Age-Dependent Variations in Kawasaki Disease Incidence in Japan

Importance

The etiology of Kawasaki disease (KD) remains elusive, with immunologic and epidemiologic data suggesting different triggers in individuals who are genetically susceptible. KD remains the most common cause of acquired heart disease in pediatric patients, and Japan is the country of highest incidence, with an increasing number of cases.

Objective

To investigate whether an analysis of the epidemiologic KD record in Japan stratified by age and prefecture (subregion) may yield new clues regarding mechanisms of exposure to etiologic agents associated with KD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cross-sectional study was conducted using a dataset of patients with KD with detailed information on location and age at onset created through nationwide surveys of hospitals caring for pediatric patients with KD throughout Japan. Pediatric patients hospitalized in Japan for KD from 1970 to 2020 were included. Data were analyzed from January 2022 to January 2024.

Exposure

Pediatric patients with KD.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The KD dataset was analyzed by patient age (infants [aged <6 months], toddlers [aged 6 to <24 months], children aged 2 years [aged 24 to <36 months], and children and adolescents aged 3 years or older [aged ≥36 months]), with investigations of seasonal cycles, interannual variations, and correlations across regions.

Results

Among 422 528 pediatric patients (243 803 males [57.7%] and 178 732 females [42.3%]; median [IQR] age, 23.69 [11.96-42.65] months), infants, toddlers, and patients aged 3 years or older exhibited different rates of increase in KD incidence, seasonality, and degrees of coherence of seasonality across prefectures. Although the mean (SD) incidence of KD among infants remained relatively stable over the past 30 years compared with older patients (1.00 [0.07] in 1987-1992 to 2.05 [0.11] in 2011-2016), the mean (SD) incidence rate for children and adolescents aged 3 years or older increased 5.2-fold, from 1.00 (0.08) in 1987 to 1992 to 5.17 (0.46) in 2014 to 2019. Patients aged 3 years or older saw a reduction in mean (SD) incidence, from peaks of 5.71 (0.01) in October 2014 through June 2015 and July 2018 through March 2019 to 4.69 (0.11) in 2016 to 2017 (17.8% reduction) not seen in younger children. The seasonal cycle varied by age group; for example, mean (SD) incidence peaked in July and August (5.63 [0.07] cases/100 000 individuals) for infants and in December and January (4.67 [0.13] cases/100 000 individuals) for toddlers. Mean (SD) incidence changed dramatically for toddlers beginning in the early 2010s; for example, the normalized mean (SD) incidence among toddlers for October was 0.74 (0.03) in 1992 to 1995 and 1.10 (0.01) in 2016 to 2019. Across Japan, the seasonal cycle of KD incidence of older children and adolescents exhibited mean (SD) correlation coefficients between prefectures as high as 0.78 (0.14) for prefecture 14 among patients aged 3 years or older, while that of infants was much less (highest mean [SD] correlation coefficient, 0.43 [0.23]).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found distinct temporal signatures and changing spatial consistency of KD incidence across age groups, suggesting different age-related mechanisms of exposure. Some results suggested that social factors may modulate exposure to etiologic agents of KD; however, the increase in KD incidence in older children coupled with the correlation across prefectures of KD incidence suggest that the intensity of an environmental exposure that triggers KD in this age group may have increased over time.

Nationwide clinical and epidemiological study of large-vessel vasculitis in Japan in 2017

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a nationwide epidemiological study to estimate the number of patients with Takayasu arteritis (TAK) and giant cell arteritis (GCA) in Japan and to describe the clinical characteristics of these patients.

METHODS

The first survey was designed to estimate the number of patients with TAK and GCA who were treated at medical institutions in Japan in 2017. The second survey was designed to collect data on the clinical characteristics of the patients who were reported in the first survey.

RESULTS

Of the 3495 institutions selected for the first survey, 1960 (56.1%) responded. The number of patients with clinically diagnosed TAK and GCA was estimated to be 5320 (95% confidence interval, 4810-5820) and 3200 (95% confidence interval, 2830-3570), respectively. Aortic regurgitation was reported in 35% of patients with TAK, and eye-related comorbidities were observed in 30.4% of patients with GCA. The common carotid and internal carotid arteries were the most frequently involved in patients with TAK (62.7%). Subclavian artery lesions and thoracic or abdominal aorta lesions were reported in 31% and 42.6% of patients with GCA, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of patients with TAK and GCA was estimated simultaneously, and significant differences in clinical characteristics were observed between the two diseases.

Prevalence of Pseudohypoparathyroidism and Nonsurgical Hypoparathyroidism in Japan in 2017: A Nationwide Survey

BACKGROUND

Pseudohypoparathyroidism (PHP) and nonsurgical hypoparathyroidism (NS-HypoPT) are rare diseases with hypocalcemia, hyperphosphatemia, and high and low parathyroid hormone levels, respectively. In Japan, over 20 years have passed since the last survey on these diseases. We carried out a nationwide cross-sectional survey to estimate the prevalence of these diseases in 2018.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide mail-based survey targeting hospitals in 2018. From a total of 13,156 departments throughout Japan, including internal medicine, pediatrics, neurology, and psychiatry, 3,501 (27%) departments were selected using a stratified random sampling method. We asked each included department to report the number of patients with PHP and NS-HypoPT in 2017.

RESULTS

The overall survey response rate was 52.0% (1,807 departments). The estimated number of patients with PHP and NS-HypoPT was 1,484 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1,143-1,825) and 2,304 (95% CI, 1,189-3,419), respectively; the prevalence per 100,000 population was 1.2 and 1.8, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we generated estimates of the national prevalence of PHP and NS-HypoPT in Japan during 2017, which were found to be higher than those previously reported.

Age-related changes in circulating INSL3 concentrations and their associations with ovarian conditions in Japanese Black beef cattle

Information on circulating levels of insulin-like peptide 3 (INSL3) in female domesticated animals is limited, as their concentrations are significantly lower than in males. The objectives of the present study were to 1) develop a sandwich time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay (TRFIA) with higher detectability to measure blood INSL3 concentrations in female cattle, 2) determine INSL3 concentrations in female cattle among age groups and reproductive conditions, and 3) explore associations between INSL3 levels and ultrasonographic ovarian measurements. Blood was collected repeatedly from Japanese Black beef female calves (n = 12; 0－8 mo), heifers (n = 10; 10－26 mo), and cows (n = 20; 27－200 mo). Blood was taken from the cows (n = 13) at follicular, post-ovulatory, and luteal phases, and from cows with follicular cysts (n = 12). Ultrasonography of ovaries was conducted in the calves (n = 12) and the cows without ovarian diseases (n = 9). The ovarian area, as well as the number and diameters of antral follicles ≥ 2 mm, were determined in each ovary. The proposed method detected a difference in plasma INSL3 between calves (0.01 ng/mL) and heifers (0.18 ng/mL). However, the conventional assay showed similar levels for calves and heifers (1.82 vs 2.07 ng/mL). Plasma INSL3 and testosterone concentrations increased from calves to heifers (P < 0.0001), but only INSL3 rose from heifers to cows (P < 0.0001). INSL3 and testosterone concentrations did not change across the estrus cycle in cows, and the levels of both hormones in follicular cystic cows did not differ from those in the follicular phase. Ovarian area, maximal and average follicular diameters, and total volume of all follicles per animal were higher in cows than calves (P < 0.001). Plasma INSL3 concentrations correlated positively with the total volumes of all follicles in calves (P < 0.05) and cows (P < 0.05), whereas testosterone concentrations did not correlate with ovarian follicular measurements. In conclusion, plasma INSL3 concentrations measured by the proposed sandwich TRFIA showed a clear increase from female calves to cows in beef cattle. These results suggest that circulating levels of INSL3, but not of testosterone, are associated with the total volume of all antral follicles in both ovaries per animal in female cattle.

