The association between transition from metabolically healthy obesity to metabolic syndrome, and incidence of cardiovascular disease: Tehran lipid and glucose study

The prevalence of metabolically healthy obesity and healthy status and related risk factors among Iranian adults: a cohort-based cross-sectional study

Objectives

this study aims to determine the prevalence and determinants of metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) and metabolically healthy status (MHS) within a large Iranian population.

Methods

This cross-sectional study involved 10,134 participants from the Fasa Adult Cohort Study (FACS) in southern Iran. Following the extraction of metabolic, demographic, and socioeconomic variables, prevalence rates were estimated. Logistic regression analysis was conducted using SPSS 22 to examine the relationship between risk factors.

Results

Among all participants, 19.9% (32.7% in men) exhibited metabolically healthy status (MHS), while 31.4% (37.5% in men) were classified as metabolically healthy obese (MHO). The likelihood of MHO was found to be 18% higher in illiterate individuals compared to their literate counterparts. Additionally, for each 1 cm increase in waist circumference, the probability of MHO increased by 5%, while a 1-year increase in age raised the probability by 1.7%, and a 1 MET increase in physical activity reduced the probability by 1.3%. Furthermore, the likelihood of having MHS was 2.4 times greater in women than in men. Employed individuals had a 17% lower probability of MHS compared to unemployed individuals. For every 1 MET increase in physical activity, the probability of MHS decreased by 0.9%, whereas a 1-year increase in age and a 1 cm increase in waist circumference increased the probability by 1.7% and 12%, respectively.

Conclusions

It seems that MHS and MHO is relatively high in studied population and although their multifactorial nature was determined, at the same time, in order to evaluate the changes, it is necessary to pay serious attention to longitudinal monitoring.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-024-01555-8.

Evaluation of the effectiveness of the Iran-package of essential non-communicable disease (IraPEN) program in reducing cardiovascular disease risk in pilot areas

BACKGROUND

To assess the effectiveness of the IraPEN program in decreasing the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and associated risk factors in selected areas of Iran.

METHODS

A secondary data analysis of longitudinal data collected between 2016 and 2017 from health centers in four pilot areas. The target population consisted of people aged 40 years and above, as well as individuals aged 30-40 years who had at least one CVD risk factor. We compared mean CVD risk and risk factor levels before and one year after the intervention and utilized Generalized Estimating Equations to analyze the trends during subsequent visits.

RESULTS

A total of 160,223 eligible individuals (93,081 female) were screened at baseline, of which 25,764 individuals (17,386 female) were followed up for at least one year. The proportion of men with a CVD risk score above 10%, according to the WHO/ISH risk charts, decreased from 7.5 to 5.3%, while the proportion of women decreased from 6.1 to 4.7%. Based on the revised WHO risk score, the mean CVD risk for those with a risk score above 10% at baseline and one year later was 0.198 and 0.177 in men and 0.119 and 0.109 in women, respectively. There was a significant decrease in all risk factors, except for waist circumference in both sexes and BMI in women. The trend analysis of risk factors over time confirmed these findings.

CONCLUSION

The program was modestly effective in reducing CVD risk in the pilot areas. However, further modifications may be needed to enhance its effectiveness.

The association of obesity phenotypes and risk of cardiovascular disease using time-varying and time-invariant approaches: An 18-year follow-up cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Our aim was risk estimation for cardiovascular disease (CVD) across obesity phenotypes over 18 years of follow-up using both time-invariant and time-varying approaches.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This prospective cohort study included 9752 participants aged ≥30 years examined in the first and second phases of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (1999-2001 and 2002-2005). Six phenotypes [i.e., metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), overweight (MHOW), and obese (MHO), as well as metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), overweight (MUOW), and obese (MUO)] were defined based on the body mass index (BMI) and metabolic status. Incident CVD was documented until March 2018. Time-invariant and time-varying Cox regression models were used to estimate CVD hazard ratio (HRs) for obesity phenotypes. Mean age of the participants was 46.6 ± 12.0 years, and 53.9 % of them were women. During 18 years of follow-up, 1083 new CVD events occurred. In metabolically unhealthy individuals, but not metabolically healthy people, multivariable-adjusted HRs for CVD events increased by BMI according to time-varying (HR = 1.6, 95 % CI = 1.13-2.26 for MUNW; HR = 1.92, 95 % CI = 1.43-2.58 for MUOW; HR = 1.94, 95 % CI = 1.4-2.68 for MUO) and time-invariant (HR = 1.85, 95 % CI = 1.01-3.39 for MUNW; HR = 2.75, 95 % CI = 1.63-4.63 for MUOW, and HR = 3.26, 95 % CI = 1.95-5.47 for MUO) models.

CONCLUSION

Metabolically unhealthy overweight and obese individuals are at increased risk of CVD and should be regularly screened to prevent possible cardiovascular events.

