Joint effects of one year of marine omega-3 fatty acid supplementation and participant dietary fish intake upon circulating lipid mediators of inflammation resolution in a randomized controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the joint effects of omega (n)-3 fatty acid supplementation and dietary fish intake on systemic lipid mediators of inflammation among adults.

METHODS

Within VITAL, a double-blind randomized controlled trial, adults were randomized to ω-3 fatty acids (460 mg EPA + 380 mg DHA/d) or placebo. We selected participants who reported low (<1 serving/mo) baseline dietary fish intake and matched them by age, sex, race, and trial arm to participants with self-reported highest fish intake (≥3.9 servings/wk). Baseline and 1-y plasma samples were tested for 9 ω-3 fatty acid-derived lipid mediators. Multivariable linear models assessed lipid mediator changes and joint effects of ω-3 fatty acid supplementation and dietary fish intake.

RESULTS

Forty-eight participants with low baseline fish intake were matched to 48 with high fish intake. Mean age was 64.6 (±7.26), 50% were female, and 85% non-Hispanic white. One-year lipid mediator changes in expected directions were observed in those receiving ω-3 fatty acids versus placebo: reductions in proinflammatory mediators, PGD2, 5-HETE, and 12-HETE; increases in proresolving mediators, EPA and DHA. Larger 1-y lipid biomarker changes were seen in those with low baseline fish intake randomized to active ω-3 fatty acids for DHA, EPA, PGD2, Resolvin D1, and Resolvin D4 were observed, although no significant multiplicative interactions were detected.

DISCUSSION

Beneficial changes in circulating proresolving and proinflammatory mediators were found with 1-y of ω-3 fatty acid supplementation versus placebo for all participants, with a trend toward larger effects among those with low baseline fish intake, although interactions were not significant.

Effect of multivitamin-mineral supplementation versus placebo on cognitive function: results from the clinic subcohort of the COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS) randomized clinical trial and meta-analysis of 3 cognitive studies within COSMOS

BACKGROUND

Longer effects of multivitamin-mineral (MVM) supplementation on late-life cognitive function remain untested using in-person, detailed neuropsychological assessments. Furthermore, insufficient evidence exists for healthcare providers to recommend daily MVM supplements to prevent cognitive decline.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to test MVM effects on cognitive change using in-person, detailed neuropsychological assessments and conduct a meta-analysis within COSMOS (COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study) cognitive substudies for a robust evaluation of MVM effects on cognition.

METHODS

COSMOS is a 2 × 2 factorial trial of cocoa extract (500 mg flavanols/d) and/or a daily MVM supplement for cardiovascular disease and cancer prevention among 21,442 United States adults aged ≥60 y. There were 573 participants in the clinic subcohort of COSMOS (that is, COSMOS-Clinic) who completed all cognitive tests administered at baseline. For the meta-analysis, we included nonoverlapping participants across 3 COSMOS cognitive substudies: COSMOS-Clinic (n = 573); COSMOS-Mind (n = 2158); COSMOS-Web (n = 2472).

RESULTS

In COSMOS-Clinic, we observed a modest benefit of MVM compared with placebo on global cognition over 2 y {mean difference [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 0.06 SD units (SU) (-0.003, 0.13)}, with a significantly more favorable change in episodic memory [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.12 SU (0.002, 0.23)] but not in executive function or attention [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.04 SU (-0.04, 0.11)]. The meta-analysis of COSMOS substudies showed clear evidence of MVM benefits on global cognition [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.07 SU (0.03, 0.11); P = 0.0009] and episodic memory [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.06 SU (0.03, 0.10); P = 0.0007]; the magnitude of effect on global cognition was equivalent to reducing cognitive aging by 2 y.

CONCLUSIONS

In COSMOS-Clinic, daily MVM supplementation leads to a significantly more favorable 2-y change in episodic memory. The meta-analysis within COSMOS cognitive substudies indicates that daily MVM significantly benefits both global cognition and episodic memory. These findings within the COSMOS trial support the benefits of a daily MVM in preventing cognitive decline among older adults. This trial was registered at COSMOS-clinicaltrials.gov as NCT02422745, at COSMOS-Mind-clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03035201, and at COSMOS-Web-clinicaltrials.gov as NCT04582617.

Apolipoprotein E and Its Association With Cognitive Change and Modification of Treatment Effects of Vitamin D3 and Omega-3s on Cognitive Change: Results From the In-Clinic Subset of a Randomized Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

Apolipoprotein E (APOE)-ε4 allele is associated with cognitive decline; however, its potential to modify effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s supplementation on later-life cognition is unclear. Our objectives were to estimate among the in-clinic subset of a randomized trial: (1) associations between APOE-ε4 and global and domain-specific cognitive change, with exploration of potential sex and race differences; and (2) modification by APOE-ε4 of effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s supplementation on cognitive change.

METHODS

From an ancillary study of depression prevention within a completed 2 × 2 factorial trial testing vitamin D3 (2 000 IU per day), omega-3s (1 g per day), and/or placebos, we included 743 older adults with baseline in-person neuropsychiatric assessments and APOE genotyping data. The primary outcome was change in global cognition (averaging z-scores of 9 tests) over 2 years. Secondarily, episodic memory and executive function/attention z-scores were examined. General linear models of response profiles with multiplicative interaction terms were constructed; stratified results were reported.

RESULTS

Mean age (standard deviation) was 67.1 (5.3) years; 50.6% were females; 24.9% were APOE-ε4 carriers. Compared to noncarriers, APOE-ε4 carriers had worse 2-year change in global cognition and episodic memory; differences were more apparent among females than males. There was no variation by race in APOE-ε4 associations with cognition. APOE-ε4 did not significantly modify effects of vitamin D3 or omega-3s, compared to placebo, on change in global cognition, episodic memory, or executive function/attention.

CONCLUSIONS

APOE-ε4 was associated with worse cognition but did not modify overall effects of vitamin D3 or omega-3 supplementation on cognition over 2 years.

The effect of vitamin D and omega-3 fatty acid supplementation on pain prevalence and severity in older adults: a large-scale ancillary study of the VITamin D and OmegA-3 triaL (VITAL)

ABSTRACT

A diet supplemented with vitamin D and marine omega-3 fatty acids may prevent and treat painful disorders by promoting the resolution of inflammation. However, large, randomized placebo-controlled trials evaluating the effects of supplementation with omega-3 fatty acids and vitamin D on the presence and severity of pain are lacking. VITamin D and OmegA-3 triaL-Pain (VITAL-Pain) is an ancillary study to the VITAL trial, a large randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of vitamin D (2000 IU/day) and omega-3 supplementation (1 g/day) over 5.3 years of median follow-up, among 25,871 older men and women. We assessed pain among those reaching the end of the VITAL intervention phase using questions from the 2012 National Health Interview Survey. We used ordinal logistic regression to test the effect of vitamin D and omega-3 fatty acids on the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval [CI] of reporting higher pain prevalence or severity. Overall, 19,611 participants provided complete pain information at the end of the VITAL trial. The ORs for higher pain prevalence or severity for vitamin D and omega-3 supplementation vs placebo were 0.99 ([CI] 0.94-1.05) and 0.99 ([CI] 0.94-1.04), respectively. There was no interaction between the 2 active treatments. Dietary supplementation with commonly used moderate doses of vitamin D or omega-3 fatty acids over a median of 5.3 years did not result in a lower prevalence or severity of pain in middle-aged and older U.S. adults.

Vitamin D and Marine n-3 Fatty Acids for Autoimmune Disease Prevention: Outcomes Two Years After Completion of a Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

In the 5.3-year randomized, 2 × 2 factorial, double-blind, placebo-controlled Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), vitamin D supplementation reduced autoimmune disease (AD) incidence (hazard ratio [HR] 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-0.99). Omega-3 (n-3) fatty acid supplementation showed a statistically nonsignificant reduction (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.67-1.08). We aimed to confirm further AD cases arising during and after randomization and assess sustained effects with two years of postintervention observation.

METHODS

Of the 12,786 men aged ≥50 and 13,085 women aged ≥55 initially randomized, we observed surviving and willing participants for two more years. We continued to confirm annual participant-reported new AD by medical record review. Cox models calculated HRs for all confirmed incident AD, (and secondary endpoints, including probable cases, and individual ADs), during the observational and randomized periods.

RESULTS

A total of 21,592 participants (83.5%) were observed for two more years; 514 participants developed incident confirmed AD (236 since prior report), of whom 255 had been randomized to vitamin D versus 259 to vitamin D placebo (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.83-1.17] at 7 years). AD was confirmed in 234 participants initially randomized to n-3 fatty acids versus 280 randomized to its placebo (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.70-0.99] at 7 years). Of newly confirmed cases, 65 had onset during randomization; their inclusion changed randomized results as follows: HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.70-1.04) for vitamin D and HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.71-1.06) for n-3 fatty acids.

CONCLUSION

Two years after trial termination, the protective effects of 2000 IU/day of vitamin D dissipated, but 1,000 mg/day of n-3 fatty acids had a sustained effect in reducing AD incidence.

Electrocardiographic deep learning for predicting post-procedural mortality: a model development and validation study

BACKGROUND

Preoperative risk assessments used in clinical practice are insufficient in their ability to identify risk for postoperative mortality. Deep-learning analysis of electrocardiography can identify hidden risk markers that can help to prognosticate postoperative mortality. We aimed to develop a prognostic model that accurately predicts postoperative mortality in patients undergoing medical procedures and who had received preoperative electrocardiographic diagnostic testing.

METHODS

In a derivation cohort of preoperative patients with available electrocardiograms (ECGs) from Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (Los Angeles, CA, USA) between Jan 1, 2015 and Dec 31, 2019, a deep-learning algorithm was developed to leverage waveform signals to discriminate postoperative mortality. We randomly split patients (8:1:1) into subsets for training, internal validation, and final algorithm test analyses. Model performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values in the hold-out test dataset and in two external hospital cohorts and compared with the established Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) score. The primary outcome was post-procedural mortality across three health-care systems.

FINDINGS

45 969 patients had a complete ECG waveform image available for at least one 12-lead ECG performed within the 30 days before the procedure date (59 975 inpatient procedures and 112 794 ECGs): 36 839 patients in the training dataset, 4549 in the internal validation dataset, and 4581 in the internal test dataset. In the held-out internal test cohort, the algorithm discriminates mortality with an AUC value of 0·83 (95% CI 0·79-0·87), surpassing the discrimination of the RCRI score with an AUC of 0·67 (0·61-0·72). The algorithm similarly discriminated risk for mortality in two independent US health-care systems, with AUCs of 0·79 (0·75-0·83) and 0·75 (0·74-0·76), respectively. Patients determined to be high risk by the deep-learning model had an unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of 8·83 (5·57-13·20) for postoperative mortality compared with an unadjusted OR of 2·08 (0·77-3·50) for postoperative mortality for RCRI scores of more than 2. The deep-learning algorithm performed similarly for patients undergoing cardiac surgery (AUC 0·85 [0·77-0·92]), non-cardiac surgery (AUC 0·83 [0·79-0·88]), and catheterisation or endoscopy suite procedures (AUC 0·76 [0·72-0·81]).

