Recommendations for Statistical Reporting in Cardiovascular Medicine: A Special Report From the American Heart Association

Vitamin D and Marine n-3 Fatty Acids for Autoimmune Disease Prevention: Outcomes Two Years After Completion of a Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

In the 5.3-year randomized, 2 × 2 factorial, double-blind, placebo-controlled Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), vitamin D supplementation reduced autoimmune disease (AD) incidence (hazard ratio [HR] 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-0.99). Omega-3 (n-3) fatty acid supplementation showed a statistically nonsignificant reduction (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.67-1.08). We aimed to confirm further AD cases arising during and after randomization and assess sustained effects with two years of postintervention observation.

METHODS

Of the 12,786 men aged ≥50 and 13,085 women aged ≥55 initially randomized, we observed surviving and willing participants for two more years. We continued to confirm annual participant-reported new AD by medical record review. Cox models calculated HRs for all confirmed incident AD, (and secondary endpoints, including probable cases, and individual ADs), during the observational and randomized periods.

RESULTS

A total of 21,592 participants (83.5%) were observed for two more years; 514 participants developed incident confirmed AD (236 since prior report), of whom 255 had been randomized to vitamin D versus 259 to vitamin D placebo (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.83-1.17] at 7 years). AD was confirmed in 234 participants initially randomized to n-3 fatty acids versus 280 randomized to its placebo (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.70-0.99] at 7 years). Of newly confirmed cases, 65 had onset during randomization; their inclusion changed randomized results as follows: HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.70-1.04) for vitamin D and HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.71-1.06) for n-3 fatty acids.

CONCLUSION

Two years after trial termination, the protective effects of 2000 IU/day of vitamin D dissipated, but 1,000 mg/day of n-3 fatty acids had a sustained effect in reducing AD incidence.

Mental health sequelae in survivors of cardiogenic shock complicating myocardial infarction. A population-based cohort study

PURPOSE

Cardiogenic shock secondary to acute myocardial infarction (AMI-CS) is associated with substantial short- and long-term morbidity and mortality. However, there are limited data on mental health sequelae that survivors experience following discharge.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada of critically ill adult (≥ 18 years) survivors of AMI-CS, admitted to hospital between April 1, 2009 and March 31, 2019. We compared these patients to AMI survivors without shock. We captured outcome data using linked health administrative databases. The primary outcome was a new mental health diagnosis (a composite of mood, anxiety, or related disorders; schizophrenia/psychotic disorders; and other mental health disorders) following hospital discharge. We secondarily evaluated incidence of deliberate self-harm and death by suicide. We compared patients using overlap propensity score-weighted, cause-specific proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

We included 7812 consecutive survivors of AMI-CS, from 135 centers. Mean age was 68.4 (standard deviation (SD) 12.2) years, and 70.3% were male. Median follow-up time was 767 days (interquartile range (IQR) 225-1682). Incidence of new mental health diagnosis among AMI-CS survivors was 109.6 per 1,000 person-years (95% confidence interval (CI) 105.4-113.9), compared with 103.8 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 102.5-105.2) among AMI survivors without shock. After propensity score adjustment, there was no difference in the risk of new mental health diagnoses following discharge [hazard ratio (HR) 0.99 (95% CI 0.94-1.03)]. Factors associated with new mental health diagnoses following AMI-CS included female sex, pre-existing mental health diagnoses, and discharge to a long-term hospital or rehabilitation institute.

CONCLUSION

Survivors of AMI-CS experience substantial mental health morbidity following discharge. Risk of new mental health diagnoses was comparable between survivors of AMI with and without shock. Future research on interventions to mitigate psychiatric sequelae after AMI-CS is warranted.

Effects of aerobic exercise training on cerebral pulsatile hemodynamics in middle-aged adults with elevated blood pressure/stage 1 hypertension

Mechanisms behind the protective effects of aerobic exercise on brain health remain elusive but may be vascular in origin and relate to cerebral pulsatility. This pilot study investigated the effects of 12-wk aerobic exercise training on cerebral pulsatility and its vascular contributors (large artery stiffness, characteristic impedance) in at-risk middle-aged adults. Twenty-eight inactive middle-aged adults with elevated blood pressure or stage 1 hypertension were assigned to either moderate/vigorous aerobic exercise training (AET) for 3 days/wk or no-exercise control (CON) group. Middle cerebral artery (MCA) pulsatility index (PI), large artery (i.e., aorta, carotid) stiffness, and characteristic impedance were assessed via Doppler and tonometry at baseline, 6, and 12 wk, whereas cardiorespiratory fitness (V̇o2peak) was assessed via incremental exercise test and cognitive function via computerized battery at baseline and 12 wk. V̇o2peak increased 6% in AET and decreased 4% in CON (P < 0.05). Proximal aortic compliance increased (P = 0.04, partial η2 = 0.14) and aortic characteristic impedance decreased (P = 0.02, partial η2 = 0.17) with AET but not CON. Cerebral pulsatility showed a medium-to-large effect size increase with AET, although not statistically significant (P = 0.07, partial η2 = 0.11) compared with CON. Working memory reaction time improved with AET but not CON (P = 0.02, partial η2 = 0.20). Our data suggest 12-wk AET elicited improvements in central vascular hemodynamics (e.g., proximal aortic compliance and characteristic impedance) along with apparent, paradoxical increases in cerebral pulsatile hemodynamics.NEW & NOTEWORTHY We identify differential central versus cerebrovascular responses to 12 wk of aerobic exercise training in middle-aged adults. Although proximal aortic compliance and characteristic impedance improved after 12 wk of exercise, cerebral pulsatility tended to unexpectedly increase. These data suggest short-term aerobic exercise training may lead to more immediate benefits in the central vasculature, whereas longer duration exercise training may be required for beneficial changes in pulsatility within the cerebrovasculature.

Biomarkers to improve functional outcome prediction after ischemic stroke: Results from the SICFAIL, STRAWINSKI, and PREDICT studies

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) outcome prognostication remains challenging despite available prognostic models. We investigated whether a biomarker panel improves the predictive performance of established prognostic scores.

METHODS

We investigated the improvement in discrimination, calibration, and overall performance by adding five biomarkers (procalcitonin, copeptin, cortisol, mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)) to the Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne (ASTRAL) and age/NIHSS scores using data from two prospective cohort studies (SICFAIL, PREDICT) and one clinical trial (STRAWINSKI). Poor outcome was defined as mRS > 2 at 12 (SICFAIL, derivation dataset) or 3 months (PREDICT/STRAWINSKI, pooled external validation dataset).

RESULTS

Among 412 SICFAIL participants (median age 70 years, quartiles 59-78; 63% male; median NIHSS score 3, quartiles 1-5), 29% had a poor outcome. Area under the curve of the ASTRAL and age/NIHSS were 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.81) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.82), respectively. Copeptin (0.79, 95% CI 0.74-0.84), NT-proBNP (0.80, 95% CI 0.76-0.84), and MR-proANP (0.79, 95% CI 0.75-0.84) significantly improved ASTRAL score's discrimination, calibration, and overall performance. Copeptin improved age/NIHSS model's discrimination, copeptin, MR-proANP, and NT-proBNP improved its calibration and overall performance. In the validation dataset (450 patients, median age 73 years, quartiles 66-81; 54% men; median NIHSS score 8, quartiles 3-14), copeptin was independently associated with various definitions of poor outcome and also mortality. Copeptin did not increase model's discrimination but it did improve calibration and overall model performance.

