1
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Sheen JK, Kennedy-Shaffer L, Levy MZ, Metcalf CJE. Design of field trials for the evaluation of transmissible vaccines in animal populations. PLoS Comput Biol 2025; 21:e1012779. [PMID: 39899630 PMCID: PMC11790233 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012779] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 01/10/2025] [Indexed: 02/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Vaccines which can transmit from vaccinated to unvaccinated animals may be especially useful for increasing immunity in hard to reach populations or in populations where achieving high coverage is logistically infeasible. However, gauging the public health utility for future use of such transmissible vaccines and assessing their risk-benefit tradeoff, given their potential for unintended evolution, hinges on accurate estimates of their indirect protective effect. Here, we establish the conditions under which a two-stage randomized field trial can characterize the protective effects of a transmissible vaccine relative to a traditional vaccine. We contrast the sample sizes required to adequately power these trials when the vaccine is weakly and strongly transmissible. We also identify how required sample sizes change based on the characteristics of host ecology such as the overdispersion of the contact structure of the population, as well as the efficacy of the vaccine and timing of vaccination. Our results indicate the range of scenarios where two-stage randomized field trial designs are feasible and appropriate to capture the protective effects of transmissible vaccines. Our estimates identify the protective benefit of using transmissible vaccines compared to traditional vaccines, and thus can be used to weigh against evolutionary risks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Justin K. Sheen
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America
| | - Lee Kennedy-Shaffer
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Vassar College, Poughkeepsie, New York, United States of America
- Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Michael Z. Levy
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America
| | - Charlotte Jessica E. Metcalf
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America
- School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America
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2
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Sun Y, Xing J, Xu S, Li Y, Zhong J, Gao H, Cheng S, Dong J, Zhang T, Lu G, Baele G, Zhang G. Demographic and zoological drivers of infectome diversity in companion cats with ascites. mSystems 2024; 9:e0063624. [PMID: 39120143 PMCID: PMC11406987 DOI: 10.1128/msystems.00636-24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2024] [Accepted: 06/21/2024] [Indexed: 08/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Cats (Felidae) have become an integral part of many households. However, our understanding of the full spectrum of pathogens affecting cats (referred to as the infectome) is limited, mainly due to the inadequacy of commonly used diagnostic tools in capturing the complete diversity of potential pathogens and the prevalence of pathogen co-infections. In this study, we employed a meta-transcriptomic approach to simultaneously characterize the infectome contributing to different disease syndromes and to investigate spatial, demographic, and ecological factors influencing pathogen diversity and community composition in a cohort of 27 hospitalized cats and seven stray cats. We identified 15 species of pathogens, with Candidatus Rickettsia tarasevichiae and Tritrichomonas foetus representing potential spillover risks. Importantly, although most cases of ascites hyperplasia were explained by coinfection with multiple pathogens, we identified the potential novel clinical outcomes of M. aubagnense infection among cats. We demonstrated that the increase in infectome diversity can be explained by a variety of predictors including age growth, temperature increase, and a higher proportion of females, with age growth presenting the strongest effect. Fine-scale analysis indicated that a higher diversity of infectomes were harbored in young cats rather than adult ones. Our results demonstrated that most feline diseases are better explained by the presence of virus-bacteria or virus-virus coinfection. This study serves as a timely endorsement for clinical diagnosis by vets to consider the cause of a disease based on a panel of cryptical co-infecting pathogens rather than on individual infectious agents. IMPORTANCE Frequent studies reported the risks of cats as an intermediate host of zoonotic pathogens (e.g., SARS-CoV-2). Cats have a physically close interaction with their owners through activities like petting, kissing, and being licked on the cheek and hands. However, there are still limited studies that systematically investigate the infectome structure of cats. In this study, we employed a meta-transcriptomics approach to characterize 15 species of pathogens in cats, with Candidatus Rickettsia tarasevichiae first characterizing infection in diseased cats. Most feline diseases were better explained by the presence of virus-bacteria or virus-virus coinfection. The increase in infectome diversity could be influenced by a variety of predictors including age growth, temperature increase, and a higher proportion of females. A higher diversity of pathogens was harbored in young cats rather than adults. Importantly, we showed the value of linking the modern influx of meta-transcriptomics with comparative ecology and demography and of utilizing it to affirm that ecological and demographic variations impact the total infectome.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yankuo Sun
