Atrial fibrillation and the risk for myocardial infarction, all-cause mortality and heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Predictors of mortality and burden of arrhythmias in endstage heart failure

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States, contributing to approximately 1 in 8 deaths. Individuals with end-stage HF (eHF) experience debilitating symptoms leading to poor quality of life (QoL).

METHODS

We used the ICD-10 code for eHF (I5084) from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) (2016-2020) to identify all patients with eHF. We used a multivariable logistic regression model to adjust for confounders and estimate the mortality probability in each arrhythmia cohort. Our primary outcome was in-hospital mortality risk in each group. A p-value of 0.05 was deemed significant.

RESULTS

There were 22,703 hospitalizations with eHF (mean age 67 years ±16). Men represented 66.5 % (15,091) of the population. In this cohort, 59 % (13,018) were Caucasians, 27.2 % (6,017) were Blacks, 8.7 % (1,924) were Hispanics, and 2.9 % (505) were Asians. Of these individuals, 50.4 % (11,434) had atrial fibrillation (AFIB). The majority of the arrhythmia subgroups had independent associations with mortality, with adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for VFIB 5.8 (4.6-7.1), AFIB 4.3 (3.9-4.5), SVT 1.9 (1.6-2.4), and VT 1.2 (1.1-1.4), p < 0.0001, each.

CONCLUSION

This analysis revealed that approximately half of the hospitalized population with end-stage heart failure are burdened with atrial fibrillation. Ventricular and atrial fibrillation, supraventricular tachycardia, and ventricular tachycardia each carried an independent mortality risk, with ventricular fibrillation having the highest risk.

Bidirectional Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and Myocardial Infarction, and Relation to Mortality in the Framingham Heart Study

BACKGROUND

Individuals with both atrial fibrillation (AF) and myocardial infarction (MI) have higher mortality compared with individuals with only 1 condition. Whether mortality differs according to the temporal order of AF and MI is unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included participants from the FHS (Framingham Heart Study) from 1960 and onwards. We assessed the hazard ratio (HR) of new-onset AF and MI, and mortality according to MI and AF status (prevalent and interim) using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Interim diseases were modeled as time-varying variables. For the analysis of new-onset AF, 10 923 participants (55% women; mean±SD age, 54±8 years) were included. For new-onset MI, 10 804 participants (55% women; mean±SD age, 54±8 years) were included. Compared with no MI, the hazard of new-onset AF was higher in participants with prevalent (HR, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.32-1.94]) and interim MI (HR, 3.96 [95% CI, 3.18-4.91]). Both ST-segment-elevation MI and non-ST-segment-elevation MI were associated with new-onset AF. Interim AF, not prevalent AF, was associated with higher hazard rate of new-onset MI (HR, 2.21 [95% CI, 1.67-2.92]). Interim AF was associated with both ST-segment-elevation MI and non-ST-segment-elevation MI. Mortality was significantly greater among participants with AF and MI compared with participants with 1 of the 2, regardless of temporal order.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a bidirectional association between AF and MI, which was observed for both non-ST-segment-elevation MI and ST-segment-elevation MI. Participants with both AF and MI had considerably higher mortality compared with participants with only 1 of the 2 conditions, regardless of order.

Effects of Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists on Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Catheter Ablation

BACKGROUND

Relationship between glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) use prior to atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation and subsequent AF recurrence is not well-understood.

OBJECTIVES

This study investigated the effects of GLP-1 RA use within 1 year before ablation and its association with AF recurrence and associated outcomes.

METHODS

The TriNetX research database was used to identify patients aged ≥18 years undergoing AF ablation (2014-2023). Patients were categorized into 2 groups, and propensity score matching (1:1) between preablation GLP-1 RA users and nonusers was performed based on demographics, comorbidities, body mass index, laboratory tests, AF subtype, and medications. Primary outcome was composite of cardioversion, new antiarrhythmic drug therapy, or repeat AF ablation after a 3-month blanking period following the index ablation. Additional outcomes included ischemic stroke, all-cause hospitalization, and mortality during 12-month follow-up period.

RESULTS

After 1:1 propensity score matching, the study cohort comprised 1,625 GLP-1 RA users and 1,625 matched GLP-1 RA nonusers. Preablation GLP-1 RA therapy was not associated with a lower risk of cardioversion, new AAD therapy, and repeat AF ablation after the index procedure (HR: 1.04 [95% CI: 0.92-1.19]; log-rank P = 0.51). Furthermore, the risk of ischemic stroke, all-cause hospitalization, and mortality during the 12-month follow-up period did not differ between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that preprocedural use of GLP-1 RAs is not associated with a reduced risk of AF recurrence or associated adverse outcomes following ablation, and underscore the need for future research to determine whether these agents improve outcome in AF patients.

Fibrinaloid Microclots and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a comorbidity of a variety of other chronic, inflammatory diseases for which fibrinaloid microclots are a known accompaniment (and in some cases, a cause, with a mechanistic basis). Clots are, of course, a well-known consequence of atrial fibrillation. We here ask the question whether the fibrinaloid microclots seen in plasma or serum may in fact also be a cause of (or contributor to) the development of AF. We consider known 'risk factors' for AF, and in particular, exogenous stimuli such as infection and air pollution by particulates, both of which are known to cause AF. The external accompaniments of both bacterial (lipopolysaccharide and lipoteichoic acids) and viral (SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) infections are known to stimulate fibrinaloid microclots when added in vitro, and fibrinaloid microclots, as with other amyloid proteins, can be cytotoxic, both by inducing hypoxia/reperfusion and by other means. Strokes and thromboembolisms are also common consequences of AF. Consequently, taking a systems approach, we review the considerable evidence in detail, which leads us to suggest that it is likely that microclots may well have an aetiological role in the development of AF. This has significant mechanistic and therapeutic implications.

Incremental value of diastolic wall strain in predicting heart failure events in patients with atrial fibrillation

Diastolic wall strain (DWS), an echocardiographic index based on linear elasticity theory, has been identified as a predictor of heart failure (HF) in patients with sinus rhythm. However, its effectiveness in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients remains uncertain. This study aims to assess DWS as a predictor of HF in AF patients with preserved ejection fraction. We analysed a prospective database of AF patients undergoing transthoracic echocardiography. AF patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (< 50%), posterior wall motion abnormality, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, valvular heart disease, pericardial disease, congenital heart disease, or history of pacemaker/implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation or cardiac surgery were excluded. The study followed patients until HF development, death, or last visit. Follow-up for patients who underwent catheter ablation was censored on the date of their procedure. HF was ascertained based on the Framingham criteria. DWS was calculated using a validated formula: DWS = (PWs -PWd)/PWs, where PWs is the posterior wall thickness at end-systole and PWd is the posterior wall thickness at end-diastole. Among 411 study patients (mean age 69.6 years, 66% men), 20 (5%) was underwent catheter ablation and 57 (14%) developed HF during a mean follow-up of 82 months. Cox-proportional hazards demonstrated that low DWS (≤ 0.33) significantly predicted HF events (hazard ratio [HR] 3.28, 95% confidence interval [CI]) 1.81-5.94, P < 0.0001), independent of age (per 10 years; HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.35-2.93, P < 0.001), indexed left ventricular mass (per 10 g/m2; HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.27, P < 0.01), and indexed left atrial volume (per 10 mL/m2; HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04-1.24, P < 0.01). Additionally, global log-likelihood ratio chi-square statistics indicated that DWS incrementally predicts HF development beyond age, indexed left ventricular mass, and left atrial volume (P < 0.001).

New-onset atrial fibrillation following arteriovenous fistula increases adverse clinical events in dialysis patients with end-stage renal disease

Background

End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients have a high potential cardiovascular burden, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death in maintenance haemodialysis (MHD) patients. Arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is the preferred vascular access for MHD patients, but AVF significantly affects the haemodynamics of the cardiovascular system, leading to or exacerbating CVD, including atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to evaluate the impact of AVF on cardiac function, especially of the left atrium (LA), in patients with ESRD and to further explore the relationship between AVF establishment and the occurrence of AF.

