Measuring the 3-30-300 rule to help cities meet nature access thresholds

The 3-30-300 rule offers benchmarks for cities to promote equitable nature access. It dictates that individuals should see three trees from their dwelling, have 30 % tree canopy in their neighborhood, and live within 300 m of a high-quality green space. Implementing this demands thorough measurement, monitoring, and evaluation methods, yet little guidance is currently available to pursue these actions. To overcome this gap, we employed an expert-based consensus approach to review the available ways to measure 3-30-300 as well as each measure's strengths and weaknesses. We described seven relevant data and processes: vegetation indices, street level analyses, tree inventories, questionnaires, window view analyses, land cover maps, and green space maps. Based on the reviewed strengths and weaknesses of each measure, we presented a suitability matrix to link recommended measures with each component of the rule. These recommendations included surveys and window-view analyses for the '3 component', high-resolution land cover maps for the '30 component', and green space maps with network analyses for the '300 component'. These methods, responsive to local situations and resources, not only implement the 3-30-300 rule but foster broader dialogue on local desires and requirements. Consequently, these techniques can guide strategic investments in urban greening for health, equity, biodiversity, and climate adaptation.

Risk factors associated with short-term complications in mandibular fractures: the MANTRA study-a Maxillofacial Trainee Research Collaborative (MTReC)

INTRODUCTION

Complications following mandibular fractures occur in 9-23% of patients. Identifying those at risk is key to prevention. Previous studies highlighted smoking, age and time from injury to presentation as risk factors but rarely recorded other possible confounders. In this paper, we use a collaborative snapshot audit to document novel risk factors and confirm established risks for complications following the treatment of mandibular fractures.

METHODS

The audit was carried out by 122 OMFS trainees across the UK and Ireland (49 centres) over 6 months, coordinated by the Maxillofacial Surgery Trainees Research Collaborative. Variables recorded included basic demography, medical and social history, injury mechanism and type, management and 30-day outcome.

RESULTS

Nine hundred and forty-seven (947) patients with fractured mandibles were recorded. Surgical management was carried out in 76.3%. Complications at 30 days occurred 65 (9%) of those who were managed surgically. Risk factors for complications included male sex, increasing age, any medical history, increasing number of cigarettes smoked per week, increasing alcohol use per week, worse oral hygiene and increased time from injury to presentation.

DISCUSSION

We have used a large prospective snapshot audit to confirm established risk factors and identify novel risk factors. We demonstrate that time from injury to presentation is confounded by other indicators of poor health behaviour. These results are important in designing trial protocols for management of mandibular fractures and in targeting health interventions to patients at highest risk of complications.

A67 RISK FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH CRITICAL CARE AFTER INPATIENT GASTROINTESTINAL ENDOSCOPY: A 5-YEAR TERTIARY HOSPITAL STUDY

Background

A subset of hospitalized patients will require critical care after their gastrointestinal endoscopy (GIE) and predicting which patients are at high risk of requiring critical care remains an important challenge.

Purpose

To identify protective and aggravating clinical risk factors associated with critical care involvement within 7 days of inpatient GIE in adults and to develop a tool that could assist in risk-stratifying patients at high risk of requiring critical care post-endoscopy.

Method

This was a single-centre retrospective case-control study of adult patients who underwent inpatient GIE while admitted to ward-level care at Toronto General Hospital from years 2015 to 2019. Cases were defined by inpatients who required critical care response team and/or critical care admission within 7 days of GIE, compared to control patients who did not require critical care throughout admission. Chart review and linked secondary sources were used with defined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Both univariate and multivariate analyses were performed comparing patient baseline, clinical history (including cardiovascular, respiratory, other co-morbidities) and endoscopy characteristics.

Result(s)

We identified a total of 275 patients with 302 endoscopies as cases and 2069 patient controls who satisfied inclusion criteria. Critical care involvement was most commonly due to cardiovascular-related complications (n=175, 58%) followed by respiratory complications (n=117, 39%). Amongst cases, death occurred in 9 (3%), 25 (9%) and 67 (22%) within 72 hours, 7 days and 30 days respectively post endoscopy. The strongest associations with critical care involvement within 7 days after GIE included a history of discharge from critical care (OR 2.29 CI 1.70-3.04) and/or recent mechanical ventilatory support (OR 2.27 CI 1.30-3.91) in the 30 days prior to endoscopy, having several co-morbidities involving major organ systems (elevated troponin OR 3.20 CI 2.26-4.52, cirrhosis OR 2.5 CI 1.80-3.46, renal dysfunction 2.09 CI 1.57-2.78) and patients admitted under surgical (OR 3.82 CI 2.54-5.71) or transplant services (OR 4.63 CI 2.94-7.26). The majority of adverse events among cases were not found to be complications directly related to GIE (64% unlikely, 20% possible, 9% probable, 7% definite). Patients with a history of pulmonary hypertension (OR 5.68 CI 0.53-60.70) and ASA score III/IV (OR 3.28 CI 1.01-10.73) had the highest odds of probable or definite endoscopy-related adverse events.

Conclusion(s)

This study is the largest to date to examine risk factors associated with critical care requirements post GIE in the tertiary care inpatient setting. The risk factors we have identified can be used to create a tool to determine which inpatients may benefit from anesthesia consultation and support during their endoscopic procedure.

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None

Disclosure of Interest

None Declared

A56 DEVELOPMENT OF A PROGNOSTIC SURVIVAL MODEL FOR PATIENTS DIAGNOSED WITH PANCREATIC CANCER IN ONTARIO

Background

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC) is a deadly disease with an overall 5-year survival of less than 8%. The current literature on patient outcomes are limited by small samples sizes and patients enrolled in clinical trials. There are no prognostic tools for patients with pancreatic cancer.

