Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on prehospital characteristics and outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest among the elderly in Japan: A nationwide study

Aim

To assess the impact of the 2020 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic on the prehospital characteristics and outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in the elderly.

Methods

In this population-based nationwide observational study in Japan, 563,100 emergency medical service-unwitnessed OHCAs in elderly (≥65 years) patients involving any prehospital resuscitation efforts were analysed (144,756, 140,741, 140,610, and 136,993 cases in 2020, 2019, 2018, and 2017, respectively). The epidemiology, characteristics, and outcomes associated with OHCAs in elderly patients were compared between 3 years pre-pandemic (2017-2019) and the pandemic year (2020). The primary outcome was neurologically favourable one-month survival. The secondary outcomes were the rate of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), defibrillation by a bystander, dispatcher-assisted (DA)-CPR attempts, and one-month survival.

Results

During the pandemic year, the rates of neurologically favourable 1-month survival (crude odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: 1.19, 1.14-1.25), bystander CPR (1.04, 1.03-1.06), and DA-CPR attempts (1.10, 1.08-1.11) increased, whereas the incidence of public access defibrillation (0.88, 0.83-0.93) decreased. Subgroup analyses based on interaction tests showed that the increased rate of neurologically favourable survival during the pandemic year was enhanced in OHCA at care facilities (1.51, 1.36-1.68) and diminished or abolished on state-of-emergency days (0.90, 0.74-1.09), in the mainly affected prefectures (1.08, 1.01-1.15), and in cases with shockable initial rhythms (1.03, 0.96-1.12).

Conclusions

The COVID-19 pandemic increased the bystander CPR rate in association with enhanced DA-CPR attempts and improved the outcomes of elderly patients with OHCAs.

Vaccine confidence among those living with allergy during the COVID pandemic (ACCORD): A scoping review

Background

Reports of allergic reactions to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines, coupled with an "infodemic" of misinformation, carry the potential to undermine confidence in the COVID-19 vaccines. However, no attempts have been made to comprehensively synthesize the literature on how allergic disease and fear of allergic reactions to the vaccines contribute to hesitancy.

Objectives

Our aim was to review the academic and gray literature on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and allergic reactions.

Methods

We searched 4 databases (CINAHL, PsycINFO, MEDLINE, and Embase) using a search strategy developed by content and methodologic experts. No restrictions were applied regarding COVID-19 vaccine type, country of study, or patient age. Eligible articles were restricted to 10 languages.

Results

Of the 1385 unique records retrieved from our search, 60 articles (4.3%) were included. Allergic reactions to the COVID-19 vaccine were rare but slightly more common in individuals with a history of allergic disease. A fifth of the studies (13 of 60 [22%]) discussed vaccine hesitancy due to possibility of an allergic reaction. Additionally, the present review identified research on details of vaccine-related anaphylaxis (eg, a mean and median [excluding clinical trial data] of 12.4 and 5 cases per million doses, respectively) and allergic reactions (eg, a mean and median [excluding clinical trial data] of 489 and 528 cases per million doses, respectively).

Conclusion

COVID-19 vaccine acceptance among individuals living with allergy and among those with no history of allergic disease may be affected by fear of an allergic reaction. Despite the low incidence of allergic reactions to the COVID-19 vaccine, fear of such reactions is one of the most commonly cited concerns reported in the literature.

Colorectal cancer screening barriers and facilitators among Jordanians: A cross-sectional study

The factors affecting the adherence of Jordanians to colorectal cancer (CRC) screening remain underexplored. We examined the inhibitory and facilitating factors that influence the uptake of CRC screening among Jordanians. We conducted questionnaire interviews between April 2020 and June 2021 with 861 Jordanians aged 50-75. We analyzed the differences between proportions using the chi-square test. Binary logistic regression was conducted to determine factors associated with awareness of CRC and its screening. Of all participants, 41.7 % were aware of the necessity of screening for CRC, and 27.2 % were aware of at least one of the tests for CRC screening. However, only 17.2 % of participants underwent screening. In the multivariate analysis, participants with higher income (p-value < 0.001, odds ratio[OR] = 1.9, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.4-2.7), higher level of education (p-value < 0.001, OR = 2.6, 95 % CI: 1.8-3.7), family history of colon cancer (p-value < 0.001, OR = 2.8, 95 % CI = 1.7-4.5), and those who had been screened for other cancers (p-value = 0.003, OR = 1.7, 95 % CI: 1.2-2.5) were more aware of the necessity of screening. Concerning barriers to screening, 'feeling well,' lack of physician endorsement, and difficult access to health care were the most commonly reported inhibitory factors (53.9 %, 52.3 %, and 31.9 %, respectively). The most commonly stated incentivizing factor was physician endorsement (82.3 %). Screening rates for CRC in eligible Jordanians remain low, albeit more than one-third of participants are aware of the necessity of screening. Enhanced awareness of barriers and incentivizing factors should help to prioritize national strategies to improve screening rates.

Rates of breastfeeding or chestfeeding and influencing factors among transgender and gender-diverse parents: a cross sectional study

BACKGROUND

Breastfeeding is essential for the growth and development of all infants. Despite the large transgender and gender-diverse population size, there is no comprehensive research of breastfeeding or chestfeeding practices in this group. This study was designed aimed to investigate the status of breastfeeding or chestfeeding practices in transgender and gender-diverse parents and to explore the possible influencing factors.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted between January 27 2022 and February 15 2022 online in China. A representative sample of 647 transgender and gender-diverse parents was enrolled. Validated questionnaires were used to investigate breastfeeding or chestfeeding practices and its associated factors, including physical factors, psychological factors and socio-environmental factors.

FINDINGS

The exclusive breastfeeding or chestfeeding rate was 33.5% (214) and only 41.3% (244) of infants could be continuously fed until 6 months. Accepting hormonotherapy after having this child (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 1.664, 95% confidential interval (CI) = 1.014∼2.738) and receiving feeding education (AOR = 2.161, 95% CI = 1.363∼3.508) were associated with a higher exclusive breastfeeding or chestfeeding rate, while higher gender dysphoria scores (37-47: AOR = 0.549, 95% CI = 0.364∼0.827; >47: AOR = 0.474, 95% CI = 0.286∼0.778), experiencing family violence (15-35: AOR = 0.388, 95% CI = 0.257∼0.583; >35: AOR = 0.335; 95% CI = 0.203∼0.545), experiencing partner violence (≥30: AOR = 0.541, 95% CI = 0.334∼0.867), using artificial insemination (AOR = 0.269, 95% CI = 0.12∼0.541), or surrogacy (AOR = 0.406, 95% CI = 0.199∼0.776) and being discriminated against during seeking of childbearing health care (AOR = 0.402, 95% CI = 0.28∼0.576), are significantly associated with a lower exclusive breastfeeding or chestfeeding rate. Participants who had feeding education were more likely to feed their child with human milk as the first food intake (AOR = 1.644, 95% CI = 1.015∼2.632), while those who had suffered from family violence (>35: AOR = 0.47; 95% CI = 0.259∼0.84), discrimination (AOR = 0.457, 95% CI = 0.284∼0.721) and chose artificial insemination (AOR = 0.304, 95% CI = 0.168∼0.56) or surrogacy (AOR = 0.264, 95% CI = 0.144∼0.489), were less likely to give their child human milk as first food intake. Besides, discrimination is also related to a shorter breastfeeding or chestfeeding duration (AOR = 0.535, 95% CI = 0.375∼0.761).

INTERPRETATION

Breastfeeding or chestfeeding are neglected health problems in the transgender and gender-diverse population and many socio-demographic factors, transgender and gender-diverse-related factors, and family environment are correlated with it. Better social and family support is necessary to improve breastfeeding or chestfeeding practices.

FUNDING

There are no funding sources to declare.

An observational multi-centric COVID-19 sequelae study among health care workers

Background

India has seen more than 43 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of April 2022, with a recovery rate of 98.8%, resulting in a large section of the population including the healthcare workers (HCWs), susceptible to develop post COVID sequelae. This study was carried out to assess the nature and prevalence of medical sequelae following COVID-19 infection, and risk factors, if any.

Methods

This was an observational, multicenter cross-sectional study conducted at eight tertiary care centers. The consenting participants were HCWs between 12 and 52 weeks post discharge after COVID-19 infection. Data on demographics, medical history, clinical features of COVID-19 and various symptoms of COVID sequelae was collected through specific questionnaire.

Finding

Mean age of the 679 eligible participants was 31.49 ± 9.54 years. The overall prevalence of COVID sequelae was 30.34%, with fatigue (11.5%) being the most common followed by insomnia (8.5%), difficulty in breathing during activity (6%) and pain in joints (5%). The odds of having any sequelae were significantly higher among participants who had moderate to severe COVID-19 (OR 6.51; 95% CI 3.46-12.23) and lower among males (OR 0.55; 95% CI 0.39-0.76). Besides these, other predictors for having sequelae were age (≥45 years), presence of any comorbidity (especially hypertension and asthma), category of HCW (non-doctors vs doctors) and hospitalisation due to COVID-19.

Interpretation

Approximately one-third of the participants experienced COVID sequelae. Severity of COVID illness, female gender, advanced age, co-morbidity were significant risk factors for COVID sequelae.

Funding

This work is a part of Indian Council for Medical Research (ICMR)- Rational Use of Medicines network. No additional financial support was received from ICMR to carry out the work, for study materials, medical writing, and APC.

