Development of diagnostic criteria and a prognostic score for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Development and Validation of a Novel Risk Prediction Model Using Recursive Feature Elimination Algorithm for Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Severe Acute Exacerbation

Background: Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) with severe acute exacerbation (SAE) are at a progression stage of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) but uniform models for predicting ACLF occurrence are lacking. We aimed to present a risk prediction model to early identify the patients at a high risk of ACLF and predict the survival of the patient. Methods: We selected the best variable combination using a novel recursive feature elimination algorithm to develop and validate a classification regression model and also an online application on a cloud server from the training cohort with a total of 342 patients with CHB with SAE and two external cohorts with a sample size of 96 and 65 patients, respectively. Findings: An excellent prediction model called the PATA model including four predictors, prothrombin time (PT), age, total bilirubin (Tbil), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) could achieve an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.959 (95% CI 0.941-0.977) in the development set, and AUC of 0.932 (95% CI 0.876-0.987) and 0.905 (95% CI 0.826-0.984) in the two external validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curve for risk prediction probability of ACLF showed optimal agreement between prediction by PATA model and actual observation. After predictive stratification into different risk groups, the C-index of predictive 90-days mortality was 0.720 (0.675-0.765) for the PATA model, 0.549 (0.506-0.592) for the end-stage liver disease score model, and 0.648 (0.581-0.715) for Child-Turcotte-Pugh scoring system. Interpretation: The highlypredictive risk model and easy-to-use online application can accurately predict the risk of ACLF with a poor prognosis. They may facilitate risk communication and guidetherapeutic options.

Clinical Course and Outcome Patterns of Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is acute decompensation of liver function in the setting of chronic liver disease, and characterized by high short-term mortality. In this study, we sought to investigate the clinical course of patients at specific time points, and to propose dynamic prognostic criteria.

METHODS

We assessed the clinical course of 453 patients with ACLF during a 12-week follow-up period in this retrospective multicenter study. The clinical course of patients was defined as disease recovery, improvement, worsening or steady patterns based on the variation tendency in prothrombin activity (PTA) and total bilirubin (TB) at different time points.

RESULTS

Resolution of PTA was observed in 231 patients (51%) at 12 weeks after the diagnosis of ACLF. Among the remaining patients, 66 (14.6%) showed improvement and 156 (34.4%) showed a steady or worsening course. In patients with resolved PTA, the clinical course of TB exhibited resolved pattern in 95.2%, improved in 3.9%, and steady or worse in 0.8%. Correspondingly, in patients with improved PTA, these values for TB were 28.8%, 27.3%, and 43.9%, respectively. In patients with steady or worsening PTA, these values for TB were 5.7%, 32.3%, and 65.6%, respectively. Dynamic prognostic criteria were developed by combining the clinical course of PTA/TB and the clinical outcomes at 4 and 12 weeks after diagnosis in ACLF patients.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose the following dynamic prognostic criteria: rapid progression, slow progression, rapid recovery, slow recovery, and slow persistence, which lay the foundation for precise prediction of prognosis and the improvement of ACLF therapy.

Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure Defined by Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver Should Include Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background and Aims: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is an acute deterioration of chronic liver disease with high short-term mortality. The inclusion or exclusion of previously decompensated cirrhosis (DC) in the diagnostic criteria of ACLF defined by the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL-ACLF) has not been conclusive. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of decompensated cirrhosis in ACLF. Methods: We retrospectively collected a cohort of patients with a diagnosis of APASL-ACLF (with or without DC) hospitalized from 2012 to 2020 at three liver units in tertiary hospitals. Baseline characteristics and survival data at 28, 90, 180, 360, 540, and 720 days were collected. Results: Of the patients assessed using APASL-ACLF criteria without the diagnostic indicator of chronic liver disease, 689 patients were diagnosed with ACLF, of whom 435 had no decompensated cirrhosis (non-DC-ACLF) and 254 had previously decompensated cirrhosis (DC-ACLF). The 28-, 90-, 180-, 360-, 540-, and 720-day mortality were 24.8, 42.9, 48.7, 57.3, 63.4, and 68.1%, respectively, in DC-ACLF patients, which were significantly higher than in non-DC-ACLF patients (p < 0.05). DC was independently associated with long-term (180/360/540/720 days) but not short-term (28/90 days) mortality in patients with ACLF. Age, total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and hepatic encephalopathy were independent risk factors for short- and long-term mortality risk in ACLF patients (p < 0.05). Conclusions: Patients with DC-ACLF have a higher mortality rate, especially long-term mortality, compared to non-DC-ACLF patients. Therefore, DC should be included in the diagnostic criteria of APASL-ACLF and treated according to the ACLF management process.

New Thresholds for AFP and Des-γ-Carboxy Prothrombin in Chronic Liver Disease Depending on the Use of Nucleoside Analogs and an Integrated Nomogram

Background

The thresholds of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (PIVKA-II) when detecting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with antiviral nucleoside analog (NA) remain controversial. A relevant integrated nomogram needs to be developed.

Methods

We enrolled a consecutive series of 5666 cases diagnosed with CHB either with or without antiviral agents and randomly allocated them to the training set (n=3966, 70.00%) and the validation set (n=1700, 30.00%).

Results

In the training set, the levels of AFP and PIVKA-II of NA-treated patients were significantly lower than those of untreated patients. The most appropriate cut-off values of AFP and PIVKA-II were 151.40 ng/mL (a sensitivity of 39.77% and a specificity of 92.17%) and 35.50 mAU/mL (a sensitivity of 84.85% and a specificity of 69.43%) for NA-treated patients. As for BCLC-0/A HCC, the most appropriate cut-off values of AFP and PIVKA-II were 151.40 ng/mL and 32.50 mAU/mL for NA-treated patients, respectively. A logistic regression model composed of AFP, PIVKA-II and other clinical parameters to predict the risk of HBV-related HCC for NA-treated patients was established and verified to have an AUROC of 0.868 (95% CI, 0.827–0.909) for all-stage HCC and an AUROC of 0.856 (95% CI, 0.809–0.903) for BCLC-0/A HCC.

Conclusion

The new detection thresholds of AFP and PIVKA-II might lead to the ability to perform early detection for hepatoma in NA-treated patients and the innovative risk prediction model is a valuable tool for identifying high-risk CHB patients.

Critical Updates on Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection in 2021

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a global healthcare burden in the form of chronic liver disease, cirrhosis, liver failure and liver cancer. There is no definite cure for the virus and even though extensive vaccination programs have reduced the burden of liver disease in the future population, treatment options to eradicate the virus from the host are still lacking. In this review, we discuss in detail current updates on the structure and applied biology of the virus in the host, examine updates to current treatment and explore novel and state-of-the-art therapeutics in the pipeline for management of chronic HBV. Furthermore, we also specifically review clinical updates on HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). Current treatments for chronic HBV infection have seen important updates in the form of considerations for treating patients in the immune tolerant phase and some clarity on end points for treatment and decisions on finite therapy with nucleos(t)ide inhibitors. Ongoing cutting-edge research on HBV biology has helped us identify novel target areas in the life cycle of the virus for application of new therapeutics. Due to improvements in the area of genomics, the hope for therapeutic vaccines, vector-based treatments and focused management aimed at targeting host integration of the virus and thereby a total cure could become a reality in the near future. Newer clinical prognostic tools have improved our understanding of timing of specific treatment options for the catastrophic syndrome of ACLF secondary to reactivation of HBV. In this review, we discuss in detail pertinent updates regarding virus biology and novel therapeutic targets with special focus on the appraisal of prognostic scores and treatment options in HBV-related ACLF.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Cirrhosis

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome that develops in patients with acutely decompensated chronic liver disease. It is characterised by high 28-day mortality, the presence of one or more organ failures (OFs) and a variable but severe grade of systemic inflammation. Despite the peculiarity of each one, every definition proposed for ACLF recognizes it as a proper clinical entity. In this paper, we provide an overview of the diagnostic criteria proposed by the different scientific societies and the clinical characteristics of the syndrome. Established and experimental treatments are also described. Among the former, the most relevant are directed to support organ failures, treat precipitating factors and carry out early assessment for liver transplantation (LT). Further studies are needed to better clarify pathophysiology of the syndrome and discover new therapies.

