Molnupiravir for intra-household prevention of COVID-19: The MOVe-AHEAD randomized, placebo-controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of molnupiravir for intra-household post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) of COVID-19.

METHODS

MOVe-AHEAD was a randomized, controlled, double-blind, phase 3 trial comparing molnupiravir (800 mg twice daily for 5 days) with placebo. Eligible participants were adult, unvaccinated, asymptomatic household contacts of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19. The primary efficacy endpoint was the incidence of COVID-19 through day 14 in modified intention-to-treat (MITT) participants (those who received ≥1 dose of study intervention) without detectable SARS-CoV-2 at baseline, termed the MITT-VN population. Superiority of molnupiravir was prespecified as a stratified one-sided p-value of <0.0249 for the treatment difference in this endpoint.

RESULTS

The MITT population comprised 763 participants randomized to molnupiravir and 764 to placebo; 83.6% had anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies at baseline. In the MITT-VN population, COVID-19 rates through day 14 were 6.5% with molnupiravir and 8.5% with placebo (one-sided p-value: 0.0848). In the molnupiravir arm, 25/35 of confirmed COVID-19 events (71.4%) occurred after completion of treatment (versus 17/49 [34.7%] for placebo). Adverse event rates were low and similar between molnupiravir and placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

Molnupiravir was well-tolerated but did not meet the prespecified superiority criterion, possibly influenced in part by the high pre-existing immunity in the trial population.

Short- and long-term mortality following acute medical admission

BACKGROUND

Short-term in-hospital mortality following acute medical admission has been widely investigated. Longer term mortality, particularly out-of-hospital mortality, has been less well studied.

AIM

The aim of this study is to evaluate short- and long-term mortality, and predictors of such, following acute medical admission.

DESIGN

Retrospective database study.

METHODS

We evaluated all acute medical admissions to our institution over 10 years (2002-11) with a minimum of a further 10 years follow-up to 2021 using the Irish National Death Register. Predictors of 30-day in-hospital and long-term mortality were analysed with logistic and Cox regression, with loss of life years estimated.

RESULTS

The 2002-11 cohort consisted of 62 184 admissions in 35 140 patients. 30-Day in hospital mortality (n = 3646) per patient was 10.4% and per admission was 5.9%. There were an additional 11 440 longer-term deaths by 2021-total mortality was 15 086 (42.9%). Deaths post hospital discharge had median age at admission of 75.4 years [interquartile range (IQR) 63.7, 82.8] and died at median age of 80 years (IQR 69, 87). The half-life of survival following admission was 195 months-representing a short fall of 8 life years (32.9%) compared with the projected population reference of 24.3 years. Age [odds ratio (OR) 1.73 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64, 1.81)], acute illness severity score [OR 1.39 (95% CI 1.36, 1.43)] and comorbidity score [OR 1.09 (95% CI 1.08, 1.10)] predicted long-term mortality.

CONCLUSION

Similar factors influence both short- and long-term mortality following acute medical admission, the magnitude of effect is attenuated over time.

Yield of brain MRI in children with autism spectrum disorder

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a common neurodevelopmental condition. The American Academy of Paediatrics and American Academy of Neurology do not recommend routine brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the assessment of ASD. The need for a brain MRI should be decided on atypical features in the clinical history and examination. However, many physicians continue to use brain MRI routinely in the assessment process. We performed a retrospective review of indications for requesting brain MRI in our institution over a 5-year period. The aim was to identify the yield of MRI in children with ASD and calculate the prevalence of significant neuroimaging abnormalities in children with ASD and identify clinical indications for neuroimaging. One hundred eighty-one participants were analysed. An abnormal brain MRI was identified in 7.2% (13/181). Abnormal brain MRI was more likely with an abnormal neurological examination (OR 33.1, p = 0.001) or genetic/metabolic abnormality (OR 20, p = 0.02). In contrast, abnormal MRI was not shown to be more likely in children with a variety of other indications such as behavioural issues and developmental delay.      Conclusion: Thus, our findings support that MRI should not be a routine investigation in ASD, without additional findings. The decision to arrange brain MRI should be made on a case-by-case basis following careful evaluation of potential risks and benefits. The impact of any findings on the management course of the child should be considered prior to arranging imaging. What is Known: • Incidental brain MRI findings are common in children with and without ASD. • Many children with ASD undergo brain MRI in the absence of neurological comorbidities. What is New: • Brain MRI abnormalities in ASD are more likely with an abnormal neurological examination and genetic or metabolic conditions. • Prevalence of significant brain MRI abnormalities in ASD alone is low.

Administration of β-lactam antibiotics to patients with reported penicillin allergy in the emergency department

BACKGROUND

β-lactam antibiotics are amongst the most commonly prescribed medications in the Emergency Department (ED) due to their role in empiric sepsis therapy; however, inferior therapeutic options are often utilized due to a reported allergy; penicillin (PCN) being most frequent. In the United States, 10% of the population endorses an allergic reaction to PCN while <1% experience IgE-mediated reactions. This study aimed to evaluate the frequency and outcome of patients in the ED whose PCN allergies were challenged with β-lactam antibiotics.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective chart review of patients in the ED at an academic medical center aged ≥18, and who received a β-lactam despite a reported PCN allergy between January 2015 and December 2019. Patients who did not receive a β-lactam or did not report a PCN allergy prior to administration were excluded. The primary outcome was the frequency of IgE-mediated reactions in response to β-lactam administration. A secondary outcome assessed the frequency of continuation of β-lactams upon admission from the ED.

