Taking a walk on the heart failure side: comparison of metabolic variables during walking and maximal exertion

AIMS

Although cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is the gold standard to assess exercise capacity, simpler tests (i.e., 6-min walk test, 6MWT) are also commonly used. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between cardiorespiratory parameters during CPET and 6MWT in a large, multicentre, heterogeneous population.

METHODS

We included athletes, healthy subjects, and heart failure (HF) patients of different severity, including left ventricular assist device (LVAD) carriers, who underwent both CPET and 6MWT with oxygen consumption measurement.

RESULTS

We enrolled 186 subjects (16 athletes, 40 healthy, 115 non-LVAD HF patients, and 15 LVAD carriers). CPET-peakV̇O2 was 41.0 [35.0-45.8], 26.2 [23.1-31.0], 12.8 [11.1-15.3], and 15.2 [13.6-15.6] ml/Kg/min in athletes, healthy, HF patients, and LVAD carriers, respectively (P < 0.001). During 6MWT they used 63.5 [56.3-76.8], 72.0 [57.8-81.0], 95.5 [80.3-109], and 95.0 [92.0-99.0] % of their peakV̇O2, respectively. None of the athletes, 1 healthy (2.5%), 30 HF patients (26.1%), and 1 LVAD carrier (6.7%), reached a 6MWT-V̇O2 higher than their CPET-peakV̇O2. Both 6MWT-V̇O2 and walked distance were significantly associated with CPET-peakV̇O2 in the whole population (R2 = 0.637 and R2 = 0.533, P ≤ 0.001) but not in the sub-groups. This was confirmed after adjustment for groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The 6MWT can be a maximal effort especially in most severe HF patients and suggest that, in absence of prognostic studies related to 6MWT metabolic values, CPET should remain the first method of choice in the functional assessment of patients with HF as well as in sport medicine.

Incremental prognostic value of functional impairment assessed by 6-min walking test for the prediction of mortality in heart failure

Natriuretic peptides (NP) are recognized as the most powerful predictors of adverse outcomes in heart failure (HF). We hypothesized that a measure of functional limitation, as assessed by 6-min walking test (6MWT), would improve the accuracy of a prognostic model incorporating a NP. This was a multicenter observational retrospective study. We studied the prognostic value of severe functional impairment (SFI), defined as the inability to perform a 6MWT or a distance walked during a 6MWT < 300 m, in 1696 patients with HF admitted to cardiac rehabilitation. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality. After adjusting for the baseline multivariable risk model-including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, anemia, renal dysfunction, sodium level, and NT-proBNP-or for the MAGGIC score, SFI had an odds ratio of 2.58 (95% CI 1.72-3.88; p < 0.001) and 3.12 (95% CI 2.16-4.52; p < 0.001), respectively. Adding SFI to the baseline risk model or the MAGGIC score yielded a significant improvement in discrimination and risk classification. Our data suggest that a simple, 6MWT-derived measure of SFI is a strong predictor of death and provide incremental prognostic information over well-established risk markers in HF, including NP, and the MAGGIC score.

Exploring the Prognostic Performance of MECKI Score in Heart Failure Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation Treated with Edoxaban

INTRODUCTION

Risk stratification in heart failure (HF) is essential for clinical and therapeutic management. The Metabolic Exercise test data combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes (MECKI) score is a validated prognostic model for assessing cardiovascular risk in HF patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). From the validation of the score, the prevalence of HF patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), such as edoxaban, for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) has been increasing in recent years. This study aims to evaluate the reliability of the MECKI score in HFrEF patients treated with edoxaban for NVAF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included consecutive outpatients with HF and NVAF treated with edoxaban (n = 83) who underwent a cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET). They were matched by propensity score with a retrospective group of HFrEF patients with NVAF treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) from the MECKI score registry (n = 844). The study endpoint was the risk of cardiovascular mortality, urgent heart transplantation, or Left Ventricle Assist Device (LVAD) implantation.

RESULTS

Edoxaban patients were treated with a more optimized HF therapy and had different clinical characteristics, with a similar MECKI score. After propensity score, 77 patients treated with edoxaban were successfully matched with the MECKI-VKA control cohort. In both groups, MECKI accurately predicted the composite endpoint with similar area under the curves (AUC = 0.757 vs. 0.829 in the MECKI-VKA vs. edoxaban-treated group, respectively, p = 0.452). The two populations' survival appeared non-significantly different at the 2-year follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

this study confirms the prognostic accuracy of the MECKI score in HFrEF patients with NVAF treated with edoxaban, showing improved predictive power compared to VKA-treated patients.

