Lung function trajectories from school age to adulthood and their relationship with markers of cardiovascular disease risk

RATIONALE

Lung function in early adulthood is associated with subsequent adverse health outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

To ascertain whether stable and reproducible lung function trajectories can be derived in different populations and investigate their association with objective measures of cardiovascular structure and function.

METHODS

Using latent profile modelling, we studied three population-based birth cohorts with repeat spirometry data from childhood into early adulthood to identify trajectories of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC). We used multinomial logistic regression models to investigate early-life predictors of the derived trajectories. We then ascertained the extent of the association between the derived FEV1/FVC trajectories and blood pressure and echocardiographic markers of increased cardiovascular risk and stroke in ~3200 participants at age 24 years in one of our cohorts.

RESULTS

We identified four FEV1/FVC trajectories with strikingly similar latent profiles across cohorts (pooled N=6377): above average (49.5%); average (38.3%); below average (10.6%); and persistently low (1.7%). Male sex, wheeze, asthma diagnosis/medication and allergic sensitisation were associated with trajectories with diminished lung function in all cohorts. We found evidence of an increase in cardiovascular risk markers ascertained by echocardiography (including left ventricular mass indexed to height and carotid intima-media thickness) with decreasing FEV1/FVC (with p values for the mean crude effects per-trajectory ranging from 0.10 to p<0.001). In this analysis, we considered trajectories as a pseudo-continuous variable; we confirmed the assumption of linearity in all the regression models.

CONCLUSIONS

Childhood lung function trajectories may serve as predictors in the development of not only future lung disease, but also the cardiovascular disease and multimorbidity in adulthood.

Component-specific clusters for diagnosis and prediction of allergic airway diseases

BACKGROUND

Previous studies which applied machine learning on multiplex component-resolved diagnostics arrays identified clusters of allergen components which are biologically plausible and reflect the sources of allergenic proteins and their structural homogeneity. Sensitization to different clusters is associated with different clinical outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether within different allergen component sensitization clusters, the internal within-cluster sensitization structure, including the number of c-sIgE responses and their distinct patterns, alters the risk of clinical expression of symptoms.

METHODS

In a previous analysis in a population-based birth cohort, by clustering component-specific (c-s)IgEs, we derived allergen component clusters from infancy to adolescence. In the current analysis, we defined each subject's within-cluster sensitization structure which captured the total number of c-sIgE responses in each cluster and intra-cluster sensitization patterns. Associations between within-cluster sensitization patterns and clinical outcomes (asthma and rhinitis) in early-school age and adolescence were examined using logistic regression and binomial generalized additive models.

RESULTS

Intra-cluster sensitization patterns revealed specific associations with asthma and rhinitis (both contemporaneously and longitudinally) that were previously unseen using binary sensitization to clusters. A more detailed description of the subjects' within-cluster c-sIgE responses in terms of the number of positive c-sIgEs and unique sensitization patterns added new information relevant to allergic diseases, both for diagnostic and prognostic purposes. For example, the increase in the number of within-cluster positive c-sIgEs at age 5 years was correlated with the increase in prevalence of asthma at ages 5 and 16 years, with the correlations being stronger in the prediction context (e.g. for the largest 'Broad' component cluster, contemporaneous: r = .28, p = .012; r = .22, p = .043; longitudinal: r = .36, p = .004; r = .27, p = .04).

CONCLUSION

Among sensitized individuals, a more detailed description of within-cluster c-sIgE responses in terms of the number of positive c-sIgE responses and distinct sensitization patterns, adds potentially important information relevant to allergic diseases.

Exhaled Volatile Organic Compounds for Asthma Control Classification in Children with Moderate to Severe Asthma: Results from the SysPharmPediA Study

RATIONALE

Early identification of children with poorly controlled asthma is imperative for optimizing treatment strategies. The analysis of exhaled volatile organic compounds (VOCs) is an emerging approach to identify prognostic and diagnostic biomarkers in pediatric asthma.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the accuracy of gas chromatography-mass spectrometry based exhaled metabolite analysis to differentiate between controlled and uncontrolled pediatric asthma.

METHODS

This study encompassed a discovery (SysPharmPediA) and validation phase (U-BIOPRED, PANDA). Firstly, exhaled VOCs that discriminated asthma control levels were identified. Subsequently, outcomes were validated in two independent cohorts. Patients were classified as controlled or uncontrolled, based on asthma control test scores and number of severe attacks in the past year. Additionally, potential of VOCs in predicting two or more future severe asthma attacks in SysPharmPediA was evaluated.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Complete data were available for 196 children (SysPharmPediA=100, U-BIOPRED=49, PANDA=47). In SysPharmPediA, after randomly splitting the population into training (n=51) and test sets (n=49), three compounds (acetophenone, ethylbenzene, and styrene) distinguished between uncontrolled and controlled asthmatics. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC) for training and test sets were respectively: 0.83 (95% CI: 0.65-1.00) and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.58-0.96). Combinations of these VOCs resulted in AUROCCs of 0.74 ±0.06 (UBIOPRED) and 0.68 ±0.05 (PANDA). Attacks prediction tests, resulted in AUROCCs of 0.71 (95% CI 0.51-0.91) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.52-0.90) for training and test sets.

CONCLUSIONS

Exhaled metabolites analysis might enable asthma control classification in children. This should stimulate further development of exhaled metabolites-based point-of-care tests in asthma.

Association between polymorphisms on chromosome 17q12-q21 and rhinovirus-induced interferon responses

BACKGROUND

Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genes on chromosome 17q12-q21 are associated with childhood-onset asthma and rhinovirus-induced wheeze. There are few mechanistic data linking chromosome 17q12-q21 to wheezing illness.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated whether 17q12-q21 risk alleles were associated with impaired interferon responses to rhinovirus.

METHODS

In a population-based birth cohort of European ancestry, we stimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells with rhinovirus A1 (RV-A1) and rhinovirus A16 (RV-A16) and measured IFN and IFN-induced C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10 (aka IP10) responses in supernatants. We investigated associations between virus-induced cytokines and 6 SNPs in 17q12-q21. Bayesian profile regression was applied to identify clusters of individuals with different immune response profiles and genetic variants.

RESULTS

Five SNPs (in high linkage disequilibrium, r2 ≥ 0.8) were significantly associated with RV-A1-induced IFN-β (rs9303277, P = .010; rs11557467, P = .012; rs2290400, P = .006; rs7216389, P = .008; rs8079416, P = .005). A reduction in RV-A1-induced IFN-β was observed among individuals with asthma risk alleles. There were no significant associations for RV-A1-induced IFN-α or CXCL10, or for any RV-A16-induced IFN/CXCL10. Bayesian profile regression analysis identified 3 clusters that differed in IFN-β induction to RV-A1 (low, medium, high). The typical genetic profile of the cluster associated with low RV-A1-induced IFN-β responses was characterized by a very high probability of being homozygous for the asthma risk allele for all SNPs. Children with persistent wheeze were almost 3 times more likely to be in clusters with reduced/average RV-A1-induced IFN-β responses than in the high immune response cluster.

CONCLUSIONS

Polymorphisms on chromosome 17q12-q21 are associated with rhinovirus-induced IFN-β, suggesting a novel mechanism-impaired IFN-β induction-links 17q12-q21 risk alleles with asthma/wheeze.

Obstructive and restrictive spirometry from school age to adulthood: three birth cohort studies

Background

Spirometric obstruction and restriction are two patterns of impaired lung function which are predictive of poor health. We investigated the development of these phenotypes and their transitions through childhood to early adulthood.

Methods

In this study, we analysed pooled data from three UK population-based birth cohorts established between 1989 and 1995. We applied descriptive statistics, regression modelling and data-driven modelling to data from three population-based birth cohorts with at least three spirometry measures from childhood to adulthood (mid-school: 8-10 years, n = 8404; adolescence: 15-18, n = 5764; and early adulthood: 20-26, n = 4680). Participants were assigned to normal, restrictive, and obstructive spirometry based on adjusted regression residuals. We considered two transitions: from 8-10 to 15-18 and from 15-18 to 20-26 years.

Findings

Obstructive phenotype was observed in ∼10%, and restrictive in ∼9%. A substantial proportion of children with impaired lung function in school age (between one third in obstructive and a half in restricted phenotype) improved and achieved normal and stable lung function to early adulthood. Of those with normal lung function in school-age, <5% declined to adulthood. Underweight restrictive and obese obstructive participants were less likely to transit to normal. Maternal smoking during pregnancy and current asthma diagnosis increased the risk of persistent obstruction and worsening. Significant associate of worsening in restrictive phenotypes was lower BMI at the first lung function assessment. Data-driven methodologies identified similar risk factors for obstructive and restrictive clusters.

Interpretation

The worsening and improvement in obstructive and restrictive spirometry were observed at all ages. Maintaining optimal weight during childhood and reducing maternal smoking during pregnancy may reduce spirometry obstruction and restriction and improve lung function.

Funding

MRC Grant MR/S025340/1.

Identification of eczema clusters and their association with filaggrin and atopic comorbidities: analysis of five birth cohorts

BACKGROUND

Longitudinal modelling of the presence/absence of current eczema through childhood has identified similar phenotypes, but their characteristics often differ between studies.

OBJECTIVES

To demonstrate that a more comprehensive description of longitudinal pattern of symptoms may better describe trajectories than binary information on eczema presence.

METHODS

We derived six multidimensional variables of eczema spells from birth to 18 years of age (including duration, temporal sequencing and the extent of persistence/recurrence). Spells were defined as consecutive observations of eczema separated by no eczema across 5 epochs in five birth cohorts: infancy (first year); early childhood (age 2-3 years); preschool/early school age (4-5 years); middle childhood (8-10 years); adolescence (14-18 years). We applied Partitioning Around Medoids clustering on these variables to derive clusters of the temporal patterns of eczema. We then investigated the stability of the clusters, within-cluster homogeneity and associated risk factors, including FLG mutations.

