Flurbiprofen in the symptomatic management of rheumatoid arthritis: a valuable alternative

BACKGROUND

The withdrawal of certain cyclooxygenase-2 selective drugs and the availability of over-the-counter non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have increased the pressure for researching and prescribing conventional NSAIDs with a favourable efficacy/tolerance ratio in inflammatory diseases, particularly rheumatoid arthritis. The aim of this comprehensive meta-analysis was to evaluate the absolute and relative efficacy and safety of flurbiprofen in the management of rheumatoid arthritis.

METHODS

A systematic and exhaustive bibliographic research of published literature has been performed. The inclusion criteria are summarised as follows: randomised trial and rheumatoid arthritis and flurbiprofen and oral administration and anti-inflammatory doses from 100 to 300 mg and (placebo or aspirin or indomethacin or naproxen or ibuprofen or ketoprofen) and (articular pain or stiffness or swelling or mobility or patient/physician reported efficacy or tolerance or gastrointestinal (GI) tolerance). Studies were conducted from January 1975 to January 2006. Analyses have been stratified by comparisons and outcomes. Publication bias and robustness have been extensively investigated.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies, accounting for 1103 patient-years, have been included in the quantitative review. The mean daily doses administrated were 200 mg flurbiprofen, 4000 mg aspirin, 150 indomethacin, 750 mg naproxen and 1800 mg ibuprofen. Flurbiprofen was superior to placebo for all outcomes, and superior to three of four other NSAIDs in terms of formal symptomatic measures (pain, stiffness and swelling). Several patients or physicians reported the efficacy of flurbiprofen as superior to indomethacin and naproxen, while its safety, and particularly its GI tolerance were better compared with aspirin and indomethacin. Sensitivity analyses have reported a sufficient robustness against systematic publication bias assumptions.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis has shown that flurbiprofen is an interesting alternative to commonly prescribed NSAIDs in the symptomatic management of rheumatoid arthritis, especially given its favourable efficacy/tolerance ratio.

Combined therapies in osteoporosis: bisphosphonates and vitamin D-hormone analogs

During the last two decades, the development of new, highly effective therapeutics (e.g. bisphosphonates, SERMs, strontium ranelate and PTH) has significantly extended the spectrum of osteoporosis therapy. However, the interest of combining bone-active agents and/or Vitamin D and calcium is still being debated, and is restricted to a very marginal set of compounds (Alendronate and native Vitamin D). On the other hand, Vitamin D-hormone analogs, calcitriol, and alfacalcidol, have repeatedly demonstrated their effectiveness in being valuable alternatives compared to native Vitamin D in this setting. A growing amount of data documents the pre-clinical and clinical efficacies of combinations of bisphosphonates with calcitriol, or with alfacalcidol in primary and secondary osteoporosis. This exhaustive review of the available animal and clinical data aimed at comparing the theoretical with demonstrated absolute and relative benefits of those therapeutic approaches. Most of the pre-clinical and clinical data in PMOP suggest significant, clinical improvements in response to combination therapies versus monotherapies in postmenopausal osteoporosis. As a investigated by most of the currently available trials, a daily dose of alendronate 10 mg or a weekly dose of Alendronate 70 m plus alfacalcidol 0.5-1.0 microg daily plus alfacalcidol 0.5 microg seems to surpass other combinations when BMD and bone metabolism markers are considered. A synergy with bisphosphonates in reducing the fracture episodes may lie in the pleiotropic effects of D-hormone analogs on musculoskeletal, immunological and neurological systems. Negative interactions between both drugs have not yet been reported, while a reduction of hypercalcuria episodes has been noted in combination therapies, as compared to monotherapies involving high doses of Vitamin D, calcitriol, or alfacalcidol. Based on the possible reduction of periodic safety checks of calcemia, an improved compliance could then be expected, which would, in turn, generate a better end result. However, to document this, long-term, high quality comparative studies with factorial designs are needed to determine which role this alternative should play in the management of postmenopausal, male, and glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis.

Longitudinal study of magnetic resonance imaging and standard X-rays to assess disease progression in osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate, over 1-year, the relationship between X-ray and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

Sixty-two osteoarthritic patients (46 women) were followed for 1 year. At baseline and after 1 year, volume and thickness of cartilage of the medial tibia, the lateral tibia and the femur were assessed by MRI. A global score from the multi-feature whole-organ MRI scoring system (WORMS) was calculated for each patient at baseline and after 1 year. This score combined individual scores for articular cartilage, osteophytes, bone marrow abnormality, subchondral cysts and bone attrition in 14 locations. It also incorporated scores for the medial and lateral menisci, anterior and posterior cruciate ligaments, medial and lateral collateral ligaments and synovial distension. Lateral and medial femoro-tibial joint space width (JSW) measurements, performed by digital image analysis, were assessed from fixed-flexion, postero-anterior knee radiographs.

