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Kalinjuma AV, Hussey H, Mollel GJ, Letang E, Battegay M, Glass TR, Paris D, Vanobberghen F, Weisser M. Body mass index trends and its impact of under and overweight on outcome among PLHIV on antiretroviral treatment in rural Tanzania: A prospective cohort study. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0290445. [PMID: 37607169 PMCID: PMC10443839 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290445] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2023] [Accepted: 08/09/2023] [Indexed: 08/24/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Increased body weight is an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease and is increasingly reported as a health problem in people living with HIV (PLHIV). There is limited data from rural sub-Saharan Africa, where malnutrition usually presents with both over- and undernutrition. We aimed to determine the prevalence and risk factors of underweight and overweight/obesity in PLHIV enrolled in a cohort in rural Tanzania before the introduction of integrase inhibitors. METHODS This nested study of the prospective Kilombero and Ulanga Antiretroviral Cohort included adults aged ≥19 years initiated on antiretroviral therapy between 01/2013 and 12/2018 with follow-up through 06/2019. Body Mass Index (BMI) was classified as underweight (<18.5 kg/m2), normal (18.5-24.9 kg/m2), or overweight/obese (≥25.0 kg/m2). Stratified piecewise linear mixed models were used to assess the association between baseline characteristics and follow-up BMI. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between time-updated BMI and death/loss to follow-up (LTFU). RESULTS Among 2,129 patients, 22,027 BMI measurements (median 9 measurements: interquartile range 5-15) were analysed. At baseline, 398 (19%) patients were underweight and 356 (17%) were overweight/obese. The majority of patients were female (n = 1249; 59%), and aged 35-44 years (779; 37%). During the first 9 months, for every three additional months on antiretroviral therapy, BMI increased by 2% (95% confidence interval 1-2%, p<0.0001) among patients underweight at baseline and by 0.7% (0.5-0.6%, p<0.0001) among participants with normal BMI. Over a median of 20 months of follow-up, 107 (5%) patients died and 592 (28%) were LTFU. Being underweight was associated with >2 times the hazard of death/LTFU compared to participants with normal BMI. CONCLUSION We found a double burden of malnutrition, with underweight being an independent predictor of mortality. Monitoring and measures to address both states of malnutrition among PLHIV should be integrated into routine HIV care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aneth Vedastus Kalinjuma
- Department of Interventions and Clinical Trials, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Department of Interventions and Clinical Trials, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Division of Public Health, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Getrud Joseph Mollel
- Department of Interventions and Clinical Trials, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania
- St. Francis Referral Hospital, Ifakara, Tanzania
| | - Emilio Letang
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health, Hospital Clínic-University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Manuel Battegay
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Tracy R. Glass
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Daniel Paris
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Fiona Vanobberghen
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Maja Weisser
- Department of Interventions and Clinical Trials, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
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Davies MA, Morden E, Rousseau P, Arendse J, Bam JL, Boloko L, Cloete K, Cohen C, Chetty N, Dane P, Heekes A, Hsiao NY, Hunter M, Hussey H, Jacobs T, Jassat W, Kariem S, Kassanjee R, Laenen I, Roux SL, Lessells R, Mahomed H, Maughan D, Meintjes G, Mendelson M, Mnguni A, Moodley M, Murie K, Naude J, Ntusi NA, Paleker M, Parker A, Pienaar D, Preiser W, Prozesky H, Raubenheimer P, Rossouw L, Schrueder N, Smith B, Smith M, Solomon W, Symons G, Taljaard J, Wasserman S, Wilkinson RJ, Wolmarans M, Wolter N, Boulle A. Outcomes of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection during resurgence driven by Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 compared with previous waves in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Int J Infect Dis 2023; 127:63-68. [PMID: 36436752 PMCID: PMC9686046 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.11.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2022] [Revised: 10/28/2022] [Accepted: 11/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We aimed to compare the clinical severity of Omicron BA.4/BA.5 infection with BA.1 and earlier variant infections among laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases in the Western Cape, South Africa, using timing of infection to infer the lineage/variant causing infection. METHODS We included public sector patients aged ≥20 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between May 01-May 21, 2022 (BA.4/BA.5 wave) and equivalent previous wave periods. We compared the risk between waves of (i) death and (ii) severe hospitalization/death (all within 21 days of diagnosis) using Cox regression adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, admission pressure, vaccination, and previous infection. RESULTS Among 3793 patients from the BA.4/BA.5 wave and 190,836 patients from previous waves, the risk of severe hospitalization/death was similar in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 waves (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93; 1.34). Both Omicron waves had a lower risk of severe outcomes than previous waves. Previous infection (aHR 0.29, 95% CI 0.24; 0.36) and vaccination (aHR 0.17; 95% CI 0.07; 0.40 for at least three doses vs no vaccine) were protective. CONCLUSION Disease severity was similar among diagnosed COVID-19 cases in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 periods in the context of growing immunity against SARS-CoV-2 due to previous infection and vaccination, both of which were strongly protective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Corresponding author: Mary-Ann Davies University of Cape Town, Faculty of Health Sciences, Anzio Road, Observatory, 7925, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | | | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Keith Cloete
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicole Chetty
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Mehreen Hunter
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Saadiq Kariem
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Inneke Laenen
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Sue Le Roux
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Katy Murie
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ntobeko A.B. Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,South African Medical Research Council Extramural Unit on Intersection of Noncommunicable Diseases and Infectious Diseases, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa,Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa,Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Liezel Rossouw
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Barry Smith
- Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Greg Symons
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Robert J. Wilkinson
- The Francis Crick Institute, London, UK,Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK,Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa,Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Ismail M, Morden E, Hussey H, Paleker M, Jacobs T, Laenen I, Hunter M, Moodley M, Smith M, Mutemaringa T, Bam JL, Dane P, Heekes A, Boulle A, Davies MA. Evaluation of a public COVID-19 dashboard in the Western Cape, South Africa: a tool for communication, trust, and transparency. BMC Public Health 2022; 22:2453. [PMID: 36581823 PMCID: PMC9797888 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-022-14657-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2022] [Accepted: 11/17/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Public health dashboards have been used in the past to communicate and guide local responses to outbreaks, epidemics, and a host of various health conditions. During the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, dashboards proliferated but the availability and quality differed across the world. This study aimed to evaluate the quality, access, and end-user experience of one such dashboard in the Western Cape province, South Africa. METHODS We analysed retrospective aggregate data on viewership over time for the first year since launch of the dashboard (30 April 2020 - 29 April 2021) and conducted a cross-sectional survey targeting adult users of the dashboard at one year post the initial launch. The self-administered, anonymous questionnaire with a total of 13 questions was made available via an online digital survey tool for a 2-week period (6 May 2021 - 21 May 2021). RESULTS After significant communication by senior provincial political leaders, adequate media coverage and two waves of COVID-19 the Western Cape public COVID-19 dashboard attracted a total of 2,248,456 views during its first year. The majority of these views came from Africa/South Africa with higher median daily views during COVID-19 wave periods. A total of 794 participants responded to the survey questionnaire. Reported devices used to access the dashboard differed statistically between occupational status groups with students tending toward using mobile devices whilst employed and retired participants tending toward using desktop computers/laptops. Frequency of use increases with increasing age with 65.1% of those > 70 years old viewing it daily. Overall, 76.4% of respondents reported that the dashboard influenced their personal planning and behaviour. High Likert score ratings were given for clarity, ease of use and overall end-user experience, with no differences seen across the various age groups surveyed. CONCLUSION The study demonstrated that both the availability of data and an understanding of end-user need is critical when developing and delivering public health tools that may ultimately garner public trust and influence individual behaviour.
