Epidemiology of liver cirrhosis and associated complications: Current knowledge and future directions

Assessment of nomogram model for the prediction of esophageal variceal hemorrhage in hepatitis B-induced hepatic cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Esophageal variceal (EV) hemorrhage is a life-threatening consequence of portal hypertension in hepatitis B virus (HBV) -induced cirrhotic patients. Screening upper endoscopy and endoscopic variceal ligation to find EVs for treatment have complications, contraindications, and high costs. We sought to identify the nomogram models (NMs) as alternative predictions for the risk of EV hemorrhage.

METHODS

In this case-control study, we retrospectively analyzed 241 HBV-induced liver cirrhotic patients treated for EVs at the Second People's Hospital of Fuyang City, China from January 2021 to April 2023. We applied univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression to assess the accuracy of various NMs in EV hemorrhage. The area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves of the receiver's operating characteristics were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinically relevant of nomograms.

RESULTS

In the prediction group, multivariate logistic regression analysis identified platelet distribution and spleen length as independent risk factors for EVs. We applied NMs as the independent risk factors to predict EVs risk. The NMs fit well with the calibration curve and have good discrimination ability. The AUC and DCA demonstrated that NMs with a good net benefit. The above results were validated in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

Our non-invasive NMs based on the platelet distribution width and spleen length may be used to predict EV hemorrhage in HBV-induced cirrhotic patients. NMs can help clinicians to increase diagnostic performance leading to improved treatment measures.

Surgical risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis

Individuals with cirrhosis experience higher morbidity and mortality rates than the general population, irrespective of the type or scope of surgery. This increased risk is attributed to adverse effects of liver disease, encompassing coagulation dysfunction, altered metabolism of anesthesia and sedatives, immunologic dysfunction, hemorrhage related to varices, malnutrition and frailty, impaired wound healing, as well as diminished portal blood flow, overall hepatic circulation, and hepatic oxygen supply during surgical procedures. Therefore, a frequent clinical dilemma is whether surgical interventions should be pursued in patients with cirrhosis. Several risk scores are widely used to aid in the decision-making process, each with specific advantages and limitations. This review aims to discuss the preoperative risk factors in patients with cirrhosis, describe and compare surgical risk assessment models used in everyday practice, provide insights into the surgical risk according to the type of surgery and present recommendations for optimizing those with cirrhosis for surgical procedures. As the primary focus is on currently available risk models, the review describes the predictive value of each model, highlighting its specific advantages and limitations. Furthermore, for models that do not account for the type of surgical procedure to be performed, the review suggests incorporating both patient-related and surgery-related risks into the decision-making process. Finally, we provide an algorithm for the preoperative assessment of patients with cirrhosis before elective surgery as well as guidance perioperative management.

Key Insights and Clinical Pearls in the Identification and Management of Cirrhosis and Its Complications

Cirrhosis is a prevalent, chronic condition with an asymptomatic compensated phase, in which patients may feel well, and a decompensated phase that begins with onset of complications (eg, hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, and/or variceal bleeding). Because patients with cirrhosis may appear healthy with normal liver enzymes, alkaline phosphatase, and serum bilirubin levels, awareness of clinical signals is important. For example, patients with thrombocytopenia should be evaluated for chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. Early recognition and management of cirrhosis-related complications (eg, hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, and/or variceal bleeding) is important, given their association with hospitalization and poor prognosis (eg, increased odds of short-term mortality). Hepatic encephalopathy can be the most subtle cirrhosis-related complication, and associated cognitive impairment may be misdiagnosed. Because hepatic encephalopathy can be associated with hospital readmissions, reducing readmission rates after hepatic encephalopathy-related hospitalizations is critical. This includes incorporating ongoing therapy (eg, rifaximin plus lactulose) in postdischarge management plans to reduce the risk of hepatic encephalopathy recurrence. Strategies that mitigate cirrhosis progression and prevent development of cirrhosis-related complications are key to improving patient outcomes.

Machine Learning for Short-Term Mortality in Acute Decompensation of Liver Cirrhosis: Better than MELD Score

Prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis could be improved. We aimed to develop and validate two machine learning (ML) models for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients hospitalized with acute decompensated liver cirrhosis. We trained two artificial neural network (ANN)-based ML models using a training sample of 165 out of 290 (56.9%) patients, and then tested their predictive performance against Model of End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na) and MELD 3.0 scores using a different validation sample of 125 out of 290 (43.1%) patients. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 28-day mortality for the ML model was 0.811 (95%CI: 0.714- 0.907; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.577 (95%CI: 0.435-0.720; p = 0.226) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.600 (95%CI: 0.462-0.739; p = 0.117). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 90-day mortality for the ML model was 0.839 (95%CI: 0.776- 0.884; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.682 (95%CI: 0.575-0.790; p = 0.002) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.703 (95%CI: 0.590-0.816; p < 0.001). Our study demonstrates that ML-based models for predicting short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis perform significantly better than MELD-Na and MELD 3.0 scores in a validation cohort.

Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection, Extrahepatic Disease and the Impact of New Direct-Acting Antivirals

Chronic hepatitis C virus infection is an important cause of liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. Furthermore, it is estimated that about 40-70% of patients develop non-hepatic alterations in the course of chronic infection. Such manifestations can be immune-related conditions, lymphoproliferative disorders and metabolic alterations with serious adverse events in the short and long term. The introduction of new Direct-Acting Antivirals has shown promising results, with current evidence indicating an improvement and remission of these conditions after a sustained virological response.

Prevalence and Characteristics of Covert/Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Covert/minimal hepatic encephalopathy (C/MHE) is the mildest form of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), but it is closely related to the quality of life and prognosis of patients with cirrhosis. Currently, the epidemiological data of C/MHE have not been well described.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for relevant articles. We performed a random-effects meta-analysis of proportions to estimate the pooled prevalence of C/MHE in patients with cirrhosis. We also examined potential risk factors for C/MHE by comparing characteristics of patients with and without C/MHE.

RESULTS

Finally, a total of 101 studies were included. The prevalence of C/MHE was 40.9% (95% confidence interval, 38.3%-43.5%) among patients with cirrhosis worldwide. The pooled C/MHE prevalence was 39.9% (95% confidence interval 36.7%-43.1%) based on studies using the psychometric HE score as a diagnostic tool. Meta-regression models showed that geographic region, sample size, mean age, sex ratio, and Child-Pugh classification were influencing factors for the heterogeneity of C/MHE prevalence. The presence of C/MHE was found to be associated with various factors including age, level of education, alcoholic etiology, Child-Pugh classification, MELD score, history of overt HE, presence of other complications, and laboratory tests related to impaired liver function.

DISCUSSION

This study reports detailed data on the prevalence of C/MHE as well as clinical features associated with C/MHE, suggesting that C/MHE is one of the most common complications of liver cirrhosis.

6,7-Dimethoxycoumarin, Gardenoside and Rhein combination improves non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in rats

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

This study explores the potential therapeutic benefits of using a three-component DGR (composed of specific compounds) to target the NLRP3 inflammasome in the context of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

AIM OF THE STUDY

To assess the impact of a three-component DGR on NAFLD, specifically examining its effects on liver lipid accumulation, inflammation, and the diversity of intestinal microbial communities.

METHODS

NAFLD was induced in 8-week-old Sprague Dawley rats by feeding them a high-fat emulsion diet every morning for 8 consecutive weeks. Oral administration of DGR or its constituent equivalents in the afternoon. The pharmacological effects of DGR were evaluated using H&E, ORO and ELISA methods to determine the changes in serum and liver tissue indexes of rat-models. Immunohistochemical staining and Western blot were used to assess the interaction between DGR, NLRP3 and IL-1β.

RESULTS

The induction of NAFLD resulted in elevated hepatic triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), and free fatty acids (FFA). However, these alterations were ameliorated upon administration of DGR. It is noteworthy that DGR exhibited superior efficacy in comparison to its constituent compounds, manifesting augmented antioxidant activity, diminished hepatic damage, and the attenuation of pro-inflammatory factors. Both DGR and its individual monomeric constituents exhibited the capacity to attenuate the activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome in the liver, leading to an amelioration of the pathological characteristics associated with NAFLD. An analysis of the intestinal flora unveiled an elevated abundance of p_Firmicutes (1.1-fold), p_Cyanobacteria (5.76-fold), and p_Verrucomicrobia (5.2-fold), accompanied by a heightened p_Firmicutes to p_Bacteroidetes ratio (5.49-fold).

CONCLUSIONS

In the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) rat model, the concurrent administration of three-component DGR effectively regulated lipid deposition, suppressed liver inflammation, and restored balance in the intestinal flora, thereby improving NAFLD pathology. These findings propose a promising therapeutic strategy for NAFLD, centered on inhibiting the NLRP3 inflammasome through the use of the three-component DGR.

