Diagnoses of early and late readmissions after hospitalization for pneumonia. A systematic review

Characteristics of children readmitted with severe pneumonia in Kenyan hospitals

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia is a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality. Hospital re-admission may signify missed opportunities for care or undiagnosed comorbidities.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study including children aged ≥ 2 months-14 years hospitalised with severe pneumonia between 2013 and 2021 in a network of 20 primary referral hospitals in Kenya. Severe pneumonia was defined using the 2013 World Health Organization criteria, and re-admission was based on clinical documentation from individual patient case notes. We estimated the prevalence of re-admission, described clinical management practices, and modelled risk factors for re-admission and inpatient mortality.

RESULTS

Among 20,603 children diagnosed with severe pneumonia, 2,274 (11.0%, 95% CI 10.6-11.5) were readmitted. Re-admission was independently associated with age (12-59 months vs. 2-11 months: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.70, 1.54-1.87; >5 years vs. 2-11 months: aOR 1.85, 1.55-2.22), malnutrition (weight-for-age-z-score (WAZ) <-3SD vs. WAZ> -2SD: aOR 2.05, 1.84-2.29); WAZ - 2 to -3 SD vs. WAZ> -2SD: aOR 1.37, 1.20-1.57), wheeze (aOR 1.17, 1.03-1.33) and presence of a concurrent neurological disorder (aOR 4.42, 1.70-11.48). Chest radiography was ordered more frequently among those readmitted (540/2,274 [23.7%] vs. 3,102/18,329 [16.9%], p < 0.001). Readmitted patients more frequently received second-line antibiotics (808/2,256 [35.8%] vs. 5,538/18,173 [30.5%], p < 0.001), TB medication (69/2,256 [3.1%] vs. 298/18,173 [1.6%], p < 0.001), salbutamol (530/2,256 [23.5%] vs. 3,707/18,173 [20.4%], p = 0.003), and prednisolone (157/2,256 [7.0%] vs. 764/18,173 [4.2%], p < 0.001). Inpatient mortality was 2,354/18,329 (12.8%) among children admitted with a first episode of severe pneumonia and 269/2,274 (11.8%) among those who were readmitted (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.93, 95% CI 0.82-1.07). Age (12-59 months vs. 2-11 months: aHR 0.62, 0.57-0.67), male sex (aHR 0.81, 0.75-0.88), malnutrition (WAZ <-3SD vs. WAZ >-2SD: aHR 1.87, 1.71-2.05); WAZ - 2 to -3 SD vs. WAZ >-2SD: aHR 1.46, 1.31-1.63), complete vaccination (aHR 0.74, 0.60-0.91), wheeze (aHR 0.87, 0.78-0.98) and anaemia (aHR 2.14, 1.89-2.43) were independently associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Children readmitted with severe pneumonia account for a substantial proportion of pneumonia hospitalisations and deaths. Further research is required to develop evidence-based approaches to screening, case management, and follow-up of children with severe pneumonia, prioritising those with underlying risk factors for readmission and mortality.

Quantitative Analysis of Characteristics Associated with Patient-Directed Discharges, Representations, and Readmissions: a Safety-Net Hospital Experience

BACKGROUND

No clinical tools currently exist to stratify patients' risks of patient-directed discharge (PDD).

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to identify trends and factors associated with PDD, representation, and readmission.

DESIGN

This was an IRB-approved, single-centered, retrospective study.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged > 18, admitted to medicine service, were included from January 1st through December 31st, 2019. Patients admitted to ICU or surgical services were excluded.

MAIN MEASURES

Demographics, insurance information, medical history, social history, rates of events occurrences, and discharge disposition were obtained.

KEY RESULTS

Of the 16,889 encounters, there were 776 (4.6%) PDDs, 4312 (25.5%) representations, and 2924 (17.3%) readmissions. Of those who completed PDDs, 42.1% represented and 26.4% were readmitted. Male sex, age ≤ 45, insurance type, homelessness, and substance use disorders had higher rates of PDD (OR = 2.0; 4.2; 4.5; 6.2; 5.2; p < 0.0001, respectively). Patients with homelessness, substance use disorders, mental health disorders, or prior history of PDD were more likely to represent (OR = 3.6; 2.0; 2.0; 1.5; p < 0.0001, respectively) and be readmitted (OR = 2.2; 1.6; 1.9; 1.5; p < 0.0001, respectively). Patients aged 30-35 had the highest PDD rate at 16%, but this was not associated with representations or readmissions. Between July and September, the PDD rate peaked at 5.5% and similarly representation and readmission rates followed. The rates of subsequent readmissions after PDDs were nearly two-fold compared to non-PDD patients in later half of the year. 51% of all subsequent readmissions occur within 7 days of PDD, compared to 34% in the non-PDD group (OR = 2.0; p < 0.0001). Patients with primary diagnosis of abscess had 16% PDDs.

CONCLUSIONS

Factors associated with PDD include male, younger age, insurance type, substance use, homelessness, and primary diagnosis of abscess. Factors associated with representation and readmission are homelessness, substance use disorders, mental health disorders, and prior history of PDD. Further research is needed to develop a risk stratification tool to identify at-risk patients.

Hospitalization, case fatality, comorbidities, and isolated pathogens of adult inpatients with pneumonia from 2013 to 2022: a real-world study in Guangzhou, China

BACKGROUND

In the context of increasing population aging, ongoing drug-resistant pathogens and the COVID-19 epidemic, the changes in the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients with pneumonia remain unclear. This study aimed to assess the trends in hospitalization, case fatality, comorbidities, and isolated pathogens of pneumonia-related adult inpatients in Guangzhou during the last decade.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled hospitalized adults who had doctor-diagnosed pneumonia in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2022. A natural language processing system was applied to automatically extract the clinical data from electronic health records. We evaluated the proportion of pneumonia-related hospitalizations in total hospitalizations, pneumonia-related in-hospital case fatality, comorbidities, and species of isolated pathogens during the last decade. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess predictors for patients with prolonged length of stay (LOS).

