1
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Ghanem M, Espinosa C, Chung P, Reincke M, Harrison N, Phongpreecha T, Shome S, Saarunya G, Berson E, James T, Xie F, Shu CH, Hazra D, Mataraso S, Kim Y, Seong D, Chakraborty D, Studer M, Xue L, Marić I, Chang AL, Tjoa E, Gaudillière B, Tawfik VL, Mackey S, Aghaeepour N. Comprehensive overview of the anesthesiology research landscape: A machine Learning Analysis of 737 NIH-funded anesthesiology primary Investigator's publication trends. Heliyon 2024; 10:e29050. [PMID: 38623206 PMCID: PMC11016610 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e29050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2023] [Revised: 02/24/2024] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Anesthesiology plays a crucial role in perioperative care, critical care, and pain management, impacting patient experiences and clinical outcomes. However, our understanding of the anesthesiology research landscape is limited. Accordingly, we initiated a data-driven analysis through topic modeling to uncover research trends, enabling informed decision-making and fostering progress within the field. Methods The easyPubMed R package was used to collect 32,300 PubMed abstracts spanning from 2000 to 2022. These abstracts were authored by 737 Anesthesiology Principal Investigators (PIs) who were recipients of National Institute of Health (NIH) funding from 2010 to 2022. Abstracts were preprocessed, vectorized, and analyzed with the state-of-the-art BERTopic algorithm to identify pillar topics and trending subtopics within anesthesiology research. Temporal trends were assessed using the Mann-Kendall test. Results The publishing journals with most abstracts in this dataset were Anesthesia & Analgesia 1133, Anesthesiology 992, and Pain 671. Eight pillar topics were identified and categorized as basic or clinical sciences based on a hierarchical clustering analysis. Amongst the pillar topics, "Cells & Proteomics" had both the highest annual and total number of abstracts. Interestingly, there was an overall upward trend for all topics spanning the years 2000-2022. However, when focusing on the period from 2015 to 2022, topics "Cells & Proteomics" and "Pulmonology" exhibit a downward trajectory. Additionally, various subtopics were identified, with notable increasing trends in "Aneurysms", "Covid 19 Pandemic", and "Artificial intelligence & Machine Learning". Conclusion Our work offers a comprehensive analysis of the anesthesiology research landscape by providing insights into pillar topics, and trending subtopics. These findings contribute to a better understanding of anesthesiology research and can guide future directions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marc Ghanem
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Immunology Program, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Philip Chung
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Momsen Reincke
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Natasha Harrison
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Sayane Shome
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Geetha Saarunya
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Eloise Berson
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Tomin James
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Feng Xie
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Chi-Hung Shu
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Debapriya Hazra
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Yeasul Kim
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - David Seong
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Immunology Program, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Medical Scientist Training Program, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Dipro Chakraborty
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Manuel Studer
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Lei Xue
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Ivana Marić
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Alan L. Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Erico Tjoa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Brice Gaudillière
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Vivianne L. Tawfik
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Sean Mackey
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
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2
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Waldrop AR, James TK, Suharwardy S, Studer M, Chang A, Bernal CE, Xie F, Shome S, Hazra D, Kim Y, Clarke G, Chakraborty D, Mataraso S, Berson E, Xue L, Payrovnaziri S, Mohammadi N, Haberkorn W, Maric I, El-Sayed YY, Carvalho B, Aghaeepour N. RETRACTED: 60 Predicting chorioamnionitis using AI-based methods: a retrospective cohort study. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2024; 230:S46. [PMID: 38355237 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2023.11.081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/16/2024]
Abstract
This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/policies/article-withdrawal). This meeting abstract has been retracted at the request of the authors. The team determined further analysis is warranted before the formal presentation of the results.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Feng Xie
- Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA
| | | | | | - Yera Kim
- Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA
| | | | | | | | | | - Lei Xue
- Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA
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3
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Phongpreecha T, Godrich D, Berson E, Espinosa C, Kim Y, Cholerton B, Chang AL, Mataraso S, Bukhari SA, Perna A, Yakabi K, Montine KS, Poston KL, Mormino E, White L, Beecham G, Aghaeepour N, Montine TJ. Quantitative estimate of cognitive resilience and its medical and genetic associations. Alzheimers Res Ther 2023; 15:192. [PMID: 37926851 PMCID: PMC10626669 DOI: 10.1186/s13195-023-01329-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/09/2023] [Indexed: 11/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We have proposed that cognitive resilience (CR) counteracts brain damage from Alzheimer's disease (AD) or AD-related dementias such that older individuals who harbor neurodegenerative disease burden sufficient to cause dementia remain cognitively normal. However, CR traditionally is considered a binary trait, capturing only the most extreme examples, and is often inconsistently defined. METHODS This study addressed existing discrepancies and shortcomings of the current CR definition by proposing a framework for defining CR as a continuous variable for each neuropsychological test. The linear equations clarified CR's relationship to closely related terms, including cognitive function, reserve, compensation, and damage. Primarily, resilience is defined as a function of cognitive performance and damage from neuropathologic damage. As such, the study utilized data from 844 individuals (age = 79 ± 12, 44% female) in the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center cohort that met our inclusion criteria of comprehensive lesion rankings for 17 neuropathologic features and complete neuropsychological test results. Machine learning models and GWAS then were used to identify medical and genetic factors that are associated with CR. RESULTS CR varied across five cognitive assessments and was greater in female participants, associated with longer survival, and weakly associated with educational attainment or APOE ε4 allele. In contrast, damage was strongly associated with APOE ε4 allele (P value < 0.0001). Major predictors of CR were cardiovascular health and social interactions, as well as the absence of behavioral symptoms. CONCLUSIONS Our framework explicitly decoupled the effects of CR from neuropathologic damage. Characterizations and genetic association study of these two components suggest that the underlying CR mechanism has minimal overlap with the disease mechanism. Moreover, the identified medical features associated with CR suggest modifiable features to counteract clinical expression of damage and maintain cognitive function in older individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
