The Design and Validation of a New Algorithm to Identify Incident Fractures in Administrative Claims Data

Comparative effectiveness of romosozumab versus teriparatide for fracture prevention: A new-user, active comparator design

BACKGROUND

Comparative evidence on the effectiveness of romosozumab and teriparatide in preventing osteoporotic fractures remains limited. This study evaluated their effectiveness in fracture prevention.

METHODS

This observational new-user cohort study used the DeSC Healthcare database, a nationwide claims database in Japan. Patients aged ≥40 years with osteoporosis, defined by International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes or prior fragility fractures, who newly initiated romosozumab or teriparatide between March 2019 and August 2021 were included. The primary outcome was the major osteoporotic fractures within 1 year. Secondary outcomes included 2-years fracture incidence and individual fracture types. Cox proportional hazards models, weighted by inverse probability-of-treatment derived from propensity scores, were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs), accounting for patient- and facility-level confounders.

RESULTS

Among 35,547 observations (romosozumab: 9603; teriparatide: 25,944), the mean ages were 80.3 and 80.0 years, 85.2 % and 81.3 % were women, and 64.4 % and 71.9 % had a history of fragility fracture, respectively. The 1-year incidences of major osteoporotic fractures were 10.14 per 100 person-years (teriparatide) and 7.01 per 100 person-years (romosozumab) (HR: 0.80, 95 % CI: 0.71, 0.89). Romosozumab was also associated with lower rates of composite fractures over 2 years (HR: 0.81, 95 % CI: 0.72, 0.90); vertebral fractures over 1 and 2 years; and proximal humeral, distal forearm, and proximal femoral fractures over 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationwide Japanese cohort, romosozumab use was associated with a lower incidence of major osteoporotic fractures compared to teriparatide over both 1- and 2-year follow-up periods among high-risk patients with osteoporosis.

Association of Therapies for Axial Spondyloarthritis on the Risk of Hip and Spine Fractures

OBJECTIVE

People with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) have increased fracture risk relative to the general population, possibly related to chronic inflammation. We assessed the impact of treatment with receiving tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFis) and nonbiologic conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs) on hip and spine fractures in patients with axSpA, relative to receiving nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs).

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study using 2006 to 2021 data from the Merative MarketScan Database. We included adults 18 to 65 years old with at least one inpatient or at least two outpatient axSpA International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9), or International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10), diagnosis codes separated by at least seven days. The primary outcome was hip and/or spine fracture, defined by ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis or procedure codes. For each patient with fracture (cases), we selected up to 10 controls without fracture. We evaluated medication exposure (TNFis, csDMARDs, NSAIDs [referent], or none) hierarchically using pharmacy claims and procedure codes. We assessed the relation of medication exposure with hip and spine fracture risk using unconditional logistic regression with confounder adjustment.

RESULTS

Our main analysis included 13,519 individuals with axSpA, comprising 1,229 patients with fracture and 12,290 controls. Individuals receiving TNFis had 29% lower odds of fracture compared to those receiving NSAIDs (odds ratio [OR] 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59-0.85), accounting for age, sex, and diagnosis year. Results were similar in the fully adjusted model (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.91) and when stratified by sex.

CONCLUSION

Using a large US insurance claims database, we found evidence for a protective effect of receiving TNFis on fracture risk in patients with axSpA underscoring a potential impact of TNFis in diminishing comorbidities linked with axSpA.

Metformin adherence is associated with lower risk of osteoporotic fracture among patients with advanced type 2 diabetes

AIMS

To evaluate whether adherence to concurrent metformin (MET) therapy is associated with a reduced risk of fractures among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used Taiwan's nationwide claims data from 2014 to 2020 to identify patients aged ≥50 years with T2DM who initiated second-line oral antidiabetic therapy while continuing MET. Patients with a prior history of fractures were excluded. MET adherence was defined as a medication possession ratio >40 % and a refill gap ≤90 days. Fractures were identified through inpatient and outpatient claims using specific diagnosis and procedure codes related to fracture treatment and surgical intervention. Propensity score matching (1:1) was used to balance baseline characteristics, and competing risk regression was applied to estimate fracture risk, accounting for the competing risk of death.

RESULTS

A total of 76,022 patients were included (38,011 per group). MET adherence was significantly associated with a reduced risk of all-site fractures (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio[aSHR] = 0.76; 95 % CI: 0.69-0.83; P < 0.001), with consistent effects across fracture sites. No additional benefit was observed with concurrent use of DPP4i or SGLT2i.

CONCLUSIONS

MET adherence was associated with lower fracture risk in older adults with T2DM, highlighting its potential role in fracture prevention.

Biases in the performance of FRAX without BMD in predicting fracture risk in a multiethnic population with diabetes: the Diabetes and Aging Study

Fracture risk calculators, such as the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX), calculate the risk of major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture but do not account for the excess risk of fracture in people with diabetes. We examined the predictive performance of FRAX without BMD in ethnically diverse, older patients with diabetes. Patients included were between ages 65 and 89 from the Kaiser Permanente Northern California Diabetes Registry and not already taking osteoporosis medications. Race and ethnicity were self-identified. We calculated FRAX without BMD based on baseline characteristics and assessed how well FRAX predicted MOF and hip fracture over follow-up. Predictive performance was based on measures of discrimination (area under the receiver operator curve, AUC) and calibration (observed-to-predicted ratio, O/P). We identified 96 914 patients (47.0% female), of whom 5383 (5.6%) and 1767 (1.8%) had MOF and hip fracture, respectively, over a mean follow-up of 4.3 yr. The AUC for MOF and hip fracture were 0.72 and 0.77, respectively. FRAX mildly underestimated MOF and hip fracture rates (O/P 1.2 for both) overall. Discrimination was similar by race and ethnicity and diabetes duration but was worse in those over age 75 (AUC < 0.7). In some groups, there were substantial calibration errors, such as Hispanic women (O/P: 1.8 and 1.5), Black men (O/P: 1.5 and 1.8), those with duration of diabetes ≥20 yr (O/P: 1.6 and 1.5), and those over the age of 80 (O/P: 1.4 and 1.2) for MOF and hip fracture, respectively. While the discriminatory performance of FRAX without BMD was good overall in patients with diabetes, it underestimated risk in Hispanic women, Black men, those with long duration of diabetes, and in the oldest patients with diabetes. These algorithmic biases suggest that diabetes-specific tools may be needed to stratify fracture risk in patients with diabetes.

Rates and predictors of opioid deprescribing after fracture: A retrospective study of Medicare fee-for-service claims

BACKGROUND

Adults with Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease related dementias (ADRD) or frailty are susceptible to fractures. Opioid analgesics are frequently prescribed after fractures. Documenting post-fracture opioid discontinuation rates and predictors of discontinuation among adults with ADRD or frailty can inform clinical practice, identify potential disparities, and improve pain management guidelines. The objective of this paper was to investigate opioid discontinuation in opioid-naïve older adults who used opioids after an acute fracture.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included opioid-naïve Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries (N = 33,027) ≥65 years of age who filled an opioid prescription within 30 days of a vertebral, lower extremity, or upper extremity fracture from 2013 to 2018. Beneficiaries were classified according to ADRD (yes/no) and frailty (yes/no) status using validated claims-based algorithms. The primary outcome was opioid discontinuation, defined as a 30-day supply gap. We estimated discontinuation rates with the Kaplan-Meier method and identified predictors of opioid discontinuation using Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

The 30-day opioid discontinuation rate was similar among non-frail beneficiaries without ADRD (81% [95% CI, 80%-81%]) and those who were non-frail with ADRD (83% [81%-84%]). Comparatively, 30-day discontinuation rates were lower among those with frailty and ADRD (76% [75%-77%]) and those with frailty alone (77% [75%-78%]). After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, health status, healthcare utilization, and calendar year, beneficiaries with both ADRD and frailty (HR, 0.90 [0.87-0.93]) and those with frailty alone (HR, 0.85 [0.82-0.89]), but not those with ADRD alone (HR, 1.06 [1.01-1.10]), were less likely to discontinue opioids compared with those without ADRD or frailty.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Our findings suggest that frailty, but not ADRD, was associated with a lower likelihood of opioid discontinuation among older adults who initiated opioids after an acute fracture. Further research is needed to understand how opioid deprescribing practices depend on patient and provider preferences.

Epidural steroid injections and fracture incidence among older individuals with radiculopathy

Epidural steroid injections (ESIs) are a common and often effective treatment for radicular back pain. While oral glucocorticoids increase fracture incidence, little is known regarding fracture risk after ESI. This study investigated the incidence of fractures among individuals who received ESI and those who did not. We hypothesized that ESI exposure would be associated with an increased incidence of osteoporotic fractures and specifically vertebral fractures. Using 2005-2018 5% Medicare data, individuals with radicular pain who had ≥1 ESI and those who did not (non-ESI) were matched 1:10 by age, sex, and month of radicular pain diagnosis using exposure density sampling (EDS). Using a high-dimensional propensity score (HDPS) calculated based on the top 500 covariates across multiple data dimensions, ESI and non-ESI individuals were matched 1:1. Fractures were identified using validated ICD-9/10 diagnosis codes. Fracture incidence rate (IR) was calculated by group, and hazard ratios (HR) compared using Cox regression. 25 062 ESI patients and 221 735 non-ESI patients who met eligibility criteria were identified using EDS. Mean age was 76 yr (74% female). Among ESI-treated individuals, there were 2296 fractures, IR 49.1 (95% CI: 47.2-51.2) per 1000 person yr. For non-ESI individuals, there were 11 917 fractures, IR 35.2 (95% CI: 34.5-35.8). Individuals who received ESI had a greater hazard of fracture at typical osteoporotic sites, HR 1.39 (95% CI 1.33-1.46) by EDS and 1.32 (1.12-1.54) by HDPS, and a greater hazard of vertebral fracture, 1.54 (1.45-1.64) by EDS and 1.69 (1.38-2.07) by HDPS. Patients who received greater cumulative ESI doses (≥3 in 1 yr) had a higher risk of fractures within the first 6 mo of follow-up. ESI exposure in older individuals is associated with an increased risk of fracture, suggesting there may be lasting detrimental skeletal effects of ESI. Further research into strategies to reduce fracture risk in this population is warranted.

Twenty-Year Trends in Osteoporosis Treatment and Post-Fracture Care in South Korea: A Nationwide Study

BACKGROUND

Osteoporosis is a significant public health issue in aging populations. Despite advances in pharmacotherapy, underdiagnosis and undertreatment remain prevalent even in patients with recent fractures. This study examined 20-year trends (2002- 2022) in anti-osteoporotic medication (AOM) usage in South Korea.

