Lung Function Trajectories Leading to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease as Predictors of Exacerbations and Mortality

Normal Lung Function and Mortality in World Trade Center Responders and National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III Participants

Rationale: Low FEV1 is a biomarker of increased mortality. The association of normal lung function and mortality is not well described. Objectives: To evaluate the FEV1-mortality association among participants with normal lung function. Methods: A total of 10,999 Fire Department of the City of New York (FDNY) responders and 10,901 Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) participants, aged 18-65 years with FEV1 ⩾80% predicted, were analyzed, with FEV1 percent predicted calculated using Global Lung Function Initiative Global race-neutral reference equations. Mortality data were obtained from linkages to the National Death Index. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the association between FEV1 and all-cause mortality, controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking history, and, for FDNY, work assignment. Cohorts were followed for a maximum of 20.3 years. Measurements and Main Results: We observed 504 deaths (4.6%) of 10,999 for FDNY and 1,237 deaths (9.4% [weighted]) of 10,901 for NHANES III. Relative to FEV1 ⩾120% predicted, mortality was significantly higher for FEV1 100-109%, 90-99%, and 80-89% predicted in the FDNY cohort. In the NHANES III cohort, mortality was significantly higher for FEV1 90-99% and 80-89% predicted. Each 10% higher predicted FEV1 was associated with 15% (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.91) and 23% (hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.84) lower mortality for FDNY and NHANES III, respectively. Conclusions: In both cohorts, higher FEV1 is associated with lower mortality, suggesting higher FEV1 is a biomarker of better health. These findings demonstrate that a single cross-sectional measurement of FEV1 is predictive of mortality over two decades, even when FEV1 is in the normal range.

[Take-home messages from the 2nd COPD 2023 Biennial of the French Society of Respiratory Diseases. Placing the patient at the center of the care pathway]

INTRODUCTION

The second COPD Biennial organized by the COPD working group of the French Society of Respiratory Diseases took place in Paris (Cochin) on 13th December 2023.

STATE OF THE ART

Major trends in 2023 were discussed; they encompassed concepts, definitions, biologics, care pathways, pulmonary rehabilitation and complex situations entailed by respiratory infections, cardiovascular comorbidities and pulmonary hypertension, and modalities of oxygen therapy and ventilation.

PERSPECTIVES

The different talks underlined major changes in COPD including the concepts of pre-COPD, etiotypes, health trajectories and new definitions of exacerbation. Recent results in biologics for COPD open the door to new pharmacological options. Assessment of current care pathways in France highlighted some causes for concern. For example, pulmonary rehabilitation is a key but insufficiently practiced element. Respiratory infections require careful assessment and treatments. Diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular comorbidities and pulmonary hypertension are of paramount importance. As of late, oxygen therapy and ventilation modalities have evolved, and are beginning to afford more personalized options.

CONCLUSIONS

As regards COPD, a personalized approach is crucial, placing the patient at the center of the care pathway and facilitating coordination between healthcare providers.

Lung-function trajectories: relevance and implementation in clinical practice

Lung development starts in utero and continues during childhood through to adolescence, reaching its peak in early adulthood. This growth is followed by gradual decline due to physiological lung ageing. Lung-function development can be altered by several host and environmental factors during the life course. As a result, a range of lung-function trajectories exist in the population. Below average trajectories are associated with respiratory, cardiovascular, metabolic, and mental health comorbidities, as well as with premature death. This Review presents progressive research into lung-function trajectories and assists the implementation of this knowledge in clinical practice as an innovative approach to detect poor lung health early, monitor respiratory disease progression, and promote lung health. Specifically, we propose that, similar to paediatric height and weight charts used globally to monitor children's growth, lung-function charts could be used for both children and adults to monitor lung health status across the life course. To achieve this proposal, we introduce our free online Lung Function Tracker tool. Finally, we discuss challenges and opportunities for effective implementation of the trajectory concept at population level and outline an agenda for crucial research needed to support such implementation.

Selected updates on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is preventable disease and yet it remains the third greatest cause of death worldwide. This review focuses on recent updates in COPD research which have had an impact on our understanding of the epidemiology and pathophysiology of COPD.

RECENT FINDINGS

Epidemiological studies of COPD have moved towards trying to understand the global impact of COPD particularly in low- and middle-income countries where disease prevalence continues to increase. In addition, we are beginning to uncover the impact of air pollution on COPD development with recent work showing a relationship between air pollution and COPD exacerbations. Advances in understanding early origins and early development of COPD have the potential to intervene earlier in the disease course to prevent disease progression. Although biomarkers such as peripheral blood eosinophilia have led to trials of biologic agents in COPD suggesting we may be entering an exciting new biologic era in COPD.

SUMMARY

Recent advances suggest there may be a relationship between air pollution and COPD exacerbations. This requires further research to influence environmental policy. New clinical trials of biologics targeting TH2 inflammation in COPD suggest that targeted treatments with biologics may be a possibility COPD.

Sociodemographic correlates with prevalence of comorbidities in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a study from a Chinese National Survey

Background

An increase in the prevalence of comorbidities has been reported in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, contemporary estimates of the overall prevalence of the sociodemographic correlates of COPD comorbidities are scarce and inconsistent in China. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of sociodemographic correlates of comorbidities in patients with COPD across China.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional study. We used data from the Enjoying Breathing Program between May 2020 and April 2022. Participants with COPD from 17 provinces (or equivalent) were included. Comorbidity clusters were stratified based on the number of comorbidities per person. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to determine the sociodemographic associations of patients with COPD with specific clusters of comorbidities after adjusting for age, sex, and other prespecified covariates. Tetrachoric correlation analyses were performed to determine the associations between specific comorbidities.

Findings

A total of 3913 participants with COPD were included, of whom 1744 (44.7%) had at least one comorbidity; 25.4% had one comorbid disease, 12.9% had two, and 6.4% had three or more concurrent diseases. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (17.8%), asthma (9.9%), bronchiectasis (8.2%), diabetes (8.2%), and coronary artery disease (7.7%). In the logistic regression models adjusted for a broad set of factors, patients with COPD residing in the east region of China and having health insurance experienced a decreased likelihood of comorbidities (from OR = 0.70 [95% confidence interval [CI], 0.53-0.93] to OR = 0.50 [95% CI, 0.25-0.99]). However, patients over 80 years had increased risk (OR 1.43 [95% CI 1.01-2.03]), as did those in all Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) grade categories (grade 1: OR = 1.30 [95% CI, 1.02-1.65]; grade 2: OR = 1.39 [95% CI, 1.07-1.8]; grade 3: OR = 1.67 [95% CI, 1.23-2.26]; and grade 4: OR = 1.81 [95% CI, 1.00-3.28]) and in Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2 classification (OR = 1.30 [95% CI, 1.03-1.65]) relative to their respective references. The associations observed in these subgroups were consistent regardless of the number of comorbidities per person. Tetrachoric correlations demonstrated negative associations in pairwise comparisons of the top five comorbidities, ranging from -0.03 to -0.31 (p < 0.001 in all groups).

Interpretation

In China, comorbidities are highly prevalent among patients with COPD, with older age, higher mMRC grade, and lung function decline being the major risk factors. Studies with larger sample sizes are required to elucidate the complex mechanisms underlying COPD comorbidities.

Funding

This study was funded by CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS) (2021-I2M-1-049 and 2022-I2M-C&T-B-107).