Methods

We selected 1,107 ESRD patients on haemodialysis using AVF and 550 patients with tunneled-cuffed catheters (TCC) admitted between January 2016 and December 2022 for follow-up to compare the rate of AF between the two groups. A total of 153 patients in the AVF group with complete information (clinical data, echocardiographic and biochemical indices, and other data) were enrolled and retrospectively analysed for risk factors for the development of AF and were followed up for adverse clinical outcomes (including all-cause death, cardiac death, readmission due to heart failure, and stroke).

Results

The incidence of new-onset AF was higher in the AVF group than the TCC group after dialysis access was established (16.30% vs. 5.08%, P < 0.001). Echocardiography showed that the LA anteroposterior diameter increased (P < 0.001) and the incidence of AF increased from 11.76% to 26.14% (P = 0.001) after AVF establishment. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age and LA enlargement were independent risk factors for new-onset AF after AVF establishment (P < 0.05). Adverse clinical outcomes were more common in patients with AF than in patients without AF (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox risk regression analysis suggested that new-onset AF (HR = 4.08, 95% CI: 2.00-8.34, P < 0.001) and left ventricular systolic dysfunction (HR = 2.42, 95% CI: 1.20-4.88, P = 0.01) after AVF establishment were independent risk factors for adverse clinical outcomes.

Conclusion

LA enlargement after AVF establishment is associated with a significant increase in the incidence of AF, in addition, AF which is as an important influential factor in patients with MHD combined other systemic diseases might increase adverse clinical events.

Clinical Trial Registration

(NCT06199609).

Association of device detected atrial and ventricular tachyarrhythmia with adverse events in patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator

INTRODUCTION

Heart failure patients with a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) and ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF) are known to have worse outcomes. However, there are limited data on the temporal relationship between development of these arrhythmias and the risk of subsequent congestive heart failure (CHF) exacerbation and death.

METHODS

The study cohort comprised 5511 patients implanted with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) in landmark clinical trials (MADIT-II, MADIT-RISK, MADIT-CRT, MADIT-RIT, and RAID) who were in sinus rhythm at enrollment. Multivariate cox analysis was performed to evaluate the time-dependent association between development of in-trial device detected AF and VT/VF with subsequent CHF exacerbation and death.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that AF occurrence and VT/VF occurrence were both associated with a similar magnitude of risk for subsequent CHF exacerbation (HR = 1.73 and 1.87 respectively, p < .001 for both). In contrast, only in-trial VT/VF was associated with a significant > two-fold increase in the risk of subsequent mortality (HR = 2.13, p < .001) whereas AF occurrence was not associated with a significant mortality increase after adjustment for in-trial VT/VF (HR = 1.36, p = .096).

CONCLUSION

Our findings from a large cohort of ICD recipients enrolled in landmark clinical trials show that device detected AF and VT/VF can be used to identify patients with increased risk for CHF exacerbation and mortality. These findings suggest a need for early intervention in CHF patients who develop device-detected atrial and ventricular tachyarrhythmias.

The Cost-Effectiveness of First-Line Cryoablation vs First-Line Antiarrhythmic Drugs in Canadian Patients With Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The EARLY-AF (NCT02825979), STOP AF First (NCT03118518), and Cryo-FIRST (NCT01803438) randomised controlled trials (RCTs) demonstrated that cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation reduces atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence compared with antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). The present study developed a cost-effectiveness model (CEM) of first-line cryoablation compared with first-line AADs for PAF, from the Canadian health care payer's perspective.

METHODS

Data from the 3 RCTs were analysed to estimate key CEM parameters. The model structure used a decision tree for the first 12 months and a Markov model with a 3-month cycle length for the remaining lifetime time horizon. Costs were set at 2023 Canadian dollars, health benefits were expressed as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and both were discounted 3% annually. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) considered parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

The statistical analysis estimated that first-line cryoablation generates a 47% reduction (P < 0.001) in the rate of AF recurrence, a 73% reduction in the rate of subsequent ablation (P < 0.001), and a 4.3% (P = 0.025) increase in health-related quality of life, compared with first-line AADs. The PSA indicates that an individual treated with first-line cryoablation accrues less costs (-$3,862) and more QALYs (0.19) compared with first-line AADs. Cryoablation is cost-saving in 98.4% of PSA iterations and has a 99.9% probability of being cost-effective at a cost-effectiveness threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained. Cost-effectiveness results were robust to changes in key model parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

First-line cryoballoon ablation is cost-effective when compared with AADs for patients with symptomatic PAF.

Association of red cell distribution width/albumin ratio and in hospital mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation base on medical information mart for intensive care IV database

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia. The ratio of red cell distribution width (RDW) to albumin has been recognized as a reliable prognostic marker for poor outcomes in a variety of diseases. However, the evidence regarding the association between RDW to albumin ratio (RAR) and in hospital mortality in patients with AF admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) currently was unclear. The purpose of this study was to explore the association between RAR and in hospital mortality in patients with AF in the ICU.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database for the identification of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The primary endpoint investigated was in-hospital mortality. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis and forest plots were utilized to evaluate the correlation between the RAR and in-hospital mortality among patients with AF admitted to ICU. Additionally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were conducted to assess and compare the predictive efficacy of RDW and the RAR.

RESULTS

Our study included 4,584 patients with AF with a mean age of 75.1 ± 12.3 years, 57% of whom were male. The in-hospital mortality was 20.3%. The relationship between RAR and in-hospital mortality was linear. The Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted for potential confounders, found a high RAR independently associated with in hospital mortality. For each increase of 1 unit in RAR, there is a 12% rise in the in-hospital mortality rate (95% CI 1.06-1.19). The ROC curves revealed that the discriminatory ability of the RAR was better than that of RDW. The area under the ROC curves (AUCs) for RAR and RDW were 0.651 (95%CI: 0.631-0.671) and 0.599 (95% CI: 0.579-0.620).

CONCLUSIONS

RAR is independently correlated with in hospital mortality and in AF. High level of RAR is associated with increased in-hospital mortality rates.

The worsening effect of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation on left ventricular function and deformation in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients: a 3.0 T cardiovascular magnetic resonance feature tracking study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has been linked to an increased risk of cardiovascular death, overall mortality and heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The present study investigated the additive effects of paroxysmal AF on left ventricular (LV) function and deformation in T2DM patients with or without AF using the cardiovascular magnetic resonance feature tracking (CMR-FT) technique.

METHODS

The present study encompassed 225 T2DM patients differentiated by the presence or absence of paroxysmal AF [T2DM(AF+) and T2DM(AF-), respectively], along with 75 age and sex matched controls, all of whom underwent CMR examination. LV function and global strains, including radial, circumferential and longitudinal peak strain (PS), as well as peak systolic and diastolic strain rates (PSSR and PDSR, respectively), were measured and compared among the groups. Multivariable linear regression analysis was used to examine the factors associated with LV global strains in patients with T2DM.

RESULTS

The T2DM(AF+) group was the oldest, had the highest LV end‑systolic volume index, lowest LV ejection fraction and estimated glomerular filtration rate compared to the control and T2DM(AF-) groups, and presented a shorter diabetes duration and lower HbA1c than the T2DM(AF-) group. LV PS-radial, PS-longitudinal and PDSR-radial declined successively from controls through the T2DM(AF-) group to the T2DM(AF+) group (all p < 0.001). Compared to the control group, LV PS-circumferential, PSSR-radial and PDSR-circumferential were decreased in the T2DM(AF+) group (all p < 0.001) but preserved in the T2DM(AF-) group. Among all clinical indices, AF was independently associated with worsening LV PS-longitudinal (β = 2.218, p < 0.001), PS-circumferential (β = 3.948, p < 0.001), PS-radial (β = - 8.40, p < 0.001), PSSR-radial and -circumferential (β = - 0.345 and 0.101, p = 0.002 and 0.014, respectively), PDSR-radial and -circumferential (β = 0.359 and - 0.14, p = 0.022 and 0.003, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with T2DM, the presence of paroxysmal AF further exacerbates LV function and deformation. Proactive prevention, regular detection and early intervention of AF could potentially benefit T2DM patients.

