The age threshold of the 8th edition AJCC classification is useful for indicating patients with aggressive papillary thyroid cancer in clinical practice

Burdens and trends of blindness and vision loss among those aged 55 years and older: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

PURPOSE

To systematically analysis the burden and trends of blindness and vision loss for those aged ≥55 years from 1990 to 2019 and to predict trends over the next few years.

METHODS

The data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. Trends from 1990 to 2019 were calculated using average annual percentage change (AAPC) by joinpoint regression analysis. Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models were used to predict future trends.

RESULTS

In 2019, the global prevalence of blindness and vision loss was 471.1 million with 15.9 million disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for those aged ≥55 years. These numbers will reach 640.3 million cases and 18.9 million DALYs in 2030. The prevalence rate (per 100,000 population) increased from 32,137.8 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 26,307.9-39,246.3) in 1990 to 33,509 (95% UI, 27,435.5-40,996.2) in 2019, with an AAPC of 0.143 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.125-0.161; P < 0.001). The DALY rate (per 100,000 population) decreased from 632.9 (95% UI, 447.7-870.9) in 1990 to 579.3 (95% UI, 405.2-803.4) in 2019, with an AAPC of -0.293 (95% CI, -0.323-[-]0.263). Although the prevalence rates of cataracts, age-related macular degeneration, glaucoma, and near vision loss showed increasing trends from 1990 to 2019, the DALY rates indicated a downward trend for all blindness-causing diseases. The burden is heavier for women and in low Socio-demographic Index (SDI) regions.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a decline from 2001 to 2019, the burden of blindness and vision loss, measured by prevalence and DALYs, continues to rise after adjusting for population growth and aging. Blindness and vision loss are significant public health burdens, especially for women and in low-SDI regions.

Temporal trends of thyroid cancer between 2010 and 2019 in Asian countries by geographical region and SDI, comparison with global data

Objective

This study aims to describe temporal trends of thyroid cancer (ThC) from 2010 to 2019, in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index, compared with global data.

Method

Annual case data and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of epidemiological indicators of ThC cancer data were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 2010 to 2019 in 49 countries and territories in Asia. The relative difference (%) between years was used to show comparative variations of ASRs for the indicators studied. The female/male ratio was calculated by dividing female ASRs by male ASRs. Also, these rates were compared between the age group ≥70 years old and younger age groups.

Results

In 2019, more than 50% of ThC cases and deaths occurred in Asian countries. A total of 53% of ThC patients lived in Asia and more than 60% of the global burden of ThC was imposed on Asian countries. From 2010 to 2019, incidences, deaths, prevalence cases, and DALYs number of ThC cancer increased over 1.28-, 1.26-, 1.3-, and 1.2-fold, in Asia, respectively. During this period, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of ThC cancer increased by 5% and 8%, respectively, while the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and the age-standardized DALYs rate (DALYs ASR) of ThC cancer decreased by 6% and 4%, respectively. These trends are different from what happens in other continents. In 2019, age-specific incidence, death, prevalence, and DALY cases of ThC cancer were peaking at 50-54, 75-79, 50-54, and 55-59 years, respectively. In 2019, the highest ASIR and ASPR of ThC cancer was observed in high-income Asia Pacific countries and the highest ASDR and DALYs ASR in Southeast Asia countries. Only high-income Asia Pacific countries experienced a decreasing trend in ASIR and ASPR from 2010 to 2019. ASDR and DALYs ASR have the highest decreasing trend in high-income Asia Pacific. In 2019, among high SDI Asian countries, the Republic of Korea had the highest ASIR and ASPR, and Brunei Darussalam had the highest ASDR and DALYs ASR. The highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALY ASR of ThC cancer was found in Lebanon and Malaysia (high-middle SDIs), Vietnam (middle SDIs), and Cambodia and Palestine (low-middle SDIs). Among low SDI Asian countries, Pakistan had the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALY ASR of ThC cancer. All indicators for most countries were higher in women than men.

Conclusion

More than half of the burden of thyroid cancer is imposed on the residents of the Asian continent. Although the incidence and prevalence of this cancer in Asian countries is lower than that of the world, America, and Europe, the highest rate of death from thyroid cancer occurs in Asia and they witness the highest burden of the disease. Therefore, it seems that implementing early detection strategies and increasing access to treatment facilities in Asia is one of the necessities of thyroid cancer control in its residents.