METHODS

Data from the Korean National Health Information Database were retrospectively analyzed. The study included individuals aged ≥50 years and analyzed prescription trends, medication adherence, measured by the medication possession ratio (MPR), and treatment initiation rates post-fracture. The AOMs examined included bisphosphonates, selective estrogen receptor modulators, denosumab (DMAB), teriparatide (TPTD), and romosozumab (ROMO).

RESULTS

Over two decades, AOM use has shifted significantly from oral to injectable formulations, with injectables surpassing oral medications in 2020; from 397,440 prescriptions in 2016 to 1,162,779 in 2022. Prescriptions for DMAB surged following its approval as a first-line therapy in 2019, increasing 2.65 times from 217,606 in 2019 to 575,595 in 2022. The MPR improved from 35.4% in 2003 to 73.2% in 2021, with females demonstrating higher adherence than males. Post-fracture treatment rates increased from 31.1% in 2006 to 39.9% in 2021 but remained below 50%. Vertebral fractures had the highest treatment initiation rates, while anabolic agents, such as TPTD and ROMO were underprescribed despite their efficacy.

CONCLUSIONS

This 20-year analysis highlights significant progress in osteoporosis management in South Korea, including a shift towards injectable therapies and improved adherence. However, the persistent undertreatment of high-risk patients underscores the requirement for enhanced access to anabolic agents, clinician education, and policy reforms to optimize post-fracture care.

Opioid Use After Hip Fracture and Subsequent Fracture Outcomes: A Self-Controlled Case Series Design

PURPOSE

Hip fractures in older adults cause severe pain that often necessitates opioid use. However, opioids may trigger falls that result in subsequent fractures. Studies examining the effects of opioids on subsequent fractures are often limited by unmeasured confounding between opioid-treated and untreated persons. To overcome this limitation, we used a self-controlled case series (SCCS) design to investigate subsequent fracture risk during periods of opioid use after hip fracture.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort included Medicare beneficiaries aged > 65 years who had a subsequent hip fracture within one year after an incident hip fracture (2012-2018). We estimated the risk of subsequent hip fracture in three exposure intervals according to the duration of opioid exposure: (1) The first 0-14 days of opioid exposure, (2) days 15-42 of exposure, and (3) opioid use beyond 42 days. We employed several approaches to modify the SCCS design to be more robust to assumptions, including adjustment for event-dependent exposures.

RESULTS

The rate of subsequent fracture was greatest during opioid use across a variety of approaches. The effect within the first 14 days after initiating opioids was robust to SCCS design choices, ranging from IRR 1.12 (95%CLs 0.98, 1.28) to IRR 1.77 (95%CLs 1.52, 2.07). The effect of extended opioid use (> 42 days) ranged from IRR 2.49 (95%CLs 1.95, 3.18) to IRR 4.08 (95%CLs 3.06, 5.46).

CONCLUSIONS

Analyses indicate a consistent increased risk of subsequent fracture associated with opioid use and demonstrate the importance that SCCS assumptions must be carefully investigated for real-world applications.

Cardiovascular Safety and Fracture Prevention Effectiveness of Denosumab Versus Oral Bisphosphonates in Patients Receiving Dialysis : A Target Trial Emulation

BACKGROUND

Dialysis patients have high rates of fracture morbidity, but evidence on optimal management strategies for osteoporosis is scarce.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk for cardiovascular events and fracture prevention effects with denosumab compared with oral bisphosphonates in dialysis-dependent patients.

DESIGN

An observational study that attempts to emulate a target trial.

SETTING

A Japanese administrative claims database (April 2014 to October 2022).

PATIENTS

Adults aged 50 years or older who have initiated denosumab or oral bisphosphonates for osteoporosis in dialysis-dependent patients.

MEASUREMENTS

The safety outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACE). The effectiveness outcome was a composite of all fractures. Follow-up was 3 years.

RESULTS

A total of 1032 patients were identified (658 denosumab users and 374 oral bisphosphonate users). Overall average age was 74.5 years, and 62.9% were women. The weighted 3-year risk difference for MACE was 8.2% (95% CI, -0.2% to 16.7%), with a weighted 3-year risk ratio of 1.36 (CI, 0.99 to 1.87). The weighted 3-year risk difference for composite fractures was -5.3% (CI, -11.3% to -0.6%), and the weighted 3-year risk ratio was 0.55 (CI, 0.28 to 0.93).

LIMITATIONS

Lack of clinical data on kidney or osteoporosis disease severity and cardiovascular or other metabolic risk with residual confounding. Safety outcomes did not include kidney end points.

CONCLUSION

It was estimated that, compared with oral bisphosphonates, denosumab lowered the risk for fractures by 45% and increased the risk for MACE by 36%. The estimates, however, are imprecise and need to be confirmed in future studies.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

None.

Comparative Effectiveness of Abaloparatide and Teriparatide in Women 50 Years of Age and Older: Update of a Real-World Retrospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Abaloparatide and teriparatide are osteoanabolic treatments indicated for postmenopausal women and men with osteoporosis at high risk of fracture. In the Abaloparatide Comparator Trial In Vertebral Endpoints study, bone mineral density improvements were significantly greater with abaloparatide compared to teriparatide at the total hip and femoral neck. We conducted a retrospective claims study to examine the incidences of hip and nonvertebral fractures and cardiovascular events in women aged ≥50 years initiating abaloparatide or teriparatide therapy, expanding on a previous retrospective claims study.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study used anonymized claims data from ICON's Symphony Health, PatientSource for women aged ≥ 50 years with ≥ 1 prescription fill for abaloparatide or teriparatide. The index date was the date of the initial prescription dispensed. Times to first hip fracture, nonvertebral fracture, and serious cardiovascular event were compared between logistic regression-based propensity score-matched cohorts and in predefined subgroups by age, prior antiresorptive use, and prior fracture using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Patients (21 676 per cohort) were well matched on 73 baseline parameters. Forty-five percent of patients in the abaloparatide arm and 47% in the teriparatide arm were exposed to treatment for longer than 12 months. Over 18 months (+ 30 days follow-up), 245 (1.1%) and 296 (1.4%) women in the abaloparatide and teriparatide cohorts, respectively, had a hip fracture (HR [95% CI] 0.83 [0.70, 0.98]; P = .027); 947 (4.4%) and 1078 (5.0%) had a nonvertebral fracture (0.88 [0.80, 0.96]; P = .003). There were no significant treatment-subgroup interactions (P ≥ .2). Cardiovascular events were similar between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

There were significantly lower rates of hip and nonvertebral fractures with abaloparatide compared to teriparatide, which were consistent across subgroups. No differences in cardiovascular safety were noted between cohorts.

Efficacy Versus Effectiveness: The HORIZON-Pivotal Fracture Trial and Its Emulation in Claims Data

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to evaluate the concordance of results between the Health Outcomes and Reduced Incidence with Zoledronic Acid Once Yearly (HORIZON)-Pivotal Fracture Trial (PFT) and a nonrandomized database study designed to emulate the trial.

METHODS

HORIZON-PFT evaluated the efficacy of zoledronic acid versus placebo in reducing the risk of hip fractures and found a 41% risk reduction over a three-year treatment period (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.59; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.42-0.83). Using two US claims databases from August 2007 to December 2020 or June 2021, we applied eligibility criteria from HORIZON-PFT and identified women with osteoporosis who initiated zoledronic acid or raloxifene as a proxy for placebo. The study protocol was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04736693) before inferential analyses. We compared HORIZON-PFT and database study results using prespecified metrics.

RESULTS

Because of low adherence in clinical practice, on-treatment follow-up was truncated at 18 months in the database study. The hip fracture risk after 18 months was 9.3 in 1,000 in the trial and 8.3 in 1,000 in the database analysis. In the database study, zoledronic acid was associated with a 28% reduction in hip fractures risk compared with raloxifene (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.51-0.92). The attenuated effect of zoledronic acid in the database study may be explained by its shorter follow-up, because the interpolated estimate of the effect in HORIZON-PFT at 18 months was HRRCT (randomized controlled trial), 0.74, nearly identical to the observational estimate HRdatabase 0.72.

CONCLUSION

Real-world emulation of the HORIZON-PFT found that zoledronic acid reduced hip fractures risk over an 18-month follow-up period. Limited adherence in clinical practice diminished the magnitude of its preventive effect and precluded long-term estimation of effectiveness in this setting.

Trends in hip fracture rates in US male veterans

Osteoporotic fracture has been understudied in men. In US male veterans aged 50 years and older between 2002 and 2019, hip fracture incidence increased between 2006 and 2019, fewer than 6% of men underwent DXA, and fewer than 0.5% of men were treated. Investigation of low screening and treatment rates is warranted.

PURPOSE

In the United States, the annual incidence of osteoporotic hip fracture is estimated to be 250,000 to 300,000; the one-year mortality in some studies has been as high as 32%. Reports that hip fracture rates in US women 65 years and older may no longer be declining led to this investigation of hip fracture in men, a less studied population. We assessed the trends in the incidence of hip fracture in US male veterans 50 years and older of age as well as the rates of diagnosis and treatment in such men.

METHODS

We assessed the recent trends of hip fracture incidence in a nation-wide male veteran population 50 years and older of age. Using data from the US Veterans Affairs Informatics and Computing Infrastructure (VINCI) 2002-2019, we calculated the annual age-standardized hip fracture incidence. Secondary objectives included evaluating the annual proportion of hip fracture patients who underwent dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) before or after the fracture and/or received osteoporosis medication after the hip fracture over the study period.

RESULTS

Hip fracture incidence increased in male veterans from 2006 to 2019. Fewer than 6% of men underwent a DXA scan and fewer than 0.5% received osteoporosis medications up to two years after a hip fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite available screening methods such as DXAs and medications for primary and secondary prevention of osteoporotic fractures, hip fracture incidence is not decreasing in older male veterans. Our study highlights a need for closer attention to fracture risk in men.

Comparative effectiveness and cardiovascular safety of romosozumab versus teriparatide in patients with osteoporosis: a population-based cohort study

This study compared the effectiveness and cardiovascular safety of romosozumab and teriparatide. The main finding was that there were no significant differences between the two drugs in fracture prevention and risk of major adverse cardiac events. This suggests that romosozumab and teriparatide are comparable options for treating osteoporosis.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to determine the preventive effects of romosozumab versus teriparatide on fractures and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients initiating these drugs.