The prevalence of metabolically healthy obesity and its transition into the unhealthy state: A 5-year follow-up study

People with metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) are at risk of developing cardiometabolic diseases. We investigated the prevalence of MHO and factors influencing its transition into a metabolically unhealthy state (MUS). This study was conducted as part of the Kerman Coronary Artery Disease Risk Factor Study (KERCADRS). From 2014 to 2018, 9997 people were evaluated. The obesity and metabolic status of the MHO participants were re-examined after 5 years of their initial participation in the study. Out of 347 MHO, 238 individuals were accessed at follow-up. Twenty-nine (12.2%) had metabolic unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), 169 (71.0%) had metabolic unhealthy obesity (MUO), and the others had healthy metabolic state. Among age, total cholesterol, diastolic blood pressure and triglyceride (TG) variables, the baseline serum TG level was associated with a significant increase in the risk of developing MUS during 5 years (p <.05). The TG level optimal cut-off point for predicting the development into MUS was 107 mg/dL with 62.1% sensitivity and 77.5% specificity (AUC = 0.734, p <.001). A high percentage of MHO people transit into MUS during 5 years. A TG level higher than 107 mg/dL can help to identify people at a higher risk of developing into MUS.

Irruption of Network Analysis to Explain Dietary, Psychological and Nutritional Patterns and Metabolic Health Status in Metabolically Healthy and Unhealthy Overweight and Obese University Students: Ecuadorian Case

BACKGROUND

The association between dietary nutritional patterns, psychological factors, and metabolic health status has not been investigated in university students. There are studies that include numerous variables to test hypotheses from various theoretical bases, but due to their complexity, they have not been studied in combination. The scientific community recognizes the use of Gaussian graphical models (GGM) as a set of novel methods capable of addressing this.

OBJECTIVE

To apply GGMs to derive specific networks for groups of healthy and unhealthy obese individuals that represent nutritional, psychological, and metabolic patterns in an Ecuadorian population.

METHODOLOGY

This was a quantitative, non-experimental, cross-sectional, correlational study conducted on a sample of 230 obese/overweight university students, selected through a multi-stage random sampling method. To assess usual dietary intake, a Food Frequency Questionnaire (FFQ) was used; to evaluate psychological profiles (anxiety, depression, and stress), the DASS-21 scale was employed; blood pressure and anthropometric data were collected; and insulin levels, lipid profiles, and glucose levels were determined using fasting blood samples. The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) criteria were applied to identify metabolically healthy and unhealthy individuals. Statistical analysis relied on univariate methods (frequencies, measures of central tendency, and dispersion), and the relationships were analyzed through networks. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to analyze differences between groups.

RESULTS

In metabolically unhealthy obese individuals, GGMs identified a primary network consisting of the influence of waist circumference on blood pressure and insulin levels. In the healthy obese group, a different network was identified, incorporating stress and anxiety variables that influenced blood pressure, anthropometry, and insulin levels. Other identified networks show the dynamics of obesity and the effect of waist circumference on triglycerides, anxiety, and riboflavin intake.

CONCLUSIONS

GGMs are an exploratory method that can be used to construct networks that illustrate the behavior of obesity in the studied population. In the future, the identified networks could form the basis for updating obesity management protocols in Primary Care Units and supporting clinical interventions in Ecuador.

Cardiovascular disease among bariatric surgery candidates: coronary artery screening and the impact of metabolic syndrome

BACKGROUND

Obesity is known as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, there is an absence of preoperative cardiac risk assessment in bariatric surgery candidates and the incidence of CVD among these high-risk patients is still unknown.

METHODS

A consecutive series of bariatric surgery candidates at two Chinese tertiary hospitals received coronary CT angiography or coronary angiography from 2017 to 2023. Patients were categorized as metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) and metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) based on the presence or absence of MetS. CVD was diagnosed based on the maximum intraluminal stenosis > 1% in any of the segments of the major epicardial coronary arteries. Obstructive CVD was defined as coronary stenosis ≥ 50%. Binary multivariable logistic regression was performed to analyze the association between CVD and metabolic status. The number of principal MetS components was categorized into zero (without glycemic, lipid, and BP components), one (with one of the components), two (with any two components), and three (with all components) to explore their association with CVD.

RESULTS

A total of 1446 patients were included in the study. The incidence of CVD and obstructive CVD were 31.7% and 9.6%. Compared with MHO patients, MUO patients had a significantly higher incidence of mild (13.7% vs. 6.1%, P < 0.05), moderate (7.4% vs. 0.8%, P < 0.05), and severe CVD (3.1% vs. 0%, P < 0.05). Following complete adjustment, compared with zero or one component, two principal MetS components was found to be associated with a notable increase in the risk of CVD (OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.18-3.58, P < 0.05); three principal MetS components were observed to have a higher risk of CVD and obstructive CVD (OR 2.68, 95% CI 1.56-4.62, P < 0.001; OR 3.93, 95% CI 1.19-12.93, P < 0.05). Each increase in the number of principal MetS components correlated with a 1.47-fold (95% CI 1.20-1.81, P < 0.001) and 1.78-fold (95% CI 1.24-2.55, P < 0.05) higher risk of CVD and obstructive CVD, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study reported the incidence of CVD based on multicenter bariatric surgery cohorts. CVD is highly prevalent in patients with obesity, especially in MUO patients. Increased number of principal MetS components will significantly elevate the risk of CVD.

