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Hamada O, Tsutsumi T, Tsunemitsu A, Sasaki N, Kunisawa S, Fushimi K, Imanaka Y. Association of cirrhosis severity with outcomes after hip fracture repairs: A propensity-score matched analysis using a large inpatient database. J Orthop Sci 2025:S0949-2658(25)00038-7. [PMID: 39979173 DOI: 10.1016/j.jos.2025.01.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2024] [Revised: 01/22/2025] [Accepted: 01/28/2025] [Indexed: 02/22/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Advanced cirrhosis is associated with increased mortality in certain surgeries, but the impact of cirrhosis severity on outcomes in patients with hip fractures remains unclear. METHODS In a large nationwide administrative database of hospitalized patients, we compared postoperative outcomes in patients with hip fractures across different Child-Pugh classes of cirrhosis in Japan. Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination Database, we identified 833,648 eligible patients diagnosed with hip fractures and underwent surgery between July 2010 and March 2021. Three sets of 1:1 propensity-score matching were performed for four groups: non-cirrhosis cases and Child-Pugh classes A, B, and C. We compared in-hospital mortality, length of stay, hospitalization fees, readmission, and complications in non-cirrhosis cases vs. Child-Pugh class A, Child-Pugh class A vs. B, and Child-Pugh class B vs. C. RESULTS Propensity-score matching created 1065 pairs for non-cirrhosis vs. Child-Pugh class A, 1012 for Child-Pugh class A vs. B, and 489 for Child-Pugh class B vs. C. In-hospital mortality did not differ between non-cirrhosis cases and those with Child-Pugh class A. However, in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients with Child-Pugh class B than in those with class A (1.5 % vs. 5.9 %; RD 4.45 %; 95 % CI: 2.79%-6.10 %), and higher in patients with Child-Pugh class C compared with class B (6.3 % vs. 28.4 %; RD 22.09 %; 95 % CI: 17.54%-26.63 %). Patients in more severe Child-Pugh classes had longer hospital stays, higher hospitalization fees, and higher complication rates. CONCLUSION Patients with hip fractures and cirrhosis who are at high risk of poor postoperative outcomes could be identified. This study highlights the significantly higher in-hospital mortality observed in patients with Child-Pugh class C cirrhosis undergoing hip fracture surgery compared to those with class B. These findings underscore the need for careful risk-benefit discussions, considering the severity of cirrhosis, surgical risks, and care goals for each patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Osamu Hamada
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Takatsuki General Hospital, Osaka, Japan; Department of Healthcare Economics and Quality Management, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Takahiko Tsutsumi
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Takatsuki General Hospital, Osaka, Japan; Department of Healthcare Economics and Quality Management, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Ayako Tsunemitsu
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Takatsuki General Hospital, Osaka, Japan; Department of Healthcare Economics and Quality Management, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Noriko Sasaki
- Department of Healthcare Economics and Quality Management, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Susumu Kunisawa
- Department of Healthcare Economics and Quality Management, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Tokyo Medical and Dental University Graduate School, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuichi Imanaka
- Department of Healthcare Economics and Quality Management, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; Department of Health Security System, Centre for Health Security, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
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Muallem A, Kandel L, Ackerman Z. Prognosis of Cirrhotic Patients After Osteoporotic Femoral Neck Fracture. J Clin Med 2024; 13:6701. [PMID: 39597844 PMCID: PMC11595005 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13226701] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2024] [Revised: 11/01/2024] [Accepted: 11/05/2024] [Indexed: 11/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction and Objectives: Osteoporotic hip fractures in cirrhotic subjects are associated with increased post-fracture mortality. Our aim was to identify unfavorable factors that were associated with increased post-fracture mortality. Patients and Methods: We employed a retrospective evaluation of the short- and long-term prognosis of cirrhotic patients that were admitted with a hip fracture to our institution. Results: A total of 77 cirrhotic and 81 control patients were included. The majority of the patients who died either during the initial three months or during one year of follow-up after the hip fracture were cirrhotic. The patients that did not survive the three-month period suffered from decompensated cirrhosis. The variables that were associated upon multivariate analysis with increased one-year all-cause mortality in both the control and cirrhotic patients were the presence of either cirrhosis, congestive heart failure or low hemoglobin levels upon admission. The variables that were associated upon univariate analysis with increased one-year all-cause mortality only in the cirrhotic patients were the patient's age, the presence of hepatic encephalopathy, as well as the levels of serum albumin, PT (in %) and FIB-4. Our multivariate analysis disclosed that the admission level of PT (in %) was the only parameter that was associated with one-year all-cause mortality among the cirrhotic patients (adjusted OR 0.962, CI: 0.928-0.996, p = 0.029). Conclusions: Patients with decompensated cirrhosis are at an increased risk of dying during the first year after an osteoporotic hip fracture. Cirrhotic patients with osteoporosis who are at risk of hip fractures should be identified and measures to prevent this complication should be implemented.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aviya Muallem
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Mount Scopus Campus and the Hebrew University-Hadassah Medical School, Jerusalem, Israel; (A.M.); (L.K.)
