Prognostic factors in adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction

Development and validation of a nomogram for Siewert II esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma: a retrospective analysis

Background

Due to the complex histological type and anatomical structures, there has been considerable debate on the classification of adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG), especially Siewert II AEG. Furthermore, neither the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) [esophageal adenocarcinoma (E) or gastric cancer (G)] nor the AJCC 8th TNM (E or G) accurately predicted the prognosis of patients with Siewert II AEG.

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the factors influencing the survival and prognosis of patients with Siewert II AEG and establish a new and better prognostic predictive model.

Design

A retrospective study.

Methods

Patients with Siewert II AEG, retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases, were assigned to the training set. Patients retrieved from a single tertiary medical center were assigned to the external validation set. Significant variables were selected using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to construct the nomogram. Nomogram models were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), a calibration plot, decision curve analysis (DCA), and external validation.

Results

Age, tumor grade, and size, as well as the T, N, and M stages, were included in the nomograms. For the SEER training set, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.683 (0.665-0.701). The C-index of the nomogram for the external validation set was 0.690 (0.653-0.727). The calibration curve showed good agreement between the nomogram estimations and actual observations in both the training and external validation sets. The DCA showed that the nomogram was clinically useful.

Conclusion

The new predictive model showed significant accuracy in predicting the prognosis of Siewert II AEG.

Nomogram for predicting the likelihood of liver metastases at initial diagnosis in patients with Siewert type II gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma

The liver is one of the most ordinary metastatic sites of gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma and significantly affects its prognosis. Therefore, this study tried to construct a nomogram that can be applied to predict the likelihood of liver metastases from gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma. 3001 eligible patients diagnosed with gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma between 2010 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were involved in the analysis. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and an internal validation cohort using R software, with an allocation ratio of 7:3. According to the consequences of univariate and multivariate logistic regression, we constructed a nomogram for predicting the risk of liver metastases. The discrimination and calibration ability of the nomogram was appraised by the C-index, ROC curve, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). We also used Kaplan-Meier survival curves to compare differences in overall survival in patients with gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma with and without liver metastases. Liver metastases developed in 281 of 3001 eligible patients. The overall survival of patients with gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma with liver metastases before and after propensity score matching (PSM) was obviously lower than that of patients without liver metastases. Six risk factors were finally recognized by multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram was constructed. The C-index was 0.816 in the training cohort and 0.771 in the validation cohort, demonstrating the good predictive capacity of the nomogram. The ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis further demonstrated the good performance of the predictive model. The nomogram can accurately predict the likelihood of liver metastases in gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma patients.

Clinical Utility of 18F-2-Fluoro-deoxy-d-glucose PET Imaging in Locally Advanced Esophageal/Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma

Esophageal adenocarcinoma, including adenocarcinoma of the gastroesophageal junction, is uncommon in the United States, but is associated with a rising incidence in young adults, and has a traditionally poor prognosis. Despite the incremental benefits that have been made with multimodality approaches to locally advanced disease, most patients will go on to develop metastatic disease, and long-term outcomes remain suboptimal. Over the last decade, PET-CT has emerged as a key tool in the management of this disease, with several prospective and retrospective studies evaluating its role in this disease. Herein, we review the key data pertaining to the use of PET-CT in the management of locally advanced esophageal and GEJ adenocarcinoma, with a focus on staging, prognostication, PET-CT adapted therapy in the neoadjuvant setting, and surveillance.

The Role of Age and Comorbidities in Esophagogastric Cancer Chemoradiation of the Frail Elderly (>70 Years): An Analysis from a Tertiary High Volume-Center

Elderly patients > 70 years of age with esophageal cancer (EC) represent a challenging group as frailty and comorbidities need to be considered. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the efficacy and side effects of curative chemoradiation therapy (CRT) with regard to basic geriatric screening in elderly patients in order to elucidate prognostic factors. Thirty-four elderly patients > 70 years with EC treated at our cancer center between May 2014 and October 2018 fulfilled the selection criteria for this retrospective analysis. Treatment consisted of intravenous infusion of carboplatin/paclitaxel or fluorouracil (5-FU)/cisplatin with the intention of neoadjuvant or definite chemoradiation. Clinicopathological data including performance status (ECOG), (age-adjusted) Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), Frailty-scale by Fried, Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form, body mass index, C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, and treatment-related toxicity (CTCAE) were assessed. Data were analyzed as predictors of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). All patients (ten female, 24 male) received combined CRT (22 patients in neoadjuvant, 12 patients in definite intent). Median age was 75 years and the ECOG index between 0 and 1 (52.9% vs. 35.3%); four patients were rated as ECOG 3 (11.8%). Median follow-up was 24 months. Tumors were mainly located in the lower esophagus or esophagogastric-junction with an T3 stage (n = 25; 75.8%) and N1 stage (n = 28; 90.3%). 15 patients (44.1%) had SCC, 19 patients (55.9%) AC. 26 of the patients (76.5%) were scored as prefrail and 50% were in risk for malnutrition (n = 17). In relation to the BMI, ten patients (29.4%) were ranked as overweight, and 15 patients were presented in a healthy state of weight (44.1%). Grade 3 acute toxicity (or higher) occured in nine cases (26.5%). Most of the patients did not show any late toxicities (66.7%). Trimodal therapy provides a significant prolonged OS (p = 0.049) regardless of age, but without impact on PFS. Our analysis suggests that chemoradiation therapy is feasible for elderly patients (>70 years) with tolerable toxicity. Trimodal therapy of EC shows a positive effect on OS and PFS. Further studies are needed to elucidate benefitting subgroups within the elderly. In addition to age, treatment decisions should be based on performance status, nutritional condition and multidisciplinary validated geriatric screening tools.

UICC Staging after Neoadjuvant/Perioperative Chemotherapy Reveals No Significant Survival Differences Compared to Primary Surgery for Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer

Background: The applicability of UICC TNM staging for gastric cancer (GC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (nCTX) and surgery was not yet analyzed in comparison to patients undergoing primary surgery (PS). The purpose of this analysis was to analyze if the prognostic impact of TNM staging after nCTx is comparable with PS. Methods: Data for patients having been treated for GC with or without nCTx between 1990 and 2016 were analyzed. Uni-(URA) and multivariable regression analyses (MRA) were performed to identify predictors. Survival according to the UICC 8th edition stages was analyzed by the Kaplan−Meier method and cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance for confounders. Results: 1149 patients with GC were eligible for primary analysis. URA demonstrated age (p < 0.0001), tumor localization (p < 0.0001), clinical UICC-stage, complications, UICC stage 0, IIB-IIIC, Lauren subtype, grading, and R-stage to be significantly associated with OS. MRA revealed that age, distal tumor localization, more than 25 dissected lymph nodes, UICC stage 0, IIB-IIIC, and Lauren subtype were significantly and independently related to OS. After PSM, survival analyses revealed only a significant difference for pN2/ypN2 (p = 0.03), while all other T and N stages were comparable. Conclusion: UICC dependent survival stages do not change significantly after nCTx treatment for GC. Therefore, UICC staging in its present version is applicable to patients undergoing nCTx.

Real-world experience with anti–programmed cell death protein 1 immunotherapy in patients with esophageal cancer: A retrospective single-center study

The “real-world” data of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitors in esophageal cancer (EPC) are still an unmet medical need, including the clinical efficacy and safety. Seventy-seven EPC data were studied retrospectively; the progression-free survival (PFS), risk factors (clinical stages larger than stage II, metastatic sites larger than 2, treatment lines larger than the first line, previous surgical treatment, combined positive score [CPS] expression, etc.), and the safety were analyzed. The median PFS for all patients was 7.2 months, clinical stage &gt; stage II; the number of treatment lines &gt; first line was significantly correlated with prognosis (all P &lt; 0.05). Subgroup analysis showed that the median PFS of patients with clinical stage ≤ II was better; the results were the same for the patients with ≤2 metastatic sites, first-line PD-1 inhibitors, and not previously received radical surgery (all P &lt; 0.05). Meanwhile, the incidence of adverse events (AEs) of varying degrees was 25.97% (20/77) in 20 patients and 6.49% (5/77) of grade 3/4 AEs. The highest AE was myelosuppression (15.58%), followed by liver function injury (7.79%). In addition, ≥2 lines of treatment and &gt;2 metastatic sites predicted poor outcomes for patients with EPC who had failed first-line therapy or progressed with the combined immunotherapy and chemotherapy treatment strategy (all P &lt; 0.05).