RESULTS

819 patients were included (66% female) with prior reported PCN reactions: hives (22.5%), rash (15.4%), swelling (6.2%), anaphylaxis (3.5%), other (12.1%), or undocumented on medical electronic record (40.3%). No patients experienced an IgE-mediated reaction to the β-lactam administered in the ED. Previously reported allergies had no effect on the continuation of β-lactams when admitted or discharged (OR: 1, 95% CI: 0.7-1.44). Patients who had a history of an IgE-mediated penicillin allergy were frequently continued (77%) on a β-lactam after leaving the ED via admission or discharge.

CONCLUSION

β-lactam administration in patients with previously reported PCN allergies did not result in any IgE-mediated reactions nor in an increase in adverse reactions. Our data contributes to the body of evidence that supports the administration of β-lactams to patients with documented PCN allergies.

Blood Culture and Troponin Testing in Suspected Bacteraemic Admissions - Example of Risk Stratification Based on Clinical Testing

AIM

To investigate the clinical predictive value of troponin (hscTnT) and blood culture testing.

METHODS

We examined all medical admissions from 2011-2020. Prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality, dependent on blood culture and hscTnT requests/results, was evaluated using multiple variable logistic regression. Length of stay was related to utilization of procedures/services with truncated Poisson regression.

RESULTS

There were 77,566 admissions in 42,325 patients. With both blood cultures and hscTnT requested, 30-day in-hospital mortality increased to 20.9% (95%CI: 19.7, 22.1) vs 8.9% (95%CI: 8.5, 9.4) for blood cultures alone and 2.3% (95%CI: 2.2, 2.4) with neither. Blood culture 3.93 (95%CI: 3.50, 4.42) or hsTnT requests 4.58 (95%CI: 4.10, 5.14) were prognostic.

CONCLUSION

Blood culture and hscTnT requests and results predict worse outcomes.

Outcomes for Emergency Department Final Diagnosis of Non-specific Complaint compared to Dyspnoea and Pain

AIM

To compare outcomes in Emergency Department (ED) final diagnoses of (non-specific complaint) NSC, dyspnoea and pain.

METHODS

We studied all ED final diagnoses of NSC, dyspnoea, and pain over 6 years (2015-2020). Multivariable logistic regression was performed.

RESULTS

There were 49,965 admissions. 30-day in-hospital mortality was significantly lower for pain, 3.0% (95%CI 2.4%, 3.6%), compared to NSC, 4.2% (95%CI 3.8%, 4.7%), and dyspnoea, 4.6% (95%CI 4.2%, 5.0%). NSC did not predict 30-day in-hospital mortality- univariate OR 1.05 (95%CI 0.93, 1.19), multivariable OR 1.07 (95%CI 0.93, 1.23). Comorbidity and Acute Illness Severity Scores demonstrated a curvilinear relationship with 30-day in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

An ED final diagnosis of NSC did not predict 30-day in-hospital mortality.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on surgery for severe endometriosis in the UK: a national database study

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant effect on healthcare services, particularly affecting patients who suffer from chronic conditions. However, the pandemic's effect on endometriosis surgery is not yet known.

Objectives

To determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on surgery for severe endometriosis in the UK at a national, regional and centre-level.

Materials and Methods

The British Society for Gynaecological Endoscopy (BSGE) collects data nationally on all operations for severe endometriosis which involve dissection of the pararectal space. Annual audits of this database were obtained from the BSGE. Publicly available data on COVID-19 cases and population were obtained from the UK Office for National Statistics.

Main outcome measures

Numbers of annual BSGE-registered endometriosis operations.

Results

A total of 8204 operations were performed. The number of operations decreased by 49.4% between 2019 and 2020 and then increased in 2021, but remained 10.5% below average pre-pandemic levels, indicating at least 980 missed operations between 2019-2020. Median operations per centre decreased by 51.0% in 2020 (IQR 29.4% - 75.0%) and increased in 2021 but remained 33% below pre-pandemic levels. There was no change in the type of surgery performed. All 11 administrative regions of Great Britain had reduced numbers of operations in 2020 compared with the average for 2017-2019, with a median 44.2% decrease (range 13.3% - 67.5%). Regional reduction in operations was correlated with COVID-19 infection rates (r=0.54, 95% CI of r 0.022 - 1.00, p=0.043).

Conclusion

The number of operations performed annually in the UK for severe endometriosis fell dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic and is yet to normalise.

What's new?

This study shows the dramatic effect that the COVID-19 pandemic has had on UK services for endometriosis surgery, which may continue to affect patients and clinicians for a considerable time to come.

Facet-selective etching trajectories of individual semiconductor nanocrystals

The size and shape of semiconductor nanocrystals govern their optical and electronic properties. Liquid cell transmission electron microscopy (LCTEM) is an emerging tool that can directly visualize nanoscale chemical transformations and therefore inform the precise synthesis of nanostructures with desired functions. However, it remains difficult to controllably investigate the reactions of semiconductor nanocrystals with LCTEM, because of the highly reactive environment formed by radiolysis of liquid. Here, we harness the radiolysis processes and report the single-particle etching trajectories of prototypical semiconductor nanomaterials with well-defined crystalline facets. Lead selenide nanocubes represent an isotropic structure that retains the cubic shape during etching via a layer-by-layer mechanism. The anisotropic arrow-shaped cadmium selenide nanorods have polar facets terminated by either cadmium or selenium atoms, and the transformation trajectory is driven by etching the selenium-terminated facets. LCTEM trajectories reveal how nanoscale shape transformations of semiconductors are governed by the reactivity of specific facets in liquid environments.