INTERPRETATION

A deep-learning algorithm interpreting preoperative ECGs can improve discrimination of postoperative mortality. The deep-learning algorithm worked equally well for risk stratification of cardiac surgeries, non-cardiac surgeries, and catheterisation laboratory procedures, and was validated in three independent health-care systems. This algorithm can provide additional information to clinicians making the decision to perform medical procedures and stratify the risk of future complications.

FUNDING

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

Effect of cocoa extract supplementation on cognitive function: results from the clinic subcohort of the COSMOS trial

BACKGROUND

Some prior randomized clinical trials (RCTs) that tested the effects of cocoa extract (CE), a source of flavanols, on late-life cognition have yielded promising findings. A long-term RCT using in-person neuropsychological tests covering multiple cognitive domains may clarify the cognitive effects of CE.

OBJECTIVES

To test whether daily supplementation with CE, compared with placebo, produces better cognitive change over 2 y.

METHODS

The COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS) is a 2 × 2 factorial RCT of CE [500 mg flavanols/d, including 80 mg (-)-epicatechin] and/or a daily multivitamin-mineral supplement for cardiovascular disease and cancer prevention among 21,442 United States adults aged ≥60 y. There were 573 participants in the clinic subcohort of COSMOS (that is, COSMOS-Clinic) who completed all cognitive tests at baseline; of these, 492 completed 2-y follow-up assessments. The primary outcome was global cognition (averaging z-scores across 11 tests). Secondary outcomes were episodic memory and executive function/attention. Repeated measures models were used to compare randomized groups.

RESULTS

Participants' mean age (standard deviation) was 69.6 (5.3); 49.2% were females. Daily supplementation with CE, compared with placebo, had no significant effect on 2-y change in global cognition {mean difference [95% confidence interval (CI)]: -0.01 (-0.08, 0.05) standard deviation units (SU)}. CE, compared with placebo, had no significant effects on 2-y change in episodic memory [mean difference (95% CI): -0.01 (-0.13, 0.10) SU] or executive function/attention [mean difference (95% CI): 0.003 (-0.07, 0.08) SU]. Subgroup analyses uncorrected for multiple-testing suggested cognitive benefits of CE supplementation, compared with placebo among those with poorer baseline diet quality.

CONCLUSIONS

Among 573 older adults who underwent repeat in-person, detailed neuropsychological assessments over 2 y, daily CE supplementation, compared with placebo, showed no overall benefits for global or domain-specific cognitive function. Possible cognitive benefits of CE among those with poorer diet quality warrant further study.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov with identifier - NCT02422745.

Omega-3 Blood Levels and Stroke Risk: A Pooled and Harmonized Analysis of 183 291 Participants From 29 Prospective Studies

BACKGROUND

The effect of marine omega-3 PUFAs on risk of stroke remains unclear.

METHODS

We investigated the associations between circulating and tissue omega-3 PUFA levels and incident stroke (total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic) in 29 international prospective cohorts. Each site conducted a de novo individual-level analysis using a prespecified analytical protocol with defined exposures, covariates, analytical methods, and outcomes; the harmonized data from the studies were then centrally pooled. Multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs across omega-3 PUFA quintiles were computed for each stroke outcome.

RESULTS

Among 183 291 study participants, there were 10 561 total strokes, 8220 ischemic strokes, and 1142 hemorrhagic strokes recorded over a median of 14.3 years follow-up. For eicosapentaenoic acid, comparing quintile 5 (Q5, highest) with quintile 1 (Q1, lowest), total stroke incidence was 17% lower (HR, 0.83 [CI, 0.76-0.91]; P<0.0001), and ischemic stroke was 18% lower (HR, 0.82 [CI, 0.74-0.91]; P<0.0001). For docosahexaenoic acid, comparing Q5 with Q1, there was a 12% lower incidence of total stroke (HR, 0.88 [CI, 0.81-0.96]; P=0.0001) and a 14% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86 [CI, 0.78-0.95]; P=0.0001). Neither eicosapentaenoic acid nor docosahexaenoic acid was associated with a risk for hemorrhagic stroke. These associations were not modified by either baseline history of AF or prevalent CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher omega-3 PUFA levels are associated with lower risks of total and ischemic stroke but have no association with hemorrhagic stroke.

Risk Factors for the Development of New-Onset Persistent Atrial Fibrillation: Subanalysis of the VITAL Study

BACKGROUND

Sustained forms of atrial fibrillation (AF) are associated with lower treatment success rates and poorer prognosis compared with paroxysmal AF. Yet, little is known about risk factors that predispose to persistent AF on initial presentation. Our objective was to define risk factors associated with new-onset persistent AF.

METHODS

We prospectively examined the differential associations between lifestyle, clinical, and socioeconomic risk factors and AF pattern (persistent versus paroxysmal) at the time of diagnosis among 25 119 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease, AF, or cancer in the VITAL rhythm study (Vitamin D and Omega-3).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 5.3 years, 900 participants developed AF and 346 (38.4%) were classified as persistent at the time of diagnosis. In multivariable competing risk models, increasing age, male sex, White race, height, weight, body mass index ≥30 kg/m2, hypertension, current or past smoking, alcohol intake ≥2 drinks/day, postcollege education, and randomized treatment with vitamin D were significantly associated with incident persistent AF. Compared with paroxysmal AF, increasing age, male sex, weight, body mass index ≥30 kg/m2, and postcollege education were more strongly associated with persistent AF in multivariable models regardless of whether interim cardiovascular disease and heart failure events were censored.

CONCLUSIONS

In a prospective cohort without baseline AF or cardiovascular disease, over one-third of AF at the time of diagnosis is persistent. Older age, male sex, postcollege education, and obesity were preferentially associated with persistent AF and represent a high-risk AF subset for population-based intervention.

Marine n-3 Fatty Acids and Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease: A Novel Analysis of the VITAL Trial Using Win Ratio and Hierarchical Composite Outcomes

This study aimed to investigate whether n-3 fatty acid supplementation reduced cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in a novel analysis using hierarchical composite CVD outcomes based on win ratio in the VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL). This was a secondary analysis of our VITAL randomized trial, which assessed the effects of marine n-3 fatty acids (1 g/day) and vitamin D3 on incident CVD and cancer among healthy older adults (n = 25,871). The primary analysis estimated win ratios of a composite of major CVD outcomes prioritized as fatal coronary heart disease, other fatal CVD including stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke, comparing n-3 fatty acids to placebo. The primary result was a nonsignificant benefit of this supplementation for the prioritized primary CVD outcome (reciprocal win ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.90 [0.78-1.04]), similar to the 0.92 (0.80-1.06) hazard ratio in our original time-to-first event analysis without outcome prioritization. Its benefits came from reducing MI (0.71 [0.57-0.88]) but not stroke (1.01 [0.80 to 1.28]) components. For the primary CVD outcome, participants with low fish consumption at baseline benefited (0.79 [0.65-0.96]) more than those with high consumption (1.05 [0.85-1.30]). These results are consistent with, but slightly stronger than, those without outcome prioritization.

A randomized clinical trial of omega-3 fatty acid and vitamin D supplementation on electrocardiographic risk profiles

Beneficial and adverse associations with arrhythmias have been reported for omega-3 fatty acids (omega-3 FA) and Vitamin D. The 12 lead electrocardiogram (ECG) contains quantitative measures reflecting diverse aspects of electrophysiology that might provide insights into mechanisms underlying these associations. In a pre-specified ancillary study of the VITaminD and omegA-3 (VITAL) trial, we examined the effect of 1 g of marine omega-3 FA per day, comprised of 460 mg eicosapentanoic acid and 380 mg of docosahexaenoic acid, and 2000 IU VitaminD3 per day on ECG characteristics associated with atrial and ventricular arrhythmias among individuals age 50 years or greater. A total of 911 study participants underwent ECGs at baseline and again at 2 years after the randomization. Individuals randomized to active omega-3 FA demonstrated significant net increase in PR-interval duration (p = 0.005) and P-wave duration (p = 0.03) as well significant net decrease in P-wave amplitude (p = 0.037) as compared to placebo. RMSSD increased to a greater extent in the omega-3 FA arm compared to placebo (p = 0.040). For Vitamin D3, the Cornell voltage increased to a lesser extent in the participants assigned to active treatment as compared to placebo (p = 0.044). There were no other significant differences in QRS, QTc, Cornell voltage or heart rate. Thus, randomized treatment with omega-3 FA supplements resulted in changes on the ECG that are potentially reflective of heightened vagal tone and/or slowing of intraatrial and AV conduction. Vitamin D3 supplementation resulted in modest reductions in progressive LV voltage suggestive of a potential antihypertrophic effect.Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT01169259, NCT02178410 (06/26/2010 and 06/30/2014).

Relation of serum BDNF to major depression and exploration of mechanistic roles of serum BDNF in a study of vitamin D3 and omega-3 supplements for late-life depression prevention

This study: 1) examined cross-sectional and longitudinal relations of serum brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) to late-life depression (LLD); 2) tested effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s on change in BDNF; 3) explored modifying or mediating roles of BDNF on effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s for LLD. We selected 400 adults from a completed trial of vitamin D3 and omega-3 supplements for LLD prevention. BDNF was measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. We administered semi-structured diagnostic interviews and Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ]-9 to ascertain outcomes at baseline (depression caseness vs. non-caseness; PHQ-9) and at 2-year follow-up among baseline non-depressed individuals (incident vs. no incident MDD; change in PHQ-9). At baseline, while there were no significant differences in mean serum BDNF comparing depression cases and non-cases, being in the lowest vs. highest serum BDNF quartile was significantly associated with worse depressive symptoms. There were no significant longitudinal associations between serum BDNF and LLD. Neither supplement significantly affected change in BDNF; serum BDNF did not appear to modify or mediate treatment effects on LLD. In conclusion, we observed significant cross-sectional but not longitudinal associations between serum BDNF levels and LLD. Vitamin D3 or omega-3s did not alter serum BDNF over 2 years.

Effects of Vitamin D3 and Marine Omega-3 Fatty Acids Supplementation on Indicated and Selective Prevention of Depression in Older Adults: Results From the Clinical Center Sub-Cohort of the VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL)

Objective: To test vitamin D₃ and omega-3 fatty acids (omega-3s) for late-life depression prevention under the National Academy of Medicine framework for indicated (targeting subthreshold depression) and selective (targeting presence of high-risk factors) prevention.