RESULTS

One-year changes in medial femoro-tibial JSW reach 6.7 (20.5) % and changes in medial cartilage volume and thickness reach 0.4 (16.7) % and 2.1 (11.3) %, respectively. Medial femoro-tibial joint space narrowing (JSN) after 1 year, assessed by radiography, was significantly correlated with a loss of medial tibial cartilage volume (r=0.25, P=0.046) and medial tibial cartilage thickness (r=0.28, P=0.025), over the same period. We found also a significant correlation between the progression of the WORMS and radiographic medial JSN over 1 year (r=-0.35, P=0.006). All these results remained statistically significant after adjusting for age, sex and body mass index.

CONCLUSION

This study shows a moderate but significant association between changes in JSW and changes in cartilage volume or thickness in knee joint of osteoarthritic patients.

Prospective multicentre study on antibiotic resistance of Helicobacter pylori strains obtained from children living in Europe

AIM

To prospectively assess the antibacterial resistance rate in Helicobacter pylori strains obtained from symptomatic children in Europe.

METHODS

During a 4-year period, 17 paediatric centres from 14 European countries reported prospectively on patients infected with H pylori, for whom antibiotic susceptibility was tested.

RESULTS

A total of 1233 patients were reported from Northern (3%), Western (70%), Eastern (9%) and Southern Europe (18%); 41% originated from outside Europe as indicated by mother's birth-country; 13% were <6 years of age, 43% 6-11 years of age and 44% >11 years of age. Testing was carried out before the first treatment (group A, n = 1037), and after treatment failure (group B, n = 196). Overall resistance to clarithromycin was detected in 24% (mean, A: 20%, B: 42%). The primary clarithromycin resistance rate was higher in boys (odds ratio (OR) 1.58; 1.12 to 2.24, p = 0.01), in children <6 years compared with >12 years (OR 1.82, 1.10 to 3.03, p = 0.020) and in patients living in Southern Europe compared with those living in Northern Europe (OR 2.25; 1.52 to 3.30, p<0.001). Overall resistance rate to metronidazole was 25% (A: 23%, B: 35%) and higher in children born outside Europe (A: adjusted. OR 2.42, 95% CI: 1.61 to 3.66, p<0.001). Resistance to both antibiotics occurred in 6.9% (A: 5.3%, B: 15.3%). Resistance to amoxicillin was exceptional (0.6%). Children with peptic ulcer disease (80/1180, 6.8%) were older than patients without ulcer (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The primary resistance rate of H pylori strains obtained from unselected children in Europe is high. The use of antibiotics for other indications seems to be the major risk factor for development of primary resistance.

Determinants of gastro-protective drugs co-prescription during treatment with nonselective NSAIDs: a prospective survey of 2197 patients recruited in primary care

OBJECTIVE

Our goal was to identify the magnitude of gastro-protective drugs (GPDs) co-prescription and the profile of patients who received GPD co-prescription, during nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) treatment in a "real life setting" of primary care practice.

METHODS

A pragmatic prospective 6-month survey of 2197 new takers of nonselective NSAIDs, selected and followed by general practitioners (GPs) on the bias of their usual standards of care.

RESULTS

Forty-seven percent of our survey population used at least one GPD during the 6-month follow-up. No difference was identified between piroxicam, diclofenac, ibuprofen, meloxicam and nimesulid for the GPD co-prescription. Besides the presence of gastro-intestinal (GI) symptoms, previous use of GPD, previous occurrence of GI disorders and increase in age are the most prominent predictive factors of GPD use during NSAID treatment. When adjusted for other risk factors, co-prescription of GPD was significantly increased in patients aged 55 years and above (odds ratio (OR): 1.29, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.64) with no further increase in the co-prescription in older subjects.

CONCLUSION

Patients above 55 years with previous history of GI symptoms or GPD use are more likely to benefit from cytoprotective medications.

[Value of bone densitometry for the diagnosis and monitoring of osteoporotic patients: integration with biological and clinical risk factors]

The diagnosis of osteoporosis and the monitoring of antiosteoporosis therapies imply a better and more rational use of bone densitometry. The optimal prescription modalities of this fundamental examination are favorably correlated with the efficacy of modern therapeutics. The rationale of this article is to provide the general practitioner with a factual update on the diagnostic and prognostic use of bone densitometry.