Exploring metabolically healthy obesity: prevalence, characteristics, and cardiovascular risk in the Iranian population based on the STEPS 2021

Background

Regarding the rapidly increasing prevalence of obesity throughout the globe, it remains a serious public health concern. A subgroup of obesity that does not meet metabolic syndrome criteria is called metabolically healthy obesity (MHO). However, whether the MHO phenotype increases cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of MHO and its 10-year CVD risk in Iranian populations.

Methods

Based on the STEPS 2021 project in Iran, we collected data on 18119 Iranians 25 years and older from all 31 provinces after applying many statistical factors. Using the Framingham score, we evaluated the 10-year cardiovascular risk associated with the various MHO definition criteria for Iranian populations.

Results

The prevalence of MHO was 6.42% (5.93-6.91) at the national level according to the AHA-NHLBI definition, and 23.29% of obese women and 24.55% of obese men were classified as MHOs. Moreover, the MHO group was younger than the metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) group based on all definitions (p < 0.001). The odds ratio of MUO individuals being classified as high-risk individuals by the Framingham criteria for CVD was significantly higher than that of MHO individuals by all definitions, with a crude odds ratio of 3.55:1 based on AHA-NHLBI definition.

Conclusion

This study reveals a significant prevalence of MHO in the Iranian population, with approximately 25% of obese individuals classified as MHO. While MHO is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease compared to MUO, MHO carries the potential for transitioning to an unhealthy state.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-023-01364-5.

The Relationship of Waist Circumference with the Morbidity of Cardiovascular Diseases and All-Cause Mortality in Metabolically Healthy Individuals: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

This study explores the relationship between waist circumference and morbidity of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and all-cause mortality in metabolically healthy individuals.

Methods

A cohort of 5775 metabolically healthy participants from the 2001-2014 US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and National Death Index database was tracked over a median period of 81 months. These participants were divided into quartiles (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) based on increasing waist circumference. To compensate for missing covariates, multivariate multiple imputation methods were used. Adjusted logistic regression models were employed to examine the correlation between waist circumference and cardiovascular disease prevalence. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox regression analysis were utilized to evaluate the association between waist circumference and all-cause mortality, both qualitatively and quantitatively.

Results

The adjusted logistic regression model indicated that a 10 cm increase in waist circumference was associated with a 1.45 times higher prevalence of CVD. As a categorical variable, there was a significant upward trend in CVD incidence across quartiles of waist circumference. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 2.41 (1.13-5.53) for Q2, 2.65 (1.18-6.39) for Q3, and 2.53 (0.9-7.44) for Q4, compared to Q1. Notably, individuals with high waist circumference showed significantly poorer survival compared to those with low waist circumference (p = 0.008). The Cox regression analysis revealed that each 10 cm increase in waist circumference contributed to an ~8% increase in all-cause mortality.

Conclusions

This study underscores a positive correlation between waist circumference and both CVD morbidity and all-cause mortality in metabolically healthy individuals. The findings highlight the significance of routinely monitoring waist circumference for effective CVD risk management, regardless of metabolic health status.

Association between metabolic syndrome and myocardial infarction among patients with excess body weight: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Controversial views exist over the effects of metabolically unhealthy obesity phenotypes on CVDs. This study aimed to perform a meta-analysis to assess the association between metabolic syndrome and myocardial infarction (MI) among individuals with excess body weight (EBW).

METHODS

We searched PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and Web of Science databases as of December 9, 2023. Cohort studies involving patients with overweight or obesity that reported the relevant effect measures for the association between metabolic syndrome and MI were included. We excluded studies with incomplete or unavailable original data, reanalysis of previously published data, and those that did not report the adjusted effect sizes. We used the Newcastle Ottawa Scale for quality assessment. Random-effect model meta-analysis was performed. Publication bias was assessed by Begg's test.

RESULTS

Overall, nine studies comprising a total of 61,104 participants were included. There was a significant positive association between metabolic syndrome and MI among those with obesity (hazard ratio (HR): 1.68; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27, 2.22). Subgroup analysis showed higher HRs for obesity (1.72; 1.03, 2.88) than overweight (1.58; 1.-13-2.21). Meta-regression revealed no significant association between nationality and risk of MI (p = 0.75). All studies had high qualities. There was no significant publication bias (p = 0.42).

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic syndrome increased the risk of MI in those with EBW. Further studies are recommended to investigate other risk factors of CVDs in EBW, in order to implement preventive programs to reduce the burden of CVD in obesity.