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
- Maoming Branch, Guangdong Laboratory for Lingnan Modern Agriculture, Maoming, China
- Guangdong Laboratory for Lingnan Modern Agriculture, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jiabao Xing
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Sijia Xu
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yue Li
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jianhao Zhong
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Han Gao
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Song Cheng
- CAU Dong Jun laboratory, Guangzhou, China, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jun Dong
- CAU Dong Jun laboratory, Guangzhou, China, Guangzhou, China
| | - Tianyou Zhang
- CAU Dong Jun laboratory, Guangzhou, China, Guangzhou, China
- Guangzhou Chimelong Safari Park, Guangzhou, China
| | - Gang Lu
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Guy Baele
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Guihong Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control of Guangdong Province, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China
- Maoming Branch, Guangdong Laboratory for Lingnan Modern Agriculture, Maoming, China
- Guangdong Laboratory for Lingnan Modern Agriculture, Guangzhou, China
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3
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Aggarwal S, Walker FC, Weagley JS, McCune BT, Wu X, Schriefer LA, Makimaa H, Lawrence D, Sridhar P, Baldridge MT. Interferons and tuft cell numbers are bottlenecks for persistent murine norovirus infection. PLoS Pathog 2024; 20:e1011961. [PMID: 38701091 PMCID: PMC11095769 DOI: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1011961] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Revised: 05/15/2024] [Accepted: 04/20/2024] [Indexed: 05/05/2024] Open
Abstract
Noroviruses (NoVs) are a leading cause of viral gastroenteritis. Despite global clinical relevance, our understanding of how host factors, such as antiviral cytokines interferons (IFNs), modulate NoV population dynamics is limited. Murine NoV (MNoV) is a tractable in vivo model for the study of host regulation of NoV. A persistent strain of MNoV, CR6, establishes a reservoir in intestinal tuft cells for chronic viral shedding in stool. However, the influence of host innate immunity and permissive cell numbers on viral population dynamics is an open question. We generated a pool of 20 different barcoded viruses (CR6BC) by inserting 6-nucleotide barcodes at the 3' position of the NS4 gene and used this pool as our viral inoculum for in vivo infections of different mouse lines. We found that over the course of persistent CR6 infection, shed virus was predominantly colon-derived, and viral barcode richness decreased over time irrespective of host immune status, suggesting that persistent infection involves a series of reinfection events. In mice lacking the IFN-λ receptor, intestinal barcode richness was enhanced, correlating with increased viral intestinal replication. IL-4 treatment, which increases tuft cell numbers, also increased barcode richness, indicating the abundance of permissive tuft cells to be a bottleneck during CR6 infection. In mice lacking type I IFN signaling (Ifnar1-/-) or all IFN signaling (Stat1-/-), barcode diversity at extraintestinal sites was dramatically increased, implicating different IFNs as critical bottlenecks at specific tissue sites. Of interest, extraintestinal barcodes were overlapping but distinct from intestinal barcodes, indicating that disseminated virus represents a distinct viral population than that replicating in the intestine. Barcoded viruses are a valuable tool to explore the influence of host factors on viral diversity in the context of establishment and maintenance of infection as well as dissemination and have provided important insights into how NoV infection proceeds in immunocompetent and immunocompromised hosts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Somya Aggarwal
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Forrest C. Walker
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - James S. Weagley
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Broc T. McCune
- Department of Microbiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, United States of America
| | - Xiaofen Wu
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Lawrence A. Schriefer
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Heyde Makimaa
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Dylan Lawrence
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Pratyush Sridhar
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Megan T. Baldridge
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Edison Family Center for Genome Sciences & Systems Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
- Department of Molecular Microbiology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, United States of America
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4
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Streicker DG, Griffiths ME, Antia R, Bergner L, Bowman P, dos Santos de Moraes MV, Esvelt K, Famulare M, Gilbert A, He B, Jarvis MA, Kennedy DA, Kuzma J, Wanyonyi CN, Remien C, Rocke T, Rosenke K, Schreiner C, Sheen J, Simons D, Yordanova IA, Bull JJ, Nuismer SL. Developing transmissible vaccines for animal infections. Science 2024; 384:275-277. [PMID: 38669579 PMCID: PMC11298812 DOI: 10.1126/science.adn3231] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/28/2024]
