1
|
Influenza vaccination in Western Australian children: Exploring the health benefits and cost savings of increased vaccine coverage in children. Vaccine X 2023; 15:100399. [PMID: 37908895 PMCID: PMC10613898 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2023.100399] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2023] [Revised: 10/13/2023] [Accepted: 10/16/2023] [Indexed: 11/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction To assess potential benefits and direct healthcare cost savings with expansion of an existing childhood influenza immunisation program, we developed a dynamic transmission model for the state of Western Australia, evaluating increasing coverage in children < 5 years and routinely immunising school-aged children. Methods A deterministic compartmental Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered age-stratified transmission model was developed and calibrated using laboratory-notification and hospitalisation data. Base case vaccine coverage estimates were derived from 2019 data and tested under moderate, low and high vaccine effectiveness settings. The impact of increased coverage on the burden of influenza, influenza-associated presentations and net costs were assessed using the transmission model and estimated health utilisation costs. Results Under base case vaccine coverage and moderate vaccine effectiveness settings, 225,460 influenza cases are expected annually across all ages. Direct healthcare costs of influenza were estimated to be A$27,608,286 per annum, dominated by hospital costs. Net cost savings of >$A1.5 million dollars were observed for every 10 % increase in vaccine coverage in children < 5 years. Additional benefits were observed by including primary school age children (5-11 years) in the funded influenza vaccination program - a reduction in cases, presentations, hospitalisations and approximately $A4 million net costs savings were observed for every 10 % increase in coverage. The further addition of older children (12-17 years) resulted in only moderate additional net cost savings figures, compared with a 5-11year-old program alone. Net costs savings were predominantly derived by a reduction in influenza-associated hospitalisation in adults. Conclusions Any increase in influenza vaccine coverage in children < 5 years, above a base case of 50 % coverage resulted in a substantive reduction in influenza cases, presentations, hospitalisations and net costs when applied to the West Australian population. However, the most impactful pediatric program, from both a disease prevention and costs perspective, would be one that increased vaccination coverage among primary-school aged children.
Collapse
|
2
|
Complications of Influenza A or B Virus Infection in Individuals With SCN1A-Positive Dravet Syndrome. Neurology 2023; 100:e435-e442. [PMID: 36323522 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000201438] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2022] [Accepted: 09/06/2022] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES To determine the frequency and spectrum of complications of influenza infection in individuals with SCN1A-positive Dravet syndrome (SCN1A-DS). METHODS Individuals with SCN1A-DS were identified in neurologists' care at 2 hospitals in Melbourne, Australia, with additional searches of EEG databases, the Victorian PAEDS FluCan influenza database, and the University of Melbourne Epilepsy Genetics Research Program database. Medical records were searched and families questioned to identify individuals who had an influenza infection; reported infections were confirmed by pathology report. For these individuals, we obtained baseline clinical characteristics and clinical details of the influenza infection. RESULTS Twenty-one of 82 individuals (26%) had 24 documented influenza infections (17 influenza A and 7 influenza B) at age 0.5-25 years (median 4 years). All presented to hospital, 18/24 (75%) for status epilepticus or seizure exacerbations. Recovery was prompt in 18/24 (75%) infections, delayed but complete in 1/24 (4%) and incomplete in 5/24 (21%). One child died from influenza pneumonia, and long-term neurologic sequelae were seen with 4 infections. These individuals were poorly responsive after termination of status epilepticus. Brain imaging in 2 showed cerebral edema and 1 also having imaging features of laminar necrosis. All have ongoing neurologic deficits compared with their baseline, 1 having profound global impairment. DISCUSSION Our data show that patients with SCN1A-DS are highly susceptible to neurologic complications during and severe sequelae after influenza infection, including moderate to severe persistent neurologic impairments and death. Safe administration of the seasonal influenza vaccine should be prioritized for this population.
Collapse
|
3
|
Severe Influenza-Associated Neurological Disease in Australian Children: Seasonal Population-Based Surveillance 2008-2018. J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc 2022; 11:533-540. [PMID: 36153667 DOI: 10.1093/jpids/piac069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2022] [Accepted: 06/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza-associated neurological disease (IAND) is uncommon but can result in death or neurological morbidity in children. We aimed to describe the incidence, risk factors, and outcome of children with IAND from seasonal influenza in Australia. METHODS We analyzed national, population-based, surveillance data for children aged ≤ 14 years with severe influenza and neurological involvement, over 11 Australian influenza seasons, 2008-2018, by the Australian Paediatric Surveillance Unit. RESULTS There were 633 laboratory-confirmed cases of severe influenza reported. Of these, 165 (26%) had IAND. The average annual incidence for IAND was 3.39 per million children aged ≤ 14 years. Compared to cases without neurological complications, those with IAND were more likely to have a pre-existing neurological disease (odds ratio [OR] 3.03, P < .001), but most children with IAND did not (n = 135, 82%). Children with IAND were more likely to receive antivirals (OR 1.80, P = .002), require intensive care (OR 1.79, P = .001), require ventilation (OR 1.99; P = .001), and die (OR 2.83, P = .004). CONCLUSIONS IAND is a preventable cause of mortality, predominantly in otherwise well children. Incidence estimates validate previous sentinel site estimates from Australia. IAND accounted for a quarter of all severe influenza, is associated with intensive care unit admission, and accounted for half of all influenza deaths.
Collapse
|
4
|
Longitudinal, population-based cohort study of prenatal influenza vaccination and influenza infection in childhood. Vaccine 2022; 40:656-665. [PMID: 35000794 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.11.084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2021] [Revised: 11/21/2021] [Accepted: 11/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza vaccination is recommended to protect mothers and their infants from influenza infection. Few studies have evaluated the health impacts of in utero exposure to influenza vaccine among children more than six months of age. METHODS We used probabilistically linked administrative health records to establish a mother-child cohort to evaluate the risk of influenza and acute respiratory infections associated with maternal influenza vaccination. Outcomes were laboratory-confirmed influenza (LCI) and hospitalization for influenza or acute respiratory infection (ARI). Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) accounted for child's Aboriginal status and were weighted by the inverse-probability of treatment. RESULTS 14,396 (11.5%) children were born to vaccinated mothers. Maternally vaccinated infants aged < 6 months had lower risk of LCI (aHR: 0.33; 95% CI: 0.13, 0.85), influenza-associated hospitalization (aHR: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.16, 0.94) and ARI-associated hospitalization (aHR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.77, 0.94) compared to maternally unvaccinated infants. With the exception of an increased risk of LCI among children aged 6 months to < 2 years old following first trimester vaccination (aHR: 2.28; 95% CI: 1.41, 3.69), there were no other differences in the risk of LCI, influenza-associated hospitalization or ARI-associated hospitalization among children aged > 6 months. CONCLUSION Study results show that maternal influenza vaccination is effective in preventing influenza in the first six months and had no impact on respiratory infections after two years of age.