Relationship between metabolically healthy obesity and coronary artery calcification

There is a lack of consensus regarding universally accepted criteria for metabolic health (MH). A simple definition of MH was systematically derived in a recent prospective cohort study. The present cross-sectional study aimed to explore the applicability of these criteria in Korean population, using coronary calcification as an indicator of cardiovascular risk. In total, 1049 healthy participants, who underwent coronary artery calcification testing at university hospital health promotion centers between January and December 2022, were included. Applying the main components of the newly derived definition, MH was defined as follows: (1) systolic blood pressure < 130 mmHg and no use of blood pressure-lowering medication; (2) waist circumference < 90 cm for males and < 85 cm for females; and (3) absence of diabetes. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to examine the odds ratio (OR) and 95 % confidence interval (CI) for coronary artery calcium score across different phenotypes. The prevalence of coronary artery calcification in this study was 41.1 %. Compared with metabolically healthy, normal weight subjects, those with the metabolically healthy obesity phenotype did not exhibit increased odds for coronary atherosclerosis. (OR 0.93 [95 % CI 0.48-1.79]) Conversely, metabolically unhealthy subjects had increased risk, regardless of their body mass index category (OR 3.10 [95 % CI 1.84-5.24] in metabolically unhealthy normal weight; OR 3.21 [95 % CI 1.92-5.37] in metabolically unhealthy overweight; OR 2.73 [95 % CI 1.72-4.33] in metabolically unhealthy obese phenotype). These findings suggest that the new definition for MH has the potential to effectively distinguish individuals at risk for cardiovascular disease from those who are not.

Association between exposure to arsenic and the risk of cardiovascular disease: Potential role of vascular endothelial injury

In this study, we investigated the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals exposed to arsenic (As) and to identify potential biomarkers. The results revealed that the FRS was positively correlated with the MMA content and MMA% but negatively correlated with the DMA% and SMI, while the AIP index was positively correlated with the DMA, MMA, MMA%, iAs, tAs and As3+ content. In addition, ADMA was positively correlated with MMA and MMA% and negatively correlated with the SMI and DMA%. Regression models showed that ADMA and ICAM1 were positively correlated with CVD risk. Mediation analysis indicated that ADMA and ICAM1 mediated the association between As exposure and CVD risk. In conclusion, the risk of CVD is higher in residents previously exposed As. Endothelial injury appears to mediate the increased risk of As-induced CVD, and both ADMA and ICAM1 may serve as potential biomarkers for the early identification of this process.

Towards an adiposity-related disease framework for the diagnosis and management of obesities

Obesity is a complex disease that relapses frequently and associates with multiple complications that comprise a worldwide health priority because of its rising prevalence and association with numerous complications, including metabolic disorders, mechanic pathologies, and cancer, among others. Noteworthy, excess adiposity is accompanied by chronic inflammation, oxidative stress, insulin resistance, and subsequent organ dysfunction. This dysfunctional adipose tissue is initially stored in the visceral depot, overflowing subsequently to produce lipotoxicity in ectopic depots like liver, heart, muscle, and pancreas, among others. People living with obesity need a diagnostic approach that considers an exhaustive pathophysiology and complications assessment. Thus, it is essential to warrant a holistic diagnosis and management that guarantees an adequate health status, and quality of life. The present review summarizes the different complications associated with obesity, at the same time, we aim to fostering a novel framework that enhances a patient-centered approach to obesity management in the precision medicine era.

Obesity and the risk of cardiometabolic diseases

The prevalence of obesity has reached pandemic proportions, and now approximately 25% of adults in Westernized countries have obesity. Recognized as a major health concern, obesity is associated with multiple comorbidities, particularly cardiometabolic disorders. In this Review, we present obesity as an evolutionarily novel condition, summarize the epidemiological evidence on its detrimental cardiometabolic consequences and discuss the major mechanisms involved in the association between obesity and the risk of cardiometabolic diseases. We also examine the role of potential moderators of this association, with evidence for and against the so-called 'metabolically healthy obesity phenotype', the 'fatness but fitness' paradox or the 'obesity paradox'. Although maintenance of optimal cardiometabolic status should be a primary goal in individuals with obesity, losing body weight and, particularly, excess visceral adiposity seems to be necessary to minimize the risk of cardiometabolic diseases.

Metabolic health and adiposity transitions and risks of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Metabolic health status and levels of adiposity are prone to change over time. Mixed results have been reported regarding the extent by which changes in metabolic health and weight affect cardiometabolic risks. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to examine the association between transitions in metabolic health and adiposity status on risk of incident type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted on MEDLINE and EMBASE through August 2022 for prospective cohort studies examining transitions in metabolic health and adiposity status and risk of incident T2DM and CVDs without restrictions on language or publication status. Meta-analysis was performed to summarize hazard ratios for T2DM and composite CVD events separately using random-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 17 studies were included. Compared to stable metabolically healthy status, transition to metabolically unhealthy status significantly increased the risk of incident T2DM and composite CVD events among individuals with normal weight and individuals with overweight/obesity. Compared to stable metabolically unhealthy status, transition to metabolically healthy status significantly lowered the risk among individuals with normal weight and individuals with overweight/obesity. When metabolic health status remained unchanged, progression from normal weight to overweight/obesity significantly increased risk of CVDs but not risk of T2DM.

CONCLUSION

The impact of change in metabolic health on the risks of T2DM and CVD is more prominent than that of change to body mass index category. Obesity treatment should consider prioritizing improvement in metabolic health parameters over focusing on the extent of weight loss only.