Heart failure patients with improved ejection fraction: Insights from the MECKI score database

AIMS

Improvement of left ventricular ejection fraction is a major goal of heart failure (HF) treatment. However, data on clinical characteristics, exercise performance and prognosis in HF patients who improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF) are scarce. The study aimed to determine whether HFimpEF patients have a distinct clinical phenotype, biology and prognosis than HF patients with persistently reduced ejection fraction (pHFrEF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 7948 patients enrolled in the Metabolic Exercise Cardiac Kidney Indexes (MECKI) score database were evaluated (median follow-up of 1490 days). We analysed clinical, laboratory, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, exercise, and survival data from HFimpEF (n = 1504) and pHFrEF (n = 6017) patients. The primary endpoint of the study was the composite of cardiovascular death, left ventricular assist device implantation, and urgent heart transplantation. HFimpEF patients had lower HF severity: left ventricular ejection fraction 44.0 [41.0-47.0] versus 29.7 [24.1-34.5]%, B-type natriuretic peptide 122 [65-296] versus 373 [152-888] pg/ml, haemoglobin 13.5 [12.2-14.6] versus 13.7 [12.5-14.7] g/dl, renal function by the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation 72.0 [56.7-89.3] versus 70.4 [54.5-85.3] ml/min, peak oxygen uptake 62.2 [50.7-74.1] versus 52.6 [41.8-64.3]% predicted, minute ventilation-to-carbon dioxide output slope 30.0 [26.9-34.4] versus 32.1 [28.0-38.0] in HFimpEF and pHFrEF, respectively (p < 0.001 for all). Cardiovascular mortality rates were 26.6 and 46.9 per 1000 person-years for HFimpEF and pHFrEF, respectively (p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that HFimpEF had better a long-term prognosis compared with pHFrEF patients. After adjustment for variables differentiating HFimpEF from pHFrEF, except echocardiographic parameters, the Kaplan-Meier curves showed the same prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Heart failure with improved ejection fraction represents a peculiar group of HF patients whose clinical, laboratory, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and exercise characteristics parallel the recovery of systolic function. Nonetheless, these patients remain at risk for adverse outcome.

Functional outcome after cardiac rehabilitation and its association with survival in heart failure across the spectrum of ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

There is limited evidence regarding the effects of cardiac rehabilitation (CR) in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

METHODS

We studied 1784 patients admitted to inpatient CR. The patients were grouped into HFpEF (EF≥0.50), HF with mildly reduced EF (HFmrEF; EF 41-49), and HF with reduced EF (HFrEF; EF≤0.40). A standardized 6-min walking test was performed at admission and discharge. Measures of functional outcome were: (1) absolute increase in 6-min walking distance (6MWD) from admission to discharge >50 m and (2) increase in 6MWD to ≥300 among the patients who walked <300 m at admission.

RESULTS

After adjustment, the patients with HFpEF or HFmrEF were as likely as those with HFrEF to achieve an increase in 6MWD >50 m (odds ratio 0.95 [95%CI 0.71-1.24; p=0.648] and 1.04 [95%CI 0.77-1.41; p=0.769], respectively) or an increase in 6MWD to ≥300 m (odds ratio 0.79 [95%CI 0.51-1.23; p=0.299] and 0.65 [95%CI 0.38-1.12; p=0.118], respectively). The adjusted hazard ratio of 5-year mortality for patients who achieved an increase in 6MWD >50 m was 0.60 (95%CI 0.51-0.71; p<0.001) and that for patients who achieved an increase in 6MWD at discharge to ≥300 m 0.61 (95%CI 0.48-0.79; p<0.001). In each EF group, both outcomes remained independently associated with improved survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that patients with HFpEF or HFmrEF are as likely as those with HFrEF to benefit from CR in terms of functional improvement. Functional improvement was independently associated with improved long-term survival, regardless of EF.

Does moderate hyperkalemia influence survival in HF? Insights from the MECKI score data base

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of moderate hyperkalemia in reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients is still controversial. Despite this, it affects the use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASi) with therapy down-titration or discontinuation.

OBJECTIVES

Aim of the study was to assess the prognostic impact of moderate hyperkalemia in chronic HFrEF optimally treated patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively analyzed MECKI (Metabolic Exercise test data combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes) database, with median follow-up of 4.2 [IQR 1.9-7.5] years. Data on K⁺ levels were available in 7087 cases. Patients with K⁺ plasma level ≥ 5.6 mEq/L and < 4 mEq/L were excluded. Remaining patients were categorized into normal >4 and < 5 mEq/L (n = 4826, 68%) and moderately high ≥5.0 and ≤ 5.5 mEq/L (n = 496, 7%) K⁺. Then patients were matched by propensity score in 484 couplets of patients. MECKI score value was 7% [IQR 3.1-14.1%] and 7.3% [IQR 3.4-15%] (p = 0.678) in patients with normal and moderately high K⁺ values while cardiovascular mortality events at two years follow-up were 41 (4.2%) and 33 (3.4%) (p = 0.333) in each group respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate hyperkalemia does not influence patients' outcome in a large cohort of ambulatory HFrEF patients.

P244 BRISK WALKING CAN BE A MAXIMAL EFFORT IN HEART FAILURE PATIENTS. A COMPARISON OF CARDIOPULMONARY EXERCISE AND SIX–MINUTE WALKING TEST CARDIORESPIRATORY DATA

Aims

Cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) and six–minute walking test (6MWT) are frequently used in heart failure (HF). CPET is a maximal exercise, whereas 6MWT is a self–selected constant load test usually considered a submaximal, and therefore safer, exercise but this has not been tested previously. The aim of this study was to compare the cardiorespiratory parameters collected during CPET and 6MWT in a large group of healthy subjects and patients with HF of different severity.

