Prevalence and Incidence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation in Denmark 2004–2018

Quality of care among patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation in Greenland

This cross-sectional study sought to assess the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis in Greenland among various age groups and examine the corresponding quality of care. We collected data from Greenland's electronic medical records and evaluated the quality of care using six internationally recommended indicators, which are: percentage of AF patients with an assessment of smoking status within the previous year, an assessment of body mass index within the previous year, assessment of blood pressure within the previous year, measurement of thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), treatment with an anticoagulant and percentage of patients with a measurement of serum-creatinine. We found the prevalence of AF among patients aged 20 years or older in Greenland to be 1.75% (95% CI 1.62-1.88). We found an increasing prevalence of AF with age and a greater proportion of men than women until the age of 74 years. Our study suggests that the associated quality of care could be higher as the requirement of only one of the six quality indicators was met. A lack of registration may partly explain this, and initiatives to improve the quality of care are recommended.

Sex differences in early-onset atrial fibrillation in Norwegian primary care: a retrospective national database analysis

BACKGROUND

Individual variation in the need for healthcare constitutes knowledge gaps for young atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. We aimed to estimate the prevalence and primary care burden of early-onset AF in Norway, emphasising sex differences, in a nationwide healthcare database.

METHODS

We used data from the Norwegian Control and Payment of Health Reimbursement database to identify all Norwegian residents ≥18 years of age registered with a primary care physician (PCP) in 2019, with onset of AF at ≤50 years of age (early-onset AF) in the period 2006-2019. From the accumulated number of early-onset AF cases among current residents, we calculated the prevalence in 2019. The group-level primary care burden was calculated as the total number of annual AF consultations divided by the annual number of AF patients (2014-2018), and individual burden as the mean number of consultations per AF patient per year within the study period. We analysed the distribution of AF consultations between PCP and primary care emergency room (ER) services in total and by sex.

RESULTS

We identified 10 925 Norwegian residents with early-onset AF in 2019 (26.3% women, mean age 48.4 years). The prevalence of early-onset AF was 0.34% (women: 0.19%, men: 0.50%). The early-onset AF population had on average one annual primary care consultation for AF. The individual burden of annual AF consultations varied widely; <1: 66% of women and 54% of men, (1-5]: 25% of women and 36% of men, (5-10]: 6% of women and 8% of men, ≥10: 2% of women and 2% of men. A higher proportion of men (71%) than women (38%) attended both PCP and ER services due to AF.

CONCLUSIONS

The study confirmed a low prevalence of early-onset AF, with substantial sex differences and individual variation in primary healthcare needs. Our results signal a need for a higher resolution with regard to age groups in future research on burden and sex differences in early-onset AF.

A danish healthcare-focused economic evaluation of first-line cryoballoon ablation versus antiarrhythmic drug therapy for the treatment of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Three randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that first-line cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation decreases atrial tachycardia in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) compared with antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs). The aim of this study was to develop a cost-effectiveness model (CEM) for first-line cryoablation compared with first-line AADs for the treatment of PAF. The model used a Danish healthcare perspective.

METHODS

Individual patient-level data from the Cryo-FIRST, STOP AF and EARLY-AF RCTs were used to parameterise the CEM. The model structure consisted of a hybrid decision tree (one-year time horizon) and a Markov model (40-year time horizon, with a three-month cycle length). Health-related quality of life was expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and benefits were discounted at 3% per year. Model outcomes were produced using probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

First-line cryoablation is dominant, meaning it results in lower costs (-€2,663) and more QALYs (0.18) when compared to first-line AADs. First-line cryoablation also has a 99.96% probability of being cost-effective, at a cost-effectiveness threshold of €23,200 per QALY gained. Regardless of initial treatment, patients were expected to receive ∼ 1.2 ablation procedures over a lifetime horizon.

CONCLUSION

First-line cryoablation is both more effective and less costly (i.e. dominant), when compared with AADs for patients with symptomatic PAF in a Danish healthcare system.

Global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2021

AIMS

To devise effective preventive measures, a profound understanding of the evolving patterns and trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) burdens is pivotal. Our study was designed to quantify the burden and delineate the risk factors associated with AF and AFL across 204 countries and territories spanning 1990-2021.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data pertaining to AF and AFL were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The burden of AF/AFL was evaluated using metrics such as incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, and their corresponding age-standardized rates (ASRs), stratified by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI). The estimated annual percentage change was employed to quantify changes in ASRs. Population attributable fractions were calculated to determine the proportional contributions of major risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL deaths. This analysis encompassed the period from 1990 to 2021. Globally, in 2021, there were 4.48 million incident cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3.61-5.70], 8.36 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.97-10.13) and 0.34 million deaths (95% UI: 0.29-0.37) attributed to AF/AFL. The AF/AFL burden in 2021, as well as its trends from 1990 to 2021, displayed substantial variations based on gender, SDI quintiles, and geographical regions. High systolic blood pressure emerged as the leading contributor to age-standardized AF/AFL incidence, prevalence, death, and DALY rate globally among all potential risk factors, followed closely by high body mass index.