- Department of Medicine, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Mount Scopus Campus and the Hebrew University-Hadassah Medical School, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Leonid Kandel
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Mount Scopus Campus and the Hebrew University-Hadassah Medical School, Jerusalem, Israel; (A.M.); (L.K.)
| | - Zvi Ackerman
- Department of Medicine, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Mount Scopus Campus and the Hebrew University-Hadassah Medical School, Jerusalem, Israel
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Kalan Farmanfarma K, Yarmohammadi S, Fakharian E, Gobbens RJ, Mahdian M, Batooli Z, Lotfi MS, Abedzadeh-Kalahroudi M, Vatan RF, Khosravi GR, Fazel MR, Sehat M. Prognostic Factors of Hip Fracture in Elderly: A Systematic Review. Int J Prev Med 2024; 15:42. [PMID: 39381356 PMCID: PMC11460988 DOI: 10.4103/ijpvm.ijpvm_169_23] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2023] [Accepted: 02/20/2024] [Indexed: 10/10/2024] Open
Abstract
The hip fracture causes significant disabilities in many elderly people. Many studies around the world have identified various risk factors for the hip fracture. The aim of this study was to systematically investigate the risk factors of hip fractures. This study is a systematic review of risk factors for hip fractures. All published papers in English and Persian languages on patients in Iran and other countries between 2002 - 2022 were examined. The search strategy used keywords matching the mesh, including : predictors, hip fracture, and disability. Articles were selected from international databases (PubMed, Proquest ,Web of Sience, Scopus, Google scholar and Persian(Sid,Magiran), and the Newcastle Ottawa Scale was used to assess the risk of bias. The study has identified several factors that were significantly correlated with the risk of hip fracture, including age, cigarette and alcohol consumption, visual and hearing problems, low BMI levels, history of falling, weakness, and diseases such as stroke, cardiovascular disease, high blood pressure, arthritis, diabetes, dementia, Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, liver and kidney diseases, bone density, osteoporosis, vertebral fracture, and hyperthyroidism. However, the study did not find any significant correlations between the consumption of calcium and vitamin D, history of fractures, cognitive disorders, schizophrenia, and household income, and the risk of hip fracture. The results of this study reveal the determining role of some risk factors in hip fracture in older persons. Therefore, it is recommended that health policy makers provide the possibility of early intervention for some changeable factors.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Esmaeil Fakharian
- Trauma Research Center, Department of Neurosurgery, Kashan University of Medical Sciences, Kashan, IR Iran
| | - Robbert J. Gobbens
- Faculty of Health, Sports and Social Work, Inholland University of Applied Sciences, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Mehrdad Mahdian
- Trauma Research Center, Kashan University of Medical Sciences, Kashan, Iran
| | - Zahra Batooli
- Social Determinants of Health (SDH)Research Center, Kashan University of Medical Sciences, Kashan, Iran
| | - Mohammad-Sajjad Lotfi
- Trauma Nursing Research Center, Faculty of Nursing and Midwifery, Kashan University of Medical Sciences, Kashan, Iran
| | | | - Reza Fadaei Vatan
- Iranian Research Center on Ageing, University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | - Mojtaba Sehat
- MD, PhD in Epidemiology, Trauma Research Center, Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Kashan University of Medical Sciences, Kashan, Iran
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Zhang YN, Xiao P, Zhang BF. The association between preoperative serum cholinesterase and all-cause mortality in geriatric patients with hip fractures: a cohort study of 2387 patients. Perioper Med (Lond) 2024; 13:82. [PMID: 39049017 PMCID: PMC11267686 DOI: 10.1186/s13741-024-00443-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2024] [Accepted: 07/17/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study is to evaluate the association between preoperative cholinesterase levels and all-cause mortality in geriatric hip fractures. METHODS Elderly patients with hip fractures were screened between Jan 2015 and Sep 2019. Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients were collected. Linear and nonlinear multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify the association between preoperative cholinesterase levels and mortality in these patients. Analyses were performed using EmpowerStats and the R software. RESULTS Two thousand three hundred eighty-seven patients were included in this study. The mean follow-up period was 37.64 months. Seven hundred eighty-seven (33.0%) patients died due to all-cause mortality. Preoperative cholinesterase levels were 5910 ± 1700 U/L. Linear multivariate Cox regression models showed that preoperative cholinesterase level was associated with mortality (HR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.78-0.88), P < 0.0001) for every 1000 U/L. However, the linear association was unstable, and nonlinearity was identified. A cholinesterase concentration of 5940 U/L was an inflection point. When preoperative cholinesterase level < 5940 U/L, the mortality decreased by 28% for every 1000 U/L increase in cholinesterase (HR = 0.72, 95%CI: 0.66-0.79, P < 0.0001). When cholinesterase was > 5940 U/L, the mortality was no longer decreased with the rise of cholinesterase (HR = 1.01, 95%CI: 0.91-1.11, P = 0.9157). We found the nonlinear association was very stable in the propensity score-matching sensitive analysis. CONCLUSIONS Preoperative cholinesterase levels were nonlinearly associated with mortality in elderly hip fractures, and cholinesterase was a risk indicator of all-cause mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION This study is registered on the website of the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR: ChiCTR2200057323) (08/03/2022).
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan-Ning Zhang
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, No. 555 Youyi East Road, Beilin District, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, 710054, China
| | - Peng Xiao
- Department of Orthopedics (International Ward), Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Bin-Fei Zhang
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, No. 555 Youyi East Road, Beilin District, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, 710054, China.