Collapse
|
5
|
Clinical spectrum, risk factors, and outcomes of children with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection managed in a single tertiary hospital: A 6-year retrospective cohort study. Health Sci Rep 2021; 4:e432. [PMID: 34869914 PMCID: PMC8596947 DOI: 10.1002/hsr2.432] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2020] [Revised: 05/14/2021] [Accepted: 09/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza is a highly contagious disease that causes severe illness each year. Data in the United Arab Emirates are scarce. OBJECTIVES To study the seasonality, morbidity, mortality rate, and comorbidities associated with confirmed influenza infection in a tertiary hospital in Al-Ain city, UAE. METHODS Retrospective study, from 2012 to 2017, of the electronic medical records in Tawam hospital, of children up to 15 years of age with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection. RESULTS There were 1392 children, with the highest number in 2017 (n = 461, 33%). The incidence peaked between October and March. The infection was more common between 1 and 11 years of age (n = 948, 68%). The overall prevalence of influenza A (n = 1144, 82%) was higher than influenza B (n = 276, 19.8%). One-third of the patients required admission. The commonest underlying comorbidity was asthma (n = 170, 12%). The two commonest complications were pneumonia (n = 165, 12%) and acute otitis media (n = 82, 6%). CONCLUSION Our findings serve as a benchmark for comparison with reports from other countries and need to be considered when reviewing the national vaccination program.
Collapse
|
6
|
Influenza hospitalizations in Australian children 2010-2019: The impact of medical comorbidities on outcomes, vaccine coverage, and effectiveness. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2021; 16:316-327. [PMID: 34787369 PMCID: PMC8818821 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12939] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2021] [Revised: 10/24/2021] [Accepted: 10/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Children with comorbidities are at greater risk of severe influenza outcomes compared with healthy children. In Australia, influenza vaccination was funded for those with comorbidities from 2010 and all children aged <5 years from 2018. Influenza vaccine coverage remains inadequate in children with and without comorbidities. METHODS Children ≤16 years admitted with acute respiratory illness and tested for influenza at sentinel hospitals were evaluated (2010-2019). Multivariable regression was used to identify predictors of severe outcomes. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated using the modified incidence density test-negative design. RESULTS Overall, 6057 influenza-confirmed hospitalized cases and 3974 test-negative controls were included. Influenza A was the predominant type (68.7%). Comorbidities were present in 40.8% of cases. Children with comorbidities were at increased odds of ICU admission, respiratory support, longer hospitalizations, and mortality. Specific comorbidities including neurological and cardiac conditions increasingly predisposed children to severe outcomes. Influenza vaccine coverage in influenza negative children with and without comorbidities was low (33.5% and 17.9%, respectively). Coverage improved following introduction of universal influenza vaccine programs for children <5 years. Similar vaccine effectiveness was demonstrated in children with (55% [95% confidence interval (CI): 45; 63%]) and without comorbidities (57% [(95%CI: 44; 67%]). CONCLUSIONS Comorbidities were present in 40.8% of influenza-confirmed admissions and were associated with more severe outcomes. Children with comorbidities were more likely experience severe influenza with ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital morality. Despite demonstrated vaccine effectiveness in those with and without comorbidities, vaccine coverage was suboptimal. Interventions to increase vaccination are expected to reduce severe influenza outcomes.
Collapse
|
7
|
Prospective characterisation of SARS-CoV-2 infections among children presenting to tertiary paediatric hospitals across Australia in 2020: a national cohort study. BMJ Open 2021; 11:e054510. [PMID: 34750151 PMCID: PMC8576200 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054510] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To present Australia-wide data on paediatric COVID-19 and multisystem inflammatory syndromes to inform health service provision and vaccination prioritisation. DESIGN Prospective, multicentre cohort study. SETTING Eight tertiary paediatric hospitals across six Australian states and territories in an established research surveillance network-Paediatric Active Enhanced Disease (PAEDS). PARTICIPANTS All children aged <19 years with SARS-CoV-2 infection including COVID-19, Paediatric Inflammatory Multisystem Syndrome Temporally Associated with SARS-CoV-2 (PIMS-TS) and Kawasaki-like disease TS infection (KD-TS) treated at a PAEDS site from 24 March 2020 to 31 December 2020. INTERVENTION Laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. MAIN OUTCOME Incidence of severe disease among children with COVID-19, PIMS-TS and KD-TS. We also compared KD epidemiology before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS Among 386 children with SARS-CoV-2 infection, 381 (98.7%) had COVID-19 (median 6.3 years (IQR 2.1-12.8),53.3% male) and 5 (1.3%) had multisystem inflammatory syndromes (PIMS-TS, n=4; KD-TS, n=1) (median 7.9 years (IQR 7.8-9.8)). Most children with COVID-19 (n=278; 73%) were Australian-born from jurisdictions with highest community transmission. Comorbidities were present in 72 (18.9%); cardiac and respiratory comorbidities were most common (n=32/72;44%). 37 (9.7%) children with COVID-19 were hospitalised, and two (0.5%) required intensive care. Postinfective inflammatory syndromes (PIMS-TS/KD-TS) were uncommon (n=5; 1.3%), all were hospitalised and three (3/5; 60%) required intensive care management. All children recovered and there were no deaths. KD incidence remained stable during the pandemic compared with prepandemic. CONCLUSIONS Most children with COVID-19 had mild disease. Severe disease was less frequent than reported in high prevalence settings. Preventative strategies, such as vaccination, including children and adolescents, could reduce both the acute and postinfective manifestations of the disease.
Collapse
|
8
|
Robust and prototypical immune responses toward influenza vaccines in the high-risk group of Indigenous Australians. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2021; 118:2109388118. [PMID: 34607957 PMCID: PMC8522271 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2109388118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Abstract
Indigenous populations worldwide are highly susceptible to influenza virus infections. Vaccination with inactivated virus is highly recommended to protect Indigenous populations, including Indigenous Australians. There is no study to date that assessed immune responses induced by the inactivated seasonal influenza vaccine in the Indigenous population. Vaccine recommendations are thus based on data generated for non-Indigenous populations and might not be representative for Indigenous people. We found robust antibody responses to influenza vaccination induced in Indigenous Australians, with activation profiles of cTFH1 cells at the acute response strongly correlating with total change of antibody vaccine titers induced by vaccination. Our work strongly supports the recommendation of influenza vaccination to protect Indigenous populations from severe seasonal influenza virus infections and subsequent complications. Morbidity and mortality rates from seasonal and pandemic influenza occur disproportionately in high-risk groups, including Indigenous people globally. Although vaccination against influenza is recommended for those most at risk, studies on immune responses elicited by seasonal vaccines in Indigenous populations are largely missing, with no data available for Indigenous Australians and only one report published on antibody responses in Indigenous Canadians. We recruited 78 Indigenous and 84 non-Indigenous Australians vaccinated with the quadrivalent influenza vaccine into the Looking into InFluenza T cell immunity - Vaccination cohort study and collected blood to define baseline, early (day 7), and memory (day 28) immune responses. We performed in-depth analyses of T and B cell activation, formation of memory B cells, and antibody profiles and investigated host factors that could contribute to vaccine responses. We found activation profiles of circulating T follicular helper type-1 cells at the early stage correlated strongly with the total change in antibody titers induced by vaccination. Formation of influenza-specific hemagglutinin-binding memory B cells was significantly higher in seroconverters compared with nonseroconverters. In-depth antibody characterization revealed a reduction in immunoglobulin G3 before and after vaccination in the Indigenous Australian population, potentially linked to the increased frequency of the G3m21* allotype. Overall, our data provide evidence that Indigenous populations elicit robust, broad, and prototypical immune responses following immunization with seasonal inactivated influenza vaccines. Our work strongly supports the recommendation of influenza vaccination to protect Indigenous populations from severe seasonal influenza virus infections and their subsequent complications.
