Overcoming barriers to lung cancer screening using a systemwide approach with additional focus on the non-screened

BACKGROUND

The lung cancer screening program at St Elizabeth Healthcare (Kentucky, USA) began in 2013. Over 33,000 low-dose computed tomography lung cancer screens have been performed. From 2015 through 2021, 2595 lung cancers were diagnosed systemwide. A Screening Program with Impactful Results from Early Detection, reviews that experience; 342 (13.2%) were diagnosed by screening and 2253 (86.8%) were non-screened. As a secondary objective, the non-screened cohort was queried to determine how many additional individuals could have been screened, identifying barriers and failures to meet eligibility.

METHODS

Our QlikSense database extracted the lung cancer patients from the Cancer Patient Data and Management System, and identified and categorized them separately as screened or non-screened populations. Stage distribution was compared in screened and non-screened groups. Those meeting age criteria, with any smoking history, were further queried for screening eligibility, accessing the electronic medical record smoking history and audit trail, and determining if enough information was available to substantiate screening eligibility. The same methodology was applied to CMS 2015 and USPSTF 2021 criteria.

RESULTS

The screened and non-screened patients were accounted for in a stage migration chart demonstrating clear shift to early stage among screened lung cancer patients. Additionally, analysis of non-screened individuals is presented.

CONCLUSION

Of the St Elizabeth Healthcare eligible patients attributed to primary care providers, 49.6% were screened in 2021. Despite this level of success, this study highlighted a sizeable pool of additional individuals that could have been screened. We are shifting focus to the non-screened pool of patients that meet eligibility, further enhancing the impact on our community.

Speculation on optimal numbers of examined lymph node for early-stage epithelial ovarian cancer from the perspective of stage migration

Introduction

In early-stage epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), how to perform lymphadenectomy to avoid stage migration and achieve reliable targeted excision has not been explored in depth. This study comprehensively considered the stage migration and survival to determine appropriate numbers of examined lymph node (ELN) for early-stage EOC and high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC).

Methods

From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we obtained 10372 EOC cases with stage T1M0 and ELN ≥ 2, including 2849 HGSOC cases. Generalized linear models with multivariable adjustment were used to analyze associations between ELN numbers and lymph node stage migration, survival and positive lymph node (PLN). LOESS regression characterized dynamic trends of above associations followed by Chow test to determine structural breakpoints of ELN numbers. Survival curves were plotted using Kaplan-Meier method.

Results

More ELNs were associated with more node-positive diseases, more PLNs and better prognosis. ELN structural breakpoints were different in subgroups of early-stage EOC, which for node stage migration or PLN were more than those for improving outcomes. The meaning of ELN structural breakpoint varied with its location and the morphology of LOESS curve. To avoid stage migration, the optimal ELN for early-stage EOC was 29 and the minimal ELN for HGSOC was 24. For better survival, appropriate ELN number were 13 and 8 respectively. More ELNs explained better prognosis only at a certain range.

Discussion

Neither too many nor too few numbers of ELN were ideal for early-stage EOC and HGSOC. Excision with appropriate numbers of lymph node draining the affected ovary may be more reasonable than traditional sentinel lymph node resection and systematic lymphadenectomy.

Recent Advances in Perioperative Immunotherapies in Lung Cancer

Several clinical trials have been revolutionizing the perioperative treatment of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Many of these clinical trials involve cancer immunotherapies with antibody drugs that block the inhibitory immune checkpoints programmed death 1 (PD-1) and its ligand PD-L1. While these new treatments are expected to improve the treatment outcome of NSCLC patients after pulmonary resection, several major clinical questions remain, including the appropriate timing of immunotherapy (neoadjuvant, adjuvant, or both) and the identification of patients who should be treated with neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant immunotherapies, because some early-stage NSCLC patients are cured by surgical resection alone. In addition, immunotherapy may induce immune-related adverse events that will require permanent treatment in some patients. Based on this fact as well, it is desirable to select appropriate patients for neoadjuvant/adjuvant immunotherapies. So far, data from several important trials have been published, with findings demonstrating the efficacy of adjuvant atezolizumab (IMpower010 trial), neoadjuvant nivolumab plus platinum-doublet chemotherapy (CheckMate816 trial), and several perioperative (neoadjuvant plus adjuvant) immunotherapies (AEGEAN, KEYNOTE-671, NADIM II, and Neotorch trials). In addition to these key trials, numerous clinical trials have reported a wealth of data, although most of the above clinical questions have not been completely answered yet. Because there are so many ongoing clinical trials in this field, a comprehensive understanding of the results and/or contents of these trials is necessary to explore answers to the clinical questions above as well as to plan a new clinical trial. In this review, we comprehensively summarize the recent data obtained from clinical trials addressing such questions.

Optimal examined lymph node number for accurate staging and long-term survival in rectal cancer: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Although the recommended minimal examined lymph node (ELN) number in rectal cancer (RC) is 12, this standard remains controversial because of insufficient evidence. We aimed to refine this definition by quantifying the relationship between ELN number, stage migration and long-term survival in RC.

METHODS

Data from a Chinese multi-institutional registry (2009-2018) and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2008-2017) on stages I-III resected RC were analysed to determine the relationship between ELN count, stage migration, and overall survival (OS) using multivariable models. The series of odds ratios (ORs) for negative-to-positive node stage migration and hazard ratios (HRs) for survival with more ELNs were fitted using a Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing (LOWESS) smoother, and structural breakpoints were determined using the Chow test. The relationship between ELN and survival was evaluated on a continuous scale using restricted cubic splines (RCS).