Abstract
Intrinsically safe designs and a staged transparent development process will be essential.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel G. Streicker
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow; Glasgow G12 8QQ, United Kingdom
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research; Glasgow G61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Megan E. Griffiths
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow; Glasgow G12 8QQ, United Kingdom
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research; Glasgow G61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Rustom Antia
- Department of Biology, Emory University; Atlanta, GA, 30322 United States of America
| | - Laura Bergner
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow; Glasgow G12 8QQ, United Kingdom
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research; Glasgow G61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Peter Bowman
- School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California-Davis; Davis, CA, 995616, United States of America
| | | | - Kevin Esvelt
- Media Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA, 02139, United States of America
| | - Mike Famulare
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Seattle, WA, 98109, United States of America
| | - Amy Gilbert
- United States Department of Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, National Wildlife Research Center; Fort Collins, CO, 80521, United States of America
| | - Biao He
- Department of Infectious Diseases, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia; Athens, GA, 30602, United States of America
| | - Michael A. Jarvis
- School of Biomedical Sciences, University of Plymouth; Devon, PL4 8AA, United Kingdom
- The Vaccine Group, Ltd.; Devon, PL6 6BU, United Kingdom
- Laboratory of Virology, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health; Hamilton, MT, 59840, United States of America
| | - David A. Kennedy
- Department of Biology and Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University; University Park, PA, 16802, United States of America
| | - Jennifer Kuzma
- School of Public and International Affairs and Genetic Engineering and Society Center, North Carolina State University; Raleigh, NC, 27606 United States of America
| | | | - Christopher Remien
- Department of Mathematics and Statistical Science, University of Idaho; Moscow, ID 83844, United States of America
| | - Tonie Rocke
- United States Geological Survey, National Wildlife Health Center; Madison, Wisconsin, 53711, United States of America
| | - Kyle Rosenke
- Laboratory of Virology, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health; Hamilton, MT, 59840, United States of America
| | - Courtney Schreiner
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Tennessee Knoxville, Knoxville, TN, 37996 United States of America
| | - Justin Sheen
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 08544, United States of America
| | - David Simons
- Centre for Emerging, Endemic and Exotic Diseases, The Royal Veterinary College; London NW1 0TU, United Kingdom
| | - Ivet A. Yordanova
- Center for Biological Threats and Special Pathogens, Robert Koch Institute; Berlin, 13353, Germany
| | - James J. Bull
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Idaho; Moscow, ID 83844, United States of America
| | - Scott L. Nuismer
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Idaho; Moscow, ID 83844, United States of America
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5
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Bull JJ, Nuismer SL, Remien CH, Griffiths ME, Antia R. Recombinant transmissible vaccines will be intrinsically contained despite the ability to superinfect. Expert Rev Vaccines 2024; 23:294-302. [PMID: 38372241 PMCID: PMC11003445 DOI: 10.1080/14760584.2024.2320845] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2023] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 02/20/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Transmissible vaccines offer a novel approach to suppressing viruses in wildlife populations, with possible applications against viruses that infect humans as zoonoses - Lassa, Ebola, rabies. To ensure safety, current designs propose a recombinant vector platform in which the vector is isolated from the target wildlife population. Because using an endemic vector creates the potential for preexisting immunity to block vaccine transmission, these designs focus on vector viruses capable of superinfection, spreading throughout the host population following vaccination of few individuals. AREAS COVERED We present original theoretical arguments that, regardless of its R0 value, a recombinant vaccine using a superinfecting vector is not expected to expand its active infection coverage when released into a wildlife population that already carries the vector. However, if superinfection occurs at a high rate such that individuals are repeatedly infected throughout their lives, the immunity footprint in the population can be high despite a low incidence of active vaccine infections. Yet we provide reasons that the above expectation is optimistic. EXPERT OPINION High vaccine coverage will typically require repeated releases or release into a population lacking the vector, but careful attention to vector choice and vaccine engineering should also help improve transmissible vaccine utility.
