A Type 1 Diabetes Genetic Risk Score Predicts Progression of Islet Autoimmunity and Development of Type 1 Diabetes in Individuals at Risk

OBJECTIVE

We tested the ability of a type 1 diabetes (T1D) genetic risk score (GRS) to predict progression of islet autoimmunity and T1D in at-risk individuals.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We studied the 1,244 TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study participants (T1D patients' relatives without diabetes and with one or more positive autoantibodies) who were genotyped with Illumina ImmunoChip (median [range] age at initial autoantibody determination 11.1 years [1.2-51.8], 48% male, 80.5% non-Hispanic white, median follow-up 5.4 years). Of 291 participants with a single positive autoantibody at screening, 157 converted to multiple autoantibody positivity and 55 developed diabetes. Of 953 participants with multiple positive autoantibodies at screening, 419 developed diabetes. We calculated the T1D GRS from 30 T1D-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms. We used multivariable Cox regression models, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, and area under the curve (AUC) measures to evaluate prognostic utility of T1D GRS, age, sex, Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 (DPT-1) Risk Score, positive autoantibody number or type, HLA DR3/DR4-DQ8 status, and race/ethnicity. We used recursive partitioning analyses to identify cut points in continuous variables.

RESULTS

Higher T1D GRS significantly increased the rate of progression to T1D adjusting for DPT-1 Risk Score, age, number of positive autoantibodies, sex, and ethnicity (hazard ratio [HR] 1.29 for a 0.05 increase, 95% CI 1.06-1.6; P = 0.011). Progression to T1D was best predicted by a combined model with GRS, number of positive autoantibodies, DPT-1 Risk Score, and age (7-year time-integrated AUC = 0.79, 5-year AUC = 0.73). Higher GRS was significantly associated with increased progression rate from single to multiple positive autoantibodies after adjusting for age, autoantibody type, ethnicity, and sex (HR 2.27 for GRS >0.295, 95% CI 1.47-3.51; P = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

The T1D GRS independently predicts progression to T1D and improves prediction along T1D stages in autoantibody-positive relatives.

Cyclophosphamide-based in vivo T-cell depletion for HLA-haploidentical transplantation in Fanconi anemia

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is the only known cure for patients with Fanconi anemia (FA) who develop aplasia or leukemia. However, transplant regimens typically contain high-dose alkylators, which are poorly tolerated in FA patients. Furthermore, as many patients lack human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-matched family donors, alternative donors are used, which can increase the risk of both graft rejection and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). To improve on these three concerns, we developed a multi-institutional clinical trial using a fludarabine (FLU)-based conditioning regimen with limited alkylators/low-dose radiation, HLA-haploidentical marrow, followed by reduced-dose cyclophosphamide (CY) to treat three FA patients with aplasia. All three patients engrafted with 100% donor CD3 chimerism at 1 month. One patient died early from disseminated toxoplasmosis infection. Of the two survivors, one had significant pretransplant co-morbidities and inadequate immunosuppression, and developed severe acute GVHD. The other patient had only mild acute and no chronic GVHD. With a follow-up of 2 and 3 years, respectively, both patients are doing well, are transfusion-independent, and maintain full donor chimerism. The patient with severe GVHD has resolving oral GVHD and good quality of life. We conclude that using low-intensity conditioning, HLA-haploidentical marrow, and reduced-dose CY for in vivo T-cell depletion can correct life-threatening aplasia in FA patients.