1
|
Rodríguez-Fernández A, Aloisi I, Blanco-Alegre C, Vega-Maray AM, Valencia-Barrera RM, Suanno C, Calvo AI, Fraile R, Fernández-González D. Identifying key environmental factors to model Alt a 1 airborne allergen presence and variation. Sci Total Environ 2024; 917:170597. [PMID: 38307265 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170597] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2023] [Revised: 01/26/2024] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/04/2024]
Abstract
Fungal spores, commonly found in the atmosphere, can trigger important respiratory disorders. The glycoprotein Alt a 1 is the major allergen present in conidia of the genus Alternaria and has a high clinical relevance for people sensitized to fungi. Exposure to this allergen has been traditionally assessed by aerobiological spore counts, although this does not always offer an accurate estimate of airborne allergen load. This study aims to pinpoint the key factors that explain the presence and variation of Alt a 1 concentration in the atmosphere in order to establish exposure risk periods and improve forecasting models. Alternaria spores were sampled using a Hirst-type volumetric sampler over a five-year period. The allergenic fraction from the bioaerosol was collected using a low-volume cyclone sampler and Alt a 1 quantified by Enzyme-Linked ImmunoSorbent Assay. A cluster analysis was executed in order to group days with similar environmental features and then analyze days with the presence of the allergen in each of them. Subsequently, a quadratic discriminant analysis was performed to evaluate if the selected variables can predict days with high Alt a 1 load. The results indicate that higher temperatures and absolute humidity favor the presence of Alt a 1 in the atmosphere, while time of precipitation is related to days without allergen. Moreover, using the selected parameters, the quadratic discriminant analysis to predict days with allergen showed an accuracy rate between 67 % and 85 %. The mismatch between daily airborne concentration of Alternaria spores and allergen load can be explained by the greater contribution of medium-to-long distance transport of the allergen from the major emission sources as compared with spores. Results highlight the importance of conducting aeroallergen quantification studies together with spore counts to improve the forecasting models of allergy risk, especially for fungal spores.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Iris Aloisi
- Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | | | - Ana María Vega-Maray
- Department of Biodiversity and Environmental Management (Botany), University of León, León, Spain
| | | | - Chiara Suanno
- Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | | | | | - Delia Fernández-González
- Department of Biodiversity and Environmental Management (Botany), University of León, León, Spain; Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate-CNR, Bologna, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Rodríguez-Fernández A, Blanco-Alegre C, Vega-Maray AM, Valencia-Barrera RM, Molnár T, Fernández-González D. Effect of prevailing winds and land use on Alternaria airborne spore load. J Environ Manage 2023; 332:117414. [PMID: 36731420 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117414] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2022] [Revised: 01/11/2023] [Accepted: 01/28/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Alternaria spores are a common component of the bioaerosol. Many Alternaria species are plant pathogens, and their conidia are catalogued as important aeroallergens. Several aerobiological studies showing a strong relationship between concentrations of airborne spore and meteorological parameters have consequently been developed. However, the Alternaria airborne load variation has not been thoroughly investigated because it is difficult to assess their sources, as they are a very common and widely established phytopathogen. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of vegetation and land uses as potential sources on airborne spore load and to know their influence, particularly, in cases of long-medium distance transport. The daily airborne spore concentration was studied over a 5-year period in León and Valladolid, two localities of Castilla y León (Spain), with differences in their bioclimatic and land use aspects. Moreover, the land use analysis carried out within a 30 km radius of each monitoring station was combined with air mass data in order to search for potential emission sources. The results showed a great spatial variation between the two areas, which are relatively close to each other. The fact that the spore concentrations recorded in Valladolid were higher than those in León was owing to prevailing winds originating from large areas covered by cereal crops, especially during the harvest period. However, the prevailing winds in León came from areas dominated by forest and shrubland, which explains the low airborne spore load, since the main Alternaria sources were the grasslands located next to the trap. Furthermore, the risk days in this location presented an unusual wind direction. This study reveals the importance of land cover and wind speed and direction data for establishing potential airborne routes of spore transport in order to improve the Alternaria forecasting models. The importance of conducting Alternaria aerobiological studies at a local level is also highlighted.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Ana María Vega-Maray