The racial disparity among post transcatheter aortic valve replacement outcomes: A meta-analysis

Background

Racial disparities have been well described in cardiovascular disease. However, the impact of race on the outcomes post - Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) remains unknown.

Objective

We aim to evaluate the disparity among the race (black and white) post - TAVR.

Methods

We systematically searched all electronic databases from inception until September 26, 2022. The primary outcome was in-hospital all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes was myocardial infarction (MI), acute kidney injury (AKI), permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI) or ICD, stroke, vascular complications, and major bleeding.

Results

A total of three studies with 1,02,009 patients were included in the final analysis. The mean age of patients with white and black patients was 82.65 and 80.45 years, respectively. The likelihood of in-hospital all-cause mortality (OR, 1.01(95 %CI: 0.86-1.19), P = 0.93), stroke (OR, 0.83(95 %CI:0.61-1.13), P = 0.23, I2 = 46.57 %], major bleeding [OR, 1.05(95 %CI:0.92-1.20), P = 0.46), and vascular complications [OR, 0.92(95 %CI:0.81-1.06), P = 0.26), was comparable between white and black patients. However, patients with white race have lower odds of MI (OR, 0.65(95 %CI:0.50-0.84), P < 0.001), and AKI (OR, 0.84(95 %CI:0.74-0.95), P = 0.01) and higher odds of PPI or ICD (OR, 1.16(95 %CI: 1.06-1.27), P < 0.001, I2 = 0 %) compared with black race patients.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest disparity post - TAVR outcomes existed, and black patients are at higher risk of MI and AKI than white patients.Key Clinical Message:•What is already known on this topic: Disparity has been witnessed among patients with cardiovascular disease. However, no studies have drawn a significant association among post-TAVR patients' outcomes•What this study adds: Among patients who underwent TAVR, there is a difference in the adverse outcomes between black and white race patients. White patients have a lower risk of post-procedure MI and AKI compared with Black patients.•How this study might affect research, practice, or policy: These disparities need to be addressed, and proper guidelines need to be made along with engaging patients with better medical infrastructure and treatment options..

Long-term results of carbidopa/levodopa enteral suspension across the day in advanced Parkinson's disease: Post-hoc analyses from a large 54-week trial

Introduction

Carbidopa/levodopa enteral suspension (CLES) previously demonstrated reduction in total daily OFF from baseline by over 4 hours in advanced Parkinson's disease patients across 54 weeks. Evidence on CLES's long-term effectiveness on patterns of motor-symptom control throughout the day remains limited.

Methods

We present post-hoc analyses of a large, open-label study of CLES monotherapy (N = 289). Diary data recorded patients' motor states at 30-minute intervals over 3 days at baseline and weeks 4, 12, 24, 36, and 54. Adjusted generalized linear mixed models assessed changes from baseline at each timepoint for four outcome measures: time to ON without troublesome dyskinesia (ON-woTD) after waking, motor-symptom control as measured by motor states' durations throughout the day, number of motor-state transitions, and presence of extreme fluctuations (OFF to ON with TD).

Results

Patients demonstrated short-term (wk4) and sustained (wk54) improvement in all outcomes compared to baseline. At weeks 4 and 54, patients were more likely to reach ON-woTD over the course of their day (HR: 1.86 and 2.51, both P < 0.0001). Across 4-hour intervals throughout the day, patients also experienced increases in ON-woTD (wk4: 58-65 min; wk54: 60-78 min; all P < 0.0001) and reductions in OFF (wk4: 50-61 min; wk54: 56-68 min; all P < 0.0001). At weeks 4 and 54, patients' motor-state transitions were reduced by about half (IRR: 0.53 and 0.49, both P < 0.0001), and fewer patients experienced extreme fluctuations (OR: 0.22 and 0.15, both P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

CLES monotherapy was associated with significant long-term reductions in motor-state fluctuations, faster time to ON-woTD upon awakening, and increased symptom control throughout the day.

COVID-19 infection differences among people with disabilities

Purpose

People with disabilities may be at higher risk for COVID-19 infection and death as a result of their impairments and/or medical conditions, and systemic inequities and disadvantages. People with disabilities are also a very heterogenous group, with many people with disabilities being multiply marginalized. The aim of this study was to examine differences in COVID-19 diagnosis and vaccination between people with and without disabilities, and to explore sociodemographic differences in COVID-19 diagnosis and vaccination among the disability community itself.

Methods

To do so, we analyzed secondary United States Census Bureau data from 444,422 people (52,890 adults with disabilities and 391,532 adults without disabilities) about COVID-19 diagnosis, vaccination, and sociodemographics. Frequency person-weights were applied.

Results

In this study, 19.3% of adults with disabilities were diagnosed with COVID-19 during the pandemic compared to 16.7% of adults without disabilities. People with disabilities were 1.20 times more likely to be diagnosed with COVID-19 than adults without disabilities. Among people with disabilities, the following groups were more likely to be diagnosed with COVID-19: people with cognitive disabilities; cisgender women; Black people; Hispanic people; people with some college or associate's degrees; people with employer and/or private insurance; and people who lived in larger households. There was not a significant difference in vaccination between people with and without disabilities; however, there were vaccination disparities among the disability community.

Conclusions

Many of the people with disabilities who were more likely to face health care disparities prior to the pandemic were also more likely to be diagnosed with COVID-19 during the pandemic.

Effectiveness of screening for oral cancer and oral potentially malignant disorders (OPMD): A systematic review

Oral cancer (OC) is a debilitating disease with a high mortality rate when diagnosed in advanced stage. Conversely, early-stage OC has a high survival rate, supporting a need for early detection programmes. A previous systematic review of clinical trials evaluating efficacy of screening for OC was inconclusive. This systematic review aimed to determine the impact of screening for oral lesions on reducing mortality and incidence of OC by looking at a broader spectrum of evidence. The search for randomized controlled trials and observational studies with a control group was conducted in PubMed, OVID, Cochrane, CINAHL and grey literature sources. Risk of bias for included studies was assessed with the tools developed by the Cochrane collaboration. Six out of two identified randomized trials and five observational studies had moderate to high risk of bias. Nevertheless, the predictions on impact of OC screening on incidence and mortality were similar across the majority of the studies. The meta-analysis concluded on a 26% decrease in OC mortality, and an 19% decrease in advanced OC cases as a result of OC screening in high-risk population. Three out of four studies did not identify an impact of screening on OC incidence. No positive impact of OC screening on incidence or mortality among general population was identified in the only available randomized trial. Consistency in the outcomes and the limitations of the few available studies suggest a need for real-life setting research to evaluate the overall effectiveness of screening for OC in high-risk population.

A cross-sectional study of organized activity participation and emotional wellbeing among non-immigrant and immigrant-origin children in British Columbia, Canada

Organized activity participation has been linked to children's emotional wellbeing. However, a scarcity of literature considers the role of immigrant background. This study's primary objective was to measure the association between organized activity participation and emotional wellbeing among a population-based sample of Grade 7 children in British Columbia, Canada. We also examined whether this relationship depended on immigration background. Our sample included 14,406 children (47.8% female; mean age = 12.0 years). 9,393 (65.2%) children were of non-immigrant origin (48.9% female; mean age = 12.1 years). 5,013 children (34.8%) were of immigrant origin (45.8% female; mean age = 12.0 years; 40.8% first-generation). Participants completed the Middle Years Development Instrument, a self-report survey measuring children's wellbeing and assets. We used odds ratios and the χ² test to compare the organized activity participation of non-immigrant and immigrant-origin children. We used multiple linear regression to measure associations between participation and indicators of emotional wellbeing and assessed whether associations varied based on immigrant background, controlling for demographic factors and peer belonging. Participation in any activity was similar among non-immigrant and immigrant-origin children (OR_1st-gen=1.06, p=0.37; OR_2nd-gen=0.97, p=0.62). Immigrant generation status modified the relationship between participation and emotional wellbeing (χ_SWL ²=3.69, p=0.03; χ_Dep ²=12.31, p<0.01). Beneficial associations between participation and both life satisfaction and depressive symptoms were observed among non-immigrant children only, although associations were small. We conclude that immigrant background modestly modified the association between organized activity participation and emotional wellbeing.

Seroprevalence of Hepatitis B Virus Among Pregnant Women in India: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objectives

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection during pregnancy is associated with perinatal transmission contributing to the pool of HBV infection in the population. There is a wide variation in the reported data on the seroprevalence of HBV in pregnant patients from various parts of India. Hence, a systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to determine the pooled seroprevalence of HBV and its associated demographic factors.

Methods

A comprehensive literature search of Medline, Scopus, and Google Scholar was conducted from January 2000 to April 2022 for studies evaluating the prevalence of HBV in pregnant patients from India.

Results

A total of 44 studies with data on 272,595 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) in pregnant women was 1.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.4-1.8]. Among patients with HBsAg positivity, the pooled prevalence of hepatitis B e antigen was 26.0% (95%CI 17.4-34.7). There was no significant difference in the odds of HBV seroprevalence based on the age (<25 years vs. > 25 years) [odds ratio (OR) 1.07, 95%CI 0.74-1.55], parity (primipara vs. multipara) (OR 1.09, 95%CI 0.70-1.70) or area of residence (urban vs. rural) (OR 0.88, 95%CI 0.56-1.39). However, the odds of HBV seroprevalence in those with no or primary education was higher than in those with secondary level education or higher (OR 2.29, 95%CI 1.24-4.23). Prior history of risk factors was present in 13.5-22.7% of patients indicating a vertical mode of acquisition.