Prevalence, Clinical Profiles, and Prognosis of Stiff-Person Syndrome in a Japanese Nationwide Survey

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To elucidate current epidemiologic, clinical, and immunologic profiles and treatments of stiff-person syndrome (SPS) in Japan.

METHODS

A nationwide mail survey was conducted using an established method. Data processing sheets were sent to randomly selected departments of internal medicine, neurology, pediatrics, psychiatry, and neurosurgery in hospitals and clinics throughout Japan to identify patients with SPS who were seen between January 2015 and December 2017.

RESULTS

Thirty cases were identified as glutamic acid decarboxylase 65 (GAD65)-positive SPS cases on the basis of detailed clinical data of 55 cases. Four patients had α1 subunit of glycine receptor (GlyR) antibodies, and 1 patient had both GAD65 and GlyR antibodies. The total estimated number of patients with GAD65-positive SPS was 140, and the estimated prevalence was 0.11 per 100,000 population. The median age at onset was 51 years (range, 26-83 years), and 23 (76%) were female. Of these, 70% had classic SPS, and 30% had stiff-limb syndrome. The median time from symptom onset to diagnosis was significantly longer in the high-titer GAD65 antibody group than in the low-titer group (13 months vs 2.5 months, p = 0.01). The median modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at baseline was 4, and the median mRS at the last follow-up was 2. Among the 29 GAD65-positive patients with ≥1 year follow-up, 7 received only symptomatic treatment, 9 underwent immunotherapy without long-term immunotherapy, and 13 received long-term immunotherapy such as oral prednisolone. The coexistence of type 1 diabetes mellitus and the lack of long-term immunotherapy were independent risk factors for poor outcome (mRS ≥3) in the GAD65-positive patients (odds ratio, 15.0; 95% CI 2.6-131.6; p = 0.001; odds ratio, 19.8; 95% CI 3.2-191.5; p = 0.001, respectively).

DISCUSSION

This study provides the current epidemiologic and clinical status of SPS in Japan. The symptom onset to the diagnosis of SPS was longer in patients with high-titer GAD65 antibodies than in those with low-titer GAD65 antibodies. The outcome of patients with SPS was generally favorable, but more aggressive immunotherapies are necessary for GAD65-positive patients with SPS.

Predicting habitual water intake from lifestyle questions

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have used selective recall and descriptive dietary record methods, requiring considerable effort for assessing food and water intake. This study created a simplified lifestyle questionnaire to predict habitual water intake (SQW), accurately and quickly assessing the habitual water intake. We also evaluated the validity using descriptive dietary records as a cross-sectional study.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

First, we used crowdsourcing and machine learning to collect data, predict water intake records, and create questionnaires. We collected 305 lifestyle-related questions as predictor variables and selective recall methods for assessing water intake as an outcome variable. Random forests were used for the machine learning models because of their interpretability and accurate estimation. Random forest and single regression correlation analysis were augmented by the synthetic minority oversampling that trained the model. We separated the data by sex and evaluated our model using unseen hold-out testing data, predicting the individual and overall habitual water intake from various sources, including non-alcoholic beverages, alcohol, and food.

RESULTS

We found a 0.60 Spearman's correlation coefficient for total water intake between the predicted and the selective recall method values, reflecting the target value to be achieved. This question set was then used for feasibility tests. The descriptive dietary record method helped to obtain a ground-truth value. We categorized the data by gender, season, and source: non-alcoholic beverages, alcohol, food, and total water intake, and the correlation was confirmed. Consequently, our results showed a Pearson's correlation coefficient of 0.50 for total water intake between the predicted and the selective recall method values.

CONCLUSIONS

We hypothesize that dissemination of SQW can lead to better health management by easily determining the habitual water intake.

Probing the symmetry breaking of a light-matter system by an ancillary qubit

Hybrid quantum systems in the ultrastrong, and even more in the deep-strong, coupling regimes can exhibit exotic physical phenomena and promise new applications in quantum technologies. In these nonperturbative regimes, a qubit-resonator system has an entangled quantum vacuum with a nonzero average photon number in the resonator, where the photons are virtual and cannot be directly detected. The vacuum field, however, is able to induce the symmetry breaking of a dispersively coupled probe qubit. We experimentally observe the parity symmetry breaking of an ancillary Xmon artificial atom induced by the field of a lumped-element superconducting resonator deep-strongly coupled with a flux qubit. This result opens a way to experimentally explore the novel quantum-vacuum effects emerging in the deep-strong coupling regime.

Protein-Ligand Interaction Analyses with Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy Enhanced by Dissolution Triplet Dynamic Nuclear Polarization

Solution-state nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy (NMR) is a powerful method for the analysis of intermolecular interactions within a biomolecular system. However, low sensitivity is one of the major obstacles of NMR. We improved the sensitivity of solution-state ¹³C NMR for the observation of intermolecular interactions between protein and ligand using hyperpolarized solution samples at room temperature. Eutectic crystals composed of ¹³C-salicylic acid and benzoic acid doped with pentacene were hyperpolarized by dynamic nuclear polarization using photoexcited triplet electrons, and a ¹³C nuclear polarization of 0.72 ± 0.07% was achieved after dissolution. The binding of human serum albumin and ¹³C-salicylate was observed with several hundred times sensitivity enhancement under mild conditions. The established ¹³C NMR was applied for pharmaceutical NMR experiments by observation of the partial return of the ¹³C chemical shift of salicylate by competitive binding with other non-isotope-labeled drugs.

