"What Came First?" Population-Based Evaluation of Health Care Encounters for Depression and Anxiety Before and After Inflammatory Arthritis Diagnosis: Disentangling the Relationship Between Mental Health and Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

The study objective was to describe patterns of depression and anxiety health care use before and after diagnosis among patients with inflammatory arthritis (IA), namely, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, and rheumatoid arthritis.

METHODS

We used population-based linked administrative health data from British Columbia, Canada, to build a cohort of individuals (≥18 years) with incident IA and individuals without IA ("IA-free controls") matched on age and sex. We computed the proportion of individuals with IA and controls who had one or more depression or one or more anxiety health care encounters and the use of one or more antidepressants or one or more anxiolytics in each yearly interval five years before and after IA diagnosis. We used multivariable logistic regression models to evaluate the association between IA status and aforementioned depression and anxiety health care use outcomes in each yearly interval.

RESULTS

A total of 80,238 individuals with IA (62.9% female; mean ± SD age 56.2 ± 16.7 years) and 80,238 IA-free controls (62.9% female; mean ± SD age 56.2 ± 16.6 years) were identified between January 1, 2001, and March 31, 2018. Individuals with IA had significantly increased odds of depression and anxiety health care encounters and dispensation of antidepressants and anxiolytics for each yearly interval before and after diagnosis. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were highest in the year immediately before (one or more depression visits: adjusted OR 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.55-1.66; one or more anxiolytics: adjusted OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.66-1.77) or after (one or more antidepressants: adjusted OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.89-2.00) IA diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

Findings suggest a role for depression and anxiety in characterizing the IA prodrome period and generate hypotheses regarding overlapping biopsychosocial processes that link IA and mental health comorbidities.

When Should I Get My Next COVID Vaccine? Data from the SUrveillance of responses to COVID-19 vaCcines in systEmic immunE mediated inflammatory Diseases (SUCCEED)study

OBJECTIVE

To determine how serologic responses to COVID vaccination/infection in immunemediated inflammatory disease (IMID) are affected by time since last vaccination and other factors.

METHODS

Post-COVID-19 vaccination, data and dried blood spots/sera were collected from adults with rheumatoid arthritis, inflammatory bowel disease, systemic lupus, ankylosing spondylitis/spondylarthritis and psoriasis/psoriatic arthritis. First sample was at enrolment and then 2-4 weeks and 3, 6, and 12 months after latest vaccine dose. Multivariate generalized estimating equation regressions (including medications, demographics, and vaccination history) evaluated serologic response, based on log-transformed anti-RBD IgG titres; we also measured anti-nucleocapsid IgG.

RESULTS

Positive associations for log-transformed anti-RBD titres were seen with female sex, number of doses, and self-reported COVID infections in 2021-2023. Negative associations were seen with prednisone, anti-TNF agents, and rituximab.Over 2021-2023, most (94%) of anti-nucleocapsid positivity was associated with a self-reported infection in the 3 months prior. From March 2021 to Feb 2022, anti-nucleocapsid positivity was present in 5-15% of samples and was highest in the post-Omicron era, with anti-nucleocapsid positivity trending to 30-35% or higher as of March 2023. Anti-nucleocapsid positivity in IMID remained lower than Canada's general population seroprevalence (>50% in 2022 and >75% in 2023).Time since last vaccination was negatively associated with log-transformed anti-RBD titres, particularly after 210 days.

CONCLUSION

Ours is the first pan-Canadian IMID assessment of how vaccine history and other factors affect serologic COVID-19 vaccine responses. These findings may help individuals personalize vaccination decisions, including consideration of additional vaccination when >6 months has elapsed since last COVID vaccination/infection.

Risk of venous thromboembolism in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a meta-analysis of observational studies

BACKGROUND

Thrombotic events, such as venous thromboembolism (VTE) are a major health complication linked to rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the risk of VTE, including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), in adults with RA compared to the general population.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched from inception to April 2022 to identify publications meeting the following criteria: (1) prospective and retrospective original data from cohort or case-control studies; (2) pre-specified RA definition; (3) clearly defined VTE outcomes; (4) reported risk estimate and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs); (5) at least sex- and age-matched to comparison group; and (6) English language. Of 372 studies screened, 14 were included (602,760 RA patients, 123,076 VTE events) and their quality was assessed by an adaptation of the STROBE quality scoring scale.

RESULTS

The pooled risk ratios of VTE, DVT and PE in patients with RA were 1.57 (95% CI 1.41-1.76), 1.58 (95% CI 1.26-1.97) and 1.57 (95% CI 1.30-1.88), respectively. The I2 value of 92%, 94% and 92% for VTE, DVT and PE analyses, suggesting considerable heterogeneity. There were no significant differences in risk estimates among the five subgroup analyses: quality score (P = 0.35, I2 = 0%); sex (P = 0.31, I2 = 1.7%); study year (P = 0.81, I2 = 0%); population source (P = 0.35, I2 = 0%); study design (P = 0.62, I2 = 0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Results show that patients with RA are at a higher risk of VTE, DVT and PE compared to the general population.

Hydroxychloroquine Use and Cardiovascular Events Among Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Rheumatoid Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the potential temporal association between hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) use and cardiovascular (CV) events among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) or rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study within inception cohorts of SLE and RA patients using administrative health databases including the entire population of British Columbia, Canada. We identified cases with incident CV events, including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or venous thromboembolism (VTE). We matched each case with up to 3 controls on age, sex, and rheumatic disease. HCQ exposure was categorized by the time between the last HCQ prescription date covered and the index date as current use, recent use, remote use, or never used. We used conditional logistic regression to assess the association between HCQ exposure and CV events, using remote use as the reference group.

RESULTS

We identified 10,268 cases and 29,969 controls. Adjusted conditional odd ratios (cORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for current HCQ use relative to remote use were 0.86 (0.77-0.97) for combined CV events, 0.88 (0.74-1.05) for MI, 0.87 (0.74-1.03) for stroke, and 0.74 (0.59-0.94) for VTE. Recent HCQ users and nonusers had similar odds of combined CV events as remote users (cORs 0.93, 95% CI 0.77-1.13 and 0.96, 95% CI 0.88-1.04, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In this nested case-control study of patients with SLE and RA, we found a reduced risk of overall CV events associated with current HCQ use, including reductions in VTE and trends toward reductions in MI and stroke. These findings suggest a possible cardiovascular preventative benefit of HCQ use.

Impact of Loneliness and Social Isolation on Mental Health Outcomes Among Individuals With Rheumatic Diseases During the COVID-19 Pandemic

OBJECTIVE

The study objective was to assess mental and social health outcomes for individuals with rheumatic disease during the COVID-19 pandemic and evaluate the relationship of loneliness and social isolation with depression and anxiety.

METHODS

We administered an international cross-sectional online survey to individuals with rheumatic disease(s) (≥18 years) between April 2020 and September 2020, with a follow-up survey from December 2020 to February 2021. We used questionnaires to evaluate loneliness (3-item UCLA Loneliness Scale [UCLA-3]), social isolation (Lubben Social Network Scale [LSNS-6]), depression (Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ-9]), and anxiety (Generalized Anxiety Disorder 7-item [GAD-7] Scale). We used multivariable linear regression models to evaluate the cross-sectional associations of loneliness and social isolation with depression and anxiety at baseline.

RESULTS

Seven hundred eighteen individuals (91.4% women, mean age: 45.4 ± 14.2 years) participated in the baseline survey, and 344 completed the follow-up survey. Overall, 51.1% of participants experienced loneliness (UCLA-3 score ≥6) and 30.3% experienced social isolation (LSNS-6 score <12) at baseline. Depression (PHQ-9 score ≥10) and anxiety (GAD-7 score ≥10) were experienced by 42.8% and 34.0% of participants at baseline, respectively. Multivariable models showed that experiencing both loneliness and social isolation, in comparison to experiencing neither, was significantly associated with an average 7.27 higher depression score (ß = 7.27; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.08-8.47) and 5.14 higher anxiety score (ß = 5.14; 95% CI: 4.00-6.28).

