but little is known about longer-term outcomes.

Objective

To evaluate trends in 10-year all-cause mortality and hospitalization for recurrent AMI by demographic subgroups and examine the association between recurrence and mortality.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries who survived after AMI from 1995 to 2019. Subgroups were defined by age, sex, race, dual Medicare-Medicaid-eligible status, and residence in health priority areas (geographic areas with persistently high adjusted mortality and hospitalization rates). Data were analyzed from October 2020 to February 2022.

Exposure

Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries who survived an AMI.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Ten-year all-cause mortality and hospitalization for recurrent AMI, beginning 30 days from the index AMI admission.

Results

Of an included 3 982 266 AMI survivors, 1 952 450 (49.0%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 78.0 (7.4) years. Ten-year mortality and recurrent AMI rates were 72.7% (95% CI, 72.6-72.7) and 27.1% (95% CI, 27.0-27.2), respectively. Adjusted annual reductions were 1.5% (95% CI, 1.4-1.5) for mortality and 2.7% (95% CI, 2.6-2.7) for recurrence. In subgroup analyses balancing patient characteristics, hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality and recurrence were 1.13 (95% CI, 1.12-1.13) and 1.07 (95% CI, 1.06-1.07), respectively, for men vs women; 1.05 (95% CI, 1.05-1.06) and 1.08 (95% CI, 1.07-1.09) for Black vs White patients; 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.96) and 1.00 (95% CI, 1.00-1.01) for other race (including American Indian and Alaska Native, Asian, Hispanic, other race or ethnicity, and unreported) vs White patients; 1.24 (95% CI, 1.24-1.24) and 1.21 (95% CI, 1.20-1.21) for dual Medicare-Medicaid-eligible vs non-dual Medicare-Medicaid-eligible patients; and 1.06 (95% CI, 1.06-1.07) and 1.00 (95% CI, 1.00-1.01) for patients in health priority areas vs other areas. For patients hospitalized in 2007 to 2009, the last 3 years for which full 10-year follow-up data were available, 10-year mortality risk was 13.9% lower than for those hospitalized in 1995 to 1997 (adjusted HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.85-0.87) and 10-year recurrence risk was 22.5% lower (adjusted HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.76-0.78). Mortality within 10 years after the initial AMI was higher for patients with a recurrent AMI (80.6%; 95% CI, 80.5-80.7) vs those without recurrence (72.4%; 95% CI, 72.3-72.5).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, 10-year mortality and hospitalization for recurrence rates improved over the last decades for patients who survived the acute period of AMI. There were marked differences in outcomes and temporal trends across demographic subgroups, emphasizing the urgent need for prioritization of efforts to reduce inequities in long-term outcomes.

Impact of myocardial revascularization on long-term outcomes in a nationwide cohort of first acute myocardial infarction survivors

The long-term clinical benefits of myocardial revascularization in a contemporary, nationwide cohort of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors are unclear. We aimed to compare the mortality rates and clinical outcomes at 8 years of patients admitted in Italy for a first AMI managed with or without myocardial revascularization during the index event. This is a national retrospective cohort study that enrolled patients admitted for a first AMI in 2012 in all Italian hospitals who survived at 30 days. The outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality, major cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and re-hospitalization for heart failure (HF) at 8 years. Time to events was analysed using a Cox and Fine and Gray multivariate regression model. A total of 127 431 patients with AMI were admitted to Italian hospitals in 2012. The study cohort consisted of 62 336 AMI events, of whom 63.8% underwent percutaneous or surgical revascularization ≤30 days of the index hospital admission. At 8 years, the cumulative incidence of all-cause death was 36.5% (24.6% in revascularized and 57.6% in not revascularized patients). After multiple corrections, the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality in revascularized vs. not revascularized patients was 0.61 (P < 0.0001). The rate of MACCE was 45.7% and 65.8% (adjusted HR 0.83; P < 0.0001), while re-hospitalizations for HF occurred in 17.6% and 29.8% (adjusted HR 0.97; P = 0.16) in AMI survivors revascularized and not revascularized, respectively. In our contemporary nationwide cohort of patients at their first AMI episode, those who underwent myocardial revascularization within 1 month from the index event compared to those not revascularized presented an adjusted 39% risk reduction in all-cause mortality and 17% in MACCE at 8-year follow-up.

