Objectives, design and main findings until 2020 from the Rotterdam Study

Plasma Extracellular MicroRNAs Associated With Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors in Middle-Aged and Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Extracellular microRNAs (miRNAs) are a class of noncoding RNAs that remain stable in the extracellular milieu, where they contribute to various physiological and pathological processes by facilitating intercellular signaling. Previous studies have reported associations between miRNAs and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs); however, the plasma miRNA signatures of CVD and its risk factors have not been fully elucidated at the population level.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Plasma miRNA levels were measured in 4440 FHS (Framingham Heart Study) participants. Linear regression analyses were conducted to test the cross-sectional associations of each miRNA with 8 CVD risk factors. Prospective analyses of the associations of miRNAs with new-onset obesity, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, CVD, and all-cause mortality were conducted using proportional hazards regression. Replication was carried out in 1999 RS (Rotterdam Study) participants. Pathway enrichment analyses were conducted and target genes were predicted for miRNAs associated with ≥5 risk factors in the FHS. In the FHS, 6 miRNAs (miR-193b-3p, miR-122-5p, miR-365a-3p, miR-194-5p, miR-192-5p, and miR-193a-5p) were associated with ≥5 risk factors. This miRNA signature was enriched for pathways associated with CVD and several genes annotated to these pathways were predicted targets of the identified miRNAs. Furthermore, miR-193b-3p, miR-194-5p, and miR-193a-5p were each associated with ≥2 risk factors in the RS. Prospective analysis revealed 8 miRNAs associated with all-cause mortality in the FHS.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings highlight associations between miRNAs and CVD risk factors that may provide valuable insights into the underlying pathogenesis of CVD.

Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance and New-Onset Type 2 Diabetes in a Middle-Aged and Older Adult Population: Nationwide Prospective Cohort Study and Implications for Primary Care

BACKGROUND

The metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) has emerged as a noninsulin-based index for the approximation of insulin resistance (IR), yet longitudinal evidence supporting the utility of METS-IR in the primary prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains limited.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the longitudinal association between METS-IR, which combines fasting plasma glucose (FPG), lipid profiles, and anthropometrics that can be routinely obtained in resource-limited primary care settings, and the incidence of new-onset T2DM.

METHODS

We conducted a closed-cohort analysis of a nationwide, prospective cohort of 7583 Chinese middle-aged and older adults who were free of T2DM at baseline, sampled from 28 out of 31 provinces in China. We examined the characteristics of participants stratified by elevated blood pressure (BP) at baseline and new-onset T2DM at follow-up. We performed Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to explore associations of baseline METS-IR with incident T2DM in participants overall and in participants stratified by baseline BP. We also applied net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement to examine the incremental value of METS-IR.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 6.3 years, T2DM occurred in 527 participants, among which two-thirds (332/527, 62.9%; 95% CI 58.7%-67.1%) had baseline FPG<110 mg/dL. A SD unit increase in baseline METS-IR was associated with the first incidence of T2DM (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.33, 95% CI 1.22-1.45; P<.001) in all participants. We obtained similar results in participants with normal baseline BP (aHR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22-1.62; P<.001) and elevated baseline BP (aHR 1.29, 95% CI 1.16-1.44; P<.001). The predictive capability for incident T2DM was improved by adding METS-IR to FPG. In study participants with new-onset T2DM whose baseline FPG was <126 mg/dL and <110 mg/dL, 62.9% (332/527; 95% CI 60%-65.9%) and 58.1% (193/332; 95% CI 54.3%-61.9%) of participants had baseline METS-IR above the cutoff values, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

METS-IR was significantly associated with new-onset T2DM, regardless of baseline BP level. Regular monitoring of METS-IR on top of routine blood glucose in clinical practice may add to the ability to enhance the early identification of primary care populations at risk for T2DM.

Weighted metrics are required when evaluating the performance of prediction models in nested case-control studies

BACKGROUND

Nested case-control (NCC) designs are efficient for developing and validating prediction models that use expensive or difficult-to-obtain predictors, especially when the outcome is rare. Previous research has focused on how to develop prediction models in this sampling design, but little attention has been given to model validation in this context. We therefore aimed to systematically characterize the key elements for the correct evaluation of the performance of prediction models in NCC data.

METHODS

We proposed how to correctly evaluate prediction models in NCC data, by adjusting performance metrics with sampling weights to account for the NCC sampling. We included in this study the C-index, threshold-based metrics, Observed-to-expected events ratio (O/E ratio), calibration slope, and decision curve analysis. We illustrated the proposed metrics with a validation of the Breast and Ovarian Analysis of Disease Incidence and Carrier Estimation Algorithm (BOADICEA version 5) in data from the population-based Rotterdam study. We compared the metrics obtained in the full cohort with those obtained in NCC datasets sampled from the Rotterdam study, with and without a matched design.

RESULTS

Performance metrics without weight adjustment were biased: the unweighted C-index in NCC datasets was 0.61 (0.58-0.63) for the unmatched design, while the C-index in the full cohort and the weighted C-index in the NCC datasets were similar: 0.65 (0.62-0.69) and 0.65 (0.61-0.69), respectively. The unweighted O/E ratio was 18.38 (17.67-19.06) in the NCC datasets, while it was 1.69 (1.42-1.93) in the full cohort and its weighted version in the NCC datasets was 1.68 (1.53-1.84). Similarly, weighted adjustments of threshold-based metrics and net benefit for decision curves were unbiased estimates of the corresponding metrics in the full cohort, while the corresponding unweighted metrics were biased. In the matched design, the bias of the unweighted metrics was larger, but it could also be compensated by the weight adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Nested case-control studies are an efficient solution for evaluating the performance of prediction models that use expensive or difficult-to-obtain biomarkers, especially when the outcome is rare, but the performance metrics need to be adjusted to the sampling procedure.

Associations of dietary patterns with objective and subjective sleep duration and sleep quality in a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To examine cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of various types of dietary patterns with self-reported sleep quality and with actigraphy-estimated sleep parameters in the prospective, population-based Rotterdam Study.

METHODS

For each participant, scores for five different dietary patterns were derived based on food frequency questionnaires; two pre-defined scores developed to estimate adherence to the Dutch dietary guidelines and to the Mediterranean diet; and three data-driven scores indicating a prudent, unhealthy and typical Dutch diet. In 2589 participants (median age 56.9 years; 58 % female), self-rated sleep quality was assessed with the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index. In 533 participants, actigraphs were worn for an average of 6.8 days (SD: 0.7) to estimate total sleep time, sleep onset latency, wake after sleep onset, and sleep efficiency. Sleep parameters were measured at baseline and 3-6 years later. Multiple linear regression was used to assess cross-sectional and longitudinal associations.

RESULTS

No statistically significant associations between dietary patterns and total sleep time, sleep onset latency, wake after sleep onset, sleep efficiency and subjective sleep quality were observed in cross-sectional or longitudinal analyses. To illustrate, the effect estimate for sleep duration was 2.7 min per night (95 % CI -2.1, 7.5) per 5 point increase in Mediterranean diet score in the cross-sectional analyses. Furthermore, in longitudinal analyses, the effect estimate for sleep duration was -1.0 min per night (95 % CI -5.2, 3.1) per SD increase in the prudent diet.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that dietary patterns are not associated with sleep in this population-based cohort study.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Netherlands National Trial Register and WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP; https://apps.who.int/trialsearch/) shared catalogue number NL6645/NTR6831. Registered November 13th, 2017.

Association between BMD and coronary artery calcification: an observational and Mendelian randomization study

Observational studies have reported inconsistent associations between bone mineral density (BMD) and coronary artery calcification (CAC). We examined the observational association of BMD with CAC in 2 large population-based studies and evaluated the evidence for a potential causal relation between BMD and CAC using polygenic risk scores (PRS), 1- and 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches. Our study populations comprised 1414 individuals (mean age 69.9 yr, 52.0% women) from the Rotterdam Study and 2233 individuals (mean age 56.5 yr, 50.9% women) from the Framingham Heart Study with complete information on CAC and BMD measurements at the total body (TB-), lumbar spine (LS-), and femoral neck (FN-). We used linear regression models to evaluate the observational association between BMD and CAC. Subsequently, we compared the mean CAC across PRSBMD quintile groups at different skeletal sites. In addition, we used the 2-stage least squares regression and the inverse variance weighted (IVW) model as primary methods for 1- and 2-sample MR to test evidence for a potentially causal association. We did not observe robust associations between measured BMD levels and CAC. These results were consistent with a uniform random distribution of mean CAC across PRSBMD quintile groups (P-value > .05). Moreover, neither 1- nor 2-sample MR supported the possible causal association between BMD and CAC. Our results do not support the contention that lower BMD is (causally) associated with an increased CAC risk. These findings suggest that previously reported epidemiological associations of BMD with CAC are likely explained by unmeasured confounders or shared etiology, rather than by causal pathways underlying both osteoporosis and vascular calcification processes.

Antidepressant use in relation to dementia risk, cognitive decline, and brain atrophy

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to assess the effect of antidepressant use on dementia risk, cognitive decline, and brain atrophy.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we included 5511 dementia-free participants (Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] > 25) of the Rotterdam study (57.5% women, mean age 70.6 years). Antidepressant use was extracted from pharmacy records from 1991 until baseline (2002-2008). Incident dementia was monitored from baseline until 2018, with repeated cognitive assessment and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) every 4 years.

RESULTS

Compared to never use, any antidepressant use was not associated with dementia risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.41), or with accelerated cognitive decline or atrophy of white and gray matter. Compared to never use, dementia risk was somewhat higher with tricyclic antidepressants (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01-1.83) than with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.81-1.54), but without dose-response relationships, accelerated cognitive decline, or atrophy in either group.

DISCUSSION

Antidepressant medication in adults without indication of cognitive impairment was not consistently associated with long-term adverse cognitive effects.