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Affiliation(s)
- Muzzammil Ismail
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.11956.3a0000 0001 2214 904XDivision of Health Systems and Public Health, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Inneke Laenen
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.11956.3a0000 0001 2214 904XDivision of Health Systems and Public Health, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Mehreen Hunter
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Themba Mutemaringa
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151Computational Biology Division, Integrative Biomedical Sciences Department, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa ,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence Directorate, Western Cape Government: Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa ,grid.7836.a0000 0004 1937 1151School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, 7925 Cape Town, South Africa ,Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, Cape Town, South Africa
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Hussey H, Vreede H, Davies MA, Heekes A, Kalk E, Hardie D, van Zyl G, Naidoo M, Morden E, Bam JL, Zinyakatira N, Centner CM, Maritz J, Opie J, Chapanduka Z, Mahomed H, Smith M, Cois A, Pienaar D, Redd AD, Preiser W, Wilkinson R, Chetty K, Boulle A, Hsiao NY. Epidemiology and outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection associated with anti-nucleocapsid seropositivity in Cape Town, South Africa. medRxiv 2022:2022.12.01.22282927. [PMID: 36523408 PMCID: PMC9753787 DOI: 10.1101/2022.12.01.22282927] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
Background In low- and middle-income countries where SARS-CoV-2 testing is limited, seroprevalence studies can characterise the scale and determinants of the pandemic, as well as elucidate protection conferred by prior exposure. Methods We conducted repeated cross-sectional serosurveys (July 2020 - November 2021) using residual plasma from routine convenient blood samples from patients with non-COVID-19 conditions from Cape Town, South Africa. SARS-CoV-2 anti-nucleocapsid antibodies and linked clinical information were used to investigate: (1) seroprevalence over time and risk factors associated with seropositivity, (2) ecological comparison of seroprevalence between subdistricts, (3) case ascertainment rates, and (4) the relative protection against COVID-19 associated with seropositivity and vaccination statuses, to estimate variant disease severity. Findings Among the subset sampled, seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Cape Town increased from 39.2% in July 2020 to 67.8% in November 2021. Poorer communities had both higher seroprevalence and COVID-19 mortality. Only 10% of seropositive individuals had a recorded positive SARS-CoV-2 test. Antibody positivity before the start of the Omicron BA.1 wave (28 November 2021) was strongly protective for severe disease (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.15; 95%CI 0.05-0.46), with additional benefit in those who were also vaccinated (aOR 0.07, 95%CI 0.01-0.35). Interpretation The high population seroprevalence in Cape Town was attained at the cost of substantial COVID-19 mortality. At the individual level, seropositivity was highly protective against subsequent infections and severe COVID-19. Funding Wellcome Trust, National Health Laboratory Service, the Division of Intramural Research, NIAID, NIH (ADR) and Western Cape Government Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Helena Vreede
- Division of Chemical Pathology, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Emma Kalk
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Diana Hardie
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Gert van Zyl
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Michelle Naidoo
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
| | - Nesbert Zinyakatira
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Jean Maritz
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
- PathCare Reference Laboratory, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jessica Opie
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Haematology, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Zivanai Chapanduka
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Haematology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Annibale Cois
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Andrew D Redd
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
- Division of Intramural Research, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Robert Wilkinson
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- The Francis Crick Institute, Midland Road, London, NW1 1AT, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, W12 0NN, UK
| | - Kamy Chetty
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, South Africa
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5
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Hussey H, Davies MA, Heekes A, Williamson C, Valley-Omar Z, Hardie D, Korsman S, Doolabh D, Preiser W, Maponga T, Iranzadeh A, Engelbrecht S, Wasserman S, Schrueder N, Boloko L, Symons G, Raubenheimer P, Viljoen A, Parker A, Cohen C, Jasat W, Lessells R, Wilkinson RJ, Boulle A, Hsiao M. Higher mortality associated with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in the Western Cape, South Africa, using RdRp target delay as a proxy: a cross-sectional study. Gates Open Res 2022; 6:117. [PMID: 37994361 PMCID: PMC10663174 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13654.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: The SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant (B.1.617.2) has been associated with more severe disease, particularly when compared to the Alpha variant. Most of this data, however, is from high income countries and less is understood about the variant's disease severity in other settings, particularly in an African context, and when compared to the Beta variant. Methods: A novel proxy marker, RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) target delay in the Seegene Allplex TM 2019-nCoV (polymerase chain reaction) PCR assay, was used to identify suspected Delta variant infection in routine laboratory data. All cases diagnosed on this assay in the public sector in the Western Cape, South Africa, from 1 April to 31 July 2021, were included in the dataset provided by the Western Cape Provincial Health Data Centre (PHDC). The PHDC collates information on all COVID-19 related laboratory tests, hospital admissions and deaths for the province. Odds ratios for the association between the proxy marker and death were calculated, adjusted for prior diagnosed infection and vaccination status. Results: A total of 11,355 cases with 700 deaths were included in this study. RdRp target delay (suspected Delta variant) was associated with higher mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-1.86), compared to presumptive Beta infection. Prior diagnosed infection during the previous COVID-19 wave, which was driven by the Beta variant, was protective (aOR 0.32; 95%CI: 0.11-0.92) as was vaccination (aOR [95%CI] 0.15 [0.03-0.62] for complete vaccination [≥28 days post a single dose of Ad26.COV2.S or ≥14 days post second BNT162b2 dose]). Conclusion: RdRp target delay, a proxy for infection with the Delta variant, is associated with an increased risk of mortality amongst those who were tested for COVID-19 in our setting.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Carolyn Williamson
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ziyaad Valley-Omar
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Diana Hardie
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Stephen Korsman
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Deelan Doolabh
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Wofgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Tongai Maponga
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Arash Iranzadeh
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Sean Wasserman
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital,, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Greg Symons
- Department of Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Department of Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Abraham Viljoen
- Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital,, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Arifa Parker
- Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital,, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jasat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Robert J Wilkinson
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- The Francis Crick Institute, London, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Marvin Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, Cape Town, South Africa
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Boulle A, Heekes A, Hussey H, Kassanjee R, Davies MA. Feasibility of evaluating COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness and variant severity through a routine health information exchange. Int J Popul Data Sci 2022. [DOI: 10.23889/ijpds.v7i3.2066] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/15/2022] Open
Abstract
ObjectivesTo date South Africa has experienced four distinct COVID-19 waves due to ancestral, Beta, Delta and Omnicron SARS-CoV-2 variants. We sought to answer pertinent public health questions in a timely manner as new COVID-19 variants emerge(d) using routine health service data linked through a service-facing health information exchange (HIE).
ApproachA population cohort was defined amongst regular health service users in the Western Cape Province of South Africa based on recent utilisation of public sector services as reflected in the Provincial Health Data Centre (PHDC) which functions as a HIE. Infection, hospitalisation and mortality data were derived from routinely linked laboratory, service and national vital registration data sources. Serology done on residual specimens of patients monitored for HIV and diabetes treatment progress were linked to the PHDC, as were vaccination data from the national vaccination information system. A single linked and de-identified dataset was exported for analysis purposes.
ResultsBased on accessing services in the preceding 3 years, a cohort of 3.5 million adult patients could be enumerated and linked to co-morbidity and SARS-CoV-2 outcome data. Serology from 16,000 specimens spread across the three inter-wave periods, and vaccine data from amongst the 5 million vaccine doses given in the Province, could also be linked. Variants could be identified by wave or by PCR assay target anomalies during cross-over periods. Publishable variant severity analyses were feasible from the sub-cohort of patients with diagnosed COVID-19, and variant-specific vaccine effectiveness was assessible amongst cases, in the population cohort, and in patients with HIV. The impact of prior infection and marginal value of vaccination in those with prior infection was assessible within the serology sub-cohort.