RESULTS

Analysis of 7464 participants with complete data identified five clusters: (i) no eczema (51.0%); (ii) early transient eczema (21.6%); (iii) late-onset eczema (LOE; 8.1%); (iv) intermittent eczema (INT; 7.5%); and (v) persistent eczema (PE; 11.8%). There was very-high agreement between the assignment of individual children into clusters when using complete or imputed (n = 15 848) data (adjusted Rand index = 0.99; i.e. the clusters were very stable). Within-individual symptom patterns across clusters confirmed within-cluster homogeneity, with consistent patterns of symptoms among participants within each cluster and no overlap between the clusters. Clusters were characterized by differences in associations with risk factors (e.g. parental eczema was associated with all clusters apart from LOE; sensitization to inhalant allergens was associated with all clusters, with the highest risk in the PE cluster). All clusters apart from LOE were associated with FLG mutations. Of note, the strongest association was for PE [relative risk ratio (RRR) 2.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.24-3.26; P < 0.001] followed by INT (RRR 2.29, 95% CI 1.82-2.88; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Clustering of multidimensional variables identified stable clusters with different genetic architectures. Using multidimensional variables may capture eczema development and derive stable and internally homogeneous clusters. However, deriving homogeneous symptom clusters does not necessarily mean that these are underpinned by completely unique mechanisms.

Circulating CC16 and Asthma: A Population-based, Multicohort Study from Early Childhood through Adult Life

Rationale: Club cell secretory protein (CC16) is an antiinflammatory protein highly expressed in the airways. CC16 deficiency has been associated with lung function deficits, but its role in asthma has not been established conclusively. Objectives: To determine 1) the longitudinal association of circulating CC16 with the presence of active asthma from early childhood through adult life and 2) whether CC16 in early childhood predicts the clinical course of childhood asthma into adult life. Methods: We assessed the association of circulating CC16 and asthma in three population-based birth cohorts: the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (years 6-36; total participants, 814; total observations, 3,042), the Swedish Barn/Children, Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological survey (years 8-24; total participants, 2,547; total observations, 3,438), and the UK Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (years 5-18; total participants, 745; total observations, 1,626). Among 233 children who had asthma at the first survey in any of the cohorts, baseline CC16 was also tested for association with persistence of symptoms. Measurements and Main Results: After adjusting for covariates, CC16 deficits were associated with increased risk for the presence of asthma in all cohorts (meta-analyzed adjusted odds ratio per 1-SD CC16 decrease, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.28; P < 0.0001). The association was particularly strong for asthma with frequent symptoms (meta-analyzed adjusted relative risk ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.24-1.57; P < 0.0001), was confirmed for both atopic and nonatopic asthma, and was independent of lung function impairment. After adjustment for known predictors of persistent asthma, children with asthma in the lowest CC16 tertile had a nearly fourfold increased risk for having frequent symptoms persisting into adult life compared with children with asthma in the other two CC16 tertiles (meta-analyzed adjusted odds ratio, 3.72; 95% CI, 1.78-7.76; P < 0.0001). Conclusions: Circulating CC16 deficits are associated with the presence of asthma with frequent symptoms from childhood through midadult life and predict the persistence of asthma symptoms into adulthood. These findings support a possible protective role of CC16 in asthma and its potential use for risk stratification.

Oropharyngeal Microbiota Clusters in Children with Asthma or Wheeze Associate with Allergy, Blood Transcriptomic Immune Pathways, and Exacerbation Risk

Rationale: Children with preschool wheezing or school-age asthma are reported to have airway microbial imbalances. Objectives: To identify clusters in children with asthma or wheezing using oropharyngeal microbiota profiles. Methods: Oropharyngeal swabs from the U-BIOPRED (Unbiased Biomarkers for the Prediction of Respiratory Disease Outcomes) pediatric asthma or wheezing cohort were characterized using 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing, and unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed on the Bray-Curtis β-diversity. Enrichment scores of the Molecular Signatures Database hallmark gene sets were computed from the blood transcriptome using gene set variation analysis. Children with severe asthma or severe wheezing were followed up for 12-18 months, with assessment of the frequency of exacerbations. Measurements and Main Results: Oropharyngeal samples from 241 children (age range, 1-17 years; 40% female) revealed four taxa-driven clusters dominated by Streptococcus, Veillonella, Rothia, and Haemophilus. The clusters showed significant differences in atopic dermatitis, grass pollen sensitization, FEV1% predicted after salbutamol, and annual asthma exacerbation frequency during follow-up. The Veillonella cluster was the most allergic and included the highest percentage of children with two or more exacerbations per year during follow-up. The oropharyngeal clusters were different in the enrichment scores of TGF-β (transforming growth factor-β) (highest in the Veillonella cluster) and Wnt/β-catenin signaling (highest in the Haemophilus cluster) transcriptomic pathways in blood (all q values <0.05). Conclusions: Analysis of the oropharyngeal microbiota of children with asthma or wheezing identified four clusters with distinct clinical characteristics (phenotypes) that associate with risk for exacerbation and transcriptomic pathways involved in airway remodeling. This suggests that further exploration of the oropharyngeal microbiota may lead to novel pathophysiologic insights and potentially new treatment approaches.

A meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of childhood wheezing phenotypes identifies ANXA1 as a susceptibility locus for persistent wheezing

Background

Many genes associated with asthma explain only a fraction of its heritability. Most genome-wide association studies (GWASs) used a broad definition of 'doctor-diagnosed asthma', thereby diluting genetic signals by not considering asthma heterogeneity. The objective of our study was to identify genetic associates of childhood wheezing phenotypes.

Methods

We conducted a novel multivariate GWAS meta-analysis of wheezing phenotypes jointly derived using unbiased analysis of data collected from birth to 18 years in 9,568 individuals from five UK birth-cohorts.

Results

44 independent SNPs were associated with early-onset persistent, 25 with preschool remitting, 33 with mid-childhood remitting and 32 with late-onset wheeze. We identified a novel locus on chr9q21.13 (close to annexin 1 (ANXA1), p<6.7×10^-9), associated exclusively with early-onset persistent wheeze. We identified rs75260654 as the most likely causative single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) using Promoter Capture Hi-C loops, and then showed that the risk allele (T) confers a reduction in ANXA1 expression. Finally, in a murine model of house dust mite (HDM)-induced allergic airway disease, we demonstrated that anxa1 protein expression increased and anxa1 mRNA was significantly induced in lung tissue following HDM exposure. Using anxa1^-/- deficient mice, we showed that loss of anxa1 results in heightened airway hyperreactivity and Th2 inflammation upon allergen challenge.

Conclusions

Targeting this pathway in persistent disease may represent an exciting therapeutic prospect.

Funding

UK Medical Research Council Programme Grant MR/S025340/1 and the Wellcome Trust Strategic Award (108,818/15/Z) provided most of the funding for this study.

Dog ownership in infancy is protective for persistent wheeze in 17q21 asthma-risk carriers

BACKGROUND

Asthma-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms from large genome-wide association studies only explain a fraction of genetic heritability. Likely causes of the missing heritability include broad phenotype definitions and gene-environment interactions (GxE). The mechanisms underlying GxE in asthma are poorly understood. Previous GxE studies on pet ownership showed discordant results.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to study the GxE between the 17q12-21 locus and pet ownership in infancy in relation to wheeze.

METHODS

Wheezing classes derived from 5 UK-based birth cohorts (latent class analysis) were used to study GxE between the 17q12-21 asthma-risk variant rs2305480 and dog and cat ownership in infancy, using multinomial logistic regression. A total of 9149 children had both pet ownership and genotype data available. Summary statistics from individual analyses were meta-analyzed.

RESULTS

rs2305480 G allele was associated with increased risk of persistent wheeze (additive model odds ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.25-1.51). There was no evidence of an association between dog or cat ownership and wheeze. We found significant evidence of a GxE interaction between rs2305480 and dog ownership (P = 8.3 × 10-4) on persistent wheeze; among dog owners, the G allele was no longer associated with an increased risk of persistent wheeze (additive model odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.73-1.24). For those without pets, G allele was associated with increased risk of persistent wheeze (odds ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.40-1.86). Among cat owners, no such dampening of the genetic effect was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Among dog owners, rs2305480 G was no longer associated with an increased risk of persistent wheeze (or asthma). Early-life environmental exposures may therefore attenuate likelihood of asthma in those carrying 17q12-21 risk alleles.

Environmental influences on childhood asthma: Allergens

Allergen exposure is associated with the development of allergen-specific sensitization, but their relationship is influenced by other contemporaneous exposures (such as microbial exposure) and the genetic predisposition of the host. Clinical outcomes of the primary prevention studies that tested the effectiveness of allergen avoidance in pregnancy and early life on the subsequent development of sensitization and asthma published to date are inconsistent. Therefore, we cannot provide any evidence-based advice on the use of allergen avoidance for the primary prevention of these conditions. The evidence about the impact of allergen exposure among and among sensitized children with asthma is more consistent, and the combination of sensitization and high exposure to sensitizing allergen increases airway inflammation, triggers symptoms, adversely impacts upon disease control, and is associated with poorer lung function in preschool age. However, there are differing opinions about the role of inhalant allergen avoidance in asthma management, and recommendations differ in different guidelines. Evidence from more recent high-quality trials suggests that mite allergen-impermeable bed encasings reduce hospital attendance with asthma attacks and that multifaceted targeted environmental control improves asthma control in children. We therefore suggest a pragmatic approach to allergen avoidance in the management of childhood asthma for clinical practice, including the recommendations to: (1) tailor the intervention to the patient's sensitization and exposure status by using titer of allergen-specific IgE antibodies and/or the size of the skin test as indicators of potential response; (2) use a multifaceted allergen control regime to reduce exposure as much as possible; and (3) start intervention as early as possible upon diagnosis.