Methods and Results

Subjects performed a standard maximal CPET and a 6MWT wearing a portable device allowing breath–by–breath measurement of cardiorespiratory parameters. HF Patients were grouped according to their CPET peak oxygen uptake (peakV̇O2). One–hundred and fifty–five subjects were enrolled, of whom 40 were healthy (59±8 years; male 67%) and 115 were HF patients (69±10 years; male 80%; left ventricular ejection fraction 34.6±12.0%). CPET peakV̇O2 was 13.5±3.5 ml/kg/min in HF patients and 28.1±7.4 ml/kg/min in healthy (p &lt; 0.001). 6MWT–V̇O2 was 98±20% of the CPET peakV̇O2 values in HF patients, while 72±20% in healthy subjects (p &lt; 0.001). 6MWT–V̇O2 was &gt;110% of CPET peakV̇O2 in 42% of more severe HF patients (peakV̇O2&lt;12ml/kg/min). Similar results have been found for ventilation and heart rate. Of note, the slope of the relationship between V̇O2 at 6MWT, reported as percentage of CPET peakV̇O2 vs. 6MWT V̇O2 reported as absolute value, progressively increased as exercise limitation did.

Conclusions

6MWT must be perceived as a maximal or even supra–maximal exercise activity at least in patients with severe exercise limitation from HF. Our findings should influence the safety procedures needed for the 6MWT in HF.

The Impact of Cardiac Rehabilitation on Activities of Daily Life in Elderly Patients With Heart Failure

Background: In elderly chronic heart failure (HF) patients, activities of daily living (ADLs) require the use of a high proportion of patients’ peak aerobic capacity, heart rate, and ventilation.

Objectives: To assess the effects of short-term comprehensive cardiac rehabilitation (CR) on the metabolic requirement of ADLs in elderly patients with chronic HF.

Methods: The study population comprised 99 elderly chronic HF patients (mean age 72 ± 5 years, 80% male, 61% ejection fraction <40%, mean NT-proBNP 2,559 ± 4,511 pg/ml) participating in a short-term (mean days 19 ± 7) residential CR program. Before and after CR, participants, while wearing a portable ergospirometer, performed a standardized ADL battery: ADL1 (getting dressed), ADL2 (folding 8 towels), ADL3 (putting away 6 bottles), ADL4 (making a bed), ADL5 (sweeping the floor for 4 min), ADL6 (climbing 1 flight of stairs carrying a 1.5 Kg load), and ADL7 (a standard 6-min walking test).

Results: After CR, task-related oxygen uptake did not change in any of the domestic ADLs. Notably, there was a significant decrease in the cumulative time required to perform ADLs (ADL 1–4 and ADL6; from 412 ± 147 to 388 ± 141 s, p = 0.001) and a reduction in maximal heart rate in ADL1 and 3 (p = 0.005 and p = 0.027, respectively). Changes occurred in the 6MWT with an increase in oxygen uptake (p = 0.005) and in the distance covered (p < 0.001) and a significant decrease in the Borg scale of dyspnea (p = 0.004).

Conclusion: Elderly patients with chronic heart failure who are engaged in a short-term residential CR program improve the performance of routine ADLs.

Brisk walking can be a maximal effort in heart failure patients: a comparison of cardiopulmonary exercise and 6 min walking test cardiorespiratory data

Aims

Cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) and 6 min walking test (6MWT) are frequently used in heart failure (HF). CPET is a maximal exercise, whereas 6MWT is a self‐selected constant load test usually considered a submaximal, and therefore safer, exercise, but this has not been tested previously. The aim of this study was to compare the cardiorespiratory parameters collected during CPET and 6MWT in a large group of healthy subjects and patients with HF of different severity.

Methods and results

Subjects performed a standard maximal CPET and a 6MWT wearing a portable device allowing breath‐by‐breath measurement of cardiorespiratory parameters. HF patients were grouped according to their CPET peak oxygen uptake (peakV̇O₂). One hundred and fifty‐five subjects were enrolled, of whom 40 were healthy (59 ± 8 years; male 67%) and 115 were HF patients (69 ± 10 years; male 80%; left ventricular ejection fraction 34.6 ± 12.0%). CPET peakV̇O₂ was 13.5 ± 3.5 mL/kg/min in HF patients and 28.1 ± 7.4 mL/kg/min in healthy subjects (P < 0.001). 6MWT‐V̇O₂ was 98 ± 20% of the CPET peakV̇O₂ values in HF patients, while 72 ± 20% in healthy subjects (P < 0.001). 6MWT‐V̇O₂ was >110% of CPET peakV̇O₂ in 42% of more severe HF patients (peakV̇O₂ < 12 mL/kg/min). Similar results have been found for ventilation and heart rate. Of note, the slope of the relationship between V̇O₂ at 6MWT, reported as a percentage of CPET peakV̇O₂ vs. 6MWT V̇O₂ reported as the absolute value, progressively increased as exercise limitation did.

Conclusions

In conclusion, the last minute of 6MWT must be perceived as a maximal or even supramaximal exercise activity in patients with more severe HF. Our findings should influence the safety procedures needed for the 6MWT in HF.

55 Brisk walking can be a maximal effort in heart failure patients. A comparison of cardiopulmonary exercise and 6-min walking test cardiorespiratory data

Aims

Cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) and 6-min walking test (6MWT) are frequently used in heart failure (HF). CPET is a maximal exercise, whereas 6MWT is a self-selected constant load test usually considered a submaximal, and therefore safer, exercise but this has not been tested previously. The aim of this study was to compare the cardiorespiratory parameters collected during CPET and 6MWT in a large group of healthy subjects and patients with HF of different severity.

