Adaptations to a Generalized Radiation Dose Reconstruction Methodology for Use in Epidemiologic Studies: An Update from the MD Anderson Late Effect Group

Cardiac Disease in Childhood Cancer Survivors Treated With Radiation Therapy: A PENTEC Comprehensive Review

PURPOSE

Radiation therapy (RT) is an essential component in the treatment of many pediatric malignancies. Thoracic RT may expose the heart to radiation dose and thereby increase the risk of late cardiac disease. This comprehensive review from the Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) initiative focused on late cardiac disease in survivors of childhood cancer treated with RT.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This systematic review was performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) methodology. We identified 1496 articles; 4 were included for dose-response modeling between mean cardiac radiation dose and risk of late coronary artery disease, heart failure (HF), valvular disease, and any cardiac disease.

RESULTS

For each 10-Gy increase in corrected mean cardiac radiation dose in 1.8- to 2.0-Gy fractions, we estimated a hazard ratio of 2.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.79-2.25) for coronary artery disease, of 1.87 (95% CI, 1.70-2.06) for HF, of 1.87 (95% CI, 1.78-1.96) for valvular disease, and of 1.88 (95% CI, 1.75-2.03) for any cardiac disease. From the same model, for each 100-mg/m2 increase in cumulative anthracycline dose, the hazard ratio for the development of HF was 1.93 (95% CI, 1.58-2.36), equivalent to an increase in mean heart dose of approximately 10.5 Gy. Other nontreatment factors were inconsistently reported in the analyzed articles.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiation dose to the heart increases the risk of late cardiac disease, but survivors of childhood cancer who receive a mean dose <10 Gy at standard fractionation are at low absolute risk (<∼2% approximately 30 years after exposure) of late cardiac disease in the absence of anthracycline exposure. Minimizing cardiac radiation dose is especially relevant in children receiving anthracyclines. When cardiac sparing is not possible, we recommend prioritizing target coverage. It is likely that individual cardiac substructure doses will be a better predictor of specific cardiac diseases than mean dose, and we urge the pediatric oncology community to further study these relationships.

Physics Considerations for Evaluation of Dose for Dose-Response Models of Pediatric Late Effects From Radiation Therapy: A PENTEC Introductory Review

PURPOSE

We describe the methods used to estimate the accuracy of dosimetric data found in literature sources used to construct the Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) dose-response models, summarize these findings of each organ-specific task force, describe some of the dosimetric challenges and the extent to which these efforts affected the final modeling results, and provide guidance on the interpretation of the dose-response results given the various dosimetric uncertainties.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Each of the PENTEC task force medical physicists reviewed all the journal articles used for dose-response modeling to identify, categorize, and quantify dosimetric uncertainties. These uncertainties fell into 6 broad categories. A uniform nomenclature was developed for describing the "dosimetric quality" of the articles used in the PENTEC reviews. Among the multidisciplinary experts in the PENTEC effort, the medical physicists were charged with the dosimetric evaluation, as they are most expert in this subject.

RESULTS

The percentage dosimetric uncertainty was estimated for each late effect endpoint for all PENTEC organ reports. Twelve specific sources of dose uncertainty were identified related to the 6 broad categories. The most common reason for organ dose uncertainty was that prescribed dose rather than organ dose was reported. Percentage dose uncertainties ranged from 5% to 200%. Systematic uncertainties were used to correct the dose component of the models. Random uncertainties were also described in each report and in some cases used to modify dose axis error bars. In addition, the potential effects of dose binning were described.

CONCLUSIONS

PENTEC reports are designed to provide guidance to radiation oncologists and treatment planners for organ dose constraints. It is critical that these dose constraint recommendations are as accurate as possible, acknowledging the large error bars for many. Achieving this accuracy is important as it enables clinicians to better balance target dose coverage with risk of late effects. Evidence-based dose constraints for pediatric patients have been lacking and, in this regard, PENTEC fills an important unmet need. One must be aware of the limitations of our recommendations, and that for some organ systems, large uncertainties exist in the dose-response model because of clinical endpoint uncertainty, dosimetric uncertainty, or both.

Acute and Late Pulmonary Effects After Radiation Therapy in Childhood Cancer Survivors: A PENTEC Comprehensive Review

OBJECTIVES

The Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) pulmonary task force reviewed dosimetric and clinical factors associated with radiation therapy (RT)-associated pulmonary toxicity in children.

METHODS

Comprehensive search of PubMed (1965-2020) was conducted to assess available evidence and predictive models of RT-induced lung injury in pediatric cancer patients (<21 years old). Lung dose for radiation pneumonitis (RP) was obtained from dose-volume histogram (DVH) data. RP grade was obtained from standard criteria. Clinical pulmonary outcomes were evaluated using pulmonary function tests (PFTs), clinical assessment, and questionnaires.

RESULTS

More than 2,400 abstracts were identified; 460 articles had detailed treatment and toxicity data; and 11 articles with both detailed DVH and toxicity data were formally reviewed. Pooled cohorts treated during 1999 to 2016 included 277 and 507 patients age 0.04 to 22.7 years who were evaluable for acute and late RP analysis, respectively. After partial lung RT, there were 0.4% acute and 2.8% late grade 2, 0.4% acute and 0.8% late grade 3, and no grade 4 to 5 RP. RP risk after partial thoracic RT with mean lung dose (MLD) <14 Gy and total lung V20Gy <30% is low. Clinical and self-reported pulmonary outcomes data included 8,628 patients treated during 1970 to 2013, age 0 to 21.9 years. At a median 2.9- to 21.9-year follow-up, patients were often asymptomatic; abnormal PFTs were common and severity correlated with lung dose. At ≥10-year follow-up, multi-institutional studies suggested associations between total or ipsilateral lung doses >10 Gy and pulmonary complications and deaths. After whole lung irradiation (WLI), pulmonary toxicity is higher; no dose response relationship was identified. Bleomycin and other chemotherapeutics at current dose regimens do not contribute substantially to adverse pulmonary outcomes after partial lung irradiation but increase risk with WLI.

CONCLUSIONS

After partial lung RT, acute pulmonary toxicity is uncommon; grade 2 to 3 RP incidences are <1%. Late toxicities, including subclinical/asymptomatic impaired pulmonary function, are more common (<4%). Incidence and severity appear to increase over time. Upon review of available literature, there appears to be low risk of pulmonary complications in children with MLD < 14 Gy and V20Gy <30% using standard fractionated RT to partial lung volumes. A lack of robust data limit guidance on lung dose/volume constraints, highlighting the need for additional work to define factors associated with RT-induced lung injury.

Primary Hypothyroidism in Childhood Cancer Survivors Treated With Radiation Therapy: A PENTEC Comprehensive Review

PURPOSE

From the Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) initiative, a systematic review and meta-analysis of publications reporting on radiation dose-volume effects for risk of primary hypothyroidism after radiation therapy for pediatric malignancies was performed.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

All studies included childhood cancer survivors, diagnosed at age <21 years, whose radiation therapy fields exposed the thyroid gland and who were followed for primary hypothyroidism. Children who received pituitary-hypothalamic or total-body irradiation were excluded. PubMed and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies published from 1970 to 2017. Data on age at treatment, patient sex, radiation dose to neck or thyroid gland, specific endpoints for hypothyroidism that were used in the studies, and reported risks of hypothyroidism were collected. Radiation dose-volume effects were modeled using logistic dose response. Relative excess risk of hypothyroidism as a function of age at treatment and sex was assessed by meta-analysis of reported relative risks (RR) and odds ratios.

RESULTS

Fifteen publications (of 1709 identified) were included for systematic review. Eight studies reported data amenable for dose-response analysis. At mean thyroid doses of 10, 20, and 30 Gy, predicted rates of uncompensated (clinical) hypothyroidism were 4%, 7%, and 13%, respectively. Predicted rates of compensated (subclinical) hypothyroidism were 12%, 25%, and 44% after thyroid doses of 10, 20, and 30 Gy, respectively. Female sex (RR = 1.7, P < .0001) and age >15 years at radiation therapy (RR = 1.3, P = .005) were associated with higher risks of hypothyroidism. After a mean thyroid dose of 20 Gy, predicted risks of hypothyroidism were 13% for males <14 years of age, increasing to 29% for females >15 years of age.

CONCLUSION

A radiation dose response for risk of hypothyroidism is evident; a threshold radiation dose associated with no risk is not observed. Thyroid dose exposure should be minimized when feasible. Data on hypothyroidism after radiation therapy should be better reported to facilitate pooled analyses.

Reporting Standards for Complication Studies of Radiation Therapy for Pediatric Cancer: Lessons From PENTEC

The major aim of Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) was to synthesize quantitative published dose/-volume/toxicity data in pediatric radiation therapy. Such systematic reviews are often challenging because of the lack of standardization and difficulty of reporting outcomes, clinical factors, and treatment details in journal articles. This has clinical consequences: optimization of treatment plans must balance between the risks of toxicity and local failure; counseling patients and their parents requires knowledge of the excess risks encountered after a specific treatment. Studies addressing outcomes after pediatric radiation therapy are particularly challenging because: (a) survivors may live for decades after treatment, and the latency time to toxicity can be very long; (b) children's maturation can be affected by radiation, depending on the developmental status of the organs involved at time of treatment; and (c) treatment regimens frequently involve chemotherapies, possibly modifying and adding to the toxicity of radiation. Here we discuss: basic reporting strategies to account for the actuarial nature of the complications; the reporting of modeling of abnormal development; and the need for standardized, comprehensively reported data sets and multivariate models (ie, accounting for the simultaneous effects of radiation dose, age, developmental status at time of treatment, and chemotherapy dose). We encourage the use of tools that facilitate comprehensive reporting, for example, electronic supplements for journal articles. Finally, we stress the need for clinicians to be able to trust artificial intelligence models of outcome of radiation therapy, which requires transparency, rigor, reproducibility, and comprehensive reporting. Adopting the reporting methods discussed here and in the individual PENTEC articles will increase the clinical and scientific usefulness of individual reports and associated pooled analyses.

Trans-Ancestral Genetic Risk Factors for Treatment-Related Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Survivors of Childhood Cancer

PURPOSE

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is a prevalent long-term complication of treatment in survivors of childhood cancer, with marked racial/ethnic differences in burden. In this study, we investigated trans-ancestral genetic risks for treatment-related T2D.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Leveraging whole-genome sequencing data from the St Jude Lifetime Cohort (N = 3,676, 304 clinically ascertained cases), we conducted ancestry-specific genome-wide association studies among survivors of African and European genetic ancestry (AFR and EUR, respectively) followed by trans-ancestry meta-analysis. Trans-/within-ancestry replication including data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (N = 5,965) was required for prioritization. Three external general population T2D polygenic risk scores (PRSs) were assessed, including multiancestry PRSs. Treatment risk effect modification was evaluated for prioritized loci.

RESULTS

Four novel T2D risk loci showing trans-/within-ancestry replication evidence were identified, with three loci achieving genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). Among these, common variants at 5p15.2 (LINC02112), 2p25.3 (MYT1L), and 19p12 (ZNF492) showed evidence of modifying alkylating agent-related T2D risk in both ancestral groups, but showed disproportionately greater risk in AFR survivors (AFR odds ratios [ORs], 3.95-17.81; EUR ORs, 2.37-3.32). In survivor-specific RNA-sequencing data (N = 207), the 19p12 locus variant was associated with greater ZNF492 expression dysregulation after exposures to alkylators. Elevated T2D risks across ancestry groups were only observed with increasing values for multiancestry T2D PRSs and were especially increased among survivors treated with alkylators (top v bottom quintiles: ORAFR, 20.18; P = .023; OREUR, 13.44; P = 1.3 × 10-9).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest therapy-related genetic risks contribute to the increased T2D burden among non-Hispanic Black childhood cancer survivors. Additional study of how therapy-related genetic susceptibility contributes to this disparity is needed.

Improved Cardiomyopathy Risk Prediction Using Global Longitudinal Strain and N-Terminal-Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in Survivors of Childhood Cancer Exposed to Cardiotoxic Therapy

PURPOSE

To leverage baseline global longitudinal strain (GLS) and N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to identify childhood cancer survivors with a normal left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at highest risk of future treatment-related cardiomyopathy.