Purpose

To develop a prognostic survival model for patients with pancreatic cancer

Method

All patients with a diagnosis of pancreatic cancer cancer from January 2007 to December 2020 were identified through the Ontario Cancer Registry. The primary outcome was survival. The cohort was used to develop a multivariable cox proportional hazards regression model with baseline characteristics under a backward stepwise variable selection process to predict the risk of mortality. Covariates included patient age, sex, tumour location, cancer stage, treatment types, distance to a cancer centre, hospitalizations, comorbidities, access to family physician, and symptoms as captured using the Edmonton Symptom Assessment System datasets.

Result(s)

There was a total of 17,450 pancreatic cancer patients in the cohort, 48% of which were female and the mean age was 72 years. 44% of patients presented with a tumor in the head of the pancreas. Among those with stage data (44%), 24% were stage IV at diagnosis. Mean survival was approximately 0.7 years. Approximately 60% were hospitalized in the 3 months prior to diagnosis. Almost all patients had a family doctor rostered (95%). In multivariate analysis, key predictors of survival assessed at the time of diagnosis were age, sex, tumour location in the pancreas, stage at diagnosis, pain, appetite functional status and treatment choice (all p<0.001). Using these variables, we created a prediction model that can estimate one-year probability of death with high discrimination (area under the curve = 0.82, c-statistic 0.76).

Conclusion(s)

Our model accurately predicts one-year pancreatic cancer survival risk using clinical symptom and performance status data. The model has the potential to be a useful prognostic tool that can be completed by patients and their caregivers in support of patient-centered care.

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CIHR

Disclosure of Interest

None Declared

A117 VALIDITY EVIDENCE FOR ENDOSCOPIC RETROGRADE CHOLANGIOPANCREATOGRAPHY COMPETENCY ASSESSMENT TOOLS: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW

Background

Assessment of competence in endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is essential to ensure trainees possess the skills needed for independent practice. Traditionally, ERCP training has used the apprenticeship model, whereby novices learn skills under the supervision of an expert. A growing focus on procedural quality, however, has supported the implementation of competency-based medical education models which require documentation of a trainee’s competence for independent practice. Observational assessment tools with strong evidence of validity are critical to this process. Validity evidence supporting ERCP observational assessment tools has not been systematically evaluated.

Purpose

To conduct a systematic review of ERCP assessment tools and identify tools with strong evidence of validity using a unified validity evidence framework

Method

We conducted a systematic search using electronic databases and hand-searching from inception until August 2021 for studies evaluating observational assessment tools of ERCP performance. We used a unified validity framework to characterize validity evidence from five sources: content, response process, internal structure, relations to other variables, and consequences. Each domain was assigned a score of 0-3 (maximum score 15). We assessed educational utility and methodological quality using the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education framework and the Medical Education Research Quality Instrument, respectively.

Result(s)

From 2769 records, we included 17 studies evaluating 7 assessment tools. Five tools were studied for clinical ERCP, one on simulated ERCP, and one on simulated and clinical ERCP. Validity evidence scores ranged from 2-12. The Bethesda ERCP Skills Assessment Tool (BESAT), ERCP Direct Observation of Procedural Skills Tool (ERCP DOPS), and The Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS) and ERCP Skills Assessment Tool (TEESAT) had the strongest validity evidence with scores of 10, 12, and 11, respectively. Regarding educational utility, most tools were easy to use and interpret, and required minimal additional resources. Overall methodological quality was strong, with scores ranging from 10-12.5 (maximum 13.5).

Conclusion(s)

The BESAT, ERCP DOPS, and TEESAT have strong validity evidence compared to other assessments. Integrating tools into training may help drive learners’ development and support competency decision-making.

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CAG

Disclosure of Interest

None Declared

Prevalence of illicit drug use in young sudden cardiac death patients; an Australian prospective cohort study

Background

Illicit drug use may accelerate coronary disease and cardiac hypertrophy or stimulate arrhythmias. Rates of illicit drug use in young sudden cardiac death (SCD) patients are uncertain.

Purpose

To identify rates of illicit drug use in young SCD patients in Australia.

Methods

A prospective multi-centre registry identified out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients aged 1–50 years between April 2019 and April 2020. Clinical characteristics were compared between patients with and without illicit drug use (defined by toxicological results or reported regular use). Illicit drugs included stimulants such as amphetamine-type substances and cocaine, or non-stimulants such as heroin, cannabis and novel psychoactive substances (cathinones and synthetic cannabinoids).

Results

770 OHCAs occurred, with 555 patients undergoing forensic assessment. 287 patients had confirmed cardiac cause of OHCA, with 274 undergoing toxicological assessment and 79 (28.8%) having positive toxicology for illicit drugs (n=60) or reported regular drug use (n=19). An additional 121 patients experienced non-cardiac SCD due to illicit drug toxicity, resulting in a total of 200 patients (36.0% of OHCAs) with illicit drug use. Patients with SCD and illicit drug use were more commonly male (86.1% vs 72.3%, p=0.015), regular smokers (36.7% vs 21.5%, p=0.009), had cardiomegaly (76.5% vs 57.5%, p=0.007), and higher rates of coronary disease and cardiomyopathy (coronary disease 44.3% vs 33.3%, cardiomyopathy 30.4% vs 18.5%, p=0.003). Methamphetamines (n=42, 53.1%) were the most common illicit drug identified and polysubstance abuse occurred frequently (n=15, 19.0%).