METHODS

We conducted an active comparator, a new user cohort design, with confounding controlled by inverse probability of treatment weighting using a Japanese administrative claims database (March 2019 to October 2022). This cohort study included 49,104 patients aged 50 years or older who initiated romosozumab (n = 16,125) or teriparatide (n = 32,979) for osteoporosis. The study exposure was the initiation of romosozumab or teriparatide. Effectiveness outcomes were nonvertebral fracture and hip fracture. The safety outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Follow-up period was 365 days.

RESULTS

The weighted incidence rate difference (IRD) for nonvertebral fracture between romosozumab versus teriparatide was -0.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], -0.34 to 0.17) events per 100 person-years (weighted hazard ratio [HR], 0.95 [95% CI, 0.81 to 1.12]); weighted IRD for hip fracture was 0.00 (95% CI, -0.16 to 0.16) events per 100 person-years (weighted HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.76 to 1.29]); and weighted IRD for MACE was -0.06 (95% CI, -0.20 to 0.09) events per 100 person-years (weighted HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.68 to 1.19]).

CONCLUSION

In patients with osteoporosis, there was no significant difference in the prevention of nonvertebral fracture and hip fracture between romosozumab and teriparatide. In addition, the risk of MACE was comparable between the two drugs.

Fractures by race and ethnicity in a diverse sample of postmenopausal women: a current evaluation among Hispanic and Asian origin groups

Using 1998-2022 Women's Health Initiative (WHI) data, our study provides contemporary fracture data by race and ethnicity, specifically focusing on Hispanic and Asian women. Fractures of interest included any clinical, hip, and major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs). We utilized the updated race and ethnicity information collected in 2003, which included seven Asian and five Hispanic origin groups. We computed crude and age-standardized fracture incidence rates per 10 000 woman-years across race and ethnic categories and by Asian and Hispanic origin. We used Cox proportional hazards model, adjusting for age and WHI clinical trial arm, to evaluate the risk of fracture (1) by race compared to White women, (2) Asian origin compared to White women, (3) Hispanic compared to non-Hispanic women, and (4) Asian and Hispanic origins compared the most prevalent origin group. Over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 19.4 (9.2-24.2) years, 44.2% of the 160 824 women experienced any clinical fracture, including 36 278 MOFs and 8962 hip fractures. Compared to White women, Black, Pacific Islander, Asian, and multiracial women had significantly lower risk of any clinical and MOFs, while only Black and Asian women had significantly lower hip fracture risk. Within Asian women, Filipina women had 24% lower risk of any clinical fracture compared to Japanese women. Hispanic women had significantly lower risk of any clinical, hip, and MOF fractures compared to non-Hispanic women, with no differences in fracture risk observed within Hispanic origin groups. In this diverse sample of postmenopausal women, we confirmed racial and ethnic differences in fracture rates and risk, with novel findings among within Asian and Hispanic subgroups. These data can aid in future longitudinal studies evaluate contributors to racial and ethnic differences in fractures.

Falls and Fractures among Nursing Home Residents Treated with Pimavanserin versus Other Atypical Antipsychotics: Analysis of Medicare Beneficiaries with Parkinson's Disease Psychosis

BACKGROUND

Reducing falls and fractures remains an important clinical goal in managing older residents with Parkinson's disease psychosis (PDP) in long-term care/nursing home (LTC/NH) settings.

OBJECTIVES

This analysis examined risk of all-cause falls or fractures among PDP residents on continuous monotherapy with pimavanserin (PIM) versus (i) other atypical antipsychotics (AAPs) [quetiapine (QUE), risperidone (RIS), olanzapine (OLA), aripiprazole (ARI)] and (ii) QUE.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of parts A, B, and D claims from a 100% Medicare sample (2013-2019) in LTC/NH settings was conducted. LTC/NH residents in the USA initiating continuous monotherapy (PIM versus other AAPs; PIM versus QUE) for ≥ 6 months between 01 January 2014 and 31 December 2018 were 1:1 propensity score matched (PSM) on 31 variables (age, sex, race, region, and 27 Elixhauser comorbidities). Outcomes included three measures: risks of falls only, fractures only, and falls/fractures during 6-months follow-up. Demographic characteristics were described using chi-square and t-tests. Generalized linear models were used to assess difference in risks of falls/fractures.

RESULTS

Of 7187 residents, 47.59% (n = 3420) were female and mean age was 78.8 (± 7.75) years. In total, 14% (n = 1005) were on PIM and 86% (n = 6182) were on other AAPs. After PSM, falls only among PIM residents (n = 1005) was 4.58% (n = 46) versus 7.66% (n = 77) for other AAPs (n = 1005) [relative risk (RR) = 0.63 (0.46, 0.86), p < 0.05] and 8.26% (n = 83) for QUE (n = 1005) residents (p < 0.05). Fractures only among PIM residents was 1.39% (n = 14) compared with 2.09% (n = 21) for other AAPs (p = 0.31) and 1.89% (n = 19) for QUE (p = 0.49), respectively. Taken together, falls/fractures among PIM residents were 5.67% (n = 57) versus 9.05% (n = 91) for other AAPs [RR = 0.63 (0.46, 0.86), p < 0.05] and 9.55% (n = 96) for QUE (p < 0.05), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this analysis of LTC/NH residents with PDP, PIM had a 37% and 41% lower risk of all-cause falls/fractures versus other AAPs and versus QUE, respectively.

Comparative effectiveness of denosumab vs alendronate among postmenopausal women with osteoporosis

Although clinical trials have shown that denosumab significantly increases bone mineral density at key skeletal sites more than oral bisphosphonates, evidence is lacking from head-to-head randomized trials evaluating fracture outcomes. This retrospective cohort study uses administrative claims data from Medicare fee-for service beneficiaries to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of denosumab vs alendronate in reducing fracture risk among women with PMO in the US. Women with PMO ≥ 66 yr of age with no prior history of osteoporosis treatment, who initiated denosumab (n = 89 115) or alendronate (n = 389 536) from 2012 to 2018, were followed from treatment initiation until the first of a specific fracture outcome, treatment discontinuation or switch, end of study (December 31, 2019), or other censoring criteria. A doubly robust inverse-probability of treatment and censoring weighted function was used to estimate the risk ratio associated with the use of denosumab compared with alendronate for hip, nonvertebral (NV; includes hip, humerus, pelvis, radius/ulna, other femur), non-hip nonvertebral (NHNV), hospitalized vertebral (HV), and major osteoporotic (MOP; consisting of NV and HV) fractures. Overall, denosumab reduced the risk of MOP by 39%, hip by 36%, NV by 43%, NHNV by 50%, and HV fractures by 30% compared with alendronate. Denosumab reduced the risk of MOP fractures by 9% at year 1, 12% at year 2, 18% at year 3, and 31% at year 5. An increase in the magnitude of fracture risk reduction with increasing duration of exposure was also observed for other NV fracture outcomes. In this cohort of almost half-a-million treatment-naive women with PMO, we observed clinically significant reductions in the risk of MOP, hip, NV, NHNV, and HV fractures for patients on denosumab compared with alendronate. Patients who remained on denosumab for longer periods of time experienced greater reductions in fracture risk.

Risk of fracture in patients with myasthenia gravis: a nationwide cohort study in Korea

Myasthenia gravis (MG) is an autoimmune disorder that affects the neuromuscular junctions, resulting in muscle weakness and fatigue. Muscle weakness, restricted mobility, and frequent use of corticosteroids in patients with MG may predispose them to a higher risk of fractures. However, studies on the impact of MG on bone health and the associated fracture risk are scarce. Utilizing claim database of the Korean National Health Insurance Service collected between 2002 and 2020, we compared the risk of major osteoporotic fracture between 23 118 patients with MG and 115 590 individuals as an age- and sex-matched control group using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Over a median follow-up duration of 5.58 years, the MG group (mean age 53.7 years; 55% women) had higher risk of major osteoporotic fracture compared with controls (incidence rate 13.59 versus 9.74 per 10 000 person-years), which remained independent of age, sex, comorbidities, drug use including anti-osteoporotic agents, and previous fracture history (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.19, P < 0.001; subdistributed HR 1.14, P < 0.001 adjusted for mortality as competing risk). Subgroup analyses showed a greater association between MG and major osteoporotic fracture risk in younger (age 50 or younger) than older individuals (aHR 1.34 vs. 1.17) and in men compared with women (aHR 1.32 vs. 1.15; P for interaction < 0.05 for all). An imminent divergence of the fracture risk curve between MG and controls was observed for vertebral fracture, while there was time delay for non-vertebral sites, showing site-specific association. Factors associated with higher fracture risk in patients with MG were older age, female gender, high dose glucocorticoid use (>7.5 mg/day), immunosuppressant use, and previous history of fracture. In summary, patients with MG had higher risk of major osteoporotic fracture compared with controls, which calls further preventive actions in this patient group.

Validation of a Rule-Based ICD-10-CM Algorithm to Detect Fall Injuries in Medicare Data

BACKGROUND

Diagnosis-code-based algorithms to identify fall injuries in Medicare data are useful for ascertaining outcomes in interventional and observational studies. However, these algorithms have not been validated against a fully external reference standard, in ICD-10-CM, or in Medicare Advantage (MA) data.

METHODS

We linked self-reported fall injuries leading to medical attention (FIMA) from the Strategies to Reduce Injuries and Develop Confidence in Elders (STRIDE) trial (reference standard) to Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) and MA data from 2015-19. We measured the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) based on sensitivity and specificity of a diagnosis-code-based algorithm against the reference standard for presence or absence of ≥1 FIMA within a specified window of dates, varying the window size to obtain points on the curve. We stratified results by source (FFS vs MA), trial arm (intervention vs control), and STRIDE's 10 participating health care systems.

RESULTS

Both reference standard data and Medicare data were available for 4 941 (of 5 451) participants. The reference standard and algorithm identified 2 054 and 2 067 FIMA, respectively. The algorithm had 45% sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI]: 43%-47%) and 99% specificity (95% CI: 99%-99%) to identify reference standard FIMA within the same calendar month. The AUC was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.78-0.81) and was similar by FFS or MA data source and by trial arm but showed variation among STRIDE health care systems (AUC range by health care system, 0.71 to 0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

An ICD-10-CM algorithm to identify fall injuries demonstrated acceptable performance against an external reference standard, in both MA and FFS data.