ConclusionA single linked de-identified dataset derived from an operational HIE was able to quickly address critical public health questions related to COVID-19 variants in a privacy-preserving manner.
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Davies MA, Morden E, Rosseau P, Arendse J, Bam JL, Boloko L, Cloete K, Cohen C, Chetty N, Dane P, Heekes A, Hsiao NY, Hunter M, Hussey H, Jacobs T, Jassat W, Kariem S, Kassanjee R, Laenen I, Le Roux S, Lessells R, Mahomed H, Maughan D, Meintjes G, Mendelson M, Mnguni A, Moodley M, Murie K, Naude J, Ntusi NAB, Paleker M, Parker A, Pienaar D, Preiser W, Prozesky H, Raubenheimer P, Rossouw L, Schrueder N, Smith B, Smith M, Solomon W, Symons G, Taljaard J, Wasserman S, Wilkinson RJ, Wolmarans M, Wolter N, Boulle A. Outcomes of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection during resurgence driven by Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 compared with previous waves in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. medRxiv 2022:2022.06.28.22276983. [PMID: 35794899 PMCID: PMC9258293 DOI: 10.1101/2022.06.28.22276983] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
Objective We aimed to compare clinical severity of Omicron BA.4/BA.5 infection with BA.1 and earlier variant infections among laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases in the Western Cape, South Africa, using timing of infection to infer the lineage/variant causing infection. Methods We included public sector patients aged ≥20 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between 1-21 May 2022 (BA.4/BA.5 wave) and equivalent prior wave periods. We compared the risk between waves of (i) death and (ii) severe hospitalization/death (all within 21 days of diagnosis) using Cox regression adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, admission pressure, vaccination and prior infection. Results Among 3,793 patients from the BA.4/BA.5 wave and 190,836 patients from previous waves the risk of severe hospitalization/death was similar in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 waves (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93; 1.34). Both Omicron waves had lower risk of severe outcomes than previous waves. Prior infection (aHR 0.29, 95% CI 0.24; 0.36) and vaccination (aHR 0.17; 95% CI 0.07; 0.40 for boosted vs. no vaccine) were protective. Conclusion Disease severity was similar amongst diagnosed COVID-19 cases in the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 periods in the context of growing immunity against SARS-CoV-2 due to prior infection and vaccination, both of which were strongly protective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | | | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Keith Cloete
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicole Chetty
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Mehreen Hunter
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Saadiq Kariem
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Inneke Laenen
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Sue Le Roux
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Katy Murie
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Ntobeko A. B. Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- South African Medical Research Council Extramural Unit on Intersection of Noncommunicable Diseases and Infectious Diseases
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Liezel Rossouw
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of General Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Barry Smith
- Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Greg Symons
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Robert J. Wilkinson
- The Francis Crick Institute, Midland Road, London, NW1 1AT, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, W12 0NN, UK
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
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8
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Davies M, Kassanjee R, Rousseau P, Morden E, Johnson L, Solomon W, Hsiao N, Hussey H, Meintjes G, Paleker M, Jacobs T, Raubenheimer P, Heekes A, Dane P, Bam J, Smith M, Preiser W, Pienaar D, Mendelson M, Naude J, Schrueder N, Mnguni A, Le Roux S, Murie K, Prozesky H, Mahomed H, Rossouw L, Wasserman S, Maughan D, Boloko L, Smith B, Taljaard J, Symons G, Ntusi NAB, Parker A, Wolter N, Jassat W, Cohen C, Lessells R, Wilkinson RJ, Arendse J, Kariem S, Moodley M, Wolmarans M, Cloete K, Boulle A. Outcomes of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Omicron-driven fourth wave compared with previous waves in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Trop Med Int Health 2022; 27:564-573. [PMID: 35411997 PMCID: PMC9115442 DOI: 10.1111/tmi.13752] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 25.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The objective was to compare COVID-19 outcomes in the Omicron-driven fourth wave with prior waves in the Western Cape, assess the contribution of undiagnosed prior infection to differences in outcomes in a context of high seroprevalence due to prior infection and determine whether protection against severe disease conferred by prior infection and/or vaccination was maintained. METHODS In this cohort study, we included public sector patients aged ≥20 years with a laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis between 14 November and 11 December 2021 (wave four) and equivalent prior wave periods. We compared the risk between waves of the following outcomes using Cox regression: death, severe hospitalisation or death and any hospitalisation or death (all ≤14 days after diagnosis) adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, geography, vaccination and prior infection. RESULTS We included 5144 patients from wave four and 11,609 from prior waves. The risk of all outcomes was lower in wave four compared to the Delta-driven wave three (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] for death 0.27 [0.19; 0.38]. Risk reduction was lower when adjusting for vaccination and prior diagnosed infection (aHR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.29; 0.59) and reduced further when accounting for unascertained prior infections (aHR: 0.72). Vaccine protection was maintained in wave four (aHR for outcome of death: 0.24; 95% CI: 0.10; 0.58). CONCLUSIONS In the Omicron-driven wave, severe COVID-19 outcomes were reduced mostly due to protection conferred by prior infection and/or vaccination, but intrinsically reduced virulence may account for a modest reduction in risk of severe hospitalisation or death compared to the Delta-driven wave.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary‐Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Public Health MedicineSchool of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | | | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Public Health MedicineSchool of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Leigh Johnson
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | | | - Nei‐Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical VirologyUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
- National Health Laboratory ServiceCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Public Health MedicineSchool of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global HealthStellenbosch UniversityTygerbergSouth Africa
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Jamy‐Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory ServiceCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Medical VirologyStellenbosch UniversityStellenboschSouth Africa
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthParowSouth Africa
- Department of MedicineStellenbosch UniversityStellenboschSouth Africa
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthKhayelitshaSouth Africa
| | - Sue Le Roux
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthBellvilleSouth Africa
- Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Kathleen Murie
- Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthParowSouth Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of MedicineStellenbosch UniversityTygerbergSouth Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global HealthStellenbosch UniversityTygerbergSouth Africa
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | | | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Barry Smith
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthBellvilleSouth Africa
- Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthParowSouth Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of MedicineStellenbosch UniversityTygerbergSouth Africa
| | - Greg Symons
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Ntobeko A. B. Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: HealthParowSouth Africa
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of MedicineStellenbosch UniversityTygerbergSouth Africa
| | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory ServiceJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory ServiceJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory ServiceJohannesburgSouth Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of the WitwatersrandJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu‐Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu‐NatalDurbanSouth Africa
| | - Robert J. Wilkinson
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
- Francis Crick InstituteLondonUK
- Department of Infectious DiseasesImperial College LondonLondonUK
| | | | - Saadiq Kariem
- Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | | | - Keith Cloete
- Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: HealthCape TownSouth Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
- Division of Public Health MedicineSchool of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
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Hussey H, Davies MA, Heekes A, Williamson C, Valley-Omar Z, Hardie D, Korsman S, Doolabh D, Preiser W, Maponga T, Iranzadeh A, Wasserman S, Boloko L, Symons G, Raubenheimer P, Parker A, Schrueder N, Solomon W, Rousseau P, Wolter N, Jassat W, Cohen C, Lessells R, Wilkinson RJ, Boulle A, Hsiao NY. Assessing the clinical severity of the Omicron variant in the Western Cape Province, South Africa, using the diagnostic PCR proxy marker of RdRp target delay to distinguish between Omicron and Delta infections - a survival analysis. Int J Infect Dis 2022; 118:150-154. [PMID: 35235826 PMCID: PMC8882068 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.02.051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2022] [Revised: 02/08/2022] [Accepted: 02/23/2022] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND At present, it is unclear whether the extent of reduced risk of severe disease seen with SARS-Cov-2 Omicron variant infection is caused by a decrease in variant virulence or by higher levels of population immunity. METHODS RdRp target delay (RTD) in the Seegene AllplexTM 2019-nCoV PCR assay is a proxy marker for the Delta variant. The absence of this proxy marker in the transition period was used to identify suspected Omicron infections. Cox regression was performed for the outcome of hospital admission in those who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 on the Seegene AllplexTM assay from November 1 to December 14, 2021 in the Western Cape Province, South Africa, in the public sector. Adjustments were made for vaccination status and prior diagnosis of infection. RESULTS A total of 150 cases with RTD and 1486 cases without RTD were included. Cases without RTD had a lower hazard of admission (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.34-0.91). Complete vaccination was protective against admission, with an aHR of 0.45 (95% CI, 0.26-0.77). CONCLUSION Omicron has resulted in a lower risk of hospital admission compared with contemporaneous Delta infection, when using the proxy marker of RTD. Under-ascertainment of reinfections with an immune escape variant remains a challenge to accurately assessing variant virulence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa; Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa; Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Carolyn Williamson