Methods: The VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL) is a 2 × 2 factorial trial of vitamin D₃ (2,000 IU/d) and/or omega-3s (1 g/d) for cardiovascular and cancer prevention (enrollment: November 2011-March 2014; end date: December 31, 2017). In this targeted prevention study, we included 720 VITAL clinical sub-cohort participants who completed neurobehavioral assessments at baseline and 2 years (91.9% retention). High-risk factors were subthreshold or clinical anxiety, impaired activities of daily living, physical/functional limitation, medical comorbidity, cognitive impairment, caregiving burden, problem drinking, and low psychosocial support. Coprimary outcomes were incident major depressive disorder (MDD), adjudicated using DSM-IV (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition), and change in mood (Patient Health Questionnaire-9 [PHQ-9]). We used exact tests to determine treatment effects on MDD incidence and repeated-measures models to determine treatment effects on PHQ-9.

Results: A total of 11.1% had subthreshold depression, 60.8% had ≥ 1 high-risk factor, MDD incidence was 4.7% (5.1% among completers), and mean PHQ-9 score change was 0.02 points. Among those with subthreshold depression, the MDD risk ratio (95% confidence interval) was 0.36 (0.06 to 1.28) for vitamin D₃ and 0.85 (0.25 to 2.92) for omega-3s, compared to placebo; results were also null among those with ≥ 1 high-risk factor (vitamin D₃ vs placebo: 0.63 [0.25 to 1.53]; omega-3s vs placebo: 1.08 [0.46 to 2.71]). There were no significant differences in PHQ-9 score change comparing either supplement with placebo.

Conclusions: Neither vitamin D₃ nor omega-3s showed benefits for indicated and selective prevention of late-life depression; statistical power was limited.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01696435.

Contribution of Migraine to Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction

BACKGROUND

Migraine with aura (MA) is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) independently from traditional vascular risk factors. However, the importance of MA on CVD occurrence relative to existing cardiovascular prediction tools remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

In this study, we sought to determine if adding MA status to 2 CVD risk prediction models improves risk prediction.

METHODS

Participants enrolled in the Women's Health Study self-reported MA status and were followed for incident CVD events. We included MA status as a covariable in the Reynolds Risk Score and the American Heart Association (AHA)/American College of Cardiology (ACC) pooled cohort equation and assessed discrimination (Harrell c-index), continuous and categorical net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

MA status was significantly associated with CVD after including covariables in the Reynolds Risk Score (HR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.54-2.84) and the AHA/ACC score (HR: 2.10; 95% CI: 1.55-2.85). Adding information on MA status improved discrimination of the Reynolds Risk Score model (from 0.792 to 0.797; P = 0.02) and the AHA/ACC score model (from 0.793 to 0.798; P = 0.01). We observed a small but statistically significant improvement in the IDI and continuous NRI after adding MA status to both models. We did not, however, observe significant improvements in the categorical NRI.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding information on MA status to commonly used CVD risk prediction algorithms enhanced model fit but did not substantially improve risk stratification among women. Despite the strong association of migraine with CVD risk, the relatively low prevalence of MA compared with other CV risk factors limits its usefulness in improving risk classification at the population level.

Efficacy of vitamin D3 supplementation on cancer mortality: systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

To evaluate the effect of vitamin D₃ supplementation on cancer mortality in the general population and on prognosis in cancer patients, a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised, placebo-controlled trials (RCTs) and individual patient data (IPD) was conducted. Overall, 14 RCTs with a total of 104,727 participants (2,015 cancer deaths) were identified and 7 RCTs, including 90% of all study participants (n=94,068), could be included in the IPD meta-analyses. The main meta-analysis of the 14 RCTs yielded a statistically non-significant reduction in cancer mortality by 6% (risk ratio (RR) [95%-confidence interval (95%CI)]: 0.94 [0.86-1.02]). Subgroup analyses revealed a 12% lower cancer mortality in the vitamin D₃ group compared with the placebo group in 10 trials with a daily dosing regimen (RR [95%CI]: 0.88 [0.78-0.98]), whereas no mortality reduction was seen in 4 trials using a bolus regimen (RR [95%CI]: 1.07 [0.91-1.24]; p-value for interaction: 0.042). The IPD meta-analysis (RR [95%CI]: 0.93 [0.84; 1.02]) confirmed the finding of all trials. The IPD were used to test effect modification by age, sex, body mass index, ethnicity, baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, adherence and cancer-related factors but no statistically significant findings were obtained in meta-analyses of all trials. When restricted to trials with daily dosing in a post-hoc analysis, adults aged ≥70 years (RR [95%CI]: 0.83 [0.77; 0.98]) and subjects with vitamin D₃ therapy initiation before cancer diagnosis (RR [95%CI]: 0.87 [0.69; 0.99]) appeared to benefit most from daily vitamin D₃ supplementation. Measurements of baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and inclusion of other than non-Hispanic White adults were too sparse in the trials to draw conclusions. Results for all-cause and cancer-specific survival of participants with cancer were comparable to those obtained in the general population for cancer mortality. In conclusion, vitamin D₃ did not reduce cancer mortality in the main meta-analysis of all RCTs because the observed risk reduction by 6% was not statistically significant. However, a subgroup analysis revealed that vitamin D₃ administered daily, in contrast to bolus supplementation, reduced cancer mortality by 12%.

Over-the-counter fish oil supplementation and pro-resolving and pro-inflammatory lipid mediators in rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Little is known about the effects of over-the-counter fish oil (FO) supplements on circulating omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (n-3 PUFA)-derived specialized pro-resolving mediators (SPMs), nor about whether having a chronic inflammatory disease such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA) influences SPM levels. We investigated associations between over-the-counter n-3 PUFA FO supplementation and circulating SPMs among patients with vs. without RA.

METHODS

We studied 104 participants: 26 with RA taking FO matched by age and sex to 26 with RA not taking FO, 26 without RA taking FO, and 26 without RA not taking FO. Targeted-liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectroscopy was performed on patient plasma to identify and quantify 27 lipid mediators (including eicosanoids and SPMs). We performed t-tests and then multivariable linear regression analyses to assess whether having RA or taking FO supplements was associated with circulating lipid mediator concentrations, adjusting for age, race, sex, smoking, body mass index, and current medication use (statins, prednisone and immunomodulators among RA cases only). We tested for interactions between FO supplementation and RA status. We also conducted Spearman's correlations between EPA, DHA, and ARA and their downstream metabolites.

RESULTS

Among patients who were taking FO compared to those who were not, in multivariable- adjusted analyses, SPM substrates EPA and DHA were both elevated as were several of their pro-resolving bioactive products, including 15- and 18-HEPE from EPA, and 14- and 17-HDHA from DHA, which are substrates for specific SPMs. While E-series and D-series resolvins were present and identified, we did not find statistical elevations of other SPMs. Results were similar among patients with RA and patients without RA, taking vs. not taking FO supplementation (no formal statistical interaction observed). There was a strong positive correlation between EPA and DHA and their immediate downstream SPM precursors (18-HEPE and15-HEPE from EPA; 17-HDHA and 14-HDHA from DHA) among all patients.

CONCLUSION

Patients taking FO supplements, regardless of RA status, not only had higher blood levels of EPA and DHA, but also of their enzymatic products 18-HEPE (E-series resolvin precursors), 15-HEPE and 17-HDHA (D-series resolvin and protectin precursors). Patients with RA, an inflammatory autoimmune disease, may be able to augment some SPM precursor reserves, similarly to matched controls without RA, by taking oral FO supplements.

Abstract P330: Effect of Randomized Omega-3 Treatment on Downstream Bioactive Lipids and Their Association With Incident Cardiovascular Disease Events: Metabolomic Studies of the Vital and Jupiter Trials

Background: The effect of omega-3 (n-3) treatment on cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes in randomized controlled trials remains inconsistent. We hypothesize that the downstream products of n-3 metabolism, including bioactive lipids (BALs), have a heterogeneous relationship with CVD, which may provide insight into response heterogeneity.

Methods: Using state of the art LC-MS, we assayed the plasma bioactive lipidome (>10K BALs) across 3,512 individuals at baseline and Y1 or -2, in the VITAL substudies (CVD case control N=1540; CTSC subcohort N=1054; 45% women, median age 70, 20% non-white) and JUPITER CVD case control (N=918) (NCT01169259, NCT00239681). Linear regression revealed BALs that change consistently with n-3 treatment (n3BALs) (discovery in VITAL controls, validation in an independent VITAL CTSC substudy, cumulative FDR .05). n3BALs that are also associated with CVD in VITAL CVD were identified using adjusted conditional logistic regression (p<.05). A BAL score was established using a multivariable adjusted model and validated externally in JUPITER CVD. Y1 or -2 change in BAL score in response to randomized n-3 and nonrandomized fish intake were tested using 2-sample t-test (p<.05).

Results: 354 BALs changed in response to randomized n-3 vs placebo. Baseline levels of 8 of these BALs were significantly associated with incident CVD (Figure, panels A, B). When combined into the multivariable BAL score, 5 were inversely and 3 positively associated with the CVD risk. The BAL score was significantly associated with CVD with fully adjusted HR/SD of 1.32, 95%CI [1.12 - 1.55] in external study, Figure panel C. N-3 therapy, statin therapy and baseline fish intake were associated with weak Y1 or -2 reduction in BAL score.

Conclusions: Downstream BALs are altered in response to n-3 treatment and associate with both decreased as well as increased risk of CVD. BAL response to n-3 treatment may explain clinical heterogeneity associated with fish oil supplementation and may be utilized for selection of more specific treatment.

Rationale and design of an ancillary study evaluating the effects of the cocoa flavanol and/or multivitamin interventions on falls and physical performance outcomes in the COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS)

BACKGROUND

Falls and decreased physical function increase markedly with age and result in injury, hospitalization, and premature death. Emerging studies show potential benefits of supplemental cocoa extract on physical performance, including grip strength and walking speed in older adults. However, there are no large, long-term randomized controlled trials of effects of supplemental cocoa extract on falls, muscle performance, and/or fall-related injuries.

METHODS

The COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS) is a double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2 × 2 factorial trial investigating effects of supplementation with cocoa extract (500 mg/d, including 80 mg (-)-epicatechin) and/or a multivitamin on prevention of cardiovascular disease and cancer in 21,442 women (≥65 years) and men (≥60 years).

COSMOS

Effects on Falls and Physical Performance is an ancillary study to COSMOS that will clarify effects of cocoa extract and/or multivitamin supplementation on falls, physical performance, and incident fracture outcomes in older adults. Injurious fall(s) resulting in healthcare utilization and recurrent falls were regularly assessed by follow-up questionnaires in the overall cohort. Incident fractures were also assessed by annual questionnaires. Circumstances surrounding falls and any fall-related injuries will be confirmed by medical record review. Effects of the interventions on 2-year changes in physical performance measures (grip strength, walking speed, and the Short Physical Performance Battery) will be tested in a clinic sub-cohort (n = 603).