Conclusion

There is a low endemicity of HBV among pregnant women in India. Risk factors are seen in less than 25% of the cases, indicating vertical transmission as the predominant mode of acquisition, which can be reduced by improving vaccination coverage.

The importance for wellbeing of having views of nature from and in the home during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results from the GreenCOVID study

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic has influenced the daily lives of people and may affect their well-being. The aim of the present study is to assess well-being and associated factors during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the general population in three European countries.

Methods

GreenCOVID was an observational cross-sectional study using an online survey (7 April 2020 to 24 July 2020) promoted by the Health & Territory Research (HTR) of the University of Seville in Spain, Maynooth University in Ireland, and the University of Winchester in England, which included a sample of 3109 unselected adults. Well-being was measured using the World Health Organization-Five Well-Being Index (WHO-5) scale. Seven aspects, related to the natural environment of the home, were evaluated (role of outdoor views in coping with lockdown, importance of blue spaces during lockdown, importance of green spaces during lockdown, quality of view from home, use of outdoor spaces or window views, elements of nature in the home, and views of green or blue spaces from home). Binary logistic regression was conducted to identify the parameters associated with poor well-being.

Results

Mean age was 39.7 years and 79.3% lived in Spain, the majority in urban areas (92.8%). 73.0% were female and 72.0% had undertaken university studies. Poor well-being was reported by 59.0%, while 26.6% indicated the possible presence of clinical depression. The factors most associated with poor well-being were students (OR = 1.541), those who had no engagement in physical activity (OR = 1.389), those who reported 'living in Spain' compared to Ireland (OR = 0.724), being female (OR = 1.256), poor quality views from home (OR = 0.887), less benefit from views of the natural environment to cope with lockdown (OR = 0.964), and those younger in age (OR = 0.990).

Conclusions

More than half of participants reported poor well-being and one in four indicated the possible presence of clinical depression during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. We identified that belonging to a younger age cohort, being a student, being female, not being able to continue with daily pursuits such as physical activity, and having poorer quality of views from home led to poor well-being among participants. Our study highlights the importance of continued physical activity and views of nature to improve the well-being of individuals during times of crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

Development and validation of predictive risk models for sight threatening diabetic retinopathy in patients with type 2 diabetes to be applied as triage tools in resource limited settings

Background

Delayed diagnosis and treatment of sight threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) is a common cause of visual impairment in people with Type 2 diabetes. Therefore, systematic regular retinal screening is recommended, but global coverage of such services is challenging. We aimed to develop and validate predictive models for STDR to identify 'at-risk' population for retinal screening.

Methods

Models were developed using datasets obtained from general practices in inner London, United Kingdom (UK) on adults with type 2 Diabetes during the period 2007-2017. Three models were developed using Cox regression and model performance was assessed using C statistic, calibration slope and observed to expected ratio measures. Models were externally validated in cohorts from Wales, UK and India.

Findings

A total of 40,334 people were included in the model development phase of which 1427 (3·54%) people developed STDR. Age, gender, diabetes duration, antidiabetic medication history, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), and history of retinopathy were included as predictors in the Model 1, Model 2 excluded retinopathy status, and Model 3 further excluded HbA1c. All three models attained strong discrimination performance in the model development dataset with C statistics ranging from 0·778 to 0·832, and in the external validation datasets (C statistic 0·685 - 0·823) with calibration slopes closer to 1 following re-calibration of the baseline survival.

Interpretation

We have developed new risk prediction equations to identify those at risk of STDR in people with type 2 diabetes in any resource-setting so that they can be screened and treated early. Future testing, and piloting is required before implementation.

Funding

This study was funded by the GCRF UKRI (MR/P207881/1) and supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology.

Effect of imbalanced sampling and missing data on associations between gender norms and risk of adolescent HIV

BACKGROUND

Despite strides towards gender equality, inequalities persist or remain unstudied, due potentially to data gaps. Although mapped, the effects of key data gaps remain unknown. This study provides a framework to measure effects of gender- and age-imbalanced and missing covariate data on gender-health research. The framework is demonstrated using a previously studied pathway for effects of pre-marital sex norms among adults on adolescent HIV risk.

METHODS

After identifying gender-age-imbalanced Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) datasets, we resampled responses and restricted covariate data from a relatively complete, balanced dataset derived from the 2007 Zambian DHS to replicate imbalanced gender-age sampling and covariate missingness. Differences in model outcomes due to sampling were measured using tests for interaction. Missing covariate effects were measured by comparing fully-adjusted and reduced model fitness.

FINDINGS

We simulated data from 25 DHS surveys across 20 countries from 2005-2014 on four sex-stratified models for pathways of adult attitude-behaviour discordance regarding pre-marital sex and adolescent risk of HIV. On average, across gender-age-imbalanced surveys, males comprised 29.6% of responses compared to 45.3% in the gender-balanced dataset. Gender-age-imbalanced sampling significantly affected regression coefficients in 40% of model-scenarios (N = 40 of 100) and biased relative-risk estimates away from gender-age-balanced sampling outcomes in 46% (N = 46) of model-scenarios. Model fitness was robust to covariate removal with minor effects on male HIV models. No consistent trends were observed between sampling distribution and risk of biased outcomes.

INTERPRETATION

Gender-health model outcomes may be affected by sampling gender-age-imbalanced data and less-so by missing covariates. Although occasionally attenuated, the effect magnitude of gender-age-imbalanced sampling is variable and may mask true associations, thus misinforming policy dialogue. We recommend future surveys improve balanced gender-age sampling to promote research reliability.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation grant OPP1140262 to Stanford University.

Clinical Outcomes of Transcatheter Arterial Embolization Using N-butyl-2-cyanoacrylate (NBCA) in Cirrhotic Patients

Purpose

To evaluate the clinical outcomes of transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) with n-butyl-2-cyanoacrylate (NBCA) for treatment of bleeding in cirrhotic patients.

Materials and methods

A total of 35 cirrhotic patients (26 men, 9 women; mean age, 48.4 ± 11.1) who underwent TAE with NBCA for bleeding from January 2011 to December 2020 were retrospectively analysed. Only cirrhotic patients with active arterial bleeding confirmed on computed tomography (CT) were included. Fifteen patients were hemodynamically unstable before embolization procedure, and coagulopathy was observed in 32 patients. The mean MELD score and Child Pugh score were 24 ± 9.9 and 9.9 ± 2.2, respectively. The mean haemoglobin level and mean number of RBC units transfused before embolization were 7.4 ± 1.4 g/dL and 10.2 ± 4, respectively. The technical, clinical success rate and 30-day mortality rate were evaluated.

Results

Technical success and clinical success rates were achieved in 100% and 82.8% of patients, respectively. Overall 30-day mortality rate was 48%. No major complications related to the embolization procedure was seen. Only the greater number of RBC units transfused before the embolization procedure (OR = 1.81, 95% CI = 1.17-2.80, P = 0.007) was significantly associated with clinical failure. Greater number of RBC units transfused (OR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.00-2.34, P = 0.004) and higher Child Pugh score (OR 2.44, 95% CI 1.26-4.71, P = 0.008) were significantly associated with higher 30-day mortality rate.

Conclusion

Transcatheter arterial embolization using NBCA can be used as the effective treatment option for bleeding in cirrhotic patients which has a high technical and clinical success despite the grave prognosis associated with cirrhosis.

The predictive power of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) 2, as compared to NEWS, among patients assessed by a Rapid response team: A prospective multi-centre trial

Aim

Early identification of patients at risk of serious adverse events (SAEs) is of vital importance, yet it remains a challenging task. We investigated the predictive power of National Early Warning Score (NEWS) 2, as compared to NEWS, among patients assessed by a Rapid response team (RRT).

Methods

Prospective, observational cohort study on 898 consecutive patients assessed by the RRTs in 26 Swedish hospitals. For each patient, NEWS and NEWS 2 scores were uniformly calculated by the study team. The associations of NEWS and NEWS 2 scores with unanticipated admissions to Intensive care unit (ICU), mortality and in-hospital cardiac arrests (IHCA) within 24 h, and the composite of these three events were investigated using logistic regression. The predictive power of NEWS and NEWS 2 was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves.

Results

The prognostic accuracy of NEWS/NEWS 2 in predicting mortality was acceptable (AUROC 0.69/0.67). In discriminating the composite outcome and unanticipated ICU admission, both NEWS and NEWS 2 were relatively weak (AUROC 0.62/0.62 and AUROC 0.59/0.60 respectively); for IHCA the performance was poor. There were no differences between NEWS and NEWS 2 as to the predictive power.

Conclusion

The prognostic accuracy of NEWS 2 to predict mortality within 24 h was acceptable. However, the prognostic accuracy of NEWS 2 to predict IHCA was poor. NEWS and NEWS 2 performed similar in predicting the risk of SAEs but their performances were not sufficient for use as a risk stratification tool in patients assessed by a RRT.

Prevalence and Predictors of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Family Members of Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background and aims

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the commonest cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Despite the high prevalence, no screening recommendations yet exist. We designed a prospective observational study to estimate the prevalence of NAFLD in the family of patients with NAFLD and develop a predictive model for identifying it.

Methodology

The prevalence of NAFLD in patients' family members was estimated using ultrasonography, and univariate and multivariate odds were calculated for its predictors. A model was created using the significant parameters on multivariate odds, and its performance was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC).