| | - Dana Godrich
- Dr. John T. Macdonald Foundation Department of Human Genetics, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Eloise Berson
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Yeasul Kim
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | | | - Alan L Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Syed A Bukhari
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Amalia Perna
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Koya Yakabi
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | | | - Kathleen L Poston
- Department of Neurology Neurological Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Elizabeth Mormino
- Department of Neurology Neurological Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Lon White
- Pacific Health Research and Education Institute, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Gary Beecham
- Dr. John T. Macdonald Foundation Department of Human Genetics, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr Rm L216, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Thomas J Montine
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
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4
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Ravindra NG, Espinosa C, Berson E, Phongpreecha T, Zhao P, Becker M, Chang AL, Shome S, Marić I, De Francesco D, Mataraso S, Saarunya G, Thuraiappah M, Xue L, Gaudillière B, Angst MS, Shaw GM, Herzog ED, Stevenson DK, England SK, Aghaeepour N. Deep representation learning identifies associations between physical activity and sleep patterns during pregnancy and prematurity. NPJ Digit Med 2023; 6:171. [PMID: 37770643 PMCID: PMC10539360 DOI: 10.1038/s41746-023-00911-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2023] [Accepted: 08/21/2023] [Indexed: 09/30/2023] Open
Abstract
Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of infant mortality globally. Research has focused on developing predictive models for PTB without prioritizing cost-effective interventions. Physical activity and sleep present unique opportunities for interventions in low- and middle-income populations (LMICs). However, objective measurement of physical activity and sleep remains challenging and self-reported metrics suffer from low-resolution and accuracy. In this study, we use physical activity data collected using a wearable device comprising over 181,944 h of data across N = 1083 patients. Using a new state-of-the art deep learning time-series classification architecture, we develop a 'clock' of healthy dynamics during pregnancy by using gestational age (GA) as a surrogate for progression of pregnancy. We also develop novel interpretability algorithms that integrate unsupervised clustering, model error analysis, feature attribution, and automated actigraphy analysis, allowing for model interpretation with respect to sleep, activity, and clinical variables. Our model performs significantly better than 7 other machine learning and AI methods for modeling the progression of pregnancy. We found that deviations from a normal 'clock' of physical activity and sleep changes during pregnancy are strongly associated with pregnancy outcomes. When our model underestimates GA, there are 0.52 fewer preterm births than expected (P = 1.01e - 67, permutation test) and when our model overestimates GA, there are 1.44 times (P = 2.82e - 39, permutation test) more preterm births than expected. Model error is negatively correlated with interdaily stability (P = 0.043, Spearman's), indicating that our model assigns a more advanced GA when an individual's daily rhythms are less precise. Supporting this, our model attributes higher importance to sleep periods in predicting higher-than-actual GA, relative to lower-than-actual GA (P = 1.01e - 21, Mann-Whitney U). Combining prediction and interpretability allows us to signal when activity behaviors alter the likelihood of preterm birth and advocates for the development of clinical decision support through passive monitoring and exercise habit and sleep recommendations, which can be easily implemented in LMICs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Neal G Ravindra
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Eloïse Berson
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Peinan Zhao
- Department of Biology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA
| | - Martin Becker
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Alan L Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Sayane Shome
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Ivana Marić
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Davide De Francesco
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Geetha Saarunya
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Melan Thuraiappah
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Lei Xue
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Brice Gaudillière
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Martin S Angst
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Gary M Shaw
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Erik D Herzog
- Department of Biology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA
| | - David K Stevenson
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Sarah K England
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
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5
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Berson E, Sreenivas A, Phongpreecha T, Perna A, Grandi FC, Xue L, Ravindra NG, Payrovnaziri N, Mataraso S, Kim Y, Espinosa C, Chang AL, Becker M, Montine KS, Fox EJ, Chang HY, Corces MR, Aghaeepour N, Montine TJ. Whole genome deconvolution unveils Alzheimer's resilient epigenetic signature. Nat Commun 2023; 14:4947. [PMID: 37587197 PMCID: PMC10432546 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-40611-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2023] [Accepted: 08/03/2023] [Indexed: 08/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Assay for Transposase Accessible Chromatin by sequencing (ATAC-seq) accurately depicts the chromatin regulatory state and altered mechanisms guiding gene expression in disease. However, bulk sequencing entangles information from different cell types and obscures cellular heterogeneity. To address this, we developed Cellformer, a deep learning method that deconvolutes bulk ATAC-seq into cell type-specific expression across the whole genome. Cellformer enables cost-effective cell type-specific open chromatin profiling in large cohorts. Applied to 191 bulk samples from 3 brain regions, Cellformer identifies cell type-specific gene regulatory mechanisms involved in resilience to Alzheimer's disease, an uncommon group of cognitively healthy individuals that harbor a high pathological load of Alzheimer's disease. Cell type-resolved chromatin profiling unveils cell type-specific pathways and nominates potential epigenetic mediators underlying resilience that may illuminate therapeutic opportunities to limit the cognitive impact of the disease. Cellformer is freely available to facilitate future investigations using high-throughput bulk ATAC-seq data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eloise Berson
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
| | - Anjali Sreenivas
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Amalia Perna
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Fiorella C Grandi
- Gladstone Institute of Neurological Disease, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Gladstone Institute of Data Science and Biotechnology, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Department of Neurology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Lei Xue
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Neal G Ravindra
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Neelufar Payrovnaziri
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Yeasul Kim
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Alan L Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Martin Becker