CONCLUSION

Aside from showing substantial experience of loneliness and social isolation during the COVID-19 pandemic, our survey showed significant associations with depression and anxiety. Patient supports to address social health have potential implications for also supporting mental health.

A35 FORECASTING THE INCIDENCE AND PREVALENCE OF INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE: A CANADIAN NATION-WIDE ANALYSIS

Background

Canada is currently in the third epidemiological stage in the evolution of IBD: compounding prevalence. A high incidence of IBD, in conjunction with low mortality, leads to a steadily rising prevalence over time. By understanding historical epidemiological trends, we can forecast incidence and prevalence into the future to inform healthcare systems in Canada of the rising burden of IBD to society.

Purpose

To analyze past epidemiological trends in order to forecast the overall incidence and prevalence of IBD, Crohn’s disease (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) and stratified by age (<18, 18-64, 65+).

Method

Canadian population-based administrative data was acquired from: AB, BC, SK, MB, QC, and ON. Data were age and sex standardized to the matching year and provincial data aggregated into a representative sample of the Canadian population for prevalence (2002-2014) and incidence (2007-2014: 5-year washout period). Incidence and prevalence (per 100,000 persons) were calculated, with 95% confidence intervals (CI), using Canadian population estimates from Statistics Canada for IBD, CD, UC (IBD-unclassifiable+UC). Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average models were created, and rates forecasted from 2014 to 2035 with 95% prediction intervals (PI). Poisson (or negative binomial) for incidence and log binomial regression for prevalence estimated the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC), with 95% CIs, of the forecasted data.

Result(s)

The 2014 incidence of IBD in Canada was 28.4 per 100,000 (95%CI: 27.8, 29.0) and forecasted to significantly increase (AAPC: 0.58%; 95%CI: 0.04, 1.04) from 30.0 per 100,000 in 2023 to 32.1 (95%PI: 27.9, 36.3) in 2035. Pediatric onset IBD was 13.9 per 100,000 (95%CI: 13.0, 14.9) in 2014 and is forecasted to significantly increase to 18.0 per 100,000 (95%PI: 15.7, 20.2) in 2035 with an AAPC of 1.23% (95%CI: 0.76, 1.63). Adult and elderly onset incidence rates were forecasted to remain stable. Prevalence of IBD increased between 2002 (389 per 100,000) and 2014 (636 per 100,000) and is forecasted to continue to climb by an AAPC of 2.44% (95%CI: 2.34, 2.53). In 2023, the prevalence of IBD is 825 per 100,000. By 2035 prevalence is forecasted to climb to 1075 per 100,000 (95%PI: 1047, 1103) with 470,000 Canadians living with IBD. Prevalence across all age strata were forecasted to significantly increase. The highest AAPC was seen in the elderly (2.76%; 95%CI: 2.73, 2.79) with a prevalence of 841 per 100,000 (95%CI: 834, 849) in 2014 and forecasted to climb to 1534 per 100,000 (95%PI: 1519, 1550) in 2035.

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Conclusion(s)

Incidence of IBD continues to rise in Canada, driven by pediatric-onset IBD. In 2023, over 320,000 Canadians (0.83%) will be living with IBD. By 2035 prevalence will exceed 1% of the population with approximately 470,000 individuals in Canada with IBD. Future research should establish the environmental determinates of IBD that may influence temporal trends in the incidence of IBD, while healthcare systems adapt to the compounding prevalence of IBD.

Please acknowledge all funding agencies by checking the applicable boxes below

CIHR, Other

Please indicate your source of funding;

The Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust

Disclosure of Interest

S. Coward: None Declared, E. Benchimol Consultant of: Hoffman La-Roche Limited and Peabody & Arnold LLP for matters unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease and McKesson Canada and the Dairy Farmers of Ontario for matters unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease., C. Bernstein Grant / Research support from: Unrestricted educational grants from Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, and Takeda Canada. Has received research grants from Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Pfizer Canada, and Sandoz Canada and contract grants from Janssen, Abbvie and Pfizer, Consultant of: Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, JAMP Pharmaceuticals, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Sandoz Canada, and Takeda., Speakers bureau of: Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada and Takeda Canada, J. A. Avina-Zubieta: None Declared, A. Bitton: None Declared, L. Hracs: None Declared, J. Jones Consultant of: Janssen, Abbvie, Pfizer, Takeda, Speakers bureau of: Janssen, Abbvie, Pfizer, Takeda, E. Kuenzig: None Declared, L. Lu: None Declared, S. Murthy: None Declared, Z. Nugent: None Declared, A. Otley Grant / Research support from: Unrestricted educational grants from AbbVie Canada and Janssen Canada, Consultant of: Advisory boards of AbbVie Canada, Janssen Canada and Nestle, R. Panaccione Consultant of: Abbott, AbbVie, Alimentiv (formerly Robarts), Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Biogen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Celltrion, Cosmos Pharmaceuticals, Eisai, Elan, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Galapagos, Fresenius Kabi, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Glaxo-Smith Kline, JAMP Bio, Janssen, Merck, Mylan, Novartis, Oppilan Pharma, Organon, Pandion Pharma, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Progenity, Protagonist Therapeutics, Roche, Sandoz, Satisfai Health, Shire, Sublimity Therapeutics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Theravance Biopharma, Trellus, Viatris, UCB. Advisory Boards for: AbbVie, Alimentiv (formerly Robarts), Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Biogen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Glaxo-Smith Kline, JAMP Bio, Janssen, Merck, Mylan, Novartis, Oppilan Pharma, Organon, Pandion Pharma, Pfizer, Progenity, Protagonist Therapeutics, Roche, Sandoz Shire, Sublimity Therapeutics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Merck, Organon, Pfizer, Roche, Sandoz, Shire, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, J.-N. Pena-Sanchez: None Declared, H. Singh Consultant of: Pendopharm, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, Roche Canada, Sandoz Canada, Takeda Canada, and Guardant Health, Inc., L. Targownik Grant / Research support from: Investigator initiated funding from Janssen Canada, Consultant of: [Advisory board] AbbVie Canada, Takeda Canada, Merck Canada, Pfizer Canada, Janssen Canada, Roche Canada, and Sandoz Canada, J. Windsor: None Declared, G. Kaplan Grant / Research support from: Ferring, Janssen, AbbVie, GlaxoSmith Kline, Merck, and Shire, Consultant of: Gilead, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Janssen, Pfizer, Amgen, and Takeda

A210 THE BURDEN OF IBD HOSPITALIZATION IN CANADA: AN ASSESSMENT OF THE CURRENT AND FUTURE BURDEN IN A NATION-WIDE ANALYSIS

Background

Hospitalizations pose a significant burden on both the individual and the healthcare system. Those with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of hospitalization as compared to the general population due to flaring of disease activity and complications related to IBD. The advent of biologics over the past twenty years may have influenced the rates of hospitalization for IBD.

Purpose

To assess current and forecast the overall hospitalization rates of those with IBD stratified by types of hospitalizations (all cause hospitalizations, IBD-related, and IBD-specific).

