Validity of Cardiovascular Data From Electronic Sources: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and HealthLNK

Kidney Function and Incident Stroke and Dementia Using an Updated Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Equation Without Race: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Rationale & Objective

Equations for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have previously included a coefficient for African American race. We evaluated and compared risk of incident stroke and dementia between old and new equations of eGFR for African American and non-African American participants.

Study Design

Prospective observational study.

Setting & Participants

Baseline values were collected from 6,814 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort between 2000 and 2002. Participants were followed up until 2018. The analytic sample consisted of 6,646 participants (mean [SD] age 62 [10] years; 53% female; 39% White, 27% African American, 12% Chinese American, and 22% Hispanic/Latino).

Exposure

eGFR equation from 2021 based on serum creatinine and cystatin C levels without race.

Outcome

Incident stroke and dementia.

Analytical Approach

Cox proportional regression adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical variables was performed to estimate associations between different eGFR measures and risk of incident stroke and dementia.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 17 years, 349 (5.3%) participants experienced an incident stroke event, and 574 (8.6%) participants experienced incident dementia. In the fully adjusted model, overall participants with eGFR <60 compared with those >90 mL/min/1.73 m2 were at significantly increased risk of dementia (HR, 95% CI: 1.73, 1.21-2.45). A lower eGFR was not significantly associated with incident stroke (1.30, 0.75-2.24). African American participants tended to be reclassified to a lower group of eGFR in the new equations, whereas non-African American participants were reclassified to a higher group of eGFR. When comparing older versus newer equations of eGFR in African American and non-African American participants in association with incident stroke and dementia, differences were minimal.

Limitations

Incident dementia was ascertained through International Classification of Diseases (Ninth and Tenth Revisions) codes.

Conclusions

Our findings illustrate participants with 2021 eGFR < 60 compared with those with eGFR > 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 have higher risk of dementia in both African American and non-African American participants, but not of stroke.

Arm Position and Blood Pressure Readings: The ARMS Crossover Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Guidelines for blood pressure (BP) measurement recommend arm support on a desk with the midcuff positioned at heart level. Still, nonstandard positions are used in clinical practice (eg, with arm resting on the lap or unsupported on the side).

Objective

To determine the effect of different arm positions on BP readings.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This crossover randomized clinical trial recruited adults between the ages of 18 and 80 years in Baltimore, Maryland, from August 9, 2022, to June 1, 2023.

Intervention

Participants were randomly assigned to sets of triplicate BP measurements with the arm positioned in 3 ways: (1) supported on a desk (desk 1; reference), (2) hand supported on lap (lap), and (3) arm unsupported at the side (side). To account for intrinsic BP variability, all participants underwent a fourth set of BP measurements with the arm supported on a desk (desk 2).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcomes were the difference in differences in mean systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) between the reference BP (desk 1) and the 2 arm support positions (lap and side): (lap or side - desk 1) - (desk 2 - desk 1). Results were also stratified by hypertensive status, age, obesity status, and access to health care within the past year.

Results

The trial enrolled 133 participants (mean [SD] age, 57 [17] years; 70 [53%] female); 48 participants (36%) had SBP of 130 mm Hg or higher, and 55 participants (41%) had a body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) of 30 or higher. Lap and side positions resulted in statistically significant higher BP readings than desk positions, with the difference in differences as follows: lap, SBP Δ 3.9 (95% CI, 2.5-5.2) mm Hg and DBP Δ 4.0 (95% CI, 3.1-5.0) mm Hg; and side, SBP Δ 6.5 (95% CI, 5.1-7.9) mm Hg and DBP Δ 4.4 (95% CI, 3.4-5.4) mm Hg. The patterns were generally consistent across subgroups.

Conclusion and Relevance

This crossover randomized clinical trial showed that commonly used arm positions (lap or side) resulted in substantial overestimation of BP readings and may lead to misdiagnosis and overestimation of hypertension.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05372328.

Social Determinants of Health Mediate Racial Disparities in Cardiovascular Disease in Men With Prostate Cancer

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in men with prostate cancer; however, data on racial disparities in CVD outcomes are limited.

Objectives

We quantified the disparities in CVD according to self-identified race and the role of the structural social determinants of health in mediating disparities in prostate cancer patients.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of 3,543 prostate cancer patients treated with systemic androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) between 2008 and 2021 at a quaternary, multisite health care system was performed. The multivariable adjusted association between self-reported race (Black vs White) and incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after ADT initiation was evaluated using cause-specific proportional hazards. Mediation analysis determined the role of theme-specific and overall social vulnerability index (SVI) in explaining the racial disparities in CVD outcomes.

Results

Black race was associated with an increased hazard of MACE (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.16-1.65; P < 0.001). The association with Black race was strongest for incident heart failure (HR: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.32-2.43), cerebrovascular disease (HR: 1.98; 95% CI: 1.37-2.87), and peripheral artery disease (HR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.26-2.45) (P < 0.001). SVI, specifically the socioeconomic status theme, mediated 98% of the disparity in MACE risk between Black and White patients.

Conclusions

Black patients are significantly more likely to experience adverse CVD outcomes after systemic ADT compared with their White counterparts. These disparities are mediated by socioeconomic status and other structural determinants of health as captured by census tract SVI. Our findings motivate multilevel interventions focused on addressing socioeconomic vulnerability.

Association Between End-Stage Liver Disease and Incident Heart Failure in an Integrated Health System

BACKGROUND

End-stage liver disease (ESLD) and heart failure (HF) often coexist and are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. However, the true incidence of HF among patients with ESLD remains understudied.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to evaluate the association between ESLD and incident HF in a real-world clinical cohort.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective electronic health records database analysis of individuals with ESLD and frequency-matched controls without ESLD in a large integrated health system.

MAIN MEASURES

The primary outcome was incident HF, which was defined by the International Classification of Disease codes and manually adjudicated by physician reviewers. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the cumulative incidence of HF. Multivariate proportional hazards models adjusted for shared metabolic factors (diabetes, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, coronary heart disease, body mass index) were used to compare the risk of HF in patients with and without ESLD.

KEY RESULTS

Of 5004 patients (2502 with ESLD and 2502 without ESLD), the median (Q1-Q3) age was 57.0 (55.0-65.0) years, 59% were male, and 18% had diabetes. Over a median (Q1-Q3) follow-up of 2.3 (0.6-6.0) years, 121 incident HF cases occurred. Risk for incident HF was significantly higher for patients with ESLD compared with the non-ESLD group (adjusted HR: 4.67; 95% CI: 2.82-7.75; p < 0.001), with the majority of the ESLD group (70.7%) having HF with preserved ejection fraction (ejection fraction ≥ 50%).

CONCLUSION

ESLD was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HF, independent of shared metabolic risk factors, with the predominant phenotype being HF with preserved ejection fraction.

Validation of a Case Definition to Identify Patients Diagnosed With Cardiovascular Disease in Canadian Primary Care Practices

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of death globally. This study validates a primary care-based electronic medical record case definition for CVD.

Methods

This retrospective, cross-sectional study explores electronic medical record data from 1574 primary care providers participating in the Canadian Primary Care Sentinel Surveillance Network. A reference standard was created by reviewing medical records of a subset of patients in this network (n = 2017) for coronary artery disease (CAD), cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), and peripheral vascular disease (PVD). Together, these data produced a CVD reference. We applied validated case definitions to an active patient population (≥ 1 visit between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2019) to estimate prevalence using the exact binomial test (N = 689,301). Descriptive statistics, χ² tests, and t tests characterized patients with vs without CVD.

Results

The optimal CVD Case Definition 2 had a sensitivity of 68.5% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 61.6%-74.8%), a specificity of 97.8% (95% CI: 97.0%-98.4%), a positive predictive value of 77.7% (95% CI: 71.6%-82.7%), and a negative predictive value of 96.5% (95% CI: 95.8%-97.1%). Included in this CVD definition was a strong CAD case definition with sensitivity of 91.6% (95% CI: 84.6%-96.1%), specificity of 98.3% (95% CI: 97.6%-98.8%), a PPV of 74.8% (95% CI: 67.8%-80.7%), and an NPV of 99.5% (95% CI: 99.1%-99.7%). This CVD definition also included CeVD and PVD case definitions with low sensitivity (77.6% and 36.6%) but high specificity (98.6% and 99.0%). The estimated prevalence of CVD among primary care patients is 11.2% (95% CI, 11.1%-11.3%; n = 77,064); the majority had CAD (6.4%).

