The fall in incidence of prostate carcinoma. On the down side of a prostate specific antigen induced peak in incidence--data from the Utah Cancer Registry

Effects of the Training About Prostate Cancer and Screening Methods on Knowledge Level

This quasi-experimental study aims to identify the effects of the training about prostate cancer and screening methods given to men aged 40 and over on their knowledge level. It was found that there were no differences between the experimental and control groups in terms of the perceived susceptibility, perceived seriousness, health motivation, perceived barriers, and perceived benefits subscale mean scores, but the posttest data revealed that the perceived susceptibility, health motivation, and perceived benefits subscale mean scores of the experimental group were higher and their perceived barriers mean score was lower; the differences between the mean scores were statistically significant (p < .05, p < .01, p < .001). An analysis of the Health Belief Model after the training about prostate cancer and screening methods showed that the training was effective. Actually, the authors recommended that especially male nurses can play an effective role in training about prostate cancer and screening methods for men in Turkey.

Differential expression of E-cadherin and P-cadherin in pT3 prostate cancer: correlation with clinical and pathological features

Cadherins seem to play and important role in prostate cancer (PCa) progression. E-cadherin loss of expression has been associated with poor prognosis; P-cadherin's role is still elusive. Although pT3 PCa is often considered "high-risk cancer," it does not exhibit an uniformly poor prognosis. Herein, we assessed the prognostic value and survival impact of E-cadherin and P-cadherin immunoexpression in pT3 PCa. Radical prostatectomy (RP) specimens from 102 pT3 PCa patients treated between 1991 and 2014 in a single institution were designated for E-cadherin and P-cadherin immunoexpression analysis. A representative block from each specimen was selected for tissue micro-array (TMA) construction, using 3 cores per case. E-cadherin immunoexpression was assessed via a digital image analysis system. For P-cadherin, scoring criteria for HER2 in gastric cancer were used. Clinical records of all patients were reviewed for baseline clinical/pathologic characteristics and follow-up data. E-cadherin-low PCa patients displayed worse disease-specific survival (DSS), although not reaching statistical significance (HR 2.65, 95%CI 0.81-7.88). However, considering the pT3b group only, those with low E-cadherin immunoexpression displayed significantly worse overall-survival (OS) and DSS (HR 3.69, 95%CI 1.18-11.50; HR 5.90, 95%CI 1.40-24.81). No significant differences in survival were found for P-cadherin differential immunoexpression. Furthermore, an association between E-cadherin and P-cadherin immunoexpression (p = 0.019) was found, as among E-cadherin-low PCa, 96.6% were P-cadherin negative. We demonstrated that low E-cadherin immunoexpression discriminates among pT3b PCa patients those with poorer survival and which might benefit from specific therapy. The role of P-cadherin in PCa seems context-dependent deserving further investigation.

Current Challenges in Prostate Cancer Management and the Rationale behind Targeted Focal Therapy

Among men, prostate cancer has a high prevalence, with relatively lower cancer-specific mortality risk compared to lung and colon cancer. Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening has increased prostate cancer awareness since its implementation as a screening tool almost 25 years ago, but, due to the largely indolent course of this disease and the unspecific nature of the PSA test, increased incidence has largely been associated with cancers that would not go on to cause death (clinically insignificant), leading to an overdiagnosis challenge and an ensuing overtreatment consequences. The overtreatment problem is exacerbated by the high risk of side effects that current treatment techniques have, putting patients' quality of life at risk with little or no survival benefit. The goals of this paper are to evaluate the rise, prevalence, and impact of the overdiagnosis and ensuing overtreatment problems, as well as highlight potential solutions. In this effort, a review of major epidemiological and screening studies, cancer statistics from the advent of prostate-specific antigen screening to the present, and reports on patient concerns and treatment outcomes was conducted to present the dominant factors that underlie current challenges in prostate cancer treatment and illuminate potential solutions.

Screening for prostate cancer: an update

OBJECTIVES

To review evidence regarding the potential introduction of prostate cancer screening programmes and highlight issues pertinent to the management of screen-detected prostate cancer.

METHODS

Screening for prostate cancer is a controversial health care issue in general and urological practice. A PubMed database search was performed, followed by a systematic review of the literature, to examine the evidence base underlying prostate cancer screening.

RESULTS

A prostate cancer screening programme should satisfy several key postulates prior to its introduction. To date, several of these postulates have not been satisfied, and the evidence available for prostate cancer screening is currently insufficient to warrant its introduction as a public health policy. The natural history of screen-detected prostate cancer remains poorly understood, and recent evidence suggests that a screening programme may detect a large number of men with indolent disease who may be subsequently overtreated. Several randomised clinical trials are currently in progress and it is hoped that they will provide robust evidence to inform future practice.

CONCLUSIONS

National systematic prostate cancer screening programmes outside randomised clinical trial settings have not been implemented to date owing to lack of robust evidence that such programmes would improve survival and/or quality of life in men with screen-detected disease. Forthcoming results of clinical trials and the application of appropriate risk stratification to prevent overtreatment of indolent prostate cancer are likely to change practice in coming years.

Prostate cancer: epidemiology and risk factors

After years of rapid increase, the incidence of prostate cancer has begun to decline in certain areas in the USA. Although these temporal trends are consistent with the impact of screening, it still remains to be shown that early detection programmes and screening will result in a reduced mortality rate from this disease. A positive family history of prostate cancer has been established as an important risk factor, and recent research supports and points to the existence of a subgroup of prostate cancer families with a hereditary form of the disease. Diet is another well-known risk factor. Recently, it has become evident that nutritional factors might both prevent the progression of prostate cancer or induce it.