[Glucosamine as a pain-modifying drug in osteorthritis. What's new in 2006]

Glucosamine is widely used as a symptom-modifying drug in osteoarthritis. New clinical trials, from Europe and the United-States bring some clarification regarding the optimal formulation and doses to be used in knee osteoarthritis. Their results are supported by new pharmacokinetic and preclinical studies, explaining the mode of action of glucosamine in osteoarthritis.

The therapeutic effects of alfacalcidol on bone strength, muscle metabolism and prevention of falls and fractures

Established osteoporosis in older patients of both sexes is characterized by decoupled bone remodelling induced by sex hormone deficits and by somatopause, but also by lack of vitamin D and reduced synthesis of the D-Hormone (calcitriol; 1.25 (OH)2D) in the kidneys and bone, as well as from lack of receptors and/or receptor affinity for D-Hormone in the target organs. Parallel to the decreased bone strength a loss of muscle power occurs, together with an increase in balance disorders and an increasing risk of "intrinsic", nonsyncopal locomotoric falls. In alfacalcidol therapy, D-Hormone is provided to the body in circumvention of its own regulation, by means of which higher hormone concentrations can be achieved in the target tissues than by administration of plain vitamin D. In vitro and in vivo experiments have provided growing evidence that D-Hormone analogs tend to normalize PTH, lead to an increase in the number and activity of osteoblasts, reduce the activity of osteoclasts, and might thus normalize the "high bone turnover" in elderly osteoporotic patients ("supercoupling"). In addition, it has been shown that D-Hormone analogs are able to increase muscle power and walking distance in elderly D-Hormone deficient patients. Besides the known effect on the vertebral fracture rate, new clinical data confirm that D-Hormone analogs might reduce peripheral fractures by reducing falls. The expanded understanding of the pathogenesis of glucocorticoid- induced osteoporosis with its disturbed calcium homeostasis and the pharmacological effects of alfacalcidol, which counteract such iatrogenic bone loss, contribute to the understanding of its clinical efficacy in this most frequent form of secondary osteoporosis. Due to its recently discovered immunomodulating properties, alfacalcidol might find a slot in the management of bone loss caused by chronic inflammatory diseases or by organ transplantations. Alfacalcidol has multifactorial effects, among which the best known are its anti-bone loss and anti-fracture efficacies in postmenopausal osteoporosis. This demonstrated efficacy is related to its involvement in bone remodelling, leading to an improved bone strength. Its mode of action on muscle power, which reduces falls, is unique, differentiating this form of therapy from all other anti-osteoporotic drugs, none having demonstrated any influence on falls.

Three year joint space narrowing predicts long term incidence of knee surgery in patients with osteoarthritis: an eight year prospective follow up study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the clinical relevance of mean and minimum femorotibial joint space narrowing (JSN) for predicting future osteoarthritis related surgery in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

METHODS

126 subjects with primary knee osteoarthritis were followed prospectively for a mean eight years. Minimum and mean joint space width (JSW) were assessed from standard x rays at baseline and after a follow up of three years. The rate of knee osteoarthritis related surgery was recorded for the following five years.

RESULTS

After a mean follow up of eight years, 16 patients (12.7%) had received osteoarthritis related joint surgery. The areas under the curves (AUC) resulting from the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses for predicting osteoarthritis surgery were 0.73 (p=0.006) for minimum JSN and 0.55 (p=0.54) for mean JSN. The cut off for minimum JSN maximising sensitivity and specificity for predicting future surgery was a change of 0.7 mm or more in minimum joint space width over a period of three years. However, no meaningful differences were observed for cut off values between 0.5 and 0.8 mm The relative risk (adjusted for age, body mass index, baseline symptoms, and baseline JSW) of experiencing osteoarthritis related surgery during the eight year of follow up was 5.15 (95% confidence interval, 1.70 to 15.60) (p=0.004) in patients with a minimum joint space narrowing of 0.7 mm or more during the first three years of the study.

