Genetic variants for head size share genes and pathways with cancer

The size of the human head is highly heritable, but genetic drivers of its variation within the general population remain unmapped. We perform a genome-wide association study on head size (N = 80,890) and identify 67 genetic loci, of which 50 are novel. Neuroimaging studies show that 17 variants affect specific brain areas, but most have widespread effects. Gene set enrichment is observed for various cancers and the p53, Wnt, and ErbB signaling pathways. Genes harboring lead variants are enriched for macrocephaly syndrome genes (37-fold) and high-fidelity cancer genes (9-fold), which is not seen for human height variants. Head size variants are also near genes preferentially expressed in intermediate progenitor cells, neural cells linked to evolutionary brain expansion. Our results indicate that genes regulating early brain and cranial growth incline to neoplasia later in life, irrespective of height. This warrants investigation of clinical implications of the link between head size and cancer.

Healthcare avoidance during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic and all-cause mortality: a longitudinal community-based study

Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, global trends of reduced healthcare-seeking behaviour were observed. This raises concerns about the consequences of healthcare avoidance for population health. Aim To determine the association between healthcare avoidance during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic and all-cause mortality. Design and setting 32-month follow-up within the population-based Rotterdam Study, after sending a COVID-19 questionnaire at the onset of the pandemic in April 2020 to all non-institutionalised participants (response rate 73%). Method Cox proportional hazards models assessed the risk of all-cause mortality among respondents who avoided healthcare because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mortality status was collected through municipality registries and medical records. Results Of 5656 respondents, one-fifth avoided healthcare due to the COVID-19 pandemic (N=1143). Compared to non-avoiders, those who avoided healthcare more often reported symptoms of depression (31.2% versus 12.3%) and anxiety (29.7% versus 12.2%), and more often valued their health as poor to fair (29.4% versus 10.1%). Healthcare avoiders had an increased adjusted risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.30; 95%CI 1.01-1.67), which remained nearly identical after adjustment for history of any non-communicable disease (1.20;0.93-1.54). However, this association attenuated after additional adjustment for mental and self-appreciated health factors (0.96;0.74-1.24). Conclusion We found an increased risk of all-cause mortality among individuals who avoided healthcare during COVID-19. These individuals were characterised by poor mental and physical self-appreciated health. Therefore, interventions should be targeted to these vulnerable individuals to safeguard their access to primary and specialist care in order to limit health disparities, inside and beyond healthcare crises.

Revisiting the Clinical Interpretation of CT-Measured Pulmonary Artery-to-Aorta Ratio-The Rotterdam Study

RATIONALE

The pulmonary artery (PA) diameter-to-aorta ratio (PA:A) ratio is a novel marker in cardiovascular imaging for detecting pulmonary hypertension. However, we question the effect of the varying aorta diameter on the ratio, which complicates the interpretation of the PA:A ratio.

OBJECTIVE

Investigate the variability of the PA:A ratio by examining the correlation between PA:A ratio and aorta diameter and by comparing the associations of the PA diameter, aorta diameters, and PA:A ratio.

METHODS

We included 2197 participants from the Rotterdam Study who underwent non-contrast multidetector computed tomography to measure the PA and aorta diameters. Pearson correlation coefficient was calculated between the PA:A ratio and aorta diameter. Multiple linear regression analyses were performed to compare the determinants of the individual diameters and PA:A ratio.

RESULTS

We found a statistically significant correlation between the PA:A ratio and aorta diameter (r = -0.38, p < 0.001). The PA diameter was statistically significantly associated with, height, weight, diastolic blood pressure, blood pressure medication, prevalence of atrial fibrillation, prevalence of heart failure, and prevalence of stroke (p < 0.05). Except for blood pressure medication, the PA:A ratio had similar determinants compared to the PA diameter but was also statistically significantly associated with sex, and systolic blood pressure (p < 0.05), which were statistically significantly associated with the aorta diameter (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The PA:A ratio should not be interpreted without taking into account the variability of the individual components (PA and aorta diameter) according to the anthropomorphic and clinical characteristics.

