Estimation of stage-specific fibrosis progression rates in chronic hepatitis C virus infection: a meta-analysis and meta-regression

Estimated number of people infected with hepatitis B and C virus in Germany in 2013: a baseline prevalence estimate using the workbook method

Introduction

Hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV) viral infections are uncommon in Germany, though these infections have a higher prevalence among certain subpopulations, such as some first-generation migrant groups, people who inject drugs (PWID), and HIV-positive men who have sex with men (HIV+MSM). Repeated estimates of the number of people infected with HBV and HCV are essential to facilitate the monitoring and elimination efforts by 2030. We estimated the total number of people infected with HBV and HCV in Germany, and the number in each specific subpopulation. We based our calculations on data from 2013, a year that we strategically chose to coincide with the availability of data from serological surveys, the advent of highly effective antiviral therapy for HCV, and significant migrant flows in the following years.

Methods

We used the workbook method, a technique that combines subpopulation size and prevalence data. We included different population groups (general population excluding vulnerable groups, migrants stratified by nationality, people who inject opioids (PWIO) and HIV+MSM). We estimated the number of people infected with HBV and the number of people infected with HCV. Estimates of the number of people infected with HBV and HCV are reported with the lower and upper confidence limits.

Results

We estimated 228,000 (179,000-291,000) HBV-infected adults (≥ 18 years of age) in Germany in 2013, of whom 41% (n = 93,000 [52,000-169,000]) were in the general population excluding vulnerable groups. Another 58% (132,000; 126,000-137,000) were migrants, 1.0% (2,400; 900-6,200) PWIO and 0.4% (1,000; 800-1,400) were HIV+MSM. We estimated 214,000 (135,000-340,000) HCV-infected adults in Germany in 2013, of whom 47% (100,000; 38,000-267,000) were in the general population excluding vulnerable groups, 26.0% (56,000; 47,000-66,000) were migrants, 26% (56,000; 50,000-62,000) were PWIO, and 1.0% (2,500; 2,200-2,800) were HIV+MSM, respectively.

Discussion

Our results indicate that more than half of HBV-infected individuals were migrants, and more than half of HCV-infected individuals were PWIO or migrants. This highlights the importance of including relevant subpopulations in national estimates, surveillance, prevention, and therapy. Our estimates serve as a baseline reference for subsequent updates and ongoing monitoring of HBV and HCV epidemiology in Germany.

Hepar-C: A cross-sectional study investigating general population knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors regarding hepatitis C screening in the Latium Region, Italy, October 2022 to May 2023

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to gather information about the target population's knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors regarding HCV screening to develop effective communication strategies and improve service offerings.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a Cross-Sectional study.

METHODS

A target population random sample was submitted a phone questionnaire based on the Health Belief Model (HBF), containing 4 sections on perceived HCV susceptibility and severity, screening benefits and barriers. Each person interviewed was finally invited to adhere to the screening. Prevalence was estimated using a 95 % C.I., and association between sociodemographic characteristics, HBF attitudes, and screening adherence following the interview was assessed.

RESULTS

Survey involved 641 participants. HCV susceptibility was perceived by 4.8 % (95 % CI 3.23-6.57) and HCV severity by 69.4 % (95 % CI 65.83-72.97), 95 % (95 % CI 93.3-96.6) acknowledged screening benefits and 88 % (95 % CI 85.4-90.5) perceived no barriers. Insufficient or no information about HCV or the screening was received by the 49.0 % (95 % CI 45.1-52.8) of people interviewed. Among these people, in the 2 months aftermath, 17.6 % carried out the HCV screening. Perception of screening barriers was associated with low education level (OR 1.83, P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Low adherence to the HCV screening could be explained with a poor perception of HCV susceptibility and gravity by the target population particularly with socioeconomic hurdles. Forthcoming communication campaign would need to focus on those factors to improve adherence.

Achieving Hepatitis C Micro-Elimination in Chinese Injecting Drug Users: A Dynamic Network Modeling Study

INTRODUCTION

The World Health Organization (WHO) has established objectives for eradicating the hepatitis C virus (HCV). People who inject drugs (PWID), a major driver of HCV transmission, are an essential part of China's hepatitis C elimination program. This study aimed to estimate the requisite screening and antiviral treatment levels to achieve these goals among people who inject drugs in China and identify the most cost-effective strategy.

METHODS

This study utilized models based on dynamic social networks to simulate HCV transmission and disease progression among people who inject drugs in China, incorporating a cost-effectiveness analysis from a healthcare perspective.

RESULTS

To achieve the WHO targets, a minimum screening and treatment rate of 10% is required to meet the mortality goal, while a 25% rate is necessary for the incidence goal. The most cost-effective strategy includes a 25% screening rate and a 95% treatment rate. Compared to no intervention, this approach significantly reduces costs by - $85,873.38 (95% CI  - $94,311.16 to  - $77,435.59) and adds 24.66 (95% CI 23.68 to - 25.64) quality-adjusted life years. The intervention is dominant, with a cost-effectiveness ratio of - $3482.29 (95% CI  - $3982.73 to  - $3020.11) per quality-adjusted life year.

CONCLUSION

Achieving the WHO's hepatitis C virus elimination targets among people who inject drugs in China is feasible and cost-saving.

Assessment and integration of multiparametric MRI for liver fibrosis staging in rat non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: Evaluation of diagnostic efficiency and model interpretation

OBJECTIVES

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) techniques, including intravoxel incoherence motion (IVIM), iterative decomposition of water and fat with echo asymmetry and least-squares estimation quantification sequence (IDEAL IQ), T2* mapping and T2 mapping, were employed to develop and validate a predictive model for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) diagnosis and liver fibrosis (LF) staging in rats. The combined model was interpreted using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values for model interpretation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

160 healthy Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were divided into control (n = 24) and experimental (n = 136) groups, and the 12-week and 16-week groups were injected intraperitoneally with carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) for 4 weeks, one month before the final feeding period. All rats were subjected to pathological examination to determine LF stage. Upon the study's completion, 147 SD rats were assessed for liver fibrosis.

RESULTS

84 SD rats were diagnosed with NASH and 31, 10, and 43 rats were histologically diagnosed with no fibrosis (F0), early LF (F1-F2), and advanced LF (F3-F4). For diagnosis of NASH and staging of liver fibrosis associated with NASH, a combined mpMRI prediction model has a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve (AUC) than uniparameters, especially in advanced stages of fibrosis, with an AUC of 0.929 for the combined model. In SHAP, the fat fraction(FF) value contributes most to the model for diagnosing NASH and advanced liver fibrosis, while the T2 value contributes most for diagnosing liver fibrosis and the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) value contributes most for diagnosing liver cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The mpMRI could be used to evaluate the severity of liver fibrosis in the context of NASH. Combined with SHAP value analysis, this approach can help to understand the contribution of each mpMRI feature to the predictive model.

Hepatitis C Virus-Pediatric and Adult Perspectives in the Current Decade

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infects both pediatric and adult populations and is an important cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. There are differences in the screening and management of HCV between pediatric and adult patients, which have been highlighted in this review. Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAA) have made the cure of HCV possible, and fortunately, these medications are approved down to three years of age. However, treatment in the pediatric population has its own set of challenges. The World Health Organization (WHO) has made a pledge to eliminate HCV as a public health threat by 2030. Despite this, HCV continues to remain a global health burden, leading to cirrhosis as well as hepatocellular carcinoma, and is a reason for liver transplantation in the adult population. Although rare, these complications can also affect the pediatric population. A variety of new technologies t have become available in the current era and can advance our understanding of HCV are discussed. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, liver organoids, and liver-on-chip are some examples of techniques that have the potential to contribute to our understanding of the disease and treatment process in HCV. Despite efforts over several decades, a successful vaccine against HCV has yet to be developed. This would be an important tool to help in worldwide efforts to eliminate the virus.

Effects and Costs of Hepatitis C Virus Elimination for the Whole Population in China: A Modelling Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

China has the highest number of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in the world. However, it is unclear what levels of screening and treatment are needed to achieve the WHO 2030 hepatitis C elimination targets. We aimed to evaluate the impact of scaling up interventions on the hepatitis C epidemic and determine how and at what cost these elimination targets could be achieved for the whole population in China.

METHODS

We developed a compartmental model incorporating HCV transmission, disease progression, and care cascade for the whole population in China, calibrated with data on demographics, injecting drug use, HCV prevalence, and treatments. Five different scenarios were evaluated for effects and costs for 2022-2030. All costs were converted to 2021 US dollar (USD) and discounted at an annual rate of 5%. One-way sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

Under the status quo scenario, the incidence of hepatitis C is projected to increase from 60.39 (57.60-63.45) per 100,000 person-years in 2022 to 68.72 (65.3-73.97) per 100,000 person-years in 2030, and 2.52 million (1.94-3.07 million) infected patients are projected to die between 2022 and 2030, of which 0.76 (0.61-1.08) million will die due to hepatitis C. By increasing primary screening to 10%, conducting regular rescreening (annually for PWID and every 5 years for the general population) and treating 90% of patients diagnosed, the incidence would be reduced by 88.15% (86.61-89.45%) and hepatitis C-related mortality by 60.5% (52.62-65.54%) by 2030, compared with 2015 levels. This strategy would cost USD 52.78 (USD 43.93-58.53) billion.

CONCLUSIONS

Without changes in HCV prevention and control policy, the disease burden of HCV in China will increase dramatically. To achieve the hepatitis C elimination targets, China needs to sufficiently scale up screening and treatment.