RESULTS

A total of 38,870 cases were finally included in this study, with 70% males, median age of 64 (53, 73) years and median LOS of 7.9 (5.1, 12.8) days. Although the number of pneumonia-related hospitalizations showed an upward trend, the proportion of pneumonia-related hospitalizations decreased from 199.6 per 1000 inpatients in 2013 to 123.4 per 1000 in 2021, and the case fatality decreased from 50.2 per 1000 in 2013 to 23.9 per 1000 in 2022 (all P < 0.05). The most common comorbidities were chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung malignancy, cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. The most common pathogens were Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Candida albicans, Acinetobacter baumannii, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Staphylococcus aureus. Glucocorticoid use during hospitalization (Odd Ratio [OR] = 1.86, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.14-3.06), immunosuppressant use during hospitalization (OR = 1.99, 1.14-3.46), ICU admission (OR = 16.23, 95%CI: 11.25-23.83), receiving mechanical ventilation (OR = 3.58, 95%CI: 2.60-4.97), presence of other underlying diseases (OR = 1.54, 95%CI: 1.15-2.06), and elevated procalcitonin (OR = 1.61, 95%CI: 1.19-2.19) were identified as independent predictors for prolonged LOS.

CONCLUSION

The proportion of pneumonia-related hospitalizations and the in-hospital case fatality showed downward trends during the last decade. Pneumonia inpatients were often complicated by chronic underlying diseases and isolated with gram-negative bacteria. ICU admission was a significant predictor for prolonged LOS in pneumonia inpatients.

Predictive Factors for 30-Day Readmissions in Elderly Patients With Pneumonia: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

Background Pneumonia is a major concern among the elderly, with high readmission rates after hospitalization. These readmissions increase medical costs and reflect the quality of hospital care. This study aimed to explore the predictive factors associated with readmission within 30 days among elderly patients with pneumonia. Methodology This retrospective cohort study utilized the existing medical records. We included patients with pneumonia aged 75 and above who were discharged from a community hospital between April 2016 and March 2022. Patients who died during hospitalization or were transferred to other hospitals were excluded. Sex, age, length of hospital stay, Barthel Index (BI) at discharge, height, weight, body mass index, blood test findings, presence of tube feeding, Charlson Comorbidity Index, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index were used as predictive factors. The primary outcome was readmission within 30 days of discharge. A logistic regression analysis was performed. Results We included 337 patients: 50 (15%) in the readmission group and 287 (85%) in the control group. Univariate logistic regression analysis indicated low BI at discharge, and the odds ratio (OR) for readmission was 0.99 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.98-1.00). In patients with hemoglobin 10.0 g/dL or less, the OR for readmission was 2.18 (95% CI = 1.08-4.28). In patients with an NLR of 5 points or more, the OR for readmission was 2.64 (95% CI = 1.30 -5.24). In patients with aspartate transaminase of 38 U/L or more, the OR for readmission was 2.99 (95% CI = 1.07-7.68). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that an NLR of 5 points or more (adjusted OR = 2.42, 95% CI = 1.12-5.14) was correlated with readmission in elderly pneumonia patients. Conclusions In elderly patients with pneumonia, a high NLR at discharge may be a potential predictor of readmission within 30 days. This could be a new finding of our study. By sharing these findings during patient discharge conferences, there is potential to assist the medical team, patients, and caregivers in predicting unforeseen short-term readmissions. Further high-quality research is required to verify the reproducibility of these findings.

Readmission following hospital admission for community-acquired pneumonia in England

INTRODUCTION

Readmission rates following hospital admission with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) have increased in the UK over the past decade. The aim of this work was to describe the cohort of patients with emergency 30-day readmission following hospitalisation for CAP in England and explore the reasons for this.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of cases from the British Thoracic Society national adult CAP audit admitted to hospitals in England with CAP between 1 December 2018 and 31 January 2019 was performed. Cases were linked with corresponding patient level data from Hospital Episode statistics, providing data on the primary diagnosis treated during readmission and mortality. Analyses were performed describing the cohort of patients readmitted within 30 days, reasons for readmission and comparing those readmitted and primarily treated for pneumonia with other diagnoses.

RESULTS

Of 8136 cases who survived an index admission with CAP, 1304 (15.7%) were readmitted as an emergency within 30 days of discharge. The main problems treated on readmission were pneumonia in 516 (39.6%) patients and other respiratory disorders in 284 (21.8%). Readmission with pneumonia compared with all other diagnoses was associated with significant inpatient mortality (15.9% vs 6.5%; aOR 2.76, 95% CI 1.86 to 4.09, p<0.001). A diagnosis of hospital-acquired infection was more frequent in readmissions treated for pneumonia than other diagnoses (22.1% vs 3.9%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Pneumonia is the most common condition treated on readmission following hospitalisation with CAP and carries a higher mortality than both the index admission or readmission due to other diagnoses. Strategies to reduce readmissions due to pneumonia are required.