Comparative Risk of Injury with Concurrent Use of Opioids and Skeletal Muscle Relaxants

Concurrent use of skeletal muscle relaxants (SMRs) and opioids has been linked to an increased risk of injury. However, it remains unclear whether the injury risks differ by specific SMR when combined with opioids. We conducted nine retrospective cohort studies within a US Medicaid population. Each cohort consisted exclusively of person-time exposed to both an SMR and one of the three most dispensed opioids-hydrocodone, oxycodone, and tramadol. Opioid users were further divided into three cohorts based on the initiation order of SMRs and opioids-synchronically triggered, opioid-triggered, and SMR-triggered. Within each cohort, we used Cox proportional hazard models to compare the injury rates for different SMRs compared to methocarbamol, adjusting for covariates. We identified 349,543, 139,458, and 218,967 concurrent users of SMRs with hydrocodone, oxycodone, and tramadol, respectively. In the oxycodone-SMR-triggered cohort, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.86 (95% CI, 1.23-2.82) for carisoprodol and 1.73 (1.09-2.73) for tizanidine. In the tramadol-synchronically triggered cohort, the adjusted HRs were 0.69 (0.49-0.97) for metaxalone and 0.62 (0.42-0.90) for tizanidine. In the tramadol-SMR-triggered cohort, the adjusted HRs were 1.51 (1.01-2.26) for baclofen and 1.48 (1.03-2.11) for cyclobenzaprine. All other HRs were statistically nonsignificant. In conclusion, the relative injury rate associated with different SMRs used concurrently with the three most dispensed opioids appears to vary depending on the specific opioid and the order of combination initiation. If confirmed by future studies, clinicians should consider the varying injury rates when prescribing SMRs to individuals using hydrocodone, oxycodone, and tramadol.

Effectiveness and safety of empagliflozin: final results from the EMPRISE study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Limited evidence exists on the comparative safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin against alternative glucose-lowering medications in individuals with type 2 diabetes with the broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. The EMPagliflozin compaRative effectIveness and SafEty (EMPRISE) cohort study was designed to monitor the safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin periodically for a period of 5 years with data collection from electronic healthcare databases.

METHODS

We identified individuals ≥18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we identified four a priori-defined effectiveness outcomes: (1) myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke; (2) hospitalisation for heart failure (HHF); (3) major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); and (4) cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Safety outcomes included lower-limb amputations, non-vertebral fractures, diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), acute kidney injury (AKI), severe hypoglycaemia, retinopathy progression, and short-term kidney and bladder cancers. We estimated HRs and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years, overall and stratified by age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure.

RESULTS

We identified 115,116 matched pairs. Compared with DPP-4i, empagliflozin was associated with lower risks of MI/stroke (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81, 0.96]; RD -2.08 [95% CI (-3.26, -0.90]), HHF (HR 0.50 [0.44, 0.56]; RD -5.35 [-6.22, -4.49]), MACE (HR 0.73 [0.62, 0.86]; RD -6.37 [-8.98, -3.77]) and cardiovascular mortality/HHF (HR 0.57 [0.47, 0.69]; RD -10.36 [-12.63, -8.12]). Absolute benefits were larger in older individuals and in those with ASCVD/heart failure. Empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA (HR 1.78 [1.44, 2.19]; RD 1.59 [1.08, 2.09]); decreased risks of AKI (HR 0.62 [0.54, 0.72]; RD -2.39 [-3.08, -1.71]), hypoglycaemia (HR 0.75 [0.67, 0.84]; RD -2.46 [-3.32, -1.60]) and retinopathy progression (HR 0.78 [0.63, 0.96)]; RD -9.49 [-16.97, -2.10]); and similar risks of other safety events.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin relative to DPP-4i was associated with risk reductions of MI or stroke, HHF, MACE and the composite of cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older individuals and in those who had history of ASCVD or heart failure. Regarding the safety outcomes, empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA and lower risks of AKI, hypoglycaemia and progression to proliferative retinopathy, with no difference in the short-term risks of lower-extremity amputation, non-vertebral fractures, kidney and renal pelvis cancer, and bladder cancer.

Risk factors for hip and vertebral fractures in chronic kidney disease: the CRIC study

Fracture risk is high in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and underlying pathophysiology and risk factors may differ from the general population. In a cohort study of 3939 participants in the chronic renal insufficiency cohort (CRIC), we used Cox regression to test associations of putative risk factors with the composite of first hip or vertebral fracture assessed using hospital discharge codes. Mean age was 58 years, 45% were female, 42% were Black, and 13% were Hispanic. There were 82 hip and 24 vertebral fractures over a mean (SD) 11.1 (4.8) years (2.4 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI: 2.0, 2.9]). Measured at baseline, diabetes, lower body mass index (BMI), steroid use, proteinuria, and elevated parathyroid hormone (PTH) were each associated with fracture risk after adjusting for covariates. Lower time-updated estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was associated with fractures (HR 1.20 per 10 mL/min/1.73m2 lower eGFR; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.38) as were lower time-updated serum calcium and bicarbonate concentrations. Among time-updated categories of kidney function, hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident fracture were 4.53 (1.77, 11.60) for kidney failure treated with dialysis and 2.48 (0.86, 7.14) for post-kidney transplantation, compared with eGFR ≥60. Proton pump inhibitor use, dietary calcium intake, measures of vitamin D status, serum phosphate, urine calcium and phosphate, and plasma fibroblast growth factor-23 were not associated with fracture risk. In conclusion, lower eGFR in CKD is associated with higher fracture risk, which was highest in kidney failure. Diabetes, lower BMI, steroid use, proteinuria, higher serum concentrations of PTH, and lower calcium and bicarbonate concentrations were associated with fractures and may be modifiable risk factors.

Real-World Evidence to Support the Registration of a New Osteoporosis Medicinal Product in Europe

Real-World Evidence (RWE), which has historically been used to support post-approval safety studies, has recently gained acceptance for new drug applications as supportive evidence or as new clinical evidence for medicinal products with orphan designation and/or in disease areas with high unmet need. Here, we present a case study for the use of RWE in the approval of abaloparatide in the European Union (EU) under the tradename Eladynos. In addition to data from the pivotal Phase 3 study, the marketing authorization application (MAA) included clinical data from additional interventional and observational studies, as well as post-marketing data obtained from the United States (US) market since approval of abaloparatide by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2017. The new interventional studies were not designed to assess fracture efficacy and cardiovascular safety which were topics of concern raised by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) during their review of the initial MAA submitted in 2015. However, these studies taken together with the RWE formed the basis for a new MAA. Prior to the planned resubmission in the EU, national Scientific Advice (SA) was sought on the proposed clinical program, specifically on the relevance of Real-World Data (RWD) derived from an observational study to support and complement the efficacy and safety data already available from prospective randomized clinical trials. This case study demonstrates successful use of RWE to address a previously identified gap raised by the CHMP during the review of an earlier MAA, which led to the approval of Eladynos for the treatment of osteoporosis in the EU.

Validity of Major Osteoporotic Fracture Diagnoses in the Danish National Patient Registry

Objective

To evaluate the validity of diagnosis codes for Major Osteoporotic Fracture (MOF) in the Danish National Patient Registry (NPR) and secondly to evaluate whether the fracture was incident/acute using register-based definitions including date criteria and procedural codes.

Methods

We identified a random sample of 2400 records with a diagnosis code for a MOF in the NPR with dates in the year of 2018. Diagnoses were coded with the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10). The sample included 2375 unique fracture patients from the Region of Southern Denmark. Medical records were retrieved for the study population and reviewed by an algorithmic search function and medical doctors to verify the MOF diagnoses. Register-based definitions of incident/acute MOF was evaluated in NPR data by applying date criteria and procedural codes.

Results

The PPV for MOF diagnoses overall was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98;0.99) and PPV=0.99 for the four individual fracture sites, respectively. Further, analyses of incident/acute fractures applying date criteria, procedural codes and using patients' first contact in the NPR resulted in PPV=0.88 (95% CI: 0.84;0.91) for hip fractures, PPV=0.78 (95% CI: 0.74;0.83) for humerus fractures, PPV=0.78 (95% CI: 0.73;0.83) for clinical vertebral fractures and PPV=0.87 (95% CI: 0.83;0.90) for wrist fractures.

Conclusion

ICD-10 coded MOF diagnoses are valid in the NPR. Furthermore, a set of register-based criteria can be applied to qualify if the MOF fracture was incident/acute. Thus, the NPR is a valuable and reliable data source for epidemiological research on osteoporotic fractures.

Fall risk and cardiovascular outcomes of first-line antihypertensive medications in nursing home residents

BACKGROUND

Little evidence exists about the comparative effects of first-line antihypertensive medications (i.e., renin-angiotensin-aldosterone converting enzyme inhibitors (RAASi), amlodipine, or thiazide diuretics) in older adults with limited life expectancy. We compared the rates of injurious falls and short-term cardiovascular events between different first-line antihypertensive medication classes in adults receiving care in nursing homes (NH).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries receiving care in NHs. Patients newly dispensed first-line antihypertensive medications were identified using Part D claims (2015-2018) and linked with clinical assessments (i.e., Minimum Data Set). Fall-related injuries (FRI), hip fractures, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) outcomes were identified using hospitalization claims. Patients were followed from the date of antihypertensive dispensing until the occurrence of outcomes, death, disenrollment, or 6-month follow-up. Inverse-probability-of-treatment-weighted (IPTW) cause-specific hazards regression models were used to compare outcomes between patients who were new users of RAASi, amlodipine, or thiazides.

RESULTS

Our cohort included 16,504 antihypertensive users (RAASi, n = 9574; amlodipine, n = 5049; thiazide, n = 1881). Mean age was 83.5 years (± 8.2), 70.6% were female, and 17.2% were non-white race. During a mean follow-up of 5.3 months, 326 patients (2.0%) experienced an injurious fall, 1590 (9.6%) experienced MACE, and 2123 patients (12.9%) died. The intention-to-treat IPTW hazard ratio (HR) for injurious falls for amlodipine (vs RAASi) use was 0.85 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66-1.08) and for thiazides (vs RAASi) was 1.22 (95% CI 0.88-1.66). The rates of MACE were similar between those taking anti-hypertensive medications. Thiazides were discontinued more often than other classes; however, inferences were largely unchanged in as-treated analyses. Subgroup analyses were generally consistent.

CONCLUSIONS

Older adults with limited life expectancy experience similar rates of injurious falls and short-term cardiovascular events after initiating any of the first-line antihypertensive medications.

Incidence Rate and Factors Associated With Fractures Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Ankylosing Spondylitis in the United States

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the incidence rate and factors associated with fractures among adults with ankylosing spondylitis (AS).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study with data from the Rheumatology Informatics System for Effectiveness registry linked to Medicare claims from 2016 to 2018. Patients were required to have two AS International Classification of Diseases codes 30 or more days apart and a subsequent Medicare claim. Then, 1 year of baseline characteristics were included, after which patients were observed for fractures. First, we calculated the incidence rate of fractures. Second, we constructed logistic regression models to identify factors associated with the fracture, including age, sex, race and ethnicity, body mass index, Medicare/Medicaid dual eligibility, area deprivation index, Charlson comorbidity index, smoking status, osteoporosis, historical fracture, and use of osteoporosis treatment, glucocorticoids, and opioids.