METHODS

St Jude Lifetime Cohort participants ≥5 years from diagnosis, at increased risk for cardiomyopathy per the International Guideline Harmonization Group (IGHG), with an LVEF ≥50% on baseline echocardiography (n = 1,483) underwent measurement of GLS (n = 1,483) and NT-proBNP (n = 1,052; 71%). Multivariable Cox regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for postbaseline cardiomyopathy (modified Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events ≥grade 2) incidence in association with echocardiogram-based GLS (≥-18) and/or NT-proBNP (>age-sex-specific 97.5th percentiles). Prediction performance was assessed using AUC in models with and without GLS and NT-proBNP and compared using DeLong's test for IGHG moderate- and high-risk individuals treated with anthracyclines.

RESULTS

Among survivors (median age, 37.6; range, 10.2-70.4 years), 162 (11.1%) developed ≥grade 2 cardiomyopathy 5.1 (0.7-10.0) years from baseline assessment. The 5-year cumulative incidence of cardiomyopathy for survivors with and without abnormal GLS was, respectively, 7.3% (95% CI, 4.7 to 9.9) versus 4.4% (95% CI, 3.0 to 5.7) and abnormal NT-proBNP was 9.9% (95% CI, 5.8 to 14.1) versus 4.7% (95% CI, 3.2 to 6.2). Among survivors with a normal LVEF, abnormal baseline GLS and NT-proBNP identified anthracycline-exposed, IGHG-defined moderate-/high-risk survivors at a four-fold increased hazard of postbaseline cardiomyopathy (HR, 4.39 [95% CI, 2.46 to 7.83]; P < .001), increasing to a HR of 14.16 (95% CI, 6.45 to 31.08; P < .001) among survivors who received ≥250 mg/m2 of anthracyclines. Six years after baseline, AUCs for individual risk prediction were 0.70 for models with and 0.63 for models without GLS and NT-proBNP (P = .022).

CONCLUSION

GLS and NT-proBNP should be considered for improved identification of survivors at high risk for future cardiomyopathy.

Radiation Doses Received by Major Organs at Risk in Children and Young Adolescents Treated for Cancer with External Beam Radiation Therapy: A Large-scale Study from 12 European Countries

PURPOSE

Childhood cancer survivors, in particular those treated with radiation therapy, are at high risk of long-term iatrogenic events. The prediction of risk of such events is mainly based on the knowledge of the radiation dose received to healthy organs and tissues during treatment of childhood cancer diagnosed decades ago. We aimed to set up a standardized organ dose table to help former patients and clinicians in charge of long-term follow-up clinics.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We performed whole body dosimetric reconstruction for 2646 patients from 12 European countries treated between 1941 and 2006 (median, 1976). Most plannings were 2- or 3-dimensional. A total of 46% of patients were treated using Cobalt 60, and 41%, using a linear accelerator. The median prescribed dose was 27.2 Gy (IQ1-IQ3, 17.6-40.0 Gy). A patient-specific voxel-based anthropomorphic phantom with more than 200 anatomic structures or substructures delineated as a surrogate of each subject's anatomy was used. The radiation therapy was simulated with a treatment planning system based on available treatment information. The radiation dose received by any organ of the body was estimated by extending the treatment planning system dose calculation to the whole body, by type and localization of childhood cancer.

RESULTS

The integral dose and normal tissue doses to most of the 23 considered organs increased between the 1950s and 1970s and decreased or plateaued thereafter. Whatever the organ considered, the type of childhood cancer explained most of the variability in organ dose. The country of treatment explained only a small part of the variability.

CONCLUSIONS

The detailed dose estimates provide very useful information for former patients or clinicians who have only limited knowledge about radiation therapy protocols or techniques, but who know the type and site of childhood cancer, sex, age, and year of treatment. This will allow better prediction of the long-term risk of iatrogenic events and better referral to long-term follow-up clinics.

Prediabetes and Associated Risk of Cardiovascular Events and Chronic Kidney Disease Among Adult Survivors of Childhood Cancer in the St Jude Lifetime Cohort

PURPOSE

Little is known about the prevalence of prediabetes and associated risk of cardiovascular events and chronic kidney disease (CKD) with this reversable condition in survivors.

METHODS

Prevalence of prediabetes (fasting plasma glucose 100-125 mg/dL or hemoglobin A1c 5.7%-6.4%) and diabetes was clinically assessed in 3,529 adults ≥5 years from childhood cancer diagnosis and 448 controls stratified by age. Cox proportional hazards regression estimated progression from prediabetes to diabetes, and risk of future cardiac events, stroke, CKD, and death.

RESULTS

Among survivors, median age 30 years (IQR, 18-65), and the prevalence of prediabetes was 29.2% (95% CI, 27.7 to 30.7) versus 18.1% (14.5 to 21.6) in controls and of diabetes was 6.5% (5.7 to 7.3) versus 4.7% (2.7 to 6.6). By age 40-49 years, more than half of the survivors had prediabetes (45.5%) or diabetes (14.0%). Among 695 survivors with prediabetes and longitudinal follow-up, 68 (10%; median follow-up, 5.1 years) progressed to diabetes. After adjustment for demographic factors and body composition, risk of progression was associated with radiation exposure to the pancreatic tail ≥10 Gy (hazard ratio [HR], 2.7 [95% CI, 1.1 to 6.8]) and total-body irradiation (4.4 [1.5 to 13.1]). Compared with survivors with normal glucose control, adjusting for relevant treatment exposures, those with prediabetes were at increased risk of future myocardial infarction (HR, 2.4 [95% CI, 1.2 to 4.8]) and CKD (2.9 [1.04 to 8.15]), while those with diabetes were also at increased risk of future cardiomyopathy (3.8 [1.4 to 10.5]) or stroke (3.4 [1.3 to 8.9]).

CONCLUSION

Prediabetes is highly prevalent in adult survivors of childhood cancer and independently associated with an increased risk of future cardiovascular and kidney complications. Prediabetes, a modifiable risk factor among childhood cancer survivors, represents a new target for intervention that may prevent subsequent morbidity and mortality.

Polygenic risk scores, radiation treatment exposures and subsequent cancer risk in childhood cancer survivors

Survivors of childhood cancer are at increased risk for subsequent cancers attributable to the late effects of radiotherapy and other treatment exposures; thus, further understanding of the impact of genetic predisposition on risk is needed. Combining genotype data for 11,220 5-year survivors from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and the St Jude Lifetime Cohort, we found that cancer-specific polygenic risk scores (PRSs) derived from general population, genome-wide association study, cancer loci identified survivors of European ancestry at increased risk of subsequent basal cell carcinoma (odds ratio per s.d. of the PRS: OR = 1.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.29-1.46), female breast cancer (OR = 1.42, 95% CI = 1.27-1.58), thyroid cancer (OR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.31-1.67), squamous cell carcinoma (OR = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.00-1.44) and melanoma (OR = 1.60, 95% CI = 1.31-1.96); however, the association for colorectal cancer was not significant (OR = 1.19, 95% CI = 0.94-1.52). An investigation of joint associations between PRSs and radiotherapy found more than additive increased risks of basal cell carcinoma, and breast and thyroid cancers. For survivors with radiotherapy exposure, the cumulative incidence of subsequent cancer by age 50 years was increased for those with high versus low PRS. These findings suggest a degree of shared genetic etiology for these malignancy types in the general population and survivors, which remains evident in the context of strong radiotherapy-related risk.

Mechanisms of sleep disturbances in long-term cancer survivors: a childhood cancer survivor study report

BACKGROUND

Sleep problems following childhood cancer treatment may persist into adulthood, exacerbating cancer-related late effects and putting survivors at risk for poor physical and psychosocial functioning. This study examines sleep in long-term survivors and their siblings to identify risk factors and disease correlates.

METHODS

Childhood cancer survivors (≥5 years from diagnosis; n = 12 340; 51.5% female; mean [SD] age = 39.4 [9.6] years) and siblings (n = 2395; 57.1% female; age = 44.6 [10.5] years) participating in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study completed the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). Multivariable Poisson-error generalized estimating equation compared prevalence of binary sleep outcomes between survivors and siblings and evaluated cancer history and chronic health conditions (CHC) for associations with sleep outcomes, adjusting for age (at diagnosis and current), sex, race/ethnicity, and body mass index.

RESULTS

Survivors were more likely to report clinically elevated composite PSQI scores (>5; 45.1% vs 40.0%, adjusted prevalence ratio [PR] = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.13 to 1.27), symptoms of insomnia (38.8% vs 32.0%, PR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.18 to 1.35), snoring (18.0% vs 17.4%, PR = 1.11, 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.23), and sleep medication use (13.2% vs 11.5%, PR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.12 to 1.45) compared with siblings. Within cancer survivors, PSQI scores were similar across diagnoses. Anthracycline exposure (PR = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.03 to 1.25), abdominal radiation (PR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.29), and increasing CHC burden were associated with elevated PSQI scores (PRs = 1.21-1.48).

CONCLUSIONS

Among survivors, sleep problems were more closely related to CHC than diagnosis or treatment history, although longitudinal research is needed to determine the direction of this association. Frequent sleep-promoting medication use suggests interest in managing sleep problems; behavioral sleep intervention is advised for long-term management.

S, Xing M, Tonning Olsson I, de Blank PMK, Lange KR, Salloum R, Srivastava D, Leisenring WM, Howell RM, Oeffinger KC, Robison LL, Armstrong GT, Krull KR, Brinkman TM. Evolving therapies, neurocognitive outcomes, and functional independence in adult survivors of childhood glioma

BACKGROUND

Treatment of childhood glioma has evolved to reduce radiotherapy exposure with the goal of limiting late toxicity. However, the associations between treatment changes and neurocognition, and the contribution of neurocognition and chronic health conditions to attainment of adult independence, remain unknown.

METHODS

Adult survivors of childhood glioma diagnosed in 1970-1999 in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (n = 1284; median [minimum-maximum] 30 [18-51] years of age at assessment; 22 [15-34] years from diagnosis) self-reported neurocognitive impairment and chronic health conditions. Multivariable models evaluated associations between changes in treatment exposures (surgery only, chemotherapy [with or without surgery], cranial radiation [with or without chemotherapy and/or surgery]), and neurocognitive impairment. Latent class analysis with 5 indicators (employment, independent living, assistance with routine and/or personal care needs, driver's license, marital or partner status) identified classes of functional independence. Path analysis tested associations among treatment exposures, neurocognitive impairment, chronic health conditions, and functional independence. Statistical tests were 2-sided.

RESULTS

Cranial radiation exposure decreased over time (51%, 1970s; 46%, 1980s; 27%, 1990s]. However, compared with siblings, survivors with any treatment exposure were at elevated risk for neurocognitive impairment, including surgery only (eg, memory: relative risk = 2.22; task efficiency: relative risk = 1.88; both P < .001). Three classes of functional independence were identified: independent (58%), moderately independent (20%), and nonindependent (22%). Cranial radiation was associated with nonindependence through impaired task efficiency (β = 0.06), sensorimotor (β = 0.06), and endocrine (β = 0.10) chronic health conditions and through the associations between these conditions and task efficiency (each β = 0.04). Sensorimotor and endocrine chronic health conditions were associated with nonindependence through memory.

CONCLUSION

Most long-term glioma survivors achieve adult independence. However, functional nonindependence is associated with treatment-related neurocognitive impairment and chronic health conditions.

Neurologic morbidity and functional independence in adult survivors of childhood cancer

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations between neurologic late effects and attainment of independence in adult survivors of childhood cancer treated with central nervous system (CNS)-directed therapies.

METHODS

A total of 7881 survivors treated with cranial radiation therapy (n = 4051; CRT) and/or intrathecal methotrexate (n = 4193; IT MTX) ([CNS-treated]; median age [range] = 25.5 years [18-48]; time since diagnosis = 17.7 years [6.8-30.2]) and 8039 without CNS-directed therapy reported neurologic conditions including stroke, seizure, neurosensory deficits, focal neurologic dysfunction, and migraines/severe headaches. Functional independence was assessed using latent class analysis with multiple indicators (independent living, assistance with routine and personal care needs, ability to work/attend school, attainment of driver's license, marital/partner status). Multivariable regression models, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and chronic health conditions, estimated odds ratios (OR) or relative risks (RR) for associations between neurologic morbidity, functional independence, and emotional distress.

RESULTS

Among CNS-treated survivors, three classes of independence were identified: (1) moderately independent, never married, and non-independent living (78.7%); (2) moderately independent, unable to drive (15.6%); and (3) non-independent (5.7%). In contrast to 50% of non-CNS-treated survivors and 60% of siblings, a fourth fully independent class of CNS-treated survivors was not identified. History of stroke (OR = 2.50, 95% CI: 1.70-3.68), seizure (OR = 9.70, 95% CI: 7.37-12.8), neurosensory deficits (OR = 2.67, 95% CI: 2.16-3.31), and focal neurologic dysfunction (OR = 3.05, 95% CI: 2.40-3.88) were associated with non-independence among CNS-treated survivors. Non-independence was associated with emotional distress symptoms.