Prognostic Value of Intraoperative Blood Transfusion in Patients with Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagogastric Junction

Background and objectives: Adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) has a complicated surgical anatomy, due to which it sometimes induces excessive intraoperative blood loss that necessitates intraoperative blood transfusion (BTF). However, few reports have focused on the impact of BTF on the survival outcomes of patients with AEG. We aimed to evaluate the impact of BTF on AEG prognosis. Materials andMethods: We included 63 patients who underwent surgical resection for AEG at our hospital between January 2010 and September 2020. Clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes were compared between patients with (n = 12) and without (n = 51) BTF. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the independent prognostic factors for overall survival. Results: None of the patients who underwent minimally invasive surgery received BTF. Patients who received BTF had a significantly worse 5-year survival rate than those who did not (67.8% vs. 28.3%, p = 0.001). BTF was an independent risk factor for overall survival (hazard ratio: 3.90, 95% confidence interval 1.30–11.7), even after patients who underwent minimally invasive surgery were excluded. Conclusions: BTF adversely affected the survival outcomes of patients with AEG who underwent curative surgery. To avoid BTF, surgeons should strive to minimize intraoperative bleeding.

Clinicopathological Characteristics and Survival Predictions for Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagogastric Junction: A SEER Population-Based Retrospective Study

Objective

Adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEJ) is a relatively rare malignancy in Western countries whose specific clinicopathological characteristics and associated prognosis have not been comprehensively described.

Methods

Data on patients with AEJ between 2005 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were extracted, evaluated, and compared with patients with gastric cancer (GC) in general. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model to identify risk factors predictive for OS, and the results were used to construct a nomogram to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS among patients with AEJ.

Results

A total of 8013 patients diagnosed with AEJ were identified from the records of 30,179 patients with GC. The mean age was 65.4 (SD = 12.0) years, 79.5% were men, 87.2% were Caucasian, 91.5% were moderately-to-poorly differentiated, 34.4% had AJCC stage I AEJ, and 28.8% had stage IV. The median OS was 18 months, and the 5-year OS was 25.8% (95% CI: 24.8–26.8%). Fewer patients with AEJ had undergone surgical resection, fewer had T+ and N+ (N2~N3) disease (P < 0.001), and fewer had distant metastases compared to the patients with GC (P < 0.05). In the univariate and multivariate analyses, age, race, summary stage, N stage, M stage, and surgery were identified as independent risk factors. The nomogram had a calibration index of 0.726.

Conclusion

AEJ was found to have distinct clinicopathological characteristics. Age, race, summary stage, N stage, M stage, and surgery were independently associated with OS. The nomogram accurately predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates.

Interstitial 125I Brachytherapy as a Salvage Treatment for Refractory Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis of Thoracic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After External Irradiation With a CT-Guided Coplanar Template-Assisted Technique: A Retrospective Study

Purpose: To analyze the outcome and prognosis of patients with refractory cervical lymph node metastasis of thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after external irradiation, who underwent interstitial ¹²⁵I brachytherapy as a salvage treatment with a CT-guided coplanar template-assisted technique. We also want to compare the dosimetry of 3D printed coplanar template-assisted interstitial ¹²⁵I brachytherapy preoperative and postoperative, and to explore the accuracy of this technology. Material and methods: We retrospectively collected and analyzed the results of 32 patients with refractory cervical lymph node metastasis of thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after external irradiation, who underwent interstitial ¹²⁵I brachytherapy as a salvage treatment with a CT-guided coplanar template-assisted technique from January 2012 to December 2017. Results: The actual D90 were 114 to 240 Gy, and the median postoperative dosimetry assessment was 177.5 Gy. The local control rates at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months were 87.5%, 59.38%, 40.63%, and 31.25%, respectively. The median local control time was 7.5 months. The median overall survival time was 10.5 months (95% CI, 8.9-13.4), and the survival rates of 1- and 2-year, respectively, were 43.75% and 9.38%. There were 36 lesions in 32 patients. By performing a paired t-test analysis, there was no significant difference in D90, D100, V100, V150, V200, GTV volume, CI, EI, and HI between preoperative and postoperative (P > .05). Conclusions: Interstitial ¹²⁵I brachytherapy can be used as a salvage treatment for patients with refractory cervical lymph node metastasis of thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after external irradiation. With the auxiliary function of 3D printed coplanar template, the main dosimetry parameters verified after the operation can meet the requirements of the preoperative plan with good treatment accuracy.

Tumor Stage-Based Gross Tumor Volume of Resectable Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Measured on CT: Association With Early Recurrence After Esophagectomy

Objective

To investigate relationship of tumor stage-based gross tumor volume (GTV) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) measured on computed tomography (CT) with early recurrence (ER) after esophagectomy.

Materials and Methods

Two hundred and four consecutive patients with resectable ESCC including 159 patients enrolled in the training cohort (TC) and 45 patients in validation cohort (VC) underwent contrast-enhanced CT less than 2 weeks before esophagectomy. GTV was retrospectively measured by multiplying sums of all tumor areas by section thickness. For the TC, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine factors associated with ER. Mann-Whitney U test was conducted to compare GTV in patients with and without ER. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to determine if tumor stage-based GTV could predict ER. For the VC, unweighted Cohen’s Kappa tests were used to evaluate the performances of the previous ROC predictive models.

Results

ER occurred in 63 of 159 patients (39.6%) in the TC. According to the univariate analysis, histologic differentiation, cT stage, cN stage, and GTV were associated with ER after esophagectomy (all P-values < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that cT stage and GTV were independent risk factors with hazard ratios of 3.382 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.533–7.459] and 1.222 (95% CI: 1.125–1.327), respectively (all P-values < 0.05). Mann-Whitney U tests showed that GTV could help differentiate between ESCC with and without ER in stages cT_1-4a, cT₂, and cT₃ (all P-values < 0.001), and the ROC analysis demonstrated the corresponding cutoffs of 13.31, 17.22, and 17.83 cm³ with areas under the curve of more than 0.8, respectively. In the VC, the Kappa tests validated that the ROC predictive models had good performances for differentiating between ESCC with and without ER in stages cT_1-4a, cT₂, and cT₃ with Cohen k of 0.696 (95% CI, 0.498–0.894), 0.733 (95% CI, 0.386–1.080), and 0.862 (95% CI, 0.603–1.121), respectively.

Conclusion

GTV and cT stage can be independent risk factors of ER in ESCC after esophagectomy, and tumor stage-based GTV measured on CT can help predict ER.

Lymph Node Ratio Is an Independent Prognostic Factor for Patients with Siewert Type II Adenocarcinoma of Esophagogastric Junction: Results from a 10-Year Follow-up Study

PURPOSE

Emerging evidences suggest that lymph node ratio (LNR), the number of metastatic lymph node (LN) to the total number of dissected lymph nodes (NDLN), may predict survival in multiple types of solid tumor. However, the prognostic role of LNR in adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) remains uninvestigated. The present study is intended to determine the prognostic value of LNR in the patients with Siewert type II AEG.

METHODS

A total of 342 patients with Siewert type II AEG who underwent R0 resection were enrolled in this study. The optimal cutoff of LNR was stratified into tertiles using X-tile software. The log-rank test was used to evaluate the survival differences, and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the independent prognostic variables.

RESULTS

The optimal cutoff of LNR were classified as LNR = 0, LNR between 0.01 and 0.40, and LNR > 0.41. Patients with high LNR had a shorter 5- and 10-year disease-specific survival (DSS) rate (8.5%, 1.4%) compared with those with moderate LNR (20.4%, 4.9%) and low LNR (58.0%, 27.5%) (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that LNR was an independent factor for DSS after adjusting for confounding variables (P < 0.05). Furthermore, after stratification by NDLN between NDLN < 15 group and NDLN ≥ 15 group, the LNR remained a significant predictor for DSS (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

LNR is an independent predictor for DSS in patients with Siewert type II AEG regardless of NDLN. Patients with higher LNR have significantly shorter DSS.