Ten Issues for Updating in Community-Acquired Pneumonia: An Expert Review

Community-acquired pneumonia represents the third-highest cause of mortality in industrialized countries and the first due to infection. Although guidelines for the approach to this infection model are widely implemented in international health schemes, information continually emerges that generates controversy or requires updating its management. This paper reviews the most important issues in the approach to this process, such as an aetiologic update using new molecular platforms or imaging techniques, including the diagnostic stewardship in different clinical settings. It also reviews both the Intensive Care Unit admission criteria and those of clinical stability to discharge. An update in antibiotic, in oxygen, or steroidal therapy is presented. It also analyzes the management out-of-hospital in CAP requiring hospitalization, the main factors for readmission, and an approach to therapeutic failure or rescue. Finally, the main strategies for prevention and vaccination in both immunocompetent and immunocompromised hosts are reviewed.

Predictors of Length of Stay, Rehospitalization and Mortality in Community-Acquired Pneumonia Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) represents one of the leading causes of hospitalization and has a substantial impact on the financial burden of healthcare. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with the length of hospital stay (LOHS), rehospitalization and mortality of patients admitted for CAP.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted with patients presenting to a Swiss public hospital between January 2019 and December 2019. Zero-truncated negative binomial and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to assess risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 300 patients were analyzed (median 78 years, IQR [67.56, 85.50] and 53% males) with an average LOHS of 7 days (IQR [5.00, 9.00]). Of the 300 patients, 31.6% (97/300) were re-hospitalized within 6 months, 2.7% (8/300) died within 30 days and 11.7% (35/300) died within 1 year. The results showed that sex (IRR = 0.877, 95% CI = 0.776-0.992, p-value = 0.036), age (IRR = 1.007, 95% CI = 1.002-1.012, p-value = 0.003), qSOFA score (IRR = 1.143, 95% CI = 1.049-1.246, p-value = 0.002) and atypical pneumonia (IRR = 1.357, 95% CI = 1.012-1.819, p-value = 0.04) were predictive of LOHS. Diabetes (OR = 2.149, 95% CI = 1.104-4.172, p-value = 0.024), a higher qSOFA score (OR = 1.958, 95% CI = 1.295-3.002, p-value = 0.002) and rehabilitation after discharge (OR = 2.222, 95% CI = 1.017-4.855, p-value = 0.044) were associated with a higher chance of being re-hospitalized within 6 months, whereas mortality within 30 days and within one year were both associated with older age (OR = 1.248, 95% CI = 1.056-1.562, p-value = 0.026 and OR = 1.073, 95% CI = 1.025-1.132, p-value = 0.005, respectively) and the presence of a cancer diagnosis (OR = 32.671, 95% CI = 4.787-369.1, p-value = 0.001 and OR = 4.408, 95% CI = 1.680-11.43, p-value = 0.002, respectively).

CONCLUSION

This study identified routinely available predictors for LOHS, rehospitalization and mortality in patients with CAP, which may further advance our understanding of CAP and thereby improve patient management, discharge planning and hospital costs.

Interventions to improve outcomes in community-acquired pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common infection associated with high morbimortality and a highly deleterious impact on patients' quality of life and functionality. We comprehensively review the factors related to the host, the causative microorganism, the therapeutic approach and the organization of health systems (e.g. setting for care and systems for allocation) that might have an impact on CAP-associated outcomes. Our main aims are to discuss the most controversial points and to provide some recommendations that may guide further research and the management of patients with CAP, in order to improve their outcomes, beyond mortality.

AREA COVERED

In this review, we aim to provide a critical account of potential measures to improve outcomes of CAP and the supporting evidence from observational studies and clinical trials.

EXPERT OPINION

CAP is associated with high mortality and a highly deleterious impact on patients' quality of life. To improve CAP-associated outcomes, it is important to understand the factors related to the patient, etiology, therapeutics, and the organization of health systems.

Rectal microbiota are coupled with altered cytokine production capacity following community-acquired pneumonia hospitalization

Human studies describing the immunomodulatory role of the intestinal microbiota in systemic infections are lacking. Here, we sought to relate microbiota profiles from 115 patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), both on hospital admission and following discharge, to concurrent circulating monocyte and neutrophil function. Rectal microbiota composition did not explain variation in cytokine responses in acute CAP (median 0%, IQR 0.0%–1.9%), but did one month following hospitalization (median 4.1%, IQR 0.0%–6.6%, p = 0.0035). Gene expression analysis of monocytes showed that undisrupted microbiota profiles following hospitalization were associated with upregulated interferon, interleukin-10, and G-protein-coupled-receptor-ligand-binding pathways. While CAP is characterized by profoundly distorted gut microbiota, the effects of these disruptions on cytokine responses and transcriptional profiles during acute infection were absent or modest. However, rectal microbiota were related to altered cytokine responses one month following CAP hospitalization, which may provide insights into potential mechanisms contributing to the high risk of recurrent infections following hospitalization.

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Rectal microbiota are disrupted at hospitalization for CAP and one month thereafter

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No variation in cytokines is explained by gut microbiota in the acute phase of CAP

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Following recovery, gut microbiota are linked with variation in cytokine responses

Incidence, recurring admissions and mortality of severe bacterial infections and sepsis over a 22-year period in the population-based HUNT study

Purpose

Severe bacterial infections are important causes of hospitalization and loss of health worldwide. In this study we aim to characterize the total burden, recurrence and severity of bacterial infections in the general population during a 22-year period.

Methods

We investigated hospitalizations due to bacterial infection from eight different foci in the prospective population-based Trøndelag Health Study (the HUNT Study), where all inhabitants aged ≥ 20 in a Norwegian county were invited to participate. Enrollment was between 1995 and 1997, and between 2006 and 2008, and follow-up ended in February 2017. All hospitalizations, positive blood cultures, emigrations and deaths in the follow-up period were captured through registry linkage.