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ziyaad Valley-Omar
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Diana Hardie
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Stephen Korsman
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Deelan Doolabh
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Tongai Maponga
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Arash Iranzadeh
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Sean Wasserman
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa; Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Linda Boloko
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Greg Symons
- Department of Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Department of Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Arifa Parker
- Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | | | | | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Robert J Wilkinson
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa; The Francis Crick Institute, Midland Road, London, NW1 1AT, UK; Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, W12 0NN, UK
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
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10
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Wolter N, Jassat W, Walaza S, Welch R, Moultrie H, Groome M, Amoako DG, Everatt J, Bhiman JN, Scheepers C, Tebeila N, Chiwandire N, du Plessis M, Govender N, Ismail A, Glass A, Mlisana K, Stevens W, Treurnicht FK, Makatini Z, Hsiao NY, Parboosing R, Wadula J, Hussey H, Davies MA, Boulle A, von Gottberg A, Cohen C. Early assessment of the clinical severity of the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant in South Africa: a data linkage study. Lancet 2022; 399:437-446. [PMID: 35065011 PMCID: PMC8769664 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00017-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 613] [Impact Index Per Article: 306.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2021] [Revised: 12/24/2021] [Accepted: 01/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant of concern was identified in South Africa in November, 2021, and was associated with an increase in COVID-19 cases. We aimed to assess the clinical severity of infections with the omicron variant using S gene target failure (SGTF) on the Thermo Fisher Scientific TaqPath COVID-19 PCR test as a proxy. METHODS We did data linkages for national, South African COVID-19 case data, SARS-CoV-2 laboratory test data, SARS-CoV-2 genome data, and COVID-19 hospital admissions data. For individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 via TaqPath PCR tests, infections were designated as either SGTF or non-SGTF. The delta variant was identified by genome sequencing. Using multivariable logistic regression models, we assessed disease severity and hospitalisations by comparing individuals with SGTF versus non-SGTF infections diagnosed between Oct 1 and Nov 30, 2021, and we further assessed disease severity by comparing SGTF-infected individuals diagnosed between Oct 1 and Nov 30, 2021, with delta variant-infected individuals diagnosed between April 1 and Nov 9, 2021. FINDINGS From Oct 1 (week 39), 2021, to Dec 6 (week 49), 2021, 161 328 cases of COVID-19 were reported in South Africa. 38 282 people were diagnosed via TaqPath PCR tests and 29 721 SGTF infections and 1412 non-SGTF infections were identified. The proportion of SGTF infections increased from two (3·2%) of 63 in week 39 to 21 978 (97·9%) of 22 455 in week 48. After controlling for factors associated with hospitalisation, individuals with SGTF infections had significantly lower odds of admission than did those with non-SGTF infections (256 [2·4%] of 10 547 vs 121 [12·8%] of 948; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0·2, 95% CI 0·1-0·3). After controlling for factors associated with disease severity, the odds of severe disease were similar between hospitalised individuals with SGTF versus non-SGTF infections (42 [21%] of 204 vs 45 [40%] of 113; aOR 0·7, 95% CI 0·3-1·4). Compared with individuals with earlier delta variant infections, SGTF-infected individuals had a significantly lower odds of severe disease (496 [62·5%] of 793 vs 57 [23·4%] of 244; aOR 0·3, 95% CI 0·2-0·5), after controlling for factors associated with disease severity. INTERPRETATION Our early analyses suggest a significantly reduced odds of hospitalisation among individuals with SGTF versus non-SGTF infections diagnosed during the same time period. SGTF-infected individuals had a significantly reduced odds of severe disease compared with individuals infected earlier with the delta variant. Some of this reduced severity is probably a result of previous immunity. FUNDING The South African Medical Research Council, the South African National Department of Health, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the African Society of Laboratory Medicine, Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Wellcome Trust, and the Fleming Fund.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicole Wolter
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
| | - Waasila Jassat
- Division of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Sibongile Walaza
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Richard Welch
- Division of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Harry Moultrie
- Centre for Tuberculosis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Michelle Groome
- Division of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Daniel Gyamfi Amoako
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Health Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Josie Everatt
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jinal N Bhiman
- Centre for HIV and STIs, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; SA MRC Antibody Immunity Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Cathrine Scheepers
- Centre for HIV and STIs, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; SA MRC Antibody Immunity Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Naume Tebeila
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicola Chiwandire
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Mignon du Plessis
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nevashan Govender
- Division of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Arshad Ismail
- Sequencing Core Facility, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Koleka Mlisana
- School of Laboratory Medicine and Medical Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Wendy Stevens
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Florette K Treurnicht
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Zinhle Makatini
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Raveen Parboosing
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Virology, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jeannette Wadula
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, CH Baragwanath Academic Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Western Cape Government Health and School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Western Cape Government Health and School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Western Cape Government Health and School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Anne von Gottberg
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
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11
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Valley-Omar Z, Marais G, Iranzadeh A, Naidoo M, Korsman S, Maponga T, Hussey H, Davies MA, Boulle A, Doolabh D, Laubscher M, Wojno J, Deetlefs JD, Maritz J, Scott L, Msomi N, Naicker C, Tegally H, de Oliveira T, Bhiman J, Williamson C, Preiser W, Hardie D, Hsiao NY. Reduced amplification efficiency of the RNA-dependent-RNA-polymerase target enables tracking of the Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant using routine diagnostic tests. J Virol Methods 2022; 302:114471. [PMID: 35051442 PMCID: PMC8763409 DOI: 10.1016/j.jviromet.2022.114471] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2021] [Revised: 01/11/2022] [Accepted: 01/17/2022] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
Routine SARS-CoV-2 surveillance in the Western Cape region of South Africa (January-August 2021) found a reduced RT-PCR amplification efficiency of the RdRp-gene target of the Seegene, Allplex 2019-nCoV diagnostic assay from June 2021 when detecting the Delta variant. We investigated whether the reduced amplification efficiency denoted by an increased RT-PCR cycle threshold value (RΔE) can be used as an indirect measure of SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant prevalence. We found a significant increase in the median RΔE for patient samples tested from June 2021, which coincided with the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant within our sample set. Whole genome sequencing on a subset of patient samples identified a highly conserved G15451A, non-synonymous mutation exclusively within the RdRp gene of Delta variants, which may cause reduced RT-PCR amplification efficiency. While whole genome sequencing plays an important in identifying novel SARS-CoV-2 variants, monitoring RΔE value can serve as a useful surrogate for rapid tracking of Delta variant prevalence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziyaad Valley-Omar
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa.
| | - Gert Marais
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Arash Iranzadeh
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Michelle Naidoo
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Stephen Korsman
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Tongai Maponga
- Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; Centre Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Deelan Doolabh
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | | | | | | | | | - Lesley Scott
- University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
| | - Nokukhanya Msomi
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | - Cherise Naicker
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | | | | | - Jinal Bhiman
- National institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
| | - Carolyn Williamson
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa; Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Diana Hardie
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
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12
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Paleker M, Davies MA, Raubenheimer P, Naude J, Boulle A, Hussey H. Change in profile of COVID-19 deaths in Western Cape Province, South Africa, during the fourth wave. S Afr Med J 2022; 112:185-186. [PMID: 35380516] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2022] [Accepted: 01/13/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- M Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government Health, South Africa; Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, South Africa.
