Mortality due to bleeding, myocardial infarction and stroke in dialysis patients

Essentials Mortality due to bleeding vs. arterial thrombosis in dialysis patients is unknown. We compared death causes of 201 918 dialysis patients with the general population. Dialysis was associated with increased mortality risks of bleeding and arterial thrombosis. Clinicians should be aware of the increased bleeding and thrombosis risks.

SUMMARY

Background Dialysis has been associated with both bleeding and thrombotic events. However, there is limited information on bleeding as a cause of death versus arterial thrombosis as a cause of death. Objectives To investigate the occurrence of bleeding, myocardial infarction and stroke as causes of death in the dialysis population as compared with the general population. Methods We included 201 918 patients from 11 countries providing data to the ERA-EDTA Registry who started dialysis treatment between 1994 and 2011, and followed them for 3 years. Age-standardized and sex-standardized mortality rate ratios for bleeding, myocardial infarction and stroke as causes of death were calculated in dialysis patients as compared with the European general population. Associations between potential risk factors and these causes of death in dialysis patients were investigated by calculating hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by the use of Cox proportional-hazards regression. Results As compared with the general population, the age-standardized and sex-standardized mortality rate ratios in dialysis patients were 12.8 (95% CI 11.9-13.7) for bleeding as a cause of death (6.2 per 1000 person-years among dialysis patients versus 0.3 per 1000 person-years in the general population), 13.4 (95% CI 13.0-13.9) for myocardial infarction (22.5 versus 0.9 per 1000 person-years), and 12.4 (95% CI 11.9-12.9) for stroke (14.3 versus 0.7 per 1000 person-years). Conclusion Dialysis patients have highly increased risks of death caused by bleeding and arterial thrombosis as compared with the general population. Clinicians should be aware of the increased mortality risks caused by these conditions.

Mortality due to pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and stroke among incident dialysis patients

BACKGROUND

It is has been suggested that dialysis patients have lower mortality rates for pulmonary embolism than the general population, because of platelet dysfunction and bleeding tendency. However, there is limited information whether dialysis is indeed associated with a decreased mortality risk from pulmonary embolism.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to evaluate whether mortality rate ratios for pulmonary embolism were lower than for myocardial infarction and stroke in dialysis patients compared with the general population.

METHODS

Cardiovascular causes of death for 130,439 incident dialysis patients registered in the ERA-EDTA Registry were compared with the cardiovascular causes of death for the European general population.

RESULTS

The age- and sex-standardized mortality rate (SMR) from pulmonary embolism was 12.2 (95% CI 10.2-14.6) times higher in dialysis patients than in the general population. The SMRs in dialysis patients compared with the general population were 11.0 (95% CI 10.6-11.4) for myocardial infarction, 8.4 (95% CI 8.0-8.8) for stroke, and 8.3 (95% CI 8.0-8.5) for other cardiovascular diseases. In dialysis patients, primary kidney disease due to diabetes was associated with an increased mortality risk due to pulmonary embolism (HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.0-3.8), myocardial infarction (HR 4.1; 95% CI 3.4-4.9), stroke (HR 3.5; 95% CI 2.8-4.4), and other cardiovascular causes of death (HR 3.4; 95% CI 2.9-3.9) compared with patients with polycystic kidney disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Dialysis patients were found to have an unexpected highly increased mortality rate for pulmonary embolism and increased mortality rates for myocardial infarction and stroke.

Comorbidities and survival of patients with type 1 diabetes on renal replacement therapy

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Comorbidities are frequent among type 1 diabetes patients on renal replacement therapy, yet the effect of comorbidities on survival is unknown. Our aim was to estimate this effect.

METHODS

An incident cohort of all patients with type 1 diabetes entering chronic renal replacement therapy (n = 656) in Finland between 2000 and 2008 was followed until death or the end of follow-up on 31 December 2008. All data were obtained from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases, which collects information on comorbidities at the start of renal replacement therapy. The main outcome measure was relative risk of death according to comorbidities.

RESULTS

At start of renal replacement therapy, 22% of the patients with type 1 diabetes had coronary artery disease, 19% peripheral vascular disease, 11% cerebrovascular disease, 33% left ventricular hypertrophy and 7% heart failure. All these comorbidities were significant predictors of death in univariate analyses (RR 1.6-4.9). The 5 year survival probability of patients without comorbidities was 74%, while it was 56% and 37%, respectively, for those with one or more than one comorbidity. When the comorbidities were studied in a multivariate model, adjusting for age and sex, peripheral vascular disease (RR 1.9), left ventricular hypertrophy (RR 1.7) and heart failure (RR 2.5) remained independent risk factors for death. Calculations indicated that one-third of deaths in the study population could be attributed to comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Among patients with type 1 diabetes entering renal replacement therapy, comorbidities are common and strong predictors of death. Therefore, it is essential to identify and adequately treat comorbidities.

Senescence rates in patients with end-stage renal disease: a critical appraisal of the Gompertz model

The most frequently used model to describe the exponential increase in mortality rate over age is the Gompertz equation. Logarithmically transformed, the equation conforms to a straight line, of which the slope has been interpreted as the rate of senescence. Earlier, we proposed the derivative function of the Gompertz equation as a superior descriptor of senescence rate. Here, we tested both measures of the rate of senescence in a population of patients with end-stage renal disease. It is clinical dogma that patients on dialysis experience accelerated senescence, whereas those with a functional kidney transplant have mortality rates comparable to the general population. Therefore, we calculated the age-specific mortality rates for European patients on dialysis (n=274 221; follow-up=594 767 person-years), for European patients with a functioning kidney transplant (n=61 286; follow-up=345 024 person-years), and for the general European population. We found higher mortality rates, but a smaller slope of logarithmic mortality curve for patients on dialysis compared with both patients with a functioning kidney transplant and the general population (P<0.001). A classical interpretation of the Gompertz model would imply that the rate of senescence in patients on dialysis is lower than in patients with a functioning transplant and lower than in the general population. In contrast, the derivative function of the Gompertz equation yielded the highest senescence rates for patients on dialysis, whereas the rate was similar in patients with a functioning transplant and the general population. We conclude that the rate of senescence is better described by the derivative function of the Gompertz equation.

