Lack of racial disparity in incident prediabetes and glycemic progression among black and white offspring of parents with type 2 diabetes: the pathobiology of prediabetes in a biracial cohort (POP-ABC) study

Plasma Ceramides and Other Sphingolipids in Relation to Incident Prediabetes in a Longitudinal Biracial Cohort

CONTEXT

Sphingolipids are linked to the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes (T2D).

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that plasma sphingolipid profiles predict incident prediabetes.

DESIGN

A case-control study nested in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study, a 5-year follow-up study.

SETTING

Academic health center.

PARTICIPANTS

Normoglycemic adults enrolled in the POP-ABC study. Assessments included OGTT, insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion. Participants with incident prediabetes were matched in age, sex, and ethnicity with non-progressors.

INTERVENTIONS

We assayed 58 sphingolipid species (ceramides, monohexosyl ceramides, sphingomyelins, and sphingosine) using LC/tandem mass spectrometry in baseline plasma levels from participants and determined association with prediabetes risk.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The primary outcome was progression from normoglycemia to prediabetes, defined as impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance.

RESULTS

The mean age of participants (N = 140; 50% Black, 50% female) was 48.1 ± 8.69 y, BMI 30.1 ± 5.78 kg/m2, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) 92.7 ± 5.84 mg/dl, and two-hour plasma glucose (2hrPG) 121 ± 23.3 mg/dl. Of the 58 sphingolipid species assayed, higher ratios of sphingomyelin C26:0/C26:1 (OR 2.73 [95% CI 1.172-4.408], P = 0.015) and ceramide C18:0/C18:1 (OR 1.236 [95% CI 1.042-1.466], P = 0.015) in baseline plasma specimens were significantly associated with progression to prediabetes during the 5-year follow-up period, after adjustments for age, race, sex, BMI, FPG, 2hPG, insulin sensitivity, and insulin secretion.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that the saturated-to-monounsaturated ratios of long-chain ceramide C18:0/C18:1 and very-long-chain sphingomyelin C26:0/C26:1 are potential biomarkers of prediabetes risk among individuals with parental history of T2D.

Plasma Sphingolipid Profile of Healthy Black and White Adults Differs Based on Their Parental History of Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Ceramides and sphingolipids have been linked to type 2 diabetes (T2D). The Ceramides and Sphingolipids as Predictors of Incident Dysglycemia (CASPID) study is designed to determine the association of plasma sphingolipids with the pathophysiology of human T2D.

OBJECTIVE

A comparison of plasma sphingolipids profiles in Black and White adults with (FH+) and without (FH-) family history of T2D.

DESIGN

We recruited 100 Black and White FH- (54 Black, 46 White) and 140 FH+ (75 Black, 65 White) adults. Fasting plasma levels of 58 sphingolipid species, including 18 each from 3 major classes (ceramides, monohexosylceramides, and sphingomyelins, all with 18:1 sphingoid base) and 4 long-chain sphingoid base-containing species, were measured by liquid chromatography/mass spectrometry.

RESULTS

Sphingomyelin was the most abundant sphingolipid in plasma (89% in FH-), and was significantly elevated in FH+ subjects (93%). Ceramides and monohexosylceramides comprised 5% and 6% of total sphingolipids in the plasma of FH- subjects, and were reduced significantly in FH+ subjects (3% and 4%, respectively). In FH+ subjects, most ceramide and monohexosylceramide species were decreased but sphingomyelin species were increased. The level of C18:1 species of all 3 classes was elevated in FH+ subjects.

CONCLUSION

Elevated levels of sphingomyelin, the major sphingolipids of plasma, and oleic acid-containing sphingolipids in healthy FH+ subjects compared with healthy FH- subjects may reflect heritable elements linking sphingolipids and the development of T2D.

Association of Hepatic Steatosis and Fibrosis Indices With Insulin Sensitivity and Inflammation in the POP-ABC Study

Context

The cardiometabolic significance of subclinical liver fat in otherwise healthy individuals is unclear.

Objective

This work aimed to evaluate the association of hepatic steatosis/fibrosis with cardiometabolic risk markers and incident prediabetes among healthy adults.

Methods

This is a post hoc analysis of data from the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study. The participants underwent assessments, including clinical examination, oral glucose tolerance test, insulin sensitivity, insulin secretion, plasma high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and adiponectin levels, with the primary outcome of incident prediabetes during 5-year follow-up. Liver steatosis and fibrosis were assessed using the hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and the Fibrosis-4 (Fib-4) index, and participants were stratified by baseline quartiles (Q) of each index.

Results

Among 343 (193 African American, 150 European American) participants (mean age 44.2 ± 10.6 years, body mass index 30.2 ± 7.28, fasting glucose 91.8 ± 6.80 mg/dL, and 2-hour glucose 125 ± 26.5 mg/dL), the mean baseline HSI was 39.7 ± 8.21 and Fib-4 index was 0.80 ± 0.41. Baseline HSI correlated with insulin sensitivity (r = -0.44; P < .0001), hsCRP (r = 0.37; P < .0001), and adiponectin (r = -0.24; P < .0001), as did Fib-4 index: insulin sensitivity (r = 0.14; P = .046), hsCRP (r = -0.17; P = .0021), adiponectin (r = -0.22; P < .0001). During 5 years of follow-up, prediabetes occurred in 16.2%, 21.6%, 31.5%, and 30.6% among participants in Q1 to Q4 of baseline HSI, respectively (log-rank P = .02). The prediabetes hazard ratio was 1.138 (95% CI, 1.027-1.261) for baseline HSI.

Conclusion

Among initially normoglycemic individuals, hepatic steatosis predicted progression to prediabetes, probably via mechanisms that involve insulin resistance and inflammation.

Association of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio with cardiometabolic risk markers and pre-diabetes in adults with normoglycemia, normoalbuminuria, and normotension with parental type 2 diabetes

INTRODUCTION

This is a post hoc analysis of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) within the normoalbuminuric range in relation to cardiometabolic risk factors among initially normoglycemic, normotensive participants in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) Study.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

308 healthy African American (AA) and European American (EA) participants in the POP-ABC Study underwent baseline assessments, including oral glucose tolerance test, anthropometry, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR), lipids, adipocytokines, insulin sensitivity and secretion. Participants were followed quarterly for 5.5 years (mean 2.62 years) for the primary outcome of incident pre-diabetes.

RESULTS

The cohort's mean fasting glucose was 92.1±6.90 mg/dL, 2-hour plasma glucose was 123±25.0 mg/dL, systolic blood pressure was 123±15.9 mm Hg, and diastolic blood pressure was 74±8.80 mm Hg. Baseline uACR levels (range 1-29 mg/g) were similar in AA versus EA participants (6.40 mg/g±4.80 vs 6.80±5.40 mg/g, p=0.52), higher in women than men (7.30 mg/g±5.30 vs 4.60±3.90 mg/g, p<0.0001), and showed significant associations with cardiometabolic risk factors, including age, insulin sensitivity, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and adiponectin levels (p=0.03-0.004). During 5.5 years of follow-up, 104 participants developed pre-diabetes and 204 maintained normoglycemia. Baseline uACR quartiles were associated with incident pre-diabetes (r=0.19, p=0.0011).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline uACR levels were associated with cardiometabolic risk markers and incident pre-diabetes risk among adults with normoglycemia, normoalbuminuria and normotension with parental diabetes.

Interactions among insulin resistance, epigenetics, and donor sex in gene expression regulation of iPSC-derived myoblasts

About 25% of people in the general population are insulin resistant, increasing the risk for type 2 diabetes (T2D) and metabolic disease. Transcriptomic analysis of induced pluripotent stem cells differentiated into myoblasts (iMyos) from insulin-resistant (I-Res) versus insulin-sensitive (I-Sen) nondiabetic individuals revealed that 306 genes increased and 271 genes decreased in expression in iMyos from I-Res donors with differences of 2-fold or more. Over 30 of the genes changed in I-Res iMyos were associated with T2D by SNPs and were functionally linked to insulin action and control of metabolism. Interestingly, we also identified more than 1,500 differences in gene expression that were dependent on the sex of the cell donor, some of which modified the insulin resistance effects. Many of these sex differences were associated with increased DNA methylation in cells from female donors and were reversed by 5-azacytidine. By contrast, the insulin sensitivity differences were not reversed and thus appear to reflect genetic or methylation-independent epigenetic effects.