HIGHLIGHTS

Antidepressant medications are frequently prescribed, especially among older adults. In this study, antidepressant use was not associated with long-term dementia risk. Antidepressant use was not associated with cognitive decline or brain atrophy. Our results support safe prescription in an older, cognitively healthy population.

Towards a Clearer Causal Question Underlying the Association Between Cancer and Dementia

BACKGROUND

Several observational studies have described an inverse association between cancer diagnosis and subsequent dementia risk. Multiple biologic mechanisms and potential biases have been proposed in attempts to explain this association. One proposed explanation is the opposite expression of Pin1 in cancer and dementia, and we use this explanation and potential drug target to illustrate the required assumptions and potential sources of bias for inferring an effect of Pin1 on dementia risk from analyses measuring cancer diagnosis as a proxy for Pin1 expression.

METHODS

We used data from the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort. We estimate the association between cancer diagnosis (as a proxy for Pin1) and subsequent dementia diagnosis using two different proxy methods and with confounding and censoring for death addressed with inverse probability weights. We estimate and compare the complements of a weighted Kaplan-Meier survival estimator at 20 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

Out of 3634 participants, 899 (25%) were diagnosed with cancer, of whom 53 (6%) had dementia, and 567 (63%) died. Among those without cancer, 15% (411) were diagnosed with dementia, and 667 (24%) died over follow-up. Depending on the confounding and selection bias control, and the way in which cancer was used as a time-varying proxy exposure, the risk ratio for dementia diagnosis ranged from 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.49, 0.95) to 1.1 (95% CI = 0.79, 1.3).

CONCLUSION

Being explicit about the underlying mechanism of interest is key to maximizing what we can learn from this cancer-dementia association given available or readily collected data, and to defining, detecting, and preventing potential biases.

Association analysis between an epigenetic risk score and blood pressure

Background

Epigenome-wide association studies have revealed multiple DNA methylation sites (CpGs) associated with alcohol consumption, an important lifestyle risk factor for cardiovascular diseases.

Results

We generated an alcohol consumption epigenetic risk score (ERS) based on previously reported 144 alcohol-associated CpGs and examined the association of the ERS with systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and hypertension (HTN) in 3,898 Framingham Heart Study (FHS) participants. We found an association of alcohol intake with the ERS in the meta-analysis with 0.09 units higher ERS per drink consumed per day (p < 0.0001). Cross-sectional analyses in FHS revealed that a one-unit increment of the ERS was associated with 1.93 mm Hg higher SBP (p = 4.64E-07), 0.68 mm Hg higher DBP (p = 0.006), and an odds ratio of 1.78 for HTN (p < 2E-16). Meta-analysis of the cross-sectional association of the ERS with BP traits in eight independent external cohorts (n = 11,544) showed similar relationships with blood pressure levels, i.e., a one-unit increase in ERS was associated with 0.74 (p = 0.002) and 0.50 (p = 0.0006) mm Hg higher SBP and DBP, but could not confirm the association with hypertension. Longitudinal analyses in FHS (n = 3,260) and five independent external cohorts (n = 4,021) showed that the baseline ERS was not associated with a change in blood pressure over time or with incident HTN.

Conclusions

Our findings provide proof-of-concept that utilizing an ERS is a useful approach to capture the recent health consequences of lifestyle behaviors such as alcohol consumption.

The Cross-sectional and Longitudinal Association Between Thyroid Function and Depression: A Population-Based Study

CONTEXT

An association of thyroid function with mood disorders has been widely suggested, but very few studies have examined this association longitudinally.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the cross-sectional and longitudinal association between thyroid function and depression in a population-based cohort.

METHODS

A total of 9471 individuals were included in cross-sectional analyses, of whom 8366 had longitudinal data. At baseline, we assessed thyroid function using serum samples (thyrotropin [TSH], free thyroxine (FT4), and thyroid peroxidase antibodies) and depressive symptoms using the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression (CES-D) scale. Incident depressive events (n = 1366) were continuously followed up with the CES-D and clinical interviews. We analyzed the cross-sectional association of thyroid function and thyroid disease with depressive symptoms using linear and logistic regression, and the longitudinal association with Cox proportional hazard models for depressive events.

RESULTS

Lower TSH levels and lower and higher FT4 levels were cross-sectionally associated with more depressive symptoms with a B value of -0.07 per 1 unit increase of natural log-transformed TSH (95% CI -0.11; -0.04). Furthermore, hypothyroidism was cross-sectionally associated with less depressive symptoms and hyperthyroidism with more depressive symptoms. Longitudinally, there was a U-shaped association between FT4 and incident depressive events but only in euthyroid participants.

CONCLUSION

We show a cross-sectional association between thyroid (dys)function with depressive symptoms, and a U-shaped association between FT4 and incident depressive events in euthyroid individuals. Our findings suggest an association of thyroid function with the risk of developing depression, albeit small. Reverse causation and additional underlying factors may also contribute to the association.

Cohort profile: Worldwide Collaboration on OsteoArthritis prediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) - an international consortium of prospective cohort studies with individual participant data on hip osteoarthritis

PURPOSE

Hip osteoarthritis (OA) is a major cause of pain and disability worldwide. Lack of effective therapies may reflect poor knowledge on its aetiology and risk factors, and result in the management of end-stage hip OA with costly joint replacement. The Worldwide Collaboration on OsteoArthritis prediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) consortium was established to pool and harmonise individual participant data from prospective cohort studies. The consortium aims to better understand determinants and risk factors for the development and progression of hip OA, to optimise and automate methods for (imaging) analysis, and to develop a personalised prediction model for hip OA.

PARTICIPANTS

World COACH aimed to include participants of prospective cohort studies with ≥200 participants, that have hip imaging data available from at least 2 time points at least 4 years apart. All individual participant data, including clinical data, imaging (data), biochemical markers, questionnaires and genetic data, were collected and pooled into a single, individual-level database.

FINDINGS TO DATE

World COACH currently consists of 9 cohorts, with 38 021 participants aged 18-80 years at baseline. Overall, 71% of the participants were women and mean baseline age was 65.3±8.6 years. Over 34 000 participants had baseline pelvic radiographs available, and over 22 000 had an additional pelvic radiograph after 8-12 years of follow-up. Even longer radiographic follow-up (15-25 years) is available for over 6000 of these participants.

FUTURE PLANS

The World COACH consortium offers unique opportunities for studies on the relationship between determinants/risk factors and the development or progression of hip OA, by using harmonised data on clinical findings, imaging, biomarkers, genetics and lifestyle. This provides a unique opportunity to develop a personalised hip OA risk prediction model and to optimise methods for imaging analysis of the hip.

Association analysis between an epigenetic alcohol risk score and blood pressure

Background

Epigenome-wide association studies have revealed multiple DNA methylation sites (CpGs) associated with alcohol consumption, an important lifestyle risk factor for cardiovascular diseases.

Results

We generated an alcohol consumption epigenetic risk score (ERS) based on previously reported 144 alcohol-associated CpGs and examined the association of the ERS with systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and hypertension (HTN) in 3,898 Framingham Heart Study (FHS) participants. We found an association of alcohol intake with the ERS in the meta-analysis with 0.09 units higher ERS per drink consumed per day (p < 0.0001). Cross-sectional analyses in FHS revealed that a one-unit increment of the ERS was associated with 1.93 mm Hg higher SBP (p = 4.64E-07), 0.68 mm Hg higher DBP (p = 0.006), and an odds ratio of 1.78 for HTN (p < 2E-16). Meta-analysis of the cross-sectional association of the ERS with BP traits in eight independent external cohorts (n = 11,544) showed similar relationships with blood pressure levels, i.e., a one-unit increase in ERS was associated with 0.74 (p = 0.002) and 0.50 (p = 0.0006) mm Hg higher SBP and DBP, but could not confirm the association with hypertension. Longitudinal analyses in FHS (n = 3,260) and five independent external cohorts (n = 4,021) showed that the baseline ERS was not associated with a change in blood pressure over time or with incident HTN.

Conclusions

Our findings provide proof-of-concept that utilizing an ERS is a useful approach to capture the recent health consequences of lifestyle behaviors such as alcohol consumption.

Longitudinal change in mitochondrial heteroplasmy exhibits positive selection for deleterious variants

A common feature of human aging is the acquisition of somatic mutations, and mitochondria are particularly prone to mutation due to their inefficient DNA repair and close proximity to reactive oxygen species, leading to a state of mitochondrial DNA heteroplasmy1,2. Cross-sectional studies have demonstrated that detection of heteroplasmy increases with participant age3, a phenomenon that has been attributed to genetic drift4-7. In this first large-scale longitudinal study, we measured heteroplasmy in two prospective cohorts (combined n=1405) at two timepoints (mean time between visits, 8.6 years), demonstrating that deleterious heteroplasmies were more likely to increase in variant allele fraction (VAF). We further demonstrated that increase in VAF was associated with increased risk of overall mortality. These results challenge the claim that somatic mtDNA mutations arise mainly due to genetic drift, instead demonstrating positive selection for predicted deleterious mutations at the cellular level, despite an negative impact on overall mortality.

Brain artery diameters and risk of dementia and stroke

INTRODUCTION

We tested the association of brain artery diameters with dementia and stroke risk in three distinct population-based studies using conventional T2-weighted brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images.

METHODS

We included 8420 adults > 40 years old from three longitudinal population-based studies with brain MRI scans. We estimated and meta-analyzed the hazard ratios (HRs) of the brain and carotids and basilar diameters associated with dementia and stroke.

RESULT

Overall and carotid artery diameters > 95th percentile increased the risk for dementia by 1.74 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-2.68) and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.12-1.96) fold, respectively. For stroke, meta-analyses yielded HRs of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.04-2.42) for overall arteries and 2.11 (95% CI, 1.45-3.08) for basilar artery diameters > 95th percentile.