Preoperative risk factors for major postoperative complications after complex gastrointestinal cancer surgery: A systematic review

Patients undergoing complex gastrointestinal surgery are at high risk of major postoperative complications (e.g., anastomotic leakage, sepsis), classified as Clavien-Dindo (CD) ≥ IIIa. Identification of preoperative risk factors can lead to the identification of high-risk patients. These risk factors can also be used to design personalized perioperative care. This systematic review focuses on the identification of these factors. The Medline and Embase databases were searched for prospective, retrospective cohort studies and randomized controlled trials investigating the effect of risk factors on the occurrence of major postoperative complications and/or mortality after complex gastrointestinal cancer surgery. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool. The level of evidence was graded based on the number of studies reporting a significant association between risk factors and major complications. A total of 207 eligible studies were retrieved, identifying 33 risk factors for major postoperative complications and 13 preoperative laboratory results associated with postoperative complications. The present systematic review provides a comprehensive overview of preoperative risk factors associated with major postoperative complications. A wide range of risk factors are amenable to actions in perioperative care and prehabilitation programs, which may lead to improved outcomes for high-risk patients. Additionally, the knowledge of this study is important for benchmarking surgical outcomes.

Quinone oxidoreductase 1 is overexpressed in gastric cancer and associated with outcome of adjuvant chemotherapy and survival

BACKGROUND

Quinine oxidoreductase 1 (NQO1) plays a vital role in protecting normal cells against oxidative damage and electrophilic attack. It is highly expressed in many solid tumors, suggesting a role in cancer development and progression. However, the role of NQO1 in gastric cancer and its effect on cancer development and prognosis have not been fully investigated.

AIM

To investigate the clinical relevance of NQO1 protein expression in gastric cancer and to explore the potential of NQO1 to serve as a prognostic biomarker and therapeutic target.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, gastric cancer specimens of 175 patients who were treated between 1995 and 2011 were subjected to immunohistochemistry analyses for NQO1. The correlation of NQO1 expression with gastric cancer prognosis and clinical and pathological parameters was investigated.

RESULTS

NQO1 protein was overexpressed in 59.43% (104/175) of the analyzed samples. Overexpression of NQO1 was associated with a significantly inferior prognosis. In addition, multivariate analysis suggested that NQO1 overexpression, along with tumor stage and patient age, are prominent prognostic biomarkers for gastric cancer. Moreover, NQO1 overexpression was correlated to a better response to 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based adjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

NQO1 overexpression is associated with a significantly poor prognosis and better response to 5-FU in patients with gastric cancer. These findings are relevant for improving therapeutic approaches for gastric cancer patients.

Prognostic Nomogram for Postoperative Patients With Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer of No Distant Metastasis

Background

Gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) was one of the most common malignant tumors. However, the value of clinicopathological features in predicting the prognosis of postoperative patients with GEJ cancer and without distant metastasis was still unclear.

Methods

The 3425 GEJ patients diagnosed and underwent surgical resection without distant metastasis in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015 were enrolled,and they were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts with 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to determine the predictive factors that constituted the nomogram. The predictive accuracy and discriminability of Nomogram were determined by the area under the curve (AUC), C index, and calibration curve, and the influence of various factors on prognosis was explored.

Results

2,400 patients were designed as training cohort and 1025 patients were designed as validation cohort. The percentages of the distribution of demographic and clinicopathological characteristics in the training and validation cohorts tended to be the same. In the training cohort, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the age, tumor grade, T stage and N stage were independent prognostic risk factors for patients with GEJ cancer without distant metastasis. The C index of nomogram model was 0.667. The AUC of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) were 0.704 and 0.71, respectively. The calibration curve of 3- and 5-year OS after operation showed that there was the best consistency between nomogram prediction and actual observation. In the validation cohort, the C index of nomogram model, the AUC of 3- and 5-year OS, and the calibration curve were similar to the training cohort.

Conclusions

Nomogram could evaluate the prognosis of patients with GEJ cancer who underwent surgical resection without distant metastasis.

Next-Generation Sequencing of 487 Esophageal Adenocarcinomas Reveals Independently Prognostic Genomic Driver Alterations and Pathways

PURPOSE

To delineate recurrent oncogenic driver alterations and dysregulated pathways in esophageal adenocarcinoma and to assess their prognostic value.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We analyzed a large cohort of patients with lower esophageal and junctional adenocarcinoma, prospectively sequenced by MSK-IMPACT with high-quality clinical annotation. Patients were subdivided according to treatment intent, curative versus palliative, which closely mirrored clinical staging. Genomic features, alterations, and pathways were examined for association with overall survival using Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for relevant clinicopathologic factors knowable at the time of diagnosis.

RESULTS

Analysis of 487 patients revealed 16 oncogenic driver alterations, mostly amplifications, present in ≥5% of patients. Patients in the palliative-intent cohort, compared with those in the curative-intent cohort, were more likely to have metastatic disease, ERBB2 amplifications, Cell-cycle and RTK-RAS pathway alterations, as well as a higher fraction of genome altered and rate of whole-genome doubling. In multivariable analyses, CDKN2A alterations, SMAD4 alterations, KRAS amplifications, Cell-cycle and TGFβ pathways, and overall number of oncogenic drivers were independently associated with worse overall survival. ERBB2 amplification was associated with improved survival, presumably due to trastuzumab therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that higher levels of genomic instability are associated with more advanced disease in esophageal adenocarcinoma. Furthermore, CDKN2A, KRAS, and SMAD4 represent prognostic biomarkers, given their strong association with poor survival.

Development and validation of a novel competing risk model for predicting survival of esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma: a SEER population-based study and external validation

Background

Adenocarcinoma in Esophagogastric Junction (AEG) is a severe gastrointestinal malignancy with a unique clinicopathological feature. Hence, we aimed to develop a competing risk nomogram for predicting survival for AEG patients and compared it with new 8th traditional tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system.

Methods

Based on data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of AEG patients between 2004 and 2010, we used univariate and multivariate analysis to filter clinical factors and then built a competing risk nomogram to predict AEG cause-specific survival. We then measured the clinical accuracy by comparing them to the 8th TNM stage with a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, Brier score, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). External validation was performed in 273 patients from China National Cancer Center.

Results

A total of 1755 patients were included in this study. The nomogram was based on five variables: Number of examined lymph nodes, grade, invasion, metastatic LNs, and age. The results of the nomogram was greater than traditional TNM staging with ROC curve (1-year AUC: 0.747 vs. 0.641, 3-year AUC: 0.761 vs. 0.679, 5-year AUC: 0.759 vs. 0.682, 7-year AUC: 0.749 vs. 0.673, P < 0.001), Brier score (3-year: 0.198 vs. 0.217, P = 0.012; 5-year: 0.198 vs. 0.216, P = 0.008; 7-year: 0.199 vs. 0.215, P = 0.014) and DCA. In external validation, the nomogram also showed better diagnostic value than traditional TNM staging and great prediction accuracy.

Conclusion

We developed and validated a novel nomogram and risk stratification system integrating clinicopathological characteristics for AEG patients. The model showed superior prediction ability for AEG patients than traditional TNM classification.

Significance of Lauren Classification in Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant/Perioperative Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancers-Analysis from a Large Single Center Cohort in Germany

Simple Summary

Chemotherapy ahead of surgery is standard of care for locally advanced stomach cancer or cancer at the junction between esophagus and stomach in Europe. However, response to chemotherapy may depend on microscopic features of the tumor. Three types were defined before: intestinal, diffuse and mixed types. The authors aimed to investigate if these characteristics influence survival after end of treatment (chemotherapy+surgery) in a large cohort treated in a University hospital. It was found that intestinal type patients demonstrate longer survival after chemotherapy+surgery than those with diffuse types. In the mixed type group no clear conclusion regarding the effect of chemotherapy ahead of surgery may be taken. Conclusively, patients with diffuse type tumors do not benefit from chemotherapy ahead of surgery.