Ceramides and other sphingolipids as predictors of incident dysglycemia (CASPID): Design, methods, and baseline characteristics

The Ceramides and other Sphingolipids as Predictors of Incident Dysglycemia (CASPID) study tests the overall hypothesis that sphingolipids are pathophysiologic mediators of transition from normal glucose regulation (NGR) to prediabetes, type 2 diabetes (T2DM), and associated complications. The CASPID study utilizes two longitudinal cohorts - the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC)/Pathobiology and Reversibility of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (PROP-ABC) and the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP)/DPP Outcomes Study (DPPOS). Normoglycemic POP-ABC/PROP-ABC were followed for 10 years for progression to prediabetes and offered lifestyle intervention to reverse prediabetes. The DPP/DPPOS participants had prediabetes at enrollment, were randomized to placebo, lifestyle intervention, or metformin treatment, and followed for 11 years for progression to T2DM. Using a case-control design, we analyze 76 targeted plasma sphingolipids as predictors of progression from NGR to prediabetes (Aim 1), prediabetes to T2DM (Aim 2), response to interventions (Aim 3), and development of diabetes complications (Aim 4). A sample size of 600 subjects provides >80% power to detect a 20% difference in sphingolipid profiles between comparison groups (alpha = 0.01). At enrollment, POP-ABC participants had a mean age of 47.7 ± 9.00 years, body mass index (BMI) 30.4 ± 6.10 kg/m2, fasting glucose 92.9 ± 6.90 mg/dL, and 2-h glucose 130 ± 28.8 mg/dL; DPP participants had a mean age of 51.9 ± 9.44 years, BMI 33.7 ± 6.33 kg/m2, fasting glucose 106 ± 7.88 mg/dL, and 2-h glucose 164 ± 16.9 mg/dL. Among normoglycemic participants, those with parental history of T2DM had significantly higher baseline levels of total sphingomyelins, and lower levels of total ceramides and sphingosine, compared with control subjects without familial diabetes history. As the first such study in longitudinal human cohorts, CASPID will elucidate the role of sphingolipids in the pathogenesis of dysglycemia and facilitate the discovery of novel predictive and prognostic biomarkers.

Diagnosis and Management of Prediabetes: A Review

Importance

Prediabetes, an intermediate stage between normal glucose regulation and diabetes, affects 1 in 3 adults in the US and approximately 720 million individuals worldwide.

Observations

Prediabetes is defined by a fasting glucose level of 100 to 125 mg/dL, a glucose level of 140 to 199 mg/dL measured 2 hours after a 75-g oral glucose load, or glycated hemoglobin level (HbA1C) of 5.7% to 6.4% or 6.0% to 6.4%. In the US, approximately 10% of people with prediabetes progress to having diabetes each year. A meta-analysis found that prediabetes at baseline was associated with increased mortality and increased cardiovascular event rates (excess absolute risk, 7.36 per 10 000 person-years for mortality and 8.75 per 10 000 person-years for cardiovascular disease during 6.6 years). Intensive lifestyle modification, consisting of calorie restriction, increased physical activity (≥150 min/wk), self-monitoring, and motivational support, decreased the incidence of diabetes by 6.2 cases per 100 person-years during a 3-year period. Metformin decreased the risk of diabetes among individuals with prediabetes by 3.2 cases per 100 person-years during 3 years. Metformin is most effective for women with prior gestational diabetes and for individuals younger than 60 years with body mass index of 35 or greater, fasting plasma glucose level of 110 mg/dL or higher, or HbA1c level of 6.0% or higher.

Conclusions and Relevance

Prediabetes is associated with increased risk of diabetes, cardiovascular events, and mortality. First-line therapy for prediabetes is lifestyle modification that includes weight loss and exercise or metformin. Lifestyle modification is associated with a larger benefit than metformin.

Investigating family history of diabetes as a predictor of fasting insulin and fasting glucose activity in a sample of healthy weight adults

AIMS

Type 2 diabetes is a major public health problem for the global community. Having a family history of diabetes significantly increases risk for diabetes development and understanding how family history contributes to diabetes risk could lead to more effective prevention efforts for at-risk individuals. In a previous study, we showed family history of diabetes is a significant predictor of fasting insulin in healthy weight children. The present study aimed to use the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 2017) to apply similar multiple regression models to a population of healthy weight adults to determine if family history is a significant predictor of fasting glucose and fasting insulin.

METHODS

Fasting glucose (mg/dL) and fasting insulin (pmol/L) were used as dependent variables in each model, respectively, with family history of diabetes as the independent variable. Covariates for each model included age, gender, race/ethnicity, waist circumference, and macronutrient intake.

RESULTS

The model significantly predicted the variance of fasting glucose [(F(11,364) = 34.80, p < 0.001, R² = 0.2342] and fasting insulin [F(11,343) = 17.58, p < 0.001, R² = 0.1162]. After adjusting for covariates, family history was a significant predicator of fasting glucose (p = 0.0193) as well as age, gender, non-Hispanic black ethnicity, waist circumference, and fat intake. Significant predictors of fasting insulin included gender and waist circumference, but not family history (p = 0.8264). In addition, fasting glucose was higher in individuals with a family history of diabetes (p = 0.033).

CONCLUSIONS

These results add to the understanding of how family history influences the biomarkers that contribute to diabetes development. Knowledge of how family history of diabetes relates to fasting insulin and fasting glucose activity in healthy weight individuals can be used to design personalized screening and early prevention strategies.

Association of bone mineral density with prediabetes risk among African-American and European-American adult offspring of parents with type 2 diabetes

Introduction

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with alterations in bone mineral density (BMD), but association between prediabetes and BMD is unclear.

Methods

We analyzed BMD among the initially normoglycemic participants in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study in relation to incident prediabetes during 5 years of follow-up.

Results and Discussion

A total of 343 participants (193 Black, 150 White) underwent DEXA during Year 1 of POP-ABC and were followed quarterly for 5 years. The mean age was 44.2 ± 10.6 years; BMI was 30.2 ± 7.23 kg/m2. At baseline, the mean BMD was 1.176 ± 0.135 g/cm2 (1.230 ± 0.124 g/cm2 in men vs. 1.154 ± 0.134 g/cm2 in women, P<0.0001; 1.203 ± 0.114 g/cm2 in Black vs. 1.146 ± 0.150 g/cm2 in White participants, P=0.0003). During 5 years of follow-up, 101 participants developed prediabetes and 10 subjects developed T2DM (progressors); 232 were nonprogressors. Progressors to prediabetes had numerically higher baseline BMD and experienced lower 1-year decline in BMD (P<0.0001) compared with nonprogressors. From Kaplan-Meier analysis, the time to 50% prediabetes survival was 2.15 y among participants in the lowest quartile of baseline BMD, longer than those in higher quartiles (1.31 - 1.41 y). Values for BMD correlated inversely with age and adiponectin levels, and positively with BMI. In logistic regression analysis, BMD z score significantly predicted incident prediabetes: more negative BMD z scores were associated with decreased incident prediabetes (odds ratio 0.598 [95% confidence interval 0.407 - 0.877], P=0.0085), after controlling for age, BMI, change in BMI, ethnicity, blood glucose and adiponectin.

Conclusions

Among initially normoglycemic individuals, higher baseline BMD was associated with higher risk of incident prediabetes during 5 years of follow-up.

Glucometabolic State Transitions: The Jackson Heart Study

Background

Diabetes and prediabetes are common among African Americans (AA), but the frequency and predictors of transition between normal, impaired glucose metabolism, and diabetes are not well-described. The aim of this study was to examine glucometabolic transitions and their association with the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D).

Methods

AA participants of the Jackson Heart Study who attended baseline exam (2000-2004) and at least one of two subsequent exams (2005-2008 and 2009-2013, ~8 years) were classified according to glycemic status. Transitions were defined as progression (deterioration) or remission (improvement) of glycemic status. Multinomial logistic regression models with repeated measures were used to estimate the odds ratios (OR) for remission and progression with adjustment for demographic, anthropometric, behavioral, and biochemical factors.

Results

Among 3353 participants, (mean age 54.6±12.3 years), 43% were normoglycemic, 32% were prediabetes, and 25% had diabetes at baseline. For those with normal glucose at a visit, the probability at the next visit (~4years) of having prediabetes or diabetes was 38.5% and 1.8%, respectively. For those with prediabetes, the probability was 9.9% to improve to normal and 19.9% to progress to diabetes. Progression was associated with baseline BMI, diabetes status, triglycerides, family history of diabetes, and weight gain (OR 1.04 kg, 95% CI:1.03-1.06, P=<.0001). Remission was strongly associated with weight loss (OR .97 kg, 95%CI: .95-.98, P<.001).

Conclusions

In AAs, glucometabolic transitions were frequent and most involved deterioration. From a public health perspective additional emphasis should be placed on weight control to preserve glucometabolic status and prevent progression to T2D.

Outcome of lifestyle intervention in relation to duration of pre-diabetes: the Pathobiology and Reversibility of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (PROP-ABC) study

INTRODUCTION

In studies that enrolled people with prevalent pre-diabetes of unknown duration, lifestyle intervention (LI) delayed progression to type 2 diabetes (T2D) but did not reverse pre-diabetes in most participants. Here, we assessed the effects of LI among individuals with pre-diabetes of known duration to determine whether outcomes are related to duration of pre-diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The Pathobiology and Reversibility of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort study initiated LI in subjects with incident pre-diabetes during follow-up of initially normoglycemic African Americans and European Americans with parental T2D. Participants were stratified into those initiating LI after <3, 3-5, or >5 years of pre-diabetes diagnosis. Assessments included anthropometry, body fat, fasting and 2-hour plasma glucose (FPG, 2hPG), and insulin sensitivity and secretion. The outcomes were normal glucose regulation (NGR; ie, normal FPG and 2hPG), persistent pre-diabetes, or T2D. Participants who maintained normal FPG and normal 2hPG levels during follow-up served as the control. The control subjects did not receive lifestyle or other intervention to alter the course of glycemia or body weight.