Optimizing nutrition in hepatic cirrhosis: A comprehensive assessment and care approach

Cirrhosis is considered a growing cause of morbidity and mortality, which represents a significant public health problem. Currently, there is no effective treatment to reverse cirrhosis. Treatment primarily centers on addressing the underlying liver condition, monitoring, and managing portal hypertension-related complications, and evaluating the potential for liver transplantation in cases of decompensated cirrhosis, marked by rapid progression and the emergence of complications like variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, malnutrition, and more. Malnutrition, a prevalent complication across all disease stages, is often underdiagnosed in cirrhosis due to the complexities of nutritional assessment in patients with fluid retention and/or obesity, despite its crucial impact on prognosis. Increasing emphasis has been placed on the collaboration of nutritionists within hepatology and Liver transplant teams to deliver comprehensive care, a practice that has shown to improve outcomes. This review covers appropriate screening and assessment methods for evaluating the nutritional status of this population, diagnostic approaches for malnutrition, and context-specific nutrition treatments. It also discusses evidence-based recommendations for supplementation and physical exercise, both essential elements of the standard care provided to cirrhotic patients.

Clinical outcomes of endoscopic submucosal dissection for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma with esophageal varices: Multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

Clinical outcomes of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with esophageal varices (EVs) are obscure. We aimed to elucidate the clinical outcomes of ESD for ESCC with EVs in a multicenter, retrospective study.

METHODS

We established a retrospective cohort of 30 patients with ESCC complicating EVs, who underwent ESD at 11 Japanese institutions. Rates of en bloc resection and R0 resection, procedure time, and adverse events were evaluated as indicators of the feasibility and safety of ESD. Additional treatment, recurrence, and metastasis of the lesions were evaluated as indicators of the long-term efficacy of ESD.

RESULTS

Portal hypertension was caused by cirrhosis, of which alcohol was the most common cause. En bloc resection was achieved in 93.3% and R0 resection in 80.0% of the patients. The median procedure time was 92 min. Adverse events included a case of uncontrolled intraoperative bleeding leading to discontinuation of ESD and a case of esophageal stricture due to extensive resection. During the follow-up period of a median for 42 months, a patient with local recurrence and another patient with liver metastasis were observed. One patient died of liver failure after receiving chemoradiotherapy as an additional treatment after ESD. No patient died of ESCC.

CONCLUSION

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study demonstrated the safety and efficacy of ESD for ESCC with EVs. Further studies are needed to establish appropriate treatment methods for EVs before ESD and additional treatments for patients with insufficient ESD.

Hesperetin derivative 2a inhibits lipopolysaccharide-induced acute liver injury in mice via downregulation of circDcbld2

Acute liver injury (ALI) is a complex, life-threatening inflammatory liver disease, and persistent liver damage leads to rapid decline and even failure of liver function. However, the pathogenesis of ALI is still not fully understood, and no effective treatment has been discovered. Recent evidence shows that many circular RNAs (circRNAs) are associated with the occurrence of liver diseases. In this study we investigated the mechanisms of occurrence and development of ALI in lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced ALI mice. We found that expression of the circular RNA circDcbld2 was significantly elevated in the liver tissues of ALI mice and LPS-treated RAW264.7 cells. Knockdown of circDcbld2 markedly alleviates LPS-induced inflammatory responses in ALI mice and RAW264.7 cells. We designed and synthesized a series of hesperidin derivatives for circDcbld2, and found that hesperetin derivative 2a (HD-2a) at the concentrations of 2, 4, 8 μM effectively inhibited circDcbld2 expression in RAW264.7 cells. Administration of HD-2a (50, 100, 200 mg/kg. i.g., once 24 h in advance) effectively relieved LPS-induced liver dysfunction and inflammatory responses. RNA sequencing analysis revealed that the anti-inflammatory and hepatoprotective effects of HD-2a were mediated through downregulating circDcbld2 and suppressing the JAK2/STAT3 pathway. We conclude that HD-2a downregulates circDcbld2 to inhibit the JAK2/STAT3 pathway, thereby inhibiting the inflammatory responses in ALI. The results suggest that circDcbld2 may be a potential target for the prevention and treatment of ALI, and HD-2a may have potential as a drug for the treatment of ALI.

Mac-2-Binding Protein Glycosylation Isomer to Albumin Ratio Predicts Bacterial Infections in Cirrhotic Patients

INTRODUCTION

Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a novel biomarker for liver fibrosis, but little is known about its role in cirrhosis-associated clinical outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the predictive role of M2BPGi in cirrhosis-associated complications.