Emerging roles of HOTAIR lncRNA in the pathogenesis and prognosis of cardiovascular diseases

Highlights HOTAIR, a long noncoding RNA, plays a role in the regulation of proteins involved in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease. Furthermore, it has been identified as a biomarker of this type of disease. Several factors and cells contribute to atherosclerosis, a progressive disease. However, the prognosis of HOTAIR in this disease varies depending on the path in which it plays a role. For this condition, there is no single prognosis to consider.

Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference in Relation to the Risk of Cardiac Arrhythmia: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The aim of the current study was to explore the trajectories, variabilities, and cumulative exposures of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) with cardiac arrhythmia (CA) risks.

METHODS

In total, 35,739 adults from the Kailuan study were included. BMI and WC were measured repeatedly during the 2006-2010 waves. CA was identified via electrocardiogram diagnosis. BMI and WC trajectories were fitted using a group-based trajectory model. The associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

We identified four stable trajectories for BMI and WC, respectively. Neither the BMI trajectories nor the baseline BMI values were associated with the risk of CA. Compared to the low-stable WC group, participants in the high-stable WC group had a higher risk of CA (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.86). Interestingly, the cumulative exposures of BMI and WC instead of their variabilities were associated with the risk of CA. In the stratified analyses, the positive associations of the high-stable WC group with the risk of CA were found in females only (HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.83).

CONCLUSIONS

A high-stable WC trajectory is associated with a higher risk of CA among Chinese female adults, underscoring the potential of WC rather than BMI to identify adults who are at risk.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Optimizing Atrial Fibrillation Care: Comparative Assessment of Anticoagulant Therapies and Risk Factors

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia associated with various risk factors and significant morbidity and mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This article presents findings from a study involving 345 patients with permanent AF. This study examined demographics, risk factors, associated pathologies, complications, and anticoagulant therapy over the course of a year.

RESULTS

The results showed a slight predominance of AF in males (55%), with the highest incidence in individuals aged 75 and older (49%). Common risk factors included arterial hypertension (54%), dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus type 2 (19.13%), and obesity (15.65%). Comorbidities such as congestive heart failure (35.6%), mitral valve regurgitation (60%), and dilated cardiomyopathy (32%) were prevalent among the patients. Major complications included congestive heart failure (32%), stroke (17%), and myocardial infarction (5%). Thromboembolic and bleeding risk assessment using CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores demonstrated a high thromboembolic risk in all patients. The majority of patients were receiving novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) before admission (73%), while NOACs were also the most prescribed antithrombotic therapy at discharge (61%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the importance of risk factor management and appropriate anticoagulant therapy in patients with AF, to reduce complications and improve outcomes. The results support the importance of tailored therapeutic schemes, for optimal care of patients with AF.

The Association between Diagnosis-to-Ablation Time and the Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) is superior to antiarrhythmic drugs in maintaining sinus rhythm. Novel evidence suggests that increasing the time between the first diagnosis of AF and ablation, or diagnosis-to-ablation time (DAT), is a predictor for AF recurrence post-ablation.

PURPOSE

Our primary objective was to investigate the relationship between DAT and AF recurrence after a first ablation.

METHODS

Patients with AF who underwent CA in our center were enrolled consecutively, and a retrospective analysis was performed. DAT was treated as a continuous variable and reported as a median for the group with recurrence and the group without recurrence. DAT was also considered as a categorical variable and patients were stratified into three categories: DAT < 1 year, DAT < 2 years, and DAT < 4 years.

RESULTS

The cohort included 107 patients, with a mean age of 54.3 ± 11.7 years. Mean DAT was significantly longer in those with AF recurrence: 4.9(3.06) years versus 3.99(3.5) (p = 0.04). The Kaplan-Meier curve revealed a higher likelihood of AF-free status over time for patients with DAT < 2 years compared to those with DAT > 2 years (p = 0.04). Cox multivariate analysis indicated that left atrial volume index (LAVI), obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA), and DAT > 2 years were independently associated with AF recurrence after a single AF ablation procedure (p = 0.007, p = 0.02, and p = 0.03, respectively).

CONCLUSION

A shorter duration between the first AF diagnosis and AF ablation is associated with an increased likelihood of procedural success after a single AF ablation procedure.

In-Hospital and readmission outcomes of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms and atrial fibrillation: insights from the National Readmissions Database

INTRODUCTION

Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risk of thrombosis and bleeding. However, the risk of thrombosis and bleeding in patients with AF and MPN compared with the general population with AF is unclear. Additionally, traditional risk scores (CHA2DS2-VASC and HAS-BLED) for risk/benefit estimation of thromboprophylaxis in AF do not account for MPN status. Therefore, we aimed to investigate bleeding and thrombosis risk in patients with MPN hospitalized for AF.

METHODS

We utilized the National Readmission Database (NRD) to identify patients with AF with and without MPN. Primary bleeding and thrombosis outcomes were in-hospital or 30-day readmission for bleeding or thrombosis, respectively. We propensity score (PS) matched patients with and without MPN. Risk of primary outcomes in MPN was assessed in PS matched cohort using logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve used to evaluate predictive ability of CHA2DS2-VASC and HAS-BLED of primary thrombosis and bleeding outcomes, respectively.

RESULTS

24,185 patients without MPN were matched with 1,617 patients with MPN and variables were balanced between groups. Patients with MPN were at increased risk of meeting the thrombosis (OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.23-3.21) but not bleeding (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.63-1.19) primary outcomes. In MPN, CHA2DS2-VASC predicted thrombosis (C-statistic 0.66, 95% CI 0.54-0.78) but HAS-BLED was a poor predictor of bleeding (C-statistic 0.55, 95% CI 0.46-0.64).

CONCLUSION

In patients with AF, MPN was associated with increased risk of bleeding and thrombosis. HAS-BLED scores did not accurately predict bleeding in MPN. Further investigation is needed to refine risk scores in MPN.

The association between urine ketone and new-onset atrial fibrillation in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common manifestation in critically ill patients. There is a paucity of evidence indicating a relationship between urinary ketones and NOAF.

METHODS

Critically ill patients with urinary ketone measurements from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database were included. The primary outcome was NOAF Propensity score matching was performed following by multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 24,688 patients with available data of urine ketone were included in this study. The urine ketone of 4014 patients was tested positive. The average age of the included participants was 63.8 years old, and 54.5% of them were male. Result of the fully-adjusted binary logistic regression model showed that patients with positive urinary ketone was associated with a significantly lower risk of NOAF (Odds ratio, 0.79, 95% CI 0.7-0.9), compared with those with negative urinary ketone. In the subgroup analysis according to diabetic status, compared with nondiabetics, patients with diabetes had lower risk of NOAF (p-values for interaction < 0.05). Results of other subgroup analyses according to gender, age, infection, myocardial infarction, and congestive heart failure were consistent with the primary analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Positive urinary ketone body may be associated with reduced risk of NOAF in critically ill patients during intensive care unit hospitalization. Further studies are needed to clarify the underlying mechanisms.

Hybrid Endo-Epicardial Therapies for Advanced Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a growing health problem that increases morbidity and mortality, and in most patients progresses to more advanced diseases over time. Recent research has examined the underlying mechanisms, risk factors, and progression of AF, leading to updated AF disease classification schemes. Although endocardial catheter ablation is effective for early-stage paroxysmal AF, it consistently achieves suboptimal outcomes in patients with advanced AF. Identification of the factors that lead to the increased risk of treatment failure in advanced AF has spurred the development and adoption of hybrid ablation therapies and collaborative heart care teams that result in higher long-term arrhythmia-free survival. Patients with non-paroxysmal AF, atrial remodeling, comorbidities, or AF otherwise deemed difficult to treat may find hybrid treatment to be the most effective option. Future research of hybrid therapies in advanced AF patient populations, including those with dual diagnoses, may provide further evidence establishing the safety and efficacy of hybrid endo-epicardial ablation as a first line treatment.

