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Chard AN, Machingaidze C, Loayza S, Gharpure R, Nogareda F, González R, Domínguez R, Tinoco YO, Dawood FS, Carreon JD, Lafond KE, Jara J, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Cozza V, Couto P, Rolfes MA, Tempia S. Estimating averted illnesses from influenza vaccination for children and pregnant women - El Salvador, Panama, and Peru, 2011-2018. Vaccine 2024:S0264-410X(24)00419-5. [PMID: 38584055 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.04.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2023] [Revised: 03/15/2024] [Accepted: 04/03/2024] [Indexed: 04/09/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Estimating the burden of disease averted by vaccination can assist policymakers to implement, adjust, and communicate the value of vaccination programs. Demonstrating the use of a newly available modeling tool, we estimated the burden of influenza illnesses averted by seasonal influenza vaccination in El Salvador, Panama, and Peru during 2011-2017 among two influenza vaccine target populations: children aged 6-23 months and pregnant women. METHODS We derived model inputs, including incidence, vaccine coverage, vaccine effectiveness, and multipliers from publicly available country-level influenza surveillance data and cohort studies. We also estimated changes in illnesses averted when countries' vaccine coverage was achieved using four different vaccine deployment strategies. RESULTS Among children aged 6-23 months, influenza vaccination averted an estimated cumulative 2,161 hospitalizations, 81,907 medically-attended illnesses, and 126,987 overall illnesses during the study period, with a prevented fraction ranging from 0.3 % to 12.5 %. Among pregnant women, influenza vaccination averted an estimated cumulative 173 hospitalizations, 6,122 medically attended illnesses, and 16,412 overall illnesses, with a prevented fraction ranging from 0.2 % to 10.9 %. Compared to an influenza vaccine campaign with equal vaccine distribution during March-June, scenarios in which total cumulative coverage was achieved in March and April consistently resulted in the greatest increase in averted illness (23 %-3,129 % increase among young children and 22 %-3,260 % increase among pregnant women). DISCUSSION Influenza vaccination campaigns in El Salvador, Panama, and Peru conducted between 2011 and 2018 prevented hundreds to thousands of influenza-associated hospitalizations and illnesses in young children and pregnant women. Existing vaccination programs could prevent additional illnesses, using the same number of vaccines, by achieving the highest possible coverage within the first two months of an influenza vaccine campaign.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anna N Chard
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States.
| | - Chiedza Machingaidze
- Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Av. Appia 20, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Sergio Loayza
- Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St NW, Washington, DC 20037, United States
| | - Radhika Gharpure
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States
| | - Francisco Nogareda
- Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St NW, Washington, DC 20037, United States
| | - Rosalba González
- Gorgas Memorial Institute of Health Studies, Ave. Justo Arosemena, Calle 35, Panama City, Panama
| | - Rhina Domínguez
- National Institute of Health of El Salvador, C. Gabriela Mistral 211, San Salvador, El Salvador
| | - Yeny O Tinoco
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit SOUTH, Av. Venezuela. Cuadra 36 s/n. Bellavista. Callao, Lima, Peru
| | - Fatimah S Dawood
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States
| | - Joseph Daniel Carreon
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States
| | - Kathryn E Lafond
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States
| | - Jorge Jara
- Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St NW, Washington, DC 20037, United States
| | - Eduardo Azziz-Baumgartner
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States
| | - Vanessa Cozza
- Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Av. Appia 20, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Paula Couto
- Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St NW, Washington, DC 20037, United States
| | - Melissa A Rolfes
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30329, United States; Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Av. Appia 20, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Stefano Tempia
- Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Av. Appia 20, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland
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Arriola CS, Suntarattiwong P, Dawood FS, Soto G, Das P, Hunt DR, Sinthuwattanawibool C, Kurhe K, Thompson MG, Wesley MG, Saha S, Hombroek D, Brummer T, Kittikraisak W, Kaoiean S, Neyra J, Romero C, Patel A, Bhargav S, Khedikar V, Garg S, Mott JA, Gonzales O, Cabrera S, Florian R, Parvekar S, Tomyabatra K, Prakash A, Tinoco YO. What do pregnant women think about influenza disease and vaccination practices in selected countries. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2021; 17:2176-2184. [PMID: 33499708 PMCID: PMC8189050 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2020.1851536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2020] [Accepted: 11/11/2020] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: We evaluated knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) related to influenza and influenza vaccination among pregnant women in three selected countries.Methods: During 2017, pregnant women seeking antenatal care at hospitals at participating sites were enrolled. We described characteristics and responses to KAP questions. We also evaluated predictors associated with influenza vaccination during pregnancy at sites with substantial influenza vaccine uptake by multivariable logistic regression.Results: Overall, 4,648 pregnant women completed the survey. There were substantial differences among the three survey populations; only 8% of the women in Nagpur had heard of influenza, compared to 90% in Lima and 96% in Bangkok (p-value<0.01). Despite significant differences in sociodemographic characteristics in the three populations, most participants across sites who were aware of influenza prior to study enrollment believe they and their infants are at risk of influenza and related complications and believe influenza vaccination is safe and effective. Half of women in Lima had verified receipt of influenza vaccine compared to <5% in Bangkok and Nagpur (p < .05). For further analysis conducted among women in Lima only, household income above the poverty line (aOR: 1.38; 95%CI: 1.01, 1.88), having 8+ antenatal visits, compared to 0-4 (aOR: 2.41; 95%CI: 1.39, 2.87, respectively), having 0 children, compared to 2+ (aOR: 1.96; 95%CIs: 1.23, 3.12), and vaccination recommended by a health-care provider (aOR: 8.25; 95%CI: 6.11, 11.14) were strongly associated with receipt of influenza vaccine during pregnancy.Conclusions: Our findings identify opportunities for targeted interventions to improve influenza vaccine uptake among pregnant women in these settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carmen S. Arriola
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Piyarat Suntarattiwong
- Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health, Thailand Ministry of Public Health, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Fatimah S. Dawood
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Giselle Soto
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
| | - Prabir Das
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur, India
| | | | | | - Kunal Kurhe
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur, India
| | - Mark G. Thompson
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Meredith G. Wesley
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Siddhartha Saha
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | - Wanitchaya Kittikraisak
- Thailand Ministry of Public Health - US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Collaboration, Nonthaburi, Thailand
| | - Surasak Kaoiean
- Rajavithi Hospital, Thailand Ministry of Public Health, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Joan Neyra
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
| | - Candice Romero
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
| | - Archana Patel
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur, India
- Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Sawangi, India
| | | | | | - Shikha Garg
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Joshua A Mott
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
- Thailand Ministry of Public Health - US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Collaboration, Nonthaburi, Thailand
| | | | | | | | | | - Krissada Tomyabatra
- Nopparat Rajathanee Hospital, Thailand Ministry of Public Health, Bangkok, Thailand
| | | | - Yeny O. Tinoco
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
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Romero C, Tinoco YO, Loli S, Razuri H, Soto G, Silva M, Galvan P, Kambhampati A, Parashar UD, Kasper MR, Bausch DG, Simons MP, Lopman B. Incidence of Norovirus-Associated Diarrhea and Vomiting Disease Among Children and Adults in a Community Cohort in the Peruvian Amazon Basin. Clin Infect Dis 2018; 65:833-839. [PMID: 29017284 DOI: 10.1093/cid/cix423] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2017] [Accepted: 05/02/2017] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Data on norovirus epidemiology among all ages in community settings are scarce, especially from tropical settings. Methods We implemented active surveillance in 297 households in Peru from October 2012 to August 2015 to assess the burden of diarrhea and acute gastroenteritis (AGE) due to norovirus in a lower-middle-income community. During period 1 (October 2012-May 2013), we used a "traditional" diarrhea case definition (≥3 loose/liquid stools within 24 hours). During period 2 (June 2013-August 2015), we used an expanded case definition of AGE (by adding ≥2 vomiting episodes without diarrhea or 1-2 vomiting episodes plus 1-2 loose/liquid stools within 24 hours). Stool samples were tested for norovirus by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction. Results During period 1, overall diarrhea and norovirus-associated diarrhea incidence was 37.2/100 person-years (PY) (95% confidence interval [CI], 33.2-41.7) and 5.7/100 PY (95% CI, 3.9-8.1), respectively. During period 2, overall AGE and norovirus-associated AGE incidence was 51.8/100 PY (95% CI, 48.8-54.9) and 6.5/100 PY (95% CI, 5.4-7.8), respectively. In both periods, children aged <2 years had the highest incidence of norovirus. Vomiting without diarrhea occurred among norovirus cases in participants <15 years old, but with a higher proportion among children <2 years, accounting for 35% (7/20) of all cases in this age group. Noroviruses were identified in 7% (23/335) of controls free of gastroenteric symptoms. Conclusions Norovirus was a significant cause of AGE in this community, especially among children <2 years of age. Inclusion of vomiting in the case definition resulted in a 20% improvement for detection of norovirus cases.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Hugo Razuri
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru
| | - Giselle Soto
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru
| | - María Silva
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru