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13
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Davies MA, Kassanjee R, Rosseau P, Morden E, Johnson L, Solomon W, Hsiao NY, Hussey H, Meintjes G, Paleker M, Jacobs T, Raubenheimer P, Heekes A, Dane P, Bam JL, Smith M, Preiser W, Pienaar D, Mendelson M, Naude J, Schrueder N, Mnguni A, Roux SL, Murie K, Prozesky H, Mahomed H, Rossouw L, Wasserman S, Maughan D, Boloko L, Smith B, Taljaard J, Symons G, Ntusi N, Parker A, Wolter N, Jassat W, Cohen C, Lessells R, Wilkinson RJ, Arendse J, Kariem S, Moodley M, Vallabhjee K, Wolmarans M, Cloete K, Boulle A. Outcomes of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Omicron-driven fourth wave compared with previous waves in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. medRxiv 2022:2022.01.12.22269148. [PMID: 35043121 PMCID: PMC8764730 DOI: 10.1101/2022.01.12.22269148] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We aimed to compare COVID-19 outcomes in the Omicron-driven fourth wave with prior waves in the Western Cape, the contribution of undiagnosed prior infection to differences in outcomes in a context of high seroprevalence due to prior infection, and whether protection against severe disease conferred by prior infection and/or vaccination was maintained. METHODS In this cohort study, we included public sector patients aged ≥20 years with a laboratory confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis between 14 November-11 December 2021 (wave four) and equivalent prior wave periods. We compared the risk between waves of the following outcomes using Cox regression: death, severe hospitalization or death and any hospitalization or death (all ≤14 days after diagnosis) adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, geography, vaccination and prior infection. RESULTS We included 5,144 patients from wave four and 11,609 from prior waves. Risk of all outcomes was lower in wave four compared to the Delta-driven wave three (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] for death 0.27 [0.19; 0.38]. Risk reduction was lower when adjusting for vaccination and prior diagnosed infection (aHR:0.41, 95% CI: 0.29; 0.59) and reduced further when accounting for unascertained prior infections (aHR: 0.72). Vaccine protection was maintained in wave four (aHR for outcome of death: 0.24; 95% CI: 0.10; 0.58). CONCLUSIONS In the Omicron-driven wave, severe COVID-19 outcomes were reduced mostly due to protection conferred by prior infection and/or vaccination, but intrinsically reduced virulence may account for an approximately 25% reduced risk of severe hospitalization or death compared to Delta.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Leigh Johnson
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Nei-Yuan Hsiao
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Theuns Jacobs
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
| | - Peter Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Wolfgang Preiser
- National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- Division of Medical Virology, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Sue Le Roux
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Katie Murie
- Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | | | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Barry Smith
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Greg Symons
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Ntobeko Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, South Africa
| | - Nicole Wolter
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Richard Lessells
- KwaZulu-Natal Research, Innovation & Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Robert J Wilkinson
- The Francis Crick Institute, Midland Road, London, NW1 1AT, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, W12 0NN, UK
| | | | | | - Melvin Moodley
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
| | | | | | | | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, South Africa
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
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Boulle A, Davies MA, Hussey H, Ismail M, Morden E, Vundle Z, Zweigenthal V, Mahomed H, Paleker M, Pienaar D, Tembo Y, Lawrence C, Isaacs W, Mathema H, Allen D, Allie T, Bam JL, Buddiga K, Dane P, Heekes A, Matlapeng B, Mutemaringa T, Muzarabani L, Phelanyane F, Pienaar R, Rode C, Smith M, Tiffin N, Zinyakatira N, Cragg C, Marais F, Mudaly V, Voget J, Davids J, Roodt F, van Zyl Smit N, Vermeulen A, Adams K, Audley G, Bateman K, Beckwith P, Bernon M, Blom D, Boloko L, Botha J, Boutall A, Burmeister S, Cairncross L, Calligaro G, Coccia C, Corin C, Daroowala R, Dave JA, De Bruyn E, De Villiers M, Deetlefs M, Dlamini S, Du Toit T, Endres W, Europa T, Fieggan G, Figaji A, Frankenfeld P, Gatley E, Gina P, Govender E, Grobler R, Gule MV, Hanekom C, Held M, Heynes A, Hlatswayo S, Hodkinson B, Holtzhausen J, Hoosain S, Jacobs A, Kahn M, Kahn T, Khamajeet A, Khan J, Khan R, Khwitshana A, Knight L, Kooverjee S, Krogscheepers R, Kruger JJ, Kuhn S, Laubscher K, Lazarus J, Le Roux J, Lee Jones S, Levin D, Maartens G, Majola T, Manganyi R, Marais D, Marais S, Maritz F, Maughan D, Mazondwa S, Mbanga L, Mbatani N, Mbena B, Meintjes G, Mendelson M, Möller E, Moore A, Ndebele B, Nortje M, Ntusi N, Nyengane F, Ofoegbu C, Papavarnavas N, Peter J, Pickard H, Pluke K, Raubenheimer PJ, Robertson G, Rozmiarek J, Sayed A, Scriba M, Sekhukhune H, Singh P, Smith E, Soldati V, Stek C, van den berg R, van der Merwe LR, Venter P, Vermooten B, Viljoen G, Viranna S, Vogel J, Vundla N, Wasserman S, Zitha E, Lomas-Marais V, Lombard A, Stuve K, Viljoen W, Basson DV, Le Roux S, Linden-Mars E, Victor L, Wates M, Zwanepoel E, Ebrahim N, Lahri S, Mnguni A, Crede T, de Man M, Evans K, Hendrikse C, Naude J, Parak M, Szymanski P, Van Koningsbruggen C, Abrahams R, Allwood B, Botha C, Botha MH, Broadhurst A, Claasen D, Daniel C, Dawood R, du Preez M, Du Toit N, Erasmus K, Koegelenberg CFN, Gabriel S, Hugo S, Jardine T, Johannes C, Karamchand S, Lalla U, Langenegger E, Louw E, Mashigo B, Mhlana N, Mnqwazi C, Moodley A, Moodley D, Moolla S, Mowlana A, Nortje A, Olivier E, Parker A, Paulsen C, Prozesky H, Rood J, Sabela T, Schrueder N, Sithole N, Sithole S, Taljaard JJ, Titus G, Van Der Merwe T, van Schalkwyk M, Vazi L, Viljoen AJ, Yazied Chothia M, Naidoo V, Wallis LA, Abbass M, Arendse J, Armien R, Bailey R, Bello M, Carelse R, Forgus S, Kalawe N, Kariem S, Kotze M, Lucas J, McClaughlin J, Murie K, Najjaar L, Petersen L, Porter J, Shaw M, Stapar D, Williams M, Aldum L, Berkowitz N, Girran R, Lee K, Naidoo L, Neumuller C, Anderson K, Begg K, Boerlage L, Cornell M, de Waal R, Dudley L, English R, Euvrard J, Groenewald P, Jacob N, Jaspan H, Kalk E, Levitt N, Malaba T, Nyakato P, Patten G, Schneider H, Shung King M, Tsondai P, Van Duuren J, van Schaik N, Blumberg L, Cohen C, Govender N, Jassat W, Kufa T, McCarthy K, Morris L, Hsiao NY, Marais R, Ambler J, Ngwenya O, Osei-Yeboah R, Johnson L, Kassanjee R, Tamuhla T. Risk Factors for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Death in a Population Cohort Study from the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Clin Infect Dis 2021; 73:e2005-e2015. [PMID: 32860699 PMCID: PMC7499501 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1198] [Citation(s) in RCA: 300] [Impact Index Per Article: 100.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2020] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) death in sub-Saharan Africa and the effects of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and tuberculosis on COVID-19 outcomes are unknown. METHODS We conducted a population cohort study using linked data from adults attending public-sector health facilities in the Western Cape, South Africa. We used Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, sex, location, and comorbidities, to examine the associations between HIV, tuberculosis, and COVID-19 death from 1 March to 9 June 2020 among (1) public-sector "active patients" (≥1 visit in the 3 years before March 2020); (2) laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases; and (3) hospitalized COVID-19 cases. We calculated the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for COVID-19, comparing adults living with and without HIV using modeled population estimates. RESULTS Among 3 460 932 patients (16% living with HIV), 22 308 were diagnosed with COVID-19, of whom 625 died. COVID-19 death was associated with male sex, increasing age, diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease. HIV was associated with COVID-19 mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.70-2.70), with similar risks across strata of viral loads and immunosuppression. Current and previous diagnoses of tuberculosis were associated with COVID-19 death (aHR, 2.70 [95% CI, 1.81-4.04] and 1.51 [95% CI, 1.18-1.93], respectively). The SMR for COVID-19 death associated with HIV was 2.39 (95% CI, 1.96-2.86); population attributable fraction 8.5% (95% CI, 6.1-11.1). CONCLUSIONS While our findings may overestimate HIV- and tuberculosis-associated COVID-19 mortality risks due to residual confounding, both living with HIV and having current tuberculosis were independently associated with increased COVID-19 mortality. The associations between age, sex, and other comorbidities and COVID-19 mortality were similar to those in other settings.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Hannah Hussey
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Muzzammil Ismail
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Ziyanda Vundle
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
| | - Virginia Zweigenthal
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Hassan Mahomed
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - David Pienaar
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Yamanya Tembo
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
- Rural Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Charlene Lawrence
- Communicable Disease Sub-Directorate, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Washiefa Isaacs
- Communicable Disease Sub-Directorate, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Hlengani Mathema
- Communicable Disease Sub-Directorate, Western Cape Government: Health
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Derick Allen
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Taryn Allie
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Kasturi Buddiga
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Pierre Dane
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Alexa Heekes
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Boitumelo Matlapeng
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Themba Mutemaringa
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Luckmore Muzarabani