Nomogram to predict the risk of biochemical recurrence and structural recurrence in patients with stage cN1 papillary thyroid carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Although papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is thought to be the least aggressive thyroid cancer, it has a significant recurrence rate. Therefore, we aimed to develop a nomogram to estimate the probability of biochemical recurrence (BIR) and structural recurrence (STR) in patients with stage cN1 PTC.

METHODS

We studied the relationship between the characteristics of patients with stage N1a PTC and the risk of recurrence by analysing the data of 617 inpatients (training cohort) and 102 outpatients (validation cohort) in our hospital. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model to identify prognostic indicators to construct nomograms to predict the risk of BIR and STR.

RESULTS

There were 94 (15.24%) BIR cases in the training cohort and 36 (35.29%) in the validation cohort. There were 31 (5.02%) STR cases in the training cohort and 23 (22.55%) cases in the validation cohort. The variables included in the BIR nomogram were sex, age at diagnosis, tumour size, extrathyroidal infiltration, and lymph node ratio (LNR). While the variables included in the STR nomogram were tumour size, extrathyroidal infiltration, BRAF state, metastatic lymph nodes, and LNR. Both the prediction models demonstrated good discrimination ability. The results showed the calibration curve of the nomogram was near the optimum diagonal line, and the decision curve analysis showed a noticeably better benefit.

CONCLUSION

The LNR may be a valid prognostic indicator for patients with stage cN1 PTC. The nomograms could help clinicians identify high-risk patients and choose the best postsurgical therapy and monitoring.

Neutrophil extracellular traps and neutrophil-related mediators in human thyroid cancer

Background

Polymorphonuclear neutrophils (PMNs) are the main effector cells in inflammatory responses and play multiple roles in thyroid cancer (TC). PMNs contain and release a plethora of mediators, including granular enzymes [e.g., myeloperoxidase (MPO), pentraxin-3 (PTX3) and matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9)], and neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs). The aim of this study was to evaluate NETs and neutrophil-derived mediators as possible biomarkers in TC patients.

Methods

20 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), 26 patients with dedifferentiated thyroid cancer (De-DTC), 26 patients with multinodular goiter (MNG) and 22 healthy controls (HCs) were recruited. Serum concentrations of free DNA (dsDNA), nucleosomes, citrullinated histone H3 (CitH3) and MPO-DNA complexes were evaluated as NET biomarkers. Neutrophil-related mediators such as MPO, PTX3, MMP-9, CXCL8, and granulocyte-monocyte colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) were measured by ELISA.

Results

Serum levels of all four NET biomarkers were increased in DeDTC patients compared to HCs. CitH3 serum levels were selectively increased in both DeDTC and DTC patients compared to HCs and MNG patients. MPO-DNA complexes and nucleosomes were selectively increased only in DeDTC patients compared to HCs and MNG patients. Moreover, MPO-DNA complexes were selectively increased in DeDTC patients compared to DTC patients also. MPO circulating levels were selectively increased in the DeDTC patient subgroup compared to HCs. Circulating levels of PTX3, MMP-9 and GM-CSF were increased in DTC and DeDTC patients compared to HCs. Nucleosomes positively correlated with dsDNA, CitH3, MPO and CXCL8. MPO-DNA complexes positively correlated with dsDNA, CitH3, CXCL8, MPO and nucleosome levels. Moreover, three out of the four NET biomarkers (i.e., dsDNA, nucleosomes and MPO-DNA complexes) were increased in elderly patients compared to young patients and in patients with metastatic disease at diagnosis compared to non metastatic patients. Nucleosomes were higher in males compared to females.

Conclusion

MPO-DNA complexes, nucleosomes and, to some extent, CitH3 levels seem to correlate with malignancy and severity of progressive TC. Moreover, serum concentrations of PMN-related mediators (MPO, PTX3, GM-CSF) were increased in TCs compared to MNG and HCs.