Conclusions

This study validated a definition of CVD and its component parts-CAD, CeVD, and PVD. Understanding the prevalence and disease burden for patients with CVD within primary care settings can improve prevention and disease management.

Comparison of Blood Pressure Measurements from Clinical Practice and a Research Study At Kaiser Permanente Southern California

BACKGROUND

Accurate blood pressure (BP) measurement is essential to identify and manage hypertension. Prior studies have reported a difference between BP measured in routine patient care and in research studies. We aimed to investigate the agreement between BP measured in routine care and research-grade BP in Kaiser Permanente Southern California, a large, integrated healthcare system with initiatives to standardize BP measurements during routine patient care visits.

METHODS

We included adults ≥65 years old with hypertension, taking antihypertensive medication, and participating in the Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Older Adults (AMBROSIA) study in 2019-2021. Clinic BP from routine care visits was extracted from the electronic health record. Research-grade BP was obtained by trained AMBROSIA study staff via an automatic oscillometric device. The mean difference between routine care and research-grade BP, limits of agreement, and correlation were assessed.

RESULTS

We included 309 participants (mean age 75 years; 54% female; 49% non-Hispanic white). Compared with measurements from routine care, mean research-grade systolic BP (SBP) was 0.1 mm Hg higher (95% CI: -1.5 to 1.8) and diastolic BP (DBP) was 0.4 mm Hg lower (95% CI: -1.6 to 0.7). Limits of agreement were -29 to 30 mm Hg for SBP and -21 to 20 mm Hg for DBP. The intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.42 (95% CI: 0.33 to 0.51) for SBP and 0.43 (95% CI: 0.34 to 0.52) for DBP.

CONCLUSIONS

High within-person variation and moderate correlation were present between BP measured in routine care and following a research protocol suggesting the importance of standardized measurements.

National Heart Center/Saudi Heart Association 2023 Guidelines on the Management of Hypertension

Background

Hypertension is a highly prevalent disease in Saudi Arabia with poor control rates. Updated guidelines are needed to guide the management of hypertension and improve treatment outcomes.

Methodology

A panel of experts representing the National Heart Center (NHC) and the Saudi Heart Association (SHA) reviewed existing evidence and formulated guidance relevant to the local population, clinical practice and the healthcare system. The recommendations were reviewed to ensure scientific and medical accuracy.

Recommendations

Hypertension was defined and a new classification was proposed as relevant to the Saudi population. Recommendations on diagnosis, clinical evaluation, cardiovascular assessment were detailed, along with guidance on measurement modalities and screening/follow-up. Non-pharmacological management is the first line of hypertension treatment. Pharmacological therapy should be used appropriately as needed. Treatment priority is to control blood pressure regardless of the drug class used. The choice of treatment should be tailored to the patient profile in order to achieve treatment targets and ensure patient compliance. Recommendations were provided on pharmacological options available in Saudi Arabia, as well as guidance on the treatment of special conditions.

Conclusion

Hypertension management should be based on appropriate screening, timely diagnosis and lifestyle changes supplemented with pharmacological therapy, as needed. Clinical management should be individualized, and careful consideration should be given to special conditions and patient groups.

Impact of design characteristics among studies comparing coronary computed tomography angiography to noninvasive functional testing in chronic coronary syndromes

BACKGROUND

Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is widely adopted to detect obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients with chronic coronary syndromes (CCS). However, it is unknown to which extent study-specific characteristics yield different conclusions.

METHODS

We summarized non-randomized and randomized studies comparing CCTA and noninvasive functional testing for CCS with information on the outcome of myocardial infarction (MI). We evaluated the differential effect according to study characteristics using random-effect meta-analysis with Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman adjustments.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies (8 non-randomized, 7 randomized) were included. CCTA was associated with decrease in relative (odds ratio (OR) 0.54, 95%CI 0.47 to 0.62, P < .001) and absolute MI risk (risk difference (RD) -0.4%, 95%CI -0.6 to -0.1, P = .005). The results remained consistent among the non-randomized (RD -0.4%, 95%CI -0.7 to -0.1, P=.029), but not among the randomized trials where there was no difference in the observed risk (RD 0.2%, 95%CI -0.6 to 0.1, P = .158). CCTA was not associated with MI reduction in studies with clinical outcome definition (OR 0.77, 95%CI 0.41 to 1.44, P = .212), research driven follow-up (OR 0.54, 95%CI 0.24 to 1.21, P = .090), central event assessment (OR 0.63, 95%CI 0.21 to 1.86, P = .207), outcome adjudication (OR 0.74, 95%CI 0.24 to 2.23, P = .178), or at low-risk of bias (OR 0.74, 95%CI 0.24 to 2.23, P = .178).

CONCLUSIONS

Among studies of any design, CCTA was associated with lower risk of MI in CCS compared to noninvasive functional testing. This benefit was diminished among studies with clinical outcome definition, central outcome assessment/adjudication or at low-risk of bias.

Blood Pressure Control in Patients with Diabetic Kidney Disease

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the most common cause of end-stage kidney disease. Blood pressure (BP) control can reduce the risks of cardiovascular (CV) morbidity, mortality, and kidney disease progression. Recently, the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines have suggested the implementation of a more intensive BP control with a target systolic BP (SBP) of <120 mmHg based on the evidence that the CV benefits obtained is outweighed by the kidney injury risk associated with a lower BP target. However, an extremely low BP level may paradoxically aggravate renal function and CV outcomes. Herein, we aimed to review the existing literature regarding optimal BP control using medications for DKD.

Patterns in Prenatal Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior: Associations With Blood Pressure and Placental Features in the MoMHealth Cohort

BACKGROUND

Moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) and sedentary behavior (SED) are associated with blood pressure (BP) and adverse pregnancy outcomes. The authors investigated associations of prenatal MVPA and SED patterns with BP and with placental malperfusion features.

METHODS

Women enrolled in this prospective cohort study in the first trimester. MVPA, SED, and BP were measured objectively each trimester. MVPA and SED trajectories were constructed. Placental examinations were conducted in a subset. Associations of trajectories with BPs were assessed with linear regression adjusted for age, race, education, prepregnancy body mass index, and gestational age. Associations with placental malperfusion lesions and weight were adjusted for key covariates.

RESULTS

One hundred eleven participants were included; placental exams were available in 50. Participants with high (vs low) SED were younger and more likely to have adverse pregnancy outcomes. High SED (vs low) was associated with higher first trimester systolic (β = 5.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.0 to 10.6) and diastolic (β = 5.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.4 to 8.6) and higher second trimester diastolic (β = 4.9; 95% confidence interval, 1.6 to 8.2) BP. Medium and high MVPA groups were associated with lower postpartum diastolic BP. Trajectories were not associated with placental malperfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

MVPA and SED patterns were differentially associated with prenatal and postpartum BP. Encouraging favorable levels of both might help women achieve lower BP during and after pregnancy.

Hypertension Management in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

Hypertension and chronic kidney disease are closely linked. Patients with chronic kidney disease have hypertension almost universally and uncontrolled hypertension accelerates the decline in kidney function. The pathophysiology of hypertension in chronic kidney disease is complex, but is largely related to reduced nephron mass, sympathetic nervous system overactivation, involvement of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, and generalized endothelial dysfunction. Consensus guidelines for blood pressure targets have adopted a blood pressure <120/80 mm Hg in native chronic kidney disease and <130/80 mm Hg in kidney transplant recipients. Guidelines also strongly advocate for renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockade as the first-line therapy.

