Burden of Hypertensive Heart Disease in Iran during 1990-2017: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017

A decision rule algorithm for the detection of patients with hypertension using claims data

Objectives

Claims data covers a large population and can be utilized for various epidemiological and economic purposes. However, the diagnosis of prescriptions is not determined in the claims data of many countries. This study aimed to develop a decision rule algorithm using prescriptions to detect patients with hypertension in claims data.

Methods

In this retrospective study, all Iran Health Insurance Organization (IHIO)-insured patients from 24 provinces between 2012 and 2016 were analyzed. A list of available antihypertensive drugs was generated and a literature review and an exploratory analysis were performed for identifying additional usages. An algorithm with 13 decision rules, using variables including prescribed medications, age, sex, and physician specialty, was developed and validated.

Results

Among all the patients in the IHIO database, a total of 4,590,486 received at least one antihypertensive medication, with a total of 79,975,134 prescriptions issued. The algorithm detected that 76.89% of patients had hypertension. Among 20.43% of all prescriptions the algorithm detected as issued for hypertension, mainly were prescribed by general practitioners (55.78%) and hypertension specialists (30.42%). The validity assessment of the algorithm showed a sensitivity of 100.00%, specificity of 48.91%, positive predictive value of 69.68%, negative predictive value of 100.00%, and accuracy of 76.50%.

Conclusion

The algorithm demonstrated good performance in detecting patients with hypertension using claims data. Considering the large-scale and passively aggregated nature of claims data compared to other surveillance surveys, applying the developed algorithm could assist policymakers, insurers, and researchers in formulating strategies to enhance the quality of personalized care.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-024-01519-y.

Global prevalence and disability-adjusted life years of hypertensive heart disease: A trend analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

As hypertensive heart disease (HHD) presents a significant public health challenge globally, we analysed its global, regional, and national burdens and trends from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

We used data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, focussing on the age-standardised prevalence rates (ASPRs) of HHD prevalence, age-standardised disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates, average annual percentage change (AAPC), and risk factor attributions. We compared the HHD burden across sociodemographic index (SDI) strata, gender, age groups, and 204 countries and territories.

Results

In 2019, the global prevalence of HHD was estimated at 18 598 thousand cases, with DALYs reaching 21 508 thousand. From 1990 to 2019, the ASPRs increased (AAPC = 0.21; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.17, 0.24), while the age-standardised DALY rates decreased (AAPC = -0.45; 95% CI = -1.23, -0.93). We observed the highest increase in ASPRs in high-middle SDI quantile countries, and an overall negative correlation between age-standardised DALY rates and SDI. Individuals above 70 years of age were the most affected, particularly elderly women. There has been a significant increase in HHD burden attributed to high body mass index (BMI) since 1990. The burden of HHD is concentrated in the middle SDI quintile, with population ageing and growth being major drivers for the increase in DALYs. We identified opportunities for reducing age-standardised DALY rates in the middle SDI quintile or lower.

Conclusion

Despite a declining trend in the age-standardised DALY rates, the ASPRs of HHD continue to rise, especially in high-middle SDI regions. Meanwhile, countries in middle and lower SDI quintiles face a higher burden of age-standardised DALY rates. Targeted attention towards elderly women and controlling high BMI, alongside enhancing hypertension and HHD management awareness, is crucial for reducing the global burden of HHD.

Trends by age and sex and projections of disease prevalence from studying hypertensive heart disease in China over the past three decades

BACKGROUND

Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a common cause of cardiovascular disease and mortality worldwide, and its burden is increasing with aging populations.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and mortality rates of HHD in mainland China and Taiwan Province using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019), and forecast the development trend of HHD from 2020 to 2024.

METHODS

We obtained data on number of cases, deaths, crude prevalence rate, crude death rate, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) for mainland China and Taiwan Province from 1990 to 2019 from the GBD 2019. Joinpoint software was used to estimate average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals, and the number of HHD cases in China from 2022 to 2024 was predicted by the exponential smoothing method.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2019, HHD cases and deaths increased in mainland China, but the ASPR and ASDR decreased by 5.96% and 48.72%, respectively. In Taiwan Province, ASPR and ASDR decreased by 7.66% and 52.14%, respectively. The number of HHD cases and death rates varied by region, age, and sex, with a higher number of cases in mainland China than in Taiwan Province. By 2024, the number of HHD cases in mainland China was projected to be over 9.6 million cases, and in Taiwan Province, it was projected to surpass 120,000 cases.

CONCLUSION

The differences in HHD cases between mainland China and Taiwan Province in terms of age and sex indicated the need for effective prevention and control measures, especially targeting the elderly population. These findings can inform policymakers and health professionals in the development of targeted prevention and treatment strategies and resource allocation for HHD in China.