Efficacy of Empirical Radioiodine Therapy in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer and Elevated Serum Thyroglobulin without Evidence of Structural Disease: A Propensity Score Analysis

We assessed the outcome of administration of empiric radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy to patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), in a propensity-score-matched cohort of patients with biochemical incomplete response (BIR) and without evidence of structural disease. We retrospectively evaluated 820 DTC patients without distant metastases, who underwent total thyroidectomy followed by RAI therapy, with available BIR at 12 months and follow-up evaluations. The patients were categorized according to the administration of empiric therapy (ET). To account for differences between patients with (n = 119) and without (n = 701) ET, a propensity-score-matched cohort of 119 ET and 119 no-ET patients was created. The need for additional therapy and the occurrence of structural disease were considered as end-points. During a median follow-up of 53 months (range 3-285), 57 events occurred (24% cumulative event rate). The rate of events was significantly higher in the no-ET compared to the ET patients (30% vs. 18% p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox analysis identified age (p < 0.01), pre-therapy Tg (p < 0.05) and empiric RAI therapy (p < 0.01) as predictors of outcome. The Kaplan-Meier analysis found that progression-free survival was lower in no-ET patients compared to the ET group (p < 0.01). In patients with DTC treated with surgery and RAI, and with biochemical incomplete response at the 12-month evaluation, their prognosis seemed to be affected by Tg values and the empiric treatment. The identification of candidates for this approach may improve prognosis.

Accuracy of papillary thyroid cancer prognostic nomograms: a systematic review

Objective

Current staging and risk-stratification systems for predicting survival or recurrence of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma may be ineffective at predicting outcomes in individual patients. In recent years, nomograms have been proposed as an alternative to conventional systems for predicting personalized clinical outcomes. We conducted a systematic review to evaluate the predictive performance of available nomograms for thyroid cancer patients.

Design and methods

PROSPERO registration (CRD42022327028). A systematic search was conducted without time and language restrictions. PICOT questions: population, patients with papillary thyroid cancer; comparator prognostic factor, single-arm studies; outcomes, overall survival, disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, recurrence, central lymph node metastases, or lateral lymph node metastases; timing, all periods; setting, hospital setting. Risk of bias was assessed through PROBAST tool.

Results

Eighteen studies with a total of 20 prognostic models were included in the systematic review (90,969 papillary thyroid carcinoma patients). Fourteen models were at high risk of bias and four were at unclear risk of bias. The greatest concerns arose in the analysis domain. The accuracy of nomograms for overall survival was assessed in only one study and appeared limited (0.77, 95% CI: 0.75-0.79). The accuracy of nomograms for disease-free survival ranged from 0.65 (95% CI: 0.55-0.75) to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.91-0.95). The C-index for predicting lateral lymph node metastasis ranged from 0.72 to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.86-0.97). For central lymph node metastasis, the C-index of externally validated studies ranged from 0.706 (95% CI: 0.685-0.727) to 0.923 (95% CI: 0.893-0.946).

Conclusions

Our work highlights the extremely high heterogeneity among nomograms and the critical lack of external validation studies that limit the applicability of nomograms in clinical practice. Further studies ideally using commonly adopted risk factors as the backbone to develop nomograms are required.

Significance statement

Nomograms may be appropriate tools to plan treatments and predict personalized clinical outcomes in patients with papillary thyroid cancer. However, the nomograms developed to date are very heterogeneous, and their results seem to be closely related to the specific samples studied to generate the same nomograms. The lack of rigorous external validation procedures and the use of risk factors that sometimes appear to be far from those commonly used in clinical practice, as well as the great heterogeneity of the risk factors considered, limit the ability of nomograms to predict patient outcomes and thus their current introduction in clinical practice.

Reminiscence therapy care program as a potential nursing intervention to relieve anxiety, depression, and quality of life in older papillary thyroid carcinoma patients: A randomized, controlled study

Objective

Reminiscence therapy (RT) ameliorates psychological problems and quality of life in cancer patients. However, no study reports its effect on older papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. This study intended to investigate the effect of the RT-care program (CP) on anxiety, depression, quality of life, and survival in older PTC patients.

Methods

Eighty-six postoperative older PTC patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to RT-CP group (N = 44) and usual (U)-CP group (N = 42) as a 1:1 ratio for a 6-month intervention. Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) and Quality of Life Questionnaire-Core 30 (QLQ-C30) scores were assessed at baseline, month (M)1, M2, M4, and M6.

Results

HADS and QLQ-C30 scores at baseline were not different between two groups. Additionally, HADS-anxiety score at M6 (p = 0.029), and HADS-depression score at M2 (p = 0.030), M4 (p = 0.029), M6 (p = 0.012) were reduced in RT-CP group versus U-CP group. Meanwhile, anxiety and depression rates from M1 to M6 were slightly decreased in RT-CP group versus U-CP group but did not reach statistical significance. Furthermore, depression severity at M6 was reduced in RT-CP group versus U-CP group (p = 0.049). Besides, QLQ-C30 global health status was increased at M2 (p = 0.023) and M6 (p = 0.033), QLQ-C30 function score was elevated at M2 (p = 0.040) and M4 (p = 0.035), while QLQ-C30 symptom score was decreased at M2 (p = 0.046) in RT-CP group versus U-CP group. Moreover, disease-free survival and overall survival were not different between two groups.