Collapse
|
9
|
Hospitalisations related to lower respiratory tract infections in Northern Queensland. Aust N Z J Public Health 2021; 45:430-436. [PMID: 33900652 DOI: 10.1111/1753-6405.13104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2020] [Revised: 12/01/2020] [Accepted: 02/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the admission characteristics and hospital outcomes for patients admitted with lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in Northern Queensland. METHODS We perform a retrospective analysis of the data covering an 11-year period, 2006-2016. Length of hospital stay (LOS) is modelled by negative binomial regression and heterogeneous effects are checked using interaction terms. RESULTS A total of 11,726 patients were admitted due to LRTI; 2,430 (20.9%) were of Indigenous descent. We found higher hospitalisations due to LRTI for Indigenous than non-Indigenous patients, with a disproportionate increase in hospitalisations occurring during winter. The LOS for Indigenous patients was higher by 2.5 days [95%CI: -0.15; 5.05] than for non-Indigenous patients. The average marginal effect of 17.5 [95%CI: 15.3; 29.7] implies that the LOS for a patient, who was admitted to ICU, was higher by 17.5 days. CONCLUSIONS We highlighted the increased burden of LRTIs experienced by Indigenous populations, with this information potentially being useful for enhancing community-level policy making. Implications for public health: Future guidelines can use these results to make recommendations for preventative measures in Indigenous communities. Improvements in engagement and partnership with Indigenous communities and consumers can help increase healthcare uptake and reduce the burden of respiratory diseases.
Collapse
|
10
|
Barriers to influenza vaccination of children hospitalised for acute respiratory illness: A cross-sectional survey. J Paediatr Child Health 2021; 57:409-418. [PMID: 33094543 DOI: 10.1111/jpc.15235] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2020] [Revised: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 09/21/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
AIM To identify barriers to influenza vaccination of children hospitalised for acute respiratory illness in Australia. METHODS A total of 595 parents of children hospitalised with acute respiratory illness across five tertiary hospitals in 2019 participated in an online survey. Multivariate logistic regression identified factors most strongly associated with influenza vaccination barriers. RESULTS Odds of influenza vaccination were lower with lack of health-care provider (HCP) recommendation (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.18; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08-0.38); if parents had difficulties (aOR 0.19; 95% CI: 0.08-0.47) or were 'neutral' (aOR 0.23; 95% CI: 0.06-0.82) in remembering to make an appointment; and if parents had difficulties (aOR 0.21; 95% CI: 0.07-0.62) or were 'neutral' (aOR 0.24; 95% CI: 0.07-0.79) regarding getting an appointment for vaccination. Odds were also lower if parents did not believe (aOR 0.27; 95% CI: 0.08-0.90) or were 'neutral' (aOR 0.15; 95% CI: 0.04-0.49) regarding whether the people most important to them would have their child/ren vaccinated against influenza. Children had lower odds of vaccination if parents did not support (aOR 0.09; 95% CI: 0.01-0.82) or were ambivalent (aOR 0.09; 95% CI: 0.01-0.56) in their support for influenza vaccination. Finally, lack of history of influenza vaccination of child (aOR 0.38; 95% CI: 0.18-0.81) and respondent (aOR 0.25; 95% CI: 0.11-0.56) were associated with lack of receipt of influenza vaccine before admission for acute respiratory infection. CONCLUSIONS Assisting parents in remembering and accessing influenza vaccination and encouraging health-care providers to recommend vaccination may increase uptake.
Collapse
|
11
|
Abstract
BACKGROUND Severe complications of influenza in children are uncommon but may result in admission to hospital or an intensive care unit (ICU) and death. METHODS Active prospective surveillance using the Australian Paediatric Surveillance Unit with monthly reporting by pediatricians of national demographic and clinical data on children with <15 years of age hospitalized with severe complications of laboratory-confirmed influenza during ten influenza seasons 2008-2017. RESULTS Of 722 children notified, 613 had laboratory-confirmed influenza and at least one severe complication. Most (60%) were <5 years of age; 10% were <6 months, hence ineligible for vaccination. Almost half of all cases were admitted to ICU and 30 died. Most children were previously healthy: 40.3% had at least one underlying medical condition. Sixty-five different severe complications were reported; pneumonia was the most common, occurring in over half of all cases. Influenza A accounted for 68.6% hospitalizations; however, influenza B was more often associated with acute renal failure (P = 0.014), rhabdomyolysis (P = 0.019), myocarditis (P = 0.015), pericarditis (P = 0.013), and cardiomyopathy (P = 0.035). Children who died were more likely to be older (5-14 years), have underlying medical conditions, be admitted to ICU, and have encephalitis, acute renal failure, or myocarditis. Only 36.1% of all children reported received antiviral medications, and 8.5% were known to be vaccinated for seasonal influenza. CONCLUSIONS Severe influenza complications cause morbidity and mortality in children, which may increase if coinfection with COVID-19 occurs in the 2020 season and beyond. Increased vaccination rates, even in healthy children, early diagnosis and timely antiviral treatment are needed to reduce severe complications and death.
Collapse
|
12
|
Early Childhood Health Outcomes Following In Utero Exposure to Influenza Vaccines: A Systematic Review. Pediatrics 2020; 146:peds.2020-0375. [PMID: 32719088 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2020-0375] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/07/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
CONTEXT Vaccination during pregnancy is an effective strategy for preventing infant disease; however, little is known about early childhood health after maternal vaccination. OBJECTIVES To systematically review the literature on early childhood health associated with exposure to influenza vaccines in utero. DATA SOURCES We searched CINAHL Plus, Embase, Medline, Scopus, and Web of Science for relevant articles published from inception to July 24, 2019. STUDY SELECTION We included studies published in English reporting original data with measurement of in utero exposure to influenza vaccines and health outcomes among children <5 years of age. DATA EXTRACTION Two authors independently assessed eligibility and extracted data on study design, setting, population, vaccines, outcomes, and results. RESULTS The search yielded 3647 records, of which 9 studies met the inclusion criteria. Studies examined infectious, atopic, autoimmune, and neurodevelopmental outcomes, and all-cause morbidity and mortality. Authors of 2 studies reported an inverse association between pandemic influenza vaccination and upper respiratory tract infections, gastrointestinal infections, and all-cause hospitalizations; and authors of 2 studies reported modest increased association between several childhood disorders and pandemic or seasonal influenza vaccination, which, after adjusting for confounding and multiple comparisons, were not statistically significant. LIMITATIONS Given the small number of studies addressing similarly defined outcomes, meta-analyses were deemed not possible. CONCLUSIONS Results from the few studies in which researchers have examined outcomes in children older than 6 months of age did not identify an association between exposure to influenza vaccines in utero and adverse childhood health outcomes.