- Department of Biodiversity and Environmental Management (Botany), University of León, León, Spain
| | | | - Tibor Molnár
- Institute of Agricultural Sciences and Rural Development. Szent István University, Szarvas, Hungary
| | - Delia Fernández-González
- Department of Biodiversity and Environmental Management (Botany), University of León, León, Spain; Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate-CNR, Bologna, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Rodríguez-Fernández A, Oteros J, Vega-Maray AM, Valencia-Barrera RM, Galán C, Fernández-González D. How to select the optimal monitoring locations for an aerobiological network: A case of study in central northwest of Spain. Sci Total Environ 2022; 827:154370. [PMID: 35276149 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154370] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2021] [Revised: 02/22/2022] [Accepted: 03/03/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Airborne pollen concentration varies depending on several factors, such as local plant biodiversity, geography and climatology. These particles are involved in triggering pollinosis in a share of worldwide human population, and adequate monitoring is, therefore, important. However, the pollen traps in aerobiological monitoring networks are usually installed in cities, and the features of the whole territory are not taken into account. The aim of this study was to analyze what environmental parameters are more suitable as regards setting up monitoring stations throughout a territory in order to obtain an aerobiological network that can represent environmental diversity. The analysis was carried out in 13 locations in Castilla y León over an 8 year period. This is a favorable territory in which to conduct this type of study owing to its climatic features, orography and biodiversity. The ten most abundant pollen types in the region were analyzed, and a clustering analysis was calculated with different distances so as to obtain homogeneous groups of stations. Moreover, the clusters obtained were analyzed in combination with altitudinal and different bioclimatic parameters, which derived from temperature and precipitation. The result here shows that the Castilla y León aerobiological network RACYL represents most of the environmental variability of the territory. Furthermore, it can be divided into two clusters and five sub-clusters for which the start of the main pollen season is different. This corresponds with the division of the territory as regards bioclimatic conditions. The most important bioclimatic parameters were the seasonality of the precipitation and the maximum temperature of the warmest month, although orography must also be taken into account. All of these help discover the optimal places in which to install traps and could reduce the number of monitoring stations. This study additionally provides data for unmonitored areas with similar bioclimatic conditions to those monitored.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - José Oteros
- Department of Botany, Ecology, Plant Physiology, University of Córdoba, Spain
| | | | | | - Carmen Galán
- Department of Botany, Ecology, Plant Physiology, University of Córdoba, Spain
| | - Delia Fernández-González
- Biodiversity and Environmental Management, University of León, Spain; Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate-CNR, Bologna, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Blanco-Alegre C, Castro A, Calvo AI, Oduber F, Fernández-González D, Valencia-Barrera RM, Vega-Maray AM, Molnár T, Fraile R. Towards a model of wet deposition of bioaerosols: The raindrop size role. Sci Total Environ 2021; 767:145426. [PMID: 33550056 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145426] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2020] [Revised: 01/16/2021] [Accepted: 01/21/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Bioaerosols play a major role in the plant life of ecosystems. In addition, they have a profound impact on human health, since they may cause lung diseases or allergies. The key objective of this study is to assess the below cloud scavenging effect of rainfall on pollen concentration. The analysis is based on a sampling carried out in León, Spain, between 2015 and 2018. The rainfall variables and the pollen concentrations have been obtained with a disdrometer and a volumetric Hirst type spore-trap, respectively. In order to evaluate the scavenging, three parameters have been calculated: scavenging efficiency (through the concentration-weighted average (%ΔC)), the scavenging coefficient (λ) and the percentage of events with a decrease in pollen concentration (%ES) also called events with effective scavenging. 71% of rain events presented an effective scavenging that affected all types of pollen. The %ΔC mean value of total pollen was 24 ± 18% (positive values indicate an effective scavenging) and the types of pollen with the highest values were Castanea and Cupressaceae (71 and 40%, respectively). A linear model (R2 = 0.94) to estimate the pollen concentration after rain was built with variables such as pollen concentration before rain and other variables from a weather station and a disdrometer. Furthermore, we have shown the possibility of knowing in real time the probable Cupressaceae pollen concentration, from the initial pollen concentration and the physical parameters of rain (such as raindrop size, rain intensity or volume swept by raindrops in their falling path).