Results

Among 447 family members of 191 patients with NAFLD, the prevalence of NAFLD was 55.9%. Family members with NAFLD were younger and had lower serum levels of aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), triglycerides. The liver stiffness measurement and controlled attenuation parameter values were also lesser in family members compared to the index cases. Age, body mass index (BMI), and ALT were independent predictors of NAFLD in the family members. A model combining age and BMI had an AUROC of 0.838 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.800-0.876, P < 0.001]. Age ≥30 years and BMI ≥25 kg/m² had an odds ratio of 33.5 (95% CI 17.0-66.0, P < 0.001) for prediction of NAFLD, in comparison to BMI <25 kg/m² and age <30 years.

Conclusion

Family members of patients with NAFLD are at increased risk of NAFLD. Screening strategies using BMI and age ensure early identification and could be beneficial in clinical practice.

Population level physical activity before and during the first national COVID-19 lockdown: A nationally representative repeat cross-sectional study of 5 years of Active Lives data in England

BACKGROUND

To limit the spread of COVID-19 in March 2020, the population of England was instructed to stay home, leaving only for essential shopping, health-care, work, or exercise. The impact on population activity behaviours is not clear. We describe changes in duration and types of activity undertaken by adults ≥16 years in England between March and May 2016-19 and 2020, by socio-demographic strata.

METHODS

Using nationally representative data collected between November 2015 and May 2020 by the Sport England Active Lives Surveys (n=726,257) we assessed trends in amount and type of non-occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Using data from n=74,430 mid-April to mid-May respondents, we then estimated the odds ratios of reporting any activity in the four-week recall period in 2020 compared to 2016-19. Gamma regressions estimated the mean ratios (MR) of duration amongst those reporting any activity in 2020 compared to 2016-19.

FINDINGS

Population activity declined substantially after the restrictions were introduced. Compared to 2016-19 levels, the odds of reporting any activity in 2020 were 30% lower (95% confidence interval (CI) 26-34%). The largest declines were amongst non-white ethnicities, the youngest and oldest age groups, and the unemployed; no socio-demographic subgroup had higher odds. Amongst those undertaking activity, weekly duration was similar in the two periods (MR 0.99, 95%CI (0.96-1.01%)). The odds of participating in walking for leisure and gardening were 11% (6-16%) and 15% (9-21%) higher, respectively, whereas the odds for team and racket sport and walking for travel participation were 76% (73-79%) and 66% (64-68%) lower, respectively.

INTERPRETATION

Restrictions introduced in Spring 2020 likely reduced physical activity levels in England. The magnitude of the declines were not uniform by demographic groups or by activity type, which future policies should consider.

FUNDING

TS, KW, SJS, and SB are supported by UK Medical Research Council [grant numbers MC_UU_00006/4 and MC_UU_12015/3] and SB is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre in Cambridge (IS-BRC-1215-20014).

Referral and participation in cardiac rehabilitation of patients following acute coronary syndrome; lessons learned

PURPOSE

Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) after hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has shown to reduce mortality, readmissions, and improve quality of life. CR is recommended by international guidelines but previous studies have shown low participation rates. Systematic CR referral might improve CR participation.

METHODS

The present study evaluates CR referral and CR participation of patients hospitalized for ACS in 2017 and treated according to local protocol, which includes systematic CR referral. Participation rate was divided into a group that finished the CR program and drop outs. In addition, factors associated with CR referral and participation rate were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 469 patients eligible for CR were included in the study, of which 377 (80%) were referred for CR and 353 (75%) participated in CR. Ninety percent of participants completed the CR program. Factors independently associated with CR referral included age (50-60 year vs. > 70 year: odds ratio [OR] 4.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.98-11.2), diagnosis (ST-elevation myocardial infarction vs. unstable angina: OR 17.7, CI 7.59-41.7), previous cardiovascular disease (OR 0.4, CI 0.19-0.73) and left ventricular dysfunction vs. normal function (OR 2.2, CI 1.11-4.52). A larger distance to the CR center was associated with lower CR participation (<5km vs. > 20 km: OR 3.1, CI 1.20-7.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Systematic CR referral in ACS patients results in high CR referral (80%) and participation (75%) rates. CR adherence might be further improved by increasing CR referral, especially in older patients and patients with NSTEMI or unstable angina.

Sex differences in Cardiac electronic device implantation: Outcomes from an Australian multi-centre clinical quality registry

Background

There is uncertainty regarding whether outcomes after Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices (CIED) differ between women and men. There are no prospectively collected data regarding Australian CIED outcomes. This study aimed to determine whether the characteristics and outcomes of Australian patients undergoing CIED implantation differ by sex.

Methods

We prospectively followed 5,360 patients undergoing CIED implantation between 2015 and 2019 in a large multi-centre Australian registry. Patient characteristics, procedural data, medications and clinical outcomes to 1 year were analysed.

Results

The mean age was 76.2 + 11.2 years, and 2022 (37.7%) were female. Women were older than men at device implantation (77.0 ± 11.6 years vs. 75.5 ± 10.9 years, p < 0.001). Most implants were de novo (79.7%). Pacing was more commonly for sick sinus syndrome in women than men (54.4% vs. 47.2%, p < 0.001) and less often for A-V block (28.3% vs. 35.1%, p < 0.001). Adverse events at 30 days were low compared to international cohorts, for mortality (0.06%) and major complications (0.6%). There were no significant sex differences (women vs. men) for death (HR 1.33, 95% CI 0.58–3.13, p = 0.49) or major complications (HR 1.41, 95% 95% CI 0.65–3.03, p = 0.39). At 1-year, there was no difference in major complications or risk-adjusted all-cause mortality (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.70–1.29, p = 0.77) between women and men.

Conclusions

Clinical practice and 30-day outcomes after CIED implantation in Australia are consistent with international reports. There were no differences in procedural complication rates or clinical outcomes at 1-year between women and men, regardless of age or CIED system implanted.

Effects and clinical implications of sacubitril/valsartan on left ventricular reverse remodeling in patients affected by chronic heart failure: A 24-month follow-up

Background

Compared to angiotensin inhibition, angiotensin-neprilysin "blockade" improves mortality and reduces hospitalizations in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (EF). Sacubitril/valsartan is known to influence left ventricular (LV) reverse remodeling with systolic function improvement, although underlying mechanisms remain partially unclear. Our objectives were to evaluate whether sacubitril/valsartan promotes LV remodeling and improves LV ejection fraction (LVEF) (above the 35% threshold by echocardiographic evaluation) and to identify predictors of reverse remodeling in a real-world setting.

Methods

New York Heart Association (NYHA) class II-III patients with EF ≤ 35% were consecutively enrolled. All patients were on optimal medical therapy on the initiation of sacubitril/valsartan therapy. Full clinical and multi-parametric echocardiographic evaluation, electrocardiogram, and laboratory tests were performed at baseline and after 3, 6, 12, and 24 months.

Results

In total, 69 patients were recruited from July 2016 to August 2018. Reverse remodeling was observed in 57.7% (30/52) of patients, occurring within 3, 6, 12, and 24 months in 2, 11, 13, and 4 patients, respectively. Twenty-four (46%) patients showed LVEF improvement above the threshold of 35% during follow-up, occurring in 1, 10, 9, and 4 patients within 3, 6, 12, and 24 months, respectively. Primitive dilated cardiomyopathy and female gender were identified as significant predictors of reverse remodeling. NYHA class was improved in both remodeling and non-remodeling patients.

Conclusion

Sacubitril/valsartan promotes favorable cardiac remodeling and significantly improves LVEF in a significant proportion of HF patients within 24 months, both in NYHA class II and III patients with HF.

A novel scoring system to estimate chemotherapy-induced myocardial toxicity: Risk assessment prior to non-anthracycline chemotherapy regimens

BACKGROUND

Myocardial toxicity is a common side effect of chemotherapy and is associated with adverse outcomes in cancer patients. Sufficient prediction of chemotherapy-induced myocardiotoxicity (CIMC) is desirable. Therefore, we sought to develop a feasible scoring system to predict CIMC in cancer patients undergoing non-anthracycline chemotherapy.

METHODS

We determined a scoring system, the "Cardiotoxicitiy Score" (the CardTox-Score), by multivariable regression of the parameters considered relevant to the development of CIMC, based on previously published data and current guidelines. Variables of the risk model consist of clinical (age, presence of cardiovascular risk conditionsconditions), blood tests (NT-proBNP), and echocardiographic parameters (left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, LV strain analysis). The CardTox-Score was examined in an internal validation cohort by use of ROC and regression analysis.

RESULTS

We prospectively investigated 225 patients (58.21 ± 6.3 years, 52.8% female) who received non-anthracycline myocardiotoxic anticancer agent as a derivation cohort. All patients underwent echocardiography before, during and after anticancer therapy. The mean follow-up duration was 25 ± 4 months. We found the CardTox-Score (>6 points) to be a strong independent predictor (AUC: 0.983, OR: 6.38, 95% CI: 1.6 2.8, p < 0.001) for the development of CIMC with high sensitivity (100%) and specificity (84.2%) in the validation cohort (n = 30, 59.2 ± 6.5 years, 57% female). Moreover, the CardTox-Score appropriately predicted all-cause mortality with high specificity (93.7%) and sensitivity (92.9%) as well (OR: 4.85, AUC: 0.978, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The CardTox-Score offers a promising, feasible, and easy-to-handle scoring system for predicting CIMC in cancer patients undergoing non-anthracycline regimes, independent from the type of cancer.