Developing Irelands first National Student Mental Health and Suicide Prevention Framework for Higher Education

This article focuses on the development of Ireland's first National Student Mental Health and Suicide Prevention Framework for Higher Education. There is growing concern for student mental health in higher education nationally and globally. The majority of students are aged between 18 and 24, which is identified as a high-risk group for mental health difficulties. Recent surveys of student mental illness, mental distress, and low well-being have been recognized by the World Health Organization, the Union of Students in Ireland National Report on Student Mental Health in Third Level Education, the My World survey and the My World 2 study. The Higher Education Authority in Ireland made a commitment to the Department of Health Connecting for Life (Ireland's National Strategy to Reduce Suicide 2015-2020) to form national guidelines for suicide prevention in higher education. In order to deliver on this commitment, The National Student Mental Health and Suicide Prevention Framework was developed. The Framework is informed by international evidence and was the product of a collaborative cross sector and cross disciplinary team including health professionals, government representatives, educators, students, policy makers, community organizations, researchers and clinicians.

The 'Unwell' clinical presentation- an opportunity for admission avoidance?

BACKGROUND

An 'unwell' patient is a common presentation.

METHODS

We studied all ED 'unwell' admissions over 6 years, assessing factors influencing mortality with logistic regression.

RESULTS

From 49,965 admissions, the ED diagnosis was 'unwell' in 3650 (7.3%). 'Unwell' presentations were older and had longer length of stay. Mortality was not different 4.2% vs 4.6 % (p=0.28). Respiratory patients and those >=70 years had increased mortality, 8.3% (95%CI: 5.9%, 10.6%) and 7.1% (5.7%, 8.4%) respectively. Being unwell predicted a better outcome - univariate OR 0.35 (95%CI: 0.24, 0.52), multivariable OR 0.68 (95%CI: 0.44, 1.03).

CONCLUSION

A diagnosis of 'unwell' applied to a heterogenous group; clinical trajectories and outcomes were sufficiently different to preclude targeted admission avoidance as a strategy.

Successful prolonged treatment of a carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii hip infection with cefiderocol: A case report

We report a 50-year-old Caucasian male with a complicated past medical history who developed extensive polymicrobial osteomyelitis, including a carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB). In order to streamline therapy, the patient received compassionate use cefiderocol for 6 weeks which was well tolerated. In addition, the patient's infection was considered cured at end of treatment. Few cases on the use of prolonged cefiderocol for treatment of osteomyelitis due to CRAB have been published. Our patient did not report adverse reactions, nor did he develop laboratory abnormalities which were assessed throughout and at the end of the 6-week course.

Printing Porous Carbon Aerogels for Low Temperature Supercapacitors

Maintaining fast charging capability at low temperatures represents a significant challenge for supercapacitors. The performance of conventional porous carbon electrodes often deteriorates quickly with the decrease of temperature due to sluggish ion and charge transport. Here we fabricate a 3D-printed multiscale porous carbon aerogel (3D-MCA) via a unique combination of chemical methods and the direct ink writing technique. 3D-MCA has an open porous structure with a large surface area of ∼1750 m² g^-1. At -70 °C, the symmetric device achieves outstanding capacitance of 148.6 F g^-1 at 5 mV s^-1. Significantly, it retains a capacitance of 71.4 F g^-1 at a high scan rate of 200 mV s^-1, which is 6.5 times higher than the non-3D printed MCA. These values rank among the best results reported for low temperature supercapacitors. These impressive results highlight the essential role of open porous structures for preserving capacitive performance at ultralow temperatures.

Tobacco content in video on demand services in low- and middle-income countries

Background

There is clear evidence that exposure to tobacco is linked to smoking uptake. The economic and social burden of diseases associated with smoking is particularly high in low-and middle-income countries, where smoking uptake is high and exposure to tobacco use and branded content is widespread. Streamed content exhibits consistently higher levels of tobacco content than broadcast media and these levels have increased. The prevalence of smoking and tobacco content in video-on-demand (VOD) services is troubling given their popularity with youth audiences and the ease with which content can be accessed by children. This is because barriers to youth consumption that exist for film or broadcast media, including content gatekeepers, are absent.

Methods

The most popular VOD series from 10 low- and middle-income countries (Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Pakistan, Philippines, Ukraine and Vietnam) were identified based on demand expressions and coded for individual depictions of tobacco. 18 series were analysed, representing a mix of international content in several languages. 111 episodes, totalling 81.4 hours of coded content, were analysed for tobacco depictions and characterisation of smoking characters.

Results

Tobacco content was prevalent and particularly prominent in non-English language series, where readily identifiable “stars” frequently partook in smoking. Cigarettes dominated tobacco imagery, with other forms (pipes and electronic nicotine delivery systems) rarely appearing. Notably, there were several incidents featuring well-known brands. Given that access to VOD services is difficult to moderate, youth audiences can easily access programming featuring high levels of tobacco use by identifiable characters, played by well-known actors. A lack of control regarding consumption of streamed content means that it is extremely important for content producers like Netflix and Amazon to ensure VOD content is suitable for youth audiences.

Key messages

Tobacco content in video-on demand services is increasing. Tobacco exposure is linked to smoking uptake.

The brand narratives of Philip Morris International: developing methods to identify corporate voices

Background

Existing research into marketing and advertising of tobacco companies shows the industry continues to spend huge sums of money promoting harmful products. In the face of increasing controls on the advertising of these products, and restrictions on their participation in policy development enshrined in a global treaty, tobacco companies must adapt to remain competitive in an unfavourable climate. Although there has been much engagement with the development of corporate messages by the 4 big tobacco brands, no systematic review of textual and visual corporate messaging used by these companies exists. This research presents the case of Philip Morris International (PMI), and maps out its key messages to investors and public audiences.