Incidence, Characteristics, and Management of Patients with Recurrent Myocardial Infarctions: Insights from the EYESHOT POST-MI

Background. It is unknown whether patients who survived two or multiple episodes of myocardial infarction (MI) present different clinical characteristics and management than patients at their first MI. Methods. The EYESHOT post-MI was a prospective, observational, nationwide study aimed to evaluate the management of patients presenting to cardiologists 1 to 3 years from the last MI event. In 3 months of enrolment, 165 Italian cardiology centers included 1633 consecutive post-MI patients. In the present analysis, we stratified the study cohort according to the number of prior MI episodes (i.e., 1, 2 or ≥3). Results. Among the 1618 patients enrolled with complete data on MI history, 1335 (82.5%) were at their first MI episode, 209 (12.9%) had a history of 2 MIs, and the remaining 74 (4.6%) had ≥ 3 prior MIs. Patients with a history of multiple MIs were increasingly older and presented a significantly higher rate of risk factors compared to those at their first MI. During the year prior to enrolment, patients with 2 or ≥3 MI episodes more frequently underwent coronary angiography compared to the other group ( $p<0.0001$ ). In addition, several lifesaving and antianginal drugs were more frequently prescribed in patients presenting with a history of multiple MIs compared to those at their first MI. Conclusions. Our data suggest that patients with multiple MIs managed by cardiologists in routine clinical practice present an incremental clinical risk, more frequently undergo coronary angiography, and are more intensively managed with pharmacological therapies compared to patients at their first MI episode.

Outpatient register of patients who have suffered a myocardial infarction (REGATA): prospective follow-up data and outcomes

Aim      To determine the factors that influence the long-term prognosis in patients after myocardial infarction (MI) as a part of the prospective REGistry of pATients after myocArdial infarction (REGATA).Material and methods  In 2012-2013, 481 post-myocardial infarction patients were included into the REGATA registry; 247 (51.4 %) were men, median age 72 [62; 78] years. The median duration of prospective follow-up after the inclusion into the registry was 6.1 [4.0-6.6] years. Data were obtained for 474 (98.5 %) patients. Statistical analysis was performed with the Microsoft Excel 2010, StatsoftStatistica10.0 software and partially manually by formulas. Methods of descriptive statistics were used. For quantitative variables with normal distribution, mean values and standard deviations were calculated; intergroup differences were evaluated with Student's t-test. Differences between groups of survived and deceased patients were evaluated with a nonparametric method using the Pearson's chi-squared test with a Yates's correction, and the Fisher's exact test. When the frequency of absent data for the studied variable exceeded 20 %, this variable was not included into the analysis. The 6-year survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method. Fatal outcomes were analyzed with the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Differences were considered significant at p&lt;0.05.Results During the follow-up period, there were 200 (41.6 %) cases of all-cause death and 123 (25.6 %) cases of cardiovascular death; 39 (8.1 %) of patients had acute cerebrovascular disease (ACVD) and 36 (7.5 %) had recurrent myocardial infarction. The median time from the inclusion into the registry to death was 3.4 [1.6; 5.1] years. A higher risk of all-cause death was significantly associated with factors of age (one-year relative risk, RR, 1.03; 95 % confidence interval, CI, 1.02-1.05; р&lt;0.001), III-IV functional class angina (RR, 1.76; 95 % CI, 1.22-2.53; p=0.003), history of ACVD (RR, 2.12; 95 % CI, 1.50-2.98; p&lt;0.001), atrial fibrillation (AF) (RR, 1.52; 95 % CI, 1.10-2.12; р=0.01), diabetes mellitus (DM) (RR, 1.53; 95 % CI, 1.11-2.10; p=0.009), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (RR, 1.77; 95 % CI, 1.20-2.62; p=0.004), and reduced hemoglobin (RR, 2.09; 95 % CI, 1.31-3.33; p=0.002). A lower risk of death was associated with administration of antiplatelets (RR, 0.57; 95 % CI, 0.37-0.89; p=0.01), angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors /angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB) (RR, 0.51; 95 % CI, 0.33-0.78; p=0.002), and statins (RR, 0.48; 95 % CI, 0.34-0.67; p&lt;0.001). A higher risk of nonfatal stroke during the follow-up was significantly associated with age (one-year RR, 1.05; 95 % CI, 1.01-1.09; р=0.02), history of ACVD (RR, 2.74; 95 % CI, 1.33-5.63; p=0.006), and DM (RR, 2.43; 95 % CI, 1.17-5.06; p=0.02), and a higher risk of nonfatal stroke was significantly associated with a history of ACVD (RR, 1.70; 95 % CI, 1.44-2.01; p&lt;0.001), DM (RR, 2.33; 95 % CI, 1.13-4.84; p=0.02), and COPD (RR, 2.47; 95 % CI, 1.02-6.00; p=0.06).Conclusion      In the outpatient REGATA registry that included patients with MI at any previous time, the death rate for 6 years of follow-up was 41.6 %. In 61.5 % of cases, death was caused by cardiovascular diseases. In clinical practice in long-term, a higher risk of unfavorable outcome was associated with old age, III-IV functional class angina, a history of ACVD, AF, DM, and COPD while a lower risk was associated with the administration of antiplatelets, ACE inhibitors/ARB, and statins.