RESULTS

Of 223 participants (age 53.3±9.28 years, body mass index 30.6±6.70 kg/m²), 72 (control) maintained normoglycemia during follow-up and 138 subjects with incident pre-diabetes initiated LI after 4.08±2.02 years (range 3 months-8.3 years) of diagnosis. Compared with control, LI participants showed decrease in glucose, weight, and body fat; 42.8% reverted to NGR, 50% had persistent pre-diabetes, and 7.2% developed T2D after 5 years. These outcomes were similar across race and pre-diabetes duration strata, but greater glycemic decrease occurred when LI was initiated within 5 years of pre-diabetes diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Ninety-three per cent of adults with parental T2D who initiated LI within 3 months to 8.3 years of developing pre-diabetes did not progress to T2D; nearly half reverted to NGR.Trial registration number NCT02027571.

Time to Development of Overt Diabetes and Macrovascular and Microvascular Complications Among Patients With Prediabetes: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective In this study, we aimed to determine the effect of age, gender, race, and obesity on the development of overt diabetes and macro/microvascular events among patients with prediabetes. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study of patient records available through a national electronic health record (EHR) database from 2012 to 2017. Patients with prediabetes in the baseline year of 2012 were identified. Macro/microvascular events were defined as the diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or chronic kidney disease (CKD). The effects of age, gender, race, and obesity on the incidence of diabetes and macro/microvascular events between 2013-2017 were assessed using the multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model. Results Among the total 5,230 patients with prediabetes in 2012, 16.7% developed overt diabetes, and 19.7% developed a macro/microvascular event. Elderly patients (HR: 2.96, 95% CI: 2.12-4.13), males (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.20-1.59), and African-Americans (HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.26-1.73) were at a higher risk of experiencing a macro/microvascular event. Additionally, male gender (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.11-1.46) and obesity (HR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08-1.43) were significant factors associated with the development of overt diabetes. Furthermore, when diabetes status was added as an interaction term to the Cox proportional-hazards model, no statistical difference was found with respect to any of the other independent variables. It can therefore be inferred that those with prediabetes and overt diabetes had a similar risk of developing macro/microvascular events. Conclusions Based on our findings, factors including advanced age, obesity, male gender, and African race significantly impact the progression to diabetes and associated macro/microvascular events.

Signaling defects associated with insulin resistance in nondiabetic and diabetic individuals and modification by sex

Insulin resistance is present in one-quarter of the general population, predisposing these people to a wide range of diseases. Our aim was to identify cell-intrinsic determinants of insulin resistance in this population using induced pluripotent stem cell-derived (iPSC-derived) myoblasts (iMyos). We found that these cells exhibited a large network of altered protein phosphorylation in vitro. Integrating these data with data from type 2 diabetic iMyos revealed critical sites of conserved altered phosphorylation in IRS-1, AKT, mTOR, and TBC1D1 in addition to changes in protein phosphorylation involved in Rho/Rac signaling, chromatin organization, and RNA processing. There were also striking differences in the phosphoproteome in cells from men versus women. These sex-specific and insulin-resistance defects were linked to functional differences in downstream actions. Thus, there are cell-autonomous signaling alterations associated with insulin resistance within the general population and important differences between men and women, many of which also occur in diabetes, that contribute to differences in physiology and disease.

Association of plasma acylcarnitines with insulin sensitivity, insulin secretion, and prediabetes in a biracial cohort

The ability to predict prediabetes, which affects ∼90 million adults in the US and ∼400 million adults worldwide, would be valuable to public health. Acylcarnitines, fatty acid metabolites, have been associated with type 2 diabetes risk in cross-sectional studies of mostly Caucasian subjects, but prospective studies on their link to prediabetes in diverse populations are lacking. Here, we determined the association of plasma acylcarnitines with incident prediabetes in African Americans and European Americans enrolled in a prospective study. We analyzed 45 acylcarnitines in baseline plasma samples from 70 adults (35 African-American, 35 European-American) with incident prediabetes (progressors) and 70 matched controls (non-progressors) during 5.5-year (mean 2.6 years) follow-up in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study. Incident prediabetes (impaired fasting glucose/impaired glucose tolerance) was confirmed with OGTT. We measured acylcarnitines using tandem mass spectrometry, insulin sensitivity by hyperinsulinemic euglycemic clamp, and insulin secretion using intravenous glucose tolerance test. The results showed that progressors and non-progressors during POP-ABC study follow-up were concordant for 36 acylcarnitines and discordant for nine others. In logistic regression models, beta-hydroxy butyryl carnitine (C4-OH), 3-hydroxy-isovaleryl carnitine/malonyl carnitine (C5-OH/C3-DC), and octenoyl carnitine (C8:1) were the only significant predictors of incident prediabetes. The combined cut-off plasma levels of <0.03 micromol/L for C4-OH, <0.03 micromol/L for C5-OH/C3-DC, and >0.25 micromol/L for C8:1 acylcarnitines predicted incident prediabetes with 81.9% sensitivity and 65.2% specificity. Thus, circulating levels of one medium-chain and two short-chain acylcarnitines may be sensitive biomarkers for the risk of incident prediabetes among initially normoglycemic individuals with parental history of type 2 diabetes.

Trajectories of Body Weight and Fat Mass in Relation to Incident Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort of Free-Living Adults

Objectives

Obesity is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2D), but prospective data relating adiposity measures to incident prediabetes are scant.

Methods

The Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort study followed normoglycemic African Americans (AA) and European Americans (EA) with parental history of T2D for the primary outcome of incident prediabetes (impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance) for 5.5 years. Serial assessments included anthropometry and body fat composition. We analyzed weight, body mass index (BMI), waist, total, and abdominal fat mass in relation to incident prediabetes risk.

Results

Of the 376 subjects enrolled (217 AA, 159 EA; mean age 44.2 years, BMI 31.4 kg/m²), 343 (192 AA, 151 EA) had evaluable follow-up data. A total of 101 (52 AA, 49 EA) developed prediabetes during follow-up. Progressors to prediabetes had a mean baseline weight of 90.0 ± 20.4 kg versus 82.9 ± 21.7 kg among nonprogressors (P = 0.0036). During 5.5 (mean 2.62) years of follow-up, the weight change among nonprogressors was 0.63 ± 6.11 kg compared with 2.54 ± 6.91 kg among progressors (ANOVA P = 0.0072). Progressors also showed greater increases in total fat (P = 0.0015) and trunk fat (P = 0.0005) mass than nonprogressors. Adjusted for age and sex, the significant predictors of incident prediabetes were BMI (P = 0.0013), waist (P < 0.0001), total fat (P = 0.0025), and trunk fat (P < 0.0001) mass.

Conclusions

Among obese free-living offspring of parents with T2D, long-term normoglycemic status was associated with a weight gain of ~0.2 kg/y, whereas progression to prediabetes was associated with a weight gain of ~1 kg/y.

Glycemic Response to Oral Dexamethasone Predicts Incident Prediabetes in Normoglycemic Subjects With Parental Diabetes

Background

Prediabetes, an often unrecognized precursor of type 2 diabetes (T2DM), is associated with cardiometabolic complications. Here, we investigated the utility of dexamethasone challenge in predicting incident prediabetes among normoglycemic subjects with parental T2DM enrolled in the prospective Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort study.

Design and Methods

After documenting normoglycemic status with an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), participants ingested dexamethasone (2 mg) at 10:00 pm, and fasting plasma glucose (FPG-Dex) and cortisol were measured at 8:00 am the next day. Subjects were followed quarterly for 5 years, the primary outcome being incident prediabetes. Serial assessments included body composition, blood chemistry, OGTT, insulin sensitivity, and secretion.

Results

We analyzed data from 190 participants (107 Black, 83 white; mean age 44.7 ± 10.0 years; body mass index [BMI] 29.8 ± 6.8 kg/m²; fasting plasma glucose [FPG] 90.9 ± 5.7 mg/dL). Following dexamethasone ingestion, plasma cortisol was < 5 µg/dL; FPG-Dex levels displayed marked variability (81-145 mg/dL) as did delta FPG (–7 to +48 mg/dL). During 5 years of follow-up, 58 of 190 subjects (30.5%) progressed to prediabetes. FPG-Dex (116.8 ± 10.9 vs 106.9 ± 10.8 mg/dL, P < 0.0001) and delta FPG (23.4 ± 10.1 vs 17.0 ± 10.2 mg/dL, P < 0.0001) were higher in progressors than nonprogressors. FPG-Dex (P = 0.007) was an independent predictor of incident prediabetes in a multivariate model that included age, race, gender, BMI, waist circumference, FPG, insulin sensitivity, and secretion. In further analyses, an FPG-Dex level ≥ 107 mg/dL predicted incident prediabetes with 88% sensitivity and 49% specificity.

