Stochastic models for the onset and disease course of multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Exact causes and mechanisms regulating the onset and progression in many chronic diseases, including multiple sclerosis (MS), remain uncertain. Until now, the potential role of random process based on stochastic models in the temporal course of chronic diseases remains largely unevaluated. Therefore, the present study investigated the applicability of stochastic models for the onset and disease course of MS.

METHODS

Stochastic models with random temporal process in disease activity, underlying clinical relapse and/or subclinical brain atrophy, were developed. The models incorporated parameters regarding the distribution of temporal changes in disease activity and the drift constant.

RESULTS

By adjusting the parameters (temporal change dispersion and drift constant) and the threshold for the onset of disease, the stochastic disease progression models could reproduce various types of subsequent disease course, such as clinically isolated syndrome (monophasic), relapsing-remitting MS, primary-progressive MS, and secondary-progressive MS. Furthermore, the disease prevalence and distribution of onset age could be also reproduced with stochastic models by adjusting the parameters. The models could further explain why approximately half of the patients with relapsing-remitting MS will eventually experience a transition to secondary-progressive MS.

CONCLUSION

Stochastic models with random temporal changes in disease activity could reproduce the characteristic onset age distribution and disease course forms in MS. Further studies by using real-world data to underscore the significance of random process in the occurrence and progression of MS are warranted.

A Reduction in the Number of Hospitalized Cases of Acute Meningitis during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan

Objective The changes in the prevalence of acute meningitis during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic remain unclear. This study aimed to compare the prevalence of acute meningitis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan. Methods We retrospectively reviewed the Japanese nationwide administrative medical payment system database, Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC), from 2016 to 2022. A total of 547 hospitals consistently and seamlessly offered DPC data during this period. The study period was divided into the following three periods: April 2016 to March 2018 (fiscal years 2016-2017), April 2018-March 2020 (2018-2019), and April 2020-March 2022 (2020-2021). Results Among the 28,161,806 patients hospitalized during the study period, 28,399 were hospitalized for acute meningitis: 16,678 for viral/aseptic type, 6,189 for bacterial type, 655 for fungal type, 429 for tuberculous, 2,310 for carcinomatous type, and 2,138 for other or unknown types of meningitis. A significant decrease during the pandemic was confirmed in viral (n=7,032, n=5,775, and n=3,871 in each period; p<0.0001) and bacterial meningitis (n=2,291, n=2,239, and n=1,659; p<0.0001) cases. Meanwhile, no decrease was observed in fungal meningitis (n=212, n=246, and n=197; p=0.056) or carcinomatous meningitis (n=781, n=795, and n=734; p=0.27). The decrease in the number of tuberculous meningitis cases was equivocal (n=166, n=146, and n=117; p=0.014). The decrease during the pandemic was more remarkable in younger populations aged <50 years than in older populations, both for viral and bacterial meningitis. Conclusion The number of hospitalized cases of acute meningitis clearly decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic, especially for viral and bacterial meningitis in younger populations aged <50 years.

Low Hemoglobin Level and Elevated Inflammatory Hematological Ratios Associated With Depression and Sleep Disturbance

BACKGROUND

The relationship between blood cell profiles, including hemoglobin (Hb) levels and inflammatory hematological ratios, and mental health problems currently remains unclear.

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the relationship between blood cell profiles and mental health issues, including depressive state and sleep disturbance, while adjusting for potential demographic confounders.

METHODOLOGY

This retrospective, cross-sectional, observational study used a population-based medical database from the Tohoku Medical Megabank Project with more than 60,000 volunteers. Data on age, sex, daily tobacco use, body mass index, and self-reported scores on the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K6), Athens Insomnia Scale (AIS), and the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D) were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 62,796 volunteers (23,663 males and 39,133 females), aged ≥20 years at the time of the blood test, agreed to participate in this study. Among the evaluated blood cell profiles, Hb, hematocrit, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were significantly correlated with the K6, AIS, and CES-D scores, with strong statistical significance (p<0.0001 for all) in bivariate correlation analyses. A significant adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of the Hb level for elevated CES-D scores (aOR=0.965 [95% CI: 0.949-0.981], p<0.0001) was confirmed after adjusting for demographic data and daily tobacco use using a logistic regression model. Sensitivity analyses revealed that these associations existed in both males and females but were more prominent in the former. In male participants, a low Hb level was significantly associated with an elevated AIS score. The evaluated inflammatory hematological ratios, including NLR, PLR, and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), also showed significant aORs with the K6, AIS, and CES-D scores after adjusting for demographic background.

CONCLUSION

Low Hb levels and elevated inflammatory hematological ratios (NLR, MLR, and PLR) were associated with depressive state and sleep disturbances in the general population.

Prenatal hypertension as the risk of eclampsia, HELLP syndrome, and critical obstetric hemorrhage

Critical bleeding is a common cause of maternal mortality in obstetric patients. However, the non-obstetric factors underlying critical obstetric bleeding remain uncertain. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify the impact of chronic hypertension on obstetric hemorrhage by evaluating a nationwide administrative database in Japan. Women who gave birth between 2018 and 2022 were enrolled. The primary outcome was critical hemorrhage requiring massive red blood cell (RBC) transfusion during childbirth. In total, 354, 299 eligible women were selected from the database. The maternal mortality rate was >1.0% among those who received a massive RBC transfusion (≥4000 cc), and this amount was used as the cutoff of the outcome. Critical hemorrhage was less frequent with elective Caesarean section (CS) compared with vaginal childbirth or emergent CS (odds ratio [OR], 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.30-0.47). Multiple logistic regression analysis adjusting for these obstetric risks revealed that a higher maternal age (adjusted OR [aOR] per 1 year, 1.07 [1.05-1.09]); oral medications with prednisolone (aOR, 2.5 [1.4-4.4]), anti-coagulants (aOR, 10 [5.4-19]), and anti-platelets (aOR, 2.9 [1.3-6.4]); and a prenatal history of hypertension (aOR, 2.5 [1.5-4.4]) and hypoproteinemia (aOR, 5.8 [1.7-20]) are the risks underlying critical obstetric hemorrhage. Prenatal history of hypertension was significantly associated with obstetric disseminated intravascular coagulation (OR, 1.9 [1.5-2.4]); Hemolysis, Elevated Liver enzymes, and Low platelet count (HELLP) syndrome (OR, 3.3 [2.7-4.2]); and eclampsia (OR, 6.1 [4.6-8.1]). In conclusion, a maternal prenatal history of hypertension is associated with the development of HELLP syndrome, eclampsia, and resultant critical hemorrhage. The incidence of HELLP syndrome and eclampsia increased more than fivefold in the presence of prenatal hypertension. However, the likelihood of subsequently developing DIC or experiencing critical bleeding did not change by the presence of prenatal hypertension.

Enlarged choroid plexus in multiple sclerosis is associated with increased lesion load and atrophy in white matter but not gray matter atrophy

BACKGROUND

Enlargement of the choroid plexus (CP) is reported to associate with inflammatory activity and contribute to brain atrophy in patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). However, a recent study in healthy volunteers (HVTs) has suggested that CP enlargement can be attributed to ventriculomegaly.

OBJECTIVES

To clarify the pathological significance of the enlargement of CP in multiple sclerosis (MS).