RESULTS

We identified 1,426 adults with prevalent AS. Mean ± SD age was 69.4 ± 9.8 years, 44.3% were female, and 77.3% were non-Hispanic White. Fractures occurred in 197 adults with AS. The overall incidence rate of fractures was 76.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] 66.4-88.6) per 1,000 person-years. Older age (odds ratio [OR] 2.8, 95% CI 1.39-5.65), historical fracture (OR 5.24, 95% CI 3.44-7.99), and use of more than 30 mg morphine equivalent (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.08-3.19) conferred increased odds of fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large sample of Medicare beneficiaries with AS, increasing age, historical fracture, and use of opioids had higher odds of fracture. Men and women were equally likely to have a fracture. Because opioid use was associated with fracture in AS, this high-risk population should be considered for interventions to mitigate risk.

Treatment Persistence and Medication Switch Associated With Subsequent Fractures After Osteoporotic Fractures

CONTEXT

Despite prevalent anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) switching in real-world osteoporosis management, few studies have evaluated the impact of persistent AOM treatment, allowing for AOM switching, on the risk of subsequent fracture.

OBJECTIVE

We examined the association between persistence in AOM and subsequent fractures, allowing for medication switching among patients with osteoporotic fractures.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used Taiwan National Health Insurance claims data to select patients who initiated AOM between 2013 and 2016. Treatment persistence was defined as use of any AOM on a given day of interest with a 45-day grace period. Medication switch was allowed for persistence if remaining on treatment. AOMs with long-lasting inhibition of bone resorption (zoledronate and denosumab) were categorized as high-potency; others as low-potency. Multivariate Cox models were used to evaluate risk of subsequent fractures ≥3 months after initiating AOM.

RESULTS

A total of 119 473 patients were included (mean [SD] follow-up 46.4 [15.6] months), and 26.8% switched from the index AOM. Within 1 year, 52% remained persistent with AOM. Compared to patients with persistent AOM, those not persistent had higher risk of subsequent hip (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.31; 95% CI, 1.21-1.42), vertebral (aHR = 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22), and radius fractures (aHR = 1.16; 95% CI, 1.08-1.25). Patients with persistent AOM who switched from high- to low-potency AOM had higher risk of subsequent vertebral fractures than those with persistent AOM and no potency switch (aHR = 1.28; 95% CI, 1.02-1.60).

CONCLUSION

Patients with non-persistent AOM had higher risk of subsequent fractures than persistent users when allowing AOM switch. Switching AOM potency may influence the risk of subsequent vertebral fractures and warrants further investigation.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based fall-related injury risk prediction model using nationwide claims database in Korean community-dwelling older population

BACKGROUND

Falls impact over 25% of older adults annually, making fall prevention a critical public health focus. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning-based prediction model for serious fall-related injuries (FRIs) among community-dwelling older adults, incorporating various medication factors.

METHODS

Utilizing annual national patient sample data, we segmented outpatient older adults without FRIs in the preceding three months into development and validation cohorts based on data from 2018 and 2019, respectively. The outcome of interest was serious FRIs, which we defined operationally as incidents necessitating an emergency department visit or hospital admission, identified by the diagnostic codes of injuries that are likely associated with falls. We developed four machine-learning models (light gradient boosting machine, Catboost, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and Random forest), along with a logistic regression model as a reference.

RESULTS

In both cohorts, FRIs leading to hospitalization/emergency department visits occurred in approximately 2% of patients. After selecting features from initial set of 187, we retained 26, with 15 of them being medication-related. Catboost emerged as the top model, with area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.700, along with sensitivity and specificity rates around 65%. The high-risk group showed more than threefold greater risk of FRIs than the low-risk group, and model interpretations aligned with clinical intuition.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated an explainable machine-learning model for predicting serious FRIs in community-dwelling older adults. With prospective validation, this model could facilitate targeted fall prevention strategies in primary care or community-pharmacy settings.

Trends in Fracture Rates Over Two Decades Among Veterans With Ankylosing Spondylitis

OBJECTIVE

There is an increased risk of fracture in individuals with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) compared to the general population, possibly due to systemic inflammatory effects. The use of tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) may reduce fracture risk by inhibiting inflammation. We assessed fracture rates in AS versus non-AS comparators and whether these rates have changed since the introduction of TNFi.

METHODS

We used the national Veterans Affairs database to identify adults ≥18 years old with ≥1 International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9)/ICD-10 code for AS and at least 1 disease-modifying antirheumatic drug prescription. As comparators, we selected a random sample of adults without AS diagnosis codes. We calculated fracture incidence rates for AS and comparators, with direct standardization to the cohort structure in 2017. To compare fracture rates from 2000 to 2002 (pre-TNFi) versus 2004-2020 (TNFi era), we performed an interrupted time series analysis.

RESULTS

We included 3,794 individuals with AS (mean age 53 years, 92% male) and 1,152,805 comparators (mean age 60 years, 89% male). For AS, the incidence rate of fractures increased from 7.9/1,000 person-years in 2000 to 21.6/1,000 person-years in 2020. The rate also increased among comparators, although the ratio of fracture rates (AS/comparators) remained relatively stable. In the interrupted time series, the fracture rate for AS patients in the TNFi era was nonsignificantly increased compared to the pre-TNFi era.

CONCLUSION

Fracture rates have increased over time for both AS and non-AS comparators. The fracture rate in individuals with AS did not decrease after TNFi introduction in 2003.

Validation of an algorithm to identify fractures among patients within the Veterans Health Administration

OBJECTIVE

To validate an algorithm that identifies fractures using billing codes from the International Classification of Diseases Ninth Revision (ICD-9) and Tenth Revision (ICD-10) for inpatient, outpatient, and emergency department visits in a population of patients.

METHODS

We identified and reviewed a random sample of 543 encounters for adults receiving care within a single Veterans Health Administration healthcare system and had a first fracture episode between 2010 and 2019. To determine if an encounter represented a true incident fracture, we performed chart abstraction and assessed the type of fracture and mechanism. We calculated the positive predictive value (PPV) for the overall algorithm and each component diagnosis code along with 95% confidence intervals. Inverse probabilities of selection sampling weights were used to reflect the underlying study population.

RESULTS

The algorithm had an initial PPV of 73.5% (confidence interval [CI] 69.5, 77.1), with low performance when weighted to reflect the full population (PPV 66.3% [CI 58.8, 73.1]). The modified algorithm was restricted to diagnosis codes with PPVs > 50% and outpatient codes were restricted to the first outpatient position, with the exception of one high performing code. The resulting unweighted PPV improved to 90.1% (CI 86.2, 93.0) and weighted PPV of 91.3% (CI 86.8, 94.4). A confirmation sample demonstrated verified performance with PPV of 87.3% (76.0, 93.7). PPVs by location of care (inpatient, emergency department and outpatient) remained greater than 85% in the modified algorithm.

CONCLUSIONS

The modified algorithm, which included primary billing codes for inpatient, outpatient, and emergency department visits, demonstrated excellent PPV for identification of fractures among a cohort of patients within the Veterans Health Administration system.

Combining Register and Radiological Visits Data Allows to Reliably Identify Incident Wrist Fractures

Purpose

To evaluate how comprehensively wrist fractures can be tracked from the national medical registers, and to propose a method for complementing the register data using time stamps of wrist radiography visits recorded in the radiological image archive.

Patients and Methods

For the Kuopio Osteoporosis Risk Factor and Prevention Study (OSTPRE) cohort of 14220 post-menopausal women, we analysed the data from the Care Register for Health Care, Register for Primary Health Care Visits, self-reports, radiological image archive PACS, and patient records to identify the wrist fractures occurred between 2011 and 2021. Using this gold standard of fractures, we validated the coverage of the registers and image archive and created algorithms to automatically identify fracture events from the registers and/or metadata of wrist radiography visits.

Results

We show that wrist fractures cannot be comprehensively identified based on national registers. To remedy this, our proposed method of combining register and image archive data can lift the coverage from 81% to 94% and reduce false discoveries from 6% to 2%.

Conclusion

The proposed method offers a more reliable way of gathering fracture information. Comprehensive fracture identification is essential in many research settings, such as incidence statistics, prevention studies, and risk assessment models.

Fracture risk among patients with cancer compared to individuals without cancer: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Patients with cancer may be at increased risk of osteoporosis and fracture; however, gaps exist in the existing literature and the association between cancer and fracture requires further examination.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study of Ontario patients with cancer (breast, prostate, lung, gastrointestinal, haematologic) diagnosed between January 2007 to December 2018 and 1:1 matched non-cancer controls. The primary outcome was incident fracture (end of follow-up December 2019). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the relative fracture risk with sensitivity analysis accounting for competing risk of death.

RESULTS

Among 172,963 cancer patients with non-cancer controls, 70.6% of patients with cancer were <65 years old, 58% were female, and 9375 and 8141 fracture events were observed in the cancer and non-cancer group, respectively (median follow-up 6.5 years). Compared to non-cancer controls, patients with cancer had higher risk of fracture (adjusted HR [aHR] 1.10, 95% CI 1.07-1.14, p < 0.0001), which was also observed for both solid (aHR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.13, p < 0.0001) and haematologic cancers (aHR 1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.31, p < 0.0001). Sensitivity analysis accounting for competing risk of death did not change these findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates that patients with cancer are at modest risk of fractures compared to non-cancer controls.

Evaluation of post-acute care and one-year outcomes among Medicare beneficiaries with hip fractures: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Post-acute care (PAC) services after hospitalization for hip fracture are typically provided in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRFs), or at home via home health care (HHC). Little is known about the clinical course following PAC for hip fracture. We examined the nationwide burden of adverse outcomes by PAC setting in the year following discharge from PAC for hip fracture.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort included Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries > 65 years who received PAC services in U.S. SNFs, IRFs, or HHC following hip fracture hospitalization between 2012 and 2018. Individuals who had a fall-related injury (FRI) during PAC or received PAC services in multiple settings were excluded. Primary outcomes included FRIs, all-cause hospital readmissions, and death in the year following discharge from PAC. Cumulative incidences and incidence rates for adverse outcomes were reported by PAC setting. Exploratory analyses examined risk ratios and hazard ratios between settings before and after inverse-probability-of-treatment-weighting, which accounted for 43 covariates.