INTERPRETATION

CNS-treated survivors do not attain full independence comparable to non-CNS-treated survivors or siblings. Interventions to promote independence may be beneficial for survivors with treatment-related neurological sequalae.

Neurocognitive impairment associated with chronic morbidity in long-term survivors of Hodgkin Lymphoma

Thoracic radiation is associated with significant cardiopulmonary morbidities in survivors of long-term Hodgkin lymphoma and may affect neurocognitive outcomes. Survivors (N = 204; 52.5% female; mean [standard deviation] age, 36.6 [8.01] years) treated with thoracic radiation and age-, sex-, and race/ethnicity-matched community controls (N = 205; 51.7% female; age, 36.7 [9.17] years) completed standardized neurocognitive testing, echocardiography, pulmonary function tests, and vascular studies during the same visit. Treatments were abstracted from medical records. Cardiac (ie, left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF], global longitudinal strain [GLS]), vascular (ie, large and small artery elasticity [SAE]), pulmonary (ie, diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide [DLCO] and forced expiratory volume [FEV1]), and chronic health conditions were evaluated for associations with age-adjusted neurocognitive performance using multivariable linear regression. Compared with controls, survivors had lower performance (P < 0.05) in visuomotor (0.11 vs 0.41), visual processing speed (0.25 vs 0.64), short-term recall (-0.24 vs 0.12), and flexibility (-0.04 vs 0.28). Survivors had lower pulmonary (FEV1, DLCOcorr), cardiac (LVEF, GLS), and vascular function (SAE) than controls (all P < 0.001). FEV1 was associated with visuomotor (P = .008) and visual processing speed (P = .05), and flexibility (P = .05). GLS was associated with short-term recall (P = .03). SAE was associated with flexibility (P = .007). Neurocognitive outcomes were also associated with moderate-to-severe neurologic chronic conditions (P < .05). Findings suggest a link between subclinical cardiopulmonary and vascular findings, neurologic morbidity, and neurocognitive impairments. Prevention of health morbidity may benefit neurocognitive outcomes.

Development and validation of age-specific risk prediction models for primary ovarian insufficiency in long-term survivors of childhood cancer: a report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort

BACKGROUND

Female survivors of childhood cancer are at risk for primary ovarian insufficiency (POI), defined as the cessation of gonadal function before the age of 40 years. We aimed to develop and validate models to predict age-specific POI risk among long-term survivors of childhood cancer.

METHODS

To develop models to predict age-specific POI risk for the ages of 21-40 years, we used data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS). Female survivors aged 18 years or older at their latest follow-up, with self-reported menstrual history information and free of subsequent malignant neoplasms within 5 years of diagnosis, were included. We evaluated models that used algorithms based on statistical or machine learning to consider all predictors, including cancer treatments. Cross-validated prediction performance metrics (eg, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) were compared to select the best-performing models. For external validation of the models, we used data from 5-year survivors in the St Jude Lifetime Cohort (SJLIFE) with ovarian status clinically ascertained using hormone measurements (menopause defined by follicle stimulating hormone >30 mIU/mL and oestradiol <17 pg/mL) and medical chart or questionnaire review. We also evaluated an SJLIFE-based polygenic risk score for POI among 1985 CCSS survivors with genotype data available.

FINDINGS

7891 female CCSS survivors (922 with POI) were included in the development of the POI risk prediction model, and 1349 female SJLIFE survivors (101 with POI) were included in the validation study. Median follow-up from cancer diagnosis was 23·7 years (IQR 18·3-30·0) in CCSS and 15·1 years (10·4-22·9) in SJLIFE. Between the ages of 21 and 40 years, POI prevalence increased from 7·9% (95% CI 7·3-8·5) to 18·6% (17·3-20·0) in CCSS and 7·3% (5·8-8·9) to 14·9% (11·6-19·1) in SJLIFE. Age-specific logistic regression models considering ovarian radiation dosimetry or prescribed pelvic and abdominal radiation dose, along with individual chemotherapy predictors, performed well in CCSS. In the SJLIFE validation, the prescribed radiation dose model performed well (AUROC 0·88-0·95), as did a simpler model that considered any exposures to pelvic or abdominal radiotherapy or alkylators (0·82-0·90). Addition of the polygenic risk predictor significantly improved the average positive predictive value (from 0·76 [95% CI 0·63-0·89] to 0·87 [0·80-0·94]; p=0·029) among CCSS survivors treated with ovarian radiation and chemotherapy.

INTERPRETATION

POI risk prediction models using treatment information showed robust prediction performance in adult survivors of childhood cancer.

FUNDING

Canadian Institutes of Health Research, US National Cancer Institute.

Therapeutic exposures and pubertal testicular dysfunction are associated with adulthood milestones and paternity after childhood cancer

BACKGROUND

Childhood cancer therapy may cause long-term effects. This cross-sectional study evaluated adulthood milestones in male childhood cancer survivors (CCS).

METHODS

The study population comprised 252 male CCS with 6 to 42 years of survival diagnosed at the Children's Hospital in Helsinki (1964-2000) at the age of 0 to 17 years. Sex-, age-, and area of residence-matched population controls were randomly selected from the Finnish national registries. Data on moving away from the parental home, marital status, offspring, and adoption in CCS were compared with the population controls. We analyzed the influence of chemotherapy and radiation exposures and testicular dysfunction (ever nontestosterone-substituted serum follicle stimulating hormone >15 IU/L, luteinizing hormone >15 IU/L, testosterone <2 ng/mL (5 nmol/L), need of testosterone replacement therapy, or testicular volume <12 mL at the end of puberty) during pubertal maturation on long-term social outcomes.

RESULTS

CCS moved away from their parental home as frequently as population controls (97.8% vs. 98.5%, p = .45). CCS were less likely to marry or live in a registered relationship (46.4% vs. 57.5%, p < .001), especially when diagnosed at a young age (<4 years). Among those married, the probability of divorce was similar between CCS and population controls (27.4% vs. 23.8%, p = .41). Survivors were less likely to sire a child (38.5% vs. 59.1%, p < .001) and more likely to adopt (2% vs. 0.4%, p = .015). Lower probability of paternity was associated with hematopoietic stem cell therapy, testicular radiation dose >6 Gy, pubertal signs of testicular dysfunction (nontestosterone-substituted serum follicle stimulating hormone >15 IU/L, luteinizing hormone  >15 IU/L, testosterone <2 ng/mL (5 nmol/L), or need of testosterone replacement therapy during puberty, or testicular volume <12 mL at the end of puberty) or azoospermia after puberty.

CONCLUSIONS

This study emphasizes the value of pubertal monitoring of testicular function to estimate future probability of paternity. If no signs of dysfunction occurred during pubertal follow-up, paternity was comparable to population controls. Testicular radiation dose >6 Gy appeared to be the strongest risk factor for decreased paternity.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Treatment with intensive therapies, including hematopoietic stem cell therapy, testicular radiation dose >6 Gy, and signs of testicular dysfunction, during puberty are important risk factors for lower rates of fertility. Intensive therapies and testicular dysfunction itself do not similarly hamper psychosocial milestones in adulthood; cancer diagnosis at a very young age (<4 years) lower the probability of marriage. This study accentuates the importance of monitoring of pubertal development, emphasizing on testicular function, not only sperm analysis, to estimate future fertility among male childhood cancer survivors.

Trends in physical functioning in acute lymphoblastic leukemia and non-Hodgkin lymphoma survivors across three decades

PURPOSE

The impact of changes in therapy for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) on the prevalence of physical performance limitations and participation restrictions among survivors is unknown. We aimed to describe the prevalence of reduced function among ALL and NHL survivors by treatment era.

METHODS

Participants included survivors of childhood ALL and NHL, and a cohort of their siblings, participating in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS). Physical function was measured using questionnaire. The prevalence of reduced function was compared to siblings using generalized estimating equations, overall and stratified by treatment decade. Associations between organ system-specific chronic conditions (CTCAE v4.03) and function were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 6511 survivors (mean age 25.9 years (standard deviation 6.5)) and 4127 siblings, risk of performance limitations (15.2% vs. 12.5%, prevalence ratio [PR] = 1.5, 95%CI = 1.3-1.6), restrictions in personal care (2.0% vs. 0.6%, PR = 3.1, 95% CI = 2.0-4.8), routine activities (5.5% vs. 1.6%, PR = 3.6, 95% CI = 2.7-4.8), and work/school attendance (8.8% vs. 2.1%, PR = 4.5, 95% CI = 3.6-5.7) was increased in survivors vs. siblings. The prevalence of survivors reporting reduced function did not decrease between the 1970s and 1990s. The presence of neurological and cardiovascular conditions was associated with reduced function regardless of treatment decade.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite changes in therapy, the prevalence of poor physical function remained constant between the 1970s and 1990s. The CCSS clinical trial registration number is NCT01120353 (registered May 6, 2010).

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

Our findings support screening for reduced physical function so that early interventions to improve physical performance and mitigate chronic disease can be initiated.

Polygenic Risk and Chemotherapy-Related Subsequent Malignancies in Childhood Cancer Survivors: A Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study Report

PURPOSE

Chemotherapeutic exposures are associated with subsequent malignant neoplasm (SMN) risk. The role of genetic susceptibility in chemotherapy-related SMNs should be defined as use of radiation therapy (RT) decreases.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

SMNs among long-term childhood cancer survivors of European (EUR; N = 9,895) and African (AFR; N = 718) genetic ancestry from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study were evaluated. An externally validated 179-variant polygenic risk score (PRS) associated with pleiotropic adult cancer risk from the UK Biobank Study (N > 400,000) was computed for each survivor. SMN cumulative incidence comparing top and bottom PRS quintiles was estimated, along with hazard ratios (HRs) from proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

A total of 1,594 survivors developed SMNs, with basal cell carcinomas (n = 822), breast cancers (n = 235), and thyroid cancers (n = 221) being the most frequent. Although SMN risk associations with the PRS were extremely modest in RT-exposed EUR survivors (HR, 1.22; P = .048; n = 4,630), the increase in 30-year SMN cumulative incidence and HRs comparing top and bottom PRS quintiles was statistically significant among nonirradiated EUR survivors (n = 4,322) treated with alkylating agents (17% v 6%; HR, 2.46; P < .01), anthracyclines (20% v 8%; HR, 2.86; P < .001), epipodophyllotoxins (23% v 1%; HR, 12.20; P < .001), or platinums (46% v 7%; HR, 8.58; P < .01). This PRS also significantly modified epipodophyllotoxin-related SMN risk among nonirradiated AFR survivors (n = 414; P < .01). Improvements in prediction attributable to the PRS were greatest for epipodophyllotoxin-exposed (AUC, 0.71 v 0.63) and platinum-exposed (AUC,0.68 v 0.58) survivors.

CONCLUSION

A pleiotropic cancer PRS has strong potential for improving SMN clinical risk stratification among nonirradiated survivors treated with specific chemotherapies. A polygenic risk screening approach may be a valuable complement to an early screening strategy on the basis of treatments and rare cancer-susceptibility mutations.

Cardiac Substructure Radiation Dose and Risk of Late Cardiac Disease in Survivors of Childhood Cancer: A Report From the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study

PURPOSE

Radiation-associated cardiac disease is a major cause of morbidity/mortality among childhood cancer survivors. Radiation dose-response relationships for cardiac substructures and cardiac diseases remain unestablished.

METHODS

Using the 25,481 5-year survivors of childhood cancer treated from 1970 to 1999 in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study, we evaluated coronary artery disease (CAD), heart failure (HF), valvular disease (VD), and arrhythmia. We reconstructed radiation doses for each survivor to the coronary arteries, chambers, valves, and whole heart. Excess relative rate (ERR) models and piecewise exponential models evaluated dose-response relationships.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence 35 years from diagnosis was 3.9% (95% CI, 3.4 to 4.3) for CAD, 3.8% (95% CI, 3.4 to 4.2) for HF, 1.2% (95% CI, 1.0 to 1.5) for VD, and 1.4% (95% CI, 1.1 to 1.6) for arrhythmia. A total of 12,288 survivors (48.2%) were exposed to radiotherapy. Quadratic ERR models improved fit compared with linear ERR models for the dose-response relationship between mean whole heart and CAD, HF, and arrhythmia, suggesting a potential threshold dose; however, such departure from linearity was not observed for most cardiac substructure end point dose-response relationships. Mean doses of 5-9.9 Gy to the whole heart did not increase the risk of any cardiac diseases. Mean doses of 5-9.9 Gy to the right coronary artery (rate ratio [RR], 2.6 [95% CI, 1.6 to 4.1]) and left ventricle (RR, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.3 to 3.7]) increased risk of CAD, and to the tricuspid valve (RR, 5.5 [95% CI, 2.0 to 15.1]) and right ventricle (RR, 8.4 [95% CI, 3.7 to 19.0]) increased risk of VD.