METHODS

A total of 102 pwMS (89 with relapsing-remitting MS and 13 with secondary progressive MS) and 41 HVTs were cross-sectionally evaluated using brain volumetry. The CP volume was compared between disease groups and investigated for the relationships with other brain regional volumes.

RESULTS

CP volume was significantly larger in pwMS than in HVTs in the univariate analysis, but not in multivariable analysis. Meanwhile, the CP and lateral ventricle (LV) volumes were significantly correlated. CP enlargement was significantly associated with increased lesion load and cerebral white matter (WM) atrophy, even after adjusting for LV volume. In contrast, multivariable analyses revealed that LV enlargement, but not CP enlargement, was associated with total gray matter (GM) atrophy.

CONCLUSION

CP enlargement was closely associated with LV enlargement. After adjusting for LV volume, CP enlargement in pwMS was associated with increased lesion load and WM atrophy but not GM atrophy.

Improved Activities of Daily Living With Adjunctive Intravenous Steroids in Bacterial Meningitis: A Nationwide, Population-Based Medical Database Study

The benefit of using adjunctive intravenous steroids (IVS) to reduce the neurological sequelae in bacterial meningitis remains inconclusive. This study evaluated the effect of IVS on improving the subsequent Activities of Daily Living (ADL) in bacterial meningitis by analyzing data from a large nationwide administrative medical database in Japan. Data from 1,132 hospitals, covered by the administrative Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) payment system from 2016 to 2022, were evaluated. The ADL levels at admission and discharge were measured using the Barthel Index (BI). Out of the cumulative 47,366,222 patients hospitalized, 8,736 were diagnosed with acute bacterial meningitis and had BI data available. The BI at discharge, adjusted for sex, age, and BI at admission, was significantly better among those treated with IVS (p<0.0001). Exploratory subgroup analyses suggested that this benefit is expected across a broad spectrum of bacterial species. In summary, the use of IVS for improving the subsequent ADL level in bacterial meningitis was suggested.

Evaluation of Statistical Approaches in Developing a Predictive Model of Severe COVID-19 during Early Phase of Pandemic with Limited Data Resources

As evidence of risk factors for severe cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was uncertain in early phases of the pandemic, the development of an efficient predictive model for severe cases to triage high-risk individuals represented an urgent yet challenging issue. It is crucial to select appropriate statistical models when available data and evidence are limited. This study was conducted to assess the accuracy of different statistical models in predicting severe cases using demographic data from patients with COVID-19 prior to the emergence of consequential variants. We analyzed data from 929 consecutive patients diagnosed with COVID-19 prior to March 2021, including their age, sex, body mass index, and past medical histories, and compared areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC) between different statistical models. The random forest (RF) model, deep learning (DL) models with not too many neurons, and naïve Bayes model exhibited AUC measures of > 0.70 with the validation datasets. The naïve Bayes model performed the best with the AUC measures of > 0.80. The accuracies in RF were more robust with narrower distribution of AUC measures compared to those in DL. The benefit of performing feature selection with a training dataset before building models was seen in some models, but not in all models. In summary, the naïve Bayes and RF models exhibited ideal predictive performance even with limited available data. The benefit of performing feature selection before building models with limited data resources depended on machine learning methods and parameters.

Basal Ganglia Atrophy and Impaired Cognitive Processing Speed in Multiple Sclerosis

Impaired cognitive processing speed is among the important higher brain dysfunctions in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the exact structural mechanisms of the dysfunction remain uncertain. This study aimed to identify the brain regions associated with the impaired cognitive processing speed in MS by comparing the cognitive processing speed, measured using the Cognitive Processing Speed Test (CogEval) z-score, and brain regional volumetric data. Altogether, 80 patients with MS (64 with relapsing-remitting MS [RRMS] and 16 with secondary progressive MS [SPMS]) were enrolled. Consequently, CogEval z-scores were worse in patients with SPMS than in those with RRMS (p=0.001). In the univariate correlation analyses, significant correlations with CogEval z-score were suggested in the MS lesion volume (p<0.001; Spearman's rank correlation test) and atrophies in the cerebral cortex (p=0.031), cerebral white matter (p=0.013), corpus callosum (p=0.001), thalamus (p=0.001), and putamen (p<0.001). Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that putamen atrophy was significantly associated with CogEval z-score (p=0.038) independent of volume in other brain regions, while thalamic atrophy was not (p=0.79). Univariate correlation analyses were further performed in each of RRMS and SPMS. None of the evaluated volumetric data indicated a significant correlation with the CogEval z-score in RRMS. Meanwhile, atrophies in the cerebral white matter (p=0.008), corpus callosum (p=0.002), putamen (p=0.011), and pallidum (p=0.017) demonstrated significant correlations with CogEval z-score in SPMS. In summary, the putamen could be an important region of atrophy contributing to the impaired cognitive speed in MS, especially in the later disease stages after a transition to SPMS.

Demographic profiles and risk factors for mortality in acute meningitis: A nationwide population-based observational study

Aim

Acute meningitis encompasses bacterial, viral (aseptic), fungal, tuberculous, and carcinomatous meningitis. The rate and risks of mortality in each type remain uncertain. This study aimed to elucidate these aspects in each type of meningitis.

Methods

This study utilized Japan's nationwide administrative Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) database. Patients with acute meningitis, treated at 1132 DPC-covered hospitals from 2016 to 2022, were enrolled.

Results

Among 47,366,222 cumulative hospitalized patients, 48,758 (0.10%) were hospitalized with acute meningitis. The types of meningitis were as follows: 10,338 with bacterial, 29,486 with viral/aseptic, 965 with fungal, 678 with tuberculous, and 3790 with carcinomatous meningitis. Bacterial and viral meningitis exhibited bimodal age distributions, with the first peak occurring at 0-9 years. The median onset age was below 50 years only in viral meningitis. The mortality rate was the highest in carcinomatous meningitis (39%), followed by fungal meningitis (21%), and the lowest in viral meningitis (0.61%). Mortality rates increased with age across all meningitis types, but this trend was less prominent in carcinomatous meningitis. The duration from admission to mortality was longer in fungal and tuberculous meningitis compared with other types. Staphylococcus aureus in bacterial meningitis (adjusted odds ratio 1.71; p = 0.0016) and herpes simplex virus in viral meningitis (adjusted odds ratio 1.53; p = 0.0467) exhibited elevated mortality rates.

Conclusion

Distinct demographic profiles and mortality rates were observed among different meningitis types. The high mortality rates in less common types of meningitis emphasize the necessity to further optimize the required diagnostic and treatment strategies.

Subjective Physical Symptoms Related to Bad Weather Among Persons Undergoing Medical Check-Up: A Single-Center Observational Study

Background and aim The prevalence and characteristics of physical complaints related to bad weather among the general population remain poorly understood. This study aimed to elucidate the characteristics of subjective physical symptoms related to bad weather. Methods A cross-sectional survey was conducted by using self-reported health-related questionnaires obtained from individuals undergoing annual medical check-ups at a municipal hospital in Japan. Participants were asked about the presence and details of physical symptoms related to bad weather, together with other health-related questions. Results Among the 133 participants, 42 (32%) (95%CI 24-40) reported experiencing physical conditions related to bad weather. Among these 42 patients, the most common ailment was headache (67%; n=28), followed by low back pain (21%; n=9), fatigue (19%; n=8), and stiff neck/shoulder discomfort (12%; n=5). Comparison between individuals with and without bad weather-related conditions revealed that those affected were younger (p=0.0014) and exhibited higher numerical rating scale scores for gastrointestinal problems (p=0.0027), irritability/agitation (p<0.0001), and sleep disorders (p=0.0295). These associations were confirmed even after adjusting for age and sex. Conclusions Physical conditions related to bad weather, represented by headache, fatigue, and back pain, can be seen in 25-40% of the general population, especially in younger age groups. Individuals with these conditions are more likely to experience irritability/agitation, gastrointestinal problems, and sleep disorders.