Detection of Hepatitis C Virus Infection from Patient Sera in Cell Culture Using Semi-Automated Image Analysis

The study of hepatitis C virus (HCV) replication in cell culture is mainly based on cloned viral isolates requiring adaptation for efficient replication in Huh7 hepatoma cells. The analysis of wild-type (WT) isolates was enabled by the expression of SEC14L2 and by inhibitors targeting deleterious host factors. Here, we aimed to optimize cell culture models to allow infection with HCV from patient sera. We used Huh7-Lunet cells ectopically expressing SEC14L2, CD81, and a GFP reporter with nuclear translocation upon cleavage by the HCV protease to study HCV replication, combined with a drug-based regimen for stimulation of non-modified wild-type isolates. RT-qPCR-based quantification of HCV infections using patient sera suffered from a high background in the daclatasvir-treated controls. We therefore established an automated image analysis pipeline based on imaging of whole wells and iterative training of a machine learning tool, using nuclear GFP localization as a readout for HCV infection. Upon visual validation of hits assigned by the automated image analysis, the method revealed no background in daclatasvir-treated samples. Thereby, infection events were found for 15 of 34 high titer HCV genotype (gt) 1b sera, revealing a significant correlation between serum titer and successful infection. We further show that transfection of viral RNA extracted from sera can be used in this model as well, albeit with so far limited efficiency. Overall, we generated a robust serum infection assay for gt1b isolates using semi-automated image analysis, which was superior to conventional RT-qPCR-based quantification of viral genomes.

Update on Hepatitis C Vaccine: Results and Challenges

Therapy against the Hepatitis C virus (HCV) has significantly improved with the introduction of direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs), achieving over 95% sustained virological response (SVR). Despite this, the development of an effective anti-HCV vaccine remains a critical challenge due to the low number of patients treated with DAAs and the occurrence of HCV reinfections in high-risk groups. Current vaccine strategies aim to stimulate either B-cell or T-cell responses. Vaccines based on E1 and E2 proteins can elicit broad cross-neutralizing antibodies against all major HCV genotypes, though with varying efficiencies and without full protection against infection. In humans, the neutralizing antibodies induced by such vaccines mainly target the AR3 region, but their levels are generally insufficient for broad neutralization. Various HCV proteins expressed through different viral vectors have been utilized to elicit T cell immune responses, showing sustained expansion of HCV-specific effector memory T cells and improved proliferation and polyfunctionality of memory T cells over time. However, despite these advancements, the frequency and effectiveness of T-cell responses remain limited.

The non-invasive serum biomarkers contributes to indicate liver fibrosis staging and evaluate the progress of chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic abilities of the non-invasive serum biomarkers to predict liver fibrosis staging and evaluate the progress of hepatitis B.

METHODS

We enrolled 433 patients with chronic HBV infection had complete medical data available for the study, who underwent percutaneous liver biopsy. The extent of fibrosis was assessed using the modified METAVIR score. The predictive values of the non-invasive serum biomarkers were evaluated by the areas under the receiving operator characteristics curves (AUROCs) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

The proportion of males with progressive stages of liver fibrosis was relatively larger, and the average age of patients with cirrhosis stages is older than the non-cirrhotic stages. We found PLT, GGT, ALP, TB, FIB4 and GPR to be significantly associated with liver fibrosis in our cohort. GGT showed a sensitivity of 71.4% and specificity of 76.7% in distinguishing cirrhosis (F4) from non-cirrhotic stages (F1-3), with an AUROC of 0.775 (95%CI 0.711-0.840).The AUROCs of the GPR in distinguishing cirrhosis (F4) from non-cirrhotic stages (F1-3) was 0.794 (95%CI 0.734-0.853), but it had a lower sensitivity of 59.2%. Additionally, GGT, FIB4, and GPR could differentiate advanced fibrosis (F3-4) from non-advanced fibrosis (F1-2) among individuals with chronic hepatitis B, with AUROCs of 0.723 (95%CI 0.668-0.777), 0.729 (95%CI 0.675-0.782), and 0.760 (95%CI: 0.709-0.811) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

GGT was a better biomarker to distinguish cirrhosis (F4) from non-cirrhotic stages (F1-3), while GPR was a better biomarker to identify advanced fibrosis (F3-4) and non-advanced fibrosis (F1-2) in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Repurposing of drug molecules from FDA database against Hepatitis C virus E2 protein using ensemble docking approach

Hepatitis C virus, a member of the Flaviviridae family and genus Hepacivirus, is an enveloped, positively single stranded RNA virus. Its surface consists of a heterodimer of E1 and E2 proteins which play a crucial role in receptor binding and membrane fusion. In this study we have used in silico virtual screening by utilizing ensemble docking on the approved drugs. These drugs can bind with high efficiency to the 36 prominent conformations of the CD81 binding site clustered from a total of 3 µs MD simulation data on the E2 protein. We started with 9213 compounds from the FDA list of drugs and progressively came down to 5 compounds which have been seen to bind with very high efficiency to not only all the conformations but also the two predicted druggable pockets that encompass the CD81 binding site. MM/PBSA binding energy calculations also point to the highly stable interaction of the compounds to the E2 protein. This study may in future broaden the arsenal of therapeutics for use against HCV infection and lead to more effective care against the virus.

Modelling hepatitis C infection acquired from blood transfusions in the UK between 1970 and 1991 for the Infected Blood Inquiry

The Statistics Expert Group was convened at the request of the Infected Blood Inquiry to provide estimates of the number of infections and deaths from blood-borne infections including hepatitis B virus, human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis C virus (HCV) and variant Creutzfeldt Jakob disease, as a direct result of contaminated blood and blood products administered in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (UK). In the absence of databases of HCV infections and related deaths for all nations of the UK, a statistical model was required to estimate the number of infections and subsequent deaths from HCV acquired from blood transfusions from January 1970 to August 1991. We present this statistical model in detail alongside the results of its application to each of the four nations in the UK. We estimated that 26 800 people (95% uncertainty interval 21 300-38 800) throughout the UK were chronically infected with HCV because of contaminated blood transfusions between January 1970 and August 1991. The number of deaths up to the end of 2019 that occurred as a result of this chronic infection is estimated to be 1820 (95% uncertainty interval 650-3320).

Clinical and endoscopic characteristics of patients undergoing gastrointestinal endoscopic procedures in Egypt: a nationwide multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Egypt faces a significant public health burden due to chronic liver diseases (CLD) and peptic ulcer disease. CLD, primarily caused by Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, affects over 2.9% of the population nationwide, with regional variations. Steatotic liver disease is rapidly emerging as a significant contributor to CLD, especially in urban areas. Acid-related disorders are another widespread condition that can significantly impact the quality of life. These factors and others significantly influence the indications and findings of gastrointestinal endoscopic procedures performed in Egypt.

AIM

We aimed to evaluate the clinico-demographic data, indications, and endoscopic findings in Egyptian patients undergoing gastrointestinal endoscopic procedures in various regions of Egypt.

METHODS

This study employed a retrospective multicenter cross-sectional design. Data was collected from patients referred for gastrointestinal endoscopy across 15 tertiary gastrointestinal endoscopy units in various governorates throughout Egypt.

RESULTS

5910 patients aged 38-63 were enrolled in the study; 75% underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD), while 25% underwent a colonoscopy. In all studied patients, the most frequent indications for EGD were dyspepsia (19.5%), followed by hematemesis (19.06%), and melena (17.07%). The final EGD diagnoses for the recruited patients were portal hypertension-related sequelae (60.3%), followed by acid-related diseases (55%), while 10.44% of patients had a normally apparent endoscopy. Male gender, old age, and the presence of chronic liver diseases were more common in patients from upper than lower Egypt governorates. Hematochezia (38.11%) was the most reported indication for colonoscopy, followed by anemia of unknown origin (25.11%). IBD and hemorrhoids (22.34% and 21.86%, respectively) were the most prevalent diagnoses among studied patients, while normal colonoscopy findings were encountered in 18.21% of them.

CONCLUSION

This is the largest study describing the situation of endoscopic procedures in Egypt. our study highlights the significant impact of regional variations in disease burden on the utilization and outcomes of GI endoscopy in Egypt. The high prevalence of chronic liver disease is reflected in the EGD findings, while the colonoscopy results suggest a potential need for increased awareness of colorectal diseases.

Meta-analysis: Incidence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Fontan palliation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The Fontan palliation is the final stage of surgery for many children born with univentricular physiology. Almost all Fontan patients develop liver fibrosis which may eventually lead to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). These are important causes of morbidity and mortality in these patients. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the incidence of cirrhosis and HCC in Fontan patients and stratify it based on time since surgery.

METHODS

A literature search of seven databases identified 1158 records. Studies reporting the number of cirrhosis and HCC cases in Fontan patients and time since Fontan surgery were included. In the cirrhosis cohort, we included only those studies where all patients underwent liver biopsy.

RESULTS

A total of 23 studies were included: 12 and 13 studies in the cirrhosis and HCC cohorts, respectively, with two studies included in both cohorts. The incidence of cirrhosis was 0.97 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.57-1.63), with the incidence and cumulative incidence ≥20 years post Fontan surgery being 1.61 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 1.24-2.08) and 32.2% (95% CI 25.8%-39.4%), respectively. The incidence of HCC was 0.12 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.07-0.21), with the incidence and cumulative incidence ≥20 years post Fontan surgery being 0.20 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.12-0.35) and 3.9% (95% CI 2.2%-6.8%), respectively. Only about 70% of patients with HCC (20/28) had underlying cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of cirrhosis and HCC increases over time, especially at ≥20 years post Fontan surgery. Studies are needed to further identify at-risk patients in order to streamline surveillance for these highly morbid conditions.