2022 Guidelines of the Taiwan Society of Cardiology and the Taiwan Hypertension Society for the Management of Hypertension

Hypertension is the most important modifiable cause of cardiovascular (CV) disease and all-cause mortality worldwide. Despite the positive correlations between blood pressure (BP) levels and later CV events since BP levels as low as 100/60 mmHg have been reported in numerous epidemiological studies, the diagnostic criteria of hypertension and BP thresholds and targets of antihypertensive therapy have largely remained at the level of 140/90 mmHg in the past 30 years. The publication of both the SPRINT and STEP trials (comprising > 8,500 Caucasian/African and Chinese participants, respectively) provided evidence to shake this 140/90 mmHg dogma. Another dogma regarding hypertension management is the dependence on office (or clinic) BP measurements. Although standardized office BP measurements have been widely recommended and adopted in large-scale CV outcome trials, the practice of office BP measurements has never been ideal in real-world practice. Home BP monitoring (HBPM) is easy to perform, more likely to be free of environmental and/or emotional stress, feasible to document long-term BP variations, of good reproducibility and reliability, and more correlated with hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD) and CV events, compared to routine office BP measurements. In the 2022 Taiwan Hypertension Guidelines of the Taiwan Society of Cardiology (TSOC) and the Taiwan Hypertension Society (THS), we break these two dogmas by recommending the definition of hypertension as ≥ 130/80 mmHg and a universal BP target of < 130/80 mmHg, based on standardized HBPM obtained according to the 722 protocol. The 722 protocol refers to duplicate BP readings taken per occasion ("2"), twice daily ("2"), over seven consecutive days ("7"). To facilitate implementation of the guidelines, a series of flowcharts encompassing assessment, adjustment, and HBPM-guided hypertension management are provided. Other key messages include that: 1) lifestyle modification, summarized as the mnemonic S-ABCDE, should be applied to people with elevated BP and hypertensive patients to reduce life-time BP burden; 2) all 5 major antihypertensive drugs (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors [A], angiotensin receptor blockers [A], β-blockers [B], calcium-channel blockers [C], and thiazide diuretics [D]) are recommended as first-line antihypertensive drugs; 3) initial combination therapy, preferably in a single-pill combination, is recommended for patients with BP ≥ 20/10 mmHg above targets; 4) a target hierarchy (HBPM-HMOD- ambulatory BP monitoring [ABPM]) should be considered to optimize hypertension management, which indicates reaching the HBPM target first and then keeping HMOD stable or regressed, otherwise ABPM can be arranged to guide treatment adjustment; and 5) renal denervation can be considered as an alternative BP-lowering strategy after careful clinical and imaging evaluation.

Developing a Data Quality Standard Primer for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment from Electronic Health Record Data Using the DataGauge Process

The learning health systems aim to support the needs of patients with chronic diseases, which require methods that account for electronic health recorded (EHR) data limitations. EHR data is often used to calculate cardiovascular risk scores. However, it is unclear whether EHR data presents high enough quality to provide accurate estimates. Still, there is currently no open standard available to assess data quality for such applications. We applied the DataGauge process to develop a data quality standard based on expert clinical, analytical and informatics knowledge by conducting four interviews and one focus group that produced 61 individual data quality requirements. These requirements covered all standard data quality dimensions and uncovered 705 quality issues in EHR data for 456 patients. These requirements will be expanded and further validated in future work. Our work initiates the development of open and explicit data quality standards for specific secondary uses of clinical data.

Potential impact of systematic and random errors in blood pressure measurement on the prevalence of high office blood pressure in the United States

The authors examined the proportion of US adults that would have their high blood pressure (BP) status changed if systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) were measured with systematic bias and/or random error versus following a standardized protocol. Data from the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; n = 5176) were analyzed. BP was measured up to three times using a mercury sphygmomanometer by a trained physician following a standardized protocol and averaged. High BP was defined as SBP ≥130 mm Hg or DBP ≥80 mm Hg. Among US adults not taking antihypertensive medication, 32.0% (95%CI: 29.6%,34.4%) had high BP. If SBP and DBP were measured with systematic bias, 5 mm Hg for SBP and 3.5 mm Hg for DBP higher and lower than in NHANES, the proportion with high BP was estimated to be 44.4% (95%CI: 42.6%,46.2%) and 21.9% (95%CI 19.5%,24.4%). Among US adults taking antihypertensive medication, 60.6% (95%CI: 57.2%,63.9%) had high BP. If SBP and DBP were measured 5 and 3.5 mm Hg higher and lower than in NHANES, the proportion with high BP was estimated to be 71.8% (95%CI: 68.3%,75.0%) and 48.4% (95%CI: 44.6%,52.2%), respectively. If BP was measured with random error, with standard deviations of 15 mm Hg for SBP and 7 mm Hg for DBP, 21.4% (95%CI: 19.8%,23.0%) of US adults not taking antihypertensive medication and 20.5% (95%CI: 17.7%,23.3%) taking antihypertensive medication had their high BP status re-categorized. In conclusions, measuring BP with systematic or random errors may result in the misclassification of high BP for a substantial proportion of US adults.

Neighborhood Poverty and Incident Heart Failure: an Analysis of Electronic Health Records from 2005 to 2018

BACKGROUND

Neighborhood-level characteristics, such as poverty, have been associated with risk factors for heart failure (HF), including hypertension and diabetes mellitus. However, the independent association between neighborhood poverty and incident HF remains understudied.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between neighborhood poverty and incident HF using a "real-world" clinical cohort.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of electronic health records from a large healthcare network. Individuals' residential addresses were geocoded at the census-tract level and categorized by poverty tertiles based on American Community Survey data (2007-2011).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients from Northwestern Medicine who were 30-80 years, free of cardiovascular disease at index visit (January 1, 2005-December 1, 2013), and followed for at least 5 years.

MAIN MEASURES

The association of neighborhood-level poverty tertile (low, intermediate, and high) and incident HF was analyzed using generalized linear mixed effect models adjusting for demographics (age, sex, race/ethnicity) and HF risk factors (body mass index, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, smoking status).

KEY RESULTS

Of 28,858 patients included, 75% were non-Hispanic (NH) White, 43% were men, 15% lived in a high-poverty neighborhood, and 522 (1.8%) were diagnosed with incident HF. High-poverty neighborhoods were associated with a 1.80 (1.35, 2.39) times higher risk of incident HF compared with low-poverty neighborhoods after adjustment for demographics and HF risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large healthcare network, incident HF was associated with neighborhood poverty independent of demographic and clinical risk factors. Neighborhood-level interventions may be needed to complement individual-level strategies to prevent and curb the growing burden of HF.

Agreement between blood pressure from research study visits versus electronic medical records and associations with hypertensive disorder diagnoses in pregnant women with overweight/obesity

OBJECTIVES

Blood pressure (BP) abstracted from electronic medical records (EMR) is moderately correlated to BP in nonpregnant adults with limited agreement. Little is known about the agreement of research versus EMR BP measured during pregnancy or associations of EMR BP with hypertensive disorder of pregnancy (HDP) diagnoses.

METHODS

BP was measured according to guidelines at in-person research study visits in 214 women with prepregnancy overweight or obesity (44.4% African American, mean age = 29.8 ± 4.8 years) at weeks 16 and 32 of pregnancy. Clinic BP readings that occurred within 1 week of the study visits were abstracted from the EMR. We assessed correlations between sources using Pearson's coefficients; the agreement was evaluated with Bland-Altman plots. We compared differences in the proportion of women with an HDP diagnosis in the EMR between women with versus without a hypertensive EMR BP measurement.

RESULTS

SBP and DBP from study visits and the EMR were modestly moderately correlated at both time points; 0.20 < r < 0.44; P < 0.05 for all. The average mean difference was 10.5 mmHg for SBP and <1 mmHg for DBP in early and 7.3 mmHg for SBP and -1.7 mmHg for DBP in late pregnancy. Women with at least one hypertensive BP reading in the EMR were more likely to have an HDP diagnosis recorded in the EMR; 43.5 versus 3.3%; P < 0.01.

CONCLUSION

EMR SBP was higher but moderately correlated with research quality BP in early and late pregnancy. Women with a hypertensive EMR BP measurement were more likely to have an HDP diagnosis in the EMR.