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | | | - Edward J Fox
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Howard Y Chang
- Center for Personal Dynamic Regulomes, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - M Ryan Corces
- Gladstone Institute of Neurological Disease, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Gladstone Institute of Data Science and Biotechnology, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Department of Neurology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
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6
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Phongpreecha T, Cholerton B, Bhukari S, Chang AL, De Francesco D, Thuraiappah M, Godrich D, Perna A, Becker MG, Ravindra NG, Espinosa C, Kim Y, Berson E, Mataraso S, Sha SJ, Fox EJ, Montine KS, Baker LD, Craft S, White L, Poston KL, Beecham G, Aghaeepour N, Montine TJ. Prediction of neuropathologic lesions from clinical data. Alzheimers Dement 2023; 19:3005-3018. [PMID: 36681388 PMCID: PMC10359434 DOI: 10.1002/alz.12921] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2022] [Revised: 11/15/2022] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Post-mortem analysis provides definitive diagnoses of neurodegenerative diseases; however, only a few can be diagnosed during life. METHODS This study employed statistical tools and machine learning to predict 17 neuropathologic lesions from a cohort of 6518 individuals using 381 clinical features (Table S1). The multisite data allowed validation of the model's robustness by splitting train/test sets by clinical sites. A similar study was performed for predicting Alzheimer's disease (AD) neuropathologic change without specific comorbidities. RESULTS Prediction results show high performance for certain lesions that match or exceed that of research annotation. Neurodegenerative comorbidities in addition to AD neuropathologic change resulted in compounded, but disproportionate, effects across cognitive domains as the comorbidity number increased. DISCUSSION Certain clinical features could be strongly associated with multiple neurodegenerative diseases, others were lesion-specific, and some were divergent between lesions. Our approach could benefit clinical research, and genetic and biomarker research by enriching cohorts for desired lesions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
| | - Brenna Cholerton
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
| | - Syed Bhukari
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
| | - Alan L. Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Davide De Francesco
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Melan Thuraiappah
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Dana Godrich
- Dr. John T. Macdonald Foundation Department of Human Genetics, University of Miami 1501 NW 10 Ave, Miami, Florida 33136 USA
| | - Amalia Perna
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
| | - Martin G. Becker
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Neal G. Ravindra
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Yeasul Kim
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Eloise Berson
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Sharon J. Sha
- Department of Neurology & Neurological Sciences, Stanford University 213 Quarry Road, MC 5979 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Edward J. Fox
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
| | - Kathleen S. Montine
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
| | - Laura D. Baker
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine 475 Vine Street, Winston-Salem, NC 27101 USA
| | - Suzanne Craft
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine 475 Vine Street, Winston-Salem, NC 27101 USA
| | - Lon White
- Pacific Health Research and Education Institute, Hawaii 3375 Koapaka Street, I-540, Honolulu, HI 96819 USA
| | - Kathleen L. Poston
- Department of Neurology & Neurological Sciences, Stanford University 213 Quarry Road, MC 5979 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Gary Beecham
- Dr. John T. Macdonald Foundation Department of Human Genetics, University of Miami 1501 NW 10 Ave, Miami, Florida 33136 USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive, Room H3580 MC 5640 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University 1265 Welch Road MC5464 MSOB West Wing, Third Floor Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University 453 Quarry Road MC 5660 Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA
| | - Thomas J. Montine
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University 300 Pasteur Drive Medicine Lane Building L235 Stanford, CA 94305 USA
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7
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Espinosa CA, Khan W, Khanam R, Das S, Khalid J, Pervin J, Kasaro MP, Contrepois K, Chang AL, Phongpreecha T, Michael B, Ellenberger M, Mehmood U, Hotwani A, Nizar A, Kabir F, Wong RJ, Becker M, Berson E, Culos A, De Francesco D, Mataraso S, Ravindra N, Thuraiappah M, Xenochristou M, Stelzer IA, Marić I, Dutta A, Raqib R, Ahmed S, Rahman S, Hasan ASMT, Ali SM, Juma MH, Rahman M, Aktar S, Deb S, Price JT, Wise PH, Winn VD, Druzin ML, Gibbs RS, Darmstadt GL, Murray JC, Stringer JSA, Gaudilliere B, Snyder MP, Angst MS, Rahman A, Baqui AH, Jehan F, Nisar MI, Vwalika B, Sazawal S, Shaw GM, Stevenson DK, Aghaeepour N. Multiomic signals associated with maternal epidemiological factors contributing to preterm birth in low- and middle-income countries. Sci Adv 2023; 9:eade7692. [PMID: 37224249 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.ade7692] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2022] [Accepted: 04/20/2023] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of death in children under five, yet comprehensive studies are hindered by its multiple complex etiologies. Epidemiological associations between PTB and maternal characteristics have been previously described. This work used multiomic profiling and multivariate modeling to investigate the biological signatures of these characteristics. Maternal covariates were collected during pregnancy from 13,841 pregnant women across five sites. Plasma samples from 231 participants were analyzed to generate proteomic, metabolomic, and lipidomic datasets. Machine learning models showed robust performance for the prediction of PTB (AUROC = 0.70), time-to-delivery (r = 0.65), maternal age (r = 0.59), gravidity (r = 0.56), and BMI (r = 0.81). Time-to-delivery biological correlates included fetal-associated proteins (e.g., ALPP, AFP, and PGF) and immune proteins (e.g., PD-L1, CCL28, and LIFR). Maternal age negatively correlated with collagen COL9A1, gravidity with endothelial NOS and inflammatory chemokine CXCL13, and BMI with leptin and structural protein FABP4. These results provide an integrated view of epidemiological factors associated with PTB and identify biological signatures of clinical covariates affecting this disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Camilo A Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Waqasuddin Khan
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Rasheda Khanam
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Sayan Das
- Centre for Public Health Kinetics, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | - Javairia Khalid
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Jesmin Pervin
- Maternal and Child Health Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Margaret P Kasaro
- University of North Carolina Global Projects Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Kévin Contrepois
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Alan L Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Basil Michael
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Mathew Ellenberger
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Usma Mehmood
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Aneeta Hotwani
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Ambreen Nizar
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Furqan Kabir
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Ronald J Wong
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Martin Becker