CONCLUSION

Among children with cancer, there may be no threshold dose below which radiation to the cardiac substructures does not increase the risk of cardiac diseases. This emphasizes their importance in modern treatment planning.

Trans-ancestral genetic study of diabetes mellitus risk in survivors of childhood cancer: a report from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort and the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is an established late effect of treatment for childhood cancer. Leveraging detailed cancer treatment and whole-genome sequencing data among survivors of childhood cancer of European (EUR) and African (AFR) genetic ancestry in the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort (N=3,676; 304 cases), five novel diabetes mellitus (DM) risk loci were identified with independent trans-/within-ancestry replication, including in 5,965 survivors of the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study. Among these, common risk variants at 5p15.2 ( LINC02112 ), 2p25.3 ( MYT1L ), and 19p12 ( ZNF492 ) modified alkylating agent-related risks across ancestry groups, but AFR survivors with risk alleles experienced disproportionately greater risk of DM (AFR, variant ORs: 3.95-17.81; EUR, variant ORs: 2.37-3.32). Novel risk locus XNDC1N was identified in the first genome-wide DM rare variant burden association analysis in survivors (OR=8.65, 95% CI: 3.02-24.74, P=8.1×10 -6 ). Lastly, a general-population 338-variant multi-ancestry T2D polygenic risk score was informative for DM risk in AFR survivors, and showed elevated DM odds after alkylating agent exposures (quintiles: combined OR EUR =8.43, P=1.1×10 -8 ; OR AFR =13.85, P=0.033). This study supports future precision diabetes surveillance/survivorship care for all childhood cancer survivors, including those with AFR ancestry.

Cumulative burden of late, major surgical intervention in survivors of childhood cancer: a report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) cohort

BACKGROUND

Multimodal cancer therapy places childhood cancer survivors at increased risk for chronic health conditions, subsequent malignancies, and premature mortality as they age. We aimed to estimate the cumulative burden of late (>5 years from cancer diagnosis), major surgical interventions among childhood cancer survivors, compared with their siblings, and to examine associations between specific childhood cancer treatments and the burden of late surgical interventions.

METHODS

We analysed data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS), a retrospective cohort study with longitudinal prospective follow-up of 5-year survivors of childhood cancer (diagnosed before age 21 years) treated at 31 institutions in the USA, with a comparison group of nearest-age siblings of survivors selected by simple random sampling. The primary outcome was any self-reported late, major surgical intervention (defined as any anaesthesia-requiring operation) occurring 5 years or more after the primary cancer diagnosis. The cumulative burden was assessed with mean cumulative counts (MCC) of late, major surgical interventions. Piecewise exponential regression models with calculation of adjusted rate ratios (RRs) evaluated associations between treatment exposures and late, major surgical interventions.

FINDINGS

Between Jan 1, 1970, and Dec 31, 1999, 25 656 survivors were diagnosed (13 721 male, 11 935 female; median follow-up 21·8 years [IQR 16·5-28·4]; median age at diagnosis 6·1 years [3·0-12·4]); 5045 nearest-age siblings were also included as a comparison group. Survivors underwent 28 202 late, major surgical interventions and siblings underwent 4110 late, major surgical interventions. The 35-year MCC of a late, major surgical intervention was 206·7 per 100 survivors (95% CI 202·7-210·8) and 128·9 per 100 siblings (123·0-134·7). The likelihood of a late, major surgical intervention was higher in survivors versus siblings (adjusted RR 1·8, 95% CI 1·7-1·9) and in female versus male survivors (1·4; 1·4-1·5). Survivors diagnosed in the 1990s (adjusted RR 1·4, 95% CI 1·3-1·5) had an increased likelihood of late surgery compared with those diagnosed in the 1970s. Survivors received late interventions more frequently than siblings in most anatomical regions or organ systems, including CNS (adjusted RR 16·9, 95% CI 9·4-30·4), endocrine (6·7, 5·2-8·7), cardiovascular (6·6, 5·2-8·3), respiratory (5·3, 3·4-8·2), spine (2·4, 1·8-3·2), breast (2·1, 1·7-2·6), renal or urinary (2·0, 1·5-2·6), musculoskeletal (1·5, 1·4-1·7), gastrointestinal (1·4, 1·3-1·6), and head and neck (1·2, 1·1-1·4) interventions. Survivors of Hodgkin lymphoma (35-year MCC 333·3 [95% CI 320·1-346·6] per 100 survivors), Ewing sarcoma (322·9 [294·5-351·3] per 100 survivors), and osteosarcoma (269·6 [250·1-289·2] per 100 survivors) had the highest cumulative burdens of late, major surgical interventions. Locoregional surgery or radiotherapy cancer treatment were associated with undergoing late surgical intervention in the same body region or organ system.

INTERPRETATION

Childhood cancer survivors have a significant burden of late, major surgical interventions, a late effect that has previously been poorly quantified. Survivors would benefit from regular health-care evaluations aiming to anticipate impending surgical issues and to intervene early in the disease course when feasible.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health, US National Cancer Institute, American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities, and St Jude Children's Research Hospital.

Late-onset Cognitive Impairment and Modifiable Risk Factors in Adult Childhood Cancer Survivors

Importance

Long-term survivors of childhood cancer may be at elevated risk for new neurocognitive impairment and decline as they age into adulthood.

Objective

To determine whether aging adult childhood cancer survivors report more new-onset neurocognitive impairments compared with their siblings and to identify risk factors associated with such impairments.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Participants of this cohort study included adult survivors of childhood cancer from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and their siblings as a control group. The original cohort included survivors who received a diagnosis between January 1, 1970, and December 31, 1986, for whom longitudinal neurocognitive assessment was available. This study examined the prevalence of new-onset neurocognitive impairment between baseline (23.4 years after diagnosis) and follow-up (35.0 years after diagnosis). The analysis was performed from January 2021 to May 2022.

Exposures

Cancer treatment exposures were abstracted from medical records. Chronic health conditions were graded using Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 4.03.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was new-onset (present at follow-up, but not present at baseline) neurocognitive impairment (defined as a score in the worst 10% of the sibling cohort). Impairment was assessed using the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study Neurocognitive questionnaire. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs were used to estimate associations of neurocognitive impairment with treatment and health behaviors and conditions using generalized linear models.

Results

The cohort comprised 2375 survivors (mean [SD] age at evaluation, 31.8 [7.5] years; 1298 women [54.6%]) of childhood cancer, including acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL; 1316 participants), central nervous system (CNS) tumors (488 participants), and Hodgkin lymphoma (HL; 571 participants). A total of 232 siblings (mean [SD] age at evaluation, 34.2 [8.4] years; 134 women [57.8%]) were included. Compared with siblings, a higher proportion of survivors with no impairment in memory at baseline had new-onset memory impairment at follow-up: siblings proportion, 7.8% (95% CI, 4.3%-11.4%); ALL survivors treated with chemotherapy only, 14.0% (95% CI, 10.7%-17.4%); ALL survivors treated with cranial radiation (CRT), 25.8% (95% CI, 22.6%-29.0%); CNS tumor survivors, 34.7% (95% CI, 30.0%-39.5%); and HL survivors, 16.6% (95% CI, 13.4%-19.8%). New-onset memory impairment was associated with CRT in CNS tumor survivors (RR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.33-2.90) and alkylator chemotherapy greater than or equal to 8000 mg/m2 in ALL survivors treated without CRT (RR, 2.80; 95% CI, 1.28-6.12). Neurologic conditions mediated the impact of CRT on new-onset memory impairment in CNS survivors. Smoking, low educational attainment, and low physical activity were associated with elevated risk for new-onset memory impairment.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that adult survivors of childhood cancer are at elevated risk for late-onset memory impairment related to modifiable risk factors identified early in survivorship.

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Kidney Failure in Long-Term Survivors of Childhood Cancer

PURPOSE

Kidney failure is a rare but serious late effect following treatment for childhood cancer. We developed a model using demographic and treatment characteristics to predict individual risk of kidney failure among 5-year survivors of childhood cancer.

METHODS

Five-year survivors from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) without history of kidney failure (n = 25,483) were assessed for subsequent kidney failure (ie, dialysis, kidney transplantation, or kidney-related death) by age 40 years. Outcomes were identified by self-report and linkage with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network and the National Death Index. A sibling cohort (n = 5,045) served as a comparator. Piecewise exponential models accounting for race/ethnicity, age at diagnosis, nephrectomy, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, congenital genitourinary anomalies, and early-onset hypertension estimated the relationships between potential predictors and kidney failure, using area under the curve (AUC) and concordance (C) statistic to evaluate predictive power. Regression coefficient estimates were converted to integer risk scores. The St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study and the National Wilms Tumor Study served as validation cohorts.

RESULTS

Among CCSS survivors, 204 developed late kidney failure. Prediction models achieved an AUC of 0.65-0.67 and a C-statistic of 0.68-0.69 for kidney failure by age 40 years. Validation cohort AUC and C-statistics were 0.88/0.88 for the St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study (n = 8) and 0.67/0.64 for the National Wilms Tumor Study (n = 91). Risk scores were collapsed to form statistically distinct low- (n = 17,762), moderate- (n = 3,784), and high-risk (n = 716) groups, corresponding to cumulative incidences in CCSS of kidney failure by age 40 years of 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4 to 0.7), 2.1% (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9), and 7.5% (95% CI, 4.3 to 11.6), respectively, compared with 0.2% (95% CI, 0.1 to 0.5) among siblings.

CONCLUSION

Prediction models accurately identify childhood cancer survivors at low, moderate, and high risk for late kidney failure and may inform screening and interventional strategies.

Adverse late health outcomes among children treated with 3D radiotherapy techniques: Study design of the Dutch pediatric 3D-RT study

BACKGROUND

Adverse late health outcomes after multimodal treatment for pediatric cancer are diverse and of prime interest. Currently available evidence and survivorship care guidelines are largely based on studies addressing side-effects of two dimensional planned radiotherapy.

AIMS

The Dutch pediatric 3D-planned radiotherapy (3D-RT) study aims to gain insight in the long-term health outcomes among children who had radiotherapy in the 3D era. Here, we describe the study design, data-collection methods, and baseline cohort characteristics.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The 3D-RT study represents an expansion of the Dutch Childhood Cancer Survivor study (DCCSS) LATER cohort, including pediatric cancer patients diagnosed during 2000-2012, who survived at least 5 years after initial diagnosis and 2 years post external beam radiotherapy. Individual cancer treatment parameters were obtained from medical files. A national infrastructure for uniform collection and archival of digital radiotherapy files (Computed Tomography [CT]-scans, delineations, plan, and dose files) was established. Health outcome information, including subsequent tumors, originated from medical records at the LATER outpatient clinics, and national registry-linkage. With a median follow-up of 10.9 (interquartile range [IQR]: 7.9-14.3) years after childhood cancer diagnosis, 711 eligible survivors were identified. The most common cancer types were Hodgkin lymphoma, medulloblastoma, and nephroblastoma. Most survivors received radiotherapy directed to the head/cranium only, the craniospinal axis, or the abdominopelvic region.

CONCLUSION

The 3D-RT study will provide knowledge on the risk of adverse late health outcomes and radiation-associated dose-effect relationships. This information is valuable to guide follow-up care of childhood cancer survivors and to refine future treatment protocols.

Questionnaire‐ and linkage‐based outcomes in Dutch childhood cancer survivors: Methodology of the DCCSS LATER study part 1

BACKGROUND

Childhood cancer survivors are at risk for developing long-term adverse health outcomes. To identify the risk of and risk factors for specific health outcomes, well-established cohorts are needed with detailed information on childhood cancer diagnosis, treatment, and health outcomes. We describe the design, methodology, characteristics, and data availability of the Dutch Childhood Cancer Survivor Study LATER cohort (1963-2001) part 1; questionnaire and linkage studies.

METHODS

The LATER cohort includes 5-year childhood cancer survivors, diagnosed in the period 1963-2001, and before the age of 18 in any of the seven former pediatric oncology centers in the Netherlands. Information on health outcomes from survivors and invited siblings of survivors was collected by questionnaires and linkages to medical registries.