CONCLUSIONS

A cut off of 0.5 to 0.8 mm in minimum JSN, measured on standard x rays, reflects a clinically relevant progression in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

Vitamin D analogs versus native vitamin D in preventing bone loss and osteoporosis-related fractures: a comparative meta-analysis

It has been suggested that early postmenopausal women and patients treated with steroids should receive preventive therapy (calcium, vitamin D, vitamin D analogs, estrogens, or bisphosphonates) to preserve their bone mineral density (BMD) and to avoid fragility fractures. We designed the present study to compare the effects of native vitamin D to its hydroxylated analogs alfacalcidol 1-alpha(OH)D and calcitriol 1,25(OH)(2)D. All randomized, controlled, double-blinded trials comparing oral native vitamin D and its analogs, alfacalcidol or calcitriol, to placebo or head-to-head trials in primary or corticosteroids-induced osteoporosis were included in the meta-analysis. Sources included the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, EMBASE, MEDLINE, and a hand search of abstracts and references lists. The study period January 1985 to January 2003. Data were abstracted by two investigators, and methodological quality was assessed in a similar manner. Heterogeneity was extensively investigated. Results were expressed as effect-size (ES) for bone loss and as rate difference (RD) for fracture while allocated to active treatment or control. Publication bias was investigated. Fourteen studies of native vitamin D, nine of alfacalcidol, and ten of calcitriol fit the inclusion criteria. The two vitamin D analogs appeared to exert a higher preventive effect on bone loss and fracture rates in patients not exposed to glucocorticoids. With respect to BMD, vitamin D analogs versus placebo studies had an ES of 0.36 (P < 0.0001), whereas native vitamin D versus placebo had an ES of 0.17 (P = 0.0005), the interclass difference being highly significant (ANOVA-1, P < 0.05). When restricted to the lumbar spine, this intertreatment difference remained significant: ES = 0.43 (P = 0.0002) for vitamin D analogs and ES = 0.21 (P = 0.001) for native vitamin D (analysis of variance [ANOVA-1], P = 0.047). There were no significant differences regarding their efficacies on other measurement sites (ANOVA-1, P = 0.36). When comparing the adjusted global relative risks for fracture when allocated to vitamin D analogs or native vitamin D, alfacalcidol and calcitriol provided a more marked preventive efficacy against fractures: RD = 10% (95% Confidence interval [CI-2] to 17) compared to RD = 2% (95% CI, 1 to 2), respectively. The analysis of the spinal and nonspinal showed that fracture rates differed between the two classes, thereby confirming the benefits of vitamin D analogs, with significant 13.4% (95% CI 7.7 to 19.8) and. 6% (95% CI 1 to 12) lower fracture rates for vitamin D analogs, respectively. In patients receiving corticosteroid therapy, both treatments provided similar global ESs for BMD: ES = 0.38 for vitamin D analogs and ES = 0.41 for native vitamin D (ANOVA-1, P = 0.88). When restriced to spinal BMD, D analogs provided significant effects, whereas native vitamin D did not: ES = 0.43 (P < 0.0001) and ES = 0.33 (P = 0.21), respectively. The intertreatment difference was nonsignificant (ANOVA-1, P = 0.52). Neither D analogs for native vitamin D significantly prevented fractures in this subcategory of patients: RD = 2.6 (95%CI, -9.5 to 4.3) and RD = 6.4 (95%CI, -2.3 to 10), respectively. In head-to-head studies comparing D analogs and native vitamin D in patients receiving corticosteroids, significant effects favoring D analogs were found for femoral neck BMD: ES = 0.31 at P = 0.02 and spinal fractures: RD = 15% (95%CI, 6.5 to 25). Publication bias was not significant. Our analysis demonstrates a superiority of the D analogs atfacalcidol and calcitriol in preventing bone loss and spinal fractures in primary osteoporosis, including postmenopausal women. In corticosteroid-induced osteoporosis, the efficacy of D analogs differed depending on the comparative approach: indirect comparisons led to nonsignificant differences, whereas direct comparison did provide significant differences. In this setting, D analogs seem to prevent spinal fractures to a greater extent than do native vitamin D, but this assumption should be confirmed on a comprehensive basis in multiarm studies including an inactive comparator.

Time dependent risk of gastrointestinal complications induced by non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use: a consensus statement using a meta-analytic approach

OBJECTIVES

To provide an updated document assessing the global, NSAID-specific, and time dependent risk of gastrointestinal (GI) complications through meta-analyses of high quality studies.

METHODS

An exhaustive systematic search was performed. Inclusion criteria were: RCT or controlled study, duration of 5 days at least, inactive control, assessment of minor or major NSAID adverse effects, publication range January 1985 to January 2003. The publications retrieved were assessed during a specifically dedicated WHO meeting including leading experts in all related fields. Statistics were performed conservatively. Meta-regression was performed by regressing NSAID adjusted estimates against study duration categories.