Grade migration in prostate cancer: an analysis using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry

To utilize the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry to examine trends in grade assignment. Data from 411 325 patients from 1984 to 2003 were analyzed for grade migration and for cause-specific survival (CSS) as a function of grade. There has been a significant grade migration during the study period (P<0.001), principally from well-differentiated (WD) to moderately differentiated (MD) disease. Five-year CSS of MD and WD patients have converged, suggesting a decreasing role of grade as a prognostic factor. A grade migration from WD to MD assignment has occurred, suggesting that prognostic categorizations based on grade across eras may be difficult to interpret.

Population-based screening for prostate cancer by measuring free and total serum prostate-specific antigen in Iran

PURPOSE

To evaluate the natural background of prostate cancer in Iran a large population-based study of screening using total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) and per cent free PSA (fPSA) as the initial test was performed.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

For 9 years (1996 to 2004) in Tehran, Iran, 3670 Iranian men older than 40 years were mass checked by PSA-based screening. They were invited to have a digital rectal examination (DRE), serum PSA assay and transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS)-guided sextant prostate biopsy to see if the DRE was clinically suspicious of malignancy, the serum PSA was > or =2.1 ng/ml or free-to-total PSA (f/tPSA) ratio < or=15%.

RESULTS

In 433 (11.8%) of screened males, tPSA levels exceeded the cut-off value of > or =2.1 ng/ml and 128 prostate cancers were diagnosed [positive predictive value (PPV) 29.6%] corresponding to an overall detection rate of 3.5%. Altogether 138 cancers were detected (detection rate 3.8%); none were stage M(1), three were stage N(+) and 4 stage T(3). A threshold tPSA of > or =2.1 ng/ml would have detected 128 cancers in 447 biopsied men (PPV 29%). There were 109 of 138 (79%) men with cancer who had an f/tPSA of < or =15%, while 152 of 305 (49.8%) with benign biopsies had a f/tPSA of < or =15%, which corresponds to a PPV of 30.8%.

CONCLUSION

PSA-based screening with low PSA cut-off values increase the detection rate of clinically significant, organ confined and potentially curable prostate cancer. Further studies are warranted in order to determine the incidence and prevalence of prostate cancer in different ethnic groups.

Continuing trends in pathological stage migration in radical prostatectomy specimens

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening has resulted in a profound clinical stage migration. Extracapsular extension (ECE) presents a poor prognosis after radical prostatectomy (RP). In this study the trends in rate of ECE for cancers detected by PSA screening between 1987, when PSA screening became routine in the United States, and 2001, were examined. The clinical outcome of patients (total 1505; 888 clinical Tlc, 614 clinical T2, and 3 clinical T3) with prostate cancer diagnosed by PSA screening and treated with RP without neoadjuvant hormonal therapy was analyzed. The primary outcome variable was ECE rate with respect to year of treatment for a given tumor stage, preoperative PSA level, biopsy Gleason score, and surgical Gleason score. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of ECE. Biochemical relapse-free survival (bRFS) by year of treatment was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier Curve. Rate of ECE decreased from 65.8 to 25.2% during the 15-year study duration. Multivariate analysis of clinical tumor stage, age, preoperative serum PSA level, and Gleason score confirmed that year of treatment was an independent predictor of ECE. Six-year bRFS rates (by years of treatment) were 75.1% for 1987 to 1994 and 82.6% for 1995 to 2001 (P-value = 0.0022). PSA screening has resulted in a downward pathological stage migration. These observations demonstrate improved biochemical failure rates in more recently treated patients.

Survellaince Program for Prostate Carcinoma: Preliminary Results on 585 Blood Donors

Population screening for prostatic carcinoma (CP) is a struggled subject, and we don't know the real utility of it. Nowadays the Authors suggest only survey on little groups. In this study the male population of blood donors of our hospital between 45 and 65 years underwent a complete valutation for CP.

From this study we hope to obtain the following results: a) early diagnosis of CP (eradicable); b) eliminate keeper of neoplastic pathology from blood donations (theoretic risk of transmission of neoplastic cells in immunodepressed patients); c) studying the practicability, if we achieve a high percentage of ahdesions at this program, our model could be exportable.

Prostate cancer grade assignment: the effect of chronological, interpretive and translation bias

PURPOSE

Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data reveal an increasing incidence in the detection of moderately differentiated prostate cancer and a stable or decreasing incidence in well and poorly differentiated cancer. Plausible reasons for this phenomenon include the decrease in transurethral resections performed and an increase in the number of prostate specific antigen triggered ultrasound guided needle biopsies. We examined additional explanations for the grade shift with time and addresses the impact of this grade shift on clinical end points.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Archived slides from 100 patients (82 needle biopsy specimens and 18 transurethral resection specimens) treated for prostate cancer between 1975 and 1985 were reexamined. Current grades were assigned using the WHO and the Gleason grading systems, and they were compared with the original grade assignments. Current Gleason score was translated to WHO grade by operational SEER criteria (2 to 4-well, 5 to 7-moderately and 8 to 10-poorly differentiated). Analysis of the 100 specimens by life table methodology calculated cancer specific survival according to the era of grade assignment.

RESULTS

There was significant upward grade migration from the historic to the current WHO grade and from the translation by SEER methodology of the current Gleason score to WHO grade (p <0.0001). Interpretive and chronological bias caused expansion of the moderately differentiated category at the expense of well differentiated cancer and significant deviation in cancer specific survival curves (p <0.013). SEER translation bias resulted in expansion of the moderately differentiated grade category at the expense of poorly differentiated cancer and eliminated the significant difference in cancer specific survival between Gleason 5/6 and 7 (p <0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Contemporary understanding of Gleason grading has lowered the threshold for assignment to higher grade. While a change in tumor biology may be partially responsible for the trend toward higher grade assignment, grade migration as described is also a significant contributing factor in reported histological trends for newly diagnosed prostate cancer and it significantly compromises efforts at historical comparisons.

Trends in prostate cancer mortality among black men and white men in the United States

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer mortality rates in the United States declined sharply after 1991 in white men and declined after 1992 in black men. The current study was conducted to investigate possible mechanisms for the declining prostate cancer mortality rates in the United States.