Abstract

Background: the purpose of this analysis was to analyze the outcomes of multimodal treatment that are related to Lauren histotypes in gastro-esophageal cancer (GEC). Methods: patients with GEC between 1986 and 2013 were analyzed. Uni- and multivariate regression analysis were performed to identify predictors for overall survival. Lauren histotype stratified overall survival (OS)-rates were analyzed by the Kaplan–Meier method. Further, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance for confounders. Results: 1290 patients were analyzed. After PSM, the median survival was 32 months for patients undergoing primary surgery (PS) and 43 months for patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (nCTx) ahead of surgery. For intestinal types, median survival time was 34 months (PS) vs. 52 months (nCTx+surgery) p = 0.07, 36 months (PS) vs. (31) months (nCTx+surgery) in diffuse types (p = 0.44) and 31 months (PS) vs. 62 months (nCTx+surgery) for mixed types (p = 0.28). Five-/Ten-year survival rates for intestinal, diffuse, and mixed types were 44/29%, 36/17%, and 43/33%, respectively. After PSM, Kaplan–Meier showed a survival benefit for patients undergoing nCTx+surgery in intestinal and mixed types. Conclusion: the Lauren histotype might be predictive for survival outcome in GEC-patients after neoadjuvant/perioperative chemotherapy.

Lymphovascular Invasion as a Prognostic Factor in Non-Metastatic Adenocarcinoma of Esophagogastric Junction After Radical Surgery

Purpose

Tumors with lymphovascular invasion (LVI) are thought to be associated with lymph node metastasis and to lead to a worse prognosis. However, the effect of LVI on the prognosis of adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG) is still unclear.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 224 consecutive patients with non-metastatic AEG who underwent radical surgery in our hospital from 2004 to 2018. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) analysis was used to eliminate the selection bias. IPW-adjusted Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare disease-specific survival (DSS) and overall survival (OS) between patients with and without LVI.

Results

A total of 224 patients with non-metastatic AEG who underwent radical resection were included in the study and 96 (42.9%) patients developed LVI. Survival analysis showed that LVI were associated with worse DSS (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.12; 95% CI: 1.93–5.03) and worse OS (HR = 2.33; 95% CI: 1.61–3.38). The results were consistent across subgroups stratified by pathologic N stage. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that Siewert type III (HR= 3.20, 95% CI: 1.45–7.06) was associated with worse DSS, but not Siewert type I/II (HR= 1.46, 95% CI: 0.94–2.31, P-interaction=0.047).

Conclusion

LVI are associated with worse prognosis in AEG. LVI had a worse effect on DSS in Siewert type III AEG than Siewert type I/II AEG.

Histopathologic Response Is a Positive Predictor of Overall Survival in Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant/Perioperative Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancers-Analysis from a Large Single Center Cohort in Germany

There is conflicting evidence regarding the efficacy of neoadjuvant/perioperative chemotherapy (NCT) for gastro-esophageal cancer (GEC) on overall survival. This study aimed to analyze the outcomes of multimodal treatments in a large single center cohort. We performed a retrospective analysis of patients treated with NCT, followed by intended curative oncological surgery for locally advanced gastric cancer. Uni- and multivariate regression analysis were performed to identify the predictors of overall survival. From over 3000 patients, 702 eligible patients were analyzed. In the univariate analysis clinical stage, application of preoperative PLF, requirement of surgical extension, UICC-stage, grading, R-status, Lauren histotype, and HPR were the prognostic survival factors. In multivariate analysis PLF regimen, UICC-stages, R-status, Lauren histotype, and histopathologic regression (HPR) were significant predictors of overall survival. Overall HPR-rate was 26.9%. HPR was highest in the cT2cN0 stage (55.9%), and lowest in the cT3/4 cN+ stage (21.6%). FLOT demonstrated the highest HPR (37.5%). Independent predictors for HPR were the clinical stage and grading. Kaplan Meier analyses demonstrated significant survival benefits for the responding patients (p < 0.0001). HPR after NCT was an important prognostic factor to predict overall survival for locally advanced GEC. FLOT should be the preferred regimen in patients undergoing NCT ahead of surgery.

Survival nomogram for patients with metastatic siewert type II adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to construct a nomogram to predict the survival of patients with metastatic Siewert Type II adenocarcinomas of the esophagogastric junction (AEG).

METHODS

Patients were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the prognostic factors. A nomogram comprising independent prognostic factors was established and evaluated using C-indexes, calibration curves, and decision curve analyses.

RESULTS

In total 1616 eligible patients were enrolled. Race, age, bone metastasis, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, other metastasis sites, and distant lymph nodes metastasis were independent prognostic factors and were integrated to construct the nomogram. The nomogram had a C-index of 0.590 (95% CI: 0.569-0.611) in the training cohort and 0.569 (95% CI: 0.532-0.606) in the validation cohort. The calibration plots for the probabilities of 6-month and 1-year overall survival demonstrated there was an optimum between nomogram prediction and actual observation.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a nomogram to predict individual prognosis for patients with metastatic Siewert Type II AEG, and the risk stratification system based on the nomogram could effectively stratify the patients into two risk subgroups, which can help clinicians accurately predict mortality risk and recommend personalized treatment modalities.

Development and validation of an artificial neural network prognostic model after gastrectomy for gastric carcinoma: An international multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Recently, artificial neural network (ANN) methods have also been adopted to deal with the complex multidimensional nonlinear relationship between clinicopathologic variables and survival for patients with gastric cancer. Using a multinational cohort, this study aimed to develop and validate an ANN-based survival prediction model for patients with gastric cancer.

METHODS

Patients with gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy in a Chinese center, a Japanese center, and recorded in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, respectively, were included in this study. Multilayer perceptron neural network was used to develop the prediction model. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, area under the curves (AUCs), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the ANN model with previous prediction models.

RESULTS

An ANN model with nine input nodes, nine hidden nodes, and two output nodes was constructed. These three cohort's data showed that the AUC of the model was 0.795, 0.836, and 0.850 for 5-year survival prediction, respectively. In the calibration curve analysis, the ANN-predicted survival had a high consistency with the actual survival. Comparison of the DCA and time-dependent ROC between the ANN model and previous prediction models showed that the ANN model had good and stable prediction capability compared to the previous models in all cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The ANN model has significantly better discriminative capability and allows an individualized survival prediction. This model has good versatility in Eastern and Western data and has high clinical application value.

Identification of key genes by integrating DNA methylation and next-generation transcriptome sequencing for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Aberrant DNA methylation leads to abnormal gene expression, making it a significant regulator in the progression of cancer and leading to the requirement for integration of gene expression with DNA methylation. Here, we identified 120 genes demonstrating an inverse correlation between DNA methylation and mRNA expression in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Sixteen key genes, such as SIX4, CRABP2, and EHD3, were obtained by filtering 10 datasets and verified in paired ESCC samples by qRT-PCR. 5-Aza-dC as a DNA methyltransferase (DNMT) inhibitor could recover their expression and inhibit clonal growth of cancer cells in seven ESCC cell lines. Furthermore, 11 of the 16 genes were correlated with OS (overall survival) and DFS (disease-free survival) in 125 ESCC patients. ChIP-Seq data and WGBS data showed that DNA methylation and H3K27ac histone modification of these key genes displayed inverse trends, suggesting that there was collaboration between DNA methylation and histone modification in ESCC. Our findings illustrate that the integrated multi-omics data (transcriptome and epigenomics) can accurately obtain potential prognostic biomarkers, which may provide important insight for the effective treatment of cancers.