Brain artery diameters and risk of dementia and stroke

INTRODUCTION

We tested the association of brain artery diameters with dementia and stroke risk in three distinct population-based studies using conventional T2-weighted brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images.

METHODS

We included 8420 adults > 40 years old from three longitudinal population-based studies with brain MRI scans. We estimated and meta-analyzed the hazard ratios (HRs) of the brain and carotids and basilar diameters associated with dementia and stroke.

RESULT

Overall and carotid artery diameters > 95th percentile increased the risk for dementia by 1.74 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-2.68) and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.12-1.96) fold, respectively. For stroke, meta-analyses yielded HRs of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.04-2.42) for overall arteries and 2.11 (95% CI, 1.45-3.08) for basilar artery diameters > 95th percentile.

DISCUSSION

Individuals with dilated brain arteries are at higher risk for dementia and stroke, across distinct populations. Our findings underline the potential value of T2-weighted brain MRI-based brain diameter assessment in estimating the risk of dementia and stroke.

Antidepressant use in relation to dementia risk, cognitive decline, and brain atrophy

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to assess the effect of antidepressant use on dementia risk, cognitive decline, and brain atrophy.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we included 5511 dementia-free participants (Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] > 25) of the Rotterdam study (57.5% women, mean age 70.6 years). Antidepressant use was extracted from pharmacy records from 1991 until baseline (2002-2008). Incident dementia was monitored from baseline until 2018, with repeated cognitive assessment and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) every 4 years.

RESULTS

Compared to never use, any antidepressant use was not associated with dementia risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.41), or with accelerated cognitive decline or atrophy of white and gray matter. Compared to never use, dementia risk was somewhat higher with tricyclic antidepressants (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01-1.83) than with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.81-1.54), but without dose-response relationships, accelerated cognitive decline, or atrophy in either group.

DISCUSSION

Antidepressant medication in adults without indication of cognitive impairment was not consistently associated with long-term adverse cognitive effects.

HIGHLIGHTS

Antidepressant medications are frequently prescribed, especially among older adults. In this study, antidepressant use was not associated with long-term dementia risk. Antidepressant use was not associated with cognitive decline or brain atrophy. Our results support safe prescription in an older, cognitively healthy population.

Burden of intracranial artery calcification in white patients with ischemic stroke

INTRODUCTION

The diagnostic workup of stroke doesn't identify an underlying cause in two-fifths of ischemic strokes. Intracranial arteriosclerosis is acknowledged as a cause of stroke in Asian and Black populations, but is underappreciated as such in whites. We explored the burden of Intracranial Artery Calcification (IAC), a marker of intracranial arteriosclerosis, as a potential cause of stroke among white patients with recent ischemic stroke or TIA.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between December 2005 and October 2010, 943 patients (mean age 63.8 (SD ± 14.0) years, 47.9% female) were recruited, of whom 561 had ischemic stroke and 382 a TIA. CT-angiography was conducted according to stroke analysis protocols. The burden of IAC was quantified on these images, whereafter we assessed the presence of IAC per TOAST etiology underlying the stroke and assessed associations between IAC burden, symptom severity, and short-term functional outcome.

RESULTS

IAC was present in 62.4% of patients. Furthermore, IAC was seen in 84.8% of atherosclerotic strokes, and also in the majority of strokes with an undetermined etiology (58.5%). Additionally, patients with larger IAC burden presented with heavier symptoms (adjusted OR 1.56 (95% CI [1.06-2.29]), but there was no difference in short-term functional outcome (1.14 [0.80-1.61]).

CONCLUSION

IAC is seen in the majority of white ischemic stroke patients, aligning with findings from patient studies in other ethnicities. Furthermore, over half of patients with a stroke of undetermined etiology presented with IAC. Assessing IAC burden may help identify the cause in ischemic stroke of undetermined etiology, and could offer important prognostic information.

Lifetime prevalence and associated factors of itch with skin conditions: Atopic dermatitis, psoriasis and dry skin in individuals aged over 50

BACKGROUND

Itch, common in dermatological conditions, is often accompanied by psychological distress and reduced quality of life. However, research on the prevalence and associated factors of itch with skin conditions in general populations is limited.