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Florence Phelanyane
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Rory Pienaar
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Catherine Rode
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Mariette Smith
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Nicki Tiffin
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, University of Cape Town
- Division of Computational Biology, University of Cape Town
| | - Nesbert Zinyakatira
- Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Government: Health
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Carol Cragg
- Health Programmes Directorate, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Frederick Marais
- Health Programmes Directorate, Western Cape Government: Health
- Faculty of Health Sciences, North West University
| | - Vanessa Mudaly
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
- Health Programmes Directorate, Western Cape Government: Health
| | | | - Jody Davids
- George Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | | | | | | | - Kevin Adams
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Gordon Audley
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Kathleen Bateman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Peter Beckwith
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Marc Bernon
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Dirk Blom
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Linda Boloko
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jean Botha
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Adam Boutall
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Sean Burmeister
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Lydia Cairncross
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Gregory Calligaro
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Cecilia Coccia
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Chadwin Corin
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Remy Daroowala
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Joel A Dave
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Elsa De Bruyn
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Martin De Villiers
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Mimi Deetlefs
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Sipho Dlamini
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Thomas Du Toit
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Wilhelm Endres
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Tarin Europa
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Graham Fieggan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Anthony Figaji
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Petro Frankenfeld
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Elizabeth Gatley
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Phindile Gina
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Evashan Govender
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Rochelle Grobler
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Manqoba Vusumuzi Gule
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Christoff Hanekom
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Michael Held
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Alana Heynes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Sabelo Hlatswayo
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Bridget Hodkinson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | | | - Shakeel Hoosain
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Ashely Jacobs
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Miriam Kahn
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Thania Kahn
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Arvin Khamajeet
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Joubin Khan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Riaasat Khan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Alicia Khwitshana
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Lauren Knight
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Sharita Kooverjee
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Rene Krogscheepers
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jean Jacque Kruger
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Suzanne Kuhn
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Kim Laubscher
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - John Lazarus
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Jacque Le Roux
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Scott Lee Jones
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Dion Levin
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Gary Maartens
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Thina Majola
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Rodgers Manganyi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - David Marais
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Suzaan Marais
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Francois Maritz
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Deborah Maughan
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Simthandile Mazondwa
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Luyanda Mbanga
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Nomonde Mbatani
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Bulewa Mbena
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Graeme Meintjes
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Marc Mendelson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Ernst Möller
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Allison Moore
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Babalwa Ndebele
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Marc Nortje
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Ntobeko Ntusi
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Funeka Nyengane
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Chima Ofoegbu
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Nectarios Papavarnavas
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jonny Peter
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Henri Pickard
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Kent Pluke
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Peter J Raubenheimer
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Gordon Robertson
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Julius Rozmiarek
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - A Sayed
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Matthias Scriba
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Hennie Sekhukhune
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Prasun Singh
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Elsabe Smith
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Vuyolwethu Soldati
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Cari Stek
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Robert van den berg
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Le Roux van der Merwe
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Pieter Venter
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Surgery, University of Cape Town
| | - Barbra Vermooten
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Gerrit Viljoen
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Santhuri Viranna
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jonno Vogel
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Nokubonga Vundla
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Sean Wasserman
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Eddy Zitha
- Groote Schuur Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | | | | | - Katrin Stuve
- Department of Radiology, University of Cape Town
| | | | | | - Sue Le Roux
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | | | | | - Mark Wates
- Karl Bremer Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | | | - Nabilah Ebrahim
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Sa’ad Lahri
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Ayanda Mnguni
- Khayelitsha District Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Thomas Crede
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Martin de Man
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Katya Evans
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Clint Hendrikse
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Jonathan Naude
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Moosa Parak
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Patrick Szymanski
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Candice Van Koningsbruggen
- Mitchells Plain and Heideveld Hospitals, Western Cape Government: Health
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Riezaah Abrahams
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Brian Allwood
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Christoffel Botha
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Matthys Henndrik Botha
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Obstetrics and Gyneacology, Stellenbosch University
| | - Alistair Broadhurst
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Dirkie Claasen
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Che Daniel
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Riyaadh Dawood
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Marie du Preez
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Nicolene Du Toit
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Obstetrics and Gyneacology, Stellenbosch University
| | - Kobie Erasmus
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Emergency Medical Services, Western Cape Government
| | | | - Shiraaz Gabriel
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Susan Hugo
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Thabiet Jardine
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Clint Johannes
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Sumanth Karamchand
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Usha Lalla
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Eduard Langenegger
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Obstetrics and Gyneacology, Stellenbosch University
| | - Eize Louw
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Boitumelo Mashigo
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Nonte Mhlana
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Chizama Mnqwazi
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Ashley Moodley
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Obstetrics and Gyneacology, Stellenbosch University
| | - Desiree Moodley
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Saadiq Moolla
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Abdurasiet Mowlana