Associations between depressive symptoms and geriatric syndromes in community-dwelling older adults in Japan: A cross-sectional study

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Depressive symptoms are associated with frailty in community-dwelling older adults.

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AWGS’s new sarcopenia definition is not associated with depressive symptoms.

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Depressive symptoms may be associated with J-CHS-defined frailty.

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Among geriatric syndromes, only frailty may be associated with depressive symptoms.

It is estimated that 7.2% of community-dwelling older adults worldwide have major depression. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the relationship between geriatric syndromes and depressive symptoms. Data were obtained from the Kaizuka Dementia Prevention Study 2018 and 2019, which was a community-based health check conducted in collaboration with the Osaka Kawasaki Rehabilitation University (Kaizuka City Office) and Cognitive Reserve Research Center in Osaka, Japan. The participants comprised 363 older adults (mean age 73.6 ± 6.6 years; women = 75.8%) who participated in a community-based health check. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15). Depressive symptoms were defined as a GDS-15 score of ≥ 5. Furthermore, geriatric syndromes in participants—such as frailty, sarcopenia, and locomotive syndrome—were assessed. There was a 28.1% prevalence of depressive symptoms. In a logistic regression analysis with depressive symptoms as the dependent variable, both pre-frailty (odds ratio [OR] 1.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09–3.01) and frailty (OR 5.45, 95% CI 2.23–13.31) were found to be significantly higher in the depressive group. There were no significant differences in sarcopenia and locomotive syndrome between the depressive groups. Our findings suggest that depressive symptoms are associated with frailty and pre-frailty in community-dwelling older adults in Japan. Physical frailty should be evaluated in depressed individuals and may contribute to the prioritization of clinical evaluation of geriatric syndromes.

Outcomes of COVID-19 in Patients with Cirrhosis or Liver Transplantation

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with a significant morbidity and mortality in patients with cirrhosis. There is a significantly higher morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19 in patients with decompensated cirrhosis as compared to compensated cirrhosis, and in patients with cirrhosis as compared to noncirrhotic chronic liver disease. The fear of COVID-19 before or after liver transplantation has lead to a significant reduction in liver transplantation numbers, and patients with decompensated cirrhosis remain at risk of wait list mortality. The studies in liver transplantation recipients show that risk of mortality due to COVID-19 is generally driven by higher age and comorbidities. The current review discusses available literature regarding outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with cirrhosis and outcomes in liver transplant recipients.

The Indian Network of Drug-Induced Liver Injury: Etiology, Clinical Features, Outcome and Prognostic Markers in 1288 Patients

BACKGROUND

Etiology of and outcomes following idiosyncratic drug-induced liver injury (DILI) vary geographically. We conducted a prospective study of DILI in India, from 2013 to 2018 and summarize the causes, clinical features, outcomes and predictors of mortality.

METHODS

We enrolled patients with DILI using international DILI expert working group criteria and Roussel Uclaf causality assessment method. Follow-up was up to 3 months from onset of DILI or until death. Multivariate logistics regression was carried out to determine predictors of non-survival.

RESULTS

Among 1288 patients with idiosyncratic DILI, 51.4% were male, 68% developed jaundice, 68% required hospitalization and 8.2% had co-existing HIV infection. Concomitant features of skin reaction, ascites, and encephalopathy (HE) were seen in 19.5%, 16.4%, and 10% respectively. 32.4% had severe disease. Mean MELD score at presentation was 18.8 ± 8.8. Overall mortality was 12.3%; 65% in those with HE, 17.6% in patients who fulfilled Hy's law, and 16.6% in those that developed jaundice. Combination anti-TB drugs (ATD) 46.4%, complementary and alternative medicines (CAM) 13.9%, anti-epileptic drugs (AED) 8.1%, non-ATD antimicrobials 6.5%, anti-metabolites 3.8%, anti-retroviral drugs (ART)3.5%, NSAID2.6%, hormones 2.5%, and statins 1.4% were the top 9 causes. Univariate analysis identified, ascites, HE, serum albumin, bilirubin, creatinine, INR, MELD score (p < 0.001), transaminases (p < 0.04), and anti-TB drugs (p = 0.02) as predictors of non-survival. Only serum creatinine (p = 0.017), INR (p < 0.001), HE (p < 0.001), and ascites (p = 0.008), were significantly associated with mortality on multivariate analysis. ROC yielded a C-statistic of 0.811 for MELD and 0.892 for combination of serum creatinine, INR, ascites and HE. More than 50 different agents were associated with DILI. Mortality varied by drug class: 15% with ATD, 13.6% with CAM, 15.5% with AED, 5.8% with antibiotics.

CONCLUSION

In India, ATD, CAM, AED, anti-metabolites and ART account for the majority of cases of DILI. The 3-month mortality was approximately 12%. Hy's law, presence of jaundice or MELD were predictors of mortality.

Modification of the left atrial appendage and its role in stroke risk reduction with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

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Evidence on surgical LAA excision has been limited to retrospective studies and registries.

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Surgical LAA excision is associated with high rates of post-operative atrial fibrillation burden.

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Watchman is equivalent to oral anticoagulants in high-bleeding risk AF patients.

Atrial fibrillation is one of the most common cardiovascular disorders encountered by clinicians in clinical practice. Patients with atrial fibrillation are at risk of cerebrovascular and systemic embolic events, which may be attenuated by commencement of anticoagulation therapy. Even so, due to extremely high bleeding risk certain patients may not be suitable for long-term anticoagulation therapy. The left atrial appendage is a common site for thrombus formation in patients with atrial fibrillation. Left atrial appendage exclusion, either surgical or percutaneous, has been performed to ostensibly reduce the risk of cerebrovascular events and potentially minimise or omit anticoagulation therapy in select patients. This review summarises the role of the left atrial appendage in cerebrovascular events, current evidence with modification of the left atrial appendage and future trials that may change practice with these procedures.

Smoking Status Affects the Association Between Hematoma Heterogeneity and Hematoma Expansion

Objective

The purpose of this study was to verify the relationship between hematoma heterogeneity and hematoma expansion and explore any effect modifiers through subgroup analyses.

Methods

Clinical records of 357 patients with spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage at Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital from March 2016 to October 2018 were included in the study. Hematoma heterogeneity was measured on the first noncontrast computed tomography image according to the Barras scale. Hematoma expansion was defined as an absolute hematoma volume increase of 6 mL, or a 33% increase. We performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, as well as subgroup analyses, to assess the relationship between the presence of heterogeneity on noncontrast computed tomography and hematoma expansion.

Results

Hematoma expansion occurred in 79 (22.13%) of the 357 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Among the patients with ICH, there were 83 smokers, accounting for 23.24%. The average patient age was 56.21 ± 13.75 years, and 74.51% were male. Compared with the absence of heterogeneity, the risk of hematoma expansion increased by 1.06 times (odds ratio, 2.06; 95% confidence interval, 1.10–3.86). Based on the subgroup analysis, smoking status was found to modify the association between heterogeneity and hematoma expansion; the association was stronger in smokers than in nonsmokers (odds ratio, 10.23; 95% confidence interval, 2.15–48.65).

Conclusions

Heterogeneity independently predicts hematoma expansion, especially in smoking patients.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of risk factors associated with atopic dermatitis in Asia

Background

Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic, inflammatory skin disorder characterised by intense itch and eczematous lesions. Rising prevalence of AD has been observed worldwide including in Asia. Understanding the risk factors associated with AD may explain its pathogenicity and identify new preventive strategies and treatments. However, AD-associated risk factors and comorbidities specific to Asia have not been systematically reviewed.

Methods

We performed a systematic review in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Item for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and summarised epidemiological studies investigating personal, family, and environmental factors and comorbidities associated with AD in Asia. Significant factors were assessed if they can be altered through lifestyle practices and further classified into non-modifiable and modifiable factors. Meta-analysis using the random-effect model was also conducted to provide an overall estimate for several significant factors.

Results

We identified a total of 162 epidemiological studies conducted in Asia. Among non-modifiable factors, a family history of atopic diseases was the most reported, suggesting the involvement of genetics in AD pathogenesis. Among modifiable factors, the results of meta-analyses revealed maternal smoking as the strongest risk factor with a pooled odds ratio (OR) of 2.95 (95% CI, 2.43-3.60), followed by active smoking (pooled OR, 1.91, 95% CI, 1.41-2.59).

Conclusion

While a family history may aid clinicians in identifying high-risk individuals, literature has long suggested the importance of gene-environment interaction. This review identified several modifiable factors including medical treatments, indoor and outdoor environmental exposure, and personal and family lifestyle specific to Asia. Based on the meta-analyses performed, prevention strategies against AD may start from changing personal and family lifestyle choices, especially smoking habits.

Enhancing innate immunity against virus in times of COVID-19: Trying to untangle facts from fictions

Introduction

In light of the current COVID-19 pandemic, during which the world is confronted with a new, highly contagious virus that suppresses innate immunity as one of its initial virulence mechanisms, thus escaping from first-line human defense mechanisms, enhancing innate immunity seems a good preventive strategy.

