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Tall JA, Gatton ML. Flooding and Arboviral Disease: Predicting Ross River Virus Disease Outbreaks Across Inland Regions of South-Eastern Australia. JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY 2020; 57:241-251. [PMID: 31310648 DOI: 10.1093/jme/tjz120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Flood frequency is expected to increase across the globe with climate change. Understanding the relationship between flooding and arboviral disease can reduce disease risk and associated costs. South-eastern Australia is dominated by the flood-prone Murray-Darling River system where the incidence of Australia's most common arboviral disease, Ross River virus (RRV), is high. This study aimed to determine the relationship between riverine flooding and RRV disease outbreaks in inland south-eastern Australia, specifically New South Wales (NSW). Each study month from 1991 to 2013, for each of 37 local government areas (LGAs) was assigned 'outbreak/non-outbreak' status based on long-term trimmed-average age-standardized RRV notification rates and 'flood/non-flood' status based on riverine overflow. LGAs were grouped into eight climate zones with the relationship between flood and RRV outbreak modeled using generalized estimating equations. Modeling adjusted for rainfall in the previous 1-3 mo. Spring-summer flooding increased the odds of summer RRV outbreaks in three climate zones before and after adjusting for rainfall 1, 2, and 3 mo prior to the outbreak. Flooding at any time of the year was not predictive of RRV outbreaks in the remaining five climate zones. Predicting RRV disease outbreaks with flood events can assist with more targeted mosquito spraying programs, thereby reducing disease transmission and mosquito resistance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julie A Tall
- School of Public Health and Social Work, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, O Block, Kelvin Grove, Queensland, Australia
| | - Michelle L Gatton
- School of Public Health and Social Work, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, O Block, Kelvin Grove, Queensland, Australia
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Flies EJ, Weinstein P, Anderson SJ, Koolhof I, Foufopoulos J, Williams CR. Ross River Virus and the Necessity of Multiscale, Eco-epidemiological Analyses. J Infect Dis 2017; 217:807-815. [DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jix615] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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Flies EJ, Toi C, Weinstein P, Doggett SL, Williams CR. Converting Mosquito Surveillance to Arbovirus Surveillance with Honey-Baited Nucleic Acid Preservation Cards. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 2017; 15:397-403. [PMID: 26186511 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2014.1759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Spatially and temporally accurate information about infectious mosquito distribution allows for pre-emptive public health interventions that can reduce the burden of mosquito-borne infections on human populations. However, the labile nature of arboviruses, the low prevalence of infection in mosquitoes, the expensive labor costs for mosquito identification and sorting, and the specialized equipment required for arbovirus testing can obstruct arbovirus surveillance efforts. The recently developed techniques of testing mosquito expectorate using honey-baited nucleic acid preservation cards or sugar bait stations allows a sensitive method of testing for infectious, rather than infected, mosquito vectors. Here we report the results from the first large-scale incorporation of honey-baited cards into an existing mosquito surveillance program. During 4 months of the peak virus season (January-April, 2014) for a total of 577 trap nights, we set CO2-baited encephalitis vector survey (EVS) light traps at 88 locations in South Australia. The collection container for the EVS trap was modified to allow for the placement of a honey-baited nucleic acid preservation card (FTA™ card) inside. After collection, mosquitoes were maintained in a humid environment and allowed access to the cards for 1 week. Cards were then analyzed for common endemic Australian arboviruses using a nested RT-PCR. Eighteen virus detections, including 11 Ross River virus, four Barmah Forest virus, and three Stratford virus (not previously reported from South Australia) were obtained. Our findings suggest that adding FTA cards to an existing mosquito surveillance program is a rapid and efficient way of detecting infectious mosquitoes with high spatial resolution.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily J Flies
- 1 Sansom Institute for Health Research, and School of Pharmacy and Medical Sciences, University of South Australia , Adelaide, Australia
| | - Cheryl Toi
- 2 Department of Medical Entomology, Centre for Infectious Disease Microbiological Laboratory Services, Pathology West-ICPMR, Westmead Hospital , Westmead, Australia
| | - Philip Weinstein
- 3 School of Biological Sciences, University of Adelaide, and School of Pharmacy and Medical Sciences, University of South Australia , Adelaide, Australia
| | - Stephen L Doggett
- 2 Department of Medical Entomology, Centre for Infectious Disease Microbiological Laboratory Services, Pathology West-ICPMR, Westmead Hospital , Westmead, Australia
| | - Craig R Williams
- 1 Sansom Institute for Health Research, and School of Pharmacy and Medical Sciences, University of South Australia , Adelaide, Australia
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Improving public health intervention for mosquito-borne disease: the value of geovisualization using source of infection and LandScan data. Epidemiol Infect 2016; 144:3108-3119. [DOI: 10.1017/s0950268816001357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
SUMMARYEpidemiological studies use georeferenced health data to identify disease clusters but the accuracy of this georeferencing is obfuscated by incorrectly assigning the source of infection and by aggregating case data to larger geographical areas. Often, place of residence (residence) is used as a proxy for the source of infection (source) which may not be accurate. Using a 21-year dataset from South Australia of human infections with the mosquito-borne Ross River virus, we found that 37% of cases were believed to have been acquired away from home. We constructed two risk maps using age-standardized morbidity ratios (SMRs) calculated using residence and patient-reported source. Both maps confirm significant inter-suburb variation in SMRs. Areas frequently named as the source (but not residence) and the highest-risk suburbs both tend to be tourist locations with vector mosquito habitat, and camping or outdoor recreational opportunities. We suggest the highest-risk suburbs as places to focus on for disease control measures. We also use a novel application of ambient population data (LandScan) to improve the interpretation of these risk maps and propose how this approach can aid in implementing disease abatement measures on a smaller scale than for which disease data are available.