Drug repurposing for opioid use disorders: integration of computational prediction, clinical corroboration, and mechanism of action analyses

Morbidity and mortality from opioid use disorders (OUD) and other substance use disorders (SUD) is a major public health crisis, yet there are few medications to treat them. There is an urgency to accelerate SUD medication development. We present an integrated drug repurposing strategy that combines computational prediction, clinical corroboration using electronic health records (EHRs) of over 72.9 million patients and mechanisms of action analysis. Among top-ranked repurposed candidate drugs, tramadol, olanzapine, mirtazapine, bupropion, and atomoxetine were associated with increased odds of OUD remission (adjusted odds ratio: 1.51 [1.38-1.66], 1.90 [1.66-2.18], 1.38 [1.31-1.46], 1.37 [1.29-1.46], 1.48 [1.25-1.76], p value < 0.001, respectively). Genetic and functional analyses showed these five candidate drugs directly target multiple OUD-associated genes including BDNF, CYP2D6, OPRD1, OPRK1, OPRM1, HTR1B, POMC, SLC6A4 and OUD-associated pathways, including opioid signaling, G-protein activation, serotonin receptors, and GPCR signaling. In summary, we developed an integrated drug repurposing approach and identified five repurposed candidate drugs that might be of value for treating OUD patients, including those suffering from comorbid conditions.

COVID-19 and dementia: Analyses of risk, disparity, and outcomes from electronic health records in the US

INTRODUCTION

At present, there is limited data on the risks, disparity, and outcomes for COVID-19 in patients with dementia in the United States.

METHODS

This is a retrospective case-control analysis of patient electronic health records (EHRs) of 61.9 million adult and senior patients (age ≥ 18 years) in the United States up to August 21, 2020.

RESULTS

Patients with dementia were at increased risk for COVID-19 compared to patients without dementia (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 2.00 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.94-2.06], P < .001), with the strongest effect for vascular dementia (AOR: 3.17 [95% CI, 2.97-3.37], P < .001), followed by presenile dementia (AOR: 2.62 [95% CI, 2.28-3.00], P < .001), Alzheimer's disease (AOR: 1.86 [95% CI, 1.77-1.96], P < .001), senile dementia (AOR: 1.99 [95% CI, 1.86-2.13], P < .001) and post-traumatic dementia (AOR: 1.67 [95% CI, 1.51-1.86] P < .001). Blacks with dementia had higher risk of COVID-19 than Whites (AOR: 2.86 [95% CI, 2.67-3.06], P < .001). The 6-month mortality and hospitalization risks in patients with dementia and COVID-19 were 20.99% and 59.26%, respectively.

DISCUSSION

These findings highlight the need to protect patients with dementia as part of the strategy to control the COVID-19 pandemic.

Disparity in the Setting of Incident Heart Failure Diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Early heart failure (HF) recognition can reduce morbidity, yet HF is often initially diagnosed only after a patient clinically worsens. We sought to identify characteristics that predict diagnosis in the acute care setting versus the outpatient setting.

METHODS

We estimated the proportion of incident HF diagnosed in the acute care setting (inpatient hospital or emergency department) versus outpatient setting based on diagnostic codes from a claims database covering commercial insurance and Medicare Advantage between 2003 and 2019. After excluding new-onset HF potentially caused by a concurrent acute cause (eg, acute myocardial infarction), we identified demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic predictors of diagnosis setting. Patients were linked to their primary care clinicians to evaluate diagnosis setting variation across clinicians.

RESULTS

Of 959 438 patients with new HF, 38% were diagnosed in acute care. Of these, 46% had potential HF symptoms in the prior 6 months. Over time, the relative odds of acute care diagnosis increased by 3.2% annually after adjustment for patient characteristics (95% CI, 3.1%-3.3%). Acute care diagnosis setting was more likely for women compared with men (adjusted odds ratio, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.10-1.12]) and for Black patients compared with White patients (adjusted odds ratio, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.16-1.19]). The proportion of acute care diagnosis varied substantially (interquartile range: 24%-39%) among clinicians after adjusting for patient-level risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

A large proportion of first HF diagnoses occur in the acute care setting, particularly among women and Black patients, yet many had potential HF symptoms in the months before acute care visits. These results raise concerns that many HF diagnoses are missed in the outpatient setting. Earlier diagnosis could allow for timelier high-value interventions, addressing disparities and reducing the progression of HF.

Long-Term Trajectories of Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction in Patients With Chronic Inflammatory Diseases and Heart Failure: An Analysis of Electronic Health Records

BACKGROUND

Immune regulation and inflammation play a role in the pathogenesis and progression of acute and chronic heart failure (HF). Although the clinical course of acute, severe inflammatory cardiomyopathy is well described, the effects of chronic systemic inflammation on cardiovascular function over time are less clear. To investigate this question, we compared trajectories over time in left ventricular ejection fraction for patients with HF with different chronic inflammatory diseases (CIDs): HIV, systemic lupus erythematosus, systemic sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, inflammatory bowel disease, and/or psoriasis.

METHODS

Using a database of patients receiving care in a large metropolitan health care system since January 1, 2000, we analyzed serial, clinically indicated echocardiograms from patients with HF with CIDs and frequency-matched patients with HF without CIDs. We included patients with ≥3 serial echocardiograms (N=974; median 6.1 years between first and most recent echo). We assessed left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories over time using latent trajectory models, then investigated differences in left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories for specific CID subtypes compared with controls.

RESULTS

Overall, the majority of patients studied (N=687; 70.5%) had left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories consistent with HF with preserved or midrange EF, whereas 255 (26.2%) had HF with reduced EF and 32 (3.3%) had HF with recovered EF. Compared with non-CID controls with HF, patients with rheumatoid arthritis, inflammatory bowel disease, and systemic lupus erythematosus were significantly more likely than controls to have HF with preserved or midrange EF whereas patients with HIV were significantly more likely to have HF with reduced EF.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with HF with CIDs, distinct left ventricular ejection fraction trajectory patterns associate with different specific individual CIDs. This highlights the heterogeneity of HF subtypes and changes over time across different CIDs.

Blood pressure control in patients with chronic kidney disease

Uncontrolled blood pressure (BP) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) can lead to serious adverse outcomes. To prevent the occurrence of cardiovascular events (CVEs), and end-stage kidney disease, achieving an optimal BP level is important. Recently, there has been a paradigm shift in the management of BP largely as a result of the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), which showed a reduction in CVEs by lowering systolic BP to 120 mmHg. A lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) target has been accepted by the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) 2021 guidelines. However, whether intensive control of SBP targeting < 120 mmHg is also effective in patients with CKD is controversial. Notably, this lower target SBP is associated with a higher risk of adverse kidney outcomes. Unfortunately, there have been no randomized controlled trials on this issue involving only patients with CKD, particularly those with advanced CKD. In this review, we discuss the optimal control of BP in patients with CKD in terms of reduction in death and CVEs as well as attenuation of CKD progression based on the evidence-based literature.

Oral Anticoagulation Use in High-Risk Patients Is Improved by Elimination of False-Positive and Inactive Atrial Fibrillation Cases

BACKGROUND

Multiple registries have reported that >40% of high-risk atrial fibrillation patients are not taking oral anticoagulants. The purpose of our study was to determine the presence or absence of active atrial fibrillation and CHA₂DS₂-VASc (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 y, Diabetes mellitus, prior Stroke [or transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism], Vascular disease, Age 65-74 y, Sex category) risk factors to accurately identify high-risk atrial fibrillation (CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥2) patients requiring oral anticoagulants and the magnitude of the anticoagulant treatment gap.

METHODS

We retrospectively adjudicated 6514 patients with atrial fibrillation documented by at least one of: billing diagnosis, electronic medical record encounter diagnosis, electronic medical record problem list, or electrocardiogram interpretation.

RESULTS

After review, 4555/6514 (69.9%) had active atrial fibrillation, while 1201 had no documented history of atrial fibrillation and 758 had a history of atrial fibrillation that was no longer active. After removing the 1201 patients without a confirmed atrial fibrillation diagnosis, oral anticoagulant use in high-risk patients increased to 71.1% (P < .0001 compared with 62.9% at baseline). Oral anticoagulant use increased to 79.7% when the 758 inactive atrial fibrillation patients were also eliminated from the analysis (P < .0001 compared with baseline). In the active high-risk atrial fibrillation group, there was no significant difference in the use of oral anticoagulants between men (80.7%) and women (78.8%) with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥2, or in women with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥3 (79.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

Current registries and health system health records with unadjudicated diagnoses over-report the number of high-risk atrial fibrillation patients not taking oral anticoagulants. Expert adjudication identifies a smaller treatment gap than previously described.