| | | | - Anita Kambhampati
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Umesh D Parashar
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | | | - Daniel G Bausch
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru.,Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
| | | | - Benjamin Lopman
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
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Tinoco YO, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Uyeki TM, Rázuri HR, Kasper MR, Romero C, Silva ME, Simons MP, Soto GM, Widdowson MA, Gilman RH, Bausch DG, Montgomery JM. Burden of Influenza in 4 Ecologically Distinct Regions of Peru: Household Active Surveillance of a Community Cohort, 2009-2015. Clin Infect Dis 2017; 65:1532-1541. [PMID: 29020267 PMCID: PMC5850002 DOI: 10.1093/cid/cix565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2017] [Accepted: 06/22/2017] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND There are limited data on the burden of disease posed by influenza in low- and middle-income countries. Furthermore, most estimates of influenza disease burden worldwide rely on passive sentinel surveillance at health clinics and hospitals that lack accurate population denominators. METHODS We documented influenza incidence, seasonality, health-system utilization with influenza illness, and vaccination coverage through active community-based surveillance in 4 ecologically distinct regions of Peru over 6 years. Approximately 7200 people in 1500 randomly selected households were visited 3 times per week. Naso- and oropharyngeal swabs were collected from persons with influenza-like illness and tested for influenza virus by real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS We followed participants for 35353 person-years (PY). The overall incidence of influenza was 100 per 1000 PY (95% confidence interval [CI], 97-104) and was highest in children aged 2-4 years (256/1000 PY [95% CI, 236-277]). Seasonal incidence trends were similar across sites, with 61% of annual influenza cases occurring during the austral winter (May-September). Of all participants, 44 per 1000 PY (95% CI, 42-46) sought medical care, 0.7 per 1000 PY (95% CI, 0.4-1.0) were hospitalized, and 1 person died (2.8/100000 PY). Influenza vaccine coverage was 27% among children aged 6-23 months and 26% among persons aged ≥65 years. CONCLUSIONS Our results indicate that 1 in 10 persons develops influenza each year in Peru, with the highest incidence in young children. Active community-based surveillance allows for a better understanding of the true burden and seasonality of disease that is essential to plan the optimal target groups, timing, and cost of national influenza vaccination programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yeny O Tinoco
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | | | - Timothy M Uyeki
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Hugo R Rázuri
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
| | | | | | - Maria E Silva
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
| | - Mark P Simons
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
| | | | - Marc-Alain Widdowson
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Robert H Gilman
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Daniel G Bausch
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
- Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana; and
| | - Joel M Montgomery
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Bellavista, Peru
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
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Pollett S, Boscardin WJ, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Tinoco YO, Soto G, Romero C, Kok J, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Rutherford GW. Evaluating Google Flu Trends in Latin America: Important Lessons for the Next Phase of Digital Disease Detection. Clin Infect Dis 2016; 64:34-41. [PMID: 27678084 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciw657] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2016] [Accepted: 08/25/2016] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Latin America has a substantial burden of influenza and rising Internet access and could benefit from real-time influenza epidemic prediction web tools such as Google Flu Trends (GFT) to assist in risk communication and resource allocation during epidemics. However, there has never been a published assessment of GFT's accuracy in most Latin American countries or in any low- to middle-income country. Our aim was to evaluate GFT in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay. METHODS Weekly influenza-test positive proportions for the eight countries were obtained from FluNet for the period January 2011-December 2014. Concurrent weekly Google-predicted influenza activity in the same countries was abstracted from GFT. Pearson correlation coefficients between observed and Google-predicted influenza activity trends were determined for each country. Permutation tests were used to examine background seasonal correlation between FluNet and GFT by country. RESULTS There were frequent GFT prediction errors, with correlation ranging from r = -0.53 to 0.91. GFT-predicted influenza activity best correlated with FluNet data in Mexico follow by Uruguay, Argentina, Chile, Brazil, Peru, Bolivia and Paraguay. Correlation was generally highest in the more temperate countries with more regular influenza seasonality and lowest in tropical regions. A substantial amount of autocorrelation was noted, suggestive that GFT is not fully specific for influenza virus activity. CONCLUSIONS We note substantial inaccuracies with GFT-predicted influenza activity compared with FluNet throughout Latin America, particularly among tropical countries with irregular influenza seasonality. Our findings offer valuable lessons for future Internet-based biosurveillance tools.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon Pollett