Clinical Value of Plasma Secreted Frizzled-Related Protein 4 in the Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection: A Cross-sectional Study

Background: Secreted frizzled-related protein 4 (sFRP4) is elevated in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, suggesting that it can be served as a candidate marker for diagnosing HCC. However, little is known about its role in the different stages of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Objectives: This study was conducted to explore the clinical value of plasma sFRP4 in the different stages of chronic HBV infection. Methods: A total of 303 patients with chronic HBV infection were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. They were classified into the chronic hepatitis B (CHB), liver cirrhosis (LC), HCC, and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) groups on admission. Additionally, 30 healthy subjects were included in the healthy control (HC) group. The clinical value of plasma sFRP4 in the different stages of chronic HBV infection was analyzed. Results: There were 54, 85, 105, 59, and 30 cases in the CHB, LC, HCC, ACLF, and HC groups, respectively. ACLF group had the highest plasma sFRP4 levels compared to the CHB, LC, and HCC groups (all P < 0.001), followed by the HCC and LC groups. LC and HCC groups were found with up-regulated sFRP4 than the CHB group (all P < 0.05). High levels of plasma sFRP4 were recognized as an independent risk factor for distinguishing patients with ACLF from patients with CHB and LC [adjusted odds ratio (OR):1.005, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000 - 1.010, P = 0.043], with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.790 (95% CI: 0.726 - 0.844, P < 0.001). However, in patients with ACLF, plasma sFRP4 levels in the deteriorated group were higher than in the improved group, with a marginally significant difference (P = 0.071). The AUC for predicting the 90 days prognosis in patients with ACLF was 0.640 (P = 0.064). Conclusions: Plasma sFRP4 might be a biomarker to reflect the progression of chronic HBV infection. However, it was not significantly related to the prognosis in patients with ACLF; we did not find this, which may be due to the small sample size.

Animal naming test for the assessment of minimal hepatic encephalopathy in Asian cirrhotic populations

BACKGROUND AND AIM

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of simplified animal naming test (S-ANT1) for minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) in patients with cirrhosis from a Chinese tertiary centre and to optimize the application strategy of S-ANT1 in clinical practice.

METHODS

The Animal Naming Test 1 (ANT1) was performed in all included cirrhotic patients and healthy volunteers. S-ANT1 was calculated to adjust for age and education. Psychometric Hepatic Encephalopathy Score (PHES) was also performed in patients with cirrhosis.

RESULTS

88 cirrhotic patients and 34 healthy control subjects were included. Cirrhotic patients were characterized with lower S-ANT1 scores (P =  0.001). In patients with cirrhosis, score of S-ANT1 was correlated with PHES score, age, school education period, and blood ammonia (all P values <0.05). With ≤20 animals as the cut-off value, S-ANT1 could distinguish MHE and no MHE with a sensitivity of 77.5% and a specificity of 58.3%. A three-step screening strategy, with 90% as a threshold for sensitivity and specificity and two cut-off values "≤12 animals" and ">23 animals", was then formulated to rule out patients with high possibility of MHE and with high possibility of no MHE. The remaining "ruled-in" patients should be further evaluated for MHE using PHES.

CONCLUSIONS

S-ANT1 is an important screening tool for MHE in cirrhotic patients. The three-step screening strategy based on S-ANT1 and PHES is conducive to the identification of MHE in clinical practice.

Serum from Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure Patients May Affect Mesenchymal Stem Cells Transplantation by Impairing the Immunosuppressive Function of Cells

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The safety and efficacy of mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) in the treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) have been validated. However, the impact of the pathological ACLF microenvironment on MSCs is less well understood. This study was designed to explore the changes in the functional properties of MSCs exposed to ACLF serum.

METHODS

MSCs were cultured in the presence of 10%, 30% and 50% serum concentrations from ACLF patients and healthy volunteers. Then, the cell morphology, phenotype, apoptosis and proliferation of MSCs were evaluated, including the immunosuppressive effects. Subsequently, mRNA sequencing analysis was used to identify the molecules and pathways involved in MSC functional changes in the context of ACLF.

RESULTS

In the presence of ACLF serum, MSC morphology significantly changed but phenotype did not. Besides, MSC proliferation activity was weakened, while the apoptosis rate was lightly increased. Most importantly, the immunosuppressive function of MSCs was enhanced in a low-concentration serum environment but transformed into a proinflammatory response in a high-concentration serum environment. RNA sequencing indicated that 10% serum concentration from ACLF patients mediated the PI3K-Akt pathway to enhance the anti-inflammatory effect of MSCs, while the 50% serum concentration from ACLF patients promoted the conversion of MSCs into a proinflammatory function by affecting the cell cycle.

CONCLUSIONS

The 50% ACLF serum concentration is more similar to the environment in the human body, which means that direct peripheral blood intravenous infusion of MSCs may reduce the effect of transplantation. Combining treatments of plasma exchange to reduce harmful substances in serum may promote MSCs to exert a stronger anti-inflammatory effect.

Establishment of a murine model of acute-on-chronic liver failure with multi-organ dysfunction

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a distinct clinical entity with high probability of organ failure and mortality. Since patients generally present late, experimental models are needed to understand the pathophysiology and natural course of the disease.

METHODOLOGY

To reproduce the syndrome of ACLF, chronic liver disease was induced in C57BL6 mice (6-8 weeks; approximately 20-24 g weight) by intraperitoneal administration of carbon tetrachloride (CCl₄) for 10 weeks followed by an acute injury with acetaminophen (APAP) and lipopolysaccharide (LPS). Blood, ascitic fluid, and organs were collected to study cell death, regeneration, and fibrosis.

RESULTS

At 24 h post-APAP/LPS infusion, the liver tissue showed increased hepatocyte ballooning and endothelial cell TUNEL positivity. This was followed by progressive hepatocyte necrosis from perivascular region at day 7 to lobular region by day 11. ACLF (day 7 and day 11) animals showed increase in bilirubin (p < 0.05), prothrombin time (p < 0.0001), blood ammonia (p < 0.001), and portal pressure post-acute hepatocellular injury similar to human ACLF. Ascites was noticed by day 11 with median serum-ascites albumin gradient of 1.2 (1.1-1.3) g/dL. In comparison to cirrhosis, ACLF group (day 7 and day 11) showed significant decrease in Sirius red (p ≤ 0.0001), collagen1 (p < 0.0001), and a-SMA proportionate area (p < 0.0001) with loss of hepatocytes regeneration (p < 0.005). At day 11, ACLF animals also showed significant increase in serum creatinine (p < 0.05) and acute tubular necrosis suggestive of organ failure, compared to cirrhotic animals.

CONCLUSION

The CCL4/APAP/LPS (CALPS) model of ACLF mimics the clinical, biochemical, and histological features of ACLF with demonstrable progressive hepatocellular necrosis, liver failure, impaired regeneration, development of portal hypertension, and organ dysfunction in an animal with chronic liver disease.

Serum CXCL1 Is a Prognostic Factor for Patients With Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure

Purpose: Neutrophils and cytokines play a major role in the pathogenesis of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We aimed to determine whether chemokine (CXC) ligand 1 (CXCL1), a key marker of neutrophil recruitment and activation, could predict the severity and prognosis of hepatitis B virus–related ACLF (HBV-ACLF).

Methods: Hospitalized patients with HBV-ACLF were enrolled in a prospective study and stratified as survivors (alive at 28 days) and nonsurvivors (deceased at 28 days). Serum CXCL1 levels were measured in healthy controls, patients with chronic HBV, patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis, and patients with HBV-ACLF. Univariate and multivariable logistic analyses, Pearson correlation analysis, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and Z tests were used to evaluate the performance of CXCL1 as a marker in HBV-ACLF.

Results: Patients with HBV-ACLF had significantly higher serum levels of CXCL1 and neutrophil count than healthy controls and patients with chronic HBV or HBV-related compensated cirrhosis (P < 0.01, respectively). Among patients with HBV-ACLF, survivors had lower serum CXCL1 levels and neutrophil count than those of nonsurvivors (P < 0.001, P < 0.05, respectively). Serum CXCL1 level was positively correlated with neutrophil count (r = 0.256, P = 0.001), ACLF grade (r = 0.295, P < 0.001) and organ failure, including coagulation (r = 0.21, P = 0.005) and brain failure (r = 0.198, P = 0.008). Multivariable logistic analyses showed serum CXCL1 [OR (95% CI) = 1.017 (1.009–1.025), P < 0.001] was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in HBV-ACLF. Meanwhile, the AUROC analysis demonstrated that serum CXCL1 [0.741 (0.669–0.804)] might be a reliable prognostic biomarker for patients with HBV-ACLF.

Conclusions: Overall, serum CXCL1 can serve as a biomarker indicating the severity of disease and prognosis for patients with HBV-ACLF. CXCL1 might also be a therapeutic target in this disease.

Low Growth Hormone Levels Predict Poor Outcome of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background and Aims: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains a serious entity with high mortality. Growth hormone (GH) is related to the liver metabolism and regeneration. The present study aimed to explore the changes and prognostic efficacy of GH on the outcome of HBV-ACLF.

Methods: A prospective cohort of 124 patients and a cross-sectional cohort of 142 subjects were enrolled. GH and insulin-like growth factor-1(IGF-1) were detected by ELISA. Thirty-day survival was collected and the association between GH and the 30-day mortality of HBV-ACLF was analyzed.