Association between Metabolic Phenotypes of Body Fatness and Incident Stroke: A Prospective Cohort Study of Chinese Community Residents

This study aimed to assess the association of body mass index (BMI)-based and waist circumference (WC)-based metabolic phenotypes with the risk of stroke among Chinese community residents. A total of 34,294 participants (mean ± standard deviation age: 56.05 ± 11.26 years) with no previous stroke diagnosis history were included in this cohort study. BMI-based metabolic phenotypes were classified into eight groups: metabolically healthy and normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy and underweight (MHUW), metabolically healthy and overweight (MHOW), metabolically healthy and obese (MHO), metabolically unhealthy and normal weight (MUNW), metabolically unhealthy and underweight (MUUW), metabolically unhealthy and overweight (MUOW), and metabolically unhealthy and obese (MUO). WC-based metabolic phenotypes were classified into four groups: metabolically healthy and normal WC (MHNWC), metabolically healthy and oversized WC (MHOWC), metabolically unhealthy and normal WC (MUNWC), and metabolically unhealthy and oversized WC (MUOWC). The association of these phenotypes with developing stroke events was examined using proportional hazards models. A total of 546 cases of first-stroke onset were recorded over a median follow-up time of 4.97 years. Compared with the reference group, the obesity phenotypes showed higher risks for stroke. The adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of MHUW, MHOW, MHO, MUNW, MUUW, MUOW, and MUO phenotypes were 1.01 (0.41, 2.49), 1.47 (1.09, 2.00), 1.33 (0.80, 2.22), 2.49 (1.87, 3.30), 3.92 (1.44, 10.72), 2.14 (1.64, 2.79), and 2.60 (1.91, 3.55), respectively. The adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of MHOWC, MUNWC, and MUOWC were 1.41 (1.02, 1.94), 2.25 (1.76, 2.87), and 2.16 (1.63, 2.87), respectively. The metabolic phenotypes defined by an alternative definition all showed significant positive associations (except for MHUW), with the adjusted HR ranging from 1.51 to 3.08 based on BMI and from 1.68 to 2.24 based on WC. The risk of stroke increased with the increase in metabolic abnormality numbers in different BMI and WC groups (all p trend < 0.001). The present study suggests that maintaining normal body weight or WC and improving metabolic health are of great significance in preventing cerebrovascular diseases.

Effect of nuts on components of metabolic syndrome in healthy adults with overweight/obesity: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Randomized controlled trials evaluating the effects of nut consumption on the metabolic profile of healthy adults with overweight/obesity have yielded conflicting results. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to summarize the effects of incorporating nuts into the diet on serum lipid profile, glycemic markers, and blood pressure in healthy adults with overweight/obesity.

DATA SYNTHESIS

PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched up to April 2021. The random-effects model was used to determine the pooled effect sizes expressed as weighted mean difference (WMD) with % 95 confidence intervals (CIs). Ten eligible RCTs (with 12 arms) were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analysis revealed that nut intake significantly decreased serum triglycerides (TG) (WMD: -13.19 mg/dL, 95% CI: - 25.90, - 0.48). Furthermore, subgroup analysis showed a significant reduction in serum LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C) following adherence to normocaloric, nut-enriched diets (WMD: - 4.56 mg/dL, 95% CI: - 8.24, - 0.88). However, nuts did not affect serum total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, glycemic markers, and blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, incorporating nuts into the diet of healthy adults with overweight/obesity have favorable effects on serum TG and LDL-C. Thus, nuts might exert protective effects against dyslipidemia in this population.

REGISTRY NUMBER

PROPSPERO CRD42021250662.

Association of cumulative excess weight and waist circumference exposure with transition from metabolically healthy obesity to metabolically unhealthy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The association between obesity severity and duration with the transition from metabolically healthy obese/overweight (MHO) phenotype to metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO) phenotype is not well understood.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study includes the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study participants who were initially classed as MHO. Cumulative excess weight (CEW) and cumulative excess waist circumference (CEWC) scores, which represent the accumulation of body mass index and waist circumference deviations from expected values over time (kg/m² ∗ y and cm ∗ y, respectively), were calculated until the transition from MHO to MUO or the end of follow-up. The sex-stratified association of CEW and CWEC with the transition from MHO to MUO was investigated by time-dependent Cox models, adjusting for confounders. Out of 2525 participants, 1732 (68.5%) were women. During 15 years of follow-up, 1886 (74.6%) participants transitioned from MHO to MUO. A significant association was found between CEW and CEWC quartiles with the development of MUO among women participants (fully adjusted hazard ratios in the fourth quartile of CEW and CEWC [95% (CI)]:1.65 [1.37-1.98] and [95% CI]: 1.83 [1.53-2.19]). There was no significant association between CEW and CEWC with the MHO transition to MUO among men participants.

CONCLUSION

Over 15 years of follow-up in TLGS, general and central obesity accumulation was associated with the increased transition from MHO to MUO among women participants. More research with a larger sample size is needed to confirm and explain why the results are different for men and women.