Tumor Volume Index as a Prognostic Factor in Patients after Curative Esophageal Cancer Resection

BACKGROUND

The tumor, node, metastasis classification system for staging esophageal cancer does not include tumor volume although it may be an important prognostic factor. We evaluated the prognostic value of tumor volume in esophageal cancer.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study in patients with histologically confirmed primary esophageal cancer who underwent curative esophagectomy at our facility between April 1992 and December 2013. The Tumor Depth Parameter (TDP) was defined as mucosa = 1, submucosa = 2, muscularis propria = 3, adventitia = 4, and invasion into adjacent organs = 5. The pathological Tumor Volume Index (TVI) was defined as the major axis × the minor axis × TDP. The appropriate tumor diameter and TVI cutoff values were determined by the Youden index obtained from the receiver operating characteristic curve. Prognostic factors for overall survival were evaluated by univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

We enrolled 302 patients. In the univariate analysis, patient age and sex, thoracoscopic surgery, tumor depth of invasion and diameter, lymph node metastasis, and the TVI were significantly associated with overall survival. In our multivariate analysis, patient age and sex, thoracoscopic surgery, lymph node metastasis, and the TVI were independently associated with overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The pathological TVI was an independent prognostic factor in patients with esophageal carcinoma and could be included in the staging system of esophageal cancer.

Analysis of the clinicopathological features and prognostic factors in 734 cases of Chinese Hui and Han patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction

OBJECTIVE

To explore the clinicopathological features and prognostic factors of 734 cases of Chinese Hui and Han patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG).

METHODS

In total, 734 patients were confirmed to have AEG by gastroscopy and pathology at the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University between January 2002 and December 2012. Univariate and multivariate analyses of demographic, clinicopathological, and prognostic data were performed.

RESULTS

In total, 734 AEG patients underwent surgical intervention, including 169 Hui patients and 565 Han patients. The male to female ratio was 9.5:1 in Hui patients and 6.4:1 in Han patients, and the average age in both groups was approximately 61 years. The Han patients were more likely to have a cigarette smoking history and an alcohol consumption history than the Hui patients (58.8% vs. 29.4%, p = 0.000; 45.8% vs. 14.6%, p = 0.000). The 5-year survival rate in the Hui and Han patients was 54.3% and 39.9%, respectively (p = 0.024). Age (p = 0.005), sex (p = 0.015), pathologic T stage (p = 0.056), pathologic N stage (p = 0.000), pathologic M stage (p = 0.001), number of resected lymph nodes (p = 0.001) and adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (p = 0.002) were significant independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

The AEG patients were primarily male and elderly in both Hui and Han groups with the prognosis of Hui patients better than Han patients. Age, sex, pathologic T3-4 stage, pathologic N stage, pathologic M stage, number of resected lymph nodes, and adjuvant chemoradiotherapy were significant independent factors predictive of the prognosis of AEG in both groups.

Lymph node metastases near the celiac trunk should be considered separately from other nodal metastases in patients with cancer of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction after neoadjuvant treatment and surgery

Background

The aim of the present study is to identify the incidence and prognostic significance of lymph node metastases near the celiac trunk in patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemo(radio)therapy followed by esophagectomy.

Methods

Between March 1994 and September 2013 a total of 462 consecutive patients with cancer of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) who underwent potentially curative esophageal resection after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (N=88; 19.0%) or neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) (N=374; 81.0%) were included.

Results

Seventy one (15.4%) patients had truncal node metastases in the resection specimen. Metastases to these nodes occurred more frequently in male patients with adenocarcinoma and in tumors at the gastro-esophageal junction. A lower response to neoadjuvant treatment, higher ypT and ypN stages and a poorer grade of differentiation were significantly related with truncal node metastases. Patients with tumor positive truncal nodes had a worse median overall survival (17 vs. 55 months). In multivariate analysis, truncal node metastases were independently associated with a worse survival. Only 22 (31.0%) of the 71 patients with tumor positive truncal nodes were identified preoperatively with EUS or CT. In contrast, 37 patients had suspicious truncal nodes on EUS or CT, but metastases in the pathology specimen were absent.

Conclusions

In the present study, it is demonstrated that positive truncal nodes in the resection specimen after neoadjuvant therapy, are associated with advanced tumor stages and are an independent factor for inferior survival.

Processing of Surgical Specimen (Esophagogastrectomy) for Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

An esophagogastrectomy is a surgical procedure that is performed for treatment of confirmed localized esophageal and esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma. Proper macroscopic assessment and cut-up technique is essential to ensure that the overall assessment is correct and reproducible. Here, we describe a standard for macroscopic assessment and dissection to be used for routine handling of esophagogastrectomy specimens in the clinical laboratory.

A nomogram to predict prognosis for gastric cancer with peritoneal dissemination

Objective

To identify independent prognostic factors to be included in a nomogram to predict the prognosis of gastric cancer patients with peritoneal dissemination.

Methods

This is a retrospective study on 684 patients with a histological diagnosis of gastric cancer with peritoneal dissemination from the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center as the development set, and 62 gastric cancer patients from the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University as the validation group. Chi-square test and Cox regression analysis were used to compare the clinicopathological variables and the prognosis of gastric cancer patients with peritoneal dissemination. The Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve were determined for comparisons of predictive ability of the nomogram.

Results

Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (P=0.032), ascites grading (P=0.008), presence of extraperitoneal metastasis (P<0.001), seeding status (P=0.016) and performance status (P=0.009) were independent prognostic factors for gastric cancer patients with peritoneal dissemination in the development set. The nomogram model was constructed using these five factors. Internal validation showed that the C-index of the model was 0.641. For the external validation, the C-index of this model was 0.709.

Conclusions

We developed and validated a nomogram to predict the prognosis for gastric cancer patients with peritoneal dissemination. This nomogram may play an important clinical role in guiding palliative therapy for these types of patients, although it may need more data for optimization.

HLA-DR expression in tumor epithelium is an independent prognostic indicator in esophageal adenocarcinoma patients

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is an aggressive cancer with poor prognosis, and incidence is increasing rapidly in the Western world. Measurement of immune markers has been shown to have prognostic significance in a growing number of cancers, but whether this is true for EAC has yet to be evaluated. This study aimed to characterize HLA-DR expression in the esophagus across the inflammation to cancer progression sequence and to assess the prognostic significance of HLA-DR expression in EAC. Tissue microarrays (TMA) were constructed from esophageal tissue taken from patients at different stages in the cancer progression sequence; normal, esophagitis, Barrett’s esophagus (BE), low- and high-grade dysplasia (LGD, HGD) and EAC. HLA-DR expression in tissue epithelium and stroma was assessed by immunohistochemistry. HLA-DR expression increased early in the inflammation to cancer progression sequence; with higher expression detected in esophagitis and BE compared to normal tissue. Patients with low (<50%) HLA-DR expression in the EAC tumor epithelium had significantly worse survival outcomes, compared to those with high expression, in both the tumor core (hazard ratio, HR = 2.178, p = 0.024, n = 70) and leading edge (HR = 2.86, p = 0.013, n = 41). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that low HLA-DR expression in leading edge tumor epithelium was an independent predictor of poor survival, associated with a 2.8-fold increase in disease-associated death (p = 0.023). This study shows that HLA-DR is an independent prognostic marker in EAC tumor epithelium. This may have implications for patient stratification strategies as well as EAC tumor immunology.

EGFR family and cMet expression profiles and prognostic significance in esophagogastric adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Targeted therapy with anti-human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) monoclonal antibody in patients with HER2 overexpressed esophagogastric adenocarcinoma (EGA) improves survival; however, the effect is transient due to the development of resistance. Some studies suggest that cMet overexpression provides cross talk for epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and HER2 inhibition. We sought to characterize the expression profile of the EGFR family and cMet receptors in untreated, resected EGA.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included all sequential patients with esophageal or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma who underwent primary resection, without neoadjuvant therapy or HER2 inhibition, with adequate tissue, at the University of Florida from 2001 to 2011. Central blinded immunohistochemistry (IHC) was performed on tumor specimens with EGFR, HER2, HER3, HER4 and cMet expression scored as low (0, 1+) or high (2+, 3+). Demographic and tumor characteristics were compared using Fisher exact test. Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate analysis compared survival among different receptors.

RESULTS

Total 52 patients were included in the study with median age 66 years. High expression of EGFR (73%), HER2 (40%), HER3 (75%), HER4 (35%) and cMet (69%) was detected among the study group. HER3 and HER4 co-expression was found in 18 (35%) cases. Pan expression of all four EGFR family members with cMet was noted in only 17% of cases. On univariate analysis, tumor stage and depth correlated with survival, while cMet + HER3 +/- EGFR receptor co-expression trended towards a worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

EGFR family and cMet are frequently co-expressed in treatment naïve resected EGA or GEJ tumors. Although our data do not significantly show receptor status as a prognostic factor, the co-expression profiles support for further investigation to improve targeting of this signal transduction axis.