Conclusions

The glycemic response to dexamethasone significantly predicted incident prediabetes among offspring of parents with T2DM, and may be a tool for uncovering latent risk of dysglycemia.

Multi-year reproducibility of hyperinsulinemic euglycemic clamp-derived insulin sensitivity in free-living adults: Association with incident prediabetes in the POP-ABC study

OBJECTIVE

The hyperinsulinemic euglycemic clamp (HEC) is the "gold standard" for measuring insulin sensitivity (Si-clamp). Here, we determined the reproducibility of serial HEC data in healthy subjects.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort study assessed incident prediabetes in healthy African Americans (AA) and European Americans (EA) with parental type 2 diabetes mellitus during 5.5 years of follow-up. Assessments included anthropometry, OGTT, and HEC. Ninety subjects (44 AA, 46 EA) who underwent Year-1HEC consented to Year-3 HEC. We calculated coefficients of variation (CVs), 95% limits of agreement, and repeatability coefficients for Year-1 and Year-3 data, and assessed the association of change in Si-clamp with incident prediabetes.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) baseline age was 47.5 ± 8.13y, body mass index was 30.4 ± 9.16 kg/m², fasting plasma glucose was 93.7 ± 7.82 mg/dL and 2-hrPG was 126 ± 26.8 mg/dL. Si-clamp (umol/kg/min·pmol/L^-1) was 0.071 ± 0.04 in Year 1 and 0.067 ± 0.04 in Year 3 (P = 0.22). Year 1 and Year 3 values were strongly correlated (r = 0.81, P < 0.0001); the CV was 13.6% and repeatability coefficient was ±0.025. Intrasubject differences in serial Si-clamp were less than the repeatability coefficients and within the 95% limits of agreement. After 5.5 years of follow-up, 40 subjects progressed to prediabetes and 50 were nonprogressors. The change in Si-clamp was greater in progressors than nonprogressors (-10% vs. -2.5%, P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The HEC is reproducible over ~2 years in free-living individuals, with a temporal decline in Si-clamp that predicts prediabetes risk.

Pathobiology and Reversibility of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (PROP-ABC) Study: design of lifestyle intervention

INTRODUCTION

Intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) prevents progression from prediabetes to type 2 diabetes (T2D) but reversal of prediabetes is less well studied.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The overall objectives of the Pathobiology and Reversibility of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (PROP-ABC) Study (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02027571) are to determine the natural history and reversibility of prediabetes. The study tests specific hypotheses on the patterns of progression to prediabetes among normoglycemic African-American (AA) and European-American (EA) offspring of parents with T2D; emergence of microvascular and macrovascular complications during transition from normal to impaired glucose regulation; significance of the 'metabolically healthy' obese phenotype; and effect of duration of the prediabetic state on its reversibility with lifestyle intervention. Participants who developed incident prediabetes were offered ILI and evaluated quarterly for 5 years. The primary outcome was restoration of normal glucose regulation (fasting plasma glucose <100 mg/dL and two-hour plasma glucose (2hrPG)<140 mg/dL).

RESULTS

Of the 223 subjects enrolled in the PROP-ABC Study, 158 participants with incident prediabetes started ILI. The mean age was 53.3±9.28 years; body mass index 30.6±6.70 kg/m²; 70% were female, 52.4% AA and 47.6% EA. The ILI program used goal setting, weight-based calorie restriction, physical activity (180 min/week), self-monitoring, and meal replacement. Monthly face-to-face (F2F) counseling sessions during the initial 6 months, and quarterly visits thereafter, were supplemented with electronic and postal contacts. Attendance at F2F sessions was highly correlated with weight loss (r=0.98, p<0.0001). Meal replacement induced ~5 kg weight loss within 3 months in participants with recrudescent weight pattern. Self-reported exercise minutes correlated with pedometer step counts (r=0.47, p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The PROP-ABC Study has demonstrated the feasibility of executing an ILI program designed to test reversibility of incident prediabetes in a biracial cohort.

Five-Year Glycemic Trajectories Among Healthy African-American and European-American Offspring of Parents With Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Cross-sectional surveys report a higher prevalence of diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in African Americans (AA) than European Americans (EA). We studied 5-year glycemic excursions among AA and EA in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort study, to assess ethnic disparities.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort followed normoglycemic offspring of parents with T2DM for 5 years, with serial assessments of oral glucose tolerance test , anthropometry, body fat, insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function. The primary outcome was progression to prediabetes (impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance). We further analyzed 5-year changes in fasting (FPG) and 2-hour plasma glucose (2hrPG).

RESULTS

One hundred and one (52 AA, 49 EA) out of 343 subjects developed prediabetes during follow-up. The change in FPG ranged from -24 mg/dl to +38 mg/dl. The FPG remained stable (± 5 mg/dl from baseline) in 50% of EA and 46.8% of AA and the 2hrPG remained stable (± 25 mg/dl from baseline) in 73.7% of EA and 71.0 % of AA during follow-up. The proportions with change in FPG of 5mg/dl to >25 mg/dl and 2hrPG of 25 mg/dl to >50 mg/dl were similar in EA and AA offspring, as were the 10th - 90th percentiles of the distribution of 5-year changes in FPG and 2hrPG.

CONCLUSIONS

During 5 years of follow-up, black and white offspring of parents with T2DM exhibited remarkable phenotypic concordance of glycemic trajectories. Thus, parental history of T2DM may be a stronger factor than race/ethnicity in the prediction of longitudinal glycemic trends.

Regression from prediabetes to normal glucose regulation: State of the science

IMPACT STATEMENT

Prediabetes increases the risks of future type 2 diabetes (T2D) and vascular complications, risks that can be prevented by restoring normal glucose regulation (NGR). Few studies have pre-specified reversal of prediabetes and restoration of NGR as primary outcome, and current approaches that prevent T2D in people with prediabetes do not always reverse the prediabetes. The present review focuses on studies that have assessed reversal of the prediabetes, and discusses known and emerging predictors of prediabetes. We argue that fuller knowledge of such predictors could inform the discovery of novel, targeted interventions for reversing prediabetes.

A multilevel life course perspective on type 2 diabetes

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes has increased over the past 3 decades, particularly among adolescents as obesity also increases in this age group. Given the long-term effects associated with type 2 diabetes, public health intervention is needed. However, simply advising a patient to lose weight and increase physical exercise ignores the complex interplay of many levels of influences throughout a patient's life. This article describes type 2 diabetes from a multilevel life course perspective that can help clinicians find areas of possible intervention and understand the challenges patients face.

Amino acid signature predictive of incident prediabetes: A case-control study nested within the longitudinal pathobiology of prediabetes in a biracial cohort

OBJECTIVE

Circulating branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs, isoleucine, leucine, valine) and aromatic amino acids (AAAs, tyrosine and phenylalanine) predicted type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk in a Caucasian population. Here, we assessed amino acid levels in relation to incident prediabetes among initially normoglycemic African Americans (AA) and European Americans (EA).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using a nested case-control design, we studied 70 adults (35 AA, 35 EA) who developed prediabetes (progressors) and 70 matched participants who maintained normoglycemia (nonprogressors) during 5.5 years of follow-up in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort study. Assessments included plasma amino acid levels, insulin sensitivity, and beta-cell function.

RESULTS

The total level of all 18 amino acid assayed was significantly associated with lean mass (r = 0.36, P < 0.0001), waist circumference (r = 0.27, P = 0.001), fasting plasma glucose (r = 0.24, P = 0.005), HOMA-IR (r = 0.22, P = 0.01) and HDL cholesterol (r = -0.18, P = 0.03). Individual amino acid levels were significantly associated with insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion. Compared with nonprogressors, progressors had higher baseline levels of asparagine and aspartic acid (P <0.0001), glutamine/glutamic acid (P = 0.005) and phenylalanine (P = 0.02), and lower histidine (P = 0.02) levels. In fully-adjusted logistic regression models, aspartic acid/asparagine (OR 2.72 [95% CI 1.91-3.87]) and histidine (OR 0.90 [95% CI 0.85-0.96]) were the only amino acids that significantly predicted incident prediabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline plasma aspartic acid and asparagine levels predicted progression to prediabetes, whereas histidine levels were protective of prediabetes risk. Thus, the amino acid signature associated with prediabetes in a diverse population may be distinct from that previously linked to T2DM in Caucasians.

Awareness of Prediabetes Status and Subsequent Health Behavior, Body Weight, and Blood Glucose Levels

BACKGROUND

Lifestyle intervention decreases diabetes risk in prediabetic subjects, but the impact of passive notification of prediabetes status on glycemia or health behavior is unclear.