Methods

This research combines corpus linguistics with inductive coding to illustrate key topics, themes and the linguistic habits of PMI. A linguistic comparison with the messaging of 40 other transnational corporations provides a reference from which the unique characteristics of PMI's language can be identified.

Results

Thematic analysis of written and visual content highlights several dominant themes, namely Science, Transformation, Sustainability and Permissibility. Redemptive tropes were common in the sample, apparent in repeated reference to a desire to be and do better and to improve the lives of smokers around the world. Similarly, a strong emphasis on science was apparent in both the use of imagery and language, including scientific notation, laboratories and individual scientists.

The identification of linguistic and visual brand strategies will facilitate the education of advocates and consumers about the approach of the tobacco industry in their pursuit of continued business. Identifying the core values PMI is actively promoting could help to identify emerging corporate strategies in influencing public health policy, including the promotion of corporate goodwill in markets where product-specific advertising is banned.

Key messages

Big tobacco using new platforms to influence policy making. Corporate narratives impact perception of tobacco harm.

CT Imaging of Acute Ischemic Stroke [Formula: see text]

Although acute ischemic stroke remains one of the most common causes of death and disability worldwide, it is a potentially treatable condition if appropriately managed in a timely manner. The goals of acute stroke imaging include establishing a diagnosis as fast as possible with (1) accurate infarct quantification, (2) intracranial and cervical vasculature assessment, and (3) brain perfusion analysis for detection of infarct core and potentially salvageable penumbra allowing optimal patient selection for appropriate therapy. Given the extensive number of images generated from acute stroke imaging studies and as "time is brain," this article aims to highlight a logical approach for the radiologist in acute stroke computed tomography imaging in order to accurately interpret and communicate results in a timely manner.

Determining the Effect of External Stressors and Cognitive Distraction on Microsurgical Skills and Performance

Introduction: Microsurgery is an essential element of Plastic Surgery practice. There is a paucity of studies assessing the impact of stress and cognitive distraction on technical microsurgical performance. The ability to complete cognitive and technical skills in parallel has not been assessed in a microsurgical setting.

Aim: To test the hypothesis that cognitive distraction and external stressors negatively affect microsurgical performance in a high fidelity simulation setting.

Materials/Methods: Fourteen surgeons across all levels of training undertook 2 microsurgical skills sessions, 1 month apart. Session one established baseline microsurgical skill. In session two, skills were assessed with the introduction of realistic operative room cognitive distractions (ORDIs). Outcome measures were efficiency and accuracy, measured by Time to Completion (TTC) and Anastomosis Lapse Index (ALI), respectively.

Key Results: Fourteen participants (6 novices, 5 plastic surgery specialist trainees and 3 consultants) completed both microsurgical skills sessions. In total, 28-microvascular anastomosis were analyzed. Mean baseline TTC for the group was 20.36 min. With cognitive distraction and external stress mean TTC decreased to 17.87 min. Mean baseline ALI score for the group was 3.32 errors per anastomosis. The introduction of cognitive distraction and external stress increased the mean to 4.86 errors per anastomosis. Total errors per anastomosis increased from 91 errors at baseline to 137 errors with cognitive distraction and external stress. Under stress, participants were more efficient but had reduced anastomotic accuracy.

Conclusion: Under stress, surgeons were more efficient, this translated into faster completion of a microsurgical anastomosis. Efficiency, however, came at the expense of accuracy.

Prediction of Hemorrhage after Successful Recanalization in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke: Improved Risk Stratification Using Dual-Energy CT Parenchymal Iodine Concentration Ratio Relative to the Superior Sagittal Sinus

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Brain parenchymal hyperdensity on postthrombectomy CT in patients with acute stroke can be due to hemorrhage and/or contrast staining. We aimed to determine whether iodine concentration within contrast-stained parenchyma compared with an internal reference in the superior sagittal sinus on dual-energy CT could predict subsequent intracerebral hemorrhage.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seventy-one patients with small infarct cores (ASPECTS ≥ 7) and good endovascular recanalization (modified TICI 2b or 3) for anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion were included. Brain parenchymal iodine concentration as per dual-energy CT and the percentage of contrast staining relative to the superior sagittal sinus were recorded and correlated with the development of intracerebral hemorrhage using Mann-Whitney U and Fisher exact tests.

RESULTS

Forty-three of 71 patients had parenchymal hyperdensity on initial dual-energy CT. The median relative iodine concentration compared with the superior sagittal sinus was significantly higher in those with subsequent intracerebral hemorrhage (137.9% versus 109.2%, P = .007). By means of receiver operating characteristic analysis, a cutoff value of 100% (iodine concentration relative to the superior sagittal sinus) enabled identification of patients going on to develop intracerebral hemorrhage with 94.75% sensitivity, 43.4% specificity, and a likelihood ratio of 1.71.

CONCLUSIONS

Within our cohort of patients, the relative percentage of iodine concentration at dual-energy CT compared with the superior sagittal sinus was a reliable predictor of intracerebral hemorrhage development and may be a useful imaging biomarker for risk stratification after endovascular treatment.

Prognostic Value Of Blood Cultures as an Illness Severity Marker In Emergency Medical Admissions

BACKGROUND

Positive blood cultures predict mortality. The prognostic value of blood culture performance itself has not been fully defined.

METHODS

We evaluated medical admissions from 2002-2017. We defined blood culture category as 1) no culture 2) negative culture 3) positive culture. We employed a multivariable logistic regression model to evaluate outcomes.