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Carver S, Kilpatrick AM, Kuenzi A, Douglass R, Ostfeld RS, Weinstein P. Environmental monitoring to enhance comprehension and control of infectious diseases. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2010; 12:2048-55. [PMID: 20957286 DOI: 10.1039/c0em00046a] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
In a world of emerging and resurging infectious diseases, dominated by zoonoses, environmental monitoring plays a vital role in our understanding their dynamics and their spillover to humans. Here, we critically review the ecology, epidemiology and need for monitoring of a variety of directly transmitted (Sin Nombre virus, Avian Influenza) and vector-borne (Ross River virus, West Nile virus, Lyme disease, anaplasmosis and babesiosis) zoonoses. We focus on the valuable role that existing monitoring plays in the understanding of these zoonoses, the demands for new monitoring, and how improvements can be made to existing monitoring. We also identify the fruitful outcomes which would result from implementation of the monitoring demands we have highlighted. This review aims to promote improvements in our understanding of zoonoses, their management, and public health by encouraging discussion among researchers and public health officials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Scott Carver
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Pathology, Colorado State University, 1619 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA.
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Climate variability and Ross River virus infections in Riverland, South Australia, 1992-2004. Epidemiol Infect 2009; 137:1486-93. [PMID: 19296873 DOI: 10.1017/s0950268809002441] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Ross River virus (RRV) infection is the most common notifiable vector-borne disease in Australia, with around 6000 cases annually. This study aimed to examine the relationship between climate variability and notified RRV infections in the Riverland region of South Australia in order to set up an early warning system for the disease in temperate-climate regions. Notified data of RRV infections were collected by the South Australian Department of Health. Climatic variables and monthly river flow were provided by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and South Australian Department of Water, Land and Biodiversity Conservation over the period 1992-2004. Spearman correlation and time-series-adjusted Poisson regression analysis were performed. The results indicate that increases in monthly mean minimum and maximum temperatures, monthly total rainfall, monthly mean Southern Oscillation Index and monthly flow in the Murray River increase the likelihood, but an increase in monthly mean relative humidity decreases the likelihood, of disease transmission in the region, with different time-lag effects. This study demonstrates that a useful early warning system can be developed for local regions based on the statistical analysis of readily available climate data. These early warning systems can be utilized by local public health authorities to develop disease prevention and control activities.
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Carver S, Sakalidis V, Weinstein P. House mouse abundance and Ross River virus notifications in Victoria, Australia. Int J Infect Dis 2008; 12:528-33. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2008.02.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2007] [Revised: 02/19/2008] [Accepted: 02/23/2008] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
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Condon RJ, Rouse IL. Acute symptoms and sequelae of Ross River virus infection in South-Western Australia: a follow-up study. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2005; 3:273-84. [PMID: 15566808 DOI: 10.1016/s0928-0197(94)00043-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/1994] [Revised: 09/13/1994] [Accepted: 09/13/1994] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Unusually high tides along the south-west coast of Western Australia (WA) during the spring and summer of 1988-89 provided ideal breeding conditions for mosquito vectors of Ross River virus (RRV). This was followed by the biggest outbreak of RRV infection ever documented in WA (330 notified cases). OBJECTIVES To describe the nature and duration of symptoms of RRV infection in WA, and associated functional disability; to determine the perceived effectiveness of treatments; to determine the usefulness of available information on RRV infection. STUDY DESIGN A retrospective study of all cases of RRV infection reported from South West WA during the 1988-89 outbreak, using a self-administered patient questionnaire. RESULTS The most common symptoms were arthralgia, tiredness and lethargy, and joint stiffness and swelling. In patients with joint manifestations, the knees, wrists and ankles were almost always affected. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agents, rest, simple analgesics and hydrotherapy were subjectively the most helpful treatments. Only 27% of patients had recovered completely within 6 months of onset of symptoms. Three years after the outbreak, up to 57% still experienced at least intermittent joint symptoms. Less than one-third of people reported that the available information adequately explained the consequences of RRV infection. CONCLUSIONS Compared with patients elsewhere in Australia, people infected with RRV in the South West of WA experience a slightly different spectrum of clinical symptoms, with a longer period of disability. This may be related to the presence of a different topotype of the virus to that found elsewhere in Australia. Better information for doctors and patients on the likely course of the illness is needed. Future studies should examine the economic cost associated with RRV infection, and evaluate treatments to shorten the period of disability.