METHODS

The Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study followed normoglycemic African American (AA) and European American (EA) offspring of parents with type 2 diabetes mellitus for incident prediabetes. During 5.5 years of follow-up (mean, 2.62 years), 101 of 343 subjects developed prediabetes and were notified, without any interventions. Participants were recalled 18 months poststudy. Here, we compared data from participants with incident prediabetes or normoglycemia (control) during POP-ABC who underwent retesting 18-months poststudy.

RESULTS

There were 73 subjects (46 female, 27 male; 36 AA, 37 EA) in the prediabetes group and 73 subjects (48 female, 25 male; 35 AA, 38 EA) in the control group. The mean (± SEM) enrollment age was 48.7 ± 0.96 years versus 48.3 ± 1.06 years (P = .37) and body mass index (BMI) was 31.1 ± 0.70 kg/m² versus 29.2 ± 0.69 kg/m² (P = .04) for prediabetes versus control groups, respectively. The 18-month changes (prediabetes vs control) were the following: fasting plasma glucose (FPG), -8.01 ± 1.11 vs 2.02 ± 0.64 mg/dL; 2-hour plasma glucose (2hrPG), -8.21 ± 3.34 vs 8.53 ± 3.17 mg/dL; weight, -0.54 ± 0.72 vs 2.77 ± 1.25 kg; and waist circumference -1.07 ± 0.78 vs 1.78 ± 0.85 (P = .03-<0.0001). The interval changes in FPG were significantly correlated with changes in weight and waist circumference (r = 0.2, P = .01). The prediabetes group reported improved dietary and exercise habits compared with control.

CONCLUSION

Communication of prediabetes status is associated with improvements in glucose tolerance, glycemia, and adiposity, probably via self-directed lifestyle modification.

The Association Between Prediabetes and Dyslipidemia Among Attendants of Primary Care Health Centers in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

INTRODUCTION

Early detection and treatment of dysglycemia including diabetes and prediabetes is demonstrated to improve disease outcomes and prevent complications.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of prediabetes with lipid metabolism disorders to clarify whether systematic screening for prediabetes should be proposed for individuals with dyslipidemia.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A cross-sectional study design, employing a stratified two-stage cluster sampling method recruited non-diabetic adults (age ≥18 years) from attendees of Primary Health Care (PHC) centers in Jeddah. Anthropomorphic measurements, demographic and clinical information were taken, and blood pressure was measured. Fasting blood sample was obtained for the measurement of plasma glucose (FPG), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C), and lipid profile. Plasma glucose was estimated 1 hr after the ingestion of 50 g glucose (1h-OGTT). Prediabetes and dyslipidemia were defined according to international guidelines. Demographic and clinical factors of subjects with prediabetes, and those with normoglycemia were compared. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to adjust for confounding factors.

RESULTS

A total of 613 individuals were included with a mean age (±SD) of 32±11.8years, and 54.8% being female. Prediabetes was detected in 28.7%, and dyslipidemia in 54.2% of participants. After adjusting for age, an association was found for high low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) and prediabetes based on any definition. After adjustment for body mass index (BMI), the association was retained for any type of dyslipidemia and in particular high LDL-C. After adjusting for both age and BMI, a significant association was found only between high LDL-C and prediabetes based on any definition (OR, 95% CI=1.50,1.02-2.19, P= 0.037).

CONCLUSION

Even though high LDL-C is associated with an increased probability of prediabetes, a recommendation for universal screening of dyslipidemic patients requires further cohort studies.

Development of type 2 diabetes mellitus in people with intermediate hyperglycaemia

BACKGROUND

Intermediate hyperglycaemia (IH) is characterised by one or more measurements of elevated blood glucose concentrations, such as impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and elevated glycosylated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c). These levels are higher than normal but below the diagnostic threshold for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The reduced threshold of 5.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL) fasting plasma glucose (FPG) for defining IFG, introduced by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) in 2003, substantially increased the prevalence of IFG. Likewise, the lowering of the HbA1c threshold from 6.0% to 5.7% by the ADA in 2010 could potentially have significant medical, public health and socioeconomic impacts.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the overall prognosis of people with IH for developing T2DM, regression from IH to normoglycaemia and the difference in T2DM incidence in people with IH versus people with normoglycaemia.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, ClincialTrials.gov and the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) Search Portal up to December 2016 and updated the MEDLINE search in February 2018. We used several complementary search methods in addition to a Boolean search based on analytical text mining.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included prospective cohort studies investigating the development of T2DM in people with IH. We used standard definitions of IH as described by the ADA or World Health Organization (WHO). We excluded intervention trials and studies on cohorts with additional comorbidities at baseline, studies with missing data on the transition from IH to T2DM, and studies where T2DM incidence was evaluated by documents or self-report only.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

One review author extracted study characteristics, and a second author checked the extracted data. We used a tailored version of the Quality In Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool for assessing risk of bias. We pooled incidence and incidence rate ratios (IRR) using a random-effects model to account for between-study heterogeneity. To meta-analyse incidence data, we used a method for pooling proportions. For hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) of IH versus normoglycaemia, reported with 95% confidence intervals (CI), we obtained standard errors from these CIs and performed random-effects meta-analyses using the generic inverse-variance method. We used multivariable HRs and the model with the greatest number of covariates. We evaluated the certainty of the evidence with an adapted version of the GRADE framework.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 103 prospective cohort studies. The studies mainly defined IH by IFG5.6 (FPG mmol/L 5.6 to 6.9 mmol/L or 100 mg/dL to 125 mg/dL), IFG6.1 (FPG 6.1 mmol/L to 6.9 mmol/L or 110 mg/dL to 125 mg/dL), IGT (plasma glucose 7.8 mmol/L to 11.1 mmol/L or 140 mg/dL to 199 mg/dL two hours after a 75 g glucose load on the oral glucose tolerance test, combined IFG and IGT (IFG/IGT), and elevated HbA1c (HbA1c5.7: HbA1c 5.7% to 6.4% or 39 mmol/mol to 46 mmol/mol; HbA1c6.0: HbA1c 6.0% to 6.4% or 42 mmol/mol to 46 mmol/mol). The follow-up period ranged from 1 to 24 years. Ninety-three studies evaluated the overall prognosis of people with IH measured by cumulative T2DM incidence, and 52 studies evaluated glycaemic status as a prognostic factor for T2DM by comparing a cohort with IH to a cohort with normoglycaemia. Participants were of Australian, European or North American origin in 41 studies; Latin American in 7; Asian or Middle Eastern in 50; and Islanders or American Indians in 5. Six studies included children and/or adolescents.Cumulative incidence of T2DM associated with IFG5.6, IFG6.1, IGT and the combination of IFG/IGT increased with length of follow-up. Cumulative incidence was highest with IFG/IGT, followed by IGT, IFG6.1 and IFG5.6. Limited data showed a higher T2DM incidence associated with HbA1c6.0 compared to HbA1c5.7. We rated the evidence for overall prognosis as of moderate certainty because of imprecision (wide CIs in most studies). In the 47 studies reporting restitution of normoglycaemia, regression ranged from 33% to 59% within one to five years follow-up, and from 17% to 42% for 6 to 11 years of follow-up (moderate-certainty evidence).Studies evaluating the prognostic effect of IH versus normoglycaemia reported different effect measures (HRs, IRRs and ORs). Overall, the effect measures all indicated an elevated risk of T2DM at 1 to 24 years of follow-up. Taking into account the long-term follow-up of cohort studies, estimation of HRs for time-dependent events like T2DM incidence appeared most reliable. The pooled HR and the number of studies and participants for different IH definitions as compared to normoglycaemia were: IFG5.6: HR 4.32 (95% CI 2.61 to 7.12), 8 studies, 9017 participants; IFG6.1: HR 5.47 (95% CI 3.50 to 8.54), 9 studies, 2818 participants; IGT: HR 3.61 (95% CI 2.31 to 5.64), 5 studies, 4010 participants; IFG and IGT: HR 6.90 (95% CI 4.15 to 11.45), 5 studies, 1038 participants; HbA1c5.7: HR 5.55 (95% CI 2.77 to 11.12), 4 studies, 5223 participants; HbA1c6.0: HR 10.10 (95% CI 3.59 to 28.43), 6 studies, 4532 participants. In subgroup analyses, there was no clear pattern of differences between geographic regions. We downgraded the evidence for the prognostic effect of IH versus normoglycaemia to low-certainty evidence due to study limitations because many studies did not adequately adjust for confounders. Imprecision and inconsistency required further downgrading due to wide 95% CIs and wide 95% prediction intervals (sometimes ranging from negative to positive prognostic factor to outcome associations), respectively.This evidence is up to date as of 26 February 2018.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Overall prognosis of people with IH worsened over time. T2DM cumulative incidence generally increased over the course of follow-up but varied with IH definition. Regression from IH to normoglycaemia decreased over time but was observed even after 11 years of follow-up. The risk of developing T2DM when comparing IH with normoglycaemia at baseline varied by IH definition. Taking into consideration the uncertainty of the available evidence, as well as the fluctuating stages of normoglycaemia, IH and T2DM, which may transition from one stage to another in both directions even after years of follow-up, practitioners should be careful about the potential implications of any active intervention for people 'diagnosed' with IH.