RESULTS

We evaluated 78,568 blood cultures in 106,586 admissions. 30-day in-hospital mortality for no culture was 2.8% (95%CI 2.7, 2.9), culture negative 8.9% (95%CI 8.5, 9.3) and culture positive 16.7% (95%CI 15.5, 17.9). There was significant interaction between blood culture category and illness severity, OR 1.06 (95%CI 1.05, 1.08), and comorbidity, OR 1.09 (95%CI 1.09, 1.10).

CONCLUSION

Performance and results of blood cultures are independently associated with increased mortality.

Limited Prognostic Utility of a Simplified Vital Sign Based Risk Calculator in Acute Medical Admissions

BACKGROUND

Accurate efficient prognostication in acute medical admissions remains challenging.

METHODS

We constructed a Vital Sign based Risk Calculator using vital parameters and Major Disease Categories to predict 30-day in-hospital mortality using a multivariable fractional polynomial model.

RESULTS

We evaluated 113,807 admissions in 58,126 patients. The Vital Sign based Risk Calculator predicted 30-day inhospital mortality to increase from 2 points - 3.6% (95%CI 3.4, 3.7) to 12 points - 14.8% (95%CI 14.0, 15.7). AUROC was 0.74 (95%CI 0.72, 0.74). The addition of illness severity and comorbidity data improved AUROC to 0.90 (95%CI 0.89, 0.90).

CONCLUSION

The Vital Sign based Risk Calculator is limited by its simplicity; inclusion of illness severity and comorbidity data improve prediction.

Effect Estimates in Randomized Trials and Observational Studies: Comparing Apples With Apples

Effect estimates from randomized trials and observational studies might not be directly comparable because of differences in study design, other than randomization, and in data analysis. We propose a 3-step procedure to facilitate meaningful comparisons of effect estimates from randomized trials and observational studies: 1) harmonization of the study protocols (eligibility criteria, treatment strategies, outcome, start and end of follow-up, causal contrast) so that the studies target the same causal effect, 2) harmonization of the data analysis to estimate the causal effect, and 3) sensitivity analyses to investigate the impact of discrepancies that could not be accounted for in the harmonization process. To illustrate our approach, we compared estimates of the effect of immediate with deferred initiation of antiretroviral therapy in individuals positive for the human immunodeficiency virus from the Strategic Timing of Antiretroviral Therapy (START) randomized trial and the observational HIV-CAUSAL Collaboration.

The Problems with Risk Prediction during an Emergency Medical Admission Using Laboratory Data - Evidence from Potassium

BACKGROUND

The prediction of clinical outcomes using biochemical markers is an important tool.

METHODS

We calculated a risk score for all emergency admissions 2002-2017. We related potassium and mortality in a multivariable fractional polynomial model. We investigated the potassium distribution and relationship of potassium to mortality over time.

RESULTS

There were 106,586 admissions in 54,928 patients. Mortality was higher for those with an admission potassium above the median - 6.1% vs 4.6% (p<0.001), OR 1.07 (95%CI: 1.06, 1.09). There was a progressive increase in mortality from the lowest - 8.9% (95%CI: 8.3%, 9.4%) to highest potassium decile - 14.2% (95%CI: 13.5%, 14.8%). The frequency of admission hypokalaemia and the mortality at any given potassium decreased over time.

CONCLUSION

Admission potassium predicts mortality.

Socio-Economic Status and MultiOriginal morbidity - Fact or Fiction?

BACKGROUND

Areas of low socio-economic status (SES) have a disproportionate number of emergency medical admissions; we quantitate the profile of multi-morbidity related to SES.

METHODS

We developed a logistic multiple variable regression model, based on over 15 years of hospital data, to examine the effect of socio-demography on hospital outcomes.

RESULTS

Admissions from low SES cohort were a decade younger, and had a shorter hospital stay, and lower 30-day episode mortality outcome. The number of morbidities was equivalent between groups, but the more disadvantaged were more likely to have a respiratory diagnosis or diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Low SES emergency admissions present > 10 yr. earlier than the high SES population; their equivalent multimorbidity, despite a lower age, could reflect accelerated disease progression.

1062. Daptomycin/Ceftaroline in Combination vs. Vancomycin for the Treatment of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia

Background

Vancomycin has historically been the mainstay of therapy for MRSA bacteremia, but severe infections due to vancomycin-intermediate Staphylococcus aureus have emerged. In vitro studies have shown that the combination of a β-lactam antibiotic, such as ceftaroline with daptomycin, was synergistic against MRSA. The purpose of this study was to compare outcomes in patients who received daptomycin and ceftaroline in combination vs. vancomycin for the treatment of MRSA bacteremia.

Methods

This was a retrospective exploratory cohort study approved by the institutional review board at Cooper University Hospital. Patients were included if they received daptomycin/ceftaroline (cases) or vancomycin (controls) for the treatment of MRSA bacteremia between November 2010 and March 2017. Cases were matched 1:1 with controls based on source of MRSA bacteremia, age within 10 years, and renal function. The primary endpoint was clinical cure, defined as the improvement of signs and symptoms of bacteremia. Secondary endpoints included microbiologic cure, time to sterilization of blood cultures, duration of hospital stay, overall mortality, and MRSA-related mortality.

Results

Forty-one cases were included. There was no statistical difference between the two groups in microbiologic cure, time to sterilization of blood cultures, overall mortality, or MRSA-related mortality. There were no significant differences between patients in each group including in those with ICU admissions and who required vasopressors. Cases were significantly more likely to have hardware compared with the control group (43.9% vs. 12.2%; P = 0.0014). Clinical cure was achieved in 27 patients (65.9%) in the case group and 26 patients (63.4%) in the control group (P = 0.8173). Patients in the case group had a statistically longer mean hospital duration (29 days vs. 21 days, respectively, P = 0.0206) and more secondary complications such as bone infection (P = 0.0076).