Progression independent of relapses in aquaporin4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder, myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease, and multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is present in Aquaporin4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4+NMOSD), Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) and relapsing remitting Multiple sclerosis (RRMS).

METHODS

We retrospectively studied the change in EDSS, confirmed disability worsening (CDW) (i.e., PIRA), and new MRI lesions in AQP4+NMOSD, and MOGAD and MS patients. Linear mixed-effect regression model was used to compare the longitudinal changes in EDSS, and Cox regression was used to compare changes in MRI.

RESULTS

The estimated mean ΔEDSS in the AQP4+NMOSD and matched MS group were +0.06 (95%CI: -0.40, +0.52, p = 0.76), and +0.02 (95%CI: -0.05, +0.08, p = 0.6) respectively. The same estimate was -0.08 (95%CI: -0.18, +0.02, p = 0.12) in MOGAD and +0.05 (95%CI: -0.05, +0.15, p = 0.35) in matched MS group. Comparing groups for the presence of CDW (i.e., PIRA) showed that PIRA is more associated with MS compared to AQP4+NMOSD (p = 0.02) and MOGAD (p<0.001). Compared to their matched MS groups, the annualized rate of PIRA was significantly lower in AQP4 (0.08 vs 0.44; p<0.0001), and MOG groups (0.04 vs 0.13; p<0.0001). New T2 or enhancing lesions on brain MRI were higher in MS compared to AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD patients.

CONCLUSION

Relapse-independent changes in the EDSS, CDW, and MRI activity are not common in AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD, especially when compared with MS. Since our patients were on relapse prevention therapies at the time of EDSS measurements, our study supports the importance of preventing relapses in AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD and suggests different pathologic mechanisms of relapse-free neurological damage between MS and AQP4+NMOSD/MOGAD.

Recently Added Frameshift Mutation in Human Monkeypox Virus (hMPXV) OPG191 Gene

Human monkeypox virus (hMPXV) has caused sporadic outbreaks intermittently across countries in recent years, with the largest outbreak in 2022. However, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. This study searched for recently developed structural variants of the viral genome. A total of 22 hMPXV whole genome sequences were randomly selected from the National Center for Biotechnology Information GenBank sequence database for initial screening. As a result, a recent frameshift mutation based on a 2-base insertion in a coding region was identified at the 3' terminal of the OPG191 gene, which encodes MPXVgp168 (B7R) protein. With this insertion, the protein was prematurely truncated, and the last 11 amino acids were missing, with 3 alternative amino acids added. Among the hMPXV genome sequences registered in the GenBank database as of January 2023, 61 sequences lacked the 2-base insertion and 3,362 sequences were inserted. All 61 sequences without mutations were collected before 2020, whereas 3,358 (99.9%) of the 3,362 sequences with the insertion were collected during or after 2022. These findings imply that a 2-base insertion has recently emerged and has been fixed among the virus population that prevailed in 2022. In summary, a recently emerged frameshift mutation with a 2-base insertion was identified in hMPXV OPG191 gene. Although the structural and functional consequences of this mutation on virulence and infectivity are unknown, research on the possible associations between this mutation and recent hMPXV outbreaks is warranted.

Associations between neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder, Sjögren's syndrome, and conditions with electrolyte disturbances

OBJECTIVE

Electrolyte disorders are among the important conditions negatively affecting the disease course of neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD). Possible mechanisms may include renal tubular acidosis (RTA) accompanying Sjögren's syndrome (SS), syndrome of inappropriate antidiuretic hormone secretion (SIADH), and central diabetes insipidus (DI). Currently, the overlap profiles between these conditions remain uncertain.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study collected data from the nationwide administrative Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) database and evaluated the overlap profiles.

RESULTS

Among the 28,285,908 individuals from 1203 DPC-covered hospitals, 8477 had NMOSD, 174108 had SS, 4977 had RTA, 7640 had SIADH, and 24,789 had central DI. Of those with NMOSD, 986 (12%) had SS. The odds ratio (OR) for a diagnosis of NMOSD in those with SS compared with those without was 21 [95% confidence interval (CI), 20-23]. Overlap between NMOSD and SS was seen both in males (OR, 28 [95% CI, 23-33]) and females (OR, 16 [15-17]) and was more prominent in the younger population. Among patients with SS, the prevalence of RTA was lower in patients with NMOSD compared with those without NMOSD. Patients with NMOSD showed a higher prevalence of SIADH (OR, 11 [7.5-17]; p < 0.0001) and DI (OR, 3.7 [2.4-5.3]; p < 0.0001). Comorbid SS in NMOSD was associated with a higher prevalence of DI.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with NMOSD are likely to have SS, SIADH, and central DI. RTA in SS does not facilitate the overlap between NMOSD and SS. SS in NMOSD may predispose patients to DI.

Blood Culture Result Profile in Patients With Central Line-Associated Bloodstream Infection (CLABSI): A Single-Center Experience

Background Central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) is among the most common bloodstream infections in the university hospital and intensive care unit settings. This study evaluated the routine blood test findings and microbe profiles of bloodstream infection (BSI) by the presence and types of central vein (CV) access devices (CVADs). Methods A total of 878 inpatients at a university hospital who were clinically suspected for BSI and underwent blood culture (BC) testing between April 2020 and September 2020 were enrolled. Data regarding age at BC testing, sex, WBC count, serum C-reactive protein (CRP) level, BC test results, yielded microbes, and usage and types of CVADs were evaluated. Results The BC yields were detected in 173 patients (20%), suspected contaminating pathogens in 57 (6.5%), and 648 (74%) with a negative yield. The WBC count (p=0.0882) and CRP level (p=0.2753) did not significantly differ between the 173 patients with BSI and the 648 patients with negative BC yields. Among the 173 patients with BSI, 74 used CVADs and met the diagnosis of CLABSI; 48 had a CV catheter, 16 had CV access ports, and 10 had a peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC). Patients with CLABSI showed lower WBC counts (p=0.0082) and serum CRP levels (p=0.0024) compared to those with BSI who did not use CVADs. The most commonly yielded microbes in those with CV catheters, CV-ports, and PICC were Staphylococcus epidermidis (n=9; 19%), Staphylococcus aureus (n=6; 38%), and S. epidermidis (n=8; 80%), respectively. Among those with BSI who did not use CVADs, Escherichia coli (n=31; 31%) was the most common pathogen, followed by S. aureus (n=13; 13%). Conclusion Patients with CLABSI showed lower WBC counts and CRP levels than those with BSI who did not use CVADs. Staphylococcus epidermidis was among the most common microbes in CLABSI and accounted for the majority of yielded microbes in patients who used PICC.