Deciphering mechanism of the herbal formula WuShen in the treatment of postinfarction heart failure

BACKGROUND

Numerous clinical studies reported the effectiveness of herbal formula WuShen (WS) in treating cardiovascular diseases, yet relevant basic research was rarely conducted.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Twelve main bioactive compounds of WS decoction were identified using the ultra-performance liquid chromatography-LTQ-Orbitrap mass spectrometer. A total of 137 active compounds with 613 targets were predicted by network pharmacology; their bioinformatic annotation and human microarray data suggested that wounding healing, inflammatory response, and gap junction were potentially the major therapeutic modules. A rat model of post-myocardial infarction (MI) heart failure (HF) was used to study the effects of WS on cardiac function, adverse cardiac remodeling, and experimental arrhythmias. Rats treated with WS led to a significantly improved pump function and reduced susceptibility to both ventricular tachycardia and atrial fibrillation, and restricted adverse cardiac remodeling partly via inhibiting TGFβ1/SMADs mediated extracellular matrix deposition and Rac1/NOX2/CTGF/Connexin43 -involved gap junction remodeling.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study highlights that WS can be applied to the treatment of heart failure and the upstream therapy for atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia through its preventive effect on adverse cardiac remodeling.

Widening or narrowing income inequalities in myocardial infarction? Time trends in life years free of myocardial infarction and after incidence

BACKGROUND

Despite substantial improvements in prevention and therapy, myocardial infarction (MI) remains a frequent health event, causing high mortality and serious health impairments. Previous research lacks evidence on how social inequalities in incidence and mortality risks developed over time, and on how these developments affect the lifespan free of MI and after MI in different social subgroups. This study investigates income inequalities in MI-free life years and life years after MI and whether these inequalities widened or narrowed over time.

METHODS

The analyses are based on claims data of a large German health insurance provider insuring approximately 2.8 million individuals in the federal state Lower Saxony. Trends in income inequalities in incidence and mortality were assessed for all subjects aged 60 years and older by comparing the time periods 2006-2008 and 2015-2017 using multistate survival models. Trends in the number of life years free of MI and after MI were calculated separately for income groups by applying multistate life table analyses.

RESULTS

MI incidence and mortality risks decreased over time, but declines were strongest among men and women in the higher-income group. While life years free of MI increased in men and women with higher incomes, no MI-free life years were gained in the low-income group. Among men, life years after MI increased irrespective of income group.

CONCLUSIONS

Income inequalities in the lifespan spent free of MI and after MI widened over time. In particular, men with low incomes are disadvantaged, as life years spent after MI increased, but no life years free of MI were gained.

Atrial Fibrillation and Coronary Artery Disease: A Long-Term Perspective on the Need for Combined Antithrombotic Therapy

BACKGROUND

Older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) are often treated with the shortest possible duration of antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy after myocardial infarction (MI) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) due to concern for bleeding. However, the risk of recurrent MI or PCI prompting antiplatelet therapy extension is unknown in this population.