Methods

Without the intention to write an official systematic review, but more to give an overview of possible strategies, in this review article we discuss several interventions that might stimulate innate immunity and thus our defense against (viral) respiratory tract infections. Some of these interventions can also stimulate the adaptive T- and B-cell responses, but our main focus is on the innate part of immunity. We divide the reviewed interventions into: 1) lifestyle related (exercise, >7 h sleep, forest walking, meditation/mindfulness, vitamin supplementation); 2) Non-specific immune stimulants (letting fever advance, bacterial vaccines, probiotics, dialyzable leukocyte extract, pidotimod), and 3) specific vaccines with heterologous effect (BCG vaccine, mumps-measles-rubeola vaccine, etc).

Results

For each of these interventions we briefly comment on their definition, possible mechanisms and evidence of clinical efficacy or lack of it, especially focusing on respiratory tract infections, viral infections, and eventually a reduced mortality in severe respiratory infections in the intensive care unit. At the end, a summary table demonstrates the best trials supporting (or not) clinical evidence.

Conclusion

Several interventions have some degree of evidence for enhancing the innate immune response and thus conveying possible benefit, but specific trials in COVID-19 should be conducted to support solid recommendations.

An IL-6-IL-8 score derived from principal component analysis is predictive of adverse outcome in acute myocardial infarction

Introduction

Many studies have shown that elevated biomarkers of inflammation following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). However, the optimal way of measuring the complex inflammatory response following AMI has not been determined. In this study we explore the use of principal component analysis (PCA) utilising multiple inflammatory cytokines to generate a combined cytokine score that may be predictive of MACE post-AMI.

Methods

Thirteen inflammatory cytokines were measured in plasma of 317 AMI patients, drawn 48-72 h following symptom onset. Patients were followed-up for one year to determine the incidence of MACE. PCA was used to generate a combined score using six cytokines that were detectable in the majority of patients (IL-1β, -6, -8, and -10; MCP-1; and RANTES), and using a subset of cytokines that were associated with MACE on univariate analysis. Multivariate models using baseline characteristics, elevated individual cytokines and PCA-derived scores determined independent predictors of MACE.

Results

IL-6 and IL-8 were significantly associated with MACE on univariate analysis and were combined using PCA into an IL-6-IL-8 score. The combined cytokine score and IL-6-IL-8 PCA-derived score were both significantly associated with MACE on univariate analysis. In multivariate models IL-6-IL-8 scores (OR = 2.77, p = 0.007) and IL-6 levels (OR = 2.18, p = 0.035) were found to be independent predictors of MACE.

Conclusion

An IL-6-IL-8 score derived from PCA was found to independently predict MACE at one year and was a stronger predictor than any individual cytokine, which suggests this may be an appropriate strategy to quantify inflammation post-AMI. Further investigation is required to determine the optimal set of cytokines to measure in this context.

Prevalence and clinical features of adverse food reactions in Portuguese adolescents

Background & aims

The objective of the present study was to determine, for the first time, the prevalence and clinical features of food allergy in Portuguese adolescents.

Methods

Cross-sectional study performed in various secondary schools in central Portugal. Randomly selected adolescents replied to a validated food allergy questionnaire. Those who reported an adverse food reaction were seen at participating hospitals, where clinical history was taken, skin prick (SPT) and prick-prick skin (SPPT) tests were performed, and food allergen-specific IgE levels (sIgE) were determined. An open oral challenge was performed in selected cases. Cases of positive clinical history of immediate (up to 2 h after ingestion) reaction in association with positive food sIgE levels and/or SPT were classified as IgE-associated probable food allergy and as confirmed IgE-mediated food allergy if food challenges were positive. Cases of positive clinical history of delayed (more than 2 h after ingestion) and negative food sIgE levels independently of positive SPT or SPPT results, were classified as non-IgE associated probable food allergy.

Results

The prevalence of probable food allergy in Portuguese adolescents was 1.41% (95% CI: 0.90–2.03%), with fresh fruits, shellfish, nuts, and peanut as the most frequently implicated foods. IgE-mediated probable food allergy occurred in 1.23% (95% CI: 0.67–1.72%) of cases, with fresh fruits, shellfish, and nuts mainly involved. Cutaneous symptoms were most frequently reported.

Conclusions

The prevalence of probable food allergies in Portuguese adolescents is low, is mostly related to fresh fruits, shellfish, nuts, and peanut, and most frequently involves cutaneous symptoms.

Factors correlating with serum birch pollen IgE status in pregnant women in Hokkaido, Japan: The Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS)

BACKGROUND

Birch pollen allergy affects pregnant women, and such allergy may affect the development of allergic diseases in their children. Using nationwide birth cohort data, this study aimed to investigate the prevalence of birch pollen IgE positivity and to identify correlating factors in pregnant women in Hokkaido, Japan, a high-latitude island.

METHODS

Participants included 6856 pregnant women. Participants responded to questionnaires regarding lifestyle factors and history of allergies. Data regarding parity, height, and pre-pregnancy weight were collected from medical records. Blood samples were obtained from participants during the first trimester of pregnancy, and serum allergen-specific IgE titers were determined.

RESULTS

The serum of 30.2% participants was positive for birch pollen IgE (≥0.35 UA/mL). Such positivity significantly correlated with a history of other allergic diseases, particularly food allergy and allergic rhinitis/hay fever. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, pre-pregnancy high body mass index (BMI ≥ 25) significantly correlated with birch pollen IgE positivity [odds ratio (OR), 1.24; 95% CI, 1.05-1.47; reference BMI, 18.5-24.9] and higher income (≥10 million yen per year; OR,0.55; 95% CI, 0.37-0.81; reference, household income < 2 million yen per year), and second quintile level physical activity (OR,0.75; 95% CI, 0.63-0.88; reference, the first quintile of physical activity) had significant protective effects.

CONCLUSIONS

Birch pollen IgE positivity in pregnant women was positively associated with food allergy, allergic rhinitis, pre-pregnant high BMI, and was negatively associated with light exercise and high household income in Hokkaido.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN000030786.

The predominance of seafood allergy in Vietnamese adults: Results from the first population-based questionnaire survey

Background

Food allergy (FA) is a serious, costly and growing health problem worldwide. FA occurs in both children and adults; however, there is a paucity of information on FA prevalence and its clinical features in the adult population, especially in Asia. We sought to assess the prevalence of FAs in Vietnamese adults and the distribution of offending food items among different regions throughout Vietnam.

Methods

A nationwide, cross-sectional, population-based survey was conducted among University students aged 16–50 years. We used a structured, anonymous questionnaire, which was modified from recently published FA epidemiologic studies and based on European Academy of Allergy and Clinical Immunology (EAACI) guidelines, to collect data on FA prevalence, clinical presentations, and implicated food groups. Statistical analysis was performed to generate the prevalence of self-reported and doctor-diagnosed FA and to examine the association of key environmental factors and FA incidence in this population.

Results

Of the 14,500 surveys distributed, a total of 9,039 responses were returned, resulting in a response rate of 62.4%. Among participants who reported food-induced adverse reactions, 48.0% have repeated reactions. 18.0% of the participants perceived FA symptoms, but less than half of them sought medical services for confirmation (37.9%). Stratifying for true FA symptoms, the prevalence of self-reported FA was 11.8% and of doctor-diagnosed FA, 4.6%. The most common doctor-diagnosed FA was to crustacean (3.0%; 95% CI, 2.6–3.3), followed by fish (1.6%; 95% CI, 1.3–1.8), mollusk (1.3%; 95% CI, 1.0–1.5) and beef (1.0%; 95% CI, 0.8–1.2). The prevalence of doctor-diagnosed FA differed among participants living in urban (6.5%) and rural regions (4.9%) (P < 0.001). Atopic family history was the strongest predictor for FA (odds ratio 8.0; 95% CI, 6.2–10.4).

Conclusions

Seafood allergy among adults is predominant in Vietnam, followed by beef, milk, and egg, while peanut, soy, and tree nut allergy are much less common. Populations in rural regions have considerably less FA; however, the protective environmental factors have yet to be identified.

Prevalence, risk factors, and type of sleep apnea in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Background

Recent studies have suggested an association between sleep apnea (SA) and atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to study the prevalence, characteristics, risk factors and type of sleep apnea (SA) in ablation candidates with paroxysmal AF.

Methods/Results

We prospectively studied 579 patients with paroxysmal AF, including 157 women (27.1%) and 422 men (72.9%). Mean age was 59.9 ± 9.6 years and mean body mass index (BMI) 28.5 ± 4.5 kg/m². SA was diagnosed using polygraphy for two nights at home. The Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS), STOP-Bang Questionnaire, and Berlin Questionnaire (BQ) assessed the degree of SA symptoms. A total of 479 (82.7%) patients had an apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) ≥ 5, whereas moderate-severe SA (AHI ≥ 15) was diagnosed in 244 patients (42.1%). The type of SA was predominantly obstructive, with a median AHI of 12.1 (6.7–20.6) (range 0.4–85.8). The median central apnea index was 0.3 (0.1–0.7). AHI increased with age, BMI, waist and neck circumference, body and visceral fat. Using the Atrial Fibrillation Severity Scale and the SF-36, patients with more severe SA had a higher AF burden, severity and symptom score and a lower Physical-Component Summary score. Age, male gender, BMI, duration of AF, and habitual snoring were independent risk factors in multivariate analysis (AHI ≥ 15). We found no association between ESS and AHI (R² = 0.003, p = 0.367).

Conclusions

In our AF population, SA was highly prevalent and predominantly obstructive. The high prevalence of SA detected in this study may indicate that SA is under-recognized in patients with AF. None of the screening questionnaires predicted SA reliably.