Method

Population-based administrative data on hospitalization of IBD (2002-2014) were obtained from: AB, BC, MB, and SK. Data were age and sex standardized to the matching year and aggregated into a representative sample of the Canadian population. Hospitalization rates were assessed as follows: 1. All cause hospitalizations: all admissions regardless of indication; 2. IBD-specific: an admission directly resulting from IBD (e.g., IBD-flare); 3. IBD-related: an admission for IBD, or a symptom or comorbidity associated with IBD (e.g. rheumatoid arthritis). Using prevalence estimates from the provinces, hospitalization rates (per 100 persons with IBD) were calculated, with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average models were created to estimate number of hospitalizations and corresponding prevalence to forecast hospitalization rates to 2030 with 95% prediction intervals (PI). Poisson (or negative binomial) regression estimated the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC), with 95% CIs, of the forecasted data.

Result(s)

In 2002 there were 35.3 per 100 (95%CI: 34.7, 35.9) all cause hospitalizations for IBD patients and this decreased to 24.9 per 100 (24.5, 25.2) in 2014. Similar trends were seen for IBD-specific hospitalizations [16.8 per 100 (95%CI: 16.4, 17.2) in 2002 to 8.7 per 100 (95%CI: 8.5, 9.0) in 2014] and IBD-related (22.6 per 100 (95%CI: 22.1, 23.1) in 2002 to 13.4 per 100 (95%CI: 13.2, 13.7) in 2014). When forecasted out to 2030 all hospitalization types were significantly decreasing—the AAPC for all cause hospitalizations was -2.12% (95%CI: -2.31, -1.93), -3.77% (95%CI: -4.63, -3.08) for IBD-specific, and -3.09% (95%CI: -3.65, -2.62) for IBD-related. By 2030, the rates of hospitalization are forecasted to be 17.0 per 100 (95%PI: 16.2, 17.9), 4.6 per 100 (95%PI: 3.7, 5.4), and 7.9 per 100 (95%PI: 6.9, 8.9) for all cause, IBD-specific, and IBD-related, respectively.

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Conclusion(s)

In Canada, rates of hospitalizations for those with IBD have decreased from 2002 to 2014. The use of anti-TNF therapy in conjunction with the evolution of clinical monitoring, management and guidelines, likely has contributed to dropping hospitalization rates. Forecast models estimate a continued drop in hospitalization rates out to 2030. Importantly, healthcare resource planning should account for the shift from hospital-based to clinic-centric models of IBD care.

Please acknowledge all funding agencies by checking the applicable boxes below

CIHR

Disclosure of Interest

S. Coward: None Declared, E. Benchimol Consultant of: Hoffman La-Roche Limited and Peabody & Arnold LLP for matters unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease and McKesson Canada and the Dairy Farmers of Ontario for matters unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease., C. Bernstein Grant / Research support from: Unrestricted educational grants from Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, and Takeda Canada. Has received research grants from Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Pfizer Canada, and Sandoz Canada and contract grants from Janssen, Abbvie and Pfizer, Consultant of: Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, JAMP Pharmaceuticals, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Sandoz Canada, and Takeda., Speakers bureau of: Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada and Takeda Canada, J. A. Avina-Zubieta: None Declared, A. Bitton: None Declared, L. Hracs: None Declared, J. Jones Consultant of: Janssen, Abbvie, Pfizer, Takeda, Speakers bureau of: Janssen, Abbvie, Pfizer, Takeda, E. Kuenzig: None Declared, L. Lu: None Declared, S. Murthy: None Declared, Z. Nugent: None Declared, A. Otley Grant / Research support from: Unrestricted educational grants from AbbVie Canada and Janssen Canada, Consultant of: Advisory boards of AbbVie Canada, Janssen Canada and Nestle, R. Panaccione Consultant of: Abbott, AbbVie, Alimentiv (formerly Robarts), Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Biogen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Celltrion, Cosmos Pharmaceuticals, Eisai, Elan, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Galapagos, Fresenius Kabi, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Glaxo-Smith Kline, JAMP Bio, Janssen, Merck, Mylan, Novartis, Oppilan Pharma, Organon, Pandion Pharma, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Progenity, Protagonist Therapeutics, Roche, Sandoz, Satisfai Health, Shire, Sublimity Therapeutics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Theravance Biopharma, Trellus, Viatris, UCB. Advisory Boards for: AbbVie, Alimentiv (formerly Robarts), Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Biogen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Glaxo-Smith Kline, JAMP Bio, Janssen, Merck, Mylan, Novartis, Oppilan Pharma, Organon, Pandion Pharma, Pfizer, Progenity, Protagonist Therapeutics, Roche, Sandoz Shire, Sublimity Therapeutics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Merck, Organon, Pfizer, Roche, Sandoz, Shire, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, J.-N. Pena-Sanchez: None Declared, H. Singh Consultant of: Pendopharm, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, Roche Canada, Sandoz Canada, Takeda Canada, and Guardant Health, Inc.,, L. Targownik Grant / Research support from: Investigator initiated funding from Janssen Canada, Consultant of: [Advisory board] AbbVie Canada, Takeda Canada, Merck Canada, Pfizer Canada, Janssen Canada, Roche Canada, and Sandoz Canada, J. Windsor: None Declared, G. Kaplan Grant / Research support from: Ferring, Janssen, AbbVie, GlaxoSmith Kline, Merck, and Shire, Consultant of: Gilead, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Janssen, Pfizer, Amgen, and Takeda

A169 THE DIRECT COSTS OF INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE IN CANADA: A POPULATION-BASED ANALYSIS OF HISTORICAL AND CURRENT COSTS

Background

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a costly disease to manage due to hospitalizations, regular ambulatory monitoring, and expensive pharmaceutical therapies. While hospitalization rates have fallen, the increased use of biologics have escalated the cost of care to the healthcare system.

Purpose

To assess historical direct healthcare costs of the IBD population in Canada.

Method

Population-based administrative costing data were obtained from: Alberta, British Columbia, and Manitoba. Costs were calculated based on administrative data (2009 to 2016) which captured: hospitalizations, physician costs, ambulatory care such as: emergency visits, day surgery, and colonoscopy (AB only), and medication costs of IBD-specific medications, such as: mesalamine, biologics, steroids, and immunomodulators. Costs were converted to 2020 dollars using the consumer price index. Average annual cost per person (ACPP) was calculated for each province. Using province specific IBD prevalence estimates these ACPP were meta-analyzed to obtain the annual weighted costs, with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and these costs underwent meta-regression to ascertain the average annual change in cost per year. An Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model was created to estimate the ACPP in 2023 with 95% prediction intervals (PI). Canada-wide total direct care costs of IBD patients, in billions (B), were calculated using the ACPP, Canada-specific IBD prevalence estimates (historical and forecasted), and total Canadian population calculations from Statistics Canada (historical and forecasted).

Result(s)

In 2009 the ACPP was $7000 (95%CI: 5389, 8610), representing $1.18B (95%CI: 0.91B, 1.45B) in direct healthcare costs in Canada for all IBD patients. The ACPP in 2016 was increased to $10,336 (95%CI: 6803, 13869), which equates to $2.37B (95%CI: 1.56B, 3.18B) per year in direct healthcare costs. From 2009 to 2016, the ACPP increased an average of $450 (95%CI: 132, 767) per year. If these historical trends continue to 2023 the ACPP is forecasted to be $13,333 (95%PI: 12827, 13839) per person per year. The largest contributor to these costs is medications—accounting for an estimated 50% of the total costs of IBD patients.

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Conclusion(s)

The direct healthcare cost of IBD has risen steadily from 2009 to 2016 when the healthcare system spent over $10,000 per person with IBD and $2.37B nationwide. The primary driver of costs is medical management. Forecast models estimate that the annual cost may be over $13,000 per person in 2023. However, these estimates do not account for advent and increased uptake of novel biologics and small molecules, nor the downward cost pressure of biosimilars. These costs are those paid directly by the healthcare system and do not account for those born by the individual—it is estimated that the true cost of IBD (direct and indirect) is much higher.