Results: The mean age of the whole prospective cohort was 46.61 ± 12.71 years, and 19 (15.3%) patients were female. The median (IQR) of GH levels in non-survivors were 1106.55 (674.25, 1922.4) pg/ml, which were significantly lower than in survivors (p < 0.001). In the cross-sectional cohort, GH level was significantly higher in liver cirrhosis - acute decompensation (LC-AD) group than liver cirrhosis (LC) group (p < 0.001) while IGF-1 decreased significantly in LC, LC-AD, ACLF groups than health control (HC) and chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) groups (p < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of GH for predicting 30-day mortality was 0.793. We built a new prognostic model, namely MELD-GH, which showed better predictive efficacy than Child-Pugh, MELD, CLIF-SOFA, and CLIF-C ACLF scores.

Conclusions: Low GH predicted the poor outcome of HBV-ACLF patients. GH and IGF-1 levels were differently distributed among HC, CHB, LC, LC-AD, and ACLF patients. MELD-GH had better predictive accuracy when compared to Child-Pugh, MELD, CLIF-SOFA, and CLIF-C ACLF scores.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: A distinct clinical syndrome

There are different operating definitions for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in different geographic regions. Consortia in Western countries have developed definitions that apply to patients with cirrhosis, while consortia in Asia have developed definitions that apply to patients with chronic liver diseases with or without cirrhosis. Investigators of the Chinese and Western Consortia believe that ACLF can be precipitated by acute insults that are intrahepatic (e.g. alcoholic hepatitis) or extrahepatic (e.g. bacterial infection, gastrointestinal haemorrhage), and that extrahepatic organ system failures can be used to define ACLF. In contrast, the Asia Pacific consortium believe that ACLF is only defined by an acute onset of liver failure in response to an acute hepatic insult. Of note, although ACLF has received different operating definitions, every definition recognises that ACLF is a distinct clinical entity. This article provides an updated overview of the distinctive features of ACLF according to the definitions used to characterise it. In addition, we discuss future directions for research aimed at identifying the hallmarks of ACLF.

Low hemoglobin levels are associated with direct antiglobulin test positivity in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Multiple factors contribute to anemia in patients with Hepatitis B virus (HBV)related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF); however, the mechanism is unclear. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the clinical significance of the direct antiglobulin test (DAT) in patients with HBV related ACLF.

METHODS

DAT was used to detect immunoglobulins and/or complement proteins on the surface of erythrocytes.

RESULTS

We recruited 78 HBV-associated ACLF patients, 30 chronic hepatitis B(CHB)patients and 40 healthy people between October 2015 and May 2016. In HBV related ACLF patients, the hemoglobin concentration, number of erythrocytes, and hematocrit value were significantly lower, while the erythrocyte distribution width was significantly higher, compared to patients with CHB and healthy controls (HCs) (P < 0.001). The rates of DAT positivity in HBV related ACLF patients, CHB patients, and HCs were 62.8 %, 13.3 %, and 0%, respectively. DAT-positive ACLF patients exhibited lower Hb levels, older average age, as well as higher total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, and complement component 3 levels compared to DAT-negative patients.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV related ACLF patients showed significant alterations in erythrocyte parameters, possibly reflecting disease development and severity. The high presence of erythrocyte autoantibodies suggested that immunologic clearance of erythrocytes contributed to multifactorial anemia in HBV related ACLF patients.

Different Effects of Total Bilirubin on 90-Day Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis and Advanced Fibrosis: A Quantitative Analysis

Introduction: Total bilirubin (TB) is a major prognosis predictor representing liver failure in patients with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the cutoff value of TB for liver failure and whether the same cutoff could be applied in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients remain controversial. There is a need to obtain the quantitative correlation between TB and short-term mortality via evidence-based methods, which is critical in establishing solid ACLF diagnostic criteria. Methods: Patients hospitalized with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 > 1.45) were studied. TB and other variables were measured at baseline. The primary outcome was 90-day transplantation-free mortality. Multi-variable Cox proportional hazard model was used to present the independent risk of mortality due to TB. Generalized additive model and second derivate (acceleration) were used to plot the "TB-mortality correlation curves." The mathematical (maximum acceleration) and clinical (adjusted 28-day transplantation-free mortality rate reaching 15%) TB cutoffs for liver failure were both calculated. Results: Among the 3,532 included patients, the number of patients with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis were 2,592 and 940, respectively, of which cumulative 90-day mortality were 16.6% (430/2592) and 7.4% (70/940), respectively. Any increase of TB was found the independent risk factor of mortality in cirrhotic patients, while only TB >12 mg/dL independently increased the risk of mortality in patients with advanced fibrosis. In cirrhotic patients, the mathematical TB cutoff for liver failure is 14.2 mg/dL, with 23.3% (605/2592) patients exceeding it, corresponding to 13.3 and 25.0% adjusted 28- and 90-day mortality rate, respectively. The clinical TB cutoff for is 18.1 mg/dL, with 18.2% (471/2592) patients exceeding it. In patients with advanced fibrosis, the mathematical TB cutoff is 12.1 mg/dL, 33.1% (311/940) patients exceeding it, corresponding to 2.9 and 8.0% adjusted 28- and 90-day mortality rate, respectively; the clinical TB cutoff was 36.0 mg/dL, 1.3% (12/940) patients above it. Conclusion: This study clearly demonstrated the significantly different impact of TB on 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis, proving that liver failure can be determined by TB alone in cirrhosis but not in advanced fibrosis. The proposed TB cutoffs for liver failure provides solid support for the establishment of ACLF diagnostic criteria.

Derivation and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting 90-Day Survival in Patients With HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background: Conventional prognostic models do not fully reflect the severity of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). This study aimed to establish an effective and convenient nomogram for patients with HBV-related ACLF. Methods: A nomogram was developed based on a retrospective cohort of 1,353 patients treated at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from January 2010 to June 2016. The predictive accuracy and discriminatory ability of the nomogram were determined by a concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve, and were compared with current scoring systems. The results were validated using an independent retrospective cohort of 669 patients consecutively treated at the same institution from July 2016 to March 2018. This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03992898). Results: Multivariable analysis of the derivation cohort found that independent predictors of 90-day survival were age, white blood cell (WBC) count, hemoglobin (Hb), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBil), international normalized ratio, serum creatinine (Cr), alpha fetoprotein (AFP), serum sodium (Na), hepatic encephalopathy (HE), pre-existing chronic liver disease(PreLD), and HBV DNA load. All factors were included in the nomogram. The nomogram calibration curve for the probability of 90-day survival indicated that nomogram-based predictions were in good agreement with actual observations. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.790, which was statistically significantly greater than those for the current scoring systems in the derivation cohort (P < 0.001). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. Conclusions: The proposed nomogram is more accurate in predicting the 90-day survival of patients with HBV-related ACLF than current commonly used methods.

Fiber scaffold bioartificial liver therapy relieves acute liver failure and extrahepatic organ injury in pigs

Rationale: Acute liver failure (ALF) causes severe liver injury and a systemic inflammatory response, leading to multiorgan failure with a high short-term mortality. Bioartificial liver (BAL) therapy is a promising approach that is hampered by the lack of appropriate bioreactors and carriers to retain hepatic cell function and poor understanding of BAL treatment mechanisms in ALF and extrahepatic organ injury. Recently, we used a fiber scaffold bioreactor (FSB) for the high-density, three-dimensional (3D) culture of primary porcine hepatocytes (PPHs) combined with an absorption component to construct a BAL and verified its function in a D-galactosamine (D-gal)-induced ALF porcine model to evaluate its protective effects on the liver and extrahepatic organs. Methods: Male pigs were randomized into standard/supportive therapy (ST), ST+no-cell BAL (ST+Sham BAL) and ST+BAL groups and received treatment 48 h after receiving a D-gal injection. Changes in blood chemistry and clinical symptoms were monitored for 120 h. Tissues and plasma were collected for analysis by pathological examination, immunoblotting, quantitative PCR and immunoassays. Results: PPHs cultured in the FSB obtained sufficient aeration and nutrition for high-density, 3D culture and maintained superior viability and functionality (biosynthesis and detoxification) compared with those cultured in flasks. All the animals developed ALF, acute kidney injury (AKI) and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) 48 h after D-gal infusion and received corresponding therapies. Animals in the BAL group showed markedly improved survival (4/5; 80%) compared with those in the ST+Sham BAL (0/5; p < 0.001) and ST (0/5; p < 0.001) groups. The levels of blood ammonia and biochemical and inflammatory indices were alleviated after BAL treatment. Increased liver regeneration and attenuations in the occurrence and severity of ALF, AKI and HE were observed in the ST+BAL group compared with the ST (p = 0.0009; p = 0.038) and ST+Sham BAL (p = 0.011; p = 0.031) groups. Gut leakage, the plasma endotoxin level, bacterial translocation, and peripheral and neuroinflammation were alleviated in the ST+BAL group compared with those in the other groups. Conclusions: BAL treatment enhanced liver regeneration and alleviated the systemic inflammatory response and extrahepatic organ injury to prolong survival in the ALF model and has potential as a therapeutic approach for ALF patients.

