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Rudgard WE, Saminathen MG, Orkin M, Banougnin BH, Shenderovich Y, Toska E. Protective factors for adolescent sexual risk behaviours and experiences linked to HIV infection in South Africa: a three-wave longitudinal analysis of caregiving, education, food security, and social protection. BMC Public Health 2023; 23:1452. [PMID: 37516833 PMCID: PMC10386676 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-023-16373-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2022] [Accepted: 07/18/2023] [Indexed: 07/31/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Structural interventions are endorsed to enhance biomedical and behavioural HIV prevention programmes for adolescents. Aiming to inform future interventions, we evaluated longitudinal associations between six protective factors that link closely to existing structural HIV prevention interventions, and five sexual risk behaviours for HIV transmission in a cohort of adolescents in South Africa. METHODS We used three rounds of data between 2014-2018 on 1046 adolescents living with HIV and 473 age-matched community peers in South Africa's Eastern Cape (Observations = 4402). We estimated sex-specific associations between six time-varying protective factors - number of social grants, education enrolment, days with enough food, caregiver supervision, positive caregiving, and adolescent-caregiver communication; and five HIV risk behaviours - multiple sexual partners, transactional sex, age-disparate sex, condomless sex, and sex on substances. HIV risk behaviours were analysed separately in multivariable random effects within-between logistic regression models that accounted for correlation of repeated observations on the same individual. We calculated prevalence ratios (PR), contrasting adjusted probabilities of HIV risk behaviours at 'No' and 'Yes' for education enrolment, and average and maximum values for the other five protective factors. RESULTS The sample mean age was 15.29 (SD: 3.23) years and 58% were girls. Among girls, within-individuals, increases from mean to maximum scores in positive caregiving were associated with lower probability of transactional sex (PR = 0.79; 95%CI = 0.67-0.91); in caregiver supervision were associated with lower probability of transactional sex (PR = 0.75; 95%CI = 0.66-0.84), and age-disparate sex (PR = 0.84; 95%CI = 0.73-0.95); in adolescent-caregiver communication were associated with higher probability of transactional sex (PR = 1.70; 95%CI = 1.08-2.32); and in days with enough food at home were associated with lower probability of multiple sexual partners (PR = 0.89; 95%CI = 0.81-0.97), and transactional sex (PR = 0.82; 95%CI = 0.72-0.92). Change from non-enrolment in education to enrolment was associated with lower probability of age-disparate sex (PR = 0.49; 95%CI = 0.26-0.73). Between-individuals, relative to mean caregiver supervision scores, maximum scores were associated with lower probability of multiple sexual partners (PR = 0.59; 95%CI = 0.46-0.72), condomless sex (PR = 0.80; 95%CI = 0.69-0.91), and sex on substances (PR = 0.42; 95%CI = 0.26-0.59); and relative to non-enrolment, education enrolment was associated with lower probability of condomless sex (PR = 0.59; 95%CI = 0.39-0.78). Among boys, within-individuals, increases from mean to maximum scores in positive caregiving were associated with lower probability of transactional sex (PR = 0.77; 95%CI = 0.59-0.96), and higher probability of condomless sex (PR = 1.26; 95%CI = 1.08-1.43); in caregiver supervision were associated with lower probability of multiple sexual partners (PR = 0.73; 95%CI = 0.64-0.82), transactional sex (PR = 0.63; 95%CI = 0.50-0.76), age-disparate sex (PR = 0.67; 95%CI = 0.49-0.85), and sex on substances (PR = 0.61; 95%CI = 0.45-0.78), and in days with enough food at home were associated with lower probability of transactional sex (PR = 0.91; 95%CI = 0.84-0.98). CONCLUSION Effective structural interventions to improve food security and education enrolment among adolescent girls, and positive and supervisory caregiving among adolescent girls and boys are likely to translate into crucial reductions in sexual risk behaviours linked to HIV transmission in this population.
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Affiliation(s)
- William E Rudgard
- Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2ER, UK.
- Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
| | | | - Mark Orkin
- MRC/Wits Development Pathways to Health Research Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Yulia Shenderovich
- Wolfson Centre for Young People's Mental Health, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
- Centre for the Development and Evaluation of Complex Interventions for Public Health Improvement (DECIPHer), School of Social Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | - Elona Toska
- Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2ER, UK
- Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Department of Sociology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Cluver L, Rudgard WE, Toska E, Orkin M, Ibrahim M, Langwenya N, Kuo C, Xaba N, Roehm K, Smith M, Bernardini S, Giordana G, Mumma M, Kingori J, Yates R, Sherr L. Food security reduces multiple HIV infection risks for high-vulnerability adolescent mothers and non-mothers in South Africa: a cross-sectional study. J Int AIDS Soc 2022; 25:e25928. [PMID: 36008916 PMCID: PMC9411725 DOI: 10.1002/jia2.25928] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Adolescent girls and young women, including adolescent mothers, in Southern Africa have high HIV seroconversion and transmission. We need to know which risks drive HIV infections, and what can reduce these risks. METHODS We interviewed 1712 adolescent girls and young women (11-23 years), including 1024 adolescent mothers who had conceived before age 20 and had a living child, from two health municipalities of South Africa's Eastern Cape Province between March 2018 and July 2019. Recruitment was through multiple community, school and health facility channels. Associations between adolescent motherhood and seven HIV risk behaviours (multiple sexual partners, transactional sex, age-disparate sex, condomless sex, sex on substances, alcohol use and not in education or employment) were investigated using the generalized estimating equations method for multiple outcomes specified with a logit link and adjusting for nine covariates. Using the same model, we investigated associations between having enough food at home every day in the past week (food security) and the same seven HIV risk behaviours. When we found evidence of moderation by HIV status, we report stratum-specific odds ratios. RESULTS Mean age was 17.51 years (SD: 2.54), 46% participants were living with HIV. Compared to non-mothers, adolescent mothers had lower odds of alcohol use (AOR = 0.47, 95% CI = 0.29-0.75), but higher odds of multiple sexual partners (AOR = 1.93, 95% CI = 1.35-2.74), age-disparate sex (HIV-uninfected AOR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.03-2.91; living with HIV AOR = 5.10, 95% CI = 2.98-8.73), condomless sex (AOR = 8.20, 95% CI = 6.03-11.13), sex on substances (AOR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.10-3.21) and not in education/employment (HIV-uninfected AOR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.19-2.83; living with HIV AOR = 6.30, 95% CI = 4.09-9.69). Among non-mothers, food security was associated with lower odds of multiple sexual partners (AOR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.26-0.78), transactional sex (AOR = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.13-0.82) and not in education/employment (AOR = 0.48, 95% CI = 0.29-0.77). Among adolescent mothers, food security was associated with lower odds of transactional sex (AOR = 0.17, 95% CI = 0.10-0.28), age-disparate sex (AOR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.47-0.92), sex on substances (AOR = 0.51, 95% CI = 0.32-0.82), alcohol use (AOR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.25-0.79) and not in education/employment (AOR = 0.56, 95% CI = 0.40-0.78). CONCLUSIONS Adolescent motherhood is associated with multiple vulnerabilities to HIV infection and transmission. Social protection measures that increase food security are likely to reduce HIV risk pathways for adolescent girls and young women, especially adolescent mothers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucie Cluver
- Department of Social Policy and InterventionUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
- Department of Psychiatry and Mental HealthUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - William E. Rudgard
- Department of Social Policy and InterventionUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - Elona Toska
- Department of Social Policy and InterventionUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
- Centre for Social Science ResearchUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Mark Orkin
- Department of Social Policy and InterventionUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
- Medical Research Council Development Pathways to Health Research Unit, School of Clinical MedicineUniversity of the WitwatersrandJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Mona Ibrahim
- Department of Social Policy and InterventionUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | | | - Caroline Kuo
- Department of Behavioral and Social Sciences, School of Public HealthBrown UniversityProvidenceRhode IslandUSA
| | - Nonhlanhla Xaba
- UN World Food Programme, Regional Bureau for Southern AfricaJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Kai Roehm
- UN World Food Programme, Regional Bureau for Southern AfricaJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | | | | | - Giovanni Giordana
- UN World Food ProgrammeRegional Bureau for Eastern AfricaNairobiKenya
| | - Manaan Mumma
- UN World Food ProgrammeRegional Bureau for Eastern AfricaNairobiKenya
| | - James Kingori
- UN World Food Programme, Regional Bureau for Southern AfricaJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Rachel Yates
- Department of Social Policy and InterventionUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - Lorraine Sherr