Economic evaluation of first-line cryoballoon ablation versus antiarrhythmic drug therapy for the treatment of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation from an English National Health Service perspective

INTRODUCTION

Three recent randomised controlled trials have demonstrated that pulmonary vein isolation as an initial rhythm control strategy with cryoablation reduces atrial arrhythmia recurrence in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) compared with antiarrhythmic drug (AAD) therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of first-line cryoablation compared with first-line AADs for treating symptomatic PAF in an English National Health Service (NHS) setting.

METHODS

Individual patient-level data from 703 participants with PAF enrolled into Cryo-FIRST (Catheter Cryoablation Versus Antiarrhythmic Drug as First-Line Therapy of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation), STOP AF First (Cryoballoon Catheter Ablation in an Antiarrhythmic Drug Naive Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation) and EARLY-AF (Early Aggressive Invasive Intervention for Atrial Fibrillation) were used to derive the parameters applied in the cost-effectiveness model (CEM). The CEM comprised a hybrid decision tree and Markov structure. The decision tree had a 1-year time horizon and was used to inform the initial health state allocation in the first cycle of the Markov model (40-year time horizon; 3-month cycle length). Health benefits were expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and benefits were discounted at 3.5% per year. Model outcomes were generated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

The results estimated that cryoablation would yield more QALYs (+0.17) and higher costs (+£641) per patient over a lifetime than AADs. This produced an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £3783 per QALY gained. Independent of initial treatment, individuals were expected to receive ~1.2 ablations over a lifetime. There was a 45% relative reduction in time spent in AF health states for those initially treated with cryoablation.

DISCUSSION

AF rhythm control with first-line cryoablation is cost effective compared with first-line AADs in an English NHS setting.

Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) with significant effects on outcome. We aim to compare the left atrial (LA) diameter measurement with HCM-AF Score in predicting atrial fibrillation (AF) development in HCM.

METHODS

From the regional cohort of the Campania Region, Italy, 519 HCM patients (38% women, age45 ± 17 years) without history of AF, were enrolled in the study. The primary clinical endpoint was the development of AF, defined as at least 1 episode documented by ECG.

RESULTS

During the follow-up (mean 8 ± 6, IQ range 2.5-11.2 years), 99 patients (19%) developed AF. Patients who developed AF were more symptomatic, had higher prevalence of ICD implantation, had larger LA diameter, greater left ventricular (LV) maximal wall thickness and LV outflow tract obstruction (p < 0.01). Both LA diameter and HCM-AF score were higher in patients who developed AF versus those who did not (LA diameter 49 ± 7 versus 43 ± 6 mm; HCM-AF score 22 ± 4 versus 19 ± 4; p < 0.0001); however, ROC curve analysis demonstrated that LA diameter had a significant greater area under the curve than HCM-AF Score (p < 0.0001). At 5 years follow-up, a LA diameter > 46 mm, showed a similar accuracy in predicting AF development of HCM-AF score ≥ 22, which identifies patients at high risk to develop AF.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis shows that LA diameter, a worldwide and simple echocardiographic measure, is capable alone to predict AF development in HCM patients.

Temporal Relation Between Myocardial Infarction and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: Results from a Nationwide Registry Study

Myocardial infarction (MI) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are commonly seen in the same patient. In this study, we evaluated the temporal relations and prognosis of MI and AF. This is a substudy of the nationwide registry-based Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation (FinACAF) study, comprising all Finnish patients with new-onset AF from 2010 to 2017. Patients with MI and AF were divided into groups depending on the temporal relation between the disease onsets: (1) MI before AF (MIAF), and (4) no MI. The 1-year mortality in the groups were studied with the Cox proportional hazards model. Of the 153,207 patients with new-onset AF (mean age 72.7 years, 50.0% women), 16,265 (10.6%) were diagnosed with MI. Altogether, 8,889 (54.7%) of the patients with MI were in the MIAF group. Of all MIs, 42.2% were diagnosed within 1 year from new-onset AF. The MI>AF group had the worst survival, with an adjusted hazard ratio for death of 3.08 (confidence interval [CI] 2.89 to 3.27) compared with patients without MI. For the MI Collapse

Key Words

• atrial fibrillation
• mortality
• myocardial infarction
• real life
• register study
• survival

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Female
• Aged
• Male
• Atrial Fibrillation/complications
• Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology
• Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis
• Risk Factors
• Retrospective Studies
• Myocardial Infarction/complications
• Registries

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Grants Collapse

Affiliation(s) Collapse

Incidence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark in relation to country of origin: a nationwide register-based study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia with an increasing prevalence in Western countries. However, little is known about AF among immigrants compared to non-immigrants.

AIM

To examine the incidence of hospital-diagnosed AF according to country of origin.

METHOD

Immigrants were defined as individuals born outside Denmark by parents born outside Denmark. AF was defined as first-time diagnosis of AF. All individuals were followed from the age of 45 years from 1998 to 2017. The analyses were adjusted for sex, age, comorbidity, contact with the general practitioner and socioeconomic variables. Adjustment was conducted using standardised morbidity ratio weights, standardised to the Danish population in a marginal structural model.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 3,489,730 Danish individuals free of AF and 108,914 immigrants free of AF who had emigrated from the 10 most represented countries. A total of 323,005 individuals of Danish origin had an incident hospital diagnosis of AF, among the immigrants 7,300 developed AF. Adjusted hazard rate ratios (HRRs) of AF for immigrants from Iran (0.48 [95%CI:0.35;0.64]), Turkey (0.74 [95%CI:0.67;0.82]) and Bosnia-Herzegovina (0.42 [95%CI:0.22;0.79]) were low compared with Danish individuals. Immigrants from Sweden, Germany and Norway had an adjusted HRR of 1.13 [95%CI:1.03;1.23], 1.12 [95%CI:1.05;1.18] and 1.11 [95%CI:1.03;1.21], respectively (Danish individuals as reference).

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variation in the incidence of hospital-diagnosed AF according to country of origin was observed. The results may reflect true biological differences but could also reflect barriers to AF diagnosis for immigrants. Further efforts are warranted to determine the underlying mechanisms.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

Association of C-reactive protein level with adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Studies on the association between C-reactive protein (CRP) level and poor outcomes have been yielded controversial results in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This meta-analysis sought to investigate the utility of elevated CRP level in predicting adverse outcomes in AF patients.

METHODS

Two authors systematically searched PubMed and Embase databases (until December 10, 2022) for studies evaluating the value of elevated CRP level in predicting all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, stroke, or major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in AF patients. The predictive value of CRP was expressed by pooling adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the highest versus the lowest level or per unit of log-transformed increase.

RESULTS

Ten studies including 30,345 AF patients satisfied our inclusion criteria. For the highest versus the lowest CRP level, the pooled adjusted HR was 1.57 (95% CI 1.34-1.85) for all-cause mortality, 1.18 (95% CI 0.92-1.50) for cardiovascular death, and 1.57 (95% CI 1.10-2.24) for stroke, respectively. When analyzed the CRP level as continuous data, per unit of log-transformed increase was associated with a 27% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.23-1.32) and 16% higher risk of MACEs (HR 1.16; 95% CI 1.05-1.28).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated CRP level may be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, stroke, and MACEs in patients with AF. CRP level at baseline can provide important prognostic information in risk classification of AF patients.

Prognostic impact of preoperative atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing heart surgery in cardiogenic shock

Surgical intervention in the setting of cardiogenic shock (CS) is burdened with high mortality. Due to acute condition, detailed diagnoses and risk assessment is often precluded. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for perioperative complications and worse survival but little is known about AF patients operated in CS. Current analysis aimed to determine prognostic impact of preoperative AF in patients undergoing heart surgery in CS. We analyzed data from the Polish National Registry of Cardiac Surgery (KROK) Procedures. Between 2012 and 2021, 332,109 patients underwent cardiac surgery in 37 centers; 4852 (1.5%) patients presented with CS. Of those 624 (13%) patients had AF history. Cox proportional hazards models were used for computations. Propensity score (nearest neighbor) matching for the comparison of patients with and without AF was performed. Median follow-up was 4.6 years (max.10.0), mean age was 62 (± 15) years and 68% patients were men. Thirty-day mortality was 36% (1728 patients). The origin of CS included acute myocardial infarction (1751 patients, 36%), acute aortic dissection (1075 patients, 22%) and valvular dysfunction (610 patients, 13%). In an unadjusted analysis, patients with underlying AF had almost 20% higher mortality risk (HR 1.19, 95% CIs 1.06-1.34; P = 0.004). Propensity score matching returned 597 pairs with similar baseline characteristics; AF remained a significant prognostic factor for worse survival (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.00-1.40; P = 0.045). Among patients with CS referred for cardiac surgery, history of AF was a significant risk factor for mortality. Role of concomitant AF ablation and/or left atrial appendage occlusion or more aggressive perioperative circulatory support should be addressed in the future.