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Amaya Castro
- Department of Physics (IMARENAB), University of León, Spain.
| | - Ana I Calvo
- Department of Physics (IMARENAB), University of León, Spain.
| | - Fernanda Oduber
- Department of Physics (IMARENAB), University of León, Spain.
| | - Delia Fernández-González
- Department of Biodiversity and Environmental Management, University of León, Spain; Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, National Research Council, Bologna, Italy.
| | | | - Ana María Vega-Maray
- Department of Biodiversity and Environmental Management, University of León, Spain.
| | - Tibor Molnár
- Szent Istvan University, Institute of Agricultural Sciences and Rural Development, Hungary.
| | - Roberto Fraile
- Department of Physics (IMARENAB), University of León, Spain.
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Oduber F, Calvo AI, Blanco-Alegre C, Castro A, Nunes T, Alves C, Sorribas M, Fernández-González D, Vega-Maray AM, Valencia-Barrera RM, Lucarelli F, Nava S, Calzolai G, Alonso-Blanco E, Fraile B, Fialho P, Coz E, Prevot ASH, Pont V, Fraile R. Unusual winter Saharan dust intrusions at Northwest Spain: Air quality, radiative and health impacts. Sci Total Environ 2019; 669:213-228. [PMID: 30878930 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2018] [Revised: 02/16/2019] [Accepted: 02/19/2019] [Indexed: 05/14/2023]
Abstract
Saharan air masses can transport high amounts of mineral dust particles and biological material to the Iberian Peninsula. During winter, this kind of events is not very frequent and usually does not reach the northwest of the Peninsula. However, between 21 and 22 February 2016 and between 22 and 23 February 2017, two exceptional events were registered in León (Spain), which severely affected air quality. An integrative approach including: i) typical synoptic conditions; ii) aerosol chemical composition; iii) particle size distributions; iv) pollen concentration; v) aerosol optical depth (AOD); vi) radiative forcing and vii) estimation of the impact of aerosols in the respiratory tract, was carried out. In the global characterization of these events, the exceedance of the PM10 daily limit value, an increase in the coarse mode and a rise in the iron concentration were observed. On the 2016 event, an AOD and extinction-related Ångström exponent clearly characteristic of desert aerosol (1.1 and 0.05, respectively) were registered. Furthermore, pollen grains not typical of flowering plants in this period were identified. The chemical analysis of the aerosol from the 2017 event allowed us to confirm the presence of the main elements associated with mineral sources (aluminum, calcium, and silica concentrations). An increase in the SO42-, NO3- and Cl- concentrations during the Saharan dust intrusion was also noted. However, in this event, there was no presence of atypical pollen types. The estimated dust radiative forcing traduced a cooling effect for surface and atmosphere during both events, corroborated by trends of radiative flux measurements. The estimated impact on the respiratory tract regions of the high levels of particulate matter during both Saharan dust intrusions showed high levels for the respirable fraction.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- F Oduber
- Department of Physics, IMARENAB University of León, León, Spain
| | - A I Calvo
- Department of Physics, IMARENAB University of León, León, Spain
| | - C Blanco-Alegre
- Department of Physics, IMARENAB University of León, León, Spain
| | - A Castro
- Department of Physics, IMARENAB University of León, León, Spain
| | - T Nunes
- Centre for Environmental and Marine Studies, Department of Environment, University of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal
| | - C Alves
- Centre for Environmental and Marine Studies, Department of Environment, University of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal
| | - M Sorribas
- El Arenosillo-Atmospheric Sounding Station, Atmospheric Research and Instrumentation Branch, INTA, Mazagón, Huelva, Spain
| | - D Fernández-González
- Biodiversity and Environmental Management, University of León, Spain; Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate-CNR, Bologna, Italy
| | - A M Vega-Maray
- Biodiversity and Environmental Management, University of León, Spain
| | | | - F Lucarelli
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Florence and I.N.F.N., Florence, Italy
| | - S Nava
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Florence and I.N.F.N., Florence, Italy
| | - G Calzolai
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Florence and I.N.F.N., Florence, Italy
| | - E Alonso-Blanco
- Centre for Energy, Environment and Technology Research (CIEMAT), Department of the Environment, Madrid, Spain
| | - B Fraile
- Department of Biomedicine and Biotechnology, University of Alcalá, Alcalá de Henares, Spain
| | - P Fialho
- Research Institute for Volcanology and Risk Assessment-IVAR, Ponta Delgada, Portugal
| | - E Coz
- Centre for Energy, Environment and Technology Research (CIEMAT), Department of the Environment, Madrid, Spain
| | - A S H Prevot
- Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry, Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen, Switzerland
| | - V Pont
- Laboratory of Aerology, National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS), University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France
| | - R Fraile
- Department of Physics, IMARENAB University of León, León, Spain.
