Changing trends in disease burden of lung cancer in China from 1990-2019 and following 15-year prediction

BACKGROUND

As lung cancer becomes a primary source of death in China, investigation on incidence rate, death rate, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) is of great significance to optimize prevention measures and allocation of healthcare resources.

METHODS

We utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database to evaluate the incidence rate, death rate, and DALYs of lung cancer in China from 1990 to 2019. Analysis of lung cancer risk factor-related death rate and DALYs was performed. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) were calculated. The incidence trend of lung cancer from 2020 to 2034 was predicted by the Nordpred age-period-cohort (APC) model.

RESULTS

Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) increased from 30.2/100000 (95 % UI 26.2-34.3) in 1990 to 41.7/100000 (95 % UI 35.2-48.8) in 2019, and EAPC was 1.33 (95 % CI 1.16-1.49). From 1990 to 2019, men were noted for the highest incidence rate, death rate, and DALYs rate across three age groups (15-49 years, 50-69 years, and over 70). During this period, the ASIR of lung cancer in females was always lower than that in males. The predominant risk factors of lung cancer were smoking, air pollution, and diet, among which smoking was the most significant one. The analysis results showed that new cases and deaths may increase in the following 15 years since 2020 in the context of lung cancer.

CONCLUSION

Faced with the heavy burden of lung cancer, China must issue corresponding policies and roll out prevention avenues against smoking and air pollution.

The Global Burden of premature cardiovascular disease, 1990-2019

Aims

Premature cardiovascular disease (pCVD) definition varies in literature, with age cut-offs ranging from 50-65 years. While there is some literature available on pCVD in North America, comprehensive data on its global burden is still lacking which hinders the development of efficient strategies for early detection and prevention. In this study we aimed to investigate the global trends in pCVD related morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

The 1990-2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database was utilized to examine global trends in cardiovascular disease-related total mortality, mortality rates, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) within individuals aged 15-49 years. The findings were further analyzed based on factors such as age, sex, and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI).

Results

From 1990 to 2019, the number of global annual pCVD deaths increased by 25%, from 992,067 (95% UI 1,042,261 - 946,383) to 1,241,484 (95% UI 1,339,193 -1,146,252). The rate of associated mortality decreased by 13%. Metabolic conditions were the most significant risk factors for pCVD mortality. Ischemic heart disease and stroke are the leading causes of death across all age groups. pCVD mortality presented progressive widening between high and low SDI regions. Additionally, sex-specific disparities in CVD mortality were significantly greater in the premature age group as compared to all-age groups.

Conclusion

pCVD is an increasingly significant global cause of morbidity and mortality that disproportionately affects males and individuals living in less privileged regions. Furthermore, ischemic heart disease and stroke were identified as the main drivers of pCVD global burden.

Global burden of ischemic heart disease associated with high red and processed meat consumption: an analysis of 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019

BACKGROUND

Multiple studies have indicated an association between red and processed meat consumption and the incidence of ischemic heart disease (IHD). In this study, we aimed to assess the burden of IHD caused by a diet high in red and processed meat in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019, using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019.

METHODS

We extracted data from the GBD 2019, which included the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and age-standardized DALYs rates (ASDR) attributed to IHD caused by a diet high in red and processed meat. We then calculated the burden of IHD attributable to a high intake of red and processed meat in each country and territory, stratified by age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI).

RESULTS

Globally, a high intake of red meat was responsible for 351,200 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 559,000-642,700) deaths from IHD in 2019, while a high intake of processed meat was associated with 171,700 (95% UI: 30,100-320,000) deaths from IHD. Between 1990 and 2019, while the corresponding age-standardized rates declined, the numbers of deaths and DALYs increased. China had the highest number of deaths [98,386.9 (95% UI: 14,999.3-189,812.7)] caused by a high intake of red meat, while United States of America [33,129.6 (95% UI: 7,150-59,593.8)] was associated with the highest number of deaths caused by high intake of processed meat for IHD in 2019. Males experienced a greater burden of IHD caused by a high intake of red and processed meat than females. The ASMR and ASDR of IHD attributed to a high intake of red meat decreased in countries with high SDI, high-middle SDI and low SDI, while the ASMR and ASDR of IHD attributed to a high intake of processed meat decreased only in countries with high SDI and high-middle SDI.