Accuracy of Cardiovascular Trial Outcome Ascertainment and Treatment Effect Estimates from Routine Health Data: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Registry-based randomized controlled trials allow for outcome ascertainment using routine health data (RHD). While this method provides a potential solution to the rising cost and complexity of clinical trials, comparative analyses of outcome ascertainment by clinical end point committee (CEC) adjudication compared with RHD sources are sparse. Among cardiovascular trials, we set out to systematically compare the incidence of cardiovascular events and estimated randomized treatment effects ascertained from RHD versus traditional clinical evaluation and adjudication.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE (1976 to August 2020) for studies where outcome ascertainment was performed by both RHD and CEC adjudication to compare the incidence of cardiovascular events and treatment effects. We derived ratios of hazard ratios to compare treatment effects from RHD and CEC adjudication. We pooled ratios of hazard ratios using an inverse variance random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Nine studies (1988-2020; 32 156 patients) involving 10 randomized control trials compared outcome ascertainment with RHD and CEC in patients with or at risk of cardiovascular disease. There was a high degree of agreement and interrater reliability between CEC and RHD outcome determination for all-cause mortality (agreement percentage: 98.4%-100% and κ: 0.95-1.0) and cardiovascular mortality (agreement percentage: 97.8%-99.9% and κ: 0.66-0.99). For myocardial infarction, the κ values ranged from 0.67-0.98, and for stroke the values ranged from 0.52-0.89. In contrast, the κ value for peripheral artery disease was low (κ: 0.27). There was little difference in the randomized treatment effect derived from CEC and RHD ascertainment of events based on the ratios of hazard ratio, with pooled ratios of hazard ratios ranging from 0.93 (95% CI, 0.63-1.39) for cardiovascular mortality to 1.27 (95% CI, 0.67-2.41) for stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical outcome ascertainment using retrospectively acquired RHD displayed high levels of agreement with CEC adjudication for identifying all-cause mortality and cardiovascular outcomes. Importantly, cardiovascular treatment effects in randomized control trials determined from RHD and CEC resulted in similar point estimates. Overall, our review supports the use of RHD as a potential alternative source for clinical outcome ascertainment in cardiovascular trials. Validation studies with prospectively planned linkage are warranted.

When hematologic malignancies meet COVID-19 in the United States: Infections, death and disparities

Scientific data is limited on the risks, adverse outcomes and racial disparities for COVID-19 illness in individuals with hematologic malignancies in the United States. To fill this void, we screened and analyzed a nation-wide database of patient electronic health records (EHRs) of 73 million patients in the US (up to September 1st) for COVID-19 and eight major types of hematologic malignancies. Patients with hematologic malignancies had increased odds of COVID-19 infection compared with patients without hematologic malignancies for both all-time diagnosis (malignancy diagnosed in the past year or prior) (adjusted Odds ratio or AOR: 2.27 [2.17-2.36], p < 0.001) and recent diagnosis (malignancy diagnosed in the past year) (AOR:11.91 [11.31-12.53], p < 0.001), with strongest effect for recently diagnosed acute lymphoid leukemia (AOR: 31.03 [25.87-37.27], p < 0.001), essential thrombocythemia (AOR: 20.65 [19.10-22.32], p < 0.001), acute myeloid leukemia (AOR: 18.94 [15.79-22.73], p < 0.001), multiple myeloma (AOR: 14.21 [12.72-15.89], p < 0.001). Among patients with hematologic malignancies, African Americans had higher odds of COVID-19 infection than Caucasians with largest racial disparity for multiple myeloma (AOR: 4.23 [3.21-5.56], p < 0.001). Patients with recently diagnosed hematologic malignancies had worse outcomes (hospitalization: 51.9%, death: 14.8%) than COVID-19 patients without hematologic malignancies (hospitalization: 23.5%, death: 5.1%) (p < 0.001) and hematologic malignancy patients without COVID-19 (hospitalization: 15.0%, death: 4.1%) (p < 0.001).

Increased risk of COVID-19 infection and mortality in people with mental disorders: analysis from electronic health records in the United States

Concerns have been expressed that persons with a pre-existing mental disorder may represent a population at increased risk for COVID-19 infec-tion and with a higher likelihood of adverse outcomes of the infection, but there is no systematic research evidence in this respect. This study assessed the impact of a recent (within past year) diagnosis of a mental disorder - including attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), bipolar disorder, depression and schizophrenia - on the risk for COVID-19 infection and related mortality and hospitalization rates. We analyzed a nation-wide database of electronic health records of 61 million adult patients from 360 hospitals and 317,000 providers, across 50 states in the US, up to July 29, 2020. Patients with a recent diagnosis of a mental disorder had a significantly increased risk for COVID-19 infection, an effect strongest for depression (adjusted odds ratio, AOR=7.64, 95% CI: 7.45-7.83, p<0.001) and schizophrenia (AOR=7.34, 95% CI: 6.65-8.10, p<0.001). Among patients with a recent diagnosis of a mental disorder, African Americans had higher odds of COVID-19 infection than Caucasians, with the strongest ethnic disparity for depression (AOR=3.78, 95% CI: 3.58-3.98, p<0.001). Women with mental disorders had higher odds of COVID-19 infection than males, with the strongest gender disparity for ADHD (AOR=2.03, 95% CI: 1.73-2.39, p<0.001). Patients with both a recent diagnosis of a mental disorder and COVID-19 infection had a death rate of 8.5% (vs. 4.7% among COVID-19 patients with no mental disorder, p<0.001) and a hospitalization rate of 27.4% (vs. 18.6% among COVID-19 patients with no mental disorder, p<0.001). These findings identify individuals with a recent diagnosis of a mental disorder as being at increased risk for COVID-19 infection, which is further exacerbated among African Americans and women, and as having a higher frequency of some adverse outcomes of the infection. This evidence highlights the need to identify and address modifiable vulnerability factors for COVID-19 infection and to prevent delays in health care provision in this population.

Electronic Medical Record-Based Case Phenotyping for the Charlson Conditions: Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Electronic medical records (EMRs) contain large amounts of rich clinical information. Developing EMR-based case definitions, also known as EMR phenotyping, is an active area of research that has implications for epidemiology, clinical care, and health services research.

OBJECTIVE

This review aims to describe and assess the present landscape of EMR-based case phenotyping for the Charlson conditions.

METHODS

A scoping review of EMR-based algorithms for defining the Charlson comorbidity index conditions was completed. This study covered articles published between January 2000 and April 2020, both inclusive. Embase (Excerpta Medica database) and MEDLINE (Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online) were searched using keywords developed in the following 3 domains: terms related to EMR, terms related to case finding, and disease-specific terms. The manuscript follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA) guidelines.

RESULTS

A total of 274 articles representing 299 algorithms were assessed and summarized. Most studies were undertaken in the United States (181/299, 60.5%), followed by the United Kingdom (42/299, 14.0%) and Canada (15/299, 5.0%). These algorithms were mostly developed either in primary care (103/299, 34.4%) or inpatient (168/299, 56.2%) settings. Diabetes, congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction, and rheumatology had the highest number of developed algorithms. Data-driven and clinical rule-based approaches have been identified. EMR-based phenotype and algorithm development reflect the data access allowed by respective health systems, and algorithms vary in their performance.

CONCLUSIONS

Recognizing similarities and differences in health systems, data collection strategies, extraction, data release protocols, and existing clinical pathways is critical to algorithm development strategies. Several strategies to assist with phenotype-based case definitions have been proposed.

Analyses of Risk, Racial Disparity, and Outcomes Among US Patients With Cancer and COVID-19 Infection

Importance

Patients with specific cancers may be at higher risk than those without cancer for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and its severe outcomes. At present, limited data are available on the risk, racial disparity, and outcomes for COVID-19 illness in patients with cancer.

Objectives

To investigate how patients with specific types of cancer are at risk for COVID-19 infection and its adverse outcomes and whether there are cancer-specific race disparities for COVID-19 infection.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective case-control analysis of patient electronic health records included 73.4 million patients from 360 hospitals and 317 000 clinicians across 50 US states to August 14, 2020. The odds of COVID-19 infections for 13 common cancer types and adverse outcomes were assessed.

Exposures

The exposure groups were patients diagnosed with a specific cancer, whereas the unexposed groups were patients without the specific cancer.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% CI were estimated using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test for the risk of COVID-19 infection.