Wegener's granulomatosis in Finland in 1981-2000: risk of dialysis-dependent renal disease

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk of renal insufficiency requiring transient or chronic dialysis and its contributing factors in patients diagnosed with Wegener's granulomatosis (WG) between 1981 and 2000 in Finland.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study using hospital discharge registers with a review of hospital case reports. Data were complemented with files from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases. All files were reviewed by 8 October 2005.

RESULTS

A total of 492 patients received a verified diagnosis of WG in 1981-2000. Of these, 84 (17%) needed dialysis by the end of follow-up. Of the 84 dialysed patients, 32 (38%) recovered initially, 32 (38%) needed chronic dialysis (dialysed > 3 months), and 19 (23%) received a kidney transplant. Forty-one (49%) of the dialysed patients were alive at the end of follow-up: 16 with a kidney transplant, 14 on dialysis, and 11 without dialysis. The cumulative rate of developing renal involvement leading to dialysis was 14.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 11.6-18.2] at 5 years and 29.6% (95% CI 21.5-40.0) at 20 years after onset of WG symptoms. Elevated creatinine levels at presentation were associated with an increased rate of renal insufficiency requiring chronic dialysis. Age, gender, and involvement of any particular organ system had no significant effect.

CONCLUSIONS

WG patients are at great risk of developing renal insufficiency, and this risk increases as the disease progresses. Elevated creatinine levels at presentation are associated with an increased risk of dialysis-dependent end-stage renal disease.

Risk factors for end-stage renal disease in a community-based population: 26-year follow-up of 25,821 men and women in eastern Finland

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

There are very few European cohort studies assessing the risk factors of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in a community-based population. This study investigated the predictors of ESRD in Finland.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Eastern Finland.

SUBJECTS

A random sample of 25,821 men and women aged 25-64 years from the national population register participating in three independent cross-sectional population surveys in 1972, 1977 and 1982. Only the subjects without diagnosis of ESRD or chronic kidney disease based on the national register data were included in the study.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Initiation of renal replacement therapy (dialysis or kidney transplantation) identified from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases through December 31, 2006.

RESULTS

A total of 94 cases with ESRD were identified during a mean follow-up period of 26.5 years. In a multivariate proportional subdistribution hazard regression analysis, taking into account death as a competing risk event, diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 4.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.32-9.79), hypertension (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.19-4.12), obesity defined as body mass index > or =30 kg m(-2) (HR 2.02, 95 %CI 1.10-3.71) and male gender (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.19-4.12) were independent risk factors for ESRD.

CONCLUSION

The findings of the present study confirm that modifiable risk factors play a major role in the development of ESRD in the North-European population. People with diabetes, hypertension or obesity should be considered as the target groups when planning preventive measures to control the future epidemic of ESRD.

Quantification of prostate specific antigen mRNA levels in circulation after prostatic surgery and endocrine treatment by quantitative reverse transcription‐polymerase chain reaction

Various methods to detect prostatic cells in circulation have given conflicting results. This is probably because qualitative rather than quantitative methods have been used to detect mRNA from prostatic cells. A quantitative method has been developed based on reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for detection of prostate specific antigen (PSA) mRNA in peripheral blood. A competitive internal mRNA standard was used for quantification of absolute amounts of PSA mRNA. The detection limit of the assay was 7 copies of mRNA, and the highest level of circulating PSA mRNA in 88 control subjects was 25 copies per milliliter of blood. This method was used to study the influence of prostatic surgery and endocrine treatment on prostatic cells in the circulation of 56 patients undergoing biopsy, radical prostatectomy, transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP), orchiectomy, or androgen blockade. Blood samples were drawn before, during and up to 26 weeks after these procedures had been carried out. The highest level of PSA mRNA in controls was 25 copies per milliliter of blood. After RP, TURP or orchiectomy, PSA mRNA levels increased above this level in 27%, 29%, and 25% of the samples, respectively. After prostate biopsy, two out of 15 patients became positive. PSA mRNA levels that were elevated by surgery became undetectable within 1-3 days. No significant correlation was found between PCR positivity and the clinical characteristics of the patients. It is concluded that the level of PSA mRNA in peripheral blood increases after prostatic surgery, indicating temporary dissemination of prostatic cells. However, preoperative levels do not correlate with serum PSA, stage or grade.

Human papillomavirus infection and primary fallopian tube carcinoma: a seroepidemiological study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the role of human papillomavirus (HPV) types 6, 11, 16, 18, 31 or 33 infection in primary fallopian tube carcinoma (PFTC).

DESIGN

A retrospective case-control study.

SETTING

Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Helsinki University Hospital, Finland.

POPULATION

Seventy-eight consecutive women with PFTC diagnosed between 1985 and 2000 were studied. For each case, two healthy controls were selected.

METHODS

Serum immunoglobulin G antibodies to HPV types 6, 11, 16, 18, 31 and 33 were measured from women with PFTC and their healthy controls.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Analysis of HPV 6, 11, 18, 31 and 33 seropositivity among women with PFTC and controls.

