Socioeconomics and attributable etiology of primary liver cancer, 1990-2019

Burden of liver cancer attributable to high fasting plasma glucose: a global analysis based on the global burden of disease study 2019

OBJECTIVE

Liver cancer is the world's sixth most prevalent cancer and the third most frequent cause of cancer-related mortality. Glucose metabolic disorders, indicated by a high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) concentration, is a contributor to the etiology of liver cancer. With the rising prevalence of glucose metabolic disorders, an assessment of the global burden of liver cancer attributable to HFPG is warranted to inform global liver cancer prevention and control strategies.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We evaluated the global death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of liver cancer and its subtypes attributable to HFPG at global, regional, and country level. The temporal trend and disparity across geographic regions, social development level, age groups and sex were assessed.

RESULTS

In 2019, HFPG-attributable liver cancer was estimated to have caused 4,729.49 deaths and to be responsible for 99,302.25 DALYs. The age-standardized mortality and DALY rate were 0.06 and 1.20 per 100,000 population, and displayed a significantly increasing temporal trend from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate of patients with liver cancer that was attributable to HFPG was higher in men than women. Sex-based disparity narrowed after the women reached menopause, but increased between 1990 and 2019.

CONCLUSION

The burden of liver cancer that are attributable to HFPG has been influenced by longitudinal changes in lifestyle, the etiology of liver disease, age demographics, and hormonal status in women. These findings suggest that comprehensive strategies could be implemented, especially for patients with NASH and hyperglycemia, to prevent liver cancer.

Global, regional, and national burden of intestinal obstruction from 1990 to 2019: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Intestinal obstruction (IO) is a common surgical acute abdominal condition that places a significant burden on modern health systems. Unfortunately, the global burden and trends of IO remain unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to comprehensively assess its long-term trends and epidemiological features, which will help policymakers to formulate appropriate health policies.

METHODS

We conducted an ecological study using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. Data on IO were analyzed by sex, age, year, sociodemographic index (SDI), and location according to GBD 2019. In addition, joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess temporal trends. Age-period-cohort analysis (APC Analysis) was conducted to evaluate age, period, and birth cohort effects on IO incidence and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Globally, the prevalent and incident cases increased by 56.91% and 86.67% from 1990 to 2019, respectively. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) increased, but age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate decreased over the past three decades. The age effect demonstrated that older people have a higher risk of morbidity and mortality. The period effect of incidence and mortality showed an upward trend from 1990 to 2019. Cohort effect revealed that the incidence and death risk peaked in the earlier-born cohort and was lower in the more recent-born cohort. Notably, we found that the burden of IO was higher in males than in females throughout the study period. There are huge disparities in IO burden among countries.

CONCLUSION

Globally, the reported incidence and prevalence of IO increased from 1990 to 2019. The burden of IO differed markedly by age, sex, country, and region. Middle-aged and elderly people over 50 years old were at high risk. Given the ageing population, the burden of IO will be a major public health challenge. Thus, there is a strong necessity to strengthen prevention and early intervention in the at-risk population.

Global, Regional, and National Trends in Incidence and Mortality of Primary Liver Cancer and Its Underlying Etiologies from 1990 to 2019: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

OBJECTIVE

Primary liver cancer is not only one of the most common causes of cancer deaths but also the second most common cause of premature death worldwide. Understanding the trends in incidence and mortality of primary liver cancer and its etiologies is crucial for development of effective prevention and mitigation strategies. This study aimed to quantify the trends in incidence and mortality of primary liver cancer and its etiologies at the global, regional and national levels using data from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study.

METHOD

Annual incident cases, deaths, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of primary liver cancer and its etiologies, including hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcohol use, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, and other causes, between 1990 and 2019 were collected from GBD study 2019. Percentage changes in incident cases and deaths and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in ASIRs and ASMRs of primary liver cancer and its etiologies were calculated to quantify their temporal trends. Correlations of EAPC in ASIRs and ASMRs with socio-demographic index (SDI) and universal health coverage index (UHCI) in 2019 were separately evaluated by Pearson correlation analyses.