Pan-Asian adapted ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for the diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

The European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Clinical Practice Guidelines for the diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), published in late 2022, were adapted in December 2022, according to previously established standard methodology, to produce the Pan-Asian adapted (PAGA) ESMO consensus guidelines for the management of Asian patients with mCRC. The adapted guidelines presented in this manuscript represent the consensus opinions reached by a panel of Asian experts in the treatment of patients with mCRC representing the oncological societies of China (CSCO), Indonesia (ISHMO), India (ISMPO), Japan (JSMO), Korea (KSMO), Malaysia (MOS), the Philippines (PSMO), Singapore (SSO), Taiwan (TOS) and Thailand (TSCO), co-ordinated by ESMO and the Japanese Society of Medical Oncology (JSMO). The voting was based on scientific evidence and was independent of the current treatment practices, drug access restrictions and reimbursement decisions in the different Asian countries. The latter are discussed separately in the manuscript. The aim is to provide guidance for the optimisation and harmonisation of the management of patients with mCRC across the different countries of Asia, drawing on the evidence provided by both Western and Asian trials, whilst respecting the differences in screening practices, molecular profiling and age and stage at presentation, coupled with a disparity in the drug approvals and reimbursement strategies, between the different countries.

Safety Profile of the Concomitant Use of Atorvastatin and Cyclosporine in Renal Transplant Recipients

Cyclosporine (CyA) and atorvastatin (AT) are often administered concomitantly to treat dyslipidemia in renal transplant recipients. However, CyA greatly increases the plasma concentration of AT; therefore, concomitant use might increase the frequency of statin-induced adverse effects. The aim of this study was to investigate whether concomitant use of CyA and AT increases intolerance of the latter agent in Japanese renal transplantation recipients. We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of renal transplant recipients aged 18 years and older who had concomitantly received AT and CyA, or tacrolimus (Tac) therapy. We defined statin intolerance as a decrease in dose or discontinuation of AT due to adverse effects. We evaluated the incidence of statin intolerance in concomitant therapy with CyA for 100 days after the initial administration of AT in comparison with Tac. A total of 144 renal transplant recipients who received AT and CyA, or Tac between January 2013 and December 2019 were included. There was no statistical difference in the incidence of statin intolerance in both the CyA (1.8%; 1/57 patients) and Tac (3.4%; 3/87 patients) groups. Concomitant use of CyA and AT might not increase the incidence of statin intolerance in Japanese renal transplant recipients.

Nationwide Laboratory Surveillance of Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy in Japan: Fiscal Years 2011-2020

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a devastating demyelinating disease caused by JC virus (JCV), predominantly affecting patients with impaired cellular immunity. PML is a non-reportable disease with a few exceptions, making national surveillance difficult. In Japan, polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing for JCV in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is performed at the National Institute of Infectious Diseases to support PML diagnosis. To clarify the overall profile of PML in Japan, patient data provided at the time of CSF-JCV testing over 10 years (FY2011-2020) were analyzed. PCR testing for 1537 new suspected PML cases was conducted, and 288 (18.7%) patients tested positive for CSF-JCV. An analysis of the clinical information on all individuals tested revealed characteristics of PML cases, including the geographic distribution, age and sex patterns, and CSF-JCV-positivity rates among the study subjects for each type of underlying condition. During the last five years of the study period, a surveillance system utilizing ultrasensitive PCR testing and widespread clinical attention to PML led to the detection of CSF-JCV in the earlier stages of the disease. The results of this study will provide valuable information not only for PML diagnosis, but also for the treatment of PML-predisposing conditions.

Prevalence of Allergic Diseases across All Ages in Japan: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Study Employing Designated Allergic Disease Medical Hospital Network

Introduction

Allergic diseases affect both children and adults, but generation-specific prevalence rates are unclear.

Methods

An online questionnaire was used from December 2021 to January 2022 to survey the prevalence of allergic diseases among staff and their families of designated allergic disease medical hospitals in Japan. In this study, bronchial asthma (BA), atopic dermatitis (AD), food allergies (FAs), allergic rhinitis (AR), allergic conjunctivitis (AC), metal allergies (MAs), and drug allergies (DAs) were the allergic diseases surveyed.

Results

In total, 18,706 individuals were surveyed (median age, 36 years; quartile range, 18-50). Allergic disease was reported in 62.2% of respondents. Across all ages, prevalence rates were as follows: BA (14.7%), AD (15.6%), FAs (15.2%), AR (47.4%), AC (19.5%), MAs (1.9%), and DAs (4.6%). The prevalence of BA and AR was higher in male children, whereas that of FAs and AC was higher in adult females. The prevalence of MAs and DAs peaked during adulthood and predominated among females.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that approximately two-thirds of the Japanese population may have an allergic disease, with AR being the most prevalent.

Comprehensive clinical and molecular characterization of claudin 18.2 expression in advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer

BACKGROUND

We conducted comprehensive clinical and molecular characterization of claudin 18.2 expression (CLDN18.2) in advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer (GC/GEJC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with advanced GC/GEJC who received systemic chemotherapy from October 2015 to December 2019 with available tumor specimens were analyzed. We evaluated clinicopathological features of CLDN18.2 expression with four molecular subtypes: mismatch repair deficient, Epstein-Barr virus-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive, and others. In addition, programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) combined positive score (CPS), genomic alterations, and the expression of immune cell markers were assessed. Clinical outcomes of standard first- or second-line chemotherapy and subsequent anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (anti-PD-1) therapy were also investigated according to CLDN18.2 expression.

RESULTS

Among 408 patients, CLDN18.2-positive (moderate-to-strong expression in ≥75%) was identified in 98 patients (24.0%) with almost equal distribution in the four molecular subtypes or CPS subgroups. CLDN18.2-positive was associated with Borrmann type 4, KRAS amplification, low CD16, and high CD68 expression. Overall survival with first-line chemotherapy was not significantly different between CLDN18.2-positive and -negative groups [median 18.4 versus 20.1 months; hazard ratio 1.26 (95% confidence interval 0.89-1.78); P = 0.191] regardless of stratification by PD-L1 CPS ≥5. Progression-free survival and objective response rates of first- and second-line chemotherapy, and anti-PD-1 therapy also showed no significant differences according to CLDN18.2 status.

CONCLUSIONS

CLDN18.2 expression in advanced GC/GEJC was associated with some clinical and molecular features but had no impact on treatment outcomes with chemotherapy or checkpoint inhibition. CLDN18.2-positive also had no impact on overall survival. This information could be useful to interpret the results from currently ongoing clinical trials of CLDN18.2-targeted therapies for advanced GC/GEJC and to consider a treatment strategy for CLDN18.2-positive GC/GEJC.