- Health Psychology Unit, Institute of Global HealthUniversity College LondonLondonUK
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Saul J, Toiv N, Cooney C, Beamon T, Borgman M, Bachman G, Akom E, Benevides R, Limb A, Sato K, Achrekar A, Birx D. The evolution of DREAMS: using data for continuous program improvement. AIDS 2022; 36:S5-S14. [PMID: 35766571 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000003158] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
The DREAMS (Determined, Resilient, Empowered, AIDS-Free, Mentored, and Safe) Partnership, a public-private partnership launched by the United States President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), represents the largest investment in comprehensive HIV prevention for adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) ever made in a single global initiative. This paper describes the evolution of programming over time using the triangulation of multiple data sources to develop and refine an impactful program, as well as to improve efficacy and resource investment. Methods of analysis used to evolve this programming include reviews of literature on behavioral, biomedical and structural interventions, and HIV vulnerability; PEPFAR program data; external implementation science and impact studies;observations from site visits; in-depth reviews of program materials; and inputs from AGYW and other stakeholders. Key program improvements made in response to this real-time data use are described, including the rationale for programmatic changes and the evidence base for continual program refinements. This review emphasizes the importance and process of implementing the most effective combination of structural and biomedical HIV prevention programming, based on the best available science, while also adapting to local context in a way that does not compromise effectiveness or violate core implementation principles. Data from research and evaluation are critical to move the HIV prevention field toward more impactful and efficient programming responsive to the lived realities of AGYW. A central tenant to using these data sources effectively is the inclusion of AGYW in decision-making throughout the planning and implementation of programming.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janet Saul
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Nora Toiv
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Caroline Cooney
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Ta'Adhmeeka Beamon
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Mary Borgman
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Gretchen Bachman
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Eniko Akom
- U.S. Military HIV Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Regina Benevides
- Division of Global HIV and TB, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | | | - Kimi Sato
- Office of Global Health and HIV, Peace Corps, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
| | - Angeli Achrekar
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Deborah Birx
- Office of the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and Health Diplomacy, Department of State, Washington, District of Columbia
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Khumalo GE, Ntuli S, Lutge E, Mashamba-Thompson TP. Geo-analysis: the distribution of community health workers in relation to the HIV prevalence in KwaZulu-Natal province, South Africa. BMC Health Serv Res 2022; 22:326. [PMID: 35277152 PMCID: PMC8915516 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-022-07707-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2021] [Accepted: 02/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The South African Ward Based Primary Health Care Outreach Team (WBPHCOT) policy framework states that the distribution of community health workers (CHWs) should be proportional to levels of poverty and disease within the population. We aimed to describe the spatial distribution of CHWs in relation to the prevalence of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) which has itself been associated with poverty in previous studies. Methods This was a descriptive, cross-sectional study in which secondary data was used for geospatial analysis. Based on the extrapolation from the norm of one WBPHCOT per 6000 individuals, we utilized geographic information system (GIS) methods to visualize the distribution of CHWs in relation to the prevalence of HIV in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN). Dot density mapping was used to visualize the random distribution of CHWs in relation to HIV prevalence and population in the districts. The districts’ HIV prevalence, number of PLWH, ratio of CHW: people living with HIV (PLWH), ratio of CHW: population and poverty scores were mapped using choropleth mapping. MapInfo Pro 17.0 was used to map geospatial presentation of the data. Results Overall, KZN province showed under allocation of CHWs with a CHW: people ratio of 1: 1156 compared to the estimated norm of 1: 600–1000. At district level, only two of 11 districts met the suggested norm of CHW: PLWH (1: 109–181). This indicates shortages and misallocation of CHWs in the nine remaining districts. Furthermore, our findings showed extensive geospatial heterogeneity with no clear pattern in the distribution of CHWs. There was no relationship between CHW distribution and HIV prevalence or poverty scores in the districts. Conclusion This study shows inequality in the distribution of CHWs which may be associated with inequalities in the provision of HIV related services. It is critical to strengthen the response to the HIV epidemic through the appropriate distribution of CHWs especially in those districts with high levels of HIV prevalence and poverty.