RESULTS

Globally, the incident cases and deaths of primary liver cancer increased by 43.11% from 373 393 in 1990 to 534 365 in 2019 and 32.68% from 365 213 in 1990 to 484 584 in 2019, respectively. ASIR and ASMR of primary liver cancer decreased by an average of 2.23% (95% CI 1.83%, 2.63%) and 1.93% (95% CI 1.55%, 2.31%) per year between 1990 and 2019 worldwide, respectively. ASIRs and ASMRs of primary liver cancer varied between regions, with an increasing trend in ASIR (EAPC = 0.91; 95% CI 0.47, 1.35) and a stable trend in ASMR (EAPC = 0.42, 95% CI - 0.01, 0.85) of primary liver cancer in high SDI region between 1990 and 2019. Nearly half (91/204) of the countries suffered an increasing trend in ASIR of primary liver cancer and more than one-third (71/204) of the countries suffered an increasing trend in ASIRs of primary liver cancer from all etiologies between 1990 and 2019 worldwide. Positive correlations of EAPC in ASIR and ASMR of primary liver cancer with SDI and UHCI were observed in nations with SDI ≥ 0.7 or UHCI ≥ 70.

CONCLUSION

Primary liver cancer remains a major public health concern globally, with an increasing trend in the numbers of incident cases and deaths in the past three decades. We observed an increasing trend in ASIR of primary liver cancer in nearly half of the countries and an increasing trend in ASIRs of primary liver cancer by etiology in more than one-third of the countries worldwide. In line with the Sustainable Development Goals, the identification and elimination of risk factors for primary liver cancer will be required to achieve a sustained reduction in liver cancer burden.

The Association between Statins and Liver Cancer Risk in Patients with Heart Failure: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

Heart failure (HF) and cancer have similar risk factors. HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors, also known as statins, are chemoprotective agents against carcinogenesis. We aimed to evaluate the chemoprotective effects of statins against liver cancer in patients with HF. This cohort study enrolled patients with HF aged ≥20 years between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2012 from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. Each patient was followed to assess liver cancer risk. A total of 25,853 patients with HF were followed for a 12-year period; 7364 patients used statins and 18,489 did not. The liver cancer risk decreased in statin users versus non-users (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.26, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.20-0.33) in the entire cohort in the multivariate regression analysis. In addition, both lipophilic and hydrophilic statins reduced the liver cancer risk in patients with HF (aHR 0.34, 95% CI: 0.26-0.44 and aHR 0.42, 95% CI: 0.28-0.54, respectively). In the sensitivity analysis, statin users in all dose-stratified subgroups had a reduced liver cancer risk regardless of age, sex, comorbidity, or other concomitant drug use. In conclusion, statins may decrease liver cancer risk in patients with HF.

Global burden of common cancers attributable to metabolic risks from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is usually accompanied by metabolic syndrome, which is associated with increased risk of cancer. To inform a tailored cancer screen in patients at higher risks, we estimated the global burden of cancer attributable to metabolic risks.

METHODS

Data of common metabolism-related neoplasms (MRNs) were derived from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database. Age-standardized, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates and death rates of patients with MRNs were extracted from the GBD 2019 database and stratified by metabolic risk, sex, age, and level of socio-demographic index (SDI). The annual percentage changes of age-standardized DALYs and death rates were calculated.

FINDINGS

Metabolic risks, consisting of high body mass index and fasting plasma glucose, contributed substantially to the burden of neoplasms, including colorectal cancer (CRC), tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer (TBLC), etc. Globally, in 2019, there was an estimated age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) of 234 (95% confidence interval [CI] 124-376) per 100,000 person years for neoplasms attributable to metabolic risks. ASDRs of MRNs were higher for CRC, TBLC, men, patients aged ≥50 years, and patients with high or high-middle SDI.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study further underpin the correlation between NAFLD and intrahepatic and extrahepatic cancers and highlight the possibility of tailored cancer screening for the NAFLD population at higher risks.

FUNDING

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province of China.

Estimates and trends of the global burden of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to high fasting plasma glucose in 1990-2019: analysis of data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study

BACKGROUND

Experimental and epidemiological studies have indicated an association between diabetes exposure and an increased risk of liver cancer due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). However, to date, no systematic study has specifically investigated the burden of NASH-related liver cancer due to exposure to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) levels worldwide.

METHODS

The number and rate of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from HFPG-induced NASH-related liver cancer were estimated based on the results of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for age-standardized death or DALYs rates were calculated using a generalized linear model with a Gaussian distribution to quantify the temporal trends in the global burden of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG. The strength and direction of the association between the sociodemographic index (SDI) and death or DALY rate were measured using Spearman's rank-order correlation.