Collapse
|
13
|
Active surveillance of acute paediatric hospitalisations demonstrates the impact of vaccination programmes and informs vaccine policy in Canada and Australia. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2020; 25. [PMID: 32613939 PMCID: PMC7331140 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.25.1900562] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
Sentinel surveillance of acute hospitalisations in response to infectious disease emergencies such as the 2009 influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 pandemic is well described, but recognition of its potential to supplement routine public health surveillance and provide scalability for emergency responses has been limited. We summarise the achievements of two national paediatric hospital surveillance networks relevant to vaccine programmes and emerging infectious diseases in Canada (Canadian Immunization Monitoring Program Active; IMPACT from 1991) and Australia (Paediatric Active Enhanced Disease Surveillance; PAEDS from 2007) and discuss opportunities and challenges in applying their model to other contexts. Both networks were established to enhance capacity to measure vaccine preventable disease burden, vaccine programme impact, and safety, with their scope occasionally being increased with emerging infectious diseases’ surveillance. Their active surveillance has increased data accuracy and utility for syndromic conditions (e.g. encephalitis), pathogen-specific diseases (e.g. pertussis, rotavirus, influenza), and adverse events following immunisation (e.g. febrile seizure), enabled correlation of biological specimens with clinical context and supported responses to emerging infections (e.g. pandemic influenza, parechovirus, COVID-19). The demonstrated long-term value of continuous, rather than incident-related, operation of these networks in strengthening routine surveillance, bridging research gaps, and providing scalable public health response, supports their applicability to other countries.
Collapse
|
14
|
Comparative epidemiology, phylogenetics, and transmission patterns of severe influenza A/H3N2 in Australia from 2003 to 2017. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2020; 14:700-709. [PMID: 32558378 PMCID: PMC7578330 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12772] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2019] [Revised: 05/15/2020] [Accepted: 05/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Over the last two decades, Australia has experienced four severe influenza seasons caused by a predominance of influenza A (A/H3N2): 2003, 2007, 2012, and 2017. Methods We compared the epidemiology, genetics, and transmission dynamics of severe A/H3N2 seasons in Australia from 2003 to 2017. Results Since 2003, the proportion of notifications in 0‐4 years old has decreased, while it has increased in the age group >80 years old (P < .001). The genetic diversity of circulating influenza A/H3N2 viruses has also increased over time with the number of single nucleotide polymorphisms significantly (P < .05) increasing. We also identified five residue positions within or near the receptor binding site of HA (144, 145, 159, 189, and 225) undergoing frequent mutations that are likely involved in significant antigenic drift and possibly severity. The Australian state of Victoria was identified as a frequent location for transmission either to or from other states and territories over the study years. The states of New South Wales and Queensland were also frequently implicated as locations of transmission to other states and territories but less so over the years. This indicates a stable but also changing dynamic of A/H3N2 circulation in Australia. Conclusion These results have important implications for future influenza surveillance and control policy in the country. Reasons for the change in age‐specific infection and increased genetic diversity of A/H3N2 viruses in recent years should be explored.
Collapse
|
15
|
Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalization in children: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Vaccine 2020; 38:2893-2903. [PMID: 32113808 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.02.049] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2020] [Revised: 02/12/2020] [Accepted: 02/15/2020] [Indexed: 01/20/2023]
Abstract
Vaccination remains the most effective way to prevent influenza infection, albeit vaccine effectiveness (VE) varies by year. Compared to other age groups, children and elderly adults have the highest risk of developing influenza-related complications and requiring hospitalization. During the last years, "test negative design" (TND) studies have been implemented in order to estimate influenza VE. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to summarize the findings of TND studies reporting influenza VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza-related hospitalization in children aged 6 months to 17 years. We searched the PubMed and Embase databases and identified 2615 non-duplicate studies that required detailed review. Among them, 28 met our inclusion criteria and we performed a random-effects meta-analysis using adjusted VE estimates. In our primary analysis, influenza vaccine offered significant protection against any type influenza-related hospitalization (57.48%; 95% CI 49.46-65.49). When we examined influenza VE per type and strain, VE was higher against H1N1 (74.07%; 95% CI: 54.85-93.30) and influenza B (50.87%; 95% CI: 41.75-59.98), and moderate against H3N2 (40.77%; 95% CI: 25.65-55.89). Notably, influenza vaccination offered higher protection in children who were fully vaccinated (61.79%; 95% CI: 54.45-69.13), compared to those who were partially vaccinated (33.91%; 95% CI: 21.12 - 46.69). Also, influenza VE was high in children less than 5 years old (61.71%; 95% CI: 49.29-74.12) as well as in children 6-17 years old (54.37%; 95% CI: 35.14-73.60). In conclusion, in the pediatric population, influenza vaccination offered significant protection against influenza-related hospitalization and complete annual vaccination should be encouraged.
Collapse
|
16
|
The impact of new universal child influenza programs in Australia: Vaccine coverage, effectiveness and disease epidemiology in hospitalised children in 2018. Vaccine 2020; 38:2779-2787. [PMID: 32107062 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.02.031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2019] [Revised: 02/10/2020] [Accepted: 02/11/2020] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND New jurisdictionally-based vaccination programs were established providing free quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV) for preschool Australian children in 2018. This was in addition to the National Immunisation Program (NIP) funded QIV for Indigenous children and children with comorbid medical conditions. We assessed the impact of this policy change on influenza disease burden and vaccine coverage, as well as report on 2018 vaccine effectiveness in a hospital-based surveillance system. METHODS Subjects were recruited prospectively from twelve PAEDS-FluCAN sentinel hospital sites (April until October 2018). Children aged ≤16 years hospitalised with an acute respiratory illness (ARI) and laboratory-confirmed influenza were considered cases. Hospitalised children with ARI who tested negative for influenza were considered controls. VE estimates were calculated from the adjusted odds ratio of vaccination in cases and controls. RESULTS A total of 458 children were hospitalised with influenza: 31.7% were <2 years, 5.0% were Indigenous, and 40.6% had medical comorbidities predisposing to severe influenza. Influenza A was detected in 90.6% of children (A/H1N1: 38.0%; A/H3N2: 3.1%; A/unsubtyped 48.6%). The median length of stay was 2 days (IQR: 1,3) and 8.1% were admitted to ICU. Oseltamivir use was infrequent (16.6%). Two in-hospital deaths occurred (0.45%). 12.0% of influenza cases were vaccinated compared with 36.0% of test-negative controls. Vaccine effectiveness of QIV for preventing influenza hospitalisation was estimated at 78.8% (95%CI: 66.9; 86.4). CONCLUSIONS Compared with 2017 (n = 1268 cases), a significant reduction in severe influenza was observed in Australian children, possibly contributed to by improved vaccine coverage and high vaccine effectiveness. Despite introduction of jurisdictionally-funded preschool programs and NIP-funded vaccine for children with risk factors for severe disease, improved coverage is required to ensure adequate protection against paediatric influenza morbidity and mortality.