METHODS

Using the National Cardiovascular Data Registry linked to Medicare claims, we described the cumulative incidence of recurrent MI or PCI over a median of 7-year follow-up for patients ≥65 years old with AF discharged alive after acute MI between 2008 and 2017. We used pharmacy fill data to describe the proportion of patients filling prescriptions for both oral anticoagulants and P2Y₁₂ inhibitors for ≥50% of the indicated duration after MI or PCI.

RESULTS

Of 187 622 older patients discharged alive after MI, 50 539 (26.9%) had AF. Over a median of 7-year follow-up in patients with AF, the cumulative incidence was 14.5% for recurrent MI, 12.1% for PCI, 7.9% for stroke, and 9.5% for bleeding hospitalization. Among 7998 patients with AF and recurrent MI or PCI, 1668 (20.9%) had >1 MI or PCI during follow-up. Assuming each MI or PCI should be followed by 6 months of P2Y₁₂ inhibitor therapy, patients with AF who had a recurrent MI/PCI had a median estimated indication for antiplatelet/anticoagulant treatment of 287 days (194, 358), but filled both P2Y₁₂ inhibitor and oral anticoagulant for a median of 0 days (0, 21). In this cohort, 12.2% of patients filled prescriptions for both a P2Y₁₂ inhibitor and oral anticoagulant for ≥50% of the indicated duration.

CONCLUSIONS

Older adults with AF and MI have high incidences of downstream recurrent MI or PCI requiring extended antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy durations, yet many appear to be under-treated. These results highlight the need for better thrombosis prevention strategies in this group of patients.

Retrospective validation of a machine learning clinical decision support tool for myocardial infarction risk stratification

Diagnosis and appropriate intervention for myocardial infarction (MI) are time-sensitive but rely on clinical measures that can be progressive and initially inconclusive, underscoring the need for an accurate and early predictor of MI to support diagnostic and clinical management decisions. The objective of this study was to develop a machine learning algorithm (MLA) to predict MI diagnosis based on electronic health record data (EHR) readily available during Emergency Department assessment. An MLA was developed using retrospective patient data. The MLA used patient data as they became available in the first 3 h of care to predict MI diagnosis (defined by International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision code) at any time during the encounter. The MLA obtained an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87, sensitivity of 87% and specificity of 70%, outperforming the comparator scoring systems TIMI and GRACE on all metrics. An MLA can synthesize complex EHR data to serve as a clinically relevant risk stratification tool for MI.

Liver Fibrosis Scoring Systems as Novel Tools for Predicting Recurrent Cardiovascular Events in Patients with a Prior Cardiovascular Event

Objective:

Regarding the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD), there is great interest in preventing recurrent cardiovascular events (RCVEs). The prognostic importance of liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) has previously been reported in various CVDs. We hypothesized that LFSs might also be useful predictors for RCVEs in patients with prior cardiovascular events (CVEs). Herein, we aimed to evaluate the associations of LFSs with RCVEs in a large, real-world cohort of coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with a prior CVE.

Methods:

In this multicenter prospective study, 6527 consecutive patients with angiography-diagnosed CAD who had experienced a prior CVE (acute coronary syndrome, stroke, percutaneous coronary intervention, or coronary artery bypass grafting) were enrolled. LFSs were computed according to the published formulas: non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) includes age, body mass index (BMI), impaired fasting glycemia or diabetes mellitus (DM), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, platelets, and albumin; fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) includes age, AST, ALT, and platelets; Forns score includes age, gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), and platelets; BARD includes BMI, AST/ALT ratio, and DM; GGT/platelet ratio includes GGT and platelets; AST/ALT ratio includes AST and ALT; and AST/platelet ratio index includes AST and platelets. The originally reported cutoffs were used for the categorization of low-, intermediate-, and high-score subgroups. All patients were followed up for the occurrence of RCVEs (comprising cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and stroke). Cox and Poisson regression analyses were used to assess the relationship of baseline LFSs with the risk of RCVE.