OBJECTIVES

This cross-sectional study aimed to determine the lifetime prevalence of itch with skin conditions and identify its associated factors in middle-aged and elderly individuals.

METHODS

Participants from the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort, were interviewed to assess whether they had ever had an itchy skin condition, defining lifetime itch with skin conditions. Over 20 demographic, lifestyle, dermatological, and non-dermatological factors were collected. Multivariable logistic regression analysis explored associations between these factors and itch with skin conditions, reported as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

5,246 eligible participants (age range: 51-100, median age: 67, female: 56.0%) revealed a lifetime prevalence of 33.7% for itch with skin conditions. Female sex (OR (95% CI): 1.26 (1.11-1.43)), body mass index (1.02 (1.01-1.03)), self-reported and presence of atopic dermatitis (4.29 (3.74-4.92), and 1.97 (1.60-2.43)), self-reported and presence of psoriasis (2.31 (1.77-3.01), and 2.11 (1.55-2.87)), self-reported dry skin (1.95 (1.73-2.29)), self-reported asthma (1.40 (1.08-1.83)), renal impairment (1.45 (1.17-1.79)), and clinically relevant depressive and anxiety symptoms (1.85 (1.52-2.25), and 1.36 (1.11-1.66)) were significantly associated with it.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals a substantial one-third lifetime prevalence of itch with skin conditions in individuals aged over 50. Significant associations with diverse lifestyle, demographic, dermatological and, intriguingly, non-dermatological factors including renal impairment, imply additional contributors to itch induction or persistence in individuals with skin conditions.

Burden of cardiometabolic disorders and lifetime risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation among men and women: the Rotterdam Study

AIMS

To examine the association between the burden of cardiometabolic disorders with new-onset AF and lifetime risk of AF incidence among men and women.

METHODS

4,101 men and 5,421 women free of AF at baseline (1996 to 2008) from the population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Sex-specific Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association between the burden of cardiometabolic disorders and risk of new-onset AF. Remaining lifetime risk for AF was estimated at index ages of 55, 65, and 75 years up to age 108.

RESULTS

Mean age at baseline was 65.5 ± 9.4 years. Median follow-up time was 12.8 years. In the fully adjusted model, a stronger association was found between larger burden of cardiometabolic disorders and incident AF among women [hazard ratio (HR): 1.33 and 95% conference interval (CI): 1.22-1.46], compared to men [1.18 (1.08-1.29)] (P for sex-interaction <0.05). The lifetime risk for AF significantly increased with the number of cardiometabolic disorders among both sexes. At an index age of 55 years, the lifetime risks (95% CIs) for AF were 27.1% (20.8-33.4), 26.5% (22.8-30.5), 29.9% (26.7-33.2), 30.8% (25.7-35.8), and 33.3% (23.1-43.6) among men, for 0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 comorbid cardiometabolic disorders. Corresponding risks were15.8% (10.5-21.2), 23.0% (19.8-26.2), 29.7% (26.8-32.6), 26.2% (20.8-31.6), and 34.2% (17.3-51.1) among women.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a significant combined impact of cardiometabolic disorders on AF risk, in particular among women. Participants with cardiometabolic multimorbidity had a significantly higher lifetime risk of AF, especially at a young index age.

The Rotterdam Study. Design update and major findings between 2020 and 2024

The Rotterdam Study is a population-based cohort study, started in 1990 in the district of Ommoord in the city of Rotterdam, the Netherlands, with the aim to describe the prevalence and incidence, unravel the etiology, and identify targets for prediction, prevention or intervention of multifactorial diseases in mid-life and elderly. The study currently includes 17,931 participants (overall response rate 65%), aged 40 years and over, who are examined in-person every 3 to 5 years in a dedicated research facility, and who are followed-up continuously through automated linkage with health care providers, both regionally and nationally. Research within the Rotterdam Study is carried out along two axes. First, research lines are oriented around diseases and clinical conditions, which are reflective of medical specializations. Second, cross-cutting research lines transverse these clinical demarcations allowing for inter- and multidisciplinary research. These research lines generally reflect subdomains within epidemiology. This paper describes recent methodological updates and main findings from each of these research lines. Also, future perspective for coming years highlighted.