METHODS

One hundred and forty-nine cirrhotic patients were retrospectively enrolled. Patients were followed up for 1 year, and cirrhosis-associated clinical events were recorded. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to establish the values of the predictive models for cirrhotic outcomes, and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify predictors of clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Sixty (40.3%) patients experienced cirrhosis-associated clinical events and had higher M2BPGi levels compared to those without events (8.7 vs. 5.1 cutoff index, p < 0.001). The most common cirrhosis-associated complications were bacterial infections (24.2%). On ROC analysis, M2BPGi to albumin ratio (M2BPGi/albumin) had comparable discriminant abilities for all cirrhosis-associated events (area under the ROC curve [AUC] = 0.74) compared with M2BPGi, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease, albumin-bilirubin scores, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and was superior to M2BPGi alone for all bacterial infectious events (AUC = 0.80). Cox regression analysis revealed that the M2BPGi/albumin, but not M2BPGi alone, independently predicted all cirrhosis-associated events (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.34, p = 0.038) and all bacterial infectious events (HR = 1.51, p = 0.011) within 1 year. However, M2BPGi/albumin did not predict other cirrhotic complications and transplant-free survival.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

M2BPGi/albumin might serve as a potential prognostic indicator for patients with cirrhosis, particularly for predicting bacterial infections.

Sustained virologic response improved the long-term health-related quality of life in patients with chronic hepatitis C: a prospective national study in China

BACKGROUND

To investigate the trends in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients and to assess the longitudinal impact of antiviral therapy on their well-being.

METHODS

In this prospective multicenter observational study in adults with HCV infection, sociodemographic, clinical characteristics and EQ-5D questionnaires were collected. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were used to assess the associations between these variables and changes in HRQoL over time.

RESULTS

456 patients were included, with a median age of 46.5 (36.5-57.0) years, of which 262 (57.5%) were males and 44 (9.6%) had cirrhosis. 335 patients (73.5%) receiving antiviral therapy and 61.8% achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The baseline EQ-5D utility and EQ-VAS were 0.916 ± 0.208 and 80.6 ± 13.0. In multivariable analysis of GEE estimation, achieving SVR24 was positively associated with EQ-5D utility (p = 0.000) and EQ-VAS (p = 0.000) over time. Age and income were shown to be significant predictors of EQ-5D utility, while gender, age and genotype were associated with EQ-VAS over time.

CONCLUSIONS

SVR improved long-term HRQoL in HCV patients in the first few years following viral clearance. Certain sociodemographic factors, such as gender, age, income as well as genotype, significantly influenced long-term changes in patients' quality of life.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01594554. Registration date: 09/05/2012.

Associations of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cirrhosis with liver cancer in European and East Asian populations: A Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

The positive relationships of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and cirrhosis with liver cancer were shown in previous observational studies, while further Mendelian randomization (MR) investigations are needed to confirm the possible causal associations.

AIMS

This study aimed to explore whether NAFLD and cirrhosis were causally related to liver cancer using MR in European and East Asian populations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

For European populations, NAFLD data were obtained from a genome-wide meta-analysis (8434 patients and 770 180 controls). The data on chronic elevation of alanine aminotransferase (cALT), a proxy of NAFLD, were derived from Million Veteran Program (68 725 patients and 95 472 controls). Cirrhosis data were collected from two sources: a genome-wide association study of five cohorts (4829 patients and 72 705 controls) and FinnGen (1931 patients and 216 861 controls). Liver cancer data were collected from FinnGen (304 patients and 174 006 controls). For East Asian populations, the data on cirrhosis (2184 patients and 210 269 controls) and hepatocellular carcinoma (1866 patients and 195 745 controls) were obtained from Biobank Japan. Three, 41, seven, six, and three single-nucleotide polymorphisms were used for NAFLD (European), cALT (European), cirrhosis (European-five cohorts), cirrhosis (European-FinnGen), and cirrhosis (East Asian), respectively. We used inverse-variance weighted as the primary method to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Among European populations, genetically-predicted NAFLD, cALT, cirrhosis (five cohorts), and cirrhosis (FinnGen) were positively associated with liver cancer, with ORs (95% CIs) of 6.62 (3.81-11.50) (p < .001), 2.59 (1.70-3.94) (p < .001), 3.38 (2.41-4.75) (p < .001), and 2.62 (1.20-5.72) (p = .015). Among East Asian populations, there was also a positive association between genetically-predicted cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (OR = 2.12; 95% CI = 1.78-2.52; p < .001).

CONCLUSION

This study utilized MR to complementarily confirm the positive connections of NAFLD and cirrhosis with liver cancer, as identified in earlier observational research. Subsequent MR investigations involving more liver cancer cases are needed.