Pathogenic Mechanisms of Prediabetes in Obese vs. Very Obese African American Women: Implications for Diabetes Prevention

BACKGROUND

The influence of obesity on the development of prediabetes among African American women (AAW) remains uncertain. Thus, we investigated whether the pathogenic mechanisms of prediabetes differ in obese (OB, BMI<35 kg/m²) and very obese (VOB, BMI>35 kg/m²) AAW.

SUBJECTS/METHODS

We recruited 26-OB and 41-VOB, AAW with prediabetes, mean age (46.3 ± 10.3 years), A1C (5.9 ± 0.4%) and BMI (38.3 ± 8.2 kg/m²). OGTT and FSIVGT were performed in each subject. Body composition (% body fat) was measured using DEXA. Si, Sg acute insulin response to glucose (AIRg) and disposition index (DI) were calculated using minimal model method.

RESULTS

Mean BMI (32.6 ± 1.9 vs. 42.8 ± 5.5 kg/m²) and %body fat (44.7 ± 2.0 vs. 49.6 ± 2.2%) were significantly (p = 0.0001) lower in OB vs VOB. Mean fasting and post-glucose challenge, (glucose, insulin, c-peptide) levels were significantly (p = 0.03-0.0001) lower in OB vs VOB. Mean Si and Sg was not different. Mean AIRg tended to be higher (808 ± 776 vs. 535 ± 443 (x min [uU/L] ^-1), p = 0.106) whereas DI was greater (1999 ± 1408 vs. 1511 ± 1033, (×10^-2 x min^-1), p = 0.01) in OB vs VOB subjects.

CONCLUSION

We found that OB and VOB AAW had similar Si and Sg, but VOB showed attenuated AIRg and DI. These parameters should be considered when developing primary prevention programs in AAW with prediabetes.

Gender Differences in the Association between Serum Uric Acid and Prediabetes: A Six-Year Longitudinal Cohort Study

This study aimed to examine gender differences in the association between serum uric acid (SUA) and the risk of prediabetes in a longitudinal cohort. A total of 8237 participants in the Beijing Health Management Cohort study were recruited and surveyed during 2008⁻2009, and followed up in 2011⁻2012 and 2014⁻2015 surveys. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were used to evaluate the association between SUA and prediabetes. Furthermore, subgroup analyses assessed the primary outcome according to status of abdominal obesity, age and status of hypertension. During six years of follow-up, we identified 1083 prediabetes events. The GEE analyses confirmed and clarified the association between SUA and prediabetes (RR = 1.362; 95% CI = 1.095⁻1.696; p = 0.006) after adjusting for other potential confounders, especially in females (RR = 2.109; 95% CI = 1.329⁻3.347; p = 0.002). In addition, this association was stronger in the subgroup of females aged ≥48 years old (RR = 2.384; 95% CI = 1.417⁻4.010; p = 0.001). The risk for prediabetes increased significantly with increasing SUA for females in the Chinese population. This association was strongly confirmed in older females aged ≥48 years old rather than in younger females, which may provide clues for pathogenic mechanisms of gender differences in the association between SUA and prediabetes.

Ethnic Disparities in Endothelial Function and Its Cardiometabolic Correlates: The Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Endothelial function (EF) reflects the balance between vasodilatory and vasoconstrictive factors produced by (or acting on) the innermost lining of blood vessels. Endothelial dysfunction, an imbalance between these factors that favors vasoconstriction, has been associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease. However, the influence of race/ethnicity and glycemic status on association between EF and cardiovascular risk factors remain to be clarified.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

We assessed EF in relation to glycemia and cardiometabolic profile in African-American (AA) and European-American (EA) offspring of parents with type 2 diabetes (T2D), who are participants in the prospective pathobiology and reversibility of prediabetes in a biracial cohort (PROP-ABC) study. Assessments at enrollment included a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), blood pressure, anthropometry, body composition (DEXA), and lipid profile. Other assessments were insulin sensitivity and resting energy expenditure. EF was measured using flow-mediated vasodilation (EndoPAT 2000) and expressed as reactive hyperemia index (RHI).

RESULTS

We studied 190 subjects (100 AA, 90 C), mean age (±SD) 53.1 ± 9.1 years, and body mass index 30.6 ± 6.8 kg/m2. Based on OGTT data, 96 subjects (52 AA, 44 EA) had prediabetes and 94 subjects were normoglycemic (48 AA and 46 EA). The RHI was lower in AA than EA (2.17 ± 0.55 vs. 2.36 ± 0.72, P = 0.05) and in prediabetic than normoglycemic subjects (2.14 ± 0.62 vs. 2.38 ± 0.65, P = 0.013). Using RHI ≤ 1.68 as diagnostic cut-off, 19% of participants with prediabetes and 10% of normoglycemic participants had endothelial dysfunction (P = 0.04). In univariate models, RHI was positively associated with age and HDL cholesterol levels, and inversely associated with adiposity, diastolic blood pressure, and 2hr plasma glucose. The association between RHI and adiposity was stronger in men than women. The association between RHI and age, glucose and HDL cholesterol displayed marked ethnic disparities.

CONCLUSION

In our biracial cohort comprising offspring of parents with T2D, prediabetes increased the risk of endothelial dysfunction. However, the association between EF and cardiometabolic risk factors was significantly modified by ethnicity and gender. Our findings support current understanding of endothelial dysfunction as an early sensitive indicator of cardiometabolic risk.

Prediabetes and Cardiovascular Disease: Pathophysiology and Interventions for Prevention and Risk Reduction

Prediabetes is a state characterized by impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance. This review discusses the pathophysiology and macrovascular complications of prediabetes. The pathophysiologic defects underlying prediabetes include insulin resistance, alpha- and beta-cell dysfunction, increased lipolysis, inflammation, and suboptimal incretin effect. Recent studies have revealed that the long-term complications of diabetes manifest in some people with prediabetes; these complications include microvascular and macrovascular disorders. Finally, we present an overview of randomized control trials aimed at preventing progression from prediabetes to type 2 diabetes and discuss their implications for macrovascular risk reduction.

Parental History of Type 2 Diabetes Abrogates Ethnic Disparities in Key Glucoregulatory Indices

CONTEXT

There are ethnic differences in glucoregulation and prevalence of type 2 diabetes, but studies on the role of genetics in modifying ethnic effects in normoglycemic African-Americans and Caucasians are limited. Therefore, we investigated glucoregulation in normoglycemic African-Americans and Caucasians with or without parental diabetes.

DESIGN

Fifty subjects with parental diabetes (from the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort Study) and 50 subjects without parental diabetes were matched in age, sex, ethnicity, and body mass index (BMI). Subjects underwent a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), physical examination, anthropometry, biochemistries, indirect calorimetry and assessment of body composition, insulin sensitivity by euglycemic clamp (Si-clamp), and β-cell function by Disposition index.

RESULTS

The mean age was 40.5 ± 11.6 years, BMI 28.7 ± 5.9 kg/m2, fasting plasma glucose 90.2 ± 5.9 mg/dL, and 2-hour postglucose 120.0 ± 26.8 mg/dL. Offspring with parental diabetes showed higher glycemic excursion during OGTT-area under the curve-glucose (16,005.6 ± 2324.7 vs 14,973.8 ± 1819.9, P < 0.005), lower Si-clamp (0.132 ± 0.068 vs 0.162 ± 0.081 µmol/kg fat-free mass/min/pmol/L, P < 0.05), and lower Disposition index (8.74 ± 5.72 vs 11.83 ± 7.49, P < 0.05). Compared with lean subjects without parental diabetes, β cell function was lower by ∼30% in lean subjects with parental diabetes, ∼40% in obese subjects without parental diabetes, and ∼50% in obese individuals with parental diabetes (P < 0.0001). African-Americans without parental diabetes had ∼40% lower insulin sensitivity (P < 0.001), twofold higher acute insulin secretion (P < 0.001), but ∼30% lower Disposition index (P < 0.01) compared with Caucasians without parental diabetes. Remarkably, there were no significant differences by ethnicity in these glucoregulatory measures among subjects with parental diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Offspring with parental diabetes harbor substantial impairments in glucoregulation compared with individuals without parental diabetes. Ethnic disparities in glucoregulation were abrogated by parental diabetes.

Parental history of type 2 diabetes is associated with lower resting energy expenditure in normoglycemic subjects

OBJECTIVE

Resting energy expenditure (REE) is linked to obesity, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes (T2DM). REE and T2DM are inherited traits. Therefore, we investigated the effect of parental T2DM on REE in normoglycemic subjects.