CONCLUSION

Although there is a decline in the ASMR and ASDR of IHD caused by a high intake of red and processed meat, there is also an increase in deaths and DALYs number globally. Additionally, there is a heterogeneous burden of IHD related to a high intake of red and processed meat across regions and countries, with males experiencing a greater burden than females. Implementing targeted policies and interventions is required to reduce the burden of IHD caused by a high intake of red and processed meat.

[Global disease burden of neonatal jaundice from 1990 to 2019]

OBJECTIVES

To examine the global, regional, and national disease burden of neonatal jaundice.

METHODS

The 2019 Global Burden of Disease database was searched to collect incident cases/incidence and deaths/mortality of neonatal jaundice, as well as global socio-demographic index (SDI) and universal health coverage index (UHCI). The epidemiological trend of neonatal jaundice from 1990 to 2019 was analyzed. The correlations between incidence/mortality of neonatal jaundice and SDI and UHCI were evaluated.

RESULTS

From 601 681 in 1990 to 626 005 in 2019, with a 4.04% increase in global incident cases of neonatal jaundice. The overall age-standardized incidence rate exhibited an increase [estimated annual percent change=0.13 (95%CI: 0.03 to 0.23)] during this period. Additionally, deaths due to neonatal jaundice decreased by 58.83%, from 128 119 in 1990 to 52 742 in 2019. The overall age-standardized mortality rate showed a decrease [estimated annual percent change=-2.78 (95%CI: -3.00 to -2.57)] over the same period. Countries with lower SDI, such as India, Pakistan, and Nigeria, reported a higher proportion of neonatal morbidity and mortality. In 2019, a negative correlation was observed between estimated annual percent change in age-standardized mortality rate and SDI (ρ=-0.320, P<0.05) or UHCI (ρ=-0.252, P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The global incidence of neonatal jaundice is on the rise, while the mortality rate is declining. The burden of neonatal jaundice is influenced by social development, economic factors, and the level of medical care.

Spatiotemporal trends in global burden of rheumatic heart disease and associated risk factors from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to estimate the burden of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) and its trends in different countries, regions, genders and age groups globally.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) and the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in the ASRs were used to describe the burden of disease and its trends. Pearson's correlation was used to evaluate the correlation between sociodemographic index (SDI) values and the observed trends.

RESULTS

In 2019, the ASRs of the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of RHD were 37.39/105 (95%UI, 28.59/105 to 46.74/105), 513.68/105 (95%UI, 405.01/105 to 636.25/105), 3.85/105 (95%UI, 4.29/105 to 3.29/105) and 132.88/105 (95%UI, 115.02/105 to 150.34/105), respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence and prevalence of RHD showed upward trends and the mortality and DALYs showed downward trends. Countries or regions in Africa, South America and South Asia had a greater burden of RHD. The burden of RHD was greater in women, where as men showed more obvious increasing trends in the incidence and prevalence. The incidence of RHD was highest in adolescents, and the prevalence was highest in young and middle-aged. The mortality and DALYs rate associated with RHD increased with age. The EAPCs in the ASRs were negatively correlated with the SDI value.

CONCLUSION

Although the ASRs of mortality and DALYs attributable to RHD are decreasing globally, RHD remains an important public health problem that needs to be addressed urgently, especially in certain low- and middle-income countries and regions.

Global Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to High Temperature in 204 Countries and Territories from 1990 to 2019

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to estimate spatiotemporal variations of global heat-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Data on the burden of heat-related CVD were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to quantify heat-induced CVD burden. We calculated the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and DALY rate (ASDR) per 100,000 population to compare this burden across regions. Generalized linear models were applied to evaluate estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) for temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. The correlation between the socio-demographic index (SDI) and age-standardized rate was measured using the Spearman rank test.

RESULTS

Heat-induced CVD caused approximately 90 thousand deaths worldwide in 2019. Global ASMR and ASDR of heat-related CVD in 2019 were 1.17 [95% confidence interval ( CI): 0.13-1.98] and 25.59 (95% CI: 2.07-44.17) per 100,000 population, respectively. The burden was significantly increased in middle and low-SDI regions and slightly decreased in high-SDI regions from 1990 to 2019. ASMR showed an upward trend, with the most considerable increase in low-latitude countries. We observed a negative correlation between SDI and EAPC in ASMR ( r _s = -0.57, P < 0.01) and ASDR ( r _s = -0.59, P < 0.01) among 204 countries.