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Fernández-González D, González-Parrado Z, Vega-Maray AM, Valencia-Barrera RM, Camazón-Izquierdo B, De Nuntiis P, Mandrioli P. Platanus pollen allergen, Pla a 1: quantification in the atmosphere and influence on a sensitizing population. Clin Exp Allergy 2010; 40:1701-8. [PMID: 20813013 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2222.2010.03595.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The allergic response in susceptible patients does not always coincide with the presence and magnitude of airborne pollen counts. The prevalence of allergy to Platanus is currently moderate, although the percentage of monosensitized patients is low. This hinders accurate interpretation of the relationship between the amount of pollen inhaled and the patient's symptoms. OBJECTIVE This study aims to investigate the relationship between the atmospheric concentration pattern of Pla a 1 aeroallergen and the Platanus pollen. METHODS The pollen sampling was carried out using a Hirst-type volumetric trap (Burkard(©) ) for pollen grains and a Burkard Cyclone sampler (Burkard(©) ) for Pla a 1 allergen. Serum-specific IgE levels to Acer sp., Artemisia vulgaris, Betula alba, Chenopodium album, Cupressus arizonica, Cynodon dactylon, Fraxinus excelsior, Lolium perenne, Pinus sp., Plantago lanceolata, Platanus acerifolia, Populus sp., Quercus ilex and Taraxacum officinale allergens were determined using the EAST System (Hytec specific IgE EIA kit; Hycor Biomedical, Kassel, Germany). RESULTS The aerobiological dynamics of Platanus pollen grains and Pla a 1 differed considerably, particularly during the Platanus pollination period. Of the 118 subjects tested, sera from 34 contained specific IgE to Platanus pollen and all of them had specific IgE to other pollen types. CONCLUSIONS The presence of the aeroallergen Pla a 1 in the atmosphere appears to be independent of Platanus pollen counts over the same period, which may be contributing to allergic symptoms and sensitization. The number of polysensitized patients displaying allergy to Platanus suggested that allergic symptoms were caused by co-sensitization or cross-reactivity involving a number of allergenic particles.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- D Fernández-González
- Department of Biodiversity and Environment Management, University of León, Campus de Vegazana s/n, León, Spain.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
7
|
Fuertes-Rodríguez CR, González-Parrado Z, Vega-Maray AM, Valencia-Barrera RM, Fernández-González D. Effect of air temperature on forecasting the start of Cupressaceae pollen type in Ponferrada (Leon, Spain). Ann Agric Environ Med 2007; 14:237-242. [PMID: 18247458] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/25/2023]
Abstract
In order to survive periods of adverse cold climatic conditions, plant requirements are satisfied by means of physiological adaptations to prevent cells from freezing. Thus, the growth of woody plants in temperate regions slows down and they enter into a physiological state called dormancy. In order to identify the chilling and heat requirements to overcome the dormancy period of Cupressaceae pollen type in the south of Europe, we have carried out our study with aerobiological data from a 10-year (1996-2005) period in Ponferrada, León (Spain). For the chilling requirements the best result was with a threshold temperature of 7.1 degrees C and an average of 927 CH. Calculation of heat requirements was carried out with maximum temperature, with 490 growth degree days (GDD) needed, with a threshold temperature of 0 degrees C. We have used the 2002-2003, 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 periods in order to determine the real validity of the model. We have not used these years in developing the models. The dates predicted differ in only a few days from those observed: in 2002-2003 there was a difference of 11 days, in 2003-2004 predicted and observed dates were the same, but in 2004-2005 the difference obtained was of 43 days.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Carmen Reyes Fuertes-Rodríguez
- Departamento de Biodiversidad y Gestión Ambiental (Botánica), Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas y Ambientales, Universidad de León, Spain.
| | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
8
|
Vega-Maray AM, Fernández-González D, Valencia-Barrera R, Suárez-Cervera M. Allergenic proteins in Urtica dioica, a member of the Urticaceae allergenic family. Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 2006; 97:343-9. [PMID: 17042140 DOI: 10.1016/s1081-1206(10)60799-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Allergy to the pollen of flowering plant species significantly affects the health of people in many parts of the world. Pollens of related genera usually share common antigens and are often, but not always, cross-reactive. Several studies have shown that Parietaria pollen is one of the most common causes of pollinosis in the Mediterranean area, whereas Urtica has no allergenic significance. OBJECTIVES To report on the localization of Parietaria judaica major allergen in Urtica dioica pollen grains and on the detection of allergenic proteins in U. dioica pollen grains during the hydration-activation process. METHODS A combination of transmission electron microscopy and immunocytochemical methods was used to locate allergenic proteins in U. dioica pollen grains after different periods of hydration-activation using the anti-Par j 1 (4.1.3.) monoclonal antibody and serum samples from allergic patients. RESULTS No significant labeling was noted for Parj 1 allergen after 10, 15, and 20 minutes in the walls and cytoplasm. Slight labeling was observed for allergic proteins in the walls of U. dioica after 10 minutes of hydration, and no significant labeling was found after 15 and 20 minutes of hydration. CONCLUSIONS Immunocytochemical methods confirmed the absence of cross-reactivity between 2 related genera, Parietaria and Urtica, and the lowest allergenic potential of U. dioica.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ana María Vega-Maray
- Department of Vegetal Biology (Botany), Faculty of Biology, University of León, Spain.
| | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
9
|
Vega-Maray AM, Fernández-González D, Valencia-Barrera R, Suárez-Cervera M. Detection and release of allergenic proteins in Parietaria judaica pollen grains. Protoplasma 2006; 228:115-20. [PMID: 16937063 DOI: 10.1007/s00709-006-0172-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2005] [Accepted: 06/08/2005] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
Rapid diffusion of allergenic proteins in isotonic media has been demonstrated for different pollen grains. Upon contact with stigmatic secretion or with the mucosa of sensitive individuals, pollen grains absorb water and release soluble low-molecular-weight proteins, these proteins enter in the secretory pathway in order to arrive at the cell surface. In this study we located allergenic proteins in mature and hydrated-activated pollen grains of Parietaria judaica L. (Urticaceae) and studied the diffusion of these proteins during the first 20 min of the hydration and activation processes. A combination of transmission electron microscopy and immunocytochemical methods was used to locate these proteins in mature pollen and in pollen grains after different periods of hydration and activation processes. Activated proteins reacting with antibodies in human serum from allergic patients were found in the cytoplasm, wall, and exudates from the pollen grains. The allergenic component of these pollen grains changes according to the pollen state; the presence of these proteins in the exine, the cytoplasm, and especially in the intine and in the material exuded from the pollen grains, is significant in the hydrated-activated studied times, whereas this presence is not significant in mature pollen grains. The rapid activation and release of allergenic proteins of P. judaica pollen appears to be the main cause of the allergenic activity of these pollen grains.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- A M Vega-Maray
- Department of Plant Biology, Faculty of Biology, University of León, León, Spain.
| | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
10
|
Rodríguez-Rajo FJ, Valencia-Barrera RM, Vega-Maray AM, Suárez FJ, Fernández-González D, Jato V. Prediction of airborne Alnus pollen concentration by using ARIMA models. Ann Agric Environ Med 2006; 13:25-32. [PMID: 16841868] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
To take preventative measures to protect allergic people from the severity of the pollen season, one of aerobiology's objectives is to develop statistical models enabling the short- and long-term prediction of atmospheric pollen concentrations. During recent years some attempts have been made to apply Time Series analysis, frequently used in biomedical studies and atmospheric contamination to pollen series. The aim of this study is to understand the behaviour of atmospheric alder pollen concentrations in northwest Spain in order to develop predictive models of pollen concentrations by using Time Series analysis. The prediction line proposed for Oviedo and Ponferrada are similar (Arima 2,0,1) while in Vigo a more accurate model founded by Arima (3,0,1) and in Leon (1,0,1) was used. The results suggest that Ponferrada and Oviedo are the cities in northwest Spain where Alnus pollen allergic individuals should to take preventive measures to protect themselves from the severity of the pollen season. Alnus pollen values higher than 30 grains/m3, a quantity considered sufficient to trigger severe allergy symptoms of other trees of the Betulaceae family, could be reached during 25 days in some years. The predicted lines conformed with the observed values overall in the case of Leon and Ponferrada. Time Series regression models are especially suitable in allergology for evaluating short-term effects of time-varying pollen appearance in the atmosphere.
Collapse
|