Conclusion

Approximately one-third of young SCD patients use illicit drugs, with high rates of polysubstance abuse. Illicit drug use in SCD patients is associated with coronary disease and cardiomyopathy.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Prevalence of coronary artery anomalies in young sudden cardiac death: insights from a prospective state-wide registry

Background

Coronary artery anomalies (CAAs) have been previously implicated as a major cause of young sudden cardiac death (SCD), particularly in exercise-related SCD with a reported prevalence of up to 33%.

Methods

A state-wide prospective out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry identified all patients aged 1–50 years who experienced an SCD and underwent autopsy from April 2019 to April 2021. Rates of normal anatomy, normal variants and CAAs were identified and circumstances and cause of death for patients with CAAs examined.

Results

Of 1,477 patients who experienced cardiac arrest during the study period, 490 underwent autopsy and were confirmed to have experienced SCD. Of these 490 patients, five (1.0%) had a CAA identified with three having anomalies of coronary origin and two having anomalies of coronary course. In no cases was the CAA deemed responsible for the SCD. In two cases, severe coronary disease and intra-coronary thrombus with histological evidence of acute myocardial infarction were identified, in the third critical coronary disease was found, the fourth had an unrelated thoracic aortic dissection and the fifth had cardiomegaly in the setting of illicit drug use. Of 27 patients who experienced their SCD during exercise, only one had a CAA identified (the patient with thoracic aortic dissection).

Conclusion

In this prospective cohort of consecutive young patients with SCD who underwent autopsy, CAAs occurred in 1.0% of patients and did not cause any deaths. The role of CAAs in causing young SCD appears to be less significant than previously hypothesised.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): NHMRC, NHF

Clinical and pathologic features of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in pregnancy: insights from a state-wide registry

Background

Cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of indirect maternal mortality worldwide, and cardiac arrest occurs in up to 1 in 12,000 pregnancies.

Objective

To define rates, clinical and pathologic factors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in pregnant and post-partum females.

Methods

A prospective state-wide cardiac arrest registry combining ambulance, hospital and forensic data captured all OHCAs from 2019–2021. Clinical and pathological details for pregnant patients were identified.

Results

1,482 OHCAs occurred, including 376 females of child-bearing age of whom eight were pregnant or post-partum. OHCA incidence was lower in pregnant females compared to non-pregnant females of child-bearing age (5.2 OHCAs per 100,000 pregnant females vs 23.1 per 100,000 females of child-bearing age, p&lt;0.0001). Seven patients (87.5%) died, with five (62.5%) having a cardiac cause of OHCA (unascertained = 2, cardiomyopathy = 2 (1 hypertrophic), ischemic heart disease = 1). Two patients had pre-existing cardiac risk factors, but none had a cardiac diagnosis pre-arrest. Compared to in-hospital cardiac arrests (IHCAs) in pregnancy, OHCAs are more likely to have a cardiac cause (odds ratio 3.81) and lower maternal survival (odds ratio 0.09).

Conclusion

Maternal OHCA affects approximately 1 in 20,000 pregnancies with high maternal mortality rates. OHCA occurs at one-quarter the rate in non-pregnant females of child-bearing age. Approximately two-thirds of maternal OHCAs had an underlying cardiac cause, but low rates of cardiac diagnosis pre-arrest. OHCAs differ markedly from IHCAs in pregnant females, requiring ongoing evaluation as to specific causes and preventability.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): NHMRC, NHF

Obesity in young sudden cardiac death: rates, clinical features, and insights into people with body mass index &gt;50kg/m2

Background

Obesity is common in young sudden cardiac death (SCD) victims but it is unclear whether it is more common than in the general population. This study aimed to contextualize young SCD obesity rates, identifying clinical and pathologic features in WHO class II and III obesity.

Methods

A prospective state-wide out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry included all SCDs in Victoria, Australia from 2019–2021. Body mass indices (BMIs) of patients 18–50 years were compared to age-referenced general population. Characteristics of SCD patients with WHO Class II obesity (BMI ≥30kg/m2) and non-obesity (BMI &lt;30kg/m2) were compared. Clinical characteristics of people with BMI &gt;50kg/m2 were assessed.

Results

504 patients were included. Obesity was strongly over-represented in young SCD compared to the age-matched general population (55.0% vs 28.7%, p&lt;0.0001). Obese SCD patients more frequently had hypertension, diabetes and obstructive sleep apnoea (p&lt;0.0001, p=0.009 and p=0.001 respectively), ventricular fibrillation as their arrest rhythm (p=0.008) and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) (p&lt;0.0001). Obese patients were less likely to have toxicology positive for illicit substances (22.0% vs 32.6%, p=0.008) or significant alcohol history (18.8% vs 26.9%, p=0.030). Patients with BMI &gt;50 kg/m2 represented 8.5% of young SCD. LVH (n=26, 60.5%) was their predominant cause of death and only 10 (9.3%) patients died from coronary disease.

Conclusion

Over half of young Australian SCD patients are obese, with all obesity classes over-represented compared to the general population. Obese patients had more cardiac risk factors. Almost two thirds of patients with BMI&gt;50 kg/m2 died with LVH, with fewer than 10% dying from coronary disease.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

P-581 Live birth rates in women under 38 years old with AMH level &lt; 1.2 ng/ml in in-vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection: arguments for care

Study question

To evaluate the clinical pregnancy and live birth rates in the first IVF/ICSI cycle in women under 38 years old with AMH level &lt; 1.2 ng/ml.

Summary answer

Our findings argue to propose IVF for those patients.