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Lim J, Kim YJ, Kim S, Choi J. Increased risk of fragility fractures in patients with primary biliary cholangitis. JBMR Plus 2024; 8:ziae056. [PMID: 38855796 PMCID: PMC11162592 DOI: 10.1093/jbmrpl/ziae056] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2024] [Revised: 03/31/2024] [Accepted: 04/15/2024] [Indexed: 06/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Large-scale studies on the risk of fragility fractures in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) are limited due to low incidence. We aimed to investigate whether PBC is associated with fragility fractures using real-world nationwide data. The Korean National Health Insurance Service claims data from 2007 to 2020 were analyzed in this population-based cohort study. Patients with PBC (n = 4951) were matched with controls (n = 19 793) using a 1:4 ratio based on age, sex, and follow-up duration. The primary outcome was fragility fracture, which comprised fractures of the vertebra, hip, distal radius, and proximal humerus. The incidence rates (IRs) and hazard ratios (HRs) were determined to assess the impact of PBC on fragility fractures. During the median follow-up period of 5.37 years, 524 patients in the PBC group had fragility fractures (IR, 18.59/1000 person-years [PYs]). After adjusting for covariates, PBC increased the risk of fragility fractures by 1.63-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.20-2.22; P = .002). The vertebra and hip were particularly susceptible to fracture in patients with PBC, with adjusted HRs of 1.77 and 2.23, respectively. In the subgroup analysis, the risk of fragility fracture was 2.53-fold higher in men and 1.59-fold higher in women with PBC than that in the respective matched control groups. Considering the morbidity and mortality related to fragility fractures, increasing awareness of fragility fracture risk and implementing appropriate preventive measures in patients with PBC are imperative.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jihye Lim
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yeouido St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, 07345, Republic of Korea
| | - Ye-Jee Kim
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, 05505, Republic of Korea
| | - Sehee Kim
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, 05505, Republic of Korea
| | - Jonggi Choi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, 05505, Republic of Korea
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Dou Z, Lu F, Hu J, Li B, Li X. CBX7 silencing promoted liver regeneration by interacting with BMI1 and activating the Nrf2/ARE signaling pathway. Sci Rep 2024; 14:11008. [PMID: 38744845 PMCID: PMC11094083 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-58248-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2023] [Accepted: 03/27/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Multiple studies have shown knockdown of chromobox 7 (CBX7) promotes the regenerative capacity of various cells or tissues. We examined the effect of CBX7 on hepatocyte proliferation and liver regeneration after 2/3 hepatectomy in a mouse model. For in vitro experiments, NCTC 1469 and BNL CL.2 hepatocytes were co-transfected with siRNA-CBX7-1 (si-CBX7-1), siRNA-CBX7-2 (si-CBX7-2), pcDNA-CBX7, si-BMI1-1, si-BMI1-2, pcDNA-BMI1, or their negative control. For in vivo experiments, mice were injected intraperitoneally with lentivirus-packaged shRNA and shRNA CBX7 before hepatectomy. Our results showed that CBX7 was rapidly induced in the early stage of liver regeneration. CBX7 regulated hepatocyte proliferation, cell cycle, and apoptosis of NCTC 1469 and BNL CL.2 hepatocytes. CBX7 interacted with BMI1 and inhibited BMI1 expression in hepatocytes. Silencing BMI1 aggregated the inhibitory effect of CBX7 overexpression on hepatocyte viability and the promotion of apoptosis. Furthermore, silencing BMI1 enhanced the regulatory effect of CBX7 on Nrf2/ARE signaling in HGF-induced hepatocytes. In vivo, CBX7 silencing enhanced liver/body weight ratio in PH mice. CBX7 silencing promoted the Ki67-positive cell count and decreased the Tunel-positive cell count after hepatectomy, and also increased the expression of nuclear Nrf2, HO-1, and NQO-1. Our results suggest that CBX7 silencing may increase survival following hepatectomy by promoting liver regeneration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhimin Dou
- The First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, No. 199, Donggang West Road, Chengguan District, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China
| | - Fei Lu
- The First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, No. 199, Donggang West Road, Chengguan District, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China
| | - Jinjing Hu
- Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Regenerative Medicine of Gansu Province, No. 1 Donggang West Road, Chengguan District, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China
| | - Bin Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China
| | - Xun Li
- The First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, No. 199, Donggang West Road, Chengguan District, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China.
- Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Regenerative Medicine of Gansu Province, No. 1 Donggang West Road, Chengguan District, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China.
- Department of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, No. 1 Donggang West Road, Chengguan District, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China.
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Lim J, Kim YJ, Kim S, Choi J. Increased Risk of Osteoporotic Fracture in Patients With Autoimmune Hepatitis. Am J Gastroenterol 2024; 119:127-137. [PMID: 37307538 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000002354] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2023] [Accepted: 05/25/2023] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Few large-scale studies have been published regarding the association between autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) and risk of osteoporotic fracture. This study aimed to determine the risk of developing an osteoporotic fracture in patients with AIH. METHODS We used claims data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service between 2007 and 2020. Patients with AIH (n = 7,062) were matched with controls (n = 28,122) based on age, sex, and duration of follow-up using a ratio of 1:4. Osteoporotic fractures included fractures of the vertebrae, hip, distal radius, and proximal humerus. The incidence rate (IR) and IR ratio of osteoporotic fracture were compared between the 2 groups, and their associated factors were evaluated. RESULTS During a median follow-up period of 5.4 years, 712 osteoporotic fractures occurred in patients with AIH with an IR of 17.5 per 1,000 person-years. Patients with AIH had a significantly higher risk of osteoporotic fractures than matched controls, with an IR ratio of 1.24 (95% confidence intervals, 1.10-1.39, P < 0.01) in the multivariable analysis. Female sex, older age, history of stroke, presence of cirrhosis, and use of glucocorticoids were associated with an increased risk of osteoporotic fractures. In the 2-year landmark analysis, longer duration of glucocorticoid exposure was associated with an incremental increased risk of osteoporotic fracture. DISCUSSION Patients with AIH had an increased risk of osteoporotic fracture compared with controls. The presence of cirrhosis and long-term use of glucocorticoids further adversely affected osteoporotic fracture in patients with AIH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jihye Lim
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yeouido St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ye-Jee Kim
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seonok Kim
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jonggi Choi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