DISCUSSION

Individuals with dilated brain arteries are at higher risk for dementia and stroke, across distinct populations. Our findings underline the potential value of T2-weighted brain MRI-based brain diameter assessment in estimating the risk of dementia and stroke.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fibrosis 5 (MAF-5) Score Predicts Liver Fibrosis Risk and Outcome in the General Population With Metabolic Dysfunction

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is an unmet need for noninvasive tests to improve case-finding and aid primary care professionals in referring patients at high risk of liver disease.

METHODS

A metabolic dysfunction-associated fibrosis (MAF-5) score was developed and externally validated in a total of 21,797 individuals with metabolic dysfunction in population-based (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III, and Rotterdam Study) and hospital-based (from Antwerp and Bogota) cohorts. Fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness ≥8.0 kPa. Diagnostic accuracy was compared with FIB-4, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), LiverRisk score and steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE). MAF-5 was externally validated with liver stiffness measurement ≥8.0 kPa, with shear-wave elastography ≥7.5 kPa, and biopsy-proven steatotic liver disease according to Metavir and Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network scores, and was tested for prognostic performance (all-cause mortality).

RESULTS

The MAF-5 score comprised waist circumference, body mass index (calculated as kg / m2), diabetes, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets. With this score, 60.9% was predicted at low, 14.1% at intermediate, and 24.9% at high risk of fibrosis. The observed prevalence was 3.3%, 7.9%, and 28.1%, respectively. The area under the receiver operator curve of MAF-5 (0.81) was significantly higher than FIB-4 (0.61), and outperformed the FIB-4 among young people (negative predictive value [NPV], 99%; area under the curve [AUC], 0.86 vs NPV, 94%; AUC, 0.51) and older adults (NPV, 94%; AUC, 0.75 vs NPV, 88%; AUC, 0.55). MAF-5 showed excellent performance to detect liver stiffness measurement ≥12 kPa (AUC, 0.86 training; AUC, 0.85 validation) and good performance in detecting liver stiffness and biopsy-proven liver fibrosis among the external validation cohorts. MAF-5 score >1 was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in (un)adjusted models (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.47-1.73).

CONCLUSIONS

The MAF-5 score is a validated, age-independent, inexpensive referral tool to identify individuals at high risk of liver fibrosis and all-cause mortality in primary care populations, using simple variables.

Diuretic Use and Serum Phosphate: Rotterdam Study and UK Biobank

Purpose

Hypophosphatemia (serum phosphate < 0.80 mmol/L) leads to musculoskeletal complaints. The most common drugs linked to hypophosphatemia are thiazide and loop diuretics, but studies in the general population are lacking. Our aim was to study associations between diuretic use and serum phosphate in the Rotterdam Study (RS), a population-based cohort study, with replication in UK Biobank (UKBB).

Methods

Associations between thiazide and loop diuretic use and serum phosphate and odds of hypophosphatemia were analyzed with cross-sectional multivariate linear and logistic regression in participants without chronic kidney disease in the RS and UKBB. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index (BMI) and pooled in 3 RS cohorts with further adjustment for cohort and serum potassium, which was not available in UKBB.

Results

Thiazide diuretics were associated with lower serum phosphate in both sexes. This association lost significance in RS females after adjustment for BMI and in males after adjustment for serum potassium. Thiazide diuretics increased odds of hypophosphatemia in females in both cohorts and in males in UKBB only. Loop diuretics were associated with lower serum phosphate in females but not males. Adjustment for BMI attenuated these associations. Associations between loop diuretics and increased odds of hypophosphatemia in females lost significance after BMI adjustment.

Conclusion

Thiazides, but not loop diuretics, and increased BMI and decreased serum potassium should be considered as contributing factors in subjects with hypophosphatemia. Further studies are needed to replicate the findings and elucidate the potential role of hypokalemia as a mediator of this effect.

Association between long-term use of calcium channel blockers (CCB) and the risk of breast cancer: a retrospective longitudinal observational study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Calcium channel blockers (CCB), a commonly prescribed antihypertensive (AHT) medicine, may be associated with increased risk of breast cancer. The proposed study aims to examine whether long-term CCB use is associated with the development of breast cancer and to characterise the dose-response nature of any identified association, to inform future hypertension management.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The study will use data from 2 of Australia's largest cohort studies; the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health, and the 45 and Up Study, combined with the Rotterdam Study. Eligible women will be those with diagnosed hypertension, no history of breast cancer and no prior CCB use at start of follow-up (2004-2009). Cumulative dose-duration exposure to CCB and other AHT medicines will be captured at the earliest date of: the outcome (a diagnosis of invasive breast cancer); a competing risk event (eg, bilateral mastectomy without a diagnosis of breast cancer, death prior to any diagnosis of breast cancer) or end of follow-up (censoring event). Fine and Gray competing risks regression will be used to assess the association between CCB use and development of breast cancer using a generalised propensity score to adjust for baseline covariates. Time-varying covariates related to interaction with health services will also be included in the model. Data will be harmonised across cohorts to achieve identical protocols and a two-step random effects individual patient-level meta-analysis will be used.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval was obtained from the following Human research Ethics Committees: Curtin University (ref No. HRE2022-0335), NSW Population and Health Services Research Ethics Committee (2022/ETH01392/2022.31), ACT Research Ethics and Governance Office approval under National Mutual Acceptance for multijurisdictional data linkage research (2022.STE.00208). Results of the proposed study will be published in high-impact journals and presented at key scientific meetings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05972785.

Sarcopenia and Sarcopenic Obesity and Mortality Among Older People

Importance

Sarcopenia and obesity are 2 global concerns associated with adverse health outcomes in older people. Evidence on the population-based prevalence of the combination of sarcopenia with obesity (sarcopenic obesity [SO]) and its association with mortality are still limited.

Objective

To investigate the prevalence of sarcopenia and SO and their association with all-cause mortality.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This large-scale, population-based cohort study assessed participants from the Rotterdam Study from March 1, 2009, to June 1, 2014. Associations of sarcopenia and SO with all-cause mortality were studied using Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional hazards regression, and accelerated failure time models fitted for sex, age, and body mass index (BMI). Data analysis was performed from January 1 to April 1, 2023.

Exposures

The prevalence of sarcopenia and SO, measured based on handgrip strength and body composition (BC) (dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry) as recommended by current consensus criteria, with probable sarcopenia defined as having low handgrip strength and confirmed sarcopenia and SO defined as altered BC (high fat percentage and/or low appendicular skeletal muscle index) in addition to low handgrip strength.

Main Outcome and Measure

The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, collected using linked mortality data from general practitioners and the central municipal records, until October 2022.

Results

In the total population of 5888 participants (mean [SD] age, 69.5 [9.1] years; mean [SD] BMI, 27.5 [4.3]; 3343 [56.8%] female), 653 (11.1%; 95% CI, 10.3%-11.9%) had probable sarcopenia and 127 (2.2%; 95% CI, 1.8%-2.6%) had confirmed sarcopenia. Sarcopenic obesity with 1 altered component of BC was present in 295 participants (5.0%; 95% CI, 4.4%-5.6%) and with 2 altered components in 44 participants (0.8%; 95% CI, 0.6%-1.0%). An increased risk of all-cause mortality was observed in participants with probable sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR], 1.29; 95% CI, 1.14-1.47) and confirmed sarcopenia (HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.53-2.43). Participants with SO plus 1 altered component of BC (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.60-2.33]) or 2 altered components of BC (HR, 2.84; 95% CI, 1.97-4.11) had a higher risk of mortality than those without SO. Similar results for SO were obtained for participants with a BMI of 27 or greater.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, sarcopenia and SO were found to be prevalent phenotypes in older people and were associated with all-cause mortality. Additional alterations of BC amplified this risk independently of age, sex, and BMI. The use of low muscle strength as a first step of both diagnoses may allow for early identification of individuals at risk for premature mortality.

Proteomic Networks and Related Genetic Variants Associated with Smoking and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background

Studies have identified individual blood biomarkers associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and related phenotypes. However, complex diseases such as COPD typically involve changes in multiple molecules with interconnections that may not be captured when considering single molecular features.

Methods

Leveraging proteomic data from 3,173 COPDGene Non-Hispanic White (NHW) and African American (AA) participants, we applied sparse multiple canonical correlation network analysis (SmCCNet) to 4,776 proteins assayed on the SomaScan v4.0 platform to derive sparse networks of proteins associated with current vs. former smoking status, airflow obstruction, and emphysema quantitated from high-resolution computed tomography scans. We then used NetSHy, a dimension reduction technique leveraging network topology, to produce summary scores of each proteomic network, referred to as NetSHy scores. We next performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) to identify variants associated with the NetSHy scores, or network quantitative trait loci (nQTLs). Finally, we evaluated the replicability of the networks in an independent cohort, SPIROMICS.

Results

We identified networks of 13 to 104 proteins for each phenotype and exposure in NHW and AA, and the derived NetSHy scores significantly associated with the variable of interests. Networks included known (sRAGE, ALPP, MIP1) and novel molecules (CA10, CPB1, HIS3, PXDN) and interactions involved in COPD pathogenesis. We observed 7 nQTL loci associated with NetSHy scores, 4 of which remained after conditional analysis. Networks for smoking status and emphysema, but not airflow obstruction, demonstrated a high degree of replicability across race groups and cohorts.

Conclusions

In this work, we apply state-of-the-art molecular network generation and summarization approaches to proteomic data from COPDGene participants to uncover protein networks associated with COPD phenotypes. We further identify genetic associations with networks. This work discovers protein networks containing known and novel proteins and protein interactions associated with clinically relevant COPD phenotypes across race groups and cohorts.