Epidemiology and Management of Infections in Liver Transplant Recipients

Background: Improvements in liver transplant (LT) outcomes are attributed to advances in surgical techniques, use of potent immunosuppressants, and rigorous pre-LT testing. Despite these improvements, post-LT infections remain the most common complication in this population. Bacteria constitute the most common infectious agents, while fungal and viral infections are also frequently encountered. Multi-drug-resistant bacterial infections develop because of polymicrobial overuse and prolonged hospital stays. Immediate post-LT infections are commonly caused by viruses. Conclusions: Appropriate vaccination, screening of both donor and recipients before LT and antiviral prophylaxis in high-risk individuals are recommended. Antimicrobial drug resistance is common in high-risk LT and associated with poor outcomes; epidemiology and management of these cases is discussed. Additionally, we also discuss the effect of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection and monkeypox in the LT population.

Prevalence and associated risk factors of hepatitis C antibody and RNA among people who inject drugs in Puerto Rico

INTRODUCTION

As a public health crisis, hepatitis C viral infection (HCV) is highly prevalent among people who inject drugs (PWID). We aimed to assess factors associated with HCV antibody (Ab) and HCV ribonucleic acid (RNA) positivity among PWID in Puerto Rico.

METHODS

The study recruited a total of 150 persons in rural and peri-urban community settings through the respondent-driven sampling method and administered a structured questionnaire. We conducted HIV and HCV testing using dried blood spots (DBS). We examined correlates of HCV infection with sociodemographics, drug use patterns, and injection practices using regression in bivariate and multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 150 participants, 89 % were male; 11 % were female; 72 % identified as mixed race; and the median duration of drug injection was 17.8 years. The mean age was 43.1 years, with 64 % of the population being from 23 to 45 years old. Among study participants (n = 150), the prevalence of HCV Ab was 73 %, and HCV RNA was 53 %. Factors significantly associated with HCV Ab and RNA included older age, increasing years of injection, incarceration, injecting other people, and identifying as Black. The belief that syringe air blowing reduces HCV transmission was also independently associated with HCV Ab positivity.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings regarding risk factors associated with HCV infection show the need to enhance prevention and control strategies for reducing transmission among PWID. Direct-acting antiviral treatment, sustained access to harm reduction, and culturally tailored services will be required to substantially reduce rates of HCV. Community-based treatment models and treatment in correctional settings are needed.

Is it time for China to prioritize pan-genotypic regimens for treating patients with hepatitis C?

INTRODUCTION

The treatment of hepatitis C has entered the pan-genotypic era, but the effectiveness is not good for the genotype 3b patients who have a large proportion in China. The guidelines for hepatitis C recommend the use of gene-specific regimens when the regional 3b prevalence rate greater than 5%. This study is to explore rationality of this proportion and the cost-effectiveness to implement pan-genotypic regimens in China.

METHODS

A decision Markov model was developed from the health system perspective to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness between pan-genotypic and gene-specific treatment regimens for hepatitis C patients. Additionally, we set a regional genotype 3b patient proportion of 0-100% to explore at which proportion it is necessary to perform genotype identification and typing therapy on patients. Model parameters were derived from published literature and public databases. Effectiveness was measured by cured patient numbers, newly diagnosed cases of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, need for liver transplantation, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost-effectiveness outcomes included costs and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The 1-3 times 2022 Chinese per capita gross domestic product was used as the willingness-to-pay threshold. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the uncertainty of the model parameters.

RESULTS

Compared with gene-specific regimens, pan-genotypic regimens resulted in an additional 0.13 QALYs and an incremental cost of $165, the ICER was $1,268/QALY. From the view of efficacy, the pan-genotypic regimens cured 5,868 more people per 100,000 patients than gene-specific regimens, avoiding 86.5% of DC cases, 64.6% of HCC cases, and 78.2% of liver transplant needs. Identifying 3b patients before treatment was definitely cost-effectiveness when their prevalence was 12% or higher. The results remained robust in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

In China, the prioritized recommendation of pan-genotypic therapeutics proves to be both cost-effective and efficacious. But, in regions where the prevalence of genotype 3b exceeds 12%, it is necessary to identify them to provision of more suitable therapies.

Role of fecal microbiota transplant in management of hepatic encephalopathy: Current trends and future directions

Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) offers a potential treatment avenue for hepatic encephalopathy (HE) by leveraging beneficial bacterial displacement to restore a balanced gut microbiome. The prevalence of HE varies with liver disease severity and comorbidities. HE pathogenesis involves ammonia toxicity, gut-brain communication disruption, and inflammation. FMT aims to restore gut microbiota balance, addressing these factors. FMT's efficacy has been explored in various conditions, including HE. Studies suggest that FMT can modulate gut microbiota, reduce ammonia levels, and alleviate inflammation. FMT has shown promise in alcohol-associated, hepatitis B and C-associated, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Benefits include improved liver function, cognitive function, and the slowing of disease progression. However, larger, controlled studies are needed to validate its effectiveness in these contexts. Studies have shown cognitive improvements through FMT, with potential benefits in cirrhotic patients. Notably, trials have demonstrated reduced serious adverse events and cognitive enhancements in FMT arms compared to the standard of care. Although evidence is promising, challenges remain: Limited patient numbers, varied dosages, administration routes, and donor profiles. Further large-scale, controlled trials are essential to establish standardized guidelines and ensure FMT's clinical applications and efficacy. While FMT holds potential for HE management, ongoing research is needed to address these challenges, optimize protocols, and expand its availability as a therapeutic option for diverse hepatic conditions.

Progression of the FIB-4 index among patients with chronic HCV infection and early liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Historical paired liver biopsy studies are likely to underestimate current progression of disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We aimed to assess liver disease progression according to the non-invasive Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in patients with chronic HCV and early disease.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients diagnosed with chronic HCV and FIB-4 <3.25 from four international liver clinics were included in a retrospective cohort study. Follow-up ended at start of antiviral therapy resulting in sustained virological response, at time of liver transplantation or death. Primary outcome of advanced liver disease was defined as FIB-4 >3.25 during follow-up. Survival analyses were used to assess time to FIB-4 >3.25.In total, 4286 patients were followed for a median of 5.0 (IQR 1.7-9.4) years, during which 41 071 FIB-4 measurements were collected. At baseline, median age was 47 (IQR 39-55) years, 2529 (59.0%) were male, and 2787 (65.0%) patients had a FIB-4 <1.45. Advanced liver disease developed in 821 patients. Overall, 10-year cumulative incidence of advanced disease was 32.1% (95% CI 29.9% to 34.3%). Patients who developed advanced disease showed an exponential FIB-4 increase. Among patients with a presumed date of HCV infection, cumulative incidence of advanced disease increased 7.7-fold from 20 to 40 years as opposed to the first 20 years after HCV infection.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of advanced liver disease is high among chronic HCV-infected patients with early disease at time of diagnosis, among whom liver disease progression accelerated over time. These results emphasise the need to overcome any limitations with respect to diagnosing and treating all patients with chronic HCV across the globe.

Cost-effectiveness of a decentralized, community-based "one-stop-shop" hepatitis C testing and treatment program in Yangon, Myanmar

Background and Aim

The availability of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment and point-of-care diagnostic testing has made hepatitis C (HCV) elimination possible even in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs); however, testing and treatment costs remain a barrier. We estimated the cost and cost-effectiveness of a decentralized community-based HCV testing and treatment program (CT2) in Myanmar.

Methods

Primary cost data included the costs of DAAs, investigations, medical supplies and other consumables, staff salaries, equipment, and overheads. A deterministic cohort-based Markov model was used to estimate the average cost of care, the overall quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of providing testing and DAA treatment compared with a modeled counterfactual scenario of no testing and no treatment.

Results

From 30 January to 30 September 2019, 633 patients were enrolled, of whom 535 were HCV RNA-positive, 489 were treatment eligible, and 488 were treated. Lifetime discounted costs and QALYs of the cohort in the counterfactual no testing and no treatment scenario were estimated to be USD61790 (57 898-66 898) and 6309 (5682-6363) respectively, compared with USD123 248 (122 432-124 101) and 6518 (5894-6671) with the CT2 model of care, giving an ICER of USD294 (192-340) per QALY gained. This "one-stop-shop" model of care has a 90% likelihood of being cost-effective if benchmarked against a willingness to pay of US$300, which is 20% of Myanmar's GDP per capita (2020).

Conclusions

The CT2 model of HCV care is cost-effective in Myanmar and should be expanded to meet the National Hepatitis Control Program's 2030 target, alongside increasing the affordability and accessibility of services.

Sex differences in chronic liver disease and benign liver lesions

The epidemiology, natural history, and therapeutic responses of chronic liver diseases and liver lesions often vary by sex. In this review, we summarize available clinical and translational data on these aspects of the most common liver conditions encountered in clinical practice, including the potential contributions of sex hormones to the underlying pathophysiology of observed differences. We also highlight areas of notable knowledge gaps and discuss sex disparities in access to liver transplant and potential strategies to address these barriers. Given established sex differences in immune response, drug metabolism, and response to liver-related therapies, emerging clinical trials and epidemiological studies should prioritize dedicated analyses by sex to inform sex-specific approaches to liver-related care.

Is HCV elimination among persons living with HIV feasible? Data from the NoCo study in the setting of the ICONA cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Whether the HCV test-and-treat strategy impacted on the rate of new HCV infections among PLWH in Italy is unknown.