Please acknowledge all funding agencies by checking the applicable boxes below

CIHR

Disclosure of Interest

S. Coward: None Declared, E. Benchimol Consultant of: Hoffman La-Roche Limited and Peabody & Arnold LLP for matters unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease and McKesson Canada and the Dairy Farmers of Ontario for matters unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease., C. Bernstein Grant / Research support from: Unrestricted educational grants from Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, and Takeda Canada. Has received research grants from Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Pfizer Canada, and Sandoz Canada and contract grants from Janssen, Abbvie and Pfizer, Consultant of: Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, JAMP Pharmaceuticals, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Sandoz Canada, and Takeda., Speakers bureau of: Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada and Takeda Canada, J. A. Avina-Zubieta: None Declared, A. Bitton: None Declared, L. Hracs: None Declared, J. Jones Consultant of: Janssen, Abbvie, Pfizer, Takeda, Speakers bureau of: Janssen, Abbvie, Pfizer, Takeda, E. Kuenzig: None Declared, L. Lu: None Declared, S. Murthy: None Declared, Z. Nugent: None Declared, A. Otley Grant / Research support from: Unrestricted educational grants from AbbVie Canada and Janssen Canada, Consultant of: Advisory boards of AbbVie Canada, Janssen Canada and Nestle, R. Panaccione Consultant of: Abbott, AbbVie, Alimentiv (formerly Robarts), Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Biogen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Celltrion, Cosmos Pharmaceuticals, Eisai, Elan, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Galapagos, Fresenius Kabi, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Glaxo-Smith Kline, JAMP Bio, Janssen, Merck, Mylan, Novartis, Oppilan Pharma, Organon, Pandion Pharma, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Progenity, Protagonist Therapeutics, Roche, Sandoz, Satisfai Health, Shire, Sublimity Therapeutics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Theravance Biopharma, Trellus, Viatris, UCB. Advisory Boards for: AbbVie, Alimentiv (formerly Robarts), Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Biogen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Glaxo-Smith Kline, JAMP Bio, Janssen, Merck, Mylan, Novartis, Oppilan Pharma, Organon, Pandion Pharma, Pfizer, Progenity, Protagonist Therapeutics, Roche, Sandoz Shire, Sublimity Therapeutics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Amgen, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Merck, Organon, Pfizer, Roche, Sandoz, Shire, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, J.-N. Pena-Sanchez: None Declared, H. Singh Consultant of: Pendopharm, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, Roche Canada, Sandoz Canada, Takeda Canada, and Guardant Health, Inc.,, L. Targownik Grant / Research support from: Investigator initiated funding from Janssen Canada, Consultant of: [Advisory board] AbbVie Canada, Takeda Canada, Merck Canada, Pfizer Canada, Janssen Canada, Roche Canada, and Sandoz Canada, J. Windsor: None Declared, G. Kaplan Grant / Research support from: Ferring, Janssen, AbbVie, GlaxoSmith Kline, Merck, and Shire, Consultant of: Gilead, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Janssen, Pfizer, Amgen, and Takeda

Measuring the Impact of MyLupusGuide in Canada: Results of a Randomized Controlled Study

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to assess the effects of a web-based program, MyLupusGuide, developed to facilitate self-management in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

In this randomized controlled online study, participants received either immediate access to the MyLupusGuide site or delayed access starting on month 3. The primary outcome was the patient activation measure (PAM) score. Secondary outcomes included measurements of health status, self-efficacy, coping, perceived patient-physician relationship, and medication adherence. Outcomes were measured at the baseline visit and at the 3-month and 6-month follow-up visits. We used linear mixed modeling to compare PAM scores between the 2 groups at months 3 and 6.

RESULTS

There were 541 participants included in this study. The mean ± SE age was 50 ± 14 years; 93% were female and 74% were White. The mean ± SE disease duration was 17 ± 12 years, and 56% visited MyLupusGuide at least once. The baseline mean ± SE PAM score was 61.2 ± 13, with 36% scoring low for perceived self-management skills. After 3 months of exposure to MyLupusGuide, there were no differences in terms of PAM scores between groups. In exploratory analyses, we found significant improvement in PAM scores in those who had low PAM scores at baseline and in male individuals. We observed significant improvements in self-efficacy before and after access to MyLupusGuide and delayed improvements at month 6 compared to month 3 in terms of mental health and emotional coping.

CONCLUSION

MyLupusGuide increases self-efficacy but not patient activation. A total of 56% of participants visited the MyLupusGuide site during the study period. Individuals with lupus need support to become activated toward self-management behaviors.

System-level performance measures of access to rheumatology care: a population-based retrospective study of trends over time and the impact of regional rheumatologist supply in Ontario, Canada, 2002-2019

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether there were improvements in rheumatology care for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) between 2002 and 2019 in Ontario, Canada, and to evaluate the impact of rheumatologist regional supply on access.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective study of all individuals diagnosed with RA between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2019. Performance measures evaluated were: (i) percentage of RA patients seen by a rheumatologist within one year of diagnosis; and (ii) percentage of individuals with RA aged 66 years and older (whose prescription drugs are publicly funded) dispensed a disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) within 30 days after initial rheumatologist visit. Logistic regression was used to assess whether performance improved over time and whether the improvements differed by rheumatology supply, dichotomized as < 1 rheumatologist per 75,000 adults versus ≥1 per 75,000.

RESULTS

Among 112,494 incident RA patients, 84% saw a rheumatologist within one year: The percentage increased over time (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2019 vs. 2002 = 1.43, p < 0.0001) and was consistently higher in regions with higher rheumatologist supply (OR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.67-1.80). Among seniors who were seen by a rheumatologist within 1 year of their diagnosis the likelihood of timely DMARD treatment was lower among individuals residing in regions with higher rheumatologist supply (OR = 0.90 95% CI 0.83-0.97). These trends persisted after adjusting for other covariates.

CONCLUSION

While access to rheumatologists and treatment improved over time, shortcomings remain, particularly for DMARD use. Patients residing in regions with higher rheumatology supply were more likely to access care but less likely to receive timely treatment.

Onset of depression and anxiety among patients with gout after diagnosis: a population-based incident cohort study

Background

Gout may be associated with an increased incidence of mental health disorders, however, published findings have been limited and inconsistent. Therefore, our objective was to conduct a population-based cohort study to evaluate the incidence of depression and anxiety after gout diagnosis.

Methods

We used linked population-based administrative health data in British Columbia, Canada that includes information on demographics, outpatient visits, and inpatient visits from the period of January 1, 1990 to March 31, 2018. We assessed depression and anxiety using validated International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th Revision coding algorithms. We applied multivariable Cox proportional hazard models to evaluate incident depression and anxiety among patients with gout in comparison to non-gout controls, adjusting for age, sex, neighbourhood income quintile, residence, comorbidities, and health care utilization.

Results

We included 157,426 incident cases of gout (60.2% male; mean age 57.1 years) and 157,426 non-gout controls (60.2% male; mean age 56.9 years). The incidence rate of depression among individuals with gout and non-gout controls was 12.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 12.7–13.2) and 11.1 (95% CI 10.9–11.4) per 1000 person-years, respectively. The incidence rate of anxiety for those with gout was 5.4 (95% CI 5.3–5.5) per 1000 person-years and for non-gout controls was 4.6 (95% CI 4.4–4.7) per 1000 person-years. Individuals with gout had an increased onset of depression (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.08; 95% CI 1.05–1.11) and anxiety (aHR, 1.10; 95% CI 1.05–1.14) compared to non-gout controls.

Conclusion

Our population-based study shows an increased incidence of depression and anxiety following gout diagnosis in comparison to non-gout controls. Findings suggest the importance of considering psychiatric impacts in addition to the physical impacts of gout.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s41927-022-00288-6.