Results

Among the 73.4 million patients included in the analysis (53.6% female), 2 523 920 had at least 1 of the 13 common cancers diagnosed (all cancer diagnosed within or before the last year), and 273 140 had recent cancer (cancer diagnosed within the last year). Among 16 570 patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 1200 had a cancer diagnosis and 690 had a recent cancer diagnosis of at least 1 of the 13 common cancers. Those with recent cancer diagnosis were at significantly increased risk for COVID-19 infection (aOR, 7.14 [95% CI, 6.91-7.39]; P < .001), with the strongest association for recently diagnosed leukemia (aOR, 12.16 [95% CI, 11.03-13.40]; P < .001), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (aOR, 8.54 [95% CI, 7.80-9.36]; P < .001), and lung cancer (aOR, 7.66 [95% CI, 7.07-8.29]; P < .001) and weakest for thyroid cancer (aOR, 3.10 [95% CI, 2.47-3.87]; P < .001). Among patients with recent cancer diagnosis, African Americans had a significantly higher risk for COVID-19 infection than White patients; this racial disparity was largest for breast cancer (aOR, 5.44 [95% CI, 4.69-6.31]; P < .001), followed by prostate cancer (aOR, 5.10 [95% CI, 4.34-5.98]; P < .001), colorectal cancer (aOR, 3.30 [95% CI, 2.55-4.26]; P < .001), and lung cancer (aOR, 2.53 [95% CI, 2.10-3.06]; P < .001). Patients with cancer and COVID-19 had significantly worse outcomes (hospitalization, 47.46%; death, 14.93%) than patients with COVID-19 without cancer (hospitalization, 24.26%; death, 5.26%) (P < .001) and patients with cancer without COVID-19 (hospitalization, 12.39%; death, 4.03%) (P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this case-control study, patients with cancer were at significantly increased risk for COVID-19 infection and worse outcomes, which was further exacerbated among African Americans. These findings highlight the need to protect and monitor patients with cancer as part of the strategy to control the pandemic.

COVID-19 risk, disparities and outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease in the United States

BACKGROUND

Scientific evidence is lacking regarding the risk of patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) for COVID-19, and how these risks are affected by age, gender and race.

METHODS

We performed a case-control study of electronic health records of 62.2 million patients (age >18 years) in the US up to October 1st, 2020, including 1,034,270 patients with CLD, 16,530 with COVID-19, and 820 with both COVID-19 and CLD. We assessed the risk, disparities, and outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with six major CLDs.

FINDINGS

Patients with a recent medical encounter for CLD were at significantly increased risk for COVID-19 compared with patients without CLD, with the strongest effect in patients with chronic non-alcoholic liver disease [adjusted odd ratio (AOR)=13.11, 95% CI: 12.49-13.76, p < 0.001] and non-alcoholic cirrhosis (AOR=11.53, 95% CI: 10.69-12.43, p < 0.001), followed by chronic hepatitis C (AOR=8.93, 95% CI:8.25-9.66, p < 0.001), alcoholic liver damage (AOR=7.05, 95% CI:6.30-7.88, p < 0.001), alcoholic liver cirrhosis (AOR=7.00, 95% CI:6.15-7.97, p < 0.001) and chronic hepatitis B (AOR=4.37, 95% CI:3.35-5.69, p < 0.001). African Americans with CLD were twice more likely to develop COVID-19 than Caucasians. Patients with COVID-19 and a recent encounter for CLD had a death rate of 10.3% (vs. 5.5% among COVID-19 patients without CLD, p < 0.001) and a hospitalization rate of 41.0% (vs. 23.9% among COVID-19 patients without CLD, p < 0.001).

INTERPRETATION

Patients with CLD, especially African Americans, were at increased risk for COVID-19, highlighting the need to protect these patients from exposure to virus infection.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health (AG057557, AG061388, AG062272, 1UL1TR002548-01), American Cancer Society (RSG-16-049-01-MPC).

COVID-19 risk and outcomes in patients with substance use disorders: analyses from electronic health records in the United States

The global pandemic of COVID-19 is colliding with the epidemic of opioid use disorders (OUD) and other substance use disorders (SUD) in the United States (US). Currently, there is limited data on risks, disparity, and outcomes for COVID-19 in individuals suffering from SUD. This is a retrospective case-control study of electronic health records (EHRs) data of 73,099,850 unique patients, of whom 12,030 had a diagnosis of COVID-19. Patients with a recent diagnosis of SUD (within past year) were at significantly increased risk for COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio or AOR = 8.699 [8.411-8.997], P < 10-30), an effect that was strongest for individuals with OUD (AOR = 10.244 [9.107-11.524], P < 10-30), followed by individuals with tobacco use disorder (TUD) (AOR = 8.222 ([7.925-8.530], P < 10-30). Compared to patients without SUD, patients with SUD had significantly higher prevalence of chronic kidney, liver, lung diseases, cardiovascular diseases, type 2 diabetes, obesity and cancer. Among patients with recent diagnosis of SUD, African Americans had significantly higher risk of COVID-19 than Caucasians (AOR = 2.173 [2.01-2.349], P < 10-30), with strongest effect for OUD (AOR = 4.162 [3.13-5.533], P < 10-25). COVID-19 patients with SUD had significantly worse outcomes (death: 9.6%, hospitalization: 41.0%) than general COVID-19 patients (death: 6.6%, hospitalization: 30.1%) and African Americans with COVID-19 and SUD had worse outcomes (death: 13.0%, hospitalization: 50.7%) than Caucasians (death: 8.6%, hospitalization: 35.2%). These findings identify individuals with SUD, especially individuals with OUD and African Americans, as having increased risk for COVID-19 and its adverse outcomes, highlighting the need to screen and treat individuals with SUD as part of the strategy to control the pandemic while ensuring no disparities in access to healthcare support.

Factors Associated With Physician Recommendation of Home Blood Pressure Monitoring and Blood Pressure in the US Population

BACKGROUND

Hypertension guidelines recommend home blood pressure monitoring (HBPM) to help achieve blood pressure (BP) control. We hypothesized that HBPM use with a physician recommendation would be associated with lower BP and greater medication adherence.

METHODS

We used data from 6,320 adults with hypertension in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009-2014 to characterize the association of (i) provider recommendation for HBPM and (ii) HBPM use on 2 outcomes: measured BP (linear regression) and medication adherence (logistic regression). Provider recommendation, HBPM use, and medication use were self-reported.

RESULTS

Among adults with hypertension, 30.1% reported a physician recommendation for HBPM, among whom 82.0% reported using HBPM. Among those who did not report a physician recommendation for HBPM, 28.3% used HBPM. Factors associated with a physician recommendation were having health insurance, higher education attainment, hypertension awareness, and having a prescription for antihypertensive medication. Among those who reported receiving a physician recommendation, those who used HBPM had a mean BP that was 3.1/4.5 mm Hg lower than those who did not. Those who reported having a physician recommendation and using HBPM were more likely to report hypertension medication adherence (odds ratio 2.9; 95% confidence interval: 2.0, 4.4).

CONCLUSIONS

HBPM use was associated with lower BP and higher medication adherence. Use of HBPM was higher among those with a physician recommendation. These results support a role for physicians in counseling and partnering with patients on HBPM use for BP management.

Population-level surveillance of congenital heart defects among adolescents and adults in Colorado: Implications of record linkage

BACKGROUND

The objective was to describe the design of a population-level electronic health record (EHR) and insurance claims-based surveillance system of adolescents and adults with congenital heart defects (CHDs) in Colorado and to evaluate the bias introduced by duplicate cases across data sources.

METHODS

The Colorado CHD Surveillance System ascertained individuals aged 11-64 years with a CHD based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnostic coding between 2011 and 2013 from a diverse network of health care systems and an All Payer Claims Database (APCD). A probability-based identity reconciliation algorithm identified duplicate cases. Logistic regression was conducted to investigate bias introduced by duplicate cases on the relationship between CHD severity (severe compared to moderate/mild) and adverse outcomes including all-cause mortality, inpatient hospitalization, and major adverse cardiac events (myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, or cerebrovascular event). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to investigate bias introduced by the sole use or exclusion of APCD data.