METHODS

Prospective study of PLWH in the ICONA network. At baseline, PLWH were tested for HCV-Ab; HCV-RNA (if HCV-Ab positive) and, if positive, treated with DAA. SVR12 indicated eradication. Seroconversions and re-infections were evaluated yearly in HCV-Ab neg and HCV-RNA neg at first screening. We estimated the following: HCV seroconversions, incidence of HCV reinfections, and access to DAA and SVR12 rates tighter with factors associated with each outcome. Data were analysed by Cox regression, Poisson regression and logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Sixteen thousand seven hundred and forty-three PLWH were included; 27.3% HCV-Ab positive; of these, 39.3% HCV-RNA positive. HCV seroconversion incidence: .48/100 PYFU (95% CI: .36-.65); re-infections incidence: 1.40/100 PYFU (95% CI: .91-2.04). The risk factor for HCV re-infection was young age: aIRR 1.85, 95% CI: 1.17-2.95) per 10 years younger. 86.4% of HCV viremic in follow-up started DAA. PWID vs. heterosexuals (aHR .75, 95% CI .62-.90), HIV-RNA >50 copies/mL (aHR .70, 95% CI .56-.87), HCV genotype other than G1, G2, G3, G4 or with multiple/missing HCV genotype and post-COVID-19 calendar periods were associated with lower DAA access. 922/965 (95.5%) PLWH achieved SVR12. We estimated 72% reduction of chance to achieve SVR12 in PLWH with a CD4 count <200/mm3 (vs. CD4 ≥200/mm3 aOR .18, 95% CI: .07-.46). 95.5% of DAA-treated individuals eradicated HCV, but they represent only 53.2% of HCV viremic PLWH and 66.4% of those in follow-up. HCV-RNA positivity by year decreased from 41.7% in 2017 to 11.7% in 2022.

CONCLUSIONS

The screening-and-treat campaign implemented in Italy, even if only partially effective, resulted in a dramatic drop in HCV circulation in our cohort.

Epidemiological Modeling of the Impact of Public Health Policies on Hepatitis C: Protocol for a Gamification Tool Targeting Microelimination

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C is a disease with a strong social component, as its main transmission route is via blood, making it associated with lifestyle. Therefore, it is suitable to be worked on from the perspective of public health policy, which still has a lot of room to explore and improve, contrary to diagnoses and treatments, which are already very refined and effective.

OBJECTIVE

An interactive gamified policy tool, designated as Let's End HepC (LEHC), was created to understand the impact of policies related to hepatitis C on the disease's epidemiology on a yearly basis until 2030.

METHODS

To this end, an innovative epidemiological model was developed, integrating Markov chains to model the natural history of the disease and adaptive conjoint analysis to reflect the degree of application of each of the 24 public health policies included in the model. This double imputation model makes it possible to assess a set of indicators such as liver transplant, incidence, and deaths year by year until 2030 in different risk groups. Populations at a higher risk were integrated into the model to understand the specific epidemiological dynamics within the total population of each country and within segments that comprise people who have received blood products, prisoners, people who inject drugs, people infected through vertical transmission, and the remaining population.

RESULTS

The model has already been applied to a group of countries, and studies in 5 of these countries have already been concluded, showing results very close to those obtained through other forms of evaluation.

CONCLUSIONS

The LEHC model allows the simulation of different degrees of implementation of each policy and thus the verification of its epidemiological impact on each studied population. The gamification feature allows assessing the adequate fulfillment of the World Health Organization goals for the elimination of hepatitis C by 2030. LEHC supports health decision makers and people who practice patient advocacy in making decisions based on science, and because LEHC is democratically shared, it ends up contributing to the increase of citizenship in health.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

RR1-10.2196/38521.

Hepatitis C

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a hepatotropic RNA virus that can cause acute and chronic hepatitis, with progressive liver damage resulting in cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease, and hepatocellular carcinoma. In 2016, WHO called for the elimination of HCV infection as a public health threat by 2030. Despite some progress, an estimated 57 million people were living with HCV infection in 2020, and 300 000 HCV-related deaths occur per year. The development of direct-acting antiviral therapy has revolutionised clinical care and generated impetus for elimination, but simplified and broadened HCV screening, enhanced linkage to care, and higher coverage of treatment and primary prevention strategies are urgently required.

Hepatitis C Elimination in Moldova Is Feasible and Cost-Saving: A Modeling Study

BACKGROUND

Moldova, an upper-middle-income country in Eastern Europe, is facing a high burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Our objective was to assist the National Agency of Public Health of Moldova in planning to achieve the World Health Organization's HCV elimination goals by 2030.

METHODS

This study adapted a previously developed microsimulation model to simulate the HCV epidemic in Moldova from 2004 to 2050. Model outcomes included temporal trends in HCV infection, prevalence, mortality, and total cost of care, including screening and treatment. We evaluated scenarios that could eliminate HCV by 2030.

RESULTS

Multiple strategies could lead to HCV elimination in Moldova by 2030. A realistic scenario of a 20% annual screening and 80% treatment rate would require 2.75 million individuals to be screened and 65 000 treated by 2030. Compared to 2015, this program will reduce HCV incidence by 98% and HCV-related deaths by 72% in 2030. Between 2022 and 2030, this strategy would cost $17.5 million for HCV screening and treatment. However, by 2050, the health system would save >$85 million compared to no investment in elimination efforts.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV elimination in Moldova is feasible and can be cost saving, but requires resources to scale HCV screening and treatment.

Estimating the impact of a police education program on hepatitis C virus transmission and disease burden among people who inject drugs in Tijuana, Mexico: A dynamic modeling analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Criminalization of drug use and punitive policing are key structural drivers of hepatitis C virus (HCV) risk among people who inject drugs (PWID). A police education program (Proyecto Escudo) delivering training on occupational safety together with drug law content was implemented between 2015 and 2016 in Tijuana, Mexico, to underpin drug law reform implementation. We used data from a longitudinal cohort of PWID in Tijuana to inform epidemic modeling and assess the long-term impact of Escudo on HCV transmission and burden among PWID in Tijuana.

METHODS

We developed a dynamic, compartmental model of HCV transmission and incarceration among PWID and tracked liver disease progression among current and former PWID. The model was calibrated to data from Tijuana, Mexico, with 90% HCV seroprevalence. We used segmented regression analysis to estimate impact of Escudo on recent incarceration among an observational cohort of PWID. By simulating the observed incarceration trends, we estimated the potential impact of the implemented (2-year reduction in incarceration) and an extended (10-year reduction in incarceration) police education program over a 50-year follow-up (2016-2066) on HCV outcomes (incidence, cirrhosis, HCV-related deaths and disability adjusted life-years averted) compared with no intervention.

RESULTS

Over the 2-year follow-up, Proyecto Escudo reduced HCV incidence among PWID from 21.5 per 100 person years (/100py) (95% uncertainty interval [UI] = 15.3-29.7/100py) in 2016 to 21.1/100py (UI = 15.0-29.1/100py) in 2018. If continued for 10 years, Escudo could reduce HCV incidence to 20.0/100py (14.0-27.8/100py) by 2026 and avert 186 (32-389) new infections, 76 (UI = 12-160) cases of cirrhosis and 32 (5-73) deaths per 10 000 PWID compared with no intervention over a 50-year time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

In Tijuana, Mexico, implementation of a police education program delivering training on occupational safety and drug law content appears to have reduced hepatitis C virus incidence among people who inject drugs.

Approach to Elevated Liver Enzymes

Abnormal liver tests are one of the most common challenges in the primary care setting. Primary care practitioners order these tests for numerous reasons, including investigating abdominal signs and symptoms or suspected alcohol-use disorder, or to determine medication adverse effects. Evaluation should be guided by both the clinical presentation and the pattern of injury. In this article, we will focus on the epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical presentation, diagnostic work-up, and management of elevated liver enzymes, with an emphasis on the most common causes of abnormal liver testing.

Efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir and sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir for hepatitis C in Korea: a Phase 3b study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Despite the availability of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Korea, need remains for pangenotypic regimens that can be used in the presence of hepatic impairment, comorbidities, or prior treatment failure. We investigated the efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir and sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir for 12 weeks in HCV-infected Korean adults.

METHODS

This Phase 3b, multicenter, open-label study included 2 cohorts. In Cohort 1, participants with HCV genotype 1 or 2 and who were treatment-naive or treatment-experienced with interferon-based treatments, received sofosbuvir-velpatasvir 400/100 mg/day. In Cohort 2, HCV genotype 1 infected individuals who previously received an NS5A inhibitor-containing regimen ≥ 4 weeks received sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir 400/100/100 mg/day. Decompensated cirrhosis was an exclusion criterion. The primary endpoint was SVR12, defined as HCV RNA < 15 IU/mL 12 weeks following treatment.

RESULTS

Of 53 participants receiving sofosbuvir-velpatasvir, 52 (98.1%) achieved SVR12. The single participant who did not achieve SVR12 experienced an asymptomatic Grade 3 ASL/ALT elevation on day 15 and discontinued treatment. The event resolved without intervention. All 33 participants (100%) treated with sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir achieved SVR 12. Overall, sofosbuvir-velpatasvir and sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir were safe and well tolerated. Three participants (5.6%) in Cohort 1 and 1 participant (3.0%) in Cohort 2 had serious adverse events, but none were considered treatment-related. No deaths or grade 4 laboratory abnormalities were reported.

CONCLUSION

Treatment with sofosbuvir-velpatasvir or sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir was safe and resulted in high SVR12 rates in Korean HCV patients.