DISCUSSION

Copeptin, NT-proBNP, and MR-proANP improved modest but consistently the predictive performance of established prognostic scores in patients with mild AIS. Copeptin was most consistently associated with poor outcome in patients with moderate to severe AIS, although its added prognostic value was less obvious.

Risk factors and prediction model for new-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: a retrospective cohort study

Background and aims

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) is a significant cause of maternal and neonatal mortality. This study aims to identify risk factors for new-onset HDP and to develop a prediction model for assessing the risk of new-onset hypertension during pregnancy.

Methods

We included 446 pregnant women without baseline hypertension from Liyang People's Hospital at the first inspection, and they were followed up until delivery. We collected maternal clinical parameters and biomarkers between 16th and 20th weeks of gestation. Logistic regression was used to determine the effect of the risk factors on HDP. For model development, a backward selection algorithm was applied to choose pertinent biomarkers, and predictive models were created based on multiple machine learning methods (generalised linear model, multivariate adaptive regression splines, random forest, and k-nearest neighbours). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve.

Results

Out of the 446 participants, 153 developed new-onset HDP. The HDP group exhibited significantly higher baseline body mass index (BMI), weight change, baseline systolic/diastolic blood pressure, and platelet counts than the control group. The increase in baseline BMI, weight change, and baseline systolic and diastolic blood pressure significantly elevated the risk of HDP, with odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals of 1.10 (1.03-1.17), 1.10 (1.05-1.16), 1.04 (1.01-1.08), and 1.10 (1.05-1.14) respectively. Restricted cubic spline showed a linear dose-dependent association of baseline BMI and weight change with the risk of HDP. The random forest-based prediction model showed robust performance with the area under the curve of 0.85 in the training set.

Conclusion

This study establishes a prediction model to evaluate the risk of new-onset HDP, which might facilitate the early diagnosis and management of HDP.

Systematic evaluation of vertebral bone quality score as an opportunistic screening method for BMD in spine surgery patients

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate and compare the predictive value of vertebral bone quality (VBQ) score for low BMD and osteoporosis. Furthermore, we sought to enhance diagnostic effectiveness by integrating VBQ with easily accessible patient-specific factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from 180 patients. VBQ was obtained by preoperative MRI. Low BMD was classified as meeting the standards for either osteopenia or osteoporosis. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and multivariate logistic regression were used to detect the ability of variables to assess BMD. The z-test was used to compare the area under the curves of different variables.

RESULTS

VBQ was more effective in identifying low BMD than osteoporosis (AUC, 0.768 vs. 0.613, p = 0.02). Elevated VBQ (OR 6.912, 95% CI 2.72-17.6) and low BMI (0.858, 0.76-0.97) were risk factors for low BMD, while the risk factor for osteoporosis was age (1.067, 1.02-1.12), not VBQ. ROC analysis showed that AUCs were 0.613 for VBQ and 0.665 for age when screening for osteoporosis. The combined variable of VBQ, sex, age, and BMI obtained by logistic regression significantly improved the efficacy of BMD screening, with an AUC of 0.824 for low BMD and 0.733 for osteoporosis.

CONCLUSION

VBQ is better at detecting low BMD than identifying osteoporosis. The ability of VBQ to predict osteoporosis is limited, and a similar diagnostic efficacy can be achieved with age. Incorporating VBQ alongside demographic data enhances the efficiency of BMD assessment. With the development of artificial intelligence in medicine, this simple method is promising.

Peer review of clinical and translational research manuscripts: Perspectives from statistical collaborators

Research articles in the clinical and translational science literature commonly use quantitative data to inform evaluation of interventions, learn about the etiology of disease, or develop methods for diagnostic testing or risk prediction of future events. The peer review process must evaluate the methodology used therein, including use of quantitative statistical methods. In this manuscript, we provide guidance for peer reviewers tasked with assessing quantitative methodology, intended to complement guidelines and recommendations that exist for manuscript authors. We describe components of clinical and translational science research manuscripts that require assessment including study design and hypothesis evaluation, sampling and data acquisition, interventions (for studies that include an intervention), measurement of data, statistical analysis methods, presentation of the study results, and interpretation of the study results. For each component, we describe what reviewers should look for and assess; how reviewers should provide helpful comments for fixable errors or omissions; and how reviewers should communicate uncorrectable and irreparable errors. We then discuss the critical concepts of transparency and acceptance/revision guidelines when communicating with responsible journal editors.

Early assessment of cardiomyopathy in Duchenne patients by means of longitudinal strain echocardiography

INTRODUCTION

The diagnosis of Duchenne-linked cardiomyopathy may be challenging. Conventional echocardiographic measurements typically show deterioration beyond the second decade. Global longitudinal strain has been proposed as an earlier marker than left ventricular ejection fraction.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A prospective, observational, cross-sectional, case-control study was carried out. Both Duchenne patients and control subjects underwent transthoracic echocardiogram in order to assess left ventricle function. Bayesian linear regression was the main tool for inference. Age effects were parameterised by means of a spline function because of its simplicity to characterise continuous variables and smooth contributions. The posterior distribution of the marginal age effects was used to assess the earliest age of deterioration of each marker.

RESULTS

Sixteen Duchenne patients and twenty-two healthy male subjects were enrolled. On overage, cardiac function measures were found for ejection fraction and longitudinal strain among different groups. Age effects on global longitudinal strain are more reliably found at ages of 6 and above, while ejection fraction starts to deteriorate at an older age. Progressive left ventricular dysfunction in Duchenne patients is one of the key issues and starts at an early age with subtle symptoms.

CONCLUSION

This cross-sectional study provides supporting evidence that global longitudinal strain is an earlier marker of disease progression than ejection fraction in Duchenne patients.