RESULTS

Among RCT data, indolic derivates provided a significantly higher risk of GI complications related to NSAID use than for non-users: RR = 2.25 (1.00; 5.08) than did other compounds: naproxen: RR = 1.83 (1.25; 2.68); diclofenac: RR = 1.73 (1.21; 2.46); piroxicam: RR = 1.66 (1.14; 2.44); tenoxicam: RR = 1.43 (0.40; 5.14); meloxicam: RR = 1.24 (0.98; 1.56), and ibuprofen: RR = 1.19 (0.93; 1.54). Indometacin users had a maximum relative risk for complication at 14 days. The other compounds presented a better profile, with a maximum risk at 50 days. Significant additional risk factors included age, dose, and underlying disease. The controlled cohort studies provided higher estimates: RR = 2.22 (1.7; 2.9). Publication bias testing was significant, towards a selective publication of deleterious effects of NSAIDs from small sized studies.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis characterised the "compound" and "time" aspects of the GI toxicity of non-selective NSAIDs. The risk/benefit ratio of such compounds should thus be carefully and individually evaluated at the start of long term treatment.

Identification of a genetic marker of Helicobacter pylori strains involved in gastric extranodal marginal zone B cell lymphoma of the MALT-type

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Gastric extranodal marginal zone B cell lymphoma of the mucosa associated lymphoid tissue (MALT)-type (MZBL) is a rare complication of Helicobacter pylori infection. Currently, no bacterial factor has been associated with the development of this disease. Our aim was to identify genes associated with lymphoma development.

METHODS

We used subtractive hybridisation as a tool for comparative genomics between H pylori strains isolated from a patient with gastric MZBL and from a patient with gastritis only.

RESULTS

When gastric MZBL strains were compared with gastritis strains, two open reading frames (ORFs) were significantly associated with gastric MZBL: JHP950 (74.4% v 48.7%, respectively; p = 0.023) and JHP1462 (25.6% v 2.6%, respectively; p = 0.004). The prevalence of JHP950 was 48.8% (p = 0.024) in duodenal ulcer strains and 39.3% (p = 0.006) in gastric adenocarcinoma strains, which makes this ORF a specific marker for gastric MZBL strains. In contrast, the prevalence of JHP1462 was 16% (p = 0.545) and 35.7% (p = 0.429) in duodenal ulcer and adenocarcinoma strains, respectively. These ORFs were present in reference strain J99 but not in reference strain 26695. JHP950 is located in the plasticity zone whereas the other, JHP1462, is located outside. Both encode for H pylori putative proteins with unknown functions.

CONCLUSION

Despite its low prevalence, the ORF JHP1462 can be considered a candidate marker for H pylori strains involved in severe gastroduodenal diseases. In contrast, the ORF JHP950 has a high prevalence, and is the first candidate marker for strains giving rise to an increased risk of gastric MZBL strains. Further confirmation in other studies is needed.

Validation and comparative evaluation of the osteoporosis self-assessment tool (OST) in a Caucasian population from Belgium

BACKGROUND

Risk indices have been developed to identify women at risk of low bone mineral density (BMD) who should undergo BMD testing.

AIM

To compare the performance of four risk indices in White ambulatory women in Belgium.

DESIGN

Epidemiological cross-sectional study.

METHODS

Records were analysed for 4035 postmenopausal White women without Paget's disease or advanced osteoarthritis, seen at an out-patient osteoporosis centre between January 1996 and September 1999. Osteoporosis risk index scores were compared to bone density T-scores. The ability of each risk index to identify women with low BMD (T-score < -2.0) or osteoporosis (T < -2.5) was evaluated.

RESULTS

Using an Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool (OST) score <2 to recommend DXA referral, sensitivity ranged from 85% at the lumbar spine to 97% at the total hip to detect BMD T-scores of <or= -2.5, and specificity ranged from 34% at the total hip to 37% at the femoral neck and lumbar spine. The negative predictive value was high at all skeletal sites (89-99%), demonstrating the usefulness of the OST to identify patients who have normal BMD and should not receive DXA testing. All risk indices performed similarly, although the OST had somewhat better sensitivity and somewhat lower specificity than the other indices at the cut-offs evaluated. Among the 11-12% of women who were classified as highest risk using OST or the Osteoporosis Index of Risk (OSIRIS), 81-85% had low bone mass and 68-74% had osteoporosis.