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Affiliation(s)
- R J Condon
- Health Services Statistics and Epidemiology Branch, Health Department of Western Australia, East Perth, Australia
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Kelly-Hope LA, Purdie DM, Kay BH. Ross River virus disease in Australia, 1886-1998, with analysis of risk factors associated with outbreaks. JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY 2004; 41:133-150. [PMID: 15061271 DOI: 10.1603/0022-2585-41.2.133] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Ross River virus (RR) is a mosquito-borne arbovirus responsible for outbreaks of polyarthritic disease throughout Australia. To better understand human and environmental factors driving such events, 57 historical reports on RR outbreaks between 1896 and 1998 were examined collectively. The magnitude, regularity, seasonality, and locality of outbreaks were found to be wide ranging; however, analysis of climatic and tidal data highlighted that environmental conditions act differently in tropical, arid, and temperate regions. Overall, rainfall seems to be the single most important risk factor, with over 90% of major outbreak locations receiving higher than average rainfall in preceding months. Many temperatures were close to average, particularly in tropical populations; however, in arid regions, below average maximum temperatures predominated, and in southeast temperate regions, above average minimum temperatures predominated. High spring tides preceded coastal outbreaks, both in the presence and absence of rainfall, and the relationship between rainfall and the Southern Oscillation Index and La Niña episodes suggest they may be useful predictive tools, but only in southeast temperate regions. Such heterogeneity predisposing outbreaks supports the notion that there are different RR epidemiologies throughout Australia but also suggests that generic parameters for the prediction and control of outbreaks are of limited use at a local level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Louise A Kelly-Hope
- Infectious Diseases and Immunology Division, Queensland Institute of Medical Research and The University of Queensland, Australian Centre for International and Tropical Health and Nutrition, Post Office Royal Brisbane Hospital, Qld 4029, Australia
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Selden SM, Cameron S. The changing epidemiology of Ross River virus disease in South Australia. Med J Aust 1997. [DOI: 10.5694/j.1326-5377.1997.tb122333.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sue M Selden
- Far West Remote Health Training UnitPO Box 457Broken HillNSW2880
| | - Scott Cameron
- Communicable Disease Control UnitSouth Australian Health CommissionPO Box 6Rundle MallSA5000
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate changes in epidemiology and symptoms of Ross River virus (RRV) disease in South Australia. DESIGN Longitudinal questionnaire-based survey of notified cases from one to 36 months after infection. SUBJECTS All patients with recent serologically confirmed RRV infection notified to the Communicable Disease Control Unit, South Australian Health Commission, between 1 October 1992 and 30 June 1993. OUTCOME MEASURES Sociodemographic data, source of infection, symptoms and ability to carry out daily activities (at onset of illness and at time of questionnaire, up to 36 months after infection), symptom duration, economic impact of the illness, cases recovery time, factors predictive of delayed recovery. RESULTS Information was obtained on the acute illness from 698 of the 821 subjects and at 15 months after infection from 436. At 15 months, 51% of respondents still had joint pain and 45% had persistent tiredness and lethargy. Other common symptoms included myalgia (34%), lymphadenopathy (25%), headache (23%) and depression (22%). These symptoms were still common 30 months after infection. Increasing age was the only statistically significant predictor of delayed recovery. Infections were acquired across the State, away from previously recognised RRV-endemic areas. CONCLUSIONS For many people, RRV disease is debilitating, with long term symptoms similar to those of chronic fatigue syndrome. The geographic range of the infection has expanded in SA.