[Health check-up results, death, and occurrence of the need for nursing care among Japanese older adults: Analysis using the Kokuho Database system]

Objectives　The study aimed to clarify the association among health check-up results, death, and occurrence of the need for nursing care among Japanese older adults.Methods　The participants were 24,909 males and 28,742 females. A medical system for late-stage older adults in the Tochigi Prefecture (Japan) insured, not qualified for long-term care insurance certification, and participated in health check-ups from April 2020 to March 2021. We recorded the occurrence of death and loss of independence from the date of health check-ups through the end of August 2021. Furthermore, we divided the participants into two groups based on the judgment value of medical consultation recommendations for the specified medical check-ups. In addition, we calculated 1-year survival and independence rates using the Kaplan-Meier method and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of death and loss of independence using the Cox's proportional hazard model.Results　During the follow-up, 424 cases of deaths (281 males and 143 females) and 1,011 cases of loss of independence (529 males and 482 females) were identified. In addition, 1-year survival and independence rates for low serum albumin were 0.920-0.958, with the lowest in both the sexes. The Cox's proportional hazards model after adjusting for age, body mass index, and responses to the late-stage older adult questionnaire revealed that HRs of death (3.05 [2.00-4.64]) and loss of independence (2.58 [1.87-3.56]) for low hemoglobin were the highest in males, and those of death (5.87 [2.45-14.07]) and loss of independence (3.00 [1.70-5.29]) for low serum albumin were particularly high in females. In a previous study analyzing the loss of independence among older adults who participated in health check-ups, HRs of death for low serum albumin and hemoglobin were 2.7 [1.2-6.0] and 1.8 [1.1-2.9], respectively, and the current study results showed a higher tendency than that in the previous study. In addition, previous studies showed an association between low serum albumin and stroke and low hemoglobin and death. However, in the current study, HRs for low serum albumin and hemoglobin could be particularly high because the Tochigi Prefecture has a high age-adjusted mortality rate for cerebrovascular and cardiac diseases, in addition to low nutrition among individuals with risk factors for these diseases.Conclusion　This study found that low nutrition among older adults in the Tochigi Prefecture was highly associated with the occurrence of death and the need for nursing care. In addition, the trends in mortality and the risk of loss of independence among older adults differed by region.

Effect of quercetin glycosides on cognitive functions and cerebral blood flow: a randomized, double-blind, and placebo-controlled study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the effects of quercetin glycoside-containing beverages on cognitive function and cerebral blood flow (CBF) in adult men and women aged between 60 and 75 years.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Eighty healthy men and women with no cognitive impairment and aware of ageing-related forgetfulness underwent a placebo-controlled, randomized, double-blind, and parallel-group trial. They regularly consumed 500 mL of beverage containing 110 mg of quercetin glycoside as isoquercitrin for 40 weeks. Cognitive function assessment by Cognitrax was the endpoint of the study. The participants were assessed for CBF, health-related quality of life, as well as physical, biological, and hematological parameters, and lateral index.

RESULTS

Cognitrax demonstrated that the reaction time significantly improved in the quercetin glycoside intake group. The CBF measurement suggested that quercetin glycoside intake could likely suppress the decrease in cerebral blood volume, CBF, and cerebral activity owing to stress alleviation and inhibition of the accumulation of amyloid β (Aβ), a waste product in the brain, although there were no significant differences between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Quercetin glycoside intake as a beverage could improve reaction time and may potentially inhibit the decrease in CBF and suppress Aβ accumulation.

Incidence of Kawasaki Disease Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan: Results of the 26th Nationwide Survey, 2019 to 2020

IMPORTANCE

Global studies have reported that the incidence of Kawasaki disease (KD) declined during the COVID-19 pandemic. These studies suggest that the global pandemic and its accompanying mitigation measures may provide an important opportunity to explore the hypothesis of a KD pathogenesis.

OBJECTIVE

To compare changes in KD incidence in Japan before and after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study was conducted using the data set from Japan's 26th nationwide KD survey that obtained information on patients who were diagnosed with KD in Japan from January 1, 2019, through December 31, 2020.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Kawasaki disease incidence rates were calculated by referring to the national population data in the vital statistics data for Japan.

RESULTS

A total of 28 520 patients were identified (16 236 male individuals [56.9%]; median [IQR] age, 26 [14-44] months). A total of 17 347 patients were diagnosed with KD in 2019 and 11 173 were diagnosed in 2020, representing a 35.6% reduction in the number of patients diagnosed in 2020 compared with the previous year. Patient distributions for days of illness at the first hospital visit were almost identical in 2019 and 2020, suggesting that the decrease in KD incidence likely was not associated with pandemic-related delays in seeking treatment. The proportion of patients diagnosed with KD who were younger than 12 months was significantly larger in 2020 than in 2019 (21.6% vs 19.4%; P < .001). Compared with KD incidence among younger patients, the incidence among those 24 months and older declined rapidly after initiation of COVID-19 special mitigation measures, with a greater percentage reduction (58.3% reduction in July), but rebounded faster after the end of the special mitigation period. By contrast, the incidence among patients younger than 12 months declined moderately after the initiation of the special mitigation period, with a lower percentage reduction (40.3% reduction in October), and rebounded at a later phase.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, the number of patients diagnosed with KD decreased by approximately one-third across Japan in 2020, with no indication that parents avoided a hospital visit. Differences in KD incidence reduction patterns before and after the initiation of COVID-19 pandemic mitigation measures were found in patients with KD aged younger than 12 months compared with those 24 months or older, suggesting a potential KD pathogenesis involving transmission among children.

Measurement of Paα line from pellet ablation cloud in Heliotron J

The Pa_α line (1875.13 nm) in the near-infrared (NIR) region was evaluated to apply Stark broadening of the line spectrum to the electron density measurement of the small-pellet ablation cloud in Heliotron J, a medium-sized helical-axis heliotron device. Pa_α is three-to-four times broader than the visible H_β line (486.13 nm) for the same electron density. Using a portable NIR spectrometer, preliminary proof-of-concept experiments determined the marginal density, below which the broadening was undetectable. The lower detection density limit can be decreased using a narrower entrance slit or a denser grating.

Prognostic value of estimating appendicular muscle mass in heart failure using creatinine/cystatin C

Objectives

As heart failure with concomitant sarcopenia has a poor prognosis, simple methods for evaluating the appendicular skeletal muscle mass index (ASMI) are required. Recently, a model incorporating anthropometric data and the sarcopenia index, that is, the ratio of serum creatinine to cystatin C (Cre/CysC), was developed to estimate the appendicular skeletal muscle mass. We hypothesized that this model would be superior to the previous model, which uses only anthropometric data to predict the prognosis. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of low ASMI as defined by the biomarker and anthropometric models in patients with heart failure.

Methods

Among 847 patients, we estimated ASMI using an anthropometric model consisting of age, body weight, and height in 791 patients and a biomarker model that incorporates age, body weight, hemoglobin, and Cre/CysC in 562 patients. Patients were divided into low and non-low ASMI groups according to the ASMI estimated by each model, using the cut-off proposed by the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality.

Results

Overall, 53.4% and 39.1% of patients were diagnosed with low ASMI by anthropometric and biomarker models, respectively. The agreement of the diagnosis of low ASMI between the two models was poor, with a kappa coefficient of 0.56 (95% confidence interval: 0.49–0.63). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that a low ASMI was significantly associated with all-cause death in both models. However, this association was retained after adjustment for other covariates in the biomarker model (hazard ratio: 2.60, p=0.003), but not in the anthropometric model (hazard ratio: 0.70, p=0.257).