DISCUSSION

The performance of these risk indices among women in Belgium was similar to that reported earlier for other samples in Asian countries, the US, and the Netherlands. The OST and other risk indices are effective and efficient tools to help target high-risk women for DXA testing.

Guidelines for clinical studies assessing the efficacy of drugs for the management of acute low back pain

In this paper we propose guidelines for clinical trials aimed at assessing the efficacy of drugs for acute non-specific low back pain (LBP) with or without radicular pain, preliminary to their approval and registration. To this end, consensus statements were obtained from a group of experts in the fields of rheumatology, clinical medicine, public health and epidemiology. EBM resources were systematically used as references. Four diagnostic categories were defined: type 1--LBP with no radiation; type 2--LBP radiating no further than the knee; type 3--LBP radiating beyond the knee, but with no neurologic signs; and type 4--LBP radiating to a specific and entire leg dermatome, with or without neurologic signs. Studies should be designed on the basis of the claimed indications for the drug, but must be double-blinded whatever the indication. The duration of the study may be shorter for LBP type 1 or 2 (one week) than for LBP types 3 and 4 (up to one month), depending on the aim of the study and the indications for the drug. The comparator may be inactive (placebo) or active (for a superiority trial, e.g., versus paracetamol). Specific inclusion and exclusion criteria have been defined here for each category. An appropriate wash-out period for any drugs that could affect the pain status should be planned. Paracetamol may be allowed as rescue medication. The primary endpoint should be based on a validated pain assessment tool that may be either generic (type 1 or 2) or oriented (back and knee for types 3 and 4). Secondary endpoints could include the assessment of functional performance; the duration of any period of bed-rest; work limitation; a global assessment comprising pain at rest, standing and walking; the time elapsed before epidural injection, the prescription of other therapeutic agents, or surgery; and the use of rescue medication. Adverse events (AE) should be monitored systematically using a methodology that reflects the mode of action of the tested drug. With the application of these guidelines, LBP could serve as an appropriate disease for testing analgesic drugs. Rigorous evaluation may also help to improve the management of acute LBP.

Subchondral tibial bone mineral density predicts future joint space narrowing at the medial femoro-tibial compartment in patients with knee osteoarthritis

Preliminary studies have shown that dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) produces images of sufficient quality for a precise and accurate measurement at density of the subchondral bone. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between baseline subchondral tibial bone mineral density (BMD) and joint space narrowing observed after 1 year at the medial femoro-tibial compartment of the knee joint. Fifty-six consecutive patients, from both genders, with knee osteoarthritis diagnosed according to the American College of Rheumatology criteria, were included in the study. Radiographic posteroanterior views were taken, at baseline and after 1 year of follow-up. Minimum joint space width (JSW) measurement, at the medial femoro-tibial joint, was performed with a 0.1-mm graduated magnifying lens. Baseline BMD of the subchondral tibial bone was assessed by DXA. The mean +/- SD age of the patients was 65.3 +/- 8.7 years, with a body mass index of 28.0 +/- 4.9 kg/m(2). The minimum JSW was 3.5 +/- 1.5 mm and the mean BMD of the subchondral bone was 0.848 +/- 0.173 g/cm(2). There was a significant negative correlation between subchondral BMD and 1-year changes in minimum JSW (r = -0.43, p = 0.02). When performing a multiple regression analysis with age, sex, body mass index, and minimum JSW at baseline as concomitant variables, BMD of the subchondral bone as well as JSW at baseline were independent predictors of 1-year changes in JSW (p = 0.02 and p = 0.005, respectively). Patients in the lowest quartile of baseline BMD (<0.73 g/cm(2)) experienced less joint space narrowing than those in the highest BMD quartile (>0.96 g/cm(2)) (+0.61 +/- 0.69 mm versus -0.13 +/- 0.27 mm; p = 0.03). Assessment of BMD of the subchondral tibial bone is significantly correlated with future joint space narrowing and could be used as a predictor of knee osteoarthritis progression.

[Prevention of frailty in the elderly: a demographic challenge]

World population is ageing. This phenomenon is unprecedented, universal, long-lasting and has important implications. Unprecedented, because never before in human history, so many individuals have reached an advanced age. Universal, because all countries are now concerned. Long-lasting, because ageing started in the second half of the XXth century and will become even more pronounced over the XXIst century. With important implications, because it has and will have substantial consequences on human life and social composition. This article reviews quantitative data on ageing to appraise its extent and implication, the goal being to extend and stimulate the debate on ageing. International data are first presented, then analysis moves to Belgium estimates.