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Affiliation(s)
- James J Bull
- Department of Biological Sciences, U. Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844 USA
| | - Scott L Nuismer
- Department of Biological Sciences. University of Idaho. Moscow, ID 83844
- Department of Mathematics. University of Idaho. Moscow, ID 83844
| | | | - Megan E Griffiths
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Rustom Antia
- Department of Biology, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, 30322 USA
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6
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Júnior DST. High risk of bat bites in an indigenous village in Brazil: Warning of the re-emergence of rabies among the Maxakali People. Acta Trop 2024; 249:107073. [PMID: 37956818 DOI: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2023.107073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2023] [Accepted: 11/10/2023] [Indexed: 11/15/2023]
Abstract
Bat-mediated human rabies is a viral zoonotic disease that poses a serious threat to the public health of traditional peoples, especially indigenous populations that maintain primitive cultural and social habits, such as the Maxakali ethnic group, located in the southeastern region of Brazil. The sociocultural habit of this population led to the emergence between April and May 2022 of the viral spillover of rabies transmitted by bats, which decimated the lives of four children from this population who maintained contact with this animal as a recreational practice. Because the vampire bats Desmodus rotundus have exceptional ecology and social characteristics that can have important effects on the dynamics of viral dispersion in this indigenous population, I present the dynamics of contact between native children and the bat and the meaning of this relationship, which involves ritualistic and recreational significance. As important as knowing the reasons for this practice is discussing some intrinsic and extrinsic factors that imply risks that intensify the vulnerability of this population to the transmission of the rabies virus at any time. In view of this, I warn of the need to adopt efficient strategies to mitigate the risks of a new emergency in this region. Although emergency containment measures were carried out during the critical period of the outbreak, such animal and environmental control actions must become routine programmatic and structuring interventions. Essential for rabies surveillance in this population is to develop culturally adapted interethnic health education campaigns to guarantee the accessibility of the Maxakali indigenous people to the content taught, so that any attempt at domestication, captivity and recreational practices with bats of any species is discouraged, thus avoiding a possible re-emergence of this anthropozoonosis that has impacted not only the epidemiological scenario in this region, but throughout Brazil, and also throughout Latin America.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dilceu Silveira Tolentino Júnior
- Federal University of the Jequitinhonha and Mucuri Valleys, Postgraduate Program in Tecnhology, Environment and Society, Teófilo Otoni, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
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7
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Janoušková E, Rokhsar J, Jara M, Entezami M, Horton DL, Dias RA, Machado G, Prada JM. Quantifying Spillover Risk with an Integrated Bat-Rabies Dynamic Modeling Framework. Transbound Emerg Dis 2023; 2023:2611577. [PMID: 40303736 PMCID: PMC12017007 DOI: 10.1155/2023/2611577] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2022] [Revised: 03/27/2023] [Accepted: 06/12/2023] [Indexed: 05/02/2025]
Abstract
Vampire bat-transmitted rabies has recently become the leading cause of rabies mortality in both humans and livestock in Latin America. Evaluating risk of transmission from bats to other animal species has thus become a priority in the region. An integrated bat-rabies dynamic modeling framework quantifying spillover risk to cattle farms was developed. The model is spatially explicit and is calibrated to the state of São Paulo, using real roost and farm locations. Roost and farm characteristics, as well as environmental data through an ecological niche model, are used to modulate rabies transmission. Interventions aimed at reducing risk in roosts (such as bat culling or vaccination) and in farms (cattle vaccination) were considered as control strategies. Both interventions significantly reduce the number of outbreaks in farms and disease spread (based on distance from source), with control in roosts being a significantly better intervention. High-risk areas were also identified, which can support ongoing programs, leading to more effective control interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eva Janoušková
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Jennifer Rokhsar
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Manuel Jara
- Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA
| | - Mahbod Entezami
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Daniel L. Horton