Skin autofluorescence, reflecting accumulation of advanced glycation end products, and the risk of dementia in a population-based cohort

Conditions such as hyperglycemia and oxidative stress lead to the formation of advanced glycation end products (AGEs), which are harmful compounds that have been implicated in dementia. Within the Rotterdam Study, we measured skin AGEs as skin autofluorescence, reflecting long-term accumulation of AGEs, and determined their association with the risk of dementia and with brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures. Skin autofluorescence was measured between 2013 and 2016 in 2922 participants without dementia. Of these, 1504 also underwent brain MRI, on which measures of brain atrophy and cerebral small vessel disease were assessed. All participants were followed for the incidence of dementia until 2020. Of 2922 participants (mean age 72.6 years, 57% women), 123 developed dementia. Higher skin autofluorescence (per standard deviation) was associated with an increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio 1.21 [95% confidence interval 1.01-1.46]) and Alzheimer's disease (1.19 [0.97-1.47]), independently of age and other studied potential confounders. Stronger effects were seen in apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carriers (1.34 [0.98-1.82]) and in participants with diabetes (1.35 [0.94-1.94]). Participants with higher skin autofluorescence levels also had smaller total brain volumes and smaller hippocampus volumes on MRI, and they had more often lacunes. These results suggest that AGEs may be involved in dementia pathophysiology.

Omega-3 Blood Levels and Stroke Risk: A Pooled and Harmonized Analysis of 183 291 Participants From 29 Prospective Studies

BACKGROUND

The effect of marine omega-3 PUFAs on risk of stroke remains unclear.

METHODS

We investigated the associations between circulating and tissue omega-3 PUFA levels and incident stroke (total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic) in 29 international prospective cohorts. Each site conducted a de novo individual-level analysis using a prespecified analytical protocol with defined exposures, covariates, analytical methods, and outcomes; the harmonized data from the studies were then centrally pooled. Multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs across omega-3 PUFA quintiles were computed for each stroke outcome.

RESULTS

Among 183 291 study participants, there were 10 561 total strokes, 8220 ischemic strokes, and 1142 hemorrhagic strokes recorded over a median of 14.3 years follow-up. For eicosapentaenoic acid, comparing quintile 5 (Q5, highest) with quintile 1 (Q1, lowest), total stroke incidence was 17% lower (HR, 0.83 [CI, 0.76-0.91]; P<0.0001), and ischemic stroke was 18% lower (HR, 0.82 [CI, 0.74-0.91]; P<0.0001). For docosahexaenoic acid, comparing Q5 with Q1, there was a 12% lower incidence of total stroke (HR, 0.88 [CI, 0.81-0.96]; P=0.0001) and a 14% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86 [CI, 0.78-0.95]; P=0.0001). Neither eicosapentaenoic acid nor docosahexaenoic acid was associated with a risk for hemorrhagic stroke. These associations were not modified by either baseline history of AF or prevalent CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher omega-3 PUFA levels are associated with lower risks of total and ischemic stroke but have no association with hemorrhagic stroke.

No association between blood-based markers of immune system and migraine status: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although some evidence implicates the immune system in migraine attacks, its role during attack-free periods remains largely unexplored. Therefore, we assessed the association between the immune system and migraine status.

METHODS

From the population-based Rotterdam Study, we included 6593 participants who underwent blood sampling and migraine assessments. In the blood samples, we measured white blood-cell-based immune markers. As a marker for the innate immune system, granulocyte and platelet counts were determined, whereas lymphocyte counts were used as a marker for the adaptive immune system. Migraine was assessed using a validated questionnaire based on ICHD-2 criteria. We investigated associations between blood-cell counts and migraine using logistic regression models adjusting for age, sex and other variables.