What is known already

Many studies failed to show a predictive impact of AMH levels on the chances of pregnancy, however acceptable pregnancy rates for young women with low AMH levels were observed in IVF/ICSI. The definition of early ovarian failure is based on two classifications, Bologna and Poseidon, where an AMH level of 1.2 ng/ml appears to be the threshold for determining ovarian failure. According to La Marca's curve, this level of 1.2 ng/ml corresponds to an ovarian reserve of a 38 year-old woman.

Study design, size, duration

The primary objective of this study was to compare the live birth rates between these three groups of women. The secondary objective was to compare the rate of positive βhCG level, clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate in women under 38 years of age during the 1st cycle of IVF+/-ICSI, regardless of whether the AMH is &lt; 1.2 ng/ml or ≥ 1.2 ng/ml.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

We analyzed the first cycle of IVF/ICSI in women under 38 years old with AMH level &lt; 1.2 ng/ml under long GnRH agonist or GnRH antagonist protocols. We classified the women into three groups: group A: AMH &lt; 0.4 ng/ml; group B: AMH: 0.4 to 0.8 ng/ml; group C: AMH &gt; 0.8 ng/ml.

Main results and the role of chance

Between January 2017 and September 2020, we retained 227 cycles for analysis (group A: 50 cycles, B: 85 cycles and C: 92 cycles). No significant difference was found between the three groups for clinical pregnancy and live birth rates, either per stimulation cycle, oocyte puncture or embryo transfer. Thus, the birth rates per embryo transfer are 23.5% in group A, 25.4% in group B and 28.1% in group C. When we compared the two groups of women under 38 years of age during the 1st cycle of IVF+/-ICSI, according to AMH levels &lt; 1.2 ng/ml (n: 227) or ≥ 1.2 ng/ml (n: 325), the only significant difference was the positive βhCG level rate per oocyte puncture (p &lt; 0.01). Biochemical pregnancy rates were significantly different in women with AMH &lt; 1.2 ng/ml (40.8%) compared to those with AMH ≥ 1.2 ng/ml (16.6%; p &lt; 0.01), but the rate of first trimester miscarriage was identical in both groups (14.6% and 6.1% respectively).

Limitations, reasons for caution

Our retrospective study and the small sample size limited the level of scientific proof. The woman and male ages were significantly different between the AMH groups, but these data lead to reduce the impact of low AMHs on pregnancy rates.

Wider implications of the findings

The young age of the women (&lt; 38 y.o) reassures about the oocyte quality, but a low level of AMH may raise concerns about a lower quantitative oocyte yield, leading to accelerated management of the couple in IVF/ICSI.

Trial registration number

B2020CE.43

A257 PANCREATIC CANCER TREATMENT AND END OF LIFE OUTCOMES: A POPULATION BASED COHORT STUDY

Background

Patients with pancreatic cancer face challenging decisions regarding treatment choices following their diagnosis and often lack data on end-of-life (EOL) outcomes. Without the available information, older patients may be undertreated, dying earlier than they would have with treatment, while others may be overtreated and exposed to aggressive measures with harmful side effects.

Aims

To describe survival and EOL outcomes among pancreatic cancer patients based on index cancer treatment, disease stage, and patient characteristics.

Methods

We conducted a population based cohort study in Ontario, Canada of patients who died from April 2010 to December 2017 and were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer prior to death. We used administrative databases to collect data on demographics, baseline health status, treatments, and outcomes. The primary exposure was index cancer treatment (no treatment, radiation, chemotherapy alone, surgery alone, and surgery with chemotherapy). The primary outcomes were mortality, health care encounters per 30 days in the last six months of life, and palliative care visits per 30 days within the last six months of life. Secondary outcomes were location of death (institution vs. community), hospitalization within the last 30 days of life, and receipt of chemotherapy within the last 30 days of life. We estimated the association between the exposure and outcomes using multivariable models, adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, and cancer stage. Hazard ratios, adjusted mean differences, and odds ratios were reported with 95% confidence intervals.

Results

Our cohort included 9950 adults with a median age at diagnosis of 78. 56% received no index treatment, 5% underwent radiation, 27% underwent chemotherapy alone, 7% underwent surgery alone, and 6% underwent surgery and chemotherapy. In the multivariable regression (Table and Figure), radiation, chemotherapy alone, surgery alone, and surgery with chemotherapy were all associated with decreased mortality and fewer healthcare encounters. All groups except radiation were associated with fewer palliative care visits. All treatment groups were associated with lower odds of institutional death and hospitalization within the last 30 days of life, and higher odds of chemotherapy within the last 30 days of life.

Conclusions

Our data, the first to provide EOL outcome estimates based on index cancer treatment, can help patients make initial treatment decisions after a diagnosis of pancreatic cancer.

Multivariable regression analyses predicting primary and secondary outcomes

Funding Agencies

CIHR

Immediate postoperative care on high dependency unit or ward following microvascular free tissue transfer: lessons learnt from a change in practice imposed during the COVID-19 pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in sudden changes to the established practice of using the high dependency unit (HDU) for the first night of postoperative care following microvascular free tissue transfer. Patients were managed instead on the head and neck ward. This retrospective case-note review aimed to report outcomes in consecutive patients treated before and during the pandemic, and to reflect on the implications of ward-based rather than HDU care. A total of 235 patients had free tissue transfer between 3 January 2019 and 25 February 2021: 125 before (lockdown 23 March 2020), and 110 during the pandemic (52 ward-managed and 58 HDU-managed). There were subtle case-mix differences during the pandemic, with 92% of ward-treated patients having oral cancers compared with 64% of HDU patients, and 73% of ward patients having a tracheostomy compared with 40% of HDU patients. Ward patients were less likely to receive electrolyte replacement (45% HDU vs 0% ward) and inotropes (12% HDU vs 2% ward). There were fewer returns to theatre for evacuation of a haematoma or re-anastomosis during the pandemic than there were before it. Other than fewer haematoma complications during the pandemic, the nature of complications was similar. In conclusion, the dramatic changes imposed by the pandemic have shown that the ward is a safe place for patients to be cared for immediately postoperatively, and it alleviates the bed pressures experienced in HDU. Careful case selection and clear criteria are required to identify patients who need the HDU.