RESULTS

The distribution of ELN count between the Chinese registry ( n =7694) and SEER database ( n =21 332) was similar. With increasing ELN count, both cohorts exhibited significant proportional increases from node-negative to node-positive disease (SEER, OR, 1.012, P <0.001; Chinese registry, OR, 1.016, P =0.014) and serial improvements in OS (SEER: HR, 0.982; Chinese registry: HR, 0.975; both P <0.001) after controlling for confounders. Cut-point analysis showed an optimal threshold ELN count of 15, which was validated in the two cohorts, with the ability to properly discriminate probabilities of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher ELN count is associated with more precise nodal staging and better survival. Our results robustly conclude that 15 ELNs are the optimal cut-off point for evaluating the quality of lymph node examination and stratification of prognosis.

Impact of the preoperative clinical N stage on the prognosis of patients with colon cancer

AIM

Although preoperative clinical staging (cStage) is performed for most cancer patients, limited information is currently available on the relationship with postoperative prognosis. We herein investigated the relationship between cStage and prognosis of colon cancer (CC) patients, particularly focusing on the presence or absence of clinical lymph node (LN) metastasis.

METHOD

This was a retrospective study on 840 consecutive patients with colon adenocarcinoma who underwent radical resection at our institution between January 2007 and December 2018. A Kaplan-Meier curve was used to analyse the prognosis of two groups: cN(+)pN(-); a group preoperatively diagnosed with clinical LN metastasis positive, but with no pathological LN metastasis postoperatively, and cN(-)pN(-); a group without clinical and pathological LN metastasis. We also investigated whether a clinical diagnosis is a more accurate prognostic factor than other clinical factors.

RESULTS

Among pN(-) cases, the 5-year recurrence-free survival rate was significantly lower in preoperatively diagnosed cN(+) cases than in cN(-) cases (79.4% vs. 95.6%, 3.04 years vs. 3.85 years, p < 0.01). In a multivariate analysis of various preoperative clinical factors in pStage II cases, including high risk factors for pStage II CC, cN(+) was identified as an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.02-4.27, p = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Preoperatively over-staged cN cases had a poorer prognosis than cases without over-staging, indicating its potential as a prognostic factor. In addition to already known high risk factors in pStage II cases, the preoperative cStage may be an indication for adjuvant chemotherapy.

At least 16 lymph nodes are recommended to examine during pancreaticoduodenectomy in ampullary adenocarcinoma

The minimum number of lymph nodes to be examined during pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for patients with ampullary adenocarcinoma (AC) is still debatable due to limited clinical data. Therefore, here we explored the relationship between the number of examined lymph node (ELN) and the current N staging (American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system, AJCC, 8 edition) after PD for AC as well as determined the minimum number of examined lymph nodes (MNELN) to ensure the accurate detection of nodal involvement. Patients underwent PD for AC in the National Cancer Center cohort of China (NCC cohort of China) from 1998 to 2020 and in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER database) from 2010 to 2018 were retrospectively reviewed, and a total of 452 eligible patients were included in this study. The MNELN was evaluated by binomial probability law and best survival separation methods. Furthermore, the cut-off value of MNELN was validated in the NCC cohort of China using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression. Our analysis indicated that the median number of ELN was 14, and the number of ELN was positively correlated with N stage. The MNELN was 16, whereas the best survival separation of ELN was 38 in node-positive patients and 3 in node-negative patients. In the validation cohort, the number of 16 ELNs was identified as a predictive variable for lymph node metastasis with nonzero coefficients in the LASSO-logistic regression model. Together, we concluded that a greater number of ELN was associated with more accurate nodal status assessment in PD for AC patients. A minimum of 16 lymph nodes were required to during PD in AC patients.

Diagnostic Age, Age at Death and Stage Migration in Men Dying with or from Prostate Cancer in Denmark

The impact of changes in diagnostic activity and treatment options on prostate cancer epidemiology remains a subject of debate. Newly published long-term survival outcomes may not represent contemporary patients and new perspectives are in demand. All men dying in Denmark with prostate cancer diagnosis during a 10-year period were analyzed to address the stage migration of and time lived with prostate cancer diagnosis. All male deaths in Denmark between 2007 and 2016 (n = 261,657) were obtained and crosslinked with The Danish Prostate Cancer Registry (DaPCaR) and the Danish Cancer Registry. Correlation in diagnostic age and stage (localized, locally advanced, metastatic), age at death and cause of death were investigated by Kruskal-Wallis test and linear regression in 15,692 men diagnosed with prostate cancer. Prostate cancer mortality remained stable during the study period. Among the men who died of prostate cancer, 65% had locally advanced or metastatic disease at diagnosis. Age at diagnosis declined in men diagnosed with localized disease and remained constant in men with locally advanced or metastatic disease. Age at death increased in all men. Despite increased efforts to detect prostate cancer early, two-thirds of men who die from prostate cancer still have advanced prostate cancer at the time of diagnosis. Our data show increased life-expectancy in men diagnosed with prostate cancer, however, this benefit must be weighed against increased time of living with the disease and overdiagnosis. The intensified treatment of elderly men and men with advanced disease may be the key to lower prostate cancer mortality.

Oral tongue carcinoma: prognostic changes according to the updated 2020 version of the AJCC/UICC TNM staging system

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the 2017 8^th TNM edition and the latest update in 2020 compared to the 7^th in a large cohort of patients affected by oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC), considering all stages.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The cohort involved 300 patients affected by OTSCC treated with surgery. All cases were classified according to the 7^th, 8^th (2017), and the latest updated TNM edition (October 2020),. Patients were grouped based on the shift in tumour (T) category, lymph nodal (N) category and final pathological stage. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out.