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Ohata E, Nakatani E, Kaneda H, Fujimoto Y, Tanaka K, Takagi A. Use of the Shizuoka Hip Fracture Prognostic Score (SHiPS) to Predict Long-Term Mortality in Patients With Hip Fracture in Japan: A Cohort Study Using the Shizuoka Kokuho Database. JBMR Plus 2023; 7:e10743. [PMID: 37283648 PMCID: PMC10241087 DOI: 10.1002/jbm4.10743] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2023] [Accepted: 03/21/2023] [Indexed: 06/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Hip fractures are common in patients of advanced age and are associated with excess mortality. Rapid and accurate prediction of the prognosis using information that can be easily obtained before surgery would be advantageous to clinical management. We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study using an 8.5-year Japanese claims database (April 2012-September 2020) to develop and validate a predictive model for long-term mortality after hip fracture. The study included 43,529 patients (34,499 [79.3%] women) aged ≥65 years with first-onset hip fracture. During the observation period, 43% of the patients died. Cox regression analysis identified the following prognostic predictors: sex, age, fracture site, nursing care certification, and several comorbidities (any malignancy, renal disease, congestive heart failure, chronic pulmonary disease, liver disease, metastatic solid tumor, and deficiency anemia). We then developed a scoring system called the Shizuoka Hip Fracture Prognostic Score (SHiPS); this system was established by scoring based on each hazard ratio and classifying the degree of mortality risk into four categories based on decision tree analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year mortality based on the SHiPS was 0.718 (95% CI, 0.706-0.729), 0.736 (95% CI, 0.728-0.745), and 0.758 (95% CI, 0.747-0.769), respectively, indicating good predictive performance of the SHiPS for as long as 5 years after fracture onset. Even when the SHiPS was individually applied to patients with or without surgery after fracture, the prediction performance by the AUC was >0.7. These results indicate that the SHiPS can predict long-term mortality using preoperative information regardless of whether surgery is performed after hip fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emi Ohata
- Graduate School of Public HealthShizuoka Graduate University of Public HealthShizuokaJapan
- 4DIN LtdTokyoJapan
| | - Eiji Nakatani
- Graduate School of Public HealthShizuoka Graduate University of Public HealthShizuokaJapan
| | - Hideaki Kaneda
- Translational Research Center for Medical Innovation, Foundation for Biomedical Research and Innovation at KobeKobeJapan
| | - Yoh Fujimoto
- Graduate School of Public HealthShizuoka Graduate University of Public HealthShizuokaJapan
- Department of Pediatric OrthopedicsShizuoka Children's HospitalShizuokaJapan
| | - Kiyoshi Tanaka
- Department of General Internal MedicineShizuoka General HospitalShizuokaJapan
- Faculty of NutritionKobe Gakuin UniversityKobeJapan
| | - Akira Takagi
- Graduate School of Public HealthShizuoka Graduate University of Public HealthShizuokaJapan
- Department of OtolaryngologyShizuoka General HospitalShizuokaJapan
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Chen Q, Hao P, Wong C, Zhong X, He Q, Chen Y. Development and validation of a novel nomogram of 1-year mortality in the elderly with hip fracture: a study of the MIMIC-III database. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e068465. [PMID: 37202145 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-068465] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/20/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Hip fracture is a prevalent condition with a significant death rate among the elderly. We sought to develop a nomogram-based survival prediction model for older patients with hip fracture. DESIGN A retrospective case-control study. SETTING The data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III V.1.4). PARTICIPANTS The clinical features of elderly patients with hip fracture, including basic information, comorbidities, severity score, laboratory tests and therapy, were filtered out based on the MIMIC-III V.1.4. METHODS AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES All patients included in the study were from critical care and randomly divided into training and validation sets (7:3). On the basis of retrieved data, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multiple logistic regression analysis were used to identify independent predictive variables of 1-year mortality, and then constructed a risk prediction nomogram. The predictive values of the nomogram model were evaluated by the concordance indexes (C-indexes), receiver operating characteristic curve, decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curve. RESULTS A total of 341 elderly patients with hip fracture were included in this study; 121 cases died within 1 year. After LASSO regression and multiple logistic regression analysis, a novel nomogram contained the predictive variables of age, weight, the proportion of lymphocyte count, liver disease, malignant tumour and congestive heart failure. The constructed model proved satisfactory discrimination with C-indexes of 0.738 (95% CI 0.674 to 0.802) in the training set and 0.713 (95% CI 0.608 to 0.819) in the validation set. The calibration curve shows a good degree of fitting between the predicted and observed probabilities and the DCA confirms the model's clinical practicability. CONCLUSIONS The novel prediction model provides personalised predictions for 1-year mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures. Compared with other hip fracture models, our nomogram is particularly suitable for predicting long-term mortality in critical patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qian Chen
- Department of Orthopedics, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Peng Hao
- Department of Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Chipiu Wong
- Department of Orthopedics, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xiaoxin Zhong
- Department of Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qing He
- Department of Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yantao Chen
- Department of Orthopedics, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Cheng T, Li G, Mao X, Hao L, Cheng X, Ning H. Impact of Hepatitis B virus infection on postoperative complications and length of stay in elderly patients with hip fracture: A retrospective cohort study. Injury 2023:S0020-1383(23)00453-9. [PMID: 37198044 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2023.05.043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2022] [Revised: 03/28/2023] [Accepted: 05/10/2023] [Indexed: 05/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Osteoporosis and subsequent fractures are common in the chronic hepatitis B (CHB) population, especially in the elderly. This study investigated the effects of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection on postoperative outcomes following hip fracture surgery. METHODS The study identified elderly patients who underwent hip fracture surgery at three academic tertiary care centres between January 2014 and December 2020. Propensity score matching was performed to compare the outcomes of 1,046 patients with HBV infection to 1,046 controls. RESULTS The seroprevalence of HBV among elderly patients undergoing hip surgery was 4.94%. The HBV cohort had significantly higher rates of medical complications (28.1 vs. 22.7%, p = 0.005), surgical complications (14.0 vs. 9.7%, p = 0.003), and unplanned readmissions (18.9 vs. 14.5%, p = 0.03) within 90 days of surgery. Patients with HBV infection were more likely to have increased length of stay (6.2 vs. 5.9 days, p = 0.009) and in-hospital charges (¥52,231 vs. ¥49,832, p < 0.00001). Multivariate logistic regression suggested that liver fibrosis and thrombocytopenia were independent risk factors for major complications and extended LOS. CONCLUSION Patients with HBV infection were at greater risk of adverse postoperative outcomes. We should pay more attention to the considerable burden of perioperative management of CHB patients. Due to the high proportion of undiagnosed patients in the Chinese elderly population, universal HBV screening should be considered preoperatively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao Cheng
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, The People's Republic of China.