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Eloise Berson
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Anthony Culos
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Computer Science, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Davide De Francesco
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Neal Ravindra
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Melan Thuraiappah
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Maria Xenochristou
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Ina A Stelzer
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Ivana Marić
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Arup Dutta
- Centre for Public Health Kinetics, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | - Rubhana Raqib
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | | | | | | | - Said M Ali
- Public Health Laboratory-Ivo de Carneri, Pemba, Zanzibar, Tanzania
| | - Mohamed H Juma
- Public Health Laboratory-Ivo de Carneri, Pemba, Zanzibar, Tanzania
| | - Monjur Rahman
- Maternal and Child Health Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Shaki Aktar
- Maternal and Child Health Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Saikat Deb
- Centre for Public Health Kinetics, New Delhi, Delhi, India
- Public Health Laboratory-Ivo de Carneri, Pemba, Zanzibar, Tanzania
| | - Joan T Price
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Paul H Wise
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Virginia D Winn
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Maurice L Druzin
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Ronald S Gibbs
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Gary L Darmstadt
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Jeffrey C Murray
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA
| | - Jeffrey S A Stringer
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Brice Gaudilliere
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Michael P Snyder
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Martin S Angst
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Anisur Rahman
- Maternal and Child Health Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Abdullah H Baqui
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Fyezah Jehan
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Imran Nisar
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Medical College, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Bellington Vwalika
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Sunil Sazawal
- Centre for Public Health Kinetics, New Delhi, Delhi, India
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Gary M Shaw
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - David K Stevenson
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
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8
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Kogan E, Didden EM, Lee E, Nnewihe A, Stamatiadis D, Mataraso S, Quinn D, Rosenberg D, Chehoud C, Bridges C. A machine learning approach to identifying patients with pulmonary hypertension using real-world electronic health records. Int J Cardiol 2023; 374:95-99. [PMID: 36528138 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2022.12.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2022] [Revised: 12/06/2022] [Accepted: 12/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to identify patients who are likely to have pulmonary hypertension (PH), using a large patient-level US-based electronic health record (EHR) database. METHODS A gradient boosting model, XGBoost, was developed using data from Optum's US-based de-identified EHR dataset (2007-2019). PH and disease control adult patients were identified using diagnostic, treatment and procedure codes and were randomly split into the training (90%) or test set (10%). Model features included patient demographics, physician visits, diagnoses, procedures, prescriptions, and laboratory test results. SHapley Additive exPlanations values were used to determine feature importance. RESULTS We identified 11,279,478 control and 115,822 PH patients (mean age, respectively: 62 and 68 years, both 53% female). The final model used 165 features, with the most important predictive features including diagnosis of heart failure, shortness of breath and atrial fibrillation. The model predicted PH with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.92. AUROC remained above 0.80 for the prediction of PH up to and beyond 18 months before diagnosis. Among the PH patients, we also identified 955 pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and 1432 chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) patients, and the range of AUROCs obtained for these cohorts was 0.79-0.90 and 0.87-0.96, respectively. CONCLUSIONS This model to detect PH based on patients' EHR records is viable and performs well in subgroups of PAH and CTEPH patients. This approach has the potential to improve patient outcomes by reducing diagnostic delay in PH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily Kogan
- Janssen Pharmaceuticals Inc., Spring House, PA, USA.
| | - Eva-Maria Didden
- Actelion Pharmaceuticals Ltd, a Janssen Pharmaceutical Company of Johnson & Johnson, Allschwil, Switzerland, Global Epidemiology Department
| | - Eileen Lee
- Janssen Pharmaceuticals Inc., Spring House, PA, USA
| | | | - Dimitri Stamatiadis
- Actelion Pharmaceuticals Ltd, a Janssen Pharmaceutical Company of Johnson & Johnson, Allschwil, Switzerland, Global R&D Department
| | | | | | - Daniel Rosenberg
- Actelion Pharmaceuticals Ltd, a Janssen Pharmaceutical Company of Johnson & Johnson, Allschwil, Switzerland, Global Epidemiology Department
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9
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De Francesco D, Reiss JD, Roger J, Tang AS, Chang AL, Becker M, Phongpreecha T, Espinosa C, Morin S, Berson E, Thuraiappah M, Le BL, Ravindra NG, Payrovnaziri SN, Mataraso S, Kim Y, Xue L, Rosenstein MG, Oskotsky T, Marić I, Gaudilliere B, Carvalho B, Bateman BT, Angst MS, Prince LS, Blumenfeld YJ, Benitz WE, Fuerch JH, Shaw GM, Sylvester KG, Stevenson DK, Sirota M, Aghaeepour N. Data-driven longitudinal characterization of neonatal health and morbidity. Sci Transl Med 2023; 15:eadc9854. [PMID: 36791208 PMCID: PMC10197092 DOI: 10.1126/scitranslmed.adc9854] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2022] [Accepted: 01/11/2023] [Indexed: 02/17/2023]
Abstract
Although prematurity is the single largest cause of death in children under 5 years of age, the current definition of prematurity, based on gestational age, lacks the precision needed for guiding care decisions. Here, we propose a longitudinal risk assessment for adverse neonatal outcomes in newborns based on a deep learning model that uses electronic health records (EHRs) to predict a wide range of outcomes over a period starting shortly before conception and ending months after birth. By linking the EHRs of the Lucile Packard Children's Hospital and the Stanford Healthcare Adult Hospital, we developed a cohort of 22,104 mother-newborn dyads delivered between 2014 and 2018. Maternal and newborn EHRs were extracted and used to train a multi-input multitask deep learning model, featuring a long short-term memory neural network, to predict 24 different neonatal outcomes. An additional cohort of 10,250 mother-newborn dyads delivered at the same Stanford Hospitals from 2019 to September 2020 was used to validate the model. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve at delivery exceeded 0.9 for 10 of the 24 neonatal outcomes considered and were between 0.8 and 0.9 for 7 additional outcomes. Moreover, comprehensive association analysis identified multiple known associations between various maternal and neonatal features and specific neonatal outcomes. This study used linked EHRs from more than 30,000 mother-newborn dyads and would serve as a resource for the investigation and prediction of neonatal outcomes. An interactive website is available for independent investigators to leverage this unique dataset: https://maternal-child-health-associations.shinyapps.io/shiny_app/.