Spatial relationships between small-holder farms coupled with livestock management practices are correlated with the distribution of antibiotic resistant bacteria in northern Tanzania

We examined the spatial distribution of antibiotic-resistant coliform bacteria amongst livestock from three distinct cultural groups, where group-level differences in practices (e.g., antibiotic use) may influence the magnitude of antibiotic resistance, while livestock interactions (e.g., mixing herds, shared markets) between these locations may reduce heterogeneity in the distribution of antibiotic resistant bacteria. Data was collected as part of a larger study of antibiotic-resistance in northern Tanzania. Simple regression and generalized linear regression were used to assess livestock management and care practices in relation to the prevalence of multidrug-resistant (MDR) coliform bacteria. Simple and multivariable logistic regression were then used to identify how different management practices affected the odds of households being found within MDR "hotspots." Households that had a higher median neighbourhood value within a 3000 m radius showed a significant positive correlation with livestock MDR prevalence (β = 4.33, 95% CI: 2.41-6.32). Households were more likely to be found within hotspots if they had taken measures to avoid disease (Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) 1.53, CI: 1.08-2.18), and if they reported traveling less than a day to reach the market (AOR 2.66, CI: 1.18-6.01). Hotspot membership was less likely when a greater number of livestock were kept at home (AOR 0.81, CI: 0.69-0.95), if livestock were vaccinated (AOR 0.32, CI: 0.21-0.51), or if distance to nearest village was greater (AOR 0.46, CI: 0.36-0.59). The probability of MDR increases when herds are mixed, consistent with evidence for passive transmission of resistant bacteria between animals. Reduced MDR with vaccination is consistent with many studies showing reduced antibiotic use with less disease burden. The neighbourhood effect has implications for design of intervention studies.

Automated calcium scores collected during myocardial perfusion imaging improve identification of obstructive coronary artery disease

Background

Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is an accurate noninvasive test for patients with suspected obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score is known to be a powerful predictor of cardiovascular events. Collection of CAC scores simultaneously with MPI is unexplored.

Aim

We aimed to investigate whether automatically derived CAC scores during myocardial perfusion imaging would further improve the diagnostic accuracy of MPI to detect obstructive CAD.

Methods

We analyzed 150 consecutive patients without a history of coronary revascularization with suspected obstructive CAD who were referred for 82Rb PET/CT and available coronary angiographic data. Myocardial perfusion was evaluated both semi quantitatively as well as quantitatively according to the European guidelines. CAC scores were automatically derived from the low-dose attenuation correction CT scans using previously developed software based on deep learning. Obstructive CAD was defined as stenosis >70% (or >50% in the left main coronary artery) and/or fractional flow reserve (FFR) ≤0.80.

Results

In total 58% of patients had obstructive CAD of which seventy-four percent were male. Addition of CAC scores to MPI and clinical predictors significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy of MPI to detect obstructive CAD. The area under the curve (AUC) increased from 0.87 to 0.91 (p: 0.025). Sensitivity and specificity analysis showed an incremental decrease in false negative tests with our MPI + CAC approach (n = 14 to n = 4), as a consequence an increase in false positive tests was seen (n = 11 to n = 28).

Conclusion

CAC scores collected simultaneously with MPI improve the detection of obstructive coronary artery disease in patients without a history of coronary revascularization.

Asymptomatic toddlers with house dust mite sensitization at risk of asthma and abnormal lung functions at age 7 years

Objective

To evaluate the predictive value of asymptomatic early house dust mite sensitization on allergic outcomes and pulmonary functions in 7-year olds.

Study design

The Prediction of Allergies in Taiwanese Children (PATCH) birth cohort study recruited healthy newborns at birth. At age 1.5–2 years, a Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus-specific immunoglobulin E level ≥ 0.35 kU/L was defined as early sensitization. At age 7 years, allergic outcomes were evaluated by pediatric allergists and pulmonologists, and fractional exhaled nitric oxide and pulmonary functions were measured.

Results

At age 1.5–2 years, 28.0% of toddlers were sensitized to D. pteronyssinus. Among them, 68.2% had no allergic symptoms at that time. At age 7 years, the children with early sensitization had higher risks of asthma (OR = 13.4, 95% CI, 1.2 to 153.0; P = 0.037), allergic rhinitis (OR = 10.2, 95% CI, 2.1 to 49.6; P = 0.004), and atopic dermatitis (OR = 38.5, 95% CI, 2.1 to 696.4; P = 0.014). Notably, even the asymptomatic toddlers with early D. pteronyssinus sensitization had higher probabilities of asthma (12.5% vs. 1.7%, P = 0.040), allergic rhinitis (83.3% vs. 43.1%, P = 0.009), and atopic dermatitis (20.8% vs. 0.0%, P < 0.001) at age 7 years. The asymptomatic toddlers with early sensitization also had higher exhaled nitric oxide levels and higher prevalence of airway hyperresponsiveness at age 7 years.

Conclusion

Asymptomatic toddlers with early house dust mite sensitization have higher risks of developing asthma, allergic rhinitis, atopic dermatitis, and abnormal lung functions at age 7 years.

Task-Sharing for Emergency Neurosurgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study in the Philippines

Objective

The safety and effectiveness of task-sharing (TS) in neurosurgery, delegating clinical roles to non-neurosurgeons, is not well understood. This study evaluated an ongoing TS model in the Philippines, where neurosurgical workforce deficits are compounded with a large neurotrauma burden.

Methods

Medical records from emergency neurosurgical admissions to 2 hospitals were reviewed (January 2015-June 2018): Bicol Medical Center (BMC), a government hospital in which emergency neurosurgery is chiefly performed by general surgery residents (TS providers), and Mother Seton Hospital, an adjacent private hospital where neurosurgery consultants are the primary surgeons. Univariable and multivariable linear and logistic regression compared provider-associated outcomes.

Results

Of 214 emergency neurosurgery operations, TS providers performed 95 and neurosurgeons, 119. TS patients were more often male (88.4% vs. 73.1%; P = 0.007), younger (mean age, 27.6 vs. 50.5 years; P < 0.001), and had experienced road traffic accidents (69.1% vs. 31.4%; P < 0.001). There were no significant differences between Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores on admission. Provider type was not associated with mortality (neurosurgeons, 20.2%; TS, 17.9%; P = 0.68), reoperation, or pneumonia. No significant differences were observed for GCS improvement between admission and discharge or in-hospital GCS improvement, including or excluding inpatient deaths. TS patients had shorter lengths of stay (17.3 days vs. 24.4 days; coefficient, -6.67; 95% confidence interval, -13.01 to -0.34; P < 0.05) and were more likely to undergo tracheostomy (odds ratio, 3.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.30-7.40; P = 0.01).

Conclusions

This study, one of the first to examine outcomes of neurosurgical TS, shows that a strategic TS model for emergency neurosurgery produces comparable outcomes to the local neurosurgeons.

Association between lower estimated premorbid intelligence quotient and smoking behavior in patients with schizophrenia

Aim

We aimed to investigate the involvement of premorbid intelligence quotient in higher prevalence of smoking in patients with schizophrenia.

Methods

Participants included 190 patients with schizophrenia (mean ± standard deviation age: 37.7 ± 10.8 years; 88 males and 102 females) and 312 healthy individuals (mean ± standard deviation age: 38.1 ± 13.8; 166 males and 146 females), matched for age, sex, and ethnicity (Japanese). Premorbid intelligence quotient was estimated using the Japanese Adult Reading Test and distress symptoms were assessed using the Hopkins Symptom Check List. Current smoking information was collected according to self-declarations.

Results

As expected, the smoking rate was higher, while mean education level and Japanese Adult Reading Test scores were significantly lower, in patients with schizophrenia than in healthy individuals (p < 0.01). The mean education level and Japanese Adult Reading Test scores were significantly lower in the smoker group than in the non-smoker group in both patients and healthy individuals (p < 0.05). In the patient group alone, Hopkins Symptom Check List subscale and total scores were significantly higher in the smoker group than in the non-smoker group (p < 0.05). A multivariate regression analysis showed that the Japanese Adult Reading Test score was a significant and negative predictor for smoking (p < 0.001, odds ratio = 0.97; 95% confidence interval: 0.96–0.99).

Conclusion

Our results suggest that lower estimated premorbid intelligence quotient is an important variable in elucidating smoking behavior in humans and may be associated with higher prevalence of smoking in patients with schizophrenia.

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Lower premorbid intelligence quotient (IQ) was observed in patients with schizophrenia who were smokers.

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Lower education level was observed in patients with schizophrenia who were smokers.

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Lower premorbid IQ and education level were also seen in smokers in the healthy group.

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Distress symptoms were higher in smokers with schizophrenia.

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In total, premorbid IQ was a negative predictor for smoking.

Postoperative complications following tonsil and adenoid removal in Kuwaiti children: A retrospective study

Background

Adenoidectomy and adenotonsillectomy are two of the most common procedures that are performed by otolaryngologists around the world. Complications, ranging from major to minor ones, are affected by the preoperative symptoms and health status of the patient. We aimed to identify the prevalence of major postadenoidectomy and adenotonsillectomy complications, including bleeding, and minor complications, including malodor, fever, and snoring.

Materials and methods

We conducted a retrospective chart review of 825 patients who underwent surgery between January 2002 and 30 December 2016 at our institution.