Evolution of Eczema, Wheeze, and Rhinitis from Infancy to Early Adulthood: Four Birth Cohort Studies

Rationale: The relationship between eczema, wheeze or asthma, and rhinitis is complex, and epidemiology and mechanisms of their comorbidities is unclear. Objectives: To investigate within-individual patterns of morbidity of eczema, wheeze, and rhinitis from birth to adolescence/early adulthood. Methods: We investigated onset, progression, and resolution of eczema, wheeze, and rhinitis using descriptive statistics, sequence mining, and latent Markov modeling in four population-based birth cohorts. We used logistic regression to ascertain if early-life eczema or wheeze, or genetic factors (filaggrin [FLG] mutations and 17q21 variants), increase the risk of multimorbidity. Measurements and Main Results: Single conditions, although the most prevalent, were observed significantly less frequently than by chance. There was considerable variation in the timing of onset/remission/persistence/intermittence. Multimorbidity of eczema+wheeze+rhinitis was rare but significantly overrepresented (three to six times more often than by chance). Although infantile eczema was associated with subsequent multimorbidity, most children with eczema (75.4%) did not progress to any multimorbidity pattern. FLG mutations and rs7216389 were not associated with persistence of eczema/wheeze as single conditions, but both increased the risk of multimorbidity (FLG by 2- to 3-fold, rs7216389 risk variant by 1.4- to 1.7-fold). Latent Markov modeling revealed five latent states (no disease/low risk, mainly eczema, mainly wheeze, mainly rhinitis, multimorbidity). The most likely transition to multimorbidity was from eczema state (0.21). However, although this was one of the highest transition probabilities, only one-fifth of those with eczema transitioned to multimorbidity. Conclusions: Atopic diseases fit a multimorbidity framework, with no evidence for sequential atopic march progression. The highest transition to multimorbidity was from eczema, but most children with eczema (more than three-quarters) had no comorbidities.

Development of Core Outcome Measures sets for paediatric and adult Severe Asthma (COMSA)

BACKGROUND

Effectiveness studies with biological therapies for asthma lack standardised outcome measures. The COMSA (Core Outcome Measures sets for paediatric and adult Severe Asthma) working group sought to develop Core Outcome Measures (COM) sets to facilitate better synthesis of data and appraisal of biologics in paediatric and adult asthma clinical studies.

METHODS

COMSA utilised a multi-stakeholder consensus process among patients with severe asthma, adult, and paediatric clinicians, pharmaceutical representatives and health regulators from across Europe. Evidence included a systematic review of development, validity, and reliability of selected outcome measures plus a narrative review and a pan-European survey to better understand patients' and carers' views about outcome measures. It was discussed using a modified GRADE Evidence to Decision framework. Anonymous voting was conducted using predefined consensus criteria.

RESULTS

Both adult and paediatric COM sets include forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) as z scores, annual frequency of severe exacerbations and maintenance oral corticosteroid use. Additionally, the paediatric COM set includes the Paediatric Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire, and Asthma Control Test (ACT) or Childhood-ACT while the adult COM includes the Severe Asthma Questionnaire and the Asthma Control Questionnaire-6 (symptoms and rescue medication use reported separately).

CONCLUSIONS

This patient-centred collaboration has produced two COM sets for paediatric and adult severe asthma. It is expected that they will inform the methodology of future clinical trials, enhance comparability of efficacy and effectiveness of biological therapies, and help assess their socioeconomic value. COMSA will inform definitions of non-response and response to biological therapy for severe asthma.

Community seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in children and adolescents in England, 2019-2021

OBJECTIVE

To understand community seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in children and adolescents. This is vital to understanding the susceptibility of this cohort to COVID-19 and to inform public health policy for disease control such as immunisation.

DESIGN

We conducted a community-based cross-sectional seroprevalence study in participants aged 0-18 years old recruiting from seven regions in England between October 2019 and June 2021 and collecting extensive demographic and symptom data. Serum samples were tested for antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 spike and nucleocapsid proteins using Roche assays processed at UK Health Security Agency laboratories. Prevalence estimates were calculated for six time periods and were standardised by age group, ethnicity and National Health Service region.

RESULTS

Post-first wave (June-August 2020), the (anti-spike IgG) adjusted seroprevalence was 5.2%, varying from 0.9% (participants 10-14 years old) to 9.5% (participants 5-9 years old). By April-June 2021, this had increased to 19.9%, varying from 13.9% (participants 0-4 years old) to 32.7% (participants 15-18 years old). Minority ethnic groups had higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity than white participants (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.0 to 2.0), after adjusting for sex, age, region, time period, deprivation and urban/rural geography. In children <10 years, there were no symptoms or symptom clusters that reliably predicted seropositivity. Overall, 48% of seropositive participants with complete questionnaire data recalled no symptoms between February 2020 and their study visit.

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately one-third of participants aged 15-18 years old had evidence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 prior to the introduction of widespread vaccination. These data demonstrate that ethnic background is independently associated with risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04061382.

Defining the normal range of fractional exhaled nitric oxide in children: one size does not fit all

Background

The normal range of fractional exhaled nitric oxide (F ENO) is influenced by demographic factors. However, single, fixed cut-off values are used for clinical interpretation in children despite rapid growth. We aimed to define the normal range of F ENO during childhood and evaluate its utility in a diagnostic setting.

Method

F ENO percentile charts were developed using data from nonasthmatic children in a population-based birth cohort (Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study). Children were skin prick tested, F ENO measured at the ages of 8, 11, 13-16 and 18 years and clinical information collected. This chart was externally validated in the Study of Eczema and Asthma to Observe the Influence of Nutrition (SEATON) cohort before being prospectively tested in symptomatic, treatment-naïve patients with suspected asthma in a diagnostic setting (Rapid Access Diagnostics for Asthma study).

Results

Height, weight, body mass index and age were predictive of F ENO in univariate analysis using 1220 F ENO measurements. Only height remained significant after adjustment in the overall, nonatopic and atopic populations, and was included in the predictive equations for 50th, 75th 90th and 98th percentiles. The proposed percentile lines corresponded to the 57th (95% CI 53rd-61st), 80th (76th-83rd), 90th (87th-92nd) and 98th (96th-99th) percentiles in the SEATON cohort (660 measurements). When tested in 73 symptomatic treatment-naïve children and young adults (median (interquartile range) age: 11 (8-14) years), an F ENO >90th percentile gave a 96% specificity and positive predictive value of 97%, identifying 59% of children who were subsequently diagnosed with asthma after extensive testing.

Conclusion

We developed a height-based F ENO percentile chart which quantifies the probability of asthma in symptomatic children and merits further validation towards clinical implementation.

Modeling Wheezing Spells Identifies Phenotypes with Different Outcomes and Genetic Associates

Rationale: Longitudinal modeling of current wheezing identified similar phenotypes, but their characteristics often differ between studies. Objectives: We propose that a more comprehensive description of wheeze may better describe trajectories than binary information on the presence/absence of wheezing. Methods: We derived six multidimensional variables of wheezing spells from birth to adolescence (including duration, temporal sequencing, and the extent of persistence/recurrence). We applied partition-around-medoids clustering on these variables to derive phenotypes in five birth cohorts. We investigated within- and between-phenotype differences compared with binary latent class analysis models and ascertained associations of these phenotypes with asthma and lung function and with polymorphisms in asthma loci 17q12-21 and CDHR3 (cadherin-related family member 3). Measurements and Main Results: Analysis among 7,719 participants with complete data identified five spell-based wheeze phenotypes with a high degree of certainty: never (54.1%), early-transient (ETW) (23.7%), late-onset (LOW) (6.9%), persistent (PEW) (8.3%), and a novel phenotype, intermittent wheeze (INT) (6.9%). FEV₁/FVC was lower in PEW and INT compared with ETW and LOW and declined from age 8 years to adulthood in INT. 17q12-21 and CDHR3 polymorphisms were associated with higher odds of PEW and INT, but not ETW or LOW. Latent class analysis- and spell-based phenotypes appeared similar, but within-phenotype individual trajectories and phenotype allocation differed substantially. The spell-based approach was much more robust in dealing with missing data, and the derived clusters were more stable and internally homogeneous. Conclusions: Modeling of spell variables identified a novel intermittent wheeze phenotype associated with lung function decline to early adulthood. Using multidimensional spell variables may better capture wheeze development and provide a more robust input for phenotype derivation.

Early-life predictors and risk factors of peanut allergy, and its association with asthma in later-life: Population-based birth cohort study

BACKGROUND

Understanding risk factors for peanut allergy (PA) is essential to develop effective preventive measures.

OBJECTIVE

To ascertain associates and predictors of PA, and the relationship between PA and asthma severity.

METHODS

In a population-based birth cohort, we investigated the association between objectively confirmed PA with early-life environmental exposures, filaggrin (FLG)-loss-of-function mutations and other atopic disease. We then examined the association of PA with longitudinal trajectories of sensitisation, wheeze and allergic comorbidities, which were previously derived using machine learning. Finally, we ascertained the relationship between PA and asthma severity.

RESULTS

PA was confirmed in 30/959 participants with evaluable data. In the multivariate analysis, eczema in infancy (OR=4.4, 95% CI 1.5-13.2, p=0.007), egg sensitisation at age 3 years (OR=9.7, 95% CI 3.3-29.9, p<0.001) and early-life cat ownership (OR=3.0, 95% CI 1.1-8.4, p=0.04) were independent associates of PA. In the stratified analysis among 700 participants with genetic information, in children with early-life eczema there was no difference in FLG mutations between children with and without PA (3/18 [16.7%] vs. 42/220 [19.1%], p=1.00). In contrast, among children without eczema, those with PA were almost 8-times more likely to have FLG mutations (2/6 [33.3%] vs. 27/456 [5.9%], p=0.049). We observed associations between PA and multiple allergic sensitisation profiles derived using machine learning, with ~60-fold increase in risk amongst individuals assigned to multiple early sensitisation. PA was significantly associated with persistent wheeze (but not other wheeze phenotypes), and with trajectories of atopic disease characterised by co-morbid persistent eczema and wheeze (but not with transient phenotypes). Children with PA were more likely to have asthma, but among asthmatics we found no evidence of an association between PA and asthma severity.