RESULTS

Seropositivity rates of non-oncogenic or oncogenic HPV types did not differ between cases and controls, odds ratios being 1.04-1.30 for oncogenic HPVs and 1.08-1.19 for non-oncogenic HPVs, similarly. We did not find any multiplicative joint effect in PFTC by antibodies to more than one oncogenic HPV type; neither did we find any antagonistic effect among women with antibodies to non-oncogenic and oncogenic HPV types.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results do not suggest any link between PFTC and serological evidence for HPV infection.

Effect of general population mortality on the north-south mortality gradient in patients on replacement therapy in Europe

In Europe there is considerable variation in mortality on renal replacement therapy (RRT). The causes of this variation are still poorly understood. We hypothesized that differences in mortality in the general population contribute to differences in mortality on RRT. To evaluate this relationship, we studied general population statistics obtained from Eurostat and the individual data of 67,692 patients on RRT from 15 national and regional renal registries. These 15 registries were divided into two geographical regions: North and South Europe. Cox regression was used to assess the relative risk of death (RR) for each region with adjustment for age, gender, diabetes, and additionally general population mortality. In patients on RRT the age, gender and diabetes adjusted RR of death was 0.65 (95% CI (0.64-0.66)) for South compared to North, while in the general population the age and gender standardized RR of death was 0.91. After adjustment for general population mortality in addition to age, gender, and diabetes, the RR of death for patients on RRT in the South changed from 0.65 to 0.74 (95% CI (0.72-0.75)), which indicates that general population mortality accounted for 26% of the region-related mortality difference on RRT. In conclusion, within Europe there exist considerable international differences in the mortality of patients on RRT. Twenty-six percent of the European north-south mortality difference in RRT could be attributed to differences in general population mortality. Our data support the hypothesis that general population mortality is an important factor to take into account when making RRT mortality comparisons.

Past chlamydial infection is not associated with primary fallopian tube carcinoma

We conducted a retrospective seroepidemiological study to evaluate the relationship between past chlamydial infection and primary fallopian tube carcinoma (PFTC). Postoperative serum samples were drawn from 79 consecutive patients treated for PFTC in 1985-2000. For each case two controls were selected. Serum samples were analysed for IgG antibodies to different C. trachomatis serotype pools and to C. pneumoniae. Seropositivity in general or serum antibody levels to different C. trachomatis serovars or C. pneumoniae did not differ between PFTC patients and controls. The lack of association between anti-chlamydial antibodies and PFTC suggests that past chlamydial infection does not play a role in the etiopathogenesis of PFTC. However, because chlamydial infection is common at young age and PFTC develops decades later, we cannot definitively exclude the possibility that C.trachomatis contributes to the development of PFTC.

Preoperative Serum hCGβ as a Prognostic Marker in Primary Fallopian Tube Carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

It was the aim of this study to evaluate the prognostic value of the pretreatment serum concentrations of the beta-subunit of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCGbeta), CA 125 and tumour-associated trypsin inhibitor (TATI) in primary fallopian tube carcinoma (PFTC).

METHODS

The pretreatment serum concentrations of hCGbeta, CA 125 and TATI were analyzed in serum samples from 60 women with a mean age of 61 years, treated for PFTC between 1985 and 2000. Of the 91 patients treated during this period, 31 were excluded because no serum sample was available. The patients were followed-up for recurrence and survival until February 14, 2003. The prognostic value of the serum markers were compared with those of stage, grade and histological type.

RESULTS

The median survival time was 27 months and the overall 5-year survival rate 33%. Stage and size of the residual tumour (<1 vs. > or =1 cm) predicted both overall and disease-free survival (p < 0.050). Histology (serous vs. others) (p = 0.023) also influenced overall survival. Overall 5-year survival was 38% when serum hCGbeta was below 3.5 pmol/l, while it was 18% when the level was higher (p = 0.052). The corresponding disease-free 5-year survival was 38 and 20%, respectively (p = 0.014). Patients with CA 125 values above 1,017 kU/l had an overall 5-year survival of 39% as compared with 14% for those with lower values (p = 0.009), while the disease-free survival was 37 and 23%, respectively (p = 0.096). Serum TATI was not a prognostic marker. Serum concentrations of hCGbeta and CA 125 correlated significantly with stage (p = 0.049 and p = 0.050, respectively). In multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, only hCGbeta, stage and histology emerged as independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Clearly elevated serum concentrations of hCGbeta and CA 125 predict survival in fallopian tube carcinoma, but in multivariate analyses, only hCGbeta is a prognostic factor independent of stage and histology.

Prevalence of 'do not attempt resuscitation' orders and living wills among patients suffering cardiac arrest in four secondary hospitals

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prevalence and implementation of 'do not resuscitate' orders, nowadays called 'do not attempt resuscitation' (DNAR) orders and living wills among patients suffering in-hospital cardiac arrest (CA) in whom cardiopulmonary resuscitation was not initiated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A prospective survey of CA patients conducted in four secondary hospitals during 2000-2001. The information collected included the presence of DNAR and a living will and the patients sociodemographic and disease factors and the reasons for not initiating resuscitation when no DNAR order was present. Data on the resuscitated patients were collected according to the Utstein recommendations (analyzed and published separately) and used for comparison.

RESULTS

During the study period, 1486 patients suffered CA without resuscitation being initiated. Data collection was successful in 1143 patients (77%), who were included in the study. Most of the patients (84.5%) had a DNAR order. The prevalence of DNAR orders differed between the participating hospitals (P<0.001), and between the wards of the hospital, with most DNAR orders in the cardiac care unit (100%) and medical wards (87%). The patients designated as DNAR were likely to be older (P<0.01) and of poorer functional status (P<0.001). Reasons for abstaining from resuscitation without a DNAR order were unwitnessed arrest (27%) and terminal disease (66%). Living wills were uncommon (1.5%). Patients with a living will were likely to have a DNAR order (P<0.01).