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco.,Marie Bashir Institute for Infectious Diseases & Biosecurity, University of Sydney
| | - W John Boscardin
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco
| | | | - Yeny O Tinoco
- Department of Virology & Emerging Infectious Diseases, US Naval Medical Research Unit No 6, Callao, Peru
| | - Giselle Soto
- Department of Virology & Emerging Infectious Diseases, US Naval Medical Research Unit No 6, Callao, Peru
| | - Candice Romero
- Department of Virology & Emerging Infectious Diseases, US Naval Medical Research Unit No 6, Callao, Peru
| | - Jen Kok
- Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology Laboratory Services, Level 3 Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research, Pathology West, Westmead Hospital, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Matthew Biggerstaff
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Cecile Viboud
- Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - George W Rutherford
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco
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Tinoco YO, Montgomery JM, Kasper MR, Nelson MI, Razuri H, Guezala MC, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Widdowson MA, Barnes J, Gilman RH, Bausch DG, Gonzalez AE. Transmission dynamics of pandemic influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus in humans and swine in backyard farms in Tumbes, Peru. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2016; 10:47-56. [PMID: 26011186 PMCID: PMC4687498 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/13/2015] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives We aimed to determine the frequency of pH1N1 transmission between humans and swine on backyard farms in Tumbes, Peru. Design Two‐year serial cross‐sectional study comprising four sampling periods: March 2009 (pre‐pandemic), October 2009 (peak of the pandemic in Peru), April 2010 (1st post‐pandemic period), and October 2011 (2nd post‐pandemic period). Sample Backyard swine serum, tracheal swabs, and lung sample were collected during each sampling period. Main outcome measures We assessed current and past pH1N1 infection in swine through serological testing, virus culture, and RT‐PCR and compared the results with human incidence data from a population‐based active surveillance cohort study in Peru. Results Among 1303 swine sampled, the antibody prevalence to pH1N1 was 0% pre‐pandemic, 8% at the peak of the human pandemic (October 2009), and 24% in April 2010 and 1% in October 2011 (post‐pandemic sampling periods). Trends in swine seropositivity paralleled those seen in humans in Tumbes. The pH1N1 virus was isolated from three pigs during the peak of the pandemic. Phylogenetic analysis revealed that these viruses likely represent two separate human‐to‐swine transmission events in backyard farm settings. Conclusions Our findings suggest that human‐to‐swine pH1N1 transmission occurred during the pandemic among backyard farms in Peru, emphasizing the importance of interspecies transmission in backyard pig populations. Continued surveillance for influenza viruses in backyard farms is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yeny O Tinoco
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru.,Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Joel M Montgomery
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru.,U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of Global Health Protection, Nairobi, Kenya
| | | | - Martha I Nelson
- Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Hugo Razuri
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru
| | | | | | | | - John Barnes
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | - Daniel G Bausch
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Lima, Peru.,Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA
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Tinoco YO, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Rázuri H, Kasper MR, Romero C, Ortiz E, Gomez J, Widdowson MA, Uyeki TM, Gilman RH, Bausch DG, Montgomery JM. A population-based estimate of the economic burden of influenza in Peru, 2009-2010. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2016; 10:301-9. [PMID: 26547629 PMCID: PMC4910177 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/20/2015] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Influenza disease burden and economic impact data are needed to assess the potential value of interventions. Such information is limited from resource‐limited settings. We therefore studied the cost of influenza in Peru. Methods We used data collected during June 2009–December 2010 from laboratory‐confirmed influenza cases identified through a household cohort in Peru. We determined the self‐reported direct and indirect costs of self‐treatment, outpatient care, emergency ward care, and hospitalizations through standardized questionnaires. We recorded costs accrued 15‐day from illness onset. Direct costs represented medication, consultation, diagnostic fees, and health‐related expenses such as transportation and phone calls. Indirect costs represented lost productivity during days of illness by both cases and caregivers. We estimated the annual economic cost and the impact of a case of influenza on a household. Results There were 1321 confirmed influenza cases, of which 47% sought health care. Participants with confirmed influenza illness paid a median of $13 [interquartile range (IQR) 5–26] for self‐treatment, $19 (IQR 9–34) for ambulatory non‐medical attended illness, $29 (IQR 14–51) for ambulatory medical attended illness, and $171 (IQR 113–258) for hospitalizations. Overall, the projected national cost of an influenza illness was $83–$85 millions. Costs per influenza illness represented 14% of the monthly household income of the lowest income quartile (compared to 3% of the highest quartile). Conclusion Influenza virus infection causes an important economic burden, particularly among the poorest families and those hospitalized. Prevention strategies such as annual influenza vaccination program targeting SAGE population at risk could reduce the overall economic impact of seasonal influenza.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yeny O Tinoco