Early rhythm control on diabetes-related complications and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation

AIMS

We evaluated the impact of early rhythm control (ERC) on diabetes-related complications and mortality in subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

This observational cohort study based on the Korean National Health Insurance Service claims database from 2009 to 2016, divided newly diagnosed AF patients with T2DM into ERC or usual care groups based on receiving rhythm control treatment within 1 year of AF diagnosis. The primary outcome was ischemic stroke, and the secondary outcomes were macro/microvascular complications, and all-cause death.

RESULTS

Among 47,509 subjects (mean age 66.7 ± 10.5 years; 61.8 % men; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.6 ± 1.8; mean follow-up 4.3 ± 2.3 years; mean DM duration 5.6 ± 4.7 years), 23.1 % received ERC, and 76.9 % did not (usual care group). ERC was associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke, macrovascular and microvascular complications, and all-cause death compared to usual care (adjusted hazard ratios [95 % confidence interval]: 0.77 [0.70-0.85], 0.79 [0.73-0.86], 0.86 [0.82-0.90], and 0.92 [0.87-0.98], p < 0.001, <0.001, <0.001, and 0.012, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Early rhythm control was associated with reduced risks of diabetes-related complications and mortality in subjects with T2DM and AF. Rhythm control within 1 year of AF diagnosis with proper anticoagulation should be considered to prevent adverse outcomes.

Global, regional, and national burdens of atrial fibrillation/flutter from 1990 to 2019: An age-period-cohort analysis using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study

Background

Atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL) significantly impacts countries with varying income levels. We aimed to present worldwide estimates of its burden from 1990 to 2019 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study.

Methods

We derived cause-specific AF/AFL mortality and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) estimates from the GBD 2019 study data. We used an age-period-cohort (APC) model to predict annual changes in mortality (net drifts), annual percentage changes from 50-55 to 90-95 years (local drifts), and period and cohort relative risks (period and cohort effects) between 1990 and 2019 by sex and sociodemographic index (SDI) quintiles. This allowed us to determine the impacts of age, period, and cohort on mortality and DALY trends and the inequities and treatment gaps in AF/AFL management.

Results

Based on GBD data, our estimates showed that 59.7 million cases of AF/AFL occurred worldwide in 2019, while the number of AF/AFL deaths rose from 117 000 to 315 000 (61.5% women). All-age mortality and DALYs increased considerably from 1990 to 2019, and there was an increase in age risk and a shift in death and DALYs toward the older (>80) population. Although the global net drift mortality of AF/AFL decreased overall (-0.16%; 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.20, 0.12 per year), we observed an opposite trend in the low-middle SDI (0.53%; 95% CI = 0.44, 0.63) and low SDI regions (0.32%; 95% CI = 0.18, 0.45). Compared with net drift among men (-0.08%; 95% CI = -0.14, -0.02), women had a greater downward trend or smaller upward trend of AF/AFL (-0.21%; 95% CI = -0.26, -0.16) in mortality in middle- and low-middle-SDI countries (P < 0.001). Uzbekistan had the largest net drift of mortality (4.21%; 95% CI = 3.51, 4.9) and DALYs (2.16%; 95% CI = 2.05, 2.27) among all countries. High body mass index, high blood pressure, smoking, and alcohol consumption were more prevalent in developed countries; nevertheless, lead exposure was more prominent in developing countries and regions.

Conclusions

The burden of AF/AFL in 2019 and its temporal evolution from 1990 to 2019 differed significantly across SDI quintiles, sexes, geographic locations, and countries, necessitating the prioritisation of health policies based on risk-differentiated, cost-effective AF/AFL management.

Atrial Fibrillation: Rate Versus Rhythm Control

Description Atrial fibrillation (AF) remains the most common arrhythmia worldwide and is expected to affect approximately 12 million individuals in the United States alone by 2030. Thromboembolic events remain a feared complication of AF and should be treated and risk-stratified utilizing the CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system. Other complications of AF span a wide spectrum from impaired quality of life (QoL) to an increase in all-cause mortality. Rate control strategies consist of controlling the ventricular rate and have been shown to be a safe and effective strategy for asymptomatic AF patients. In patients who are plagued with symptoms leading to impaired QoL or a decrease in exercise capacity, rhythm control with antiarrhythmic drugs or catheter ablation may be suitable options. Mortality benefits when comparing rate versus rhythm control remain equivocal when comparing multiple studies over the past decade.

Does Atrial Fibrillation Deteriorate the Prognosis in Patients With Septic or Cardiogenic Shock?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of mortality in various clinical conditions. However, the prognostic role of preexisting and new-onset AF in critically ill patients, such as patients with septic or cardiogenic shock remains unclear. This study investigates the prognostic impact of preexisting and new-onset AF on 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with septic or cardiogenic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis, or septic or cardiogenic shock were enrolled in 2 prospective, monocentric registries from 2019 to 2021. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier, multivariable logistic, and Cox proportional regression analyses. In total, 644 patients were included (cardiogenic shock: n = 273; sepsis/septic shock: n = 361). The prevalence of AF was 41% (29% with preexisting AF, 12% with new-onset AF). Within the entire study cohort, neither preexisting AF (log-rank p = 0.542; hazard ratio [HR] 1.075, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.848 to 1.363, p = 0.551) nor new-onset AF (log-rank p = 0.782, HR = 0.957, 95% CI 0.683 to 1.340, p = 0.797) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality compared with non-AF. In patients with AF, ventricular rates >120 beats/min compared with ≤120 beats/min were shown to increase the risk of reaching the primary end point in AF patients with cardiogenic shock (log-rank p = 0.006, HR 1.886, 95% CI 1.164 to 3.057, p = 0.010). Furthermore, logistic regression analyses suggested increased age was the only predictor of new-onset AF (odds ratio 1.042, 95% CI 1.018 to 1.066, p = 0.001). In conclusion, neither the presence of preexisting AF nor the occurrence of new-onset AF was associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in consecutive patients admitted with cardiogenic shock.

Lifestyle changes in atrial fibrillation management and intervention

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common arrhythmias in adults, and its continued rise in the United States is complicated by the increased incidence and prevalence of several AF risk factors, such as obesity, physical inactivity, hypertension, obstructive sleep apnea, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, and alcohol, tobacco, or caffeine use. Lifestyle and risk factor modification has been proposed as an additional pillar of AF therapy, added to rhythm control, rate control, and anticoagulation, to reduce AF burden and risk. Although emerging evidence largely supports the integration of lifestyle and risk factor management in clinical practice, randomized clinical trials investigating the long-term sustainability and reproducibility of these benefits remain sparse. The purpose of this review is to discuss potentially reversible risk factors on AF, share evidence for the impact on AF by modification of these risk factors, and then provide an overview of the effects of reversing or managing these risk factors on the success of various AF management strategies, such as antithrombotic, rate control, and rhythm control therapies.

Comparison between In-Hospital and Out-of-Hospital Acute Myocardial Infarctions: Results from the Regional Myocardial Infarction Registry of Saxony-Anhalt (RHESA) Study

AIMS

Risk factors and outcomes of in-hospital ST elevation myocardial infraction (STEMI) are well explored. Recent findings show that non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) accounts for the majority of in-hospital infarctions (IHMIs). Our aim was to identify differences between IHMI and out-of-hospital myocardial infraction (OHMI) in terms of risk factors, treatment and outcomes, including both STEMI and NSTEMI.

METHODS

We analyzed the Regional Myocardial Infarction Registry of Saxony-Anhalt dataset. Patient characteristics, treatments and outcomes were compared between IHMI and OHMI. The association between clinical outcomes and myocardial infarction type was assessed using generalized additive models.