A Population-Based Study Evaluating Retention in Rheumatology Care Among Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis

Objective

The study objective was to assess adherence to system‐level performance measures measuring retention in rheumatology care and disease modifying anti‐rheumatic drug (DMARD) treatment in rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

Methods

We used a validated health administrative data case definition to identify individuals with RA in Ontario, Canada, between 2002 and 2014 who had at least 5 years of potential follow‐up prior to 2019. During the first 5 years following diagnosis, we assessed whether patients were seen by a rheumatologist yearly and the proportion dispensed a DMARD yearly (in those aged ≥66 for whom medication data were available). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to estimate the odds of remaining under rheumatologist care.

Results

The cohort included 50,883 patients with RA (26.1% aged 66 years and older). Over half (57.7%) saw a rheumatologist yearly in all 5 years of follow‐up. Sharp declines in the percentage of patients with an annual visit were observed in each subsequent year after diagnosis, although a linear trend to improved retention in rheumatology care was seen over the study period (P < 0.0001). For individuals aged 66 years or older (n = 13,293), 82.1% under rheumatologist care during all 5 years after diagnosis were dispensed a DMARD annually compared with 31.0% of those not retained under rheumatology care. Older age, male sex, lower socioeconomic status, higher comorbidity score, and having an older rheumatologist decreased the odds of remaining under rheumatology care.

Conclusion

System‐level improvement initiatives should focus on maintaining ongoing access to rheumatology specialty care. Further investigation into causes of loss to rheumatology follow‐up is needed.

Immunosuppression and COVID-19 infection in British Columbia: Protocol for a linkage study of population-based administrative and self-reported survey data

Introduction

Cases of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continue to spread around the world even one year after the declaration of a global pandemic. Those with weakened immune systems, due to immunosuppressive medications or disease, may be at higher risk of COVID-19. This includes individuals with autoimmune diseases, cancer, transplants, and dialysis patients. Assessing the risk and outcomes of COVID-19 in this population has been challenging. While administrative databases provide data with minimal selection and recall bias, clinical and behavioral data is lacking. To address this, we are collecting self-reported survey data from a randomly selected subsample with and without COVID-19, which will be linked to administrative health data, to better quantify the risk of COVID-19 infection associated with immunosuppression.

Methods and analysis

Using administrative and laboratory data from British Columbia (BC), Canada, we established a population-based case-control study of all individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Each case was matched to 40 randomly selected individuals from two control groups: individuals who tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 (i.e., negative controls) and untested individuals from the general population (i.e., untested controls). We will contact 1000 individuals from each group to complete a survey co-designed with patient partners. A conditional logistic regression model will adjust for potential confounders and effect modifiers. We will examine the odds of COVID-19 infection according to immunosuppressive medication or disease type. To adjust for relevant confounders and effect modifiers not available in administrative data, the survey will include questions on behavioural variables that influence probability of being tested, acquiring COVID-19, and experiencing severe outcomes.

Ethics and dissemination

This study has received approval from the University of British Columbia Clinical Research Ethics Board [H20-01914]. Findings will be disseminated through scientific conferences, open access peer-reviewed journals, COVID-19 research repositories and dissemination channels used by our patient partners.

Indications and diagnostic outcome of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody testing in hospital medicine: a pattern of over-screening

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVE

Antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) serology can aid in the diagnosis and classification of ANCA-associated vasculitides (AAV). However, it is often ordered in patients without clinical manifestations of vasculitis. In this retrospective chart review, we aim to better understand the clinical practices on ANCA testing.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients' charts for the indications and diagnostic outcomes of ANCA tests. All ANCA tests ordered at two Canadian hospitals (a community hospital and an academic tertiary hospital) between January and December 2016 were included in the study. Descriptive statistics are used.

RESULTS

A total of 302 ANCA tests were included. The majority (n = 198, 65.6%) were ordered without an indication for testing. For those patients with at least 1 clinical manifestation of AAV (n = 104), 25% were ANCA positive and 18.3% resulted in a diagnosis of AAV. In comparison, among those without a clinical manifestation of AAV (n = 198), only 1.5% were ANCA positive and none was diagnosed with AAV. All patients diagnosed with AAV had at least 1 indication for ANCA testing. The three most common clinical presentations in patients with a final diagnosis of AAV were glomerulonephritis (81.8%), pulmonary hemorrhage (45.5%), and multiple lung nodules (31.8%).

CONCLUSION

To our knowledge, this is the first study that evaluates patients with both positive and negative ANCA test results in an inpatient setting. We demonstrated a low rate of ANCA positivity and AAV diagnosis in patients without clinical manifestations of AAV. Overall, there is a high rate of ANCA testing without an indication at our academic institution. This over-testing may be curbed by strategies such as a gating policy, culture changes, and clinician education. Key Points • AAV is a clinical-pathological diagnosis, and despite the usefulness of ANCA testing, it does not confirm nor rule out AAV. • ANCA testing for the diagnosis of AAV is generally only indicated when there is a clear manifestation of AAV. • Although patients with AAV may occasionally present without classic signs and symptoms, the diagnostic utility of ANCA serology in this setting is low, and testing is more likely to result in a false-positive or false-negative test. • If clinical suspicion remains high despite negative ANCA testing, clinicians should seek consultation with a rheumatologist.

Hydroxychloroquine and Mortality Among Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in the General Population

OBJECTIVE

Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) has been associated with improved survival among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) from tertiary referral centers. We aimed to determine the potential impact of HCQ use on the risk of mortality among SLE patients in the general population.

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study within an incident SLE cohort from the entire population of British Columbia, Canada. Deceased patients were matched with up to 3 living controls by age, sex, and SLE disease duration. HCQ exposure was categorized by the time between the last HCQ prescription date covered (i.e., end of supply) and the index date (i.e., death date) as current (<30 days), recent (30-365 days), remote (>365 days), or never used. We used conditional logistic regression to assess the risk of all-cause mortality associated with current or recent HCQ exposure compared with remote HCQ users.

RESULTS

Among 6,241 patients with incident SLE, we identified 290 deceased patients and 502 matched SLE controls. Adjusted odd ratios for all-cause mortality were 0.50 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.30-0.82) for current users and 2.47 (95% CI 1.21-5.05) for recent users compared with remote users. Associations were similar in subgroups according to SLE duration (≤5 years versus >5 years).

CONCLUSION

Our general population data support a substantial survival benefit associated with current HCQ use. Increased mortality among patients who had discontinued HCQ recently could be due to a sick stopper effect or the loss of actual HCQ benefits.

Persistent premature mortality gap in dermatomyositis and polymyositis: a United Kingdom general population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

DM and PM are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. We aimed to examine recent trends.

METHODS

Using The Health Improvement Network, we identified patients with incident DM/PM (defined by ≥1 Read diagnosis code) aged 18-89 years with ≥1 year of continuous enrolment prior to the cohort entry date and up to 10 comparators matched on age, sex and entry year. The cohort was divided in two based on the year of DM/PM diagnosis: the early cohort (1999-2006) and late cohort (2007-2014). We calculated multivariable hazard ratios (HR) for death using a Cox-proportional hazards model and multivariable rate differences (RD) using an additive hazard model.

RESULTS

We identified 410 DM cases (mean age: 58 years, 66% female) and 407 PM cases (mean age: 59 years, 61% female). Both DM cohorts had excess mortality compared with the comparison cohorts (71.5 vs 12.9 deaths/1000 person-years [PY] in the early cohort and 49.1 vs 10.4 deaths/1000 PY in the late cohort). The multivariable HRs were 7.51 (95% CI: 4.20, 13.42) in the early cohort and 5.42 (95% CI: 3.11, 9.45) in the late cohort (P-value for interaction = 0.59), and multivariable RDs were 56.2 (95% CI: 31.8, 81.2) in the early cohort and 36.3 (95% CI: 19.6, 53.0) in the late cohort (P-value for interaction = 0.15). A similar trend existed in PM.