PLEURAL ENDOMETRIOSIS: BLOODY PLEURAL EFFUSION IN A 28-YEAR-OLD FEMALE WITH PRIMARY INFERTILITY (CASE REPORT)

Background. Endometriosis is defined as presence of endometrial glands outside the uterine cavity and it most commonly involves the structures within the pelvic cavity. Thoracic endometriosis syndrome usually presents as pneumothorax, hemoptysis, hemothorax or pulmonary nodules. Endometriosis presenting as hemorrhagic pleural effusion is rarely reported. Objectives. The aim of the study was to describe pleural endometriosis presenting as hemorrhagic pleural effusion and to insist on the role of medical thoracoscopy in making the diagnosis with the help of a case report. Methods. A case report of pleural endometriosis as a non-resolving hemorrhagic pleural effusion is presented. Results. A 28-years old female on treatment for her primary infertility presented with non-resolving bloody pleural effusion and she was on empirical anti-tubercular drugs for the last four months. Medical thoracoscopy revealed flat brownish grey plaques over the diaphragmatic pleura and the histology of pleural tissue revealed pleural endometriosis. She was initiated on gonadotropin releasing hormone-leuprolide and there was some clinico-radiological improvement. Conclusions. Thoracic endometriosis should be considered as one of the differentials for pleural effusion in female patient especially on treatment for infertility. Medical thoracoscopy should be the investigation of choice for evaluating pleural effusions before initiating empirical treatments.

Impact of Reducing Water Fluoride on Dental Caries and Fluorosis

Guidance intended to reduce fluoride toothpaste ingestion in early childhood was introduced in Ireland in 2002. In 2007, water fluoride concentration was adjusted from 0.8-1.0 to 0.6-0.8 ppm. The objective of this study was to determine the difference in caries and fluorosis levels following introduction of these 2 policy measures. A before-and-after study compared caries and fluorosis in random samples of 8-y-olds in Dublin (n = 707) and Cork-Kerry (n = 1148) in 2017 with 8-y-olds in Dublin (n = 679) and Cork-Kerry (n = 565) in 2002. Dentinal caries experience (primary teeth, d_3vcmft(cde)) and fluorosis (permanent teeth, Dean's index of very mild or higher) were clinically measured. Lifetime exposure to community water fluoridation (CWF) was classified as "full CWF"/"no CWF." Effect of examination year on caries prevalence and severity and fluorosis prevalence was assessed using multivariate regression adjusting for other explanatory variables. There was little change in commencement of fluoride toothpaste use at ≤24 mo following introduction of toothbrushing guidance. Among children with full CWF, there was no statistically significant difference in caries prevalence or severity between 2017 and 2002. In 2017, caries prevalence was 55% in Dublin (full CWF) and 56% in Cork-Kerry (full CWF), and mean d_3vcmft(cde) among children with caries was 3.4 and 3.7, respectively. Caries severity was less in 2017 (mean 4.2) than 2002 (mean 4.9) among children with no CWF (P = 0.039). The difference in caries severity between children with full CWF and no CWF was less in 2017 than in 2002 (interaction P = 0.013), suggesting a reduced benefit for CWF in 2017. In 2017, fluorosis prevalence was 18% in Dublin (full CWF) and 12% in Cork-Kerry (full CWF). Fluorosis was predominantly "very mild" with no statistically significant difference between 2017 and 2002. CWF at 0.6 to 0.8 ppm is an effective caries-preventive measure. Results suggested low uptake of toothbrushing guidance, a reduced caries-preventive effect for CWF in primary teeth, and no reduction in fluorosis following introduction of the policy measures.

Investigation and management of prosthetic joint infection in knee replacement: A BASK Surgical Practice Guideline

BACKGROUND

The burden of knee replacement prosthetic joint infection (KR PJI) is increasing. KR PJI is difficult to treat, outcomes can be poor and it is financially expensive and limited evidence is available to guide treatment decisions.

AIM

To provide guidelines for surgeons and units treating KR PJI.

METHODS

Guideline formation by consensus process undertaken by BASK's Revision Knee Working Group, supported by outputs from UK-PJI meetings.

RESULTS

Improved outcomes should be achieved through provision of care by revision centres in a network model. Treatment of KR PJI should only be undertaken at specialist units with the required infrastructure and a regular infection MDT. This document outlines practice guidelines for units providing a KR PJI service and sets out: CONCLUSIONS: KR PJI patients treated within the NHS should be provided the best care possible. This report sets out guidance and support for surgeons and units to achieve this.

Economic impact of sudden cardiac arrest

Background

Each year, there are approximately 5,000 out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs) in the state of Victoria, Australia (population 6.4 million, state healthcare budget AUD$2.9 billion / €1.8billion). Mortality from OHCA approaches ninety percent. High mortality rates and survivors not returning to work is likely to have an adverse effect on the Victorian economy but this has not been previously investigated.

Purpose

To model the economic impact of OHCA mortality and survivors not returning to work.