Urinary Prostaglandin E2 Excretion and the Risk of Cardiovascular and Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Inhibition of prostaglandin synthesis by nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs is associated with cardiovascular mortality and kidney disease. This study hypothesizes that urinary prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) and PGE2 metabolite (PGEM) excretions are markers of cardiovascular and kidney health, because they reflect both systemic and kidney-derived PGE2 production.

METHODS AND RESULTS

PGE2 and PGEM were measured in spot urine samples from 2291 participants (≥55 years old) of the population-based Rotterdam Study. Urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions were analyzed using linear regression analyses to identify cross-sectional associations with cardiovascular risk factors and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Longitudinal associations with cardiovascular mortality and kidney outcomes (eGFR <60 or <45 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and the composite outcome 40% eGFR loss or kidney failure) were assessed with Cox regression. Urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions were higher with increasing age, lower eGFR, smoking, diabetes, and albuminuria. A 2-fold higher urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretion was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality (28 825 patient-years; 160 events; PGE2 hazard ratio [HR], 1.27, [95% CI, 1.06-1.54]; PGEM HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.10-1.67]). Higher PGE2 excretions were also associated with a higher risk of incident eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (31 530 person-years; 691 events; HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.02-1.25]) with similar HRs for the other kidney outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions are novel markers for the presence and progression of cardiovascular and kidney disease. Future studies should address whether these associations are causal and can be targeted to improve cardiovascular and kidney outcomes.

Plasma circulating microRNAs associated with blood-based immune markers: a population-based study

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are small non-coding RNAs that post-transcriptionally regulate gene expression and different immune-related pathways. There is a great interest in identifying miRNAs involved in immune cell development and function to elucidate the biological mechanisms underlying the immune system, its regulation, and disease. In this study, we aimed to investigate the association of circulating miRNAs with blood cell compositions and blood-based immune markers. Circulating levels of 2083 miRNAs were measured by RNA-sequencing in plasma samples of 1999 participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study collected between 2002 and 2005. Full blood count measurements were performed for absolute granulocyte, platelet, lymphocyte, monocyte, white, and red blood cell counts. Multivariate analyses were performed to test the association of miRNAs with blood cell compositions and immune markers. We evaluated the overlap between predicted target genes of candidate miRNAs associated with immune markers and genes determining the blood immune response markers. First, principal component regression analysis showed that plasma levels of circulating miRNAs were significantly associated with red blood cell, granulocyte, and lymphocyte counts. Second, the cross-sectional analysis identified 210 miRNAs significantly associated (P < 2.82 × 10-5) with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index. Further genetic look-ups showed that target genes of seven identified miRNAs (miR-1233-3p, miR-149-3p, miR-150-5p, miR-342-3p, miR-34b-3p, miR-4644, and miR-7106-5p) were also previously linked to NLR and PLR markers. Collectively, our study suggests several circulating miRNAs that regulate the innate and adaptive immune systems, providing insight into the pathogenesis of miRNAs in immune-related diseases and paving the way for future clinical applications.

A Federated Database for Obesity Research: An IMI-SOPHIA Study

Obesity is considered by many as a lifestyle choice rather than a chronic progressive disease. The Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) SOPHIA (Stratification of Obesity Phenotypes to Optimize Future Obesity Therapy) project is part of a momentum shift aiming to provide better tools for the stratification of people with obesity according to disease risk and treatment response. One of the challenges to achieving these goals is that many clinical cohorts are siloed, limiting the potential of combined data for biomarker discovery. In SOPHIA, we have addressed this challenge by setting up a federated database building on open-source DataSHIELD technology. The database currently federates 16 cohorts that are accessible via a central gateway. The database is multi-modal, including research studies, clinical trials, and routine health data, and is accessed using the R statistical programming environment where statistical and machine learning analyses can be performed at a distance without any disclosure of patient-level data. We demonstrate the use of the database by providing a proof-of-concept analysis, performing a federated linear model of BMI and systolic blood pressure, pooling all data from 16 studies virtually without any analyst seeing individual patient-level data. This analysis provided similar point estimates compared to a meta-analysis of the 16 individual studies. Our approach provides a benchmark for reproducible, safe federated analyses across multiple study types provided by multiple stakeholders.

The AGE-RAGE axis associates with chronic pulmonary diseases and smoking in the Rotterdam study

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma associate with high morbidity and mortality. High levels of advanced glycation end products (AGEs) were found in tissue and plasma of COPD patients but their role in COPD and asthma is unclear.

METHODS

In the Rotterdam Study (n = 2577), AGEs (by skin autofluorescence (SAF)), FEV1 and lung diffusing capacity (DLCOc and DLCOc /alveolar volume [VA]) were measured. Associations of SAF with asthma, COPD, GOLD stage, and lung function were analyzed using logistic and linear regression adjusted for covariates, followed by interaction and stratification analyses. sRAGE and EN-RAGE associations with COPD prevalence were analyzed by logistic regression.

RESULTS

SAF associated with COPD prevalence (OR = 1.299 [1.060, 1.591]) but not when adjusted for smoking (OR = 1.106 [0.89, 1.363]). SAF associated with FEV1% predicted (β=-3.384 [-4.877, -1.892]), DLCOc (β=-0.212 [-0.327, -0.097]) and GOLD stage (OR = 4.073, p = 0.001, stage 3&4 versus 1). Stratified, the association between SAF and FEV1%predicted was stronger in COPD (β=-6.362 [-9.055, -3.670]) than non-COPD (β=-1.712 [-3.306, -0.118]). Association of SAF with DLCOc and DLCOc/VA were confined to COPD (β=-0.550 [-0.909, -0.191]; β=-0.065 [-0.117, -0.014] respectively). SAF interacted with former smoking and COPD prevalence for associations with lung function. Lower sRAGE and higher EN-RAGE associated with COPD prevalence (OR = 0.575[0.354, 0.931]; OR = 1.778[1.142, 2.768], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Associations between SAF, lung function and COPD prevalence were strongly influenced by smoking. SAF associated with COPD severity and its association with lung function was more prominent within COPD. These results fuel further research into interrelations and causality between SAF, smoking and COPD.

TAKE-HOME MESSAGE

Skin AGEs associated with prevalence and severity of COPD and lung function in the general population with a stronger effect in COPD, calling for further research into interrelations and causality between SAF, smoking and COPD.

The Rotterdam Study. Design update and major findings between 2020 and 2024

The Rotterdam Study is a population-based cohort study, started in 1990 in the district of Ommoord in the city of Rotterdam, the Netherlands, with the aim to describe the prevalence and incidence, unravel the etiology, and identify targets for prediction, prevention or intervention of multifactorial diseases in mid-life and elderly. The study currently includes 17,931 participants (overall response rate 65%), aged 40 years and over, who are examined in-person every 3 to 5 years in a dedicated research facility, and who are followed-up continuously through automated linkage with health care providers, both regionally and nationally. Research within the Rotterdam Study is carried out along two axes. First, research lines are oriented around diseases and clinical conditions, which are reflective of medical specializations. Second, cross-cutting research lines transverse these clinical demarcations allowing for inter- and multidisciplinary research. These research lines generally reflect subdomains within epidemiology. This paper describes recent methodological updates and main findings from each of these research lines. Also, future perspective for coming years highlighted.

Association of blood cell-based inflammatory markers with gut microbiota and cancer incidence in the Rotterdam study

The immune response-gut microbiota interaction is implicated in various human diseases, including cancer. Identifying the link between the gut microbiota and systemic inflammatory markers and their association with cancer will be important for our understanding of cancer etiology. The current study was performed on 8090 participants from the population-based Rotterdam study. We found a significant association (false discovery rate [FDR] ≤0.05) between lymphocytes and three gut microbial taxa, namely the family Streptococcaceae, genus Streptococcus, and order Lactobacillales. In addition, we identified 95 gut microbial taxa that were associated with inflammatory markers (p < 0.05). Analyzing the cancer data, we observed a significant association between higher systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) levels at baseline (hazard ratio (HR): 1.65 [95% confidence interval (CI); 1.10-2.46, p ≤ 0.05]) and a higher count of lymphocytes (HR: 1.38 [95% CI: 1.15-1.65, p ≤ 0.05]) and granulocytes (HR: 1.69 [95% CI: 1.40-2.03, p ≤ 0.05]) with increased risk of lung cancer after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and study cohort. This association was lost for SII and lymphocytes after additional adjustment for smoking (SII = HR:1.46 [95% CI: 0.96-2.22, p = 0.07] and lymphocytes = HR: 1.19 [95% CI: 0.97-1.46, p = 0.08]). In the stratified analysis, higher count of lymphocyte and granulocytes at baseline were associated with an increased risk of lung cancer in smokers after adjusting for age, sex, BMI, and study cohort (HR: 1.33 [95% CI: 1.09-1.62, p ≤0.05] and HR: 1.57 [95% CI: 1.28-1.92, p ≤0.05], respectively). Our study revealed a positive association between gut microbiota, higher SII levels, and higher lymphocyte and granulocyte counts, with an increased risk of developing lung cancer.

Glaucoma Patients Have a Lower Abundance of Butyrate-Producing Taxa in the Gut

Purpose

Glaucoma is an eye disease that is the most common cause of irreversible blindness worldwide. It has been suggested that gut microbiota can produce reactive oxygen species and pro-inflammatory cytokines that may travel from the gastric mucosa to distal sites, for example, the optic nerve head or trabecular meshwork. There is evidence for a gut-eye axis, as microbial dysbiosis has been associated with retinal diseases. We investigated the microbial composition in patients with glaucoma and healthy controls. Moreover, we analyzed the association of the gut microbiome with intraocular pressure (IOP; risk factor of glaucoma) and vertical cup-to-disc ratio (VCDR; quantifying glaucoma severity).