Longitudinal association of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and genetic risk with lung function

To quantify the association of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and the polygenic risk score (PRS) with lung function decline, we developed a repeated-measures study with 4681 observations from baseline and 6-year follow-up of the Wuhan-Zhuhai cohort. Lung function and urinary monohydroxylated PAH metabolites (OH-PAHs) were measured for each observation. The PRS was derived from 246 lung function-associated genetic variants weighted by the effect size of the decreasing ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 s by forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC). Linear mixed models were used to estimate the longitudinal exposure-response relationships between OH-PAHs and lung function, and to evaluate the interactions between OH-PAHs and PRS on the longitudinal change of lung function. We found that each 1-unit increase in log-transformed values of 9-hydroxyfluorene, 2-hydroxyfluorene, 4-hydroxyphenanthrene, 9-hydroxyphenanthrene, 2-hydroxyphenanthrene, 1-hydroxyphenanthrene, 1-hydroxypyrene, low molecular weight OH-PAHs (ΣLMW-OH-PAHs), and total OH-PAHs (ΣOH-PAHs) was associated with an annual change in FEV1/FVC of -0.140, -0.112, -0.260, -0.300, -0.159, -0.220, -0.145, -0.156, and -0.177 %/year, respectively. Interactions on the annual decline of FEV1/FVC were detected between ΣLMW-OH-PAHs and PRS (-0.010 %/year, 95% confidence interval -0.018 to -0.001, Pint = 0.0228), and between ΣOH-PAHs and PRS (-0.010 %/year, -0.018 to -0.001, Pint = 0.0203). These results indicated that specific and total urinary OH-PAHs were associated with the longitudinal FEV1/FVC decline, and ΣLMW-OH-PAHs as well as ΣOH-PAHs interacted with PRS on the annual decline of FEV1/FVC.

Association of Preoperative Lung Function with Complications after Lobectomy Using Race-Neutral and Race-Specific Normative Equations

Rationale: Pulmonary function testing (PFT) is performed to aid patient selection before surgical resection for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The interpretation of PFT data relies on normative equations, which vary by race, but the relative strength of association of lung function using race-specific or race-neutral normative equations with postoperative pulmonary complications is unknown. Objectives: To compare the strength of association of lung function, using race-neutral or race-specific equations, with surgical complications after lobectomy for NSCLC. Methods: We studied 3,311 patients who underwent lobectomy for NSCLC and underwent preoperative PFT from 2001 to 2021. We used Global Lung Function Initiative equations to generate race-specific and race-neutral normative equations to calculate percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1%). The primary outcome of interest was the occurrence of postoperative pulmonary complications within 30 days of surgery. We used unadjusted and race-adjusted logistic regression models and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analyses adjusted for relevant comorbidities to measure the association of race-specific and race-neutral FEV1% with pulmonary complications. Results: Thirty-one percent of patients who underwent surgery experienced pulmonary complications. Higher FEV1, whether measured with race-neutral (odds ratio [OR], 0.98 per 1% change in FEV1% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.98-0.99]; P < 0.001) or race-specific (OR, 0.98 per 1% change in FEV1% [95% CI, 0.98-0.98]; P < 0.001) normative equations, was associated with fewer postoperative pulmonary complications. The area under the receiver operator curve for pulmonary complications was similar for race-adjusted race-neutral (0.60) and race-specific (0.60) models. Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, higher FEV1% was similarly associated with a lower rate of pulmonary complications in race-neutral (OR, 0.99 per 1% [95% CI, 0.98-0.99]) and race-specific (OR, 0.99 per 1%; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99) models. The marginal effect of race on pulmonary complications was attenuated in all race-specific models compared with all race-neutral models. Conclusions: The choice of race-specific or race-neutral normative PFT equations does not meaningfully affect the association of lung function with pulmonary complications after lobectomy for NSCLC, but the use of race-neutral equations unmasks additional effects of self-identified race on pulmonary complications.

Lung Function Trajectories and Associated Mortality among Adults with and without Airway Obstruction

Rationale: Spirometry is essential for diagnosis and assessment of prognosis in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Objectives: To identify FEV1 trajectories and their determinants on the basis of annual spirometry measurements among individuals with and without airway obstruction (AO) and to assess mortality in relation to trajectories. Methods: From 2002 through 2004, individuals with AO (FEV1/VC < 0.70, n = 993) and age- and sex-matched nonobstructive (NO) referents were recruited from population-based cohorts. Annual spirometry until 2014 was used in joint-survival latent-class mixed models to identify lung function trajectories. Mortality data were collected during 15 years of follow-up. Measurements and Main Results: Three trajectories were identified among the subjects with AO and two among the NO referents. Trajectory membership was driven by baseline FEV1% predicted (FEV1%pred) in both groups and also by pack-years in subjects with AO and current smoking in NO referents. Longitudinal FEV1%pred depended on baseline FEV1%pred, pack-years, and obesity. The trajectories were distributed as follows: among individuals with AO, 79.6% in AO trajectory 1 (FEV1 high with normal decline), 12.8% in AO trajectory 2 (FEV1 high with rapid decline), and 7.7% in AO trajectory 3 (FEV1 low with normal decline) (mean, 27, 72, and 26 ml/yr, respectively) and, among NO referents, 96.7% in NO trajectory 1 (FEV1 high with normal decline) and 3.3% in NO trajectory 2 (FEV1 high with rapid decline) (mean, 34 and 173 ml/yr, respectively). Hazard for death was increased for AO trajectories 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56) and 3 (HR, 3.45) versus AO trajectory 1 and for NO trajectory 2 (HR, 2.99) versus NO trajectory 1. Conclusions: Three different FEV1 trajectories were identified among subjects with AO and two among NO referents, with different outcomes in terms of FEV1 decline and mortality. The FEV1 trajectories among subjects with AO and the relationship between low FVC and trajectory outcome are of particular clinical interest.

Smoking exposure trajectories and pulmonary function in early adulthood in a Brazilian cohort

OBJECTIVES

To investigate smoking trajectories and their association with pulmonary function (PF) and respiratory symptoms at age 22.

METHODS

Data from a population-based cohort study of 3350 individuals and their spirometries were analysed. The outcomes were: forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), forced expiratory flow at the mid expiratory phase (FEF25-75 %), FEV1/FVC and FEF25-75/FVC ratio. Smoking data were collected at perinatal follow-up (gestational exposure) and 15, 18 and 22 years. Group-based trajectory model was applied.

RESULTS

Four groups were identified: no exposure (NE), gestational (GE), gestational and adulthood (GAE) and continuous (CE) exposure. Both CE and GAE trajectories were associated with lower values of FEV1/FVC (-1.77pp; p = 0.01 and -1.58 pp; p<0.001 respectively) and FEF25-75/FVC ratio (-7.27pp; p = 0.019 and -6.04pp; p<0.001 respectively) compared to the NE trajectory. Lower FEV1 and FEF25-75 % values were also related to the GAE trajectory (-68 ml; p = 0.03 and -253 ml/s;p<0.001 respectively). Compared to those who never smoked, individuals who smoked 10 or more cigarettes daily presented a reduction in the FEV1/FVC ratio by 1.37pp (p<0.001), FEF25-75 % by 126 ml (p = 0.012) and FEF25-75 %/FVC ratio by 3.62pp (p = 0.011). CE trajectory showed higher odds of wheezing (OR 4.14; p<0.001) and cough (OR 2.39; p = 0.002) compared to the non-exposed group.

CONCLUSIONS

The in-uterus exposure to maternal smoking reduces PF later in life. However, the perpetuation of smoking behaviour throughout adolescence and early adulthood is determinant for PF main reduction and the emergence of respiratory-related symptoms.

Regenerative and translational medicine in COPD: hype and hope

COPD is a common, preventable and usually progressive disease associated with an enhanced chronic inflammatory response in the airways and lung, generally caused by exposure to noxious particles and gases. It is a treatable disease characterised by persistent respiratory symptoms and airflow limitation due to abnormalities in the airways and/or alveoli. COPD is currently the third leading cause of death worldwide, representing a serious public health problem and a high social and economic burden. Despite significant advances, effective clinical treatments have not yet been achieved. In this scenario, cell-based therapies have emerged as potentially promising therapeutic approaches. However, there are only a few published studies of cell-based therapies in human patients with COPD and a small number of ongoing clinical trials registered on clinicaltrials.gov Despite the advances and interesting results, numerous doubts and questions remain about efficacy, mechanisms of action, culture conditions, doses, timing, route of administration and conditions related to homing and engraftment of the infused cells. This article presents the state of the art of cell-based therapy in COPD. Clinical trials that have already been completed and with published results are discussed in detail. We also discuss the questions that remain unanswered about cell-based regenerative and translational medicine for COPD.