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Affiliation(s)
- Davide De Francesco
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Jonathan D. Reiss
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Jacquelyn Roger
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Graduate Program in Biological and Medical Informatics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Alice S. Tang
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Graduate Program in Biological and Medical Informatics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Graduate Program in Bioengineering, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94158, USA
| | - Alan L. Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Martin Becker
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Susanna Morin
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Graduate Program in Biological and Medical Informatics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Eloïse Berson
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pathology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Melan Thuraiappah
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Brian L. Le
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Neal G. Ravindra
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Seyedeh Neelufar Payrovnaziri
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Yeasul Kim
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Lei Xue
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Melissa G. Rosenstein
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94158, USA
| | - Tomiko Oskotsky
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Ivana Marić
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Brice Gaudilliere
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Brendan Carvalho
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Brian T. Bateman
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Martin S. Angst
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Lawrence S. Prince
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Yair J. Blumenfeld
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - William E. Benitz
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Janene H. Fuerch
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Gary M. Shaw
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Karl G. Sylvester
- Department of Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - David K. Stevenson
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
| | - Marina Sirota
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
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10
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Maharjan J, Ektefaie Y, Ryan L, Mataraso S, Barnes G, Shokouhi S, Green-Saxena A, Calvert J, Mao Q, Das R. Enriching the Study Population for Ischemic Stroke Therapeutic Trials Using a Machine Learning Algorithm. Front Neurol 2022; 12:784250. [PMID: 35145468 PMCID: PMC8823366 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2021.784250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2021] [Accepted: 12/22/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Strokes represent a leading cause of mortality globally. The evolution of developing new therapies is subject to safety and efficacy testing in clinical trials, which operate in a limited timeframe. To maximize the impact of these trials, patient cohorts for whom ischemic stroke is likely during that designated timeframe should be identified. Machine learning may improve upon existing candidate identification methods in order to maximize the impact of clinical trials for stroke prevention and treatment and improve patient safety. Methods A retrospective study was performed using 41,970 qualifying patient encounters with ischemic stroke from inpatient visits recorded from over 700 inpatient and ambulatory care sites. Patient data were extracted from electronic health records and used to train and test a gradient boosted machine learning algorithm (MLA) to predict the patients' risk of experiencing ischemic stroke from the period of 1 day up to 1 year following the patient encounter. The primary outcome of interest was the occurrence of ischemic stroke. Results After training for optimization, XGBoost obtained a specificity of 0.793, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.194, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.985. The MLA further obtained an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.88. The Logistic Regression and multilayer perceptron models both achieved AUROCs of 0.862. Among features that significantly impacted the prediction of ischemic stroke were previous stroke history, age, and mean systolic blood pressure. Conclusion MLAs have the potential to more accurately predict the near risk of ischemic stroke within a 1-year prediction window for individuals who have been hospitalized. This risk stratification tool can be used to design clinical trials to test stroke prevention treatments in high-risk populations by identifying subjects who would be more likely to benefit from treatment.
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11
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Ryan L, Maharjan J, Mataraso S, Barnes G, Hoffman J, Mao Q, Calvert J, Das R. Predicting pulmonary embolism among hospitalized patients with machine learning algorithms. Pulm Circ 2022; 12:e12013. [PMID: 35506114 PMCID: PMC9052977 DOI: 10.1002/pul2.12013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2021] [Revised: 11/24/2021] [Accepted: 11/28/2021] [Indexed: 01/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Objective Materials and Methods Results Conclusions
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12
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Becker M, Dai J, Chang AL, Feyaerts D, Stelzer IA, Zhang M, Berson E, Saarunya G, De Francesco D, Espinosa C, Kim Y, Marić I, Mataraso S, Payrovnaziri SN, Phongpreecha T, Ravindra NG, Shome S, Tan Y, Thuraiappah M, Xue L, Mayo JA, Quaintance CC, Laborde A, King LS, Dhabhar FS, Gotlib IH, Wong RJ, Angst MS, Shaw GM, Stevenson DK, Gaudilliere B, Aghaeepour N. Revealing the impact of lifestyle stressors on the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes with multitask machine learning. Front Pediatr 2022; 10:933266. [PMID: 36582513 PMCID: PMC9793100 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2022.933266] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2022] [Accepted: 11/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
UNLABELLED Psychosocial and stress-related factors (PSFs), defined as internal or external stimuli that induce biological changes, are potentially modifiable factors and accessible targets for interventions that are associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs). Although individual APOs have been shown to be connected to PSFs, they are biologically interconnected, relatively infrequent, and therefore challenging to model. In this context, multi-task machine learning (MML) is an ideal tool for exploring the interconnectedness of APOs on the one hand and building on joint combinatorial outcomes to increase predictive power on the other hand. Additionally, by integrating single cell immunological profiling of underlying biological processes, the effects of stress-based therapeutics may be measurable, facilitating the development of precision medicine approaches. OBJECTIVES The primary objectives were to jointly model multiple APOs and their connection to stress early in pregnancy, and to explore the underlying biology to guide development of accessible and measurable interventions. MATERIALS AND METHODS In a prospective cohort study, PSFs were assessed during the first trimester with an extensive self-filled questionnaire for 200 women. We used MML to simultaneously model, and predict APOs (severe preeclampsia, superimposed preeclampsia, gestational diabetes and early gestational age) as well as several risk factors (BMI, diabetes, hypertension) for these patients based on PSFs. Strongly interrelated stressors were categorized to identify potential therapeutic targets. Furthermore, for a subset of 14 women, we modeled the connection of PSFs to the maternal immune system to APOs by building corresponding ML models based on an extensive single cell immune dataset generated by mass cytometry time of flight (CyTOF). RESULTS Jointly modeling APOs in a MML setting significantly increased modeling capabilities and yielded a highly predictive integrated model of APOs underscoring their interconnectedness. Most APOs were associated with mental health, life stress, and perceived health risks. Biologically, stressors were associated with specific immune characteristics revolving around CD4/CD8 T cells. Immune characteristics predicted based on stress were in turn found to be associated with APOs. CONCLUSIONS Elucidating connections among stress, multiple APOs simultaneously, and immune characteristics has the potential to facilitate the implementation of ML-based, individualized, integrative models of pregnancy in clinical decision making. The modifiable nature of stressors may enable the development of accessible interventions, with success tracked through immune characteristics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martin Becker
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Chair for Intelligent Data Analytics, Institute for Visual and Analytic Computing, Department of Computer Science and Electrical Engineering, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany
| | - Jennifer Dai
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Alan L Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Dorien Feyaerts
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Ina A Stelzer
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Miao Zhang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Eloise Berson