METHODS

The authors examined and compared patterns of prostate cancer incidence, survival rates, and mortality rates among black men and white men in the United States using the 1969-1999 U.S. prostate cancer mortality rates and the 1975-1999 prostate cancer incidence, survival, and incidence-based mortality rates from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program for the U.S. population. The SEER data represent approximately 10% of the U.S. population.

RESULTS

Prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates showed transient increases after 1986, when the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved the use of prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing. The age-adjusted prostate cancer mortality rates for men age 50-84 years, however, have dropped below the rate in 1986 since 1995 for white men and since 1997 for black men. In fact, for white men ages 50-79 years, the 1998 and 1999 rates were the lowest observed since 1950. Incidence-based mortality rates by disease stage revealed that the recent declines were due to declines in distant disease mortality. Moreover, the decrease in distant disease mortality was due to a decline in distant disease incidence, and not to improved survival of patients with distant disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Similar incidence, survival, and mortality rate patterns are seen in black men and white men in the United States, although with differences in the timing and magnitude of recent rate decreases. Increased detection of prostate cancer before it becomes metastatic, possibly reflecting increased use of PSA testing after 1986, may explain much of the recent mortality decrease in both white men and black men.

Differences in the epidemic rise and decrease of prostate cancer among geographical areas in Southern Europe. an analysis of differential trends in incidence and mortality in France, Italy and Spain

This is a population-based study aimed at evaluating incidence and mortality trends for prostate cancer in France, Italy and Spain, during the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) era, considering elderly people aged 70 years and over and younger adults aged between 40 and 69 years. Trends were estimated by a log-linear Poisson regression model and expressed as an Estimated Annual Percent Change (EAPC). Incidence increased sharply in almost all areas. Spain showed the lowest increases. Incidence started to rise around 1985 in France and after 1990 in Italy and Spain. Mortality increased until the late 1980s in all countries, then declined in France and Italy (-2.5% in 40-69 year age group), but not in Spain. Younger people showed a much higher rise in incidence than the elderly, while mortality decreased mainly in the younger adults. The decrease in mortality was more marked in those areas and the younger age group where the rise in incidence was higher and started earlier, i.e. in France and in younger people, suggesting that the PSA test may have had a positive effect on mortality, although other clinical advances also have to be taken into account.

Prostate-specific antigen screening coverage and prostate cancer incidence rates in the Belgian province of Limburg in 1996-1998

According to the 1996-1998 cancer incidence report of the cancer registry of the Belgian province of Limburg (LIKAR), prostate cancer is the most common cancer in men with a crude invasive cancer incidence rate of 123.7 per 100000 person-years (125.4 and 81.8 after standardization for the European and the world standard population). In a study on geographical differences between the occurrence of cancers in municipalities, prostate cancer standardized incidence rates (SIRs) were significantly higher in a number of municipalities, with mean relative risks of 1.2 and 1.3 after full Bayesian smoothing. We hypothesized that prostate cancer incidence rates are largely influenced by the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening policy of local physicians and that differences between municipalities are more informative about local screening habits then about real differences in cancer occurrence. The aim of this study was to test this hypothesis by relating local prostate cancer SIRs to the PSA screening coverage of the population of men in each municipality. The SIRs of prostate cancer in 1996-1998 for each municipality were provided by LIKAR. They related to all histologically or cytologically proven new invasive prostate cancers during these years. For each municipality, PSA coverage data were provided by the largest sick fund of the region. Coverage was defined as the proportion of men above the age of 40 that was tested at least once within the registration period. The SIR of each municipality (dependent variable) was related to the age-standardized corresponding coverage (independent variable) by linear regression and was adjusted for the number of inhabitants per municipality: log (standardized incidence rate) = 164 + 602 * (standardized PSA coverage), = 0.12. The model explained 6% of the variance in incidence. In conclusion, in this study no statistically significant relationship was identified between PSA coverage and prostate cancer incidence rate per municipality. This could result from no such relationship existing or from low statistical power.

Efficacy and toxicity of replication-competent adenovirus-mediated double suicide gene therapy in combination with radiation therapy in an orthotopic mouse prostate cancer model

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and toxicity of replication-competent adenovirus-mediated double suicide gene therapy in an adjuvant setting with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) in an experimental prostate cancer model in preparation for a Phase I clinical study in humans.

METHODS

For efficacy studies, i.m. DU145 and intraprostatic LNCaP C4-2 tumors were established in immune-deficient mice. Tumors were injected with the lytic, replication-competent Ad5-CD/TKrep adenovirus containing a cytosine deaminase (CD)/herpes simplex virus thymidine kinase (HSV-1 TK) fusion gene. Two days later, mice were administered 1 week of 5-fluorocytosine + ganciclovir (GCV) prodrug therapy and fractionated doses of EBRT (trimodal therapy). Tumor control rate of trimodal therapy was compared to that of EBRT alone. For toxicology studies, immune-competent male mice received a single intraprostatic injection (10(10) vp) of the replication-competent Ad5-CD/TKrep adenovirus. Two days later, mice were administered 4 weeks of 5-fluorocytosine + GCV prodrug therapy and 56 Gy EBRT to the pelvic region. The toxicity of trimodal therapy was assessed by histopathologic analysis of major organs and clinical chemistries.

RESULTS

In both the i.m. DU145 and intraprostatic LNCaP C4-2 tumor models, trimodal therapy significantly improved primary tumor control beyond that of EBRT alone. In the DU145 model, trimodal therapy resulted in a tumor growth delay (70 days) that was more than twice that (32 days) of EBRT alone. Whereas EBRT failed to eradicate DU145 tumors, trimodal therapy resulted in 25% tumor cure. In the LNCaP C4-2 tumor model, EBRT slowed the growth of intraprostatic tumors, but resulted in no tumor cures, and 57% of the mice developed retroperitoneal lymph node metastases at 3 months. By contrast, trimodal therapy resulted in 44% tumor cure and reduced significantly the percentage (13%) of lymph node metastases relative to EBRT alone. Overall, trimodal therapy was associated with little toxicity. A comparison of the major histopathologic findings among the treatment groups indicated that most of the locoregional (prostate, seminal vesicles, urinary bladder) pathology was attributable to the combined effects of the Ad5-CD/TKrep vector and EBRT and that the prodrugs contributed little to this effect. Importantly, trimodal therapy did not exacerbate inflammation of the rectum and intestines beyond that of EBRT alone.