Collapse
|
17
|
Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Against Influenza-Related Mortality in Australian Hospitalized Patients: A Propensity Score Analysis. Clin Infect Dis 2020; 72:99-107. [DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciz1238] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2019] [Accepted: 01/02/2020] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Data on influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against mortality are limited, with no Australian data to guide vaccine uptake. We aimed to assess IVE against influenza-related mortality in Australian hospitalized patients, assess residual confounding in the association between influenza vaccination and mortality, and assess whether influenza vaccination reduces the severity of influenza illness.
Methods
Data were collected between 2010 and 2017 from a national Australian hospital-based sentinel surveillance system using a case-control design. Adults and children admitted to the 17 study hospitals with acute respiratory symptoms were tested for influenza using nucleic acid testing; all eligible test-positive cases, and a subset of test-negative controls, were included. Propensity score analysis and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of vaccination, with IVE = 1 – aOR × 100%. Residual confounding was assessed by examining mortality in controls.
Results
Over 8 seasons, 14038 patients were admitted with laboratory-confirmed influenza. The primary analysis included 9298 cases and 6451 controls, with 194 cases and 136 controls dying during hospitalization. Vaccination was associated with a 31% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3%–51%; P = .033) reduction in influenza-related mortality, with similar estimates in the National Immunisation Program target group. Residual confounding was identified in patients ≥65 years old (aOR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.06–3.46]; P = .031). There was no evidence that vaccination reduced the severity of influenza illness (aOR, 1.07 [95% CI, .76–1.50]; P = .713).
Conclusions
Influenza vaccination is associated with a moderate reduction in influenza-related mortality. This finding reinforces the utility of the Australian vaccination program in protecting those most at risk of influenza-related deaths.
Collapse
|
18
|
Abstract
BACKGROUND The test-negative design is an increasingly popular approach for estimating vaccine effectiveness (VE) due to its efficiency. This review aims to examine published test-negative design studies of VE and to explore similarities and differences in methodological choices for different diseases and vaccines. METHODS We conducted a systematic search on PubMed, Web of Science, and Medline, for studies reporting the effectiveness of any vaccines using a test-negative design. We screened titles and abstracts and reviewed full texts to identify relevant articles. We created a standardized form for each included article to extract information on the pathogen of interest, vaccine(s) being evaluated, study setting, clinical case definition, choices of cases and controls, and statistical approaches used to estimate VE. RESULTS We identified a total of 348 articles, including studies on VE against influenza virus (n = 253), rotavirus (n = 48), pneumococcus (n = 24), and nine other pathogens. Clinical case definitions used to enroll patients were similar by pathogens of interest but the sets of symptoms that defined them varied substantially. Controls could be those testing negative for the pathogen of interest, those testing positive for nonvaccine type of the pathogen of interest, or a subset of those testing positive for alternative pathogens. Most studies controlled for age, calendar time, and comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS Our review highlights similarities and differences in the application of the test-negative design that deserve further examination. If vaccination reduces disease severity in breakthrough infections, particular care must be taken in interpreting vaccine effectiveness estimates from test-negative design studies.
Collapse
|
19
|
Exploring strategies to promote influenza vaccination of children with medical comorbidities: the perceptions and practices of hospital healthcare workers. BMC Health Serv Res 2019; 19:911. [PMID: 31783856 PMCID: PMC6883556 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-019-4742-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2019] [Accepted: 11/13/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To explore how the influenza vaccine is promoted and delivered to children with medical comorbidities in the hospital setting, as well as the facilitators of and barriers to vaccination from the healthcare worker perspective. METHODS Semi-structured interviews were conducted with staff members (n = 17) at a paediatric hospital in Sydney, Australia between April and July 2018. This included nurses, clinical nurse consultants, pediatricians and department heads. The interviews were transcribed and analysed iteratively to generate the major themes. RESULTS Approaches used to promote and/or deliver the influenza vaccine varied among the participants. Some described the vaccine as an ingrained component of their clinical consultation. Others acknowledged that there was missed opportunities to discuss or provide the vaccine, citing competing priorities as well as a lack of awareness, time and resources. Participants perceived that some parents had concerns about safety and appropriateness of the vaccine for their child. While there was some support for sending reminders and/or educating patients through the hospital, there were differing perspectives on whether tertiary centres should be delivering the vaccine. CONCLUSION Hospital-based interventions to increase vaccine uptake must consider the needs of staff. Easily accessible information and increased awareness of the recommendations among staff may lead to improved uptake in this hospital. Additional resources would be required to increase on-site delivery of the vaccine.
Collapse
|
20
|
|
21
|
Effectiveness of Partial and Full Influenza Vaccination Among Children Aged <9 Years in Hong Kong, 2011-2019. J Infect Dis 2019; 220:1568-1576. [PMID: 31290537 PMCID: PMC6782104 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiz361] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2019] [Accepted: 07/09/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Two doses of influenza vaccination are recommended for previously unvaccinated children aged <9 years, and receipt of 1 dose is sometimes termed "partial vaccination." We assessed the effectiveness of partial and full influenza vaccination in preventing influenza-associated hospitalization among children in Hong Kong. METHODS Using the test-negative design we enrolled 23 187 children aged <9 years admitted to hospitals with acute respiratory illness from September 2011 through March 2019. Vaccination and influenza status were recorded. Fully vaccinated children included those vaccinated with 2 doses or, if previously vaccinated, those vaccinated with 1 dose. Partially vaccinated children included those who should have received 2 doses but only received 1 dose. We estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) by using conditional logistic regression models matched on epidemiological week. RESULTS Overall VE estimates among fully and partially vaccinated children were 73% (95% confidence interval, 69%-77%) and 31% (95% confidence interval, 8%-48%), respectively. A consistently higher VE was observed in children fully vaccinated against each influenza virus type/subtype. The effectiveness of partial vaccination did not vary by age group. CONCLUSIONS Partial vaccination was significantly less effective than full vaccination. Our study supports the current recommendation of 2 doses of influenza vaccination in previously unvaccinated children <9 years of age.
Collapse
|
22
|
Influenza epidemiology in patients admitted to sentinel Australian hospitals in 2017: the Influenza Complications Alert Network (FluCAN). ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2019; 43. [PMID: 31522661 DOI: 10.33321/cdi.2019.43.39] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
The Influenza Complications Alert Network (FluCAN) is a sentinel-hospital-based surveillance program that operates at sites in all jurisdictions in Australia. This report summarises the epidemiology of hospitalisations with laboratory-confirmed influenza during the 2017 influenza season. In this observational surveillance system, cases were defined as patients admitted to any of the 17 sentinel hospitals with influenza confirmed by nucleic acid detection. Data are also collected on a frequency-matched control group of influenza-negative patients admitted with acute respiratory infection. During the period 3 April to 31 October 2017 (the 2017 influenza season), 4,359 patients were admitted with confirmed influenza to one of 17 FluCAN sentinel hospitals. Of these, 52% were elderly (≥65 years), 14% were children (<16 years), 6.5% were Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, 1.6% were pregnant and 78% had chronic comorbidities. A significant proportion were due to influenza B (31%). Estimated vaccine coverage was 72% in the elderly (≥65 years), 50% in non-elderly adults with medical comorbidities and 24% in children (<16 years) with medical comorbidities. The estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) in the target population was 23% (95% CI: 7%, 36%). There were a large number of hospital admissions detected with confirmed influenza in this national observational surveillance system in 2017, with case numbers more than twice that reported in 2016.