Conclusions and implications

Among patients hospitalized with heart failure, a low ASMI estimated using the biomarker model, but not the anthropometric model, was significantly associated with all-cause mortality.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Two-step nationwide epidemiological survey of myasthenia gravis in Japan 2018

Objective

To study the updated prevalence and clinical features of myasthenia gravis (MG) in Japan during 2017.

Methods

We sent survey sheets to the randomly selected medical departments (number = 7,545). First, we asked the number of MG patients who visited medical departments from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2017. Then, we sent the second survey sheet to the medical departments that answered the first survey to obtain the clinical information of patients who received MG diagnosis between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2017.

Results

The received answer to the first survey were 2,708 (recovery rate: 35.9%). After all, the prevalence of the 100,000 population was estimated as 23.1 (95%CI: 20.5–25.6). As a result of the second survey, we obtained 1,464 case records. After checking the duplications and lacking data, we utilized 1,195 data for further analysis. The median [interquartile range (IQR)] from the onset age of total patients was 59 (43–70) years old. The male-female ratio was 1: 1.15. The onset age [median (IQR)] for female patients was 58 (40–72) years old, and that for male patients was 60 (49–69) years old (Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test, p = 0.0299). We divided patients into four categories: 1) anti-acetylcholine receptor antibody (AChRAb) (+) thymoma (Tm) (-), 2) AChRAb(+)Tm(+), 3) anti-muscle-specific kinase antibody (MuSKAb) (+), and AChRAb(-)MuSKAb(-) (double negative; DN). The onset age [median (IQR)] of AChRAb(+)Tm(-) was 64 (48–73) years old, and AChRb(+)Tm(+) was 55 (45–66), MuSKAb(+) was 49 (36–64), DN was 47 (35–60) year old. The multivariate logistic regression analysis using sex, initial symptoms, repetitive nerve stimulation test (RNST), and edrophonium test revealed that sex, ocular symptoms, bulbar symptoms, and RNST were factors to distinguish each category. The myasthenia gravis activities of daily living profile at the severest state were significantly higher in MuSKAb(+). MuSKAb(+) frequently received prednisolone, tacrolimus plasmapheresis, and intravenous immunoglobulin; however, they received less acetylcholine esterase inhibitor. 99.2% of AChRAb(+)Tm(+) and 15.4% of AChRAb(+)Tm(-) received thymectomy. MuSKAb(+) did not receive thymectomy, and only 5.7% of DN received thymectomy. The prognosis was favorable in all categories.

Conclusion

Our result revealed that the prevalence of Japanese MG doubled from the previous study using the same survey method in 2006. We also found that the onset age shifted to the elderly, and the male-female ratio reached almost even. Classification in four categories; AChRAb(+)Tm(-), AChRAb(+)Tm(+), MuSKAb(+), and DN, well describe the specific clinical features of each category and differences in therapeutic approaches.

Nationwide survey of Lambert-Eaton myasthenic syndrome in Japan

Background

There was no nationwide epidemiological study of Lambert-Eaton myasthenic syndrome (LEMS) in Japan; therefore, we conducted a nationwide survey.

Methods

For the first survey, we sent survey sheets to randomly selected medical departments (n=7545) to obtain the number of LEMS who visited medical departments between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2017. For the second survey, we sent survey sheets to the corresponding medical departments to obtain clinical information on LEMS.

Results

We received 2708 responses (recovery rate: 35.9%) to the first survey. We estimated the number of LEMS as 348 (95% CI 247 to 449). The prevalence was 2.7 (95% CI 1.9 to 3.5) in 1 000 000 population. As a result of the second survey, we obtained 30 case records of 16 men and 14 women. Fourteen patients (46.7%) had a tumour, and 10 out of 14 tumours were small-cell lung carcinoma (71.4%). There was a predominance of men in the LEMS with tumour (paraneoplastic LEMS, P-LEMS) (n=11, 78.6%) and women in the LEMS without tumour (a primary autoimmune form of LEMS, AI-LEMS) (n=11, 68.8%) (p=0.0136). The onset age (mean (SD)) for the P-LEMS was 67.1 (9.0), and that for AI-LEMS was 57.8 (11.2) years old (p=0.0103). The disease duration (median) for P-LEMS was 2 years, and for AI-LEMS was 7.5 years (p=0.0134).

Conclusions

The prevalence of LEMS in Japan is similar to that in other countries. There are predominances of men in P-LEMS and women in AI-LEMS.

TG/HDL-C ratio as a predictor of stroke in the population with healthy BMI: The Jichi Medical School Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The triglycerides-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) is a predictor of metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease onset. However, the relationship between TG/HDL-C and stroke has not been established. This study examined whether TG/HDL-C helps in predicting stroke onset; this was compared between the whole population and healthy body mass index (BMI) population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Jichi Medical School Cohort Study is a prospective cohort study involving baseline data collected in 12 Japanese districts between April 1992 and July 1995. We used data from 11,699 participants; participants with a healthy BMI (20.0-24.9 kg/m²) were grouped into sex-specific TG/HDL-C quartiles. Using the first quartile groups as references, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the Cox proportional hazards model were calculated. During the mean 10.8 years of follow-up, 419 new stroke events were recorded. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) in the fourth quartile of the whole population were 1.28 (0.94-1.75), 1.78 (0.91-3.48), 1.20 (0.82-1.77), and 1.13 (0.50-2.54), as compared to those in the fourth quartile of the healthy BMI population, which were 1.87 (1.24-2.83), 3.06 (1.21-7.74), 1.79 (1.05-3.05), and 1.29 (0.49-3.41) for all patients with all stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral infarction, and subarachnoid hemorrhage, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Increased TG/HDL-C correlated with a significant increase in stroke risk only in the healthy BMI population and not the whole population. Furthermore, it was primarily associated with increased intracerebral hemorrhage and cerebral infarction risk.

Development of a radiopaque tiltmeter to improve reproducibility for Fowler's position on chest radiography

INTRODUCTION

We have developed a novel radiopaque tiltmeter (ROT) that can indicate patient tilt during a radiography examination and display it on X-ray images. This study evaluated the effect of variation of patient tilt on the reproducibility of Fowler's position for chest radiography and the accuracy of the ROT.

METHODS

We evaluated the reproducibility of Fowler's position based on changes from the first day in the central venous catheter (CVC) tip position and the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) with and without a digital tiltmeter to verify its efficacy in patients who underwent mobile chest radiography. The ROT contains radiopaque liquid consisting of white barium sulfate solution and oil and has a scale bar of 15°-75° with increments of 15° to indicate ROT tilt. The ROT tilt was increased from 10° to 80° in increments of 10°. We then evaluated (1) the difference between the ROT tilt and the tilt measured with a digital tiltmeter, and (2) the ROT tilt displayed on the X-ray image.