RESULTS

Overall, 11.4% of the included myocardial infractions were IHMI, and the majority were NSTEMI. Patients with IHMI were older and had more comorbidities than those with OHMI. Compared to OHMI, in-hospital myocardial infarction was associated with higher odds of 30-day mortality (OR = 1.85, 95% CI 1.32-2.59) and complications (OR = 2.36, 95 % CI 1.84-3.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We provided insights on the full spectrum of IHMI, in both of its classifications. The proportion of IHMI was one ninth of all AMI cases treated in the hospital. Previously reported differences in the baseline characteristics and treatments, as well as worse clinical outcomes, in in-hospital STEMI compared to out-of-hospital STEMI persist even when including NSTEMI cases.

The bidirectional association between atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and vice versa. This bidirectional association relies on shared risk factors as well as on several direct and indirect mechanisms, including inflammation, atrial ischaemia, left ventricular remodelling, myocardial oxygen supply-demand mismatch and coronary artery embolism, through which one condition can predispose to the other. Patients with both AF and MI are at greater risk of stroke, heart failure and death than patients with only one of the conditions. In this Review, we describe the bidirectional association between AF and MI. We discuss the pathogenic basis of this bidirectional relationship, describe the risk of adverse outcomes when the two conditions coexist, and review current data and guidelines on the prevention and management of both conditions. We also identify important gaps in the literature and propose directions for future research on the bidirectional association between AF and MI. The Review also features a summary of methodological approaches for the study of bidirectional associations in population-based studies.

Use of the CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict subsequent myocardial infarction in atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The risk of subsequent myocardial infarction (MI) varies widely in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). No convenient scoring system currently exists to identify MI in AF. While each element of the CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure; hypertension; age ≥75 years [doubled]; type 2 diabetes; previous stroke or thromboembolism [doubled]; vascular disease; age 65-75 years; and sex category) score can increase the likelihood of MI, this retrospective longitudinal study aimed to determine the accuracy of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting subsequent MI risk in AF.

METHODS

A total of 29,341 patients with AF were enrolled and followed up from January 2010 until the first occurrence of MI or until December 2020. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of subsequent MI.

RESULTS

The average age of the study population was 71 years, and 43.2% were male. The mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was found to be higher in patients with AF who had experienced an MI than in those who had not (3.56 ± 1.92 vs. 3.32 ± 1.81, p < 0.001). During the long-term follow-up, the risk of subsequent MI increased by 22% with every one-point increase in the CHA2DS2-VASc score (hazard ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 1.19-1.25; p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that high CHA2DS2-VASc scores were more likely to experience an MI than those with low CHA2DS2-VASc scores (log-rank p < 0.001). Furthermore, the CHA2DS2-VASc score was a significant predictor of MI in multivariate regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a valuable predictor of subsequent MI risk in patients with AF.

Ability of the DANCAMI to predict the risk ischemic stroke and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation/flutter

OBJECTIVES

Comparison of the danish comorbidity index for acute myocardial infarction (DANCAMI), the charlson comorbidity index (CCI), the elixhauser comorbidity index (ECI), and the CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict ischemic stroke, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality after atrial fibrillation/flutter.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A population-based cohort study of all Danish patients with incident atrial fibrillation/flutter during 2000-2020 (n=361,901). C-Statistics were used to evaluate the discriminatory performance for predicting 1 and 5-year risks of the outcomes for a baseline model (including age and sex) +/- the individual indices.

RESULTS

For the DANCAMI, the 5-year risk did not increase with comorbidity burden for ischemic stroke (5.9% for low vs. 5.6% for severe) but did increase for cardiovascular mortality (10% for low vs. 16% for severe) and all-cause mortality (33% for low vs. 61% for severe). C-Statistics for predicting 5-year ischemic stroke risk were similar for all models (0.64). C-Statistics for predicting 5-year cardiovascular mortality risk were also similar for the baseline (0.76), the DANCAMI (0.77), the CCI (0.76), the ECI (0.76), and the CHA2DS2-VASc (0.76) models. C-Statistics for predicting 5-year all-cause mortality risk were lower for the baseline (0.71) and the CHA2DS2-VASc (0.71) models than for the DANCAMI (0.75), the CCI (0.74), and the ECI (0.74) models. The 1-year C-Statistics were comparable.

CONCLUSION

The DANCAMI predicted ischemic stroke and cardiovascular mortality risks similar to the CCI, the ECI, and the CHA2DS2-VASc. The DANCAMI predicted all-cause mortality risk similar to the CCI and the ECI, but better than the baseline and the CHA2DS2-VASc.

Risk of atrial fibrillation among patients with premature ventricular complexes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is more likely found in patients with premature ventricular complexes (PVCs). Nonetheless, the outcomes of previous investigations remain inconclusive. To evaluate the link between PVCs and the risk of AF, we did a systematic review and meta-analysis.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

Potentially eligible studies were found by searching for published publications indexed in the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases from inception to April 13, 2021, looking for studies that assessed the risk of AF in patients with PVCs vs. those who did not have PVCs. Dersimonian and Laird's random-effect, generic inverse variance technique was used to calculate the pooled risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

The meta-analysis includes 6 cohort studies (1 prospective and 5 retrospective cohort studies) with a total of 9,662,088 individuals. We found that patients with PVCs have a significantly higher risk of AF than individuals without PVCs with the pooled RR of 1.90 (95% CI: 1.51-2.39, I²=83%).

CONCLUSIONS

PVCs are significantly related with a 1.90-fold higher incidence of AF, according to the present systematic review and meta-analysis. Nonetheless, further research is needed to determine how this connection should be treated in clinical practice if it is causal.

The EAT-Lancet diet, genetic susceptibility and risk of atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort

BACKGROUND

The EAT-Lancet Commission proposed a global reference diet with both human health benefits and environmental sustainability in 2019. However, evidence regarding the association of such a diet with the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is lacking. In addition, whether the genetic risk of AF can modify the effect of diet on AF remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the association of the EAT-Lancet diet with the risk of incident AF and examine the interaction between the EAT-Lancet diet and genetic susceptibility of AF.

METHODS

This prospective study included 24,713 Swedish adults who were free of AF, coronary events, and stroke at baseline. Dietary habits were estimated with a modified diet history method, and an EAT-Lancet diet index was constructed to measure the EAT-Lancet reference diet. A weighted genetic risk score was constructed using 134 variants associated with AF. Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 22.9 years, 4617 (18.7%) participants were diagnosed with AF. The multivariable HR (95% CI) of AF for the highest versus the lowest group for the EAT-Lancet diet index was 0.84 (0.73, 0.98) (P for trend < 0.01). The HR (95% CI) of AF per one SD increment of the EAT-Lancet diet index for high genetic risk was 0.92 (0.87, 0.98) (P for interaction = 0.15).

CONCLUSIONS

Greater adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet index was significantly associated with a lower risk of incident AF. Such association tended to be stronger in participants with higher genetic risk, though gene-diet interaction was not significant.

Prediction model of atrial fibrillation recurrence after Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients with chronic valvular disease and atrial fibrillation based on machine learning algorithm

OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, and Cox-maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) is a commonly employed surgical technique for its treatment. Currently, the risk factors for atrial fibrillation recurrence following CMP-IV remain relatively unclear. In recent years, machine learning algorithms have demonstrated immense potential in enhancing diagnostic accuracy, predicting patient outcomes, and devising personalized treatment strategies. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of CMP-IV on treating chronic valvular disease with AF, utilize machine learning algorithms to identify potential risk factors for AF recurrence, construct a CMP-IV postoperative AF recurrence prediction model.