White blood cell count profiles in anti-aquaporin-4 antibody seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder and anti-myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease

White blood cell (WBC) count profiles in anti-aquaporin-4 antibody-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4-NMOSD) and anti-myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) are still unknown. This study evaluated the total WBC count, differential WBC counts, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with these diseases within three months from an attack before acute treatment or relapse prevention and compared the profiles with those in matched volunteers or in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. AQP4-NMOSD patients (n = 13) had a higher neutrophil count (p = 0.0247), monocyte count (p = 0.0359), MLR (p = 0.0004), and NLR (p = 0.0037) and lower eosinophil (p = 0.0111) and basophil (p = 0.0283) counts than those of AQP4-NMOSD-matched volunteers (n = 65). Moreover, patients with MOGAD (n = 26) had a higher overall WBC count (p = 0.0001), neutrophil count (p < 0.0001), monocyte count (p = 0.0191), MLR (p = 0.0320), and NLR (p = 0.0002) than those of MOGAD-matched volunteers (n = 130). The three demyelinating diseases showed similar levels of the total and differential WBC counts; however, MOGAD and MS showed different structures in the hierarchical clustering and distributions on a two-dimensional canonical plot using differential WBC counts from the other three groups. WBC count profiles were similar in patients with MOGAD and MS but differed from profiles in matched volunteers or patients with AQP4-NMOSD.

Insertion and deletion mutations preserved in SARS-CoV-2 variants

The insertion/deletion (indel) mutation profiles of SARS-CoV-2 variants, including Omicron, remain unclear. We compared whole-genome sequences from various lineages and used preserved indels to infer the ancestral relationships between different lineages. Thirteen indel patterns from twelve sites were seen in ≥ 2 sequences; six of these sites were located in the N-terminal domain of the viral spike gene. Preserved indels in the coding regions were also identified in the non-structural protein 3 (Nsp3), Nsp6, and nucleocapsid genes. Seven of the thirteen indel patterns were specific to the Omicron variants, four of which were observed in BA.1, making it the most mutated variant. Other preserved indels observed in the Omicron variants were also seen in Alpha and/or Gamma, but not Delta, suggesting that Omicron is phylogenetically more proximal to Alpha. We demonstrated distinct profiles of preserved indels among SARS-CoV-2 variants and sublineages, suggesting the importance of indels in viral evolution.

Acute Adverse Events at a Mass Vaccination Site after the Third and Fourth COVID-19 Vaccinations in Japan

The third and fourth doses of the vaccine against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were widely administered in Japan since December 2021. Currently, however, data are scarce regarding acute adverse events with the third and fourth doses. The present study reports the profiles of acute adverse events after the third and fourth COVID-19 vaccine doses, seen at the site of a mass vaccination center in Japan. Between December 2021 and July 2022, 267,515 individuals received the third, and 32,934 received the fourth COVID-19 vaccine dose at the mass vaccination center, of whom 442 recipients of the third (0.19%), and 22 recipients of the fourth (0.07%) dose reported acute adverse events and were examined by doctors on site. The most common diagnosis was vasovagal syncope/presyncope (incidence: 0.01-0.10%), followed by other miscellaneous complaints, acute allergic reactions (0.05-0.005%), and anaphylaxis (< 0.005%). Vasovagal syncope/presyncope occurred most frequently in recipients in those in their 20s, whereas acute allergic reactions were most frequent in those in their 40s. Both reactions were more frequent in women than men. The peak occurrence of vasovagal syncope/presyncope was earlier than 15 min after the injection, whereas that of acute allergic reaction was later than 15 min after the injection. The incidence of acute allergic reactions appeared to differ between various vaccine manufacturers, whereas that of vasovagal syncope/presyncope did not. These real-world data may benefit the safe and efficient implementation of mass vaccination campaigns for citizens who want to receive COVID-19 vaccines now and in the future.

Trinucleotide Substitutions at Two Locations in the SARS-CoV-2 Nucleocapsid (N) Gene

The genomes of sarbecoviruses, including severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), incorporate mutations with short sequence exchanges based on unknown processes. Currently, the presence of such short-sequence exchanges among the genomes of different SARS-CoV-2 lineages remains uncertain. In the present study, multiple SARS-CoV-2 genome sequences from different clades or sublineages were collected from an international mass sequence database and compared to identify the presence of short sequence exchanges. Initial screening with multiple sequence alignments identified two locations with trinucleotide substitutions, both in the nucleocapsid (N) gene. The first exchange from 5'-GAT-3' to 5'-CTA-3' at nucleotide positions 28,280-28,282 resulted in a change in the amino acid from aspartic acid (D) to leucine (L), which was predominant in clade GRY (Alpha). The second exchange from 5'-GGG-3' to 5'-AAC-3' at nucleotide positions 28,881-28,883 resulted in an amino acid change from arginine and glycine (RG) to lysine and arginine (KR), which was predominant in GR (Gamma), GRY (Alpha), and GRA (Omicron). Both trinucleotide substitutions occurred before June 2020. The sequence identity rate between these lineages suggests that coincidental succession of single-nucleotide substitutions is unlikely. Basic local alignment search tool sequence search revealed the absence of intermediating mutations based on single-base substitutions or overlapping indels before the emergence of these trinucleotide substitutions. These findings suggest that trinucleotide substitutions could have developed via an en bloc exchange. In summary, trinucleotide substitutions at two locations in the SARS-CoV-2 N gene were identified. This mutation may provide insights into the evolution of SARS-CoV-2.

Variable number tandem repeats of a 9-base insertion in the N-terminal domain of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 spike gene

Introduction

The world is still struggling against the pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), in 2022. The pandemic has been facilitated by the intermittent emergence of variant strains, which has been explained and classified mainly by the patterns of point mutations of the spike (S) gene. However, the profiles of insertions/deletions (indels) in SARS-CoV-2 genomes during the pandemic remain largely unevaluated yet.

Methods

In this study, we first screened for the genome regions of polymorphic indel sites by performing multiple sequence alignment; then, NCBI BLAST search and GISAID database search were performed to comprehensively investigate the indel profiles at the polymorphic indel hotspot and elucidate the emergence and spread of the indels in time and geographical distribution.

Results

A polymorphic indel hotspot was identified in the N-terminal domain of the S gene at approximately 22,200 nucleotide position, corresponding to 210-215 amino acid positions of SARS-CoV-2 S protein. This polymorphic hotspot was comprised of adjacent 3-base deletion (5'-ATT-3'; Spike_N211del) and 9-base insertion (5'-AGCCAGAAG-3'; Spike_ins214EPE). By performing NCBI BLAST search and GISAID database search, we identified several types of tandem repeats of the 9-base insertion, creating an 18-base insertion (Spike_ins214EPEEPE, Spike_ins214EPDEPE). The results of the searches suggested that the two-cycle tandem repeats of the 9-base insertion were created in November 2021 in Central Europe, whereas the emergence of the original one-cycle 9-base insertion (Spike_ins214EPE) would date back to the middle of 2020 and was away from the Central Europe. The identified 18-base insertions based on 2-cycle tandem repeat of the 9-base insertion were collected between November 2021 and April 2022, suggesting that these mutations could not survive and have been already eliminated.

Discussion

The GISAID database search implied that this polymorphic indel hotspot to be with one of the highest tolerability for incorporating indels in SARS-CoV-2 S gene. In summary, the present study identified a variable number of tandem repeat of 9-base insertion in the N-terminal domain of SARS-CoV-2 S gene, and the repeat could have occurred at different time from the insertion of the original 9-base insertion.