RESULTS

A total of 12,293 unique cases were identified, of which 3,476 had a within or between data source duplicate. Duplicate cases were more likely to be in the youngest age group and have private health insurance, a severe heart defect, a CHD comorbidity, and higher health care utilization. We found that failure to resolve duplicate cases between data sources would inflate the relationship between CHD severity and both morbidity and mortality outcomes by ~15%. Sensitivity analyses indicate that scenarios in which APCD was excluded from case finding or relied upon as the sole source of case finding would also result in an overestimation of the relationship between a CHD severity and major adverse outcomes.

DISCUSSION

Aggregated EHR- and claims-based surveillance systems of adolescents and adults with CHD that fail to account for duplicate records will introduce considerable bias into research findings.

CONCLUSION

Population-level surveillance systems for rare chronic conditions, such as congenital heart disease, based on aggregation of EHR and claims data require sophisticated identity reconciliation methods to prevent bias introduced by duplicate cases.

Differential Associations of Chronic Inflammatory Diseases With Incident Heart Failure

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to compare the risks of incident heart failure (HF) among a variety of chronic inflammatory diseases (CIDs) and to determine whether risks varied by severity of inflammation within each CID.

BACKGROUND

Individuals with CIDs are at elevated risk for cardiovascular diseases, but data are limited regarding risk for HF.

METHODS

An electronic health records database from a large urban medical system was examined, comparing individuals with CIDs with frequency-matched controls without CIDs, all of whom were receiving regular outpatient care. Rates of incident HF were determined by using the Kaplan-Meier method and subsequently used multivariate-adjusted proportional hazards models to compare HF risks for each CID. Exploratory analyses determined HF risks by proxy measurement of CID severity.

RESULTS

Of 37,636 patients (n = 18,278 patients with CIDs; and n = 19,358 controls without CIDs) there were 960 incident HF cases over a median of 3.6 years. Risks for incident HF were significantly or borderline significantly elevated for patients with systemic sclerosis (hazard ratio [HR]: 7.26; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.72 to 9.21; p < 0.01), systemic lupus erythematosus (HR: 3.15; 95% CI: 2.41 to 4.11; p < 0.01), rheumatoid arthritis (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.71; p < 0.01), and human immunodeficiency virus (HR: 1.28; 95% CI: 0.99 to 1.66; p = 0.06). There was no association between psoriasis or inflammatory bowel disease and incident HF, although patients with those CIDs with higher levels of C-reactive protein had higher risks for HF than controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Systemic sclerosis and systemic lupus erythematosus were associated with the highest risks of HF, followed by rheumatoid arthritis and HIV. Measurements of inflammation were associated with HF risk across different CIDs.

Low Quality of Reports on Blood Pressure in Patients Adrenalectomized for Unilateral Primary Aldosteronism

CONTEXT

Adrenalectomy is the preferred treatment for unilateral primary aldosteronism but the results of long-term control of blood pressure (BP) are far from optimal. One possible explanation relates to the quality of the assessment of treatment effects on BP.

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY

To examine the quality of reporting BP measurements in studies assessing the outcome of adrenalectomy on BP.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review searching 3 databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science) for articles published from January 1, 1990, onwards. Sixty-six studies, each reporting on more than 50 adrenalectomized patients, were eligible for full analysis.

RESULTS

In 37 of the analyzed 66 studies (56.1%) BP values both before and after adrenalectomy were reported. In 19.7% (13/66) of the studies the method of BP measurement was described. The number of visits and number of BP recordings per visit on which BP results were based were reported in <15% of papers. The criteria for the diagnosis of hypertension were described in 72.7% (48/66) of the studies. The used definitions of improvement of BP control after adrenalectomy were variable, with 84.8% of the studies not providing any quantitative criteria to define reduction in BP.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that the quality of reporting on BP control after adrenalectomy for primary aldosteronism shows substantial deficiencies and inconsistencies, thus impacting negatively on accurate assessment of effects of adrenalectomy on BP control. Future studies should adhere to accepted recommendations of correct BP measurement and should provide detailed description of the methods used for BP measurement.

Computable Phenotype Implementation for a National, Multicenter Pragmatic Clinical Trial: Lessons Learned From ADAPTABLE

BACKGROUND

Many large-scale cardiovascular clinical trials are plagued with escalating costs and low enrollment. Implementing a computable phenotype, which is a set of executable algorithms, to identify a group of clinical characteristics derivable from electronic health records or administrative claims records, is essential to successful recruitment in large-scale pragmatic clinical trials. This methods paper provides an overview of the development and implementation of a computable phenotype in ADAPTABLE (Aspirin Dosing: a Patient-Centric Trial Assessing Benefits and Long-Term Effectiveness)-a pragmatic, randomized, open-label clinical trial testing the optimal dose of aspirin for secondary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A multidisciplinary team developed and tested the computable phenotype to identify adults ≥18 years of age with a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease without safety concerns around using aspirin and meeting trial eligibility criteria. Using the computable phenotype, investigators identified over 650 000 potentially eligible patients from the 40 participating sites from Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Network-a network of Clinical Data Research Networks, Patient-Powered Research Networks, and Health Plan Research Networks. Leveraging diverse recruitment methods, sites enrolled 15 076 participants from April 2016 to June 2019. During the process of developing and implementing the ADAPTABLE computable phenotype, several key lessons were learned. The accuracy and utility of a computable phenotype are dependent on the quality of the source data, which can be variable even with a common data model. Local validation and modification were required based on site factors, such as recruitment strategies, data quality, and local coding patterns. Sustained collaboration among a diverse team of researchers is needed during computable phenotype development and implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

The ADAPTABLE computable phenotype served as an efficient method to recruit patients in a multisite pragmatic clinical trial. This process of development and implementation will be informative for future large-scale, pragmatic clinical trials. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02697916.

Use of Administrative Claims to Assess Outcomes and Treatment Effect in Randomized Clinical Trials for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: Findings From the EXTEND Study

BACKGROUND

Whether passively collected data can substitute for adjudicated outcomes to reproduce the magnitude and direction of treatment effect observed in cardiovascular clinical trials is not well known.

METHODS

We linked adults ≥65 years of age in the HiR (US CoreValve Pivotal High Risk) and SURTAVI trials (Surgical or Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement in Intermediate-Risk Patients) to 100% Medicare inpatient claims, January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2016. Primary (eg, death and stroke) and secondary trial end points were compared across treatment arms (eg, transcatheter aortic valve replacement [TAVR] versus surgical aortic valve replacement [SAVR]) using trial-adjudicated outcomes versus outcomes derived from claims at 1 year (HiR) or 2 years (SURTAVI).

RESULTS

Among 600 linked HiR participants (linkage rate, 80.0%), the rate of the trial's primary end point of all-cause mortality occurred in 13.7% of patients receiving TAVR and 16.4% of patients receiving SAVR at 1 year by using both trial data (hazard ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.65-1.09]; P=0.33) and claims data (hazard ratio, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.66-1.11]; P=0.34; interaction P value=0.80). Noninferiority of TAVR relative to SAVR was seen by using both trial- and claims-based outcomes (P_{noninferiority}<0.001 for both). Among 1005 linked SURTAVI trial participants (linkage rate, 60.5%), the trial's primary end point was 12.9% for TAVR and 13.1% for SAVR using trial data (hazard ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.79-1.48]; P=0.90), and 11.3% for TAVR and 12.5% for SAVR patients using claims data (hazard ratio, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.73-1.41]; P=0.58; interaction P value=0.89). TAVR was noninferior to SAVR when compared using both trial and claims (P_{noninferiority}<0.001 for both). Rates of procedural secondary outcomes (eg, aortic valve reintervention, pacemaker rates) were more closely concordant between trial and claims data than nonprocedural outcomes (eg, stroke, bleeding, cardiogenic shock).

CONCLUSIONS

In the HiR and SURTAVI trials, ascertainment of trial primary end points using claims reproduced both the magnitude and direction of treatment effect in comparison with adjudicated event data, but nonfatal and nonprocedural secondary outcomes were not as well reproduced. Use of claims to substitute for adjudicated outcomes in traditional trial treatment comparisons may be valid and feasible for all-cause mortality and certain procedural outcomes but may be less suitable for other end points.

Use of Long-term Cumulative Blood Pressure in Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Models

Importance

Long-term cumulative systolic blood pressure (SBP) is significantly associated with increased rates of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) development independent of single SBP levels. However, published ASCVD risk prediction algorithms only include currently measured SBP.