| | - Guoyong Li
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, The People's Republic of China
| | - Xin Mao
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, The People's Republic of China
| | - Liang Hao
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, The People's Republic of China.
| | - Xigao Cheng
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, The People's Republic of China
| | - Huiming Ning
- Department of Infectious Disease, Shanghai Eighth People's Hospital, Shanghai, The People's Republic of China
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11
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Wier JR, Firoozabadi R, Patterson JT. Cirrhosis is independently associated with complications and mortality following operative treatment of acetabular fractures. Injury 2023; 54:S0020-1383(23)00171-7. [PMID: 36878732 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2023.02.038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2022] [Accepted: 02/19/2023] [Indexed: 03/08/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Patients with cirrhosis are at higher risk for morbidity after injury. Acetabular fractures represent a highly morbid injury pattern. Few studies have specifically examined an effect of cirrhosis on risk of complications after acetabular fracture. We hypothesized that cirrhosis is independently associated with increased risk of inpatient complications following operative treatment of acetabular fractures. METHODS Adults patients with acetabular fracture who underwent operative treatment were identified from Trauma Quality Improvement Program data from 2015 to 2019. Patients with and without cirrhosis were matched on a propensity score predicting cirrhotic status and inpatient complications based on patient, injury, and treatment characteristics. The primary outcome was overall complication rate. Secondary outcomes included serious adverse event rate, overall infection rate, and mortality. RESULTS After propensity score matching, 137 cirrhosis+ and 274 cirrhosis- remained. No significant differences existed in observed characteristics after matching. Compared to cirrhosis- patients, cirrhosis+ patients experienced 43.4% (83.9 vs 40.5%, p < 0.001) greater absolute risk difference of any inpatient complication, 29.9% (51.8 vs 21.9%, p < 0.001) greater absolute risk difference of serious adverse events, 28.5% (41.6 vs 13.1%, p < 0.001) greater absolute risk difference of any infection, and 2.9% (2.9% vs 0.0%, p = 0.02) greater absolute risk difference of inpatient mortality. CONCLUSION Cirrhosis is associated with higher rates of inpatient complications, serious adverse events, infection, and mortality among patients undergoing operative repair of acetabular fracture. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic Level III.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julian R Wier
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Reza Firoozabadi
- Department of Orthopedics and Sports Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Joseph T Patterson
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
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12
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Szapary HJ, Monárrez R, Varady NH, Hanna P, Chen AF, Rodriguez EK. Complications and predictors of morbidity for hip fracture surgery in patients with chronic liver disease. Hip Int 2022:11207000221112923. [PMID: 35836328 DOI: 10.1177/11207000221112923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite the fact that patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) are at increased risk of complications after a fracture of the hip, there remains little information about the risk factors for acute postoperative complications and their overall outcome.The aim of this study was to describe inpatient postoperative complications and identify predictors of postoperative morbidity. METHODS Patients with CLD who had been treated for a fracture of the hip between April 2005 and August 2019 were identified from a retrospective search of an intramural trauma registry based in the Northeastern United States. Medical records were reviewed for baseline demographics, preoperative laboratory investigations, and outcomes. RESULTS The trauma registry contained 110 patients with CLD who had undergone surgery for a fracture of the hip. Of these, patients with a platelet-count of ⩽100,000/µL were 3.81 (95% CI, 1.59-9.12) times more likely to receive a transfusion than those with a platelet-count of >100,000/µL. Those with a Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of >9 were 5.54 (2.33-13.16) times more likely to receive a transfusion and 3.97 (1.06-14.81) times more likely to develop postoperative delirium than those with a MELD score of ⩽9.Of patients without chronic kidney disease, those with a creatinine of ⩾1.2 mg/dL were 6.80 (1.79-25.87) times more likely to develop acute renal failure (ARF) than those with a creatinine of <1.2 mg/dL. In a multivariable model, as MELD score was increased, the odds of developing a composite postoperative complication, which included transfusion, ARF, delirium, or deep wound infection, were 1.29 (1.01-1.66). Other tools used to assess surgical risks, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Elixhauser, and American Society of Anesthesiologist scores, were not predictive. CONCLUSIONS Patients with CLD who undergo surgery for a hip fracture have a high rate of postoperative complications which can be predicted by the preoperative laboratory investigations identified in this study and MELD scores, but not by other common comorbidity indices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah J Szapary
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Rubén Monárrez
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.,Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.,Rubin Institute for Advanced Orthopedics, Sinai Hospital, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Nathan H Varady
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Philip Hanna
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Antonia F Chen
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Edward K Rodriguez
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
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13