CONCLUSIONS

Peanut allergy is associated with multiple IgE-sensitisation and early-onset persistent eczema and wheeze. FLG loss-of-function mutations were associated with peanut allergy in children without eczema.

Modelling trajectories of parentally reported and physician-confirmed atopic dermatitis in a birth cohort study

BACKGROUND

In a population-based birth cohort, we aimed to identify longitudinal trajectories of atopic dermatitis (AD) during childhood using data from different sources (validated questionnaires and healthcare records). We investigated the impact of different AD definitions on such trajectories and their relationships with various risk factors.

METHODS

Of the 1184 children born into the study, 1083 had information on current AD for at least three follow-ups from birth to age 11 years and were included in the analysis for parentally reported AD (PRAD). Data were transcribed from healthcare records for 916 of 1184 children for the analysis of doctor-diagnosed AD (DDAD). We also derived a composite definition of AD (CDAD) (at least two of the following: PRAD, DDAD, current use of AD treatment). Using latent class analysis (LCA), we determined longitudinal profiles of AD using the three definitions. Filaggrin (FLG) genotype data were available for 803 white participants.

RESULTS

For PRAD, LCA identified four AD classes ('no AD', 'persistent', 'early-onset remitting' and 'late-onset'). For DDAD and CDAD, the optimal number of phenotypes was three ('no AD', 'persistent' and 'early-onset remitting'). Although AD classes at population level appeared similar in different models, a considerable proportion of children (n = 485, 45%) moved between classes. The association with FLG genotype, atopic diseases and early-life risk factors was inconsistent across different definitions, but the association with oral food challenge-confirmed peanut allergy was similar, with a nine- to 11-fold increase among children in the persistent AD class. In a CDAD model, compared with the early-onset remitting class, those with persistent AD were significantly more likely to have (at age 3 years) moderate/severe AD, polysensitization and current wheeze, and were less likely to have been breastfed.

CONCLUSIONS

Standardized composite definitions of AD may help to define AD cases with more precision and identify more consistent long-term trajectories.

Does Sleep Position Influence Sleep-Disordered Breathing in Infants With Cleft Palate: A Feasibility Study?

OBJECTIVE

Cleft palate (CP) can affect breathing, leading to sleep-disordered breathing (SDB). Sleep position can affect SDB, but the optimum sleep position for infants with CP is unknown. We aimed to determine the design of a pragmatic study to investigate the effect of the 2 routinely advised sleep positions in infants with CP on oxygen saturations.

DESIGN

A multicentered observational cohort.

SETTING

Four UK-based cleft centers, 2 advising supine- and 2 side-lying sleep positions for infants with CP.

PARTICIPANTS

Infants with isolated CP born July 1, 2015, and December 31, 2016. Of 48 eligible infants, 30 consented (17 side-lying; 13 supine).

INTERVENTIONS

Oxygen saturation (SpO2) and end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO2) home monitoring at age 1 and 3 months. Qualitative interviews of parents.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Willingness to participate, recruitment, retention, and acceptability/success (>90 minutes recording) of SpO2 and ETCO2 monitoring.

RESULTS

SpO2 recordings were obtained during 50 sleep sessions on 24 babies (13 side-lying) at 1 month (34 sessions >90 minutes) and 50 sessions on 19 babies (10 side-lying) at 3 months (27 sessions >90 minutes). The ETCO2 monitoring was only achieved in 12 sessions at 1 month and 6 at 3 months; only 1 was >90 minutes long. The ETCO2 monitoring was reported by the majority as unacceptable. Parents consistently reported the topic of sleep position in CP to be of importance.

CONCLUSIONS

This study has demonstrated that it is feasible to perform domiciliary oxygen saturation studies in a research setting and has suggested that there may be a difference in the effects of sleep position that requires further investigation. We propose a study with randomization is indicated, comparing side-lying with supine-lying sleep position, representing an important step toward better understanding of SDB in infants with CP.

Integration of Genomic Risk Scores to Improve the Prediction of Childhood Asthma Diagnosis

Genome-wide and epigenome-wide association studies have identified genetic variants and differentially methylated nucleotides associated with childhood asthma. Incorporation of such genomic data may improve performance of childhood asthma prediction models which use phenotypic and environmental data. Using genome-wide genotype and methylation data at birth from the Isle of Wight Birth Cohort (n = 1456), a polygenic risk score (PRS), and newborn (nMRS) and childhood (cMRS) methylation risk scores, were developed to predict childhood asthma diagnosis. Each risk score was integrated with two previously published childhood asthma prediction models (CAPE and CAPP) and were validated in the Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study. Individually, the genomic risk scores demonstrated modest-to-moderate discriminative performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC: PRS = 0.64, nMRS = 0.55, cMRS = 0.54), and their integration only marginally improved the performance of the CAPE (AUC: 0.75 vs. 0.71) and CAPP models (AUC: 0.84 vs. 0.82). The limited predictive performance of each genomic risk score individually and their inability to substantially improve upon the performance of the CAPE and CAPP models suggests that genetic and epigenetic predictors of the broad phenotype of asthma are unlikely to have clinical utility. Hence, further studies predicting specific asthma endotypes are warranted.

The role of growth and nutrition in the early origins of spirometric restriction in adult life: a longitudinal, multicohort, population-based study

BACKGROUND

Spirometric restriction, defined as a reduced forced vital capacity (FVC) with a preserved FEV1/FVC ratio, is associated with increased respiratory and non-respiratory comorbidities and all-cause mortality in adulthood. Little is known about the early origins of this condition. We sought to identify early-life risk factors for spirometric restriction in adult life.

METHODS

In this longitudinal, multicohort, population-based study, we used data from the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (TCRS), which recruited 1246 healthy infants at birth between April 1980, and October 1984, in Tucson, AZ, USA. Questionnaires were answered by the primary caregiver at enrolment, immediately after the child's birth, and multiple follow-up questionnaires were completed through childhood and adulthood. At the age of 22, 26, 32, and 36 years, lung function was measured with spirometry. At each survey, three mutually exclusive spirometric patterns were defined: (1) normal (FEV1/FVC ≥10th percentile and FVC ≥10th percentile); (2) restrictive (FEV1/FVC ≥10th percentile and FVC <10th percentile); and (3) obstructive (FEV1/FVC <10th percentile, independent of FVC). Data on demographic features and parental health factors were collected from questionnaires; pregnancy and perinatal data (including nutritional problems) and birth measurements were obtained from medical records; and weight, height, and body-mass index (BMI) during childhood (age 6-16 years) were measured by study nurses. The associations between early-life risk factors and spirometric patterns were assessed by multivariate multinomial logistic regression analysis, adjusted for survey year, sex, and race-ethnicity. Significant risk factors were further tested for replication in the Swedish Child (Barn), Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological (BAMSE; n=1817; spirometry surveys were done at age 24 years) survey and the UK Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS; n=411; spirometry surveys were done at age 18 years) birth cohorts, and fixed-effect meta-analyses of relative risk ratios (RRRs) from multinomial logistic regression models were done to generate a pooled estimate of the effect across the three cohorts. Measurements of body composition (MAAS; n=365) and total lung capacity (TCRS; n=173 and MAAS; n=407) were also available for a subset of participants.

FINDINGS

Of 1246 healthy infants included in TCRS, for the present study we included data for 652 participants who had at least one set of spirometry data, contributing up to 1668 observations. In the TCRS cohort, results from the multivariate models showed that maternal nutritional problems during pregnancy (RRR 2·48 [95% CI 1·30-4·76]; p=0·0062), being born small for gestational age (birthweight <10th percentile; 3·26 [1·34-7·93]; p=0·0093), and being underweight in childhood (BMI-for-age <5th percentile; 3·54 [1·35-9·26]; p=0·010) were independent predictors of spirometric restriction in adult life. Associations between being small for gestational age (p=0·0028) and underweight in childhood (p<0·0001) with adult spirometric restriction were supported by the results of meta-analysis of data from all three cohorts. In the MAAS cohort, having a low lean BMI (ie, <10th percentile) at age 11 years predicted adult (age 18 years) spirometric restriction (RRR 3·66 [1·48-9·02]; p=0·0048). These associations of spirometric restriction with small for gestational age, childhood underweight, and low lean BMI in childhood were verified in participants with spirometric restriction who had diminished total lung capacity, indicating that these factors specifically increase the risk of lung restriction.

INTERPRETATION

Poor growth and nutritional deficits in utero and throughout childhood precede and predict the development of spirometric restriction in adult life. Strategies to improve prenatal and childhood growth trajectories could help to prevent spirometric restriction and its associated morbidity and mortality burden.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health.

Spirometric phenotypes from early childhood to young adulthood: a Chronic Airway Disease Early Stratification study

Background

The prevalences of obstructive and restrictive spirometric phenotypes, and their relation to early-life risk factors from childhood to young adulthood remain poorly understood. The aim was to explore these phenotypes and associations with well-known respiratory risk factors across ages and populations in European cohorts.

Methods

We studied 49 334 participants from 14 population-based cohorts in different age groups (≤10, >10–15, >15–20, >20–25 years, and overall, 5–25 years). The obstructive phenotype was defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁)/forced vital capacity (FVC) z-score less than the lower limit of normal (LLN), whereas the restrictive phenotype was defined as FEV₁/FVC z-score ≥LLN, and FVC z-score <LLN.