Additional challenges in reaching hepatitis C elimination goals in Germany due to the COVID-19 pandemic - descriptive analysis of drug prescription data from January 2018 to June 2021

Effectively treating hepatitis C viral (HCV) infections prevents sequelae and onward transmission. In Germany, HCV drug prescriptions have declined since 2015. During the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdowns impacted the access to HCV care services and HCV treatment. We assessed if the COVID-19 pandemic further decreased treatment prescriptions in Germany. We built log-linear models with monthly HCV drug prescription data from pharmacies from January 2018 - February 2020 (pre-pandemic) to calculate expected prescriptions for March 2020-June 2021 and different pandemic phases. We calculated monthly prescription trends per pandemic phase using log-linear models. Further, we scanned all data for breakpoints. We stratified all data by geographic region and clinical settings. The number of DAA prescriptions in 2020 (n = 16,496, -21%) fell below those of 2019 (n = 20,864) and 2018 (n = 24,947), continuing the declining trend from previous years. The drop in prescriptions was stronger from 2019 to 2020 (-21%) than from 2018 to 2020 (-16%). Observed prescriptions met predictions from March 2020 to June 2021, but not during the first COVID-19 wave (March 2020-May 2020). Prescriptions increased during summer 2020 (June 2020-September 2020) and fell below the pre-pandemic numbers during the following pandemic waves (October 2020 - February 2021 and March 2021 - June 2021). Breakpoints during the first wave indicate that prescriptions plummeted overall, in all clinical settings and in four of six geographic regions. Both, outpatient clinics and private practices prescribed overall as predicted. However, outpatient hospital clinics prescribed 17-39% less than predicted during the first pandemic wave. HCV treatment prescriptions declined but stayed within the lower realms of predicted counts. The strongest decline during the first pandemic wave indicates a temporary HCV treatment gap. Later, prescriptions matched predictions despite of pronounced decreases during the second and third waves. In future pandemics, clinics and private practices need to adapt more rapidly to maintain a continuous access to care. In addition, political strategies should focus more on continuously providing essential medical care during periods of restricted access due to infectious disease outbreaks. The observed decrease in HCV treatment may challenge reaching the HCV elimination goals in Germany by 2030.

Changes in characteristics of patients with hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis from the beginning of the interferon-free era

BACKGROUND

Nearly 290000 patients with chronic hepatitis C die annually from the most severe complications of the disease. One of them is liver cirrhosis, which occurs in about 20% of patients chronically infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV). Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), which replaced interferon (IFN)-based regimens, significantly improved the prognosis of this group of patients, increasing HCV eradication rates and tolerability of therapy. Our study is the first to assess changes in patient profile, effectiveness, and safety in the HCV-infected cirrhotic population in the IFN-free era.

AIM

To document changes in patient characteristics and treatment regimens along with their effectiveness and safety profile over the years.

METHODS

The studied patients were selected from 14801 chronically HCV-infected individuals who started IFN-free therapy between July 2015 and December 2021 in 22 Polish hepatology centers. The retrospective analysis was conducted in real-world clinical practice based on the EpiTer-2 multicenter database. The measure of treatment effectiveness was the percentage of sustained virologic response (SVR) calculated after excluding patients lost to follow-up. Safety data collected during therapy and the 12-wk post-treatment period included information on adverse events, including serious ones, deaths, and treatment course.

RESULTS

The studied population (n = 3577) was balanced in terms of gender in 2015-2017, while the following years showed the dominance of men. The decline in the median age from 60 in 2015-2016 to 57 years in 2021 was accompanied by a decrease in the percentage of patients with comorbidities and comedications. Treatment-experienced patients dominated in 2015-2016, while treatment-naive individuals gained an advantage in 2017 and reached 93.2% in 2021. Genotype (GT)-specific options were more prevalent in treatment in 2015-2018 and were supplanted by pangenotypic combinations in subsequent years. The effectiveness of the therapy was comparable regardless of the period analyzed, and patients achieved an overall response rate of 95%, with an SVR range of 72.9%-100% for the different therapeutic regimens. Male gender, GT3 infection, and prior treatment failure were identified as independent negative predictors of therapeutic success.

CONCLUSION

We have documented changes in the profile of HCV-infected cirrhotic patients over the years of accessibility to changing DAA regimens, confirming the high effectiveness of IFN-free therapy in all analyzed periods.

Susceptibilidad genética y aclaramiento viral de la infección por Virus de la Hepatitis C

El virus de la hepatitis C (VHC) sigue siendo una de las principales causas de hepatitis crónica en el mundo occidental. Del 15 % al 40 % de los individuos con infección aguda por VHC logran el aclaramiento viral espontáneo; sin embargo, los factores y variables asociadas a este fenómeno no están completamente descritas. El análisis de los mecanismos de patogénesis de la infección por VHC es indispensable para identificar los factores y variables implicadas en el aclaramiento espontáneo o en la persistencia de la infección. En algunos estudios se han documentado los factores del huésped asociados al aclaramiento viral espontáneo durante la infección aguda, entre ellos el polimorfismo del gen de la interleucina -28 (IL28B) que codifica para el interferón lambda 3 (IFNL3). El objetivo de este artículo es realizar una revisión de la literatura sobre la fisiopatología de la infección por el VHC y describir la evidencia acerca del papel de los polimorfismos en el gen IL28B y su impacto en el proceso de aclaramiento viral espontáneo, así como en otros aspectos de la historia natural y el tratamiento de la infección.

Impact of HCV eradication following direct-acting antivirals on liver stiffness measurement: a prospective longitudinal study

Background and study aims

Egypt has been a pioneer in implementing a nationwide HCV screening and treatment program. Assessment of liver fibrosis after HCV eradication is important. The value of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for this purpose is still debated. The aim of this prospective longitudinal study was to assess LSM evolution after HCV eradication.

Patients and methods

One-hundred and three HCV patients, treated with a standard DAA regimen (sofosbuvir/daclatasvir for 3 months), underwent LSM before and 24 weeks after the end of treatment. Patients were classified into 3 groups according to baseline LSM (Baveno VI): group 1: patients without compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) (LSM < 10 kPa); group 2: patients with suspected cACLD (LSM 10–15 kPa); and group 3: patients with likely cACLD (LSM > 15 kPa).

Results

The characteristics of patients were as follows: mean age 55 ± 10 years, males 48.5%, and BMI 26.31 ± 3.33 kg/m2. All patients were Child–Pugh score A and achieved SVR at W24. A significant LSM decrease was observed at W24 compared to baseline: all patients: 5.8 vs. 8.8 kPa, p = 0.002; group 1: 4.75 vs. 6.0 kPa, p = 0.0001; group 2 11.9 vs. 12.6 kPa, p = 0.042; and group 3: 24.2 vs. 28.3 kPa, p = 0.0001. Group 1 had the highest LSM decline (23.83%), followed by group 3 (14.3%) and group 2 (8.4%).

Conclusion

HCV eradication was associated with a significant LSM decrease in all groups of patients. This is likely related to improvement of fibrosis, but its relation to improvement of necro-inflammation cannot be excluded. Longer follow-up of fibrosis in these patients is needed.

Early cost-utility analysis of hepatitis C virus testing for emergency department attendees in France

Testing for hepatitis C virus (HCV) is currently targeted towards those at high-risk in France. While universal screening was recently rejected, a growing body of research from other high-income countries suggests that HCV testing in emergency departments (ED) can be effective and cost-effective. In the absence of any studies on the effectiveness of HCV testing in ED attendees in France, this study aimed to perform an early economic evaluation of ED-based HCV testing. A Markov model was developed to simulate HCV testing in the ED versus no ED testing. The model captured costs from a French health service perspective, presented in 2020 euros, and outcomes, presented as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), over a lifetime horizon. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were calculated as costs per QALYs gained and compared to willingness-to-pay thresholds of €18,592 and €33,817 per QALY. Value of information analyses were also performed. ED testing for HCV was cost-effective at both thresholds when assuming ED prevalence of 1.1%, yielding an ICER of €3,800 per QALY. Testing remained cost-effective when the HCV prevalence amongst ED attendees remained higher than in the general population (0.3%). The maximum value of future research ranged from €10 to €79 million, depending on time horizons and willingness-to-pay thresholds. Our analysis suggests ED-based HCV testing may be cost-effective in France, although there is uncertainty due to the lack of empirical studies available. Further research is of high value, suggesting seroprevalence surveys and pilot studies in French ED settings are warranted.

Economic Impact of Universal Hepatitis C Virus Testing for Middle-Aged Adults Who Inject Drugs

INTRODUCTION

The objective of this study was to estimate the economic impact of providing universal hepatitis C virus testing in commercially insured middle-aged persons who inject drugs in the U.S.

METHODS

This study developed a dynamic 10-year economic model to project the clinical and economic outcomes associated with hepatitis C virus testing among middle-aged adult persons who inject drugs, from a payer's perspective. Costs related to hepatitis C virus testing, direct-acting antiviral, and liver-related outcomes between the (1) current hepatitis C virus testing rate (i.e., 8%) and (2) universal hepatitis C virus testing rate (i.e., 100%) were compared. Among patients testing positive, 21% of those without cirrhosis and 48% of those with cirrhosis were assumed to initiate direct-acting antivirals. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify variables (e.g., direct-acting antiviral drug costs, hepatitis C virus testing costs, direct-acting antiviral treatment rate) influencing this study's conclusion.

RESULTS

The model predicts that during the 10-year period, universal hepatitis C virus testing will cost an additional $242 per person who injects drugs to the payers' healthcare budgets compared with the current scenario. Sensitivity analyses showed values ranging from $1,656 additional costs to $1,085 cost savings across all varied parameters and scenarios. A total of 80% of the current direct-acting antiviral costs indicated that cost savings will be $383 per person who injects drugs.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal hepatitis C virus testing among persons who inject drugs would not achieve cost savings within 10 years, with the cost of direct-acting antivirals contributing the most to the spending. To promote universal hepatitis C virus testing among persons who inject drugs, decreasing direct-acting antiviral costs and sustainable funding streams for hepatitis C virus testing should be considered.