An image-driven micromechanical approach to characterize multiscale remodeling in infarcted myocardium

Myocardial infarction (MI) is accompanied by the formation of a fibrotic scar in the left ventricle (LV) and initiates significant alterations in the architecture and constituents of the LV free wall (LVFW). Previous studies have shown that LV adaptation is highly individual, indicating that the identification of remodeling mechanisms post-MI demands a fully subject-specific approach that can integrate a host of structural alterations at the fiber-level to changes in bulk biomechanical adaptation at the tissue-level. We present an image-driven micromechanical approach to characterize remodeling, assimilating new biaxial mechanical data, histological studies, and digital image correlation data within an in-silico framework to elucidate the fiber-level remodeling mechanisms that drive tissue-level adaptation for each subject. We found that a progressively diffused collagen fiber structure combined with similarly disorganized myofiber architecture in the healthy region leads to the loss of LVFW anisotropy post-MI, offering an important tissue-level hallmark for LV maladaptation. In contrast, our results suggest that reductions in collagen undulation are an adaptive mechanism competing against LVFW thinning. Additionally, we show that the inclusion of subject-specific geometry when modeling myocardial tissue is essential for accurate prediction of tissue kinematics. Our approach serves as an essential step toward identifying fiber-level remodeling indices that govern the transition of MI to systolic heart failure. These indices complement the traditional, organ-level measures of LV anatomy and function that often fall short of early prognostication of heart failure in MI. In addition, our approach offers an integrated methodology to advance the design of personalized interventions, such as hydrogel injection, to reinforce and suppress native adaptive and maladaptive mechanisms, respectively, to prevent the transition of MI to heart failure. STATEMENT OF SIGNIFICANCE: Biomechanical and architectural adaptation of the LVFW remains a central, yet overlooked, remodeling process post-MI. Our study indicates the biomechanical adaptation of the LVFW post-MI is highly individual and driven by altered fiber network architecture and collective changes in collagen fiber content, undulation, and stiffness. Our findings demonstrate the possibility of using cardiac strains to infer such fiber-level remodeling events through in-silico modeling, paving the way for in-vivo characterization of multiscale biomechanical indices in humans. Such indices will complement the traditional, organ-level measures of LV anatomy and function that often fall short of early prognostication of heart failure in MI.

Age and associated outcomes among patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation-analysis of the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization registry

PURPOSE

Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A ECMO) can be used to support severely ill patients with cardiogenic shock. While age is commonly used in patient selection, little is known regarding its association with outcomes in this population. We sought to evaluate the association between increasing age and outcomes following V-A ECMO.

METHODS

We used individual-level patient data from 440 centers in the international Extracorporeal Life Support Organization registry. We included all adult patients receiving V-A ECMO from 2017 to 2019. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included a composite of complications following initiation of V-A ECMO. We conducted Bayesian analyses of the relationship between increasing age and outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

We included 15,172 patients receiving V-A ECMO. Of these, 8172 (53.9%) died in hospital. For the analysis conducted using weakly informed priors, and as compared to the reference category of age 18-29, the age bracket of 30-39 (odds ratio [OR] 0.94, 95% credible interval [CrI] 0.79-1.10) was not associated with hospital mortality, but age brackets 40-49 (odds ratio [OR] 1.26, 95% CrI: 1.08-1.47), 50-59 (OR 1.78, 95% CrI: 1.55-2.06), 60-69 (OR 2.24, 95% CrI: 1.94-2.59), 70-79 (OR 2.90, 95% CrI: 2.49-3.39) and ≥ 80 (OR 4.02, 95% CrI: 3.13-5.20) were independently associated with increasing hospital mortality. Similar results were found in the analysis conducted with an informative prior, as well as between increasing age and post-ECMO complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients receiving V-A ECMO for cardiogenic shock, increasing age is strongly associated with increasing odds of death and complications, and this association emerges as early as 40 years of age.

The effects of regional quadriceps architecture on angle-specific rapid force expression

Evaluating anatomical contributions to performance can increase understanding of muscle mechanics and guide physical preparation. While the impact of anatomy on muscular performance is well studied, the effects of regional quadriceps architecture on rapid torque or force expression are less clear. Regional (proximal, middle, and distal) quadriceps (vastus lateralis, rectus femoris, and vastus intermedius) thickness (MT), pennation angle (PA), and fascicle length (FL) of 24 males (48 limbs) were assessed via ultrasonography. Participants performed maximal isometric knee extensions at 40°, 70°, and 100° of knee flexion to evaluate rate of force development from 0 to 200 ms (RFD0-200). Measurements were repeated on three occasions with the greatest RFD0-200 and mean muscle architecture measures used for analysis. Linear regression models predicting angle-specific RFD0-200 from regional anatomy provided adjusted correlations (√adjR2) with bootstrapped compatibility limits. Mid-rectus femoris MT (√adjR2 = 0.41-0.51) and proximal vastus lateralis FL (√adjR2 = 0.42-0.48) were the best single predictors of RFD0-200, and the only measures to reach precision with 99% compatibility limits. Small simple correlations were found across all regions and joint angles between RFD0-200 and vastus lateralis MT (√adjR2 = 0.28 ± 0.13; mean ± SD), vastus lateralis FL (√adjR2 = 0.33 ± 0.10), rectus femoris MT (√adjR2 = 0.38 ± 0.10), and lateral vastus intermedius MT (√adjR2 = 0.24 ± 0.10). Between-correlation comparisons are reported within the article. Researchers should measure mid-region rectus femoris MT and vastus lateralis FL to efficiently and robustly evaluate potential anatomical contributions to rapid knee extension force changes, with distal and proximal measurements providing little additional value. However, correlations were generally small to moderate, suggesting that neurological factors may be critical in rapid force expression.

Dealing With Nonproportional Hazards in Coronary Revascularisation Studies

The Cox proportional hazards model is one of the most popular statistical tools to model time to event outcomes without the need for specifying the hazards or survival time distributions. The Cox model requires that the ratio of the hazards of the occurrence of the outcome for any 2 individuals remains constant during the entire follow-up. Studies comparing coronary revascularisation strategies, however, might be prone to violations of proportionality by the crossing of the hazard functions over time. Early increases in the risk of cardiovascular outcomes are commonly observed when comparing coronary artery bypass grafting vs percutaneous coronary intervention, whereas decreased risk might be observed later during the follow-up. The same is valid for comparisons between invasive vs conservative coronary revascularisation strategies. In these situations, the statistical power of the Cox model is reduced, and hazard ratios might not be an informative summary measure of treatment effect. In this article, we discuss methods to identify and account for nonproportionality. We illustrate the use of these methods in a case study based on reconstructed data from a coronary revascularisation clinical trial. And finally, we review the cardiovascular literature to estimate how the proportionality assumption has been reported in coronary revascularisation studies recently.

Inhaled Epoprostenol Compared With Nitric Oxide for Right Ventricular Support After Major Cardiac Surgery

BACKGROUND

Right ventricular failure (RVF) is a leading driver of morbidity and death after major cardiac surgery for advanced heart failure, including orthotopic heart transplantation and left ventricular assist device implantation. Inhaled pulmonary-selective vasodilators, such as inhaled epoprostenol (iEPO) and nitric oxide (iNO), are essential therapeutics for the prevention and medical management of postoperative RVF. However, there is limited evidence from clinical trials to guide agent selection despite the significant cost considerations of iNO therapy.

METHODS

In this double-blind trial, participants were stratified by assigned surgery and key preoperative prognostic features, then randomized to continuously receive either iEPO or iNO beginning at the time of separation from cardiopulmonary bypass with the continuation of treatment into the intensive care unit stay. The primary outcome was the composite RVF rate after both operations, defined after transplantation by the initiation of mechanical circulatory support for isolated RVF, and defined after left ventricular assist device implantation by moderate or severe right heart failure according to criteria from the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support. An equivalence margin of 15 percentage points was prespecified for between-group RVF risk difference. Secondary postoperative outcomes were assessed for treatment differences and included: mechanical ventilation duration; hospital and intensive care unit length of stay during the index hospitalization; acute kidney injury development including renal replacement therapy initiation; and death at 30 days, 90 days, and 1 year after surgery.

