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Davies MA, Morden E, Rousseau P, Arendse J, Bam JL, Boloko L, Cloete K, Cohen C, Chetty N, Dane P, Heekes A, Hsiao NY, Hunter M, Hussey H, Jacobs T, Jassat W, Kariem S, Kassanjee R, Laenen I, Roux SL, Lessells R, Mahomed H, Maughan D, Meintjes G, Mendelson M, Mnguni A, Moodley M, Murie K, Naude J, Ntusi NA, Paleker M, Parker A, Pienaar D, Preiser W, Prozesky H, Raubenheimer P, Rossouw L, Schrueder N, Smith B, Smith M, Solomon W, Symons G, Taljaard J, Wasserman S, Wilkinson RJ, Wolmarans M, Wolter N, Boulle A. Outcomes of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection during resurgence driven by Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 compared with previous waves in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Int J Infect Dis 2023; 127:63-68. [PMID: 36436752 PMCID: PMC9686046 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.11.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2022] [Revised: 10/28/2022] [Accepted: 11/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We aimed to compare the clinical severity of Omicron BA.4/BA.5 infection with BA.1 and earlier variant infections among laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases in the Western Cape, South Africa, using timing of infection to infer the lineage/variant causing infection. METHODS We included public sector patients aged ≥20 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between May 01-May 21, 2022 (BA.4/BA.5 wave) and equivalent previous wave periods. We compared the risk between waves of (i) death and (ii) severe hospitalization/death (all within 21 days of diagnosis) using Cox regression adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, admission pressure, vaccination, and previous infection. RESULTS Among 3793 patients from the BA.4/BA.5 wave and 190,836 patients from previous waves, the risk of severe hospitalization/death was similar in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 waves (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93; 1.34). Both Omicron waves had a lower risk of severe outcomes than previous waves. Previous infection (aHR 0.29, 95% CI 0.24; 0.36) and vaccination (aHR 0.17; 95% CI 0.07; 0.40 for at least three doses vs no vaccine) were protective. CONCLUSION Disease severity was similar among diagnosed COVID-19 cases in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 periods in the context of growing immunity against SARS-CoV-2 due to previous infection and vaccination, both of which were strongly protective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Corresponding author: Mary-Ann Davies University of Cape Town, Faculty of Health Sciences, Anzio Road, Observatory, 7925, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | | | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Keith Cloete
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicole Chetty
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Mehreen Hunter
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Saadiq Kariem
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Inneke Laenen
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Sue Le Roux
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Katy Murie
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ntobeko A.B. Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,South African Medical Research Council Extramural Unit on Intersection of Noncommunicable Diseases and Infectious Diseases, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa,Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa,Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Liezel Rossouw
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Barry Smith
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Greg Symons
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Robert J. Wilkinson
- The Francis Crick Institute, London, UK,Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK,Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Davies MA, Morden E, Rosseau P, Arendse J, Bam JL, Boloko L, Cloete K, Cohen C, Chetty N, Dane P, Heekes A, Hsiao NY, Hunter M, Hussey H, Jacobs T, Jassat W, Kariem S, Kassanjee R, Laenen I, Le Roux S, Lessells R, Mahomed H, Maughan D, Meintjes G, Mendelson M, Mnguni A, Moodley M, Murie K, Naude J, Ntusi NAB, Paleker M, Parker A, Pienaar D, Preiser W, Prozesky H, Raubenheimer P, Rossouw L, Schrueder N, Smith B, Smith M, Solomon W, Symons G, Taljaard J, Wasserman S, Wilkinson RJ, Wolmarans M, Wolter N, Boulle A. Outcomes of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection during resurgence driven by Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 compared with previous waves in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. medRxiv 2022:2022.06.28.22276983. [PMID: 35794899 PMCID: PMC9258293 DOI: 10.1101/2022.06.28.22276983] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
Objective We aimed to compare clinical severity of Omicron BA.4/BA.5 infection with BA.1 and earlier variant infections among laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases in the Western Cape, South Africa, using timing of infection to infer the lineage/variant causing infection. Methods We included public sector patients aged ≥20 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between 1-21 May 2022 (BA.4/BA.5 wave) and equivalent prior wave periods. We compared the risk between waves of (i) death and (ii) severe hospitalization/death (all within 21 days of diagnosis) using Cox regression adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, admission pressure, vaccination and prior infection. Results Among 3,793 patients from the BA.4/BA.5 wave and 190,836 patients from previous waves the risk of severe hospitalization/death was similar in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 waves (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93; 1.34). Both Omicron waves had lower risk of severe outcomes than previous waves. Prior infection (aHR 0.29, 95% CI 0.24; 0.36) and vaccination (aHR 0.17; 95% CI 0.07; 0.40 for boosted vs. no vaccine) were protective. Conclusion Disease severity was similar amongst diagnosed COVID-19 cases in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 periods in the context of growing immunity against SARS-CoV-2 due to prior infection and vaccination, both of which were strongly protective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | | | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Keith Cloete
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicole Chetty
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Mehreen Hunter
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Saadiq Kariem
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Inneke Laenen
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Sue Le Roux
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Katy Murie
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Ntobeko A. B. Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- South African Medical Research Council Extramural Unit on Intersection of Noncommunicable Diseases and Infectious Diseases
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Liezel Rossouw
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Barry Smith
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Greg Symons
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Robert J. Wilkinson
- The Francis Crick Institute, Midland Road, London, NW1 1AT, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, W12 0NN, UK
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
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