Global, regional, and national burdens of hypertensive heart disease from 1990 to 2019 ：A multilevel analysis based on the global burden of Disease Study 2019

Aim

This study aimed to describe the prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of hypertensive heart disease (HHD) at the global, regional, and national levels and analyze epidemiological trends.

Method

We extracted global estimates of prevalence, deaths, and DALYs related to HHD in 204 countries and regions from the 2019 Global Burden of Diseases Study. Average annual percent change (AAPC) was calculated to represent temporal trends. Joinpoint regression models were used to analyze time trends from 1990 to 2019. Finally, the decomposition analysis showed the driving factors of burden changes.

Results

From 1990 to 2019, the global prevalence of HHD cases increased by 138 %, reaching 18,598,025 cases (95 % uncertainty interval [UI]: 13,544,365-24,898,411). DALYs also rose by 154 %, reaching 21,508,002 (95 % UI, 16,400,051-23,899,879). The death rate increased to 14.95 (95 % UI, 11.11-16.52) per 100,000 people. Of the five sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, the prevalence rate related to HHD was the highest in the high-middle SDI region. In contrast, the death and DALY rate related to HHD were the highest in the middle SDI region. In other regions, the prevalence rate was the highest in East Asia (548.87 per 100,000 people; 95 % UI, 395.40-747.83), and the death rate was the highest in Central Europe (42.64 per 100,000 people; 95 % UI, 30.58-49.38). At the national level, the Cook Islands had the highest prevalence rate for HHD (703.08 per 100,000 people; 95 % UI, 532.87-920.72), Bulgaria had the highest death rate (75.08 per 100,000 people; 95 % UI, 46.38-92.81), and Afghanistan had the highest DALY rate (1374.12 per 100,000 people; 95 % UI, 467.17-2020.70). High body mass index, a diet high in sodium, alcohol use, lead exposure, high temperature, and low temperature were identified as risk factors for death and DALYs related to HHD in 2019. Aging and population growth were the major drivers of prevalence, death, and DALYs. Finally, over the past 30 years, the global age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of HHD has significantly risen (AAPC = 0.21 %, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.17-0.24; P < 0.001), while the age-standardized deaths rate (ASDR) has shown significant declining trends (AAPC = -0.86 %, 95 % CI: 1.00 to -0.71; P < 0.001), and age-standardized DALY rates (AAPC = -1.08 %, 95 % CI: 1.23 to -0.93; P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Despite a significant decline in the global ASDR and age-standardized DALY rate of HHD over the past 30 years, the ASPR continues to rise. The burden of HHD is more heavily skewed towards non-high-income economies. Active prevention, control of risk factors, and improvement of medical protection levels to address the disease burden caused by population growth and aging are needed.

Is a spot urine sample a good substitution to estimate 24-h urinary sodium excretion in a population ≥ 50 years old? A validation study

PURPOSE

A variety of prediction equations have been able to estimate 24-h urinary sodium excretion from spot urine samples; however, Iranians over the age of 50 have not been compared and verified. Using spot urine samples as a substitute for 24-h urine samples to estimate 24-h urine sodium excretion among the population age 50 and older are the purpose of this study.

METHODS

A 24-h urinary sodium excretion was studied by well-known Kawasaki, INTERSALT, Tanaka, and World Health Organization/Pan American Health Organization (WHO/PAHO) formulas. On 360 individuals, the mean bias, agreements between estimated and measured values, correlation, absolute and relative differences, and misclassification rates were evaluated for four equations.

RESULTS

As a result, the mean urinary sodium excretion for a 24-h period was 136.3 ± 52.21 mmol/24-h, which corresponds to a calculated intake of 9.1 ± 3.8 g of salt per day. According to the WHO/PAHO formula, the mean bias between measured values and estimated 24-h urinary sodium excretion is - 21.6 mg/day (95% confidence interval (CI) - 144.8, 101.6 mg/day), which is the smallest difference compared with the other three formulas. The lowest rate of individual misclassification of salt intake was 40% for WHO/PAHO, especially for those who consumed less than 9 g/day, while Kawasaki had the lowest misclassification rate at higher levels of salt intake.

CONCLUSION

As a result of our research, the WHO/PAHO equations accurately predict 24-h urinary sodium excretion among Iranians aged ≥ 50 more than other equations, both at the population level and at the individual level. However, further study is needed in regard to different ages in Iran.