RESULTS

According to the 7^th edition, multivariate analysis OS revealed that stage IV patients had an almost 4-fold risk of death compared to stage I (HR = 3.81 95% CI: 2.32-6.25; p < 0.001). Regarding DFS, stage IV patients had a 2-fold greater risk of relapses, or second primary, than patients in stage I (HR = 2.51 95% CI: 1.68-3.74; p < 0.001). According to 2017 8^th edition for OS, stage IV patients presented a 5-fold higher risk of death compared to patients in stage I (HR = 5.18 95% CI: 2.96-9.08; p < 0.001) and almost 4-old greater risk of relapses or second primary compared to patients in stage I considering DFS (HR = 3.61 95% CI: 2.28-5.71; p < 0.001). Regarding the recent edition of 8^th TNM (2020), stage IV patients had an almost 5-fold greater risk of death compared to patients in stage I considering OS (HR = 4.84 95% CI: 2.74-8.55; p < 0.001), while for DFS they had 3-fold greater risk of relapse or second primary compared to patients in stage I (HR = 3.13 95% CI: 1.99-4.91; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirmed that the recent update of the 8th edition of the TNM (2020) improves stratification and identification of advanced tumours, reducing the number of T3 compared to the 2017 edition and increasing the number of patients with pT4. This improvement made by the updated edition may reduce the risk of skipping adjuvant therapy.

Has the COVID-19 outbreak changed the way we are treating prostate cancer? An EAU - YAU Prostate Cancer Working Group multi-institutional study

Introduction

The COVID-19 outbreak has become the dominant issue throughout the world whilst the governments, nations and health services are trying to deal with its impact. The aim of our study is to assess the impact of COVID-19 on patients treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) for prostate cancer (PCa) at European referral centers in terms of surgical volume (SV), waiting list meant as time from biopsy to surgery (WL) and risk of adverse pathologic findings at RP due to the selection of men with more adverse disease characteristics at final pathology.

Material and methods

Consecutive patients with a diagnosis of histologically proven PCa treated with RP between March 2020 (WHO declaration of pandemic) and December 2020 were identified. Patients with metastatic disease not eligible to local treatment and recurrent prostate cancer after RP or RT were excluded. Patients treated at the same institutions between March 2019 and December 2019 were considered as the control group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis tested the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the risk of adverse pathologic findings at RP after adjusting for confounders. The percentage change of SV and WL was assessed comparing the months of pandemic with the equivalent timespan of the previous year.

Results

A total of 2,574 patients treated with RP (927 cases and 1647 controls) were identified in 8 European tertiary referral centers. At multivariable analysis patients who were treated during the pandemic had higher risk of extra prostatic disease (OR:1.35, p = 0.038) and lymph node invasion (LNI) (OR:1.72, p = 0.048). An average 23% reduction of the SV with the equivalent timespan of the previous year allowed an illusory reduction of the WL after the peak gained during the first wave of COVID-19.

Conclusions

Our results showed that the COVID-19 outbreak resulted in a delay in the administration of curative-intent therapies in patients with localized PCa. This, in turn, resulted in a stage migration phenomenon with a potential impact on oncologic control.

Twenty-year trends in prostate cancer stage and grade migration in a large contemporary german radical prostatectomy cohort

BACKGROUND

A trend towards inverse stage migration in prostate cancer (PCa) was reported. However, previous analyses did not take into account potential differences in sampling strategies (number of biopsy cores), which might have confounded these reports.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Within our single-institutional database we identified PCa patients treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) between 2000 and 2020 (n = 21,646). We calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) for D'Amico risk groups, biopsy Gleason Grade Group (GGG), PSA and cT stage as well as postoperative RP GGG and pT stage relying on log linear regression methodology. Subsequently, we repeated the analyses after adjustment for number of cores obtained at biopsy.

RESULTS

Absolute rates of D'Amico low risk decreased (-30.1%), while intermediate and high risk increased (+21.2% and +9.0%, respectively). Rates of GGG I decreased (-50.0%), while GGG II-V increased, with the largest increase in GGG II (+22.5%). This trend, albeit less pronounced, was also recorded after adjusted EAPC analyses (p < .05). Specifically, EAPC values for D'Amico low vs intermediate vs high risk were -1.07%, +0.37%, +0.45%, respectively, and EAPC values for GGG ranged between -0.71% (GGG I) and +0.80% (GGG IV). Finally, an increase in ≥cT2 (EAPC: +3.16%) was displayed (all p < .001). These trends were confirmed in EAPC calculations in RP GGG and pT stages (p < .001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings confirm the trend towards less frequent treatment of low risk PCa and more frequent treatment of high risk PCa, also after adjustment for number of biopsy cores.

Exceeding 30 ELNs is strongly recommended for pT3-4N0 patients with gastric cancer: A multicenter study of survival, recurrence, and prediction model

The argument concerning the exact minimum number of examined lymph nodes (ELNs) has continued for a long time among various regions, and no consensus has been reached for stratified pathological T stages for data to date. Data from 4607 pN0 patients with gastric cancer were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed the similar overall survival (OS) outcomes among the 3 groups (ELNs ≤ 15, 16 ≤ ELNs ≤ 29 and ELNs ≥ 30, P = .171). However, the ELNs ≥ 30 group had a better disease-free survival (DFS) outcome compared with the others (all P < .05). An increased ELN group (ELNs ≥ 30) showed an improved OS only for pT3 patients (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.397, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.182-0.866, P = .020), while an improved DFS for pT3 patients (HR = 0.362, 95%CI: 0.152-0.860, P = .021) and pT4 patients (HR = 0.484, 95%CI: 0.277-0.844, P = .011) in the multivariate analysis. A well discriminated and calibrated nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of the OS and DFS, with the C-index for OS and DFS prediction of 0.782 (95%CI: 0.735 to 0.829) and 0.738 (95%CI: 0.685 to 0.791), respectively. This study provides new and useful insights into the impact of ELN count on reducing stage migration and postoperative recurrence of pN0 patients with gastric cancer in 2000-2017. In conclusion, a larger number of ELNs is suggested for surgeons to prolong the prognosis of pN0 gastric cancer, especially for pT3 patients.