METHODS

A total of 555 patients with AF combined with chronic valvular disease, who met the criteria, were enrolled from January 2012 to December 2019 from the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University and the Affiliated Xinqiao Hospital of the Army Medical University, with an average age of (57.95±7.96) years, including an AF recurrence group (n=117) and an AF non-recurrence group (n=438). Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the sinus rhythm maintenance rate, and 9 machine learning models were developed including random forest, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), bootstrap aggregating, logistic regression, categorical boosting (CatBoost), support vector machine, adaptive boosting, and multi-layer perceptron. Five-fold cross-validation and model evaluation indicators [including F1 score, accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the curve (AUC)] were used to evaluate the performance of the models. The 2 best-performing models were selected for further analyze, including feature importance evaluation and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis, identifying AF recurrence risk factors, and building an AF recurrence risk prediction model.

RESULTS

The 5-year sinus rhythm maintenance rate for the patients was 82.13% (95% CI 78.51% to 85.93%). Among the 9 machine learning models, XGBoost and CatBoost models performed best, with the AUC of 0.768 (95% CI 0.742 to 0.786) and 0.762 (95% CI 0.723 to 0.801), respectively. Feature importance and SHAP analysis showed that duration of AF, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, postoperative heart rhythm, preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative left atrial diameter, preoperative heart rate, and preoperative white blood cell were important factors for AF recurrence. Conclusion: Machine learning algorithms can be effectively used to identify potential risk factors for AF recurrence after CMP-IV. This study successfuly constructs 2 prediction model which may enhance individualized treatment plans.

Heart Failure Prevalence Rates and Its Association with Other Cardiovascular Diseases and Chronic Kidney Disease: SIMETAP-HF Study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Heart failure (HF) is a major health problem that causes high mortality and hospitalization rates. This study aims to determine the HF prevalence rates in populations aged both ≥18 years and ≥50 years and to assess its association with cardiovascular diseases and chronic kidney disease.

METHODS

A cross-sectional observational study was conducted in a primary care setting, with a population-based random sample of 6588 people aged 18.0-102.8 years. Crude and adjusted prevalence rates of HF were calculated. The associations of renal and cardiometabolic factors with HF were assessed in both populations using univariate, bivariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The HF crude prevalence rates were 2.8% (95%CI: 2.4-3.2) in adults (≥18 years), and 4.6% (95%CI: 4.0-5.3) in the population aged ≥ 50 years, without significant differences between males and females in both populations. The age- and sex-adjusted prevalence rates were 2.1% (male: 1.9%; female: 2.3%) in the overall adult population, and 4.5% (male: 4.2%; female: 4.8%) in the population aged ≥ 50 years, reaching 10.0% in the population aged ≥ 70 years. Atrial fibrillation, hypertension, low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, sedentary lifestyle, and diabetes were independently associated with HF in both populations. A total of 95.7% (95%CI: 92.7-98.6) of the population with HF had an elevated cardiovascular risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reports that HF prevalence increases from 4.5% in the population over 50 years to 10% in the population over 70 years. The main clinical conditions that are HF-related are sedentary lifestyle, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes, low eGFR, stroke, and CHD.

Shocked to death: a case report of cardiogenic shock and death following electrocardioversion for atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent, especially in patients with heart failure. Their prevalence increases with age and both conditions are interrelated. Electrocardioversion (ECV) is considered a safe and effective procedure and is among one of the recommended therapies to terminate AF back to normal sinus rhythm. Our study highlights one of the rare complications following ECV. A 71-year-old female with a history of atrial fibrillation underwent electrocardioversion and developed sudden onset of ventricular stunning resulting in refractory cardiogenic shock. She was treated with mechanical cardiac support including IABP and Impella. Both provided minimal support then rapid clinical deterioration happened leading to imminent death.

CONCLUSION

Patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure treated with electrocardioversion might develop refractory cardiogenic shock and death as a complication of this procedure.

Global, regional, and national burden of heart failure associated with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Heart failure is a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide, and Atrial fibrillation (AF) is among many modifiable risk factors for heart failure. No estimates are available on the magnitude of the burden of heart failure associated with AF, and this study estimated the global, regional, and national burdens associated with AF.

METHODS

We used the comparative risk assessment method to estimate the disease burden in terms of prevalence and years lived with disability (YLD). The population-attributable fraction for heart failure and AF was calculated from prevalence estimates of AF and the recalculated relative risks of heart failure associated with AF from a systematic review summarising the longitudinal association between AF and outcomes. The burden of heart failure was retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease database.

RESULTS

Globally, 2.6% (95% uncertainty interval 1.3 to 4.7%) of the burden of heart failure is associated with AF. This was 1.5 (95% UI 0.6 to 3.2) million people in 2019, a 49.8% increase from 1990. The highest prevalence was from South-East Asia, East Asia and Oceania. The highest YLD was estimated for Central Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia. High-income countries showed a sharp decline in the age standardised prevalence and YLD rates from 1990 to 2019.

CONCLUSION

The burden of heart failure associated with AF has increased substantially over the past two decades despite the advances in AF management. However, falling prevalence and YLD rates of heart failure associated with AF in high-income countries over time indicate that reducing this burden is possible.

Analyses of m6A regulatory genes and subtype classification in atrial fibrillation

Objective

To explore the role of m6A regulatory genes in atrial fibrillation (AF), we classified atrial fibrillation patients into subtypes by two genotyping methods associated with m6A regulatory genes and explored their clinical significance.

Methods

We downloaded datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. The m6A regulatory gene expression levels were extracted. We constructed and compared random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) models. Feature genes were selected to develop a nomogram model with the superior model. We identified m6A subtypes based on significantly differentially expressed m6A regulatory genes and identified m6A gene subtypes based on m6A-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Comprehensive evaluation of the two m6A modification patterns was performed.

Results

The data of 107 samples from three datasets, GSE115574, GSE14975 and GSE41177, were acquired from the GEO database for training models, comprising 65 AF samples and 42 sinus rhythm (SR) samples. The data of 26 samples from dataset GSE79768 comprising 14 AF samples and 12 SR samples were acquired from the GEO database for external validation. The expression levels of 23 regulatory genes of m6A were extracted. There were correlations among the m6A readers, erasers, and writers. Five feature m6A regulatory genes, ZC3H13, YTHDF1, HNRNPA2B1, IGFBP2, and IGFBP3, were determined (p < 0.05) to establish a nomogram model that can predict the incidence of atrial fibrillation with the RF model. We identified two m6A subtypes based on the five significant m6A regulatory genes (p < 0.05). Cluster B had a lower immune infiltration of immature dendritic cells than cluster A (p < 0.05). On the basis of six m6A-related DEGs between m6A subtypes (p < 0.05), two m6A gene subtypes were identified. Both cluster A and gene cluster A scored higher than the other clusters in terms of m6A score computed by principal component analysis (PCA) algorithms (p < 0.05). The m6A subtypes and m6A gene subtypes were highly consistent.

Conclusion

The m6A regulatory genes play non-negligible roles in atrial fibrillation. A nomogram model developed by five feature m6A regulatory genes could be used to predict the incidence of atrial fibrillation. Two m6A modification patterns were identified and evaluated comprehensively, which may provide insights into the classification of atrial fibrillation patients and guide treatment.

Celastrol relieves myocardial infarction-induced cardiac fibrosis by inhibiting NLRP3 inflammasomes in rats

BACKGROUND

Myocardial infarction (MI) triggers a strong inflammatory response mediating by NLRP3 inflammasome which is associated with cardiac fibrosis. The key players in this response are Interleukin (IL)-1 and IL-18, which are regulated by NLRP3 inflammasomes. Celastrol, a traditional Chinese medicine with strong anti-inflammatory activity, has recently reported as a cardioprotective agent. However, the mechanisms by which celastrol is cardioprotective in MI remain elusive. We hypothesized that Celastrol could reduce IL-1β and IL-18 expression and ameliorate myocardial fibrosis after myocardial infarction in rats, improve poor heart remodeling, and preserve heart function.

METHODS

Myocardial infarction (MI) was caused by ligating the left anterior descending of male SD rats. Celastrol (1 mg/kg) or saline was administered every other day for 4 weeks. Heart function and fibrosis were assessed. Inflammatory and fibrotic markers in the myocardia were evaluated with immunohistochemistry, western blot, and ELISA. Molecular docking was employed to predict Celastrol's binding to NLRP3 protein. The effects of Celastrol on the expression of NLRP3 inflammasome and myocardial fibrosis genes were then examined in vitro.