Conclusion

Time to sterilization of blood cultures and overall mortality were similar in both groups. Patients in the combination group had longer hospital stays compared with vancomycin monotherapy. Daptomycin/ceftaroline combination therapy is an option for complicated MRSA bacteremia. Larger studies should be conducted to further evaluate this combination.

Disclosures

All authors: No reported disclosures.

The impact of infection among left ventricular assist device recipients on post-transplantation outcomes: A retrospective review

INTRODUCTION

Left ventricular assist device (LVAD) infections are common, and the consequences of LVAD infections on orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT) outcomes are not well described.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to describe clinical characteristics and evaluate risk factors for developing LVAD infections, and examine outcomes of LVAD-specific infections (VSI) after OHT.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated the records of 74 consecutive patients at two institutions who had undergone LVAD placement and subsequent OHT between January 2007 and December 2012.

RESULTS

Forty-six of 74 (62%) LVAD recipients who underwent OHT had pre-transplant infections, and 18 (24%) had LVAD-specific infection (VSI), of which 71% were caused by gram-negative organisms. Of pre-transplant non-LVAD infections, Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) was the most common (26%) followed by urinary tract infection (UTI, 16%) and pneumonia (PNA 15%). Univariate analysis comparing subjects with VSI to those without VSI showed a significant association with time spent outside the hospital prior to transplantation (median 231.8 days vs 142.2 days, P < 0.03) and total time between VAD placement and OHT (244.0 days and 150.5 days, P < 0.002). Logistic regression was performed and significant predictors for VAD-related infection were age and the presence of diabetes, with type of device as an effect modifier. Six months post-OHT survival was not significantly affected by the presence of VSI prior to transplant. There was a trend toward an association between the presence of any infection and post-transplant rejection (P < 0.09). There were 10 post-transplant deaths by 6 months. Of these deaths, 4/10 (40%) were cardiopulmonary and 6/10 (60%) were related to infections.

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced age and presence of diabetes were predictors of VSI, as well as type of VAD device, although device choice is likely affected by many clinical factors including age and comorbidities, as well as institution-specific preferences. VSI was not associated with a decrease in 6-month post-OHT survival. However, infections remain the major causes of death by 6 months post-transplant. Certain infections are associated with an increased risk of rejection, which merits further investigation.

A Unique Case of Concurrent Long Bone Osteomyelitis and Empyema Caused by Fusobacterium nucleatum

We describe a patient presenting with constitutional symptoms, poor oral hygiene and leg swelling who was diagnosed with Fusobacterium nucleatum osteomyelitis of femur and empyema. Long bone osteomyelitis is rarely caused by this microorganism. This unusual case was successfully managed with drainage and antimicrobial therapy.

Mortality outcomes and emergency department wait times - the paradox in the capacity limited sytem

BACKGROUND

There is concern that undue ED wait times may result in adverse outcomes.

METHODS

We studied 30-day in-hospital mortality (2002-2017) for all medical admissions (106,586 episodes; 54,928 patients) focusing on clinical risk profile.

RESULTS

Comparing 2002-09 vs. 2010-17, median ED waits > 6 hours (hr) increased 10h (95% CI: 8,13) to 15h (95% CI: 9,19). 30-day mortality declined 6.2% to 4.9%- (RRR- 20.8%/ NNT- 78). 30-day-mortality by ED wait: - < 4hr 6.6% (95% CI: 6.3%, 6.9%), 4-8hr 4.8% (95% CI: 4.6%, 5.0%), 8-12hr 4.3% (95% CI: 4.1%, 4.5%) or >=12hr 4.2% (95% CI: 3.9%, 4.5%).

CONCLUSION

Admissions with shorter waits are overrepresented with high clinical acuity. Higher Risk Score patient with extended wait times had worse clinical outcomes.

Interaction of Broadband Access and Education Levels in Determining the Rate of Emergency Medical Admissions

Background We examined the effect of broadband access, educational status and their interaction on local population health. Methods We calculated the annual admission incidence rates for each small area population unit within our hospital catchment, relating quintiles of broadband access to two groups a) full time education to primary level (less than or equal to 15 years) and b) full time education to tertiary level (>18 years). Univariate and multivariable risk estimates were calculated, using truncated Poisson regression. Results 82,368 admissions in 44,628 patients were included. Broadband access was a linear predictor of the admission incidence rate with decreases from Q1 (least access) 50.8 (95%CI 30.2 to 71.4) to Q5 (highest access) 17.9 (95%CI 13.4 to 22.4). Areas with greater numbers educated only to primary level were more influenced by broadband access. Conclusion Broadband access is a predictor of the emergency medical admission rate; this effect is modulated by the baseline education level.

Improved Detection of Anterior Circulation Occlusions: The "Delayed Vessel Sign" on Multiphase CT Angiography

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Multiphase CTA, a technique to dynamically assess the vasculature in acute ischemic stroke, was primarily developed to evaluate collateral filling. We have observed that it is also useful in identifying distal anterior circulation occlusions due to delayed anterior circulation opacification on multiphase CTA, an observation we term the "delayed vessel sign." We aimed to determine the usefulness of this sign by comparing multiphase CTA with single-phase CTA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All 23 distal anterior circulation occlusions during a 2-year period were included. Ten M1-segment occlusions and 10 cases without a vessel occlusion were also included. All patients had follow-up imaging confirming the diagnosis. Initially, the noncontrast CT and first phase of the multiphase CTA study for each patient were blindly evaluated (2 neuroradiologists, 2 radiology trainees) for an anterior circulation occlusion. Readers' confidence, speed, and sensitivity of detection were recorded. Readers were then educated on the "delayed vessel sign," and each multiphase CTA study was re-examined for a vessel occlusion after at least 14 days.