Development and validation of a prognostic model for patients with hepatorenal syndrome: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is a severe complication of cirrhosis with high mortality, which necessitates accurate clinical decision. However, studies on prognostic factors and scoring systems to predict overall survival of HRS are not enough. Meanwhile, a multicenter cohort study with a long span of time could be more convincing.

AIM

To develop a novel and effective prognostic model for patients with HRS and clarify new prognostic factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 1667 patients from four hospitals, and 371 eligible patients were finally analyzed to develop and validate a novel prognostic model for patients with HRS. Characteristics were compared between survivors and non-survivors, and potential prognostic factors were selected according to the impact on 28-d mortality. Accuracy in predicting 28-d mortality was compared between the novel and other scoring systems, including Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA), and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (COSSH-ACLF).

RESULTS

Five prognostic factors, comprised of gender, international normalized ratio, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration, neutrophil percentage, and stage, were integrated into a new score, GIMNS; stage is a binary variable defined by the number of failed organs. GIMNS was positively correlated with MELD, CLIF-SOFA, and COSSH-ACLF. Additionally, it had better accuracy [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC): 0.830] than MELD (AUROC: 0.759), CLIF-SOFA (AUROC: 0.767), and COSSH-ACLF (AUROC: 0.759) in the derivation cohort (P < 0.05). It performed better than MELD and CLIF-SOFA in the validation cohort (P < 0.050) and had a higher AUROC than COSSH-ACLF (P = 0.122).

CONCLUSION

We have developed a new scoring system, GIMNS, to predict 28-d mortality of HRS patients. Mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration and stage were first proposed and found to be related to the mortality of HRS. Additionally, the GIMNS score showed better accuracy than MELD and CLIF-SOFA, and the AUROC was higher than that of COSSH-ACLF.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a recently recognised and defined syndrome seen in patients with liver cirrhosis and carries a high short-term mortality in excess of 15% at 28 days. ACLF is defined by organ failures (OFs) and is distinct from simple 'acute decompensation' (AD) of cirrhosis. OFs involve the liver, kidney, brain, coagulation, respiratory system and the circulation, and are defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) OF score. The central pathophysiological mechanism in the development of ACLF is intense systemic inflammation, which distinguishes this syndrome from AD. The most frequent precipitating event of ACLF in the western world is bacterial infection and active alcohol intake, whereas hepatitis B flare followed by sepsis and active alcohol intake are the common precipitating events in the east. In about 40% patients with ACLF, however, no precipitating event is found. The course of ACLF is dynamic and reversible, so early identification and early initiation of supportive therapy is of utmost importance. Unfortunately, to date, there is no known specific therapy for ACLF except for liver transplantation, so the treatment revolves around institution of early organ support. Most of the patients will have a clear prognosis between 3-7 days of hospitalisation. CLIF-C ACLF score is the best available prognostic score in patients with ACLF.

Prognostic value of anti-HBc quantification in hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND AND AIM

It has been reported that serum quantification of anti-HBc (qAnti-HBc) could predict antiviral response in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, while its role in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains unclear. Its implication in HBV-ACLF was evaluated in this study.

METHODS

Baseline serum qAnti-HBc levels were retrospectively detected in HBV-ACLF and CHB patients using recently developed double-sandwich immunoassay. The association of qAnti-HBc level with clinical outcomes was evaluated by multiple logistic regression. Nomogram was adopted to formulate an algorithm incorporating qAnti-HBc for the prediction of survival in HBV-ACLF. The post-hospitalization of HBV-ACLF patients were followed-up for 1 year.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight HBV-ACLF as training set, 80 HBV-ACLF as validation set and 216 CHB cases were included. Serum qAnti-HBc level was significantly higher in HBV-ACLF (4.95 ± 0.54 log₁₀  IU/mL) than CHB patients (4.47 ± 0.84 log₁₀  IU/mL) (P < 0.01). Among HBV-ACLF cases, both in training and validation set, patients with poor outcomes had lower qAnti-HBc level. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the novel qAnti-HBc inclusive model was 0.82, superior to 0.73 from model for end-stage liver disease scores (P = 0.018), which was confirmed in validation set. During follow-up, the qAnti-HBc level declined at month 3 and month 6, then plateaued at 3.84 log₁₀  IU/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum qAnti-HBc level was associated with disease severity and might be served as a novel biomarker in the prediction of HBV-ACLF clinical outcomes. The underlying immunological mechanism warrants further investigation.

COVID-19 and liver disease: mechanistic and clinical perspectives

Our understanding of the hepatic consequences of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and its resultant coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has evolved rapidly since the onset of the pandemic. In this Review, we discuss the hepatotropism of SARS-CoV-2, including the differential expression of viral receptors on liver cell types, and we describe the liver histology features present in patients with COVID-19. We also provide an overview of the pattern and relevance of abnormal liver biochemistry during COVID-19 and present the possible underlying direct and indirect mechanisms for liver injury. Furthermore, large international cohorts have been able to characterize the disease course of COVID-19 in patients with pre-existing chronic liver disease. Patients with cirrhosis have particularly high rates of hepatic decompensation and death following SARS-CoV-2 infection and we outline hypotheses to explain these findings, including the possible role of cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction. This finding contrasts with outcome data in pharmacologically immunosuppressed patients after liver transplantation who seem to have comparatively better outcomes from COVID-19 than those with advanced liver disease. Finally, we discuss the approach to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in patients with cirrhosis and after liver transplantation and predict how changes in social behaviours and clinical care pathways during the pandemic might lead to increased liver disease incidence and severity.

World Gastroenterology Organisation classification and a new type-based prognostic model for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

The acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) classification, proposed by the World Gastroenterology Organisation (WGO), attempts to cover all ACLF patients diagnosed in the East and West. This study aimed to explore and establish a prognostic model based on this classification.

METHODS

A total of 1159 hepatitis B virus-ACLF patients, enrolled with 90-day follow-up data, were divided into three groups (type A, B, and C) according to WGO ACLF classification and analyzed. A model of ACLF prognosis based on type (MAPT) was developed in a derivation cohort (n = 566); its reproducibility was tested in a validation cohort (n = 593).

RESULTS

A significant difference in 90-day mortality among the three groups was observed (31.1%, type A; 40.9%, type B; 61.4%, type C, P < 0.001). ACLF type was determined to be an independent risk factor of 90-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. An MAPT, inclusive of type and five other variables, was built and validated; it was found to be superior to the Chronic Liver Failure (CLIF) Consortium ACLF score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh scores in predicting 90-day mortality, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.802 (95% CI [0.763-0.836]), sensitivity of 71.77%, and specificity of 75.82%.

CONCLUSIONS

The MAPT model showed excellent predictive value for 90-day mortality in HBV-ACLF and can likely expand the clinical application of WGO ACLF classification.

Identification of a Potential miRNA-mRNA Regulatory Network Associated With the Prognosis of HBV-ACLF

Background

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a life-threatening disease with a high mortality rate; the systemic inflammatory response plays a vital role in disease progression. We aimed to determine if a miRNA–mRNA co-regulatory network exists in the peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) of HBV-ACLF patients, which might be important for prognosis.

Methods

Transcriptome-wide microRNA (miRNA) and mRNA microarrays were used to define the miRNA and mRNA expression profiles of the PBMCs of HBV-ACLF patients in a discovery cohort. The targets of the miRNAs were predicted. We built a miRNA-mRNA regulatory network through bioinformatics analysis, and used quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) to assess the importance of candidate miRNAs and mRNAs. We also assessed the direct and transcriptional regulatory effects of miRNAs on target mRNAs using a dual-luciferase reporter assay.

Results

The miRNA/mRNA PBMC expression profiles of the discovery cohort, of whom eight survived and eight died, revealed a prognostic interactive network involving 38 miRNAs and 313 mRNAs; this was constructed by identifying the target genes of the miRNAs. We validated the expression data in another cohort, of whom 43 survived and 35 died; miR-6840-3p, miR-6861-3p, JADE2, and NR3C2 were of particular interest. The levels of miR-6840-3p and miR-6861-3p were significantly increased in the PBMCs of the patients who died, and thus predicted prognosis (areas under the curve values = 0.665 and 0.700, respectively). The dual-luciferase reporter assay indicated that miR-6840-3p directly targeted JADE2.

Conclusion

We identified a prognostic miRNA-mRNA co-regulatory network in the PBMCs of HBV-ACLF patients. miR-6840-3p-JADE2 is a potential miRNA–mRNA pair contributing to a poor prognosis.

Association of Sedation, Coma, and In-Hospital Mortality in Mechanically Ventilated Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019-Related Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

In patients with coronavirus disease 2019-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome, sedatives and opioids are commonly administered which may lead to increased vulnerability to neurologic dysfunction. We tested the hypothesis that patients with coronavirus disease 2019-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome are at higher risk of in-hospital mortality due to prolonged coma compared with other patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome matched for disease severity.