Pathologic upstaging in resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma: Risk factors and impact on survival

BACKGROUND

Clinical and pathologic staging determine treatment of pancreatic cancer. Clinical stage has been shown to underestimate final pathologic stage in pancreatic cancer, resulting in upstaging.

METHODS

National Cancer Database was used to identify clinical stage I pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Univariate, multivariable logistic regression, and Cox proportional hazard ratio were used to determine differences between upstaged and stage concordant patients.

RESULTS

Upstaging was seen in 80.2% of patients. Factors found to be significantly associated with upstaging included pancreatic head tumors (OR 2.56), high-grade histology (OR 1.74), elevated Ca 19-9 (OR 2.09), and clinical stage T2 (OR 1.99). Upstaging was associated with a 45% increased risk of mortality compared to stage concordant disease (HR 1.44, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

A majority of clinical stage I pancreatic cancer is upstaged after resection. Factors including tumor location, grade, Ca 19-9, and tumor size can help identify those at high risk for upstaging.

A Substage Increase in The AJCC Classification System Improves Prognostic Prediction in Stage III Gastric Cancer With Insufficient Lymph Nodes Removed

Background

The impact of lymph nodes (LNs) removed on the survivals of patients with stage III gastric cancer, especially on that of those who undergo the adjuvant chemotherapy as a compensation for a possibly insufficient lymphadenectomy, is still unclear.

Methods

Consecutive patients (n = 488) with stage III gastric cancer under R0 curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy were analyzed. The overall survival (OS) was compared between patients with insufficient LNs removed (ILNr, <16 LNs) and sufficient LNs removed (SLNr, ≥16 LNs). Performance of the prediction systems was evaluated using the Likelihood ratio χ² test, Akaike information criterion (AIC), Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC).

Results

The OS of patients were significantly longer in those with SLNr relative to those with ILNr (for stage IIIA, 68.2 vs. 43.2 months, P = 0.042; for stage IIIB, 43.7 vs. 24.9 months, P < 0.001; for stage IIIC, 23.9 vs. 8.3 months, P < 0.001; and for total stage III, 37.7 vs. 21.7 months, P < 0.001). However, the OS were similar between stage IIIA patients with ILNr and stage IIIB patients with SLNr (P = 0.928), between IIIB patients with ILNr and IIIC patients with SLNr (P = 0.962), and IIIC patients with ILNr and stage IV (P = 0.668), respectively. A substage increase in the AJCC classification system, from IIIA to IIIB, from IIIB to IIIC, and from IIIC to IV in patients with ILNr, enhanced the accuracy of prognostic prediction in patients with stage III gastric cancer compared to the current TNM system (Likelihood ratio χ², 188.6 vs. 184.8; AIC, 4336.4 vs. 4340.6; C-index, 0.695 vs. 0.679, P = 0.002). The ROC curves revealed that the performance of prognostic prediction was better in the new prediction system (AUC = 0.699) compared with the current TNM system (AUC = 0.676).

Conclusions

ILNr (LNs <16) impairs the long-term outcomes of stage III gastric cancer underwent adjuvant chemotherapy. The status of LNs removal adds values to the current TNM system in prognostic prediction of stage III gastric cancer.

Importance of Examined Lymph Node Number in Accurate Staging and Enhanced Survival in Resected Gastric Adenocarcinoma-The More, the Better? A Cohort Study of 8,696 Cases From the US and China, 2010-2016

Background

While most guidelines advocate D2 lymphadenectomy for non-metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma (nmGaC), it is not always performed as standard of care outside East Asia. The recommended minimal examined lymph node (ELN) count in nmGaC to stage cancer accurately varies largely across guidelines, and the optimal count to satisfactorily stratify patient survival has yet to be determined. This large cohort study aimed at robustly defining the minimal and optimal thresholds of examined lymph node (ELN) number in non-metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma (nmGaC).

Methods

Data on nmGaC patients operated in 2010–2016 and surviving ≥3 months were retrieved from the US SEER-18 Program and a Chinese multi-institutional gastric cancer database (MIGC). The correlation of ELN count with stage migration and patient survival were quantified with the use of the multivariable-adjusted logistic and proportional hazards Cox models, respectively. The sequences of odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) for each additional ELN were smoothed, and the structural breakpoints were determined.

Results

Together 7,228 patients from the US and 1,468 from China were analyzed, encompassing 23,114 person-years of follow-up. The mean ELN count was 20 in the US and 30 in China. With more ELNs, both cohorts significantly showed proportional increases from lower to higher nodal stage (OR_SEER = 1.03, 95%-CI = 1.03–1.04; OR_MIGC = 1.02, 95%-CI = 1.02–1.03) and sequential enhancements in postoperative survival (HR_SEER = 0.97, 95%-CI = 0.97–0.97; HR_MIGC = 0.98, 95%-CI = 0.97–0.99). Correlations for both stage migration and survival were still significant in most subgroups by patient, cancer, and management factors. Breakpoint analyses revealed a minimum threshold ELN count of 17 and an optimum count of 33, which were validated in both cohorts with good efficacy to differentiate probabilities of both stage migration and survival.

Conclusion

In resected nmGaC patients with anticipated survival ≥3 months, more ELNs are correlated with more accurate staging, which may partly explain the survival correlation. This observational investigation does not indicate causality. Our findings robustly conclude 17 ELNs as the minimum and propose 33 ELNs as the optimum thresholds, to assess the quality of lymph node examination and to stratify postsurgical survival.

Prognostic Factors for Eye Globe Salvage by External Beam Radiation Therapy for Resistant Intraocular Retinoblastoma

PURPOSE:

To analyse the prognostic factors for eye salvage for eyes with intra-ocular retinoblastoma (RB) that is resistant to systemic chemotherapy and focal therapy by external beam radiation therapy (EBRT).