Lung Function Decline in Young Adulthood and Coronary Artery Calcium Progression in Midlife

BACKGROUND

Reduced lung function has been linked to cardiovascular disease, but population-based evidence on the relationship between lung function decline and coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression is rare.

METHODS

A total of 2694 participants (44.7% men) with a mean ± standard deviation age of 40.4 ± 3.6 years from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) were included. The rates of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) and forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) over a 20-year period were calculated for each participant and categorized into quartiles. The primary outcome was CAC progression.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 8.9 years, 455 (16.9%) participants had CAC progression. After adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for CAC progression were higher for participants in the 2nd (Q2), 3rd (Q3), and highest quartiles (Q4) of FVC decline compared with those in the lowest quartile (Q1): 1.366 (1.003-1.861), 1.412 (1.035-1.927), and 1.789 (1.318-2.428), respectively. Similar trends were observed for the association between FEV1 and CAC progression. The association remained robust across a series of sensitivity analyses and all subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

A faster decline in FVC or FEV1 during young adulthood is independently associated with an increased risk of CAC progression in midlife. Maintaining optimal lung function during young adulthood may improve future cardiovascular health.

Association of Lung Function Decline with All-Cause and Cancer-Cause Mortality after World Trade Center Dust Exposure

Rationale: In numerous cohorts, lung function decline is associated with all-cause and cardiovascular-cause mortality, but the association between the decrease in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and cancer-cause mortality, particularly after occupational/environmental exposure(s), is unclear. Exposure to dust/smoke from the World Trade Center (WTC) disaster caused inflammation and lung injury in Fire Department of the City of New York rescue/recovery workers. In addition, prior research found that >10% of the cohort experienced greater than twice the age-related decrease in FEV1 (⩾64 ml/yr). Objectives: To evaluate the association of longitudinal lung function with all-cause and cancer-cause mortality after exposure to the WTC disaster. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study using longitudinal prebronchodilator FEV1 data for 12,264 WTC-exposed firefighters and emergency medical service providers. All-cause and cancer-cause mortality were ascertained using National Death Index data from September 12, 2001, through December 31, 2021. Joint longitudinal survival models evaluated the association of baseline FEV1 and change in FEV1 from baseline with all-cause and cancer-cause mortality adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, height, smoking, work assignment (firefighters vs. emergency medical service providers), and WTC exposure. Results: By December 31, 2021, 607 of the 12,264 individuals in the cohort (4.9%) had died (crude rate = 259.5 per 100,000 person-years), and 190 of 12,264 (1.5%) had died from cancer (crude rate = 81.2 per 100,000 person-years). Baseline FEV1 was ⩾80% predicted in 10,970 of the 12,264 (89.4%); final FEV1 was ⩾80% in 9,996 (81.5%). Lower FEV1 at baseline was associated with greater risk for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per liter = 2.32; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.98-2.72) and cancer-cause mortality (HR per liter = 1.99; 95% CI = 1.49-2.66). Longitudinally, each 100-ml/yr decrease in FEV1 was associated with an 11% increase in all-cause mortality (HR = 1.11; 95% CI = 1.06-1.15) and a 7% increase in cancer-cause mortality (HR = 1.07; 95% CI = 1.00-1.15). Compared with FEV1 decrease <64 ml/yr, those with FEV1 decrease ⩾64 ml/yr had higher all-cause (HR = 2.91; 95% CI = 2.37-3.56) and cancer-cause mortality (HR = 2.68; 95% CI = 1.90-3.79). Conclusions: Baseline FEV1 and longitudinal FEV1 decrease are associated with increased risk of all-cause and cancer-cause mortality in a previously healthy occupational cohort, the majority of whom had normal lung function, after intense exposure to dust/smoke. Further investigation is needed to define pathways by which lung function impacts mortality after an irritant exposure.

Analysis of the Comorbid Course of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

(1) Background. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has a heterogeneous natural history, manifested both in the variability of clinical features and in association with various comorbid pathologies. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is of great clinical importance and contributes significantly to the natural history and prognosis of COPD. The present study aimed to evaluate the nature of the comorbid course of COPD during a 15-year follow-up. (2) Methods: A total of 170 male COPD patients were included in this study. Spirometry values, symptom severity, presence of risk factors, and comorbidities were considered. Prognostic factors were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. (3) Results: ASCVD was the most common comorbidity and the main cause of death in patients with COPD. Patients with comorbid COPD and ASCVD had more severe dyspnea, higher frequency of COPD exacerbations, and worse survival than patients without ASCVD (p < 0.01). Among patients with COPD, the risk of death from ASCVD was higher in those older than 60 years (OR 3.23, 95% CI [1.72, 6.07]), those with rapidly declining FEV1 (OR 4.35, 95% CI [2.28, 8.30]), those with more than two exacerbations per year (OR 3.21, 95% CI [1.71, 6.11]), and those with a pack year index greater than 30 (OR 2.75, 95% CI [1.38, 5.51]. High Charlson comorbidity index scores in patients with COPD were associated with a more severe disease course, including severity of dyspnea, frequency of exacerbations, and multivariate index scores. A high Charlson comorbidity index score was an adverse prognostic factor. (4) Conclusions: ASCVD influences the course of the disease and is a major cause of mortality in COPD patients.

Predicting Lung Function Using Biomarkers in Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency

Lung disease progression in alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) is heterogenous and manifests in different ways. Blood biomarkers are an attractive method of monitoring diseases as they are easy to obtain and repeatable. In non-AATD COPD, blood biomarker panels have predicted disease severity, progression, and mortality. We measured a panel of seven serum biomarkers in 200 AATD patients and compared levels between those with COPD and those without. We assessed whether biomarkers were associated with baseline lung function parameters (FEV1 and TLco) or absolute change in these parameters. In total, 111 patients with a severely deficient genotype of AATD (PiZZ) and COPD were included in the analyses. Pearson's correlation coefficient was measured for biomarker correlations and models were compared using ANOVA. CRP and CCL18 were significantly higher in the serum of AATD COPD versus AATD with no COPD. Biomarkers were not predictive of cross-sectional lung function measurements, however, CC16 was significantly associated with an absolute change in TLco (p = 0.018). An addition of biomarkers to the predictive model for TLco added significant value over covariates alone (R2 0.13 vs. 0.02, p = 0.028). Our findings suggest that CC16 is predictive of emphysema progression in AATD COPD. Proteomics data may reveal alternative candidate biomarkers and further work should include the use of longitudinal biomarker measurements.

Atrial fibrillation and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: diagnostic sequence and mortality risk

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is present in 13% of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. In patients diagnosed with both AF and COPD, we aimed to assess overall mortality risk and its association with temporal sequence in AF and COPD diagnosis.

METHODS

This nationwide study assessed all patients aged 18-85 years diagnosed with both COPD and AF between 1999 and 2018 in Denmark. Three groups were defined according to the temporal sequence of diagnosis: COPD diagnosed at least 6 months before AF (COPD-First), AF diagnosed at least 6 months before COPD (AF-First) and COPD, and AF diagnosed within a 6-months' time frame (AF∼COPD).