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Hundersmarck D, Groot OQ, Schuijt HJ, Hietbrink F, Leenen LPH, Heng M. Hip Fractures in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis: Worsening Liver Function Is Associated with Increased Mortality. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2022; 480:1077-1088. [PMID: 34978539 PMCID: PMC9263483 DOI: 10.1097/corr.0000000000002088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2021] [Accepted: 11/29/2021] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver cirrhosis is associated with osteoporosis, imbalance leading to falls, and subsequent fragility fractures. Knowing the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis of varying severity at the time of hip fracture would help physicians determine the course of treatment in this complex patient popultaion. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES (1) Is there an association between liver cirrhosis of varying severity and mortality in patients with hip fractures? (2) Is there an association between liver cirrhosis of varying severity and the in-hospital, 30-day, and 90-day postoperative complications of symptomatic thromboembolism and infections including wound complications, pneumonia, and urinary tract infections? METHODS Between 2015 and 2019, we identified 128 patients with liver cirrhosis who were treated for hip fractures at one of two Level I trauma centers. Patients younger than 18 years, those with incomplete medical records, fractures other than hip fractures or periprosthetic hip fractures, noncirrhotic liver disease, status after liver transplantation, and metastatic cancer other than hepatocellular carcinoma were excluded. Based on these exclusions, 77% (99 of 128) of patients were eligible; loss to follow-up was 0% within 1 year and 4% (4 of 99) at 2 years. The median follow-up duration was 750 days (interquartile range 232 to 1000). Ninety-four patients were stratified based on Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score subgroup (MELD scores of 6-9 [MELD6-9], 10-19 [MELD10-19], and 20-40 [MELD20-40]), and 99 were stratified based on compensation or decompensation status, both measures for liver cirrhosis severity. MELD scores combine laboratory parameters related to liver disease and are used to predict cirrhosis-related mortality based on metabolic abnormalities. Decompensation, however, is the clinical finding of acute deterioration in liver function characterized by ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, and variceal hemorrhage, associated with increased mortality. MELD analyses excluded 5% (5 of 99) of patients due to missing laboratory values. Median age at the time of hip fracture was 69 years (IQR 62 to 78), and 55% (54 of 99) of patients were female. The primary outcome of mortality was determined at 90 days, 1 year, and 2 years after surgery. Secondary outcomes were symptomatic thromboembolism and infections, defined as any documented surgical wound complications, pneumonia, or urinary tract infections requiring treatment. These were determined by chart review at three timepoints: in-hospital and within 30 days or 90 days after discharge. The primary outcome was assessed using a Cox proportional hazard analysis for the MELD score and compensation or decompensation classifications; secondary outcomes were analyzed using the Fisher exact test. RESULTS Patients in the MELD20-40 group had higher 90-day (hazard ratio 3.95 [95% CI 1.39 to 12.46]; p = 0.01), 1-year (HR 4.12 [95% CI 1.52 to 11.21]; p < 0.001), and 2-year (HR 3.65 [95% CI 1.68 to 7.93]; p < 0.001) mortality than those in the MELD6-9 group. Patients with decompensation had higher in-hospital (9% versus 0%; p = 0.04), 90-day (HR 3.35 [95% CI 1.10 to 10.25]; p = 0.03), 1-year (HR 4.39 [95% CI 2.02 to 9.54]; p < 0.001), and 2-year (HR 3.80 [95% CI 2.02 to 7.15]; p < 0.001) mortality than did patients with compensated disease. All in-hospital deaths were related to liver failure and within 30 days of surgery. The 1-year mortality was 55% for MELD20-40 and 53% for patients with decompensated disease, compared with 16% for patients with MELD6-9 and 15% for patients with compensated disease. In both the MELD and (de)compensation analyses, in-hospital and postdischarge 30-day symptomatic thromboembolic and infectious complications were not different among the groups (all p > 0.05). Ninety-day symptomatic thromboembolism was higher in the MELD20-40 group compared with the other two MELD classifications (13% for MELD20-40 and 0% for both MELD6-9 and MELD10-19; p = 0.02). CONCLUSION The mortality of patients with preexisting liver cirrhosis who sustain a hip fracture is high, and it is associated with the degree of cirrhosis and decline in liver function, especially in those with signs of decompensation, defined as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, and variceal hemmorrhage. Patients with mild-to-moderate cirrhosis (MELD score < 20) and those with compensated disease may undergo routine fracture treatment based on their prognosis. Those with severe (MELD score > 20) or decompensated liver cirrhosis should receive multidisciplinary, individualized treatment, with consideration given to palliative and nonsurgical treatment given their high risk of death within 1 year after surgery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, therapeutic study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dennis Hundersmarck
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Harvard Medical School Orthopaedic Trauma Initiative, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Olivier Q. Groot
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Harvard Medical School Orthopaedic Trauma Initiative, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Henk J. Schuijt
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Harvard Medical School Orthopaedic Trauma Initiative, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Falco Hietbrink
- Department of Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Luke P. H. Leenen
- Department of Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Marilyn Heng
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Harvard Medical School Orthopaedic Trauma Initiative, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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14