Methods

The discovery analyses included participants of the Rotterdam Study and the Erasmus Glaucoma Cohort. A total of 225 patients with glaucoma and 1247 age- and sex-matched participants without glaucoma were included in our analyses. Stool samples were used to generate 16S rRNA gene profiles. We assessed associations with 233 genera and species. We used data from the TwinsUK and the Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP) to replicate our findings.

Results

Several butyrate-producing taxa (e.g. Butyrivibrio, Caproiciproducens, Clostridium sensu stricto 1, Coprococcus 1, Ruminococcaceae UCG 007, and Shuttleworthia) were less abundant in people with glaucoma compared to healthy controls. The same taxa were also associated with lower IOP and smaller VCDR. The replication analyses confirmed the findings from the discovery analyses.

Conclusions

Large human studies exploring the link between the gut microbiome and glaucoma are lacking. Our results suggest that microbial dysbiosis plays a role in the pathophysiology of glaucoma.

Plasma neurofilament light chain in association to late-life depression in the general population

AIM

Investigating what is underlying late-life depression is becoming increasingly important with the rapidly growing elderly population. Yet, the associations between plasma biomarkers of neuroaxonal damage and late-life depression remain largely unclear. Therefore, we determined cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of neurofilament light chain (NfL) with depression in middle-aged and elderly individuals, and total tau, β-amyloid 40 and 42 for comparison.

METHODS

We included 3,895 participants (71.78 years [SD = 7.37], 53.4% women) from the population-based Rotterdam Study. Between 2002 and 2005, NfL, total tau, β-amyloid 40 and β-amyloid 42 were determined in blood and depressive symptoms were measured with the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale (CES-D). Incident depressive events (clinically relevant depressive symptoms, depressive syndromes, major depressive disorders) were measured prospectively with the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression, a clinical interview and follow-up of medical records over a median follow-up of 7.0 years (interquartile range 1.80). We used linear and Cox proportional hazard regression models.

RESULTS

Each log2 pg./mL increase in NfL was cross-sectionally associated with more depressive symptoms (adjusted mean difference: 0.32, 95% CI 0.05-0.58), as well as with an increased risk of any incident depressive event over time (hazard ratio: 1.22, 95% CI 1.01-1.47). Further, more amyloid-β 40 was cross-sectionally associated with more depressive symptoms (adjusted mean difference: 0.70, 95% CI 0.15-1.25).

CONCLUSION

Higher levels of NfL are cross-sectionally associated with more depressive symptoms and a higher risk of incident depressive events longitudinally. The association was stronger for NfL compared to other plasma biomarkers, suggesting a potential role of neuroaxonal damage in developing late-life depression.

Intracranial arteriosclerosis and the risk of dementia: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

The impact of intracranial arteriosclerosis on dementia remains largely unclear.

METHODS

In 2339 stroke-free and dementia-free participants (52.2% women, mean age 69.5 years) from the general population, we assessed intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC) and vertebrobasilar artery calcification (VBAC) as proxy for arteriosclerosis. Associations with dementia were assessed using Cox models. In addition, indirect effects through cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) and subcortical brain structure volumes were assessed using causal mediation analyses.

RESULTS

During a median of 13.4 years (25th-75th percentiles 9.9-14.5) of follow-up, 282 participants developed dementia. Both ICAC presence (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.53, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-2.32]) and volume (HR per standard deviation: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.01-1.40) increased dementia risk. For VBAC, severe calcifications increased dementia risk (HR for third vs first volume tertile: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.00-3.59). These effects were mediated partly through increased cSVD (percentage mediated for ICAC: 13% and VBAC: 24%).

DISCUSSION

Intracranial arteriosclerosis increases the risk of dementia.

Plasma neurofilament light chain in relation to 10-year change in cognition and neuroimaging markers: a population-based study

Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a promising biomarker for risk stratification and disease monitoring of dementia, but its utility in the preclinical disease stage remains uncertain. We determined the association of plasma NfL with (change in) neuroimaging markers and cognition in the population-based Rotterdam Study, using linear and logistic regression and mixed-effects models. Plasma NfL levels were measured using the Simoa NF-light™ assay in 4705 dementia-free participants (mean age 71.9 years, 57% women), who underwent cognitive assessment and brain MRI with repeated assessments over a 10-year follow-up period. Higher plasma NfL was associated with worse cognitive performance at baseline (g-factor: β =  - 0.12 (- 0.15; - 0.09), p < 0.001), and accelerated cognitive decline during follow-up on the Stroop color naming task (β = 0.04 (0.02; 0.06), p < 0.001), with a smaller trend for decline in global cognition (g-factor β =  - 0.02 (- 0.04; 0.00), p = 0.044). In the subset of 975 participants with brain MRI, higher NfL was associated with poorer baseline white matter integrity (e.g., global mean diffusivity: β = 0.12 (0.06; 0.19), p < 0.001), with similar trends for volume of white matter hyperintensities (β = 0.09 (0.02; 0.16), p = 0.011) and presence of lacunes (OR = 1.55 (1.13; 2.14), p = 0.007). Plasma NfL was not associated with volumes or thickness of the total gray matter, hippocampus, or Alzheimer signature regions. In conclusion, higher plasma NfL levels are associated with cognitive decline and larger burden of primarily white matter pathology in the general population.

Progression of arterial calcifications: what, where, and in whom?

OBJECTIVES

There is a lack of information on the development of arteriosclerosis over time. This study aims to assess long-term sex-specific changes in arterial calcifications in five arteries, and the influence of cardiovascular risk factors hereon.

METHODS

From a population-based cohort, 807 participants (mean baseline age, 65.8; SD, 4.2) underwent a non-contrast computed tomography (CT) examination between 2003 and 2006, and after a median follow-up of 14 years. We assessed incidences and changes in volumes of coronary artery calcification (CAC), aortic arch calcification (AAC), extracranial (ECAC) and intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC), and vertebrobasilar artery calcification (VBAC). We investigated the simultaneous presence of severe progression (upper quartile of percentual change volumes). Associations of cardiovascular risk factors with changes in calcification volumes were assessed using multivariate linear regression models.

RESULTS

The difference in AAC was most substantial; the median volume (mm3) increased from of 129 to 916 in men and from 93 to 839 in women. For VBAC, no change in volumes was observed though more than a quarter of participants without baseline VBAC developed VBAC during follow-up. Severe progression was most often observed in only one artery at the same time. Hypertension was most consistently associated with increase in calcifications. Associations of diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and smoking with changes in calcifications varied across arteries and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a considerable incidence and increase in volumes of calcifications in different arteries, over a 14-year time interval. Cardiovascular risk factors were associated with increase of calcifications with sex-specific differential effects across arteries.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

There is a considerable incidence and increase in volumes of calcifications in different arteries, over a 14-year time interval. Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with increase of calcifications with sex-specific differential effects across arteries; thus, assessing changes in only one artery may thus not provide a good reflection of the systemic development of arteriosclerosis.

KEY POINTS

• Assessing change in arterial calcification in only one artery does not reflect the systemic development of arterial calcification. • Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with progression of arterial calcifications. • Progression of arterial calcification is sex and artery-specific.

Skin autofluorescence, reflecting accumulation of advanced glycation end products, and the risk of dementia in a population-based cohort

Conditions such as hyperglycemia and oxidative stress lead to the formation of advanced glycation end products (AGEs), which are harmful compounds that have been implicated in dementia. Within the Rotterdam Study, we measured skin AGEs as skin autofluorescence, reflecting long-term accumulation of AGEs, and determined their association with the risk of dementia and with brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures. Skin autofluorescence was measured between 2013 and 2016 in 2922 participants without dementia. Of these, 1504 also underwent brain MRI, on which measures of brain atrophy and cerebral small vessel disease were assessed. All participants were followed for the incidence of dementia until 2020. Of 2922 participants (mean age 72.6 years, 57% women), 123 developed dementia. Higher skin autofluorescence (per standard deviation) was associated with an increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio 1.21 [95% confidence interval 1.01-1.46]) and Alzheimer's disease (1.19 [0.97-1.47]), independently of age and other studied potential confounders. Stronger effects were seen in apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carriers (1.34 [0.98-1.82]) and in participants with diabetes (1.35 [0.94-1.94]). Participants with higher skin autofluorescence levels also had smaller total brain volumes and smaller hippocampus volumes on MRI, and they had more often lacunes. These results suggest that AGEs may be involved in dementia pathophysiology.

Defining type 2 diabetes polygenic risk scores through colocalization and network-based clustering of metabolic trait genetic associations

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous and polygenic disease. Previous studies have leveraged the highly polygenic and pleiotropic nature of T2D variants to partition the heterogeneity of T2D, in order to stratify patient risk and gain mechanistic insight. We expanded on these approaches by performing colocalization across GWAS traits while assessing the causality and directionality of genetic associations.

METHODS

We applied colocalization between T2D and 20 related metabolic traits, across 243 loci, to obtain inferences of shared casual variants. Network-based unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed on variant-trait associations. Partitioned polygenic risk scores (PRSs) were generated for each cluster using T2D summary statistics and validated in 21,742 individuals with T2D from 3 cohorts. Inferences of directionality and causality were obtained by applying Mendelian randomization Steiger's Z-test and further validated in a pediatric cohort without diabetes (aged 9-12 years old, n = 3866).