Risk Factors Associated With Peripartum Suicide Attempts in Japan

IMPORTANCE

Peripartum suicide attempt is a major psychiatric complication associated with pregnancy, but the risk factors remain largely uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the demographic characteristics and predisposing risks for peripartum suicide attempts and postpartum depression.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study used retrospective data on pregnant women who delivered children between April 1, 2016, and March 31, 2021, at 712 hospitals in Japan. The nationwide Diagnosis Procedure Combination database was used.

EXPOSURES

Psychiatric and nonpsychiatric medical history, age, alcohol and tobacco use, and obstetric complications and procedures.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Data on admissions for prepartum suicide attempt and delivery during the same hospital stay and readmissions for depression or suicide attempt within 1 year post partum were collected. Comparisons of prevalence of each study variable were performed, and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to determine risk factors.

RESULTS

From a total of 39 908 649 hospitalization episodes, 804 617 cumulative pregnant women (median [IQR] age at childbirth, 33 [29-36] years) who delivered at the enrolled hospitals were identified, including 1202 who were admitted for suicide attempt and delivery during the same hospital stay and 111 readmitted for suicide attempt within 1 year post partum. Risk factors associated with prepartum suicide attempts included younger age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-1.00) and histories of personality disorder (aOR, 10.81; 95% CI, 5.70-20.49), depression (aOR, 3.97; 95% CI, 2.35-6.70), schizophrenia (aOR, 2.89; 95% CI, 1.52-5.50), and adjustment disorder (aOR, 2.66; 95% CI, 1.07-6.58). Risk factors associated with postpartum suicide attempts included younger age (aOR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.93-1.00), heavy tobacco use (aOR, 23.09; 95% CI, 5.46-97.62), and histories of alcohol use disorder (aOR, 163.54; 95% CI, 28.30-944.95), personality disorder (aOR, 10.28; 95% CI, 3.29-32.10), anxiety disorders (aOR, 8.13; 95% CI, 2.88-22.98), depression (aOR, 7.27; 95% CI, 2.95-17.91), schizophrenia (aOR, 5.77; 95% CI, 2.17-15.38), bipolar disorder (aOR, 3.98; 95% CI, 1.36-11.67), and insomnia (aOR, 3.17; 95% CI, 1.30-7.78). On sensitivity analysis, risk factors associated with postpartum depression after excluding those with prenatal depression included histories of personality disorder, adjustment disorder, bipolar disorder, insomnia, and anxiety disorders.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this cohort study suggest that histories of smoking and prenatal psychiatric disorders are potential risk factors for peripartum suicide attempts and may require additional treatment and prevention interventions.

A novel association of osmotic demyelination in Sjögren's syndrome prompts revisiting role of aquaporins in CNS demyelinating diseases: A literature review

BACKGROUND

Primary Sjögren's syndrome (SS) is a chronic systemic autoimmune disease with varied neurological manifestations. SS is associated with anti-aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4-IgG)-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD), a demyelinating autoimmune disorder of the central nervous system (CNS). Intriguingly, there are reports of osmotic demyelinating syndrome (ODS), a supposedly non-inflammatory disorder, in the context of SS and renal tubular acidosis (RTA), both of which are not yet established risk factors for ODS.

METHODS

A literature search was undertaken to identify case reports of ODS in patients with SS. Details of the clinical and laboratory features of these patients were compiled. Additionally, we searched for NMOSD in patients with SS. We looked for co-existing RTA in patients with SS-ODS as well as SS-NMOSD. We also screened for reports of ODS in RTA without underlying SS.

RESULTS & DISCUSSION

We identified 15 patients (all women, median age 40 years) with ODS in SS, and all of these patients had comorbid RTA. There were only three reported cases of ODS in RTA without underlying SS. We identified a total of 67 patients with SS-NMOSD, of whom only 3 (4.5%) had RTA. Hence, unlike NMOSD, the development of ODS in SS requires a prolonged osmotic or electrolyte abnormality caused by the comorbid RTA. The 15 patients with ODS and SS -RTA, showed heterogeneous clinical manifestations and outcomes. The most common symptom was quadriparesis, seen in 14 of the 15 patients. Eleven of the 15 patients had one of the following features, either alone or in combination: worsening of the sensorium, extensor plantar response, dysphagia/dysarthria, and facial palsy. The latter four manifestations were present at the onset in 7 patients and later in the course of the illness in the remaining 4 patients. Ocular palsy was seen in only four of the 15 patients and was a late manifestation. One patient who had extensive long-segment myelitis and subsequent ODS died, but most patients recovered without significant sequelae. None had hyponatremia, while all patients had hypokalemia and/or hypernatremia. Hypokalemia causing nephrogenic diabetes insipidus (NDI) followed by rapid rise in sodium and the resultant osmotic stress could potentially explain the occurrence of ODS in SS-RTA. Aquaporin (AQP) in astrocytes is implicated in ODS, and renal AQP is downregulated in NDI. Antibodies against AQPs are present in some patients with SS. Defective AQP is therefore a common link underlying all the connected diseases, namely SS, NDI, and ODS, raising the possibility of immune-mediated AQP dysfunction in the pathogenesis.

CONCLUSION

The hitherto unreported association between SS-RTA and ODS may implicate SS and/or RTA in the development of ODS. In the setting of SS-RTA, ODS must be suspected when a patient with flaccid quadriparesis does not respond to the correction of potassium or develops additional neurological features along with a rise in sodium. Defective functions of AQPs may be a possible mechanism linking demyelinating CNS lesions, SS, and RTA. Studies evaluating AQP functions and serum antibodies against AQPs in these conditions are warranted.

Insertion/deletion hotspots in the Nsp2, Nsp3, S1, and ORF8 genes of SARS-related coronaviruses

The genome of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) contains many insertions/deletions (indels) from the genomes of other SARS-related coronaviruses. Some of the identified indels have recently reported to involve relatively long segments of 10-300 consecutive bases and with diverse RNA sequences around gaps between virus species, both of which are different characteristics from the classical shorter in-frame indels. These non-classical complex indels have been identified in non-structural protein 3 (Nsp3), the S1 domain of the spike (S), and open reading frame 8 (ORF8). To determine whether the occurrence of these non-classical indels in specific genomic regions is ubiquitous among broad species of SARS-related coronaviruses in different animal hosts, the present study compared SARS-related coronaviruses from humans (SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2), bats (RaTG13 and Rc-o319), and pangolins (GX-P4L), by performing multiple sequence alignment. As a result, indel hotspots with diverse RNA sequences of different lengths between the viruses were confirmed in the Nsp2 gene (approximately 2500-2600 base positions in the overall 29,900 bases), Nsp3 gene (approximately 3000-3300 and 3800-3900 base positions), N-terminal domain of the spike protein (21,500-22,500 base positions), and ORF8 gene (27,800-28,200 base positions). Abnormally high rate of point mutations and complex indels in these regions suggest that the occurrence of mutations in these hotspots may be selectively neutral or even benefit the survival of the viruses. The presence of such indel hotspots has not been reported in different human SARS-CoV-2 strains in the last 2 years, suggesting a lower rate of indels in human SARS-CoV-2. Future studies to elucidate the mechanisms enabling the frequent development of long and complex indels in specific genomic regions of SARS-related coronaviruses would offer deeper insights into the process of viral evolution.