RESULTS

Among 624,631 participants (SNF, 67.78%; IRF, 16.08%; HHC, 16.15%), the mean (standard deviation) age was 82.70 (8.26) years, 74.96% were female, and 91.30% were non-Hispanic White. Crude incidence rates (95%CLs) per 1000 person-years were highest among individuals receiving SNF care for FRIs (SNF, 123 [121, 123]; IRF, 105 [102, 107]; HHC, 89 [87, 91]), hospital readmission (SNF, 623 [619, 626]; IRF, 538 [532, 544]; HHC, 418 [414, 423]), and death (SNF, 167 [165, 169]; IRF, 47 [46, 49]; HHC, 55 [53, 56]). Overall, rates of adverse outcomes generally remained higher among SNF care recipients after covariate adjustment. However, inferences about the group with greater adverse outcomes differed for FRIs and hospital readmissions based on risk ratio or hazard ratio estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective cohort study of individuals hospitalized for hip fracture, rates of adverse outcomes in the year following PAC were common, especially among SNF care recipients. Understanding risks and rates of adverse events can inform future efforts to improve outcomes for older adults receiving PAC for hip fracture. Future work should consider calculating risk and rate measures to assess the influence of differential time under observation across PAC groups.

Diagnostic accuracy of algorithms to define incident and second hip fractures: A Taiwan validation study

BACKGROUND

Previous epidemiological researchers have used various algorithms to identify a second hip fracture; however, there has been no validation of these algorithms to date. This study aimed to verify existing algorithms for identifying second hip fracture under the International Classification of Diseases diagnostic coding systems. Furthermore, we examined the validity of two newly proposed algorithms that integrated the concept of periprosthetic fractures and laterality of the ICD-10 coding system.

METHODS

Claims data of patients hospitalized for hip fracture from National Taiwan University Hospitals between 2007 and 2020 were retrieved. Hip fracture was confirmed by 2 orthopaedic surgeons with medical records and imaging data as gold standards. The validity of 9 existing and 2 newly proposed algorithms for identifying second hip fracture was evaluated.

RESULTS

The positive predictive value (PPV) range between 84% and 90% in existing algorithms for identifying second hip fractures. Noteworthy, the longer time interval for discrimination resulted in slightly increased PPV (from 87% to 90%), while decreased sensitivity noticeably (from 87% to 72%). When considering the information about periprosthetic fracture, the PPV increased to 91% without diminished sensitivity. The PPV of the newly proposed ICD-10-specific algorithm was 100%.

CONCLUSION

Algorithms integrated clinical insights of periprosthetic fractures and laterality concept of ICD-10 coding system provided satisfactory validity and help precisely define second hip fracture in future database research.

Real-World Management of Patients With Osteoporosis at Very High Risk of Fracture

INTRODUCTION

Lack of consideration for risk-based assessments that inform osteoporosis treatment decisions may contribute to disease burden. In this study, we examined the prevalence of patients at very high risk of fracture and evaluated real-world treatment practices for these patients.

METHODS

This retrospective observational cohort study used real-world data linked to commercial and Medicare medical claims from Symphony Health PatientSource. Patients 50 years and older with osteoporosis (determined by the presence of a diagnosis code) and at very high risk of fracture according to the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists (AACE) and American College of Endocrinology (ACE) (AACE/ACE) 2020 guidelines between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018, were included. The number and proportion of patients treated with any osteoporosis medication were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 10,739,286 patients with osteoporosis, 5,078,111 (47.3%) were identified as meeting the AACE criteria for very high risk of fracture and were selected for the analysis. Most (5,033,106 [99.1%]) had a high risk of falls and/or a history of falls resulting in injury. Among the 1,667,794 patients (32.8%) eligible for treatment, 280,777 (16.8%) received treatment. Of these, 63.6% received alendronate, an alternative therapy, and 21.2% received a risk-based guideline-recommended medicine (teriparatide, zoledronic acid, denosumab, abaloparatide, or romosozumab). A greater proportion of men were untreated, 161,978 (90.5) compared with 1,185,003 women (81.8).

DISCUSSION

Most patients at very high risk of fracture remain untreated. Most of those treated do not receive the appropriate recommended treatments for patients at high risk. Risk-based treatment decisions may allow for more appropriate medication selection.

Comparison of Fracture Identification Using Different Definitions in Healthcare Administrative (Claims) Data

We identified inconsistency in fracture definitions in a prior review of studies that utilized claims data. Here, we aimed to compare fracture rates estimated using thirteen hip and seven radius/ulna fracture definitions. Our primary analysis compared results in a cohort of 120,363 older adults treated with oral bisphosphonates for ≥3 years. The most inclusive definition (hip: inpatient or emergency diagnosis; radius/ulna: inpatient, emergency, or outpatient diagnosis) served as a referent to compare the number and proportion of fractures captured. In sensitivity analyses, we considered a 180-day washout, excluded fractures associated with trauma; and hip only, excluded: (1) subtrochanteric fractures, and (2) hip replacement procedures. Hip fractures varied by definition in number (52-8058) and incidence (0.7-111.8/10,000 person-years). The second most inclusive definition required one inpatient diagnosis and identified 8% fewer hip fractures than the referent. Excluding hip replacements missed 33% of hip fractures relative to the primary analysis. Radius/ulna fractures also ranged in number (1589-6797) and incidence (22.0-94.3/10,000 person-years). Outpatient data were important, when restricted to inpatient or emergency data, only 78% of radius/ulna fractures were identified. Other than hip replacement procedures, sensitivity analyses had minimal impact on fracture identification. Analyses were replicated in a cohort of patients treated with long-term glucocorticoids. This study highlights the importance and impact of coding decisions on fracture outcome definitions. Further research is warranted to inform best practice in fracture outcome identification.

Rationale and design of an ancillary study evaluating the effects of the cocoa flavanol and/or multivitamin interventions on falls and physical performance outcomes in the COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS)

BACKGROUND

Falls and decreased physical function increase markedly with age and result in injury, hospitalization, and premature death. Emerging studies show potential benefits of supplemental cocoa extract on physical performance, including grip strength and walking speed in older adults. However, there are no large, long-term randomized controlled trials of effects of supplemental cocoa extract on falls, muscle performance, and/or fall-related injuries.

METHODS

The COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS) is a double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2 × 2 factorial trial investigating effects of supplementation with cocoa extract (500 mg/d, including 80 mg (-)-epicatechin) and/or a multivitamin on prevention of cardiovascular disease and cancer in 21,442 women (≥65 years) and men (≥60 years).

COSMOS

Effects on Falls and Physical Performance is an ancillary study to COSMOS that will clarify effects of cocoa extract and/or multivitamin supplementation on falls, physical performance, and incident fracture outcomes in older adults. Injurious fall(s) resulting in healthcare utilization and recurrent falls were regularly assessed by follow-up questionnaires in the overall cohort. Incident fractures were also assessed by annual questionnaires. Circumstances surrounding falls and any fall-related injuries will be confirmed by medical record review. Effects of the interventions on 2-year changes in physical performance measures (grip strength, walking speed, and the Short Physical Performance Battery) will be tested in a clinic sub-cohort (n = 603).

CONCLUSION

Results from this ancillary study will determine whether supplemental cocoa extract slows age-related declines in physical performance and decrease injurious and recurrent falls and fall-related injuries and fractures that are major public health problems in older adults.

Biomarkers of Vitamin D Metabolism and Hip and Vertebral Fracture Risk: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Studies on associations between biomarkers of vitamin D metabolism and fracture risk have focused predominantly on White or elderly populations and may not be generalizable to relatively healthy multiethnic populations. We tested associations of total 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D), the ratio of 24,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3 to 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (vitamin D metabolite ratio, VDMR), parathyroid hormone (PTH), and fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23) concentrations measured in serum with risk of hip and vertebral fractures in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D2 and D3 and 24,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3 were measured by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). The study cohort of 6466 participants was without clinically apparent cardiovascular disease and was 39% White, 27% Black, 22% Hispanic, and 12% Chinese. The mean age was 62 years, and 53% were female. There were 128 hip and vertebral fractures over a mean follow-up of 14.2 years. 25(OH)D, the VDMR, PTH, and FGF-23 were not significantly associated with fracture risk after adjustment for demographics, diabetes, smoking, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, medication use, albuminuria, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Principal component analysis did not suggest differences in linear combinations of 25(OH)D, the VDMR, PTH, and FGF-23 between participants who experienced fractures and those who did not. We did not observe significant interaction between race and ethnicity and any biomarker of vitamin D metabolism on fracture risk. In conclusion, none of the four serum biomarkers of vitamin D metabolism investigated showed a significant association with fracture risk in relatively healthy multiethnic populations. © 2022 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Osteoporosis Medications Prevent Subsequent Fracture in Frail Older Adults

Frailty is common in older adults with fractures. Osteoporosis medications reduce subsequent fracture, but limited data exist on medication efficacy in frail individuals. Our objective was to determine whether medications reduce the risk of subsequent fracture in frail, older adults. A retrospective cohort of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries was conducted (2014-2016). We included adults aged ≥65 years who were hospitalized with fractures without osteoporosis treatment. Pre-fracture frailty was defined using claims-based frailty index (≥0.2 = frail). Exposure to any osteoporosis treatment (oral or intravenous bisphosphonates, denosumab, and teriparatide) was ascertained using Part B and D claims and categorized according to the cumulative duration of exposure: none, 1-90 days, and >90 days. Subsequent fractures were ascertained from Part A or B claims. Cause-specific hazard models with time-varying exposure were fit to examine the association between treatment and fracture outcomes, controlling for relevant covariates. Among 29,904 patients hospitalized with fractures, 15,345 (51.3%) were frail, and 2148 (7.2%) received osteoporosis treatment (median treatment duration 183.0 days). Patients who received treatment were younger (80.2 versus 82.2 years), female (86.5% versus 73.0%), and less frail (0.20 versus 0.22) than patients without treatment. During follow-up, 5079 (17.0%) patients experienced a subsequent fracture. Treatment with osteoporosis medications for >90 days compared with no treatment reduced the risk of fracture (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-1.00) overall. Results were similar in frail (HR = 0.85; 95% CI 0.65-1.12) and non-frail (HR = 0.80; 95% CI 0.61-1.04) patients but not significant. In conclusion, osteoporosis treatment >90 days was associated with similar trends in reduced risk of subsequent fracture in frail and non-frail persons. Treatment rates were very low, particularly among the frail. When weighing treatment options in frail older adults with hospitalized fractures, clinicians should be aware that drug therapy does not appear to lose its efficacy. © 2022 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Validation of Operational Definition to Identify Patients with Osteoporotic Hip Fractures in Administrative Claims Data

As incidences of osteoporotic hip fractures (OHFs) have increased, identifying OHFs has become important to establishing the medical guidelines for their management. This study was conducted to develop an operational definition to identify patients with OHFs using two diagnosis codes and eight procedure codes from health insurance claims data and to assess the operational definition’s validity through a chart review. The study extracted data on OHFs from 522 patients who underwent hip surgeries based on diagnosis codes. Orthopedic surgeons then reviewed these patients’ medical records and radiographs to identify those with true OHFs. The validities of nine different algorithms of operational definitions, developed using a combination of three levels of diagnosis codes and eight procedure codes, were assessed using various statistics. The developed operational definition showed an accuracy above 0.97 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve above 0.97, indicating excellent discriminative power. This study demonstrated that the operational definition that combines diagnosis and procedure codes shows a high validity in detecting OHFs and can be used as a valid tool to detect OHFs from big health claims data.