RESULTS

We identified 146 T2D loci that colocalized with at least one metabolic trait locus. T2D variants within these loci were grouped into 5 clusters. The clusters corresponded to the following pathways: obesity, lipodystrophic insulin resistance, liver and lipid metabolism, hepatic glucose metabolism, and beta-cell dysfunction. We observed heterogeneity in associations between PRSs and metabolic measures across clusters. For instance, the lipodystrophic insulin resistance (Beta - 0.08 SD, 95% CI [- 0.10-0.07], p = 6.50 × 10-32) and beta-cell dysfunction (Beta - 0.10 SD, 95% CI [- 0.12, - 0.08], p = 1.46 × 10-47) PRSs were associated to lower BMI. Mendelian randomization Steiger analysis indicated that increased T2D risk in these pathways was causally associated to lower BMI. However, the obesity PRS was conversely associated with increased BMI (Beta 0.08 SD, 95% CI 0.06-0.10, p = 8.0 × 10-33). Analyses within a pediatric cohort supported this finding. Additionally, the lipodystrophic insulin resistance PRS was associated with a higher odds of chronic kidney disease (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.02-1.62, p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully partitioned T2D genetic variants into phenotypic pathways using a colocalization first approach. Partitioned PRSs were associated to unique metabolic and clinical outcomes indicating successful partitioning of disease heterogeneity. Our work expands on previous approaches by providing stronger inferences of shared causal variants, causality, and directionality of GWAS variant-trait associations.

Circulating metabolites associated with kidney function decline and incident CKD: a multi-platform population-based study

Background

Investigation of circulating metabolites associated with kidney function and chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk could enhance our understanding of underlying pathways and identify new biomarkers for kidney function.

Methods

We selected participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study with data on circulating metabolites and estimated glomerular filtration rate based on serum creatinine (eGFRcreat) available at the same time point. Data on eGFR based on serum cystatin C (eGFRcys) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) were also included. CKD was defined as eGFRcreat <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Data on circulating metabolites (ntotal = 1381) was obtained from the Nightingale and Metabolon platform. Linear regression, linear mixed, and Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were conducted to study the associations between metabolites and kidney function. We performed bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses to investigate causality of the identified associations.

Results

We included 3337 and 1540 participants with data from Nightingale and Metabolon, respectively. A total of 1381 metabolites (243 from Nightingale and 1138 from Metabolon) were included in the analyses. A large number of metabolites were significantly associated with eGFRcreat, eGFRcys, ACR, and CKD, including 16 metabolites that were associated with all four outcomes. Among these, C-glycosyltryptophan (HR 1.50, 95%CI 1.31;1.71) and X-12026 (HR 1.46, 95%CI 1.26;1.68) were most strongly associated with CKD risk. We revealed sex differences in the associations of 11-ketoetiocholanolone glucuronide and 11-beta-glucuronide with the kidney function assessments. No causal associations between the identified metabolites and kidney function were observed.

Conclusion

Our study indicates that several circulating metabolites are associated with kidney function which are likely to have potential as biomarkers, rather than as molecules involved in the pathophysiology of kidney function decline.

Where is VALDO? VAscular Lesions Detection and segmentatiOn challenge at MICCAI 2021

Imaging markers of cerebral small vessel disease provide valuable information on brain health, but their manual assessment is time-consuming and hampered by substantial intra- and interrater variability. Automated rating may benefit biomedical research, as well as clinical assessment, but diagnostic reliability of existing algorithms is unknown. Here, we present the results of the VAscular Lesions DetectiOn and Segmentation (Where is VALDO?) challenge that was run as a satellite event at the international conference on Medical Image Computing and Computer Aided Intervention (MICCAI) 2021. This challenge aimed to promote the development of methods for automated detection and segmentation of small and sparse imaging markers of cerebral small vessel disease, namely enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVS) (Task 1), cerebral microbleeds (Task 2) and lacunes of presumed vascular origin (Task 3) while leveraging weak and noisy labels. Overall, 12 teams participated in the challenge proposing solutions for one or more tasks (4 for Task 1-EPVS, 9 for Task 2-Microbleeds and 6 for Task 3-Lacunes). Multi-cohort data was used in both training and evaluation. Results showed a large variability in performance both across teams and across tasks, with promising results notably for Task 1-EPVS and Task 2-Microbleeds and not practically useful results yet for Task 3-Lacunes. It also highlighted the performance inconsistency across cases that may deter use at an individual level, while still proving useful at a population level.

Clinical relevance of lung function trajectory clusters in middle-aged and older adults

Background

The determinants and health outcomes of lung function trajectories in adults among the general population are poorly understood. We aimed to identify and characterise clusters of lung function trajectories in adults aged ≥45 years.

Methods

Gaussian finite-mixture modelling was applied to baseline and annualised change of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC) and FEV1/FVC ratio z-scores in participants of the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort study, with repeated spirometry (n=3884; mean±sd age 64.7±8.9 years). Longitudinal outcomes were all-cause mortality, respiratory outcomes (symptoms, COPD (FEV1/FVC <0.7 in absence of asthma), preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm; FEV1/FVC ≥0.7 and FEV1 or FVC <80%)), smoking cessation and weight changes. Independent risk factors, including genetics, were identified by multiple logistic regression.

Results

We identified eight trajectory clusters, with the reference group having persistently normal spirometry (prevalence 42.8%). Three clusters showed higher mortality, adjusted for confounders: 1) the persistently low FEV1 cluster (prevalence 6.8%, hazard ratio (HR) 1.71, 95% CI 1.37-2.13); 2) rapid FEV1 decliners (prevalence 4.6%, HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.10-1.99); and 3) FVC decliners (prevalence 3.7%, HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.09-2.03). In contrast, FVC improvers (prevalence 6.7%, HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.90) and persistently high FEV1 (prevalence 29.2%, HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.69-0.98) were protective trajectory clusters. Clusters were characterised by differences in genetic predisposition (polygenic scores of FEV1 and FEV1/FVC), demographics, cigarette smoking, respiratory symptoms (chronic cough, wheezing and dyspnoea), cardiovascular factors (body mass index, hypertension and heart failure) and serum C-reactive protein levels. Frailty, weight changes and the development of respiratory symptoms, COPD and PRISm were significantly associated with trajectory clusters.

Conclusions

This study reveals clinically relevant lung function trajectory clusters in older adults of the general population.

Body composition and plasma total-tau, neurofilament light chain, and amyloid-β: A population-based study

A higher body mass at older age has been linked to a lower risk of dementia. This unexpected trend may be explained by age-related lean mass depletion, or methodological issues such as the long preclinical phase of dementia or competing risks. Focusing on preclinical markers of dementia may overcome these issues. Between 2002 and 2005, body composition and plasma total-tau, neurofilament light chain (NfL), amyloid-β40, and amyloid-β42 were measured in 3408 dementia-free participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study. The cross-sectional associations between body composition and plasma markers were determined using linear regression models. Whole body and fat mass, but not lean mass, were positively associated with total-tau, while all these measures were inversely associated with NfL. Apart from an inverse association between lean mass and amyloid-β40, body composition measures were not associated with plasma amyloid-β. Our findings suggest distinct effects of body composition on neurodegeneration.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, liver fibrosis, and structural brain imaging: The Cross-Cohort Collaboration

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Prior studies reported conflicting findings regarding the association of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and liver fibrosis with measures of brain health. We examined whether NAFLD and liver fibrosis are associated with structural brain imaging measures in middle- and old-age adults.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study among dementia- and stroke-free individuals, data were pooled from the Offspring and Third Generation cohorts of the Framingham Heart Study (FHS), the Rotterdam Study (RS), and the Study of Health in Pomerania. NAFLD was assessed through abdominal imaging. Transient hepatic elastography (FibroScan) was used to assess liver fibrosis in FHS and RS. Linear regression models were used to explore the relation of NAFLD and liver fibrosis with brain volumes, including total brain, gray matter, hippocampus, and white matter hyperintensities, adjusting for potential confounders. Results were combined using fixed effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 5660 and 3022 individuals were included for NAFLD and liver fibrosis analyses, respectively. NAFLD was associated with smaller volumes of total brain (β = -3.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -5.4 to -1.7), total gray matter (β = -1.9, 95% CI = -3.4 to -0.3), and total cortical gray matter (β = -1.9, 95% CI = -3.7 to -0.01). In addition, liver fibrosis (defined as liver stiffness measure ≥8.2 kPa) was related to smaller total brain volumes (β = -7.3, 95% CI = -11.1 to -3.5). Heterogeneity between studies was low.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD and liver fibrosis may be directly related to brain aging. Larger and prospective studies are warranted to validate these findings and identify liver-related preventive strategies for neurodegeneration.

Bone mineral density and the risk of incident dementia: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

It is not known whether bone mineral density (BMD) measured at baseline or as the rate of decline prior to baseline (prior bone loss) is a stronger predictor of incident dementia or Alzheimer's disease (AD).

METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis of three longitudinal studies, the Framingham Heart Study (FHS), the Rotterdam Study (RS), and the Rush Memory and Aging Project (MAP), modeling the time to diagnosis of dementia as a function of BMD measures accounting for covariates. We included individuals with one or two BMD assessments, aged ≥60 years, and free of dementia at baseline with follow-up available. BMD was measured at the hip femoral neck using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), or at the heel calcaneus using quantitative ultrasound to calculate estimated BMD (eBMD). BMD at study baseline ("baseline BMD") and annualized percentage change in BMD prior to baseline ("prior bone loss") were included as continuous measures. The primary outcome was incident dementia diagnosis within 10 years of baseline, and incident AD was a secondary outcome. Baseline covariates included age, sex, body mass index, ApoE4 genotype, and education.

RESULTS

The combined sample size across all three studies was 4431 with 606 incident dementia diagnoses, 498 of which were AD. A meta-analysis of baseline BMD across three studies showed higher BMD to have a significant protective association with incident dementia with a hazard ratio of 0.47 (95% CI: 0.23-0.96; p = 0.038) per increase in g/cm2 , or 0.91 (95% CI: 0.84-0.995) per standard deviation increase. We observed a significant association between prior bone loss and incident dementia with a hazard ratio of 1.30 (95% CI: 1.12-1.51; p < 0.001) per percent increase in prior bone loss only in the FHS cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline BMD but not prior bone loss was associated with incident dementia in a meta-analysis across three studies.