CONCLUSION

Our study underscores the enduring significance of AF/AFL as a prominent public health concern worldwide, marked by profound regional and national variations. Despite the substantial potential for prevention and management of AF/AFL, there is a pressing imperative to adopt more cost-effective strategies and interventions to target modifiable risk factors, particularly in areas where the burden of AF/AFL is high or escalating.

High Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation Found in the Capital of Greenland When Using Continuous Electrocardiogram Monitoring: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of conditions such as ischemic stroke, dementia, and heart failure, and early detection is crucial. In Greenland, ischemic strokes are common, and the prevalences of AF risk factors are increasing. Studies based on 30-second electrocardiograms (ECGs) and diagnosis codes so far have indicated either a low prevalence of AF or a prevalence comparable to that in other Western countries, such as Denmark. However, using short, single-point ECGs may underestimate the true prevalence, as especially paroxysmal AF can be missed. With this study, we aim to estimate the prevalence of AF using 3-5-day continuous Holter recordings among people in Nuuk, the capital of Greenland.

Methods

In this cross-sectional study, we estimated the prevalence of AF among the population aged ≥ 50 years in Greenland's capital, Nuuk. We used an ePatch to record continuous ECGs for 3-5 days, and questionnaires to assess demographic data, comorbidities, medication, symptoms, and risk factors for AF.

Results

Of 226 participants (62% women), 21 (33% women) had either self-reported AF, AF on the recording, or both, equivalent to a prevalence of 9.3% (confidence interval [CI] 5.8-13.9). The age-stratified prevalence was 7.2% (CI 2.7-15.1) among those aged 50-59 years; 8.8% (CI 4.1-16.1) among those aged 60-69 years; and 18.2% (CI 7.0-35.5) among those aged ≥ 70 years.

Conclusions

This study provides a novel insight into AF prevalence in Nuuk, emphasizing the potential underestimation in previous studies. Continuous ECG monitoring revealed a higher prevalence, especially among the younger age groups, urging a reevaluation of diagnostic practices in this unique population.

Trends in cardiovascular disease among Inuit in Greenland from 1994 to 2021

Background and aims

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses significant health challenges globally. While substantial data exists for most populations, the Arctic Inuit's CVD incidence rates remain understudied. This research aimed to change this by estimating CVD incidence and mortality rates in Greenland from 1994 to 2021.

Methods

Using nationwide registers, a retrospective observational study was conducted, focusing on individuals born in Greenland to Greenlandic-born parents. Data were sourced from the Greenlandic Hospital Discharge Register and the nationwide electronic medical record.

Results

A total of 65,824 individuals were included. the age- and sex-specific incidence rates (IR) of ischemic heart disease, stroke, and heart failure (HF) declined from 1994 to 2021, with the most substantial decline observed for HF among women. Conversely, the IR of atrial fibrillation/flutter increased in both men and women, while the IR of myocardial infarction rose among men. The IR for stroke was particularly elevated compared to other CVD subgroups. Mortality rates for those diagnosed with CVD were 2.4 times higher than those without. Men exhibited a 40 % elevated mortality risk relative to women.

Conclusion

The study provides pivotal insights into CVD trends within the Arctic Inuit population, highlighting both positive developments and areas of concern. Given the increasing elderly demographic in Greenland, proactive health strategies are crucial. Emphasizing primary prevention and addressing specific CVD risks, particularly the elevated stroke IR, is imperative for future public health efforts.

Trends in the Use of Medications for Secondary Ischemic Stroke Prevention in Denmark, 2005-2021

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Understanding trends in the use of medications for secondary stroke prevention is crucial for identifying areas for improvement in stroke care. We examined the use of lipid-lowering, antihypertensive, glucose-lowering, oral anticoagulant, and antiplatelet medications after ischemic stroke hospitalization, from 2005 to 2021.

METHODS

Using nationwide registries in Denmark, we identified a cohort of patients discharged from hospital with a first-time or recurrent ischemic stroke (N = 150,744). Stratified by calendar year, we ascertained the 180-day probability of filling a prescription for the abovementioned medications after discharge. We further assessed factors associated with medication use.