RESULTS

There was significant improvement in the sensitivity of detection of distal anterior circulation vessel occlusions (P < .001), overall confidence (P < .001), and time taken to interpret (P < .001) with multiphase CTA compared with single-phase CTA. Readers preferred MIP images compared with source images in >90% of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The delayed vessel sign is a reliable indicator of anterior circulation vessel occlusion, particularly in cases involving distal branches. Assessment of the later phases of multiphase CTA for the delayed vessel sign leads to a significant improvement in the speed and confidence of interpretation, compared with single-phase CTA.

Family-led rehabilitation after stroke in India (ATTEND): a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Most people with stroke in India have no access to organised rehabilitation services. The effectiveness of training family members to provide stroke rehabilitation is uncertain. Our primary objective was to determine whether family-led stroke rehabilitation, initiated in hospital and continued at home, would be superior to usual care in a low-resource setting.

METHODS

The Family-led Rehabilitation after Stroke in India (ATTEND) trial was a prospectively randomised open trial with blinded endpoint done across 14 hospitals in India. Patients aged 18 years or older who had had a stroke within the past month, had residual disability and reasonable expectation of survival, and who had an informal family-nominated caregiver were randomly assigned to intervention or usual care by site coordinators using a secure web-based system with minimisation by site and stroke severity. The family members of participants in the intervention group received additional structured rehabilitation training-including information provision, joint goal setting, carer training, and task-specific training-that was started in hospital and continued at home for up to 2 months. The primary outcome was death or dependency at 6 months, defined by scores 3-6 on the modified Rankin scale (range, 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]) as assessed by masked observers. Analyses were by intention to treat. This trial is registered with Clinical Trials Registry-India (CTRI/2013/04/003557), Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12613000078752), and Universal Trial Number (U1111-1138-6707).

FINDINGS

Between Jan 13, 2014, and Feb 12, 2016, 1250 patients were randomly assigned to intervention (n=623) or control (n=627) groups. 33 patients were lost to follow-up (14 intervention, 19 control) and five patients withdrew (two intervention, three control). At 6 months, 285 (47%) of 607 patients in the intervention group and 287 (47%) of 605 controls were dead or dependent (odds ratio 0·98, 95% CI 0·78-1·23, p=0·87). 72 (12%) patients in the intervention group and 86 (14%) in the control group died (p=0·27), and we observed no difference in rehospitalisation (89 [14%]patients in the intervention group vs 82 [13%] in the control group; p=0·56). We also found no difference in total non-fatal events (112 events in 82 [13%] intervention patients vs 110 events in 79 [13%] control patients; p=0·80).

INTERPRETATION

Although task shifting is an attractive solution for health-care sustainability, our results do not support investment in new stroke rehabilitation services that shift tasks to family caregivers, unless new evidence emerges. A future avenue of research should be to investigate the effects of task shifting to health-care assistants or team-based community care.

FUNDING

The National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia.

Survival analysis of weekend emergency medical admissions

BACKGROUND

We previously reported weekend emergency admissions to have a higher mortality; we have now examined the time profile of deaths, by weekday or weekend admission, in all emergency medical patients admitted between 2002 and 2014.

METHODS

We divided admissions by a weekday or weekend (After 17.00 Friday-Sunday) hospital arrival. We examined survival following an admission using Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier time to event analysis.

RESULTS

In total 82 368 admissions were recorded in 44, 628 patients. Weekend admissions had an increased mortality of 5.0% (95% CI 4.7, 5.4) compared with weekday admissions of 4.5% (95% CI 4.3, 4.7) ( P = 0.007). The univariate adjusted Odds Ratio (OR) of death for a weekend admission was significantly increased OR = 1.15 (95% CI 1.05, 1.24) ( P = 0.001). Mortality following an admission declined exponentially over time with a long tail, ∼25% of deaths occurred after day 28. Only 11.4% of deaths occurred on the weekend of the admission. Survival curves showed no mortality difference at 28 days ( P = 0.21) but a difference at 90 days ( P = 0.05). The higher mortality for a weekend admission was attributable to late deaths in the cohort with an extended stay; compared with weekday, these weekend admissions were more likely to be older and have greater co-morbidity.

CONCLUSION

Survival rates following a weekend or weekday admission were similar out to 28 days. The higher overall mortality for weekend admissions is due to divergence in survival between 28 and 90 days. Most deaths in weekend admissions occurred when the hospital was fully staffed.

Age and the economics of an emergency medical admission-what factors determine costs?

BACKGROUND

The ageing of the population may be anticipated to increase demand on hospital resources. We have investigated the relationship between hospital episode costs and age profile in a single centre.

METHODS

All Emergency Medical admissions (33 732 episodes) to an Irish hospital over a 6-year period, categorized into three age groups, were evaluated against total hospital episode costs. Univariate and adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated using zero truncated Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The total hospital episode cost increased with age ( P < 0.001). The multi-variable Poisson regression model demonstrated that the most important drivers of overall costs were Acute Illness Severity-IRR 1.36 (95% CI: 1.30, 1.41), Sepsis Status -1.46 (95% CI: 1.42, 1.51) and Chronic Disabling Disease Score -1.25 (95% CI: 1.22, 1.27) and the Age Group as exemplified for those 85 years IRR 1.23 (95% CI: 1.15, 1.32).