RESULTS

We included 62 806 patients (75.0 years; 56.5% males). After 5 years of follow-up, 31 494 (50.1%) died. Mortality was highest in the COPD-First group (COPD-First: 52.8%; AF-First: 46.0%; AF∼COPD 50.6%). In a multivariable Cox-regression model adjusted for age, sex, type 2 diabetes, history of acute myocardial infarction, hypertension, heart failure, dyslipidemia, cancer, chronic kidney disease, and stroke, the AF∼COPD group (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.16-1.23; P < 0.001) and COPD-First group (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.27-1.33; P < 0.001) had a higher risk of death compared with the AF-First group. A restricted cubic spline analysis showed that the earlier the COPD was diagnosed, the worse is the prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Patients with concomitant AF and COPD had a very poor prognosis and the temporal sequence in diagnosis was differentially associated with prognosis, where a COPD diagnosis preceding an AF diagnosis was accompanied with a higher mortality risk compared with a COPD diagnosis following an AF diagnosis.

Plasticity of Individual Lung Function States from Childhood to Adulthood

Rationale: Recent evidence highlights the importance of optimal lung development during childhood for health throughout life. Objectives: To explore the plasticity of individual lung function states during childhood. Methods: Prebronchodilator FEV1 z-scores determined at age 8, 16, and 24 years in the Swedish population-based birth cohort BAMSE (Swedish abbreviation for Child [Barn], Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological study) (N = 3,069) were used. An unbiased, data-driven dependent mixture model was applied to explore lung function states and individual state chains. Lung function catch-up was defined as participants moving from low or very low states to normal or high or very high states, and growth failure as moving from normal or high or very high states to low or very low states. At 24 years, we compared respiratory symptoms, small airway function (multiple-breath washout), and circulating inflammatory protein levels, by using proteomics, across states. Models were replicated in the independent Dutch population-based PIAMA (Prevention and Incidence of Asthma and Mite Allergy) cohort. Measurements and Main Results: Five lung function states were identified in BAMSE. Lung function catch-up and growth failure were observed in 74 (14.5%) BAMSE participants with low or very low states and 36 (2.4%) participants with normal or high or very high states, respectively. The occurrence of catch-up and growth failure was replicated in PIAMA. Early-life risk factors were cumulatively associated with the very low state, as well as with catch-up (inverse association) and growth failure. The very low state as well as growth failure were associated with respiratory symptoms, airflow limitation, and small airway dysfunction at adulthood. Proteomics identified IL-6 and CXCL10 (C-X-C motif chemokine 10) as potential biomarkers of impaired lung function development. Conclusions: Individual lung function states during childhood are plastic, including catch-up and growth failure.

Lung Function in Children with Primary Ciliary Dyskinesia

BACKGROUND

Primary ciliary dyskinesia (PCD) is characterized by impaired mucociliary clearance that results in accumulation of mucus and bacteria in the airways. Lower respiratory tract infections lead to airway remodeling and lung function impairment. The aim of our narrative review is to discuss available data on lung function in PCD children, focusing on risk factors for lung function impairment.

METHODS

Relevant published studies searching MEDLINE/Pubmed are included in this narrative review, using these terms: "primary ciliary dyskinesia" and "pulmonary function test" or "spirometry" or "lung function". Filters were language (English) and age of study subjects (0-18 years).

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The majority of recent published studies showed normal spirometric values in PCD children, even if some authors described a pulmonary impairment. Together with spirometry, Lung Clearance Index has been applied for detecting peripheral airway disease, and it might have a role in early mild lung disease assessment. Studies on lung function trajectories after PCD diagnosis showed a significant heterogeneity, with some patients maintaining reasonably good lung function, whereas others showing a decline. Further studies are needed to analyze lung function prospectively from childhood into adulthood, and to evaluate whether lung function trajectories are affected by PCD clinical phenotype, ultrastructural ciliary defect or genetic background.

Risk of Rapid Lung Function Decline in Young Adults With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Community-Based Prospective Cohort Study

It is unclear whether young adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are at an increased risk of rapid lung function decline. A total of 2,934 Korean adults aged 40-49 years who had consecutive lung function measurements were included. COPD was defined as pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV₁)/forced vital capacity < lower limit of normal. The risk of rapid decline in FEV₁, defined as ≥ 60 mL/year, was assessed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. In the multivariable model, a significantly higher risk of rapid decline in FEV₁ was observed for the COPD group compared with the non-COPD group (adjusted odds ratio, 1.89; 95% confidence interval, 1.18-2.95), which was especially significant in subjects with FEV₁ less than the median value (< 110%pred) (P_interaction = 0.017) and inactive physical activity (P_interaction = 0.039). In conclusion, the risk of rapid FEV₁ decline was higher in young adults with COPD than in those without COPD, especially in those with FEV₁ less than the median value and inactive physical activity.

Disparities in Disease Burden and Treatment of Patients Asthma and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Lung health reflects the inequities of our society. Asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease are 2 lung conditions commonly treated in general clinical practice; each imposes a disproportionate burden on disadvantaged patients. Numerous factors mediate disparities in lung health, including air pollution, allergen exposures, tobacco, and respiratory infections. Members of racial/ethnic minorities and those of low socioeconomic status also have inferior access to high-quality medical care, compounding disparities in disease burden. Physicians can work against disparities in their practice, but wide-ranging policy reforms to achieve better air quality, housing, workplace safety, and healthcare for all are needed to achieve equity in lung health.

Functional Predictors Discriminating Asthma-COPD Overlap (ACO) from Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD)

Background

A significant proportion of patients with obstructive lung disease have clinical and functional features of both asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), referred to as the asthma–COPD overlap (ACO). The distinction of these phenotypes, however, is not yet well-established due to the lack of defining clinical and/or functional criteria. The aim of our investigations was to assess the discriminating power of various lung function parameters on the assessment of ACO.

Methods

From databases of 4 pulmonary centers, a total of 540 patients (231 males, 309 females), including 372 patients with asthma, 77 patients with ACO and 91 patients with COPD, were retrospectively collected, and gradients among combinations of explanatory variables of spirometric (FEV₁, FEV₁/FVC, FEF_25-75), plethysmographic (sR_eff, sG_eff, the aerodynamic work of breathing at rest; sWOB), static lung volumes, including trapped gases and measurements of the carbon monoxide transfer (DL_CO, K_CO) were explored using multiple factor analysis (MFA). The discriminating power of lung function parameters with respect to ACO was assessed using linear discriminant analysis (LDA).

Results

LDA revealed that parameters of airway dynamics (sWOB, sR_eff, sG_eff) combined with parameters of static lung volumes such as functional residual capacity (FRC_pleth) and trapped gas at FRC (V_TG^FRC) are valuable and potentially important tools discriminating between asthma, ACO and COPD. Moreover, sWOB significantly contributes to the diagnosis of obstructive airway diseases, independent from the state of pulmonary hyperinflation, whilst the diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DL_CO) significantly differentiates between the 3 diagnostic classes.

Conclusion

The complexity of COPD with its components of interaction and their heterogeneity, especially in discrimination from ACO, may well be differentiated if patients are explored by a whole set of target parameters evaluating, interactionally, flow limitation, airway dynamics, pulmonary hyperinflation, small airways dysfunction and gas exchange disturbances assessing specific functional deficits.

Clinical relevance of multiple confirmed preserved ratio impaired spirometry cases in adults

BACKGROUND

Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) is a common spirometry finding, but its heterogeneous manifestations and frequent transitions to airflow limitation (AFL), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or normal spirometry hinder establishing an appropriate management strategy. This study examined whether transition to AFL and baseline comorbidities are more frequent in subjects with definite PRISm (PRISm confirmed on both current and past two spirometry tests) versus incident PRISm (PRISm confirmed only on a current test with past normal spirometry records) than in normal spirometry.

METHODS

Archived medical check-up data of subjects aged ≥40 years (n = 10828) with two past spirometry records, in a Japanese hospital, were cross-sectionally analyzed. Among them, data from those with follow-up spirometry after three years (n = 6467) were used to evaluate transition to AFL. PRISm was defined as forced volume in 1 s (FEV₁)/forced vital capacity ≥0.7 and % predicted FEV₁ < 80%.