Prolonged Diarrhea Following COVID-19 Vaccination: A Case Report and Literature Review

Vaccination against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is currently underway across countries worldwide. However, the prevalence and characteristics of prolonged adverse events lasting for several months after receiving the vaccine remain largely unknown. We herein report a 46-year-old woman with prolonged diarrhea and vomiting after receiving the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine for COVID-19. She had no notable medical history, including that of gastrointestinal diseases. She developed vomiting several hours after receiving the first vaccine dose and further developed severe diarrhea after 7 days. Several days after the second vaccine dose, her condition deteriorated, unrelieved by symptomatic therapies, including anti-diarrheal drugs. Abdominal computed tomography (CT) revealed inflammatory changes in the entire segment of the small intestine with wall thickening. The upper and lower gastrointestinal and capsule endoscopies were unremarkable. The patient's symptoms persisted for more than 6 months after the second vaccine dose. A Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database search suggested that diarrhea is observed in approximately 3% of all vaccine recipients, but a literature review indicated that prolonged gastrointestinal symptoms lasting for several months is very rare. In summary, a case of prolonged unexplained gastrointestinal symptoms, possibly based on inflammatory changes in the small intestine, is described. A literature search revealed that this type of manifestation is very rare, and further evidence is needed to determine the causality between vaccination and gastrointestinal symptoms.

Calculating and Comparing the Annualized Relapse Rate and Estimating the Confidence Interval in Relapsing Neurological Diseases

Calculating the crude or adjusted annualized relapse rate (ARR) and its confidence interval (CI) is often required in clinical studies to evaluate chronic relapsing diseases, such as multiple sclerosis and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders. However, accurately calculating ARR and estimating the 95% CI requires careful application of statistical approaches and basic familiarity with the exponential family of distributions. When the relapse rate can be regarded as constant over time or by individuals, the crude ARR can be calculated using the person-years method, which divides the number of all observed relapses among all participants by the total follow-up period of the study cohort. If the number of relapses can be modeled by the Poisson distribution, the 95% CI of ARR can be obtained by finding the 2.5% upper and lower critical values of the parameter λ as the mean. Basic familiarity with F-statistics is also required when comparing the ARR between two disease groups. It is necessary to distinguish the observed relapse rate ratio (RR) between two sample groups (sample RR) from the unobserved RR between their originating populations (population RR). The ratio of population RR to sample RR roughly follows the F distribution, with degrees of freedom obtained by doubling the number of observed relapses in the two sample groups. Based on this, a 95% CI of the population RR can be estimated. When the count data of the response variable is overdispersed, the negative binomial distribution would be a better fit than the Poisson. Adjusted ARR and the 95% CI can be obtained by using the generalized linear regression models after selecting appropriate error structures (e.g., Poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated Poisson, and zero-inflated negative binomial) according to the overdispersion and zero-inflation in the response variable.

Obsession and Maladaptive Search for Raison D'être: A Condition That May Harm Psychological Wellbeing

Being with raison d’être, or the meaning of living, usually has a positive effect on the psychological wellbeing of humans. The impact of an endeavor or desire to be with raison d’être on human wellbeing remains undetermined. This study investigated the potential impact of an obsession with raison d’être on human psychological wellbeing. A literature review revealed that only a limited number of studies have evaluated the relationship between attitudes toward raison d’être and psychological wellbeing. Some indicate that a pathological obsession with a self-oriented raison d’être, especially when the search is attempted via maladaptive ways, may eventually cause harm and distress to those who are the objects of obsession and the surrounding people. If obsessed people persist to preserve raison d’être in the community, they need to continuously demonstrate the advantage of their existence and differentiation from other members. As conceivable adaptive ways to search for raison d’être, people make efforts to enhance their talents, achieve certifications, be promoted, or dedicate themselves to volunteers. However, if these adaptive ways have failed, some obsessed people may change their processes to maladaptive ways, such as attacking or criticizing other members who are a threat to their satisfaction with raison d’être. Such maladaptive approaches in the community would harm both the obsessed and surrounding members. To date, the negative aspect of desiring for raison d’être has remained largely unevaluated. Research regarding the prevalence of pathologic obsession with raison d’être in the general population, its impact on human wellbeing, and treatability is warranted.

White blood cell count profile in patients with physical complaints without known causes

Objectives

The aim of this study was to search for routine blood test biomarkers in patients with physical symptoms but without a diagnosis after comprehensive routine screening diagnostic examinations.

Methods

A total of 228 adults aged < 65 years who presented with physical complaints without known causes after comprehensive screening diagnostic examinations and 228 age- and sex-matched healthy controls without physical complaints were enrolled. The blood cell count data at the first hospital visit were compared between these groups.

Results

Total white blood cell (p = 0.2143), red blood cell (p = 0.8954), and platelet (p = 0.7716) counts did not differ between the groups. The monocyte count (p = 0.0014) and resultant monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (p < 0.0001) were higher in the symptomatic group, while the other white blood cell subtypes did not differ significantly between the two groups. In the symptomatic group, patients with a monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio > 0.25 were likely to have unexplained nonfocal physical symptoms (p < 0.0001). The characteristic findings included fatigability (p < 0.0001), prolonged slight fever (p = 0.0005), and widespread pain (p < 0.0001). The monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio level was correlated with the proportion of patients with unexplained nonfocal symptoms.

Conclusion

The blood cell count profile was largely the same between healthy individuals and patients with unexplained physical symptoms. However, patients with unexplained nonfocal physical complaints were likely to show an elevated monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio, typically > 0.25.

Coronavirus disease 2019 transmission and symptoms in young children during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Delta variant and Omicron variant outbreaks

Objective

Little is known about the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in young children. This study aimed to clarify the risk of COVID-19 transmission among this population.

Methods

Between July 2020 and April 2022, 1660 0 to 3-year-old children underwent a nasopharyngeal swab for later reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction testing at a mass screening test center in Japan. Their disease transmission rate and clinical symptoms were evaluated according to the predominant variant strains of that season.

Results

The secondary transmission rate after close contact of the Delta B.1.617.2 (17.4%) and Omicron B.1.1.529 (39.2%) variants was significantly higher than that of the conventional strains (B.1.1.284 and B.1.1.214; 4.5%) during the pandemic. The increased transmissibility with the Delta and Omicron variants was independent of close contact or location. The prevalence rates of cough, fatigability, and fever were similar in young children infected by the Delta and Omicron variants.

Conclusions

COVID-19 transmission in children aged 0 to 3 years increased by 3 to 4 fold during the Delta outbreak and by 8 to 10 fold during the Omicron outbreak compared with the conventional strain outbreak. The symptoms in young children were not different between the Delta and Omicron variants.

Measurements of Strong-Interaction Effects in Kaonic-Helium Isotopes at Sub-eV Precision with X-Ray Microcalorimeters

We have measured the 3d→2p transition x rays of kaonic ^{3}He and ^{4}He atoms using superconducting transition-edge-sensor microcalorimeters with an energy resolution better than 6 eV (FWHM). We determined the energies to be 6224.5±0.4(stat)±0.2(syst)  eV and 6463.7±0.3(stat)±0.1(syst)  eV, and widths to be 2.5±1.0(stat)±0.4(syst)  eV and 1.0±0.6(stat)±0.3(stat)  eV, for kaonic ^{3}He and ^{4}He, respectively. These values are nearly 10 times more precise than in previous measurements. Our results exclude the large strong-interaction shifts and widths that are suggested by a coupled-channel approach and agree with calculations based on optical-potential models.