Results

The prevalence of obstructive and restrictive phenotypes varied from 3.2–10.9% and 1.8–7.7%, respectively, without clear age trends. A diagnosis of asthma (adjusted odds ratio (aOR=2.55, 95% CI 2.14–3.04), preterm birth (aOR=1.84, 1.27–2.66), maternal smoking during pregnancy (aOR=1.16, 95% CI 1.01–1.35) and family history of asthma (aOR=1.44, 95% CI 1.25–1.66) were associated with a higher prevalence of obstructive, but not restrictive, phenotype across ages (5–25 years). A higher current body mass index (BMI was more often observed in those with the obstructive phenotype but less in those with the restrictive phenotype (aOR=1.05, 95% CI 1.03–1.06 and aOR=0.81, 95% CI 0.78–0.85, per kg·m⁻² increase in BMI, respectively). Current smoking was associated with the obstructive phenotype in participants older than 10 years (aOR=1.24, 95% CI 1.05–1.46).

Conclusion

Obstructive and restrictive phenotypes were found to be relatively prevalent during childhood, which supports the early origins concept. Several well-known respiratory risk factors were associated with the obstructive phenotype, whereas only low BMI was associated with the restrictive phenotype, suggesting different underlying pathobiology of these two phenotypes.

Obstructive and restrictive phenotypes are present from childhood to adulthood but without age trends. Established risk factors for airway disease are associated with the obstructive phenotype, whereas low BMI is associated with the restrictive.https://bit.ly/3BMoMtI

Childhood CCL18, CXCL10 and CXCL11 levels differentially relate to and predict allergy development

BACKGROUND

Chemokines are important mediators in immune cell recruitment, contributing to allergy development. However, extensive studies of chemokines in the circulation in relation to the presence and development of allergic diseases remain scarce. Our aim was to investigate associations of circulating allergy-related chemokines with the development of asthma and sensitization cross-sectionally and longitudinally in a population-based cohort.

METHODS

The chemokines CCL17, CCL22, CXCL10, CXCL11 and CCL18 were measured in plasma samples from children in the Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study. Samples were available from cord blood at birth (n = 376), age 1 (n = 195) and age 8 (n = 334). Cross-sectional and longitudinal association analyses were performed in relation to asthma and allergic sensitization, as well as allergic phenotype clusters previously derived using machine learning in the same study population.

RESULTS

In children with asthma and/or allergic sensitization, CCL18 levels were consistently elevated at 1 and/or 8 years of ages. In a longitudinal model including information on asthma from 4 time points (5, 8, 11 and 16 years of ages), we observed a significant association between increasing CCL18 levels at age 1 and a higher risk of asthma from early school age to adolescence (OR = 2.9, 95% CI 1.1-7.6, p = .028). We observed similar associations in longitudinal models for allergic sensitization. Asthma later in life was preceded by increased CXCL10 levels after birth and decreased CXCL11 levels at birth.

CONCLUSION

Elevated CCL18 levels throughout childhood precede the development of asthma and allergic sensitization. The Th1-associated chemokines CXCL10 and CXCL11 also associated with the development of both outcomes, with differential temporal effects.

Development of childhood asthma prediction models using machine learning approaches

BACKGROUND

Respiratory symptoms are common in early life and often transient. It is difficult to identify in which children these will persist and result in asthma. Machine learning (ML) approaches have the potential for better predictive performance and generalisability over existing childhood asthma prediction models. This study applied ML approaches to predict school-age asthma (age 10) in early life (Childhood Asthma Prediction in Early life, CAPE model) and at preschool age (Childhood Asthma Prediction at Preschool age, CAPP model).

METHODS

Clinical and environmental exposure data was collected from children enrolled in the Isle of Wight Birth Cohort (N = 1368, ∼15% asthma prevalence). Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) identified an optimal subset of features predictive of school-age asthma for each model. Seven state-of-the-art ML classification algorithms were used to develop prognostic models. Training was performed by applying fivefold cross-validation, imputation, and resampling. Predictive performance was evaluated on the test set. Models were further externally validated in the Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS) cohort.

RESULTS

RFE identified eight and twelve predictors for the CAPE and CAPP models, respectively. Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithms provided the best performance for both the CAPE (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC = 0.71) and CAPP (AUC = 0.82) models. Both models demonstrated good generalisability in MAAS (CAPE 8-year = 0.71, 11-year = 0.71, CAPP 8-year = 0.83, 11-year = 0.79) and excellent sensitivity to predict a subgroup of persistent wheezers.

CONCLUSION

Using ML approaches improved upon the predictive performance of existing regression-based models, with good generalisability and ability to rule in asthma and predict persistent wheeze.

Diagnosing Asthma With and Without Aerosol-Generating Procedures

BACKGROUND

Asthma diagnostic guidelines require procedures with aerosol-generating potential (aerosol-generating procedures [AGPs]) to guide decision making. Restricted access to AGPs poses significant challenges in primary care and resource-poor countries, further amplified during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE

To establish an approach to asthma diagnosis that does not require AGPs.

METHOD

Symptomatic yet untreated (beyond as-required bronchodilator use) adults with clinician-suspected asthma and maximum 10 pack year smoking history were recruited. Clinical history, physical examination, spirometry with bronchodilator reversibility, home peak flow monitoring, and bronchial challenges were performed, and fractional exhaled nitric oxide and serum eosinophils measured. Tests were then repeated following treatment with inhaled corticosteroids before an asthma diagnosis was confirmed or refuted by an expert panel.

RESULTS

A total of 65 adults (mean age, 34.8 ± 12.2 years) were recruited. Five were excluded as "unclassifiable," because of borderline results or missing data. Of the remainder, 36 were diagnosed with asthma and 24 were not. Using data from non-AGPs only (wheeze on auscultation and blood eosinophilia) and home peak flow variability, a "rule-in" diagnostic model provided comparable discriminative ability to the application of established guidelines. Clinical suspicion of asthma together with at least 1 positive non-AGP test result provided a sensitivity of 55%, specificity of 100%, positive predictive value of 100%, and negative predictive value of 60%. Application of this model reduced the need for spirometry-based tests by one-third.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed diagnostic algorithm may be clinically useful in "ruling-in" asthma in adults when access to AGPs is limited. This algorithm is not suitable for those with low clinical probability, with a significant smoking history, or where alternative diagnoses are more likely. This pragmatic approach to asthma diagnosis merits prospective validation.

A real-life comparative effectiveness study into the addition of antibiotics to the management of asthma exacerbations in primary care

BACKGROUND

Asthma exacerbations are major contributors to asthma morbidity and mortality. They are usually managed with bronchodilators and oral corticosteroids (OCS), but clinical trial evidence suggests that antibiotics could be beneficial. We aimed to assess whether treatment of asthma exacerbations with antibiotics in addition to OCS improved outcomes in larger, more representative routine-care populations.

METHOD

A retrospective comparative effectiveness study into managing asthma exacerbations with OCS alone versus OCS plus antibiotics was conducted using the Optimum Patient Care Research Database. The dataset included 28 637 patients; following propensity score matching 20 024 adults and 4184 children were analysed.

RESULTS

Antibiotics in addition to OCS were prescribed for the treatment of asthma exacerbations in 45% of adults and 32% of children. Compared to OCS alone, OCS plus antibiotics was associated with reduced risk of having an asthma/wheeze consultation in the following 2 weeks (children hazard ratio (HR) 0.84 (95% CI 0.73-0.96), p=0.012; adults HR 0.86 (95% CI 0.81-0.91), p<0.001), but an increase in risk of a further OCS prescription for a new/ongoing exacerbation within 6 weeks in adults (HR 1.11 (95% CI 1.01-1.21), p=0.030), but not children. Penicillins, but not macrolides, were associated with a reduction in the odds of a subsequent asthma/wheeze consultation compared to OCS alone, in both adults and children.

CONCLUSION

Antibiotics were frequently prescribed in relation to asthma exacerbations, contrary to guideline recommendations. Overall, the routine addition of antibiotics to OCS in the management of asthma exacerbations appeared to confer little clinical benefit, especially when considering the risks of antibiotic overuse.

Asthma diagnosis: into the fourth dimension

Asthma is the most common chronic respiratory disease in the UK; however, the misdiagnosis rate is substantial. The lack of consistency in national guidelines and the paucity of data on the performance of diagnostic algorithms compound the challenges in asthma diagnosis. Asthma is a highly rhythmic disease, characterised by diurnal variability in clinical symptoms and pathogenesis. Asthma also varies day to day, seasonally and from year to year. As much as it is a hallmark for asthma, this variability also poses significant challenges to asthma diagnosis. Almost all established asthma diagnostic tools demonstrate diurnal variation, yet few are performed with standardised timing of measurements. The dichotomous interpretation of diagnostic outcomes using fixed cut-off values may further limit the accuracy of the tests, particularly when diurnal variability straddles cut-off values within a day, and careful interpretation beyond the 'positive' and 'negative' outcome is needed. The day-to-day and more long-term variations are less predictable and it is unclear whether performing asthma diagnostic tests during asymptomatic periods may influence diagnostic sensitivities. With the evolution of asthma diagnostic tools, home monitoring and digital apps, novel strategies are needed to bridge these gaps in knowledge, and circadian variability should be considered during the standardisation process. This review summarises the biological mechanisms of circadian rhythms in asthma and highlights novel data on the significance of time (the fourth dimension) in asthma diagnosis.