CONCLUSION

Heat-attributable CVD burden substantially increased in most developing countries and tropical regions.

Estimates and trends of the global burden of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to high fasting plasma glucose in 1990-2019: analysis of data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study

BACKGROUND

Experimental and epidemiological studies have indicated an association between diabetes exposure and an increased risk of liver cancer due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). However, to date, no systematic study has specifically investigated the burden of NASH-related liver cancer due to exposure to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) levels worldwide.

METHODS

The number and rate of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from HFPG-induced NASH-related liver cancer were estimated based on the results of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for age-standardized death or DALYs rates were calculated using a generalized linear model with a Gaussian distribution to quantify the temporal trends in the global burden of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG. The strength and direction of the association between the sociodemographic index (SDI) and death or DALY rate were measured using Spearman's rank-order correlation.

RESULTS

Globally, approximately 7.59% of all DALY and 8.76% of all mortalities of NASH-related liver cancer in 2019 were due to HFPG. The age-standardized death and DALY rates of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG increased from 1990 to 2019. The corresponding EAPCs were 0.69 (95% UI 0.48-0.89), and 0.30 (95% UI 0.05-0.56), respectively. This increasing pattern was most obvious in the high- and low-SDI regions. The age-standardized mortality and DALYs rate of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG varies considerably worldwide, with the middle SDI region having the highest death and DALY rates in 2019 (DALY 0.96 [95% UI 0.23-2.18]; death 0.05 [95% UI 0.01-0.11]).

CONCLUSION

The burden of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG has increased over the past three decades, particularly in regions with high and low SDI.

Global burden of rabies in 204 countries and territories, from 1990 to 2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

OBJECTIVES

Rabies is an acute lethal infectious disease caused by a lyssavirus infection. In 2018, the World Health Organization proposed a global strategic plan to end human rabies deaths by 2030. However, systematic studies on the global rabies disease burden and epidemiological trends are scarce.

METHODS

We extracted the disease burden and epidemiological data of rabies worldwide in the preceding 30 years from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and performed a comprehensive analysis.

RESULTS

In 2019, the incident cases of rabies worldwide were 14,075.51 (95% uncertainty interval: 6124.33-21,618.11), and the number of deaths was 13,743.44 (95% uncertainty interval: 6019.13-17,938.53), both of which were lower than that in 1990. With the improvement of the sociodemographic index, the incident cases, the number of deaths, age-standardized incidence rate, age-standardized incidence death rate, and disability-adjusted life years of rabies all showed downward trends. Adolescents and adults aged <50 years represented the majority of rabies cases worldwide.

CONCLUSION

The global disease burden of rabies has declined over the past 30 years. Furthermore, the disease burden of rabies was closely related to the sociodemographic index level.

Global, regional and national estimates of influenza-attributable ischemic heart disease mortality

BACKGROUND

Influenza virus infection is associated with incident ischemic heart disease (IHD) events. Here, we estimate the global, regional, and national IHD mortality burden attributable to influenza.

METHODS

We used vital registration data from deaths in adults ≥50 years (13.2 million IHD deaths as underlying cause) to assess the relationship between influenza activity and IHD mortality in a non-linear meta-regression framework from 2010 to 2019. This derived relationship was then used to estimate the global influenza attributable IHD mortality. We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) of influenza for IHD deaths based on the relative risk associated with a given level of weekly influenza test positivity rate and multiplied PAFs by IHD mortality from the Global Burden of Disease study.

FINDINGS

Influenza activity was associated with increased risk of IHD mortality across all countries analyzed. The mean PAF of influenza for IHD mortality was 3.9% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2.5-5.3%), ranging from <1% to 10%, depending on country and year. Globally, 299,858 IHD deaths (95% UI 191,216-406,809) in adults ≥50 years could be attributed to influenza, with the highest rates per 100,000 population in the Central Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia Region (32.3; 95% UI 20.6-43.8), and in the North Africa and Middle East Region (26.7; 95% UI 17-36.2).

INTERPRETATION

Influenza may contribute substantially to the burden of IHD. Our results suggest that if there were no influenza, an average of 4% of IHD deaths globally would not occur.

FUNDING

Collaborative study funded by Sanofi Vaccines.