RESULTS

From 2005 to 2021, lipid-lowering medication use increased from 58.3% to 82.0%; atorvastatin use rose from 2.1% to 64.8% and simvastatin use decreased from 55.7% to 8.6%. Antihypertensive medication use remained stable, at approximately 89%, and various antihypertensive classes were used comparably. Glucose-lowering medication use increased from 71.5% in 2005 to 84.1% in 2021, driven primarily by an increase in metformin use (from 28.0% to 59.5%). Use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors continually increased (from 1.7% to 17.5% and from 0.5% to 17.3%, respectively) between 2015 and 2021. Anticoagulant medication use rose from 45.9% in 2005 to 87.0% in 2021, primarily because of increased use of direct oral anticoagulant medications starting around 2010 and a decline in warfarin use. Antiplatelet use remained consistently high, at approximately 95%. Trends were consistent across subgroups of interest; however, overall medication use was lower in older patients (65 years and older), patients with severe stroke, and patients with neurologic and psychiatric comorbidities.

DISCUSSION

Despite increasing trends in the use of 3 of 5 medication classes, the overall use of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and oral anticoagulant medications was somewhat lower than expected according to clinical guidelines, particularly among older patients with more severe stroke and other comorbidities. The relatively low use in these subgroups may signify appropriate clinical decision making in consideration of frequent contraindications and reduced life expectancy or highlight potential areas of improvement for the care of patients with recent ischemic stroke.

Frequency and risk factors of atrial fibrillation after acute abdominal surgery: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Scarce data exist on the true incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after acute abdominal surgery and associated outcomes. The current study aimed to identify the frequencies of clinically recognized POAF and associated complications, along with their risk factors.

METHODS

This study was a prospective, single-center cohort study of unselected adult patients referred for acute abdominal surgery during a 3-month period. Through careful review, demographics, comorbidity, and surgical characteristics were prospectively drawn from medical charts. The primary outcome was clinically recognized POAF occurring in-hospital. Logistic regression was used to determine the risk factors of POAF and associated complications. A subgroup was enrolled in a feasibility study of peri- and postoperative continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring.

RESULTS

In total, 450 patients were enrolled. Clinically recognized in-hospital POAF was observed in 22 patients (4.9%). All cases were observed in patients aged ≥60 years, corresponding to 22 of 164 patients (13.4%). Multiple risk factors were observed, such as age, prior atrial fibrillation, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, chronic renal disease, and major (vs. minor) surgery. POAF was associated with severe in-hospital complications (POAF group 45.5% vs. non-POAF group 8.6%, p < .001) and in-hospital mortality (POAF group 13.6% vs. non-POAF group 3.0%, p = .043). In total, 295 patients were monitored by continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring for 12,148 h, yielding five patients with asymptomatic AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, this prospective study of POAF in patients undergoing acute abdominal surgery showed that one in 20 patients developed clinically recognized in-hospital POAF. Multiple risk factors of POAF were identified. POAF was associated with severe complications up to 30 days after surgery.

Ten-year trends in incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark according to demographics, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence (2009-2018)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and a major global health burden. Updated trends in the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF) are needed.

METHODS

Using the Danish Heart Statistics, we investigated nationwide trends 2009-2018 in incidence rate and prevalence of AF according to age as well as age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and prevalence (ASP) of AF according to sex, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence. Comparing year 2018 to 2009, we calculated stratum-specific ASIR ratios (ASIRR) and changes in ASP.

RESULTS

During 2009-2015 the ASIR for AF increased for both men and women, followed by a decline from 2015-2018. Overall, this resulted in a 9% increase among men (ASIRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.12), but no change among women (ASIRR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.97-1.04). The ASP increased by 29% among men and 26% among women. An increase in ASIR was observed in all ethnic groups except men of Far Eastern ethnicity. Lower educational level was associated with greater increases in both ASIR and ASP. ASIR and ASP differed slightly between the Danish regions but increased in all of them.

CONCLUSIONS

During 2009-2018 the incidence and prevalence of AF in Denmark increased although the increase in incidence was transient among women. Factors associated with higher incidence were male sex, higher age, Danish and Western ethnicity as well as Middle Eastern/North African ethnicity among women, and lower educational level. Within Denmark, we observed only minor regional differences in AF incidence and prevalence.

Reaching the Frail Elderly for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation-REAFEL

BACKGROUND

Frail elderly patients are exposed to suffering strokes if they do not receive timely anticoagulation to prevent stroke associated to atrial fibrillation (AF). Evaluation in the cardiological ambulatory can be cumbersome as it often requires repeated visits.

AIM

To develop and implement CardioShare, a shared-care model where primary care leads patient management, using a compact Holter monitor device with asynchronous remote support from cardiologists.