Fracture definitions in observational osteoporosis drug effects studies that leverage healthcare administrative (claims) data: a scoping review

Healthcare administrative (claims) data are commonly utilized to estimate drug effects. We identified considerable heterogeneity in fracture outcome definitions in a scoping review of 57 studies that estimated osteoporosis drug effects on fracture risk. Better understanding of the impact of different fracture definitions on study results is needed.

PURPOSE

Healthcare administrative (claims) data are frequently used to estimate the real-world effects of drugs. Fracture incidence is a common outcome of osteoporosis drug studies. We aimed to describe how fractures are defined in studies that use claims data.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), CINAHL (EBSCO), and gray literature for studies published in English between 2000 and 2020 that estimated fracture effectiveness (hip, humerus, radius/ulna, vertebra) or safety (atypical fracture of the femur, AFF) of osteoporosis drugs using claims data in Canada and the USA. Literature searches, screening and data abstraction were completed independently by two reviewers.

RESULTS

We identified 57 eligible studies (52 effectiveness, 3 safety, 2 both). Hip fracture was the most common fracture site studied (93%), followed by humerus (66%), radius/ulna (59%), vertebra (61%), and AFF (9%). Half (n = 29) of the studies did not indicate specific data sources, codes, or cite a validation paper. Of the papers with sufficient detail, heterogeneity in fracture definitions was common. The most common definition within each fracture site was used by less than half of the studies that examined effectiveness (12 definitions in 29 hip fracture papers, 8 definitions in 17 humerus papers, 8 definitions in 13 radius/ulna papers, 9 definitions in 15 vertebra papers), and 3 definitions among 4 AFF papers.

CONCLUSION

There is ambiguity and heterogeneity in fracture outcome definitions in studies that leverage claims data. Better transparency in outcome reporting is needed. Future exploration of how fracture definitions impact study results is warranted.

Comparative effectiveness and cardiovascular safety of abaloparatide and teriparatide in postmenopausal women new to anabolic therapy: A US administrative claims database study

Real-world evidence on the comparative effectiveness and safety of abaloparatide versus teriparatide in women with osteoporosis may help inform treatment decisions. Following 18 months of treatment, abaloparatide was comparable to teriparatide for prevention of nonvertebral fractures, resulted in a 22% risk reduction for hip fractures, and demonstrated similar cardiovascular safety. Osteoporotic fracture risk can be reduced with anabolic or antiresorptive medications. In addition to efficacy and safety data from controlled clinical trials, real-world evidence on comparative effectiveness and safety may help inform treatment decisions.

INTRODUCTION

The real-world effectiveness of abaloparatide versus teriparatide on nonvertebral fracture (NVF) incidence and cardiovascular safety during the 19-month period after treatment initiation were evaluated (NCT04974723).

METHODS

Anonymized US patient claims data from Symphony Health, Integrated Dataverse (IDV)®, May 1, 2017 to July 31, 2019, included women aged ≥ 50 years with ≥ 1 prescription of abaloparatide or teriparatide and no prior anabolic therapy. Most were enrolled in commercial and Medicare health plans. Index was the date of the initial prescription dispensed during the identification period. In 1:1 propensity score matched cohorts, time to first NVF following index date, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and MACE + heart failure (HF) were compared between cohorts using a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Propensity score matching yielded 11,616 patients per cohort. Overall median age (interquartile range) was 67 (61, 75) years, and 25.6% had a fracture history. Over 19 months, 335 patients on abaloparatide and 375 on teriparatide had a NVF (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.89 [0.77, 1.03]), and 121 and 154 patients, respectively, had a hip fracture [HR (95% CI): 0.78 (0.62, 1.00)]. The MACE and MACE + HF rates were similar between cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Following 18 months of treatment, abaloparatide was comparable to teriparatide for prevention of NVF and similar cardiovascular safety was demonstrated between cohorts.

Identification of Fall-Related Injuries in Nursing Home Residents Using Administrative Claims Data

BACKGROUND

Fall-related injuries (FRIs) are a leading cause of morbidity, mortality, and costs among nursing home (NH) residents. Carefully defining FRIs in administrative data is essential for improving injury-reduction efforts. We developed a series of novel claims-based algorithms for identifying FRIs in long-stay NH residents.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort of residents of NH residing there for at least 100 days who were continuously enrolled in Medicare Parts A and B in 2016. FRIs were identified using 4 claims-based case-qualifying (CQ) definitions (Inpatient [CQ1], Outpatient and Provider with Procedure [CQ2], Outpatient and Provider with Fall [CQ3], or Inpatient or Outpatient and Provider with Fall [CQ4]). Correlation was calculated using phi correlation coefficients.

RESULTS

Of 153 220 residents (mean [SD] age 81.2 [12.1], 68.0% female), we identified 10 104 with at least one FRI according to one or more CQ definition. Among 2 950 residents with hip fractures, 1 852 (62.8%) were identified by all algorithms. Algorithm CQ4 (n = 326-2 775) identified more FRIs across all injuries while CQ1 identified less (n = 21-2 320). CQ2 identified more intracranial bleeds (1 028 vs 448) than CQ1. For nonfracture categories, few FRIs were identified using CQ1 (n = 20-488). Of the 2 320 residents with hip fractures identified by CQ1, 2 145 (92.5%) had external cause of injury codes. All algorithms were strongly correlated, with phi coefficients ranging from 0.82 to 0.99.

CONCLUSIONS

Claims-based algorithms applied to outpatient and provider claims identify more nonfracture FRIs. When identifying risk factors, stakeholders should select the algorithm(s) suitable for the FRI and study purpose.

Outcomes post fragility fracture among members of an integrated healthcare organization

This study highlights an unmet need in osteoporosis management, suggesting that beyond bone mineral density and fracture history, gender, fracture type, and age should be considered for fracture risk assessment. Following fragility fracture, men, patients with a spine or hip fracture, and those aged ≥ 65 have a higher disease burden.

INTRODUCTION

The objective of this study was to characterize osteoporosis-related fracture incidence and identify predictors of subsequent fractures and mortality.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study, conducted within Kaiser Permanente Southern California, included patients aged ≥ 50 years with qualifying fractures from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2016, identified from diagnosis/procedure codes. Rates for fracture incidence, mortality, and resource utilization in the year post-fracture are reported. Associations between index fracture types and demographic/clinical characteristics, and mortality, subsequent fracture, and rehospitalization outcomes were estimated.

RESULTS

Of 63,755 eligible patients, 66.7% were ≥ 65 years and 69.1% female. Index fractures included nonhip/nonspine (64.4%), hip (25.3%), and spine (10.3%). Age-adjusted subsequent fracture rate/100 person-years was higher for those with an index spine (14.5) versus hip fracture (6.3). Hospitalization rate/100 person-years was highest for patients ≥ 65 (31.8) and for spine fractures (43.5). Men (vs women) had higher age-adjusted rates of hospitalization (19.4; 17.7), emergency room visits (73.8; 66.3), and use of rehabilitation services (31.7; 27.2). The 30-day age-adjusted mortality rate/100 person-years was 46.7, 32.4, and 15.5 for spine, hip, and nonspine/nonhip fractures. The 1-year age-adjusted mortality rate/100 person-years was 14.7 for spine and 15.6 for hip fractures. In multivariable analyses, spine and hip fractures (vs nonhip/nonspine fractures) were significant predictors of 1-year mortality, all-cause and osteoporosis-related hospitalization, and nursing home use (all P-values < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Morbidity is high in the year following a fragility fracture and men, patients with a spine or hip fracture, and those aged ≥ 65 have a greater disease burden.

Validation of an Operational Definition to Identify Distal Radius Fractures in a National Health Insurance Database

PURPOSE

To develop and validate identification criteria for distal radius fractures (DRFs) and their treatment using a national health insurance database.

METHODS

Patients who had at least 1 wrist radiograph taken in 2018 were recruited from a single academic referral hospital. After excluding patients who lacked immobilization code for wrist pathology, we collected data on the overall population. Because some patients might have undergone wrist radiography at another institution or had DRFs without an immobilization code, we additionally included patients who had a DRF diagnosis code at our institution. Reviews of medical records and wrist radiographs were considered for the diagnosis of DRF. We evaluated the sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value (PPV) of 3 operational definitions of fractures that were based on a single primary or secondary diagnosis code; all diagnosis codes, including primary and secondary codes; and all diagnosis and procedure codes.

RESULTS

Among 768 patients included in the study, true DRFs were confirmed in 305. The sensitivity, specificity, and PPV for definition 1 were 91.5% (95% CI, 88.3%-94.6%), 97.5% (95% CI, 95.9%-99.1%), and 96.9% (95% CI, 94.9%-98.9%), respectively. Although the sensitivity of definition 2 was higher (92.1%; 95% CI, 89.1%-95.2%), its specificity and PPV were lower (96.4% [95% CI, 94.4%-98.3%] and 95.6% [95% CI, 93.2%-97.9%], respectively). The sensitivity of definition 3 was the lowest (88.2%; 95% CI, 84.6%-91.8%), but its specificity and PPV were the highest among the 3 definitions (98.6% [95% CI, 97.4%-98.8%] and 98.2% [95% CI, 96.6%-99.8%], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with DRFs can be identified from claims databases with high accuracy using an operational definition based on DRF diagnosis and procedure codes, including codes for surgical and nonoperative methods.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Verified operational definitions will increase the consistency of results in future national health insurance database studies related to DRFs.