Methods and results

Subjects performed a standard maximal CPET and a 6MWT wearing a portable device allowing breath-by-breath measurement of cardiorespiratory parameters. HF Patients were grouped according to their CPET peak oxygen uptake (peakṼO2). One-hundred and fifty-five subjects were enrolled, of whom 40 were healthy (59 ± 8 years; male 67%) and 115 were HF patients (69 ± 10 years; male 80%; left ventricular ejection fraction 34.6 ± 12.0%). CPET peakṼO2 was 13.5 ± 3.5 ml/kg/min in HF patients and 28.1 ± 7.4 ml/kg/min in healthy (P &lt; 0.001). 6MWT-ṼO2 was 98 ± 20% of the CPET peakṼO2 values in HF patients, while 72 ± 20% in healthy subjects (P &lt; 0.001). 6MWT-ṼO2 was &gt;110% of CPET peakṼO2 in 42% of more severe HF patients (peakṼO2 &lt;12 ml/kg/min). Similar results have been found for ventilation and heart rate. Of note, the slope of the relationship between ṼO2 at 6MWT, reported as percentage of CPET peakṼO2 vs. 6MWT ṼO2 reported as absolute value, progressively increased as exercise limitation did.

Conclusions

6MWT must be perceived as a maximal or even supra-maximal exercise activity at least in patients with severe exercise limitation from HF. Our findings should influence the safety procedures needed for the 6MWT in HF.

Role of comorbidities in heart failure prognosis Part 2: Chronic kidney disease, elevated serum uric acid

Despite improvements in pharmacotherapy, morbidity and mortality rates in community-based populations with chronic heart failure still remain high. The increase in medical complexity among patients with heart failure may be reflected by an increase in concomitant non-cardiovascular comorbidities, which are recognized as independent prognostic factors in this population. Heart failure and chronic kidney disease share many risk factors, and often coexist. The presence of kidney failure is associated with incremented risk of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in heart failure patients. Chronic kidney disease is also linked with underutilization of evidence-based heart failure therapy that may reduce morbidity and mortality. More targeted therapies would be important to improve the prognosis of patients with these diseases. In recent years, serum uric acid as a determinant of cardiovascular risk has gained interest. Epidemiological, experimental and clinical data show that patients with hyperuricaemia are at increased risk of cardiac, renal and vascular damage and cardiovascular events. Moreover, elevated serum uric acid predicts worse outcome in both acute and chronic heart failure. While studies have raised the possibility of preventing heart failure through the use of uric acid lowering agents, the literature is still inconclusive on whether the reduction in uric acid will result in a measurable clinical benefit. Available evidences suggest that chronic kidney disease and elevated uric acid could worsen heart failure patients' prognosis. The aim of this review is to analyse a possible utilization of these comorbidities in risk stratification and as a therapeutic target to get a prognostic improvement in heart failure patients.

Increased serum uric acid level predicts poor prognosis in mildly severe chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. An analysis from the MECKI score research group

BACKGROUND

Hyperuricemia prognostic impact on clinical outcomes in chronic heart failure (HF) patients has been investigated with inconclusive results.

OBJECTIVES

Aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of serum uric acid (SUA) on long-term clinical outcomes in HF.

METHODS

An analysis of MECKI (Metabolic Exercise Cardiac Kidney Index) database, with median follow-up of 3.4 years.

RESULTS

Relation between SUA and all-cause/ cardiovascular (CV) deaths have been analysed in 4,577 patients (3,688 males, age 62.7 ± 12.9 years), with reduced ejection fraction HF (35 ± 11%), peakVO₂ 1151 ± 440 ml/min; NYHA class I-II (72.6%), III-IV (27.4%). SUA was associated with increased total and CV mortality (HR 1.120 and HR 1.128, respectively p < 0.0001), also after adjustment for peakVO₂, VE/VCO₂ slope, diuretic use and MECKI score. SUA was significantly associated with CV mortality only in NYHA class I-II (HR 1.17, p < 0.0001) while there was no association in class III-IV (HR 1.03, p = NS). No prognostic added values of SUA with respect to the MECKI score was observed at the ROC analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

SUA is confirmed to be associated with increased mortality, but in less severe HF only. However SUA did not show additional prognostic power to the MECKI score.

Gender and age normalization and ventilation efficiency during exercise in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Aims

Ventilation vs. carbon dioxide production (VE/VCO₂) is among the strongest cardiopulmonary exercise testing prognostic parameters in heart failure (HF). It is usually reported as an absolute value. The current definition of normal VE/VCO₂ slope values is inadequate, since it was built from small groups of subjects with a particularly limited number of women and elderly. We aimed to define VE/VCO₂ slope prediction formulas in a sizable population and to test whether the prognostic power of VE/VCO₂ slope in HF was different if expressed as a percentage of the predicted value or as an absolute value.