METHODS:

A retrospective analysis of 28 eyes with intra-ocular RB that was resistant for systemic chemotherapy and focal consolidation therapy and received EBRT. Outcome measures included tumor stage at diagnosis, stage migration, type of tumor seeds, treatment modalities, eye globe salvage, metastasis, and survival.

RESULTS:

Most of the patients (83%) had bilateral RB, and 42% were females. All eyes were treated initially by combination of systemic chemotherapy and focal consolidation therapy. The dose of EBRT was 45 Gy. The mean follow-up was 6.5 years, and the overall eye globe salvage rate post EBRT was 46%: 67% (2/3) for group B, 71% (5/7) for group C, and 33% (6/18) for group D. Patient's gender, tumor site, laterality, and tumor stage at diagnosis were not significant prognostic factors (p> 0.05) for final outcome. The significant poor prognostic factors were tumor stage migration during systemic chemotherapy (p= 0.03) and presence of vitreous seeds at time of EBRT (p=0.001). Post EBRT complication rate was 68% (19/28) including; retinal detachment (3), vitreous hemorrhage (4), neovascular glaucoma (1), cataract (16), radiation retinopathy (2), and second malignancy (2).

CONCLUSION:

EBRT is an alternative for enucleation when RB is resistant to combined chemoreduction/focal consolidation therapy in absence in vitreous seeds. The known risks for EBRT are not justified for patients with unilateral RB and for those who have functional vision in the other eye.

Impact of the number of examined lymph nodes on stage migration in node-negative gastric cancer patients: a Chinese multi-institutional analysis with propensity score matching

Background

This propensity score matching (PSM) analysis assessed the influence of examined lymph nodes (ELNs) count on stage migration and survival in node-negative (pN0) gastric cancer (GC) patients.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of 7,620 GC patients who underwent curative gastric resection in three Chinese medical centers. PSM was used to reduce the confounding effects between the pN0 GC patients with ELNs <16 or ≥16. Survival differences among various subgroups of GC patients were analyzed to assess the impact of the ELNs count on the stage migration in accordance with the overall survival (OS) of pN0 GC patients.

Results

After matching, the backgrounds of pN0 GC patients in the ELNs <16 (n=825) and ELNs ≥16 (n=826) groups were well-balanced. Survival analyses revealed that the ELNs count was positively correlated with the OS (P=0.001). Multiple Cox analysis indicated that the ELNs count was an independent predictor of the OS in pN0 GC patients. Stage migrations were mainly detected in subgroups of pN0 GC patients with specific pTNM stages, as follows: (I) pT2N0M0 with ELNs <16 vs. pT3N0M0 with ELNs ≥16; (II) pT3N0M0 with ELNs <16 vs. pT3N1M0 with ELNs ≥16; and (III) pT4aN0M0 with ELNs <16 vs. pT4aN1M0 with ELNs ≥16.

Conclusions

We show that stage migration can be detected in pN0 GC patients, and that it could be gradually reduced or prevented by increasing the ELNs count.

The role of external beam radiation therapy for retinoblastoma after failure of combined chemoreduction and focal consolidation therapy

Purpose: To study the role of external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) for the treatment of retinoblastoma eyes that were not cured by combined systemic chemotherapy and focal consolidation therapy.Methods and Materials: A retrospective case series of 28 eyes for 24 retinoblastoma patients treated by EBRT after the failure of tumor controlled by chemotherapy and focal therapy. The main outcome measures included: international intraocular retinoblastoma classification stage (IIRC) and Reese Ellsworth (RE) stage, tumor seeding, treatment modalities, eye salvage, and survival.Results: The median age at diagnosis was 11 months. There were 14 (58%) males and 20 (83%) bilateral cases. All eyes were treated initially by systemic chemotherapy (range; 6-8 cycles). The dose of radiation used for all eyes was 45 Gray (Gy).The mean follow-up was 75months, and the overall eye salvage rate after EBRT was 13 (46%) eyes: 67% (2/3) for IIRC group B, 71% (5/7) for group C, and 33% (6/18) for group D eyes. Vitreous seeds and tumor stage migration during management by chemotherapy were the most important significant predictive factors for tumor control (p = .001 and 0.033, respectively).Conclusion: Eyes with retinoblastoma that failed chemotherapy followed by focal therapy were controlled with EBRT. However, the presence of vitreous seeds, stage migration during the course of chemotherapy, as well as good vision in the other eye may not justify the known risks of EBRT.

A simple method for correcting for the Will Rogers phenomenon with biometrical applications

In its basic form, the Will Rogers phenomenon takes place when an increase in the average value of each of two sets is achieved by moving an element from one set to another. This leads to the conclusion that there has been an improvement, when in fact essentially nothing has changed. Extended versions of this phenomenon can occur in epidemiological studies, rendering their results unreliable. After describing epidemiological and clinical studies that have been affected by the Will Rogers phenomenon, this paper presents a simple method to correct for it. The method involves introducing a transition matrix between the two sets and taking probability weighted expectations. Two real-world biometrical examples, based on migration economics and breast cancer epidemiology, are given and improvements against a naïve analysis are demonstrated. In the cancer epidemiology example, we take account of estimation uncertainty. We also discuss briefly some limitations associated with our method.

Changing Incidence and Stage Distribution of Prostate Cancer in a Lithuanian Population-Evidence from National PSA-Based Screening Program

Background: The aim of this study was to examine the impact of screening introduction on prostate cancer incidence changes, and changes in stage distribution in Lithuania between 1998–2016. Methods: Age-standardized incidence as well as stage-specific incidence rates were calculated. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate the annual percentage change in the incidence changes by determined stage: Localized, advanced, distant and unknown. Results: Over the study period, a total number of 48,815 new prostate cancer cases was identified. Age-standardized incidence rose from 51.9 per 100,000 in 1998 to 279.3 per 100,000 in 2007 (by 20.3% per year) and then decreased thereafter by 3.8% annually. Highest incidence rates after introduction of prostate specific antigene (PSA)-based screening was found for localized disease, followed by advanced. Incidence of localized disease rose by 38.2% per year until 2007 reaching the highest rate of 284.6 per 100,000, with a subsequent decrease of 5.5% every year thereafter. Advanced stage of disease experienced rise till 2007, and continuous decrease by 11.1% every year thereafter. Incidence of disease with distant metastasis was lowest, and rose till 2003, thereafter incidence significantly decreased by 8.1% every year. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first report of stage migration effect in Lithuania, following the introduction of nationwide PSA-based screening. Prostate cancer screening substantially increased the overall incidence and incidence of localized cancer.