Acidification and hypoxia interactively affect metabolism in embryos, but not larvae, of the coastal forage fish Menidia menidia

Ocean acidification is occurring in conjunction with warming and deoxygenation as a result of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Multistressor experiments are critically needed to better understand the sensitivity of marine organisms to these concurrent changes. Growth and survival responses to acidification have been documented for many marine species, but studies that explore underlying physiological mechanisms of carbon dioxide (CO2) sensitivity are less common. We investigated oxygen consumption rates as proxies for metabolic responses in embryos and newly hatched larvae of an estuarine forage fish (Atlantic silverside, Menidia menidia) to factorial combinations of CO2×temperature or CO2×oxygen. Metabolic rates of embryos and larvae significantly increased with temperature, but partial pressure of CO2 (PCO2 ) alone did not affect metabolic rates in any experiment. However, there was a significant interaction between PCO2  and partial pressure of oxygen (PO2 ) in embryos, because metabolic rates were unaffected by PO2  level at ambient PCO2 , but decreased with declining PO2  under elevated PCO2 For larvae, however, PCO2  and PO2  had no significant effect on metabolic rates. Our findings suggest high individual variability in metabolic responses to high PCO2 , perhaps owing to parental effects and time of spawning. We conclude that early life metabolism is largely resilient to elevated PCO2  in this species, but that acidification likely influences energetic responses and thus vulnerability to hypoxia.

eNose breath prints as a surrogate biomarker for classifying patients with asthma by atopy

BACKGROUND

Electronic noses (eNoses) are emerging point-of-care tools that may help in the subphenotyping of chronic respiratory diseases such as asthma.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate whether eNoses can classify atopy in pediatric and adult patients with asthma.

METHODS

Participants with asthma and/or wheezing from 4 independent cohorts were included; BreathCloud participants (n = 429), Unbiased Biomarkers in Prediction of Respiratory Disease Outcomes adults (n = 96), Unbiased Biomarkers in Prediction of Respiratory Disease Outcomes pediatric participants (n = 100), and Pharmacogenetics of Asthma Medication in Children: Medication with Anti-Inflammatory Effects 2 participants (n = 30). Atopy was defined as a positive skin prick test result (≥3 mm) and/or a positive specific IgE level (≥0.35 kU/L) for common allergens. Exhaled breath profiles were measured by using either an integrated eNose platform or the SpiroNose. Data were divided into 2 training and 2 validation sets according to the technology used. Supervised data analysis involved the use of 3 different machine learning algorithms to classify patients with atopic versus nonatopic asthma with reporting of areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves as a measure of model performance. In addition, an unsupervised approach was performed by using a bayesian network to reveal data-driven relationships between eNose volatile organic compound profiles and asthma characteristics.

RESULTS

Breath profiles of 655 participants (n = 601 adults and school-aged children with asthma and 54 preschool children with wheezing [68.2% of whom were atopic]) were included in this study. Machine learning models utilizing volatile organic compound profiles discriminated between atopic and nonatopic participants with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of at least 0.84 and 0.72 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The unsupervised approach revealed that breath profiles classifying atopy are not confounded by other patient characteristics.

CONCLUSION

eNoses accurately detect atopy in individuals with asthma and wheezing in cohorts with different age groups and could be used in asthma phenotyping.

Inhaled mannitol for cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Several agents are used to clear secretions from the airways of people with cystic fibrosis. Mannitol increases mucociliary clearance, but its exact mechanism of action is unknown. The dry powder formulation of mannitol may be more convenient and easier to use compared with established agents which require delivery via a nebuliser. Phase III trials of inhaled dry powder mannitol for the treatment of cystic fibrosis have been completed and it is now available in Australia and some countries in Europe. This is an update of a previous review.

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether inhaled dry powder mannitol is well tolerated, whether it improves the quality of life and respiratory function in people with cystic fibrosis and which adverse events are associated with the treatment.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Trials Register which comprises references identified from comprehensive electronic databases, handsearching relevant journals and abstracts from conferences. Date of last search: 12 December 2019.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomised controlled studies comparing mannitol with placebo, active inhaled comparators (for example, hypertonic saline or dornase alfa) or with no treatment.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Authors independently assessed studies for inclusion, carried out data extraction and assessed the risk of bias in included studies. The quality of the evidence was assessed using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

Six studies (reported in 36 unique publications) were included with a total of 784 participants. Duration of treatment in the included studies ranged from 12 days to six months, with open-label treatment for an additional six months in two of the studies. Five studies compared mannitol with control (a very low dose of mannitol or non-respirable mannitol) and the final study compared mannitol to dornase alfa alone and to mannitol plus dornase alfa. Two large studies had a similar parallel design and provided data for 600 participants, which could be pooled where data for a particular outcome and time point were available. The remaining studies had much smaller sample sizes (ranging from 22 to 95) and data could not be pooled due to differences in design, interventions and population. Pooled evidence from the two large parallel studies was judged to be of low to moderate quality and from the smaller studies was judged to be of low to very low quality. In all studies, there was an initial test to see if participants tolerated mannitol, with only those who could tolerate the drug being randomised; therefore, the study results are not applicable to the cystic fibrosis population as a whole. While the published papers did not provide all the data required for our analysis, additional unpublished data were provided by the drug's manufacturer and the author of one of the studies. Pooling the large parallel studies comparing mannitol to control, up to and including six months, lung function (forced expiratory volume at one second) measured in both mL and % predicted was significantly improved in the mannitol group compared to the control group (moderate-quality evidence). Beneficial results were observed in these studies in adults and in both concomitant dornase alfa users and non-users in these studies. In the smaller studies, statistically significant improvements in lung function were also observed in the mannitol groups compared to the non-respirable mannitol groups; however, we judged this evidence to be of low to very low quality. For the comparisons of mannitol and control, we found no consistent differences in health-related quality of life in any of the domains except for burden of treatment, which was less for mannitol up to four months in the two pooled studies of a similar design; this difference was not maintained at six months. It should be noted that the tool used to measure health-related quality of life was not designed to assess mucolytics and pooling of the age-appropriate tools (as done in some of the included studies) may not be valid so results were judged to be low to very low quality and should be interpreted with caution. Cough, haemoptysis, bronchospasm, pharyngolaryngeal pain and post-tussive vomiting were the most commonly reported side effects in both treatment groups. Where rates of adverse events could be compared, statistically no significant differences were found between mannitol and control groups; although some of these events may have clinical relevance for people with CF. For the comparisons of mannitol to dornase alfa alone and to mannitol plus dornase alfa, very low-quality evidence from a 12-week cross-over study of 28 participants showed no statistically significant differences in the recorded domains of health-related quality of life or measures of lung function. Cough was the most common side effect in the mannitol alone arm but there was no occurrence of cough in the dornase alfa alone arm and the most commonly reported reason of withdrawal from the mannitol plus dornase alfa arm was pulmonary exacerbations. In terms of secondary outcomes of the review (pulmonary exacerbations, hospitalisations, symptoms, sputum microbiology), evidence provided by the included studies was more limited. For all comparisons, no consistent statistically significant and clinically meaningful differences were observed between mannitol and control treatments (including dornase alfa).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is moderate-quality evidence to show that treatment with mannitol over a six-month period is associated with an improvement in some measures of lung function in people with cystic fibrosis compared to control. There is low to very low-quality evidence suggesting no difference in quality of life for participants taking mannitol compared to control. This review provides very low-quality evidence suggesting no difference in lung function or quality of life comparing mannitol to dornase alfa alone and to mannitol plus dornase alfa. The clinical implications from this review suggest that mannitol could be considered as a treatment in cystic fibrosis; but further research is required in order to establish who may benefit most and whether this benefit is sustained in the longer term. Furthermore, studies comparing its efficacy against other (established) mucolytic therapies need to be undertaken before it can be considered for mainstream practice.

Early-life inhalant allergen exposure, filaggrin genotype, and the development of sensitization from infancy to adolescence

Background

We hypothesized that filaggrin (FLG) loss-of-function mutations modify the effect of allergen exposure on the development of allergic sensitization.

Objective

We sought to determine whether early-life exposure to inhalant allergens increases the risk of specific sensitization and whether FLG mutations modulate these odds.

Methods

In a population-based birth cohort we measured mite, cat, and dog allergen levels in dust samples collected from homes within the first year of life. Sensitization was assessed at 6 time points between infancy and age 16 years. Genotyping was performed for 6 FLG mutations.

Results

In the longitudinal multivariable model (age 1-16 years), we observed a significant interaction between FLG and Fel d 1 exposure on cat sensitization, with the effect of exposure being significantly greater among children with FLG mutations compared with those without (odds ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02-1.80; P = .035). The increase in risk of mite sensitization with increasing Der p 1 exposure was consistently greater among children with FLG mutations, but the interaction did not reach statistical significance. Different associations were observed for dogs: there was a significant interaction between FLG and dog ownership, but the risk of sensitization to any allergen was significantly lower among children with FLG mutations who were exposed to a dog in infancy (odds ratio, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.03-0.86; P = .03).

Conclusions

FLG loss-of-function mutations modify the relationship between allergen exposure and sensitization, but effects differ at different ages and between different allergens.

Cytokine Responses to Rhinovirus and Development of Asthma, Allergic Sensitization, and Respiratory Infections during Childhood

RATIONALE

Immunophenotypes of antiviral responses, and their relationship with asthma, allergy, and lower respiratory tract infections, are poorly understood.

OBJECTIVES

We characterized multiple cytokine responses of peripheral blood mononuclear cells to rhinovirus stimulation, and their relationship with clinical outcomes.

METHODS

In a population-based birth cohort, we measured 28 cytokines after stimulation with rhinovirus-16 in 307 children aged 11 years. We used machine learning to identify patterns of cytokine responses, and related these patterns to clinical outcomes, using longitudinal models. We also ascertained phytohemagglutinin-induced T-helper cell type 2 (Th2)-cytokine responses (PHA-Th2).