CONCLUSION

Most patients who suffered in-hospital CA without resuscitation had a DNAR order, and, for those who did not, terminal disease and medical futility were evident in most cases. Living wills were uncommon, but they appeared to have had some impact on treatment.

Evaluation of the in-hospital Utstein template in cardiopulmonary resuscitation in secondary hospitals

INTRODUCTION

The in-hospital Utstein template for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was assessed in four secondary hospitals (334-441 beds) which did not have systematic data collection.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The reports and outcome over a period of 12 months during the years 2000-2001 were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of a total of 1690 patients that had a cardiac arrest (CA), 204 (12%) were resuscitated. Information on the collected Utstein parameters were available as follows: initial rhythm in 91%, time interval from collapse to defibrillation (in case of ventricular fibrillation or ventricular tachycardia as initial rhythm) in 90%, time interval to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in 83% and duration of resuscitation in 83%. ROSC was achieved in 69 patients (34%, CI 27-41%) and 34 (17%, CI 11-23%) survived to hospital discharge. Twenty patients showed satisfactory neurological recovery (10%, CI 6-14%). Eighteen (9%, CI 5-13%) patients were alive at 12 months from the event. Factors associated with survival to hospital discharge were VF/VT (P=0.007) as the initial rhythm and shorter interval to defibrillation (P=0.046).

CONCLUSION

The in-hospital Utstein template was logical but laborious and it provided tools for resuscitation management evaluation in the study hospitals. For continuous use, a slightly compressed model may be warranted. In the present material, the overall survival rate to hospital discharge was in line with previous reports but there were somewhat less neurologically satisfactory survivors. There is an evident need to improve the outcome of patients suffering CA on the wards. An important step is to reduce the time interval to defibrillation.

Quantitative detection of low-copy-number mRNAs differing at single nucleotide positions

Accurate analysis of mRNA expression levels of SNPs, highly homologous genes, and splicing variants requires techniques capable of quantifying low-copy-number mRNAs differing at single nucleotide positions. We have used an RT-PCR-based technique based on co-amplification of closely related target mRNA transcripts and assessed the effect of the stochastic distribution of low-copy-number templates on sampling variation when quantifying rare mRNA transcripts. The technique was optimized for maximal sensitivity to enable the analysis of samples containing a subpopulation of target cells and small microdissected samples. We demonstrate that the input level of template molecules is a critical determinant of the achievable assay precision. A minimum of approximately 50 molecules of template is required to discriminate between 2-fold differences in the expression levels of two transcripts. At levels above 1000 molecules of input template, the stochastic effects on sampling variation become negligible.

Factors associated with progression of IgA nephropathy are related to renal function--a model for estimating risk of progression in mild disease

BACKGROUND

A number of factors are linked to the outcome of IgA nephropathy (IgAN). However, it has been difficult to compare results of studies since patient populations have varied greatly. There were 3 aims in the study reported here, namely to compare factors associated with renal outcome in IgAN patients with different levels of renal function on diagnosis; to determine factors which were independently associated with progression of renal disease in initially mild IgAN; and to create a model for the estimation of the risk of progression in individual IgAN patients with normal renal function on diagnosis.

METHODS

Two hundred and fifty-nine IgAN patients who had been followed on average for 9.1 (SD 4.5) after diagnosis were divided into 2 groups on the basis of renal function on diagnosis. In group 1 (98 patients), Ccr (creatinine clearance, estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault formula) was < 85 ml/min, in group 2 (161 patients) > or = 85 ml/min. Univariate analyses were used to find significant differences between progressors and non-progressors in both groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine factors independently associated with progression in group 2.

RESULTS

Several factors were found to be associated with outcome in both groups, such as hypertension, level of Ccr, serum cholesterol, proteinuria, and also histopathological changes. Factors associated with progression in patients with initially decreased renal function (group 1), were predictable, such as male sex, absence of episodes of macroscopic hematuria, serum urate level and degree of tubular atrophy. Surprisingly, in patients with initially normal renal function (group 2), numbers of urinary erythrocytes were associated with outcome. The factors independently associated with progression in this group were number of urinary erythrocytes, existence of hypertension and in histopathology arteriolosclerosis and the level of glomerular score. A model for estimating risk of progression on the basis of various combinations of factors found to be independently associated with outcome is presented.

CONCLUSIONS

We concluded that association between variable and outcome in IgAN depends partly on renal function at the time of assessment of the factor. Since there are factors which are independently associated with the outcome of early and apparently mild disease, early diagnosis of IgAN is desirable: outcome in mild IgAN can be predicted reliably on the basis of factors found to be independently associated with outcome.

Predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis by rapid measurement of trypsinogen-2 in urine

BACKGROUND

Early identification of patients at risk of developing a severe attack of acute pancreatitis (AP) is of great importance because rapid therapeutic interventions improve outcome. At a cutoff of 50 microg/L, trypsinogen-2 measured by a rapid urinary dipstick is a sensitive and specific diagnostic test in AP. The trypsinogen-2 concentration correlates with the severity of the disease, and a test with a higher cutoff might therefore be useful for prediction of disease severity.

METHODS

We increased the detection limit of the urinary trypsinogen-2 test strip (Actim Pancreatitis) from 50 microg/L to 2000 microg/L and evaluated the prognostic value of this test. The results were compared with those obtained with serum C-reactive protein and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score. The study population consisted of 150 consecutive patients with AP (42 with severe disease).