The sequestosome 1 protein: therapeutic vulnerabilities in ovarian cancer

Ovarian cancer (OC) is the most deadly tumor that may develop in a woman's reproductive system. It is also one of the most common causes of death among those who have been diagnosed with cancer in women. An adapter protein known as sequestosome 1(SQSTM1) or p62 is primarily responsible for the transportation, degradation, and destruction of a wide variety of proteins. This adapter protein works in conjunction with the autophagy process as well as the ubiquitin proteasome degradation pathway. In addition, the ability of SQSTM1 to interact with multiple binding partners link SQSTM1 to various pathways in the context of antioxidant defense system and inflammation. In this review, we outline the processes underlying the control that SQSTM1 has on these pathways and how their dysregulation contributes to the development of OC. At the final, the therapeutic approaches based on SQSTM1 targeting have been discussed.

Evaluation and validation of the prognostic value of platelet indices in patients with leukemia

Platelets (PLTs) are believed to play a role in the process by which tumors can accelerate their growth rate, as well as offer the physical and mechanical support necessary to evade the immunological system and metastasis. There is, however, no literature available if PLTs have a role in leukemia. It is significant for PLTs to play a part in hematological malignancies from a therapeutic standpoint and to have the capacity to serve as a prognostic marker in the evolution of leukemia. This is because PLTs play a crucial role in the development of cancer and tumors. In this study, it will be shown that PLT count can be used to predict long-term prognosis after chemotherapy especially in the case of acute myeloid leukemia patients. Furthermore, low PLT-to-lymphocyte ratio and mean PLT volume, as well as high PLT distribution width, are associated with poor prognosis and may represent a novel independent prognostic factor.

The crosstalk between autophagy and myeloid-derived suppressor cell responses in cancer

The development of cancers is aided by the accumulation of myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) within tumors, which are highly effective at suppressing anti-tumor immune responses. Direct cell-to-cell interaction and the production of immunosuppressive mediators have both been proposed as pathways for MDSC-mediated suppression of anti-tumor immune responses. The majority of current cancer treatments focus on altering the development and activity of MDSCs so that they have more of an immunogenic character. Autophagy is a catabolic system that contributes to the breakdown of damaged intracellular material and the recycling of metabolites. However, depending on the stage of tumor growth, autophagy can play both a prophylactic and a therapeutic function in carcinogenesis. However, several indirect lines of research have indicated that autophagy is a significant regulator of MDSC activity. The purpose of this work was to outline the interactions between MDSC and autophagy in cancer.

Periodontitis and progression of gastrointestinal cancer: current knowledge and future perspective

Periodontitis is a polymicrobial disorder caused by dysbiosis. Porphyromonas gingivalis (P.gingivalis) and Fusobacterium nucleatum (F.nucleatum) are pathobiont related to periodontitis pathogenesis and were found to be abundant in the intestinal mucosa of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. Besides, periodontal infections have been found in a variety of tissues and organs, indicating that periodontitis is not just an inflammation limited to the oral cavity. Considering the possible translocation of pathobiont from the oral cavity to the gastrointestinal (GI) tract, this study aimed to review the published articles in this field to provide a comprehensive view of the existing knowledge about the relationship between periodontitis and GI malignancies by focusing on the oral/gut axis.

Association between polymorphisms of cytokine genes and endometriosis: A comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

There is abundant evidence to suggest that cytokines play a part in the mechanisms responsible for the formation of endometrium heterotopy. Cytokine synthesis is not only determined by the body's immunological reactivity but also by polymorphisms in the immune regulatory genes. The study of these polymorphisms in the immune regulatory genes offers up new possibilities in terms of prognosticating the risk of endometriosis and susceptibility to its treatment. The purpose of this comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate whether or not cytokine gene polymorphisms were linked to an increased chance of endometriosis.

METHODS

By searching MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science databases, the relevant studies were identified. The odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to assess the association between TNF-α/IL-10/IL-6/TGF-β/IFN-γ/IL-1β gene polymorphisms and endometriosis risk.

RESULTS

A total of 5128 cases and 5334 controls in 32 eligible studies were included in the meta-analysis. Overall, results indicated the negative association between the cytokine gene polymorphisms and endometriosis in the dominant model of TNF-α (rs1799964): [OR] = 0.64, [CI]: 0.46-0.89) and a positive association in IFN-γ a13 allele: OR= 1.45, [CI]: 1.07-1.98; and IL-10 (rs1800872): [OR]= 1.60, [CI]: 1.21-2.12).

CONCLUSION

The present study suggests that IL-10 (rs1800872) and IFN-γ a13 allele may be a risk factors for endometriosis. Also, TNF-α (rs1799964) is associated with decreased susceptibility to endometriosis.