Why is colon cancer survival improving by time? A nationwide survival analysis spanning 35 years

There is limited information present to explain temporal improvements in colon cancer survival. This nationwide study investigates the temporal changes in survival over a 35-year period (1970-2004) in Iceland and uses incidence, mortality, surgery rate, stage distribution, lymph node yield, tumor location and histological type to find explanations for these changes. Patients diagnosed with colon cancer in Iceland 1970-2004 were identified (n = 1962). All histopathology was reassessed. Proportions, age-standardized incidence and mortality, relative, cancer-specific and overall survival and conditional survival were calculated. When comparing first and last diagnostic periods (1970-1978 and 1997-2004), 5-year relative survival improved by 12% for men and 9% for women. At the same time surgery rate increased by 12% and the proportion of stage I increased by 9%. Stage-stratified, improved 5-year relative survival was mainly observed in stages II and III and coincided with higher lymph node yields, proportional reduction of stage II cancers and proportional increase of stage III cancers, indicating stage migration between these stages. Improvement in 1-year survival was mainly observed in stages III and IV. Five-year survival improvement for patients living beyond 1 year was minimum to none. There were no changes in histology that coincided with neither increased incidence nor possibly influencing improved survival. Concluding, as a novel finding, 1-year mortality, which previously has been identified as an important variable in explaining international survival differences, is in this study identified as also being important in explaining temporal improvements in colon cancer survival in Iceland.

The number of retrieved lymph nodes needed for accurate staging differs based on the presence of preoperative chemoradiation for rectal cancer

The aim of this study is to investigate if retrieval of 12 lymph nodes (LNs) is sufficient to avoid stage migration as well as to evaluate the prognostic impact of insufficient LN retrieval in different treatment settings of rectal cancer, particularly in the case of preoperative chemoradiotherapy (pCRT).The data of all patients with biopsy proven rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent curative surgery between January 2005 and December 2012 were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses for oncologic outcomes were performed in LN metastasis or no LN metastasis (LN-) group. Subgroup analyses were performed according to whether a patient had received pCRT.A total of 1825 patients were enrolled into the study. The maximal Chi-square method revealed the minimum number of harvested LNs required to be 12. Univariate and multivariate analyses found LNs ≥ 12 to be an independent prognostic factor for both overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.5, 95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 0.3-0.8; P = 0.002) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 0.6, 95% CI: 0.4-0.7; P < 0.001) in the LN- group. In the LN- group, LNs ≥ 12 continued to be a significant prognostic factor both for OS and DFS in the subgroup of patients who did not undergo pCRT. However, in the subgroup of the LN- patients who underwent pCRT, LN ≥ 8 was significant for DFS and OS.Retrieval of LNs ≥ 12 and LNs ≥ 8 should be achieved to obtain accurate staging and optimal treatment for the non-pCRT and pCRT groups in rectal cancer, respectively.

Prognostic impact of the number of retrieved lymph nodes in patients with gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

In gastric cancer, although at least 16 lymph nodes of retrieved lymph nodes (RLNs) are recommended for nodal staging in Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma and TNM classifications, we wished to clarify their appropriateness.

STUDY DESIGN

A total of 1289 consecutive gastric cancer patients, who underwent gastrectomy between 1997 and 2011, were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

(i) The patients were divided into two groups using a cut-off RLN number of 16 (RLN < 16 or RLN ≥ 16). There were significant differences in the survival rates of patients in pStage II (P < 0.0001) and III (P = 0.0009), but not those of patients in pStage I (P = 0.0627) and IV (P = 0.1553). (ii) In 498 consecutive patients in pStage II and III, compared with patients in the RLN ≥ 16 group, those in the RLN < 16 group had a significantly higher incidence of older age (P = 0.0004) and positive lymph node ratio (PLNR) (P < 0.0001). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that an RLN number of less than 16 was an independent poor prognostic factor (P < 0.0001, HR 2.48 [95% CI: 1.60-3.70]). (iii) A cut-off RLN number of 16 could cause the stage migration effect in pStage II or III patients. A cut-off RLN number of 25 or more could eliminate the prognostic effect.

CONCLUSION

The RLN number may potentially affect the prognosis and the stage migration in pStage II or III gastric cancer patients. An RLN number of 25 or more could be sufficient for nodal staging.

Improved survival time trends in Hodgkin's lymphoma

There have been dramatic changes in the staging and treatment of Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL) over the past 30 years. We undertook this study to determine if a stage migration had occurred and also examined if treatment associated with later years has improved survival. Patients with stage I-IV HL between 1983 and 2011 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Multivariable analysis (MVA) was performed using Cox proportional hazards modeling. The study cohort included 35,680 patients. The stage breakdown in 1983 according to A and B symptoms was follows: 18%, 21%, 12%, and 5% for stage IA, IIA, IIIA, and IVA disease, respectively, and 6%, 11%, 12%, and 15% for stage IB, IIB, IIIB, and IVB disease. The stage breakdown in 2011 according to A and B symptoms was follows: 9%, 29%, 10%, and 6% for stage IA, IIA, IIIA, and IVA disease, respectively, and 4%, 16%, 12%, and 13% for stage IB, IIB, IIIB, and IVB disease. The median follow-up for the entire cohort is 6.1 years. On MVA, the HR for mortality of patients diagnosed in 2006 was 0.60 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.52-0.70) compared to 1983. For stage I and II patients diagnosed in 2006 the HR was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.44-0.87) and 0.40 (95% CI: 0.30-0.55), respectively, compared to patients diagnosed in 1983. For stage III and IV patients diagnosed in 2006 the HR was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.53-0.98) and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.56-0.99), respectively, compared to patients diagnosed in 1983. This is the first study to demonstrate a significant stage migration in early stage Hodgkin's lymphoma. Furthermore, these results demonstrate an improvement in survival over time for patients with Hodgkin's lymphoma which was particularly notable for those with early stage disease.