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Hertzog L, Banougnin BH, Stöckl H, Toska E. Accelerating ontological security for South African adolescents living in high HIV-prevalence areas: a longitudinal study. PSYCHOL HEALTH MED 2022; 27:27-48. [PMID: 35929899 PMCID: PMC9729385 DOI: 10.1080/13548506.2022.2108079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Ontological security is the personal need to build fundamental certainty about the continuity of life events. It is central to long-term human development, particularly among adolescents in highly vulnerable communities in South Africa. We examined the cumulative effects of eight hypothesised provisions (development accelerators) in reducing the risks of ontological insecurity outcomes aligned with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) targets. Three waves of survey data from adolescents living in high HIV prevalence areas in South Africa were analysed. We used standardised tools to measure twelve outcomes linked to two dimensions of ontological security: mental health and violence. Sustained receipt (at baseline and follow-ups) of eight hypothesised accelerators were examined: emotional and social support, parental/caregiver monitoring, food sufficiency, accessible health care, government cash transfers to households, basic economic security, positive parenting/caregiving, and participation in extramural activities. Associations of all accelerators with outcomes were evaluated using multivariable regressions controlling for age, sex, orphanhood and HIV status, rural/urban location, and informal housing. Cumulative effects were tested using marginal effects modelling. Of 1,519 adolescents interviewed at baseline, 1,353 (89%) completed the interviews at two follow-ups. Mean age was 13.8 at baseline; 56.6% were female. Four provisions were associated with reductions in twelve outcomes. Combinations of accelerators resulted in a percentage reduction risk in individual indicators up to 18.3%. Emotional and social support, parental/caregiver monitoring, food sufficiency and accessible health care by themselves and in combination showed cumulative reductions across twelve outcomes. These results deepen an essential understanding of the long-term effects of consistent exposure to accelerators on multi-dimensional human development. They could be directly implemented by existing evidence-based interventions such as peer-based psychosocial support, parenting programmes, adolescent-responsive healthcare and food support, providing safer and healthier environments for South African adolescents to thrive.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucas Hertzog
- Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Heidi Stöckl
- Institute of Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Elona Toska
- Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Social Policy and Intervention, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom,Department of Sociology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Shenderovich Y, Boyes M, Esposti MD, Casale M, Toska E, Roberts KJ, Cluver L. Relationships with caregivers and mental health outcomes among adolescents living with HIV: a prospective cohort study in South Africa. BMC Public Health 2021; 21:172. [PMID: 33472607 PMCID: PMC7816135 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-020-10147-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2020] [Accepted: 12/28/2020] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mental health problems may impact adherence to anti-retroviral treatment, retention in care, and consequently the survival of adolescents living with HIV. The adolescent-caregiver relationship is an important potential source of resilience. However, there is a lack of longitudinal research in sub-Saharan Africa on which aspects of adolescent-caregiver relationships can promote mental health among adolescents living with HIV. We draw on a prospective longitudinal cohort study undertaken in South Africa to address this question. METHODS The study traced adolescents aged 10-19 initiated on antiretroviral treatment in government health facilities (n = 53) within a health district of the Eastern Cape province. The adolescents completed standardised questionnaires during three data collection waves between 2014 and 2018. We used within-between multilevel regressions to examine the links between three aspects of adolescent-caregiver relationships (caregiver supervision, positive caregiving, and adolescent-caregiver communication) and adolescent mental health (depression symptoms and anxiety symptoms), controlling for potential confounders (age, sex, rural/urban residence, mode of infection, household resources), n=926 adolescents. RESULTS Improvements in caregiver supervision were associated with reductions in anxiety (0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99, p=0.0002) but not depression symptoms (0.99, 95% CI 0.98-1.00, p=.151), while changes in positive caregiving were not associated with changes in mental health symptoms reported by adolescents. Improvements in adolescent-caregiver communication over time were associated with reductions in both depression (IRR=0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.97, p<.0001) and anxiety (0.91, 95% CI 0.89-0.94, p<.0001) symptoms reported by adolescents. CONCLUSIONS Findings highlight open and supportive adolescent-caregiver communication and good caregiver supervision as potential factors for guarding against mental health problems among adolescents living with HIV in South Africa. Several evidence-informed parenting programmes aim to improve adolescent-caregiver communication and caregiver supervision, and their effect on depression and anxiety among adolescents living with HIV should be rigorously tested in sub-Saharan Africa. How to improve communication in other settings, such as schools and clinics, and provide communication support for caregivers, adolescents, and service providers through these existing services should also be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yulia Shenderovich
- Centre for Evidence-Based Intervention, Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Mark Boyes
- School of Psychology, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia
| | - Michelle Degli Esposti
- Centre for Evidence-Based Intervention, Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Marisa Casale