Variation in the prevalence of cough symptoms 4–5 days after infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 between seasons with different prevalent strains

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2) remains a major global health concern in 2022. The association between the rapid spread of the variants, which eliminated the original strain, and clinical manifestations with the variants remains undetermined.

Methods

This was a population‐based longitudinal cohort study. Whole citizens in a city with approximately one million population who had contacted COVID‐19 patients and were tested by nasopharyngeal SARS‐CoV‐2 reverse transcription‐polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR) swab test between July 2020 and March 2021 were enrolled. Detailed contact episode and the presence of cough symptoms 4–5 days after contact with patients having COVID‐19 were evaluated.

Results

Among the 359 RT‐PCR test‐positive patients, 88 (24.5%) developed cough symptoms by 4–5 days from the infection. The same rate in RT‐PCR test‐negative cases was 8.6%. The prevalence of cough did not significantly differ by age, sex, and places or closeness of the contact episode. The rate of cough symptoms in RT‐PCR test‐positive patients increased in February–March 2021 with E484K variant predominance compared to that in July–December 2020 with the original strain (32.9% vs 19.4%, p = 0.0221), whereas the cough prevalence among RT‐PCR test‐negative population did not increase. Cough symptoms in COVID‐19 patients was associated with strong fatigability, but was independent from fever or dysosmia.

Conclusions

Cough symptoms 4–5 days after infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 was suggested to have increased with E484K variant, compared to the original strain.

Organized Chronic Subdural Hematoma: A Condition Presenting Mixed-Density Hematoma without Gradation Density on Brain CT

Organized chronic subdural hematoma is a neurological condition characterized by organized clot formation inside the hematoma. Unlike nonorganized chronic subdural hematoma with persistent bleeding inside, organized subdural hematoma is often a nonurgent condition that does not require emergency drainage, unless progressive cerebral compression with neurological disturbances is present. However, as the CT values in organized clot formation and active bleeding fall in similar ranges, distinguishing these 2 conditions with different emergency levels based on brain CT alone is sometimes difficult. Here, we describe the case of a 78-year-old man with persistent nocturia who was referred to our hospital. He had a history of head trauma on the left side about 1 year ago, followed by neurosurgery at another hospital. Brain CT revealed a multiseptated subdural space and a mixed-density hematoma without gradation density on the contralateral side of the past head trauma region. Based on the lack of progressive neurological disturbances and the absence of gradation density in CT values inside the hematomas, his condition was judged as nonurgent, and emergency drainage was spared. One year after his first visit to our hospital, the patient experienced a normal life without any neurological disturbances, except for nocturia. The absence of gradation density in CT values along the gravity direction inside the organized hematoma may be a clue to estimate nonurgency without persistent active bleeding inside.

Relapse activity in the chronic phase of anti-myelin-oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease

Objective

The patterns of relapse and relapse-prevention strategies for anti-myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) are not completely investigated. We compared the patterns of relapse in later stages of MOGAD with those of anti-aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4-Ab)-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD).

Methods

In this observational, comparative cohort study, 66 patients with MOGAD and 90 with AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD were enrolled. We compared the patterns of relapse and annualized relapse rates (ARRs) in the first 10 years from disease onset, stratified by relapse-prevention treatments.

Results

Approximately 50% of the patients with MOGAD experienced relapses in the first 10 years. Among those not undergoing relapse-prevention treatments, ARRs in the first 5 years were slightly lower in MOGAD patients than in AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD patients (MOGAD vs. AQP4-Ab NMOSD: 0.19 vs. 0.30; p = 0.0753). After 5 years, the ARR decreased in MOGAD patients (MOGAD vs. AQP4-Ab NMOSD: 0.05 vs. 0.34; p = 0.0001), with a 72% reduction from the first 5 years (p = 0.0090). Eight (61.5%) of the 13 MOGAD patients with more than 10-year follow-up from disease onset showed relapse 10 years after onset. Clustering in the timing and phenotype of attacks was observed in both disease patients. The effectiveness of long-term low-dose oral PSL for relapse prevention in patients with MOGAD has not been determined.

Conclusions

The relapse risk in patients with MOGAD is generally lower than that in patients with AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD, especially 5 years after onset. Meanwhile, relapses later than 10 years from onset are not rare in both diseases.

COVID-19 Transmission at Schools in Japan

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), remains a global public health concern in 2021. However, the risk of attending schools during the pandemic remains unevaluated. This study estimated the secondary transmission rate at schools using the results of a real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) screening test performed between July 2020 and April 2021, before starting the nationwide mass vaccination. A total of 1,924 students (20 RT-PCR-positive; 1.0%) from 52 schools or preschools were evaluated, together with 1,379 non-adults (95 RT-PCR-positive; 6.9%) exposed to SARS-CoV-2 in non-school environments. Assuming that the infectious index cases were asymptomatic and the transmission at schools followed a Bernoulli process, we estimated the probability of transmission after each contact at school as approximately 0.005 (0.5% per contact) with the current infection prevention measures at schools in Japan (i.e., hand hygiene, physical distancing, wearing masks, and effective ventilation). Furthermore, assuming that all children are capable of carrying the infection, then contact between an index case and 20-30 students per day at schools would yield the expected value for secondary cases of ≥ 1.0, during the 10 days of the infectious period. In conclusion, with the current infection prevention measures at schools in Japan, secondary transmission at schools would occur in approximately every 200 contacts. When considering this rate, compliance with the current infection prevention measures at schools and early detection and quarantine of the index cases would be effective in preventing the spread of COVID-19 at schools.

White blood cell count profiles in multiple sclerosis during attacks before the initiation of acute and chronic treatments

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a major demyelinating disease of the central nervous system; however, its exact mechanism is unknown. This study aimed to elucidate the profile of white blood cells (WBCs) in the acute phase of an MS attack. Sixty-four patients with MS at the time of diagnosis and 2492 age- and sex-adjusted healthy controls (HCs) were enrolled. Data regarding the blood cell counts were compared between the groups. The total WBC (p < 0.0001), monocyte (p < 0.0001), basophil (p = 0.0027), and neutrophil (p < 0.0001) counts were higher in the MS group than in the HC group, whereas the lymphocyte and eosinophil counts did not differ. Adjustments for the smoking status and body mass index yielded the same results. The total and differential WBC counts of the patients with MS did not correlate with the counts of T2 hyperintense brain lesions or the levels of neurological disturbance. In summary, patients with MS showed elevated counts of total WBCs, monocytes, basophils, and neutrophils at the time of diagnosis. However, the clinical relevance of these biomarkers in the context of the development and progression of MS remains unclear.