RESULTS

In total, 6165 survivors were included in the LATER cohort. Extensive data on diagnosis and treatment have been collected. Information on a variety of health outcomes has been ascertained by the LATER questionnaire study and linkages with several registries for subsequent tumors, health care use, and hospitalizations.

CONCLUSION

Research with data of the LATER cohort will provide new insights into risks of and risk factors for long-term health outcomes. This can enhance risk stratification for childhood cancer survivors and inform surveillance guidelines and development of interventions to prevent (the impact of) long-term adverse health outcomes. The data collected will be a solid baseline foundation for future follow-up studies.

Development and validation of a population-based anatomical colorectal model for radiation dosimetry in late effects studies of survivors of childhood cancer

PURPOSE

The purposes of this study were to develop and integrate a colorectal model that incorporates anatomical variations of pediatric patients into the age-scalable MD Anderson Late Effects (MDA-LE) computational phantom, and validate the model for pediatric radiation therapy (RT) dose reconstructions.

METHODS

Colorectal contours were manually derived from whole-body non-contrast computed tomography (CT) scans of 114 pediatric patients (age range: 2.1-21.6 years, 74 males, 40 females). One contour was used for an anatomical template, 103 for training and 10 for testing. Training contours were used to create a colorectal principal component analysis (PCA)-based statistical shape model (SSM) to extract the population's dominant deformations. The SSM was integrated into the MDA-LE phantom. Geometric accuracy was assessed between patient-specific and SSM contours using several overlap metrics. Two alternative colorectal shapes were generated using the first 17 dominant modes of the PCA-based SSM. Dosimetric accuracy was assessed by comparing colorectal doses from test patients' CT-based RT plans (ground truth) with reconstructed doses for the mean and two alternative models in age-matched MDA-LE phantoms.

RESULTS

When using all 103 PCA modes, the mean (min-max) Dice similarity coefficient, distance-to-agreement and Hausdorff distance between the patient-specific and reconstructed contours for the test patients were 0.89 (0.85-0.91), 2.1 mm (1.7-3.0), and 8.6 mm (5.7-14.3), respectively. The average percent difference between reconstructed and ground truth mean and maximum colorectal doses for the mean (alternative 1, 2) model were 6.3% (8.1%, 6.1%) and 4.4% (4.3%, 4.7%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed, validated and integrated a colorectal PCA-based SSM into the MDA-LE phantom and demonstrated its dosimetric performance for accurate pediatric RT dose reconstruction.

Association of Changes in Cancer Therapy Over 3 Decades With Risk of Subsequent Breast Cancer Among Female Childhood Cancer Survivors: A Report From the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS)

Importance

Breast cancer is the most common invasive subsequent malignant disease in childhood cancer survivors, though limited data exist on changes in breast cancer rates as primary cancer treatments have evolved.

Objective

To quantify the association between temporal changes in cancer treatment over 3 decades and subsequent breast cancer risk.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Retrospective cohort study of 5-year cancer survivors diagnosed when younger than 21 years between 1970 and 1999, with follow-up through December 5, 2020.

Exposures

Radiation and chemotherapy dose changes over time.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Breast cancer cumulative incidence rates and age-specific standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) compared across treatment decades (1970-1999). Piecewise exponential models estimated invasive breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) risk and associations with treatment exposures, adjusted for age at childhood cancer diagnosis and attained age.

Results

Among 11 550 female survivors (median age, 34.2 years; range 5.6-66.8 years), 489 developed 583 breast cancers: 427 invasive, 156 DCIS. Cumulative incidence was 8.1% (95% CI, 7.3%-9.0%) by age 45 years. An increased breast cancer risk (SIR, 6.6; 95% CI, 6.1-7.2) was observed for survivors compared with the age-sex-calendar-year-matched general population. Changes in therapy by decade included reduced rates of chest (34% in the 1970s, 22% in the 1980s, and 17% in the 1990s) and pelvic radiotherapy (26%, 17%, and 13% respectively) and increased rates of anthracycline chemotherapy exposures (30%, 51%, and 64%, respectively). Adjusting for age and age at diagnosis, the invasive breast cancer rate decreased 18% every 5 years of primary cancer diagnosis era (rate ratio [RR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.74-0.90). When accounting for chest radiotherapy exposure, the decline attenuated to an 11% decrease every 5 years (RR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.81-0.99). When additionally adjusted for anthracycline dose and pelvic radiotherapy, the decline every 5 years increased to 14% (RR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77-0.96). Although SIRs of DCIS generally increased over time, there were no statistically significant changes in incidence.

Conclusions and Relevance

Invasive breast cancer rates in childhood cancer survivors have declined with time, especially in those younger than 40 years. This appears largely associated with the reduced use of chest radiation therapy, but was tempered by concurrent changes in other therapies.

The risk of cancer following high, and very high, doses of ionising radiation

It is established that moderate-to-high doses of ionising radiation increase the risk of subsequent cancer in the exposed individual, but the question arises as to the risk of cancer from higher doses, such as those delivered during radiotherapy, accidents, or deliberate acts of malice. In general, the cumulative dose received during a course of radiation treatment is sufficiently high that it would kill a person if delivered as a single dose to the whole body, but therapeutic doses are carefully fractionated and high/very high doses are generally limited to a small tissue volume under controlled conditions. The very high cumulative doses delivered as fractions during radiation treatment are designed to inactivate diseased cells, but inevitably some healthy cells will also receive high/very high doses. How the doses (ranging from <1 Gy to tens of Gy) received by healthy tissues during radiotherapy affect the risk of second primary cancer is an increasingly important issue to address as more cancer patients survive the disease. Studies show that, except for a turndown for thyroid cancer, a linear dose-response for second primary solid cancers seems to exist over a cumulative gamma radiation dose range of tens of gray, but with a gradient of excess relative risk per Gy that varies with the type of second cancer, and which is notably shallower than that found in the Japanese atomic bomb survivors receiving a single moderate-to-high acute dose. The risk of second primary cancer consequent to high/very high doses of radiation is likely to be due to repopulation of heavily irradiated tissues by surviving stem cells, some of which will have been malignantly transformed by radiation exposure, although the exact mechanism is not known, and various models have been proposed. It is important to understand the mechanisms that lead to the raised risk of second primary cancers consequent to the receipt of high/very high doses, in particular so that the risks associated with novel radiation treatment regimens-for example, intensity modulated radiotherapy and volumetric modulated arc therapy that deliver high doses to the target volume while exposing relatively large volumes of healthy tissue to low/moderate doses, and treatments using protons or heavy ions rather than photons-may be properly assessed.

Primary hypothyroidism in childhood cancer survivors: Prevalence, risk factors, and long-term consequences

BACKGROUND

Data on primary hypothyroidism and its long-term impact on the health, cognition, and quality of life (QOL) of childhood cancer survivors are limited. This study examined the prevalence of and risk factors for primary hypothyroidism and its associations with physical, neurocognitive, and psychosocial outcomes.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study with a cross-sectional health outcome analysis of an established cohort comprising 2965 survivors of childhood cancer (52.8% male; median current age, 30.9 years, median time since cancer diagnosis, 22.3 years). Multivariable logistic regression estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between primary hypothyroidism and cancer-related risk factors, cardiovascular disease risk factors, frailty, neurocognitive and QOL outcomes, social attainment, and subsequent thyroid carcinoma. Associations between serum free thyroxine and thyrotropin levels at assessment and health outcomes were explored.

RESULTS

The prevalence of primary hypothyroidism was 14.7% (95% CI, 13.5%-16.0%). It was more likely in females (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.03-1.08), was less likely in non-Whites (OR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.93-0.99), was associated with thyroid radiotherapy (higher risk at higher doses), and was more common if cancer was diagnosed at an age ≥ 15.0 years versus an age < 5 years (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09). Primary hypothyroidism was associated with frailty (OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.05-2.26), dyslipidemia (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.14-2.04), impaired physical QOL (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.12-2.48), and having health care insurance (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.07-2.12).

CONCLUSIONS

Primary hypothyroidism is common in survivors and is associated with unfavorable physical health and QOL outcomes. The impact of thyroid hormone replacement practices on these outcomes should be investigated further.

Body region-specific 3D age-scaling functions for scaling whole-body computed tomography anatomy for pediatric late effects studies

Purpose.Radiation epidemiology studies of childhood cancer survivors treated in the pre-computed tomography (CT) era reconstruct the patients' treatment fields on computational phantoms. For such studies, the phantoms are commonly scaled to age at the time of radiotherapy treatment because age is the generally available anthropometric parameter. Several reference size phantoms are used in such studies, but reference size phantoms are only available at discrete ages (e.g.: newborn, 1, 5, 10, 15, and Adult). When such phantoms are used for RT dose reconstructions, the nearest discrete-aged phantom is selected to represent a survivor of a specific age. In this work, we (1) conducted a feasibility study to scale reference size phantoms at discrete ages to various other ages, and (2) evaluated the dosimetric impact of using exact age-scaled phantoms as opposed to nearest age-matched phantoms at discrete ages.Methods.We have adopted the University of Florida/National Cancer Institute (UF/NCI) computational phantom library for our studies. For the feasibility study, eight male and female reference size UF/NCI phantoms (5, 10, 15, and 35 years) were downscaled to fourteen different ages which included next nearest available lower discrete ages (1, 5, 10 and 15 years) and the median ages at the time of RT for Wilms' tumor (3.9 years), craniospinal (8.0 years), and all survivors (9.1 years old) in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) expansion cohort treated with RT. The downscaling was performed using our in-house age scaling functions (ASFs). To geometrically validate the scaling, Dice similarity coefficient (DSC), mean distance to agreement (MDA), and Euclidean distance (ED) were calculated between the scaled and ground-truth discrete-aged phantom (unscaled UF/NCI) for whole-body, brain, heart, liver, pancreas, and kidneys. Additionally, heights of the scaled phantoms were compared with ground-truth phantoms' height, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported 50th percentile height. Scaled organ masses were compared with ground-truth organ masses. For the dosimetric assessment, one reference size phantom and seventeen body-size dependent 5-year-old phantoms (9 male and 8 female) of varying body mass indices (BMI) were downscaled to 3.9-year-old dimensions for two different radiation dose studies. For the first study, we simulated a 6 MV photon right-sided flank field RT plan on a reference size 5-year-old and 3.9-year-old (both of healthy BMI), keeping the field size the same in both cases. Percent of volume receiving dose ≥15 Gy (V₁₅) and the mean dose were calculated for the pancreas, liver, and stomach. For the second study, the same treatment plan, but with patient anatomy-dependent field sizes, was simulated on seventeen body-size dependent 5- and 3.9-year-old phantoms with varying BMIs. V₁₅, mean dose, and minimum dose received by 1% of the volume (D₁), and by 95% of the volume (D₉₅) were calculated for pancreas, liver, stomach, left kidney (contralateral), right kidney, right and left colons, gallbladder, thoracic vertebrae, and lumbar vertebrae. A non-parametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test was performed to determine if the dose to organs of exact age-scaled and nearest age-matched phantoms were significantly different (p < 0.05).Results.In the feasibility study, the best DSCs were obtained for the brain (median: 0.86) and whole-body (median: 0.91) while kidneys (median: 0.58) and pancreas (median: 0.32) showed poorer agreement. In the case of MDA and ED, whole-body, brain, and kidneys showed tighter distribution and lower median values as compared to other organs. For height comparison, the overall agreement was within 2.8% (3.9 cm) and 3.0% (3.2 cm) of ground-truth UF/NCI and CDC reported 50th percentile heights, respectively. For mass comparison, the maximum percent and absolute differences between the scaled and ground-truth organ masses were within 31.3% (29.8 g) and 211.8 g (16.4%), respectively (across all ages). In the first dosimetric study, absolute difference up to 6% and 1.3 Gy was found for V₁₅and mean dose, respectively. In the second dosimetric study, V₁₅and mean dose were significantly different (p < 0.05) for all studied organs except the fully in-beam organs. D₁and D₉₅were not significantly different for most organs (p > 0.05).Conclusion.We have successfully evaluated our ASFs by scaling UF/NCI computational phantoms from one age to another age, which demonstrates the feasibility of scaling any CT-based anatomy. We have found that dose to organs of exact age-scaled and nearest aged-matched phantoms are significantly different (p < 0.05) which indicates that using the exact age-scaled phantoms for retrospective dosimetric studies is a better approach.