Interaction Between Arteriosclerosis and Amyloid-β on Cognitive Function

BACKGROUND

Dementia is a multifactorial disease, with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular pathology often co-occurring in many individuals with dementia. Yet, the interplay between AD and vascular pathology in cognitive decline is largely undetermined.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to examine the joint effect of arteriosclerosis and AD pathology on cognition in the general population without dementia.

METHODS

We determined the interaction between blood-based AD biomarkers and CT-defined arteriosclerosis on cognition in 2,229 dementia-free participants of the population-based Rotterdam Study (mean age: 68.9 years, 52% women) cross-sectionally.

RESULTS

Amyloid-β (Aβ)42 and arterial calcification were associated with cognitive performance. After further adjustment for confounders in a model that combined all biomarkers, only arterial calcification remained independently associated with cognition. There was a significant interaction between arterial calcification and Aβ42 and between arterial calcification and the ratio of Aβ42/40. Yet, estimates attenuated, and interactions were no longer statistically significant after adjustment for cardio metabolic risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Arteriosclerosis and AD display additive interaction-effects on cognition in the general population, that are due in part to cardio metabolic risk factors. These findings suggest that joint assessment of arteriosclerosis and AD pathology is important for understanding of disease etiology in individuals with cognitive impairment.

Omega-3 Blood Levels and Stroke Risk: A Pooled and Harmonized Analysis of 183 291 Participants From 29 Prospective Studies

BACKGROUND

The effect of marine omega-3 PUFAs on risk of stroke remains unclear.

METHODS

We investigated the associations between circulating and tissue omega-3 PUFA levels and incident stroke (total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic) in 29 international prospective cohorts. Each site conducted a de novo individual-level analysis using a prespecified analytical protocol with defined exposures, covariates, analytical methods, and outcomes; the harmonized data from the studies were then centrally pooled. Multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs across omega-3 PUFA quintiles were computed for each stroke outcome.

RESULTS

Among 183 291 study participants, there were 10 561 total strokes, 8220 ischemic strokes, and 1142 hemorrhagic strokes recorded over a median of 14.3 years follow-up. For eicosapentaenoic acid, comparing quintile 5 (Q5, highest) with quintile 1 (Q1, lowest), total stroke incidence was 17% lower (HR, 0.83 [CI, 0.76-0.91]; P<0.0001), and ischemic stroke was 18% lower (HR, 0.82 [CI, 0.74-0.91]; P<0.0001). For docosahexaenoic acid, comparing Q5 with Q1, there was a 12% lower incidence of total stroke (HR, 0.88 [CI, 0.81-0.96]; P=0.0001) and a 14% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86 [CI, 0.78-0.95]; P=0.0001). Neither eicosapentaenoic acid nor docosahexaenoic acid was associated with a risk for hemorrhagic stroke. These associations were not modified by either baseline history of AF or prevalent CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher omega-3 PUFA levels are associated with lower risks of total and ischemic stroke but have no association with hemorrhagic stroke.

Trajectories of kidney function and risk of mortality

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify patterns within the rate of kidney function decline, determinants of these patterns and their association with all-cause mortality risk in the general population.

METHODS

Participants aged ≥ 45 years with at least one assessment of creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) taken between 1997 and 2018 were selected from a population-based cohort study. Analyses were performed using several distinct latent class trajectory modelling methods. Cumulative incidences were calculated with 45 years of age as the starting point.

RESULTS

In 12 062 participants (85 922 eGFR assessments, mean age 67.0 years, 58.7% women, median follow-up 9.6 years), four trajectories of eGFR change with age were identified: slow eGFR decline [rate of change in mL/min/1.73 m2 per year (RC), -0.9; 95% CI, -0.9 to -0.9; reference group], intermediate eGFR decline (RC, -2.5; 95% CI, -2.7 to -2.5) and fast eGFR decline (RC, -4.3; 95% CI, -4.4 to -4.1), and an increase/stable eGFR (RC, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.3 to 0.4). Women were more likely to have an increase/stable eGFR [odds ratio (OR), 1.94; 95% CI, 1.53 to 2.46] whereas men were more likely to have a fast eGFR decline (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.33 to 2.60). Participants with diabetes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) or hypertension were more likely to have an intermediate or fast eGFR decline. All-cause mortality risks (cumulative incidence at age of 70 years) were 32.3% (95% CI, 21.4 to 47.9, slow eGFR decline), 6.7% (95% CI, 3.5 to 12.4, intermediate eGFR decline), 68.8% (95% CI, 44.4 to 87.8, fast eGFR decline) and 9.5% (95% CI, 5.5 to 15.7, increase/stable eGFR).

CONCLUSION

Sex, hypertension, diabetes and CVD were identified as trajectory membership determinants. Having fast eGFR decline was associated with the highest risk of all-cause mortality, highlighting the need for extensive monitoring and prevention of kidney function decline in individuals at risk of having fast eGFR decline.

No association between blood-based markers of immune system and migraine status: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although some evidence implicates the immune system in migraine attacks, its role during attack-free periods remains largely unexplored. Therefore, we assessed the association between the immune system and migraine status.

METHODS

From the population-based Rotterdam Study, we included 6593 participants who underwent blood sampling and migraine assessments. In the blood samples, we measured white blood-cell-based immune markers. As a marker for the innate immune system, granulocyte and platelet counts were determined, whereas lymphocyte counts were used as a marker for the adaptive immune system. Migraine was assessed using a validated questionnaire based on ICHD-2 criteria. We investigated associations between blood-cell counts and migraine using logistic regression models adjusting for age, sex and other variables.

RESULTS

Mean age of participants was 65.6 ± 11.2 years and 56.7% were female. The lifetime prevalence of migraine was 15.1% (995/6593). We found no statistically significant associations between granulocyte (odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation increase 1.01 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.93-1.09), platelet (OR 1.01 CI: 0.94-1.09) or lymphocyte counts (OR 1.01 CI: 0.93-1.08) and migraine status.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results do not support an association between white blood-cell-based immunity markers and migraine status.

Dietary and supplemental intake of vitamins C and E is associated with altered DNA methylation in an epigenome-wide association study meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Dietary intake of antioxidants such as vitamins C and E protect against oxidative stress, and may also be associated with altered DNA methylation patterns.

METHODS

We meta-analysed epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) results from 11,866 participants across eight population-based cohorts to evaluate the association between self-reported dietary and supplemental intake of vitamins C and E with DNA methylation. EWAS were adjusted for age, sex, BMI, caloric intake, blood cell type proportion, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and technical covariates. Significant results of the meta-analysis were subsequently evaluated in gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and expression quantitative trait methylation (eQTM) analysis.

RESULTS

In meta-analysis, methylation at 4,656 CpG sites was significantly associated with vitamin C intake at FDR ≤ 0.05. The most significant CpG sites associated with vitamin C (at FDR ≤ 0.01) were enriched for pathways associated with systems development and cell signalling in GSEA, and were associated with downstream expression of genes enriched in the immune response in eQTM analysis. Furthermore, methylation at 160 CpG sites was significantly associated with vitamin E intake at FDR ≤ 0.05, but GSEA and eQTM analysis of the top most significant CpG sites associated with vitamin E did not identify significant enrichment of any biological pathways investigated.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified significant associations of many CpG sites with vitamin C and E intake, and our results suggest that vitamin C intake may be associated with systems development and the immune response.

Synthesis, characterization and docking studies of benzenesulfonamide derivatives containing 1,2,3-triazole as potential ınhibitor of carbonic anhydrase I-II enzymes

Carbonic Anhydrases (CAs) are an important family of metalloenzymes that contain zinc (Zn2+) ions in their active site and catalyze the conversion of carbon dioxide to bicarbonate and proton and found in all living organisms. Sulfonamides are well-known inhibitors of CAs isoenzymes. In this study, a series of benzenesulfonamide derivatives (9a-h) containing 1,2,3-triazole-moiety were designed, synthesized and their structures were characterized by spectroscopic methods. In addition, molecular structures of compounds 5a, 5 b, 9e and 9f were elucidated by X-ray diffraction technique. To investigate drug similarity of 9a-h compounds, Lipinski's five rules (ADMET: absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion and toxicity) were carried out by in silico studies. According to results, the compounds showed drug-like properties. Docking studies were applied to determine the scores, interactions and binding modes of compounds 9a-h against hCA I and hCA II enzymes. Compound 9c (-5.13 kcal/mol docking score) against hCA I enzyme and 9 h (-5.32 kcal/mol docking score) against hCA II enzyme showed potent inhibitory properties. The binding interactions of the compounds with the carbonic anhydrases were examined by docking studies.Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.

The inflammatory potential of diet is associated with the risk of age-related eye diseases

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Inflammation is involved in the pathogenesis of cataract, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and possibly open-angle glaucoma (OAG). We assessed whether the inflammatory potential of diet (quantified using the dietary inflammatory index; DII) affects the incidence of these common blinding age-related eye diseases. Serum inflammation markers were investigated as possible mediators.

METHODS

Participants aged >45 years were selected from the prospective, population-based Rotterdam Study. From 1991 onwards, every 4-5 years, participants underwent extensive eye examinations. At baseline, blood samples and dietary data (using food frequency questionnaires) were collected. The DII was adapted based on the data available. Of the 7436 participants free of eye diseases at baseline, 4036 developed incident eye diseases during follow-up (cataract = 2895, early-intermediate AMD = 891, late AMD = 81, OAG = 169).

RESULTS

The adapted DII (aDII) ranged from -4.26 (i.e., anti-inflammatory) to 4.53 (i.e., pro-inflammatory). A higher aDII was significantly associated with increased inflammation. A higher neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was associated with an increased risk of cataract and AMD. Additionally, complement component 3c (C3c) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) were associated with increased risks of cataract and late AMD, respectively. Every point increase in the aDII was associated with a 9% increased risk of cataract (Odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.09 [1.04-1.14]). The NLR and C3c partly mediated this association. We also identified associations of the aDII with risk of AMD (early-intermediate AMD, OR [95% CI]: 1.11 [1.03-1.19]; late AMD, OR [95% CI]: 1.24 [1.02-1.53]). The NLR partly mediated these associations. The aDII was not associated with OAG.