Adenocarcinoma of the cervical esophagus arising from ectopic gastric mucosa: report of two cases and review of the literature

Esophageal adenocarcinoma arising from ectopic gastric mucosa (EGM) is extremely rare. We describe here two Japanese patients with adenocarcinoma of the cervical esophagus arising from EGM. Case 1 is a 62-year-old man who had slightly red EGM in the cervical esophagus on upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGE). Because the biopsy showed atypical glands that were suspicious for adenocarcinoma, endoscopic submucosal dissection was performed. Histopathological examination revealed that the lesion was a well-differentiated adenocarcinoma (pT1a MM). Lymphovascular invasion was absent, and the margins were free from carcinoma. Case 2 is a 57-year-old man who had an elevated lesion with a bleeding tendency in an area of EGM in the cervical esophagus on UGE. Adenocarcinoma was diagnosed in the biopsy. Because of the presence of enlarged lymph nodes (#106recL), preoperative chemoradiotherapy was performed to reduce the size of the adenocarcinoma and lymph nodes prior to resection of the cervical esophagus and reconstruction with free jejunal grafts. Histopathological examination revealed moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma (0-I, pT2N1M0, pStage II). In both cases, adenocarcinoma was surrounded by EGM, which led to the diagnosis of EGM-derived esophageal adenocarcinoma. Here, we report its immunohistochemical characteristics in the present cases and discuss the histogenesis.

A Role for Tumor Volume Assessment in Resectable Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer has a poor prognosis, and many patients undergoing surgery have a low chance of cure. Imaging studies suggest that tumor volume is prognostic. The study aimed to evaluate pathological tumor volume (PTV) as a prognostic variable in esophageal cancer.

METHODS

This single-center cohort study included 283 patients who underwent esophageal cancer resections between 2000 and 2012. PTVs were obtained from pathological measurements using a validated volume formula. The prognostic value of PTV was analyzed using multivariable regression models, adjusting for age, tumor grade, tumor (T) stage, nodal stage, lymphovascular invasion, resection margin, resection type, and chemotherapy response, which provided hazard ratios (HRs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs). Primary outcomes were time to death and time to recurrence. Secondary outcomes were margin involvement and lymph node positivity. Correlation analysis was performed between imaging and PTVs.

RESULTS

On unadjusted analysis, increasing PTV was associated with worse overall mortality (HR 2.30, 95 % CI 1.41-3.73) and disease recurrence (HR 1.87, 95 % CI 1.14-3.07). Adjusted analysis demonstrated worse overall mortality with increasing PTV but reached significance in only one subgroup (HR 1.70, 95 % CI 1.09-2.38). PTV was an independent predictor of margin involvement (OR 2.28, 95 % CI 1.02-5.13) and lymph node-positive status (OR 2.77, 95 % CI 1.23-6.28). Correlation analyses demonstrated significant positive correlation between computed tomography (CT) software and formula tumor volumes (r = 0.927, p < 0.0001), CT and positron emission tomography tumor volumes (r = 0.547, p < 0.0001), and CT and PTVs (r = 0.310, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor volume may predict survival, margin status, and lymph node positivity after surgery for esophageal cancer.

Perioperative transfusion of leukocyte depleted blood products in gastric cancer patients negatively influences oncologic outcome: A retrospective propensity score weighted analysis on 610 curatively resected gastric cancer patients

The influence of perioperative transfusion (PT) on outcome following surgery for gastric cancer (GC) remains controversial, with randomized trials lacking and observational series confounded by patient risk factors. This analysis determines the association between reception of leukocyte-depleted blood products and post-operative survival for GC.Data from 610 patients who underwent curative surgery for GC in a German tertiary care clinic from 2001 to 2013 were included. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards regression were applied to determine the association of PT and clinical and patient risk factors for overall and relapse-free survival. Propensity score analysis was performed to adjust for observational biases in reception of PT.Higher Union International Contre le Cancer/American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC/AJCC)-stages (P <0.001), postoperative complications and severity according to the Clavien-Dindo (CD) classification (P <0.001), PT (P = 0.02), higher age (P <0.001), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (P <0.001) were related to increased mortality rates. Higher UICC-stages (P <0.001), neoadjuvant chemotherapy (P <0.001), and type of surgery (P = 0.02) were independently associated with increased relapse rates. Patients were more likely to receive PT with higher age (P = 0.05), surgical extension to adjacent organs/structures (P = 0.002), tumor location (P = 0.003), and female gender (P = 0.03). In the adjusted propensity score weighted analysis, PT remained associated with an increased risk of death (hazard ratio (HR): 1.31, 95% CI: 1.01-1.69, P = 0.04).Because of the association of PT with negative influence on patient survival following resection for GC, risks from application of blood products should be weighed against the potential benefits.

Influence of Metastatic Status and Number of Removed Lymph Nodes on Survival of Patients With Squamous Esophageal Carcinoma

The aim of this study was to determine the impact of lymph node (LN) metastasis conditions on the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma and the minimum number of LNs that should be removed to maximize overall postoperative survival among patients with this specific pathologic subtype. In this study, 312 patients with thoracic squamous esophageal carcinoma who received in-patient thoracic surgery by the same surgeon in our hospital from August 1, 2003 to December 31, 2009 were recruited. Subsequently, Kaplan-Meier methods were used to determine associations between LN metastasis conditions and mortality and between the numbers of LNs removed during esophagectomy and mortality. Cox regression models were used to adjust for potential confounding covariates. According to Kaplan-Meier analyses, the number of metastatic LNs was a good predictor for the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma and the dissection of ≥ 29 LNs during thoracic surgery significantly improved patient survival (P = 0.011).Lymph node metastasis rates may be a significant predictor for the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma. The number of LNs removed during esophagectomy is an independent predictor for the survival of patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma with maximal postoperative survival after the removal of ≥ 29 LNs.

Correlation Between Nuclear Factor E2-Related Factor 2 Expression and Gastric Cancer Progression

Background

Nuclear factor E2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) plays an anti-oxidative and phase II detoxification function via its up-regulation on various antioxidant response elements (ARE) genes. Nrf2 can protect both normal and cancer cells from damages of cell stress, thereby exerting a critical role in the development of cancer. The expression and significance of Nrf2 in gastric cancer, however, has not been reported. This study thus aimed to investigate the expression of Nrf2 in gastric cancer tissues via immunohistochemical (IHC) staining.

Material/Methods

Gastric carcinoma tissues from a total of 175 patients during surgical resection were examined for Nfr2 expression profiles using IHC staining on paraffin-embedded slides. Between-group-comparisons were performed by chi-square, Fisher’s exact, or Mann-Whitney U test. The correlation between Nfr2 expression and clinical indexes was further analyzed by Kaplan-Meier test, univariate/multivariate analysis, and log-rank test.

Results

Nrf2 is mainly expressed in nuclei of gastric carcinoma tissues, with significant correlation with clinical indexes, including tumor size, invasive depth, lymph node metastasis, and invasion. Patients with Nrf2-positive expression had significantly lower survival rates compared to those in the negative group (p<0.01), with chemo-resistance against 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) (p<0.05).

Conclusions

Nrf2 expression is positively correlated with invasive gastric cancer, suggesting its utility as a predictive index for unfavorable prognosis.

Clinicopathological significance of nuclear factor (erythroid-2)-related factor 2 (Nrf2) expression in gastric cancer

Background

The transcription factor nuclear factor (erythroid-2)–related factor 2 (Nrf2) was originally identified as a critical regulator of intracellular anti-oxidants and of phase II detoxification enzymes through its transcriptional up-regulation of many anti-oxidant response element (ARE)-containing genes. Nrf2 protects not only normal cells but also cancer cells from cellular stress, and enhances cancer cell survival. Some studies have shown that Nrf2 expression in cancer patients has clinical significance. However, there has been no comprehensive analysis of the nuclear expression level of Nrf2 in gastrointestinal cancer cells. In this study we aimed to immunohistochemically evaluate the expression of Nrf2, and to assess its clinical significance in gastric cancer.