Impact of stage migration and practice changes on high-risk prostate cancer: results from patients treated with radical prostatectomy over the last two decades

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of year of surgery on clinical, pathological and oncological outcomes of patients with high-risk prostate cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We evaluated 1 033 patients with clinically high-risk prostate cancer, defined as the presence of at least one of the following risk factors: preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level >20 ng/mL, and/or clinical stage ≥T3, and/or biopsy Gleason score ≥8. Patients were treated between 1990 and 2013 at a single institution. The year-by-year trends in clinical and pathological characteristics were examined. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to test the relationship between year of surgery and oncological outcomes.

RESULTS

We observed a decrease over time in the proportion of patients with high-risk disease (preoperative PSA >20 ng/mL or clinical stage cT3). A trend in the opposite direction was seen for biopsy Gleason score ≥8 tumours. We observed a considerable increase in the median number of lymph nodes removed, which was associated with an increased rate of lymph node invasion (LNI). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, year of surgery was associated with a reduced risk of biochemical recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] per 5-year interval 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-0.96; P = 0.01) and distant metastasis (HR per 5-year interval 0.91, 95% CI 0.83-0.99; P = 0.039), after adjusting for age, preoperative PSA, pathological stage, LNI, surgical margin status, and pathological Gleason score.

CONCLUSIONS

In this single-centre study, an increased diagnosis of localized and less extensive high-grade prostate cancer was observed over the last two decades. Patients with high-risk disease who were selected for radical prostatectomy showed better cancer control over time. Better definitions of what constitutes high-risk prostate cancer among contemporary patients are needed.

Changes in pathologic outcomes and operative trends with robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy

Introduction:

We hypothesized that there is a reverse stage migration, or a shift toward operating on higher-risk prostate cancer, in patients undergoing robot-assisted laparoscopic prostatectomy (RALP). We therefore evaluated the stage of disease at the time of surgery for patients with prostate cancer at a large tertiary academic medical center.

Materials and Methods:

After institutional review board approval, we reviewed all patients that had undergone robotic prostatectomy. These patients were separated into three categories: An early era of 2005-2008, intermediate era of 2009-2010, and a current era of 2011-2012.

Results:

A total of 3451 patients underwent robotic prostatectomy from 2005 to 2012. The proportion men with clinical T1 tumors declined from 88.3% in the early era to 72.2% in the current era (P < 0.0001). Men with preoperative biopsy Gleason 6 disease decreased from the early to the current era (P < 0.0001), while men with preoperative biopsy Gleason ≥ 8 showed the opposite trend, increasing from the early to the current era (P = 0.0002). From the early to the current era, the proportion of patients with National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) low risk prostate cancer decreased, while those with NCCN intermediate and high-risk disease increased. The proportion of pathologic T3 disease increased from 15.5% in the early to 30.6% in the current era (P < 0.0001). On the other hand, the proportion of pathologic T2/+ SMS (surgical margin status) decreased from 6.6% in the early era to 3.1% in the current era (P = 0.0002).

Conclusions:

We have demonstrated a reverse stage migration in men undergoing robotic prostatectomy. Despite the increasing proportion of men with extra-capsular disease undergoing RALP, the surgical margin status has remained similar. This could reflect both the changing dynamics of the population opting for surgery as well as the learning curve of the surgeons.

Nationwide, population-based study of prostate cancer stage migration between and within clinical risk categories

OBJECTIVE

In countries with widespread prostate cancer screening there has been strong stage migration, but little is known about changes within clinical risk categories. Such data are important for the proper interpretation of studies that recruited cases in an earlier era. The purpose of this study was to examine stage migration between and within clinical risk categories.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Using the population-based National Prostate Cancer Register (NPCR) of Sweden, changes in the distribution of prostate-specific antigen (PSA), Gleason score, tumor stage and volume overall between and within clinical risk categories were examined in 120 228 prostate cancer cases diagnosed from 1998 to 2011.

RESULTS

Between 1998 and 2011, there was a two-fold increase in the proportion of low-risk prostate cancer (stage T1/T2, Gleason score 2-6 and PSA <10 ng/ml), from 14% to 28%, and more than a two-fold decrease in the proportion of metastatic disease, from 25% to 11%. The proportion of men in the low-risk category with T1c tumors increased two-fold, from 36% to 71%, and PSA levels between 4 and 6 ng/ml increased from 24% to 38%; T2 tumors decreased from 39% to 20% and PSA between 8 and 10 ng/ml decreased from 24% to 15%. The proportion of men with less than 25% of cores involved with cancer increased from 41% to 52% between 2003-2006 and 2007-2011.

CONCLUSIONS

Low-risk cases today have substantially lower tumor volume and PSA levels than low-risk cases diagnosed in 1998, indicating that outcomes in studies that recruited cases in previous decades represent worst case scenarios.