METHODS

Eighty-seven subjects with parental T2DM and 83 subjects without parental T2DM were matched in age, gender, race, BMI, weight and waist circumference. Subjects underwent a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test; REE was determined by indirect calorimetry and body composition was assessed by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Statistical analysis was performed using Student's t-test, analysis of variance and regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean age was 38.8±11.3 years, 57% were females and 53% were African-Americans. The mean BMI was 28.5±6.1 kg/m², waist circumference 91.8±15.1 cm, weight 83.9±20.3 kg, fat mass 31.0%±10.0%, mean fat-free mass (FFM) 54.4±12.9 kg. REE was significantly lower in subjects with parental diabetes, normalized REE 1364.4±263.4Kcal/day vs 1489.4±323.2 Kcal/day, p=0.006 and 29.2±5.3Kcal/kg FFM/day vs 31.9±6.0 Kcal/kg FFM/day, p=0.002. African-Americans had a lower REE compared with Caucasians 28.6±5.4Kcal/kg FFM/day vs 32.6±5.5 Kcal/kg FFM/day, p<0.0001. In a multiple regression model, ethnicity (p<0.0001), parental history of T2DM (p=0.006) and FFM (p=0.021) were independent predictors of REE.

CONCLUSION

Compared with subjects without parental diabetes, offspring with parental T2DM had lower REE, which was more pronounced in African-Americans. This metabolic alteration could increase the risk of obesity, insulin resistance and dysglycemia.

Diabetes Prevention for African-Americans: a Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is the most common form of diabetes and is preventable in many instances. African-Americans are disproportionately represented in T2DM statistics. The strategies in place to prevent disease development in this population warrant critical examination.

METHODS

A scoping review of literature was conducted to provide an overview of the largely inconsistent approach to African-American T2DM prevention research. Specific research questions included: (1) How are African-Americans treated in the existing T2DM literature? (1a) Are African-Americans primarily treated as a homogenous group in the literature? (1b) Has the literature addressed middle-class African-Americans? (2) Is the T2DM prevention literature focused on primary or secondary prevention? The review included articles published from 1985 to 2016, examining the methodology and approach toward African-Americans in each article.

RESULTS

The review yielded 653 unduplicated articles. Through title, abstract, and full-text screenings, 381 articles were excluded. Of the remaining articles only 37% were focused on the prevention of T2DM development, and only 22.7% described a participant education component. The majority of the studies were observational (n = 19). Only 53.5% included majority African-American participants. Samples ranged from 2 to 27,899 individuals, which were often treated as homogeneous groups in terms of income and/or education (62.3%).

CONCLUSION

The approach to T2DM prevention in African-Americans is largely inconsistent, which may be contributing to stagnation in this area of research.

Relationships between blood pressure and blood glucose among offspring of parents with type 2 diabetes: Prediction of incident dysglycemia in a biracial cohort

AIMS

We assessed blood pressure (BP) and blood glucose (BG) values in healthy subjects, and examined baseline BP as a predictor of incident prediabetes during follow-up.

METHODS

Participants in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study underwent screening assessments (anthropometry, BP, OGTT) and were stratified into normal BP (NBP), prehypertension, or hypertension, and normal glucose regulation (NGR), prediabetes (IFG/IGT), or type 2 diabetes (T2D) status. NGR subjects who met all inclusion criteria were enrolled in a 5-yr prospective study, with the primary outcome of incident prediabetes.

RESULTS

We screened 602 adults (341 black, 261 white) and enrolled 343 (193 black, 150 white) for prospective follow-up. Systolic and diastolic BP correlated significantly with fasting and nonfasting BG (P=0.003-<0.0001). Compared to NGR group, more prediabetic subjects had prehypertension (42.5% vs. 36.2%) and fewer had NBP (35.9% vs. 48.6%) (P=0.009). During ~5years of follow-up, 26.3% of NBP and 35.7% of prehypertensive subjects developed prediabetes (P=0.02). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed higher probability of incident prediabetes among participants with prehypertension compared to NBP during ~5years of follow-up (P=0.0012).

CONCLUSIONS

In our biracial cohort, BP and BG values were significantly correlated, and BP status predicted incident prediabetes among initially normoglycemic individuals. These findings suggest co-evolution of factors involved in the dysregulation of BP and BG.

Prediabetes as a toxic environment for the initiation of microvascular and macrovascular complications

Prediabetes is a state characterized by impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance. Evidence is increasingly demonstrating that prediabetes is a toxic state, in addition to being a harbinger of future development of diabetes mellitus. This minireview discusses the pathophysiology and clinical significance of prediabetes, and approach to its management, in the context of the worldwide diabetes epidemic. The pathophysiologic defects underlying prediabetes include insulin resistance, β cell dysfunction, increased lipolysis, inflammation, suboptimal incretin effect, and possibly hepatic glucose overproduction. Recent studies have revealed that the long-term complications of diabetes may manifest in some people with prediabetes; these complications include classical microvascular and macrovascular disorders, and our discussion explores the role of glycemia in their development. Finally, landmark intervention studies in prediabetes, including lifestyle modification and pharmacologic treatment, are reviewed.

Insulin-sensitive and insulin-resistant obese and non-obese phenotypes: role in prediction of incident pre-diabetes in a longitudinal biracial cohort

OBJECTIVE

We measured insulin sensitivity with euglycemic clamp (Si-clamp) in initially normoglycemic African Americans (AA) and European Americans (EA), to probe the existence of subphenotypes of obesity and leanness, and their impact on incident dysglycemia during longitudinal follow-up.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

320 healthy subjects (176 AA, 144 EA; mean age 44.2±10.6 years) underwent baseline assessments, including Si-clamp and homeostasis model of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and were stratified into: insulin-resistant obese (IRO) (body mass index (BMI) >30 kg/m², Si-clamp <0.1, HOMA-IR >2.5); insulin-sensitive obesity (ISO) (BMI >30 kg/m², Si-clamp >0.1, HOMA-IR <2.5); insulin-resistant non-obese (IRN) (BMI <28 kg/m², Si-clamp <0.1, HOMA-IR >2.5); insulin-sensitive non-obese (ISN) (BMI <28 kg/m², Si-clamp >0.1, HOMA-IR <2.5). Outcome measures were cardiometabolic risks and incident pre-diabetes/type 2 diabetes (T2D) during 5.5 years.

RESULTS

Compared with IRO, subjects with ISO had lower abdominal fat, triglycerides and high-sensitivity C reactive protein and higher adiponectin (p=0.015 to <0.0001). IRN subjects had higher cardiometabolic risk markers than ISN (p=0.03 to <0.0001). During 5.5-year follow-up, incident pre-diabetes/T2D was lower in ISO (31.3% vs 48.7%) among obese subjects and higher in IRN (47.1% vs. 26.0%) among non-obese subjects (p=0.0024). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly different pre-diabetes/T2D survival probabilities across insulin sensitivity/adiposity phenotypes (p=0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Insulin sensitivity predicts ~40% decrease in the relative risk of incident pre-diabetes/T2D among obese persons, whereas insulin resistance predicts ~80% increased risk among non-obese persons. This is the first documentation of healthy and unhealthy phenotypes of obesity and leanness in a prospective biracial cohort, using rigorous measurement of insulin sensitivity.

Plasma lipid levels predict dysglycemia in a biracial cohort of nondiabetic subjects: Potential mechanisms

Dyslipidemia and dysglycemia are etiologically associated, but the direction, chronology, and mechanisms of the association are not fully understood. We, therefore, analyzed data from 335 healthy adults (184 black, 151 white) enrolled in the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort study. Subjects underwent oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and were enrolled if they had normal fasting and 2-h plasma glucose levels. Assessments during year 1 included anthropometry, fasting lipid profile, insulin sensitivity, and insulin secretion. Thereafter, OGTT was assessed annually for 5.5 years. The primary outcome was occurrence of prediabetes (impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance) or diabetes. During a mean follow-up of 2.62 years, 110 participants (32.8%) developed prediabetes (N = 100) or diabetes (N = 10). In multivariate logistic regression models, higher baseline low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and triglyceride levels and lower HDL cholesterol levels significantly increased the risk of incident prediabetes. The combined relative risk (95% confidence interval [CI]) of prediabetes for participants with lower baseline HDL cholesterol (10th vs. 90th percentile), higher LDL cholesterol (90th vs. 10th percentile) and high triglycerides levels (90th vs. 10th percentile) was 4.12 (95% CI 1.61-10.56), P = 0.0032. At baseline, lipid values showed significant associations with measures of adiposity, glycemia, insulin sensitivity, and secretion. In both ethnic groups, waist circumference correlated positively with triglycerides and inversely with HDL cholesterol levels (P = 0.0004-<0.0001); fasting plasma glucose correlated positively with triglycerides and LDL cholesterol levels and inversely with HDL cholesterol levels (P = 0.006-<0.0001); insulin sensitivity correlated positively with HDL cholesterol and inversely with triglyceride levels (P < 0.0001), and insulin secretion correlated positively with triglycerides (P = 0.01) and inversely with HDL cholesterol (P < 0.0001). We conclude that a baseline lipidemic signature identifies normoglycemic individuals at high risk for future glycemic progression, via congruent associations with adiposity and glucoregulatory mechanisms. These findings suggest that early lifestyle intervention could ameliorate progressive dyslipidemia and dysglycemia.