Conclusion

RT-CP may be a potential intervention for ameliorating anxiety, depression, and quality of life in older PTC patients.

Prognostic significance of patient age in papillary thyroid carcinoma with no high-risk features

Older age is recognized as a predictor of poor prognosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. However, young age is associated with disease progression of PTC measuring 1 cm or smaller in patients on active surveillance. In this study, we investigated the relationship between patient age and prognosis of PTC belonging to very low-, low-, and intermediate-risk groups based on the guidelines published by the Japan Association of Endocrine Surgery in 2018. We enrolled 4,870 PTC patients with no high-risk features and assigned each to one of three categories: very low risk (N = 1,161), low risk (N = 1,746), and intermediate risk (N = 1,963). In very low-risk patients, the local recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of young patients (<55 years) was significantly worse (p = 0.0437) than that of older patients (≥55 years). In low-risk patients, although age did not affect local recurrence, older patients were more likely to show distant recurrence on univariate (p = 0.0005) and multivariate analyses (p = 0.0017). In the intermediate-risk series, the local RFS rate of older patients tended to be poor (p = 0.0538), and older age was significantly associated with distant RFS (univariate, p = 0.0356; multivariate, p = 0.0439) and carcinoma death (univariate, p < 0.0001; multivariate, not done because of no other suitable factors). The prognostic significance of patient age depends on risk classification: younger age significantly predicts local recurrence in very low-risk PTC, while older age predicts worse prognosis in low- and intermediate-risk patients. These findings indicate that young age is related to rapid growth in early-phase PTC.

Differential diagnosis of thyroid nodules by the Demetics ultrasound-assisted diagnosis system and contrast-enhanced ultrasound combined with thyroid image reporting and data systems

BACKGROUND

More and more new ultrasound techniques with their own characteristics are applied in the differential diagnosis of thyroid nodules. This study amied to assess and compare the diagnostic value of the Demetics ultrasound-assisted diagnosis system and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) combined with the Thyroid Image Reporting and Data Systems (TI-RADS) for thyroid nodules.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

A total of 600 thyroid nodules with pathological findings were retrospectively analysed. Demetics and CEUS were performed for all nodules. The diagnostic efficacy of Demetics and CEUS for nodules of different sizes was evaluated and compared in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (LR+) and negative likelihood ratio (LR-). The characteristics of nodules diagnosed and misdiagnosed by Demetics were compared to analyse the factors affecting the diagnostic accuracy of Demetics. The necessity of CEUS for nodules that are prone to misdiagnosis in Demetics was assessed.

RESULTS

Both Demetics and CEUS can be used for the differential diagnosis of benign and malignant thyroid nodules of different sizes. The diagnostic agreement between Demetics and CEUS for thyroid nodules of different sizes was moderate, substantial and fair, respectively. The sensitivity and NPV of Demetics were higher than those of CEUS, and the specificity, PPV and LR+ of CEUS were higher than that of Demetics. The LR- of Demetics was lower than those of CEUS. There were significant differences in age, calcification and margin in analysing the factors affecting Demetics. CEUS correctly diagnosed 50 of the 101 nodules misdiagnosed by Demetics.

CONCLUSIONS

Demetics showed high sensitivity in diagnosing thyroid nodules, while CEUS showed high specificity. In clinical practice, CEUS can further improve the diagnostic accuracy for nodules that are easily misdiagnosed by Demetics.

Hobnail Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma, A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Although papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is considered to have an excellent prognosis, some recently identified more aggressive variants show reduced overall survival rates. Hobnail PTC (HPTC) was newly recognized as one of these aggressive forms, affecting recurrence, metastasis, and overall survival rates. Herein, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies including cases or case series with patients with HPTC. Furthermore, we included our individual case series consisting of six patients. The pooled mortality rate in the cohort, consisting of 290 patients, was 3.57 (95% CI 1.67−7.65) per 100 person/years. No sex differences could be observed concerning mortality (p = 0.62), but older age and tumor size significantly affected mortality (p = 0.004 and p = 0.02, respectively). The percentage of hobnail cells did not affect mortality (p = 0.97), neither did the presence of BRAF mutations. Classical characteristics such as the presence of extrathyroidal extension (p = 0.001), distant metastases (p < 0.001), and lymph node metastases (p < 0.001) all had a significant impact on mortality. Thus, HPTC appears to correlate with worse overall survival, and all PTC cases should be carefully assessed for this variant.