Methods

Data on all OHCAs transported by Ambulance Victoria from July 2017- June 2018 in Victoria, Australia was collected, including age, gender, survival to hospital, survival to discharge, and survival to 12 months. Cases were excluded if arrest was precipitated by trauma, exsanguination, overdose, terminal illness, hanging, SIDS, electrocution, sepsis, respiratory causes, drowning, or neurological causes. Pre-arrest employment status of patients was modelled using the Australian Bureau of Statistics Economic Security dataset, which provides contemporary employment rates for gender-matched five-year cohorts for Australians aged 15–79 years. For survivors to 12 months, pre-arrest and post-arrest work status were confirmed. Economic impact was then calculated to a five year horizon utilizing a Markov model with probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

Results

4,934 arrests meeting the inclusion criteria were transported by Ambulance Victoria in twelve months, of whom 4,639 were determined to be cardiac arrests without any exclusion criteria as a precipitant. 695 patients survived to hospital (15.0%), and 325 to discharge (7.0%). At 12 months, 303 patients were alive (6.5% of overall cases, 93.2% of those discharged from hospital). Economic modelling of age and gender-matched data indicated that 1516 patients (35%) would have been employed pre-cardiac arrest, but only 216 survivors (4.7%) would be employed at five years post-arrest. Using Markov modelling incorporating estimated earnings and the pre-determined value of a statistical life, the annual economic burden of cardiac arrest approximated AUD$4 billion (€2.5 billion) at a five-year horizon.

Conclusion

The annual economic impact of cardiac arrest in Victoria, Australia is approximately AUD$4 billion (€2.5 billion) in a five-year horizon. As the annual Victorian state budget for all healthcare is AUD$2.93 billion (€1.8 billion), our data suggests that the economic impact of cardiac arrest is under-appreciated. Therefore, research in this area and providing state-of-the-art care for all cardiac arrest patients should be a healthcare priority.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): NHMRC/NHF Postgraduate Scholarship, RACP JJ Billings Scholarship

Urban green infrastructure size, quality and proximity and health outcomes in older populations

Background

A city's multi-functional network of green and blue spaces has an important role underpinning the health and wellbeing of its residents. Although evidence of positive links between nature and health is plentiful, little is known about which particular aspects of green and blue spaces are most influential, and how benefits might vary between social groups and age.

Methods

We used a green infrastructure (GI) approach combining a high-resolution spatial dataset of land-cover and function with area-level demographic and socio-economic data. A comprehensive characterisation of the Greater Manchester UK city region was generated. The GI attributes were used in step-wise multi-level regression analyses to test for associations between population chronic morbidity and the functional, physical and spatial components of GI across an urban socio-demographic gradient.

Results

Individual GI attributes were significantly associated with health in all socio-demographic contexts; even when associations between health and overall green cover were non-significant. For areas with having higher proportions of older people ('older neighbourhoods'), associations were found between health and land-cover diversity, informal greenery and patch size in high income areas. In lower income areas, health was predicted by proximity to public parks and recreation land.

Conclusions

A nuanced description of greenspace in terms of quality, cover type, diversity explains more variation in population health than a single metric such as percentage green cover. People in urban neighbourhoods that have older age populations and lower income are disproportionately healthy if their neighbourhoods contain accessible, good quality public greenspace. This has implications for strategies to decrease health inequalities and inform international initiatives, such as the World Health Organisation's Age-Friendly Cities programme.

Key messages

A nuanced description of green and blue space in terms of quality, cover type, diversity explains more variation in population health than a single metric such as percentage green cover. People in urban neighbourhoods that have older age populations and lower income are disproportionately healthy if their neighbourhoods contain accessible, good quality public greenspace.

How to promote physical activity during pregnancy : A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Sedentary lifestyles and physical inactivity have been shown to increase during pregnancy and are a cause of obstetric comorbidity. The objective of this study was to conduct a systematic review of interventions aiming to promote physical activity during pregnancy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Databases were searched from January 2008 to September 2019. Selection criteria included randomized controlled trials evaluating the efficacy of interventions promoting physical activity during pregnancy.

RESULTS

In total, 256 articles were extracted from databases. 202 articles were excluded. Finally, 15 articles were included in the study. 5633 patients were included from various populations. Six studies rated physical activity (PA) as the primary outcome. Five studies suggested promoting physical activity through individual interviews which in two studies showed an increase in PA. Three studies evaluated an intervention based on group interviews and one of these reported a significant increase in PA. Two studies evaluated the use of a Smartphone application to promote physical activity but they did not conclude that they were effective because they were designed with low statistical power.

CONCLUSION

The practice of regular PA during pregnancy reduces obstetrical comorbidity. However, interventions seem to have a low impact on the promotion of PA during pregnancy. New intervention strategies need to assessed, such as the use of mobile health interventions.

The development and evaluation of a nationwide training program for oncology health professionals in the provision of genetic testing for ovarian cancer patients

BACKGROUND

BRCA1/2 mutation status has increasing relevance for ovarian cancer treatments, making traditional coordination of genetic testing by genetic services unsustainable. Consequently alternative models of genetic testing have been developed to improve testing at the initial diagnosis for all eligible women.

METHODS

A training module to enable mainstreamed genetic testing by oncology healthcare professionals was developed by genetic health professionals. Oncology healthcare professionals completed questionnaires before and 12 months post-training to assess perceived skills, competence and barriers to their coordinating genetic testing for women with high-grade non-mucinous epithelial ovarian cancer. Genetic health professionals were surveyed 12 months post-training to assess perceived barriers to implementation of mainstreaming.

RESULTS

185 oncology healthcare professionals were trained in 42 workshops at 35 Australasian hospitals. Of the 273 tests ordered by oncology healthcare professionals post-training, 241 (93.1%) met national testing guidelines. The number of tests ordered by genetic health professionals reduced significantly (z = 45.0, p = 0.008). Oncology healthcare professionals' perceived barriers to mainstreamed testing decreased from baseline to follow-up (t = 2.39, p = 0.023), particularly perceived skills, knowledge and attitudes. However, only 58% reported either 'always' or 'nearly always' having ordered BRCA testing for eligible patients at 12 months, suggesting oncology healthcare professionals' perceived barriers were not systematically addressed through training.