HCV elimination in a Swiss opioid agonist therapy programme - a cohort study

BACKGROUND

In opioid agonist therapy (OAT) programmes, chronic hepatitis C is highly prevalent and directly observed therapy guarantees optimal adherence. Since 2017, all patients with chronic hepatitis C in Switzerland can be treated with pangenotypic direct-acting antivirals irrespective of liver fibrosis stage. Until the end of 2021, however, prescription was restricted to infectious disease specialists, gastroenterologists and certain addiction specialists. Difficult venous access after long-term intravenous drug use and, in the case of referral to a specialist, difficulties keeping appointments are barriers to HCV diagnosis and treatment.

AIMS

To assess whether minimally invasive point-of-care tests and a "test-and-treat / vaccinate on-site" approach can improve human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) / hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening, HCV treatment uptake and immunity against hepatitis A/B.

METHODS

Since September 2018, an infectious disease specialist and a study nurse performed 4-weekly visits in the OAT programme "HAG" (heroin dispensation of the canton Aargau), offering HIV/HCV antibody rapid testing (20 min) and HCV RNA quantification (GeneXpert®, 60 min) from capillary blood, noninvasive liver fibrosis assessment (Fibroscan®, 5-10 min) and HCV treatment prescription on-site. Recommended venous blood draws for HAV/HBV serology and HAV/HBV vaccinations were performed by the staff of the "HAG". Project performance was assessed by annual cross-sectional chart review.

RESULTS

Of the 128 patients registered in April 2018, 79 (62%) were still present in May 2021. With 72 newly registered, a total of 200 patients could be assessed, of whom 129 (65%) were still present in May 2021. Between April 2018 and May 2021, the proportion ever tested for HIV antibodies increased from 79% (101/128) to 91% (117/129), the proportion ever tested for HCV antibodies from 83% (106/128) to 93% (120/129) and the proportion of those HCV antibody positive ever tested for HCV RNA tested from 89% (47/53) to 98% (56/57). The proportion with adequate HCV management (last HCV antibody test ≤1 year ago, if HCV antibody negative or last HCV RNA test ≤1 year ago, if HCV antibody-positive and RNA-negative) improved from 23% ([15 + 15]/128) to 80% ([55 + 48]/129). Overall, HCV treatment uptake increased from 60% (21/35) to 92% (55/60) and HCV RNA prevalence among the HCV antibody positives decreased from 38% (18/47) to 7% (6/84). Between 2018 and 2021, 19 non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis C patients were successfully treated on-site (18 sustained virological responses [SVR] 12, 1 SVR4), with excellent adherence (≥93%) and, so far, no reinfection. The proportion with known HAV/HBV serostatus increased from 38%/51% to 64%/76%. Immunity against HAV/HBV improved from 19%/23% to 50%/57%.

CONCLUSION

Capillary blood point-of-care tests and a "test-and-treat / vaccinate on-site" approach remove crucial barriers to diagnosis and treatment, making hepatitis elimination in OAT programmes achievable. A high fluctuation rate requires HIV/HCV/HAV/HBV testing at admission, but also allows more patients to be screened.

Another Step Toward Hepatitis C Elimination: An Economic Evaluation of an Irish National Birth Cohort Testing Program

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of offering once-off birth cohort testing for hepatitis C virus (HCV) to people in Ireland born between 1965 and 1985, the cohort with the highest reported prevalence of undiagnosed chronic HCV infection.

METHODS

Systematic and opportunistic HCV birth cohort testing programs, implemented over a 4-year timeframe, were compared with the current practice of population risk-based testing only in a closed-cohort decision tree and Markov model hybrid over a lifetime time horizon. Outcomes were expressed in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Costs were presented from the health system's perspective in 2020 euro (€). Uncertainty was assessed via deterministic, probabilistic, scenario, and threshold analyses.

RESULTS

In the base case, systematic testing yielded the largest cost and health benefits, followed by opportunistic testing and risk-based testing. Compared with risk-based testing, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for opportunistic testing was €14 586 (95% confidence interval €4185-€33 527) per QALY gained. Compared with opportunistic testing, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for systematic testing was €16 827 (95% confidence interval €5106-€38 843) per QALY gained. These findings were robust across a range of sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Both systematic and opportunistic birth cohort testing would be considered an efficient use of resources, but systematic testing was the optimal strategy at willingness-to-pay threshold values typically used in Ireland. Although cost-effective, any decision to introduce birth cohort testing for HCV (in Ireland or elsewhere) must be balanced with considerations regarding the feasibility and budget impact of implementing a national testing program given high initial costs and resource use.

Modelling the contribution of incarceration and public health oriented drug law reform to HCV transmission and elimination among PWID in Tijuana, Mexico

BACKGROUND

Incarceration is associated with increased risk of hepatitis C virus (HCV) among people who inject drugs (PWID). Mexico's previous attempt in implementing a public health-oriented drug law reform resulted in minimal impact on incarceration among PWID. However, implementation of reforms alongside Mexico's HCV elimination program has the potential to reshape the HCV epidemic among PWID in the next decade. We use data from a cohort of PWID in Tijuana, Mexico, to inform epidemic modeling to assess the contribution of incarceration and fully implemented drug reform on HCV transmission and elimination among PWID.

METHODS

We developed a dynamic, deterministic model of incarceration, HCV transmission and disease progression among PWID. The model was calibrated to data from Tijuana, Mexico, with 90% HCV seroprevalence among 10,000 PWID. We estimated the 10-year population attributable fraction (PAF) of incarceration to HCV incidence among PWID and simulated, from 2022, the potential impact of the following scenarios: 1) decriminalization (80% reduction in incarceration rates); 2) fully implemented drug law reform (decriminalization and diversion to opiate agonist therapy [OAT]); 3) fully implemented drug law reform with HCV treatment (direct-acting antivirals [DAA]). We also assessed the number DAA needed to reach the 80% incidence reduction target by 2030 under these scenarios.

RESULTS

Projections suggest a PAF of incarceration to HCV incidence of 5.4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI]:0.6-11.9%) among PWID in Tijuana between 2022-2032. Fully implemented drug reforms could reduce HCV incidence rate by 10.6% (95%UI:3.1-19.2%) across 10 years and reduce the number of DAA required to achieve Mexico's HCV incidence reduction goal by 14.3% (95%UI:5.3-17.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Among PWID in Tijuana, Mexico, incarceration remains an important contributor to HCV transmission. Full implementation of public health-oriented drug law reform could play an important role in reducing HCV incidence and improve the feasibility of reaching the HCV incidence elimination target by 2030.

Cost-effectiveness of hepatitis C virus test-and-treat and risk reduction strategies among men who have sex with men living with HIV in France

INTRODUCTION

Studies suggest that hepatitis C virus (HCV) micro-elimination is feasible among men who have sex with men (MSM) living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), through treatment-as-prevention and interventions aimed at reducing risk behaviours. However, their economic impact is poorly understood. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of HCV screening and risk reduction strategies in France.

METHODS

A compartmental deterministic mathematical model was developed to describe HCV disease transmission and progression among MSM living with HIV in France. We evaluated different combinations of HCV screening frequency (every 12, 6 or 3 months) and risk reduction strategies (targeting only high-risk or all MSM) from 2021 onwards. The model simulated the number of HCV infections, life-expectancy (LYs), quality-adjusted life-expectancy (QALYs), lifetime costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a lifetime horizon (leading to an end of the simulation in 2065).

RESULTS

All strategies increased QALYs, compared with current practices, that is yearly HCV screening, with no risk reduction. A behavioural intervention resulting in a 20% risk reduction in the high-risk group, together with yearly screening, was the least expensive strategy, and, therefore, cost-saving compared to current practices. The ICER per QALY gained for the strategy combining risk reduction for the high-risk group with 6-month HCV screening, compared to risk reduction with yearly screening, was €61,389. It also prevented 398 new HCV infections between 2021 and 2065, with a cost per infection averted of €37,790. All other strategies were dominated (more expensive and less effective than some other available alternative) or not cost-effective (ICER per QALY gained > €100,000).

CONCLUSIONS

In the French context, current HCV screening practices without risk reduction among MSM living with HIV cannot be justified on economic grounds. Risk reduction interventions targeted to high-risk individuals-alongside screening either once or twice a year-could be cost-effective depending on the policymaker's willingness-to-pay.

Dynamics of type IV collagen 7S fragment on eradication of HCV with direct antiviral agents: Prognostic and metabolomic impacts

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis is one of the cardinal clinical features of chronic hepatitis C (CHC). However, the mechanisms underlying the evolution and reversion of liver fibrosis after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication and their relationship with clinical outcomes and metabolic alterations are not fully elucidated. Whether any non-invasive fibrosis marker can predict prognosis is unknown.

METHODS

Between October 2014 and September 2019, 418 patients with CHC or compensated cirrhosis with HCV were prospectively recruited in this observational study. 326 patients that were successfully eradicated with interferon-free direct antiviral agents (IFN-free DAAs) were analyzed. Peri-treatment dynamics of serum levels of type IV collagen 7S fragment (4COL7S), a fibrosis marker, and subsequent clinical outcomes, including hepatic decompensation, newly emerged hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and all-cause mortality were analyzed.