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Andre Nortje
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Elzanne Olivier
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Obstetrics and Gyneacology, Stellenbosch University
| | - Arifa Parker
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Chané Paulsen
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Hans Prozesky
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Jacques Rood
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Tholakele Sabela
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Neshaad Schrueder
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Nokwanda Sithole
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Sthembiso Sithole
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Jantjie J Taljaard
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Gideon Titus
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Tian Van Der Merwe
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Obstetrics and Gyneacology, Stellenbosch University
| | - Marije van Schalkwyk
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Luthando Vazi
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Abraham J Viljoen
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | - Mogamat Yazied Chothia
- Tygerberg Hospital, Western Cape Government: Health
- Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University
| | | | - Lee Alan Wallis
- Emergency Medical Services, Western Cape Government
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Linda Aldum
- City Health, Community Services and Health, City of Cape Town
| | | | - Raakhee Girran
- City Health, Community Services and Health, City of Cape Town
| | - Kevin Lee
- City Health, Community Services and Health, City of Cape Town
| | - Lenny Naidoo
- City Health, Community Services and Health, City of Cape Town
| | | | - Kim Anderson
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Kerrin Begg
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Lisa Boerlage
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Morna Cornell
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Renée de Waal
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Lilian Dudley
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - René English
- Metro Health Services, Western Cape Government: Health
| | - Jonathan Euvrard
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Pam Groenewald
- South African Medical Research Council Burden of Disease Research Unit
| | - Nisha Jacob
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Heather Jaspan
- Division of Immunology and Institute of Infectious Diseases and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Emma Kalk
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | | | - Thoko Malaba
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Patience Nyakato
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Gabriela Patten
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | | | | | - Priscilla Tsondai
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - James Van Duuren
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | | | - Lucille Blumberg
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- University of Pretoria
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand
| | - Nelesh Govender
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- School of Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand and School of Pathology, University of Cape Town
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Tendesayi Kufa
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Kerrigan McCarthy
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
| | - Lynn Morris
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa
- University of Witwatersrand, South African Medical Research Council Antibody Immunity Research Unit and the Centre for the AIDS Programme in South Africa (CAPRISA)
| | - Nei-yuan Hsiao
- National Health Laboratory Service and Division of Virology, School of Pathology, University of Cape Town
| | - Ruan Marais
- National Health Laboratory Service and Division of Virology, School of Pathology, University of Cape Town
| | - Jon Ambler
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, University of Cape Town
| | - Olina Ngwenya
- Wellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, University of Cape Town
| | | | - Leigh Johnson
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Reshma Kassanjee
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town
| | - Tsaone Tamuhla
- Division of Computational Biology, University of Cape Town
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Hussey H, Zinyakatira N, Morden E, Ismail M, Paleker M, Bam JL, London L, Boulle A, Davies MA. Higher COVID-19 mortality in low-income communities in the City of Cape Town - a descriptive ecological study. Gates Open Res 2021; 5:90. [PMID: 34286217 PMCID: PMC8264385 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13288.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Cape Town, a South African city with high levels of economic inequality, has gone through two COVID-19 waves. There is evidence globally that low-income communities experience higher levels of morbidity and mortality during the pandemic. Methods Age-standardized COVID-19 mortality in the eight sub-districts of Cape Town was compared by economic indicators taken from the most recent Census (unemployment rate, monthly income). Results The overall Standardized Death Rate (SDR) for COVID-19 in Cape Town was 1 640 per million, but there was wide variation across the different sub-districts. A linear relationship was seen between sub-districts with high poverty and high COVID-19 SDRs. Conclusions Low-income communities in Cape Town experienced higher levels of COVID-19 mortality. As we continue to contend with COVID-19, these communities need to be prioritized for access to quality health care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Hussey
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nesbert Zinyakatira
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Erna Morden
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Muzzammil Ismail
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Masudah Paleker
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Health Systems and Public Health, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jamy-Lee Bam
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Leslie London
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Andrew Boulle
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Mary-Ann Davies
- Health Intelligence, Western Cape Government: Health, Cape Town, South Africa
- School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Foster R, Heekes A, Hussey H, Smith M, Mutemaringa T, Phelanyane F, Seebregts C, Dane P, Boulle A. Beyond Interoperability with The Single Patient Viewer: A Clinical Portal to Access Integrated Patient Records. Int J Popul Data Sci 2020. [DOI: 10.23889/ijpds.v5i5.1614] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022] Open
Abstract
IntroductionIn the Western Cape Province of South Africa, a wealth of patient-level data is collected through many separate electronic systems, which share a unique health identifier. However, clinicians primarily access paper folders, which can be unreliable, difficult to locate and are at risk of loss. Patients frequently attend multiple facilities and their information may not be accessible across facilities, hampering continuity of care.
Objectives and ApproachFacilitated by the unique health identifier, a provincial Health Information Exchange (HIE), harmonises patient level data from routine systems into a health information exchange daily. The Single Patient Viewer (SPV) has been developed as a prototype web-based electronic health record and data access portal. SPV integrates clinical data for a single patient both longitudinally and cross-sectionally, in tabular and graphical views, to assist clinicians in rapid information discovery. The application is designed as a web application that calls a multi-purpose API that facilitates interoperability with the HIE.
ResultSPV is in an extended pilot phase with over 200 clinicians using the portal, either for clinical care provision, or for clinical audit activities. The application has evolved to include referral, follow-up (voice call and messaging) and reporting functionality.
In the past 6 months, over 17,000 patients have been viewed with an average daily search of 150 patients. An anonymised user survey with 52 participants showed that users felt that SPV was enjoyable to use, easy to learn, innovative, and supportive and valuable to their work.
Conclusion / ImplicationsSPV has been developed as a global public good project and will be made freely available once matured. A unique feature of the development of SPV is that clinicians were using it while it was being built, enabling constant clinical user feedback. SPV demonstrates the value of integrating health data for clinical viewing while interoperable systems mature.
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Hussey H, Abdullahi L, Collins J, Muloiwa R, Hussey G, Kagina B. Varicella zoster virus-associated morbidity and mortality in Africa - a systematic review. BMC Infect Dis 2017; 17:717. [PMID: 29137604 PMCID: PMC5686819 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2815-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2017] [Accepted: 11/02/2017] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Varicella zoster virus (VZV) causes varicella and herpes zoster. These vaccine preventable diseases are common globally. Most available data on VZV epidemiology are from industrialised temperate countries and cannot be used to guide decisions on the immunization policy against VZV in Africa. This systematic review aims to review the published data on VZV morbidity and mortality in Africa. METHODS All published studies conducted in Africa from 1974 to 2015 were eligible. Eligible studies must have reported any VZV epidemiological measure (incidence, prevalence, hospitalization rate and mortality rate). For inclusion in the review, studies must have used a defined VZV case definition, be it clinical or laboratory-based. RESULTS Twenty articles from 13 African countries were included in the review. Most included studies were cross-sectional, conducted on hospitalized patients, and half of the studies used varying serological methods for diagnosis. VZV seroprevalence was very high among adults. Limited data on VZV seroprevalence in children showed very low seropositivity to anti-VZV antibodies. Co-morbidity with VZV was common. CONCLUSION There is lack of quality data that could be used to develop VZV control programmes, including vaccination, in Africa. TRIAL REGISTRATION PROSPERO 2015: CRD42015026144 .