Results

A total of 79,393 (69.5% and 54.1% of the invited population) people were included, of which 42,237 (53%) were women and mean age was 48.5 years. There were 37,298 hospitalizations due to infection, affecting 15,496 (22% of all included) individuals. The median time of follow-up was 20 years (25^th percentile 9.5–75^th percentile 20.8). Pneumonia and urinary tract infections were the two dominating foci with incidence rates of 639 and 550 per 100,000 per year, respectively, and with increasing incidence with age. The proportion of recurring admissions ranged from 10.0% (central nervous system) to 30.0% (pneumonia), whilst the proportion with a positive blood culture ranged from 4.7% (skin- and soft tissue infection) to 40.9% (central nervous system). The 30-day mortality varied between 3.2% (skin- and soft tissue infection) and 20.8% (endocarditis).

Conclusions

In this population-based cohort, we observed a great variation in the incidence, positive blood culture rate, recurrence and mortality between common infectious diseases. These results may help guide policy to reduce the infectious disease burden in the population.

Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Community-acquired pneumonia is an important cause of morbidity and mortality. It can be caused by bacteria, viruses, or fungi and can be prevented through vaccination with pneumococcal, influenza, and COVID-19 vaccines. Diagnosis requires suggestive history and physical findings in conjunction with radiographic evidence of infiltrates. Laboratory testing can help guide therapy. Important issues in treatment include choosing the proper venue, timely initiation of the appropriate antibiotic or antiviral, appropriate respiratory support, deescalation after negative culture results, switching to oral therapy, and short treatment duration.

Causes and timing of 30-day rehospitalization from skilled nursing facilities after a hospital admission for pneumonia or sepsis

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia and sepsis are among the most common causes of hospitalization in the United States and often result in discharges to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) for rehabilitation. We described the timing and most common causes of 30-day unplanned hospital readmission following an index hospitalization for pneumonia or sepsis.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

This national retrospective cohort study included adults ≥65 years who were hospitalized for pneumonia or sepsis and were discharged to a SNF between July 1, 2012 and July 4, 2015. We quantified the ten most common 30-day unplanned readmission diagnoses and estimated the daily risk of first unplanned rehospitalization for four causes of readmission (circulatory, infectious, respiratory, and genitourinary). The index hospitalization was pneumonia for 92,153 SNF stays and sepsis for 452,254 SNF stays. Of these SNF stays, 20.9% and 25.9%, respectively, resulted in a 30-day unplanned readmission. Overall, septicemia was the single most common readmission diagnosis for residents with an index hospitalization for pneumonia (16.7% of 30-day readmissions) and sepsis (22.4% of 30-day readmissions). The mean time to unplanned readmission was approximately 14 days overall. Respiratory causes displayed the highest daily risk of rehospitalization following index hospitalizations for pneumonia, while circulatory and infectious causes had the highest daily risk of rehospitalization following index hospitalizations for sepsis. The day of highest risk for readmission occurred within two weeks of the index hospitalization discharge, but the readmission risk persisted across the 30-day follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Among older adults discharged to SNFs following a hospitalization for pneumonia or sepsis, hospital readmissions for infectious, circulatory, respiratory, and genitourinary causes occurred frequently throughout the 30-day post-discharge period. Our data suggests further study is needed, perhaps on the value of closer monitoring in SNFs post-hospital discharge and improved communication between hospitals and SNFs, to reduce the risk of potentially preventable hospital readmissions.

Community-acquired pneumonia

Community-acquired pneumonia is not usually considered a high-priority problem by the public, although it is responsible for substantial mortality, with a third of patients dying within 1 year after being discharged from hospital for pneumoniae. Although up to 18% of patients with community-acquired pneumonia who were hospitalised (admitted to hospital and treated there) have at least one risk factor for immunosuppression worldwide, strong evidence on community-acquired pneumonia management in this population is scarce. Several features of clinical management for community-acquired pneumonia should be addressed to reduce mortality, morbidity, and complications related to community-acquired pneumonia in patients who are immunocompetent and patients who are immunocompromised. These features include rapid diagnosis, microbiological investigation, prevention and management of complications (eg, respiratory failure, sepsis, and multiorgan failure), empirical antibiotic therapy in accordance with patient's risk factors and local microbiological epidemiology, individualised antibiotic therapy according to microbiological data, appropriate outcomes for therapeutic switch from parenteral to oral antibiotics, discharge planning, and long-term follow-up. This Seminar offers an updated view on community-acquired pneumonia in adults, with suggestions for clinical and translational research.

Predicting the 14-Day Hospital Readmission of Patients with Pneumonia Using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)

Unplanned patient readmission (UPRA) is frequent and costly in healthcare settings. No indicators during hospitalization have been suggested to clinicians as useful for identifying patients at high risk of UPRA. This study aimed to create a prediction model for the early detection of 14-day UPRA of patients with pneumonia. We downloaded the data of patients with pneumonia as the primary disease (e.g., ICD-10:J12*-J18*) at three hospitals in Taiwan from 2016 to 2018. A total of 21,892 cases (1208 (6%) for UPRA) were collected. Two models, namely, artificial neural network (ANN) and convolutional neural network (CNN), were compared using the training (n = 15,324; ≅70%) and test (n = 6568; ≅30%) sets to verify the model accuracy. An app was developed for the prediction and classification of UPRA. We observed that (i) the 17 feature variables extracted in this study yielded a high area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75 using the ANN model and that (ii) the ANN exhibited better AUC (0.73) than the CNN (0.50), and (iii) a ready and available app for predicting UHA was developed. The app could help clinicians predict UPRA of patients with pneumonia at an early stage and enable them to formulate preparedness plans near or after patient discharge from hospitalization.