METHODS

CardioShare was developed in a feasibility phase, tested in a pragmatic cluster randomization trial (primary care clinics as clusters), and its implementation potential was evaluated with an escalation test. Mixed methods were used to evaluate the impact of this complex intervention, comprising quantitative observations, semi-structured interviews, and workshops.

RESULTS

Between February 2020 and December 2021, 314 patients (30% frail) were included, of whom 75% had AF diagnosed/not found within 13 days; 80% in both groups avoided referral to cardiologists. Patients felt safe and primary care clinicians satisfied. In an escalation test, 58 primary-care doctors evaluated 93 patients over three months, with remote support from four hospitals in the Capital Region of Denmark.

CONCLUSIONS

CardioShare was successfully implemented for AF evaluation in primary care.

ANMCO-SIMEU consensus document: appropriate management of atrial fibrillation in the emergency department

Atrial fibrillation (AF) accounts for 2% of the total presentations to the emergency department (ED) and represents the most frequent arrhythmic cause for hospitalization. It steadily increases the risk of thromboembolic events and is often associated with several comorbidities that negatively affect patient's quality of life and prognosis. AF has a considerable impact on healthcare resources, making the promotion of an adequate and coordinated management of this arrhythmia necessary in order to avoid clinical complications and to implement the adoption of appropriate technological and pharmacological treatment options. AF management varies across regions and hospitals and there is also heterogeneity in the use of anticoagulation and electric cardioversion, with limited use of direct oral anticoagulants. The ED represents the first access point for early management of patients with AF. The appropriate management of this arrhythmia in the acute setting has a great impact on improving patient's quality of life and outcomes as well as on rationalization of the financial resources related to the clinical course of AF. Therefore, physicians should provide a well-structured clinical and diagnostic pathway for patients with AF who are admitted to the ED. This should be based on a tight and propositional collaboration among several specialists, i.e. the ED physician, cardiologist, internal medicine physician, anesthesiologist. The aim of this ANMCO-SIMEU consensus document is to provide shared recommendations for promoting an integrated, accurate, and up-to-date management of patients with AF admitted to the ED or Cardiology Department, in order to make it homogeneous across the national territory.

Time Trends in Patient Characteristics, Anticoagulation Treatment, and Prognosis of Incident Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation in the Netherlands

Importance

The temporal trend in adverse events regarding stroke prevention for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in the direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) era was rarely investigated comprehensively, especially taking into account potential changes in patient characteristics and anticoagulation treatment.

Objective

To investigate time trends in patient characteristics, anticoagulation treatment, and prognosis of patients with incident NVAF in the Netherlands.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study assessed patients with incident NVAF initially recognized within a hospitalization between 2014 and 2018, using data from Statistics Netherlands. Participants were followed-up for 1 year from the hospital admission at which the incident NVAF diagnosis was made or until death, whichever occurred first. Data were analyzed from January 15, 2021, to March 8, 2023.

Exposure

Calendar year of the incident NVAF diagnosis, according to which the participants were categorized into 5 cohorts.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcomes of interest were baseline patient characteristics, anticoagulation treatment, and occurrence of ischemic stroke or major bleeding within the 1-year follow-up after incident NVAF.

Results

Between 2014 and 2018, 301 301 patients (mean [SD] age, 74.2 [11.9] years; 169 748 [56.3%] male patients) experienced incident NVAF in the Netherlands, each of whom was categorized into 1 of 5 cohorts by calendar year. Baseline patient characteristics were broadly the same between cohorts with a mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years [doubled], diabetes, stroke [doubled], vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category [female]) score of 2.9 (1.7). The median (IQR) proportion of days covered by OACs (ie, vitamin K antagonists or DOACs) within the 1-year follow-up increased from 56.99% (0%-86.30%) to 75.62% (0%-94.52%), and DOACs increased from 5102 patients (13.5%) to 32 314 patients (72.0%) among those who received OACs, gradually replacing VKAs as the first choice of OACs. Over the course of the study, there were statistically significant decreases in the 1-year cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke (from 1.63% [95% CI, 1.52%-1.73%] to 1.39% [95% CI, 1.30%-1.48%) and major bleeding (from 2.50% [95% CI, 2.37%-2.63%] to 2.07% [95% CI, 1.96%-2.19%]), and the association was consistent after adjusting for baseline patient characteristics and excluding those with preexisting chronic anticoagulation.

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study of patients with incident NVAF diagnosed between 2014 and 2018 in the Netherlands found similar baseline characteristics, increased OAC use with DOACs being favored over time, and improved 1-year prognosis. Comorbidity burden, potential underuse of anticoagulation medications, and specific subgroups of patients with NVAF remain directions for future investigations and further improvement.