Expression of PVT-1 and miR-29a/29b as reliable biomarkers for liver cirrhosis and their correlation with the inflammatory biomarkers profile

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The liver is a vital organ responsible for numerous metabolic processes, which can be significantly impacted by long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) and microRNAs (miRNAs). These ribonucleic acid (RNA) molecules have been shown to play a crucial role in regulating gene expression, and their dysregulation has been implicated in numerous liver disorders. Our study aimed to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of plasmacytoma variant translocation-1 (PVT-1), microRNA-29a/29b (miR-29a/miR-29b), and inflammatory biomarkers [ interleukine-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-β), and insulin growth factor-1 (IGF-1)] as diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for liver cirrhosis. Therefore, understanding the mechanisms by which lncRNAs and miRNAs influence liver metabolism is of paramount importance in developing effective treatments for liver-related diseases.

METHODS

Serum samples were collected from 164 participants, comprising 114 cirrhotic patients with varying grades (35 grade I, 35 grade II, and 44 grade III) and 50 healthy controls. PVT-1 and miR-29a/miR-29b expression was analyzed by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), while the serum levels of inflammatory biomarkers were assessed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS

The study participants exhibited notable differences in PVT-1 and miR-29a/miR-29b expression. ROC analysis revealed excellent discriminative power for PVT-1 and miR-29a/miR-29b in distinguishing cirrhotic patients from healthy controls.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates the promising potential of PVT-1 and miR-29a/miR-29b as early diagnostic biomarkers for liver cirrhosis detection, requiring further validation in larger cohorts. Our findings also reinforce the diagnostic value of circulating inflammatory biomarkers (IL-6, TNF-α, TGF-β, and IGF-1) levels for liver cirrhosis screening.

Risk factors for hospital readmission among patients with cirrhosis and ascites in China: a retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

In this investigation, we aimed to explore risk factors for 90-day hospital readmission among patients with cirrhosis and ascites in an Asian population.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we included consecutive patients diagnosed with cirrhosis and ascites hospitalized in Renji Hospital between 2018 and 2022 to elucidate risk factors for 90-day readmission. We conducted multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify readmission risk factors.

RESULTS

We included 265 patients with cirrhosis and ascites. A 43% readmission rate was observed within 90 days. After adjustment for multiple covariates, we found that readmission within 90 days was independently linked to reduced levels of hemoglobin (odds ratio [OR] 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94-0.97) and serum albumin (OR 0.88, 95% CI 0.83-0.93), and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and sodium (MELD-Na) scores (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07) at discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with cirrhosis who have ascites are frequently rehospitalized within 90 days after discharge. Lower hemoglobin or albumin and higher MELD-Na scores at discharge may be the main risk factors for hospital readmission.

Collaborating with patients and caregivers to create web-based educational resources for people affected by cirrhosis

Objective

To describe the development of multimodal, web-based educational resources about cirrhosis alongside patients and caregivers.

Methods

We used an iterative process that was guided by the Strategy for Patient Oriented Research (SPOR) patient engagement framework in describing patient engagement activities to partner with a team of 16 patients and caregivers (Patient Advisory Team (PAT)). This process included five phases: a) Prioritize and gather content, b) design and build the website and videos, c) gather and integrate feedback, d) improve user accessibility, and e) assess usability and knowledge uptake for users.

Results

This 2-year process resulted in a 55-page website and 78 animated and live-action videos on cirrhosis complications, procedures, nutrition, and exercise. We implemented usability testing through pre-defined tasks and a think-aloud method from individuals with no previous exposure to the website to assess navigation, appearance, and content issues. Following usability testing, we have been gathering quantitative data from each unique page about relevance and ease of use, as well as qualitative data on the value of the content itself.

Conclusions

Collaboration between clinicians, patients, and caregivers is key to developing high-quality digital educational resources. Lessons from our process may help other organizations looking to address disease-specific knowledge gaps. Next steps with www.cirrhosiscare.ca will be continued iterative refinement and structured impact evaluation.

Innovation

This project used a patient-centered approach to develop a comprehensive online educational resource for patients with cirrhosis. By having patients with cirrhosis as a key part of our team, we ensured that the site met the needs of this unique population.

Frequentmers - a novel way to look at metagenomic next generation sequencing data and an application in detecting liver cirrhosis

Early detection of human disease is associated with improved clinical outcomes. However, many diseases are often detected at an advanced, symptomatic stage where patients are past efficacious treatment periods and can result in less favorable outcomes. Therefore, methods that can accurately detect human disease at a presymptomatic stage are urgently needed. Here, we introduce "frequentmers"; short sequences that are specific and recurrently observed in either patient or healthy control samples, but not in both. We showcase the utility of frequentmers for the detection of liver cirrhosis using metagenomic Next Generation Sequencing data from stool samples of patients and controls. We develop classification models for the detection of liver cirrhosis and achieve an AUC score of 0.91 using ten-fold cross-validation. A small subset of 200 frequentmers can achieve comparable results in detecting liver cirrhosis. Finally, we identify the microbial organisms in liver cirrhosis samples, which are associated with the most predictive frequentmer biomarkers.