RESULTS

Globally, approximately 7.59% of all DALY and 8.76% of all mortalities of NASH-related liver cancer in 2019 were due to HFPG. The age-standardized death and DALY rates of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG increased from 1990 to 2019. The corresponding EAPCs were 0.69 (95% UI 0.48-0.89), and 0.30 (95% UI 0.05-0.56), respectively. This increasing pattern was most obvious in the high- and low-SDI regions. The age-standardized mortality and DALYs rate of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG varies considerably worldwide, with the middle SDI region having the highest death and DALY rates in 2019 (DALY 0.96 [95% UI 0.23-2.18]; death 0.05 [95% UI 0.01-0.11]).

CONCLUSION

The burden of NASH-related liver cancer attributable to HFPG has increased over the past three decades, particularly in regions with high and low SDI.

Imaging based body composition profiling and outcomes after oncologic liver surgery

Body composition profiling is gaining attention as a pre-operative factor that can play a role in predicting the short- and long- term outcomes of patients undergoing oncologic liver surgery. Existing evidence is mostly limited to retrospective and single-institution series and in many of these studies, the evaluation of body composition is based on parameters which are derived from CT-scan imaging. Among body composition phenotypes, sarcopenia is the most well studied but this is only one of the possible profiles which can impact the outcomes of oncologic hepatic surgery. Interest has recently grown in studying the effect of sarcopenic obesity, central obesity, or visceral fat amount, myosteatosis, and bone mineral density on -such patients. The objective of this review is to summarize the current evidence on whether imaging-based parameters of body composition have an impact on the outcome of patients undergoing liver surgery for each of the most frequent indications for liver resection in clinical practice: hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), and colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

Epidemiology of liver cirrhosis and associated complications: Current knowledge and future directions

Cirrhosis causes a heavy global burden. In this review, we summarized up-to-date epidemiological features of cirrhosis and its complications. Recent epidemiological studies reported an increase in the prevalence of cirrhosis in 2017 compared to in 1990 in both men and women, with 5.2 million cases of cirrhosis and chronic liver disease occurring in 2017. Cirrhosis caused 1.48 million deaths in 2019, an increase of 8.1% compared to 2017. Disability-adjusted life-years due to cirrhosis ranked 16th among all diseases and 7th in people aged 50-74 years in 2019. The global burden of hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus-associated cirrhosis is decreasing, while the burden of cirrhosis due to alcohol and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing rapidly. We described the current epidemiology of the major complications of cirrhosis, including ascites, variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, renal disorders, and infections. We also summarized the epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis. In the future, NAFLD-related cirrhosis will likely become more common due to the prevalence of metabolic diseases such as obesity and diabetes, and the prevalence of alcohol-induced cirrhosis is increasing. This altered epidemiology should be clinically noted, and relevant interventions should be undertaken.

Global burden of major gastrointestinal cancers and its association with socioeconomics, 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

To understand the impact of common cancers of the gastrointestinal tract and help to formulate evidence-based policy, we evaluate the relationship between the burden of GI tract cancers and socioeconomics.

METHODS

Data on GI tract cancer burden were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 including mortality and incidence rates. According to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) level, country and territory, and sex, etc., the data were further stratified. The association between the burden of GI tract cancer and socioeconomics, indicated by SDI, was described. Uncertainty analysis was estimated using bootstrap draw.

RESULTS

In 2019, five major cancers of the gastrointestinal tract led to an age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 61.9 (95% CI 56.1-67.6) per 100 000 person-years. From 1990 to 2019, five common tumors of the gastrointestinal tract related age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) decreased by -22.7% (-31.1 to -13.5). For the five common tumors, ASIRs and ASDRs were both higher in males than those in females. Globally, Mongolia, and several East Asia countries exhibited the highest ASIRs in 2019. The high SDI, and high-middle SDI locations recorded the highest incidence rate and death rate of colon and rectum cancer and pancreatic cancer. On the contrary, the low-middle SDI, and low SDI locations possessed the highest incidence rate and death rate of stomach cancer and esophageal cancer.

CONCLUSION

There is a profound association between socioeconomics and burden of common cancers of the gastrointestinal tract. It would be helpful for the high SDI, and high-middle SDI locations to pay special attention to the screening of colon and rectum cancer and pancreatic cancer while the low-middle SDI, and low SDI locations should pay more attention to the screening of stomach cancer and esophageal cancer.