CONCLUSION

The premature mortality gap in DM/PM has not considerably improved in recent years, highlighting an unmet need for therapeutic improvement.

Ten-year risk of cerebrovascular accidents in incident rheumatoid arthritis: a population-based study of trends over time

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate secular trends in 10-year risk of incident cerebrovascular accidents (CVA), in incident RA relative to the general population.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of a population-based incident cohort with RA onset from 1997 to 2004 in British Columbia, Canada, with matched general population controls (2:1), using administrative health data. RA and general population cohorts were divided according to year of RA onset, defined according to the first RA visit of the case definition. Incident CVA was defined as the first CVA occurring within 10 years from the first RA visit. Secular trend was assessed using delayed-entry Cox models with a two-way interaction term between the year of RA onset and indicator of RA vs general population. Linear, quadratic and spline functions of year of RA onset were compared with assess non-linear effects. The model with the lowest Akaike Information Criterion was selected.

RESULTS

Overall, 23 545 RA and 47 090 general population experienced 658 and 1220 incident CVAs, respectively. A spline Cox model with a knot at year of onset 1999 was selected. A significant decline in risk of CVA was observed in individuals with RA onset after 1999 [0.90 (0.86, 0.95); P = 0.0001]. The change in CVA risk over time differed significantly in RA with onset from 1999 onwards compared with the general population (P-value of interaction term = 0.03), but not before 1999 (P = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that people with RA onset from 1999 onwards, had a significantly greater decline in 10-year risk of CVA compared with the general population.

Has the excess risk of acute myocardial infarction in rheumatoid arthritis relative to the general population declined? A population study of trends over time

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate secular trend in ten-year risk of incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in incident rheumatoid arthritis (RA) relative to the general population.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of population-based incident RA cohorts with RA incidence from 1997 to 2004 in British Columbia, Canada, with matched general population comparators, using administrative health data. RA and their matched cohorts were divided according to the year of RA incidence, defined according to the first RA visit of the case definition. Incident AMI was defined as the first event occurring within 10 years from RA incidence. Secular trend was assessed using delayed-entry Cox models with an interaction term between the year of RA onset and indicator of RA vs. general population. Linear, quadratic and spline functions of year of RA onset were compared to assess possibility of nonlinear trends. The model with the lowest AIC was selected to interpret the results. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to account for potential effect of unmeasured (e.g. smoking) or partially measured (e.g. obesity) confounders in administrative data, on the interaction term.

RESULTS

Overall, 23,237 RA and 46,474 general population controls experienced 1,133 and 1,606 incident AMIs, respectively. A linear Cox model was selected as the model best fitting the AMI events. Overall, RA patients were found to have a 21% higher risk of AMI than the matched general population controls [1.21 (1.10, 1.32); p < 0.001]. A significant linear decline in risk of AMI was observed in RA patients [0.94 (95% CI 0.91, 0.97) p = <0.0001], and in the general population [0.93 (0.91, 0.95); p = <0.0001]. The change in AMI risk over time did not differ in RA compared to the general population [p-value of interaction term=0.49]. Our results remained similar after adjusting for the potential effect of confounders on the interaction term, and no difference in the change in risk of AMI over time was observed between RA and the general population.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest a decline in 10-year risk of AMI in RA, and in the general population. The decline in the risk of AMI over time did not differ between RA and the general population, such that the excess risk of AMI in RA relative to the general population, has remained the same.

The Challenges of Perceived Self-Management in Lupus

OBJECTIVE

Systemic lupus erythematosus is a chronic autoimmune disease with varied and unpredictable levels of disease activity. The ability to self-manage lupus is important in controlling disease activity. Our objective was to determine levels of patient activation toward self-management in lupus.

METHODS

We used baseline results from the MyLupusGuide^TM study that had recruited 541 lupus patients from ten centers. We used the Patient Activation Measure (PAM), a validated self-reported tool designed to measure activation towards self-management ability, as our primary variable and examined its association with demographic, disease-related, patient-provider communication and psychosocial variables captured in our study protocol. Univariable and multivariable linear regressions were performed using linear mixed models, with a random effect for centers.

RESULTS

The average age was 50±14 years, 93% were female, 74% were Caucasian and the average disease duration was 17±12 years. The mean PAM score was 61.2±13.5 with 36% of participants scoring in the two lower levels, indicating low activation. Variables associated with low activation included being single, lower physical health status, lower self-reported disease activity, lower self-efficacy, use of more emotional coping and less distraction and instrumental coping strategies, and perceived lack of clarity in patient-doctor communication.

CONCLUSION

Low patient activation was observed in more than one third of lupus patients indicating a large proportion of patients perceived that they are lacking in lupus self-management skills. These results highlight a modifiable gap in perceived self-management ability among patients with lupus.

eHealth-supported decentralized multi-disciplinary care for gout involving rheumatology, pharmacy, and dietetics: proof-of-concept study

OBJECTIVE

To conduct quantitative and qualitative evaluation of an electronic health (eHealth)-supported decentralized multi-disciplinary care model for gout involving rheumatologists, pharmacist, and dietitian.

METHODS

We conducted a 12-month proof-of-concept study. Gout patients with ≥ 1 flare in the past year and serum urate (SUA) ≥ 360 μmol/L within the previous 2 months were followed by participating community rheumatologists on an as-needed basis, received monthly telephone consults with a pharmacist, and one telephone consult with a dietitian. Healthcare professionals were not co-located but had shared access to the rheumatologists' electronic medical records (EMR) for remote communication and collaboration. In quantitative evaluation, the primary outcome was the proportion of patients with SUA < 360 μmol/L at 12 months. In qualitative evaluation, we conducted semi-structured interviews with a subset of patients and applied constructivist grounded theory to gather patients' perspectives.

RESULTS

Overall, 35 gout patients (86% males, mean age 60.9 ± 14.9 years) participated. At 12 months, 72% of patients achieved target SUA < 360 μmol/L. Qualitative analysis of interviews with a subset of 12 patients resulted in two themes: (1) experiences with receiving care, including categories of improved knowledge about gout, receiving personalized support, and knowing someone cares, and (2) practical considerations, including categories of optimizing timing of care and coordination and accessibility.

CONCLUSION

Our multi-method study shows that a decentralized, multi-disciplinary care for gout involving rheumatology, pharmacy, and dietetics with shared EMR access led to gout patients achieving target SUA. It was well-received by patients who perceived better education about gout and personalized care.Key Points• We demonstrated the feasibility and impact of an eHealth-supported, decentralized collaborative care model for gout involving rheumatology, pharmacy, and dietetics• Although prior multi-disciplinary models of care for gout have been reported, the novelty of our model is that healthcare providers are not co-located, lending to potential efficiencies and outreach to patients in rural areas.

Using Physical Activity Trackers in Arthritis Self-Management: A Qualitative Study of Patient and Rehabilitation Professional Perspectives

OBJECTIVE

To compare and contrast the perspectives of patients with arthritis and those of rehabilitation professionals regarding starting and sustaining use of physical activity trackers (PATs).

METHODS

We conducted focus group sessions with patients, physiotherapists, and occupational therapists in Ontario, Alberta, or British Columbia, Canada. To be eligible, patients must have self-reported a diagnosis of inflammatory or osteoarthritis. Rehabilitation professionals reported that at least 40% of their caseload was dedicated to arthritis care. Participants had any level of experience with PATs. A thematic analytic approach was used.