RESULTS

Overall PRISm prevalence was 6.5%. In multivariable models adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, and body mass index, definite PRISm (n = 290), but not incident PRISm (n = 183), was associated with elevated hemoglobin A1c and C-reactive protein levels, and higher rates of asthma, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes than was consistent normal spirometry (n = 9694). The transition to AFL after three years was more frequent in definite PRISm, but not incident PRISm, than in normal spirometry (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = 6.21 [3.42-10.71] and 1.45 [0.23-4.73], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple confirmed PRISm on past and baseline spirometry is closely associated with metabolic syndrome factors, asthma history, and future AFL development.

Combustion-Derived Particulate PAHs Associated with Small Airway Dysfunction in Elderly Patients with COPD

Evidence of the respiratory effects of ambient organic aerosols (e.g., polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, PAHs) among patients with chronic diseases is limited. We aimed to assess whether exposure to ambient particle-bound PAHs could worsen small airway functions in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and elucidate the underlying mechanisms involved. Forty-five COPD patients were recruited with four repeated visits in 2014-2015 in Beijing, China. Parameters of pulmonary function and pulmonary/systemic inflammation and oxidative stress were measured at each visit. Linear mixed-effect models were performed to evaluate the associations between PAHs and measurements. In this study, participants experienced an average PAH level of 61.7 ng/m³. Interquartile range increases in exposure to particulate PAHs at prior up to 7 days were associated with reduced small airway functions, namely, decreases of 17.7-35.5% in forced maximal mid-expiratory flow. Higher levels of particulate PAHs were also associated with heightened lung injury and inflammation and oxidative stress. Stronger overall effects were found for PAHs from traffic emissions and coal burning. Exposure to ambient particulate PAHs was capable of impairing small airway functions in elderly patients with COPD, potentially via inflammation and oxidative stress. These findings highlight the importance of control efforts on organic particulate matter from fossil fuel combustion emissions.

High-Density Lipoproteins: A Role in Inflammation in COPD

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a widespread disease associated with high rates of disability and mortality. COPD is characterized by chronic inflammation in the bronchi as well as systemic inflammation, which contributes significantly to the clinically heterogeneous course of the disease. Lipid metabolism disorders are common in COPD, being a part of its pathogenesis. High-density lipoproteins (HDLs) are not only involved in lipid metabolism, but are also part of the organism’s immune and antioxidant defense. In addition, HDL is a versatile transport system for endogenous regulatory agents and is also involved in the removal of exogenous substances such as lipopolysaccharide. These functions, as well as information about lipoprotein metabolism disorders in COPD, allow a broader assessment of their role in the pathogenesis of heterogeneous and comorbid course of the disease.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major cause of morbidity, mortality, and health-care use worldwide. COPD is caused by exposure to inhaled noxious particles, notably tobacco smoke and pollutants. However, the broad range of factors that increase the risk of development and progression of COPD throughout the life course are increasingly being recognised. Innovations in omics and imaging techniques have provided greater insight into disease pathobiology, which might result in advances in COPD prevention, diagnosis, and treatment. Although few novel treatments have been approved for COPD in the past 5 years, advances have been made in targeting existing therapies to specific subpopulations using new biomarker-based strategies. Additionally, COVID-19 has undeniably affected individuals with COPD, who are not only at higher risk for severe disease manifestations than healthy individuals but also negatively affected by interruptions in health-care delivery and social isolation. This Seminar reviews COPD with an emphasis on recent advances in epidemiology, pathophysiology, imaging, diagnosis, and treatment.

Pathogenesis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: understanding the contributions of gene-environment interactions across the lifespan

The traditional view of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) as a self-inflicted disease caused by tobacco smoking in genetically susceptible individuals has been challenged by recent research findings. COPD can instead be understood as the potential end result of the accumulation of gene-environment interactions encountered by an individual over the life course. Integration of a time axis in pathogenic models of COPD is necessary because the biological responses to and clinical consequences of different exposures might vary according to both the age of an individual at which a given gene-environment interaction occurs and the cumulative history of previous gene-environment interactions. Future research should aim to understand the effects of dynamic interactions between genes (G) and the environment (E) by integrating information from basic omics (eg, genomics, epigenomics, proteomics) and clinical omics (eg, phenomics, physiomics, radiomics) with exposures (the exposome) over time (T)-an approach that we refer to as GETomics. In the context of this approach, we argue that COPD should be viewed not as a single disease, but as a clinical syndrome characterised by a recognisable pattern of chronic symptoms and structural or functional impairments due to gene-environment interactions across the lifespan that influence normal lung development and ageing.

Role of Short-Chain Fatty Acids Produced by Gut Microbiota in Innate Lung Immunity and Pathogenesis of the Heterogeneous Course of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a widespread socially significant disease. The development of COPD involves the innate immune system. Interestingly, the regulation of the innate lung immune system is related to the gut microbiota. This connection is due to the production by gut microorganisms of short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs) such as acetate, propionate, and butyrate. Nutritional disturbances and changes in the structure of the intestinal microbiota lead to a decrease in SCFAs production and their effect on pulmonary immunity. The presence of a metabolic and immune axis linking the lungs and gut plays an important role in the pathogenesis of COPD. In addition, the nature of nutrition and SCFAs may participate in the development of the clinically heterogeneous course of COPD.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease risk assessment tools: is one better than the others?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Risk assessment tools are essential in COPD care to help clinicians identify patients at higher risk of accelerated lung function decline, respiratory exacerbations, hospitalizations, and death.

RECENT FINDINGS

Conventional methods of assessing risk have focused on spirometry, patient-reported symptoms, functional status, and a combination of these tools in composite indices. More recently, qualitatively and quantitatively assessed chest imaging findings, such as emphysema, large and small airways disease, and pulmonary vascular abnormalities have been associated with poor long-term outcomes in COPD patients. Although several blood and sputum biomarkers have been investigated for risk assessment in COPD, most still warrant further validation. Finally, novel remote digital monitoring technologies may be valuable to predict exacerbations but their large-scale performance, ease of implementation, and cost effectiveness remain to be determined.

SUMMARY

Given the complex heterogeneity of COPD, any single metric is unlikely to fully capture the risk of poor long-term outcomes. Therefore, clinicians should review all available clinical data, including spirometry, symptom severity, functional status, chest imaging, and bloodwork, to guide personalized preventive care of COPD patients. The potential of machine learning tools and remote monitoring technologies to refine COPD risk assessment is promising but remains largely untapped pending further investigation.

Traffic-related air pollution associated pulmonary pathophysiologic changes and cardiac injury in elderly patients with COPD

Traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) has shown enormous environmental toxicity, but its cardiorespiratory health impact on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been less studied. We followed a panel of 45 COPD patients with 4 repeated clinical visits across 14 months in a traffic-predominated urban area of Beijing, China, with concurrent measurements of TRAP metrics (fine particulate matter, black carbon, oxides of nitrogen and carbon monoxide). Linear mixed-effect models were performed to evaluate the associations and potential pathways linking traffic pollution to indicators of spirometry, cardiac injury, inflammation and oxidative stress. We observed that interquartile range increases in moving averages of TRAP exposures at prior up to 7 days were associated with significant reductions in large and small airway functions, namely decreases in forced vital capacity of 3.1-9.3% and forced expiratory flow 25-75% of 5.9-16.4%. Higher TRAP levels were also associated with worsening of biomarkers relevant to lung injury (hepatocyte growth factor and surfactant protein D) and cardiac injury (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, B-type natriuretic peptide and soluble ST2), as well as enhanced airway/systemic inflammation and oxidative stress. Mediation analyses showed that TRAP exposures may prompt cardiac injury, possibly via worsening pulmonary pathophysiology. These findings highlight the importance of traffic pollution control priority in urban areas.

Is the GOLD guideline for diagnosing obstruction in COPD discriminatory in predicting severe future COPD-related exacerbations and death?