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Geetha Saarunya
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Davide De Francesco
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Camilo Espinosa
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Yeasul Kim
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Ivana Marić
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Seyedeh Neelufar Payrovnaziri
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Thanaphong Phongpreecha
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pathology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Neal G Ravindra
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Sayane Shome
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Yuqi Tan
- Department of Microbiology & Immunology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Baxter Laboratory for Stem Cell Biology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Melan Thuraiappah
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Lei Xue
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Jonathan A Mayo
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | | | - Ana Laborde
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Lucy S King
- Department of Psychology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Firdaus S Dhabhar
- Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States.,Department of Microbiology & Immunology, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States.,Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States.,Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States
| | - Ian H Gotlib
- Department of Psychology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Ronald J Wong
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Martin S Angst
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Gary M Shaw
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - David K Stevenson
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Brice Gaudilliere
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
| | - Nima Aghaeepour
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.,Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States
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13
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Stewart M, Rodriguez-Watson C, Albayrak A, Asubonteng J, Belli A, Brown T, Cho K, Das R, Eldridge E, Gatto N, Gelman A, Gerlovin H, Goldberg SL, Hansen E, Hirsch J, Ho YL, Ip A, Izano M, Jones J, Justice AC, Klesh R, Kuranz S, Lam C, Mao Q, Mataraso S, Mera R, Posner DC, Rassen JA, Siefkas A, Schrag A, Tourassi G, Weckstein A, Wolf F, Bhat A, Winckler S, Sigal EV, Allen J. COVID-19 Evidence Accelerator: A parallel analysis to describe the use of Hydroxychloroquine with or without Azithromycin among hospitalized COVID-19 patients. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0248128. [PMID: 33730088 PMCID: PMC7968637 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2020] [Accepted: 02/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The COVID-19 pandemic remains a significant global threat. However, despite urgent need, there remains uncertainty surrounding best practices for pharmaceutical interventions to treat COVID-19. In particular, conflicting evidence has emerged surrounding the use of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin, alone or in combination, for COVID-19. The COVID-19 Evidence Accelerator convened by the Reagan-Udall Foundation for the FDA, in collaboration with Friends of Cancer Research, assembled experts from the health systems research, regulatory science, data science, and epidemiology to participate in a large parallel analysis of different data sets to further explore the effectiveness of these treatments. METHODS Electronic health record (EHR) and claims data were extracted from seven separate databases. Parallel analyses were undertaken on data extracted from each source. Each analysis examined time to mortality in hospitalized patients treated with hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, and the two in combination as compared to patients not treated with either drug. Cox proportional hazards models were used, and propensity score methods were undertaken to adjust for confounding. Frequencies of adverse events in each treatment group were also examined. RESULTS Neither hydroxychloroquine nor azithromycin, alone or in combination, were significantly associated with time to mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients. No treatment groups appeared to have an elevated risk of adverse events. CONCLUSION Administration of hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, and their combination appeared to have no effect on time to mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Continued research is needed to clarify best practices surrounding treatment of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark Stewart
- Friends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Carla Rodriguez-Watson
- Reagan-Udall Foundation for the FDA, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Adem Albayrak
- Health Catalyst, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America
| | - Julius Asubonteng
- Gilead Science, Inc. Foster City, California, United States of America
| | - Andrew Belli
- COTA, Inc., Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Thomas Brown
- Syapse, San Francisco, California, United States of America
| | - Kelly Cho
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Ritankar Das
- Dascena, Oakland, California, United States of America
| | | | - Nicolle Gatto
- Aetion, New York, New York, United States of America
| | - Alice Gelman
- Health Catalyst, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America
| | - Hanna Gerlovin
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Stuart L. Goldberg
- Division of Outcomes and Value Research, John Theurer Cancer Center at Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, New Jersey, United States of America
| | - Eric Hansen
- COTA, Inc., Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | | | - Yuk-Lam Ho
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Andrew Ip
- Division of Outcomes and Value Research, John Theurer Cancer Center at Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, New Jersey, United States of America
| | - Monika Izano
- Syapse, San Francisco, California, United States of America
| | - Jason Jones
- Health Catalyst, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America
| | - Amy C. Justice
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Yale University Schools of Medicine and Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Reyna Klesh
- HealthVerity, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America
| | - Seth Kuranz
- TriNetX, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Carson Lam
- Dascena, Oakland, California, United States of America
| | - Qingqing Mao
- Dascena, Oakland, California, United States of America
| | | | - Robertino Mera
- Gilead Science, Inc. Foster City, California, United States of America
| | - Daniel C. Posner
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | | | - Anna Siefkas
- Dascena, Oakland, California, United States of America
| | - Andrew Schrag
- Syapse, San Francisco, California, United States of America
| | - Georgia Tourassi
- National Center for Computational Sciences Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, United States of America
| | | | - Frank Wolf
- Syapse, San Francisco, California, United States of America
| | - Amar Bhat
- Reagan-Udall Foundation for the FDA, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Susan Winckler
- Reagan-Udall Foundation for the FDA, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Ellen V. Sigal
- Friends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
- Reagan-Udall Foundation for the FDA, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Jeff Allen
- Friends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
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14
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Ryan L, Mataraso S, Siefkas A, Pellegrini E, Barnes G, Green-Saxena A, Hoffman J, Calvert J, Das R. A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Deep Venous Thrombosis Among Hospitalized Patients. Clin Appl Thromb Hemost 2021; 27:1076029621991185. [PMID: 33625875 PMCID: PMC7907939 DOI: 10.1177/1076029621991185] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and increased healthcare costs. Standard scoring systems for DVT risk stratification often provide insufficient stratification of hospitalized patients and are unable to accurately predict which inpatients are most likely to present with DVT. There is a continued need for tools which can predict DVT in hospitalized patients. We performed a retrospective study on a database collected from a large academic hospital, comprised of 99,237 total general ward or ICU patients, 2,378 of whom experienced a DVT during their hospital stay. Gradient boosted machine learning algorithms were developed to predict a patient's risk of developing DVT at 12- and 24-hour windows prior to onset. The primary outcome of interest was diagnosis of in-hospital DVT. The machine learning predictors obtained AUROCs of 0.83 and 0.85 for DVT risk prediction on hospitalized patients at 12- and 24-hour windows, respectively. At both 12 and 24 hours before DVT onset, the most important features for prediction of DVT were cancer history, VTE history, and internal normalized ratio (INR). Improved risk stratification may prevent unnecessary invasive testing in patients for whom DVT cannot be ruled out using existing methods. Improved risk stratification may also allow for more targeted use of prophylactic anticoagulants, as well as earlier diagnosis and treatment, preventing the development of pulmonary emboli and other sequelae of DVT.