CONCLUSIONS

Oncology healthcare professionals have demonstrated a willingness to be involved in the provision of genetic testing in a mainstreaming model. If oncology services are to hold responsibility for coordinating genetic testing, their readiness will require understanding of barriers not addressed by training alone to inform future intervention design.

A277 DISCREPANCIES IN EUS-FNA CYTOPATHOLOGY AND SURGICAL SPECIMEN PATHOLOGY FOR HIGH RISK PANCREATIC MUCINOUS CYSTIC LESIONS: A CASE SERIES

Background

Endoscopic ultrasound guided fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) is the primary method of sampling pancreatic cystic lesions with reported specificity near 100% for diagnosing malignancy. Discrepant positive malignant cytopathology with final surgical pathology of pancreatic cystic lesions has not previously been described.

Aims

To present a case series and review the literature regarding the implications of positive malignant cytology with discrepant surgical pathology for high risk pancreatic mucinous cystic lesions.

Methods

Patient demographics, clinical history, procedure details, pathology evaluations and follow-up were collected. A thorough literature review was performed.

Results

Three patients with high-risk pancreatic cystic lesions on cross-sectional imaging underwent EUS-FNA evaluation. None of these patients had a history of pancreatitis. Cytology was reported as positive for adenocarcinoma in all patients by separate gastrointestinal cytopathologists. All patients underwent surgical resection. The pathology for all resected specimens were reported as intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. The resected cysts for two patients demonstrated foci of high-grade dysplasia and the third noted low grade dysplasia. All surgical pathology underwent consensus review by three separate gastrointestinal pathologists. None of the patients were treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. All patients have been followed post-operatively with surveillance magnetic resonance imaging with no evidence of recurrence to date (median follow-up time 239 days, range 133 – 447 days).

Conclusions

This phenomenon sheds light on the potential for variable interpretations of EUS-FNA cytopathology and surgical resection pathology for high risk pancreatic cystic neoplasms. EUS-FNA may identify foci of adenocarcinoma that is not seen on surgical pathology specimens. Further research is required to examine the long-term outcomes of these patients.

Funding Agencies

None

A73 PHARYNGEAL VARICES AS A COMPLICATION OF PORTAL HYPERTENSION: A CASE SERIES

Background

One of the complications of portal hypertension, with or without the presence of cirrhosis, is the development of varices along the length of the gastrointestinal tract. The commonest sites are along the esophagus or in the stomach. Ectopic varices in the small and large bowels can also be observed, but ectopic varices in the pharynx are extremely uncommon.

Aims

To present a case series and review the literature regarding pharyngeal varcies.

Methods

-

Results

Three elderly female patients presented for esophagogastric varices surveillance gastroscopy were diagnosed with pharyngeal varices. One patient has hepatitis C cirrhosis, while the other two non-cirrhotic patients have myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN). None of the patients had thromboses of the portal vein or its tributaries. All three patient have concomitant esophageal varices, but only one required band ligation of her esophageal varices. All patients are asymptotic except for mild dysphagia. No patient has bled from their pharyngeal varices to date. Two patients have had prophylactic treatment of their portal hypertension with non-selective beta blocker (NSBB), while the third one has not received NSBB prophylaxis because of her age.

Conclusions

Pharyngeal varices are extremely rare. To date, there are three case reports in the literature, however, we have been able to identify three cases in our practice. The previous two cases reported possible left-sided portal hypertension with splenic vein thrombosis, leading to the development of collateral vessels including a gastrocaval shunt, which by some contiguous route connects to the brachiocephalic vein; and a third case was a complication of neck dissection surgery. In our case series, none of our patients had splenic vein thrombosis. However, none of them has had a careful CT angiogram to delineate the portal vein tributaries and the collateral vessels, which may further help to define their pathogenesis. It is unclear whether NSBB would be effective as primary prophylaxis against their bleeding, The plan is to continue to monitor these patients to learn about the natural history of these pharyngeal varices.

Funding Agencies

None

A272 THE CANADIAN DIRECT OBSERVATION OF PROCEDURAL SKILLS (CANDOPS) TOOL FOR ENDOSCOPIC RETROGRADE CHOLANGIOPANCREATOGRAPHY: A MULTI-CENTRE PROSPECTIVE STUDY

Background

Previous studies have demonstrated that many graduating trainees may not have all of the skills needed to independently practice endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) safely and effectively. As a part of competency-based learning curriculum development, it is essential to provide formative feedback to trainees and ensure they acquire the knowledge and skills for independent practice.

Aims

To assess the performance of advanced endoscopy trainees across Canada using the Canadian Direct Observation of Procedural Skills (CanDOPS) ERCP assessment tool. Procedural items evaluated include both technical (cannulation, sphincterotomy, stone extraction, tissue sampling, and stent placement) and non-technical (leadership, communication and teamwork, judgment and decision making) skills.

Methods

We conducted a prospective national multi-centre prospective study. Advanced endoscopy trainees with at least two years of gastroenterology training or five years of general surgery in North America and minimal experience performing ERCPs (less than 100 ERCP procedures) were invited to participate. The CanDOPS tool was used to measure every fifth ERCP performed by trainees over a 12-month fellowship training period. ERCPs were evaluated by experienced staff endoscopists at each study site under standard clinical protocol. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) analyses were used to generate learning curves.