Methods

A total of 175 gastric cancer patients who received R0 gastrectomy with standard lymph node dissection were enrolled. We immunohistochemically evaluated Nrf2 expression in the paraffin-embedded surgically resected specimens of these 175 patients. Group differences were analyzed using the χ² test, Fisher’s exact test, and the Mann–Whitney U test. Associations between Nrf2 expression and clinicopathological features, including clinical outcome, were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses, and Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test, respectively.

Results

Nrf2 immunoreactivity was predominantly identified in the nucleus of gastric cancer cells. Nrf2 positivity was closely associated with tumor size, tumor depth, lymph node metastases, lymphovascular invasion, histology and stage (p < 0.05 for all). A log-rank test indicated that the overall survival of the Nrf2-positive group was significantly poorer than that of the Nrf2-negative group (p < 0.01). And, positive Nrf2 expression was significantly associated with resistance to 5FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy (p = 0.024).

Conclusions

Nrf2 expression was positively associated with aggressive tumor behavior in gastric cancer. This result suggests that Nrf2 expression in gastric cancer is a potential indicator of worse prognosis.

Efficacy and prognostic analysis of chemoradiotherapy in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous carcinoma with cervical lymph nodal metastasis alone

BACKGROUND

The prognostic factors of thoracic esophageal squamous carcinoma with cervical lymph nodal metastasis (CLNM) have not been specifically investigated. This study was performed to analyze the efficacy and prognostic factors of chemoradiotherapy for thoracic esophageal carcinoma with CLNM alone.

METHODS

From 2002 to 2011, 139 patients with inoperable esophageal cancer who underwent chemoradiotherapy at the Sun Yat-Sen University were retrospectively analyzed. Median radiation doses were 60 Gy (range: 50-68 Gy). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to compare overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

The 1- and 3-year OS rates were 68.2% and 27.9%, respectively. The 1- and 3-year PFS rates were 51.9% and 20.1%, respectively. The multivariate analysis demonstrated that response to treatment, T stage, pathological grade, and laterality of cervical lymph nodal metastases were independent prognostic factors for thoracic esophageal carcinoma with CLNM.

CONCLUSIONS

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy is an important and hopeful treatment option for patients with esophageal cancer with CLNM alone. Our study has revealed that response to treatment, T stage, pathological grade and laterality of cervical lymph nodal metastases are significant prognostic factors for long-term survival.

Whole-miRNome profiling identifies prognostic serum miRNAs in esophageal adenocarcinoma: the influence of Helicobacter pylori infection status

Cell free circulating microRNAs (cfmiRNAs) have been recognized as robust and stable biomarkers of cancers. However, little is known about the prognostic significance of cfmiRNAs in esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA). In this study, we explored whether specific cfmiRNA profiles could predict EA prognosis and whether Helicobacter pylori (HP) infection status could influence the association between cfmiRNAs and EA survival outcome. We profiled 1075 miRNAs in pooled serum samples from 30 EA patients and 30 healthy controls. The most relevant cfmiRNAs were then assessed for their associations with EA survival in an independent cohort of 82 patients, using Log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression models. Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) was used for cfmiRNA profiling. HP infection status was determined by immunoblotting assay. We identified a panel of 18 cfmiRNAs that could distinguish EA patients from healthy subjects (P = 3.0E-12). In overall analysis and in HP-positive subtype patients, no cfmiRNA was significantly associated with EA prognosis. In HP-negative patients, however, 15 cfmiRNAs were significantly associated with overall survival (OS) (all P < 0.05). A combined 2-cfmiRNA (low miR-3935 and high miR-4286) risk score was constructed; that showed greater risk for worse OS (HR = 2.22, P = 0.0019) than individual cfmiRNA alone. Patients with high-risk score had >10-fold increased risk of death than patients with low risk score (P = 0.0302; HR = 10.91; P = 0.0094). Our findings suggest that dysregulated cfmiRNAs may contribute to EA survival outcome and HP infection status may modify the association between cfmiRNAs and EA survival.

Is there a benefit in receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy for elderly patients with inoperable thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The benefit of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in elderly patients with inoperable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) is controversial. This study aimed to assess the efficiency and safety of CCRT in elderly thoracic esophageal cancer patients.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Between January 2002 and December 2011, 128 patients aged 65 years or older treated with CCRT or radiotherapy (RT) alone for inoperable thoracic esophageal SCC were analyzed retrospectively (RT alone, n = 55; CCRT, n = 73).

RESULTS

No treatment-related deaths occurred and no patients experienced any acute grade 4 non-hematologic toxicities. Patients treated with CCRT developed more severe acute toxicities than patients who received RT alone. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rate was 36.1% for CCRT compared with 28.5% following RT alone (p = 0.008). Multivariate analysis identified T stage and treatment modality as independent prognostic factors for survival. Further analysis revealed that survival was significantly better in the CCRT group than in the RT alone group for patients ≤ 72 years. Nevertheless, the CCRT group had a similar OS to the RT group for patients > 72 years.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that elderly patients with inoperable thoracic esophageal SCC could benefit from CCRT, without major toxicities. However, for patients older than 72 years, CCRT is not superior to RT alone in terms of survival benefit.

Prognostic role of microRNA polymorphisms in advanced gastric cancer: a translational study of the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Internistische Onkologie (AIO)

BACKGROUND

To determine the prognostic role of selected microRNA (miRNA) polymorphisms in advanced gastric cancer (AGC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Six hundred and seventy-four AGC patients received 5-fluorouracil (F), leucovorin (L), oxaliplatin (O) or FL + cisplatin (P) or additional docetaxel (T) to FLO (FLOT) within four clinical trials. Polymorphisms of mir-26a1 (rs7372209), mir-27a (rs895819), mir-100 (rs1834306), mir-146a (rs2910164), mir-196-a2 (rs11614913), mir-219-1 (rs107822) and mir-423 (rs6505162) were genotyped. Variable selection for the final multivariate model (n = 487) was based on univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses with a cut-off P-value of ≤ 20%.

RESULTS

Genetic factors significantly associated with overall survival (OS) were rs7372209 (mir-26a1) variant genotypes (hazard ratio, HR 1.307 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.031-1.656], P = 0.0272), rs895819 (mir-27a) variant genotypes (HR 1.304 [95% CI 1.031-1.650], P = 0.0270) and rs11614913 (mir-196a2) variant genotypes (HR 0.791 [95% CI 0.625-1.000], P = 0.0497). Clinical factors with significant impact on OS were Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) 2 performance status (HR 1.880 [95% CI 1.254-2.820], P = 0.0023), curative surgery of advanced disease (HR 0.235 [95% CI 0.123-0.449], P < 0.0001) and addition of docetaxel in locally AGC patients (HR 0.348 [95% CI 0.145-0.838], P = 0.0301). Combined analyses revealed an improved OS in patients without any unfavourable genotype of 18 months compared with 14, 12 and 10 months in patients with 1, 2 and 3 unfavourable genotypes, respectively (P = 0.0257).

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest a significant impact of selected miRNA polymorphisms on prognosis in AGC.

Recent developments in esophageal adenocarcinoma

Answer questions and earn CME/CNE Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is characterized by 6 striking features: increasing incidence, male predominance, lack of preventive measures, opportunities for early detection, demanding surgical therapy and care, and poor prognosis. Reasons for its rapidly increasing incidence include the rising prevalence of gastroesophageal reflux and obesity, combined with the decreasing prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection. The strong male predominance remains unexplained, but hormonal influence might play an important role. Future prevention might include the treatment of reflux or obesity or chemoprevention with nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs or statins, but no evidence-based preventive measures are currently available. Likely future developments include endoscopic screening of better defined high-risk groups for EAC. Individuals with Barrett esophagus might benefit from surveillance, at least those with dysplasia, but screening and surveillance strategies need careful evaluation to be feasible and cost-effective. The surgery for EAC is more extensive than virtually any other standard procedure, and postoperative survival, health-related quality of life, and nutrition need to be improved (eg, by improved treatment, better decision-making, and more individually tailored follow-up). Promising clinical developments include increased survival after preoperative chemoradiotherapy, the potentially reduced impact on health-related quality of life after minimally invasive surgery, and the new endoscopic therapies for dysplastic Barrett esophagus or early EAC. The overall survival rates are improving slightly, but poor prognosis remains a challenge.