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Tseng FJ, Gou GH, Wang SH, Shyu JF, Pan RY. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis increase morbidity in geriatric patients treated surgically for hip fractures: analysis of the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample. BMC Geriatr 2022; 22:150. [PMID: 35197007 PMCID: PMC8867787 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-022-02832-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2021] [Accepted: 02/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background This study aimed to evaluate the impact of chronic liver disease and cirrhosis on inpatient outcomes of geriatric hip fracture surgery. Materials and methods Using population-based retrospective study design, this study extracted data from the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database 2005–2014, identifying patients aged ≥ 65 years undergoing hip fracture repair. Main outcomes were in-hospital mortality, any/specific complications, non-routine discharge, extended length of stay (LOS) and hospital costs. Associations between cirrhosis, non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease and outcomes were determined using regression analysis. Results Data of 347,363 hip fracture patients included 344,035 without liver disease, 1257 with non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease and 2,071 with cirrhosis. After adjustments, non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease was significantly associated with non-routine discharge (OR: 1.247, 95% CI: 1.038–1.498), acute kidney injury (OR: 1.266, 95% CI: 1.039–1.541), extended LOS (OR: 1.285, 95% CI: 1.122–1.473) and hospital costs (beta: 9173.42, 95% CI: 6925.9–11,420.95) compared to no liver disease; while cirrhosis was significantly associated with higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR: 2.325, 95% CI: 1.849–2.922), any complication (OR: 1.295, 95% CI: 1.143–1.467), acute kidney injury (OR: 1.242, 95% CI: 1.177–1.433), non-routine discharge (OR: 1.650, 95% CI: 1.412–1.928), extended LOS (OR: 1.405, 95% CI: 1.263–1.562) and hospital costs (beta: 6680.24, 95% CI: 4921.53–8438.95) compared to no liver disease. Conclusion In geriatric hip fracture patients undergoing surgical repair, non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease and cirrhosis independently predict non-routine discharge, acute kidney injury, prolonged LOS and greater hospital costs, and cirrhosis is also significantly associated with greater risk of any complication and in-hospital mortality. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02832-y.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feng-Jen Tseng
- Department of Orthopedics, Hualien Armed Forces General Hospital, Hualien, 971, Taiwan, ROC.,Department of Life Science and the Institute of Biotechnology, National Dong Hwa University, Hualien, 974, Taiwan, ROC.,Department of Orthopaedics, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC
| | - Guo-Hau Gou
- Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, National Defense Medical Center, No. 161, Section 6, Mingchuan E. Road, Neihu District 114, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC
| | - Sheng-Hao Wang
- Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, National Defense Medical Center, No. 161, Section 6, Mingchuan E. Road, Neihu District 114, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC.,Department of Orthopaedics, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC
| | - Jia-Fwu Shyu
- Department of Biology and Anatomy, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC
| | - Ru-Yu Pan
- Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, National Defense Medical Center, No. 161, Section 6, Mingchuan E. Road, Neihu District 114, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC. .,Department of Orthopaedics, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, 11490, Taiwan, ROC.
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15
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A new preoperative risk score for predicting mortality of elderly hip fracture patients: an external validation study. Aging Clin Exp Res 2021; 33:2519-2527. [PMID: 33486721 DOI: 10.1007/s40520-021-01786-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 01/04/2021] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hip fractures are common in the elderly and have a high risk of mortality. Several risk prediction models for mortality of hip fracture have been developed, but most of them are difficult to apply accurately in clinical practice. AIMS The objective of the present study was to perform an external validation of a new published preoperative risk score for predicting mortality. METHODS We carried out a retrospective cohort study from January 2014 to December 2018 for elderly hip fracture patients discharged from a orthopedic center in China. The preoperative risk score was calculated for each patient, and further divided into two groups: low-risk group (score < 24 points) and high-risk group (score ≥ 24 points) using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The outcome was 30-day, 6-month and 1-year all-cause mortality, and the relationship between the risk score and mortality was assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. The area under the curve (AUC), Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration plots were used to test the discrimination and calibration. RESULTS A total of 460 consecutive patients were included in the study, and high-risk score was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality [Hazard ratio (HR) 6.70; 95% Confidence interval (CI) 1.82-24.69; p = 0.004], 6-month mortality (HR 2.94; 95% CI 1.68-5.17; p < 0.001) and 1-year mortality (HR 3.30; 95% CI 2.09-5.20; p < 0.001). Also, each point increase in the risk score resulted in a 11% increase in 30-day mortality (HR 1.11; 95% CI 1.07-1.16; p < 0.001), 6% increase in 6-month mortality (HR 1.06; 95% CI 1.04-1.09; p < 0.001), and 5% increase in 1-year mortality (HR 1.05; 95% CI 1.03-1.07; p < 0.001). Moreover, the risk score had an AUC of 0.89 (95% CI 0.80-0.98) for 30-day mortality, 0.77 (95% CI 0.70-0.83) for 6-month mortality, and 0.76 (95% CI 0.70-0.81) for 1-year mortality. Calibration plots showed a good calibration between observed and predicted mortality, which was also demonstrated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. CONCLUSION Our present study findings indicated that the preoperative risk score was an accurate mortality risk assessment tool for elderly hip fracture patients, regardless of short- and long-term follow-up.