RESULTS

With regard to reproducibility in Fowler's position, changes in the CVC tip position were 2.8 ± 3.9 mm and 10.7 ± 10.6 mm with and without the tiltmeter, respectively (p < 0.05) and the respective rates of change in the CTR were 0.7% ± 0.6% and 4.0% ± 2.1% (p < 0.05). Differences between the ROT tilt and the tilt measured by the digital tiltmeter were within ±2.5°. All ROT tilts displayed on the X-ray images were recognized exactly as each tilt.

CONCLUSION

Our novel ROT had the potential to accurately indicate patient tilt during chest radiography, which could be helpful in terms of reproducibility and precise follow-up.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Use of the ROT for determination of patient tilt can improve reproducibility in Fowler's position, allowing more accurate serial X-ray imaging.

Serum alanine aminotransferase level and intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in patients with kawasaki disease

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVES

Serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation is considered a risk factor for resistance to initial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). However, serum ALT levels change dramatically during acute KD illness. We tested the hypothesis that risk assessment for initial IVIG resistance based on serum ALT elevation may differ by examination day after KD onset.

METHODS

We analyzed 18,492 population-based patients who developed KD throughout Japan. First, we epidemiologically evaluated the serum ALT variation at 1‒10 days after disease onset. Second, we conducted multivariable logistic regression to determine the association between serum ALT level and initial IVIG resistance according to timing of initial hospital visit by stratifying the patients into an early group (1‒5 days after onset) and a late group (6‒10 days after onset).

RESULTS

Serum ALT rapidly increased after KD onset, peaked at day 4 of illness, and then declined regardless of IVIG responsiveness. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) increased with increasing serum ALT in the early group (adjusted OR [95% CI]: 1.44 [1.25-1.66], 1.94 [1.65-2.28], and 2.22 [1.99-2.48] for serum ALT 50-99, 100-199, and ≥ 200 IU/L, respectively; reference ALT level: 1-49 IU/L). No significant association was observed in the late group.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings indicate that risk assessment for initial IVIG resistance based on serum ALT level may only be reliable for patients with KD who visit hospitals during early illness, specifically 1-5 days after disease onset. Key Points Serum alanine aminotransferase level differed markedly according to examination days after Kawasaki disease onset. Serum alanine aminotransferase level declined toward normal range after day 5 of illness regardless of intravenous immunoglobulin responsiveness. Elevated serum alanine aminotransferase level was no longer a significant risk factor for initial intravenous immunoglobulin resistance when measured on delayed hospital visits. Risk assessment for initial intravenous immunoglobulin resistance based on serum alanine aminotransferase level may only be reliable for patients who visit hospitals during early illness, specifically 1-5 days after disease onset.

Methionine homozygosity for PRNP polymorphism and susceptibility to human prion diseases

BACKGROUND

No studies have assessed the independent association of methionine homozygosity at codon 129 with the susceptibility to prion diseases, controlling for the effects of the codon 219 polymorphisms and other potential confounders, using a large-scale population-based dataset.

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study using a Japanese nationwide surveillance database for prion diseases. The main exposure was methionine homozygosity at codon 129, and the outcome was development of prion diseases. Multivariable logistic regression models were employed for specific disease subtypes (sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD), genetic CJD and Gerstmann-Sträussler-Scheinker disease (GSS)).

RESULTS

Of 5461 patients registered in the database, 2440 cases and 796 controls remained for the analysis. The cases comprised 1676 patients with sporadic CJD (69%), 649 with genetic CJD (27%) and 115 with GSS (5%). For patients with methionine homozygosity, potential risk for occurring prion diseases: adjusted OR (95% CI) was 2.21 (1.46 to 3.34) in sporadic CJD, 0.47 (0.32 to 0.68) in genetic CJD and 0.3 (0.17 to 0.55) in GSS. Among patients with specific prion protein abnormalities, the potential risk was 0.27 (0.17 to 0.41) in genetic CJD with 180 Val/Ile, 1.66 (0.65 to 5.58) in genetic CJD with 200 Glu/Lys, 3.97 (1.2 to 24.62) in genetic CJD with 232 Met/Arg and 0.71 (0.34 to 1.67) in GSS with 102 Pro/Leu.

CONCLUSIONS

Methionine homozygosity at codon 129 was predisposing to sporadic CJD, but protective against genetic CJD and GSS, after adjustment for codon 219 polymorphism effect. However, the impacts differed completely among patients with specific prion protein abnormalities.

P-027 which is the best method of testicular sperm retrieval for NOA? an answer from 1071 TESE cases in my clinics over 25 years

Study question

Which improves sperm recovery rate (SRR) for men with non-obstructive azoospermia (NOA), microdissection TESE (m-TESE) or conventional TESE (c-TESE)?

Summary answer

SRR of c-TESE vs. m-TESE for NOA was not significant. We need to develop a safer, less-invasive technique with fewer complications and higher SRR.

What is known already

m-TESE has been performed for men with NOA since Schlegel P’s report (Hum Reprod, 1999). Seminiferous tubules containing many developing germ cells were likely to be larger and more opaque and the ability to find spermatozoa increased from 45% (10/22) to 63% (17/27) after introduction of the microdissection technique. However, Jarvis S et al. (Turek PG group, 2019) reported that at least one site revealed mature sperm in 24 (29.3%) of 82 men with prior failed micro TESE procedures, and sperm were more likely to be found in the testis periphery rather than centrally with FNA mapping.

Study design, size, duration

TESE was performed in 1071 azoospermic patients in my clinics; c-TESE was performed for all azoospermic patients between 1996 and 2005 in Sendai; c-TESE for OA and m-TESE for NOA was performed from 2006 in Sendai, and from 2012 in Takanawa. The patients were divided into four groups; 1) FSH≦9.2mIU/ml, Testicular volume(TV)≧15/ml (OA), 2) FSH≦9.2mIU/ml, TV &lt; 15ml, 3) FSH&gt;9.2mIU/ml, TV≧15ml, 4) FSH&gt;9.2mIU/ml, TV &lt; 15ml (NOA).

Participants/materials, setting, methods

c-TESE was performed in 178 azoospermic men (50, 12, 7, 109, respectively) in 1996-2005. c-TESE was performed in 181 patients (131, 26, 15, 9, respectively) and m-TESE was performed in 541 patients (56, 33, 35, 416, respectively) in 2006 -2020. SRR, pregnancy rate (PR), and birth rate (BR) in 1996-2005 were compared with those in 2006-2020.

Main results and the role of chance

Statistical analysis was performed by chi-square analysis. SRR in c-TESE was 96.0% (48/50) in group 1 (OA) vs. 36.7% (40/109) in group 4 (NOA) in Sendai between 1996 and 2005 (P &lt; 0.001).

SRR of c-TESE was 36.7% (40/109) in group 4 (NOA, in Sendai, 1996-2006), whereas SRR of m-TESE was 31.3% (130/416) in group 4 (NOA, in Sendai and Takanawa, 2006-2020). There was no significant difference (np).