The impact of the number of occult metastatic lymph nodes on postoperative relapse of resectable esophageal cancer

Clinical stage II/III esophageal cancer (EC), as defined by the Japanese Classification, relapses at a moderately high rate even after curative resection. The number of lymph node metastases is known to be associated with tumor relapse. Recently, the prognostic significance of occult metastatic lymph nodes (MLNs), as well as that of overt MLNs, has been reported. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of the total number of MLNs including occult MLNs on postoperative relapse in clinical stage II/III EC. One hundred and five patients with clinical stage II/III EC who underwent esophagectomy accompanied by radical lymphadenectomy at the Department of Surgical Oncology in Osaka City University Hospital between January 2000 and October 2008 were included in this study. Occult MLNs, metastases not detected by hematoxylin-eosin staining, were identified by immunohistochemistry (IHC) using antipancytokeratin antibody AE1/AE3. The clinicopathological features of occult MLNs were compared between the relapse and no relapse groups. A total of 6558 lymph nodes (1357 from two-field dissection and 5201 from three-field dissection) were examined by IHC staining; 362 overt MLNs and 143 occult MLNs were detected. The number of occult MLNs increased in proportion to the International Union Against Cancer pathological (p)N-status and pStage. When the number of occult MLNs was added to the number of pNs, the number of total MLNs was associated with postoperative relapse. With respect to tumor, node, metastasis stage, 6 of 22 patients (27%) who were pathological node-negative converted to node-positive by considering total MLNs. The number of N3 patients with relapse increased markedly with restaging by total MLNs. The number of total MLNs, but not overt MLNs, was an independent prognostic factor on multivariate analysis. These results suggest that occult MLNs were often found, and they were associated with postoperative relapse of resectable esophageal cancer. The total number of MLNs including occult MLNs could contribute to evaluating the precise stage of patients with esophageal cancer.

Trends in stage-specific incidence rates for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder in the United States: 1988 to 2006

BACKGROUND

Bladder cancer is notable for a striking heterogeneity of disease-specific risks. Among the approximately 75% of incident cases found to be superficial to the muscularis propria at the time of presentation (non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer), the risk of progression to the lethal phenotype of muscle-invasive disease is strongly associated with stage and grade of disease. Given the suggestion of an increasing percentage of low-risk cases in hospital-based registry data in recent years, the authors hypothesized that population-based data may reveal changes in the stage distribution of early-stage cases.

METHODS

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data were used to examine trends for the stage-specific incidence of bladder cancer between 1988 and 2006, adjusted for age, race, and sex, using Joinpoint and nonparametric tests.

RESULTS

The adjusted incidence rate of papillary noninvasive (Ta) predominantly low grade (77%) disease was found to increase from 5.52 to 9.09 per 100,000 population (P < .0001), with an average annual percentage change of +3.3. Over the same period, concomitant, albeit smaller, decreases were observed for flat in situ (Tis) and lamina propria-invasive (T1) disease (2.57 to 1.19 and 6.65 to 4.61 per 100,000 population [both P < .0001]; average annual percent change of -5.0 and -1.6, respectively). The trend was most dramatic among patients in the oldest age strata, suggesting a previously unappreciated cohort phenomenon.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of the current study should motivate further epidemiological investigations of differential associations of genetic and environmental factors with different bladder cancer phenotypes as well as further scrutiny of clinical practice guideline recommendations for the growing subgroup of predominantly older patients with lower-risk disease.

Evaluation of preoperative C-reactive protein aids in predicting poor survival in patients with curative colorectal cancer with poor lymph node assessment

Lymph node status is the most significant prognostic factor of colorectal cancer. However, there is a risk of disease understaging if the extent of lymph node assessment is sub-optimal. Preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) is known to be a useful tool in predicting postoperative outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer. We retrospectively evaluated whether CRP adds to prognosis information in stage I-III colorectal cancer patients with poor lymph node assessment. In stages I-III, multivariate analysis revealed that CRP-positive status and advanced T-stage were factors that independently affected survival. In stage III, univariate analysis revealed that lymph node number retrieval and lymph node ratio were factors that affected survival. However, CRP positivity was the only independent factor for survival. CRP positivity did not predict poor prognosis in stage II or III patients with adequate lymph node retrieval. By contrast, the prognosis of CRP-positive patients was poorer than that of CRP-negative patients in stage II and III, with inadequate lymph node retrieval. CRP is an independent prognostic marker in patients with stage I-III, II or III colorectal cancer. The evaluation of CRP may provide useful information on prognosis in curative patients with an inadequate examination of lymph nodes.

The new TNM classification of lymph node metastasis minimises stage migration problems in gastric cancer patients

The present study aimed at investigating whether in gastric cancer patients stage migration occurs with extension of lymphadenectomy, when node metastases are staged according to the new pN classification (UICC 1997). The investigation involved 921 patients, who underwent R0 gastric resection for gastric cancer between 1988 and 1998 in three different Italian centres: Verona (n=236), Forlì (n=409), Siena (n=276). The relation among lymphadenectomy and pN category was assessed by Kendall's partial rank-order correlation coefficient, controlling for depth of tumour invasion. A direct evaluation of the Will Rogers phenomenon was accomplished in the Verona series, by comparing the number of positive nodes actually observed with the number of positive nodes which would have been retrieved by a less extended lymphadenectomy (D1). The number of positive nodes increased remarkably with the enlargement of lymphadenectomy, especially in pT2 patients (from 2.2+/-3.9 in D1 to 3.9+/-5.0 in D3) and in pT3/pT4 patients (from 5.1+/-5.9 in D1 to 11.3+/-12.6 in D3). Non-parametric statistics highlighted a weak (Kendall's partial T=0.128) but significant (P<0.001) correlation between pN category and extension of lymphadenectomy. In the direct analysis of the Verona series, 22 patients out of 230 (9.6%) migrated to a lower pN tier when ignoring positive nodes retrieved from the second and third level. This percentage increased to 39.1% (90 out of 230) when adopting the TNM 87 classification. In conclusion stage migration is of minor importance in gastric cancer patients, staged according to the new pN classification.