Results:

During a mean follow-up of (54.67 ± 18.80) months, 532 (8.2%) RCVEs were recorded. Intermediate and high NFS, FIB-4, Forns, and BARD scores were independently associated with an increased risk of RCVE (hazard ratios ranging from 1.42 to 1.75 for intermediate scores and 1.35 to 2.52 for high scores). In the subgroup analyses of sex, age, BMI, DM, and hypertension status, the increased risk of RCVEs with high LFSs (NFS, FIB-4, Forns, and BARD) was maintained across the different subgroups (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion:

This study showed that LFSs are indeed independently associated with RCVEs, suggesting that LFSs may be used as novel tools for risk stratification in CAD patients with a prior CVE.

Expression of miR-1-3p, miR-16-5p and miR-122-5p as Possible Risk Factors of Secondary Cardiovascular Events

Ischemic event in one arterial territory increases the risk of a subsequent ischemic event. Circulating microRNAs (miRs) emerge as a potential clinical tool to assess risk of subsequent atherothrombotic events such as cardiovascular death (CVD), myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS). In this prospective study, we searched for athero-specific miRs related to cardiovascular event risk in patients with symptomatic coronary, carotid lesion, or both territories involvements. The choice of particular miRs was based on database research (Pub-Med, Bethesda, MD, USA) taking into consideration the relationship with development of atherosclerosis and potential prognostic value. Levels of circulating miRs (miR-1-3p, miR-16-5p, miR-34a-5p, mir-122-5p, miR-124-3p, miR-133a-3p, miR-133b, miR-134-5p, miR-208b-3p, miR-375 and miR-499-5p) were compared in 142 patients with an acute ischemic event resulting from carotid and/or coronary artery stenosis, who underwent revascularization for symptomatic lesion. A 6-year prospective evaluation of CVD/MI/IS risk was performed. Patients with two-territory as compared to single-territory involvement differed in levels of miR-1-3p (p = 0.016), miR-16-5p (p < 0.001), miR-34a-5p (p = 0.018), miR-122-5p (p = 0.007), miR-124-3p (p < 0.001) and miR-499-5p (p < 0.001). During follow-up, 62 (43.7%) episodes of CVD/MI/IS occurred. In multivariate Cox analysis, miR-122-5p (HR = 1.0006, 95%CI = 1.0001–1.0011) and peripheral artery disease (PAD) (HR = 2.16, 95%CI = 1.26–3.70) were associated with CVD/MI/IS risk; miR-1-3p (HR = 2.73, 95%CI = 1.22–6.12) and PAD (HR = 3.47, 95%CI = 1.88–6.41) with CVD; miR-122-5p (HR = 1.0001, 95%CI = 1.000–1.0002) and creatinine level (HR = 1.02, 95%CI = 1.01–1.04) with IS, and miR-16-5p (HR = 1.0004, 95%CI = 1.0001–1.0008) with MI. Expression of miR-1-3p, miR-16-5p and miR-122-5p during incident ischemia may be possible risk factors of secondary cardiovascular event(s).

Antiplatelets in acute coronary syndrome in Poland - from guidelines to clinical practice

Acute coronary syndrome is a factor for poor prognosis and recurrent cardiovascular events. Adequate antiplatelet therapy is crucial in patients with the acute coronary syndrome for risk reduction. Such treatment is well described in four documents issued by the European Society of Cardiology, which precisely illustrate the use of antiplatelets in the settings of ST-elevated and non-ST elevated myocardial infarction. Despite its unquestioned role in the treatment of acute coronary syndrome, recent real-world-data from Polish registries reveal poor adherence to the guidelines-recommended antiplatelet treatment in Poland. Thus, we present here a comprehensive review of the use of antiplatelets in the settings of the acute coronary syndrome. Each phase of the treatment, i.e. pre-hospital, in-hospital and post-hospital, is discussed separately for a better understanding of the decision-making process at each step. We also present unpublished data from Polish registries (e.g. PL-ACS 2019, National Registry of Procedures of Invasive Cardiology, RECEPTOmetrPEX panel) regarding adherence to the guidelines-recommended treatment in Poland, thus highlighting the points of care which should be immediately improved. It has to be stressed here that careful assessment of ischaemic and bleeding risk has to be performed in each patient with acute coronary syndrome individually and repeated at successive phases of the treatment. Only such an approach allows for appropriate antiplatelet therapy tailoring.