CONCLUSION

Together, the results support the thesis that replication-competent adenovirus-mediated double suicide gene therapy may be a safe and effective adjuvant to EBRT and provide a sound scientific rationale for human trials.

Prostate cancer trends in the era of prostate-specific antigen. An update of incidence, mortality, and clinical factors from the SEER database

Concurrent with the successful life-saving efforts in terms of prostate cancer diagnosis and treatment, some men who do not need treatment are receiving it. These are men destined to die of causes other than prostate cancer. Unfortunately, at diagnosis, men needing treatment for prostate cancer cannot be differentiated from men who do not. To make such decisions correctly for individual patients would require extremely precise measures of the time to death from prostate cancer versus when the patient would die from a competing cause. Predictive tools with this level of accuracy will never be available given the inherent uncertainty of life. At the time of prostate cancer diagnosis, the date and the cause of death for the patient are matters of weak statistical speculation. Unless the date of death from prostate cancer and the date of death from non-prostate cancer causes can be precisely determined for each patient, some men will always be overtreated or undertreated. Conservative strategies result in the undertreatment of some patients who would benefit from treatment while sparing other patients unneeded treatment. Aggressive strategies result in the overtreatment of patients who do not need therapy while curing other men of prostate cancer. Both strategies are correct, but only some of the time. Better methods of determining the length of life and cause of death may improve this situation, but not by much. [figure: see text] Dramatic shifts in the incidence, grade, stage, and age of men with prostate cancer have been observed with the advent of widespread PSA-based cancer detection in the United States. Grade and stage trends suggest that more biologically relevant (the shift from well-differentiated to moderately differentiated tumors) and yet therapeutically amenable (earlier stage) tumors have been identified in large numbers of patients during the PSA era. Clearly many men have been diagnosed and treated who will not benefit from such treatment. The relative mix of these two groups of men is not known. Given the long delay between treatment and mortality that is inherent in prostate cancer (Fig. 14), the full effects of treatment on prostate cancer mortality are probably not yet seen in prostate cancer mortality data.

Large-scale randomized prostate cancer screening trials: program performances in the European Randomized Screening for Prostate Cancer trial and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovary cancer trial

Two large-scale randomized screening trials, the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovary (PLCO) cancer trial in the USA and the European Randomized Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) trial in Europe are currently under way, aimed at assessing whether screening reduces prostate cancer mortality. Up to the end of 1998, 102,691 men have been randomized to the intervention arm and 115,322 to the control arm (which represents 83% of the target sample size) from 7 European countries and 10 screening centers in the USA. The principal screening method at all centers is determination of serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA). The PLCO trial and some European centers use also digital rectal examination (DRE) as an ancillary screening test. In the core age group (55-69 years), 3,362 of 32,486 men screened (10%) had a serum PSA concentration of 4 ng/ml or greater, which is 1 cut-off for biopsy (performed in 84%). An additional 6% was referred for further assessment based on other criteria, with much less efficiency. Differences in PSA by country are largely attributable to the age structure of the study population. The mean age-specific PSA levels are lower in the PLCO trial (1.64 ng/ml [in the age group 55-59 years], 1.80 [60-64 years] and 2.18 [65-69 years) than in the ERSPC trial (1.28-1.71 [55-59], 1.75-2.87 [60-64] and 2.48-3.06 [65-69 years]). Detection rates at the first screen in the ERSPC trial range from 11 to 42/1,000 men screened and reflect underlying differences in incidence rates and screening procedures. In centers with consent to randomization design, adherence in the screening arm is 91%, but less than half of the men in the target population are enrolled in the trial. In population-based centers in which men were randomized prior to consent, all eligible subjects are enrolled, but only about two-thirds of the men in the intervention arm undergo screening. Considerable progress has been made in both trials. Enrollment will be completed in 2001. A substantial number of early prostate cancers have been detected. The differences between countries seem to reflect both underlying prostate cancer incidence and screening policy. The trials have the power to show definitive results in 2005-2008.

Changing face and different countenances of prostate cancer: racial and geographic differences in prostate-specific antigen (PSA), stage, and grade trends in the PSA era

The purpose of this investigation was to examine changes in pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA), stage, and grade over the past decade as a function of race and geographic region. A multiinstitutional database representing 6,790 patients (1,417 African-American, 5,373 white) diagnosed with nonmetastatic prostate cancer between 1988 and 1997 was constructed. PSA, stage, and grade data were tabulated by calendar year and region, and time trend analyses based on race and region were performed. There was an overall decline of PSA of 0.8%/year, which was significant (P = 0.0001), with a faster rate of decline in African-Americans (1.9%/year) than for whites (0.6%/year). The odds ratio (OR) for a stage shift was 1.09, which was significant (P < 0.0001), and this shift was greater in whites. The OR for an overall grade shift was 1.15, which was significant (P < 0.0001). Although grade and PSA trends were similar for the different regions, there were significant regional differences in stage trends. The implications are that the face of prostate cancer has changed over the past decade; i.e., the distributions of stage, grade, and PSA (the most important prognosticators) have changed. In addition, the countenances of that face are different for whites and African-Americans. For African-Americans, this is good news: the stage, grade, and PSA distributions are more favorable now than before. For whites, the trends are more complex and more dependent on region. These findings should be used for future clinical and health-policy decisions in the screening and treatment of prostate cancer.