RESULTS

Of 231 randomized participants who met eligibility at the time of surgery, 120 received iEPO, and 111 received iNO. Primary outcome occurred in 30 participants (25.0%) in the iEPO group and 25 participants (22.5%) in the iNO group, for a risk difference of 2.5 percentage points (two one-sided test 90% CI, -6.6% to 11.6%) in support of equivalence. There were no significant between-group differences for any of the measured postoperative secondary outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients undergoing major cardiac surgery for advanced heart failure, inhaled pulmonary-selective vasodilator treatment using iEPO was associated with similar risks for RVF development and development of other postoperative secondary outcomes compared with treatment using iNO.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT03081052.

Frequency of subclavian artery stenosis in patients with mammarian artery coronary bypass and suspected coronary artery disease progression

We retrospectively analyzed patient records of all patients with a history of internal mammarian artery (IMA) coronary bypass undergoing coronary angiography at two cardiovascular centers between January 1st 1999 and December 31st 2019. A total of 11,929 coronary angiographies with or without percutaneous coronary intervention were carried out in 3921 patients. Our analysis revealed 82 (2%) patients with documented subclavian artery stenosis. Of these, 8 (10%) patients were classified as having mild, 18 (22%) moderate, and 56 (68%) severe subclavian artery stenosis. In 7 (9%) patients with subclavian artery stenosis, angiography revealed occlusion of the IMA graft. 26 (32%) patients with severe subclavian artery stenosis underwent endovascular or surgical revasculararization of the subclavian artery. In this retrospective multicenter study, subclavian artery stenosis was a relevant finding in patients with an internal mammarian artery coronary bypass graft undergoing coronary angiography. The development of dedicated algorithms for screening and ischemia evaluation in affected individuals may improve treatment of this potentially underdiagnosed and undertreated condition.

Home treatment versus early discharge for the outpatient management of acute pulmonary embolism: A non-interventional, post-hoc cohort analysis

INTRODUCTION

We prospectively investigated whether home treatment of pulmonary embolism (PE), is as effective and safe as the recommended early discharge management in terms of outcomes at 3 months.

METHODS

We performed a post hoc analysis of prospectively and consecutively recorded data in acute PE patients from a tertiary care facility between January 2012 and November 2021. Home treatment was defined as discharge to home directly from the emergency department (ED) after <24 h stay. Early discharge was defined as in-hospital stay of ≥24 h and ≤48 h. Primary efficacy and safety outcomes were a composite of PE-related death or recurrent venous thrombo-embolism, and major bleeding, respectively. Outcomes between groups were compared using penalized multivariable models.

RESULTS

In total, 181 patients (30.6 %) were included in the home treatment group and 463 (69.4 %) patients in the early discharge group. Median duration of ED stay was 8.1 h (IQR, 3.6-10.2 h) in the home treatment group, and median length of hospital stay was 36.4 h (IQR, 28.7-40.2) in the early discharge group. The adjusted rate of the primary efficacy outcome was 1.90 % (95 % CI, 0.16-15.2) vs 2.05 % (95 % CI, 0.24-10.1) for home treatment vs early discharge (hazard ratio (HR) 0.86 (95 % CI, 0.27-2.74). The adjusted rates of the primary safety outcome did not differ between groups at 3 months.

CONCLUSIONS

In a non-randomized cohort of selected acute PE patients, home treatment provided comparable rates of adverse VTE and bleeding events to the recommended early discharge management, and appears to have similar clinical outcomes at 3 months.

Multiscale characterization of left ventricle active behavior in the mouse

The myocardium possesses an intricately designed microarchitecture to produce an optimal cardiac contraction. The contractile behavior of the heart is generated at the sarcomere level and travels across several length scales to manifest as the systolic function at the organ level. While passive myocardial behavior has been studied extensively, the translation of active tension produced at the fiber level to the organ-level function is not well understood. Alterations in cardiac systolic function are often key sequelae in structural heart diseases, such as myocardial infarction and systolic heart failure; thus, characterization of the contractile behavior of the heart across multiple length scales is essential to improve our understanding of mechanisms collectively leading to depressed systolic function. In this study, we present a methodology to characterize the active behavior of left ventricle free wall (LVFW) myocardial tissues in mice. Combined with active tests in papillary muscle fibers and conventional in vivo contractility measurement at the organ level in an animal-specific manner, we establish a multiscale active characterization of the heart from fiber to organ. In addition, we quantified myocardial architecture from histology to shed light on the directionality of the contractility at the tissue level. The LVFW tissue activation-relaxation behavior under isometric conditions was qualitatively similar to that of the papillary muscle fiber bundle. However, the maximum stress developed in the LVFW tissue was an order of magnitude lower than that developed by a fiber bundle, and the time taken for active forces to plateau was 2-3 orders of magnitude longer. Although the LVFW tissue exhibited a slightly stiffer passive response in the circumferential direction, the tissues produced significantly larger active stresses in the longitudinal direction during active testing. Also, contrary to passive viscoelastic stress relaxation, active stresses relaxed faster in the direction with larger peak stresses. The multiscale experimental pipeline presented in this work is expected to provide crucial insight into the contractile adaptation mechanisms of the heart with impaired systolic function. STATEMENT OF SIGNIFICANCE: Heart failure cause significant alterations to the contractile-relaxation behavior of the yocardium. Multiscale characterization of the contractile behavior of the myocardium is essential to advance our understanding of how contractility translates from fiber to organ and to identify the multiscale mechanisms leading to impaired cardiac function. While passive myocardial behavior has been studied extensively, the investigation of tissue-level contractile behavior remains critically scarce in the literature. To the best of our knowledge, our study here is the first to investigate the contractile behavior of the left ventricle at multiple length scales in small animals. Our results indicate that the active myocardial wall is a function of transmural depth and relaxes faster in the direction with larger peak stresses.

Significant Differences and Experimental Designs Do Not Necessarily Imply Clinical Relevance: Effect Sizes and Causality Claims in Antidepressant Treatments

Clinical trials are the backbone of medical scientific research. However, this experimental strategy has some drawbacks. We focused on two issues: (a) The internal validity ensured by clinical trial procedures does not necessarily allow for generalization of efficacy results to causal claims about effectiveness in the population. (b) Statistical significance does not imply clinical or practical significance; p-values should be supplemented with effect size (ES) estimators and an interpretation of the magnitude of the effects found. We conducted a systematic review (from 2000 to 2020) on Scopus, PubMed, and four ProQuest databases, including PsycINFO. We searched for experimental studies with significant effects of pharmacological treatments on depressive symptoms, measured with a specific scale for depression. We assessed the claims of effectiveness, and reporting and interpreting of effect sizes in a small, unbiased sample of clinical trials (n = 10). Only 30% of the studies acknowledged that efficacy does not necessarily translate to effectiveness. Only 20% reported ES indices, and only 40% interpreted the magnitude of their findings. We encourage reflection on the applicability of results derived from clinical trials about the efficacy of antidepressant treatments, which often influence daily clinical decision-making. Comparing experimental results of antidepressants with supplementary observational studies can provide clinicians with greater flexibility in prescribing medication based on patient characteristics. Furthermore, the ES of a treatment should be considered, as treatments with a small effect may be worthwhile in certain circumstances, while treatments with a large effect may be justified despite additional costs or complications. Therefore, researchers are encouraged to report and interpret ES and explicitly discuss the suitability of their sample for the clinical population to which the antidepressant treatment will be applied.