RESULTS

Ten (3.1%) patients died during the observation period. 4COL7S-defined fibrosis progression (n = 97, 29.8%) at SVR was significantly correlated with worse all-cause mortality post-SVR (P = 0.0062) but not with the probability of newly emerged HCC (P = 0.24). Prognostic tendency was more prominent in patients with advanced fibrosis (P< 0.0001). 4COL7S-defined fibrosis progression at SVR and a baseline platelet count less than 10×104/μL were significantly predicted all-cause mortality (P = 0.0051). In exploratory analyses, a decreased 4COL7S at the end of treatment was correlated with a matrix-degrading phenotype that showed higher serum metalloproteinase to tissue inhibitors of metalloproteinase-1 ratios and characteristic metabolic fingerprints such as increased butyrate, some medium-chain fatty acids, anabolic amino acids, and decreased uremia toxins.

CONCLUSIONS

Peri-treatment dynamics of serum 4COL7S, a non-invasive fibrosis marker, predict prognosis. Non-invasive fibrosis markers may be useful biomarkers for risk stratification post-SVR.

Mathematical modeling of HIV-HCV co-infection model: Impact of parameters on reproduction number

Background: Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) are both as classified blood-borne viruses since they are transmitted through contact with contaminated blood. Approximately 1.3 million of the 2.75 million global HIV/HCV carriers inject drugs (PWID). HIV co-infection has a harmful effect on the progression of HCV, resulting in greater rates of HCV persistence after acute infection, higher viral levels, and accelerated progression of liver fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. In this study, we developed and investigated a mathematical model for the dynamical behavior of HIV/AIDS and HCV co-infection, which includes therapy for both diseases, vertical transmission in HIV cases, unawareness and awareness of HIV infection, inefficient HIV treatment follow-up, and efficient condom use. Methods: Positivity and boundedness of the model under investigation were established using well-known theorems. The equilibria were demonstrated by bringing all differential equations to zero. The associative reproduction numbers for mono-infected and dual-infected models were calculated using the next-generation matrix approach. The local and global stabilities of the models were validated using the linearization and comparison theorem and the negative criterion techniques of bendixson and dulac, respectively. Results: The growing prevalence of HIV treatment dropout in each compartment of the HIV model led to a reduction in HIV on treatment compartments while other compartments exhibited an increase in populations . In dually infected patients, treating HCV first reduces co-infection reproduction number R ech , which reduces liver cancer risk. Conclusions: From the model's results, we infer various steps that policymakers could take to reduce the number of mono-infected and co-infected individuals.

Mathematical modeling of HIV-HCV co-infection model: Impact of parameters on reproduction number

Background: Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) are both classified as blood-borne viruses since they are transmitted through contact with contaminated blood. Approximately 1.3 million of the 2.75 million global HIV/HCV carriers are people who inject drugs (PWID). HIV co-infection has a harmful effect on the progression of HCV, resulting in greater rates of HCV persistence after acute infection, higher viral levels, and accelerated progression of liver fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. In this study, we developed and investigated a mathematical model for the dynamical behavior of HIV/AIDS and HCV co-infection, which includes therapy for both diseases, vertical transmission in HIV cases, unawareness and awareness of HIV infection, inefficient HIV treatment follow-up, and efficient condom use. Methods: Positivity and boundedness of the model under investigation were established using well-known theorems. The equilibria were demonstrated by bringing all differential equations to zero. The associative reproduction numbers for mono-infected and dual-infected models were calculated using the next-generation matrix approach. The local and global stabilities of the models were validated using the linearization and comparison theorem and the negative criterion techniques of bendixson and dulac, respectively. Results: The growing prevalence of HIV treatment dropout in each compartment of the HIV model led to a reduction in HIV on treatment compartments while other compartments exhibited an increase in populations . In dually infected patients, treating HCV first reduces co-infection reproduction number R ech , which reduces liver cancer risk. Conclusions: From the model's results, we infer various steps (such as: campaigns to warn individuals about the consequences of having multiple sexual partners; distributing more condoms to individuals; continuing treatment for chronic HCV and AIDS) that policymakers could take to reduce the number of mono-infected and co-infected individuals.

Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir in adults with hepatitis C virus infection and compensated cirrhosis in Japan

BACKGROUND & PURPOSE

Protease-free regimens for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are safe and effective for persons with either compensated or decompensated cirrhosis. We examined the efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir in participants with HCV and compensated cirrhosis in Japan.

METHODS

This was a Phase 3, multi-center, open-label study. At 20 sites, 37 individuals with chronic HCV infection of any genotype and compensated cirrhosis received sofosbuvir-velpatasvir (400 mg/100 mg) daily for 12 weeks. Participants were treatment-naïve or treatment-experienced with interferon-based treatments with or without HCV NS3/4A protease inhibitors. Prior exposure with HCV NS5A or NS5B inhibitors was prohibited. The primary study endpoint was sustained virologic response 12 weeks after treatment (SVR12).

RESULTS

Among participants, 62% had HCV genotype 1 infection, and 38% had HCV genotype 2. More than three quarters (29/37, 78%) were HCV treatment naïve. All participants (37/37, 100%) achieved SVR12. Seventeen participants (46%) and three participants (8%) had pretreatment resistance-associated substitutions to HCV NS5A and NS5B nucleoside inhibitors respectively, yet no on-treatment breakthrough or relapse occurred. Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir for 12 weeks treatment was safe and well tolerated. The most commonly reported adverse events were headache (8%, 3/37) and diarrhea (5%, 2/37). One serious adverse event, patella fracture, occurred and was considered not treatment related. No participants discontinued study treatment due to an adverse event. Three participants (8%) had a Grade 3 laboratory abnormality; all were hyperglycemia.

CONCLUSION

Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir resulted in high SVR rates and was well tolerated among Japanese patients with HCV and compensated cirrhosis. This single-tablet regimen offers a highly effective, protease-inhibitor free regimen for treating HCV.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov Identifier: NCT04112303.

Value of Triage Treatment Strategies to Distribute Hepatitis C Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents in an Integrated Healthcare System: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of fibrosis-based direct-acting antiviral treatment policies for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus at the Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States health system.

METHODS

We used a Markov model to compare the lifetime costs and effects of treating patients with chronic hepatitis C virus at different stages of disease severity, or all stages simultaneously, based on a fibrosis score from the US healthcare sector perspective and societal perspective. The initial distribution of patients across fibrosis scores, the effectiveness of direct-acting antiviral therapy, and follow-up and monitoring protocols were specific to the Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States health system. Direct and indirect costs, transition probabilities, and utilities were derived from the literature. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of our results.

RESULTS

The "Treat All" option was dominant from both the societal and healthcare sector perspectives. The conclusion was robust in deterministic sensitivity analysis. The range of incremental costs between the less restrictive policies was small-the difference between the "Treat F1+" and the "Treat All" option was only $111 per person. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed, at both the $100 000/quality-adjusted life-year and $150 000/quality-adjusted life-year thresholds, there was a 70% chance that the "Treat All" option was more cost-effective than the "Treat F1+" option.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that expanded treatment access is cost-effective and, in many cases, cost saving. Although our results are primarily applicable to a regional integrated healthcare system, it offers some direction to any healthcare setting faced with resource constraints in the face of highly priced drugs.

Projected Long-Term Impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic on Hepatitis C Outcomes in the United States: A Modeling Study

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted access to and uptake of hepatitis C virus (HCV) care services in the United States. It is unknown how substantially the pandemic will impact long-term HCV-related outcomes.

METHODS

We used a microsimulation to estimate the 10-year impact of COVID-19 disruptions in healthcare delivery on HCV outcomes including identified infections, linkage to care, treatment initiation and completion, cirrhosis, and liver-related death. We modeled hypothetical scenarios consisting of an 18-month pandemic-related disruption in HCV care starting in March 2020 followed by varying returns to pre-pandemic rates of screening, linkage, and treatment through March 2030 and compared them to a counterfactual scenario in which there was no COVID-19 pandemic or disruptions in care. We also performed alternate scenario analyses in which the pandemic disruption lasted for 12 and 24 months.

RESULTS

Compared to the "no pandemic" scenario, in the scenario in which there is no return to pre-pandemic levels of HCV care delivery, we estimate 1060 fewer identified cases, 21 additional cases of cirrhosis, and 16 additional liver-related deaths per 100 000 people. Only 3% of identified cases initiate treatment and <1% achieve sustained virologic response (SVR). Compared to "no pandemic," the best-case scenario in which an 18-month care disruption is followed by a return to pre-pandemic levels, we estimated a smaller proportion of infections identified and achieving SVR.

CONCLUSIONS

A recommitment to the HCV epidemic in the United States that involves additional resources coupled with aggressive efforts to screen, link, and treat people with HCV is needed to overcome the COVID-19-related disruptions.

Value appropriation in hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

In 2015, the Swedish government in an unprecedented move decided to allocate 150 million € to provide funding for new drugs for hepatitis C. This was triggered by the introduction of the first second generation of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) promising higher cure rates and reduced side effects. The drugs were cost-effective but had a prohibitive budget impact. Subsequently, additional products have entered the market leading to reduction in prices and expansions of the eligible patient base.

METHODS

We estimated the social surplus generated by the new DAAs in Stockholm, Sweden, for the years 2014-2019. The actual use and cost of the drugs was based on registry data. Effects on future health care costs, indirect costs and QALY gains were estimated using a Markov model based primarily on Swedish data and using previous generations of interferon-based therapies as the counterfactual.

RESULTS

A considerable social surplus was generated, 15% of which was appropriated by the producers whose share fell rapidly over time as prices fell. Most of the consumer surplus was generated by QALY gains, although 10% was from reduced indirect costs. QALY gains increased less rapidly than the number of treated patients as the eligibility criteria was loosened.