Methods and results

We calculated the linear regressions between age and VE/VCO₂ slope in 1136 healthy subjects (68% male, age 44.9 ± 14.5, range 13–83 years). We then applied age‐adjusted and sex‐adjusted formulas to predict VE/VCO₂ slope to HF patients included in the metabolic exercise test data combined with cardiac and kidney indexes score database, which counts 6112 patients (82% male, age 61.4 ± 12.8, left ventricular ejection fraction 33.2 ± 10.5%, peakVO₂ 14.8 ± 4.9, mL/min/kg, VE/VCO₂ slope 32.7 ± 7.7) from 24 HF centres. Finally, we evaluated whether the use of absolute values vs. percentages of predicted VE/VCO₂ affected HF prognosis prediction (composite of cardiovascular mortality + urgent transplant or left ventricular assist device). We did so in the entire cardiac and kidney indexes score population and separately in HF patients with severe (peakVO₂ < 14 mL/min/kg, n = 2919, 61.1 events/1000 pts/year) or moderate (peakVO₂ ≥ 14 mL/min/kg, n = 3183, 19.9 events/1000 pts/year) HF. In the healthy population, we obtained the following equations: female, VE/VCO₂ = 0.052 × Age + 23.808 (r = 0.192); male, VE/VCO₂ = 0.095 × Age + 20.227 (r = 0.371) (P = 0.007). We applied these formulas to calculate the percentages of predicted VE/VCO₂ values. The 2‐year survival prognostic power of VE/VCO₂ slope was strong, and it was similar if expressed as absolute value or as a percentage of predicted value (AUCs 0.686 and 0.690, respectively). In contrast, in severe HF patients, AUCs significantly differed between absolute values (0.637) and percentages of predicted values (0.650, P = 0.0026). Moreover, VE/VCO₂ slope expressed as a percentage of predicted value allowed to reclassify 6.6% of peakVO₂ < 14 mL/min/kg patients (net reclassification improvement = 0.066, P = 0.0015).

Conclusions

The percentage of predicted VE/VCO₂ slope value strengthens the prognostic power of VE/VCO₂ in severe HF patients, and it should be preferred over the absolute value for HF prognostication. Furthermore, the widespread use of VE/VCO₂ slope expressed as percentage of predicted value can improve our ability to identify HF patients at high risk, which is a goal of utmost clinical relevance.

Exercise oscillatory ventilation and prognosis in heart failure patients with reduced and mid-range ejection fraction

AIMS

Exercise oscillatory ventilation (EOV) is a pivotal cardiopulmonary exercise test parameter for the prognostic evaluation of patients with chronic heart failure (HF). It has been described in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (<40%, HFrEF) and with HF with preserved ejection fraction (>50%, HFpEF), but no data are available for patients with HF with mid-range ejection fraction (40-49%, HFmrEF). The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic role of EOV in HFmrEF patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analysed 1239 patients with HFmrEF and 4482 patients with HFrEF, enrolled in the MECKI score database, with a 2-year follow-up. The study endpoint was the composite of cardiovascular death, urgent heart transplant, and ventricular assist device implantation. We identified EOV in 968 cases (16% and 17% of cases in HFmrEF and HFrEF, respectively). HFrEF EOV+ patients were significantly older, and their parameters suggested a more severe HF than HFrEF EOV- patients. A similar behaviour was found in HFmrEF EOV+ vs. EOV- patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis, irrespective of ejection fraction, showed that EOV is associated with a worse survival, and that patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF EOV+ had a significantly worse outcome than the EOV- of the same ejection fraction groups. EOV-associated survival differences in HFmrEF patients started after 18 months of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Exercise oscillatory ventilation has a similar prevalence and ominous prognostic value in both HFmrEF and HFrEF patients, indicating a group of patients in need of a more intensive follow-up and a more aggressive therapy. In HFmrEF, the survival curves between EOV+ and EOV- patients diverged only after 18 months.

Acutely decompensated heart failure with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: Clinical characteristics and long-term survival

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is among the most common comorbidities in patients hospitalized with heart failure and is generally associated with poor outcomes. However, the results of previous studies with regard to increased mortality and risk trajectories were not univocal. We sought to assess the prognostic impact of COPD in patients admitted for acutely decompensated heart failure (ADHF) and investigate the association between use of β-blockers at discharge and mortality in patients with COPD.

METHODS

We studied 1530 patients. The association of COPD with mortality was examined in adjusted Fine-Gray proportional hazard models where heart transplantation and ventricular assist device implantation were treated as competing risks. The primary outcome was 5-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

After adjusting for establisked risk markers, the subdistribution hazard ratios (SHR) of 5-year mortality for COPD patients compared with non-COPD patients was 1.25 (95% confidence intervals [CIs] 1.06-1.47; p = .007). The relative risk of death for COPD patients increased steeply from 30 to 180 days, and remained noticeably high throughout the entire follow-up. Among patients with comorbid COPD, the use of β-blockers at discharge was associated with a significantly reduced risk of 1-year post-discharge mortality (SHR 0.66, 95%CIs 0.53-0.83; p ≤.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data indicate that ADHF patients with comorbid COPD have a worse long-term survival than those without comorbid COPD. Most of the excess mortality occurred in the first few months following hospitalization. Our data also suggest that the use of β-blockers at discharge is independently associated with improved survival in ADHF patients with COPD.