RESULTS

Mean age of participants was 65.6 ± 11.2 years and 56.7% were female. The lifetime prevalence of migraine was 15.1% (995/6593). We found no statistically significant associations between granulocyte (odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation increase 1.01 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.93-1.09), platelet (OR 1.01 CI: 0.94-1.09) or lymphocyte counts (OR 1.01 CI: 0.93-1.08) and migraine status.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results do not support an association between white blood-cell-based immunity markers and migraine status.

Global Effect of Modifiable Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality

BACKGROUND

Five modifiable risk factors are associated with cardiovascular disease and death from any cause. Studies using individual-level data to evaluate the regional and sex-specific prevalence of the risk factors and their effect on these outcomes are lacking.

METHODS

We pooled and harmonized individual-level data from 112 cohort studies conducted in 34 countries and 8 geographic regions participating in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. We examined associations between the risk factors (body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, current smoking, and diabetes) and incident cardiovascular disease and death from any cause using Cox regression analyses, stratified according to geographic region, age, and sex. Population-attributable fractions were estimated for the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease and 10-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Among 1,518,028 participants (54.1% of whom were women) with a median age of 54.4 years, regional variations in the prevalence of the five modifiable risk factors were noted. Incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 80,596 participants during a median follow-up of 7.3 years (maximum, 47.3), and 177,369 participants died during a median follow-up of 8.7 years (maximum, 47.6). For all five risk factors combined, the aggregate global population-attributable fraction of the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease was 57.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 62.1) among women and 52.6% (95% CI, 49.0 to 56.1) among men, and the corresponding values for 10-year all-cause mortality were 22.2% (95% CI, 16.8 to 27.5) and 19.1% (95% CI, 14.6 to 23.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Harmonized individual-level data from a global cohort showed that 57.2% and 52.6% of cases of incident cardiovascular disease among women and men, respectively, and 22.2% and 19.1% of deaths from any cause among women and men, respectively, may be attributable to five modifiable risk factors. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.).

The optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function defined by the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Reference intervals of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4) are statistically defined by the 2·5-97·5th percentiles, without accounting for potential risk of clinical outcomes. We aimed to define the optimal healthy ranges of TSH and FT4 based on the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality.

METHODS

This systematic review and individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis identified eligible prospective cohorts through the Thyroid Studies Collaboration, supplemented with a systematic search via Embase, MEDLINE (Ovid), Web of science, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Google Scholar from Jan 1, 2011, to Feb 12, 2017 with an updated search to Oct 13, 2022 (cohorts found in the second search were not included in the IPD). We included cohorts that collected TSH or FT4, and cardiovascular outcomes or mortality for adults (aged ≥18 years). We excluded cohorts that included solely pregnant women, individuals with overt thyroid diseases, and individuals with cardiovascular disease. We contacted the study investigators of eligible cohorts to provide IPD on demographics, TSH, FT4, thyroid peroxidase antibodies, history of cardiovascular disease and risk factors, medication use, cardiovascular disease events, cardiovascular disease mortality, and all-cause mortality. The primary outcome was a composite outcome including cardiovascular disease events (coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure) and all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were the separate assessment of cardiovascular disease events, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular disease mortality. We performed one-step (cohort-stratified Cox models) and two-step (random-effects models) meta-analyses adjusting for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, and total cholesterol. The study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42017057576.

FINDINGS

We identified 3935 studies, of which 53 cohorts fulfilled the inclusion criteria and 26 cohorts agreed to participate. We included IPD on 134 346 participants with a median age of 59 years (range 18-106) at baseline. There was a J-shaped association of FT4 with the composite outcome and secondary outcomes, with the 20th (median 13·5 pmol/L [IQR 11·2-13·9]) to 40th percentiles (median 14·8 pmol/L [12·3-15·0]) conveying the lowest risk. Compared with the 20-40th percentiles, the age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for FT4 in the 80-100th percentiles was 1·20 (95% CI 1·11-1·31) for the composite outcome, 1·34 (1·20-1·49) for all-cause mortality, 1·57 (1·31-1·89) for cardiovascular disease mortality, and 1·22 (1·11-1·33) for cardiovascular disease events. In individuals aged 70 years and older, the 10-year absolute risk of composite outcome increased over 5% for women with FT4 greater than the 85th percentile (median 17·6 pmol/L [IQR 15·0-18·3]), and men with FT4 greater than the 75th percentile (16·7 pmol/L [14·0-17·4]). Non-linear associations were identified for TSH, with the 60th (median 1·90 mIU/L [IQR 1·68-2·25]) to 80th percentiles (2·90 mIU/L [2·41-3·32]) associated with the lowest risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. Compared with the 60-80th percentiles, the age-adjusted and sex-adjusted HR of TSH in the 0-20th percentiles was 1·07 (95% CI 1·02-1·12) for the composite outcome, 1·09 (1·05-1·14) for all-cause mortality, and 1·07 (0·99-1·16) for cardiovascular disease mortality.