Construction of a web-based dynamic nomogram for predicting the prognosis in acute heart failure

AIMS

The early identification and appropriate management may provide clinically meaningful and substained benefits in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). This study aimed to develop an integrative nomogram with myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) for predicting the risk of all-cause mortality in AHF patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective study of 147 patients with AHF who received gated MPI (59.0 [47.5, 68.0] years; 78.2% males) were enrolled and followed for the primary endpoint of all-cause mortality. We analysed the demographic information, laboratory tests, electrocardiogram, and transthoracic echocardiogram by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression for selection of key features. A multivariate stepwise Cox analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors and construct a nomogram. The predictive values of the constructed model were compared by Kaplan-Meier curve, area under the curves (AUCs), calibration plots, continuous net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement, and decision curve analysis. The 1, 3, and 5 year cumulative rates of death were 10%, 22%, and 29%, respectively. Diastolic blood pressure [hazard ratio (HR) 0.96, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93-0.99; P = 0.017], valvular heart disease (HR 3.05, 95% CI 1.36-6.83; P = 0.007), cardiac resynchronization therapy (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.17-0.82; P = 0.014), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (per 100 pg/mL; HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03; P < 0.001), and rest scar burden (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06; P = 0.008) were independent risk factors for patients with AHF. The cross-validated AUCs (95% CI) of nomogram constructed by diastolic blood pressure, valvular heart disease, cardiac resynchronization therapy, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and rest scar burden were 0.88 (0.73-1.00), 0.83 (0.70-0.97), and 0.79 (0.62-0.95) at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Continuous net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement were also observed, and the decision curve analysis identified the greater net benefit of the nomogram across a wide range of threshold probabilities (0-100% at 1 and 3 years; 0-61% and 62-100% at 5 years) compared with dismissing the included factors or using either factor alone.

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive nomogram for the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with AHF was developed and validated in this study. The nomogram incorporated the rest scar burden by MPI is highly predictive, and may help to better stratify clinical risk and guide treatment decisions in patients with AHF.

Methods of arterial stiffness calculation and cardiovascular disease events: the multiethnic study of atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

A wide variety of different formulae have been used to calculate local arterial stiffness with little external validation in relationship to cardiovascular events. We compared the associations of several arterial stiffness calculations in a large, multiethnic cohort.

METHODS

The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA) is a longitudinal study of 6814 adults without clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) at enrollment. MESA participants with CVD surveillance through year 2018 and carotid ultrasound ( n  = 5873) or aorta MRI ( n  = 3175) at the baseline exam (2000-2002) were included. We analyzed 21 different calculations of local arterial stiffness. Cross-sectional and longitudinal statistical analyses were performed in addition to Cox hazard modeling for associations with CVD events (myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, stroke, adjudicated angina, and cardiovascular death).

RESULTS

Carotid artery stiffness calculations had variable correlations with each other ( r  = 0.56-0.99); aortic stiffness measures were similar ( r  = 0.66-0.99). Nevertheless, for CVD events, the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation change were similar for all carotid stiffness calculations with HRs in the range of 1.00-1.10 (equivalence P  < 0.001). For the aorta, aortic distensibility coefficient had a stronger association with CVD events (HR 1.18 [1.02-1.37]) compared to aorta Peterson's elastic modulus (HR 0.98 [0.89-1.07]) and aorta pulse wave velocity (HR 1.00 [0.90-1.11]). HRs between all other aortic stiffness calculations were equivalent ( P  < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Different methods of calculating local arterial stiffness largely gave equivalent results, indicating that the variety of different arterial stiffness calculations in use do not cause inconsistent findings.

Relationship between Ketones, Ghrelin, and, Appetite on Isocaloric Diets with Varying Carbohydrate Quality and Amount: Results from a Randomized Controlled Trial in People with Obesity (CARBFUNC)

BACKGROUND

Low-carbohydrate high-fat (LCHF) diets may suppress the increase in appetite otherwise seen after diet-induced fat loss. However, studies of diets without severe energy restriction are lacking, and the effects of carbohydrate quality relative to quantity have not been directly compared.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluated short- (3 mo) and long-term (12 mo) changes in fasting plasma concentrations of total ghrelin, β-hydroxybutyrate (βHB), and subjective feelings of appetite on 3 isocaloric eating patterns within a moderate caloric range (2000-2500 kcal/d) and with varying carbohydrate quality or quantity.

METHODS

We performed a randomized controlled trial of 193 adults with obesity, comparing eating patterns based on "acellular" carbohydrate sources (e.g., flour-based whole-grain products; comparator arm), "cellular" carbohydrate sources (minimally processed foods with intact cellular structures), or LCHF principles. Outcomes were compared by an intention-to-treat analysis using constrained linear mixed modeling. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03401970.

RESULTS

Of the 193 adults, 118 (61%) and 57 (30%) completed 3 and 12 mo of follow-up. Throughout the intervention, intakes of protein and energy were similar with all 3 eating patterns, with comparable reductions in body weight (5%-7%) and visceral fat volume (12%-17%) after 12 mo. After 3 mo, ghrelin increased significantly with the acellular (mean: 46 pg/mL; 95% CI: 11, 81) and cellular (mean: 54 pg/mL; 95% CI: 21, 88) diets but not with the LCHF diet (mean: 11 pg/mL; 95% CI: -16, 38). Although βHB increased significantly more with the LCHF diet than with the acellular diet after 3 m (mean: 0.16 mmol/L; 95% CI: 0.09, 0.24), this did not correspond to a significant group difference in ghrelin (unless the 2 high-carbohydrate groups were combined [mean: -39.6 pg/mL; 95% CI: -76, -3.3]). No significant between-group differences were seen in feelings of hunger.

CONCLUSIONS

Modestly energy-restricted isocaloric diets differing in carbohydrate cellularity and amount showed no significant differences in fasting total ghrelin or subjective hunger feelings. An increase in ketones with the LCHF diet to 0.3-0.4 mmol/L was insufficient to substantially curb increases in fasting ghrelin during fat loss.

Keeping obesity status is a risk factor of hypertension onset: evidence from a community-based longitudinal cohort study in North China

Objective

The purpose of our study was to investigate the association of obesity status change with hypertension onset based on a community-based longitudinal cohort study in North China.