Total SRR of conventional TESE for all azoospermic patients between 1996 and 2005 was 54.9% (96/175), whereas total SRR of c-TESE for OA and m-TESE for NOA between 2006 and 2020 was 51.7% (373/721). NOA rate 4) of azoospermic patients of 1996-2005 and that of 2006-2020 was 61.2% (109/178) and 58.9% (425/721), respectively. There was no significant difference (np).

PR was 37.4% (61/163) and BR was 31.9% (52/263) in c-TESE (1996-2005), PR was 39.6% (388/980), and BR was 27.6% (270//980) in both c-TESE and m-TESE (2006–2020). There was a significant difference in birth rate (P &lt; 0.05).

In conclusion, SRR, PR, and BR were not improved even after m-TESE was performed. Considering the fact that m-TESE cannot find sperm thoroughly, adopting other techniques such as sperm fine-needle aspiration may be required.

Limitations, reasons for caution

Not applicable.

Wider implications of the findings

We could not show the effectiveness of m-TESE compared with c-TESE. However, the total volume of seminiferous tubules collected by c-TESE was the higher. The new one-step fine-needle aspiration has the potential to achieve higher sperm yield with fewer complications. Further advanced technology will hopefully improve the SRR in NOA.

Trial registration number

none

P-763 effect of duration of cryo-storage of vitrified embryos on obstetric and perinatal outcomes

Study question

Does the duration of cryo-storage of vitrified embryos affect obstetric and perinatal outcomes?

Summary answer

Duration of cryo-storage with an open vitrification system did not affect obstetric and perinatal outcomes.

What is known already

Frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer has been performed widely with improvement of embryo culture conditions and cryopreservation techniques. Although blastocyst vitrification has become an essential method to improve clinical outcomes of IVF, there has been little study into the relationship between a long duration of cryo-storage in liquid nitrogen and obstetric and perinatal outcomes.

Study design, size, duration

This retrospective study was conducted at Kyono ART Clinic from January 2007 to December 2020. This study includes a total of 1053 singletons derived from 2461 frozen-thawed blastocyst transfers in 2461 patients. Steel’s multiple comparison test was performed for clinical and perinatal outcomes with cases of cryo-storage of less than 3 months as a control group. P &lt; 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

The subjects are patients who underwent their first single frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer (FBT) with an open vitrification system. Females &gt;40 years old at cryopreservation and those who underwent preimplantation genetic testing were excluded. According to cryo-storage duration, patients were grouped as follows: group A, 0-3 months (1255 cycles); group B, 3-6 months (1008 cycles); group C, 6-12 months (162 cycles), group D, 12-24 months (36 cycles).

Main results and the role of chance

Both the mean maternal age at blastocyst cryopreservation (A: 33.7±3.6, B: 34.1±3.5, C: 34.8±3.2, D: 35.1±3.3) and the mean maternal age at FBT (A: 33.8±3.6, B: 34.4±3.5, C: 35.5±3.1, D: 36.4±3.3) in groups B, C, and D were significantly higher compared to those in group A.. There was no significant difference in the survival rate after blastocyst thawing [A: 97.4% (1256/1290), B: 98.3% (1010/1027), C: 99.4% (163/164), D: 97.2% (35/36)]. The pregnancy rate in group C was significantly lower compared to group A [A: 60.0% (752/1254), B: 61.4% (619/1008), C: 48.1% (78/162), D: 63.9% (23/36)] The gestational age of group C was significantly lower compared to group A (A: 39.5±1.8, B: 39.4±1.8, C: 38.4±3.1, D: 39.8±1.6), but there were no significant differences in live birth weight or height. There were no significant differences in congenital abnormality rate [A: 1.3% (7/541), B: 2.5% (11/440), C: 1.8% (1/56), D: 0.0% (0/16)], placental abnormalities such as placenta previa [A: 1.3% (7/541), B: 1.6% (7/440), C: 1.8% (1/56), D: 0.0% (0/16)], perinatal abnormalities such as hypertensive disorders of pregnancy or gestational diabetes [A: 6.1% (33/541), B: 8.6% (38/440), C: 1.8% (1/56), D: 6.3% (1/16)] among the four groups.

Limitations, reasons for caution

We could not provide sufficient information on confounding factors such as smoking habits, and the sample size was too small for multivariate analysis. The safety of longer storage will need to be verified as this has not been clarified in this study.

Wider implications of the findings

The pregnancy rate in group C was significantly lower than that in group A, but the effect was small: 0.065, power of 0.78. Our data suggested that the duration of cryopreservation with an open vitrification system in liquid nitrogen did not affect obstetric or perinatal outcomes.

Trial registration number

not applicable

Single-agent anti-PD-1 or combined with ipilimumab in patients with mucosal melanoma: an international, retrospective, cohort study

BACKGROUND

Mucosal melanoma (MM) is a rare melanoma subtype with distinct biology and poor prognosis. Data on the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is limited. We determined the efficacy of ICIs in MM, analysed by primary site and ethnicity/race.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Retrospective cohort study from 25 cancer centres in Australia, Europe, USA and Asia. Patients with histologically confirmed MM were treated with anti-PD1+/-ipilimumab. Primary endpoints were response rate (RR), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) by primary site (naso-oral, urogenital, anorectal, other), ethnicity/race (Caucasian, Asian, Other) and treatment. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard model analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

In total, 545 patients were included: 331 (63%) Caucasian, 176 (33%) Asian and 20 (4%) Other. Primary sites included 113 (21%) anorectal, 178 (32%) urogenital, 206 (38%) naso-oral and 45 (8%) other. 348 (64%) received anti-PD1 and 197 (36%) anti-PD1/ipilimumab. RR, PFS and OS did not differ by primary site, ethnicity/race or treatment. RR for naso-oral was numerically higher for anti-PD1/ipilimumab (40%, 95% CI 29-54%) compared with anti-PD1 (29%, 95% CI 21-37%). 35% of patients that initially responded progressed. Median duration of response (mDOR) was 26 months (95% CI 18-NR [Not Reached]). Factors associated with short PFS were ECOG PS ≥3 (p<0.01), LDH >ULN (p=0.01), lung metastases (p<0.01) and ≥1 previous treatments (p<0.01). Factors associated with short OS were ECOG PS ≥1 (p<0.01), LDH >ULN (p=0.03), lung metastases (p<0.01) and ≥1 previous treatments (p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

MM has poor prognosis. Treatment efficacy of anti-PD1+/-ipilimumab was similar and did not differ by ethnicity/race. Naso-oral primaries had numerically higher response to anti-PD1/ipilimumab, without difference in survival. The addition of ipilimumab did not show greater benefit over anti-PD1 for other primary sites. In responders, mDOR was short and acquired resistance was common. Other factors, including site and number of metastases were associated with survival.