Collapse
|
23
|
Attitudes about and access to influenza vaccination experienced by parents of children hospitalised for influenza in Australia. Vaccine 2019; 37:5994-6001. [PMID: 31471153 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.08.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2019] [Revised: 07/23/2019] [Accepted: 08/15/2019] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In Australia, influenza hospitalises more children than any other vaccine preventable disease does. Children aged six months or older are recommended to receive annual influenza vaccines, and pregnant women are recommended vaccination to protect infants aged up to six months. However, vaccine uptake is low. This study explored influenza vaccination knowledge and behaviours of parents of children who were hospitalised for influenza, in order to inform strategies that target barriers to uptake. METHODS We conducted 27 semi-structured interviews with parents/caregivers during or shortly after their child's hospitalisation for laboratory-confirmed influenza in 2017. Questions were guided by the Social Ecological Model exploring all levels of influence on vaccination uptake from the intrapersonal through to policy, via the parents' perspective. Transcripts were inductively analysed. Themes were categorised into the components of the Capability-Opportunity-Motivation-Behaviour (COM-B) model. RESULTS 20/27 children were aged six months or older; 16/20 had not received an influenza vaccine in 2017. Mothers of 4/7 infants aged less than six months were not vaccinated in pregnancy. The themes regarding barriers to influenza vaccination were: (1) Limited Capability - misinterpretations and knowledge gaps, (2) Lack of Opportunity - inconvenient vaccination pathway, missing recommendations, absence of promotion to all, and the social norm, and (3) Missing Motivation - hierarchy of perceived seriousness, safety concerns, a preference for 'natural' ways. Though most parents, now aware of the severity of influenza, intended to vaccinate their child in future seasons, some harboured reservations about necessity and safety. When parents were asked how to help them vaccinate their children, SMS reminders and information campaigns delivered through social media, schools and childcare were suggested. CONCLUSION Improving parents' and providers' knowledge and confidence in influenza vaccination safety, efficacy, and benefits should be prioritised. This, together with making influenza vaccination more convenient for parents, would likely raise vaccine coverage.
Collapse
|
24
|
Vaccination in people with disability: a review. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2019; 16:7-15. [PMID: 31287773 PMCID: PMC7012164 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2019.1640556] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2019] [Revised: 06/03/2019] [Accepted: 06/27/2019] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
People with disabilities are vulnerable to complications from vaccine-preventable diseases, and every effort should be made to ensure equitable access to immunization for this population. This paper aims to summarize the research on immunizations in people with disabilities, in order to ensure a comprehensive understanding of knowledge in this area and direct further research. The literature is weighted towards coverage data that is difficult to synthesize because of the different definitions of disability, and the variety of settings, vaccinations and age groups across the studies. In-depth qualitative data and data from a variety of health-care providers and people with disability is notably lacking. This is vital to redress in order to develop effective immunization interventions in this population.
Collapse
|
25
|
Can routinely collected laboratory and health administrative data be used to assess influenza vaccine effectiveness? Assessing the validity of the Flu and Other Respiratory Viruses Research (FOREVER) Cohort. Vaccine 2019; 37:4392-4400. [DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2018] [Revised: 05/16/2019] [Accepted: 06/07/2019] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
|
26
|
Abstract
Introduction: Influenza vaccination is regarded as the most effective way to prevent influenza infection. Due to the rapid genetic changes that influenza viruses undergo, seasonal influenza vaccines must be reformulated and re-administered annually necessitating the evaluation of influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) each year. The estimation of influenza VE presents numerous challenges. Areas Covered: This review aims to identify, discuss, and, where possible, offer suggestions for dealing with the following challenges in estimating influenza VE: different outcomes of interest against which VE is estimated, study designs used to assess VE, sources of bias and confounding, repeat vaccination, waning immunity, population level effects of vaccination, and VE in at-risk populations. Expert Opinion: The estimation of influenza VE has improved with surveillance networks, better understanding of sources of bias and confounding, and the implementation of advanced statistical methods. Future research should focus on better estimates of the indirect effects of vaccination, the biological effects of vaccination, and how vaccines interact with the immune system. Specifically, little is known about how influenza vaccination impacts an individual's infectiousness, how vaccines wane over time, and the impact of repeated vaccination.
Collapse
|
27
|
Risk factors and mitigation of influenza among Indigenous children in Australia, Canada, United States, and New Zealand: a scoping review. Perspect Public Health 2019; 139:228-235. [PMID: 31132938 DOI: 10.1177/1757913919846531] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/16/2023]
Abstract
AIM This review considers prominent risk factors and mitigation strategies of influenza among Indigenous children. METHODS Seven electronic databases were searched from the period of 2004-2017 to locate articles discussing influenza among Indigenous children in the developed circumpolar nations of Australia, Canada, United States, and New Zealand. Articles selected for inclusion discussed influenza among Indigenous children as either individuals or as a part of a community. Ancestry searches of articles meeting the review criteria were also undertaken to discern seminal research in this topic area. RESULTS From the 39 primary research studies included, marked risk factors and mitigation strategies of influenza among Indigenous children were identified using inductive analysis. Notable risk factors included age under 2 years, cigarette smoke exposure, presence of a chronic illness, and crowded living conditions. Successful mitigation of influenza for Indigenous children included strategies to improve vaccine coverage, provision of health education, and policy change. CONCLUSION In the past, the impact of influenza upon Indigenous communities has been devastating for both children and their families. By utilizing existing public health infrastructure and collaborating with culturally unique Indigenous groups, preventive action for Indigenous children at significant risk of contracting influenza can be realized.
Collapse
|
28
|
Right sizing for vaccine effectiveness studies: how many is enough for reliable estimation? Commun Dis Intell (2018) 2019. [DOI: 10.33321/cdi.2019.43.20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Background The precision of vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates is dependent on sample size and sampling methods. In Victoria, participating general practitioners (GPs) are not limited by the number of influenza-like illness (ILI) patients they collect respiratory samples (swabs) from in sentinel surveillance. However, in the context of scarce resources it is of interest to determine the minimum sample size needed for reliable estimates. Methods Following the test-negative design, patients with ILI were recruited by GPs and tested for influenza. Descriptive analyses were conducted to assess possible selection bias introduced by GPs. VE was calculated by logistic regression as [1 – odds ratio] x 100% and adjusted for week of presentation and age. Random 20% and 50% samples were selected without replacement to estimate the effect of swab rates on VE estimates. Results GPs swabbed a smaller proportion of patients aged ≥65 years (45.9%, n=238) than those <5 (75.6%, n=288), 5–17 (67.9%, n=547) and 18–64 (75.6%, n=2662) years. Decreasing the swab rate did not alter VE point estimates significantly. However, it reduced the precision of estimates and in some instances resulted in too small a sample size to estimate VE. Conclusion Imposing a 20% or 50% swabbing rate produces less robust VE estimates. The number of swabs required per year to produce precise estimates should be dictated by seasonal severity, rather than an arbitrary rate. It would be beneficial for GPs to swab patients systematically by age group to ensure there are sufficient data to investigate VE against a particular subtype in a given age group.