Association of dietary phytochemical index with metabolically unhealthy overweight/obesity phenotype among Iranian women: A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Phytochemicals have been recently studied as adjuvants for the treatment of obesity. No study has investigated the association of phytochemical-rich foods with metabolically unhealthy overweight/obesity phenotype (MUOW/O). This study aimed to determine the association of dietary phytochemical index (DPI) with MUOW/O based on Karelis criteria among Iranian female adults.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, a total of 228 overweight and obese women aged 18-48 years were included. Anthropometric measurements were evaluated for all participants. A validated 147-item Food Frequency Questionnaire (FFQ) was used for dietary assessment. DPI was calculated as [dietary energy derived from phytochemical-rich foods (kcal)/total daily energy intake (kcal)] × 100. Participants' body composition and biochemical parameters of Karelis criteria [triglyceride (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), insulin, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP)] were determined.

RESULTS

The mean age of the study participants was 36.69 ± 9.20, and the mean DPI score was 26.23 ± 9.48 among participants with MUOW/O phenotype. After controlling for potential confounders, women in the highest tertile of DPI had lower odds for MUOW/O phenotype [odds ratio (OR): 0.23, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.07-0.68, P = 0.008] compared to the lowest tertile. Among the components of Karelis criteria, homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) was significantly associated with MUOW/O phenotype in the fully adjusted model (OR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.10-0.79, P = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

We found a significant association between DPI and MUOW/O phenotype in Iranian women. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Cardiometabolic characterization in metabolic dysfunction–associated fatty liver disease

Background

To better understand the patient's heterogeneity in fatty liver disease (FLD), metabolic dysfunction–associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) was proposed by international experts as a new nomenclature for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to evaluate the cardiovascular risk, assessed through coronary artery calcium (CAC) and epicardial adipose tissue (EAT), of patients without FLD and patients with FLD and its different subtypes.

Methods

Cross sectional study of 370 patients. Patients with FLD were divided into 4 groups: FLD without metabolic dysfunction (non-MD FLD), MAFLD and the presence of overweight/obesity (MAFLD-OW), MAFLD and the presence of two metabolic abnormalities (MAFLD-MD) and MAFLD and the presence of T2D (MAFLD-T2D). MAFLD-OW included two subgroups: metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) and metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUHO). The patients without FLD were divided into 2 groups: patients without FLD and without MD (non-FLD nor MD; reference group) and patients without FLD but with MD (non-FLD with MD). EAT and CAC (measured through the Agatston Score) were determined by computed tomography.

Results

Compared with the reference group (non-FLD nor MD), regarding EAT, patients with MAFLD-T2D and MAFLD-MUHO had the highest risk for CVD (OR 15.87, 95% CI 4.26-59.12 and OR 17.60, 95% CI 6.71-46.20, respectively), patients with MAFLD-MHO were also at risk for CVD (OR 3.62, 95% CI 1.83-7.16), and patients with non-MD FLD did not have a significantly increased risk (OR 1.77; 95% CI 0.67-4.73). Regarding CAC, patients with MAFLD-T2D had an increased risk for CVD (OR 6.56, 95% CI 2.18-19.76). Patients with MAFLD-MUHO, MAFLD-MHO and non-MD FLD did not have a significantly increased risk compared with the reference group (OR 2.54, 95% CI 0.90-7.13; OR 1.84, 95% CI 0.67-5.00 and OR 2.11, 95% CI 0.46-9.74, respectively).

Conclusion

MAFLD–T2D and MAFLD–OW phenotypes had a significant risk for CVD. MAFLD new criteria reinforced the importance of identifying metabolic phenotypes in populations as it may help to identify patients with higher CVD risk and offer a personalized therapeutic management in a primary prevention setting.

Metabolically unhealthy phenotype in normal weight population and risk of mortality and major adverse cardiac events: A meta-analysis of 41 prospective cohort studies

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is still debatable whether metabolic status in normal weight population increases the risk of mortality (all-cause mortality (ACM), cardiovascular mortality (CVM)) and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) as compared to the obese population. Therefore, this meta-analysis aims to evaluate the association of the metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUH-NW) phenotype with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and MACE in comparison to metabolically healthy obesity (MH-O), along with the association of metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUH-O) phenotype regarding the same outcomes compared to MUH-NW.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted using online databases from inception to June 20, 2022, to comprehensively search all prospective cohort studies comprising three variables including adults aged ≥18 years, obesity and four metabolic phenotypes, and interest outcomes (ACM, CVM, and MACE).

RESULTS

Forty-one prospective cohort studies with a total of 4,028,750 participants was included in this study. Compared to MH-O, MUH-NW had a substantially higher risk of ACM (RR = 1.47 (95%CI = 1.32-1.64); P < 0.001; I² = 89.8%,P-heterogeneity<0.001), CVM (RR = 2.37 (95%CI = 1.97-2.86); P < 0.001; I² = 83.7%,P-heterogeneity<0.001), and MACE (RR = 1.73 (95%CI = 1.49-2.00); P < 0.001; I² = 74.3%,P-heterogeneity<0.001). Moreover, MUH-O did not have a significantly elevated risk of ACM (RR = 0.97 (95%CI = 0.82-1.15); P = 0.736; I² = 98.3%,P-heterogeneity<0.001), CVM (RR = 0.96 (95%CI = 0.88-1.05); P = 0.394; I² = 77.0%,P-heterogeneity<0.001), and MACE (RR = 0.95 (95%CI = 0.80-1.13); P = 0.570; I² = 92.2%,P-heterogeneity<0.001) compared to MUH-NW.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, MUH-NW was superior but not inferior to MH-O and MUH-O in terms of increased risk of interest outcomes, refuting the notion that normal weight population is a benign condition. Hence, in normal weight population, metabolic screening is highly suggested to measure the baseline of obesity and metabolic phenotypes, thus preventing the risk of CVD and mortality in the future.