RESULTS

Celastrol maintained the left ventricular fractional shortening (FS) and ejection fraction (EF). Fibrosis was significantly reduced in animals treated with 1 mg/kg Celastrol (15.17 ± 1.82%) relative to controls (29.88 ± 4.28%). Celastrol also significantly reduced the NLRP3, IL-18, and IL-1β levels, together with macrophage and neutrophil infiltration in the myocardium. Molecular docking predicted that NLRP3 would bind tightly to Celastrol [Docking energy: -8.9 (kcal/mol)]. In vitro experiments showed reduced NLRP3 inflammasome and myocardial fibrosis-associated proteins expression in neonatal rat cardiac fibroblasts treated with Celastrol.

CONCLUSIONS

In post-MI rats, Celastrol, a naturally occurring active ingredient, was able to reduce myocardial fibrosis and improve cardiac function, according to our study. These effects may result from inhibiting the NLRP3 inflammasome and attenuating the early inflammatory storm after MI, suggesting that Celastrol may be useful in treating acute MI.

L1 cell adhesion molecule may be a protective molecule for atrial fibrillation in patients with valvular heart disease

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent sustained arrhythmia. L1 cell adhesion molecule (L1CAM) served as a crucial regulator of signaling pathways. This research sought to examine the clinical value and functions of soluble L1CAM in the serum of AF patients.

Methods

In total, 118 patients (valvular heart disease patients [VHD, total: n = 93; AF: n = 47; sinus rhythm (SR): n = 46] and healthy controls [n = 25]) were recruited in this retrospective study. Plasma levels of L1CAM were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The Pearson's correlation approach, as applicable, was used for analyzing the correlations. The L1CAM was shown to independently serve as a risk indicator of AF in VHD after being analyzed by the multivariable logistic regression. To examine the specificity and sensitivity of AF, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC) were used. A nomogram was developed for the visualisation of the model. We further evaluate the prediction model for AF using calibration plot and decision curve analysis.

Results

The plasma level of L1CAM was substantially decreased in AF patients as opposed to healthy control and SR patients (healthy control = 46.79 ± 12.55 pg/ml, SR = 32.86 ± 6.11 pg/ml, AF = 22.48 ± 5.39 pg/ml; SR vs. AF, P < 0.001; control vs. AF, P < 0.001). L1CAM was significantly and negatively correlated with LA and NT-proBNP (LA: r = -0.344, P = 0.002; NT-proBNP: r = -0.380, P = 0.001). Analyses using logistic regression showed a substantial correlation between L1CAM and AF in patients with VHD (For L1CAM, Model 1: OR = 0.704, 95%CI = 0.607-0.814, P < 0.001; Model 2: OR = 0.650, 95% CI = 0.529-0.798, P < 0.001; Model 3: OR = 0.650, 95% CI = 0.529-0.798, P < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that inclusion of L1CAM in the model significantly improved the ability of other clinical indicators to predict AF. The predictive model including L1CAM, LA, NT-proBNP and LVDd had excellent discrimination and a nomogram was developed. The model had good the calibration and clinical utility.

Conclusion

L1CAM was shown to independently serve as a risk indicator for AF in VHD. In AF patients with VHD, the prognostic and predictive effectiveness of models incorporating L1CAM was satisfactory. Collectively, L1CAM may be a protective molecule for atrial fibrillation in patients with valvular heart disease.

Cardioselective versus Non-Cardioselective Beta-Blockers and Outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been independently associated with increased mortality; however, there is no evidence regarding beta-blocker cardioselectivity and long-term outcomes in patients with AF and concurrent COPD. Methods: This post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized trial (NCT02941978) included patients hospitalized with comorbid AF. At discharge, all patients were classified according to the presence of COPD; patients with COPD on beta-blockers were classified according to beta-blocker cardioselectivity. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were calculated by using multivariable Cox regression models. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality and hospitalizations. Results: Of 1103 patients with AF, 145 (13%) had comorbid COPD. Comorbid COPD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause (aHR, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02 to 1.73) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.47; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.99), but not with increased risk of hospitalizations (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.48). The use of cardioselective versus non-cardioselective beta-blockers was associated with similar all-cause mortality (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.94), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.33; 95% CI, 0.71 to 2.51), and hospitalizations (aHR 1.65; 95% CI 0.80 to 3.38). Conclusions: In recently hospitalized patients with AF, the presence of COPD was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. No difference between cardioselective and non-cardioselective beta-blockers, regarding clinical outcomes, was identified.

MEDEA randomised intervention study protocol in Cyprus, Greece and Israel for mitigation of desert dust health effects in adults with atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Mediterranean countries experience frequent desert dust storm (DDS) events originating from neighbouring Sahara and Arabian deserts, which are associated with significant increase in mortality and hospital admissions, mostly from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Short-term exposure to ambient air pollution is considered as a trigger for symptomatic exacerbations of pre-existing paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) and other types of heart arrhythmia. The Mitigating the Health Effects of Desert Dust Storms Using Exposure-Reduction Approaches clinical randomised intervention study in adults with AF is funded by EU LIFE+programme to evaluate the efficacy of recommendations aiming to reduce exposure to desert dust and related heart arrhythmia effects.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The study is performed in three heavily exposed to desert dust regions of the Eastern Mediterranean: Cyprus, Israel and Crete-Greece. Adults with paroxysmal AF and implanted pacemaker are recruited and randomised to three parallel groups: (a) no intervention, (b) interventions to reduce outdoor exposure to desert dust, (c) interventions to reduce both outdoor and indoor exposure to particulate matter during desert dust episodes. Eligible participants are enrolled on a web-based platform which communicates, alerts and makes exposure reduction recommendations during DDS events. Exposure changes are assessed by novel tools (smartwatches with Global Positioning System and physical activity sensors, air pollution samplers assessing air quality inside and outside participant's homes, etc). Clinical outcomes include the AF burden expressed as the percentage of time with paroxysmal AF over the total study period, the incidence of ventricular arrhythmia episodes as recorded by the participants' pacemakers or cardioverters/defibrillators and the disease-specific Atrial Fibrillation Effect on QualiTy-of-Life questionnaire.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Local bioethics' authorities approved the study at all sites, according to national legislations (Cyprus: National Bioethics Committee, Data Protection Commissioner and Ministry of Health; Greece, Scientific Committee and Governing Board of the University General Hospital of Heraklion; Israel: Institutional Review Board ('Helsinki committee') of the Soroka University Medical Center). The findings will be publicised in peer-reviewed scientific journals, in international conferences and in professional websites and newsletters. A summary of the results and participants' interviews will be included in a documentary in English, Greek and Hebrew.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier; NCT03503812.

Interhospital Variability in Utilization of Cardioversion for Atrial Fibrillation in the Emergency Department

The role for direct current cardioversion (DCCV) in the management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the emergency department (ED) is unclear. Factors associated with DCCV in current practice are not well described, nor is the variation across patients and institutions. All ED encounters with a primary diagnosis of AF were identified from the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample from 2006 to 2017. The independent association of patient and hospital factors with use of DCCV was assessed using multivariable hierarchical logistic regression. The relative contributions of patient, hospital, and unmeasured hospital factors were assessed using reference effect measures methods. Among 1,280,914 visits to 3,264 EDs with primary diagnosis of AF, 31,422 patients (2.4%) underwent DCCV in the ED. History of stroke (odds ratio [OR] 0.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.09 to 0.22, p <0.001) and dementia (OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.19, p <0.001) was associated with lowest odds of DCCV. Comparing patients more likely to receive DCCV (ninety-fifth percentile) with patients with median risk, the influence of unmeasured hospital factors (OR 14.13, 95% CI 12.55 to 16.09) exceeded the contributions of patient (OR 5.66, 95% CI 5.28 to 6.15) and measured hospital factors (OR 3.89, 95% CI 2.87 to 5.60). In conclusion, DCCV use in the ED varied widely across institutions. Disproportionately large unmeasured hospital variation suggests that presenting hospital is the most determinative factor in the use of DCCV for ED management of AF. Clarification is needed on best practices for management of AF in the ED, including the use of DCCV.