INTERPRETATION

There was a J-shaped association of FT4 with cardiovascular disease and mortality. Low concentrations of TSH were associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality. The 20-40th percentiles of FT4 and the 60-80th percentiles of TSH could represent the optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function based on the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality, with more than 5% increase of 10-year composite risk identified for FT4 greater than the 85th percentile in women and men older than 70 years. We propose a feasible approach to establish the optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function, allowing for better identification of individuals with a higher risk of thyroid-related outcomes.

FUNDING

None.

Plant-based dietary patterns and the risk of dementia: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Plant-based dietary patterns are increasingly popular in western countries and are supported by many governments and health organisations for their potential beneficial role in the prevention of chronic diseases. Yet, the potential role of plant-based dietary patterns in the development of dementia remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between plant-based dietary patterns and the risk of dementia.

METHODS

Dietary intake was measured at baseline in 9,543 dementia-free participants (mean age 64 years, birth years 1897-1960, 58% women) of the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study, using food frequency questionnaires. Based on these questionnaires, we calculated an overall plant-based dietary index (PDI), healthy PDI (hPDI) and unhealthy PDI (uPDI), with higher scores reflecting higher consumption of (any, healthy and unhealthy, respectively) plant-based foods and lower consumption of animal-based foods. We analysed the association of the PDIs with incident dementia using Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 14.5 years, 1,472 participants developed dementia. Overall, the PDIs were not associated with the risk of dementia (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] per 10-point increase: 0.99 [0.91-1.08] for PDI, 0.93 [0.86-1.01] for hPDI, 1.02 [0.94-1.10] for uPDI). However, among men and APOE ε4 carriers, a higher hPDI was linearly associated with a lower risk of dementia (0.86 [0.75-0.99] and 0.83 [0.73-0.95], respectively), while this association was U-shaped among APOE ε4 non-carriers (P value for non-linearity = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We found no strong evidence for an overall association between plant-based eating and the risk of dementia. Our findings in stratified analyses warranted further investigation.

Dietary nitrate intake in relation to the risk of dementia and imaging markers of vascular brain health: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Nitric oxide is a free radical that can be produced from dietary nitrate and positively affects cardiovascular health. With cardiovascular health playing an important role in the etiology of dementia, we hypothesized a link between dietary nitrate intake and the risk of dementia.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to find the association of total, vegetable, and nonvegetable dietary nitrate intake with the risk of dementia and imaging markers of vascular brain health, such as total brain volume, global cerebral perfusion, white matter hyperintensity volume, microbleeds, and lacunar infarcts.

METHODS

Between 1990 and 2009, dietary intake was assessed using food-frequency questionnaires in 9543 dementia-free participants (mean age, 64 y; 58% female) from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study. Participants were followed up for incidence dementia until January 2020. We used Cox models to determine the association between dietary nitrate intake and incident dementia. Using linear mixed models and logistic regression models, we assessed the association of dietary nitrate intake with changes in imaging markers across 3 consecutive examination rounds (mean interval between images 4.6 y).