Human Mobility and Droplet-Transmissible Pediatric Infectious Diseases during the COVID-19 Pandemic

The study tested the hypothesis that human mobility may be a potential factor affecting reductions in droplet-transmissible pediatric infectious diseases (PIDs) during the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic mitigation period in 2020. An ecological study was conducted using two publicly available datasets: surveillance on infectious diseases collected by the Japanese government and COVID-19 community mobility reports presented by Google. The COVID-19 community mobility reports demonstrated percentage reductions in the movement of people over time in groceries and pharmacies, parks, and transit stations. We compared the weekly trends in the number of patients with droplet-transmissible PIDs identified in 2020 with those identified in the previous years (2015–2019) and assessed the correlations between the numbers of patients and percentage decreases in human mobility during 2020. Despite experiencing their peak seasons, dramatic reductions were found in the numbers of patients with pharyngoconjunctival fever (PCF) and group A streptococcal (GAS) pharyngitis after the tenth week of 2020. Beyond the 20th week, no seasonal peaks were observed in the number of patients with all PIDs identified in 2020. Significant correlations were found between the percentage decreases in human mobility in transit stations and the number of patients with hand-foot-and-mouth disease (Pearson correlation coefficient [95% confidence interval]: 0.65 [0.44–0.79]), PCF (0.47 [0.21–0.67]), respiratory syncytial virus infection (0.45 [0.19–0.66]), and GAS pharyngitis (0.34 [0.06–0.58]). The highest correlations were found in places underlying potential human-to-human contacts among adults. These findings suggest that reductions in human mobility for adults might contribute to decreases in the number of children with droplet-transmissible PIDs by the potential prevention of adult-to-child transmission.

Association with sagittal alignment and osteoporosis-related fractures in outpatient women with osteoporosis

The baseline sagittal vertical axis (SVA) and pelvic tilt (PT) are independent risk factors of osteoporosis-related fractures in women with osteoporosis. We clarified the SVA and PT to predict the incidence of osteoporosis-related fractures.

PURPOSE

Sagittal alignment with osteoporosis women deteriorates with advancing age and sagittal alignment may indicate osteoporosis-related fractures in the future. However, whether the sagittal alignment predicts future osteoporosis-related fracture in patients with osteoporosis has not been clarified. We aimed to investigate the association between sagittal alignment and future osteoporosis-related fractures.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study. Of the 313 participants (mean follow-up period, 2.9 years), 236 were included in the analysis. At baseline, we measured bone mineral density (BMD) of the lumbar spine and the femoral neck, sagittal vertical axis (SVA), thoracic kyphosis, pelvic incidence minus lumbar lordosis, sacral slope, pelvic tilt (PT), geriatric locomotive function scale (GLFS), two-step value, and stand-up test. The information on medications and the duration of treatment were reviewed from the medical records. Additionally, participants reported their history of falls at baseline. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to determine the association of future osteoporosis-related fracture, and adjusted Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated with all predictors as covariates. All continuous variables were calculated using standardized OR (sOR).

RESULTS

Osteoporosis-related fractures occurred in 33 of 313 participants (10.5%). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that a history of falls (OR =4.092, 95% CI: 1.029-16.265, p =0.045), SVA (sOR =4.228, 95% CI: 2.118-8.439, p <0.001), and PT (sOR =2.497, 95% CI: 1.087-5.733, p =0.031) were independent risk factors for future osteoporosis-related fractures.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed the SVA and PT to predict osteoporosis-related fractures.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER AND DATE OF REGISTRATION

UMIN000036516 (April 1, 2019).

Hepatitis B, C, and D virus infections and AFP tumor marker prevalence among elderly population in Mongolia: A nationwide survey

Objectives

Infections with hepatitis B, C, and D virus (HBV, HCV, and HDV) are a major public health problem and lead to serious complications such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. We aimed to determine the seroprevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), anti-HCV, anti-HDV immunoglobulin G, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and dual and triple hepatitis virus infections in Mongolia.

Methods

A total of 2313 participants from urban and rural regions were randomly recruited for this cross-sectional study. A questionnaire was used to identify the risk factors for hepatitis virus infections, and the seromarkers were measured using immunoassay kits.

Results

Among all participants, the prevalence of HBV, HCV, and HDV was 15.6%, 36.6%, and 14.3%, respectively. The infection rates were significantly higher in females and participants with a lower education level, rural residence, older age, and a history of blood transfusion. HBV and HCV co-infection was found in 120 (5.2%) participants and HBV, HCV, and HDV triple infection was detected in 67 (2.9%) participants. The prevalence of elevated AFP was 2.7%, 5.5%, and 2.6% higher in participants who were seropositive for HBsAg (p=0.01), anti-HCV (p<0.001), and anti-HDV (p=0.022), respectively. Elevated AFP was more prevalent in participants co-infected with HBV and HCV (5.8%, p=0.023), HBV and HDV (6.0%, p<0.001), and triple-infected with HBV, HCV, and HDV (7.5%) than in uninfected individuals.

Conclusions

Nearly half (49.8%) of the study population aged ≥40 years were infected with HBV, HCV, or HDV, and 22.4% had dual or triple infections.

Systemic Adverse Effects Induced by the BNT162b2 Vaccine Are Associated with Higher Antibody Titers from 3 to 6 Months after Vaccination

Objective: We aimed to determine the relationship between vaccine-related adverse effects and antibody (Ab) titers from 3 to 6 months after the second dose of the BNT162b2 coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mRNA vaccine (Pfizer/BioNTech) in Japan. Methods: We enrolled 378 healthcare workers (255 women and 123 men) whose Ab titers were analyzed 3 and 6 months after the second dose in our previous study and whose characteristics and adverse effects were collected previously by using a structured self-report questionnaire. Results: The workers’ median age was 44 years. Although injection-site symptoms occurred with almost equal frequency between the first and second doses, systemic adverse effects, such as general fatigue and fever, were significantly more frequent after the second dose than after the first dose. Multivariate analysis showed that fever was significantly correlated with female participants for the second dose (odds ratio (OR), 2.139; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.185–3.859), older age for the first dose (OR, 0.962; 95% CI, 0.931–0.994) and second dose (OR, 0.957; 95% CI, 0.936–0.979), and dyslipidemia for the first dose (OR, 8.750; 95% CI, 1.814–42.20). Age-adjusted Ab titers at 3 months after vaccination were 23.7% and 23.4% higher in patients with a fever than in those without a fever after the first and second dose, respectively. In addition, age-adjusted Ab titers at 3 and 6 months after the second dose were, respectively, 21.7% and 19.3% higher in the group in which an anti-inflammatory agent was used than in the group without the use of an anti-inflammatory agent. Conclusion: Participants with systemic adverse effects tend to have higher Ab titers from 3 to 6 months after the second dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine. Our results may encourage vaccination, even among people with vaccine hesitancy related to relatively common systemic adverse effects.