Methods

This longitudinal study included 3,581 individuals free of hypertension at baseline in the first survey (2011-2012). All participants were followed up (2018-2019). According to the criteria, a total of 2,618 individuals were collected for analysis. We used adjusted Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis to estimate the association between obesity status change and hypertension onset. Additionally, we applied the forest plot to visualize the subgroup analysis including age, gender, and the differences in some variables between baseline and follow-up. Finally, we conducted a sensitivity analysis to examine the stability of our results.

Results

Over nearly 7 years of follow-up, a total of 811 (31%) developed hypertension. The new hypertension incidence was mostly observed in those who were obese all the time (P for trend < 0.01). In the fully adjusted Cox regression model, being obese all the time increased the risk of hypertension by 30.10% [HR 4.01 (95% CI 2.20-7.32)]. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed the change in obesity status as an important feature to predict the occurrence of hypertension. Sensitivity analysis shows a consistent trend between the change in obesity status and hypertension onset in all populations. Subgroup analysis showed that age above 60 years was an important risk factor for hypertension onset, that men were more likely than women to develop hypertension, and that weight control was beneficial in avoiding future hypertension in women. There were statistically significant differences in ΔBMI, ΔSBP, ΔDBP, and ΔbaPWV between the four groups, and all variables, except baPWV changes, increased the risk of future hypertension.

Conclusion

Our study shows that obese status was notably associated with a significant risk of hypertension onset among the Chinese community-based cohort.

Obesity, malnutrition, and the prevalence and outcome of hypertension: Evidence from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

Background

Nutritionally unhealthy obesity is a newly introduced phenotype characterized by a combined condition of malnutrition and obesity. This study aims to explore the combined influence of obesity and nutritional status on the prevalence and outcome of hypertension.

Methods

Participants collected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database were divided into four subgroups according to their obesity and nutritional conditions, as defined by waist circumference and serum albumin concentration. The lean-well-nourished was set as the reference group. Logistic regression models were applied to evaluate the hypertension risk. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to assess the survival curve and outcome risk of participants with hypertension.

Results

A total of 28,554 participants with 10,625 hypertension patients were included in the analysis. The lean-malnourished group showed a lower hypertension risk (odds ratio [OR] 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.77-0.94), while the obese-well-nourished condition elevated the risk (OR 1.47, 95% CI: 1.3-1.67). Two malnourished groups had higher mortality risks (HR 1.42, 95% CI: 1.12-1.80 and HR 1.31, 95% CI: 1.03-1.69 for the lean and obese, respectively) than the reference group. The outcome risk of the obese-well-nourished group (HR 1.02, 95% CI: 0.76-1.36) was similar to the lean-well-nourished.

Conclusion

Malnutrition was associated with a lower risk of developing hypertension in both lean and obese participants, but it was associated with a worse outcome once the hypertension is present. The lean-malnourished hypertension patients had the highest all-cause mortality risk followed by the obese-malnourished. The obese-well-nourished hypertension patients showed a similar mortality risk to the lean-well-nourished hypertension patients.

The Effect of a Neuronal Nitric Oxide Synthase Inhibitor on Neurovascular Regulation in Humans

BACKGROUND

Neurovascular coupling (NVC) is a key process in cerebral blood flow regulation. NVC ensures adequate brain perfusion to changes in local metabolic demands. Neuronal nitric oxide synthase (nNOS) is suspected to be involved in NVC; however, this has not been tested in humans. Our objective was to investigate the effects of nNOS inhibition on NVC in humans.

METHODS

We performed a 3-visit partially randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, crossover study in 12 healthy subjects. On each visit, subjects received an intravenous infusion of either S-methyl-L-thiocitrulline (a selective nNOS-inhibitor), 0.9% saline (placebo control), or phenylephrine (pressor control). The NVC assessment involved eliciting posterior circulation hyperemia through visual stimulation while measuring posterior and middle cerebral arteries blood velocity.

RESULTS

nNOS inhibition blunted the rapidity of the NVC response versus pressor control, evidenced by a reduced initial rise in mean posterior cerebral artery velocity (-3.3% [-6.5, -0.01], P=0.049), and a reduced rate of increase (ie, acceleration) in posterior cerebral artery velocity (slope reduced -4.3% [-8.5, -0.1], P=0.045). The overall magnitude of posterior cerebral artery response relative to placebo control or pressor control was not affected. Changes in BP parameters were well-matched between the S-methyl-L-thiocitrulline and pressor control arms.

CONCLUSIONS

Neuronal NOS plays a role in dynamic cerebral blood flow control in healthy adults, particularly the rapidity of the NVC response to visual stimulation. This work opens the way to further investigation of the role of nNOS in conditions of impaired NVC, potentially revealing a therapeutic target.

Arrhythmic events and mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock on inotropic support: results of the DOREMI randomized trial

BACKGROUND

Inotropic support is widely used in the management of cardiogenic shock (CS). Existing data on the incidence and significance of arrhythmic events in patients with CS on inotropic support is at high risk of bias.

METHODS

The DObutamine compaREd to MIlrinone (DOREMI) trial randomized patients to receive dobutamine or milrinone in a double-blind fashion. Patients with and without arrhythmic events (defined as arrhythmias requiring intervention or sustained ventricular arrhythmias) were compared to (1) identify factors associated with their occurrence and (2) examine their association with in-hospital mortality and secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Ninety-two patients (47.9%) had arrhythmic events, occurring equally with dobutamine and milrinone (P=0.563). The need for vasopressor support at inotrope initiation and a history of atrial fibrillation were positively associated with arrhythmic events whereas predominant right ventricular dysfunction, previous myocardial infarction, and increasing left ventricular ejection fraction were negatively associated with them. Supraventricular arrhythmic events were not associated with mortality (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.68-1.40, P=0.879) but were positively associated with resuscitated cardiac arrests and hospital length of stay. Ventricular arrhythmic events were positively associated with mortality (RR 1.66, 95% CI 1.13-2.43; P=0.026) and resuscitated cardiac arrests. Arrhythmic events were most often treated with amiodarone (97%) and electrical cardioversion (27%), which were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinically relevant arrhythmic events occur in approximately half of patients with CS treated with dobutamine or milrinone and are associated with adverse clinical outcomes. Five factors may help identify patients most at risk of arrhythmic events.

Trends in management and outcomes of pulmonary embolism with a multidisciplinary response team

Multidisciplinary pulmonary embolism (PE) response teams have garnered widespread adoption given the complexities of managing acute PE and provide a platform for assessment of trends in therapy and outcomes. We describe temporal trends in PE management and outcomes following the deployment of such a team. All consecutive patients managed by our multidisciplinary PE response team activated by the Emergency Department were included over a 5-year calendar period. We examined temporal trends in management and rates of a composite primary endpoint (all-cause-death, major bleeding, recurrent venous thromboembolism, and readmission) at 30 days and 6 months. We assessed 425 patients between 2015 and 2019. We observed an increase in PE acuity and use of systemic thrombolysis. The primary endpoint at 30 days decreased from 16.3% in 2015 to 7.1% in 2019 (adjusted rate ratio per period, 0.63; 95%CI, 0.47-0.84), driven by a decrease in the adjusted rate of major bleeding. Among 406 patients with complete follow-up, the adjusted rate ratio per year for the primary outcome at 6 months was 0.37 (95%CI, 0.19-0.71), driven by a decrease in all-cause mortality. We observed evidence of temporal changes in clinical presentation, therapeutic strategies, and outcomes for acute PE, in parallel to, but not necessarily because of, the implementation of a multidisciplinary response team. Over time, major bleeding, mortality and readmission rates decreased, despite an increase in PE risk category.