Incidental prostatic adenocarcinomas and putative premalignant lesions in TURP specimens collected before and after the introduction of prostrate-specific antigen screening

BACKGROUND

Since the introduction of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening for the detection of prostatic adenocarcinoma (PCA), there has been an increase in the incidence of stage T1c PCA. The purpose of this study was to compare the frequency of incidental PCA found in transurethral resection of prostate (TURP) specimens for a 14-month period during 1989-1990 (before PSA screening was available) with the incidence of PCA for a 32-month period during 1997-1999 (after PSA screening became available).

DESIGN

Consecutive TURP specimens from the 2 time periods were reviewed to identify incidental PCA, prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN), and atypical adenomatous hyperplasia (AAH). Cases of TURP for palliative treatment of known advanced PCA were excluded from the study. All TURP specimens were fixed in 10% buffered formalin and were processed according to the same protocol.

RESULTS

We reviewed 533 and 449 TURP specimens for the time periods 1989-1990 and 1997-1999, respectively. Comparison of the results for these 2 time periods revealed that the combined prevalence of T1a and T1b PCA decreased over time from 12.9% to 8.0% (P =.06) with the introduction of PSA screening. A new group of T1c PCA was established in the post-PSA screening period of 1997-1999. There were no statistically significant differences in the incidences of T1a PCA, PIN, and AAH in TURP specimens for the 2 time periods.

CONCLUSION

The decreased incidence of T1b PCA in TURP specimens for the 1997-1999 period represents a shift in PCA staging. Some PCAs previously staged as T1b are now staged as T2 carcinomas, as a result of PSA screening and earlier clinical detection. The introduction of PSA screening has had no influence on the incidence of T1a PCA, PIN, or AAH in TURP specimens.

Prostate cancer screening trends of New York State men at least 50 years of age, 1994 to 1997

BACKGROUND

Despite the lack of consensus on prostate cancer screening recommendations, men are being screened at high rates in some states. Our objective was to examine the trends in prostate cancer screening awareness and practices from 1994 through 1997 and the relationship among screening practices and demographic characteristics, perceived risk, and family history of prostate cancer.

METHODS

Data from the New York State Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System surveys and questionnaire modules on prostate cancer screening were used for this study, which excluded men younger than 50 years of age and men with a history of prostate cancer. The questionnaires were administered by random-digit-dialed monthly telephone surveys of the civilian, noninstitutionalized adult population in New York State.

RESULTS

A total of 295, 336, 273, and 448 men, the vast majority of whom were white, met the study criteria for 1994, 1995, 1996, and 1997, respectively. Each year the percentage of men who reported having heard of the prostate specific antigen (PSA) test increased (test for trend, P < 0.001). Among those who had heard of the PSA test, the percentage who reported having had a PSA test increased steadily from 1994 to 1997. About 30% of the men in each year's study did not have an impression of their risk of getting prostate cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the increasing rate at which men are reporting being screened for prostate cancer and given their reported perceived risk levels, perhaps more needs to be done to educate men about screening implications and personal risk for prostate cancer.

Prostate cancer incidence and mortality trends among elderly and adult Europeans

Prostate cancer is a common malignancy primarily of elderly men, with incidence rates rapidly increasing, owing to the population ageing and the introduction of more sensitive diagnostic procedures. Although the effectiveness of a screening test remains controversial, the decreasing mortality rates, which recently emerged in the USA, may be partly attributable to the changes of patterns of care, thus suggesting a potential effect of preventive measure. The object of this study is to examine time trends in incidence and mortality from prostate cancer in European Union (EU) countries, with particular attention to possible differences between the elderly (65 years old or over) and younger or middle age adults (35-64 years old). EUROCIM, the data base created by the European Network of Cancer Registries, provided the incidence and mortality data for the 12 EU Countries analysed (namely: Finland, Denmark, Scotland, England and Wales, Ireland and The Netherlands in Northern Europe; Austria, Germany and France in Central Europe; Italy, Spain and Portugal in Southern Europe), for the 1978-1994 period. Incidence and mortality time trends, expressed as mean difference per cent (MD%) per year, were estimated by a Poisson log-linear regression model. Higher resolution analyses were also carried out to check differences in time trends by age class within the two groups under study. Upward mortality trends occurred in several countries, excepting Ireland, Austria and Southern Europe, but only for younger and middle aged adults. Rates increased more rapidly in older age groups; a clear north-south gradient appeared both in the elderly and in younger adults; for the elderly, MD% higher than +1.5 for most countries of Northern Europe, MD% around +1 for Central Europe, and MD% less than +1 for Southern Europe were registered, with lower values for younger people. Incidence rates rose across the period considered, almost in all countries both for elderly and for younger and middle age adults, increasing more rapidly in younger age. Incidence trends showed a less clear geographic pattern than for mortality. In the younger group, high MD%, ranging in Northern Europe from +3.2 in Finland and England and Wales to +5.7 in The Netherlands, were observed, while in the South values ranged between +4.2 and +5.0. In Central Europe, very high MD%, ranging between +8.4 in France and +16.6 in Austria, were noted. No significant trends were observed for Denmark, Ireland and Portugal. For the elderly the increase was generally lower and no significant trend was observed in Germany and Portugal. Interaction between age and calendar period in the older group was observed for most of the considered countries. With reference to mortality, the MD% showed a tendency to rise, with increasing age, while no consistent pattern emerged for incidence. The observed incidence trends are probably a consequence of the different times in which the more recent detection methods were introduced in each country, and of the different policies adopted by each health care system towards the elderly. A comparison with the USA data suggests that in the next future a favourable downward mortality trend could be expected also in some EU Countries and, particularly, for younger age groups, even though prostatic cancer in old patients will remain a great burden, which National Health Care Systems will have to face in the next decades.