Personalized 3D-printed anthropomorphic whole-body phantom irradiated by protons, photons, and neutrons

The objective of this study was to confirm the feasibility of three-dimensionally-printed (3D-printed), personalized whole-body anthropomorphic phantoms for radiation dose measurements in a variety of charged and uncharged particle radiation fields. We 3D-printed a personalized whole-body phantom of an adult female with a height of 154.8 cm, mass of 90.7 kg, and body mass index of 37.8 kg/m². The phantom comprised of a hollow plastic shell filled with water and included a watertight access conduit for positioning dosimeters. It is compatible with a wide variety of radiation dosimeters, including ionization chambers that are suitable for uncharged and charged particles. Its mass was 6.8 kg empty and 98 kg when filled with water. Watertightness and mechanical robustness were confirmed after multiple experiments and transportations between institutions. The phantom was irradiated to the cranium with therapeutic beams of 170-MeV protons, 6-MV photons, and fast neutrons. Radiation absorbed dose was measured from the cranium to the pelvis along the longitudinal central axis of the phantom. The dose measurements were made using established dosimetry protocols and well-characterized instruments. For the therapeutic environments considered in this study, stray radiation from intracranial treatment beams was the lowest for proton therapy, intermediate for photon therapy, and highest for neutron therapy. An illustrative example set of measurements at the location of the thyroid for a square field of 5.3 cm per side resulted in 0.09, 0.59, and 1.93 cGy/Gy from proton, photon, and neutron beams, respectively. In this study, we found that 3D-printed personalized phantoms are feasible, inherently reproducible, and well-suited for therapeutic radiation measurements. The measurement methodologies we developed enabled the direct comparison of radiation exposures from neutron, proton, and photon beam irradiations.

Impact of Risk-Stratified Therapy on Health Status in Survivors of Childhood Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia: A Report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study

BACKGROUND

Prior studies have identified that survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) report poor health status. It is unknown how risk-stratified therapy impacts the health status of ALL survivors.

METHODS

We estimated and compared the prevalence of self-reported poor health status among adult (≥18 years) survivors of childhood ALL diagnosed at age <21 years from 1970 to 1999 and sibling controls, excluding proxy reports. Therapy combinations defined treatment groups representative of 1970s therapy (70s), standard- and high-risk 1980s and 1990s therapy (80sSR, 80sHR, 90sSR, 90sHR), and relapse/bone marrow transplant (R/BMT). Log-binomial models, adjusted for clinical and demographic factors, compared outcomes between groups using prevalence ratios (PR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Among 5,119 survivors and 4,693 siblings, survivors were more likely to report poor health status in each domain including poor general health (13.5% vs. 7.4%; PR = 1.92; 95% CI, 1.69-2.19). Compared with 70s, 90sSR and 90sHR were less likely to report poor general health (90sSR: PR = 0.75; 95% CI, 0.57-0.98; 90sHR: PR = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39-0.87), functional impairment (90sSR: PR = 0.56; 95% CI, 0.42-0.76; 90sHR: PR = 0.63; 95% CI, 0.42-0.95), and activity limitations (90sSR: 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45-0.83; 90sHR: PR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.38-0.91). An added adjustment for chronic conditions in multivariable models partially attenuated 90sSR risk estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk-stratified ALL therapy has succeeded in reducing risk for poor general health, functional impairment, and activity limitations among more recent survivors of standard- and high-risk therapy.

IMPACT

Future research into the relationship between risk-stratified therapy, health status, and late health outcomes may provide new opportunities to further improve late morbidity among survivors.

Late-onset kidney failure in survivors of childhood cancer: a report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study

BACKGROUND

The incidence of and risk factors for late-onset kidney failure among survivors over the very long term remains understudied.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 25,530 childhood cancer survivors (median follow-up 22.3 years, interquartile range 17.4-28.8) diagnosed between 1970 and 1999, and 5045 siblings from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study were assessed for self-reported late-onset kidney failure, defined as dialysis, renal transplantation, or death attributable to kidney disease. Piecewise exponential models evaluated associations between risk factors and the rate of late-onset kidney failure.

RESULTS

A total of 206 survivors and 10 siblings developed late-onset kidney failure, a 35-year cumulative incidence of 1.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.4-1.9) and 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.1-0.4), respectively, corresponding to an adjusted rate ratio (RR) of 4.9 (95% CI = 2.6-9.2). High kidney dose from radiotherapy (≥15Gy; RR = 4.0, 95% CI = 2.1-7.4), exposure to high-dose anthracycline (≥250 mg/m2; RR = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.0-2.6) or any ifosfamide chemotherapy (RR = 2.6, 95% CI = 1.2-5.7), and nephrectomy (RR = 1.9, 95% CI = 1.0-3.4) were independently associated with elevated risk for late-onset kidney failure among survivors. Survivors who developed hypertension, particularly in the context of prior nephrectomy (RR = 14.4, 95% CI = 7.1-29.4 hypertension with prior nephrectomy; RR = 5.9, 95% CI = 3.3-10.5 hypertension without prior nephrectomy), or diabetes (RR = 2.2, 95%CI = 1.2-4.2) were also at elevated risk for late-onset kidney failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Survivors of childhood cancer are at increased risk for late-onset kidney failure. Kidney dose from radiotherapy ≥15 Gy, high-dose anthracycline, any ifosfamide, and nephrectomy were associated with increased risk of late-onset kidney failure among survivors. Successful diagnosis and management of modifiable risk factors such as diabetes and hypertension may mitigate the risk for late-onset kidney failure. The association of late-onset kidney failure with anthracycline chemotherapy represents a novel finding that warrants further study.

Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Prediction of Late-Onset Cardiomyopathy Among Childhood Cancer Survivors

PURPOSE

Early identification of childhood cancer survivors at high risk for treatment-related cardiomyopathy may improve outcomes by enabling intervention before development of heart failure. We implemented artificial intelligence (AI) methods using the Children's Oncology Group guideline-recommended baseline ECG to predict cardiomyopathy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Seven AI and signal processing methods were applied to 10-second 12-lead ECGs obtained on 1,217 adult survivors of childhood cancer prospectively followed in the St Jude Lifetime Cohort (SJLIFE) study. Clinical and echocardiographic assessment of cardiac function was performed at initial and follow-up SJLIFE visits. Cardiomyopathy was defined as an ejection fraction < 50% or an absolute drop from baseline ≥ 10%. Genetic algorithm was used for feature selection, and extreme gradient boosting was applied to predict cardiomyopathy during the follow-up period. Model performance was evaluated by five-fold stratified cross-validation.

RESULTS

The median age at baseline SJLIFE evaluation was 31.7 years (range 18.4-66.4), and the time between baseline and follow-up evaluations was 5.2 years (0.5-9.5). Two thirds (67.1%) of patients were exposed to chest radiation, and 76.6% to anthracycline chemotherapy. One hundred seventeen (9.6%) patients developed cardiomyopathy during follow-up. In the model based solely on ECG features, the cross-validation area under the curve (AUC) was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83 to 0.90), whereas the model based on clinical features had an AUC of 0.69 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.74). In the model based on ECG and clinical features, the cross-validation AUC was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.86 to 0.91), with a sensitivity of 78% and a specificity of 81%.

CONCLUSION

AI using ECG data may assist in the identification of childhood cancer survivors at increased risk for developing future cardiomyopathy.

Radiation therapy related cardiac disease risk in childhood cancer survivors: Updated dosimetry analysis from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We previously evaluated late cardiac disease in long-term survivors in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) based on heart radiation therapy (RT) doses estimated from an age-scaled phantom with a simple atlas-based heart model (H_Atlas). We enhanced our phantom with a high-resolution CT-based anatomically realistic and validated age-scalable cardiac model (H_Hybrid). We aimed to evaluate how this update would impact our prior estimates of RT-related late cardiac disease risk in the CCSS cohort.

METHODS

We evaluated 24,214 survivors from the CCSS diagnosed from 1970 to 1999. RT fields were reconstructed on an age-scaled phantom with H_Hybrid and mean heart dose (D_m), percent volume receiving ≥ 20 Gy (V₂₀) and ≥ 5 Gy with V₂₀ = 0 ( [Formula: see text] ) were calculated. We reevaluated cumulative incidences and adjusted relative rates of grade 3-5 Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events outcomes for any cardiac disease, coronary artery disease (CAD), and heart failure (HF) in association with D_m, V₂₀, and [Formula: see text] (as categorical variables). Dose-response relationships were evaluated using piecewise-exponential models, adjusting for attained age, sex, cancer diagnosis age, race/ethnicity, time-dependent smoking history, diagnosis year, and chemotherapy exposure and doses. For relative rates, D_m was also considered as a continuous variable.

RESULTS

Consistent with previous findings with H_Atlas, reevaluation using H_Hybrid dosimetry found that, D_m ≥ 10 Gy, V₂₀ ≥ 0.1%, and [Formula: see text]  ≥ 50% were all associated with increased cumulative incidences and relative rates for any cardiac disease, CAD, and HF. While updated risk estimates were consistent with previous estimates overall without statistically significant changes, there were some important and significant (P < 0.05) increases in risk with updated dosimetry for D_m in the category of 20 to 29.9 Gy and V₂₀ in the category of 30% to 79.9%. When changes in the linear dose-response relationship for D_m were assessed, the slopes of the dose response were steeper (P < 0.001) with updated dosimetry. Changes were primarily observed among individuals with chest-directed RT with prescribed doses ≥ 20 Gy.

CONCLUSION

These findings present a methodological advancement in heart RT dosimetry with improved estimates of RT-related late cardiac disease risk. While results are broadly consistent with our prior study, we report that, with updated cardiac dosimetry, risks of cardiac disease are significantly higher in two dose and volume categories and slopes of the Dm-specific RT-response relationships are steeper. These data support the use of contemporary RT to achieve lower heart doses for pediatric patients, particularly those requiring chest-directed RT.

Late outcomes in survivors of childhood acute myeloid leukemia: a report from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study

Cumulative burden of chronic health conditions and neurocognitive and physical function were examined among survivors of childhood acute myeloid leukemia (AML) treated with hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT; n = 66) or conventional therapy (CT; n = 67). Survivors and controls underwent a comprehensive clinical assessment, and health conditions were graded using a modified version of the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events. By age 40 years, HCT and CT survivors had an average 17.4 (95% confidence interval [CI] 14.6-20.1) and 9.3 (7.7-11.1) grade 1-4 conditions versus 3.8 (3.3-4.2) in community controls. Compared to controls, HCT survivors had a higher prevalence of hypertriglyceridemia (45.5% vs. 18.3%), hypercholesterolemia (47.0% vs. 30.9%), hypothyroidism (27.3% vs. 4.0%), and primary hypogonadism (p < 0.001). CT survivors had a higher prevalence of cardiomyopathy (11.9% vs. 2.7%) and hypertension (53.7% vs. 44.3%). Neurocognitive impairment was elevated across all domains compared to controls but did not differ by treatment modality. Compared to controls, a higher proportion of HCT survivors had impairments in strength and endurance; whereas flexibility and mobility impairments were noted among CT survivors. Despite successful advances in childhood AML therapy, many therapeutic exposures remain unchanged. These findings support ongoing investigations of novel therapies and strategies to ameliorate the risk of late morbidities.

Clinical and genetic risk factors for radiation-associated ototoxicity: A report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort

BACKGROUND

Cranial radiation therapy (CRT) is associated with ototoxicity, which manifests as hearing loss and tinnitus. The authors sought to identify clinical determinants and genetic risk factors for ototoxicity among adult survivors of pediatric cancer treated with CRT.

METHODS

Logistic regression evaluated associations of tinnitus (n = 1991) and hearing loss (n = 2198) with nongenetic risk factors and comorbidities among CRT-treated survivors in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of CRT-related tinnitus and hearing loss were also performed.

RESULTS

Males were more likely to report CRT-related tinnitus (9.4% vs 5.4%; P = 5.1 × 10^-4 ) and hearing loss (14.0% vs 10.7%; P = .02) than females. Survivors with tinnitus or hearing loss were more likely to experience persistent dizziness or vertigo (tinnitus: P < 2 × 10^-16 ; hearing loss: P = 6.4 × 10^-9 ), take antidepressants (tinnitus: P = .02; hearing loss: P = .01), and report poorer overall health (tinnitus: P = 1.5 × 10^-6 ; hearing loss: P = 1.7 × 10^-6 ) in comparison with controls. GWAS of CRT-related tinnitus revealed a genome-wide significant signal in chromosome 1 led by rs203248 (P = 1.5 × 10^-9 ), whereas GWAS of CRT-related hearing loss identified rs332013 (P = 5.8 × 10^-7 ) in chromosome 8 and rs67522722 (P = 7.8 × 10^-7 ) in chromosome 6 as nearly genome-wide significant. A replication analysis identified rs67522722, intronic to ATXN1, as being significantly associated with CRT-related hearing loss (P = .03) and de novo hearing loss (P = 3.6 × 10^-4 ).