RESULTS

The sensitivity of the rapid urinary test strip (detection limit, 2000 microg/L) for prediction of severe AP, both on admission and at 24 h, was 62%; specificities were 87% and 85%, respectively, positive predictive values were 65% and 62%, and negative predictive values were 85% and 85%. C-Reactive protein had a sensitivity of only 38% on admission, but at 24 h, it was 83%; specificities were 90% and 70%, respectively, whereas positive predictive values were 59% and 52%, and NPVs were 79% and 91%, respectively. On admission the positive-likelihood ratio for the urinary trypsinogen-2 test strip was 4.8, and at 24 h it was 4.2; for C-reactive protein, the values were 3.7 and 2.7, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The urinary trypsinogen-2 dipstick is a simple and rapid method for prediction of severe acute pancreatitis.

Preoperative serum concentration of hCGbeta as a prognostic factor in ovarian cancer

In spite of a gradual improvement, survival in epithelial ovarian cancer is disappointingly low. New therapeutic regimens are emerging, and it would be important to be able to predict the prognosis and to stratify patients for clinical trials before therapy. We have evaluated the prognostic value of the pretreatment serum concentrations of 3 tumor markers. The free beta subunit of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCGbeta), CA125 and tumor-associated trypsin inhibitor (TATI) were measured in pretreatment serum samples from 146 patients treated for ovarian cancer between 1990-1995. The patients were followed up until 1998. Elevated concentrations of hCGbeta, CA125 and TATI were observed in 29%, 79% and 33%, respectively. When tested as single variables in Cox's proportional hazards model, stage, grade, size of residual tumor and hCGbeta (all p < 0.001) and CA125 (p = 0.004) correlated with prognosis. However, when fitted as multiple variables together with stage, grade and age in the same model, hCGbeta (RR = 3.42) stage (RR = 2.77) and grade (RR = 3.80) were the only significant variables. When serum hCGbeta was normal, 5-year survival was 80%, but it was only 22% when hCGbeta was elevated. In patients with stage III or IV and minimal residual disease, 5-year survival was 75% if hCGbeta was normal compared with 0% if hCGbeta was elevated. hCGbeta in serum is a strong independent prognostic factor in epithelial ovarian cancer, and its prognostic value is similar to that of grade and stage. The availability of this marker before surgery could facilitate selection of treatment modalities.

Characterization and determination of the complex between prostate-specific antigen and alpha 1-protease inhibitor in benign and malignant prostatic diseases

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is a tissue-specific serine protease which forms complexes with protease inhibitors such as alpha 1-antichymotrypsin and alpha 2-macroglobulin. We have studied the interaction between PSA and alpha 1-protease inhibitor (API) in vitro and found that 15% of the added PSA binds to API while the majority of API is cleaved between Met358 and Ser359 when PSA is incubated with a 5-fold excess of API at 37 degrees C for 7 days. The complex between PSA and API (PSA-API) formed in vitro displays the same chromatographic behavior, molecular size and immunoreactivity as endogenous PSA-API occurring in serum, indicating that they are identical. PSA-API can be detected in serum by a time-resolved immunofluorometric assay (IFMA), in which a monoclonal antibody to PSA is used as a catcher and a polyclonal antibody to API labeled with a Eu-chelate is used as a tracer. Purified PSA-API formed in vitro is used as a calibrator. PSA-API in serum represents 1.0-7.9% (median 2.4%) of total PSA (tPSA) in prostate cancer (PCa, n = 82) and 1.3-12.2% (median 3.6%, p < 0.01) in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH, n = 66). The IFMA for PSA-API in serum is hampered by a variable background, which is caused by non-specific adsorption of the huge excess of API in serum to the solid phase. The background can be determined by an assay using the same tracer as in the IFMA for PSA-API but PSA-unrelated antibody on the solid phase. The background signal is subtracted from the PSA-API signal. The clinical utility of PSA-API in serum has been evaluated in PSA-positive subjects from the Finnish PCa screening trial. After subtraction of the background, the proportion of PSA-API in relation to tPSA is lower in PCa than in controls, 0.9% vs. 1.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that the concentration of PSA-API was independent of the proportion of free PSA as a diagnostic variable among subjects with a tPSA of 4-10 micrograms/l (p = 0.009). The probability of PCa calculated by logistic regression using the concentration of PSA-API and the proportion of free PSA in serum significantly improved cancer specificity at high sensitivity levels (85-95%) as compared to the proportion of free PSA alone.

The ratio of trypsin-2-alpha(1)-antitrypsin to trypsinogen-1 discriminates biliary and alcohol-induced acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Rapid determination of the etiology of acute pancreatitis (AP) enables institution of appropriate treatment. We evaluated the ability of trypsinogen-1, trypsinogen-2, trypsin-1-alpha(1)-antitrypsin (AAT), and trypsin-2-AAT in serum to identify the etiology of AP.

METHODS

The study consisted of 67 consecutive patients with AP admitted to Helsinki University Central Hospital. Forty-two had alcohol-induced AP, 16 had biliary AP, and 9 had unexplained etiology. Serum samples were drawn within 12 h after admission. Trypsinogen-1, trypsinogen-2, trypsin-1-AAT, and trypsin-2-AAT were determined by time-resolved immunofluorometric assays. Logistic regression was used to estimate the ability of the serum analytes to discriminate between alcohol-induced and biliary AP. The validity of the tests was evaluated by ROC curve analysis.

RESULTS

Patients with alcohol-induced AP had higher median values of trypsin-1-AAT (P = 0.065), trypsinogen-2 (P = 0.034), and trypsin-2-AAT (P <0.001) than those with biliary AP, who had higher values of amylase (P = 0.002), lipase (P = 0.012), and alanine aminotransferase (P = 0.036). The ratios of trypsin-2-AAT to trypsinogen-1, lipase, or amylase efficiently discriminated between biliary and alcohol-induced AP (areas under ROC curves, 0.92-0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Trypsinogen-2 and trypsin-2-AAT are markedly increased in AP of all etiologies, whereas trypsinogen-1 is increased preferentially in biliary AP. The trypsin-2-AAT/trypsinogen-1 ratio is a promising new marker for discrimination between biliary and alcohol-induced AP.