Comparison of different approaches to incidence prediction based on simple interpolation techniques

The paper compares three different methods for performing disease incidence prediction based on simple interpolation techniques. The first method assumes that the age-period specific numbers of observed cases follow a Poisson distribution and the other two methods assume a normal distribution for the incidence rates. The main emphasis of the paper is on assessing the reliability of the three methods. For this purpose, ex post predictions produced by each method are checked for different cancer sites using data from the Cancer Control Region of Turku in Finland. In addition, the behaviour of the estimators of predicted expected values and prediction intervals, crucial for investigation of the reliability of prediction, are assessed using a simulation study. The prediction method making use of the Poisson assumption appeared to be the most reliable of the three approaches. The simulation study found that the estimator of the length of the prediction interval produced by this method has the smallest coverage error and is the most precise.

Implications of stage-specific survival rates in assessing recent declines in prostate cancer mortality rates

It has been noted that the most important evidence for a benefit of early detection of prostate cancer using prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing would be a decline in prostate cancer mortality rates to levels below those existing before diagnostic use of PSA testing. We document a decrease in U.S. prostate cancer mortality rates in white men less than 85 years of age to levels below those existing in 1986, the year use of PSA testing was approved. In fact, for men 60-79 years of age, prostate cancer mortality rates were lower in 1997 than in any year since 1950. Although it has been argued that the decrease in prostate cancer mortality rates began too soon to be explained by PSA testing, stage-specific survival rates indicate that a rapid decrease in mortality may be explained by the large number of high-grade prostate cancers detected before metastasis. If recent decreases in U.S. prostate cancer mortality rates are due to early detection using PSA testing, randomized clinical trials investigating PSA testing will show early evidence of a mortality benefit.

Trends in the curative treatment of localized prostate cancer after the introduction of prostate-specific antigen: data from the Rotterdam Cancer Registry

OBJECTIVE

To investigate changes in the incidence and treatment of prostate cancer over the period in which new diagnostic tools were introduced and the attitude towards treatment was changing.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Information on the extent of disease and treatment of patients diagnosed with prostate cancer within the Rotterdam region was retrieved from the Rotterdam Cancer Registry.

RESULTS

In the period 1989-95, 4344 patients were diagnosed with prostate cancer and the age-standardized incidence increased from 62 to 125 per 100 000 men. This increase mainly comprised tumours localized to the prostate, while the incidence of advanced cancers remained stable. The proportion of poorly differentiated tumours decreased from 33% in 1989 to 24% in 1995. In the same period the number of patients receiving radiotherapy increased from 80 to 258, while the annual number of radical prostatectomies rose from 17 to 159. Radiotherapy was the preferred type of treatment in patients over 70 years of age, whereas radical prostatectomy was used more frequently in younger patients with localized tumours.

CONCLUSION

While the value of screening for prostate cancer remains in debate, incidence and treatment patterns are changing rapidly. Information on patterns of care is needed to interpret future mortality data and to plan resources for adequate health care.

Declining rates of extracapsular extension after radical prostatectomy: evidence for continued stage migration

PURPOSE

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening is responsible for a profound clinical stage migration in newly detected prostate cancers. Extracapsular extension (ECE) is an important predictor of outcome after radical prostatectomy (RP). We examined trends in the rate of ECE for cancers detected by PSA screening in 731 RP specimens between 1987 and 1997, when screening became routine urologic practice in the United States.

METHODS

The rates of ECE were examined in 311 prostates with nonpalpable (stage T1c) disease and 420 with palpable but clinically localized (stage T2) disease. Specimens were step-sectioned and examined by a senior pathologist. Rates of ECE were compared with respect to time, and logistic regression was used to identify predictors of ECE.

RESULTS

The rate of ECE decreased from 81% to 36% during the 10-year observation period. Multivariateanalysis involving clinical tumor stage, preoperative serum PSA level, and Gleason score demonstrated that year of treatment was an independent predictor of ECE, with a two-fold reduction of risk occurring during the study period (P <. 001; odds ratio, 1.96; 95% confidence interval, 1.37 to 2.78).

CONCLUSION

PSA screening has resulted in a downward trend in pathologic stage in clinically localized prostate cancer, independent of preoperative PSA level, tumor stage, and Gleason score. This time-dependent downward stage migration suggests the need for continuous updating of predictive nomograms and caution in interpreting differences in contemporarily treated patients compared with historical controls. Further study is needed to determine whether this trend will translate into improved disease-free survival.

Cancer surveillance series: interpreting trends in prostate cancer--part I: Evidence of the effects of screening in recent prostate cancer incidence, mortality, and survival rates

BACKGROUND

The prostate-specific antigen test was approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in 1986 to monitor the disease status in patients with prostate cancer and, in 1994, to aid in prostate cancer detection. However, after 1986, the test was performed on many men who had not been previously diagnosed with prostate cancer, apparently resulting in the diagnosis of a substantial number of early tumors. Our purpose is to provide insight into the effect of screening on prostate cancer rates. Detailed data are presented for whites because the size of the population allows for calculating statistically reliable rates; however, similar overall trends are seen for African-Americans and other races.

METHODS

Prostate cancer incidence data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program and mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics were analyzed.

RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS

The following findings are consistent with a screening effect: 1) the recent decrease since 1991 in the incidence of distant stage disease, after not having been perturbed by screening; 2) the decline in the incidence of earlier stage disease beginning the following year (i.e., 1992); 3) the recent increases and decreases in prostate cancer incidence and mortality by age that appear to indicate a calendar period effect; and 4) trends in the incidence of distant stage disease by tumor grade and trends in the survival of patients with distant stage disease by calendar year that provide suggestive evidence of the tendency of screening to detect slower growing tumors.

IMPLICATIONS

The decline in the incidence of distant stage disease holds the promise that testing for prostate-specific antigen may lead to a sustained decline in prostate cancer mortality. However, population data are complex, and it is difficult to confidently attribute relatively small changes in mortality to any one cause.