Heart failure prognosis over time: how the prognostic role of oxygen consumption and ventilatory efficiency during exercise has changed in the last 20 years

AIMS

Exercise-derived parameters, specifically peak exercise oxygen uptake (peak VO₂ ) and minute ventilation/carbon dioxide relationship slope (VE/VCO₂ slope), have a pivotal prognostic value in heart failure (HF). It is unknown how the prognostic threshold of peak VO₂ and VE/VCO₂ slope has changed over the last 20 years in parallel with HF prognosis improvement.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data from 6083 HF patients (81% male, age 61 ± 13 years), enrolled in the MECKI score database between 1993 and 2015, were retrospectively analysed. By enrolment year, four groups were generated: group 1 1993-2000 (n = 440), group 2 2001-2005 (n = 1288), group 3 2006-2010 (n = 2368), and group 4 2011-2015 (n = 1987). We compared the 10-year survival of groups and analysed how the overall risk (cardiovascular death, urgent heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implantation) changed over time according to peak VO₂ and VE/VCO₂ slope and to major clinical and therapeutic variables. At 10 years, a progressively higher survival from group 1 to group 3 was observed, with no further improvement afterwards. A 20% risk for peak VO₂ 15 mL/min/kg (95% confidence interval 16-13), 9 (11-8), 4 (4-2) and 5 (7-4) was observed in group 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively, while the VE/VCO₂ slope value for a 20% risk was 32 (37-29), 47 (51-43), 59 (64-55), and 57 (63-52), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Heart failure prognosis improved over time up to 2010 in a HF population followed by experienced centres. The peak VO₂ and VE/VCO₂ slope cut-offs identifying a definite risk progressively decreased and increased over time, respectively. The prognostic threshold of peak VO₂ and VE/VCO₂ slope must be updated whenever HF prognosis improves.

Female gender and mortality risk in decompensated heart failure

BACKGROUND

Still there is conflicting evidence about gender-related differences in prognosis among patients with heart failure. This prognostic uncertainty may have implications for risk stratification and planning management strategy. The aim of the present study was to explore the association between gender and one-year mortality in patients admitted with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF).

METHODS

We studied 1513 patients. The Cumulative Incidence Function (CIF) method was used to estimate the absolute rate of mortality, heart transplantation (HT)/ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation, and survival free of HT/VAD implantation at 1year. An interaction analysis was performed to assess the association between covariates, gender, and mortality risk. Propensity score matching and Cox regression were used to compare mortality rates in the gender subgroups.

RESULTS

The CIF estimates of 1-year mortality, HT/VAD implantation, and survival free of HT/VAD implantation at 1year were 33.1%, 7.0%, and 59.9% for women and 30.2%, 10.2%, and 59.6% for men, respectively. Except for diabetes, there was no significant interaction between gender, covariates, and mortality risk. In the matched cohort, the hazard ratio of death for women was 1.19 (95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 0.90-1.59; p=.202). After adjusting for age and baseline risk, the hazard ratio of death for women was 1.18 (95% CIs: 0.95-1.43; p=.127). The use of gender-specific predictive models did not allow improving the accuracy of risk prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data strongly suggest that women and men have comparable outcome in the year following a hospitalization for ADHF.

Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists for heart failure: a real-life observational study

Aims

Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) have been demonstrated to improve outcomes in reduced ejection fraction heart failure (HFrEF) patients. However, MRAs added to conventional treatment may lead to worsening of renal function and hyperkalaemia. We investigated, in a population‐based analysis, the long‐term effects of MRA treatment in HFrEF patients.

Methods and results

We analysed data of 6046 patients included in the Metabolic Exercise Cardiac Kidney Index score dataset. Analysis was performed in patients treated (n = 3163) and not treated (n = 2883) with MRA. The study endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, urgent heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implantation. Ten years' survival was analysed through Kaplan–Meier, compared by log‐rank test and propensity score matching.

At 10 years' follow‐up, the MRA‐untreated group had a significantly lower number of events than the MRA‐treated group (P < 0.001). MRA‐treated patients had more severe heart failure (higher New York Heart Association class and lower left ventricular ejection fraction, kidney function, and peak VO₂). At a propensity‐score‐matching analysis performed on 1587 patients, MRA‐treated and MRA‐untreated patients showed similar study endpoint values.

Conclusions

In conclusion, MRA treatment does not affect the composite of cardiovascular death, urgent heart transplantation or left ventricular assist device implantation in a real‐life setting. A meticulous patient follow‐up, as performed in trials, is likely needed to match the positive MRA‐related benefits observed in clinical trials.

Multiparametric prognostic scores in chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: a long-term comparison

AIMS

Risk stratification in heart failure (HF) is crucial for clinical and therapeutic management. A multiparametric approach is the best method to stratify prognosis. In 2012, the Metabolic Exercise test data combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes (MECKI) score was proposed to assess the risk of cardiovascular mortality and urgent heart transplantation. The aim of the present study was to compare the prognostic accuracy of MECKI score to that of HF Survival Score (HFSS) and Seattle HF Model (SHFM) in a large, multicentre cohort of HF patients with reduced ejection fraction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We collected data on 6112 HF patients and compared the prognostic accuracy of MECKI score, HFSS, and SHFM at 2- and 4-year follow-up for the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death, urgent cardiac transplantation, or ventricular assist device implantation. Patients were followed up for a median of 3.67 years, and 931 cardiovascular deaths, 160 urgent heart transplantations, and 12 ventricular assist device implantations were recorded. At 2-year follow-up, the prognostic accuracy of MECKI score was significantly superior [area under the curve (AUC) 0.781] to that of SHFM (AUC 0.739) and HFSS (AUC 0.723), and this relationship was also confirmed at 4 years (AUC 0.764, 0.725, and 0.720, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort, the prognostic accuracy of the MECKI score was superior to that of HFSS and SHFM at 2- and 4-year follow-up in HF patients in stable clinical condition. The MECKI score may be useful to improve resource allocation and patient outcome, but prospective evaluation is needed.