2015 Presidential Address: 75 Years of Battling Diabetes--Our Global Challenge

This address was delivered by Samuel Dagogo-Jack, MD, President, Medicine & Science, of the American Diabetes Association (ADA), at the Association's 75th Scientific Sessions in Boston, MA, on 7 June 2015. Dr. Dagogo-Jack is a professor of medicine and the director of the Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism and the director of the Clinical Research Center at The University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, where he holds the A.C. Mullins Endowed Chair in Translational Research. He has been an ADA volunteer since 1991 and has served on several national committees and chaired the Association's Research Grant Review Committee. At the local level, he has served on community leadership boards in St. Louis, MO, and Tennessee. A physician-scientist, Dr. Dagogo-Jack's current research focuses on the interaction of genetic and environmental factors in the prediction and prevention of prediabetes, diabetes, and diabetes complications. He is the principal investigator of the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study and also directs The University of Tennessee site for the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial/Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (DCCT/EDIC) and the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP)/DPP Outcomes Study (DPPOS). Dr. Dagogo-Jack earned his medical and research doctorate degrees from the University of Ibadan College of Medicine in Nigeria, holds a master's of science from the University of Newcastle upon Tyne in England, and completed his postdoctoral fellowship training in metabolism at the Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis in Missouri. A board-certified endocrinologist, Dr. Dagogo-Jack has been elected to the Association of American Physicians and is the 2015 recipient of the Banting Medal for Leadership from the ADA. The ADA and Diabetes Care thank Dr. Dagogo-Jack for his outstanding leadership and service to the Association.

β-Cell Function and Insulin Sensitivity in Normal Glucose-Tolerant Subjects Stratified by 1-Hour Plasma Glucose Values

AIM

This study was designed to assess β-cell function and insulin sensitivity indices among normal glucose tolerance (NGT) subjects stratified by 1-h plasma glucose (1hPG) values during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred sixty-six NGT subjects underwent a five-point OGTT, and glucose and insulin levels were estimated. We calculated the following indices: (a) β-cell function (homeostasis assessment model-β-cell function [HOMA-β] and Insulinogenic Index [IGI]) and (b) insulin sensitivity (homeostasis assessment model-insulin resistance [HOMA-IR], Matsuda Index, and Insulin Sensitivity Index [ISI]).

RESULTS

NGT subgroups with elevated 1hPG values (i.e., 1hPG ≥143 to <155 mg/dL and 1hPG ≥155 mg/dL) did not differ from those with 1hPG <143 mg/dL by HOMA-β (P = 0.236) but had significantly lower IGIs (367 ± 239 vs. 257 ± 243 vs. 246 ± 239; P = 0.019). With respect to ISIs, HOMA-IR was not significantly different among the groups (P = 0.103). However, the Matsuda Index (11.2 ± 5.0 vs. 7.4 ± 4.8 vs. 5.5 ± 4.9; P < 0.001) and ISI (0.015 ± 0.010 vs. 0.012 ± 0.006 vs. 0.011 ± 0.011; P = 0.028) were significantly lower in subjects with elevated 1hPG values.

CONCLUSIONS

NGT subjects with elevated 1hPG levels have alterations in β-cell function and insulin sensitivity compared with those with normal 1hPG levels.

Adiponectin levels predict prediabetes risk: the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study

BACKGROUND

Adiponectin levels display ethnic disparities, and are inversely associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). However, the association of adiponectin with prediabetes risk in diverse populations has not been well-studied. Here, we assessed baseline adiponectin levels in relation to incident prediabetes in a longitudinal biracial cohort.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort study followed non-diabetic offspring of parents with T2DM for the occurrence of prediabetes, defined as impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance. Assessments at enrollment and during follow-up included a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test, anthropometry, biochemistries (including fasting insulin and adiponectin levels), insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the contribution of adiponectin to risk of progression to prediabetes.

RESULTS

Among the 333 study participants (mean (SD) age 44.2 (10.6) year), 151(45.3%) were white and 182 (54.8%) were black. During approximately 5.5 (mean 2.62) years of follow-up, 110 participants (33%) progressed to prediabetes (N=100) or T2DM (N=10), and 223 participants (67%) were non-progressors. The mean cohort adiponectin level was 9.41+5.30 μg/mL (range 3.1-45.8 μg/mL); values were higher in women than men (10.3+5.67 μg/mL vs 7.27+3.41 μg/mL, p<0.0001) and in white than black offspring (10.7+5.44 μg/mL vs 8.34+4.95 μg/mL, p<0.0001). Adiponectin levels correlated inversely with adiposity and glycemia, and positively with insulin sensitivity and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Baseline adiponectin strongly predicted incident prediabetes: the HR for prediabetes per 1 SD (approximately 5 μg/mL) higher baseline adiponectin was 0.48 (95% CI 0.27 to 0.86, p=0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

Among healthy white and black adults with parental history of T2DM, adiponectin level is a powerful risk marker of incident prediabetes. Thus, the well-known association of adiponectin with diabetes risk is evident at a much earlier stage in pathogenesis, during transition from normoglycemia to prediabetes.

Dietary habits and leisure-time physical activity in relation to adiposity, dyslipidemia, and incident dysglycemia in the pathobiology of prediabetes in a biracial cohort study

BACKGROUND

Dietary and exercise data are frequently recorded in clinical research, but their correlation with metabolic measures needs further evaluation.

OBJECTIVE

We examined the association of food and exercise habits with body size, lipid profile, and glycemia in a prospective biracial cohort.

METHODS

The Pathobiology of Prediabetes in A Biracial Cohort study followed initially normoglycemic offspring of parents with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) for the occurrence of incident prediabetes, defined as impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and/or impaired glucose tolerance (IGT). At enrollment, participants underwent a 75-gram OGTT, anthropometry, measurement of fasting lipids, insulin, and body fat (DEXA), and completed the Food Habits Questionnaire (FHQ), and Modifiable Activity Questionnaire (MAQ). We assessed the relationship between FHQ and MAQ scores and adiposity, cardiometabolic measures, and incident dysglycemia.

RESULTS

Among our cohort of 338 subjects (188 black, 150 white; mean age {±SD} 45.2±10.2 years, BMI 30.3±7.2 kg/m(2)), FHQ and MAQ scores were individually correlated with BMI (r=0.14, -0.12; P=0.01, 0.03) and waist circumference (r=0.19, -0.11; P=0.004, 0.05). Diet-adjusted leisure activity (MAQ/FHQ) was significantly correlated with total body fat (r=-0.20, P=0.0007), trunk fat (r=-0.20, P=0.0006), and serum triglycerides (r=-0.17, P=0.003) and HDL cholesterol (r=0.11, P=0.04) levels. During 5.5 years of follow-up, 111 subjects (Progressors) developed prediabetes (n=101) or diabetes (n=10) and 227 remained normoglycemic (Non-progressors). Age, BMI, MAQ and MAQ/FHQ values were significant predictors of incident prediabetes/diabetes. Progressors reported similar dietary habits (FHQ score 2.57±0.49 vs. 2.57±0.53) but 30% lower physical activity (MAQ score 15.2±20.5 vs. 22.3±30.5 MET-hr/wk, P=0.015) compared with non-progressors.

CONCLUSIONS

Among African-American and Caucasian offspring of parents with T2DM, self-reported dietary and exercise habits correlated with measures of adiposity and dyslipidemia; however, physical activity, but not dietary recall, significantly predicted incident dysglycemia during 5.5 years of follow-up.

Incidence of Diabetes and Prediabetes and Predictors of Progression Among Asian Indians: 10-Year Follow-up of the Chennai Urban Rural Epidemiology Study (CURES)

OBJECTIVE

There are few data on the incidence rates of diabetes and prediabetes (dysglycemia) in Asian Indians. This article presents the incidence of diabetes and prediabetes and the predictors of progression in a population-based Asian Indian cohort.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Data on progression to diabetes and prediabetes from 1,376 individuals, a subset of 2,207 of the Chennai Urban Rural Epidemiology Study (CURES) cohort (phase 3) with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) or prediabetes at baseline, who were followed for a median of 9.1 years (11,629 person-years), are presented. During follow-up, 534 died and 1,077 with NGT and 299 with prediabetes at baseline were reinvestigated in a 10-year follow-up study. Diabetes and prediabetes were diagnosed based on the American Diabetes Association criteria. Incidence rates were calculated and predictors of progression to prediabetes and/or diabetes were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The incidence rates of diabetes, prediabetes, and "any dysglycemia" were 22.2, 29.5, and 51.7 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Among those with NGT, 19.4% converted to diabetes and 25.7% to prediabetes, giving an overall conversion rate to dysglycemia of 45.1%. Among those with prediabetes, 58.9% converted to diabetes. Predictors of progression to dysglycemia were advancing age, family history of diabetes, 2-h plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), low HDL cholesterol, and physical inactivity.

CONCLUSIONS

Asian Indians have one of the highest incidence rates of diabetes, with rapid conversion from normoglycemia to dysglycemia. Public health interventions should target modifiable risk factors to slow down the diabetes epidemic in this population.