Development and validation of a one year predictive model for secondary fractures in osteoporosis

The number of osteoporosis-related fractures in the United States is no longer declining. Existing risk-based assessment tools focus on long-term risk. Payers and prescribers need additional tools to identify patients at risk for imminent fracture. We developed and validated a predictive model for secondary osteoporosis fractures in the year following an index fracture using administrative medical and pharmacy claims from the Optum Research Database and Symphony Health, PatientSource. Patients ≥50 years with a case-qualifying fracture identified using a validated claims-based algorithm were included. Logistic regression models were created with binary outcome of a second fracture versus no second fracture within a year of index fracture, with the goal of predicting second fracture occurrence. In the Optum Research Database, 197,104 patients were identified with a case-qualifying fracture (43% commercial, 57% Medicare Advantage). Using Symphony data, 1,852,818 met the inclusion/exclusion criteria. Average patient age was 70.09 (SD = 11.09) and 71.28 (SD = 14.24) years in the Optum Research Database and Symphony data, respectively. With the exception of history of falls (41.26% vs 18.74%) and opioid use (62.80% vs 46.78%), which were both higher in the Optum Research Database, the two populations were mostly comparable. A history of falls and steroid use, which were previously associated with increased fracture risk, continue to play an important role in secondary fractures. Conditions associated with bone health (liver disease), or those requiring medications that impact bone health (respiratory disease), and cardiovascular disease and stroke—which may share etiology or risk factors with osteoporosis fractures—were also predictors of imminent fractures. The model highlights the importance of assessment of patient characteristics beyond bone density, including patient comorbidities and concomitant medications associated with increased fall and fracture risk, in alignment with recently issued clinical guidelines for osteoporosis treatment.

Assessment of site-specific X-ray procedure codes for fracture ascertainment: a registry-based cohort study

Site-specific X-ray procedure codes are a useful ancillary source of information for identifying fractures in healthcare administrative and claims data.

INTRODUCTION

Real-world evaluation of fracture epidemiology at the population level from electronic healthcare information, such as administrative data, requires comprehensive data sources and validated case definitions. Only hip fractures are routinely hospitalized, and the identification of most osteoporosis-related fractures which are non-hospitalized fractures remains challenging. Plain X-rays (radiographs) are first-line tests for fracture diagnosis and are frequently repeated to monitor fracture healing, and claims data related to radiologic procedures are available in many healthcare systems. We hypothesized that temporal clustering in plain X-ray procedure codes might be an ancillary source of fracture data.

METHODS

We identified individuals age 40 years and older in Manitoba Bone Mineral Density (BMD) Registry with a fracture diagnosis (hip, forearm, humerus, clinical vertebral) before or following a BMD test. A subset underwent detailed review of X-rays to verify an acute fracture. We examined the association between fracture diagnosis and numbers of site-specific X-ray procedures.

RESULTS

The registry cohort included 7793 individuals with a fracture in the previous 5 years and 8417 incident fractures. The X-ray review cohort included 167 radiologically-verified fractures. The number of site-specific X-ray codes was greater in those with vs without fracture (all P < 0.001). The number of days with site-specific X-rays was strongly associated with a fracture diagnosis (area under the curve 0.90 to 0.99 for all non-vertebral fractures, 0.66 to 0.75 for clinical vertebral fractures). There was good agreement between the date of fracture diagnosis and the first X-ray at all non-vertebral fracture sites (Spearman correlation range 0.65 to 0.99), but this was lower for clinical vertebral fractures (range 0.29 to 0.59).

CONCLUSIONS

Temporal clustering in site-specific X-ray procedures was associated with a corresponding fracture diagnosis in administrative medical records. Non-vertebral fracture sites were more strongly associated with X-ray procedures than clinical vertebral fractures.

Bone Mineral Density at the Time of Initiating Aromatase Inhibitor Therapy Is Associated With Decreased Fractures in Women With Breast Cancer

Women with estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer who receive an aromatase inhibitor (AI) are at risk for fractures. We aim to determine if dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans made at the time of AI initiation are associated with decreased fractures. We retrospectively identified 25,158 women with local or regional breast cancer diagnosed between 2005 and 2013 who received AI therapy between 2007 and 2013 from the Medicare-linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program and Texas Cancer Registry databases. We defined baseline DXA screening using claims made between 1 year before and 6 months after each patient's first AI claim to examine determinants of baseline screening using a multivariable GENMOD model. We included a propensity score adjustment in Cox proportional hazard models to assess the association between time-varying DXA screening and the risk of fractures. Additionally, we compared the use of antiresorptive therapy drugs between the two groups. Of the study cohort, 14,738 (58.6%) received DXA screening. The screening rates increased annually from 52.1% in 2007 to 61.7% in 2013. Higher screening rates were observed in patients with younger age, married status, non-Hispanic white race, localized disease, fewer comorbidities, more than one type of aromatase inhibitor drug claim, no state buy-in (surrogate for low socioeconomic status), higher education level, and prior osteoporosis diagnosis. Baseline DXA screening was associated with decreased risk of subsequent fractures (hazard ratio = 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.86-0.97, p < .001) after multivariable and propensity score adjustment. Bone-modifying drugs were prescribed to 4440 (30.1%) patients with screening compared with 1766 (16.9%) without (p < .001). Of the 4440 patients who received treatment, 95% received bisphosphonates. Our study demonstrated baseline DXA screening was associated with a decreased risk of fractures and a higher likelihood of receiving antiresorptive therapies. Improvement of the baseline DXA screening is still needed in practice. © 2021 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Mortality in older adults following a fragility fracture: real-world retrospective matched-cohort study in Ontario

BACKGROUND

Recent studies are lacking reports on mortality after non-hip fractures in adults aged > 65.

METHODS

This retrospective, matched-cohort study used de-identified health services data from the publicly funded healthcare system in Ontario, Canada, contained in the ICES Data Repository. Patients aged 66 years and older with an index fragility fracture occurring at any osteoporotic site between 2011 and 2015 were identified from acute hospital admissions, emergency and ambulatory care using International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes and data were analyzed until 2017. Thus, follow-up ranged from 2 years to 6 years. Patients were excluded if they presented with an index fracture occurring at a non-osteoporotic fracture site, their index fracture was associated with a trauma code, or they experienced a previous fracture within 5 years prior to their index fracture. This fracture cohort was matched 1:1 to controls within a non-fracture cohort by date, sex, age, geography and comorbidities. All-cause mortality risk was assessed.

RESULTS

The survival probability for up to 6 years post-fracture was significantly reduced for the fracture cohort vs matched non-fracture controls (p < 0.0001; n = 101,773 per cohort), with the sharpest decline occurring within the first-year post-fracture. Crude relative risk of mortality (95% confidence interval) within 1-year post-fracture was 2.47 (2.38-2.56) in women and 3.22 (3.06-3.40) in men. In the fracture vs non-fracture cohort, the absolute mortality risk within one year after a fragility fracture occurring at any site was 12.5% vs 5.1% in women and 19.5% vs 6.0% in men. The absolute mortality risk within one year after a fragility fracture occurring at a non-hip vs hip site was 9.4% vs 21.5% in women and 14.4% vs 32.3% in men.

CONCLUSIONS

In this real-world cohort aged > 65 years, a fragility fracture occurring at any site was associated with reduced survival for up to 6 years post-fracture. The greatest reduction in survival occurred within the first-year post-fracture, where mortality risk more than doubled and deaths were observed in 1 in 11 women and 1 in 7 men following a non-hip fracture and in 1 in 5 women and 1 in 3 men following a hip fracture.

Are Nursing Home Residents With Dementia Appropriately Treated for Fracture Prevention?

Clinicians struggle with whether to prescribe osteoporosis medications for fracture prevention for older nursing home (NH) residents with dementia, given the lack of evidence in this population. To better understand real-world clinical practice, we conducted a retrospective cohort study examining patterns of fracture prevention medication use for older NH residents with dementia and high fracture risk. Data sources included 2015-16 Medicare claims, Part D prescriptions, and Minimum Data Set (MDS) assessments. Among NH residents aged 65+ with dementia and prior fracture or high fracture risk based on the MDS FRAiL (Fracture Risk Assessment in Long-term care), we assessed medications for fracture prevention using prescription data from 1 year prior through 90 days after the first MDS assessment. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with receiving treatment. Most of the sample (n = 72,639) was >80 years (78%), female (82%), and white (88%); 63% had moderate/severe dementia and 60% had an osteoporosis diagnosis. Only 11.6% received fracture prevention medications. In adjusted analyses, treated residents were more likely to be female, Hispanic or other non-black minority, <90 years old, and newly admitted to the NH. Other associated factors included osteoporosis diagnosis, walker or wheelchair use, bone disorders (eg, Paget disease), >5 medications, steroid or proton pump inhibitor use, and regions outside of the Northeast. Resident characteristics suggestive of comorbidity burden and worsening dementia were associated with reduced likelihood of treatment. Low use of fracture prevention medications for NH residents with dementia may reflect an attempt by prescribers reconcile medication use with changing goals of care, or inappropriate underuse in patients who still have high fracture risk. Additional research is needed to help clinicians better evaluate when to use these medications in this heterogeneous and vulnerable population.

Economic Burden of Osteoporosis-Related Fractures in the US Medicare Population

Background

Osteoporosis-related fractures are an important public health burden.

Objective

To examine health care costs in Medicare patients with an osteoporosis-related fracture.

Methods

Medicare fee-for-service members with an osteoporosis-related fracture between January 1, 2010, to September 30, 2014 were included. A nonfracture comparator group was selected by propensity score matching. Generalized linear models using a gamma distribution were used to compare costs between fracture and nonfracture cohorts.

Results

A total of 885 676 Medicare beneficiaries had fracture(s) and met inclusion criteria. Average age was 80.5 (±8.4) years; 91% were White, and 94% female. Mean all-cause costs were greater in the fracture vs nonfracture cohort ($47 163.25 vs $16 034.61) overall and for men ($52 273.79 vs $17 352.68). The highest mean costs were for skilled nursing facility ($29 216), inpatient costs ($24 190.19), and hospice care ($20 996.83). The highest incremental costs versus the nonfracture cohort were for hip ($71 057.83 vs $16 807.74), spine ($37 543.87 vs $16 860.49), and radius/ulna ($24 505.27 vs $14 673.86). Total medical and pharmacy costs for patients who experienced a second fracture were higher compared with those who did not ($78 137.59 vs $44 467.47). Proportionally more patients in the fracture versus nonfracture cohort died (18% vs 9.3%), with higher death rates among men (20% vs 11%).

Conclusion and Relevance

The current findings suggest a significant economic burden associated with fractures. Early identification and treatment of patients at high risk for fractures is of paramount importance for secondary prevention and reduced mortality.