Collapse
|
29
|
Abstract
Bayesian methods have been used to predict the timing of infectious disease epidemics in various settings and for many infectious diseases, including seasonal influenza. But integrating these techniques into public health practice remains an ongoing challenge, and requires close collaboration between modellers, epidemiologists, and public health staff. During the 2016 and 2017 Australian influenza seasons, weekly seasonal influenza forecasts were produced for cities in the three states with the largest populations: Victoria, New South Wales, and Queensland. Forecast results were presented to Health Department disease surveillance units in these jurisdictions, who provided feedback about the plausibility and public health utility of these predictions. In earlier studies we found that delays in reporting and processing of surveillance data substantially limited forecast performance, and that incorporating climatic effects on transmission improved forecast performance. In this study of the 2016 and 2017 seasons, we sought to refine the forecasting method to account for delays in receiving the data, and used meteorological data from past years to modulate the force of infection. We demonstrate how these refinements improved the forecast’s predictive capacity, and use the 2017 influenza season to highlight challenges in accounting for population and clinician behaviour changes in response to a severe season.
Collapse
|
30
|
Use of self-reported vaccination status can bias vaccine effectiveness estimates from test-negative studies. Vaccine X 2018; 1:100003. [PMID: 33826685 PMCID: PMC6668222 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2018.100003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2018] [Revised: 10/12/2018] [Accepted: 12/21/2018] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction A number of national/multi-national networks provide annual estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) based on the test-negative design. Most of these networks use subject self-reports to define influenza vaccination history. In this study, we used simulations to estimate the degree to which self-reported vaccination status can bias test-negative VE estimates. Methods We simulated a population whose members are at risk for acute respiratory illness (ARI) due to influenza and for ARI due to other respiratory pathogens. Vaccination was assumed to reduce the risk of influenza but not of non-influenza ARI. We simulated a range of possible values for VE and for vaccine coverage. Across simulations, we varied the sensitivity and specificity of self-reported vaccination status relative to true vaccination. We estimated bias as the percent difference in VE in the presence of misclassification relative to true simulated VE. Results Assuming self-report has sensitivity of 95% and specificity of 90%, estimated VE underestimated true VE by 16% (95% confidence interval, 4–30%). Decreasing specificity of self-reports resulted in greater bias than decreasing sensitivity of self-reports. Bias also increased as vaccine coverage decreased. Conclusions The use of self-reported influenza vaccination history can meaningfully bias influenza VE in test-negative studies. Researchers using test-negative designs should attempt to supplement or validate self-reported vaccination history using additional data sources.
Collapse
|
31
|
The impact of influenza infection on young children, their family and the health care system. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2018; 13:18-27. [PMID: 30137663 PMCID: PMC6304317 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12604] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2018] [Accepted: 08/14/2018] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Influenza is a major cause of respiratory illness in young children. Assessing the impact of infection on children and the community is required to guide immunisation policies. Objectives To describe the impact of laboratory‐proven influenza in young children and to compare its impact with that of other respiratory viruses on the child, their family and the health care system. Methods Preschool children presenting for care or admission to a tertiary paediatric hospital during the 2008‐2014 influenza seasons were tested for respiratory virus by polymerase chain reaction and culture. Parental surveys were used to determine the impact of infection on illness duration, medication use, absenteeism and health service utilisation. Multivariate regression analyses were used to assess the impact of influenza and to evaluate the association between influenza status and outcomes. Results Among 1191 children assessed, 238 had influenza. Among children with influenza, 87.8% were administered antipyretics and 40.9% antibiotics. 28.6% had secondary complications. 65.4% of children missed school/day care, and 53.4% of parents missed work. When influenza and other viruses were compared, significant differences were noted including duration of illness (influenza: 9.54 days, other viruses: 8.50 days; P = 0.005) and duration of absenteeism for both the child (23.1 vs 17.3 hours; P = 0.015) and their parents (28.5 vs 22.7 hours; P = 0.012). Conclusions Influenza infection in young children has a significant impact on medication use, absenteeism and the use of health care service. Significant differences are identified when compared with other ILI. These data demonstrate that influenza prevention strategies including immunisation are likely to have wide and significant impacts.
Collapse
|
32
|
Using an innovative method to develop the threshold of seasonal influenza epidemic in China. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0202880. [PMID: 30169543 PMCID: PMC6118368 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0202880] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2017] [Accepted: 08/10/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Proper early warning thresholds for defining seasonal influenza epidemics are crucial for timely engagement of intervention strategies, but are currently not well established in China. We propose a novel moving logistic regression method (MLRM) to determine epidemic thresholds and validate them with the Chinese influenza surveillance data. Methods For each province, historical epidemic waves are formed as weekly percentages of laboratory-confirmed patients among all clinically diagnosed influenza cases. For each epidemic curve that is approximately symmetric, a series of logistic curves are fitted to increasing temporal range of the epidemic, and the threshold is determined based on the best-fitting logistic curve. Results Using surveillance data of seasonal influenza collected during 2010–2014 in 30 provinces of China, we screened 153 epidemic waves and identified 100 as approximately symmetric; and 85 of the 100 waves were satisfactorily fitted. Compared to two published approaches, the MLRM identified lower thresholds of seasonal influenza epidemics, leading to about three weeks earlier detection of onset and about four weeks later detection of closure of the epidemics. The potential misclassification proportion of influenza epidemic waves was 6% for the MLRM, comparable to that for the two published approaches. Conclusions The MLRM offers an alternative to existing methods for defining early warning thresholds for the surveillance of seasonal influenza, and can be readily generalized to other countries and other infectious agents. The thresholds we identified can be used for early detection of future influenza epidemics in China.
Collapse
|
33
|
The Spectrum and Burden of Influenza-Associated Neurological Disease in Children: Combined Encephalitis and Influenza Sentinel Site Surveillance From Australia, 2013-2015. Clin Infect Dis 2018; 65:653-660. [PMID: 29017268 DOI: 10.1093/cid/cix412] [Citation(s) in RCA: 76] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2016] [Accepted: 04/27/2017] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Background There are few longitudinal studies of seasonal influenza-associated neurological disease (IAND) and none from the Southern Hemisphere. Methods We extracted prospectively acquired Australian surveillance data from 2 studies nested within the Paediatric Active Enhanced Disease Surveillance (PAEDS) network: the Influenza Complications Alert Network (FluCAN) study and the Australian Childhood Encephalitis (ACE) study between 2013 and 2015. We described the clinical features and severity of IAND in children, including influenza-associated encephalitis/encephalopathy (IAE). We calculated the proportion of hospitalized influenza that is associated with IAND and IAE, and incidence of IAE. Results Over 3 influenza seasons, we identified 54 cases of IAND at 2 tertiary children's hospitals from Australia that accounted for 7.6% of hospitalized influenza. These included 10 cases of IAE (1.4% hospitalized influenza). The mean annual incidence of IAE among Australian children (aged ≤14 years) was 2.8 per 1000000. The spectrum of IAND was broad and included IAE (n = 10) including distinct acute encephalopathy syndromes, simple febrile seizures (n = 14), other seizures (n = 16), acute ataxia (n = 4), and other subacute syndromes (transverse myelitis [n = 1], opsoclonus myoclonus [n = 1]). Two-thirds of children with IAND were aged ≤4 years; less than half had preexisting neurological disease or other risk factors for severe influenza. IAE caused death or neurological morbidity in half of cases. Conclusions Seasonal influenza is an important cause of acute neurological disease in Australian children. The spectrum of seasonal IAND appears similar to that described during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. IAE is associated with high morbidity and mortality.