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We identified six clusters of children based on their rhinovirus-16 responses, which were differentiated by the expression of four cytokine/chemokine groups: interferon-related (IFN), proinflammatory (Inflam), Th2-chemokine (Th2-chem), and regulatory (Reg). Clusters differed in their clinical characteristics. Children with an IFN^modInflam^highestTh2-chem^highestReg^highest rhinovirus-16-induced pattern had a PHA-Th2^low response, and a very low asthma risk (odds ratio [OR], 0.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.01-0.81; P = 0.03). Two clusters had a high risk of asthma and allergic sensitization, but with different trajectories from infancy to adolescence. The IFN^lowestInflam^highTh2-chem^lowReg^mod cluster exhibited a PHA-Th2^lowest response and was associated with early-onset asthma and sensitization, and the highest risk of asthma exacerbations (OR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07-1.76; P = 0.014) and lower respiratory tract infection hospitalizations (OR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.26-4.58; P = 0.008) throughout childhood. In contrast, the IFN^highestInflam^modTh2-chem^modReg^high cluster with a rhinovirus-16-cytokine pattern was characterized by a PHA-Th2^highest response, and a low prevalence of asthma/sensitization in infancy that increased sharply to become the highest among all clusters by adolescence (but with a low risk of asthma exacerbations).

CONCLUSIONS

Early-onset troublesome asthma with early-life sensitization, later-onset milder allergic asthma, and disease protection are each associated with different patterns of rhinovirus-induced immune responses.

Dust-mite inducing asthma: what advice can be given to patients?

Introduction: Amongst allergic asthmatics, high allergen exposure increases asthma severity. However, there is no consensus on the role of mite allergen avoidance in the management of asthma, and various guidelines differ in their recommendations. Areas covered: Several systematic reviews/meta-analyses on mite avoidance in the management of asthma have been published, and their findings have been used for a call to provide a recommendation in British guidelines that dust-mite control measures should not be recommended. However, there are several problems with such analysis (such as combining studies in adults and children), and we question whether these are appropriate tools to evaluate available evidence about mite allergen avoidance, and whether it is correct to rely disproportionately on the results of meta-analyses/systematic reviews to inform clinical practice in this area. Recent evidence in children suggests that mite-impermeable bed encasings reduce emergency hospital attendance with severe asthma exacerbations. Expert opinion: The practical questions include how to achieve a sufficient real-life reduction allergen exposure, and how to identify patients who will benefit from effective intervention. The intervention should start early in the natural history of asthma, and consideration for choosing patients should include using the titre of allergen-specific IgE antibodies or the size of skin test wheal as an indicator.

A novel method for infant multiple breath washout: First report in clinical practice

BACKGROUND

Lung clearance index (LCI), measured using multiple breath inert gas washout (MBW) is a potentially useful test in infants with respiratory disease, particularly cystic fibrosis (CF). Clinical use is limited however by the need for specialist staff and equipment. We have previously described a novel method for infant MBW suitable for use outside of specialist laboratories. This study describes its performance in vivo in infants with CF and healthy controls, including a limited comparison with the respiratory mass spectrometer.

METHODS

Children aged less than 2 years with CF and controls underwent MBW testing on a single occasion. The practical applicability of the system was determined by the number of successful duplicate tests and within-subject repeatability.

RESULTS

Twenty-five children (seven with CF, 18 healthy controls, all sedated with chloral hydrate) attempted MBW. Twenty patients (seven with CF) successfully underwent duplicate testing (80% success rate). Mean within-subject coefficient of variation for functional residual capacity (FRC) was 7.2% and for LCI 5.9%. Comparison of LCI with the mass spectrometer was limited but gave very similar values for LCI and FRC in those patients who underwent technically adequate tests with both methods.

CONCLUSIONS

We have described a new MBW method that is feasible and reproducible in sedated infants. Results fall within the expected range, and well within accuracy limits set by international guidelines. This could provide a more accessible alternative to previously described systems for infant MBW, and overcomes many of the technical challenges inherent in conventional MBW.

Different definitions of atopic dermatitis: impact on prevalence estimates and associated risk factors

Background

There is no objective test that can unequivocally confirm the diagnosis of atopic dermatitis (AD), and no uniform clinical definition.

Objectives

To investigate to what extent operational definitions of AD cause fluctuation in the prevalence estimates and the associated risk factors.

Methods

We first reviewed the operational definitions of AD used in the literature. We then tested the impact of the choice of the most common definitions of ‘cases’ and ‘controls’ on AD prevalence estimates and associated risk factors (including filaggrin mutations) among children aged 5 years in two population‐based birth cohorts: the Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS) and Asthma in Ashford. Model performance was measured by the percentage of children within an area of clinical indecision (defined as having a posterior probability of AD between 25% and 60%).

Results

We identified 59 different definitions of AD across 45 reviewed studies. Of those, we chose four common ‘case’ definitions and two definitions of ‘controls’. The prevalence estimates using different case definitions ranged between 22% and 33% in MAAS, and between 12% and 22% in Ashford. The area of clinical indecision ranged from 32% to 44% in MAAS and from 9% to 29% in Ashford. Depending on the case definition used, the associations with filaggrin mutations varied, with odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) ranging from 1·8 (1·1–2·9) to 2·2 (1·3–3·7) in MAAS and 1·7 (0·8–3·7) to 2·3 (1·2–4·5) in Ashford. Associations with filaggrin mutations also differed when using the same ‘case’ definition but different definitions of ‘controls’.

Conclusions

Use of different definitions of AD results in substantial differences in prevalence estimates, the performance of prediction models and association with risk factors.

What's already known about this topic?

There is no objective test that can unequivocally confirm the diagnosis of atopic dermatitis (AD) and no uniform clinical definition.

This results in different definitions utilized in AD studies, raising concerns on the generalizability of the results and comparability across different studies.

What does this study add?

This study has shown that different definitions of ‘cases’ and ‘controls’ have major impacts upon prevalence estimates and associations with risk factors, including genetics, in two population‐based birth cohorts.

These findings suggest the importance of developing a consensus on AD definitions of both ‘controls’ and ‘cases’ to minimize biases in studies.

https://www.bjdonline.com/article/different-definitions-of-atopic-dermatitis-impact-on-prevalence-estimates-and-associated-risk-factors/

Linked Comment: https://doi.org/10.1111/bjd.18303.

https://doi.org/10.1111/bjd.18571 available online

Individual risk assessment tool for school-age asthma prediction in UK birth cohort

Background

Current published asthma predictive tools have moderate positive likelihood ratios (+LR) but high negative likelihood ratios (−LR) based on their recommended cut‐offs, which limit their clinical usefulness.

Objective

To develop a simple clinically applicable asthma prediction tool within a population‐based birth cohort.

Method

Children from the Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS) attended follow‐up at ages 3, 8 and 11 years. Data on preschool wheeze were extracted from primary‐care records. Parents completed validated respiratory questionnaires. Children were skin prick tested (SPT). Asthma at 8/11 years (school‐age) was defined as parentally reported (a) physician‐diagnosed asthma and wheeze in the previous 12 months or (b) ≥3 wheeze attacks in the previous 12 months. An asthma prediction tool (MAAS APT) was developed using logistic regression of characteristics at age 3 years to predict school‐age asthma.

Results

Of 336 children with physician‐confirmed wheeze by age 3 years, 117(35%) had school‐age asthma. Logistic regression selected 5 significant risk factors which formed the basis of the MAAS APT: wheeze after exercise; wheeze causing breathlessness; cough on exertion; current eczema and SPT sensitisation(maximum score 5). A total of 281(84%) children had complete data at age 3 years and were used to test the MAAS APT. Children scoring ≥3 were at high risk of having asthma at school‐age (PPV > 75%; +LR 6.3, −LR 0.6), whereas children who had a score of 0 had very low risk(PPV 9.3%; LR 0.2).

Conclusion

MAAS APT is a simple asthma prediction tool which could easily be applied in clinical and research settings.

Inhaled mannitol for cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Several agents are used to clear secretions from the airways of people with cystic fibrosis. Mannitol increases mucociliary clearance, but its exact mechanism of action is unknown. The dry powder formulation of mannitol may be more convenient and easier to use compared with established agents which require delivery via a nebuliser. Phase III trials of inhaled dry powder mannitol for the treatment of cystic fibrosis have been completed and it is now available in Australia and some countries in Europe. This is an update of a previous review.

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether inhaled dry powder mannitol is well tolerated, whether it improves the quality of life and respiratory function in people with cystic fibrosis and which adverse events are associated with the treatment.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Trials Register which comprises references identified from comprehensive electronic databases, handsearching relevant journals and abstracts from conferences.Date of last search: 28 September 2017.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomised controlled studies comparing mannitol with placebo, active inhaled comparators (for example, hypertonic saline or dornase alfa) or with no treatment.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Authors independently assessed studies for inclusion, carried out data extraction and assessed the risk of bias in included studies. The quality of the evidence was assessed using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