Hospitalization for Myocardial Infarction with Ticagrelor or Clopidogrel in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome: An On-Treatment Comparative Effectiveness Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Prescribing patterns and suboptimal adherence present methodological challenges for real-world head-to-head comparisons of ticagrelor and clopidogrel in intent-to-treat studies. The aim of this study was to compare ticagrelor and clopidogrel in an on-treatment population.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used the Optum™ Clinformatics™ database to identify patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) discharged on ticagrelor or clopidogrel between January 1, 2012 and September 30, 2019. The primary end point was hospitalization for myocardial infarction (MI); the secondary end point was hospitalization for major bleeding. The ticagrelor and clopidogrel cohorts were balanced by propensity score matching (PSM) 1:3 for demographic and clinical characteristics. Outcomes were ascertained from day 31 until day 365 or end of follow-up.

RESULTS

Of 339,387 patients with ACS, 14,110 ticagrelor- and 57,482 clopidogrel-treated patients met the study criteria. After PSM, 13,373 ticagrelor- and 29,656 clopidogrel-treated patients provided 4945 and 13,895 patient-years of data, respectively, for the primary end point. Hospitalization for MI was significantly lower in the ticagrelor compared to the clopidogrel cohort (2.22 vs. 3.52 per 100 patient-years; 36.8% relative risk reduction [RRR]; P < 0.0001). Hospitalization for major bleeding was similar in the ticagrelor and clopidogrel cohorts (2.04 vs. 2.06 per 100 patient-years; 1.1% RRR, P = 0.9214).

CONCLUSIONS

In this real-world on-treatment analysis, hospitalization for MI was significantly lower with ticagrelor compared to clopidogrel, with similar rates of hospitalization for major bleeding. Study findings underscore the importance of being on the appropriate guideline-recommended therapy and support the use of ticagrelor over clopidogrel.

Association of alcohol consumption with morbidity and mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease: original data and meta-analysis of 48,423 men and women

BACKGROUND

Light-to-moderate alcohol consumption has been reported to be cardio-protective among apparently healthy individuals; however, it is unclear whether this association is also present in those with disease. To examine the association between alcohol consumption and prognosis in individuals with pre-existing cardiovascular disease (CVD), we conducted a series of meta-analyses of new findings from three large-scale cohorts and existing published studies.

METHODS

We assessed alcohol consumption in relation to all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and subsequent cardiovascular events via de novo analyses of 14,386 patients with a previous myocardial infarction, angina, or stroke in the UK Biobank Study (median follow-up 8.7 years, interquartile range [IQR] 8.0-9.5), involving 1640 deaths and 2950 subsequent events, and 2802 patients and 1257 deaths in 15 waves of the Health Survey for England 1994-2008 and three waves of the Scottish Health Survey 1995, 1998, and 2003 (median follow-up 9.5 years, IQR 5.7-13.0). This was augmented with findings from 12 published studies identified through a systematic review, providing data on 31,235 patients, 5095 deaths, and 1414 subsequent events. To determine the best-fitting dose-response association between alcohol and each outcome in the combined sample of 48,423 patients, models were constructed using fractional polynomial regression, adjusting at least for age, sex, and smoking status.

RESULTS

Alcohol consumption was associated with all assessed outcomes in a J-shaped manner relative to current non-drinkers, with a risk reduction that peaked at 7 g/day (relative risk 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.73-0.85) for all-cause mortality, 8 g/day (0.73, 0.64-0.83) for cardiovascular mortality and 6 g/day (0.50, 0.26-0.96) for cardiovascular events, and remained significant up to 62, 50, and 15 g/day, respectively. No statistically significant elevated risks were found at higher levels of drinking. In the few studies that excluded former drinkers from the non-drinking reference group, reductions in risk among light-to-moderate drinkers were attenuated.

CONCLUSIONS

For secondary prevention of CVD, current drinkers may not need to stop drinking. However, they should be informed that the lowest risk of mortality and having another cardiovascular event is likely to be associated with lower levels of drinking, that is up to approximately 105g (or equivalent to 13 UK units, with one unit equal to half a pint of beer/lager/cider, half a glass of wine, or one measure of spirits) a week.