RESULTS

The following 3 themes were identified: 1) anticipating sharing objective measures of physical activity. Participants agreed that use of PATs had the potential to improve consultations between patients with arthritis and rehabilitation professionals but were uncertain how to achieve this potential; 2) perceived or experienced barriers to start or continue using a PAT. Participants shared doubts about whether existing PATs would meet specific needs of patients with arthritis and expressed concerns about possible negative impacts; and 3) bolstering motivation? Although there was agreement that use of PATs could bolster the motivation of patients who were already active, patients and rehabilitation professionals had different opinions regarding whether use of PATs alone would motivate patients to start increasing activity levels.

CONCLUSION

Our study highlights similarities and differences between the perspectives of patients and rehabilitation professionals regarding the potential value and risks of integrating PATs into arthritis self-management. Despite agreement about the potential of PATs, participants were uncertain how to effectively incorporate these tools to enhance patient-clinician consultations and had differing views about whether use of PATs would support a patient's motivation to be active.

Past and Future Burden of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Based on Modeling of Population-Based Data

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) exist worldwide, with high prevalence in North America. IBD is complex and costly, and its increasing prevalence places a greater stress on health care systems. We aimed to determine the past current, and future prevalences of IBD in Canada.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using population-based health administrative data from Alberta (2002-2015), British Columbia (1997-2014), Manitoba (1990-2013), Nova Scotia (1996-2009), Ontario (1999-2014), Quebec (2001-2008), and Saskatchewan (1998-2016). Autoregressive integrated moving average regression was applied, and prevalence, with 95% prediction intervals (PIs), was forecasted to 2030. Average annual percentage change, with 95% confidence intervals, was assessed with log binomial regression.

RESULTS

In 2018, the prevalence of IBD in Canada was estimated at 725 per 100,000 (95% PI 716-735) and annual average percent change was estimated at 2.86% (95% confidence interval 2.80%-2.92%). The prevalence in 2030 was forecasted to be 981 per 100,000 (95% PI 963-999): 159 per 100,000 (95% PI 133-185) in children, 1118 per 100,000 (95% PI 1069-1168) in adults, and 1370 per 100,000 (95% PI 1312-1429) in the elderly. In 2018, 267,983 Canadians (95% PI 264,579-271,387) were estimated to be living with IBD, which was forecasted to increase to 402,853 (95% PI 395,466-410,240) by 2030.

CONCLUSION

Forecasting prevalence will allow health policy makers to develop policy that is necessary to address the challenges faced by health systems in providing high-quality and cost-effective care.

IL-6 expression is correlated with increased T-cell proliferation and survival in the arterial wall in giant cell arteritis

Giant cell arteritis (GCA) is the most common vasculitis in adults affecting large and medium-sized arteries. IL-6 and T cell accumulation within the arterial wall contribute to the pathogenesis of GCA, and blockade of IL-6 activity is efficacious in its treatment. We examined the relationship between levels of IL-6 expression and immunological processes that control the expansion of T cells in GCA-positive temporal artery biopsies. CD4 T cells accumulated in clusters within the media and deep intima of all GCA lesions. There was a significant positive correlation between the expression of IL-6 mRNA and increased frequency of proliferating CD4 T cells. The expansion of T cells can be inhibited by T regs but IL-6 expression was not correlated with differences in T reg accumulation. Increased IL-6 levels were also significantly correlated with lower frequencies of CD4 T cells undergoing apoptotic cell death. In conclusion, IL-6 may contribute to the accumulation of CD4 T cells in GCA by supporting their proliferation and survival within the arterial wall through mechanisms that are independent of effects on local T reg expansion.

Mortality in ANCA-associated vasculitis: ameta-analysis of observational studies

Objective

To determine the magnitude of all-cause mortality risk in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies-associated vasculitis (AAV) compared with the general population through a meta-analysis of observational studies.

Methods

We searched Medline and Embase databases from their inception to April 2015. Observational studies that met the following criteria were assessed by two researchers: (1) clearly defined AAV identified by either the American College of Rheumatology 1990 classification criteria or the 2012 Chapel Hill Consensus Conference disease definitions, and (2) reported standardised mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% CI. We calculated weighted-pooled summary estimates of SMRs (meta-SMRs) for all-cause mortality using random-effects model, tested for publication bias and heterogeneity.

Results

Ten studies met the inclusion criteria, comprising 3338 patients with AAV enrolled from 1966 to 2009, and a total of 1091 observed deaths. Overall, we found a 2.7-fold increased risk of death in patients with AAV when compared with the general population (meta-SMR: 2.71 (95% CI 2.26 to 3.24)). Analysis on studies that included only granulomatosis with polyangiitis cases also indicated a similar mortality risk (meta-SMR: 2.63 (95% CI 2.02 to 3.43)). There was no significant publication bias or small-study effect. Subgroup analyses showed that mortality risks were higher in older cohorts, with a trend towards improvement over time (ie, those with their midpoint of enrolment periods that were between 1980–1993 and 1994–1999, vs 2000–2005).

Conclusion

Published data indicate there is a 2.7-fold increase in mortality among patients with AAV compared with the general population.

Improvement in 5-year mortality in incident rheumatoid arthritis compared with the general population-closing the mortality gap

OBJECTIVE

Excess mortality in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is expected to have improved over time, due to improved treatment. Our objective was to evaluate secular 5-year mortality trends in RA relative to general population controls in incident RA cohorts diagnosed in 1996-2000 vs 2001-2006.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study, using administrative health data, of all incident RA cases in British Columbia who first met RA criteria between January 1996 and December 2006, with general population controls matched 1:1 on gender, birth and index years. Cohorts were divided into earlier (RA onset 1996-2000) and later (2001-2006) cohorts. Physician visits and vital statistics data were obtained until December 2010. Follow-up was censored at 5 years to ensure equal follow-up in both cohorts. Mortality rates, mortality rate ratios and HRs for mortality (RA vs controls) using proportional hazard models adjusting for age, were calculated. Differences in mortality in RA versus controls between earlier and later incident cohorts were tested via interaction between RA status (case/control) and cohort (earlier/later).

RESULTS

24 914 RA cases and controls experienced 2747 and 2332 deaths, respectively. Mortality risk in RA versus controls differed across incident cohorts for all-cause, cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and cancer mortality (interactions p<0.01). A significant increase in mortality in RA versus controls was observed in earlier, but not later, cohorts (all-cause mortality adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.40 (1.30 to 1.51) and 0.97 (0.89 to 1.05), respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In our population-based incident RA cohort, mortality compared with the general population improved over time. Increased mortality in the first 5 years was observed in people with RA onset before, but not after, 2000.

Validity of Diagnostic Codes for Acute Stroke in Administrative Databases: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a systematic review of studies reporting on the validity of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for identifying stroke in administrative data.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched (inception to February 2015) for studies: (a) Using administrative data to identify stroke; or (b) Evaluating the validity of stroke codes in administrative data; and (c) Reporting validation statistics (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), or Kappa scores) for stroke, or data sufficient for their calculation. Additional articles were located by hand search (up to February 2015) of original papers. Studies solely evaluating codes for transient ischaemic attack were excluded. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers; article quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool.

RESULTS

Seventy-seven studies published from 1976-2015 were included. The sensitivity of ICD-9 430-438/ICD-10 I60-I69 for any cerebrovascular disease was ≥ 82% in most [≥ 50%] studies, and specificity and NPV were both ≥ 95%. The PPV of these codes for any cerebrovascular disease was ≥ 81% in most studies, while the PPV specifically for acute stroke was ≤ 68%. In at least 50% of studies, PPVs were ≥ 93% for subarachnoid haemorrhage (ICD-9 430/ICD-10 I60), 89% for intracerebral haemorrhage (ICD-9 431/ICD-10 I61), and 82% for ischaemic stroke (ICD-9 434/ICD-10 I63 or ICD-9 434&436). For in-hospital deaths, sensitivity was 55%. For cerebrovascular disease or acute stroke as a cause-of-death on death certificates, sensitivity was ≤ 71% in most studies while PPV was ≥ 87%.