CONCLUSION

Results from this ancillary study will determine whether supplemental cocoa extract slows age-related declines in physical performance and decrease injurious and recurrent falls and fall-related injuries and fractures that are major public health problems in older adults.

Association of Body Weight With Response to Vitamin D Supplementation and Metabolism

IMPORTANCE

In the Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), the effects of randomized vitamin D supplementation (cholecalciferol), 2000 IU/d, reduced the risk of several health outcomes among participants with normal, but not elevated, body weights. It was unclear whether weight had any association with the outcomes of the supplementation.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether baseline body mass index (BMI) modifies vitamin D metabolism and response to supplementation.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

VITAL is a completed randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial for the primary prevention of cancer and cardiovascular disease. In the present cohort study, an analysis was conducted in a subset of VITAL participants who provided a blood sample at baseline and a subset with a repeated sample at 2 years' follow-up. VITAL was conducted from July 1, 2010, to November 10, 2018; data analysis for the present study was conducted from August 1, 2021, to November 9, 2021.

INTERVENTIONS

Treatment outcomes of vitamin D, 2000 IU/d, supplementation vs placebo associated with clinical and novel vitamin D-related biomarkers by BMI category adjusted for other factors associated with vitamin D status.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Multivariable-adjusted means (SE) or 95% CIs of vitamin D-related serum biomarkers at baseline and follow-up: total 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD), 25-OHD3, free vitamin D (FVD), bioavailable vitamin D (BioD), vitamin D-binding protein (VDBP), albumin, parathyroid hormone (PTH), and calcium, and log-transformed as needed.

RESULTS

A total of 16 515 participants (mean [SD] age, 67.7 [7.0] years; 8371 women [50.7%]; 12420 non-Hispanic White [76.9%]) were analyzed at baseline, including 2742 with a follow-up blood sample. Before randomization, serum total 25-OHD levels were incrementally lower at higher BMI categories (adjusted mean [SE]: underweight, 32.3 [0.7] ng/mL; normal weight, 32.3 [0.1] ng/mL; overweight, 30.5 [0.1] ng/mL; obesity class I, 29.0 [0.2] ng/mL; and obesity class II, 28.0 [0.2] ng/mL; P < .001 for linear trend). Similarly, baseline 25-OHD3, FVD, BioD, VDBP, albumin, and calcium levels were lower with higher BMI, while PTH level was higher (all P < .001 for linear trend). Compared with placebo, randomization to vitamin D supplementation was associated with an increase in total 25-OHD, 25-OHD3, FVD, and BioD levels compared with placebo at 2 years' follow-up, but increases were significantly lower at higher BMI categories (all treatment effect interactions P < .001). Supplementation did not substantially change VDBP, albumin, PTH, or calcium levels.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this randomized cohort study, vitamin D supplementation increased serum vitamin D-related biomarkers, with a blunted response observed for participants with overweight or obesity at baseline. These longitudinal findings suggest that BMI may be associated with modified response to vitamin D supplementation and may in part explain the observed diminished outcomes of supplementation for various health outcomes among individuals with higher BMI.

Statin-Associated Muscle Symptoms Among New Statin Users Randomly Assigned to Vitamin D or Placebo

Importance

Statin-associated muscle symptoms (SAMS) are common and may lead to discontinuation of indicated statin therapy. Observational studies suggest that vitamin D therapy is associated with reduced statin intolerance, but no randomized studies have been reported.

Objective

To test whether vitamin D supplementation was associated with prevention of SAMS and a reduction of statin discontinuation.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Men 50 years or older and women 55 years or older, free of cancer and cardiovascular disease, were enrolled in a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trial of vitamin D supplementation. Participants who initiated statin therapy after randomization were surveyed in early 2016. The data were analyzed in early 2022.

Interventions

Daily cholecalciferol (2000 international units) or placebo with assessment of statin prescriptions during follow-up.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Muscle pain or discomfort lasting several days (primary outcome) and discontinuation of a statin due to SAMS (secondary outcome).

Results

Statins were initiated by 1033 vitamin D-assigned participants and 1050 placebo-assigned participants; mean (SD) age was 66.8 (6.2) years and 49% were women. Over 4.8 years of follow-up, SAMS were reported by 317 participants (31%) assigned vitamin D and 325 assigned placebo (31%). The adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.80-1.18; P = .78). Statins were discontinued by 137 participants (13%) assigned to vitamin D and 133 assigned to placebo (13%) with an adjusted OR of 1.04 (95% CI, 0.80-1.35; P = .78). These results were consistent across pretreatment 25-hydroxy vitamin D levels (interaction P value = .83). Among participants with levels less than 20 ng/mL, SAMS were reported by 28 of 85 vitamin D-assigned participants (33%) and 33 of 95 placebo-assigned participants (35%). For those with levels less than 30 ng/ml, SAMS were reported by 88 of 330 vitamin-D assigned participants (27%) and 96 of 323 of placebo-assigned participants (30%).

Conclusions and Relevance

Vitamin D supplementation did not prevent SAMS or reduce statin discontinuation. These results were consistent across pretreatment 25-hydroxy vitamin D levels.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01169259.

Circulating vitamin D and breast cancer risk: an international pooling project of 17 cohorts

Laboratory and animal research support a protective role for vitamin D in breast carcinogenesis, but epidemiologic studies have been inconclusive. To examine comprehensively the relationship of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] to subsequent breast cancer incidence, we harmonized and pooled participant-level data from 10 U.S. and 7 European prospective cohorts. Included were 10,484 invasive breast cancer cases and 12,953 matched controls. Median age (interdecile range) was 57 (42-68) years at blood collection and 63 (49-75) years at breast cancer diagnosis. Prediagnostic circulating 25(OH)D was either newly measured using a widely accepted immunoassay and laboratory or, if previously measured by the cohort, calibrated to this assay to permit using a common metric. Study-specific relative risks (RRs) for season-standardized 25(OH)D concentrations were estimated by conditional logistic regression and combined by random-effects models. Circulating 25(OH)D increased from a median of 22.6 nmol/L in consortium-wide decile 1 to 93.2 nmol/L in decile 10. Breast cancer risk in each decile was not statistically significantly different from risk in decile 5 in models adjusted for breast cancer risk factors, and no trend was apparent (P-trend = 0.64). Compared to women with sufficient 25(OH)D based on Institute of Medicine guidelines (50- < 62.5 nmol/L), RRs were not statistically significantly different at either low concentrations (< 20 nmol/L, 3% of controls) or high concentrations (100- < 125 nmol/L, 3% of controls; ≥ 125 nmol/L, 0.7% of controls). RR per 25 nmol/L increase in 25(OH)D was 0.99 [95% confidence intervaI (CI) 0.95-1.03]. Associations remained null across subgroups, including those defined by body mass index, physical activity, latitude, and season of blood collection. Although none of the associations by tumor characteristics reached statistical significance, suggestive inverse associations were seen for distant and triple negative tumors. Circulating 25(OH)D, comparably measured in 17 international cohorts and season-standardized, was not related to subsequent incidence of invasive breast cancer over a broad range in vitamin D status.

Effects of Vitamin D3 Supplementation on Cardiovascular and Cancer Outcomes by eGFR in VITAL

Background

Reduced 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) metabolism and secondary hyperparathyroidism are common with lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and may contribute to cardiovascular disease and cancer risk.

Methods

We assessed for heterogeneity by baseline eGFR of the effects of vitamin D3 on cardiovascular and cancer outcomes in the Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL). Participants were randomized to 2000 IU vitamin D3 and/or 1 g Ω-3 fatty acids daily using a placebo-controlled, two-by-two factorial design (5.3 years follow-up). Primary study end points were incident major cardiovascular events and invasive cancer. Changes in serum 25(OH)D and parathyroid hormone (PTH) were examined.

Results

Baseline eGFR was available for 15,917 participants. Participants' mean age was 68 years, and 51% were women. Vitamin D3 resulted in higher serum 25(OH)D compared with placebo (difference in change 12.5 ng/ml; 95% CI, 12 to 13.1 ng/ml), without heterogeneity by eGFR (P interaction, continuous eGFR=0.2). Difference in change in PTH between vitamin D3 and placebo was larger with lower eGFR (P interaction=0.05): -6.9 (95% CI, -10.5 to -3.4), -5.8 (95% CI, -8.3 to -3.4), -4 (95% CI, -5.9 to -2.2), and -3.8 (95% CI, -5.6 to -2) pg/ml for eGFR <60, 60-74, 75-89, and ≥90 ml/min per 1.73 m2, respectively. Effects of vitamin D3 supplementation on cardiovascular events (P interaction=0.61) and cancer (P interaction=0.89) did not differ by eGFR: HR=1.14 (95% CI, 0.73 to 1.79), HR=1.06 (95% CI, 0.75 to 1.5), HR=0.92 (95% CI, 0.67 to 1.25), and HR=0.92 (95% CI, 0.66 to 1.27) across eGFR categories for cardiovascular events and HR=1.63 (95% CI, 1.03 to 2.58), HR=0.85 (95% CI, 0.64 to 1.11), HR=0.84 (95% CI, 0.68 to 1.03), and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.92 to 1.35) for cancer, respectively.

Conclusions

We observed no significant heterogeneity by baseline eGFR in the effects of vitamin D3 supplementation versus placebo on cardiovascular or cancer outcomes, despite effects on 25(OH)D and PTH concentrations.

Effects of Vitamin D3 and Marine Omega-3 Fatty Acids Supplementation on Biomarkers of Systemic Inflammation: 4-Year Findings from the VITAL Randomized Trial

Background: The VITAL study was a nationwide, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2 × 2 factorial trial of vitamin D3 (2000 IU/day) and marine n-3 FAs (1 g/day) supplements. We recently reported that vitamin D supplementation with or without omega 3 fatty acids reduced autoimmune disease by 22% in the VITAL study. Objective: To investigate the effects of vitamin D3 and/or n-3 FAs on changes in systemic inflammatory biomarkers including pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines over a 4-year period in the VITAL sub-cohort with in-person evaluations at the Center for Clinical Investigations (CCI) in Boston. Design: Serum levels of four inflammatory biomarkers (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hs-CRP], interleukin-6, interleukin-10, and tumor necrosis factor-α) were measured in a total of 2713 samples from those 1054 VITAL/CCI participants (aged 64.9 ± 6.5 years, 49% female, 84% white, and 9% black) at baseline, year 2, and year 4 follow-up visits. Results: In multiple-adjusted models, vitamin D3 supplementation decreased serum hs-CRP levels by 19% at 2-year follow-up (nominal p = 0.007; p-value after multiple comparison adjustment = 0.028), but not at 4-year follow-up (nominal and adjusted p-values > 0.05). The effects of vitamin D3 on other inflammatory markers were not statistically significant either at year 2 or year 4 (all adjusted p-values > 0.05). Marine n-3 FAs were not significantly associated with changes of all the above inflammatory markers either at years 2 and 4, after multiple comparison adjustment (all p-values > 0.05). Conclusions: Vitamin D3 supplementation with or without n-3 FAs decreased hs-CRP by 19% at year 2, but not other inflammatory biomarkers at year 2 or year 4, while n-3 FAs with or without vitamin D3 did not significantly affect these biomarkers at either time point. Our findings support a potential role of vitamin D supplementation in modulating the chronic inflammatory process, systemic inflammation, and possibly autoimmune disease progression.