Bridging the genomic data gap in Africa: implications for global disease burdens

This paper highlights the gap in the use of genomic data of Africans for global research efforts for disease cures. Genomic data represents an important tool used in disease research for understanding how diseases affect several populations and how these differences can be harnessed for the development of effective cures especially vaccines that have an impact at the genetic level e.g., RNA vaccines.This paper then provides a review of global genomic data status where three continents are reported to be the major contributor of genomic data to repositories used for disease research and the development of vaccines and medicines around the world.We reviewed the most recently published information about genetic data inclusiveness of populations, explaining how genomic data of Africans is lacking in global research efforts that cater towards the eradication of pandemics via the development of vaccines and other cures. We also discuss the implication of this non-inclusiveness for global disease burdens and indicate where changes need to be made in the last part of the paper.Lastly, the entire centers on some general policy recommendations to fully include African genomic data in such global genetic repositories. These recommendations can be implemented in African countries to improve genetic data collection, storage, and usage policies.

A global comprehensive analysis of ambient low temperature and non-communicable diseases burden during 1990-2019

Climate change and health are inextricably linked, especially the role of ambient temperature. This study aimed to analyze the non-communicable disease (NCD) burden attributable to low temperature globally, regionally, and temporally using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. Globally, in 2019, low temperature was responsible for 5.42% DALY and 7.18% death of NCDs, representing the age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and death rates (per 100,000 population) of 359.6 (95% uncertainty intervals (UI): 306.09, 416.88) and 21.36 (95% UI:18.26, 24.74). Ischemic heart disease was the first leading cause of DALY and death resulting from low temperature, followed by stroke. However, age-standardized DALY and death rates attributable to low temperature have exhibited wide variability across regions, with the highest in Central Asia and Eastern Europe and the lowest in Caribbean and Western sub-Saharan Africa. During the study period (1990-2019), there has been a significant decrease in the burden of NCDs attributable to low temperature, but progress has been uneven across countries, whereas nations exhibiting high sociodemographic index (SDI) declined more significantly compared with low SDI nations. Notably, three nations, including Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Lesotho, had the maximum NCDs burden attributed to low temperature and displayed an upward trend. In conclusion, ambient low temperature contributes to substantial NCD burden with notable geographical variations.

Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive heart disease during 1990-2019: an analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019

Background

Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a major public health issue worldwide. We analyzed the global, regional, and national burden of HHD between the years 1990 and 2019 in relation to age, gender, and socioeconomic factors.

Methods

The prevalence and death rates, the disability adjusted life-years (DALY), and the corresponding age-standardized rates of HHD were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. The epidemiological trends were evaluated by calculating the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) of the above variates.

Results

A total of 19.60 million HHD cases were documented in 2019 compared to 7.82 million in 1990, corresponding to an EAPC of 0.17. Contrarily, the global age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized DALYs decreased with respective EAPCs of − 0.74 and − 1.02. HHD mostly occurred in people aged over 65. The disease burden of HHD varied considerably between countries, and univariate linear regression indicated that many socioeconomic variables had significantly negative correlations with age-standardized DALY rate.

Conclusion

HHD cases have increased over the last three decades; however the mortality rate has declined. Multi-faceted improvements in health, education and income could help to alleviate the disease burden of HHD, specially in some regions with lower socio-demographic index and higher ASDR.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13271-0.

Smoking: a leading factor for the death of chronic respiratory diseases derived from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Smoking is believed as one of the major risk factors resulting in a variety of non-communicable diseases, such as lung cancer and chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs). However, the global burden of CRDs attributed to smoking has not been systematically studied, particularly across different temporal and spatial scales.

Methods

We conducted a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of CRDs and related risk factors using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Incidence, death, risk factors, and other parameters such as estimated annual percentage change have been analyzed. We also compared various risk factors across regions, countries, and genders.

Results

Globally, the incidence of CRDs and deaths cases have increased in the last 30 years, while the corresponding age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and death rate (ASDR) have declined. Smoking was the leading risk factor for the death of CRDs all over the world. However, in low and low-middle Socio-demographic Index (SDI) areas, particulate matter pollution was the main risk factor leading to death from CRDs, while smoking was ranked first among the major risk factors in areas with middle, middle-high, or high SDI. Globally, gender differences in morbidity and mortality from CRDs were observed. Males had slightly more cases and ASIR of chronic respiratory diseases than females over the last 30 years. However, the mortality cases and ASDR in males were significantly higher than that of females. Furthermore, the ASDR of all major risk factors, specially smoking, was higher in men than in women.