Six studies (reported in 50 publications) were included with a total of 784 participants.Duration of treatment in the included studies ranged from 12 days to six months, with open-label treatment for an additional six months in two of the studies. Five studies compared mannitol with control (a very low dose of mannitol or non-respirable mannitol) and the final study compared mannitol to dornase alfa alone and to mannitol plus dornase alfa. Two large studies had a similar parallel design and provided data for 600 participants, which could be pooled where data for a particular outcome and time point were available. The remaining studies had much smaller sample sizes (ranging from 22 to 95) and data could not be pooled due to differences in design, interventions and population.Pooled evidence from the two large parallel studies was judged to be of low to moderate quality and from the smaller studies was judged to be of low to very low quality. In all studies, there was an initial test to see if participants tolerated mannitol, with only those who could tolerate the drug being randomised; therefore, the study results are not applicable to the cystic fibrosis population as a whole.While the published papers did not provide all the data required for our analysis, additional unpublished data were provided by the drug's manufacturer and the author of one of the studies.Pooling the large parallel studies comparing mannitol to control, up to and including six months, lung function (forced expiratory volume at one second) measured in both mL and % predicted was significantly improved in the mannitol group compared to the control group (moderate-quality evidence). Beneficial results were observed in these studies in adults and in both concomitant dornase alfa users and non-users in these studies. In the smaller studies, statistically significant improvements in lung function were also observed in the mannitol groups compared to the non-respirable mannitol groups; however, we judged this evidence to be of low to very low quality.For the comparisons of mannitol and control, we found no consistent differences in health-related quality of life in any of the domains except for burden of treatment, which was less for mannitol up to four months in the two pooled studies of a similar design; this difference was not maintained at six months. It should be noted that the tool used to measure health-related quality of life was not designed to assess mucolytics and pooling of the age-appropriate tools (as done in some of the included studies) may not be valid so results were judged to be low to very low quality and should be interpreted with caution. Cough, haemoptysis, bronchospasm, pharyngolaryngeal pain and post-tussive vomiting were the most commonly reported side effects in both treatment groups. Where rates of adverse events could be compared, statistically no significant differences were found between mannitol and control groups; although some of these events may have clinical relevance for people with CF.For the comparisons of mannitol to dornase alfa alone and to mannitol plus dornase alfa, very low-quality evidence from a 12-week cross-over study of 28 participants showed no statistically significant differences in the recorded domains of health-related quality of life or measures of lung function. Cough was the most common side effect in the mannitol alone arm but there was no occurrence of cough in the dornase alfa alone arm and the most commonly reported reason of withdrawal from the mannitol plus dornase alfa arm was pulmonary exacerbations.In terms of secondary outcomes of the review (pulmonary exacerbations, hospitalisations, symptoms, sputum microbiology), evidence provided by the included studies was more limited. For all comparisons, no consistent statistically significant and clinically meaningful differences were observed between mannitol and control treatments (including dornase alfa).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is moderate-quality evidence to show that treatment with mannitol over a six-month period is associated with an improvement in some measures of lung function in people with cystic fibrosis compared to control. There is low to very low-quality evidence suggesting no difference in quality of life for participants taking mannitol compared to control. This review provides very low-quality evidence suggesting no difference in lung function or quality of life comparing mannitol to dornase alfa alone and to mannitol plus dornase alfa.The clinical implications from this review suggest that mannitol could be considered as a treatment in cystic fibrosis; but further research is required in order to establish who may benefit most and whether this benefit is sustained in the longer term. Furthermore, studies comparing its efficacy against other (established) mucolytic therapies need to be undertaken before it can be considered for mainstream practice.

Comparative Effectiveness of Step-up Therapies in Children with Asthma Prescribed Inhaled Corticosteroids: A Historical Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

In children with uncontrolled asthma prescribed low-dose inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs), various step-up options are available: fixed-dose combination ICS/long-acting β₂-agonist (FDC), increasing ICS dose, or adding leukotriene receptor antagonist (LTRA). However, evidence of their relative effectiveness is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effectiveness of step-up treatment to FDC in children with asthma versus increased ICS dose, or LTRA.

METHODS

This matched cohort study used UK primary-care databases to study children prescribed their first step-up treatment to FDC, increased ICS dose, or LTRA. A year of baseline data was used for matching and identifying confounders. Outcomes over the following year were examined. The primary outcome was severe exacerbation rate; secondary outcomes included overall asthma control, derived from databases (no asthma-related admissions/hospital attendances/oral corticosteroids or antibiotics prescribed with a respiratory review, and average prescribed salbutamol ≤200 μg/day).

RESULTS

There were 971 matched pairs in the FDC and increased ICS dose cohorts (59% males; mean age, 9.4 years) and 785 in the FDC and LTRA cohorts (60% males; mean age, 9.0 years). Exacerbation rates in the outcome year were similar between FDC and increased ICS (adjusted incidence rate ratio [95% CI], 1.09 [0.75-1.59]) and FDC and LTRA (incidence rate ratio, 1.36 [0.93-2.01]). Increased ICS and LTRA significantly reduced the odds of achieving overall asthma control, compared with FDC (odds ratios [95% CI], 0.52 [0.42-0.64] and 0.53 [0.42-0.66], respectively)-this was driven by reduced short-acting beta-agonist use.

CONCLUSIONS

FDC is as effective as increased ICS or LTRA in reducing severe exacerbation rate, but more effective in achieving asthma control.

Blood eosinophils as a marker of likely corticosteroid response in children with preschool wheeze: time for an eosinophil guided clinical trial?

Childhood wheezing is common particularly in children under the age of 6 years and in this age group is generally referred to as preschool wheezing. Particular diagnostic and treatment uncertainties exist in these young children due to the difficulty in obtaining objective evidence of reversible airways narrowing and inflammation. A diagnosis of asthma depends on the presence of relevant clinical signs and symptoms and the demonstration of reversible airways narrowing on lung function testing, which is difficult to perform in young children. Few treatments are available and inhaled corticosteroids are the recommended preventer treatment in most international asthma guidelines. There is, however, considerable controversy about its effectiveness in children with preschool wheeze and a corticosteroid responder phenotype has not been established. These diagnostic and treatment uncertainties in conjunction with the knowledge of corticosteroid side effects, in particular the reduction of growth velocity, have resulted in a variable approach to inhaled corticosteroid prescribing by medical practitioners and a reluctance in carers to regularly administer the treatment. Identifying children who are likely responders to corticosteroid therapy would be a major benefit in the management of this condition. Eosinophils have emerged as a promising biomarker of corticosteroid responsive airways disease, and evaluation of this biomarker in sputum has successfully been employed to direct management in adults with asthma. Obtaining sputum from young children is time consuming and difficult, and it is hard to justify more invasive procedures such as a bronchoscopy in young children routinely. Recently, in children, interest has shifted to assessing the value of less invasive biomarkers of likely corticosteroid response and the biomarker 'blood eosinophils' has emerged as an attractive candidate. The aim of this review was to summarize the evidence for blood eosinophils as a predictive biomarker for corticosteroid responsive disease with a particular focus on the difficult area of preschool wheeze.

Accurate lung volume measurements in vitro using a novel inert gas washout method suitable for infants

BACKGROUND

Multiple breath washout (MBW) in infants presents a number of technical challenges. Conventional MBW is based on simultaneous measurement of flow and gas concentrations. These two signals are aligned and combined to derive expired gas volumes from which lung volumes and measures of ventilation inhomogeneity are calculated. Accuracy of measurement becomes increasingly vulnerable to errors in gas signal alignment at fast respiratory rates. In this paper we describe an alternative method of performing MBW in infants. Expired gas is collected and analyzed to derive functional residual capacity (FRC) and lung clearance index (LCI). This eliminates the need for simultaneous measurement of flow, and integration of flow and gas signals, and significantly reduces deadspace.

METHODS

A highly accurate lung model incorporating BTPS conditions was used to generate realistic infant breathing parameters: FRC of 100-250 mls with respiratory rate of 20-60 min(-1) . In vitro accuracy of FRC measurement using the novel MBW method was assessed using the model.

RESULTS

Overall mean error (standard deviation) of FRC measurement was -1.0 (3.3)% with 90% of tests falling within ±5%.

DISCUSSION

FRC measurement using the novel method has superior accuracy in vitro than previously described systems. By uncoupling the measurement of gas volumes from real-time flow and gas measurement, this system offers an alternative method of MBW which is well suited to infants.

Age, sex and the association between skin test responses and IgE titres with asthma

BACKGROUND

Skin prick tests (SPTs) and allergen-specific serum IgE (sIgE) measurements are the main diagnostic tools for confirming atopic sensitization. Results are usually reported as 'positive' or 'negative', using the same arbitrary cut-offs (SPT>3 mm, sIgE>0.35 kUA /l) across different ages and sexes. We investigated the influence of age and sex on the interpretation of allergy test in the context of childhood asthma.

METHODS

In a population-based birth cohort (n = 1051), we ascertained the information on asthma/wheeze (validated questionnaires) and performed SPTs and sIgE measurement to inhalant allergens (dust mite, cat, dog) at follow-ups between ages three and 11 years. We investigated the association between quantitative sensitization (sum of SPT mean wheal diameters [MWD] and sIgE titres to the three allergens) and current wheeze and asthma across ages and sexes.

RESULTS

We observed a significant association between the SPT MWD and sIgE titres and wheeze/asthma at most ages and for both sexes. However, the strength of this association was age- and sex-dependent. For SPTs, the strength of the association between MWD and asthma increased with increasing age; we observed the opposite pattern for sIgE titre. For any given SPT MWD/sIgE titre, boys were significantly more likely to express clinical symptoms, particularly in early life; this difference between males and females diminished with age and was no longer significant by age 11 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Age and sex should be taken into account when interpreting the results of skin tests and sIgE measurement, and age- and sex-specific normative data are needed for these allergy tests.

Genome-wide association analysis identifies three new susceptibility loci for childhood body mass index

A large number of genetic loci are associated with adult body mass index. However, the genetics of childhood body mass index are largely unknown. We performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of childhood body mass index, using sex- and age-adjusted standard deviation scores. We included 35 668 children from 20 studies in the discovery phase and 11 873 children from 13 studies in the replication phase. In total, 15 loci reached genome-wide significance (P-value < 5 × 10(-8)) in the joint discovery and replication analysis, of which 12 are previously identified loci in or close to ADCY3, GNPDA2, TMEM18, SEC16B, FAIM2, FTO, TFAP2B, TNNI3K, MC4R, GPR61, LMX1B and OLFM4 associated with adult body mass index or childhood obesity. We identified three novel loci: rs13253111 near ELP3, rs8092503 near RAB27B and rs13387838 near ADAM23. Per additional risk allele, body mass index increased 0.04 Standard Deviation Score (SDS) [Standard Error (SE) 0.007], 0.05 SDS (SE 0.008) and 0.14 SDS (SE 0.025), for rs13253111, rs8092503 and rs13387838, respectively. A genetic risk score combining all 15 SNPs showed that each additional average risk allele was associated with a 0.073 SDS (SE 0.011, P-value = 3.12 × 10(-10)) increase in childhood body mass index in a population of 1955 children. This risk score explained 2% of the variance in childhood body mass index. This study highlights the shared genetic background between childhood and adult body mass index and adds three novel loci. These loci likely represent age-related differences in strength of the associations with body mass index.