Results

The bleeding complications prevalence was 4.1% (14/344) among patients with adenotonsillectomy and 1.3% (6/480) among those who underwent adenoidectomy. Results revealed that tonsil grade 3 patients were at a reduced risk (86% reduced risk) of developing bleeding complications, compared to those with tonsil grade 2 [odds ratio (OR) = 0.141, 95% confidence interval (CI): (0.028, 0.715)]. Grade C tympanogram patients had ten times the odds of bleeding complications compared to those with tympanogram grade A [OR = 10.6, 95% CI: 0.917, 122.54], a marginally significant difference (probability value (PV) = 0.054). Upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) patients had three times the odds of bleeding complications compared to those without URTIs [OR = 3.03, 95% CI: (0.979, 9.439)], also a marginally significant difference (PV = 0.055). Postoperatively, 71% experienced no malodor, 23% had malodor lasting 3-7 days, and 1% had malodor for 7-10 days. Our analysis showed that 71% of the patients did not complain of snoring, 25% had snoring for 3-7 days, and 2% had snoring for 7-10 days. 80% of the patients did not develop fever, 13% had fever for 3-7 days, and no patients experienced fever for longer than 7 days.

Conclusions

Nearly 4% of the patients developed bleeding after adenotonsillectomy and only 2% of the patients had only bleeding after adenoidectomy. Conversely, 15-25% of the patients developed minor complications, including malodor, snoring, and fever, independent of their preoperative symptoms.

The tyranny of the averages and the indiscriminate use of risk factors in public health: The case of coronary heart disease

Modern medicine is overwhelmed by a plethora of both established risk factors and novel biomarkers for diseases. The majority of this information is expressed by probabilistic measures of association such as the odds ratio (OR) obtained by calculating differences in average “risk” between exposed and unexposed groups. However, recent research demonstrates that even ORs of considerable magnitude are insufficient for assessing the ability of risk factors or biomarkers to distinguish the individuals who will develop the disease from those who will not. In regards to coronary heart disease (CHD), we already know that novel biomarkers add very little to the discriminatory accuracy (DA) of traditional risk factors. However, the value added by traditional risk factors alongside simple demographic variables such as age and sex has been the subject of less discussion. Moreover, in public health, we use the OR to calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF), although this measure fails to consider the DA of the risk factor it represents. Therefore, focusing on CHD and applying measures of DA, we re-examine the role of individual demographic characteristics, risk factors, novel biomarkers and PAFs in public health and epidemiology. In so doing, we also raise a more general criticism of the traditional risk factors’ epidemiology. We investigated a cohort of 6103 men and women who participated in the baseline (1991–1996) of the Malmö Diet and Cancer study and were followed for 18 years. We found that neither traditional risk factors nor biomarkers substantially improved the DA obtained by models considering only age and sex. We concluded that the PAF measure provided insufficient information for the planning of preventive strategies in the population. We need a better understanding of the individual heterogeneity around the averages and, thereby, a fundamental change in the way we interpret risk factors in public health and epidemiology.

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There is a plethora of differences in “average” risk between exposed and unexposed groups of individuals.

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Individual heterogeneity around average values is seldom considered in Public Health.

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Measures of discriminatory accuracy (DA) informs on the underlying individual heterogeneity.

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Most know risk factors and other categorizations associated with diseases have low DA.

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We need a fundamental change in the way we investigate risk factors and other categorizations in Public Health.

Adverse childhood experiences, gender, and HIV risk behaviors: Results from a population-based sample

Recent HIV research suggested assessing adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) as contributing factors of HIV risk behaviors. However, studies often focused on a single type of adverse experience and very few utilized population-based data. This population study examined the associations between ACE (individual and cumulative ACE score) and HIV risk behaviors. We analyzed the 2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Survey (BRFSS) from 5 states. The sample consisted of 39,434 adults. Eight types of ACEs that included different types of child abuse and household dysfunctions before the age of 18 were measured. A cumulative score of ACEs was also computed. Logistic regression estimated of the association between ACEs and HIV risk behaviors using odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for males and females separately. We found that ACEs were positively associated with HIV risk behaviors overall, but the associations differed between males and females in a few instances. While the cumulative ACE score was associated with HIV risk behaviors in a stepwise manner, the pattern varied by gender. For males, the odds of HIV risk increased at a significant level as long as they experienced one ACE, whereas for females, the odds did not increase until they experienced three or more ACEs. Future research should further investigate the gender-specific associations between ACEs and HIV risk behaviors. As childhood adversities are prevalent among general population, and such experiences are associated with increased risk behaviors for HIV transmission, service providers can benefit from the principles of trauma-informed practice.

Influence of volunteer-led net step exercise class on older people's self-rated health in a depopulated town: A longitudinal study

In a depopulated region where population aging is advancing, it is necessary to establish a method so local residents themselves can be actively involved in older people’s health promotion. Net Step Exercise, a novel dual-task walking program, introduced residents to opportunities for physical activities and social participation without any health specialist support. In one depopulated town (Ikeda, Nakagawa-gun, Hokkaido, Japan), volunteer residents have held Net Step Exercise classes throughout the town since 2007. We longitudinally examined the influence of volunteer-led Net Step Exercise class participation on subsequent self-rated health in all individuals aged 70–79 years living in Ikeda. A total of 662 people who completed a baseline mail-in questionnaire survey in 2012 were followed until 2014. Logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association with self-rated health after two years of class participation once a month or more at baseline, after controlling for confounds such as age, sex, years of education, living alone, baseline self-rated health, regular exercise, and other physical activities. The odds ratio of poor self-rated health in older people who participated in classes was 0.53 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.34–0.85) compared to older people not participating in classes. Even after confounding factors were adjusted, the odds ratio of class participation was 0.50 (95% CI: 0.29–0.85). This study showed that participation in volunteer-led Net Step Exercise might prevent poor self-rated health. Such Net Step Exercise classes are a feasible method for older people’s health promotion in depopulated municipalities.

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Local residents’ active involvement in older people’s health promotion is vital.

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NSE provides physical exercise, cognitive activity, and social participation.

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Older people in NSE class had significantly lower risk of poor self-rated health.

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The association held despite covariates for monthly class attendance or more.

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Local residents’ volunteer leading of NSE classes promotes health in older people.

Use of surveillance data to identify target populations for Staphylococcus aureus vaccines and prevent surgical site infections: a pilot study

The development of anti-staphylococcal vaccines is nowadays a priority to prevent surgical site infections (SSI). The objective of the present study was to identify a potential target population by assessing surveillance data on surgery patients for possible anti-staphylococcal vaccine administration. Individuals at high risk of SSI by Staphylococcus aureus (SA) were targeted by the French SSI Surveillance Network in south-eastern France between 2008 and 2011. Among 238,470 patients, those undergoing primary total hip replacement appeared to be an interesting and healthy enough population for anti-staphylococcal vaccine testing. These male patients, subjected to multiple procedures and with American Society of Anesthesiologists score>2, had a probability of SA SSI about 21 times higher than females with no severe systemic disease and no multiple procedures. Our study indicates that surveillance data on SSI might be an interesting epidemiological source for planning vaccine trials to prevent nosocomial infections.

LINE-1 methylation in granulocyte DNA and trihalomethane exposure is associated with bladder cancer risk

DNA methylation changes contribute to bladder carcinogenesis. Trihalomethanes (THM), a class of disinfection by-products, are associated with increased urothelial bladder cancer (UBC) risk. THM exposure in animal models produces DNA hypomethylation. We evaluated the relationship of LINE-1 5-methylcytosine levels (LINE-1%5mC) as outcome of long-term THM exposure among controls and as an effect modifier in the association between THM exposure and UBC risk. We used a case-control study of UBC conducted in Spain. We obtained personal lifetime residential THM levels and measured LINE-1%5mC by pyrosequencing in granulocyte DNA from blood samples in 548 incident cases and 559 hospital controls. Two LINE-1%5mC clusters (above and below 64%) were identified through unsupervised hierarchical cluster analysis. The association between THM levels and LINE-1%5mC was evaluated with β regression analyses and logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) adjusting for covariables. LINE-1%5mC change between percentiles 75(th) and 25(th) of THM levels was 1.8% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.1, 3.4%) among controls. THM levels above vs. below the median (26 μg/L) were associated with increased UBC risk, OR = 1.86 (95% CI: 1.25, 2.75), overall and among subjects with low levels of LINE-1%5mC (n = 975), OR = 2.14 (95% CI: 1.39, 3.30), but not associated with UBC risk among subjects' high levels of LINE-1%5mC (n = 162), interaction P = 0.03. Results suggest a positive association between LINE-1%5mC and THM levels among controls, and LINE-1%5mC status may modify the association between UBC risk and THM exposure. Because reverse causation and chance cannot be ruled out, confirmation studies are warranted.

Using decision tree learning to predict the responsiveness of hepatitis C patients to drug treatment

The recommended treatment for patients with chronic hepatitis C, pegylated interferon α (PEG-IFN-α) plus rebavirin (RBV), does not provide a sustained virologic response in all patients, especially those with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1. It is therefore important to predict whether or not a new patient with HCV genotype 1 will be cured by the recommended treatment. We propose a prediction method for a new patient using a decision tree learning model based on SNPs evaluated in a genome-wide association study. By the decision tree learning for 142 Japanese patients with HCV genotype 1 (78 with null virologic response and 64 with virologic response), we can predict with high probability (93%) whether or not a new patient with HCV will be helped by the recommended treatment.