Relative levels of SCCA2 and SCCA1 mRNA in primary tumors predicts recurrent disease in squamous cell cancer of the head and neck

Squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCCA) is widely used as a serum marker in cancers of the uterine cervix, the head and neck, lung and esophagus. Two isoforms of SCCA, deriving from 2 highly homologous serine proteinase inhibitor genes, are co-expressed in normal and malignant squamous epithelium, but it is mainly the acidic isoform SCCA2 that is present in the circulation of cancer patients. We studied the relative levels of SCCA2 and SCCA1 mRNA in frozen sections of squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck (SCCHN) in relation to disease recurrence, using a new reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction-based technique for accurate quantitation of relative mRNA levels. Primary tumors from 30 SCCHN patients, recurrent tumors from 11 patients and normal epithelium from 16 controls were examined. In patients responding to initial therapy (n = 26), an elevated SCCA2/SCCA1 mRNA ratio in the primary tumor predicted recurrence independent of clinical stage (p = 0.011). The relative risk of developing a recurrence was 7.2 (CI 1.2-13.3) in patients with elevated vs. normal SCCA2/SCCA1 mRNA ratios. We demonstrate that subtle differences in expression levels of the SCCA genes are reflected in the course of the SCCHN disease and may provide a target for molecular grading of SCCHN tumors. If this finding can be confirmed in a larger study the SCCA2/SCCA1 mRNA ratio in primary tumors could be useful for individual selection of treatment strategy for patients with head and neck cancer.

Use of the complex between prostate specific antigen and alpha 1-protease inhibitor for screening prostate cancer

PURPOSE

We assess whether the complex between prostate specific antigen (PSA) and alpha1-protease inhibitor in serum can be used to reduce further the number of false-positive PSA screen results independent of total and free PSA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Sera from 304 consecutive screen positive subjects, including 78 with and 226 without prostate cancer, and serum PSA of 4 to 10 microg./l. or higher in the Finnish, randomized, population based prostate cancer screening trial were analyzed for PSA-alpha-protease inhibitor, and total and free PSA. Main outcome measures were specificity, sensitivity and area under receiver operating characteristics curve for proportions of free PSA and PSA-alpha 1-protease inhibitor, and for a combination of these among screen positive cases.

RESULTS

The proportion of serum PSA-alpha 1-protease inhibitor of total PSA was lower in cancer cases than in controls (0.9% versus 1.6%, p <0.001). Logistic regression analysis of total PSA, free PSA and PSA-alpha 1-protease inhibitor showed that PSA-alpha 1-protease inhibitor in serum was an independent variable for discrimination between subjects with and without prostate cancer (p = 0.006) in the PSA range of 4 to 10 microg./l. The proportion of PSA-alpha 1-protease inhibitor alone improved specificity less than the proportion of free PSA but when these were combined by logistic regression they performed better than the proportion of free PSA alone at sensitivities of 85% to 95% (p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum PSA-alpha 1-protease inhibitor improves the specificity of total and free PSA in a screening population with total PSA 4 to 10 microg./l.

Predicting the outcome of prostate biopsy in screen-positive men by a multilayer perceptron network

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether an artificial neural network (multilayer perceptron, MLP) and logistic regression (LR) could eliminate more false-positive prostate-specific antigen (PSA) results than the proportion of free PSA in a prostate cancer screening.

METHODS

MLP and LR models were constructed on the basis of data on total PSA, the proportion of free PSA, digital rectal examination (DRE), and prostate volume from 656 consecutive men (aged 55 to 67 years) with total serum PSA concentrations of 4 to 10 ng/mL in the randomized population-based prostate cancer screening study in Finland. The MLP and LR models were validated using the "leave-one-out" method.

RESULTS

Of the 656 men, 23% had prostate cancer and 77% had either normal prostatic histology or a benign disease. At a 95% sensitivity level, 19% of the false-positive PSA results could be eliminated by using the proportion of free PSA versus 24% with the LR model and 33% with the MLP model (P < 0.001). At 80% to 99% sensitivity levels, the accuracy of the MLP and LR models was significantly higher than that of the proportion of free PSA. At 89% to 99% sensitivities, the accuracy of the MLP was higher than that of LR (P </= 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

At clinically relevant sensitivity levels, the MLP and LR models based on total PSA, the proportion of free PSA, DRE, and prostate volume could reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies significantly better than the proportion of free PSA alone in men with total PSA levels in the range 4 to 10 ng/mL.

Determination of prostate-specific antigen complexed to alpha(2)-macroglobulin in serum increases the specificity of free to total PSA for prostate cancer

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether prostate-specific antigen (PSA) complexed to alpha(2)-macroglobulin (A2M) increases the specificity of free PSA (fPSA) and total PSA (tPSA) for the diagnosis of prostate cancer (PCa).

METHODS

In a series of 73 patients with PCa and 58 with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), fPSA, tPSA, and PSA complexed with A2M (PSA-A2M) in serum were determined by specific immunoassays. The assay for PSA-A2M was based on the immunoadsorption of immunoreactive PSA in serum and the measurement of the PSA immunoreactivity released by denaturation of PSA-A2M at pH 11.4.