Prostate cancer histologic trends in the metropolitan Detroit area, 1982 to 1996

OBJECTIVES

One of the concerns regarding the widespread use of serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) as a screening tool for prostate cancer is the possibility that it may detect latent or clinically insignificant cancers. One indicator of clinical importance is thought to be histologic grade, with clinically unimportant cancers more likely to be well differentiated and clinically important tumors more likely to be moderately or poorly differentiated.

METHODS

Data from the metropolitan Detroit population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program were examined to determine trends in prostate cancer histologic grading before and after the introduction of PSA screening.

RESULTS

From 1989 through 1996, the most recent year for which data are available, a dramatic increase in the incidence of prostate cancer occurred in the Detroit area, corresponding to the routine use of PSA as a screening test for prostate cancer. Local stage cancer demonstrated the largest increase in incidence. The incidence of moderately differentiated cancers also rose substantially during the same period; the incidence of poorly differentiated tumors remained about the same, and the incidence of well differentiated tumors decreased. Coincident with the increasing proportion of moderately differentiated cancers was a significant increase in the proportion of prostate biopsies performed (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

These population-based data add important evidence that prostate cancers identified with PSA are more likely to be moderately than well differentiated. Additionally, if the definition of clinical significance depends on histopathologic grade, this finding could further be interpreted as evidence that PSA is more likely to detect clinically significant prostate cancer.

Sociodemographic and health status characteristics with prostate cancer screening in a national cohort of middle-aged male veterans

OBJECTIVES

To characterize variables associated with obtaining prostate cancer screening in a nonclinical, nationally distributed, middle-aged male population.

METHODS

Telephone interviews were administered to 2652 individual members of the Vietnam Era Twin Registry in 1992 and 1995. Dependent variables were self-report measures of having had a digital rectal examination (DRE) and/or a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test in the past 5 years. Independent variables were current measures of age, household income, education, race, insurance, source of care, and lifetime measures of physical condition, psychiatric illness, and alcohol and nicotine dependence.

RESULTS

Thirty-five percent of the sample reported having had a PSA and DRE within the past 5 years. Prevalence of obtaining either a PSA or DRE varied with age, income, education, and race. Subjects with a regular source of care, a regular physician, and health insurance reported higher rates of having had a DRE or PSA and DRE. Persons with a physical or psychiatric illness reported more screening. A multiple regression model revealed that having a regular source of care, having a regular physician, physical illness, psychiatric illness, minority status, higher income, and age predicted having had some form of screening.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial portion of middle-aged men have had both a PSA and DRE performed at least once in the preceding 5 years. It may be possible to further improve prostate cancer screening participation by directing educational programs at men who are not in contact with the healthcare system. If the PSA and DRE screening guidelines that are finally adopted discourage screening among low-risk men younger than age 50, educational programs that emphasize age screening criteria may be warranted.

Evaluation of the digital rectal examination as a screening test for prostate cancer. Rotterdam section of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

The utility of digital rectal examination (DRE) as a screening test for early detection of prostate cancer has not been established. Therefore, we evaluated the usefulness of DRE as a stand-alone screening test and in conjunction with measured serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels of 0-3.9 ng/mL and transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS).

METHODS

Our study population consisted of 10,523 men aged 54-76 years who were randomly assigned to the screening arm of the Rotterdam, The Netherlands, section of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer. The underlying prevalence of detectable prostate cancer was estimated by logistic regression analysis and used for calculating the sensitivity of DRE as a test. Pathologic characteristics of 105 radical prostatectomy specimens were used to determine the aggressiveness of the tumors diagnosed (and missed) by DRE.

RESULTS

The overall detection rate for prostate cancer in this population when serum PSA measurement, DRE, and TRUS were used was 4.5%, and the detection rate with DRE alone was 2.5%. The positive predictive value of DRE ranged from 4% to 11% in men with PSA levels of 0-2.9 ng/mL and from 33% to 83% in men with PSA levels of 3.0-9.9 ng/mL or more. Most tumors detected by DRE in men with PSA levels of less than 4.0 ng/mL were small (mean volumes = 0.24-0.83 mL), and most were well differentiated (Gleason scores of 6 or less). Minimal, moderate, and advanced cancers were seen in 42%, 42%, and 16% of men, respectively, with a PSA level of 4.0 ng/mL or less. DRE alone allowed detection of 264 (55.8%) of 473 cancers; 82 (17.3%) of the 473 cancers would have remained undetected by PSA-based screening alone (i.e., no follow-up procedures for PSA values of 0-3.9 ng/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

For PSA values of 0-3.9 ng/mL, the positive predictive value and sensitivity of DRE, tumor volume, and tumor grade were strongly dependent on PSA level. DRE has a poor performance in low PSA ranges.

Histological and clinical findings in 896 consecutive prostates treated only with radical retropubic prostatectomy: epidemiologic significance of annual changes

PURPOSE

Recognizing that the unprecedented increase in new cases of prostate cancer between 1988 and 1996 actually peaked in 1992 and has now returned to baseline, we examined our clinical and histological database for annual trends in 896 consecutive men treated only with radical prostatectomy for clinical stages T1c to T2c from 1988 to 1996.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All radical prostatectomy specimens were examined prospectively in 3 mm. step sections by 1 pathologist. Using multiple logistic regression for dichotomous variables and multiple linear regression for continuous variables, both corrected for age, we assessed the annual trends for significant changes in T1c versus T2 clinical stages, preoperative serum prostate specific antigen (PSA), cancer volume, percent Gleason grade 4/5 in the cancer, location of the cancer in the transition or peripheral zone, organ confined status, seminal vesicle invasion, positive surgical margins, prostate weight and presence of clinically insignificant cancers (less than 0.5 cc in volume).