Reversing Cardiac Hypertrophy at the Source Using a Cardiac Targeting Peptide Linked to miRNA106a: Targeting Genes That Cause Cardiac Hypertrophy

Causes and treatments for heart failure (HF) have been investigated for over a century culminating in data that have led to numerous pharmacological and surgical therapies. Unfortunately, to date, even with the most current treatments, HF remains a progressive disease with no therapies targeting the cardiomyocytes directly. Technological advances within the past two to three years have brought about new paradigms for treating many diseases that previously had been extremely difficult to resolve. One of these new paradigms has been a shift from pharmacological agents to antisense technology (e.g., microRNAs) to target the molecular underpinnings of pathological processes leading to disease onset. Although this paradigm shift may have been postulated over a decade ago, only within the past few years has it become feasible. Here, we show that miRNA106a targets genes that, when misregulated, have been shown to cause hypertrophy and eventual HF. The addition of miRNA106a suppresses misexpressed HF genes and reverses hypertrophy. Most importantly, using a cardiac targeting peptide reversibly linked to miRNA106a, we show delivery is specific to cardiomyocytes.

High waist circumference is a risk factor for hypertension in normal-weight or overweight individuals with normal metabolic profiles

This study aims to investigate the relationship between waist circumference and hypertension risk in normal‐weight/overweight individuals with normal cardiometabolic profiles. The authors included 7217 normal‐weight and overweight individuals with normal cardiometabolic profiles from the 2001 to 2014 US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The authors summarized demographic characteristics, cardiometabolic profiles, and behavioral factors across waist circumference quartiles. Then, in the logistic regression analysis, the authors observed a positive and significant association between waist circumference (as a continuous variable) and the prevalence of hypertension in all three models (nonadjusted, minimally adjusted, and fully adjusted), with odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.76 (1.65–1.86), 1.29 (1.20–1.39), and 1.24 (1.09–1.40), respectively. When analyzed as a categorical variable, individuals in the highest waist circumference group had a 1.48‐fold increased risk of hypertension than the lowest group in the fully adjusted model. Moreover, the Cox regression analysis revealed a positive and significant association between waist circumference and all‐cause mortality in individuals with hypertension in the nonadjusted model (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.10–1.47) and the fully adjusted model (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.22–2.06). In conclusions, our results showed that, even in those with normal metabolic profiles, high waist circumference was significantly associated with the increased prevalence of hypertension. And once hypertension has been established, patients with high waist circumference showed elevated all‐cause mortality. Therefore, waist circumference should be routinely measured and controlled regardless of metabolic profiles.

Extended Anticoagulation After Pulmonary Embolism: A Multicenter Observational Cohort Analysis

Background

Pulmonary embolism (PE) has a long‐term risk of adverse events, which can be prevented by extended anticoagulation. We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between patients treated with 2‐year extended anticoagulation and those who were not, in a population who had completed an initial phase of 3 to 6 months of anticoagulant therapy after acute PE.

Methods and Results

Observational cohort analysis of patients with PE who survived an initial phase of 3 to 6 months anticoagulation. Primary efficacy outcome was all‐cause death or recurrent venous thromboembolism. Primary safety outcome was major bleeding. In total, 858 (71.5%) patients were treated with and 341 (28.5%) were treated without extended anticoagulant therapy during the active study period. Age <65 years, intermediate‐high or high‐risk index PE, normal platelet count, and the absence of concomitant antiplatelet treatment were independently associated with the prescription of extended anticoagulation. The mean duration of the active phase was 2.1±0.3 years. The adjusted rate of the primary efficacy outcome was 2.1% in the extended group and 7.7% in the nonextended group (P<0.001) for patients treated with extended anticoagulant therapy. Rate of bleeding were similar between the extended anticoagulant group and the nonextended group.

Conclusions

Extended oral anticoagulation over 2 and a half years after index PE seems to provide a net clinical benefit compared with no anticoagulation in patients with PE selected to receive extended anticoagulation. Randomized clinical trials are warranted to explore the potential benefit of extended anticoagulation in patients with PE, especially those with transient provoking factors but residual risk.

How to write statistical analysis section in medical research

Reporting of statistical analysis is essential in any clinical and translational research study. However, medical research studies sometimes report statistical analysis that is either inappropriate or insufficient to attest to the accuracy and validity of findings and conclusions. Published works involving inaccurate statistical analyses and insufficient reporting influence the conduct of future scientific studies, including meta-analyses and medical decisions. Although the biostatistical practice has been improved over the years due to the involvement of statistical reviewers and collaborators in research studies, there remain areas of improvement for transparent reporting of the statistical analysis section in a study. Evidence-based biostatistics practice throughout the research is useful for generating reliable data and translating meaningful data to meaningful interpretation and decisions in medical research. Most existing research reporting guidelines do not provide guidance for reporting methods in the statistical analysis section that helps in evaluating the quality of findings and data interpretation. In this report, we highlight the global and critical steps to be reported in the statistical analysis of grants and research articles. We provide clarity and the importance of understanding study objective types, data generation process, effect size use, evidence-based biostatistical methods use, and development of statistical models through several thematic frameworks. We also provide published examples of adherence or non-adherence to methodological standards related to each step in the statistical analysis and their implications. We believe the suggestions provided in this report can have far-reaching implications for education and strengthening the quality of statistical reporting and biostatistical practice in medical research.

Common Statistical Methods and Reporting of Results in Medical Research

Statistical analysis is critical in medical research. The objective of this article is to summarize the appropriate use and reporting of commonly used statistical methods in medical research, on the basis of existing statistical guidelines and the authors’ experience in reviewing manuscripts, to provide recommendations for statistical applications and reporting.

Prognostic value of functional capacity after transitional rehabilitation in older patients hospitalized for heart failure

Background

Poor functional status is highly prevalent among older patients hospitalized for HF and marks a downward inflection point in functional and prognostic trajectories. We assessed the prognostic value of 6‐min walk test after transitional cardiac rehabilitation in older patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF).

Methods

We studied 759 patients aged ≥60 years who had been transferred to six inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRF) from acute care hospitals after a hospitalization for acute HF. The primary outcome was 3‐year all‐cause mortality. We used multivariable Cox analysis to determine the association between 6‐min walk distance (6MWD) at discharge from the IRFs and the primary outcome, adjusting for established predictors of death. The optimal cutoff for 6MWD was considered as the one that maximized the chi‐square statistic.