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Ricardo Augusto Dias
- Department of Preventive Veterinary Medicine and Animal Health, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Gustavo Machado
- Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA
| | - Joaquín M. Prada
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
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8
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Griffiths ME, Meza DK, Haydon DT, Streicker DG. Inferring the disruption of rabies circulation in vampire bat populations using a betaherpesvirus-vectored transmissible vaccine. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2023; 120:e2216667120. [PMID: 36877838 PMCID: PMC10089182 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2216667120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2022] [Accepted: 01/25/2023] [Indexed: 03/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Transmissible vaccines are an emerging biotechnology that hold prospects to eliminate pathogens from wildlife populations. Such vaccines would genetically modify naturally occurring, nonpathogenic viruses ("viral vectors") to express pathogen antigens while retaining their capacity to transmit. The epidemiology of candidate viral vectors within the target wildlife population has been notoriously challenging to resolve but underpins the selection of effective vectors prior to major investments in vaccine development. Here, we used spatiotemporally replicated deep sequencing to parameterize competing epidemiological mechanistic models of Desmodus rotundus betaherpesvirus (DrBHV), a proposed vector for a transmissible vaccine targeting vampire bat-transmitted rabies. Using 36 strain- and location-specific time series of prevalence collected over 6 y, we found that lifelong infections with cycles of latency and reactivation, combined with a high R0 (6.9; CI: 4.39 to 7.85), are necessary to explain patterns of DrBHV infection observed in wild bats. These epidemiological properties suggest that DrBHV may be suited to vector a lifelong, self-boosting, and transmissible vaccine. Simulations showed that inoculating a single bat with a DrBHV-vectored rabies vaccine could immunize >80% of a bat population, reducing the size, frequency, and duration of rabies outbreaks by 50 to 95%. Gradual loss of infectious vaccine from vaccinated individuals is expected but can be countered by inoculating larger but practically achievable proportions of bat populations. Parameterizing epidemiological models using accessible genomic data brings transmissible vaccines one step closer to implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Megan E. Griffiths
- Medical Research Council–University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, GlasgowG61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Diana K. Meza
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, GlasgowG61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Daniel T. Haydon
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, GlasgowG61 1QH, United Kingdom
| | - Daniel G. Streicker
- Medical Research Council–University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, GlasgowG61 1QH, United Kingdom
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, GlasgowG61 1QH, United Kingdom
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9
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Viana M, Benavides JA, Broos A, Ibañez Loayza D, Niño R, Bone J, da Silva Filipe A, Orton R, Valderrama Bazan W, Matthiopoulos J, Streicker DG. Effects of culling vampire bats on the spatial spread and spillover of rabies virus. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2023; 9:eadd7437. [PMID: 36897949 PMCID: PMC10005164 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.add7437] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2022] [Accepted: 02/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Controlling pathogen circulation in wildlife reservoirs is notoriously challenging. In Latin America, vampire bats have been culled for decades in hopes of mitigating lethal rabies infections in humans and livestock. Whether culls reduce or exacerbate rabies transmission remains controversial. Using Bayesian state-space models, we show that a 2-year, spatially extensive bat cull in an area of exceptional rabies incidence in Peru failed to reduce spillover to livestock, despite reducing bat population density. Viral whole genome sequencing and phylogeographic analyses further demonstrated that culling before virus arrival slowed viral spatial spread, but reactive culling accelerated spread, suggesting that culling-induced changes in bat dispersal promoted viral invasions. Our findings question the core assumptions of density-dependent transmission and localized viral maintenance that underlie culling bats as a rabies prevention strategy and provide an epidemiological and evolutionary framework to understand the outcomes of interventions in complex wildlife disease systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mafalda Viana
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
| | - Julio A. Benavides
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
- MIVEGEC, IRD, CNRS, Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France