Impact of type of reconstructed residence on social participation and mental health of population displaced by disasters

After disasters, people are often forced to reconstruct or move to new residences. This study aimed to reveal the association between the types of reconstructed residences and psychosocial or psychiatric conditions among the population. A total of 1071 adult residents in a coastal town, whose houses were destroyed by the tsunami caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake, enrolled in the study five years after the disaster. The type of reconstructed post-disaster residences (reconstructed on the same site/disaster-recovery public condominium/mass-translocation to higher ground/privately moving to remote areas) and the current psychosocial indicators were investigated. The results revealed that individuals living in public condominiums showed significantly worse scores on the Lubben Social Network Scale-6 (p < 0.0001) and the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (p < 0.0001), and slightly worse scores on the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (p = 0.035) and the Impact of Event Scale-Revised (p = 0.028). Lower psychosocial indicator scores in the public condominium group were more remarkable in younger adults aged < 65 years. Insomnia evaluated using the Athens Insomnia Scale was not different among the four residential types. In summary, residents moving into disaster-recovery public condominiums are likely to have less social interaction, be more depressed, and may need additional interventions.

Discriminatory Value of Self-reported Olfactory Dysfunction in the Prediction of Coronavirus Disease 2019

Objective Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), remains the world's largest public health concern in 2021. A history of close contact with infectious patients is a factor that predicts a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result. Meanwhile, the precise predictive value of symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 has not been fully elucidated. This study aimed to clarify the predictive and discriminatory value of each clinical symptom suggestive of COVID-19. Methods This study enrolled participants who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction using a nasopharyngeal swab between November 2020 and January 2021. All enrolled patients were evaluated for data regarding the presence and closeness of contact with infectious patients and comprehensive clinical features (i.e., fever, cough, dyspnea, fatigue, dysosmia, and dysgeusia). Results Among the 1,744 tested participants, 144 tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. In the test-positive group, self-reported cough, fatigue, dysosmia, and dysgeusia were significant predictors of COVID-19, independent from a history of close contact. In particular, the presence of dysosmia was the strongest predictor of COVID-19 in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Among the 42 patients with self-reported dysosmia, 25 (59.5%) were SARS-CoV-2 test-positive. Self-reported dysosmia was reported by 25 (17.4%) of the 144 patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, and 15 (60.0%) of the 25 COVID-19 patients with dysosmia had accompanying dysgeusia. Conclusion The presence of dysosmia was reported by 10-25% of patients with COVID-19, and is a significant predictor of COVID-19 infection, independent from a history of close contact.

Five-year visual outcomes after optic neuritis in anti-MOG antibody-associated disease

INTRODUCTION

Optic neuritis (ON) is a major phenotype of clinical attack related to demyelinating neurological diseases of the central nervous system, including multiple sclerosis (MS), anti-aquaporin-4 (AQP4) antibody-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD), and anti-myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD). As the concept of MOGAD is relatively new, the long-term visual outcomes after ON in MOGAD remains unclear.

METHODS

To elucidate the long-term visual prognosis after ON in MOGAD, patients with MOGAD whose visual acuity were regularly followed for more than 5 years from the onset of ON were enrolled. Best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) at nadir in the acute phase and at 1 and 5 years from onset was evaluated. The data from patients with MOGAD were compared with those from patients with MS or anti-AQP4-positive NMOSD.

RESULTS

Twenty-three patients (31 ON-involved eyes) with MOGAD, 20 patients (24 ON-involved eyes) with MS, and 22 patients (24 ON-involved eyes) with anti-AQP4-positive NMOSD were evaluated. All BCVA at nadir, 1 year, and 5 years from the onset of ON were much worse in anti-AQP4-positive NMOSD than in MS (p = 0.0024) and MOGAD (p = 0.0014) patients. In MOGAD and anti-AQP4-positive NMOSD, the serum disease-specific antibody titer was not associated with the subsequent visual prognosis. Visual acuity had almost fully recovered spontaneously or shortly after initiating acute treatment in 22 of the 23 patients with MOGAD-ON. The administration of high-dose intravenous steroid therapy further facilitated early recovery of visual acuity. Meanwhile, a small fraction of patients with extensive optic nerve lesions involving the chiasma irreversibly experienced severe visual impairment despite appropriate acute treatment.

CONCLUSION

Although a small fraction of patients with MOGAD who presented with extensive optic nerve lesions experienced irreversible severe visual impairment, the long-term visual outcomes after 5 years from ON in patients with MOGAD were generally as good as that in patients with MS and much better than that in patients with anti-AQP4-positive NMOSD.

Impacts of Natural Environmental Factors and Prevalence of Airway Symptoms on the Local Spread of COVID-19: A Time-Series Analysis in Regional COVID-19 Epidemics

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is the world's largest public health concern in 2021. This study evaluated the associations of the prevalence of airway symptoms among the tested individuals and data regarding the natural environmental factors with the weekly number of newly diagnosed COVID-19 patients in Sendai City (N_t). For the derivatives of the screening test results, data from individuals with a contact history who underwent nasopharyngeal swab reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing between July 2020 and April 2021 (6,156 participants, including 550 test-positive patients) were used. The value of N_t correlated with the weekly RT-PCR test-positive rate after close contact, prevalence of cough symptoms in test-positive individuals or in test-negative individuals, lower air temperature, lower air humidity, and higher wind speed. The weekly test-positive rate correlated with lower air humidity and higher wind speed. In cross-correlation analyses, natural environmental factors correlated with the regional epidemic status on a scale of months, whereas the airway symptoms among non-COVID-19 population affected on a scale of weeks. When applying an autoregression model to the serial data of N_t, large-scale movements of people were suggested to be another factor to influence the local epidemics on a scale of days. In conclusion, the prevalence of cough symptoms in the local population, lower air humidity or higher wind speed, and large-scale movements of people in the locality would jointly influence the local epidemic status of COVID-19.

Hochuekkito can Prevent the Colonization of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Upper Respiratory Tract of Acute Stroke Patients

Background: Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) colonization can lead to MRSA pneumonia or other infections in compromised hosts, and invasive MRSA infections lead to significant morbidity and mortality. The present observational study elucidated whether administration of hochuekkito (HET) can prevent MRSA colonization in the upper respiratory tract and support recovery in acute stroke patients.

Methods: In this retrospective, observational study, 73 acute stroke patients admitted to Kenwakai Hospital between April 2007 and December 2019 who did not require emergency surgery during this period were enrolled. Conventional treatment was provided to all patients, depending on their condition, and 7.5 g/day of HET was administered to the patients who could take the medicine via nasogastric tube or orally in three divided doses for three months. Bacterial cultures from laryngeal swabs and sputum were evaluated every week. We evaluated the presence of MRSA infection or another infectious disease within 30 days of admission; modified Rankin Scale scores, which assesses the independent living skills after stroke at three months after admission; and blood biomarkers (white blood cell count, albumin levels, C-reactive protein levels, and hemoglobin levels).

Results: In total, 73 patients (HET group, n = 41; non-HET group, n = 32) were enrolled in the study. MRSA detection was significantly less likely in the HET group than in the non-HET group (p = 0.0497). The incidence of infectious diseases was significantly lower in the HET group than in the non-HET group (p = 0.0096), and the modified Rankin Scale score at three months was also significantly lower in the HET group than in the non-HET group (p = 0.033). The white blood cell count, and serum C-reactive protein levels did not differ between those who were treated with HET and those who were not. However, serum albumin and hemoglobin levels improved slightly between month one and month three after admission only in those who were treated with HET.

Conclusion: Our results indicate that the administration of HET may contribute to the prevention of MRSA colonization and promote rehabilitation in stroke patients.