CONCLUSIONS

The transfer of funds from the government to the regions helped generate substantial surplus for both consumers and producers with indirect costs playing an important role. The funding model may serve as a model for the financing of innovative treatments in the future.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Core Antigen-Based Rapid Diagnostic Test for Hepatitis C

OBJECTIVES

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) affects 58 million worldwide and > 79% of people remain undiagnosed. Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for HCV can help improve diagnosis and treatment rates. Nevertheless, the high price and infrastructure needed to use current molecular HCV RDT options present a barrier to widespread use-particularly in low- and middle-income countries. We evaluated the performance and cost-effectiveness of a theoretical core antigen (cAg) RDT for HCV viremia confirmation, which requires fewer resources.

METHODS

We adapted a previously validated microsimulation model to simulate HCV disease progression and outcomes under different HCV testing algorithms in Georgia and Malaysia. We compared standard of care testing with laboratory-based ribonucleic acid HCV to a cAg-based RDT for HCV confirmation. We simulated a cohort of 10 000 adults in each country, with an HCV-ribonucleic acid prevalence of 5.40% in Georgia and 1.54% in Malaysia. We projected the cumulative healthcare costs, quality-adjusted life-years, and diagnosis coverage rates over a lifetime horizon.

RESULTS

Compared with the standard of care testing, the cAg-based RDT would increase quality-adjusted life-years by 270 in Georgia and 259 in Malaysia per 10 000 people. The high diagnosis rate and treatment rate of the cAg-based RDT result in substantial cost savings because of averted HCV sequelae management costs. Cost savings are $281 000 for Georgia and $781 000 for Malaysia.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that a cAg-based RDT for HCV could improve the diagnosis rate and result in cost savings. Such a test could have a substantial impact on the feasibility and cost of HCV elimination.

Longitudinal assessment of liver stiffness by transient elastography for chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis is a common pathway of liver injury and is a feature of most chronic liver diseases. Fibrosis progression varies markedly in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Liver stiffness has been recommended as a parameter of fibrosis progression/regression in patients with HCV.

AIM

To investigate changes in liver stiffness measured by transient elastography (TE) in a large, racially diverse cohort of United States patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC).

METHODS

We evaluated the differences in liver stiffness between patients treated with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and untreated patients. Patients had ≥ 2 TE measurements and no prior DAA exposure. We used linear regression to measure the change in liver stiffness between first and last TE in response to treatment, controlling for age, sex, race, diabetes, smoking status, human immunodeficiency virus status, baseline alanine aminotransferase, and baseline liver stiffness. Separate regression models analyzed the change in liver stiffness as measured by kPa, stratified by cirrhosis status.

RESULTS

Of 813 patients, 419 (52%) initiated DAA treatment. Baseline liver stiffness was 12 kPa in 127 (16%). Median time between first and last TE was 11.7 and 12.7 mo among treated and untreated patients, respectively. There was no significant change in liver stiffness observed over time in either the group initiating DAA treatment (0.016 kPa/month; CI: -0.051, 0.084) or in the untreated group (0.001 kPa/mo; CI: -0.090, 0.092), controlling for covariates. A higher baseline kPa score was independently associated with decreased liver stiffness.

CONCLUSION

DAA treatment was not associated with a differential change in liver stiffness over time in patients with CHC compared to untreated patients.

Economic evaluation of pan-genotypic generic direct-acting antiviral regimens for treatment of chronic hepatitis C in Iran: a cost-effectiveness study

INTRODUCTION

Low-cost generic direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimens for treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) are available in several low-income/middle-income countries, important for treatment scale-up. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of genotype-dependent and pan-genotypic DAA regimens in Iran as an example of a resource-limited setting.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to simulate HCV natural history. A decision tree was developed for HCV treatment, assuming four scenarios, including scenario 1: genotyping, sofosbuvir/ledipasvir (SOF/LDV) for genotype 1, and sofosbuvir/daclatasvir (SOF/DCV) for genotype 3; scenario 2: genotyping, SOF/LDV for genotype 1, and sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) for genotype 3; scenario 3: no genotyping and SOF/DCV for all; and scenario 4: no genotyping and SOF/VEL for all. A 1-year cycle length was used to calculate the cumulative cost and effectiveness over a lifetime time horizon. We calculated quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) using a health system perspective. Costs were converted to US dollars using purchasing power parity exchange rate ($PPP). All costs and outcomes were discounted at an annual rate of 3%.

RESULTS

Among people with no cirrhosis, scenario 3 had the minimum cost, compared with which scenario 4 was cost-effective with an ICER of 4583 $PPP per QALY (willingness-to-pay threshold: 9,311 $PPP per QALY). Among both people with compensated or decompensated cirrhosis, scenario 4 was cost saving. In sensitivity analysis, scenario 4 would be also cost-saving among people with no cirrhosis provided a 39% reduction in the cost of 12 weeks SOF/VEL.

CONCLUSION

Initiating all patients on pan-genotypic generic DAA regimens with no pretreatment genotyping was cost-effective compared with scenarios requiring pretreatment HCV genotype tests. Among generic pan-genotypic DAA regimens, SOF/VEL was cost-effective, for people with no cirrhosis and cost-saving for those with cirrhosis.

Negative impact of HIV infection on broad-spectrum anti-HCV neutralizing antibody titers in HCV-infected patients with advanced HCV-related cirrhosis

OBJECTIVES

The current study aimed to assess the impact of HIV on the production of anti-HCV antibodies in HCV-infected individuals with advanced HCV-related cirrhosis before and 36 weeks after the sustained virological response (SVR) induced by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) therapy.

METHODS

Prospective study on 62 patients (50 HIV/HCV-coinfected and 12 HCV-monoinfected). Plasma anti-E2 and HCV-nAbs were determined respectively by ELISA and microneutralization assays.

RESULTS

At baseline, the HCV-group had higher anti-E2 levels against Gt1a (p = 0.012), Gt1b (p = 0.023), and Gt4a (p = 0.005) than the HIV/HCV-group. After SVR, anti-E2 titers against Gt1a (p < 0.001), Gt1b (p = 0.001), and Gt4a (p = 0.042) were also higher in the HCV-group than HIV/HCV-group. At 36 weeks post-SVR, plasma anti-E2 titers decreased between 1.3 and 1.9-fold in the HIV/HCV-group (p < 0.001) and between 1.5 and 1.8-fold in the HCV-group (p ≤ 0.001). At baseline, the HCV-group had higher titers of HCV-nAbs against Gt1a (p = 0.022), Gt1b (p = 0.002), Gt2a (p < 0.001), and Gt4a (p < 0.001) than the HIV/HCV-group. After SVR, HCV-nAbs titers against Gt1a (p = 0.014), Gt1b (p < 0.001), Gt2a (p = 0.002), and Gt4a (p = 0.004) were also higher in the HCV-group. At 36 weeks post-SVR, HCV-nAbs decreased between 2.6 and 4.1-fold in the HIV/HCV-group (p < 0.001) and between 1.9 and 4.0-fold in the HCV-group (p ≤ 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

HIV/HCV-coinfected patients produced lower levels of broad-spectrum anti-HCV antibodies than HCV-monoinfected patients.

Vibration-controlled Transient Elastography for Assessment of Liver Fibrosis at a USA Academic Medical Center

Background and Aims

Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is a noninvasive tool that uses liver stiffness measurement (LSM) to assess fibrosis. Since real-life data during everyday clinical practice in the USA are lacking, we describe the patterns of use and diagnostic performance of VCTE in patients at an academic medical center in New York City.

Methods

Patients who received VCTE scans were included if liver biopsy was performed within 1 year. Diagnostic performance of VCTE in differentiating dichotomized fibrosis stages was assessed via area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC). Fibrosis stage determined from VCTE LSM was compared to liver biopsy.

Results

Of 109 patients, 49 had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 16 chronic hepatitis C, 15 congestive hepatopathy, and 22 at least two etiologies. AUROC was 0.90 for differentiating cirrhosis (stage 4) with a positive predictive value (PPV) range of 0.28 to 0.45 and negative predictive value range of 0.96 to 0.98. For 31 (32%) patients, VCTE fibrosis stage was at least two stages higher than liver biopsy fibrosis stage. Thirteen of thirty-five patients considered to have cirrhosis by VCTE had stage 0 to 2 and 12 stage 3 fibrosis on liver biopsy.

Conclusions

VCTE has reasonable diagnostic accuracy and is reliable at ruling out cirrhosis. However, because of its low PPV, caution must be exercised when used to diagnose cirrhosis, as misdiagnosis can lead to unnecessary health care interventions. In routine practice, VTCE is also sometimes performed for disease etiologies for which it has not been robustly validated.

Viral hepatitis: Past, present, and future

Each hepatitis virus-Hepatitis A, B, C, D, E, and G-poses a distinct scenario to the patient and clinician alike. Since the discovery of each virus, extensive knowledge regarding epidemiology, virologic properties, and the natural clinical and immunologic history of acute and chronic infections has been generated. Basic discoveries about host immunologic responses to acute and chronic viral infections, combined with virologic data, has led to vaccines to prevent Hepatitis A, B, and E and highly efficacious antivirals for Hepatitis B and C. These therapeutic breakthroughs are transforming the fields of hepatology, transplant medicine in general, and public and global health. Most notably, there is even an ambitious global effort to eliminate chronic viral hepatitis within the next decade. While attainable, there are many barriers to this goal that are being actively investigated in basic and clinical labs on the local, national, and international scales. Herein, we discuss pertinent clinical information and recent organizational guidelines for each of the individual hepatitis viruses while also synthesizing this information with the latest research to focus on exciting future directions for each virus.