Relationship between serum NDRG3 and papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In recent years, papillary thyroid carcinoma is considered to be one of the fastest increaseing cancer. NDRG family member 3 (NDRG3) has been proposed as a molecular marker of tumor, and is expected to be used in clinic.

METHODS

Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect the serum NDRG3 expression in 81 papillary thyroid carcinoma cases, 75 benign thyroid nodules cases and 77 healthy control cases, respectively. Electrochemiluminescence method was applied to measure the levels of triiodothyronine, tetraiodothyronine, thyrotropin, thyroglobulin antibody and thyroid peroxidase antibody. Immunohistochemical staining was used to detect the expression of NDRG3 in papillary thyroid carcinoma, benign thyroid nodules and normal tissues adjacent to cancer.

RESULTS

The expression of serum triiodothyronine, tetraiodothyronine, thyrotropin, thyroglobulin antibody and thyroid peroxidase antibody and NDRG3 were significantly different among benign thyroid nodules, papillary thyroid carcinoma cases and healthy control groups (P <0.001). Only the expression of serum NDRG3 was significantly different between benign thyroid nodules and papillary thyroid carcinoma groups (P <0.001). Immunohistochemistry showed that NDRG3 was expressed in all three groups, the lowest in papillary thyroid carcinoma, the second in benign thyroid nodules, and the highest in normal tissues adjacent to cancer. Logistic regression analysis showed that serum NDRG3 was an independent protective factor for papillary thyroid carcinoma (OR =0.964, 95%CI =0.953 to 0.974, P <0.001). The ROC curve of non-papillary thyroid carcinoma diagnosed by serum NDRG3 showed the optimal cut-off value of 481.38 pg/ml, sensitivity of 72.4%, specificity of 90.1%, and the maximum area under the curve (AUC =0.902, 95%CI =0.863 to 0.940, P <0.001). The ROC curve of benign thyroid nodules diagnosed by serum NDRG3 showed the optimal critical value of 459.28 pg/ml, sensitivity of 81.3%, and specificity of 74.1% (AUC =0.863, 95%CI =0.808 to 0.919, P <0.001). The expression level of serum NDRG3 was significantly correlated with extrathyroid extensionand (P =0.007) and lymphatic metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma (P =0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

The decrease of NDRG3 expression can not only differential diagnosis benign thyroid nodules and papillary thyroid carcinoma, but also serve as a molecular marker for the diagnosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

The Correlation of Age with Prognosis of Atypia of Undetermined Significance and Follicular Lesion of Undetermined Significance in Thyroid Nodules

Purpose

Although some prognostic variables and risk factors for thyroid cancer (TC) are age-related, the association between age and the risk of TC in patients with thyroid nodules (TNs) assigned to atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) and follicular lesion of undetermined significance (FLUS) is poorly estimated. The aim of this study was to assess the histopathology of AUS/FLUS and the risk of TC according to the age of the patients at the time of AUS/FLUS diagnosis.

Patients and Methods

Among 5021 individuals treated for TNs at one institution from 2008 to 2018, 161 (3.2%) patients with 161 TNs assigned to the AUS/FLUS category (1 nodule per patient) were selected and stratified by age at initial diagnosis: <55 years, 55–75 years and >75 years. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the association of age with the risk of TC diagnosis.

Results

Ninety-one (56.52%) patients <55 years old, 58 (36.02%) patients 55–75 years old, and 12 (7.45%) individuals >75 years old were identified. There were 130 (80.7%) females and 31 (19.3%) males with a mean age of 50.6 ± 16.12 years. Among the evaluated TNs, 142 (88.2%) were ultimately diagnosed as benign, and 19 (11.8%) were diagnosed as malignant. Younger age in patients was significantly related to malignancy outcome (p=0.024 for age <55 years). Patients aged 55–75 years had a significantly lower risk of TC than the other age categories (p=0.040). The risks of high vascularity and fast tumor growth were significantly higher in the youngest category than in the other categories (age <55 years old: p=0.045 and p=0.002, respectively).

Conclusion

Although patients with TNs classified as AUS/FLUS by ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration biopsy (UG-FNAB) are not typically qualified for surgery, it is worth noting that younger patients with an AUS/FLUS diagnosis might be at a higher risk of TC.