Conclusions

CRDs were still major threats human health. The current study highlights the dominating roles of smoking for death risks resulting from CRDs, followed by PM pollution. Therefore, tobacco control and improving air quality are key to reducing deaths from CRDs.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-022-01944-w.

Ambient high temperature exposure and global disease burden during 1990-2019: An analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

A warming climate throughout the 21st century makes ambient high temperature exposure a major threat to population health worldwide. Mitigating the health impact of high temperature requires a timely, comprehensive and reliable assessment of disease burden globally, regionally and temporally.

AIM

Based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019, this study aimed to evaluate the disease burden attributable to high temperature from various epidemiology perspectives.

METHODS

A three-stage analysis was undertaken to investigate the number and age-standardized rates of death and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) attributable to high temperature from GBD Study 2019. First, we reported the high temperature-related disease burden for the whole world and for different groups by gender, age, region, country and disease. Second, we examined the temporal trend of the disease burden attributable to high temperature from 1990 to 2019. Finally, we explored if and how the high temperature-related disease burden was modified by a number of country-level indicators.

RESULTS

Globally, high temperature accounted for 0.54% of death and 0.46% of DALY in 2019, equating to the age-standardized rates of death and DALY (per 100,000 population) of 3.99 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 2.88, 5.93) and 156.81 (95% UI: 107.98, 261.98), respectively. In 2019, the high temperature-related DALY and death rates were the highest for lower respiratory infections, although they showed a downward trend. In contrast, during 1990-2019, high temperature-related non-communicable diseases burden exhibited an upward trend. Meanwhile, the disease burden attributable to high temperature varied spatially, with the heaviest burden in regions with low sociodemographic index (SDI) and the lightest burden in regions with high SDI. In addition, high temperature-related disease burden appeared to be higher in a country with a higher population density and PM_2.5 concentration background but lower in a country with a higher density of greenness.

CONCLUSION

This study for the first time provided a comprehensive understanding of the global disease burden attributable to high temperature, underscoring the policy priority to protect human health worldwide in the context of global warming with particular attention to vulnerable countries or regions as well as susceptible population and diseases.

Global burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to ambient PM2.5 pollution from 1990 to 2017

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to estimate the spatial and temporal variation in the PM_2.5 associated ischemic heart disease (IHD) burden on a global scale between 1990 and 2017.

METHODS

We obtained data on IHD attributable to PM_2.5 from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2017. We used the numbers and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) of IHD attributable to PM_2.5 by sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and countries. We calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) to assess the trends of ASMR and ASDR between 1990 and 2017. We further calculated the contribution of population growth, population aging, and mortality or DALYs changes to the total IHD deaths and DALYs attributable to PM_2.5 between 1990 and 2017.

RESULTS

In 2017, IHD attributable to PM_2.5 resulted in 977,140 (95% UI: 838,900-1123,240) deaths and 21.93 million (95% UI: 18.88-25.37) DALYs globally. There has been a significant change of attributable IHD burden, from being a common burden to one that mainly affects low and middle-SDI countries in Asia, Oceania and sub-Saharan Africa. This global change has occurred as a consequence of opposing trends in high-SDI countries and in Asia, Oceania and sub-Saharan Africa, which has led to some Asian countries having the highest IHD burden attributable to PM_2.5 in 2017.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the global age-standardized burden of IHD attributable to PM_2.5 has decreased from 1990 to 2017, there has been an unpleasant increase in some low and middle-income countries, mainly in Asia, Oceania, and Africa.

Temporal trends of the lung cancer mortality attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2017: A global, regional and national analysis

OBJECTIVES

Understanding the global trend of lung cancer deaths attributable to smoking is crucial for prioritizing global lung cancer prevention, as well as tobacco control. We assessed patterns of smoking-induced lung cancer deaths at global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2017.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We extracted detailed data on lung cancer deaths attributable to smoking from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to quantify temporal trends in the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of smoking-induced lung cancer.