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15
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Allen A, Mataraso S, Siefkas A, Burdick H, Braden G, Dellinger RP, McCoy A, Pellegrini E, Hoffman J, Green-Saxena A, Barnes G, Calvert J, Das R. A Racially Unbiased, Machine Learning Approach to Prediction of Mortality: Algorithm Development Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2020; 6:e22400. [PMID: 33090117 PMCID: PMC7644374 DOI: 10.2196/22400] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2020] [Revised: 09/25/2020] [Accepted: 10/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Racial disparities in health care are well documented in the United States. As machine learning methods become more common in health care settings, it is important to ensure that these methods do not contribute to racial disparities through biased predictions or differential accuracy across racial groups. Objective The goal of the research was to assess a machine learning algorithm intentionally developed to minimize bias in in-hospital mortality predictions between white and nonwhite patient groups. Methods Bias was minimized through preprocessing of algorithm training data. We performed a retrospective analysis of electronic health record data from patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at a large academic health center between 2001 and 2012, drawing data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care–III database. Patients were included if they had at least 10 hours of available measurements after ICU admission, had at least one of every measurement used for model prediction, and had recorded race/ethnicity data. Bias was assessed through the equal opportunity difference. Model performance in terms of bias and accuracy was compared with the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), and the Acute Physiologic Assessment and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE). Results The machine learning algorithm was found to be more accurate than all comparators, with a higher sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic. The machine learning algorithm was found to be unbiased (equal opportunity difference 0.016, P=.20). APACHE was also found to be unbiased (equal opportunity difference 0.019, P=.11), while SAPS II and MEWS were found to have significant bias (equal opportunity difference 0.038, P=.006 and equal opportunity difference 0.074, P<.001, respectively). Conclusions This study indicates there may be significant racial bias in commonly used severity scoring systems and that machine learning algorithms may reduce bias while improving on the accuracy of these methods.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Hoyt Burdick
- Cabell Huntington Hospital, Huntington, WV, United States.,Marshall University School of Medicine, Huntington, WV, United States
| | - Gregory Braden
- Kidney Care and Transplant Associates of New England, Springfield, MA, United States
| | - R Phillip Dellinger
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, Cooper University Hospital/Cooper Medical School of Rowan University, Camden, NJ, United States
| | - Andrea McCoy
- Cape Regional Medical Center, Cape May Court House, NJ, United States
| | | | | | | | - Gina Barnes
- Dascena, Inc, San Francisco, CA, United States
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16
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Ryan L, Lam C, Mataraso S, Allen A, Green-Saxena A, Pellegrini E, Hoffman J, Barton C, McCoy A, Das R. Mortality prediction model for the triage of COVID-19, pneumonia, and mechanically ventilated ICU patients: A retrospective study. Ann Med Surg (Lond) 2020; 59:207-216. [PMID: 33042536 PMCID: PMC7532803 DOI: 10.1016/j.amsu.2020.09.044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2020] [Revised: 09/18/2020] [Accepted: 09/20/2020] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Rationale Prediction of patients at risk for mortality can help triage patients and assist in resource allocation. Objectives Develop and evaluate a machine learning-based algorithm which accurately predicts mortality in COVID-19, pneumonia, and mechanically ventilated patients. Methods Retrospective study of 53,001 total ICU patients, including 9166 patients with pneumonia and 25,895 mechanically ventilated patients, performed on the MIMIC dataset. An additional retrospective analysis was performed on a community hospital dataset containing 114 patients positive for SARS-COV-2 by PCR test. The outcome of interest was in-hospital patient mortality. Results When trained and tested on the MIMIC dataset, the XGBoost predictor obtained area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) values of 0.82, 0.81, 0.77, and 0.75 for mortality prediction on mechanically ventilated patients at 12-, 24-, 48-, and 72- hour windows, respectively, and AUROCs of 0.87, 0.78, 0.77, and 0.734 for mortality prediction on pneumonia patients at 12-, 24-, 48-, and 72- hour windows, respectively. The predictor outperformed the qSOFA, MEWS and CURB-65 risk scores at all prediction windows. When tested on the community hospital dataset, the predictor obtained AUROCs of 0.91, 0.90, 0.86, and 0.87 for mortality prediction on COVID-19 patients at 12-, 24-, 48-, and 72- hour windows, respectively, outperforming the qSOFA, MEWS and CURB-65 risk scores at all prediction windows. Conclusions This machine learning-based algorithm is a useful predictive tool for anticipating patient mortality at clinically useful timepoints, and is capable of accurate mortality prediction for mechanically ventilated patients as well as those diagnosed with pneumonia and COVID-19. Mortality predictions have not previously been evaluated for COVID-19 patients. Machine learning may be a useful predictive tool for anticipating patient mortality. Prediction can be estimated at clinically useful windows up to 72 h in advance.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Andrea McCoy
- Cape Regional Medical Center, Cape May Court House, NJ, USA