Fish oil supplementation in patients with and without systemic lupus erythematosus: targeting pro-inflammatory and pro-resolving lipid mediators

Background:

Omega-3 fatty acid-derived “specialized pro-resolving mediators” are lipid mediators (LM) central to inflammation resolution. We investigated whether fish oil (FO) supplementation was associated with pro-inflammatory and pro-resolving LM levels in SLE patients compared to matched non-SLE controls.

Methods:

16 SLE patients taking FO were matched (age, sex, race) to 16 non-SLE controls taking FO. Another 16 SLE patients not taking FO were matched to 16 non-SLE patients not taking FO. Demographic/clinical data were obtained by medical record review. Targeted liquid chromatography-tandem spectrometry was performed with plasma to quantify 27 LM. Multivariable linear analyses examined how SLE, FO, and their interaction were associated with LM levels, adjusting for potential confounders including inflammatory markers and SLE disease activity for SLE cases only.

Results:

Higher levels of pro-inflammatory LMs were found in patients with SLE not on FO, compared to controls not on FO, particularly TXB₂ (p=0.03). Lower levels of many SPMs were observed among patients with SLE taking FO compared to controls taking FO, including LXB₄ (p<0.01) and 18-HEPE (p=0.04). In case-only analyses, taking FO was associated with higher 17-HDHA levels (p=0.05). There were no multiplicative interactions between FO effect and SLE status, and after adjustment for multiple comparisons, few of the associations persisted.

Conclusion:

In this cross-sectional exploratory study, higher levels of inflammatory LM and lower levels of SPMs were found in SLE patients than controls, among those taking and not taking FO. Further studies investigating the potentially beneficial biologic effects of FO preparations and doses in SLE are needed.

Impact of Vitamin D3 Versus Placebo on Cardiac Structure and Function: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Background

Vitamin D supplementation leads to regression of left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy and improves LV function in animal models. However, limited data exist from prospective human studies. We examined whether vitamin D supplementation improved cardiac structure and function in midlife/older individuals in a large randomized trial.

Methods and Results

The VITAL (Vitamin D and OmegA‐3 Trial) was a nationwide double‐blind, placebo‐controlled randomized trial that tested the effects of vitamin D3 (2000 IU/d) and n−3 fatty acids (1 g/d) on cardiovascular and cancer risk in 25 871 individuals aged ≥50 years. We conducted a substudy of VITAL in which participants underwent echocardiography at baseline and 2 years. Images were interpreted by a blinded investigator at a central core laboratory. The primary end point was change in LV mass. Among 1054 Greater Boston–area participants attending in‐clinic visits, we enrolled 1025 into this study. Seventy‐nine percent returned for follow‐up and had analyzable echocardiograms at both visits. At baseline, the median age was 64 years (interquartile range, 60–69 years), 52% were men, and 43% had hypertension. After 2 years, the change in LV mass did not significantly differ between the vitamin D and placebo arms (median +1.4 g versus +2.6 g, respectively; P =0.32). Changes in systolic and diastolic LV function also did not differ significantly between arms. There were no significant changes in cardiac structure and function between the n−3 fatty acids and placebo arms.

Conclusions

Among adults aged ≥50 years, neither vitamin D3 nor n−3 fatty acids supplementation had significant effects on cardiac structure and function after 2 years.

Registration

URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ ; Unique identifiers: NCT01169259 (VITAL) and NCT01630213 (VITAL‐Echo)

Sex Differences in Atrial Fibrillation Risk: The VITAL Rhythm Study

Importance

Women have a lower incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with men in several studies, but it is unclear whether this sex difference is independent of sex differences in prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD), body size, and other risk factors.

Objective

To examine sex differences in AF incidence and whether AF risk factors differ by sex in a contemporary cohort of men and women without prevalent CVD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a prospective cohort analysis within the Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL) Rhythm Study, a randomized trial that examined the effect of vitamin D and ω-3 fatty acid supplementation on incident AF among men 50 years or older and women 55 years or older without a prior history of prevalent AF, CVD, or cancer at baseline. Data were analyzed from September 29, 2020, to June 29, 2021.

Exposures

Sex, height, weight, body mass index (BMI), body surface area (BSA), and other AF risk factors at study enrollment.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incident AF confirmed by medical record review.

Results

A total of 25 119 individuals (mean [SD] age, 67.0 [7.1] years; 12 757 women [51%]) were included in this study. Over a median (IQR) follow-up of 5.3 (5.1-5.7) years, 900 confirmed incident AF events occurred among 12 362 men (495 events, 4.0%) and 12 757 women (405 events, 3.2%). After adjustment for age and treatment assignment, women were at lower risk for incident AF than men (hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% CI, 0.59-0.77; P < .001). The inverse association between female sex and AF persisted after adjustment for race and ethnicity, smoking, alcohol intake, hypertension, diabetes (type 1, type 2, gestational), thyroid disease, exercise, and BMI (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.63-0.85; P <.001). However, female sex was positively associated with AF when height (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.14-1.72; P = .001), height and weight (HR 1.49, 95% CI, 1.21-1.82; P <.001), or BSA (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.06-1.49; P = .009) were substituted for BMI in the multivariate model. In stratified models, risk factor associations with incident AF were similar for women and men.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, findings suggest that after controlling for height and/or body size, women without CVD at baseline were at higher risk for AF than men, suggesting that sex differences in body size account for much of the protective association between female sex and AF. These data underscore the importance of AF prevention in women.

Statin-associated muscle symptoms in the VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL)

Statins are highly effective medications that reduce risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but are very commonly discontinued by patients because of muscle symptoms. The risk factors for statin-associated muscle symptoms (SAMS) are not well understood, so in this study we examined the predictors of SAMS in a well-studied cohort of patients in the VITAL trial. We found that female sex and younger age (50-64 years) were significant, independent predictors of higher rates of SAMS.

Effect of Vitamin D3 and Omega-3 Fatty Acid Supplementation on Risk of Frailty: An Ancillary Study of a Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Preventive strategies for frailty are needed. Whether supplements with anti-inflammatory properties, such as vitamin D3 or marine omega-3 fatty acids, are useful for frailty prevention is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To test the effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3 supplements on change in frailty in older individuals.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This study was conducted in 2021, as a prespecified ancillary to the Vitamin D and Omega-3 (VITAL) trial, a 2 × 2 factorial randomized clinical trial. A total of 25 871 individuals (men aged ≥50 years and women aged ≥55 years), without cancer or cardiovascular disease and with data on frailty, were recruited across all 50 US states from November 2011 to March 2014 and followed up through December 31, 2017. Data analysis for the ancillary study was conducted from December 1, 2019, to March 30, 2022.

INTERVENTIONS

Vitamin D3, 2000 IU/d, and marine omega-3 fatty acids, 1 g/d.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Frailty was measured using a validated 36-item frailty index that includes measures of function, cognition, mood, and comorbidities from annual questionnaires. Change in frailty score from baseline to year 5, according to randomization, using an intention-to-treat protocol, was assessed using repeated measures. Cox proportional hazards regression models assessed incident frailty. In subgroup analysis, an alternative frailty definition, the physical phenotype, was used as a sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Of 25 871 VITAL trial participants randomized, 25 057 had sufficient data to calculate a frailty index. Baseline mean (SD) age was 67.2 (7.0) years, and 12 698 (50.7.%) were women. Mean (SD) frailty score was 0.109 (0.090) (range, 0.00-0.685), and 3174 individuals (12.7%) were frail. During a median 5-year follow-up, mean (SD) frailty scores increased to 0.121 (0.099) (range, 0.00-0.792). Neither vitamin D3 nor omega-3 fatty acid supplementation affected mean frailty scores over time (mean difference at year 5: vitamin D3, -0.0002; P = .85; omega-3 fatty acid, -0.0001; P = .90) or rate of change in mean frailty score (interaction with time: vitamin D3; P = .98; omega-3 fatty acid; P = .13) Incident frailty remained similar over time (interaction with time: vitamin D3, P = .90; omega-3 fatty acid; P = .32). Results were unchanged using the frailty physical phenotype.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this ancillary study of the VITAL randomized clinical trial, treatment with vitamin D3 or omega-3 fatty acid supplementation, compared with placebo, did not affect the rate of frailty change or incidence over time. These results do not support routine use of either vitamin D3 or omega-3 fatty acid supplementation for frailty prevention in generally healthy community-dwelling older adults not selected for vitamin D3 deficiency.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01169259.

Polygenic Risk Score Predicts Sudden Death in Patients With Coronary Disease and Preserved Systolic Function

BACKGROUND

A familial predisposition to sudden and/or arrhythmic death (SAD) in the setting of coronary artery disease (CAD) exists; however, the genetic basis is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine whether a genome-wide polygenic score for coronary artery disease (GPSCAD) might have utility in SAD risk stratification in CAD patients without severe systolic dysfunction.

METHODS

A previously validated GPSCAD was generated utilizing genome-wide genotyping in 4,698 PRE-DETERMINE participants of European ancestry with CAD and left ventricular ejection fraction >30%-35%. The population was dichotomized according to top GPSCAD decile as defined by the general population, and absolute, proportional, and relative risks for SAD and non-SAD were estimated using competing risk analyses.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 8.0 years, participants in the top GPSCAD decile were at elevated absolute SAD risk (8.0%; 95% CI: 5.1%-12.4% vs 4.8%; 95% CI: 3.3%-7.0%; P = 0.005) and proportional SAD risk (29% vs 16%; P = 0.0003) compared with the remainder. After controlling for left ventricular ejection fraction, clinical factors, and electrocardiogram parameters, the top GPSCAD decile was associated with SAD (subdistribution HR: 1.77; 95% CI: 1.23-2.54; P = 0.002) but not non-SAD (subdistribution HR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.80-1.25; P = 0.98) (P for Δ = 0.003). The addition of the top GPSCAD decile to the multivariable model significantly improved net reclassification indexes (NRIs) (continuous NRI: 14.0%; P = 0.024; and categorical NRI: 6.6%; P = 0.005) but not the C-index (difference in C-index: 0.007; P = 0.143).