CONCLUSION

Total hospital episode costs are a product of clinical complexity with contributions from the Acute Illness Severity, Co-Morbidity, Chronic Disabling Disease Score and Sepsis Status. However age is also an important contributor and an increasing patient age profile will have a predictable impact on total hospital episode costs.

Influence of social deprivation, overcrowding and family structure on emergency medical admission rates

BACKGROUND

Patients from deprived backgrounds have a higher in-patient mortality following emergency medical admission.

AIM

To evaluate the influence of Deprivation Index, overcrowding and family structure on hospital admission rates.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

All emergency medical admissions from 2002 to 2013 were evaluated. Based on address, each patient was allocated to an electoral division, whose small area population statistics were available from census data. Patients were categorized by quintile of Deprivation Index, overcrowding and family structure, and these were evaluated against hospital admission rate, calculated as rate/1000 population. Univariate and multivariable risk estimates (Odds Ratios or Incidence Rate Ratios) were calculated, using logistic or zero truncated Poisson regression as appropriate.

RESULTS

There were 66 861 admissions in 36 214 patients over the 12-year study period. Deprivation Index quintile independently predicted the admission rate, with rates of Q1 12.0 (95% CI 11.8-12.2), Q2 19.5 (95% CI 19.3-19.6), Q3 33.7 (95% CI 33.3-34.0), Q4 31.4 (95% CI 31.2-31.6) and Q5 38.1 (95% CI 37.7-38.5). Similarly the proportions of families with children <15 years old, was an independent predictor of the admission rate with rates of Q1 20.8 (95% CI 20.4-21.1), Q2 23.0 (95% CI 22.7-23.3), Q3 32.2 (95% CI 31.9-32.5), Q4 32.4 (95% CI 32.2-32.7) and Q5 37.2 (95% CI 36.6-37.8). The proportion of families with children ≥15-years old was also predictive but quintile of overcrowding was only predictive in the univarate model.

CONCLUSION

Deprivation Index and family structure strongly predict emergency medical hospital admission rates.

Social deprivation and the rate of emergency medical admission for older persons

BACKGROUND

Deprivation Status increases the annual admission incidence of emergency medical admissions; the extent to which deprivation influences the admission of older persons is less well known.

AIM

To examine whether deprivation within a hospital catchment area influences emergency medical admissions for the elderly population.

DESIGN

The relationship between Deprivation Status, Dependency Ratio (population proportion of non-working age (<15 or ≥65 years) and age for all emergency admissions (82 368 episodes of 44 628 patients), over a 13-year period, were examined and ranked by quintile.

METHODS

Univariate and multi-variable risk estimates (incidence rate ratios) were calculated, using truncated Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The Dependency Ratio and the Deprivation index independently predicted the annual incidence rate of medical emergencies; however, when calculated for older persons, the corresponding incidence rate ratios showed a falling trend with increasing Deprivation Status-Q2 0.51 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50, 0.52), Q3 0.59 (95% CI: 0.58, 0.60), Q4 0.51 (95% CI: 0.50, 0.52) and Q5 0.37 (95% CI: 0.36, 0.38). Thus, with increasing Deprivation Status, the proportion of total admission from the ≥65-year cohort fell substantially.

CONCLUSION

The admission incidence rate for emergency medical patients is strongly influenced by the catchment area Deprivation Status. However, because of its greater impact on the younger population, increasing deprivation alters the ratio of younger to older persons as a proportion of total emergency admissions.

Common Iliac Artery Access during Endovascular Thoracic Aortic Repair Facilitated by a Transabdominal Wall Tunnel

Purpose:

To describe a technique for common iliac artery (CIA) access during endovascular aortic aneurysm repair when unfavorable angulation between the CIA and the delivery sheath precludes direct arterial access.

Technique:

After retroperitoneal exposure of the CIA, a puncture site is chosen inferolateral to the surgical incision, and an 18-G trocar/cannula is advanced in alignment with the CIA through the anterior abdominal wall or skin of the upper thigh into the retroperitoneal space. Serial dilatation is performed over a guidewire placed through the cannula to create the subcutaneous tract. The trocar/cannula is replaced over the wire, and the CIA is punctured under direct vision. The guidewire is then advanced into the proximal aorta. A CIA arteriotomy is performed and the delivery system introduced over the guidewire through the tunnel into the iliac artery.

Conclusions:

Retroperitoneal exposure of the CIA with tunneled transabdominal wall delivery of the stent-graft avoids both external iliac artery injury and creation of a temporary access conduit in patients with iliac tortuosity and/or occlusive disease.

Mesoscale atmosphere ocean coupling enhances the transfer of wind energy into the ocean

Although it is well established that the large-scale wind drives much of the world's ocean circulation, the contribution of the wind energy input at mesoscales (10–200 km) remains poorly known. Here we use regional simulations with a coupled high-resolution atmosphere–ocean model of the South Atlantic, to show that mesoscale ocean features and, in particular, eddies can be energized by their thermodynamic interactions with the atmosphere. Owing to their sea-surface temperature anomalies affecting the wind field above them, the oceanic eddies in the presence of a large-scale wind gradient provide a mesoscale conduit for the transfer of energy into the ocean. Our simulations show that this pathway is responsible for up to 10% of the kinetic energy of the oceanic mesoscale eddy field in the South Atlantic. The conditions for this pathway to inject energy directly into the mesoscale prevail over much of the Southern Ocean north of the Polar Front.

The precise mechanism for wind energy input into the ocean at mesoscales remains uncertain. Here, using a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean model of the South Atlantic, the authors show that a mesoscale conduit associated with oceanic eddies is responsible for up to 10% of kinetic energy transfer.