Etiology, Clinical Course, and Outcomes of Pneumonia in the Elderly: A Retrospective and Prospective Cohort Study in Thailand

Pneumonia is a leading cause of hospitalization and death among elderly adults. We performed a retrospective and prospective observational study to describe the etiology, clinical course, and outcomes of pneumonia for patients 60 years and older in Thailand. We enrolled 490 patients; 440 patients were included in the retrospective study and 50 patients were included in the prospective study. The CURB-65 score and a modified SMART-COP score (SMART-CO score) were used to assess disease severity. The median patient age was 80 years (interquartile range, 70-87 years); 51.2% were men. Klebsiella pneumoniae (20.4%) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (15.5%) were the most common causative agents of pneumonia. A significant minority (23%) of patients were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), and mortality among this subset of patients was 45%. Most patients (80.8%) survived and were discharged from the hospital. The median duration of hospitalization was 8 days (interquartile range, 4-16 days). In contrast, 17.6% of patients died while undergoing care and 30-day mortality was 14%. Factors significantly associated with mortality were advanced age (P = 0.004), male sex (P = 0.005), multiple bacterial infections (P = 0.007; relative risk [RR], 1.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19-2.79), infection with multi-drug-resistant/extended-spectrum B-lactamase-producing organisms (P < 0.001; RR, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.83-4.85), ICU admission (P < 0.001; RR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.4-2.3), and complications of pneumonia (P < 0.001; RR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.8-3.4). Patients with higher SMART-CO and CURB-65 scores had higher rates of ICU admission and higher 30-day mortality rates (P < 0.001). These results emphasize the importance of Gram-negative bacteria, particularly K. pneumoniae and P. aeruginosa, as major causes of pneumonia among the elderly. Streptococcus pneumoniae is a common cause of pneumonia among elderly individuals worldwide. The SMART-COP and CURB-65 scores were developed to assess pneumonia severity and predict mortality of young adults with pneumonia. Few studies have examined the appropriateness of these scores for elderly patients with multiple comorbidities. A limited number of studies have used modified versions of these scores among elderly individuals. We found that Gram-negative bacteria has a major role in the etiology of pneumonia among elderly individuals in Southeast Asia. A significant proportion of elderly individuals with low CURB-65 scores were admitted to the hospital, indicating that hospital admission may reflect fragility among elderly individuals with low CURB-65 scores. The modified SMART-COP score (SMART-CO score) sufficiently predicted intensive care unit admission and the need for intensive vasopressor or respiratory support. A SMART-CO score ≥ 7 accurately predicted 30-day mortality.

Pneumonia

Pneumonia is a common acute respiratory infection that affects the alveoli and distal airways; it is a major health problem and associated with high morbidity and short-term and long-term mortality in all age groups worldwide. Pneumonia is broadly divided into community-acquired pneumonia or hospital-acquired pneumonia. A large variety of microorganisms can cause pneumonia, including bacteria, respiratory viruses and fungi, and there are great geographical variations in their prevalence. Pneumonia occurs more commonly in susceptible individuals, including children of <5 years of age and older adults with prior chronic conditions. Development of the disease largely depends on the host immune response, with pathogen characteristics having a less prominent role. Individuals with pneumonia often present with respiratory and systemic symptoms, and diagnosis is based on both clinical presentation and radiological findings. It is crucial to identify the causative pathogens, as delayed and inadequate antimicrobial therapy can lead to poor outcomes. New antibiotic and non-antibiotic therapies, in addition to rapid and accurate diagnostic tests that can detect pathogens and antibiotic resistance will improve the management of pneumonia.

Predictors of 30-day readmission following hospitalisation with community-acquired pneumonia

Background

There is a paucity of UK data to aid healthcare professionals in predicting which patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are at greatest risk of 30-day readmission and to determine which readmissions may occur soonest.

Methods

An analysis of CAP cases admitted to nine UK hospitals participating in the Advancing Quality Pneumonia Programme.

Results

An analysis was performed of 12 157 subjects hospitalised with CAP in the Advancing Quality Programme Database. 26% of those discharged were readmitted within 30 days with readmission predicted by comorbidity including non-metastatic cancer, diabetes with complications and chronic kidney disease. 41% and 66% of readmissions occurred within 7 and 14 days of discharge, respectively. Patients readmitted within 14 days were more likely to have metastatic cancer (6.6% vs 4.5%; p=0.03) compared with those readmitted at 15–30 days.

Conclusions

A quarter of patients hospitalised for CAP are readmitted within 30 days; of those, two-thirds are readmitted within 2 weeks. Further research is required to determine whether such readmissions might be preventable through imple menting measures including in-hospital cross-specialty comorbidity management, convalescence in intermediate care, targeted rehabilitation and advanced care planning.

Development of a risk prediction model of potentially avoidable readmission for patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia: study protocol and population

INTRODUCTION

30-day readmission rate is considered an adverse outcome reflecting suboptimal quality of care during index hospitalisation for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, potentially avoidable readmission would be a more relevant metric than all-cause readmission for tracking quality of hospital care for CAP. The objectives of this study are (1) to estimate potentially avoidable 30-day readmission rate and (2) to develop a risk prediction model intended to identify potentially avoidable readmissions for CAP.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The study population consists of consecutive patients admitted in two hospitals from the community or nursing home setting with pneumonia. To qualify for inclusion, patients must have a primary or secondary discharge diagnosis code of pneumonia. Data sources include routinely collected administrative claims data as part of diagnosis-related group prospective payment system and structured chart reviews. The main outcome measure is potentially avoidable readmission within 30 days of discharge from index hospitalisation. The likelihood that a readmission is potentially avoidable will be quantified using latent class analysis based on independent structured reviews performed by four panellists. We will use a two-stage approach to develop a claims data-based model intended to identify potentially avoidable readmissions. The first stage implies deriving a clinical model based on data collected through retrospective chart review only. In the second stage, the predictors comprising the medical record model will be translated into International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision discharge diagnosis codes in order to obtain a claim data-based risk model.The study sample consists of 1150 hospital stays with a diagnosis of CAP. 30-day index hospital readmission rate is 17.5%.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The protocol was reviewed by the Comité de Protection des Personnes Sud Est V (IRB#6705). Efforts will be made to release the primary study results within 6 months of data collection completion.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT02833259).