CONCLUSIONS

A pro-inflammatory diet was associated with increased risks of cataract and AMD. Particularly the NLR, a marker of subclinical inflammation, appears to be implicated. These findings are relevant for patients with AMD and substantiate the current recommendations to strive for a healthy lifestyle to prevent blindness.

Advanced glycation end products measured by skin autofluorescence and subclinical cardiovascular disease: the Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

Advanced glycation end products (AGEs) have been linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD), especially coronary heart disease (CHD), but their role in CVD pathogenesis remains unclear. Therefore, we investigated cross-sectional associations of skin AGEs with subclinical atherosclerosis, arterial stiffness, and hypertension after confirming their relation with CHD.

METHODS

In the population-based Rotterdam Study, skin AGEs were measured as skin autofluorescence (SAF). Prevalent MI was obtained from digital medical records. Carotid plaques, carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), coronary artery calcification (CAC), pulse wave velocity (PWV), and hypertension were assessed. Associations of SAF with endophenotypes were investigated in logistic and linear regression models adjusting for common cardiovascular risk factors. Effect modification by sex, diabetes mellitus, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) was tested.

RESULTS

3001 participants were included (mean age 73 (SD 9) years, 57% women). One unit higher SAF was associated with the presence of carotid plaques (OR 1.2 (0.92, 1.57)), a higher max IMT (0.08 SD (0.01, 0.15)), higher CAC (OR 2.2 (1.39, 3.48)), and PWV (0.09 SD (0.01, 0.16)), but not with hypertension (OR 0.99 (0.81, 1.21)). The associations with endophenotypes were more pronounced in men and participants with diabetes or CKD with significant interactions.

CONCLUSIONS

Previously documented associations between SAF and CVD, also found in our study, may be explained by the endophenotypes atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness, especially in men and individuals with diabetes or CKD, but not by hypertension. Longitudinal studies are needed to replicate these findings and to test if SAF is an independent risk factor or biomarker of CVD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Rotterdam Study has been entered into the Netherlands National Trial Register (NTR; www.trialregister.nl ) and the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP; www.who.int/ictrp/network/primary/en/ ) under shared catalogue number NTR6831.

Serum immunoglobulins and biomarkers of dementia: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Inflammation plays a key role in the development of dementia, but its link to early biomarkers, particularly those in plasma or neuroimaging, remains elusive. This study aimed to investigate the association between serum immunoglobulins and biomarkers of dementia.

METHODS

Between 1997 and 2009, serum immunoglobulins (IgA, IgG and IgM) were measured in dementia-free participants of the population-based Rotterdam Study. A random subset of participants had assessment of biomarkers in plasma (total tau (t-tau), neurofilament light chain (NfL), amyloid-β40 (Aβ-40), amyloid-β42 (Aβ-42), while another subset of participants underwent neuroimaging to quantify brain volume, white matter structural integrity and markers of cerebral small vessel disease. Linear regression models were constructed to determine cross-sectional associations between IgA, IgG, IgM and biomarkers of dementia, with adjustment for potential confounders. Multiple testing correction was applied using the false discovery rate. As a sensitivity analysis, we re-ran the models for participants within the reference range of immunoglobulins, excluding those using immunomodulating drugs, and conducted a stratified analysis by APOE-ε4 carriership and sex.

RESULTS

Of 8,768 participants with serum immunoglobulins, 3,455 participants (65.8 years [interquartile range (IQR): 61.5-72.0], 57.2% female) had plasma biomarkers available and 3,139 participants (57.4 years [IQR: 52.7-60.7], 54.4% female) had neuroimaging data. Overall, no associations between serum immunoglobulins and biomarkers of dementia remained significant after correction for multiple testing. However, several suggestive associations were noted: higher serum IgA levels concurred with lower plasma levels of Aβ-42 (standardized adjusted mean difference: -0.015 [95% confidence interval (CI): -0.029--0.002], p = 2.8 × 10-2), and a lower total brain volume, mainly driven by less gray matter (-0.027 [-0.046--0.008], p = 6.0 × 10-3) and more white matter hyperintensities (0.047 [0.016 - 0.077], p = 3.0 × 10-3). In sensitivity analyses, higher IgM was linked to lower t-tau, Aβ-40, and Aβ-42, but also a loss of white matter microstructural integrity. Stratified analyses indicate that these associations potentially differ between carriers and non-carriers of the APOE-ε4 allele and men and women.

CONCLUSIONS

While associations between serum immunoglobulins and early markers of dementia could not be established in this population-based sample, it may be valuable to consider factors such as APOE-ε4 allele carriership and sex in future investigations.

Longitudinal Assessment of the Prevalence of Actinic Keratosis and Extensive Risk Factor Evaluation: An Update from the Rotterdam Study

Population-based studies available to analyze the prevalence, risk factors, and longitudinal outlook of actinic keratoses (AKs) are limited. These features mentioned earlier were assessed using Rotterdam study participants aged ≥40 years who underwent a full-body skin examination by a dermatology-trained physician. ORs with 95% confidence intervals were calculated for the associations between risk factors and the presence of AK. Among 8,239 eligible participants, the prevalence of one or more AKs was 21.1% (95% confidence interval = 20.2-22.0) and was higher in men. Male sex, age, lighter hair and eye color, baldness, genetic risk score, and digital photoaging measures (digitally assessed pigmented spots, telangiectasias, and global facial wrinkling) had a positive association with AK. Cigarette smokers had reduced odds of having AK, with current smokers having the lowest risk. Among patients with two AK assessments, there was no difference in the presence of AK during follow-up between treated and untreated participants. In conclusion, genetic risk score and digital photoaging measures showed associations with increased lesion count. At the individual level, patients were most likely to decrease in AK severity group over time, possibly regardless of whether or not participants were treated.

Risk Factors and Population-Attributable Fractions for Incident Hip Osteoarthritis

Background

Despite the huge burden of hip osteoarthritis (OA) and the lack of effective treatment, research into the primary prevention of hip OA is in its infancy.

Purpose

We sought to evaluate risk factors for incident clinical and incident radiographic hip OA among middle-aged and older adults, to evaluate the importance of risk factors from a preventive perspective, and to estimate the percentage of new cases attributable to these risk factors.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed data from the Rotterdam study, an open-population cohort study of individuals aged 55 years or older. Data including baseline age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, education level, diagnosis of diabetes, C-reactive protein (CRP), cam morphology, acetabular dysplasia, radiographic thumb OA, radiographic hip OA, and hip pain were assessed for their association with incident clinical hip OA and incident radiographic hip OA separately, after 11 years of follow-up. The population-attributable fractions (PAFs) of statistically significant modifiable risk factors were calculated, as well.

Results

New onset of clinical hip OA was seen in 19.9% (544 of 2729) and incident radiographic hip OA in 9.9% (329 of 3309). Female sex, education level below average (PAF 21.4%), and radiographic hip OA (PAF 3.4%) were statistically significantly associated with incident clinical hip OA. Female sex, age, overweight (PAF 20.0%), cam morphology (PAF 7.9%), acetabular dysplasia (PAF 3.6%), and radiographic thumb OA (PAF 4.7%) were statistically significantly associated with radiographic hip OA.

Conclusions

Our retrospective analysis suggests that, from a primary prevention perspective, the most important modifiable risk factors among middle-aged and older individuals may be low educational level for incident clinical hip OA and overweight for incident radiographic hip OA. Further study is warranted.

Analysis of Rotterdam Study cohorts confirms a previously identified RIPOR2 in-frame deletion as a prevalent genetic factor in phenotypically variable adult-onset hearing loss (DFNA21) in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

A 12-nucleotide RIPOR2 in-frame deletion was recently identified as a relatively common and highly penetrant cause of autosomal dominant non-syndromic sensorineural hearing loss, type DFNA21, in the Netherlands. The associated hearing phenotype is variable. The allele frequency (AF) of 0.039% of this variant was determined in a local cohort, and the reported phenotype may be biased because studied families were identified based on index patients with hearing loss (HL). In this study, we determine the AF in a cohort from a different geographical region of the Netherlands. Additionally, we examine the hearing phenotype in individuals with the variant but not selected for HL.

METHODS

The AF was determined in participants of the Rotterdam Study (RS), a large cohort study. The phenotype was characterised using individual clinical hearing data, including audiograms.

RESULTS

The observed AF in the RS cohort was 0.072% and not statistically significantly different from the previously observed 0.039%. The AF in the two cohorts combined was 0.052%. Consistent with previous findings, we found a highly variable audiometric phenotype with non-penetrance of HL in 40% of subjects aged 55-81, which is higher than the 10% at age 50 previously observed.

CONCLUSION

We found an overall higher AF and lower penetrance than previously reported, confirming that DFNA21 is relatively common in the Netherlands. This supports its potential suitability as a target for therapeutic development. Studying possible modifying factors is essential to explain the phenotypical variability and to identify patients eligible for such a therapy.

Arthritis Foundation/HSS Workshop on Hip Osteoarthritis, Part 1: Epidemiology, Early Development, and Cohorts From Around the World

Far more publications are available for osteoarthritis of the knee than of the hip. Recognizing this research gap, the Arthritis Foundation, in partnership with the Hospital for Special Surgery, convened an in-person meeting of thought leaders to review the state of the science of and clinical approaches to hip osteoarthritis. This article summarizes the recommendations and clinical research gaps gleaned from 5 presentations given in the "how hip osteoarthritis begins" session of the 2023 Hip Osteoarthritis Clinical Studies Conference, which took place on February 17 and 18, 2023, in New York City.