Trends in the burden and determinants of hypertensive heart disease in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990-2019: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Hypertensive heart disease (HHD), one of the end-organ damage consequences of hypertension, is an important public health issue worldwide. Data on the HHD burden in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR) are scarce. We aimed to investigate the burden of HHD in the EMR, its member countries, and globally from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

We used 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data to report the HHD age-standardised prevalence, disability adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and mortality, as well as HHD risk factors attribution percent with their 95% uncertainty interval (UI). Global data are reported alongside EMR data, and its 22 respective countries. We compared the burden of HHD by socio-demographic index (SDI), sex, age groups, and countries.

Findings

The age-standardised prevalence rate (per 100,000 population) of HHD was higher in the EMR (281.7; 95% UI: 204.5-383.4) in 2019, compared with the global prevalence (233.8; 95% UI: 170.5-312.9). The EMR age-standardised DALYs (per 100,000 population) for HHD in 2019 was 561.9 (361.0-704.1), compared with 268.2 (204.6-298.1) at the global level. There was an increase in HHD prevalence, reduction in mortality, and DALYs between 1990 and 2019 (4.01%, -7.6%, and -6.5%, respectively) in EMR. Among EMR countries, the highest versus lowest rates of age-standardised prevalence, mortality, and DALYs in 2019 [estimate (95% UI)] were in Jordan [561.62 (417.9-747.6)] versus Saudi Arabia [94.9 (69.5-129.0)]; Afghanistan [74.5 (23.7-112.3)] versus Saudi Arabia [4.3 (3.3-5.9)]; and Afghanistan [1374.1 (467.2-2020.7)] versus Qatar [87.11 (64.40-114.29)], respectively.

Interpretation

HHD remains a significant problem in the EMR, with a higher burden than global levels. Serious efforts toward high-quality management and prevention are strongly recommended. Based on this study, our recommendation for the EMR is to adopt effective preventive strategies. For example, promoting healthy dietary patterns and prompt screening for undiagnosed HTN in public places, promoting regular blood pressure measurements at home, and creating community awareness about early detection of HTN.

Funding

None.

Mortality Rate and Years of Life Lost due to Hypertension in the South of Iran between 2004 and 2019: A Population-Based Study

INTRODUCTION

Hypertension is known worldwide as a preventable significant risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and their mortality. This study was designed to determine the mortality rate and years of life lost (YLL) due to hypertension in Fars Province.

METHOD

In this cross-sectional study, we extracted all death reports due to hypertension based on age, gender, and the year of death based on ICD-10 from the EDRS system (Electronic Death Registration System). The YLL analysis due to premature death related to hypertension was executed by the 2015 YLL template from WHO in EXCEL 2016 software. To examine the trend of crude and standardized mortality rates and YLL rates for different years, joinpoint regression was used based on the log-linear model.

RESULTS

In the 16 years that the study was done (2004-2019), 13443 death cases occurred in the Fars Province, 51.0% of which (6859 cases) were in females and 48.5% (6515 cases) of which were in the 80+ age group. Total YLL due to hypertension in these 16 years of study was 61,344 (1.9 per 1000) in males, 64,903 (2.1 per 1000) in females, and 126,247 (2.0 in 1000) in both genders. According to the joinpoint regression analysis, the 16-year trend of YLL rate due to premature mortality was increasing: the average annual percent change (AAPC) was 4.9% (95% CI -2.6 to 12.85, p value=0.205) for males and 8.4% (95% CI 5.2 to 11.7, p value <0.001) for females.

CONCLUSION

Considering the increasing trend in crude and standardized mortality rates and YLL due to hypertension, it is important for policymakers and decision makers of Health Policy Centers to promote and inform people about the importance of hypertension control and to familiarize them with proper, preventive interventions such as the importance of a healthy diet, routine physical activity, and routine learning programs for different groups in the society especially for people at a higher risk of hypertension.

Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive heart disease during 1990-2019: an analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019

Background

Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a major public health issue worldwide. We analyzed the global, regional, and national burden of HHD between the years 1990 and 2019 in relation to age, gender, and socioeconomic factors.

Methods

The prevalence and death rates, the disability adjusted life-years (DALY), and the corresponding age-standardized rates of HHD were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. The epidemiological trends were evaluated by calculating the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) of the above variates.

Results

A total of 19.60 million HHD cases were documented in 2019 compared to 7.82 million in 1990, corresponding to an EAPC of 0.17. Contrarily, the global age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized DALYs decreased with respective EAPCs of − 0.74 and − 1.02. HHD mostly occurred in people aged over 65. The disease burden of HHD varied considerably between countries, and univariate linear regression indicated that many socioeconomic variables had significantly negative correlations with age-standardized DALY rate.

Conclusion

HHD cases have increased over the last three decades; however the mortality rate has declined. Multi-faceted improvements in health, education and income could help to alleviate the disease burden of HHD, specially in some regions with lower socio-demographic index and higher ASDR.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13271-0.