Journal club commentary on the discriminative accuracy of FEV₁: FVC thresholds for COPD-related hospitalisation and mortalityhttps://bit.ly/3BaWWY7

Preserved ratio impaired spirometry is associated with small airway dysfunction and reduced total lung capacity

BACKGROUND

Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) refers to decreased forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) in the setting of preserved ratio. Little is known about the role of PRISm and its complex relation with small airway dysfunction (SAD) and lung volume. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the associations between PRISm and SAD and lung volume.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional community-dwelling study in China. Demographic data, standard respiratory epidemiology questionnaire, spirometry, impulse oscillometry (IOS) and computed tomography (CT) data were collected. PRISm was defined as post-bronchodilator FEV₁/FVC ≥ 0.70 and FEV₁ < 80% predicted. Spirometry-defined SAD was defined as at least two of three of the post-bronchodilator maximal mid-expiratory flow (MMEF), forced expiratory flow 50% (FEF50), and forced expiratory flow 75% (FEF75) less than 65% of predicted. IOS-defined SAD and CT-defined gas trapping were defined by the fact that the cutoff value of peripheral airway resistance R5-R20 > 0.07 kPa/L/s and LAA_- 856>20%, respectively. Analysis of covariance and logistic regression were used to determine associations between PRISm and SAD and lung volume. We then repeated the analysis with a lower limit of normal definition of spirometry criteria and FVC definition of PRISm. Moreover, we also performed subgroup analyses in ever smoker, never smoker, subjects without airway reversibility or self-reported diagnosed asthma, and subjects with CT-measured total lung capacity ≥70% of predicted.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 1439 subjects. PRISm had higher odds and more severity in spirometry-defined SAD (pre-bronchodilator: odds ratio [OR]: 5.99, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 3.87-9.27, P < 0.001; post-bronchodilator: OR: 14.05, 95%CI: 8.88-22.24, P < 0.001), IOS-defined SAD (OR: 2.89, 95%CI: 1.82-4.58, P < 0.001), and CT-air trapping (OR: 2.01, 95%CI: 1.08-3.72, P = 0.027) compared with healthy control after adjustment for confounding factors. CT-measured total lung capacity in PRISm was lower than that in healthy controls (4.15 ± 0.98 vs. 4.78 ± 1.05 L, P < 0.05), after adjustment. These results were robust in repeating analyses and subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

Our finding revealed that PRISm was associated with SAD and reduced total lung capacity. Future studies to identify the underlying mechanisms and longitudinal progression of PRISm are warranted.

Characteristics and Prevalence of Early Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in a Middle-Aged Population: Results from a Nationwide-Representative Sample

Introduction

Few studies have examined the prevalence and associated factors of early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in Asians.

Objective

To evaluate the prevalence of early COPD and its associated factors among non-institutionalized middle-aged Korean adults.

Methods

A total of 3195 participants aged 40–49 years from the 2016–2018 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were included in this study. Patients (1) aged less than 50 years, (2) with a minimum of 10 pack-years of smoking, and (3) with forced expiratory volume in 1 s/forced vital capacity (FEV₁/FVC) below the lower limit of normal were diagnosed with early COPD. The prevalence and odds ratio (OR) for early COPD were measured using multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the demographic data, anthropometric measurements, socioeconomic status, and lifestyle factors were considered covariates.

Results

The overall prevalence of early COPD among the middle-aged Korean population was 2.4% (4.4% in men and 0.4% in women), while that in participants with ≥10 pack-years was 8.2% (8.1% in men and 11.3% in women). A multivariate logistic regression model showed that male sex, urban residence, chronic sputum production, and hypertriglyceridemia were associated with increased ORs for early COPD in middle-aged, non-institutionalized Korean adults.

Conclusion

Early COPD is prevalent among middle-aged smokers in Korea. Efforts are needed to reduce the potential negative effects of early COPD on public health in Korea and other Asian countries.

Recent advances in airway imaging using micro-computed tomography and computed tomography for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a complex lung disease characterized by a combination of airway disease and emphysema. Emphysema is classified as centrilobular emphysema (CLE), paraseptal emphysema (PSE), or panlobular emphysema (PLE), and airway disease extends from the respiratory, terminal, and preterminal bronchioles to the central segmental airways. Although clinical computed tomography (CT) cannot be used to visualize the small airways, micro-CT has shown that terminal bronchiole disease is more severe in CLE than in PSE and PLE, and micro-CT findings suggest that the loss and luminal narrowing of terminal bronchioles is an early pathological change in CLE. Furthermore, the introduction of ultra-high-resolution CT has enabled direct evaluation of the proximal small (1 to 2-mm diameter) airways, and new CT analytical methods have enabled estimation of small airway disease and prediction of future COPD onset and lung function decline in smokers with and without COPD. This review discusses the literature on micro-CT and the technical advancements in clinical CT analysis for COPD. Hopefully, novel micro-CT findings will improve our understanding of the distinct pathogeneses of the emphysema subtypes to enable exploration of new therapeutic targets, and sophisticated CT imaging methods will be integrated into clinical practice to achieve more personalized management.

Lung function decline before and after treatment of World Trade Center associated obstructive airways disease with inhaled corticosteroids and long-acting beta agonists

Background

Greater than average loss of one‐second forced expiratory volume (FEV₁) is a risk factor for asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and asthma/COPD overlap syndrome in World Trade Center (WTC)‐exposed firefighters. Inhaled corticosteroids and long‐acting beta agonists (ICS/LABA) are used to treat obstructive airways disease but their impact on FEV₁‐trajectory in this population is unknown.

Methods

The study population included WTC‐exposed male firefighters who were treated with ICS/LABA for 2 years or longer (with initiation before 2015), had at least two FEV₁ measurements before ICS/LABA initiation and two FEV₁ measurements posttreatment between September 11, 2001 and September 10, 2019. Linear mixed‐effects models were used to estimate FEV₁‐slope pre‐ and post‐treatment.

Results

During follow‐up, 1023 WTC‐exposed firefighters were treated with ICS/LABA for 2 years or longer. When comparing intervals 6 years before and 6 years after treatment, participants had an 18.7 ml/year (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.3–26.1) improvement in FEV₁‐slope after adjustment for baseline FEV₁, race, height, WTC exposure, weight change, blood eosinophil concentration, and smoking status. After stratification by median date of ICS/LABA initiation (January 14, 2010), earlier ICS/LABA‐initiators had a 32.5 ml/year (95% CI: 19.5–45.5) improvement in slope but later ICS/LABA‐initiators had a nonsignificant FEV₁‐slope improvement (7.9 ml/year, 95% CI: −0.5 to 17.2).

Conclusions

WTC‐exposed firefighters treated with ICS/LABA had improved FEV₁ slope after initiation, particularly among those who started earlier. Treatment was, however, not associated with FEV₁‐slope improvement if started after the median initiation date (1/14/2010), likely because onset of disease began before treatment initiation. Research on alternative treatments is needed for patients with greater than average FEV₁‐decline who have not responded to ICS/LABA.

Serum Th-2 cytokines and FEV1 decline in WTC-exposed firefighters: A 19-year longitudinal study

Background

Accelerated‐FEV₁‐decline, defined as rate of decline in FEV₁ > 64 ml/year, is a risk factor for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in World Trade Center (WTC)‐exposed firefighters. Accelerated‐FEV₁‐decline in this cohort is associated with elevated blood eosinophil concentrations, a mediator of Th‐2 response. We hypothesized that an association exists between Th‐2 biomarkers and FEV₁ decline rate in those with accelerated‐FEV₁‐decline.