Markers of inflammation predict survival in newly diagnosed cirrhosis: a prospective registry study

The inflammatory activity in cirrhosis is often pronounced and related to episodes of decompensation. Systemic markers of inflammation may contain prognostic information, and we investigated their possible correlation with admissions and mortality among patients with newly diagnosed liver cirrhosis. We collected plasma samples from 149 patients with newly diagnosed (within the past 6 months) cirrhosis, and registered deaths and hospital admissions within 180 days. Ninety-two inflammatory markers were quantified and correlated with clinical variables, mortality, and admissions. Prediction models were calculated by logistic regression. We compared the disease courses of our cohort with a validation cohort of 86 patients with cirrhosis. Twenty of 92 markers of inflammation correlated significantly with mortality within 180 days (q-values of 0.00-0.044), whereas we found no significant correlations with liver-related admissions. The logistic regression models yielded AUROCs of 0.73 to 0.79 for mortality and 0.61 to 0.73 for liver-related admissions, based on a variety of modalities (clinical variables, inflammatory markers, clinical scores, or combinations thereof). The models performed moderately well in the validation cohort and were better able to predict mortality than liver-related admissions. In conclusion, markers of inflammation can be used to predict 180-day mortality in patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis. Prediction models for newly diagnosed cirrhotic patients need further validation before implementation in clinical practice.Trial registration: NCT04422223 (and NCT03443934 for the validation cohort), and Scientific Ethics Committee No.: H-19024348.

The Gut-Organ Axis within the Human Body: Gut Dysbiosis and the Role of Prebiotics

The human gut microbiota (GM) is a complex microbial ecosystem that colonises the gastrointestinal tract (GIT) and is comprised of bacteria, viruses, fungi, and protozoa. The GM has a symbiotic relationship with its host that is fundamental for body homeostasis. The GM is not limited to the scope of the GIT, but there are bidirectional interactions between the GM and other organs, highlighting the concept of the "gut-organ axis". Any deviation from the normal composition of the GM, termed "microbial dysbiosis", is implicated in the pathogenesis of various diseases. Only a few studies have demonstrated a relationship between GM modifications and disease phenotypes, and it is still unknown whether an altered GM contributes to a disease or simply reflects its status. Restoration of the GM with probiotics and prebiotics has been postulated, but evidence for the effects of prebiotics is limited. Prebiotics are substrates that are "selectively utilized by host microorganisms, conferring a health benefit". This study highlights the bidirectional relationship between the gut and vital human organs and demonstrates the relationship between GM dysbiosis and the emergence of certain representative diseases. Finally, this article focuses on the potential of prebiotics as a target therapy to manipulate the GM and presents the gaps in the literature and research.

Patients With Cirrhosis Have Higher Costs of Care, Longer Length of Stays, and More Perioperative Complications Following Total Knee Arthroplasty: A National Inpatient Sample-Based Study

Background Cirrhosis is a growing disease affecting millions of people in the United States annually. Many cirrhosis patients undergo significant procedures and are met with increased risks such as encephalopathy, impaired immune response, ascites, variceal bleeding, renal disease, and increased malnutrition. Many cirrhosis patients need to undergo major surgical procedures such as total knee arthroplasty (TKA); however, perioperative complications following TKA in cirrhosis patients have not been studied. The purpose of this study was to analyze the demographic characteristics and perioperative complications of cirrhosis patients following TKA. Methods Using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database, we looked at retrospective data from the years 2016-2019 to analyze the incidence of perioperative complications, length of stay (LOS), and the cost of care (COC) among patients undergoing TKA who were categorized as cirrhosis patients, compared with those who are not. A propensity match was conducted to consider associated comorbidities that influence perioperative complications. Results Of the 558,256 patients analyzed who underwent TKA, 1670 (0.3%) were diagnosed with cirrhosis. After matching, cirrhosis patients had a longer LOS (4.22 vs. 3.68 days, p=0.016) and COC ($90,624 vs. 80676.87, p<0.001) than patients in the control group. Moreover, cirrhosis patients had a higher likelihood of developing acute renal failure (odds ratio (OR): 3.05, 95% CI: 2.07-4.50, p<0.001), blood loss anemia (OR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.34-1.92, p<0.001), periprosthetic fracture (OR: 3.27, 95% CI: 1.31-8.18, p=0.007), periprosthetic infection (OR: 3.14, 95% CI: 1.99-4.95, p<0.001), and blood transfusions (OR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.12-2.35, p=0.009) than patients in the control group. Conclusion The cirrhosis group had a significantly higher COC, longer LOS, and higher rates of perioperative complications than non-cirrhosis patients. This data will help providers make informed decisions about patient care and resource allocation for cirrhosis patients undergoing TKA.