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Affiliation(s)
- S M Selden
- Communicable Disease Control Unit, South Australian Health Commission, Adelaide, SA
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Mackenzie JS, Lindsay MD, Coelen RJ, Broom AK, Hall RA, Smith DW. Arboviruses causing human disease in the Australasian zoogeographic region. Arch Virol 1994; 136:447-67. [PMID: 8031248 DOI: 10.1007/bf01321074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 194] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
Over 65 arboviruses have been reported from countries in the Australasian zoogeographic region, but only a few have been implicated in human disease. These include the flaviviruses Murray Valley encephalitis (MVE), Kunjin (KUN), Kokobera (KOK), and dengue, particularly types 1 and 2; the alphaviruses Ross River (RR), Barmah Forest (BF), and Sindbis (SIN); and the bunyaviruses, Gan Gan and Trubanaman. In this paper recent epidemiological and clinical results pertaining to these viruses are reviewed, with major emphasis on MVE and RR viruses. The extensive early studies of Australian arboviruses have been reviewed by Doherty [49, 50], and their ecology and vectors more recently by Kay and Standfast [87]. In addition, the biology of MVE and KUN [113] and RR [87, 114] viruses have been the subjects of more detailed reviews. The Australasian zoogeographic region is defined as countries east of the Wallace and Weber lines, two hypothetical lines in the Indo-Australian archipelago where the fauna of the Australasian and Oriental regions meet. Seroepidemiological studies of human arboviral infections have suggested that the Japanese encephalitis flavivirus and the chikungunya alphavirus occur only in the Oriental region, whereas the related MVE and RR viruses, respectively, are restricted to the Australasian region [85, 148]. Serological results from Wallacea, the zone between the Wallace and Weber lines, are not so clear-cut [85]. This review is therefore restricted to countries east of Wallacea, specifically New Guinea and Australia.
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Affiliation(s)
- J S Mackenzie
- Department of Microbiology, University of Western Australia, QU II Medical Centre, Nedlands
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Abstract
The alphaviruses are a genus of 26 enveloped viruses that cause disease in humans and domestic animals. Mosquitoes or other hematophagous arthropods serve as vectors for these viruses. The complete sequences of the +/- 11.7-kb plus-strand RNA genomes of eight alphaviruses have been determined, and partial sequences are known for several others; this has made possible evolutionary comparisons between different alphaviruses as well as comparisons of this group of viruses with other animal and plant viruses. Full-length cDNA clones from which infectious RNA can be recovered have been constructed for four alphaviruses; these clones have facilitated many molecular genetic studies as well as the development of these viruses as expression vectors. From these and studies involving biochemical approaches, many details of the replication cycle of the alphaviruses are known. The interactions of the viruses with host cells and host organisms have been exclusively studied, and the molecular basis of virulence and recovery from viral infection have been addressed in a large number of recent papers. The structure of the viruses has been determined to about 2.5 nm, making them the best-characterized enveloped virus to date. Because of the wealth of data that has appeared, these viruses represent a well-characterized system that tell us much about the evolution of RNA viruses, their replication, and their interactions with their hosts. This review summarizes our current knowledge of this group of viruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- J H Strauss
- Division of Biology, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena 91125
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Hawkes RA, Boughton CR, Naim HM, Stallman ND. A major outbreak of epidemic polyarthritis in New South Wales during the summer of 1983/1984. Med J Aust 1985; 143:330-3. [PMID: 4046944 DOI: 10.5694/j.1326-5377.1985.tb123054.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
A large outbreak of epidemic polyarthritis (EPA) caused by Ross River virus (RRV) occurred in New South Wales in the summer of 1983/1984. The total number of cases was unknown, but 1196 cases were confirmed by laboratory tests. Most patients came from the area west of the dividing range, with especially large numbers in the Murrumbidgee irrigation area. Cases were reported from October 1983 to June 1984, with 60% of cases occurring in January and February. The seasonal pattern was similar throughout the state. Men and women were affected in approximately equal numbers, with the highest frequencies in the 30-39 years' age group. Clinical illness was uncommon in young children. Based on a detailed study of 118 patients from Griffith, arthralgia, lethargy, rash and headache were the most common symptoms. The average period of incapacity (defined as inability to resume normal duties) was about six weeks. On this basis, the cost of the epidemic was estimated at about $3 million. There were 257 cases of EPA in the Griffith Shire and it was calculated that approximately 340 RRV infections occurred in the shire. The implication is that, in this outbreak, most RRV infections resulted in clinical illness.
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Abstract
Information concerning their clinical illness was obtained by self-administered questionnaire from 528 patients who suffered from epidemic polyarthritis in Australia during 1980 and 1981. The clear and uniform clinical picture which has emerged from this study should facilitate the diagnosis of this disease. The illness begins suddenly with the onset of acute aching in the muscles and joints, followed by a maculopapular rash in between 40% and 78% of patients, and extensive polyarthritis. This affects chiefly the ankles, fingers, knees and wrists, usually serially, but no joint is spared. Estimates of incubation time suggest that it ranges from three to 21 days (mean, nine days). Women, especially housewives, are the group most frequently affected. Exposure to mosquitoes is an important predisposing factor; the implications of this for prevention and future research are considered. The mechanism of the survival of the virus in nature remains poorly understood.
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