Ability of the LACE index to predict 30-day hospital readmissions in patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Background and objective

Hospital readmissions within 30 days are used as an indicator of quality of hospital care. We aimed to evaluate the ability of the LACE (Length of stay, Acuity of admission, Comorbidities based on Charlson comorbidity score and number of Emergency visits in the last 6 months) index to predict the risk of 30-day readmissions in patients hospitalised for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study a LACE index score was calculated for patients with a principal diagnosis of CAP admitted to a tertiary hospital in Sydney, Australia. The predictive ability of the LACE score for 30-day readmissions was assessed using receiver operator characteristic curves with C-statistic.

Results

Of 3996 patients admitted to hospital for CAP at least once, 8.0% (n=327) died in hospital and 14.6% (n=584) were readmitted within 30 days. 17.8% (113 of 636) of all 30-day readmissions were again due to CAP, followed by readmissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure and chest pain. The LACE index had moderate discriminative ability to predict 30-day readmission (C-statistic=0.6395) but performed poorly for the prediction of 30-day readmissions due to CAP (C-statistic=0.5760).

Conclusions

The ability of the LACE index to predict all-cause 30-day hospital readmissions is comparable to more complex pneumonia-specific indices with moderate discrimination. For the prediction of 30-day readmissions due to CAP, the performance of the LACE index and modified risk prediction models using readily available variables (sex, age, specific comorbidities, after-hours, weekend, winter or summer admission) is insufficient.

The LACE index is easy to use and its ability to predict all-cause 30-day hospital readmissions for patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia is comparable to more complex pneumonia-specific indices with moderate discriminationhttps://bit.ly/2SYkxam

Rehospitalization for pneumonia after first pneumonia admission: Incidence and predictors in a population-based cohort study

Background and objectives

Hospital readmissions are a frequent complication of pneumonia. Most data regarding readmissions are obtained from the United States, whereas few data are available from the European healthcare utilization (HCU) systems. In a large cohort of Italian patients with a previous hospitalization for pneumonia, our aim was to evaluate the incidence and predictors of early readmissions due to pneumonia.

Methods

This is a observational retrospective, population based, cohort study. Data were retrieved from the HCU databases of the Italian Lombardy region. 203,768 patients were hospitalized for pneumonia between 2003 and 2012. The outcome was the first rehospitalization for pneumonia. The patients were followed up after the index hospital admission to estimate the hazard ratio, and relative 95% confidence interval, of the outcome associated with the risk factors that we had identified.

Results

7,275 patients (3.6%) had an early pneumonia readmission. Male gender, age ≥70 years, length of stay of the first admission and a higher burden of comorbidities were significantly associated with the outcome. Chronic use of antidepressants, antiarrhythmics, glucocorticoids and drugs for obstructive airway diseases were also more frequently prescribed in patients requiring rehospitalization. Previous use of inhaled broncodilators, including both beta2-agonists and anticholinergics, but not inhaled steroids, were associated with an increased risk of hospital readmission.

Conclusions

Frail elderly patients with multiple comorbidities and complex drug regimens were at higher risk of early rehospitalization and, thus, may require closer follow-up and prevention strategies.

Rate and risk factors for rehospitalisation in sepsis survivors: systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Sepsis survivors have a higher risk of rehospitalisation and of long-term mortality. We assessed the rate, diagnosis, and independent predictors for rehospitalisation in adult sepsis survivors.

METHODS

We searched for non-randomized studies and randomized clinical trials in MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and EMBASE (OVID interface, 1992-October 2019). The search strategy used controlled vocabulary terms and text words for sepsis and hospital readmission, limited to humans, and English language. Two authors independently selected studies and extracted data using predefined criteria and data extraction forms.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 12,544 records. Among 56 studies (36 full and 20 conference abstracts) that met our inclusion criteria, all were non-randomised studies. Studies most often report 30-day rehospitalisation rate (mean 21.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 17.6-25.4%; N = 36 studies reporting 6,729,617 patients). The mean (95%CI) rehospitalisation rates increased from 9.3% (8.3-10.3%) by 7 days to 39.0% (22.0-59.4%) by 365 days. Infection was the most common rehospitalisation diagnosis. Risk factors that increased the rehospitalisation risk in sepsis survivors were generic characteristics such as older age, male, comorbidities, non-elective admissions, hospitalisation prior to index sepsis admission, and sepsis characteristics such as infection and illness severity, with hospital characteristics showing inconsistent associations. The overall certainty of evidence was moderate for rehospitalisation rates and low for risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Rehospitalisation events are common in sepsis survivors, with one in five rehospitalisation events occurring within 30 days of hospital discharge following an index sepsis admission. The generic and sepsis-specific characteristics at index sepsis admission are commonly reported risk factors for rehospitalisation.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD 42016039257, registered on 14-06-2016.