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Hussey
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Leila Abdullahi
- Vaccines for Africa Initiative, Division of Medical Microbiology & Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jamie Collins
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA USA
| | - Rudzani Muloiwa
- Department of Paediatrics & Child Health, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Gregory Hussey
- Vaccines for Africa Initiative, Division of Medical Microbiology & Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Benjamin Kagina
- Vaccines for Africa Initiative, Division of Medical Microbiology & Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Vaccines for Africa Initiative, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Cheah SC, Hussey H, Hancock I, Baddiley J. Control of synthesis of wall teichoic acid during balanced growth of Bacillus subtilis W23. J Gen Microbiol 1982; 128:593-9. [PMID: 6281365 DOI: 10.1099/00221287-128-3-593] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
Enzymes involved in the synthesis of teichoic acid and its linkage to the wall in Bacillus subtilis W23 were measured in chemostat cultures growing at equilibrium at a dilution rate of 0.2 h-1 in different concentrations of inorganic phosphate. All the enzymes, except teichoic acid glucosyl transferase, which was insensitive to changes in phosphate concentration, were almost undetectable at 0.5 mM-phosphate. At higher phosphate concentrations the changes in activity of the enzymes of linkage unit synthesis were sufficient to account for the changes in the rate of incorporation of teichoic acid into the wall in vivo. Between 3.5 and 4.5 mM-phosphate the amount of teichoic acid synthesized in vivo increased, but no increase in the ability of toluenized bacteria to synthesize teichoic acid could be detected. Allosteric regulation might therefore be important at high phosphate concentrations. Bacteria maintained a constant ATP content and a constant adenylate energy charge during chemostat growth at all phosphate concentrations.
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Cheah SC, Hussey H, Baddiley J. Control of synthesis of wall teichoic acid in phosphate-starved cultures of Bacillus subtilis W23. Eur J Biochem 1981; 118:497-500. [PMID: 6271552 DOI: 10.1111/j.1432-1033.1981.tb05546.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
CDP-glycerol pyrophosphorylase, CDP-ribitol pyrophosphorylase and poly(ribitol phosphate) synthetase activities have been measured in cultures of Bacillus subtilis W23 as they became phosphate-starved either in batch culture or during changeover from potassium limitation to phosphate limitation in a chemostat. The results indicated that repression of synthesis of all three enzymes occurred at the onset of phosphate starvation and that this was accompanied by inhibition of inactivation of CDP-glycerol pyrophosphorylase and poly(ribitol phosphate) synthetase. These results show that the initial response to phosphate starvation involves more than inhibition of one enzyme as proposed by Glaser and Loewy [Glaser L. and Loewy, A. (1979) J. Biol. Chem. 254, 2184-2186]. Synthesis of both linkage unit and poly(ribitol phosphate) are inhibited independently.
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Abstract
Analysis of cell walls of Bacillus licheniformis ATCC 9945 grown under phosphate limitation showed that teichoic acid could be replaced by teichuronic acid under these conditions. Teichuronic acid, however, was always present in the walls to some extent irrespective of the growth conditions. The enzymes involved in teichoic acid synthesis were investigated and the synthesis of these was shown to be repressed when the intracellular Pi level fell. CDP-glycerol pyrophosphorylase was studied in some detail and evidence is presented to show that the enzyme is inactivated under phosphate-limited conditions. The mechanism of inactivation is unknown but it has been shown that it does not require protein synthesis de novo.
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Anderson RG, Douglas LJ, Hussey H, Baddiley J. The control of synthesis of bacterial cell walls. Interaction in the synthesis of nucleotide precursors. Biochem J 1973; 136:871-6. [PMID: 4786537 PMCID: PMC1166035 DOI: 10.1042/bj1360871] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
Abstract
Phosphoenolpyruvate-UDP-N-acetylglucosamine enolpyruvyltransferase, UDP-N-acetylglucosamine pyrophosphorylase and CDP-glycerol pyrophosphorylase activities were demonstrated in soluble extracts from Bacillus licheniformis A.T.C.C. 9945. The effect of various nucleotides, sugar nucleotides and sugar phosphates on the nucleotide pyrophosphorylases was investigated. UDP-N-acetylglucosamine pyrophosphorylase was inhibited by UDP-MurAc-pentapeptide (UDP-N-acetylmuramyl-l-alanyl-d-glutamyl- meso-diaminopimelyl-d-alanyl -d-alanine) and CDP-glycerol. CDP-glycerol pyrophosphorylase was inhibited by UDP-MurAc-pentapeptide and stimulated by UDP-N-acetylglucosamine. Interaction between a precursor of one cell-wall polymer and an enzyme involved in the synthesis of a precursor of a second polymer has therefore been demonstrated. The possible role of such interaction in the control of bacterial cell-wall synthesis is discussed. Of the other compounds investigated mono- and di-nucleotides were shown to be inhibitory, indicating that nucleotide pyrophosphorylase activities may be influenced by the energy charge of the cell.
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Anderson RG, Hussey H, Baddiley J. The mechanism of wall synthesis in bacteria. The organization of enzymes and isoprenoid phosphates in the membrane. Biochem J 1972; 127:11-25. [PMID: 4627447 PMCID: PMC1178555 DOI: 10.1042/bj1270011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 108] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
1. The synthesis of peptidoglycan and teichoic acids by cell-free preparations from Bacillus licheniformis A.T.C.C. 9945 and Bacillus subtilis N.C.T.C. 3610 has been studied under a variety of conditions. 2. It was shown that poly(glycerol phosphate) is synthesized through a lipid intermediate, and it is concluded from this and other work that all major bacterial wall polymers are formed in a similar manner through such intermediates. 3. Close interrelation between the synthesis of peptidoglycan and teichoic acids was demonstrated, and inhibition studies confirm that the polyprenol phosphate molecules participating in the synthesis of peptidoglycan are shared with the systems that synthesize teichoic acids. 4. Nucleotides for the synthesis of one polymer are inhibitory towards synthesis of the other, and these effects can be enhanced or diminished by preincubation of the enzyme system with appropriate nucleotide precursors. 5. It is concluded that the return of undecaprenol phosphate to a common pool occurs only after the completion of polymer chains, and not after each cycle in the attachment of individual repeating units. This and other observations support a model for bacterial wall synthesis in which the multi-enzyme systems for each polymer are closely aligned in the membrane, with a molecule of undecaprenol phosphate located between them in a manner that enables it to be shared. The general mechanisms of wall synthesis and its control are discussed.
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Abstract
1. Particulate enzyme systems have been prepared from Staphylococcus lactis I3 which effect the synthesis of wall teichoic acid (a polymer containing a repeating unit in which d-glycerol 1-phosphate is attached to the 4-position on N-acetylglucosamine 1-phosphate) from the nucleotide precursors CDP-glycerol and UDP-N-acetylglucosamine. By using nucleotides labelled with (32)P and (14)C it has been shown that the synthesis proceeds via lipid intermediates. 2. Two intermediates have been found. In one of these N-acetylglucosamine 1-phosphate is present, whereas in the other the repeating unit of the teichoic acid occurs. 3. The simultaneous formation of the teichoic acid, a poly-(N-acetylglucosamine 1-phosphate) and an unidentified lipid, together with the poor ability of most particulate systems to synthesize polymer and the instability of the lipid intermediates themselves, have interfered with pulse-labelling experiments. Nevertheless, the biosynthetic sequence has been elucidated. It is concluded that the intermediates are derivatives of undecaprenol phosphate.
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Watkinson RJ, Hussey H, Baddiley J. Shared lipid phosphate carrier in the biosynthesis of teichoic acid and peptidoglycan. Nat New Biol 1971; 229:57-9. [PMID: 4250444 DOI: 10.1038/newbio229057a0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
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