- Doctorado en Medicina de la Conservación y Centro de Investigación para la Sustentabilidad, Facultad de Ciencias de la Vida, Universidad Andrés Bello, República 440 Santiago, Chile
| | - Alice Broos
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow G61 1QH, UK
| | | | - Ruby Niño
- Colegio Médico Veterinario de Apurímac, Abancay, Perú
| | - Jordan Bone
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow G61 1QH, UK
| | | | - Richard Orton
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow G61 1QH, UK
| | - William Valderrama Bazan
- ILLARIY (Asociación para el Desarrollo y Conservación de los Recursos Naturales), Lima, Perú
- Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
| | - Jason Matthiopoulos
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
| | - Daniel G. Streicker
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow G61 1QH, UK
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10
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Meza DK, Mollentze N, Broos A, Tello C, Valderrama W, Recuenco S, Carrera JE, Shiva C, Falcon N, Viana M, Streicker DG. Ecological determinants of rabies virus dynamics in vampire bats and spillover to livestock. Proc Biol Sci 2022; 289:20220860. [PMID: 36069012 PMCID: PMC9449476 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2022.0860] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/03/2022] [Accepted: 08/16/2022] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
The pathogen transmission dynamics in bat reservoirs underpin efforts to reduce risks to human health and enhance bat conservation, but are notoriously challenging to resolve. For vampire bat rabies, the geographical scale of enzootic cycles, whether environmental factors modulate baseline risk, and how within-host processes affect population-level dynamics remain unresolved. We studied patterns of rabies exposure using an 11-year, spatially replicated sero-survey of 3709 Peruvian vampire bats and co-occurring outbreaks in livestock. Seroprevalence was correlated among nearby sites but fluctuated asynchronously at larger distances. A generalized additive mixed model confirmed spatially compartmentalized transmission cycles, but no effects of bat demography or environmental context on seroprevalence. Among 427 recaptured bats, we observed long-term survival following rabies exposure and antibody waning, supporting hypotheses that immunological mechanisms influence viral maintenance. Finally, seroprevalence in bats was only weakly correlated with outbreaks in livestock, reinforcing the challenge of spillover prediction even with extensive data. Together our results suggest that rabies maintenance requires transmission among multiple, nearby bat colonies which may be facilitated by waning of protective immunity. However, the likelihood of incursions and dynamics of transmission within bat colonies appear largely independent of bat ecology. The implications of these results for spillover anticipation and controlling transmission at the source are discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Diana K. Meza
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
- Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
| | - Nardus Mollentze
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
- Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
| | - Alice Broos
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
- Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
| | - Carlos Tello
- ILLARIY (Asociación para el Desarrollo y Conservación de los Recursos Naturales), Lima, Perú
- Yunkawasi, Lima, Perú
| | - William Valderrama
- ILLARIY (Asociación para el Desarrollo y Conservación de los Recursos Naturales), Lima, Perú
- Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
| | - Sergio Recuenco
- Facultad de Medicina San Fernando, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Perú
| | - Jorge E. Carrera
- Departamento de Mastozoología, Museo de Historia Natural, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Perú
- Programa de Conservación de Murciélagos de Perú, Perú
| | - Carlos Shiva
- Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
| | | | - Mafalda Viana
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Daniel G. Streicker
- School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
- Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
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11
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Nuismer SL. One step closer to a transmissible vaccine for rabies virus. PLoS Biol 2022; 20:e3001607. [PMID: 35442969 PMCID: PMC9020673 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3001607] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
This Primer explores a recent study in PLOS Biology showing that a betaherpesvirus circulating in the vampire bat could serve as an effective vector for a transmissible vaccine capable of reducing the risk of rabies virus spillover in Peru.
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Affiliation(s)
- Scott L. Nuismer
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho, United States of America
- * E-mail:
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