CONCLUSIONS

CRT-associated ototoxicity was associated with sex, several neuro-otological symptoms, increased antidepressant use, and poorer self-reported health. GWAS of CRT-related hearing loss identified rs67522722, which was supported in an independent cohort of survivors.

LAY SUMMARY

Hearing loss and subjective tinnitus (the perception of noise or ringing in the ear) are long-term side effects of cancer treatment and are common in children treated with radiation to the brain. These toxicities can affect childhood development and potentially contribute to serious learning and behavioral difficulties. This study's data indicate that males are at greater risk for hearing loss and tinnitus than females after radiation therapy to the brain. Those who develop these toxicities are more likely to use antidepressants and report poorer overall health. Health care providers can improve the management of survivors by informing patients and/or their parents of these risks.

A relationship between the incremental values of area under the ROC curve and of area under the precision-recall curve

BACKGROUND

Incremental value (IncV) evaluates the performance change between an existing risk model and a new model. Different IncV metrics do not always agree with each other. For example, compared with a prescribed-dose model, an ovarian-dose model for predicting acute ovarian failure has a slightly lower area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) but increases the area under the precision-recall curve (AP) by 48%. This phenomenon of disagreement is not uncommon, and can create confusion when assessing whether the added information improves the model prediction accuracy.

METHODS

In this article, we examine the analytical connections and differences between the AUC IncV (ΔAUC) and AP IncV (ΔAP). We also compare the true values of these two IncV metrics in a numerical study. Additionally, as both are semi-proper scoring rules, we compare them with a strictly proper scoring rule: the IncV of the scaled Brier score (ΔsBrS) in the numerical study.

RESULTS

We demonstrate that ΔAUC and ΔAP are both weighted averages of the changes (from the existing model to the new one) in separating the risk score distributions between events and non-events. However, ΔAP assigns heavier weights to the changes in higher-risk regions, whereas ΔAUC weights the changes equally. Due to this difference, the two IncV metrics can disagree, and the numerical study shows that their disagreement becomes more pronounced as the event rate decreases. In the numerical study, we also find that ΔAP has a wide range, from negative to positive, but the range of ΔAUC is much smaller. In addition, ΔAP and ΔsBrS are highly consistent, but ΔAUC is negatively correlated with ΔsBrS and ΔAP when the event rate is low.

CONCLUSIONS

ΔAUC treats the wins and losses of a new risk model equally across different risk regions. When neither the existing or new model is the true model, this equality could attenuate a superior performance of the new model for a sub-region. In contrast, ΔAP accentuates the change in the prediction accuracy for higher-risk regions.

Development and Validation of a Breast Cancer Risk Prediction Model for Childhood Cancer Survivors Treated With Chest Radiation: A Report From the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and the Dutch Hodgkin Late Effects and LATER Cohorts

PURPOSE

Women treated with chest radiation for childhood cancer have one of the highest risks of breast cancer. Models producing personalized breast cancer risk estimates applicable to this population do not exist. We sought to develop and validate a breast cancer risk prediction model for childhood cancer survivors treated with chest radiation incorporating treatment-related factors, family history, and reproductive factors.

METHODS

Analyses were based on multinational cohorts of female 5-year survivors of cancer diagnosed younger than age 21 years and treated with chest radiation. Model derivation was based on 1,120 participants in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study diagnosed between 1970 and 1986, with median attained age 42 years (range 20-64) and 242 with breast cancer. Model validation included 1,027 participants from three cohorts, with median age 32 years (range 20-66) and 105 with breast cancer.

RESULTS

The model included current age, chest radiation field, whether chest radiation was delivered within 1 year of menarche, anthracycline exposure, age at menopause, and history of a first-degree relative with breast cancer. Ten-year risk estimates ranged from 2% to 23% for 30-year-old women (area under the curve, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.73) and from 5% to 34% for 40-year-old women (area under the curve, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.54 to 0.84). The highest risks were among premenopausal women older than age 40 years treated with mantle field radiation within a year of menarche who had a first-degree relative with breast cancer. It showed good calibration with an expected-to-observed ratio of the number of breast cancers of 0.92 (95% CI, 0.74 to 1.16).

CONCLUSION

Breast cancer risk varies among childhood cancer survivors treated with chest radiation. Accurate risk prediction may aid in refining surveillance, counseling, and preventive strategies in this population.

Persistent variations of blood DNA methylation associated with treatment exposures and risk for cardiometabolic outcomes in long-term survivors of childhood cancer in the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort

BACKGROUND

It is well-established that cancer treatment substantially increases the risk of long-term adverse health outcomes among childhood cancer survivors. However, there is limited research on the underlying mechanisms. To elucidate the pathophysiology and a possible causal pathway from treatment exposures to cardiometabolic conditions, we conducted epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS) to identify the DNA methylation (DNAm) sites associated with cancer treatment exposures and examined whether treatment-associated DNAm sites mediate associations between specific treatments and cardiometabolic conditions.

METHODS

We included 2052 survivors (median age 33.7 years) of European ancestry from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study, a retrospective hospital-based study with prospective clinical follow-up. Cumulative doses of chemotherapy and region-specific radiation were abstracted from medical records. Seven cardiometabolic conditions were clinically assessed. DNAm profile was measured using MethylationEPIC BeadChip with blood-derived DNA.

RESULTS

By performing multiple treatment-specific EWAS, we identified 935 5'-cytosine-phosphate-guanine-3' (CpG) sites mapped to 538 genes/regions associated with one or more cancer treatments at the epigenome-wide significance level (p < 9 × 10-8). Among the treatment-associated CpGs, 8 were associated with obesity, 63 with hypercholesterolemia, and 17 with hypertriglyceridemia (false discovery rate-adjusted p < 0.05). We observed substantial mediation by methylation at four independent CpGs (cg06963130, cg21922478, cg22976567, cg07403981) for the association between abdominal field radiotherapy (abdominal-RT) and risk of hypercholesterolemia (70.3%) and by methylation at three CpGs (cg19634849, cg13552692, cg09853238) for the association between abdominal-RT and hypertriglyceridemia (54.6%). In addition, three CpGs (cg26572901, cg12715065, cg21163477) partially mediated the association between brain-RT and obesity with a 32.9% mediation effect, and two CpGs mediated the association between corticosteroids and obesity (cg22351187, 14.2%) and between brain-RT and hypertriglyceridemia (cg13360224, 10.5%). Notably, several mediator CpGs reside in the proximity of well-established dyslipidemia genes: cg21922478 (ITGA1) and cg22976567 (LMNA).

CONCLUSIONS

In childhood cancer survivors, cancer treatment exposures are associated with DNAm patterns present decades following the exposure. Treatment-associated DNAm sites may mediate the causal pathway from specific treatment exposures to certain cardiometabolic conditions, suggesting the utility of DNAm sites as risk predictors and potential mechanistic targets for future intervention studies.

Genome-wide Association Studies Reveal Novel Locus With Sex-/Therapy-Specific Fracture Risk Effects in Childhood Cancer Survivors

Childhood cancer survivors treated with radiation therapy (RT) and osteotoxic chemotherapies are at increased risk for fractures. However, understanding of how genetic and clinical susceptibility factors jointly contribute to fracture risk among survivors is limited. To address this gap, we conducted genome-wide association studies of fracture risk after cancer diagnosis in 2453 participants of European ancestry from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) with 930 incident fractures using Cox regression models (ie, time-to-event analysis) and prioritized sex- and treatment-stratified genetic associations. We performed replication analyses in 1417 survivors of European ancestry with 652 incident fractures from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study (SJLIFE). In discovery, we identified a genome-wide significant (p < 5 × 10^-8 ) fracture risk locus, 16p13.3 (HAGHL), among female CCSS survivors (n = 1289) with strong evidence of sex-specific effects (p_{sex-heterogeneity}  < 7 × 10^-6 ). Combining discovery and replication data, rs1406815 showed the strongest association (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.43, p = 8.2 × 10^-9 ; n = 1935 women) at this locus. In treatment-stratified analyses in the discovery cohort, the association between rs1406815 and fracture risk among female survivors with no RT exposures was weak (HR = 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-1.57, p = 0.11) but increased substantially among those with greater head/neck RT doses (any RT: HR = 1.88, 95% CI 1.54-2.28, p = 2.4 × 10^-10 ; >36 Gray only: HR = 3.79, 95% CI 1.95-7.34, p = 8.2 × 10^-5 ). These head/neck RT-specific HAGHL single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) effects were replicated in female SJLIFE survivors. In silico bioinformatics analyses suggest these fracture risk alleles regulate HAGHL gene expression and related bone resorption pathways. Genetic risk profiles integrating this locus may help identify female survivors who would benefit from targeted interventions to reduce fracture risk. © 2020 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Surrogate-free machine learning-based organ dose reconstruction for pediatric abdominal radiotherapy

To study radiotherapy-related adverse effects, detailed dose information (3D distribution) is needed for accurate dose-effect modeling. For childhood cancer survivors who underwent radiotherapy in the pre-CT era, only 2D radiographs were acquired, thus 3D dose distributions must be reconstructed from limited information. State-of-the-art methods achieve this by using 3D surrogate anatomies. These can however lack personalization and lead to coarse reconstructions. We present and validate a surrogate-free dose reconstruction method based on Machine Learning (ML). Abdominal planning CTs (n = 142) of recently-treated childhood cancer patients were gathered, their organs at risk were segmented, and 300 artificial Wilms' tumor plans were sampled automatically. Each artificial plan was automatically emulated on the 142 CTs, resulting in 42,600 3D dose distributions from which dose-volume metrics were derived. Anatomical features were extracted from digitally reconstructed radiographs simulated from the CTs to resemble historical radiographs. Further, patient and radiotherapy plan features typically available from historical treatment records were collected. An evolutionary ML algorithm was then used to link features to dose-volume metrics. Besides 5-fold cross validation, a further evaluation was done on an independent dataset of five CTs each associated with two clinical plans. Cross-validation resulted in mean absolute errors ≤ 0.6 Gy for organs completely inside or outside the field. For organs positioned at the edge of the field, mean absolute errors ≤ 1.7 Gy for [Formula: see text], ≤ 2.9 Gy for [Formula: see text], and ≤ 13% for [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], were obtained, without systematic bias. Similar results were found for the independent dataset. To conclude, we proposed a novel organ dose reconstruction method that uses ML models to predict dose-volume metric values given patient and plan features. Our approach is not only accurate, but also efficient, as the setup of a surrogate is no longer needed.

Dose-response relationships for radiation-related heart disease: Impact of uncertainties in cardiac dose reconstruction

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Radiation-related heart disease (RRHD) can occur many decades after thoracic radiotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) or childhood cancer (CC). To quantify the likely risk of RRHD for patients treated today, dose-response relationships derived from patients treated in previous decades are used. Publications presenting these dose-response relationships usually include estimates of uncertainties in the risks but ignore the effect of uncertainties in the reconstructed cardiac doses.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We assessed the systematic and random uncertainties in the reconstructed doses for published dose-response relationships for RRHD risk in survivors of HL or CC. Using the same reconstruction methods as were used in the original publications, we reconstructed mean heart doses and, wherever possible, mean left-ventricular doses for an independent case-series of test patients. These patients had known, CT-based, cardiac doses which were compared with the reconstructed doses to estimate the magnitude of the uncertainties and their effect on the dose-response relationships.

RESULTS

For all five reconstruction methods the relationship between reconstructed and CT-based doses was linear. For all but the simplest reconstruction method, the dose uncertainties were moderate, the effect of the systematic uncertainty on the dose-response relationships was less than 10%, and the effects of random uncertainty were small except at the highest doses.

CONCLUSIONS

These results increase confidence in the published dose-response relationships for the risk of RRHD in HL and CC survivors. This may encourage doctors to use these dose-response relationships when estimating individualised risks for patients-an important aspect of personalising radiotherapy treatments today.

Development and validation of an age-scalable cardiac model with substructures for dosimetry in late-effects studies of childhood cancer survivors

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Radiation therapy is a risk factor for late cardiac disease in childhood cancer survivors. Several pediatric cohort studies have established whole heart dose and dose-volume response models. Emerging data suggest that dose to cardiac substructures may be more predictive than whole heart metrics. In order to develop substructure dose-response models, the heart model previously used for pediatric cohort dosimetry needed enhancement and substructure delineation.