RESULTS

In 2017, estimated 1.19 million lung cancer deaths were attributable to smoking, accounting for 63.17 % of all lung cancer deaths. The corresponding ASMR decreased by 13.36 % from 17.29/100,000 in 1990 to 14.98/100,000 in 2017, with an EAPC of -0.59 (95 % confidence interval: -0.66, -0.53). The ASMR of lung cancer in most geographic regions has significantly decreased since 1990; however, the EAPC of ASMR in 20 countries exceeded 1 during the same period. The reductions in the ASMR were pronounced in areas with high Socio-demographic Index and high disease burden, and kept pace with the decrease of smoking prevalence at least 10 years ago.

CONCLUSION

Despite the decline in lung cancer ASMR attributable to smoking over the past 28 years, the corresponding number of lung cancer deaths increased steadily due to population aging and growth. Tobacco prevention needs to be strengthened, especially in countries with high smoking prevalence and countries where the ASMR of smoking-induced lung cancer is increasing.

Recent Findings in the Genetics of Blood Pressure: How to Apply in Practice or Is a Moonshot Required?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Hypertension is recognised as the biggest contributor to the global burden of disease, but it is controlled in less than a fifth of patients worldwide, despite being relatively easy to detect and the availability of inexpensive safe generic drugs. Blood pressure is regulated by a complex network of physiologic pathways with currently available drugs targeting key receptors or enzymes in the top pathways. Major advances in the dissection of both monogenic and polygenic determinants of blood pressure regulation and variation have not resulted in rapid translation of these discoveries into clinical applications or precision medicine.

RECENT FINDINGS

Uromodulin is an example of a novel gene for hypertension identified from genome-wide association studies, currently the basis of a clinical trial to reposition loop diuretics in hypertension management. Gene-editing studies have established a genome-wide association studies (GWAS) SNP in chromosome 6p24, implicated in six conditions including hypertension, as a distal regulator of the endothelin-1 gene around 3000 base pairs away. Genomics of aldosterone-producing adenomas bring to focus the paradox in genomic medicine where availability of cheap generic drugs may render precision medicine uneconomical. The speed of technology-driven genomic discoveries and the sluggish traditional pathways of drug development and translation need harmonisation to make a timely and early impact on global public health. This requires a directed collaborative effort for which we propose a hypertension moonshot to make a quantum leap in hypertension management and cardiovascular risk reduction by bringing together traditional bioscience, omics, engineering, digital technology and data science.

[Disease burden on road injury in the Chinese population, in 1990 and 2013]

Objective: To explore the disease burden of road injuries in China. Methods: The results of Global Burden of Disease 2013 including death rate, disability-adjusted of life years (DALY), years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), were used to describe the burden caused by road injuries in 2013 and the trends from 1990 to 2013, in China. Results: In 2013, there were 313 676 deaths caused by traffic accidents in China. Death rate, rates on DALY, YLL and YLD were 22.52 per 100 000, 1 076.54 per 100 000, 971.21 per 100 000 and 105.34 per 100 000, respectively. Rates on deaths, YLL and YLD appeared higher in males, pedestrians than in females and other types of road travelers. Burden of injuries caused by traffic accidents was seen higher in those aged 15 to 49-year-old. From 1990 to 2013, the overall death rate on road injuries increased by 0.54 per 100 000 in China, with an increase of 2.34 per 100 000 and 0.81 per 100 000, respectively in males and pedestrians. The rates on DALY, YLL and YLD decreased by 164.21 per 100 000, 115.06 per 100 000 and 49.06 per 100 000, respectively. Conclusions: During the past 20 years, achievements had been made on road injury prevention and control, with the decrease of disease burden caused by road accidents. Males, young adults and pedestrians should be called for more attention to prevent road injuries.

An overview of salt intake reduction efforts in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries

Globally, morbidity and mortality from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are increasing steadily and at an alarming rate. High blood pressure is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and salt reduction is an effective measure to decrease mortality rates. In the Eastern Mediterranean region, current salt intake is high, with an average intake of >12 g per person per day. Reducing the intake of salt has been identified as a priority intervention to reduce NCDs. Countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are showing a willingness to comply with the World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations and an eagerness to reduce the burden of NCDs. However, they face some challenges, including lack of political commitment, lack of experience, and shortage of qualified human resources. Salt intake reduction efforts vary in the GCC region, from achieving 20% salt reduction in bread, to the very early stages of planning.