Objective

To determine whether including long-term (5- and 10-year) cumulative SBP in risk equations improves the predictive ability compared with single SBP measurements.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Adults aged 45 to 65 years at the time of risk estimation with at least 20 years of follow-up (5 and 10 years prior to risk estimation and 10 years of event follow-up). The Lifetime Risk Pooling Project included data from the following cohorts: Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, and Framingham Heart Study (both the original and offspring).

Exposures

Ten-year ASCVD risk, calculated using the approach of the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 10-year ASCVD risk equations, first with current SBP and then substituting 5- and 10-year cumulative SBP levels.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incident ASCVD events that occurred over 10 years of follow-up, compared with the predicted risks, using the C statistic, net reclassification index at event rate, and the integrated discrimination index.

Results

This study included 11 767 participants with a mean (SD) age of 59.1 (4.7) years at risk estimation. A total of 6873 participants (58%) were women, and 1499 (13%) were African American. In the 10 years of follow-up from risk estimation, 1887 participants (16%) had an ASCVD event. There were no significant improvements in the C statistic when including 5- or 10-year cumulative SBP. However, the addition of cumulative SBP resulted in significant improvements in the net reclassification index at event rate (10-year net reclassification index for men, 0.04 [95% CI, 0.02-0.06]; 10-year net reclassification index for women, 0.03 [95% CI, 0.01-0.06]) and the relative integrated discrimination index (10-year relative integrated discrimination index for men, 0.12; 10-year relative integrated discrimination index for women, 0.10).

Conclusions and Relevance

Using long-term measures of cumulative blood pressure, instead of single measurements, can modestly improve the ability of cardiovascular disease risk prediction models to correctly classify individuals in terms of their risk for cardiovascular disease.

Probing the Virtual Proteome to Identify Novel Disease Biomarkers

BACKGROUND

Proteomic approaches allow measurement of thousands of proteins in a single specimen, which can accelerate biomarker discovery. However, applying these technologies to massive biobanks is not currently feasible because of the practical barriers and costs of implementing such assays at scale. To overcome these challenges, we used a "virtual proteomic" approach, linking genetically predicted protein levels to clinical diagnoses in >40 000 individuals.

METHODS

We used genome-wide association data from the Framingham Heart Study (n=759) to construct genetic predictors for 1129 plasma protein levels. We validated the genetic predictors for 268 proteins and used them to compute predicted protein levels in 41 288 genotyped individuals in the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) cohort. We tested associations for each predicted protein with 1128 clinical phenotypes. Lead associations were validated with directly measured protein levels and either low-density lipoprotein cholesterol or subclinical atherosclerosis in the MDCS (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study; n=651).

RESULTS

In the virtual proteomic analysis in eMERGE, 55 proteins were associated with 89 distinct diagnoses at a false discovery rate q<0.1. Among these, 13 associations involved lipid (n=7) or atherosclerosis (n=6) phenotypes. We tested each association for validation in MDCS using directly measured protein levels. At Bonferroni-adjusted significance thresholds, levels of apolipoprotein E isoforms were associated with hyperlipidemia, and circulating C-type lectin domain family 1 member B and platelet-derived growth factor receptor-β predicted subclinical atherosclerosis. Odds ratios for carotid atherosclerosis were 1.31 (95% CI, 1.08-1.58; P=0.006) per 1-SD increment in C-type lectin domain family 1 member B and 0.79 (0.66-0.94; P=0.008) per 1-SD increment in platelet-derived growth factor receptor-β.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate a biomarker discovery paradigm to identify candidate biomarkers of cardiovascular and other diseases.

Validating the use of registries and claims data to support randomized trials: Rationale and design of the Extending Trial-Based Evaluations of Medical Therapies Using Novel Sources of Data (EXTEND) Study

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials are the "gold standard" for comparing the safety and efficacy of therapies but may be limited due to high costs, lack of feasibility, and difficulty enrolling "real-world" patient populations. The Extending Trial-Based Evaluations of Medical Therapies Using Novel Sources of Data (EXTEND) Study seeks to evaluate whether data collected within procedural registries and claims databases can reproduce trial results by substituting surrogate non-trial-based variables for exposures and outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patient-level data from 2 clinical trial programs-the Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Study and the United States CoreValve Studies-will be linked to a combination of national registry, administrative claims, and health system data. The concordance between baseline and outcomes data collected within nontrial data sets and trial information, including adjudicated end point events, will be assessed. We will compare the study results obtained using these alternative data sources to those derived using trial-ascertained variables and end points using trial-adjudicated end points and covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

Linkage of trials to registries and claims data represents an opportunity to use alternative data sources in place of and as adjuncts to randomized clinical trial data but requires further validation. The results of this research will help determine how these data sources can be used to improve our present and future understanding of new medical treatments.

Blood Pressure Assessment in Adults in Clinical Practice and Clinic-Based Research: JACC Scientific Expert Panel

The accurate measurement of blood pressure (BP) is essential for the diagnosis and management of hypertension. Restricted use of mercury devices, increased use of oscillometric devices, discrepancies between clinic and out-of-clinic BP, and concerns about measurement error with manual BP measurement techniques have resulted in uncertainty for clinicians and researchers. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the U.S. National Institutes of Health convened a working group of clinicians and researchers in October 2017 to review data on BP assessment among adults in clinical practice and clinic-based research. In this report, the authors review the topics discussed during a 2-day meeting including the current state of knowledge on BP assessment in clinical practice and clinic-based research, knowledge gaps pertaining to current BP assessment methods, research and clinical needs to improve BP assessment, and the strengths and limitations of using BP obtained in clinical practice for research and quality improvement activities.

Comparison of automated clinical and research blood pressure measurements: Implications for clinical practice and trial design

Discrepancies between clinic and research blood pressure (BP) measurements lead to uncertainties in translating hypertension management guidelines into practice. We assessed the concordance between standardized automated clinic BP, from a primary care clinic, and research BP, from a randomized trial conducted at the same site. Mean single-visit clinic BP was higher by 4.4/3.8 mm Hg (P = 0.007/<0.001). Concordance in systolic BP (SBP) improved with closer proximity of measurements (difference = 2.5 mm Hg, P = 0.21 for visits within 7 days), but not averaging across multiple visits (difference =5.1(9.2) mm Hg; P < 0.001). This discrepancy was greater among female participants. Clinic-based difference in SBP between two visits was more variable than research-based change (SD = 19.6 vs 14.0; P = 0.002); a 2-arm trial using clinic measurements would need 95% more participants to achieve comparable power. Implementation of a bundled standardization intervention decreased discrepancies between clinic and research BP, compared to prior reports. However, clinic measurements remained higher and more variable, suggesting treatment to research-based targets may lead to overtreatment and using clinic BP approximately halves power in trials.

The impact of clinical vs administrative claims coding on hospital risk-adjusted outcomes

BACKGROUND

Comorbid condition and hospital risk-adjusted outcomes prevalence were compared based on clinical registry vs administrative claims data.

HYPOTHESIS

Risk-adjusted outcomes will vary depending on the source of comorbidity data used.

METHODS

Clinical data from hospitalized Can Rapid Risk Stratification of Unstable Angina Patients Suppress Adverse Outcomes with Early Implementation of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Guidelines (CRUSADE) non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients ≥65 years was linked to Medicare claims. Eight common comorbid conditions were coded and compared between registry data (derived from medical record review) and claims data; hospital-level observed vs expected ratios and outlier status for 30-day readmission and mortality were calculated using logistic generalized estimating equations for clinical vs claims data.

RESULTS

Of 68 199 NSTEMI patients, 48.1% were female, 86.9% were white, and median age was 78. Degree of agreement between data sources for comorbid condition prevalence was 67.8% for myocardial infarction and 89.3% for diabetes. Overall, multivariable model performance was similar: Medicare mortality c-statistics is 0.69 vs CRUSADE is 0.71; readmission c-statistics is 0.59 for both. Hospital ratings were similar regardless of data source (mortality, R² = 0.97863; readmission, R² = 0.97858). Eighty-two hospitals were mortality outliers in claims-based models; of these, 70 were outliers in registry-based models. Forty-five hospitals were readmission outliers in claims-based models; of these, 39 were outliers in registry-based models.

CONCLUSIONS

There were significant differences in individual comorbid condition prevalence when derived from registries vs claims, but hospital-level outcomes were comparable.