Methods

Serum was drawn from Fire Department of the City of New York (FDNY) firefighters 1–6 months (early) (N = 816) and 12–13 years (late) (N = 983) after 9/11/2001. Th‐2 biomarkers IL‐4, IL‐13, and IL‐5 were assayed by multiplex Luminex. Individual FEV₁ decline rates were calculated using spirometric measurements taken: (1) between 9/11/2001 and 9/10/2020 for the early biomarker group and (2) between late measurement date and 9/10/2020 for the late biomarker group. Associations of early and late Th‐2 biomarkers with subsequent FEV₁ decline rates were analyzed using multivariable linear regression controlling for demographics, smoking status, and other potential confounders.

Results

In WTC‐exposed firefighters with accelerated‐FEV₁‐decline, IL‐4, IL‐13, and IL‐5 measured 1–6 months post‐9/11/2001 were associated with greater FEV₁ decline ml/year between 9/11/2001 and 9/10/2020 (−2.9 ± 1.4 ml/year per IL‐4 doubling; −8.4 ± 1.2 ml/year per IL‐13 doubling; −7.9 ± 1.3 ml/year per IL‐5 doubling). Among late measured Th‐2 biomarkers, only IL‐4 was associated with subsequent FEV₁ decline rate (−4.0 ± 1.6 ml/year per IL‐4 doubling).

Conclusions

In WTC‐exposed firefighters with accelerated‐FEV₁‐decline, elevated serum IL‐4 measured both 1–6 months and 12–13 years after 9/11 is associated with greater FEV₁ decline/year. Drugs targeting the IL‐4 pathway may improve lung function in this high‐risk subgroup.

Predictors of lung function trajectories in population-based studies: A systematic review

Despite the growing body of evidence on lung function trajectories over the life course and their risk factors, the literature has not been systematically synthesized. Publications related to lung function trajectories were identified from PubMed, EMBASE and CINAHL databases. Two authors independently identified publications for inclusion according to predefined selection criteria. Studies that modelled lung function trajectories and reported associated exposures were included. Meta-analyses could not be conducted due to heterogeneity in the exposures and methods used to model lung function trajectories. Nine publications were eligible for inclusion of which four used group-based trajectory modelling to model lung function trajectories, while five used latent profile analysis. Studies with repeated lung function measurements over the life course identified more trajectories than others. Only one study spanning from childhood to middle age reported catch-up trajectory. The following childhood risk factors for subnormal lung function trajectories were observed in at least across two studies: low birth weight, early wheezing, asthma, allergic sensitization, eczema, allergic rhinitis, lower respiratory tract infections, family history of asthma and second-hand smoke exposure. Adult active asthma and personal cigarette smoking were observed to be associated with accelerated decline lung trajectories. Our review identified 10 risk factors associated with the growth, catch-up, reduced plateau and decline trajectories of lung function. Intervention directed at childhood asthma and infections, and tobacco smoke exposure at all ages would help promote lung health and prevent subnormal lung function trajectories.

Molecular markers of aging, exercise capacity, & physical activity in COPD

BACKGROUND

Exercise capacity (EC) and physical activity (PA) are independent, potentially modifiable predictors of clinical outcomes in COPD. Molecular measures of biological age may help characterize variability in EC and PA observed among COPD patients.

METHODS

Veterans with COPD (FEV₁/FVC<0.7 or emphysema on chest computed tomography) enrolled in 2 cohorts at VA Boston completed questionnaires, a 6-min walk distance (6MWD) for EC, and blood collection at enrollment. PA data (average daily step count) was collected using an HJ-720 ITC pedometer over ≥5 days. A subset of subjects returned for repeat assessment after 12 weeks. DNA methylation data was generated using the HumanMethylationEPIC platform; epigenetic estimates of biological age and age acceleration were generated using established algorithms. Multivariable models examined the associations between biological age, 6MWD, PA and future acute exacerbations (AEs), adjusting for chronological age, sex, race, smoking status, pack-years, body mass index, cohort, and estimated cell counts.

RESULTS

Subjects (n = 269) were predominantly male (98.5%), white (92.9%), and elderly (70.6 ± 8.5 years) with average FEV₁% of 57.7 ± 21.1, 6MWD of 374.3 ± 93.5 m, and daily steps of 3043.4 ± 2374 at baseline. In adjusted models, multiple measures of baseline epigenetic age and age acceleration were inversely associated with 6MWD; only GrimAge was inversely associated with PA. Longitudinal change in Hannum-Age was inversely associated with change in EC at 12 weeks (n = 94). No measures of biological age were significantly associated with prospective AEs over 1.3 ± 0.3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Epigenetic measures of biological age are independent predictors of EC and PA, but not AEs, among individuals with COPD.

Importance of Early COPD in Young Adults for Development of Clinical COPD: Findings from the Copenhagen General Population Study

Rationale: Individuals who will develop chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) could be identified at an early age before clinical manifestations appear. Objectives: We investigated risk of clinical COPD 10 years later in young adults from the general population with and without early COPD with a focus on smoking exposure. Methods: We included 14,870 individuals aged 20-100 years from the Copenhagen General Population Study with spirometry 10 years apart. Early COPD was defined as baseline FEV₁/FVC less than the lower limit of normal in individuals aged <50 years. Outcomes included clinical COPD at final examination 10 years later (chronic respiratory symptoms with FEV₁/FVC <0.70 and FEV₁ <80% predicted) and acute exacerbation hospitalizations during follow-up. Measurements and Main Results: Among 5,497 individuals aged <50 years at baseline with FEV₁/FVC ≥0.70, 104 (3%) developed clinical COPD 10 years later; 4% of smokers with ≥10 pack-years had early COPD; 3% of smokers with <10 pack-years had early COPD; and 2% of never-smokers had early COPD. Among smokers with ≥10 pack-years, 24% developed clinical COPD in those with early COPD versus 4% in those without early COPD. Corresponding numbers were 10% and 1% in smokers with <10 pack-years and 3% and <1% in never-smokers, respectively. Among individuals with early COPD, odds ratios for clinical COPD 10 years later were 7.77 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.10-14.7) in smokers with ≥10 pack-years and 8.56 (95% CI, 4.92-14.9) in all smokers, whereas hazard ratios for acute exacerbation hospitalizations were 4.16 (95% CI, 1.66-10.5) and 4.33 (95% CI, 1.89-9.93), respectively. Results were validated in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. Conclusions: Depending on amount of smoking exposure, <24% of young adults in the general population with early COPD develop clinical COPD 10 years later. A smoking exposure threshold for early COPD should be reconsidered, as younger individuals are less represented in those with high smoking exposure.

Step-Up and Step-Down Treatment Approaches for COPD: A Holistic View of Progressive Therapies

Recent advances in inhaled drugs and a clearer definition of the disease have made the task of managing COPD more complex. Different proposals have been put forward which combine all the available treatments and the different clinical presentations in an effort to select the best therapeutic options for each clinical context. As COPD is a chronic progressive disease, the escalation of therapy has traditionally been considered the most natural way to tackle it. However, the notion of COPD as a constantly progressing disease has recently been challenged and, in specific areas, this points to the possibility of a de-escalation in treatment. In this context, the clinician requires simple, specific recommendations to guide these changes in treatment in their daily clinical practice. To accomplish this, the first step must be a correct evaluation and an accurate initial preliminary diagnosis of the patient's condition. Thereafter, the first escalation in therapy must be introduced with caution as the disease progresses, since clinical trials are not designed with clinical decision-making in mind. During this escalation, three possibilities are open to change the current treatment for a different one within the same family, to increase non-pharmacological interventions or to increase the pharmacological therapies. Beyond that point, a patient with persistent symptoms represents a complex clinical scenario which requires a specialized approach, including the evaluation of different respiratory and non-respiratory comorbidities. Unfortunately, there are few de-escalation studies available, and these are mainly observational in nature. The debate on de-escalation in pharmacological treatment, therefore, involves two main discussion points: the withdrawal of bronchodilators and the withdrawal of inhaled steroids. Altogether, the scheme for modifying treatment must be more personalized than just adding molecules, and the therapeutic response and its conditioning factors should be evaluated at each step before proceeding further.