CONCLUSIONS

Among CAD patients without severe systolic dysfunction, high GPSCAD specifically predicted SAD and enriched for both absolute and proportional SAD risk, identifying a population who might benefit from defibrillator therapy.

Supplemental Vitamin D and Incident Fractures in Midlife and Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Vitamin D supplements are widely recommended for bone health in the general population, but data on whether they prevent fractures have been inconsistent.

METHODS

In an ancillary study of the Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), we tested whether supplemental vitamin D3 would result in a lower risk of fractures than placebo. VITAL was a two-by-two factorial, randomized, controlled trial that investigated whether supplemental vitamin D3 (2000 IU per day), n-3 fatty acids (1 g per day), or both would prevent cancer and cardiovascular disease in men 50 years of age or older and women 55 years of age or older in the United States. Participants were not recruited on the basis of vitamin D deficiency, low bone mass, or osteoporosis. Incident fractures were reported by participants on annual questionnaires and adjudicated by centralized medical-record review. The primary end points were incident total, nonvertebral, and hip fractures. Proportional-hazards models were used to estimate the treatment effect in intention-to-treat analyses.

RESULTS

Among 25,871 participants (50.6% women [13,085 of 25,871] and 20.2% Black [5106 of 25,304]), we confirmed 1991 incident fractures in 1551 participants over a median follow-up of 5.3 years. Supplemental vitamin D3, as compared with placebo, did not have a significant effect on total fractures (which occurred in 769 of 12,927 participants in the vitamin D group and in 782 of 12,944 participants in the placebo group; hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89 to 1.08; P = 0.70), nonvertebral fractures (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.87 to 1.07; P = 0.50), or hip fractures (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.70 to 1.47; P = 0.96). There was no modification of the treatment effect according to baseline characteristics, including age, sex, race or ethnic group, body-mass index, or serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels. There were no substantial between-group differences in adverse events as assessed in the parent trial.

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin D3 supplementation did not result in a significantly lower risk of fractures than placebo among generally healthy midlife and older adults who were not selected for vitamin D deficiency, low bone mass, or osteoporosis. (Funded by the National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases; VITAL ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01704859.).

Association of Physical Activity With Bioactive Lipids and Cardiovascular Events

BACKGROUND

To clarify the mechanisms underlying physical activity (PA)-related cardioprotection, we examined the association of PA with plasma bioactive lipids (BALs) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. We additionally performed genome-wide associations.

METHODS

PA-bioactive lipid associations were examined in VITAL (VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL)-clinical translational science center (REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT01169259; N=1032) and validated in JUPITER (Justification for the Use of statins in Prevention: an Intervention Trial Evaluating Rosuvastatin)-NC (NCT00239681; N=589), using linear models adjusted for age, sex, race, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, total-C, and smoking. Significant BALs were carried over to examine associations with incident CVD in 2 nested CVD case-control studies: VITAL-CVD (741 case-control pairs) and JUPITER-CVD (415 case-control pairs; validation).

RESULTS

We detected 145 PA-bioactive lipid validated associations (false discovery rate <0.1). Annotations were found for 6 of these BALs: 12,13-diHOME, 9,10-diHOME, lysoPC(15:0), oxymorphone-3b-D-glucuronide, cortisone, and oleoyl-glycerol. Genetic analysis within JUPITER-NC showed associations of 32 PA-related BALs with 22 single-nucleotide polymorphisms. From PA-related BALs, 12 are associated with CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified a PA-related bioactive lipidome profile out of which 12 BALs also had opposite associations with incident CVD events.

Efficacy of Marine ω-3 Fatty Acid Supplementation vs Placebo in Reducing Incidence of Dry Eye Disease in Healthy US Adults: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Results of several small randomized clinical trials have suggested that supplements of marine ω-3 fatty acids may be beneficial in treating signs and symptoms of dry eye disease (DED). However, randomized clinical trial data to examine whether ω-3 fatty acid supplements can prevent DED are lacking.

Objective

To evaluate whether long-term daily supplementation with marine ω-3 fatty acids prevents the development of DED.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a prespecified ancillary study of the Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), a nationwide randomized double-blind placebo-controlled 2 × 2 factorial trial of vitamin D and marine ω-3 fatty acids in the primary prevention of cancer and cardiovascular disease. Participants in this ancillary study were 23 523 US adults (men 50 years and older and women 55 years and older) who at study entry were free of a previous diagnosis of DED and were not experiencing severe dry eye symptoms. Participants were enrolled from November 2011 to March 2014, and treatment and follow-up ended on December 31, 2017. Data were analyzed from January 2020 to August 2021.

Interventions

Marine ω-3 fatty acids, 1 g per day.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end point was incident clinically diagnosed DED confirmed by review of the medical records. The secondary end point was a composite of all confirmed incident clinically diagnosed DED cases plus all incident reports of severe DED symptoms.

Results

The mean (SD) age of the 23 523 participants included in the analysis was 67.0 (7.0) years, and 5678 participants (48.3%) were women. The cohort included 4610 participants (20.0%) who self-identified as Black, 16 481 (71.6%) who self-identified as non-Hispanic White, and 1927 (8.4%) of other racial or ethnic groups or who declined to respond, consolidated owing to small numbers, including American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Hispanic or Latino, and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander. During a median (range) 5.3 (3.8-6.1) years of treatment and follow-up, 472 of 23 523 participants (2.0%) experienced a medical record-confirmed diagnosis of DED. There was no difference in diagnosed DED by randomized ω-3 fatty acid assignment (232 of 11 757 participants [2.0%] with end points in the treated group vs 240 of 11 766 [2.0%] with end points in the placebo group; hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.81-1.16). Similarly, there was no difference between groups for the secondary end point of diagnosed DED plus incident severe DED symptoms (1044 participants [8.9%] with end points in the treated group vs 1074 [9.1%] with end points in the placebo group; hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.89-1.06).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this randomized clinical trial, long-term supplementation with 1 g per day of marine ω-3 fatty acids for a median (range) of 5.3 (3.8-6.1) years did not reduce the incidence of diagnosed DED or a combined end point of diagnosed DED or incident severe DED symptoms. These results do not support recommending marine ω-3 fatty acid supplementation to reduce the incidence of DED.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01880463.

Association of Modifiable Lifestyle Factors with Plasma Branched-Chain Amino Acid Metabolites in Women

BACKGROUND

Circulating branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs-isoleucine, leucine, and valine) are strongly associated with higher risk of incident type 2 diabetes (T2D); however, determinants of elevated fasting BCAA concentrations are largely unknown.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to characterize the modifiable lifestyle factors related to plasma BCAAs.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional analysis among n = 18,897 women (mean ± SD age: 54.9 ± 7.2 y) in the Women's Health Study, free of T2D and cardiovascular disease at baseline blood draw. Lifestyle factors, weight, and height were self-reported via questionnaire, including smoking status, alcohol, leisure-time physical activity (LTPA), diet quality scores [2010 Alternative Healthy Eating Index (without alcohol) (aHEI); alternate Mediterranean Diet (aMED)], and dietary sources of BCAAs. Plasma BCAAs were quantified via NMR spectroscopy. We calculated multivariable-adjusted percentage mean differences (95% CIs) and P values for linear trend of BCAAs stratified by categoric lifestyle factors. We estimated R2 from univariate cubic spline regression models to estimate the variability in BCAAs explained.

RESULTS

Compared with women with BMI (in kg/m2) <25.0, BCAAs were 8.6% (95% CI: 8.0%, 9.3%), 15.3% (95% CI: 14.4%, 16.3%), and 21.0% (95% CI: 18.2%, 23.9%) higher for the BMI strata 25.0-29.9, 30.0-39.9, and ≥40.0, respectively (P-trend < 0.0001). Women with higher LTPA and higher alcohol intake compared with lower had modestly (∼1%) lower plasma BCAAs (P-trend = 0.014 and 0.0003, respectively). Differences in smoking status, aHEI, and aMED score were not related to plasma BCAAs. Women with higher dietary BCAAs had dose-response higher plasma BCAA concentrations, 3.4% (95% CI: 2.5%, 4.4%) higher when comparing the highest with the lowest quintile (P-trend < 0.0001). BMI explained 11.6% of the variability of BCAAs, whereas other factors explained between 0.1% and 1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings among a large cohort of US women indicate that BMI, but less so diet, physical activity, and other lifestyle factors, is related to plasma BCAAs.This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00000479.

Abstract 140: Plasma Interleukin-6 Levels And Cardiovascular Events In The Cirt Trial: Consistent Associations For Incident Coronary, Cerebrovascular, And Peripheral Artery Disease

Introduction: Inflammation is causally related to atherothrombosis. Interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and interleukin-18 (IL-18) require NLRP3 inflammasome for activation and have downstream effects on interleukin-6 (IL-6), a marker previously associated with high risk of coronary artery and cerebrovascular disease (CCVD). However, data pertaining to peripheral artery disease (PAD) are sparse and could offer druggable targets in this disease.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 4248 patients with type 2 diabetes or metabolic syndrome and prior coronary artery disease who participated in the NIH-funded Cardiovascular Inflammation Reduction Trial (CIRT). Participants were followed for up to 5 years for incident CCVD and symptomatic PAD events. Randomized treatment with low-dose methotrexate (vs. placebo) had no effect on event rates or plasma levels of inflammatory biomarkers. Baseline levels of IL-1β, IL-18, and IL-6 were tested for association with incident vascular events. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models (adjusted for traditional risk factors) were estimated.

Results: In multivariable adjusted analyses, hazard ratios for the lowest (referent) to highest baseline quartiles of IL-6 were 1.0, 1.5, 1.8, and 2.0 (p-trend <0.001) and 1.0, 1.2, 2.5, and 2.0 (p-trend = 0.04) for incident CCVD (N=349) and PAD (N=87), respectively. Baseline IL-6 levels above vs. below the median (2.50 pg/ml) were associated with a 56% increased risk of CCVD (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.26-1.93) and a 113% increased risk PAD (HR 2.13, 95% CI 1.36-3.32) (Figure 1). Baseline levels of IL-1β and IL-18 did not associate with incident CCVD or PAD.

Conclusion: In this contemporary cohort of secondary prevention patients, elevated IL-6 was associated with both incident CCVD and PAD. These data support exploration of direct IL-6 inhibition for PAD prevention, a strategy currently being pursued to reduce risk of coronary artery and cerebrovascular disease.

Marine n-3 fatty acids and cognitive change among older adults in the VITAL randomized trial

Introduction

: Few large, randomized trials have evaluated marine n-3 supplements and cognition in healthy older adults.