Collapse
|
34
|
Vaccine-preventable child deaths in New South Wales from 2005 to 2014: How much is preventable? J Paediatr Child Health 2018; 54:356-364. [PMID: 29322575 DOI: 10.1111/jpc.13835] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2017] [Revised: 08/29/2017] [Accepted: 10/03/2017] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
AIM To identify and describe potentially vaccine-preventable child deaths in New South Wales (NSW). METHODS Child deaths in NSW from 2005 to 2014 potentially preventable by vaccination were identified from the NSW Child Death Register (maintained by the NSW Ombudsman) and the Notifiable Conditions Information Management System (NSW Health). Medical and post-mortem records were reviewed. Cases were classified as vaccine-preventable based on the strength of evidence for the relevant infection causing death and likelihood that death was preventable through vaccination. A two-source capture-recapture method was used to estimate the true number of deaths. Age-specific mortality rate and number of deaths by disease, area of residence and comorbidity were analysed. Deaths were classified as preventable based on vaccine availability, eligibility under the National Immunisation Program, age and presence of any contraindications. RESULTS Fifty-four deaths were identified as definitely or probably due to diseases for which a vaccine was available, with a total average annual mortality rate of 0.33 per 100 000 children and 2.1 per 100 000 infants. Two thirds of deaths occurred in children with no identified comorbidities. Twenty-three deaths were classified as preventable or potentially preventable by vaccination, with influenza (12 deaths) and meningococcal disease (five deaths) most common. An additional 15 deaths would be potentially preventable as of August 2016 due to immunisation recommendation changes including maternal vaccination. CONCLUSION Maternal vaccination along with increased uptake of childhood influenza vaccination could reduce child deaths, particularly from influenza.
Collapse
|
35
|
Prevalence of influenza A infection in the Middle-East: A systematic review and meta-analysis. CLINICAL RESPIRATORY JOURNAL 2018; 12:1787-1801. [DOI: 10.1111/crj.12758] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2017] [Revised: 12/06/2017] [Accepted: 12/14/2017] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
|
36
|
Vaccine effectiveness against laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations among young children during the 2010-11 to 2013-14 influenza seasons in Ontario, Canada. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0187834. [PMID: 29149183 PMCID: PMC5693284 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0187834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2017] [Accepted: 10/26/2017] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Uncertainty remains regarding the magnitude of effectiveness of influenza vaccines for preventing serious outcomes, especially among young children. We estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations among children aged 6-59 months. We used the test-negative design in hospitalized children in Ontario, Canada during the 2010-11 to 2013-14 influenza seasons. We used logistic regression models adjusted for age, season, and time within season to calculate VE estimates by vaccination status (full vs. partial), age group, and influenza season. We also assessed VE incorporating prior history of influenza vaccination. We included specimens from 9,982 patient hospitalization episodes over four seasons, with 12.8% testing positive for influenza. We observed variation in VE by vaccination status, age group, and influenza season. For the four seasons combined, VE was 60% (95%CI, 44%-72%) for full vaccination and 39% (95%CI, 17%-56%) for partial vaccination. VE for full vaccination was 67% (95%CI, 48%-79%) for children aged 24-59 months, 48% (95%CI, 12%-69%) for children aged 6-23 months, 77% (95%CI, 47%-90%) for 2010-11, 59% (95%CI, 13%-81%) for 2011-12, 33% (95%CI, -18% to 62%) for 2012-13, and 72% (95%CI, 42%-86%) for 2013-14. VE in children aged 24-59 months appeared similar between those vaccinated in both the current and previous seasons and those vaccinated in the current season only, with the exception of 2012-13, when VE was lower for those vaccinated in the current season only. Influenza vaccination is effective in preventing pediatric laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations during most seasons.
Collapse
|
37
|
Influenza-associated Encephalitis/Encephalopathy Identified by the Australian Childhood Encephalitis Study 2013-2015. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2017; 36:1021-1026. [PMID: 28654561 DOI: 10.1097/inf.0000000000001650] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza-associated encephalitis/encephalopathy (IAE) is an important cause of acute encephalitis syndrome in children. IAE includes a series of clinicoradiologic syndromes or acute encephalopathy syndromes that have been infrequently reported outside East Asia. We aimed to describe cases of IAE identified by the Australian Childhood Encephalitis study. METHODS Children ≤ 14 years of age with suspected encephalitis were prospectively identified in 5 hospitals in Australia. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, imaging, and outcome at discharge data were reviewed by an expert panel and cases were categorized by using predetermined case definitions. We extracted cases associated with laboratory identification of influenza virus for this analysis; among these cases, specific IAE syndromes were identified where clinical and radiologic features were consistent with descriptions in the published literature. RESULTS We identified 13 cases of IAE during 3 southern hemisphere influenza seasons at 5 tertiary children's hospitals in Australia; 8 children with specific acute encephalopathy syndromes including: acute necrotizing encephalopathy, acute encephalopathy with biphasic seizures and late diffusion restriction, mild encephalopathy with reversible splenial lesion, and hemiconvulsion-hemiplegia syndrome. Use of influenza-specific antiviral therapy and prior influenza vaccination were infrequent. In contrast, death or significant neurologic morbidity occurred in 7 of the 13 children (54%). CONCLUSIONS The conditions comprising IAE are heterogeneous with varied clinical features, magnetic resonance imaging changes, and outcomes. Overall, outcome of IAE is poor emphasizing the need for optimized prevention, early recognition, and empiric management.
Collapse
|
38
|
Abstract
SUMMARYAustralia's National Immunisation Program (NIP) provides free influenza vaccination for children at high risk of severe influenza; a pilot-funded programme for vaccine in all children aged 6 months to <5 years in one of eight states, has seen poor vaccine impact, related to recent vaccine safety concerns. This retrospective review examined influenza hospitalizations in children aged <16 years from three seasons (2011–2013) at two paediatric hospitals on opposite sides of the country. Comparisons of this cohort were made with state-based data on influenza-coded hospitalizations and national immunization register data on population-level immunization coverage. Of 740 hospitalizations, the majority were aged <5 years (476/740, 64%), and a substantial proportion (57%) involved healthy children, not currently funded for influenza vaccine. Intensive care unit admission occurred in 8·5%, and 1·5% of all children developed encephalitis. Use of antiviral therapy was uncommon (20·5%) and decreasing. Of those hospitalized, only 5·0% of at-risk children, who are currently eligible for free vaccine, and 0·7% of healthy children were vaccinated prior to hospitalization. This was consistent with low population-wide estimates of influenza vaccine uptake. It highlights the need to examine alternative strategies, such as universally funded paediatric influenza vaccination, to address disease burden in Australian children.
Collapse
|