DESIGN

Propensity-matched cohort study.

SETTING

Seven ICUs in an academic hospital network, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (Boston, MA).

PATIENTS

All mechanically ventilated coronavirus disease 2019 patients between March and May 2020 were identified and matched with patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome of other etiology.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Using clinical data obtained from a hospital registry, we matched 114 coronavirus disease 2019 patients to 228 noncoronavirus disease 2019-related acute respiratory distress syndrome patients based on baseline disease severity. Coma was identified using the Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale less than or equal to -3. Multivariable logistic regression and mediation analyses were used to assess the percentage of comatose days, sedative medications used, and the association between coronavirus disease 2019 and in-hospital mortality. In-hospital mortality (48.3% vs 31.6%, adjusted odds ratio, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.34-3.44; p = 0.002), the percentage of comatose days (66.0% ± 31.3% vs 36.0% ± 36.9%, adjusted difference, 29.35; 95% CI, 21.45-37.24; p < 0.001), and the hypnotic agent dose (51.3% vs 17.1% of maximum hypnotic agent dose given in the cohort; p < 0.001) were higher among patients with coronavirus disease 2019. Brain imaging did not show a higher frequency of structural brain lesions in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (6.1% vs 7.0%; p = 0.76). Hypnotic agent dose was associated with coma (adjusted coefficient, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45-0.78; p < 0.001) and mediated (p = 0.001) coma. Coma was associated with in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 5.84; 95% CI, 3.58-9.58; p < 0.001) and mediated 59% of in-hospital mortality (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with matched patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome of other etiology, patients with coronavirus disease 2019 received higher doses of hypnotics, which was associated with prolonged coma and higher mortality.

A nomogram to predict survival in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Individualized prediction of survival after liver transplantation (LT) for patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) has not been well investigated. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with HBV-ACLF undergoing LT.

METHODS

The nomogram was derived from a retrospective study of 290 patients who underwent LT for HBV-ACLF at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between January 2012 and December 2017. Concordance index and determiner calibration curve was used to ascertain the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram. The predictive performance of the nomogram was compared with that of Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, chronic liver failure Consortium Organ Failure score (CLIF-C OFs), and CLIF-C ACLF.

RESULTS

The 1-year mortality rate was 23.1% (67/290). The Cox multivariate analysis showed that risk factors for 1-year survival rate included white blood cell count, alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase ratio, and the organ failure numbers. The determiner calibration curve showed good agreement between prediction of the nomogram and actual observation. The concordance index of the nomogram for predicting 1-year survival was 0.707, which was significantly higher than that of other prognostic models: Child-Pugh score (0.626), MELD (0.627), MELD-Na (0.583), CLIF-C OF (0.674), and comparable to that of CLIF-C ACLF (0.684).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study developed a novel nomogram that could accurately predict individualized post-transplantation survival in patients with HBV-ACLF. The nomogram might be a useful tool for identifying HBV-ACLF patients who would benefit from LT.

The 48-week safety and therapeutic effects of tenofovir alafenamide in hbv-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: A prospective cohort study

Tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) has been available in China for a short time, little is known about its safety and efficacy in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). We conducted this study to further verify the safety and efficacy of TAF in these patients. Eighty-eight eligible subjects were included and divided into three groups: TAF group, TDF group and ETV group. Clinical and laboratory test results were collected and the survival status, virus suppression status and liver and renal function improvement were observed during follow-up. No drug-related adverse events were observed within a 48-week observation period. At week 48, the survival rates of the three groups were 56.5%, 78.3% and 59.5% (p = 0.262). HBV DNA undetectable rates were similar (80.0% vs.75.0% vs.84.6%, respectively, p = 0.863). Liver function improved in all the three groups over time. Compared with the other two groups, patients in the TAF group had a greater decrease in serum creatinine (CR) and an increase in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), especially at week 12. At week 48, the median changes of CR were -0.7 (IQR -3.0, 13.0) vs. 15.0 (IQR -3.0, 21.0) vs. 5.0 (IQR -9.0, 14.0), respectively (p = 0.334), while the median changes of eGFR were -2.12 (IQR -13.87, 1.44) vs. -10.43 (IQR -20.21, 3.18) vs. -5.31 (IQR -14.72, 5.44) ml/min/1.73 m² , respectively (p = 0.592). In this real-world clinical study, TAF is as effective as TDF and ETV, and may be more beneficial in protecting renal function in the early stages of antiviral therapy.

The role of prophylactic antibiotics in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients at risk of bacterial infection: a retrospective study

Background

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by an excessive systemic inflammatory response and organ failure and has high mortality. Bacterial infections (BIs) worsen the clinical course of ACLF and carry a poor prognosis in ACLF patients. The efficacy of third-generation cephalosporins has been challenged in recent years. The aim of this study was to characterize the difference between ACLF patients with and without BIs and to provide a reference for medical intervention.

Methods

A total of 140 patients with hepatitis B virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) hospitalized at the Department of Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University (Shanghai, China) between May 2013 and January 2020 were enrolled. Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the baseline characteristics of HBV-ACLF patients with and without BIs. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to find predictors of BIs. The characteristics of BIs and the role of prophylactic antibiotics were profiled.

Results

A total of 97 episodes of BIs occurred in patients during the course of HBV-ACLF. Patients with and without BIs differed in clinical characteristics. The incidence of BIs showed a positive correlation with the ACLF grade (P = 0.003) and the clinical course (P = 0.003). The 90-day transplant-free survival of patients with BIs was lower than those without BIs (P < 0.0001). Patients administered prophylactic antibiotics showed a lower incidence of BIs and had a higher transplant-free survival probability than those who did not (P = 0.046). No statistical differences in antibiotic efficacy between third-generation and other antibiotics were observed (P = 0.108).

Conclusions

BIs affected the clinical course and prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF. Prophylactic antibiotics were of potential clinical importance in the prevention of BIs and improving the clinical course and prognosis in HBV-ACLF patients. Third-generation cephalosporins were qualified for use in antibiotic prophylaxis.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40249-021-00830-7.

Molecular classification and clinical diagnosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure patients by serum metabolomics

Prevalence of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients is growing worldwide, associating with multi-organ failure and high short-term mortality rates. ACLF can be of varying entity manifestation, whereas it remains poorly defined. Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) stratifies ACLF into two types, damp hot (DH) and cold damp (CD), by seasoned TCM practitioners, for specific treatment with different TCMs. The biggest challenge for the outcome of TCM therapy is the accuracy of diagnosis. However, it is difficult to guarantee it due to lack of the molecule classification of ACLF. Herein, we recruited 58 subjects including 34 ACLF patients (18 DH and 16 CD) and 24 healthy controls, and analyzed serum metabolic profiles using untargeted ultra-performance liquid chromatography coupled with quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-TOF/MS) metabolomics approach. A total of 10 serum metabolites were found as potential biomarkers for diagnosis of ACLF. Among them, taurochenodesoxycholic acid (N3), glycyldeoxycholic acid (N5) and 12-HETE-GABA (N7), varied between two types of ACLF and can be merged as a combination marker to differentiate CD from DH patients with area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.928 (95 % CI 0.8-1). CD patients possessed comparatively higher bile acid metabolism and lower arachidonic acid metabolism compared with DH patients. The results provide not only serum molecules for early accurate diagnosis of ACLF patients, but also potential clinical biomarkers for classification of CD and DH types. The findings clarify that molecular markers will be objective criteria for diagnosis of clinical types in TCM practice.

The dynamic of platelet count as a novel and valuable predictor for 90-day survival of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is extremely poor due to multiple organ dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic risk factors and create a 90-day prognostic predictive model for the patients with HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected to study the prognostic risk factors. Univariate and multivariate analysis and stepwise Logistic regression were performed to develop the predictive model. External validation was performed to verify the model.

RESULTS

A total of 333 HBV-ACLF patients and 86 HBV-non-ACLF patients were included in this study. Age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), total bilirubin (TBIL), platelet (PLT), and international normalized ratio (INR) were found to be independent risk factors for poor outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients. The formula identified for the linear predictor (LP) of the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients is thus: LP_ACLF=-5.04-0.056×age-0.002×AFP-0.010×PLT+0.002×TBIL+0.877×INR. The area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.7835 (95% CI 0.7248-0.8423).

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive model with good calibration and discrimination for 90-day survival of HBV-ACLF patients, including 5 variables, namely age, AFP, PLT, TBIL, and INR was established. Platelet count was a sensitive and dynamic variable for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF.

Circulating Neutrophil Dysfunction in HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background and Aims

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by systemic inflammation accompanied by defective anti-bacterial immunity. The role of neutrophils in immune derangement of ACLF has not been fully elucidated. This study is aimed to characterize the role of circulating neutrophils in HBV-related ACLF patients.