Reasons and Risk Factors for Readmission Following Hospitalization for Community-acquired Pneumonia in South Korea

Background

Limited studies have been performed to assess readmission following hospitalization for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in an Asian population. We evaluated the rates, reasons, and risk factors for 30-day readmission following hospitalization for CAP in the general adult population of Korea.

Methods

We performed a retrospective observational study of 1,021 patients with CAP hospitalized at Yeungnam University from March 2012 to February 2014. The primary end point was all-cause hospital readmission within 30 days following discharge after the initial hospitalization. Hospital readmission was classified as pneumonia-related or pneumonia-unrelated readmission.

Results

During the study period, 862 patients who survived to hospital discharge were eligible for inclusion and among them 72 (8.4%) were rehospitalized within 30 days. In the multivariable analysis, pneumonia-related readmission was associated with para/hemiplegia, malignancy, pneumonia severity index class ≥4 and clinical instability ≥1 at hospital discharge. Comorbidities such as chronic lung disease and chronic kidney disease, treatment failure, and decompensation of comorbidities were associated with the pneumonia-unrelated 30-day readmission rate.

Conclusion

Rehospitalizations within 30 days following discharge were frequent among patients with CAP. The risk factors for pneumonia-related and -unrelated readmission were different. Aspiration prevention, discharge at the optimal time, and close monitoring of comorbidities may reduce the frequency of readmission among patients with CAP.

The Impact of the Duration of Antibiotic Therapy in Patients With Community-Onset Pneumonia on Readmission Rates: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Recent publications have confirmed that 70% of hospitalized adults with uncomplicated community-acquired pneumonia and health-care-associated pneumonia are prescribed a duration therapy that exceeds current guideline recommendations.

OBJECTIVE

The primary objective is to evaluate the relationship between antibiotic duration and all-cause 30-day readmission rates. Secondary outcomes include pneumonia-specific 30-day readmission rate and identification of risk factors for readmission.

METHODS

Patients aged ≥18 years with a primary diagnosis of pneumonia from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2016, were included in this single-center, retrospective cohort study. Patients were categorized by antibiotic therapy duration of ≤7 days (n = 139) or >7 days (n = 286), and outcomes were analyzed in both bivariate and multivariate models. A multivariate logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between all-cause 30-day readmission and antibiotic days.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics were not significantly different between the 2 groups. All-cause 30-day readmission rates were 15.8% and 15.5% for patients who received ≤7 days versus >7 days of antibiotics, respectively (P = .95). Pneumonia-specific 30-day readmission occurred in 3.6% of patients who received antibiotics for ≤7 days compared to 3.5% of patients who received antibiotics for >7 days (P = .95). Multivariate logistic regression showed no statistically significant association between readmission rate and antibiotic duration of >7 days. Statistically significant risk factors for readmission identified by logistic regression include ≥3 hospital admissions within the previous year, a hematocrit <30% at discharge, a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder (COPD), and weight.

CONCLUSION

The use of prolonged antibiotic therapy for the treatment of community-onset pneumonia was not associated with a decrease in all-cause or pneumonia-specific 30-day readmission rates.

Development of an iterative validation process for a 30-day hospital readmission prediction index

PURPOSE

A study was conducted to determine if an iterative validation process could maintain or improve the discriminative and predictive capabilities of a 30-day hospital readmission prediction index over 2.5 years.

METHODS

Patient admissions were retrospectively identified using the electronic medical record. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess model discrimination. Prediction index specificity, sensitivity, and positive and negative predictive values were also assessed. A rolling iterative validation process was developed in which patient admissions were divided into 3-month cohorts. Each cohort was analyzed individually and then included into the cumulative patient cohort and analyzed again.

RESULTS

From 121,277 patient visits, an iterative validation approach maintained the discrimination (0.71 to 0.72), predictive validity, and overall accuracy (80.9% to 81.7%) of the 30-day readmission prediction index over 2.5 years. Index sensitivity and negative predictive value increased from baseline while specificity and positive predictive value remained largely unchanged. None of the assessed index parameters diminished or became less useful over the course of the study.

CONCLUSION

An internal iterative validation process based on frequentist statistics maintained the discriminative ability and accuracy of a readmission index over 2.5 years despite numerous changes in the variables associated with readmission in the patient population.

The Effect of Hospice on Hospital Admission and Readmission Rates: A Review

Symptom control may become challenging for terminally ill patients as they near the end of life. Patients often seek hospital admission to address symptoms, such as pain, nausea, vomiting, and restlessness. Alternatively, palliative medicine focuses on the control and mitigation of symptoms, while allowing patients to maintain their quality of life, whether in an outpatient or inpatient setting. Hospice care provides, in addition to inpatient care at a hospice facility or in a hospital, the option for patients to receive symptom management at home. This option for symptom control in the outpatient setting is essential to preventing repeated and expensive hospital readmissions. This article discusses the impact of hospice care on hospital readmission rates.

Facilitating Focused Process Improvement Efforts in Home Health Agencies to Improve Utilization Outcomes Effectively and Efficiently

The aim of this study was to identify a smaller set of clinical practices most associated with the utilization outcomes of the home health agencies. A secondary data analysis approach was adopted using the publicly accessible Home Health Compare repository as the main data source; the control variables such as rurality, agency size, and median income levels were obtained from other public data repositories. Checking for fall risks and starting care in a timely manner were most associated with hospital readmissions. These two practices and treating patients for pain are most associated with the emergency room visit rates. The results provide additional guidance to home health agencies in their prioritized and focused performance improvement initiatives to improve their utilization outcomes.