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Schüssler-Fiorenza Rose SM, Contrepois K, Moneghetti KJ, Zhou W, Mishra T, Mataraso S, Dagan-Rosenfeld O, Ganz AB, Dunn J, Hornburg D, Rego S, Perelman D, Ahadi S, Sailani MR, Zhou Y, Leopold SR, Chen J, Ashland M, Christle JW, Avina M, Limcaoco P, Ruiz C, Tan M, Butte AJ, Weinstock GM, Slavich GM, Sodergren E, McLaughlin TL, Haddad F, Snyder MP. A longitudinal big data approach for precision health. Nat Med 2019; 25:792-804. [PMID: 31068711 PMCID: PMC6713274 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-019-0414-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 234] [Impact Index Per Article: 46.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2018] [Accepted: 03/06/2019] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Precision health relies on the ability to assess disease risk at an individual level, detect early preclinical conditions and initiate preventive strategies. Recent technological advances in omics and wearable monitoring enable deep molecular and physiological profiling and may provide important tools for precision health. We explored the ability of deep longitudinal profiling to make health-related discoveries, identify clinically relevant molecular pathways and affect behavior in a prospective longitudinal cohort (n = 109) enriched for risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus. The cohort underwent integrative personalized omics profiling from samples collected quarterly for up to 8 years (median, 2.8 years) using clinical measures and emerging technologies including genome, immunome, transcriptome, proteome, metabolome, microbiome and wearable monitoring. We discovered more than 67 clinically actionable health discoveries and identified multiple molecular pathways associated with metabolic, cardiovascular and oncologic pathophysiology. We developed prediction models for insulin resistance by using omics measurements, illustrating their potential to replace burdensome tests. Finally, study participation led the majority of participants to implement diet and exercise changes. Altogether, we conclude that deep longitudinal profiling can lead to actionable health discoveries and provide relevant information for precision health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sophia Miryam Schüssler-Fiorenza Rose
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Spinal Cord Injury Service, Veteran Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA, USA
- Department of Neurosurgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Kévin Contrepois
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Kegan J Moneghetti
- Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Wenyu Zhou
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Tejaswini Mishra
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Samson Mataraso
- Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Department of Bioengineering, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
| | - Orit Dagan-Rosenfeld
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Ariel B Ganz
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Jessilyn Dunn
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Mobilize Center, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Daniel Hornburg
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Shannon Rego
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Dalia Perelman
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Sara Ahadi
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - M Reza Sailani
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Yanjiao Zhou
- The Jackson Laboratory for Genomic Medicine, Farmington, CT, USA
- Department of Medicine, University of Connecticut Health, Farmington, CT, USA
| | - Shana R Leopold
- The Jackson Laboratory for Genomic Medicine, Farmington, CT, USA
| | - Jieming Chen
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute and Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Melanie Ashland
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Jeffrey W Christle
- Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Monika Avina
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Patricia Limcaoco
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Camilo Ruiz
- Department of Bioengineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Marilyn Tan
- Division of Endocrinology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Atul J Butte
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute and Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | | | - George M Slavich
- Cousins Center for Psychoneuroimmunology and Department of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Erica Sodergren
- The Jackson Laboratory for Genomic Medicine, Farmington, CT, USA
| | - Tracey L McLaughlin
- Division of Endocrinology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Francois Haddad
- Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
| | - Michael P Snyder
- Department of Genetics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
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Calvert J, Hoffman J, Barton C, Shimabukuro D, Ries M, Chettipally U, Kerem Y, Jay M, Mataraso S, Das R. Cost and mortality impact of an algorithm-driven sepsis prediction system. J Med Econ 2017; 20:646-651. [PMID: 28294646 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2017.1307203] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
AIMS To compute the financial and mortality impact of InSight, an algorithm-driven biomarker, which forecasts the onset of sepsis with minimal use of electronic health record data. METHODS This study compares InSight with existing sepsis screening tools and computes the differential life and cost savings associated with its use in the inpatient setting. To do so, mortality reduction is obtained from an increase in the number of sepsis cases correctly identified by InSight. Early sepsis detection by InSight is also associated with a reduction in length-of-stay, from which cost savings are directly computed. RESULTS InSight identifies more true positive cases of severe sepsis, with fewer false alarms, than comparable methods. For an individual ICU with 50 beds, for example, it is determined that InSight annually saves 75 additional lives and reduces sepsis-related costs by $560,000. LIMITATIONS InSight performance results are derived from analysis of a single-center cohort. Mortality reduction results rely on a simplified use case, which fixes prediction times at 0, 1, and 2 h before sepsis onset, likely leading to under-estimates of lives saved. The corresponding cost reduction numbers are based on national averages for daily patient length-of-stay cost. CONCLUSIONS InSight has the potential to reduce sepsis-related deaths and to lead to substantial cost savings for healthcare facilities.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Christopher Barton
- b Department of Emergency Medicine , University of California San Francisco , San Francisco , CA , USA
| | - David Shimabukuro
- c Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Anesthesia and Perioperative Care , University of California San Francisco , San Francisco , CA , USA
| | - Michael Ries
- d Adult Critical Care, Advocate Health , Oak Brook , IL , USA
| | - Uli Chettipally
- b Department of Emergency Medicine , University of California San Francisco , San Francisco , CA , USA
- e Department of Emergency Medicine , Kaiser Permanente South San Francisco Medical Center , South San Francisco , CA , USA
| | - Yaniv Kerem
- f Department of Clinical Informatics, Stanford University School of Medicine , Stanford , CA , USA
- g Department of Emergency Medicine , Kaiser Permanente Redwood City Medical Center , Redwood City , CA , USA
| | | | - Samson Mataraso
- h Department of Bioengineering , University of California Berkeley , Berkeley , CA , USA
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