Results

Mean age was 75 ± 8 years. 6MWD significantly increased from admission to discharge (145 to 210 m; p < 0.001). The optimal cutoff for 6MWD was 198 m. After full adjustment, the hazard ratio for each 50 m‐increase in discharge 6MWD was 0.90 (0.87–0.94; p < 0.001) and that for discharge 6MWD dichotomized at the optimal cutoff 0.48 (0.38–0.60; p < 0.001). The incidence rate of death/100 person‐years for the patients who walked >198 m was 13.0 (10.0–15.5) compared with 30.8 (26.9–35.4) for those who walked <198 m. A statistically significant interaction of discharge 6MWD with left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) on the risk of death was observed (p value for interaction 0.047).

Conclusions

A rehabilitation intervention provided in the critical hospital‐to‐home transition period to older patients hospitalized for HF resulted in improved functional capacity. Increasing levels of functional capacity following rehabilitation were closely associated with decreasing risk of death; this association was significantly stronger for the subgroup with preserved EF.

Key Factors for Improving Rigor and Reproducibility: Guidelines, Peer Reviews, and Journal Technical Reviews

To respond to the NIH's policy for rigor and reproducibility in preclinical research, many journals have implemented guidelines and checklists to guide authors in improving the rigor and reproducibility of their research. Transparency in developing detailed prospective experimental designs and providing raw data are essential premises of rigor and reproducibility. Standard peer reviews and journal-specific technical and statistical reviews are critical factors for enhancing rigor and reproducibility. This brief review also shares some experience from Arteriosclerosis, Thrombosis, and Vascular Biology, an American Heart Association journal, that has implemented several mechanisms to enhance rigor and reproducibility for preclinical research.

Vitamin D and marine omega 3 fatty acid supplementation and incident autoimmune disease: VITAL randomized controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether vitamin D and marine derived long chain omega 3 fatty acids reduce autoimmune disease risk.

DESIGN

Vitamin D and omega 3 trial (VITAL), a nationwide, randomized, double blind, placebo controlled trial with a two-by-two factorial design.

SETTING

Nationwide in the United States.

PARTICIPANTS

25 871 participants, consisting of 12 786 men ≥50 years and 13 085 women ≥55 years at enrollment.

INTERVENTIONS

Vitamin D (2000 IU/day) or matched placebo, and omega 3 fatty acids (1000 mg/day) or matched placebo. Participants self-reported all incident autoimmune diseases from baseline to a median of 5.3 years of follow-up; these diseases were confirmed by extensive medical record review. Cox proportional hazard models were used to test the effects of vitamin D and omega 3 fatty acids on autoimmune disease incidence.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary endpoint was all incident autoimmune diseases confirmed by medical record review: rheumatoid arthritis, polymyalgia rheumatica, autoimmune thyroid disease, psoriasis, and all others.

RESULTS

25 871 participants were enrolled and followed for a median of 5.3 years. 18 046 self-identified as non-Hispanic white, 5106 as black, and 2152 as other racial and ethnic groups. The mean age was 67.1 years. For the vitamin D arm, 123 participants in the treatment group and 155 in the placebo group had a confirmed autoimmune disease (hazard ratio 0.78, 95% confidence interval 0.61 to 0.99, P=0.05). In the omega 3 fatty acids arm, 130 participants in the treatment group and 148 in the placebo group had a confirmed autoimmune disease (0.85, 0.67 to 1.08, P=0.19). Compared with the reference arm (vitamin D placebo and omega 3 fatty acid placebo; 88 with confirmed autoimmune disease), 63 participants who received vitamin D and omega 3 fatty acids (0.69, 0.49 to 0.96), 60 who received only vitamin D (0.68, 0.48 to 0.94), and 67 who received only omega 3 fatty acids (0.74, 0.54 to 1.03) had confirmed autoimmune disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin D supplementation for five years, with or without omega 3 fatty acids, reduced autoimmune disease by 22%, while omega 3 fatty acid supplementation with or without vitamin D reduced the autoimmune disease rate by 15% (not statistically significant). Both treatment arms showed larger effects than the reference arm (vitamin D placebo and omega 3 fatty acid placebo).

STUDY REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01351805 and NCT01169259.

Is there a role for endovascular stent implantation in the management of postoperative right ventricular outflow tract obstruction in the era of transcatheter valve implantation?

BACKGROUND

The optimal management pathway for the dysfunctional right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) is uncertain. We evaluated the long-term outcomes and clinical impact of stent implantation for obstructed RVOTs in an era of rapidly progressing transcatheter pulmonary valve technology.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 151 children with a biventricular repair who underwent stenting of obstructed RVOT between 1991 and 2017.

RESULTS

RVOT stenting resulted in significant changes in peak right ventricle (RV)-to-pulmonary artery (PA) gradient (39.4 ± 17.1-14.9 ± 8.3; p < 0.001) and RV-to-aortic pressure ratio (0.78 ± 0.22-0.49 ± 0.13; p < 0.001). Subsequent percutaneous reinterventions in 51 children to palliate recurrent stenosis were similarly effective. Ninety-nine (66%) children reached the primary outcome of subsequent pulmonary valve replacement (PVR). Freedom from PVR from the time of stent implantation was 91%, 51%, and 23% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Small balloon diameters for stent deployment were associated with shorter freedom from PVR. When additional children without stent palliation (with RV-to-PA conduits) were added to the stent cohort (total 506 children), the multistate analysis showed the longest freedom from PVR in those with stent palliation and subsequent catheter reintervention. Pulmonary regurgitation was well-tolerated clinically. Indexed RV dimensions and function estimated by echocardiography remained stable at last follow up or before primary outcome.

CONCLUSION

Prolongation of conduit longevity with stent implant remains an important strategy to allow for somatic growth to optimize the risk-benefit profile for subsequent surgical or transcatheter pulmonary valve replacement performed at an older age.

Analyses of repeatedly measured continuous outcomes in randomized controlled trials needed substantial improvements

OBJECTIVES

Systematic understanding is lacking regarding how current trials handle repeated measure data and the extent to which appropriate statistical methods are used for such data set. This study investigated the current practice of analyzing the repeated measure data among randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We searched the Core Clinical Journals indexed in PubMed for RCTs published in 2019 and included a continuous primary outcome with repeated measures. We randomly sampled RCTs from the eligible trials. Team of methods trained investigators screened studies for eligibility and collected data using the pilot-tested, standardized questionnaires. We thoroughly documented statistical analyses of the continuous primary outcome with repeated measures and particularly recorded how statistically advanced methods were used to handle these repeated measures.

RESULTS

In total, 200 trials were included. Of these trials, the mean number of repeated measures for the continuous primary outcome was 5.46 (SD = 3.4); 58 (29.0%) trials did not specify the time point of primary outcome in the method; 113 (56.5%) trials did not use statistically advanced methods for handling repeated measure data in the primary analyses. Among187 trials included the baseline values, 88 (47.1%) trials did not adjust for outcome value at baseline. Among 87 trials using statistically advanced methods, 49 (56.3%) did not specify correlation structure for model.

CONCLUSIONS

The statistical analyses of repeatedly measured continuous outcomes in RCTs need substantial improvements. Careful planning of the primary outcome and the use of statistically advanced methods for analyzing data are warranted.