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16
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Jadzic J, Milovanovic P, Cvetkovic D, Ivovic M, Tomanovic N, Bracanovic M, Zivkovic V, Nikolic S, Djuric M, Djonic D. Mechano-structural alteration in proximal femora of individuals with alcoholic liver disease: Implications for increased bone fragility. Bone 2021; 150:116020. [PMID: 34044170 DOI: 10.1016/j.bone.2021.116020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2021] [Revised: 05/14/2021] [Accepted: 05/19/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Although increased hip fracture risk is noted in patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD), their femoral microstructural and mechanical properties were not investigated previously. The present study aimed to analyze the associations between subregional deteriorations in femoral mechano-structural properties and clinical imaging findings to explain increased femoral fracture risk among ALD patients. This study analyzed proximal femora of 33 male cadaveric donors, divided into ALD (n = 13, 57 ± 13 years) and age-matched control group (n = 20, 54 ± 13 years). After pathohistological verification of ALD stage, DXA and HSA measurements of the proximal femora were performed, followed by micro-CT and Vickers microindentation of the superolateral neck, inferomedial neck, and intertrochanteric region. Bone mineral density and cross sectional area of the femoral neck were deteriorated in ALD donors, compared with healthy controls (p < 0.05). Significant ALD-induced degradation of trabecular and cortical microstructure and Vickers microhardness reduction were noted in the analyzed femoral regions (p < 0.05). Still, the most prominent ALD-induced mechano-structural deterioration was noted in intertrochanteric region. Additionally, more severe bone alterations were observed in individuals with an irreversible stage of ALD, alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC), than in those with an initial ALD stage, fatty liver disease. Observed osteodensitometric and mechano-structural changes illuminate the basis for increased femoral fracture risk in ALD patients. Additionally, our data suggest bone strength reduction that may result in increased susceptibility to intertrochanteric femoral fracture in men with ALD. Thus, femoral fracture risk assessment should be advised for all ALD patients, especially in those with ALC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jelena Jadzic
- Laboratory for Anthropology and Skeletal biology, Institute for Anatomy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica no. 4/2, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Petar Milovanovic
- Laboratory for Anthropology and Skeletal biology, Institute for Anatomy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica no. 4/2, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Danica Cvetkovic
- Institute of Forensic Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Deligradska no. 31a, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Miomira Ivovic
- Institute for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, Clinical Center of Serbia, Dr. Subotica no. 13, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Nada Tomanovic
- Institute of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica no. 1, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Milos Bracanovic
- Clinic for Emergency Surgery, Clinical Center of Serbia, Pasterova no. 2, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Vladimir Zivkovic
- Institute of Forensic Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Deligradska no. 31a, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Slobodan Nikolic
- Institute of Forensic Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Deligradska no. 31a, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Marija Djuric
- Laboratory for Anthropology and Skeletal biology, Institute for Anatomy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica no. 4/2, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Danijela Djonic
- Laboratory for Anthropology and Skeletal biology, Institute for Anatomy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica no. 4/2, Belgrade, Serbia.
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17
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Roux C, Thomas T, Paccou J, Bizouard G, Crochard A, Toth E, Lemaitre M, Maurel F, Perrin L, Tubach F. Refracture and mortality following hospitalization for severe osteoporotic fractures: The Fractos Study. JBMR Plus 2021; 5:e10507. [PMID: 34258503 PMCID: PMC8260818 DOI: 10.1002/jbm4.10507] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2021] [Revised: 04/16/2021] [Accepted: 04/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Severe osteoporotic fractures (hip, proximal humerus, pelvic, vertebral and multiple rib fractures) carry an increased risk of mortality. This retrospective cohort study in the French national healthcare database aimed to estimate refracture and mortality rates after severe osteoporotic fractures at different sites, and to identify mortality‐related variables. A total of 356,895 patients hospitalized for severe osteoporotic fracture between 2009 and 2014 inclusive were analyzed. The cohort was followed for 2 to 8 years up to the study end or until the patient died. Data were extracted on subsequent hospitalizations, refracture events, treatments, comorbidities of interest and survival. Time to refracture and survival were described using Kaplan‐Meier analysis by site of fracture and overall. Mortality risk factors were identified using a Cox model. Hip fractures accounted for 60.4% of the sample (N = 215,672). In the 12 months following fracture, 58,220 patients (16.7%) received a specific osteoporosis treatment, of whom 21,228 were previously treatment‐naïve. The 12‐month refracture rate was 6.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.2%–6.3%), ranging from 4.0% (95% CI, 3.7%–4.3%) for multiple rib fractures to 7.8% (95% CI, 7.5%–8.1%) for pelvic fractures. Twelve‐month all‐cause mortality was 12.8% (95% CI, 12.7%–12.9%), ranging from 5.0% (95% CI, 4.7%–5.2%) for vertebral fractures to 16.6% (95% CI, 16.4%–16.7%) for hip fractures. Osteoporosis‐related mortality risk factors included fracture site, previous osteoporotic fracture (hazard ratio 1.21; 95% CI, 1.18–1.23), hip refracture (1.74; 95% CI, 1.71–1.77), and no prior osteoporosis treatment (1.24; 95% CI, 1.22–1.26). Comorbid cancer (3.15; 95% CI, 3.09–3.21) and liver disease (2.54; 95% CI, 2.40–2.68) were also strongly associated with mortality. In conclusion, severe osteoporotic fractures, including certain non‐hip nonvertebral fractures, carry a high burden in terms of mortality and refracture risk. However, most patients received no anti‐osteoporotic treatment. The findings emphasize the importance of better management of patients with severe fractures, and of developing effective strategies to reduce fracture risk in patients with osteoporosis. © 2021 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christian Roux
- Department of Rheumatology Cochin Hospital, Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris Centre, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) Unités Mixtes de Recherche (UMR) 1153, Université de Paris Paris France
| | - Thierry Thomas
- Department of Rheumatology Hôpital Nord, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire (CHU) Saint-Etienne, INSERM U1059, Lyon University Saint-Etienne France
| | - Julien Paccou
- Department of Rheumatology Lille University, CHU Lille, Marrow Adiposity and Bone Laboratory (MABlab) ULR 4490 Lille France
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Florence Tubach
- Department of Public Health, Pharmacoepidemiology Center (Cephepi) Sorbonne University, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, AP-HP Sorbonne University, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, CIC-1422 Paris France
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18
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Zhao LY, Luo YJ, Zhu J. Liver disease and mortality among patients with hip fracture: does gender matter? Clin Epidemiol 2018; 10:1407-1409. [PMID: 30323684 PMCID: PMC6179585 DOI: 10.2147/clep.s185399] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Ling-Yue Zhao
- Department of Ambulatory Surgery, Shenzhen Nanshan District People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518052, People's Republic of China,
| | - Yi-Jun Luo
- Department of Ambulatory Surgery, Shenzhen Nanshan District People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518052, People's Republic of China,
| | - Jing Zhu
- Department of Ambulatory Surgery, Shenzhen Nanshan District People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518052, People's Republic of China,
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