Methods

: Healthy community-dwelling participants aged 60+ years (mean [standard deviation] = 70.9 [5.8] years) in VITAL (randomized trial of n-3 fats [1 g/day, including 840 mg of eicosapentaenoic acid + docosahexaenoic acid] and vitamin D) were included: 3424 whose cognition was assessed by phone (VITAL-Cog; eight neuropsychological tests; 2.8 years) and 794 evaluated in person (CTSC-Cog; nine tests; 2.0 years). The primary outcome was a global score (average of test z-scores) of change over two assessments. We used multivariable-adjusted linear mixed models; substudy-specific results were meta-analyzed.

Results

: We observed no significant effect of n-3 supplementation: the mean difference in annual rate of cognitive change for the n-3 versus placebo group was -0.01 standard units (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.02, 0.003) in VITAL-Cog and -0.002 (95% CI: -0.04, 0.03) in CTSC-Cog; the pooled difference was -0.01 (95% CI: -0.02, 0.003; P = .15).

Discussion

: Marine n-3 supplementation (1 g/day) did not confer cognitive benefits over 2 to 3 years in community-dwelling older adults.

Arrhythmic sudden death survival prediction using deep learning analysis of scarring in the heart

Sudden cardiac death from arrhythmia is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Here, we develop a novel deep learning (DL) approach that blends neural networks and survival analysis to predict patient-specific survival curves from contrast-enhanced cardiac magnetic resonance images and clinical covariates for patients with ischemic heart disease. The DL-predicted survival curves offer accurate predictions at times up to 10 years and allow for estimation of uncertainty in predictions. The performance of this learning architecture was evaluated on multi-center internal validation data and tested on an independent test set, achieving concordance index of 0.83 and 0.74, and 10-year integrated Brier score of 0.12 and 0.14. We demonstrate that our DL approach with only raw cardiac images as input outperforms standard survival models constructed using clinical covariates. This technology has the potential to transform clinical decision-making by offering accurate and generalizable predictions of patient-specific survival probabilities of arrhythmic death over time.

Diabetes Mellitus, Race, and Effects of Omega-3 Fatty Acids on Incidence of Heart Failure Hospitalization

OBJECTIVES

The primary aim was to evaluate whether prevalent type 2 diabetes (T2D) modifies the effects of omega-3 supplementation on heart failure (HF) hospitalization. The secondary aim was to examine if race modifies the effects of omega-3 supplements on HF risk.

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether race and T2D modify the effects of omega-3 supplementation on the incidence of HF.

METHODS

In this ancillary study of the parent VITAL (Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial)-a completed randomized trial testing the efficacy of vitamin D and omega-3 fatty acids on cardiovascular diseases and cancer, we assessed the role of T2D and race on the effects of omega-3 supplements on the incidence of HF hospitalization (adjudicated by a review of medical records and supplemented with a query of Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services data).

RESULTS

When omega-3 supplements were compared with placebo, the HR for first HF hospitalization was 0.69 (95% CI: 0.50-0.95) in participants with prevalent T2D and 1.09 (95% CI: 0.88-1.34) in those without T2D (P for interaction = 0.019). Furthermore, prevalent T2D modified the effects of omega-3 fatty acids on the incidence of recurrent HF hospitalization (HR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.41-0.69 in participants with prevalent T2D vs HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.89-1.28 in those without T2D; P interaction <0.0001). In our secondary analysis, omega-3 supplementation reduced recurrent HF hospitalization only in Black participants (P interaction race × omega-3 = 0.0497).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data show beneficial effects of omega-3 fatty acid supplements on incidence of HF hospitalization in participants with T2D but not in those without T2D, and such benefit appeared to be stronger in Black participants with T2D. (Intervention With Vitamin D and Omega-3 Supplements and Incident Heart Failure; NCT02271230; Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial [VITAL]; NCT01169259 [parent study]).

Vitamin D and marine omega 3 fatty acid supplementation and incident autoimmune disease: VITAL randomized controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether vitamin D and marine derived long chain omega 3 fatty acids reduce autoimmune disease risk.

DESIGN

Vitamin D and omega 3 trial (VITAL), a nationwide, randomized, double blind, placebo controlled trial with a two-by-two factorial design.

SETTING

Nationwide in the United States.

PARTICIPANTS

25 871 participants, consisting of 12 786 men ≥50 years and 13 085 women ≥55 years at enrollment.

INTERVENTIONS

Vitamin D (2000 IU/day) or matched placebo, and omega 3 fatty acids (1000 mg/day) or matched placebo. Participants self-reported all incident autoimmune diseases from baseline to a median of 5.3 years of follow-up; these diseases were confirmed by extensive medical record review. Cox proportional hazard models were used to test the effects of vitamin D and omega 3 fatty acids on autoimmune disease incidence.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary endpoint was all incident autoimmune diseases confirmed by medical record review: rheumatoid arthritis, polymyalgia rheumatica, autoimmune thyroid disease, psoriasis, and all others.

RESULTS

25 871 participants were enrolled and followed for a median of 5.3 years. 18 046 self-identified as non-Hispanic white, 5106 as black, and 2152 as other racial and ethnic groups. The mean age was 67.1 years. For the vitamin D arm, 123 participants in the treatment group and 155 in the placebo group had a confirmed autoimmune disease (hazard ratio 0.78, 95% confidence interval 0.61 to 0.99, P=0.05). In the omega 3 fatty acids arm, 130 participants in the treatment group and 148 in the placebo group had a confirmed autoimmune disease (0.85, 0.67 to 1.08, P=0.19). Compared with the reference arm (vitamin D placebo and omega 3 fatty acid placebo; 88 with confirmed autoimmune disease), 63 participants who received vitamin D and omega 3 fatty acids (0.69, 0.49 to 0.96), 60 who received only vitamin D (0.68, 0.48 to 0.94), and 67 who received only omega 3 fatty acids (0.74, 0.54 to 1.03) had confirmed autoimmune disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin D supplementation for five years, with or without omega 3 fatty acids, reduced autoimmune disease by 22%, while omega 3 fatty acid supplementation with or without vitamin D reduced the autoimmune disease rate by 15% (not statistically significant). Both treatment arms showed larger effects than the reference arm (vitamin D placebo and omega 3 fatty acid placebo).

STUDY REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01351805 and NCT01169259.

24-Hour Urinary Sodium and Potassium Excretion and Cardiovascular Risk

BACKGROUND

The relation between sodium intake and cardiovascular disease remains controversial, owing in part to inaccurate assessment of sodium intake. Assessing 24-hour urinary excretion over a period of multiple days is considered to be an accurate method.

METHODS

We included individual-participant data from six prospective cohorts of generally healthy adults; sodium and potassium excretion was assessed with the use of at least two 24-hour urine samples per participant. The primary outcome was a cardiovascular event (coronary revascularization or fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke). We analyzed each cohort using consistent methods and combined the results using a random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Among 10,709 participants, who had a mean (±SD) age of 51.5±12.6 years and of whom 54.2% were women, 571 cardiovascular events were ascertained during a median study follow-up of 8.8 years (incidence rate, 5.9 per 1000 person-years). The median 24-hour urinary sodium excretion was 3270 mg (10th to 90th percentile, 2099 to 4899). Higher sodium excretion, lower potassium excretion, and a higher sodium-to-potassium ratio were all associated with a higher cardiovascular risk in analyses that were controlled for confounding factors (P≤0.005 for all comparisons). In analyses that compared quartile 4 of the urinary biomarker (highest) with quartile 1 (lowest), the hazard ratios were 1.60 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19 to 2.14) for sodium excretion, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.51 to 0.91) for potassium excretion, and 1.62 (95% CI, 1.25 to 2.10) for the sodium-to-potassium ratio. Each daily increment of 1000 mg in sodium excretion was associated with an 18% increase in cardiovascular risk (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.29), and each daily increment of 1000 mg in potassium excretion was associated with an 18% decrease in risk (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher sodium and lower potassium intakes, as measured in multiple 24-hour urine samples, were associated in a dose-response manner with a higher cardiovascular risk. These findings may support reducing sodium intake and increasing potassium intake from current levels. (Funded by the American Heart Association and the National Institutes of Health.).

Serum Vitamin D: Correlates of Baseline Concentration and Response to Supplementation in VITAL-DKD

CONTEXT

The effect of daily vitamin D supplementation on the serum concentration of vitamin D (the parent compound) may offer insight into vitamin D disposition.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the total serum vitamin D response to vitamin D3 supplementation and whether it varies according to participant characteristics. To compare results with corresponding results for total serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], which is used clinically and measured in supplementation trials.

DESIGN

Exploratory study within a randomized trial.

INTERVENTION

2000 International Units of vitamin D3 per day (or matching placebo).

SETTING

Community-based.

PARTICIPANTS

161 adults (mean ± SD age 70 ± 6 years; 66% males) with type 2 diabetes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Changes in total serum vitamin D and total serum 25(OH)D concentrations from baseline to year 2.

RESULTS

At baseline, there was a positive, nonlinear relation between total serum vitamin D and total serum 25(OH)D concentrations. Adjusted effects of supplementation were a 29.2 (95% CI: 24.3, 34.1) nmol/L increase in serum vitamin D and a 33.4 (95% CI: 27.7, 39.2) nmol/L increase in serum 25(OH)D. Among those with baseline 25(OH)D < 50 compared with ≥ 50 nmol/L, the serum vitamin D response to supplementation was attenuated (15.7 vs 31.2 nmol/L; interaction P-value = 0.02), whereas the serum 25(OH)D response was augmented (47.9 vs 30.7 nmol/L; interaction P-value = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin D3 supplementation increases total serum vitamin D and 25(OH)D concentrations with variation according to baseline 25(OH)D, which suggests that 25-hydroxylation of vitamin D3 is more efficient when serum 25(OH)D concentration is low.

Effect of Long-term Supplementation With Marine Omega-3 Fatty Acids vs Placebo on Risk of Depression or Clinically Relevant Depressive Symptoms and on Change in Mood Scores: A Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Marine omega-3 fatty acid (omega-3) supplements have been used to treat depression but their ability to prevent depression in the general adult population is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To test effects of omega-3 supplementation on late-life depression risk and mood scores.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 18 353 adults participated in the VITAL-DEP (Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial-Depression Endpoint Prevention) ancillary study to VITAL, a randomized trial of cardiovascular disease and cancer prevention among 25 871 US adults. There were 16 657 at risk of incident depression (no previous depression) and 1696 at risk of recurrent depression (previous depression, but not for the past 2 years). Randomization occurred from November 2011 through March 2014; randomized treatment ended on December 31, 2017.