Role of the phase angle in the prognosis of the cirrhotic patient: 15 years of follow-up

BACKGROUND

In 2019, cirrhosis accounted for 2.4% of global deaths. The projection for 2030 is an increase in this index. In recent years, hospitalization costs have escalated by 36% for compensated cirrhosis and 24% for decompensated cirrhosis. Therefore, it is necessary to identify a tool capable of predicting the mortality of these patients according to their clinical condition and consequently extending their survival time. Different studies have shown that the phase angle (PA) can be a feasible method in clinical practice, with the potential to guide assertive patient management in the therapeutic of chronic liver disease.

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic role of PA in cirrhotic patients over a 15-year follow-up period.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study with 129 cirrhotic patients of both sexes over 18 years old. Diagnosis of cirrhosis by liver biopsy. The first year of data collection was 2007, and data regarding outcomes was collected in 2023. Data were gathered from medical records, such as esophageal varices (EV), EV bleeding, ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), encephalopathy, laboratory findings and PA. The cut-off value for the PA was 5.4°, a value described in 2012 by Fernandes et al for 129 patients evaluated in this study and the cut-off points for the Brazilian population presented in percentiles (P), as described by Mattiello et al. The mortality was assessed using the PA percentile through Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate binary logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Patients were divided into two groups according to the PA 5.4th (PA > 5.4°, n = 40; PA ≤ 5.4°, n = 89) PA percentile (< P50, n = 56; ≥ P50 n = 73). The percentile classification was more accurate in identifying long-term deaths than the 5.4º PA. Patients with < P50 had a higher number of relevant complications such as ascites, SBP, liver encephalopathy and HCC. PA is strongly correlated with serum albumin (P < 0.001), International Normalized Ratio (P = 0.01), total bilirubin (P = 0.02) and direct bilirubin (P = 0.003). PA is correlated with survival time (P < 0.001) and length of stay (P = 0.02). Logistic regression analysis shows that an increase of 1° in PA enlarges the cirrhotic patient's chance of survival by 17.7%.

CONCLUSION

PA is a good predictor of morbidity and mortality for cirrhotic patients. The PA by percentile showed greater sensitivity in predicting mortality compared to the cut-off point of 5.4º.

Role of the phase angle in the prognosis of the cirrhotic patient: 15 years of follow-up

The documentation of psychological trauma is obviously a challenge to clinicians while they are diving deep into remote events related to their clients or patients. The potential role of psychological trauma in the early developmental stages, and even the existence of adverse childhood experiences, is important to prove, yet it is difficult to do so. A diverse range of methods have been applied, all of which presumably benchmark a big therapeutic step; however, these enthusiastic methods frequently do not last for long. While hypnosis supporters, Freudian and Neo-Freudian disciples can be acute enough to enhance and uncover suppressed memories, modern psychiatry relies mostly on diversely structured interviews. Functional magnetic resonance and its related subtleties might help, but the questions that remain unanswered are numerous and confusing. Connecting early experiences with long-term memory while identifying psychological trauma its importance for the individual’s growth trajectory; thus, it remains an intriguing issue.

Impact of TAVR on patients with severe aortic stenosis and liver cirrhosis

We sought to assess the impact of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) on patients that have both severe aortic stenosis (SAS) and liver cirrhosis on mortality at 365 days after index event. We identified 19,210 patients that met inclusion criteria using the TriNetX database, consisting of data from 58 large healthcare organizations collected between 1 January 2010 and 24 February 2022. Of those patients, 1,283 (3.2%) had SAS with liver cirrhosis that had a TAVR, and 19,210 (96.8%) had SAS with liver cirrhosis that did not have a TAVR. We analyzed the data to compare all-cause mortality at 365 days using the TriNetX web platform. In addition, we conducted propensity score matching (PSM) to reduce the effects of confounders between the two groups. Patients with SAS and liver cirrhosis that had a TAVR were older (72.4 ± 9.7 vs. 68.0 ± 11.8, P < 0.001), and they had higher rates of heart failure (71.2 vs. 34.5%, P < 0.001), coronary artery disease (72.0 vs. 31.2%, P < 0.001), diabetes (52.5 vs. 41.2%, P < 0.001), and chronic kidney disease (43.8 vs. 30.1%, P < 0.001) compared with patients with SAS and liver cirrhosis without TAVR. PSM created two well-matched cohorts of 1,269 patients each. The TAVR group had a lower mortality rate compared with the no TAVR group (22.5 vs. 34.8%, P < 0.0001) at 365 days. This was confirmed using a log-rank test. Given these data, it appears that there is a mortality benefit associated with TAVR in patients with SAS and liver cirrhosis.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Risk calculators used to predict unfavorable surgical outcomes could flag a patient as ineligible for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) based on the presence of liver cirrhosis. Our data analysis suggests that performing a TAVR to treat severe aortic stenosis in patients with liver cirrhosis could decrease their mortality risk as opposed to not performing a TAVR. Careful consideration should be given to this patient population to ensure the best quality of life and long-term outcome.