RESULTS

The median proportion of PSA-A2M [ %PSA-A2M=PSA-A2M/(tPSA+PSA-A2M)] and that of fPSA ( %fPSA=fPSA/tPSA) were significantly lower in patients with PCa (8.2% and 12.4%, respectively) than in patients with BPH (11.6% and 22.5%, P = 0.0014 and P <0.0001, respectively). The median sum of %PSA-A2M and %fPSA was 22.4% in PCa and 38.2% in BPH (P <0.0001). When the sum of %PSA-A2M and %fPSA was used as a diagnostic test for PCa, 57% of patients with "falsely" elevated PSA concentrations (4 to 10 ng/mL) caused by BPH could be correctly identified without missing patients with PCa compared with 18% of the patients with BPH but not PCa using %fPSA alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of the sum of %PSA-A2M and %fPSA in serum significantly improves the cancer specificity of the PSA test compared with the use of tPSA and %fPSA.

Insulin-like growth factor I is not a useful marker of prostate cancer in men with elevated levels of prostate-specific antigen

High serum levels of insulin-like growth factor I (IGF-I) and low levels of IGF-binding protein-3 (IGFBP-3) have been shown to correlate with increased prostate cancer risk. To evaluate this, IGF-I, IGFBP-3, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) were measured in serum from 665 consecutive men (179 with prostate cancer), aged 55-67 yr, with elevated serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA; > or = 4 microg/L) in a screening trial. Men in the highest quartile of IGF-I levels had an odds ratio (OR) for prostate cancer of 0.50 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.26-0.97] when adjusting for serum IGFBP-3. IGFBP-3 itself was not significantly associated with prostate cancer risk (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.68-2.24). Prostate volume was larger in men without than in those with prostate cancer (P < 0.001), and after adjustment for prostate volume, the negative association between serum IGF-I and prostate cancer risk was no longer significant (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.28-1.16). In screen-positive men with elevated serum PSA, serum IGF-I is not a useful diagnostic test for prostate cancer, but it may be associated with benign prostatic hyperplasia and enlargement.

Induction of endometrial plasminogen activator-inhibitor 1: a possible mechanism contributing to the effect of intrauterine levonorgestrel in the treatment of menorrhagia

OBJECTIVE

To elucidate molecular mechanisms accounting for excessive menstrual blood loss, and to present the therapeutic effect of an intrauterine levonorgestrel system (LNG-IUS) in menorrhagia.

DESIGN

A multicenter study comparing hysterectomy with the LNG-IUS in treating menorrhagia.

SETTING

A university hospital.

PATIENT(S)

Women with (n = 27) and without (n = 14) menorrhagia, and women with uterine fibroids but undetermined menstrual blood loss (n = 35).

INTERVENTION(S)

An LNG-IUS was inserted into the uterine cavity in 11 women with menorrhagia and six women experiencing normal menstrual blood loss.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

Expression of the messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) of tissue-type plasminogen activator (t-PA) and that of a specific PA inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1) in endometrial tissue samples, as evaluated with the use of Northern blot analysis.

RESULT(S)

t-PA mRNA was expressed in the endometrium throughout the menstrual cycle, with no statistically significant difference between a proliferative (n = 30) and a secretory endometrium (n = 40), or between women experiencing normal menstrual blood loss (n = 14) and those with menorrhagia (n = 27). The levels of t-PA mRNA in menstrual phase samples (n = 6) were significantly higher than those in proliferative or secretory endometrium. PAI-1 mRNA was detected in the endometrium during menstruation only. Both t-PA mRNA and PAI-1 mRNA were expressed in all endometrial samples (n = 17) obtained 6 months after an LNG-IUS was inserted, regardless of the menstrual cycle phase. The relative levels of both types of mRNA were significantly higher in LNG endometrium than in proliferative or secretory endometrium, but levels did not differ from those in menstrual-phase endometrium.

CONCLUSION(S)

The mean (+/-SD) levels of t-PA mRNA and PAI-1 mRNA in the endometrium of women with and without menorrhagia did not differ, suggesting that the PA system is not the major determinant of menstrual blood loss. However, continuous induction of PAI-1 may contribute to the therapeutic effect of LNG-IUS in treating menorrhagia.

Concentration of free hCGbeta subunit in serum as a prognostic marker for squamous-cell carcinoma of the oral cavity and oropharynx

This study was conducted to evaluate the clinical usefulness of serum hCGbeta in the diagnosis and prognosis of patients (n = 59) with cancers of the oral cavity and oropharynx. As a reference marker we used squamous-cell carcinoma antigen (SCCAg). A blood sample was obtained from all patients before primary surgery. Serum hCGbeta was determined by a time-resolved immunofluorometric assay (IFMA) and SCCAg by a solid phase immunoenzymometric assay. Elevated preoperative hCGbeta levels were observed in 8 (14%) and elevated SCCAg in 12 (20%) out of 59 patients. Patients with preoperatively elevated hCGbeta had a shorter recurrence-free survival when compared with those with normal hCGbeta levels (log-rank Chi-squared = 6.83, p =.009), and the risk-ratio for recurrence during follow-up for those was 3.6 (95% CI = 1.29-9.94). In a Cox multivariate model hCGbeta (p = 0.039) and stage (p = 0.044) were independent prognostic factors. SCCAg showed no correlation with recurrence-free survival. We conclude that determination of hCGbeta in serum is a potential marker in the prognostic evaluation of patients with SCC of the oral cavity and oropharynx.

Measurement of the complex between prostate-specific antigen and alpha1-protease inhibitor in serum

BACKGROUND

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) occurs in serum both free and in complex with protease inhibitors. The complex with alpha1-antichymotrypsin (ACT) is the major form in serum, and the proportion of PSA-ACT is higher in prostate cancer (PCa) than in benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). PSA also forms a complex with alpha1-protease inhibitor (API) in vitro, and the PSA-ACT complex has been detected in serum from patients with prostate cancer. The aim of the present study was to develop a quantitative method for the determination of PSA-API and to determine the serum concentrations in patients with PCa and BPH.