INTERVENTIONS

Randomized 2 × 2 factorial assignment to vitamin D3 (2000 IU/d), marine omega-3 fatty acids (1 g/d of fish oil, including 465 mg of eicosapentaenoic acid and 375 mg of docosahexaenoic acid) or placebo; 9171 were randomized to omega-3 and 9182 were randomized to matching placebo.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Prespecified coprimary outcomes were risk of depression or clinically relevant depressive symptoms (total of incident + recurrent cases); mean difference in mood score (8-item Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ-8] depression scale).

RESULTS

Among 18 353 participants who were randomized (mean age, 67.5 [SD, 7.1] years; 49.2% women), 90.3% completed the trial (93.5% among those alive at the end of the trial); the median treatment duration was 5.3 years. The test for interaction between the omega-3 and the vitamin D agents was not significant (P for interaction = .14). Depression risk was significantly higher comparing omega-3 (651 events, 13.9 per 1000 person-years) with placebo (583 events, 12.3 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.13; 95% CI, 1.01-1.26; P = .03). No significant differences were observed comparing omega-3 with placebo groups in longitudinal mood scores: the mean difference in change in PHQ-8 score was 0.03 points (95% CI, -0.01 to 0.07; P = .19). Regarding serious and common adverse events, the respective prevalence values in omega-3 vs placebo groups were major cardiovascular events (2.7% vs 2.9%), all-cause mortality (3.3% vs 3.1%), suicide (0.02% vs 0.01%), gastrointestinal bleeding (2.6% vs 2.7%), easy bruising (24.8% vs 25.1%), and stomach upset or pain (35.2% vs 35.1%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among adults aged 50 years or older without clinically relevant depressive symptoms at baseline, treatment with omega-3 supplements compared with placebo yielded mixed results, with a small but statistically significant increase in risk of depression or clinically relevant depressive symptoms but no difference in mood scores, over a median follow-up of 5.3 years. These findings do not support the use of omega-3 supplements in adults to prevent depression.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT01696435 and NCT01169259.

Effect of Long-Term Marine ɷ-3 Fatty Acids Supplementation on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Randomized Controlled Trials of Cardiovascular Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Some, but not all, large-scale randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effects of marine ɷ-3 fatty acids supplementation on cardiovascular outcomes have reported increased risks of atrial fibrillation (AF). The potential reasons for disparate findings may be dose-related.

METHODS

The MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched for articles and abstracts published between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2020, in addition to a meta-analysis of large cardiovascular RCTs published in 2019. RCTs of cardiovascular outcomes of marine ɷ-3 fatty acids that reported results for AF, either as a prespecified outcome, an adverse event, or a cause for hospitalization, with a minimum sample size of 500 patients and a median follow-up of at least 1 year were included. RCTs specifically examining shorter-term effects of ɷ-3 fatty acids on recurrent AF in patients with established AF or postoperative AF were not included. The hazard ratio (HR) for the reported AF outcomes within each trial was meta-analyzed using random effects model with Knapp-Hartung adjustment and evaluated a dose-response relationship with a meta-regression model.

RESULTS

Of 4049 screened records, 7 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Of those, 5 were already detected in a previous meta-analysis of cardiovascular RCTs. Among the 81 210 patients from 7 trials, 58 939 (72.6%) were enrolled in trials testing ≤1 g/d and 22 271 (27.4%) in trials testing >1 g/d of ɷ-3 fatty acids. The mean age was 65 years, and 31 842 (39%) were female. The weighted average follow-up was 4.9 years. In meta-analysis, the use of marine ɷ-3 fatty acid supplements was associated with an increased risk of AF (n=2905; HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.07-1.46]; P=0.013). In analyses stratified by dose, the HR was greater in the trials testing >1 g/d (HR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.04-2.15]; P=0.042) compared with those testing ≤1 g/d (HR, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.03-1.22]; P=0.024; P for interaction <0.001). In meta-regression, the HR for AF increased per 1 g higher dosage of ɷ-3 fatty acids dosage (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.06-1.15]; P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In RCTs examining cardiovascular outcomes, marine ɷ-3 supplementation was associated with an increased risk of AF. The risk appeared to be greater in trials testing >1 g/d.

Diabetes and Risk of Sudden Death in Coronary Artery Disease Patients Without Severe Systolic Dysfunction

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine the absolute and relative associations of diabetes mellitus (DM) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) with sudden and/or arrhythmic death (SAD) versus other modes of death in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) who do not qualify for implantable cardioverter-defibrillators.

BACKGROUND

Patients with CAD and DM are at elevated risk for SAD; however, it is unclear whether these patients would benefit from implantable cardioverter-defibrillators given competing causes of death and/or whether HbA1c might augment SAD risk stratification.

METHODS

In the PRE-DETERMINE study of 5,764 patients with CAD with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of >30% to 35%, competing risk analyses were used to compare the absolute and relative risks of SAD versus non-SAD by DM status and HbA1c level and to identify risk factors for SAD among 1,782 patients with DM.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 6.8 years, DM and HbA1c were significantly associated with SAD and non-SAD (P < 0.05 for all comparisons); however, the cumulative incidence of non-SAD (19.2%; 95% CI: 17.3%-21.2%) was almost 4 times higher than SAD (4.8%; 95% CI: 3.8%-5.9%) in DM patients. A similar pattern of absolute risk was observed across categories of HbA1c. In analyses limited to patients with DM, HbA1c was not associated with SAD, whereas low LVEF, atrial fibrillation, and electrocardiogram measurements were associated with higher SAD risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CAD and LVEF of >30% to 35%, patients with DM and/or elevated HbA1c are at much higher absolute risk of dying from non-SAD than SAD. Clinical risk markers, and not HbA1c, were associated with SAD risk in patients with DM. (PRE-DETERMINE: Biologic Markers and MRI SCD Cohort Study; NCT01114269).

Effect of vitamin D on cognitive decline: results from two ancillary studies of the VITAL randomized trial

Low vitamin D levels have been associated with cognitive decline; however, few randomized trials have been conducted. In a trial, we evaluated vitamin D3 supplementation on cognitive decline. We included participants aged 60+ years (mean[SD] = 70.9[5.8] years) free of cardiovascular disease and cancer in two substudies in the VITAL 2 × 2 randomized trial of vitamin D3 (2000 IU/day of cholecalciferol) and fish oil supplements: 3424 had cognitive assessments by phone (eight neuropsychologic tests; 2.8 years follow-up) and 794 had in-person assessments (nine tests; 2.0 years follow-up). The primary, pre-specified outcome was decline over two assessments in global composite score (average z-scores of all tests); substudy-specific results were meta-analyzed. The pooled mean difference in annual rate of decline (MD) for vitamin D3 versus placebo was 0.01 (95% CI - 0.01, 0.02; p = 0.39). We observed no interaction with baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin-D levels (p-interaction = 0.84) and a significant interaction with self-reported race (p-interaction = 0.01). Among Black participants (19%), those assigned vitamin D3 versus placebo had better cognitive maintenance (MD = 0.04, 95% CI 0.01, 0.08, similar to that observed for Black participants 1.2 years apart in age). Thus, vitamin D3 (2000 IU/day cholecalciferol) supplementation was not associated with cognitive decline over 2-3 years among community-dwelling older participants but may provide modest cognitive benefits in older Black adults, although these results need confirmation.Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov; VITAL (NCT01169259), VITAL-DEP (NCT01696435) and VITAL-Cog (NCT01669915); the date the registration for the parent trial (NCT01169259) was submitted to the registry: 7/26/2010 and the date of first patient enrollment in either of the ancillary studies for cognitive function in a subset of eligible VITAL participants: 9/14/2011.

Association of Plasma Branched-Chain Amino Acid With Biomarkers of Inflammation and Lipid Metabolism in Women

BACKGROUND

Branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs; isoleucine, leucine, and valine) correlate with insulin resistance and poor glucose control, which may in part explain associations between type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. However, the relationships of BCAAs with other cardiometabolic pathways, including inflammation and dyslipidemia, are unclear. We hypothesized that plasma BCAAs would correlate with multiple pathways of cardiometabolic dysfunction.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis among 19 472 participants (mean age=54.9 years, SD=7.2 years) in the Women's Health Study without a history of type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, or cancer. We quantified the concentrations of individual biomarkers of inflammation and lipids, across quartiles of BCAAs, adjusting for age, smoking, body mass index, physical activity, and other established cardiovascular disease risk factors at blood draw.

RESULTS

Women in the highest versus lowest quartiles of plasma BCAAs had higher inflammatory markers including high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (multivariable-adjusted means: 1.96 versus 1.43 mg/L), fibrinogen (367 versus 362 mg/dL), soluble intercellular cell adhesion molecule-1 (361 versus 353 ng/mL), and glycoprotein acetylation (407 versus 371 µmol/L; P trend=0.0002 for fibrinogen; P<0.0001 for others). Similarly for lipids, women with higher BCAAs had lower HDL-C (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; 49.0 versus 55.0 mg/dL), and higher triglycerides (143 versus 114 mg/dL), LDL-C (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; 133 versus 124 mg/dL), and lipoprotein insulin resistance score (52.6 versus 37.3; all: P<0.0001). Similar associations with these biomarkers were observed in isoleucine, leucine, and valine, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher circulating BCAA concentrations are associated with adverse profiles of biomarkers of inflammation and dyslipidemia independent of established cardiovascular disease risk factors, and thus, may reflect poorer cardiometabolic health through multiple pathways. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00000479.

SCORE2 risk prediction algorithms: new models to estimate 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe

AIMS

The aim of this study was to develop, validate, and illustrate an updated prediction model (SCORE2) to estimate 10-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals without previous CVD or diabetes aged 40-69 years in Europe.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We derived risk prediction models using individual-participant data from 45 cohorts in 13 countries (677 684 individuals, 30 121 CVD events). We used sex-specific and competing risk-adjusted models, including age, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, and total- and HDL-cholesterol. We defined four risk regions in Europe according to country-specific CVD mortality, recalibrating models to each region using expected incidences and risk factor distributions. Region-specific incidence was estimated using CVD mortality and incidence data on 10 776 466 individuals. For external validation, we analysed data from 25 additional cohorts in 15 European countries (1 133 181 individuals, 43 492 CVD events). After applying the derived risk prediction models to external validation cohorts, C-indices ranged from 0.67 (0.65-0.68) to 0.81 (0.76-0.86). Predicted CVD risk varied several-fold across European regions. For example, the estimated 10-year CVD risk for a 50-year-old smoker, with a systolic blood pressure of 140 mmHg, total cholesterol of 5.5 mmol/L, and HDL-cholesterol of 1.3 mmol/L, ranged from 5.9% for men in low-risk countries to 14.0% for men in very high-risk countries, and from 4.2% for women in low-risk countries to 13.7% for women in very high-risk countries.

CONCLUSION

SCORE2-a new algorithm derived, calibrated, and validated to predict 10-year risk of first-onset CVD in European populations-enhances the identification of individuals at higher risk of developing CVD across Europe.