The Influence of Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms on Vitamin D Receptor Protein Levels and Function in Chronic Liver Disease

Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the vitamin D receptor (VDR) gene have been associated with chronic liver disease. We investigated the role of VDR SNPs on VDR protein levels and function in patients with chronic liver disease. VDR expression levels were determined in peripheral T lymphocytes (CD3+VDR+), monocytes (CD14+VDR+), and plasma from patients (n = 66) and healthy controls (n = 38). Genotyping of SNPs and the determination of expression of VDR/vitamin D-related genes were performed by using qPCR. The effect of FokI SNP on vitamin D-binding to VDR was investigated by molecular dynamics simulations. CD14+VDR+ cells were correlated with the MELD score. The ApaI SNP was associated with decreased CD3+VDR+ levels in cirrhotic patients and with higher liver stiffness in HCV patients. The BsmI and TaqI SNPs were associated with increased VDR plasma concentrations in cirrhotic patients and decreased CD14+VDR+ levels in HCV patients. The FokI SNP was associated with increased CD3+VDR+ levels in cirrhotic patients and controls. VDR polymorphisms were significantly related to the expression of genes critical for normal hepatocyte function and immune homeostasis. VDR expression levels were related to the clinical severity of liver disease. VDR SNPs may be related to the progression of chronic liver disease by affecting VDR expression levels.

Shear Wave Dispersion in Chronic Liver Disease: From Physical Principles to Clinical Usefulness

The development of new applications in ultrasound (US) imaging in recent years has strengthened the role of this imaging technique in the management of different pathologies, particularly in the setting of liver disease. Improved B-mode imaging (3D and 4D), contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) and especially US-based elastography techniques have created the concept of multiparametric ultrasound (MP-US), a term borrowed from radiological sectional imaging. Among the new elastography techniques, shear wave dispersion is a newly developed imaging technology which enables the assessment of the shear waves' dispersion slope. The analysis of the dispersion qualities of shear waves might be indirectly related to the tissue viscosity, thus providing biomechanical information concerning the pathologic state of the liver such as necroinflammation. Some of the most recent US devices have been embedded with software that evaluate the dispersion of shear waves/liver viscosity. In this review, the feasibility and the clinical applications of liver viscosity are reviewed based on the preliminary findings of both animal and human studies.

Associations of gallbladder and gallstone parameters with clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis

Background

Morphologic changes in the gallbladder and gallstones are common in cirrhotic patients, but their associations with outcomes of cirrhotic patients are unclear.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 206 cirrhotic patients and measured their gallbladder length and width, gallbladder wall thickness, presence of gallstones, and gallstones’ length and width in axial contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) images. X-tile software was utilized to calculate the optimal cutoff values of these parameters for evaluating survival and hepatic decompensation events in the cirrhosis group. Their associations with survival were explored by Cox regression analyses and Kaplan–Meier curve analyses. Their associations with hepatic decompensation events were evaluated by competing risk analyses and Nelson-Aalen cumulative risk curve analyses where death was a competing event.

Results

Cirrhotic patients with gallbladder length < 72 mm had a significantly higher cumulative survival rate than those with a length of ≥ 72 mm (P = 0.049 by log-rank test), but gallbladder width, gallbladder wall thickness, presence of gallstones, and gallstones’ length and width were not significantly associated with survival (P = 0.10, P = 0.14, P = 0.97, P = 0.73, and P = 0.73 by log-rank tests, respectively). Cirrhotic patients with gallbladder wall thickness < 3.4 mm had a significantly lower cumulative rate of hepatic decompensation events than those with a wall thickness of ≥ 3.4 mm (P = 0.02 by Gray’s test), but gallbladder length and width, presence of gallstones, and gallstones’ length and width were not significantly associated with hepatic decompensation events (P = 0.15, P = 0.15, P = 0.54, P = 0.76, and P = 0.54 by Gray’s tests, respectively).

Conclusion

Changes in gallbladder length and gallbladder wall thickness, rather than gallstone parameters, may be in parallel with the long-term outcomes of cirrhotic patients.