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Callao, Peru.,Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | - Hugo Rázuri
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Callao, Peru
| | | | | | - Ernesto Ortiz
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Callao, Peru
| | - Jorge Gomez
- General Directorate of Epidemiology, Ministry of Health, Lima, Peru
| | - Marc-Alain Widdowson
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Timothy M Uyeki
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Robert H Gilman
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Daniel G Bausch
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Callao, Peru.,Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA
| | - Joel M Montgomery
- U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 6, Callao, Peru.,Division of Global Disease Detection International Emerging Infections Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya
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Razuri H, Tokarz R, Ghersi BM, Salmon-Mulanovich G, Guezala MC, Albujar C, Mendoza AP, Tinoco YO, Cruz C, Silva M, Vasquez A, Pacheco V, Ströher U, Guerrero LW, Cannon D, Nichol ST, Hirschberg DL, Lipkin WI, Bausch DG, Montgomery JM. Andes hantavirus variant in rodents, southern Amazon Basin, Peru. Emerg Infect Dis 2014; 20:257-60. [PMID: 24447689 PMCID: PMC3901500 DOI: 10.3201/eid2002.131418] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
We investigated hantaviruses in rodents in the southern Amazon Basin of Peru and identified an Andes virus variant from Neacomys spinosus mice. This finding extends the known range of this virus in South America and the range of recognized hantaviruses in Peru. Further studies of the epizoology of hantaviruses in this region are warranted.
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Dawood FS, Iuliano AD, Reed C, Meltzer MI, Shay DK, Cheng PY, Bandaranayake D, Breiman RF, Brooks WA, Buchy P, Feikin DR, Fowler KB, Gordon A, Hien NT, Horby P, Huang QS, Katz MA, Krishnan A, Lal R, Montgomery JM, Mølbak K, Pebody R, Presanis AM, Razuri H, Steens A, Tinoco YO, Wallinga J, Yu H, Vong S, Bresee J, Widdowson MA. Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: a modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis 2012; 12:687-95. [PMID: 22738893 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(12)70121-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 798] [Impact Index Per Article: 66.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND 18,500 laboratory-confirmed deaths caused by the 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 were reported worldwide for the period April, 2009, to August, 2010. This number is likely to be only a fraction of the true number of the deaths associated with 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1. We aimed to estimate the global number of deaths during the first 12 months of virus circulation in each country. METHODS We calculated crude respiratory mortality rates associated with the 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 strain by age (0-17 years, 18-64 years, and >64 years) using the cumulative (12 months) virus-associated symptomatic attack rates from 12 countries and symptomatic case fatality ratios (sCFR) from five high-income countries. To adjust crude mortality rates for differences between countries in risk of death from influenza, we developed a respiratory mortality multiplier equal to the ratio of the median lower respiratory tract infection mortality rate in each WHO region mortality stratum to the median in countries with very low mortality. We calculated cardiovascular disease mortality rates associated with 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 infection with the ratio of excess deaths from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases during the pandemic in five countries and multiplied these values by the crude respiratory disease mortality rate associated with the virus. Respiratory and cardiovascular mortality rates associated with 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 were multiplied by age to calculate the number of associated deaths. FINDINGS We estimate that globally there were 201,200 respiratory deaths (range 105,700-395,600) with an additional 83,300 cardiovascular deaths (46,000-179,900) associated with 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1. 80% of the respiratory and cardiovascular deaths were in people younger than 65 years and 51% occurred in southeast Asia and Africa. INTERPRETATION Our estimate of respiratory and cardiovascular mortality associated with the 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 was 15 times higher than reported laboratory-confirmed deaths. Although no estimates of sCFRs were available from Africa and southeast Asia, a disproportionate number of estimated pandemic deaths might have occurred in these regions. Therefore, efforts to prevent influenza need to effectively target these regions in future pandemics. FUNDING None.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatimah S Dawood
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA.
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