Transition from metabolically healthy to unhealthy overweight/obesity and risk of cardiovascular disease incidence: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Discrepant results have been demonstrated regarding the cardiovascular (CV) risk of populations with metabolically healthy overweight/obesity (MHO) who were transitioned into metabolically unhealthy states. So, the objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to estimate the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) incidence in individuals with transitional MHO phenotype.

DATA SYNTHESIS

A literature review was done in PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, and google scholar databases. Pooled HRs for all fatal and nonfatal CV events were computed using random-effect models for transitional MHOs in general as well as for each sex subgroup separately. This systematic review and meta-analysis included a total of 7 prospective observational studies with a total of 7,720,165 participants, published between 2018 and 2020. The mean follow-up duration of participants was 11.7 (5.5) years. Overall, the transitional MHO individuals had a significant risk of CVD incidence [HR = 1.42, 95% CI (1.24-1.60)]. In addition, in both male and female subgroups, unstable MHO phenotype demonstrated a significant CVD risk and HRs for incident CVD in males and females were 1.51 (1.07-1.96) and 1.71 (1.08-2.34), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Transition from MHO to unhealthy state throughout follow-up elevated the risk of CVD in both male and female groups. This can explain the association between MHO and incidence of CV events especially with longer follow up period.

REGISTRATION CODE IN PROSPERO

CRD42021270225.

Abdominal obesity phenotypes are associated with the risk of developing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: insights from the general population

Background

The diversity of obesity-related metabolic characteristics generates different obesity phenotypes and corresponding metabolic diseases. This study aims to explore the correlation of different abdominal obesity phenotypes with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Methods

The current study included 14,251 subjects, 7411 males and 6840 females. Abdominal obesity was defined as waist circumference ≥ 85 cm in males and ≥ 80 cm in females; according to the diagnostic criteria for metabolic syndrome recommended by the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III, having more than one metabolic abnormality (except waist circumference criteria) was defined as metabolically unhealthy. All subjects were divided into 4 abdominal obesity phenotypes based on the presence ( +) or absence (− ) of metabolically healthy/unhealthy (MH) and abdominal obesity (AO) at baseline: metabolically healthy + non-abdominal obesity (MH⁻AO⁻); metabolically healthy + abdominal obesity (MH⁻AO⁺); metabolically unhealthy + non-abdominal obesity (MH⁺AO⁻); metabolically unhealthy + abdominal obesity (MH⁺AO⁺). The relationship between each phenotype and NAFLD was analyzed using multivariate logistic regression.

Results

A total of 2507 (17.59%) subjects in this study were diagnosed with NAFLD. The prevalence rates of NAFLD in female subjects with MH⁻AO⁻, MH⁻AO⁺, MH⁺AO⁻, and MH⁺AO⁺ phenotypes were 1.73%, 24.42%, 7.60%, and 59.35%, respectively. Among male subjects with MH⁻AO⁻, MH⁻AO⁺, MH⁺AO⁻, and MH⁺AO⁺ phenotypes, the prevalence rates were 9.93%, 50.54%, 25.49%, and 73.22%, respectively. After fully adjusting for confounding factors, with the MH⁻AO⁻ phenotype as the reference phenotype, male MH⁻AO⁺ and MH⁺AO⁺ phenotypes increased the risk of NAFLD by 42% and 47%, respectively (MH⁻AO⁺: OR 1.42, 95%CI 1.13,1.78; MH⁺AO⁺: OR 1.47, 95%CI 1.08,2.01); the corresponding risks of MH⁻AO⁺ and MH⁺AO⁺ in females increased by 113% and 134%, respectively (MH⁻AO⁺: OR 2.13, 95%CI 1.47,3.09; MH⁺AO⁺: OR 2.34, 95%CI 1.32,4.17); by contrast, there was no significant increase in the risk of NAFLD in the MH⁺AO⁻ phenotype in both sexes.

Conclusions

This first report on the relationship of abdominal obesity phenotypes with NAFLD showed that both MH⁻AO⁺ and MH⁺AO⁺ phenotypes were associated with a higher risk of NAFLD, especially in the female population. These data provided a new reference for the screening and prevention of NAFLD.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02393-9.