- Centre for Evidence-Based Intervention, Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- School of Public Health, University of the Western Cape, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Elona Toska
- Centre for Evidence-Based Intervention, Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Department of Sociology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Lucie Cluver
- Centre for Evidence-Based Intervention, Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Department of Psychiatry and Mental Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Cluver LD, Rudgard WE, Toska E, Zhou S, Campeau L, Shenderovich Y, Orkin M, Desmond C, Butchart A, Taylor H, Meinck F, Sherr L. Violence prevention accelerators for children and adolescents in South Africa: A path analysis using two pooled cohorts. PLoS Med 2020; 17:e1003383. [PMID: 33166288 PMCID: PMC7652294 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2020] [Accepted: 09/18/2020] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The INSPIRE framework was developed by 10 global agencies as the first global package for preventing and responding to violence against children. The framework includes seven complementary strategies. Delivering all seven strategies is a challenge in resource-limited contexts. Consequently, governments are requesting additional evidence to inform which 'accelerator' provisions can simultaneously reduce multiple types of violence against children. METHODS AND FINDINGS We pooled data from two prospective South African adolescent cohorts including Young Carers (2010-2012) and Mzantsi Wakho (2014-2017). The combined sample size was 5,034 adolescents. Each cohort measured six self-reported violence outcomes (sexual abuse, transactional sexual exploitation, physical abuse, emotional abuse, community violence victimisation, and youth lawbreaking) and seven self-reported INSPIRE-aligned protective factors (positive parenting, parental monitoring and supervision, food security at home, basic economic security at home, free schooling, free school meals, and abuse response services). Associations between hypothesised protective factors and violence outcomes were estimated jointly in a sex-stratified multivariate path model, controlling for baseline outcomes and socio-demographics and correcting for multiple-hypothesis testing using the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. We calculated adjusted probability estimates conditional on the presence of no, one, or all protective factors significantly associated with reduced odds of at least three forms of violence in the path model. Adjusted risk differences (ARDs) and adjusted risk ratios (ARRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also calculated. The sample mean age was 13.54 years, and 56.62% were female. There was 4% loss to follow-up. Positive parenting, parental monitoring and supervision, and food security at home were each associated with lower odds of three or more violence outcomes (p < 0.05). For girls, the adjusted probability of violence outcomes was estimated to be lower if all three of these factors were present, as compared to none of them: sexual abuse, 5.38% and 1.64% (ARD: -3.74% points, 95% CI -5.31 to -2.16, p < 0.001); transactional sexual exploitation, 10.07% and 4.84% (ARD: -5.23% points, 95% CI -7.26 to -3.20, p < 0.001); physical abuse, 38.58% and 23.85% (ARD: -14.72% points, 95% CI -19.11 to -10.33, p < 0.001); emotional abuse, 25.39% and 12.98% (ARD: -12.41% points, 95% CI -16.00 to -8.83, p < 0.001); community violence victimisation, 36.25% and 28.37% (ARD: -7.87% points, 95% CI -11.98 to -3.76, p < 0.001); and youth lawbreaking, 18.90% and 11.61% (ARD: -7.30% points, 95% CI -10.50 to -4.09, p < 0.001). For boys, the adjusted probability of violence outcomes was also estimated to be lower if all three factors were present, as compared to none of them: sexual abuse, 2.39% to 1.80% (ARD: -0.59% points, 95% CI -2.24 to 1.05, p = 0.482); transactional sexual exploitation, 6.97% to 4.55% (ARD: -2.42% points, 95% CI -4.77 to -0.08, p = 0.043); physical abuse from 37.19% to 25.44% (ARD: -11.74% points, 95% CI -16.91 to -6.58, p < 0.001); emotional abuse from 23.72% to 10.72% (ARD: -13.00% points, 95% CI -17.04 to -8.95, p < 0.001); community violence victimisation from 41.28% to 35.41% (ARD: -5.87% points, 95% CI -10.98 to -0.75, p = 0.025); and youth lawbreaking from 22.44% to 14.98% (ARD -7.46% points, 95% CI -11.57 to -3.35, p < 0.001). Key limitations were risk of residual confounding and not having information on protective factors related to all seven INSPIRE strategies. CONCLUSION In this cohort study, we found that positive and supervisory caregiving and food security at home are associated with reduced risk of multiple forms of violence against children. The presence of all three of these factors may be linked to greater risk reduction as compared to the presence of one or none of these factors. Policies promoting action on positive and supervisory caregiving and food security at home are likely to support further efficiencies in the delivery of INSPIRE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucie D. Cluver
- Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
- Department of Psychiatry and Mental Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - William E. Rudgard
- Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Elona Toska
- Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Siyanai Zhou
- Department of Statistics and AIDS and Society Research Unit, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Yulia Shenderovich
- Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Mark Orkin
- Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
- Medical Research Council Development Pathways to Health Research Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Chris Desmond
- Centre for Rural Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Alexander Butchart
- Violence Prevention Unit, Social Determinant of Health, Healthier Populations Division, World Health Organization, Switzerland
| | - Howard Taylor
- Global Partnership to End Violence Against Children, New York, New York, United States of America
| | - Franziska Meinck
- OPTENTIA Faculty of Health Sciences, North-West University, South Africa
- School of Social and Political Science, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Lorraine Sherr
- Health Psychology Unit, Institute of Global Health, University College London, United Kingdom
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