Trajectory of Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry: Natural History and Long-Term Prognosis

RATIONALE

Natural history of Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry (PRISm), often defined as FEV1/FVC≥lower limit of normal and FEV1<80% of predicted value, is not well-described.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate natural history and long-term prognosis of PRISm trajectories: persistent PRISm trajectory (individuals with PRISm both as young and as middle-aged); normal-to-PRISm trajectory (individuals developing PRISm from normal spirometry in young adulthood); and PRISm-to-normal trajectory (individuals recovering from PRISm in young adulthood by normalizing spirometry while middle-aged).

METHODS

We followed 1160 individuals aged 20-40 years from the Copenhagen City Heart Study from 1976-83 until 2001-03 to determine their lung function trajectory: 72 had persistent PRISm trajectory, 76 normal-to-PRISm trajectory, 155 PRISm-to-normal trajectory, and 857 had normal trajectory. From 2001-03 until 2018, we determined risk of cardiopulmonary disease and death.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We recorded 198 admissions for heart disease, 143 for pneumonia, and 64 for COPD, and 171 deaths. Compared to individuals with normal trajectory, hazards ratios for individuals with persistent PRISm trajectory were 1.55 (95% CI, 0.91-2.65) for heart disease admission, 2.86 (1.70-4.83) for pneumonia admission, 6.57 (3.41-12.66) for COPD admission, and 3.68 (2.38-5.68) for all-cause mortality. Corresponding hazards ratios for individuals with normal-to-PRISm trajectory were 1.91 (1.24-2.95), 2.74 (1.70-4.42), 6.03 (3.41-10.64), and 2.96 (1.94-4.51), respectively. Prognosis of individuals with PRISm-to-normal trajectory did not differ from those with normal trajectory.

CONCLUSIONS

PRISm in middle-aged individuals is associated with increased risk of cardiopulmonary disease and all-cause mortality, but individuals who recover from PRISm during their adult life are no longer at increased risk.

Longitudinal change in lung function and subsequent risks of cardiovascular events: evidence from four prospective cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Lung function is constantly changing over the life course. Although the relation of cross-sectional lung function measure and adverse outcomes has been reported, data on longitudinal change and subsequent cardiovascular (CV) events risks are scarce. Therefore, this study is to determine the association of longitudinal change in lung function and subsequent cardiovascular risks.

METHODS

This study analyzed the data from four prospective cohorts. Subjects with at least two lung function tests were included. We calculated the rate of forced respiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) decline for each subject and categorized them into quartiles. The primary outcome was CV events, defined as a composite of coronary heart disease (CHD), chronic heart failure (CHF), stroke, and any CV death. Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic spline models were applied.

RESULTS

The final sample comprised 12,899 participants (mean age 48.58 years; 43.61% male). Following an average of 14.79 (10.69) years, 3950 CV events occurred. Compared with the highest FEV1 quartile (Q4), the multivariable HRs for the lowest (Q1), 2nd (Q2), and 3rd quartiles (Q3) were 1.33 (95%CI 1.19, 1.49), 1.30 (1.16, 1.46), and 1.07 (0.95, 1.21), respectively. Likewise, compared with the reference quartile (Q4), the group that experienced a faster decline in FVC had higher HRs for CV events (1.06 [95%CI 0.94-1.20] for Q3, 1.15 [1.02-1.30] for Q2, and 1.28 [1.14-1.44] for Q1). The association remained robust across a series of sensitivity analyses and nearly all subgroups but was more evident in subjects < 60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a monotonic increase in risks of CV events with a faster decline in FEV1 and FVC. These findings emphasize the value of periodic evaluation of lung function and open new opportunities for disease prevention.

Unmet needs in the management of exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are episodes of acute worsening of respiratory symptoms that require additional therapy. These events play a pivotal role in the natural course of the disease and are associated with a progressive decline in lung function, reduced health status, a low physical activity level, tremendous health care costs, and increased mortality. Although most exacerbations have an infectious origin, the underlying mechanisms are heterogeneous and specific predictors of their occurrence in individual patients are currently unknown. Accurate prediction and early diagnosis of exacerbations is essential to develop novel targets for prevention and personalized treatments to reduce the impact of these events. Several potential biomarkers have previously been studied, these however lack specificity, accuracy and do not add value to the available clinical predictors. At present, microbial composition and host-microbiome interactions in the lung are increasingly recognized for their role in affecting the susceptibility to exacerbations, and may steer towards a novel direction in the management of COPD exacerbations. This narrative review describes the current challenges and unmet needs in the management of acute exacerbations of COPD. Exacerbation triggers, biological clusters, current treatment strategies, and their limitations, previously studied biomarkers and prediction tools, the lung microbiome and its role in COPD exacerbations as well as future directions are discussed.

The Importance of Appropriate Diagnosis in the Practical Management of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is projected to continue to contribute to an increase in the overall worldwide burden of disease until 2030. Therefore, an accurate assessment of the risk of airway obstruction in patients with COPD has become vitally important. Although the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD), the American Thoracic Society (ATS) and European Respiratory Society (ERS), and the Japanese Respiratory Society (JRS) provide the criteria by which to diagnose COPD, many studies suggest that it is in fact underdiagnosed. Its prevalence increases, while the impact of COPD-related systemic comorbidities is also increasingly recognized in clinical aspects of COPD. Although a recent report suggests that spirometry should not be used to screen for airflow limitation in individuals without respiratory symptoms, the early detection of COPD in patients with no, or few, symptoms is an opportunity to provide appropriate management based on COPD guidelines. Clinical advances have been made in pharmacotherapeutic approaches to COPD. This article provides a current understanding of the importance of an appropriate diagnosis in the real-world management of COPD.

Natural history and mechanisms of COPD

The natural history of COPD is complex, and the disease is best understood as a syndrome resulting from numerous interacting factors throughout the life cycle with smoking being the strongest inciting feature. Unfortunately, diagnosis is often delayed with several longitudinal cohort studies shedding light on the long 'preclinical' period of COPD. It is now accepted that individuals presenting with different COPD phenotypes may experience varying natural history of their disease. This includes its inception, early stages and progression to established disease. Several scenarios regarding lung function course are possible, but it may conceptually be helpful to distinguish between individuals with normal maximally attained lung function in their early adulthood who thereafter experience faster than normal FEV₁ decline, and those who may achieve a lower than normal maximally attained lung function. This may be the main mechanism behind COPD in the latter group, as the decline in FEV₁ during their adult life may be normal or only slightly faster than normal. Regardless of the FEV₁ trajectory, continuous smoking is strongly associated with disease progression, development of structural lung disease and poor prognosis. In developing countries, factors such as exposure to biomass and sequelae after tuberculosis may lead to a more airway-centred COPD phenotype than seen in smokers. Mechanistically, COPD is characterized by a combination of structural and inflammatory changes. It is unlikely that all patients share the same individual or combined mechanisms given the heterogeneity of resultant phenotypes. Lung explants, bronchial biopsies and other tissue studies have revealed important features. At the small airway level, progression of COPD is clinically imperceptible, and the pathological course of the disease is poorly described. Asthmatic features can further add confusion. However, the small airway epithelium is likely to represent a key focus of the disease, combining impaired subepithelial crosstalk and structural/inflammatory changes. Insufficient resolution of inflammatory processes may facilitate these changes. Pathologically, epithelial metaplasia, inversion of the goblet to ciliated cell ratio, enlargement of the submucosal glands and neutrophil and CD8-T-cell infiltration can be detected. Evidence of type 2 inflammation is gaining interest in the light of new therapeutic agents. Alarmin biology is a promising area that may permit control of inflammation and partial reversal of structural changes in COPD. Here, we review the latest work describing the development and progression of COPD with a focus on lung function trajectories, exacerbations and survival. We also review mechanisms focusing on epithelial changes associated with COPD and lack of resolution characterizing the underlying inflammatory processes.