METHODS

To enhance our heart model, we combined the age-scalable capability of our computational phantom with the anatomically-delineated (with substructures) heart models from an international humanoid phantom series. We examined cardiac volume similarity/overlap between registered age-scaled phantoms (1, 5, 10, and 15 years) with the enhanced heart model and the reference phantoms of the same age; dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and overlap coefficient (OC) were calculated for each matched pair. To assess the accuracy of our enhanced heart model, we compared doses from computed tomography-based planning (ground truth) with reconstructed heart doses. We also compared doses calculated with the prior and enhanced heart models for a cohort of nearly 5000 childhood cancer survivors.

RESULTS

We developed a realistic cardiac model with 14-substructures, scalable across a broad age range (1-15 years); average DSC and OC were 0.84 ± 0.05 and 0.90 ± 0.05, respectively. The average percent difference between reconstructed and ground truth mean heart doses was 4.2%. In the cohort dosimetry analysis, dose and dose-volume metrics were approximately 10% lower on average when the enhanced heart model was used for dose reconstructions.

CONCLUSION

We successfully developed and validated an anatomically realistic age-scalable cardiac model that can be used to establish substructure dose-response models for late cardiac disease in childhood cancer survivor cohorts.

Cost-Effectiveness of the International Late Effects of Childhood Cancer Guideline Harmonization Group Screening Guidelines to Prevent Heart Failure in Survivors of Childhood Cancer

PURPOSE

Survivors of childhood cancer treated with anthracyclines and/or chest-directed radiation are at increased risk for heart failure (HF). The International Late Effects of Childhood Cancer Guideline Harmonization Group (IGHG) recommends risk-based screening echocardiograms, but evidence supporting its frequency and cost-effectiveness is limited.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort, we developed a microsimulation model of the clinical course of HF. We estimated long-term health outcomes and economic impact of screening according to IGHG-defined risk groups (low [doxorubicin-equivalent anthracycline dose of 1-99 mg/m2 and/or radiotherapy < 15 Gy], moderate [100 to < 250 mg/m2 or 15 to < 35 Gy], or high [≥ 250 mg/m2 or ≥ 35 Gy or both ≥ 100 mg/m2 and ≥ 15 Gy]). We compared 1-, 2-, 5-, and 10-year interval-based screening with no screening. Screening performance and treatment effectiveness were estimated based on published studies. Costs and quality-of-life weights were based on national averages and published reports. Outcomes included lifetime HF risk, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Strategies with ICERs < $100,000 per QALY gained were considered cost-effective.

RESULTS

Among the IGHG risk groups, cumulative lifetime risks of HF without screening were 36.7% (high risk), 24.7% (moderate risk), and 16.9% (low risk). Routine screening reduced this risk by 4% to 11%, depending on frequency. Screening every 2, 5, and 10 years was cost-effective for high-risk survivors, and every 5 and 10 years for moderate-risk survivors. In contrast, ICERs were > $175,000 per QALY gained for all strategies for low-risk survivors, representing approximately 40% of those for whom screening is currently recommended.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that refinement of recommended screening strategies for IGHG high- and low-risk survivors is needed, including careful reconsideration of discontinuing asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction and HF screening in low-risk survivors.

Cardiac biomarkers and association with subsequent cardiomyopathy and mortality among adult survivors of childhood cancer: A report from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort

BACKGROUND

Survivors of childhood cancer exposed to cardiotoxic therapies are at significant cardiovascular risk. The utility of cardiac biomarkers for identifying the risk of future cardiomyopathy and mortality is unknown.

METHODS

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and cardiac troponin T (cTnT) were assessed in 1213 adults 10 or more years from a childhood cancer diagnosis; 786 were exposed to anthracycline chemotherapy and/or chest-directed radiation therapy (RT). NT-proBNP values above age- and sex-specific 97.5th percentiles were considered abnormal. Generalized linear models estimated cross-sectional associations between abnormal NT-proBNP and anthracycline or chest RT doses as risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A Poisson distribution estimated rates and a Cox proportional hazards model estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for future cardiac events and death.

RESULTS

At a median age of 35.5 years (interquartile range, 29.8-42.5 years), NT-proBNP and cTnT were abnormal in 22.5% and 0.4%, respectively. Exposure to chest RT and exposure to anthracycline chemotherapy were each associated with a dose-dependent increased risk for abnormal NT-proBNP (P for trend <.0001). Among exposed survivors with no history of Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events-graded cardiomyopathy and with normal systolic function, survivors with abnormal NT-proBNP had higher rates per 1000 person-years of cardiac mortality (2.93 vs 0.96; P < .0001) and future cardiomyopathy (32.10 vs 15.98; P < .0001) and an increased risk of future cardiomyopathy (HR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.28-4.08) according to a multivariable assessment.

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormal NT-proBNP values were prevalent and, among survivors who were exposed to cardiotoxic therapy but did not have a history of cardiomyopathy or current systolic dysfunction, identified those at increased risk for future cardiomyopathy. Further longitudinal studies are needed to confirm this novel finding.

Development of an age-scalable 3D computational phantom in DICOM standard for late effects studies of childhood cancer survivors

Purpose:

We previously developed an age-scalable 3D computational phantom that has been widely used for retrospective whole-body dose reconstructions of conventional two-dimensional historic radiation therapy (RT) treatments in late effects studies of childhood cancer survivors. This phantom is modeled in the FORTRAN programming language and is not readily applicable for dose reconstructions for survivors treated with contemporary RT whose treatment plans were designed using computed tomography images and complex treatment fields. The goal of this work was to adapt the current FORTRAN model of our age-scalable computational phantom into Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine (DICOM) standard so that it can be used with any treatment planning system (TPS) to reconstruct contemporary RT. Additionally, we report a detailed description of the phantom’s age-based scaling functions, information that was not previously published.

Method:

We developed a Python script that adapts our phantom model from FORTRAN to DICOM. To validate the conversion, we compared geometric parameters for the phantom modeled in FORTRAN and DICOM scaled to ages 1 month, 6 months, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 10, 15, and 18 years. Specifically, we calculated the percent differences between the corner points and volume of each body region and the normalized mean square distance (NMSD) between each of the organs. In addition, we also calculated the percent difference between the heights of our DICOM age-scaled phantom and the heights (50th percentile) reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for male and female children of the same ages. Additionally, we calculated the difference between the organ masses for our DICOM phantom and the organ masses for two reference phantoms (from International Comission on Radiation Protection (ICRP) 89 and the University of Florida/National Cancer Institute reference hybrid voxel phantoms) for ages newborn, 1, 5, 10, 15 and adult. Lastly, we conducted a feasibility study using our DICOM phantom for organ dose calculations in a commercial TPS. Specifically, we simulated a 6 MV photon right-sided flank field RT plan for our DICOM phantom scaled to age 3.9 years; treatment field parameters and age were typical of a Wilms tumor RT treatment in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study. For comparison, the same treatment was simulated using our in-house dose calculation system with our FORTRAN phantom. The percent differences (between FORTRAN and DICOM) in mean dose and percent of volume receiving dose ⩾5 Gy were calculated for two organs at risk, liver and pancreas.

Results:

The percent differences in corner points and the volumes of head, neck, and trunk body regions between our phantom modeled in FORTRAN and DICOM agreed within 3%. For all of the ages, the NMSDs were negliglible with a maximum NMSD of 7.80 × 10⁻² mm for occiptital lobe of 1 month. The heights of our age-scaled phantom agreed with WHO/CDC data within 7% from infant to adult, and within 2% agreement for ages 5 years and older. We observed that organ masses in our phantom are less than the organ masses for other reference phantoms. Dose calculations done with our in-house calculation system (with FORTRAN phantom) and commercial TPS (with DICOM phantom) agreed within 7%.

Conclusion:

We successfully adapted our phantom model from the FORTRAN language to DICOM standard and validated its geometric consistency. We also demonstrated that our phantom model is representative of population height data for infant to adult, but that the organ masses are smaller than in other reference phantoms and need further refinement. Our age-scalable computational phantom modeled in DICOM standard can be scaled to any age at RT and used within a commercial TPS to retrospectively reconstruct doses from contemporary RT in childhood cancer survivors.

Subsequent Neoplasm Risk Associated With Rare Variants in DNA Damage Response and Clinical Radiation Sensitivity Syndrome Genes in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study

PURPOSE

Radiotherapy for childhood cancer is associated with elevated subsequent neoplasm (SN) risk, but the contribution of rare variants in DNA damage response and radiation sensitivity genes to SN risk is unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted whole-exome sequencing in a cohort of childhood cancer survivors originally diagnosed during 1970 to 1986 (mean follow-up, 32.7 years), with reconstruction of doses to body regions from radiotherapy records. We identified patients who developed SN types previously reported to be related to radiotherapy (RT-SNs; eg, basal cell carcinoma [BCC], breast cancer, meningioma, thyroid cancer, sarcoma) and matched controls (sex, childhood cancer type/diagnosis, age, SN location, radiation dose, survival). Conditional logistic regression assessed SN risk associated with potentially protein-damaging rare variants (SnpEff, ClinVar) in 476 DNA damage response or radiation sensitivity genes with exact permutation-based P values using a Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold of P < 8.06 × 10^-5.

RESULTS

Among 5,105 childhood cancer survivors of European descent, 1,108 (21.7%) developed at least 1 RT-SN. Out-of-field RT-SN risk, excluding BCC, was associated with homologous recombination repair (HRR) gene variants (patient cases, 23.2%; controls, 10.8%; odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% CI, 1.7 to 3.9; P = 4.79 × 10^-5), most notably but nonsignificantly for FANCM (patient cases, 4.0%; matched controls, 0.6%; P = 9.64 × 10^-5). HRR variants were not associated with likely in/near-field RT-SNs, excluding BCC (patient cases, 12.7%; matched controls, 12.9%; P = .92). Irrespective of radiation dose, risk for RT-SNs was also associated with EXO1 variants (patient cases, 1.8%; controls, 0.4%; P = 3.31 × 10^-5), another gene implicated in DNA double-strand break repair.

CONCLUSION

In this large-scale discovery study, we identified novel associations between RT-SN risk after childhood cancer and potentially protein-damaging rare variants in genes involved in DNA double-strand break repair, particularly HRR. With replication, these results could affect screening recommendations for childhood cancer survivors and risk-benefit assessments of treatment approaches.

Body Composition, Metabolic Health, and Functional Impairment among Adults Treated for Abdominal and Pelvic Tumors during Childhood

BACKGROUND

We aimed to characterize body composition, metabolic impairments, and physical performance among survivors of pediatric abdominal and pelvic solid tumors.

METHODS

Participants included 431 survivors of abdominal or pelvic tumors [median attained age = 29.9 (range: 18.7-55.1) years]. Relative lean mass and fat mass were assessed with dual X-ray absorptiometry. Metabolic outcomes [insulin resistance (IR), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein, and triglycerides] were based on laboratory values and medication usage. General linear regression evaluated associations between treatment and lifestyle with body composition; binomial regression evaluated associations between body composition and metabolic outcomes and physical performance.

RESULTS

Lean mass was lower than values from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) in males (Z-score = -0.67 ± 1.27; P < 0.001) and females (Z-score = -0.72 ± 1.28; P < 0.001). Higher cumulative abdominal and pelvic radiation doses were associated with lower lean mass among males [abdominal: β = -0.22 (SE) ± 0.07; P = 0.002 and pelvic: β = -0.23 ± 0.07; P = 0.002] and females (abdominal: β = -0.30 ± 0.09; P = 0.001 and pelvic: β = -0.16 ± 0.08; P = 0.037). Prevalence of IR (40.6% vs. 33.8%; P = 0.006), low HDL (28.9% vs. 33.5%; P = 0.046), and high triglycerides (18.4% vs. 10.0%; P < 0.001) was increased among survivors relative to NHANES. Compared with survivors with normal/high lean mass and normal/low fat mass, survivors with normal/high lean mass and high fat mass had an increased risk of IR (P < 0.001), low HDL (P < 0.001), reduced quadriceps strength at 60°/second (P < 0.001) and 300°/second (P < 0.001), and reduced distance covered in the 6-minute walk (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Abdominal/pelvic radiotherapy is associated with body composition changes that can adversely influence metabolic outcomes and performance status among survivors.

IMPACT

Interventions targeting body composition may facilitate management of cardiovascular disease risk in this population.