METHODS

The assay for PSA-API utilizes a monoclonal antibody to PSA as capture and a polyclonal antibody to API labeled with a Eu-chelate as a tracer. For calibrators, PSA-API formed in vitro was used. Serum samples were obtained before treatment from 82 patients with PCa, from 66 patients with BPH, and from 22 healthy females.

RESULTS

The concentrations of PSA-API are proportional to the concentrations of total PSA. PSA-API comprises 1.0-7.9% (median, 2.4%) of total immunoreactive PSA in PCa and 1.3-12.2% (median, 3.6%) in BPH patients with serum PSA concentrations >4 microgram/L. In patients with 4-20 microgram/L total PSA, the proportion of PSA-API serum is significantly higher in BPH (median, 4.1%) than in PCa (median, 3. 2%; P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of PSA-API in serum is lower in patients with PCa than in those with BPH. These results suggest that PSA-API is a potential adjunct to total and free PSA in the diagnosis of prostate cancer.

Prostate-specific antigen

Prostate specific antigen (PSA) is serine protease produced at high concentrations by normal and malignant prostatic epithelium. It is mainly secreted into seminal fluid, where it digests the gel forming after ejaculation. Only minor amounts of PSA leak out into circulation from the normal prostate, but the release of PSA is increased in prostatic disease. Thus PSA is a sensitive serum marker for prostate cancer but its specificity is limited by a high frequency of falsely elevated values in men with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Approximately two-thirds of all elevated values (>4 microg/l) in men over 50 years of age are due to BPH. In serum, most of the PSA immunoreactivity consists of a complex between PSA and alpha1-antichymotrypsin (PSA-ACT) whereas approximately 5-40% are free. The proportion of PSA-ACT is larger and the free fraction is smaller in prostate cancer than in benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Determination of the proportion of free PSA has become widely used to improve the cancer specificity of PSA especially in men with PSA values in the 'grey zone' (4-10 microg/l). PSA also occurs in complexes with other protease inhibitors and determination of these and other markers may further improve the diagnostic accuracy for prostate cancer. Interpretation of the results for many different markers is complicated, but this can be simplified by using statistical methods. The diagnostic accuracy can be further improved by using logistic regression or neural networks to estimate the combined impact of marker results and other findings like digital rectal examination (DRE), transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) and heredity.

Characterization and immunological determination of the complex between prostate-specific antigen and alpha2-macroglobulin

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) rapidly forms a complex with alpha2-macroglobulin (A2M) in vitro; however, PSA complexed with A2M (PSA-A2M) is not detected by conventional immunoassays for PSA because it is encapsulated by the A2M. In this study, we show that denaturation of PSA-A2M at high pH renders PSA immunoreactive. Part of the complexed PSA is released in free form and part remains bound to denatured A2M. These forms can be measured by a conventional immunoassay for PSA. This finding enabled us to design a dissociation assay for the detection of PSA-A2M, which was based on the removal of immunoreactive PSA in serum by immunoadsorption, denaturation of PSA-A2M at high pH, and measurement of the released PSA immunoreactivity by a conventional PSA immunoassay. This PSA-A2M assay was calibrated with PSA-A2M formed in vitro. The detection limit of the assay was 0.14 microg/L. Inter- and intraassay coefficients variation were 4-9% and 8-14%, respectively. When purified PSA was incubated with A2M, the loss of PSA immunoreactivity was highly correlated with the PSA-A2M formed, as measured by the dissociation assay for PSA-A2M (r = 0.99; P <0.0001). The concentration of PSA-A2M in serum correlated with that of total PSA both in prostate cancer (PCa) and benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH); however, the ratio of PSA-A2M in relation to total PSA was significantly higher in BPH than in PCa (P <0.0003). ROC curve analysis suggested that measurement of the ratio of PSA-A2M to total PSA in serum improves the diagnostic accuracy for PCa compared with assays for total PSA only.

The clinical importance of free prostate‐specific antigen (PSA)

The proportion of free prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in serum relative to total PSA (F/T) is lower in patients with prostate cancer than in those with elevated levels of PSA due to benign prostatic disease. When applied to early diagnosis and screening for prostate cancer, the proportion of free PSA can be used to reduce the number of false-positive results by 20-40%. The utility of F/T is better in men with a small prostate volume, i.e. in relatively young men, who are most likely to benefit from early diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer. The concentrations of PSA and especially free PSA are affected by considerable intra-individual variation and sample stability. Assay standardization is variable and it is therefore important to establish reference values for the methods used. Better control of these factors is likely to improve the diagnostic accuracy. The utility of determining free PSA can be improved by evaluating the combined impact of free and total PSA by logistic regression analysis or neural networks.

[Are prosecuted parents allowed the benefit of the doubt in cases of child abuse?]

The justified campaign against child abuse has unfortunately had a side effect. It has ruined the lives of some innocent parents of children with undiagnosed osteogenesis imperfecta. For 15 years, Colin Paterson and co-workers have studied a large number of patients with type IV of osteogenesis imperfecta, and have found that more than 50 per cent of them have normal radiographs of the bones at the time of the first fracture. Paterson and co-workers have also found that fractures of the ribs and skull are by no means uncommon in osteogenesis imperfecta type IV. These important observations should help, in the future, to prevent prosecution of innocent parents of children with osteogenesis imperfecta type IV, provided that the observations are not overlooked by pediatricians.

Perinatal mortality in a Swedish county 1973-1978. Time trends revealed by perinatal audit

The decline in perinatal mortality in a Swedish county during a six year period is examined and analyzed by use of perinatal audit. The decline coincided with an increased rate of in utero transfers of infants, particularly those with low birth weights, to the specialized county hospital. The perinatal audit revealed that the proportion of deaths which were classified as potentially avoidable, decreased significantly over the study period.