RESULTS

There were no significant annual changes in the proportion of percent Gleason grade 4/5 cancer, serum PSA, prostate weight or clinically insignificant cancers less than 0.5 cc, and the annual changes for cancer volume were only of moderate significance. T1c cancers increased from 10% in 1988 to 73% in 1996 (p=0.0001), organ confined cancers from 40 to 75% (p=0.0001) and transition zone cancers from 10 to 21% (p=0.003). Seminal vesicle invasion decreased from 18 to 5% (p=0.001) and positive surgical margins from 30 to 14 (p=0.006). Mean patient age changed from 65 to 62 years (p=0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

We believe that the extraordinary rise and fall in prostate cancer detection rates from 1990 to 1994 primarily removed previously undetected T2 cancers from the pool at large, leaving impalpable T1c cancers as the primary reservoir of prostate cancers in the United States. Importantly, cancer volume, percent Gleason grade 4/5 cancer, serum PSA and cancers less than 0.5 cc have not had a highly significant change during these critical 9 years. These data argue strongly that current PSA testing has not resulted in the detection of clinically insignificant cancers, and that PSA screening should be expanded and not restricted.

The Role of Radiotherapy in the Treatment of Carcinoma of the Prostate: A Survey of Clinical Practices in Lombardy, Italy, by the Airo-Lombardia Cooperative Group

Aims and background

We report the results of a survey performed in 1994 by the AIRO-Lombardia Cooperative Group, on the clinical patterns of radiation treatment for prostatic carcinoma in Lombardy, Italy, involving all radiotherapy centers serving an overall local population of about 8,800,000 people.

Methods

A questionnaire was sent to all 13 radiotherapy centers throughout Lombardy, asking for demographic and treatment details concerning the local population of patients with a localized (T1-4, N0-1, M0) carcinoma of the prostate treated with radiotherapy; 12 centers responded, making the basis for the present report.

Results

Analysis of collected data showed that in Lombardy: a) approximately 400 patients per year are irradiated for a localized carcinoma of the prostate, accounting for less than 30% of the total expected number of patients with this disease presentation; b) a complete staging (with PSA, transrectal ultrasonography, abdomino-pelvic CT or MRI scan and total-body bone scan) is performed in over 95% of patients before initiating radiotherapy; c) significant differences exist between radiotherapy centers as regards treatment planning and delivery.

Conclusions

An urgent need exists for implementing procedures aimed at standardizing radiotherapy procedures within Lombardy.

National trends in the epidemiology of prostate cancer, 1973 to 1994: evidence for the effectiveness of prostate-specific antigen screening

OBJECTIVES

The use of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) to screen for prostate cancer remains controversial. Although it is still too early to measure directly the effects of PSA screening on mortality, we examined changes in the epidemiology of prostate cancer to determine if there is other evidence of the effectiveness of PSA as a screening tool.

METHODS

We examined trends in age at diagnosis, and age-adjusted trends in stage and grade at diagnosis, for 140,936 white and 15,662 African American men diagnosed with prostate cancer from 1973 to 1994 in the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data base.

RESULTS

We found a significant downward trend in age at diagnosis, concomitant with a downward shift in stage of disease at diagnosis, starting with the advent of the PSA era in the late 1980s. We noted most cancers detected since the PSA era to be moderately well differentiated (International Classification of Diseases of the World Health Organization grade 2; Gleason score 5, 6, 7) and organ confined. Although findings were similar for both whites and African Americans, African Americans experienced a greater increase in poorly differentiated disease than did whites.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in the epidemiology of prostate cancer since the advent of the PSA era are consistent with the introduction of an effective screening test. This is evidenced by an increase in detection of significant prostate cancer in individuals who will likely benefit from treatment.

Prostate-specific antigen and new related markers for prostate cancer

Although prostate-specific antigen (PSA), or human kallikrein 3, is the most valuable tool available for the diagnosis and management of prostate cancer, as currently used it is insufficiently sensitive and specific for early detection or staging of the malignancy. Many new concepts have been introduced in order to optimize the clinical use of PSA measurements, but each one has its own drawbacks. The molecular forms of PSA, especially the free PSA, seem to be useful for the detection of prostate cancer in men with PSA concentrations falling in the 4-10 microg/l range. New molecular techniques, such as reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for the detection of minimal amounts of PSA messenger RNA and prostate-specific membrane antigen, offer new promise for the prognosis and possibly staging of prostate cancer. On the other hand, human kallikrein 2, a serine protease closely related to PSA that is also expressed predominantly in the prostate, may be a new adjuvant marker for prostate cancer. As for its biological functions, PSA can no longer be regarded as a specific prostate molecule associated mainly with semen liquefaction when it has a possible role as a prognostic indicator in female breast cancer. The biological role of PSA in normal tissues and tumors may be much more complex than previously thought and requires further investigation.

Prostate-specific antigen testing in Australia and association with prostate cancer incidence in New South Wales

OBJECTIVE

To describe patterns and trends in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing in Australia and assess its role in the increasing incidence of prostate cancer.

DESIGN

Descriptive analysis of (i) Medicare records of PSA testing in Australia, and (ii) prostate cancer recorded incidence in New South Wales.

DATA

(i) Medicare data for all males who received a Medicare-reimbursed PSA test between August 1989 and December 1996. (ii) NSW Central Cancer Registry data for all males in NSW with prostate cancer diagnosed between 1988 and 1995.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

(i) Number of PSA tests, age-standardised rates of PSA tests by State and Territory, and proportions of males who had a PSA test. (ii) Recorded incidence of prostate cancer in NSW.

RESULTS

(i) More than 2.2 million PSA tests were done on more than 1.1 million Australians between 1989 and 1996. The annual number of males tested increased fivefold in this period and peaked in 1995. Twenty-seven per cent of Australian men aged 50 years or over had at least one PSA test in 1995 or 1996; 33% of men aged 60-69 years had a test in this period. (ii) In NSW the number of PSA tests per quarter was highly correlated with the number of new cases of prostate cancer (R2 = 0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

Although no organised program for prostate cancer screening exists, and despite repeated advice against it, opportunistic screening has been occurring at high rates. There was a high correlation between PSA testing and prostate cancer incidence between 1990 and 1995 in NSW.