Methods

Quantitative, phenotypic, transcriptomic, and functional alterations of circulating neutrophils were compared in ACLF and non-ACLF subjects and analyzed for associations with short-term outcomes. Interventional experiments were performed to test the impact on ACLF-patient neutrophil function in vitro.

Results

Circulating absolute neutrophil count was significantly increased in patients with ACLF and was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality. ACLF-patient neutrophils differentially expressed a panel of surface markers (include TLR-1, TLR-2, TLR-4, CEACAM-1 and FPR1), as well as a distinct transcriptomic signature. ACLF-neutrophils displayed significantly impaired phagocytosis but an increased capacity to form neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs), which was more pronounced in patients with poor outcome. Healthy neutrophils mimicked functional characteristics of ACLF counterpart after co-cultured with plasma from ACLF patients. The oxidative burst and cytokine production capacities remained unchanged. Plasma GM-CSF, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, and IP-10 levels, as well as lipopolysaccharide (LPS) concentration, were markedly elevated in ACLF patients but not DAMP molecules HMGB-1 and HSP70. Finally, a glycolysis inhibitor, 2-deoxy-glucose, reduced NET formation of ACLF patients’ neutrophils.

Conclusions

Circulating ACLF-patient neutrophils exhibit alterations in number, phenotype, gene expression and function, which was associated with poor outcome and shaped by the ACLF circulatory environment. Inhibiting glycolysis can reverse neutrophil dysfunction in ACLF patients.

Peripheral T lymphocytes predict the severity and prognosis in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a life-threatening syndrome with high mortality. Biomarkers are urgently needed to predict the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. Recent evidence suggests a key role for immune system in the pathology of HBV-ACLF. Here, we analyzed the correlation between peripheral blood T lymphocytes and the severity and prognosis in HBV-ACLF patients.

METHOD

Sixty-six patients with HBV-ACLF received conventional medical treatments for 4 weeks. Twenty-five healthy subjects and 20 HBV patients were enrolled for comparison. We determined white blood cell count, lymphocytes, CD3+, CD4+ and CD8+ T cells, and CD4+CD25+ Treg cells in the blood of all subjects. Their associations with laboratory parameters before or after treatments were statistically analyzed.

RESULT

The results showed that compare normal subjects and chronic hepatitis B patients, HBV-ACLF patients had significantly increased white blood count, CD4+ T cells and decreased lymphocytes, CD3+ T cells, and Treg cells. Correlation analysis showed that white blood cell, lymphocytes, and peripheral T lymphocytes were correlated with prothrombin activity (PTA) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores. After treatment, white blood cell, lymphocytes, and peripheral T lymphocytes were also correlated with PTA and MELD scores. Additionally, total bilirubin (TBIL), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), international standard ratio (INR), MELD, and white blood cell count were potential prognostic criteria for HBV-ACLF patients.

CONCLUSION

HBV-ACLF patients had depletion and dysfunction of immune system. Changes of peripheral T lymphocytes were closely related to the pathogenesis and prognosis of disease. Our results may contribute to predict the severity of HBV-ACLF, and provide a prognosis response to improve the treatment of HBV-ACLF.

A non-bioartificial liver support system combined with transplantation in HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

We aim to determine the impact of an artificial liver support system (ALSS) treatment before liver transplantation (LT), and identify the prognostic factors and evaluate the predictive values of the current commonly used ACLF prognostic models for short-term prognosis after LT. Data from 166 patients who underwent LT with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) were retrospectively collected from January 2011 to December 2018 from the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine. Patients were divided into two groups depending on whether they received ALSS treatment pre-LT. In the observation group, liver function tests and prognostic scores were significantly lower after ALSS treatment, and the waiting time for a donor liver was significantly longer than that of the control group. Both intraoperative blood loss and period of postoperative ICU care were significantly lower; however, there were no significant differences between groups in terms of total postoperative hospital stays. Postoperative 4-week and 12-week survival rates in the observation group were significantly higher than those of the control group. Similar trends were also observed at 48 and 96 weeks, however, without significant difference. Multivariate Cox regression analysis of the risk factors related to prognosis showed that preoperative ALSS treatment, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and intraoperative blood loss were independent predicting factors for 4-week survival rate after transplantation. ALSS treatment combined with LT in patients with HBV-related ACLF improved short-term survival. ALSS treatment pre-LT is an independent protective factor affecting the 4-week survival rate after LT.

A dynamic prediction model for prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure based on the trend of clinical indicators

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a dynamic syndrome, and sequential assessments can reflect its prognosis more accurately. Our aim was to build and validate a new scoring system to predict short-term prognosis using baseline and dynamic data in ACLF. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of patients with ACLF from three different hospitals in China. To construct the model, we analyzed a training set of 541 patients from two hospitals. The model's performance was evaluated in a validation set of 130 patients from another center. In the training set, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age, WGO type, basic etiology, total bilirubin, creatinine, prothrombin activity, and hepatic encephalopathy stage were all independent prognostic factors in ACLF. We designed a dynamic trend score table based on the changing trends of these indicators. Furthermore, a logistic prediction model (DP-ACLF) was constructed by combining the sum of dynamic trend scores and baseline prognostic parameters. All prognostic scores were calculated based on the clinical data of patients at the third day, first week, and second week after admission, respectively, and were correlated with the 90-day prognosis by ROC analysis. Comparative analysis showed that the AUC value for DP-ACLF was higher than for other prognostic scores, including Child-Turcotte-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and COSSH-ACLF. The new scoring model, which combined baseline characteristics and dynamic changes in clinical indicators to predict the course of ACLF, showed a better prognostic ability than current scoring systems. Prospective studies are needed to validate these results.

A prognostic score for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure treated with plasma exchange-centered artificial liver support system

Artificial liver support system (ALSS) therapy is widely used in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). We aimed to develop a predictive score to identify the subgroups who may benefit from plasma exchange (PE)-centered ALSS therapy. A total of 601 patients were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into a derivation cohort of 303 patients and a validation cohort of 298 patients for logistic regression analysis, respectively. Five baseline variables, including liver cirrhosis, total bilirubin, international normalized ratio of prothrombin time, infection and hepatic encephalopathy, were found independently associated with 3-month mortality. A predictive PALS model and the simplified PALS score were developed. The predicative value of PALS score (AUROC = 0.818) to 3-month prognosis was as capable as PALS model (AUROC = 0.839), R score (AUROC = 0.824) and Yue-Meng’ score (AUROC = 0.810) (all p > 0.05), and superior to CART model (AUROC = 0.760) and MELD score (AUROC = 0.765) (all p < 0.05). The PALS score had significant linear correlation with 3-month mortality (R² = 0.970, p = 0.000). PALS score of 0–2 had both sensitivity and negative predictive value of > 90% for 3-month mortality, while PALS score of 6–9 had both specificity and positive predictive value of > 90%. Patients with PALS score of 3–5 who received 3–5 sessions of ALSS therapy had much lower 3-month mortality than those who received 1–2 sessions (32.8% vs. 59.2%, p < 0.05). The more severe patients with PALS score of 6–9 could still benefit from ≥ 6 sessions of ALSS therapy compared to ≤ 2 sessions (63.6% vs. 97.0%, p < 0.05). The PALS score could predict prognosis reliably and conveniently. It could identify the subgroups who could benefit from PE-centered ALSS therapy, and suggest the reasonable sessions.

Trial registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR2000032055. Registered 19th April 2020, http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=52471.

Cohort profile: a multicentre prospective validation cohort of the Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (CATCH-LIFE) study

PURPOSE

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome with high short-term mortality, unclear mechanism and controversial diagnosis criteria. The Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (CATCH-LIFE) study has been conducted in China to fill the gaps. In the first phase (the CATCH-LIFE investigation cohort), 2600 patients were continuously recruited from 14 national nationwide liver centres from 12 different provinces of China in 2015-2016, and a series of important results were obtained. To validate the preliminary results, we designed and conducted this multicentre prospective observational cohort (the CATCH-LIFE validation cohort).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients diagnosed with chronic liver disease and hospitalised for acute decompensation (AD) or acute liver injure were enrolled, received standard medical therapy. We collected the participants' demographics, medical history, laboratory data, and blood and urine samples during their hospitalisation.

FINDINGS TO DATE

From September 2018 to March 2019, 1370 patients (73.4% men) aged from 15 to 79 years old were enrolled from 13 nationwide liver centres across China. Of these patients, 952 (69.5%) had chronic hepatitis B, 973 (71.1%) had cirrhosis and 1083 (79.1%) complicated with AD at admission. The numbers and proportions of enrolled patients from each participating centre and the patients' baseline characteristics are presented.