Prognostic role of β-blocker selectivity and dosage regimens in heart failure patients. Insights from the MECKI score database

AIMS

The use of β-blockers represents a milestone in the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Few studies have compared β-blockers in HFrEF, and there is little data on the effects of different doses. The present study aimed to investigate in a large database of HFrEF patients (MECKI score database) the association of β-blocker treatment with a composite outcome of cardiovascular death, urgent heart transplantation or left ventricular assist device implantation, addressing the role of β-selectivity and dosage regimens.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 5242 HFrEF patients, we investigated the role of: (i) β-blocker treatment vs. non-β-blocker treatment, (ii) β1-/β2-receptor-blockers vs. β1-selective blockers, and (iii) daily β-blocker dose. Patients were followed for 3.58 years, and 1101 events (18.3%) were observed; 4435 patients (86.8%) were on β-blockers, while 807 (13.2%) were not. At 5 years, β-blocker-patients showed a better outcome than non-β-blocker-subjects [hazard ratio (HR) 0.48, P < 0.0001], while also considering potential confounders. A comparable prognosis was observed at 5 years in the β1-/β2-receptor-blocker (n = 2219) vs. β1-selective group (n = 2216) (HR 0.95, P = ns). A better prognosis was observed in high-dose (>2 5 mg carvedilol equivalent daily dose, n = 1005) patients than in both medium dose (12.5-25 mg, n = 1431) and low dose (<12.5 mg, n = 1960) (HR 1.97, P < 0.001; HR 1.95, P = 0.001, respectively), with no differences between the last two groups (HR 0.84, P = ns).

CONCLUSION

In a large population of chronic HFrEF patients, β-blockers were associated with a more favourable prognosis without any difference between β1- and β2-receptor-blockers vs. β1-selective blockers. A better outcome was observed in subjects receiving a high daily dose.

Heart failure and anemia: Effects on prognostic variables

BACKGROUND

Anemia is frequent in heart failure (HF), and it is associated with higher mortality. The predictive power of established HF prognostic parameters in anemic HF patients is unknown.

METHODS

Clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic and cardiopulmonary-exercise-test (CPET) data were analyzed in 3913 HF patients grouped according to hemoglobin (Hb) values. 248 (6%), 857 (22%), 2160 (55%) and 648 (17%) patients had very low (<11g/dL), low (11-12 for females, 11-13 for males), normal (12-15 for females, 13-15 for males) and high (>15) Hb, respectively.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 1363days (606-1883). CPETs were always performed safely. Hb was related to prognosis (Hazard ratio (HR)=0.864). No prognostic difference was observed between normal and high Hb groups. Peak oxygen consumption (VO₂), ventilatory efficiency (VE/VCO₂ slope), plasma sodium concentration, ejection fraction (LVEF), kidney function and Hb were independently related to prognosis in the entire population. Considering Hb groups separately, peakVO₂ (very low Hb HR=0.549, low Hb HR=0.613, normal Hb HR=0.618, high Hb HR=0.542) and LVEF (very low Hb HR=0.49, low Hb HR=0.692, normal Hb HR=0.697, high Hb HR=0.694) maintained their prognostic roles. High VE/VCO₂ slope was associated with poor prognosis only in patients with low and normal Hb.

CONCLUSIONS

Anemic HF patients have a worse prognosis, but CPET can be safely performed. PeakVO₂ and LVEF, but not VE/VCO₂ slope, maintain their prognostic power also in HF patients with Hb<11g/dL, suggesting CPET use and a multiparametric approach in HF patients with low Hb. However, the prognostic effect of an anemia-oriented follow-up is unknown.

Prognostic role of atrial fibrillation in patients affected by chronic heart failure. Data from the MECKI score research group

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in heart failure (HF). It is unclear whether AF has an independent prognostic role in HF. The aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic role of AF in HF patients with reduced ejection fraction (EF).

METHODS

HF patients were followed in 17 centers for 3.15years (1.51-5.24). Study endpoints were the composite of cardiovascular (CV) death and heart transplant (HTX) and all-cause death. Data analysis was performed considering the entire population and a 1 to 1 match between sinus rhythm (SR) and AF patients. Match process was done for age±5, gender, left ventricle EF±5, peakVO2±3 (ml/min/kg) and recruiting center.

RESULTS

A total of 3447 patients (SR=2882, AF=565) were included in the study. Considering the entire population, CV death and HTX occurred in 114 (20%) AF vs. 471 (16%) SR (p=0.026) and all-cause death in 130 (23%) AF vs. 554 (19.2%) SR patients (p=0.039). At univariable Cox analysis, AF was significantly related to prognosis. Applying a multivariable model based on all variables significant at univariable analysis (EF, peakVO2, ventilation/carbon dioxide relationship slope, sodium, kidney function, hemoglobin, beta-blockers and digoxin) AF was no longer associated with adverse outcomes. Matching procedure resulted in 338 couples. CV death and HTX occurred in 63 (18.6%) AF vs. 74 (21.9%) SR (p=0.293) and all-cause death in 71 (21%) AF vs. 80 (23.6%) SR (p=0.406), with no survival differences between groups.