Determining best outcomes from community-acquired pneumonia and how to achieve them

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common acute medical illness with a standard, effective treatment that was introduced before the evidenced-based medicine era. Mortality rates have improved in recent decades but improvements have been minimal when compared to other conditions such as acute coronary syndromes. The standardized approach to treatment makes CAP a target for comparative performance and outcome measures. While easy to collect, simplistic outcomes such as mortality, readmission and length of stay are difficult to interpret as they can be affected by subjective choices and health care resources. Proposed clinical- and patient-reported outcomes are discussed below and include measures such as the time to clinical stability (TTCS) and patient satisfaction, which can be compared between health institutions. Strategies to improve these outcomes include use of a risk stratification tool, local antimicrobial guidelines with antibiotic stewardship and care bundles to include early administration of antibiotics and early mobilization.

Malnutrition and its association with readmission and death within 7 days and 8-180 days postdischarge in older patients: a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

The relationship between admission nutritional status and clinical outcomes following hospital discharge is not well established. This study investigated whether older patients' nutritional status at admission predicts unplanned readmission or death in the very early or late periods following hospital discharge.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The study prospectively recruited 297 patients ≥60 years old who were presenting to the General Medicine Department of a tertiary care hospital in Australia. Nutritional status was assessed at admission by using the Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA) tool, and patients were classified as either nourished (PG-SGA class A) or malnourished (PG-SGA classes B and C). A multivariate logistic regression model was used to adjust for other covariates known to influence clinical outcomes and to determine whether malnutrition is a predictor for early (0-7 days) or late (8-180 days) readmission or death following discharge.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The impact of nutritional status was measured on a combined endpoint of any readmission or death within 0-7 days and between 8 and 180 days following hospital discharge.

RESULTS

Within 7 days following discharge, 29 (10.5%) patients had an unplanned readmission or death whereas an additional 124 (50.0%) patients reached this combined endpoint within 8-180 days postdischarge. Malnutrition was associated with a significantly higher risk of combined endpoint of readmissions or death both within 7 days (OR 4.57, 95% CI 1.69 to 12.37, P<0.001) and within 8-180 days (OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.19 to 3.28, P=0.007) following discharge and this risk remained significant even after adjustment for other covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

Malnutrition in older patients at the time of hospital admission is a significant predictor of readmission or death both in the very early and in the late periods following hospital discharge. Nutritional state should be included in future risk prediction models.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN No. 12614000833662; Post-results.

Bacterial Pneumonia in Older Adults

The incidence of pneumonia increases with age, and is particularly high in patients who reside in long-term care facilities (LTCFs). Mortality rates for pneumonia in older adults are high and have not decreased in the last decade. Atypical symptoms and exacerbation of underlying illnesses should trigger clinical suspicion of pneumonia. Risk factors for multidrug-resistant organisms are more common in older adults, particularly among LTCF residents, and should be considered when making empiric treatment decisions. Monitoring of clinical stability and underlying comorbid conditions, potential drug-drug interactions, and drug-related adverse events are important factors in managing elderly patients with pneumonia.

Individual and health system variation in rehospitalizations the year after pneumonia

Little is known about variation in patterns of recovery among patients discharged alive from hospitalizations for pneumonia.The aim of the is observational cohort study was to characterize the variation in patterns of hospital readmission and survival in the year after discharge for pneumonia in 3 different health systems.The 3 cohorts consisted of (1) the Health and Retirement Study participants enrolled in Fee-for-service Medicare (FFS), (2) Veterans Administration (VA) Healthcare system, and (3) Kaiser Permanente of Northern California (KPNC). The 365-day survival and re-hospitalizations were determined for each cohort. Multinomial logistic regression was used to identify potential contributors to the different patterns.We identified 2731, 23,536, and 39,147 hospitalizations for pneumonia in FFS Medicare, VA, and KPNC, respectively, of whom 88.1%, 92.8%, and 89.7% survived to hospital discharge. The median patient survived to 1 year and was rehospitalized twice in FFS (9.0%), once in VA (14.1%) and KPNC (9.1%). Of the patients who survived the hospitalization, 33.3% (FFS), 30.2% (VA), and 26.8% (KPNC) died during the subsequent year. Of those who survived, 29.8% (FFS), 35.9% (VA), and 46.1% (KPNC) were never rehospitalized. 11.9% (FFS), 11.9% (VA), and 11.7% (KPNC) had greater than 3 hospitalizations. Age, race, gender, comorbidity, ICU use, and hospital length stay collectively explained little (5-7%) of the variation in the recovery pattern.There is significant variation in the year after the hospitalization for pneumonia across individuals, but less so across health systems. There may be important opportunities to better classify these heterogeneous individual-level pathways.

Improving outcomes in community-acquired pneumonia

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a pervasive disease that is encountered in outpatient and inpatient settings. CAP is the leading cause of death from an infectious disease and accounts for significant worldwide morbidity and mortality. This update reviews current advances that can be used to promote improved outcomes in CAP.

RECENT FINDINGS

Early recognition of CAP and its severe presentations, with appropriate site of care decisions, leads to reduced patient mortality. In addition to traditional prognostic tools, certain serum biomarkers can assist in defining disease severity and guide treatment and management strategies. The use of macrolides as part of combination antibiotic therapy has shown beneficial mortality effects across the CAP disease spectrum, especially for those with severe illness. When treating community-associated, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus pneumonia, use of an antitoxin antibiotic is likely to be valuable. Adjunctive therapy with corticosteroids may prevent delayed clinical resolution in selected patients with severe CAP. Recent data expand on the interaction of CAP with comorbid disease, particularly cardiovascular disease, and its impact on mortality in CAP patients.

SUMMARY

Improved diagnostic tools, optimized treatment regimens, and enhanced understanding of CAP-induced perturbations in comorbid disease states hold promise to improve patient outcomes.