FUTURE PLANS

A total of 12 months is required for each participant to complete follow-up. Outcome information (survival, death or receiving liver transplantation) collection and data cleansing will be done before June 2020. The data in the CATCH-LIFE validation cohort will be used for comparison between the new ACLF diagnostic criteria derivated from the CATCH-LIFE investigation cohort with existing ones. Moreover, future proteomic and metabolic omics analyses will provide valuable insights into the mechanics of ACLF, which will promote the development of specific therapy that leads to decrease patients' mortality.

REGISTRATION

NCT03641872.

A Stepwise Evaluation of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure to Optimize the Indication for Urgent Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a dynamic but reversible disease.

AIM

We aimed to clarify whether the change in Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF (COSSH-ACLF) grade in HBV-ACLF patients can be used to predict prognosis, and to explore the appropriate conditions for performing urgent liver transplantation.

METHODS

We assessed the COSSH-ACLF grades of HBV-ACLF patients at different time points from June 2013 to May 2019 at Huashan Hospital in Shanghai, China, and analyzed the relationship between the change in grade and patient prognosis.

RESULTS

A total of 207 HBV-ACLF patients were enrolled, of which 79 underwent urgent liver transplantation. Their COSSH-ACLF grades were calculated at diagnosis, 3-7 days after diagnosis, and on the final day. Most of the final ACLF grades were consistent with their corresponding grades at days 3-7 after diagnosis (62.5%), while only 44.5% were in accordance with the initial grades at diagnosis. In patients who had a poor prognosis (initial ACLF-3 and ACLF-2 or -3 at days 3-7), the 28-day survival rate was 93.3% in those who underwent transplantation and 6.8% in those who did not (P < 0.0001). However, in patients who had a good prognosis (ACLF-0 or ACLF-1 at days 3-7), the 28-day survival rate was 100% in transplanted patients and 91.5% in non-transplanted patients (P = 0.236).

CONCLUSIONS

Reevaluation of the COSSH-ACLF grade 3-7 days after diagnosis could potentially show an indication for urgent liver transplantation.

Testosterone and Estradiol as Novel Prognostic Indicators for HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background: HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) has a high short-term mortality and urgently needs an early warning system with simplicity and high accuracy. Previous studies show that sex hormones play potential roles in the progression of HBV-related liver diseases. Aims: To explore the effect of testosterone and estradiol on the occurrence and prognosis of HBV-ACLF. Methods: A prospective cohort of 300 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients was enrolled among which 108 were diagnosed with HBV-ACLF at admission and 20 developed to HBV-ACLF during hospitalization. We compared the level of serum testosterone and estradiol of patients with varied ACLF background, disease severity and cirrhosis conditions and analyzed the predictive ability of short-term prognosis. A novel prognostic model involving testosterone was developed and further validated in the HBV-ACLF group. Results: The baseline estradiol level of HBV-ACLF group was significantly higher while testosterone was lower than that of non-ACLF group. The estradiol level increased while the testosterone level decreased as the number of organ failures increased. Testosterone had high accuracy in predicting the short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF (AUROC = 0.726) and estradiol did better in predicting the occurrence of ACLF during hospitalization (AUROC = 0.695). The novel prognostic model involving testosterone (TATIM model) was proved to have considerable prediction efficiency in HBV-ACLF cohort with or without cirrhosis. Conclusion: Testosterone could be utilized as short-term prognostic indicator for HBV-related ACLF and estradiol can help to predict its occurrence. TATIM model is a novel prognostic model for HBV-related ACLF with simplicity and good performance irrespectively of liver cirrhosis. Clinical Trial Registration Number: This study was based on a sub-cohort from the prospective multicenter cohort (NCT02457637).

Tri-typing of hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure defined by the World Gastroenterology Organization

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Tri-typing of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), as proposed by the World Gastroenterology Organization (WGO), has not been validated in patients infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV). We aim to compare the three types of ACLF patients in clinic characteristics.

METHODS

Hospitalized ACLF patients with chronic hepatitis B from five hepatology centers were retrospectively selected and grouped according to the WGO classification. For each group, we investigated laboratory tests, precipitating events, organ failure, and clinical outcome.

RESULTS

Compared with type-B (n = 262, compensated cirrhosis) and type-C (n = 129, decompensated cirrhosis) ACLF, type-A patients (n = 195, non-cirrhosis) were associated with a younger age, the highest platelet counts, the highest aminotransferase levels, and the most active HBV replications. HBV reactivation were more predominant in type-A, while bacterial infections in type-B and type-C ACLF cases. Liver failure (97.4%) and coagulation failure (86.7%) were most common in type-A compared with type-B or type-C ACLF patients. Kidney failure was predominantly identified in type-C subjects (41.9%) and was highest (23/38, 60.5%) in grade 1 ACLF patients. Furthermore, type-C ACLF showed the highest 28-day (65.2%) and 90-day (75.3%) mortalities, compared with type-A (48.7% and 54.4%, respectively) and type-B (48.4% and 62.8%, respectively) ACLF cases. Compared with type-A (11.7%) ACLF patients, the increased mortality from 28 to 90 days was higher in type-B (31.6%) and type-C (37.5%).

CONCLUSION

Tri-typing of HBV-related ACLF in accordance with the WGO definition was able to distinguish clinical characteristics, including precipitating events, organ failure, and short-term prognosis in ACLF patients.

Changes in thyroid function in patients with liver failure and their clinical significance: A clinical study of non-thyroidal illness syndrome in patients with liver failure

BACKGROUND

Non-thyroidal illness syndrome (NTIS) develops in a large proportion of critically ill patients and is associated with high risk for death. We aimed to investigate the correlation between NTIS and liver failure, and the short-term mortality of patients with these conditions.

METHODS

The clinical data of 87 patients with liver failure were collected retrospectively, 73 of them were randomly selected for an observational study and to establish prognostic models, and 14 for model validation. Another 73 sex- and age-matched patients with mild chronic hepatitis were randomly selected as a control group. Serum free triiodothyronine (FT3), free thyroxine (FT4), and thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) were measured. The clinical characteristics of patients with liver failure and NTIS were analyzed. The follow-up of patients lasted for 3 months. Additionally, the values for predicting short-term mortality of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) scores, FT3-MELD model, and FT3 were evaluated.

RESULTS

The observation group had significantly lower FT3 (2.79 ± 0.71 vs. 4.43 ± 0.75 pmol/L, P < 0.001) and TSH [0.618 (0.186-1.185) vs. 1.800 (1.570-2.590) mIU/L, P < 0.001], and higher FT4 (19.51 ± 6.26 vs. 14.47 ± 2.19 pmol/L, P <0.001) than the control group. NTIS was diagnosed in 49 of the patients with liver failure (67.12%). In the observation group, patients with NTIS had a higher mortality rate than those without (63.27% vs. 25.00%, P = 0.002). Across the whole cohort, the 3-month mortality was 50.68%. The international normalized ratios (INR) were 2.40 ± 1.41 in survivors and 3.53 ± 1.81 in deaths (P = 0.004), the creatinine (Cr) concentrations were 73.27 ± 36.94 µmol/L and 117.08 ± 87.98 µmol/L (P = 0.008), the FT3 concentrations were 3.13 ± 0.59 pmol/L and 2.47 ± 0.68 pmol/L (P < 0.001), the MELD scores were 22.19 ± 6.64 and 29.57 ± 7.99 (P < 0.001), the CTP scores were 10.67 ± 1.53 and 11.78 ± 1.25 (P = 0.001), and the CLIF-SOFA scores were 8.42 ± 1.68 and 10.16 ± 2.03 (P < 0.001), respectively. FT3 was negatively correlated with MELD score (r = -0.430, P < 0.001). An FT3-MELD model was established by subjecting FT3 concentration and MELD score to logistic regression analysis using the following formula: Logit(P) = -1.337 × FT3+0.114 × MELD+0.880. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.827 and the optimal cut-off value was 0.4523. The corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 67.6% and 91.7%. The areas under the ROC curve for FT3 concentration, MELD score, CTP score, and CLIF-SOFA score were 0.809, 0.779, 0.699, and 0.737, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with liver failure often develop NTIS. FT3-MELD score perform better than CTP and CLIF-SOFA scores in predicting mortality in patients with liver failure. Thus, the FT3-MELD model could be of great value for the evaluation of the short-term mortality of such patients.

Serum Lactate Level Predicts Short-Term and Long-Term Mortality of HBV-ACLF Patients: A Prospective Study

Background

Acute chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a high-mortality disease characterized by rapid deterioration of liver function and multiple organ failure. The aim of this study was to assess the short-term and long-term predictive values of serum lactate in HBV-ACLF patients to facilitate early treatment and thereby improve patient survival.

Methods

We conducted a single-center, observational prospective study of 108 hospitalized patients. Biochemical examination and demographic data were obtained within 24 hours of admission. Logistics analysis was used to determine whether serum levels were independently for prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The area under ROC curve evaluates the prediction accuracy compared to the existing score.