Results

The data from five Canadian sites and 11 trainees participated in the study. A total of 261ERCP evaluations were completed. Median number of evaluations by site and trainee was 49 (IQR 31–76) and 15 (IQR 11–45). Median number of cases trainees performed prior to their ERCP training was 50 (IQR 25–400). There was a significant improvement in almost all scores over time, including selective cannulation, sphincterotomy, biliary stenting and all non-technical skills (P&lt;0.01). CUSUM analyses using acceptable and unacceptable failure rates of 20% and 50% demonstrated trainees achieved competency for most measures in their final month of their training. Competency in tissue sampling was not achieved within a one-year training period.

Conclusions

This is the first ERCP performance evaluation tool that examines multiple technical and non-technical aspects of the procedure. Although trainee ERCP skills do improve during their training period, there exists a notable variability in time to competency for the different skills measured using the CanDOPS tool. Large prospective research is required to determine if competency is achieved using more stringent definitions of ERCP competency and to determine factors associated with reaching competency.

Funding Agencies

None

A2 THE BOWEL CLEANSING NATIONAL INITIATIVE (BCLEAN): PREDICTORS OF INADEQUATE BOWEL PREPARATION

Background

Adequate bowel cleansing before colonoscopy is, in theory, a simple concept but the high rate of inadequate or incomplete bowel cleanliness and its consequences have been the subject of many studies, guidelines, and meta- analyses. The complexity resides in all the pre-endoscopic factors surrounding preparation intake that may? influence quality of the bowel preparation.

Aims

To identify preendoscopic variables associated with inadequate bowel preparation

Methods

In this randomized trial conducted in adult outpatients in 10 Canadian hospitals, all early morning (AM) colonoscopies were scheduled between 7h30AM and 10h30AM and patients were randomized to PEG low volume or high- volume split-dose or high- volume day before. Later colonoscopies (PM) were scheduled between 10h30AM and 16h30PM and patients were randomized to PEG low-volume or high- volume split-dose or low- volume same day. A secondary random allocation assigned patients to a clear fluid or low residue diet. Inadequate bowel preparation was identified on the Boston Bowel Preparation Scale with a total score &lt;6 with any of the 3 colonic segments subscores &lt;2). All preendoscopic variables such as patients related factors, diet and type of bowel preparation were evaluated between groups with chi-square, Fisher’s exact or t-test where appropriate. All variables found to be significantly associated with a clean preparation on univariable analysis at the P=0.15 level were used to construct a multivariable model. Because of stratified randomization by time with possible resulting differing confounders, AM and PM patients were analysed separately.

Results

Over 29 months, 1726 patients were stratified in the AM group and 1750 patients in the PM group. 16.9% had inadequate bowel preparation in the AM group and 9.8% in the PM group. Pre-endoscopic variables associated with an inadequate bowel cleanliness in AM colonoscopy were a non screening indication (OR 1.36, 95%CI 1.04–1.78), a Charlson score&gt;0 (OR 1.36, 95% 1.03–1.80) and a low residue diet (OR 1.53, 95%CI 1.17–2.01). Amongst PM colonoscopies, variables associated with an inadequate bowel cleanliness were increased age (OR 1.03, 95% 1.01–1.04), a non screening indication (OR 1.90 95%CI 1.35–2.70); a Charlson score&gt;0 (OR 1.63, 95%CI 1.15–2.32), and a low residue diet (OR 1.41, 95%CI 1.01; 1.98).

Conclusions

In this large randomized trial, amongst patients undergoing an AM colonoscopy, pre- endoscopic factors associated with an inadequate bowel preparation were a non screening indication, comorbidities and a low residue diet. Amongst PM colonoscopy patients, in addition to these variables, an increased age was also associated with an inadequate bowel preparation.

Funding Agencies

received arm-length funding from Pendopharm Inc.

A275 REVISITING THE DIAGNOSTIC YIELD OF ERCP BRUSH CYTOLOGY FOR INDETERMINATE BILIARY STRICTURES

Background

Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) brush cytology is the most frequently used tool for sampling indeterminate biliary strictures. Previous studies have demonstrated that the diagnostic yield of brush cytology for malignant biliary strictures is 60%. With improved diagnostic tools, sampling techniques and specimen processing, the yield of ERCP brush cytology may be higher.

Aims

To assess the diagnostic yield of ERCP brush cytology in patients with indeterminate biliary strictures and to determine factors associated with positive diagnosis.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of all patients who underwent ERCP with brush cytology at University Health Network (UHN) from October 2016 to September 2019. The cytological samples were taken as follows: the cytology brush is introduced into the stricture ten times under direct fluoroscopy guidance. The brush was cut and placed into a methanol based buffered solution (CytoLyt®). Residual sample was then flushed out of the catheter with the solution and into the sample container. Patient demographic, clinical, procedural and pathological data was collected by chart review. All patients were followed for a minimum of three months after their index ERCP. Post-ERCP sampling via repeat ERCP brushings, endoscopic ultrasound fine needle biopsy, percutaneous biopsy or surgical resection was recorded.

Results

A total of 97 patients underwent ERCP with brush cytology during the study period (43 females, median age 69 years). Fifty-nine patients (84%) were diagnosed with malignancy via ERCP brush cytology. Using follow up sampling, surgical resection and clinical follow up as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy were 84%, 100%, 100%, and 71% respectively. Patient demographics, degree of cholestasis or stricture location had no significant impact on these outcomes.

Conclusions

This study shows a high diagnostic yield for ERCP with brush cytology for patients with indeterminate biliary strictures. Large prospective studies using updated tools, techniques and specimen handling processes are needed to confirm our observations.

Funding Agencies

None