CONCLUSION

In systolic HF AF is a marker of disease severity but not an independent prognostic indicator.

The ADHF/NT-proBNP risk score to predict 1-year mortality in hospitalized patients with advanced decompensated heart failure

BACKGROUND

The acute decompensated heart failure/N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (ADHF/NT-proBNP) score is a validated risk scoring system that predicts mortality in hospitalized heart failure patients with a wide range of left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs). We sought to assess discrimination and calibration of the score when applied to patients with advanced decompensated heart failure (AHF).

METHODS

We studied 445 patients hospitalized for AHF, defined by the presence of severe symptoms of worsening HF at admission, severely depressed LVEF, and the need for intravenous diuretic and/or inotropic drugs. The primary outcome was cumulative (in-hospital and post-discharge) mortality and post-discharge 1-year mortality. Separate analyses were performed for patients aged ≤ 70 years. A Seattle Heart Failure Score (SHFS) was calculated for each patient discharged alive.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 144 patients (32.4%) died, and 69 (15.5%) underwent heart transplantation (HT) or ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation. After accounting for the competing events (VAD/HT), the ADHF/NT-proBNP score's C-statistic for cumulative mortality was 0.738 in the overall cohort and 0.771 in patients aged ≤ 70 years. The C-statistic for post-discharge mortality was 0.741 and 0.751, respectively. Adding prior (≤6 months) hospitalizations for HF to the score increased the C-statistic for post-discharge mortality to 0.759 in the overall cohort and to 0.774 in patients aged ≤ 70 years. Predicted and observed mortality rates by quartiles of score were highly correlated. The SHFS demonstrated adequate discrimination but underestimated the risk. The ADHF/NT-proBNP risk calculator is available at http://www.fsm.it/fsm/file/NTproBNPscore.zip.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that the ADHF/NT-proBNP score may efficiently predict mortality in patients hospitalized with AHF.

[Prevention of sudden death in heart failure patients: cardiac resynchronization therapy with or without defibrillation back-up]

The prevalence and incidence of heart failure are progressively increasing in both Europe and the United States. Despite many advances in diagnosis and therapy, morbidity and mortality remain high and long-term prognosis is still poor in most heart failure patients. The use of implantable devices, cardiac resynchronization therapy and implantable cardioverter-defibrillators plays a pivotal role in the treatment of heart failure. Cardiac resynchronization therapy improves survival and reduces cardiac mortality due to either sudden or non-sudden death. In clinical practice, patients with an indication for cardiac resynchronization therapy should be carefully evaluated in view of a potential concomitant indication for defibrillator implantation. The combination of the two therapies may have maximal beneficial effects on prognosis.

[Risk stratification for sudden cardiac death: from the electrophysiological study to T-wave alternans]

T-wave alternans is a change, in the microvolt range, of T-wave amplitude on an ABABAB sequence. At present, various groups of patients have been evaluated, including those with myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, implantable cardioverter-defibrillators and a clinical indication for programmed ventricular stimulation. In all clinical conditions analyzed, T-wave alternans analysis demonstrated a good diagnostic accuracy, suggesting a possible clinical use of the test in these settings.

Exercise oscillatory ventilation may predict sudden cardiac death in heart failure patients

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to test the ability of cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET)-derived variables as sudden cardiac death (SCD) predictors.

BACKGROUND

The CPET variables, such as peak oxygen uptake (VO2), ventilatory requirement to carbon dioxide (CO2) production (VE/VCO2) slope, and exercise oscillatory breathing (EOB), are strong predictors of overall mortality in chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. Even though up to 50% of CHF patients die from SCD, it is unknown whether any of these variables predicts SCD.

METHODS

One hundred fifty-six CHF patients (mean age: 60.9 +/- 9.4 years; mean ejection fraction: 34.9 +/- 10.6%) underwent CPET. Subjects were tracked for sudden versus pump-failure cardiac mortality over 27.8 +/- 25.2 months.

RESULTS

Seventeen patients died from SCD, and 17 died from cardiac pump failure. Survivors showed significantly higher peak VO2 (16.8 +/- 4.5 ml x kg(-1) x min(-1)) and lower VE/VCO2 slope (32.8 +/- 6.4) and prevalence of EOB (20.3%), compared with subjects who experienced arrhythmic (13.5 +/- 3.2 ml x kg(-1) x min(-1); 41.5 +/- 11.4; 100%) or nonarrhythmic (14.1 +/- 4.7 ml x kg(-1) x min(-1); 38.1 +/- 7.3; 47.1%) deaths (p < 0.05). At Cox regression analysis, all variables were significant univariate predictors of both sudden and pump failure death (p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis, including left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, LV end systolic volume, and LV mass selected EOB, was the strongest predictor of both overall mortality (chi-square: 38.7, p < 0.001) and SCD (chi-square: 44.7, p < 0.001), whereas VE/VCO2 slope was the strongest ventilatory predictor of pump failure death (chi-square: 11.8, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Exercise oscillatory breathing is an independent predictor of SCD in patients with CHF and might help as an additional marker for prioritization of antiarrhythmic strategies.