Prolonged or Transition to Metabolically Unhealthy Status, Regardless of Obesity Status, Is Associated with Higher Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Incidence and Mortality in Koreans

The risk of chronic disease and mortality may differ by metabolic health and obesity status and its transition. We investigated the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer incidence and mortality according to metabolic health and obesity status and their transition using the nationally representative Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) and the Ansan-Ansung (ASAS) cohort of the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. Participants that agreed to mortality linkage (n = 28,468 in KNHANES and n = 7530 adults in ASAS) were analyzed (mean follow-up: 8.2 and 17.4 years, respectively). Adults with no metabolic risk factors and BMI <25 or ≥25 kg/m2 were categorized as metabolically healthy non-obese (MHN) or metabolically healthy obese (MHO), respectively. Metabolically unhealthy non-obese (MUN) and metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO) adults had ≥1 metabolic risk factor and a BMI < or ≥25 kg/m2, respectively. In KNHANES participants, MUN, and MUO had higher risks for cardiovascular mortality, but not cancer mortality, compared with MHN adults. MHO had 47% and 35% lower risks of cancer mortality and all-cause mortality, respectively, compared to MHN. Similar results were observed in the ASAS participants. Compared to those persistently MHN, the risk of CVD was greater when continuously MUN or MUO. Transitioning from a metabolically healthy state to MUO also increased the risk of CVD. Few associations were found for cancer incidence. Using a nationally representative cohort and an 18-year follow-up cohort, we observed that the risk of CVD incidence and mortality and all-cause mortality, but not cancer incidence or mortality, increases with a continuous or a transition to an unhealthy metabolic status in Koreans.

Do Temporal Eating Patterns Differ in Healthy versus Unhealthy Overweight/Obese Individuals?

This study examined whether the temporal patterns of energy and macronutrient intake in early and late eating windows were associated with metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) and metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) among non-shift workers. A total of 299 overweight/obese non-shift workers (Age: 40.3 ± 6.9 years; 73.6% women; BMI: 31.7 ± 5.0 kg/m²) were recruited in the Klang Valley area of Malaysia. The biochemical parameters were determined from fasting blood samples, whereas information on dietary intake and timing was obtained from a 7-day diet history questionnaire. The midpoint of eating was used to determine the early and late windows. Compared to MHO non-shift workers (n = 173), MUO non-shift workers (n = 126) had lower energy intake from carbohydrates and protein during the early window. In contrast, MUO participants had greater energy intake from carbohydrates and fat during the late window. Participants with unhealthy metabolic status (regardless of their chronotypes) had similar temporal patterns of energy intake characterized by smaller energy intake during the early window and greater energy intake during the late window compared with participants with healthier metabolic status. Overall, the lowest percentile of energy intake during the early window was associated with an increased risk of MUO, after adjustment for potential confounders [odds ratio (OR) = 4.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41-13.11]. The greater the energy intake during the late window, the greater the risk of MUO (OR = 2.38, 95% CI 1.11-5.13) (OR = 2.33, 95% CI 1.03-5.32) (OR = 4.45, 95% CI 1.71-11.56). In summary, consuming less energy earlier in the day and more energy and carbohydrate later in the day was associated with a greater risk of MUO. Thus, a prospective study is needed to explore the potential role of chrono-nutrition practices in modifying risk factors to delay the transition of MHO to MUO.

Obesity measures, metabolic health and their association with 15-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the SAMINOR 1 Survey: a population-based cohort study

Background

The mortality of metabolic-obesity phenotypes has been thoroughly studied, but it is not known if or how the association between mortality and body mass index (BMI), waist circumference or a body shape index (ABSI) differ in strata of cardiometabolic health status.

Methods

We linked data on 12,815 men and women aged 36–79 years from the SAMINOR 1 Survey with mortality data from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. We defined metabolically healthy and unhealthy as having zero and ≥ 1, respectively, of the following: MetS, pre-existing diabetes or cardiovascular disease (CVD), or prescribed drugs for high blood pressure, hyperglycaemia or dyslipidaemia. We defined general and abdominal obesity as BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² and waist circumference ≥ 88 cm (women) or 102 cm (men), respectively, and cross-classified these categories with metabolic status to create metabolically healthy non-obese and obese (MHNO and MHO) and metabolically unhealthy non-obese and obese (MUNO and MUO) phenotypes. We used Cox regression to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause and CVD mortality for 1) the four phenotypes and 2) BMI, waist circumference and ABSI fitted with restricted cubic splines. We adjusted for age and lifestyle, and tested for interactions with sex and metabolic status (only continuous measures).

Results

The MHO phenotype was present in 7.8% of women and 5.8% of men. During a median follow-up of 15.3/15.2 years, 596/938 women/men had died, respectively. The MUNO and MUO groups had higher mortality than the MHNO group. Sex and phenotypes interacted with respect to CVD mortality: relative to the MHNO group, the MHO group had an adjusted HR (95% confidence interval) for CVD mortality of 1.05 (0.38–2.88) in women and 2.92 (1.71–5.01) in men. We found curvilinear associations between BMI/waist circumference and all-cause mortality irrespective of metabolic status. Corresponding relationships with CVD mortality were linear and the slope differed by sex and metabolic status. ABSI was linearly and positively associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in men.

Conclusion

The relationships between BMI, waist circumference or ABSI and mortality differed by sex, metabolic status and cause of death. Poor metabolic health substantially increases mortality regardless of obesity status.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-021-02288-9.