Results

Serum lactate levels in nonsurviving patients were significantly higher than those in surviving patients. Logistics analysis demonstrated that serum lactate was an independent risk factor for 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality. ROC curve evaluates the prediction efficiencies of serum lactate for 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality. The AUROCs of new scores by adding lactate (Child-Pugh+ lactate score, MELD+ lactate score, MELD-Na+ lactate score, CLIF-C OF+ lactate score, CLIF-SOFA+ lactate score, CLIF-C ACLF+ lactate score) were superior to those of existing scores, particularly the MELD score and MELD-Na score (P<0.05) at all time points.

Conclusion

Serum lactate can be used as an effective indicator to predict the short-term and long-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients, and the predictive value of the MELD score and MELD-Na was improved by adjusting for lactate. Lactate testing at admission can be beneficial in prognostic assessment and clinical decision-making.

Infection deteriorating hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Infection is common in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which may worsen the clinical condition and prognosis. However, the characteristics of infection and its influence on prognosis in hepatitis B virus related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) as defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) have not been clarified. We aimed to investigate the characteristics of infection and its influence on mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in China.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in a single center from January 2015 to December 2017. These patients were divided into two groups with and without infection. The incidence, sites of infection, isolated strains, and risk factors associated with mortality were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 289 patients were included, among them 185 (64.0%) were diagnosed with an infection. The most common type of infection was pneumonia (55.7%), followed by spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (47.6%) and others. The gram-negative bacteria were the most frequent (58.3%). Patients with one, two, and three or more infection sites had a gradually increasing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01), septic shock (P < 0.001), and ACLF-3 (P < 0.05). Also, patients with infection isolated one, two, and three or more strains showed a growing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01) and septic shock (P < 0.001). Patients with infection showed a significantly higher 28-day mortality than those without (P < 0.01), especially in patients with ACLF-3. Infection was identified as an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in all HBV-ACLF patients. Pneumonia and sepsis were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality for patients with infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Infection is associated with severe clinical course and high mortality in HBV-ACLF defined by EASL. The increased number of infection sites or isolated strains was associated with the occurrence of sepsis and septic shock. Pneumonia and sepsis were independent predictors for mortality in HBV-ACLF patients with infection.

Keratin 8 Mutations Were Associated With Susceptibility to Chronic Hepatitis B and Related Progression

BACKGROUND

Keratin 8 and 18 (K8/K18) are the exclusively expressed keratins intermediate filaments pair in hepatocytes that protect against liver injuries and viral infection. We aimed to explore the genetic link between keratin variants and chronic hepatitis B virus (CHB) infection in a large cohort from a high-epidemic area.

METHODS

Genomic deoxyribonucleic acid was isolated from patients, and Sanger sequencing was applied to analyze variations in exon regions of K8/18. Biochemical and functional analysis of novel mutations was also performed.

RESULTS

The 713 participants comprised 173 healthy controls and 540 patients, which covered chronic hepatitis (n = 174), decompensated cirrhosis (n = 192), and primary liver carcinoma (n = 174). The frequency of mutations in K8/18 was significantly higher among patients than among controls (8.15% vs 0.58%, P < .001). Significant differences were found between the chronic hepatitis subgroup and controls in multiple comparisons (6.32% vs 0.58%, P = .006). All 21 missense mutations (3.89%) were detected in the keratin 8 (K8), including 4 novel conserved missense variants (R469C, R469H, A447V, and K483T). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated a higher risk of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and missense variants (odds ratio = 4.38, P = .035). Transfection of these variants caused keratin network disruption in vivo.

CONCLUSIONS

Novel K8 cytoskeleton-disrupting variants predispose toward ACLF in CHB.

Ammonia predicts poor outcomes in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a common feature of acute liver failure and has been reported to be associated with poor outcomes. Ammonia is thought to be central to the pathogenesis of HE, but its role in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is unclear. The present study aimed to assess the prognostic role of ammonia level for patients with HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

We retrospectively recruited 127 patients diagnosed with HBV-ACLF for the present study.

RESULTS

Ammonia levels at the time of admission were higher among non-surviving participants than in survivors. Increased ammonia level was found to be associated with severe liver disease and was identified as an independent predictor for mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that high ammonia level at admission is an independent factor for predicting short-term mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. Therefore, ammonia levels may represent a therapeutic target for this condition.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: to admit to intensive care or not?

Acute-on-chronic liver failure is used to describe an acute decline in liver function in a patient with existing liver disease combined with other organ failure. Acute-on-chronic liver failure is associated with high short-term mortality, and the greater the number and severity of organ failures, the higher the mortality. The most commonly identified precipitants of acute-on-chronic liver failure include bacterial infection, gastrointestinal haemorrhage, viral hepatitis and recent excessive alcohol intake. Since some of these aetiologies are treatable, organ failure may return to pre-decompensation levels in up to 55% of patients. As a result, a trial of critical care treatment may be appropriate for many of these patients. Clinical scoring tools may help clinicians recognise futility, allowing timely withdrawal of organ support and shifting the focus of care toward palliation.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: Definitions, pathophysiology and principles of treatment

The term acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) defines an abrupt and life-threatening worsening of clinical conditions in patients with cirrhosis or chronic liver disease. In recent years, different definitions and diagnostic criteria for the syndrome have been proposed by the major international scientific societies. The main controversies relate to the type of acute insult (specifically hepatic or also extrahepatic), the stage of underlying liver disease (cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis) and the concomitant extrahepatic organ failure(s) that should be considered in the definition of ACLF. Therefore, different severity criteria and prognostic scores have been proposed and validated. Current evidence shows that the pathophysiology of ACLF is closely associated with an intense systemic inflammation sustained by circulating pathogen-associated molecular patterns and damage-associated molecular patterns. The development of organ failures may be a result of a combination of tissue hypoperfusion, direct immune-mediated damage and mitochondrial dysfunction. Management of ACLF is currently based on the supportive treatment of organ failures, mainly in an intensive care setting. For selected patients, liver transplantation is an effective treatment that offers a good long-term prognosis. Future studies on potential mechanistic treatments that improve patient survival are eagerly awaited.

Hepatitis B virus persistence and reactivation

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection causes chronic hepatitis and has long term complications. Individuals ever infected with HBV are at risk of viral reactivation under certain circumstances. This review summarizes studies on HBV persistence and reactivation with a focus on the definitions and mechanisms. Emphasis is placed on the interplay between HBV replication and host immunity as this interplay determines the patterns of persistence following viral acquisition. Chronic infections exhibit as overt persistence when a defective immune response fails to control the viral replication. The HBV genome persists despite an immune response in the form of covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) and integrated DNA, rendering an occult state of viral persistence in individuals whose infection appears to have been resolved. We have described HBV reactivation that occurs because of changes in the virus or the immune system. This review aims to raise the awareness of HBV reactivation and to understand how HBV persists, and discusses the risks of HBV reactivation in a variety of clinical settings.

High levels of serum interleukin-6 increase mortality of hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) present a complex and poor prognosis. Systemic inflammation plays an important role in its pathogenesis, and interleukin-6 (IL-6) as a pro-inflammatory cytokine is related with severe liver impairment and also plays a role in promoting liver regeneration. Whether serum IL-6 influences HBV-ACLF prognosis has not been studied.

AIM

To determine the impact of serum IL-6 on outcome of patients with HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of 412 HBV-ACLF patients. The findings were analyzed with regard to mortality and the serum IL-6 level at baseline, as well as dynamic changes of serum IL-6 within 4 wk.

RESULTS

The serum IL-6 level was associated with mortality. Within 4 wk, deceased patients had significantly higher levels of IL-6 at baseline than surviving patients [17.9 (7.3-57.6) vs 10.4 (4.7-22.3), P = 0.011]. Patients with high IL-6 levels (> 11.8 pg/mL) had a higher mortality within 4 wk than those with low IL-6 levels (≤ 11.8 pg/mL) (24.2% vs 13.2%, P = 0.004). The odds ratios calculated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression were 2.10 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.26-3.51, P = 0.005) and 2.11 (95%CI: 1.15-3.90, P = 0.017), respectively. The mortality between weeks 5 and 8 in patients with high IL-6 levels at 4 wk was 15.0%, which was significantly higher than the 6.6% mortality rate in patients with low IL-6 levels at 4 wk (hazard ratio = 2.39, 95%CI: 1.05-5.41, P = 0.037). The mortality was 5.0% in patients with high IL-6 levels at baseline and low IL-6 levels at 4 wk, 7.5% in patients with low IL-6 levels both at baseline and at 4 wk, 11.5% in patients with low IL-6 levels at baseline and high IL-6 levels at 4 wk, and 16.7% in patients with high IL-6 levels both at baseline and at 4 wk. The increasing trend of the mortality rate with the dynamic changes of IL-6 was significant (P for trend = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

A high level of serum IL-6 is an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. Furthermore, a sustained high level or dynamic elevated level of serum IL-6 indicates a higher mortality.