CONCLUSIONS

While most cases of prevalent cerebrovascular disease can be detected using 430-438/I60-I69 collectively, acute stroke must be defined using more specific codes. Most in-hospital deaths and death certificates with stroke as a cause-of-death correspond to true stroke deaths. Linking vital statistics and hospitalization data may improve the ascertainment of fatal stroke.

Validity of heart failure diagnoses in administrative databases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

Heart failure (HF) is an important covariate and outcome in studies of elderly populations and cardiovascular disease cohorts, among others. Administrative data is increasingly being used for long-term clinical research in these populations. We aimed to conduct the first systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting on the validity of diagnostic codes for identifying HF in administrative data.

Methods

MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched (inception to November 2010) for studies: (a) Using administrative data to identify HF; or (b) Evaluating the validity of HF codes in administrative data; and (c) Reporting validation statistics (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value [PPV], negative predictive value, or Kappa scores) for HF, or data sufficient for their calculation. Additional articles were located by hand search (up to February 2011) of original papers. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers; article quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool. Using a random-effects model, pooled sensitivity and specificity values were produced, along with estimates of the positive (LR+) and negative (LR−) likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios (DOR = LR+/LR−) of HF codes.

Results

Nineteen studies published from1999–2009 were included in the qualitative review. Specificity was ≥95% in all studies and PPV was ≥87% in the majority, but sensitivity was lower (≥69% in ≥50% of studies). In a meta-analysis of the 11 studies reporting sensitivity and specificity values, the pooled sensitivity was 75.3% (95% CI: 74.7–75.9) and specificity was 96.8% (95% CI: 96.8–96.9). The pooled LR+ was 51.9 (20.5–131.6), the LR− was 0.27 (0.20–0.37), and the DOR was 186.5 (96.8–359.2).

Conclusions

While most HF diagnoses in administrative databases do correspond to true HF cases, about one-quarter of HF cases are not captured. The use of broader search parameters, along with laboratory and prescription medication data, may help identify more cases.

Validity of myocardial infarction diagnoses in administrative databases: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Though administrative databases are increasingly being used for research related to myocardial infarction (MI), the validity of MI diagnoses in these databases has never been synthesized on a large scale.

OBJECTIVE

To conduct the first systematic review of studies reporting on the validity of diagnostic codes for identifying MI in administrative data.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched (inception to November 2010) for studies: (a) Using administrative data to identify MI; or (b) Evaluating the validity of MI codes in administrative data; and (c) Reporting validation statistics (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value, or Kappa scores) for MI, or data sufficient for their calculation. Additonal articles were located by handsearch (up to February 2011) of original papers. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers; article quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool.

RESULTS

Thirty studies published from 1984-2010 were included; most assessed codes from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9th revision. Sensitivity and specificity of hospitalization data for identifying MI in most [≥50%] studies was ≥86%, and PPV in most studies was ≥93%. The PPV was higher in the more-recent studies, and lower when criteria that do not incorporate cardiac troponin levels (such as the MONICA) were employed as the gold standard. MI as a cause-of-death on death certificates also demonstrated lower accuracy, with maximum PPV of 60% (for definite MI).

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalization data has higher validity and hence can be used to identify MI, but the accuracy of MI as a cause-of-death on death certificates is suboptimal, and more studies are needed on the validity of ICD-10 codes. When using administrative data for research purposes, authors should recognize these factors and avoid using vital statistics data if hospitalization data is not available to confirm deaths from MI.

Adverse drug reactions and debrisoquine/sparteine (P450IID6) polymorphism in patients with fibromyalgia

OBJECTIVE

To assess the frequency of adverse drug reaction in patients with fibromyalgia in relation to medications prescribed for this condition. To evaluate the potential role of the P450IID6 phenotype in the pathogenesis of these adverse drug reactions.

METHODS

Thirty-five patients with fibromyalgia were assessed using a structured questionnaire with demographic and clinical data and perceived adverse drug reactions. A sample of 60 patients with rheumatoid arthritis and 62 patients with localized back pain served as controls. The P450IID6 phenotype was determined for each of the fibromyalgia patients.

RESULTS

Overall, 141 patients had used NSAID and 79 (56%) of them reported adverse effects. Antidepressant drugs were used by 68 patients and 35 (51%) patients had adverse effects. Muscle relaxant drugs were used by 48 patients and 15 (31%) of them reported side effects. Analgesics were used by 122 patients and 22 (18%) had experienced adverse effects. Statistical differences in the frequency of adverse effects were found with antidepressant drugs in the fibromyalgia group, compared with rheumatoid arthritis (p=0.01) and back pain (p=0.02). Four of the 35 patients (11.4%) had a metabolic ratio (M.R.) greater than 0.30 (log M.R.= -0.52) indicative of the poor metabolizers (PM) phenotype. M.R. varied from 0.005 (log M.R. = -2.30) to 4.99 (log M.R. = 0.70).

CONCLUSIONS

The problem of adverse drug reactions in fibromyalgia patients does not appear to correlate with the PM phenotype of the P450IID6 oxidative enzyme. It also is unlikely that altered xenobiotic detoxification attributable to this PM phenotype would have a significant role in the development of fibromyalgia.

Variations and trends in the prescription of initial second line therapy for patients with rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate practice variation and time trends in the initial prescription of second line drugs for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) by a group of selected rheumatologists.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed medical charts of all patients with a diagnosis of RA, initially seen between January 1, 1985, and June 30, 1994, by rheumatologists from a tertiary center and a rheumatology referral clinic in Edmonton.

RESULTS

1427 patients initially seen between 1985 and 1994 were included in the study. Of these, 1244 (87%) received a second line drug, 71% within 1.5 years after the disease onset. Overall, antimalarials and parenteral gold were the most frequently prescribed. Statistically significant trends were observed for the years under study. From 1985 to 1987, the most frequently prescribed initial second line drug was parenteral gold, between 1988 to 1990, sulfasalazine, and after 1991, antimalarials. Methotrexate was rarely used as a first choice. Marked variability was observed among rheumatologists in the use of initial second line drugs. In general, year of prescription and prescribing rheumatologist were significantly associated with the selection of all second line drugs but methotrexate. In addition, disease duration and residence (urban or rural) were associated with the selection of antimalarials and parenteral gold.

CONCLUSION

Most patients were treated early with second line drugs. Initial prescription patterns varied among rheumatologists. These patterns have changed over the last 10 years. An increasing trend in the use of antimalarials was noted, and unlike prescription patterns in the US, methotrexate was rarely used as the first second line drug.

Incidence of myopathy in patients treated with antimalarials. A report of three cases and a review of the literature

A retrospective review of 4405 patients' charts identified 214 patients who initiated antimalarial therapy between January 1987 and April 1993 for different rheumatic disorders (mean duration of therapy of 17 months). From these, three patients with myopathy were found for a total of 303 patient-years of therapy, for an incidence of 1 in 100 patient-years (95%, confidence interval 0.2-3). All three patients had rheumatoid arthritis and had received chloroquine for between 12 and 18 months with a maximum dose of 250 mg/daily. All had a muscle biopsy, but only one showed the classical rimmed vacuoles. All patients improved within 2 months after the drug was stopped. A review of the literature was carried out with special reference to the significance of clinical myopathy with a negative biopsy. We found that positive biopsies are usual only if the duration of symptoms have been allowed to persist for more than 6 months.