Survival after recurrent esophageal carcinoma has not improved over the past 18 years

BACKGROUND

Numerous patients will develop recurrent disease after esophagectomy for esophageal carcinoma (EC). In literature, survival after recurrent EC is poor with 6-8 months. In these studies, diagnostic imaging during follow-up (FU) is routinely performed. In the Netherlands, routine imaging is not part of FU and only performed on indication. The aim of this study was to determine survival after diagnosis of recurrent disease in patients after esophagectomy without routine imaging during FU.

METHODS

All EC patients who underwent esophagectomy between 1993 and 2010 were included and followed for clinical evidence of recurrent EC. Location, symptoms, diagnosis, and treatment of recurrent disease were registered. Pattern of recurrence was compared between patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and patients who underwent surgery alone. Survival after detection of recurrence was determined in all patients and related to the year of surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 493 of 1,088 patients (45 %) who underwent esophagectomy between 1993 and 2010 developed recurrent disease. Median interval between esophagectomy and recurrence was 10.5 months. Within the first 2 years after surgery, 33 % of patients developed recurrent EC. The majority of patients (51 %) were diagnosed with distant metastases. Locoregional recurrence occurred significantly less often among patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy (6 vs 16 %, p = .017). Median survival after diagnosis of recurrent disease was 3 months. No relation was observed between the year of surgery and survival after recurrent disease (p = .931).

CONCLUSIONS

Survival after recurrent EC in patients who undergo FU without routine imaging after esophagectomy is approximately 3 months and has not improved over the past 18 years.

IL-32 expression is an independent prognostic marker for gastric cancer

A strong link between inflammation and gastrointestinal cancer has been demonstrated. Interleukin (IL)-32 is a recently described pro-inflammatory cytokine characterized by the induction of nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) activation. We investigated whether IL-32 expression has clinical significance in gastric cancer. A total of 182 gastric cancer patients who received curative gastrectomy were enrolled in our study. IL-32 expression was detected by immunohistochemistry, and the correlation between clinicopathological features and IL-32 expression was analyzed. Tumor depth and lymph node metastases developed more frequently in IL-32-positive gastric cancer patients than those who were negative for IL-32 expression (p < 0.01). Lymphatic- and venous invasion in the IL-32-positive group were more severe than in cancer cells lacking IL-32 expression (p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that IL-32 is one of the prognostic markers (p < 0.03) for gastric cancer, in addition to nodal involvement and tumor depth. IL-32 positivity significantly affected clinicopathological factors. Thus, IL-32 expression in gastric cancer may serve as a preferential metastatic condition that allows cells to escape host antitumor immunity. Pro-inflammatory cytokines induce immunosuppression in a paracrine manner, thereby facilitating the metastasis of tumor cells.

Proposal for a multifactorial prognostic score that accurately classifies 3 groups of gastric carcinoma patients with different outcomes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery

OBJECTIVE

We have developed a multifactorial histopathological prognostic score (PRSC) for patients with gastric cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy before surgery for the accurate discrimination of patient subgroups with differing outcomes.

BACKGROUND

For patients with gastric cancer who undergo multimodal treatment, the postoperative staging classifications used for nontreated tumors may not accurately predict patient prognosis.

METHODS

We evaluated 428 gastric carcinoma specimens after a cisplatin-based chemotherapy. The factors for the Union for International Cancer Control/American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC/AJCC) ypT-category, ypN-category, and histopathological tumor regression were assigned a value from 1 to 3 as follows: ypT0 to 2 = 1 point; ypT3 = 2 points; ypT4 = 3 points; ypN0 = 1 point; ypN1 to 2 = 2 points; ypN3a to 3b = 3 points; less than 10% residual tumor per tumor bed = 1 point; 10% to 50% residual tumor per tumor bed = 2 points; and greater than 50% residual tumor per tumor bed = 3 points. A 3-tiered PRSC based on the sum value was established (group A: 3-4 points; group B: 5-7 points; group C: 8-9 points) and was found to correlate with patient prognosis.

RESULTS

The PRSC showed a clear discrimination of 3 significantly different prognostic groups (group A: 76 patients; group B: 210 patients; group C: 142 patients; P < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, including the completeness of resection, tumor diameter, lymphatic vessel invasion, tumor grading, and Lauren classification, the PRSC was the only independent prognostic factor for overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.03; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.49-2.78; P < 0.001). It was slightly superior to the UICC/AJCC staging system (HR = 1.66; 95% CI, 1.20-2.27; P = 0.002) when analyzed with tumor regression as an additional independent factor (HR = 1.27; 95% CI, 1.01-1.62; P = 0.044) included in the analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed PRSC reveals the most accurate prediction of survival for patients with gastric carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery. The PRSC clearly identifies 3 subgroups with different prognoses and may be helpful for therapeutic decisions.

Results of postoperative radiochemotherapy of the patients with resectable gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma in Slovenia

Background.

Although the incidence of adenocarcinomas of the gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) is sharply rising in the Western world, there are still some disagreements about the staging and the treatment of this disease. The aim of this retrospective study was to analyse the effectiveness and safety of postoperative radiochemotherapy in patients with a GEJ adenocarcinoma treated at the Institute of Oncology Ljubljana.

Patients and methods.

Seventy patients with GEJ adenocarcinoma, who were treated with postoperative radiochemotherapy between January 2005 and June 2010, were included in the study. The treatment consisted of 6 cycles of chemotherapy with 5-FU and cisplatin and concomitant radiotherapy with the total dose of 45 Gy.

Results.

Twenty-six patients (37.1%) completed the treatment according to the protocol. The median follow-up time was 17.7 months (range: 3.3–64 months). Acute toxicity grade 3 or more, such as stomatitis, dysphagia, nausea or vomiting, and infection, occurred in 2.9%, 34.3%, 38.6% and 41.5% of patients, respectively. At 3 years locoregional control (LRC), disease-free survival (DFS), disease-specific survival (DSS) and overall survival (OS) were 78.2%, 25.3%, 35.8%, and 33.9%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis of survival, splenectomy and level of Ca 19-9 >20 kU/L before the adjuvant treatment were identified as independent prognostic factors for lower DFS, DSS and OS. Age <60 years, higher number of involved lymph nodes and advanced disease stage were identified as independent prognostic factors for lower DSS and OS.

Conclusions.

In patients with GEJ adenocarcinoma who first underwent surgery, postoperative radiochemotherapy is feasible, but we must be aware of a high risk of acute toxic side effects.

Aberrant expression of Wnt and Notch signal pathways in Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Specialized intestinal metaplasia (SIM) mucosa observed in Barrett's esophagus (BE) has been a hot research topic due to the close relationship with adenocarcinoma of esophagus (ACE). Earlier studies found that SIM mucosa was similar to normal intestinal epithelium on morphology and histology. The signal pathway involved in conformation of intestinal epithelium may be a critical initiator for BE.

METHODS

The expressions of key regulators (Tcf4, Cdx2, Hes1 and Math1) in Wnt and Notch signal pathways were measured in 41 paired esophageal biopsies. Cell morphological changes in normal esophagus were compared among groups treated by acid, bile acid and the mixture of both media.

RESULTS

The expression levels of regulators (Tcf4, Cdx2, Hes1 and Math1) were found significantly increased in SIM, C ≥ 3Mn and high-grade dysplasia (HGD) groups. Distinct ultrastructure changes and highly expressed key regulators were also detected at the seventh day for group treated by 400 μmol bile acid.

CONCLUSIONS

Aberrant expressed regulators in Wnt and Notch pathways were observed in BE tissue and normal esophageal cells treated by acid, bile acid and the mixture of both media. This study provided preliminary data to understand the mechanism of BE conformation.