RESULTS

Participants median dietary nitrate consumption was 85 mg/d (interquartile range, 55 mg/d), derived on average for 81% from vegetable sources. During a mean follow-up of 14.5 y, 1472 participants developed dementia. A higher intake of total and vegetable dietary nitrate was associated with a lower risk of dementia per 50-mg/d increase [hazard ratio (HR): 0.92; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.87, 0.98; and HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.97, respectively] but not with changes in neuroimaging markers. No association between nonvegetable dietary nitrate intake and the risk of dementia (HR: 1.15; 95% CI: 0.64, 2.07) or changes in neuroimaging markers were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher dietary nitrate intake from vegetable sources was associated with a lower risk of dementia. We found no evidence that this association was driven by vascular brain health.

Patient perspectives on telemedicine during the COVID-19 pandemic: a mixed-methods community-based study

BACKGROUND

Detailed community-based perspectives on patient experiences with telemedicine are currently lacking, yet essential to assess clinical applicability of telemedicine during and beyond pandemics, alike COVID-19. The aim of this study was to expose patient perspectives on virtual compared to in-person consultations, including determinants of these preferences.

METHODS

We invited 5864 participants of the population-based Rotterdam Study to fill in a validated questionnaire using both close-ended and free-text questions. The questionnaire was sent on 30 July 2020, following a period of lockdowns and closures of non-essential workplaces. It assessed preferences for physician contact, healthcare utilisation, socioeconomic factors, and overall health. Those who experienced at least one virtual consultation (telephone or video call) between March 2020 and the beginning of July 2020 were asked whether those consultations were more, equally or less pleasant than in-person consultations, and to detail their experiences through free-text comments. These narrative data were examined using thematic analysis.

RESULTS

4514 participants completed the questionnaire (response rate 77.0%, 58.7% women, mean age 70.8 ± 10.5 years). 1103 participants (24.4%) reported having had experience with virtual consultations. Half of these participants considered virtual consultations less pleasant than in-person consultations (N = 556; 50.4%), while 11.5% found it more pleasant. In total, we coded free-text comments of 752 participants. Prominent themes behind patient preferences for virtual or in-person consultations were lack of nonverbal communication, lack of physical examination, consultation scheduling, personal circumstances, and the presence of somatic and/or language barriers.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the experiences of a large elderly patient population, we showed that preference for virtual or in-person consultations is dependent on personal and situational variety, and their interplay. Healthcare providers should consider patients' complex care needs and evaluate the potential added value of nonverbal communication and physical examination before scheduling a virtual consultation.

Risk of recurrent stroke in Rotterdam between 1990 and 2020: a population-based cohort study

Background

After an initial stroke, current clinical practice is aimed at preventing recurrent stroke. Thus far, population-based estimates on the risk of recurrent stroke remain scarce. Here we describe the risk of recurrent stroke in a population-based cohort study.

Methods

We included Rotterdam Study participants who developed a first-ever incident stroke during follow-up between 1990 until 2020. During further follow-up, these participants were monitored for the occurrence of a recurrent stroke. We determined stroke subtypes based on clinical and imaging information. We calculated ten-year overall and sex-specific cumulative incidences of first recurrent stroke. To reflect changing secondary preventive strategies employed in recent decades, we then calculated the risk of recurrent stroke within ten-year epochs based on first-ever stroke date (1990-2000, 2000-2010 and 2010-2020).

Findings

In total, 1701 participants (mean age 80.3 years, 59.8% women) from 14,163 community-living individuals suffered a first stroke between 1990 and 2020. Of these strokes, 1111 (65.3%) were ischaemic, 141 (8.3%) haemorrhagic, and 449 (26.4%) unspecified. During 6585.3 person-years of follow-up, 331 (19.5%) suffered a recurrent stroke, of which 178 (53.8%) were ischaemic, 34 (10.3%) haemorrhagic and 119 (36.0%) unspecified. Median time between first and recurrent stroke was 1.8 (interquartile range 0.5-4.6) years. Overall ten-year recurrence risk following first-ever stroke was 18.0% (95% CI 16.2%-19.8%), 19.3% (16.3%-22.3%) in men and 17.1% (14.8%-19.4%) in women. Recurrent stroke risk declined over time, with a ten-year risk of 21.4% (17.9%-24.9%) between 1990 and 2000 and 11.0% (8.3%-13.8%) between 2010 and 2020.

Interpretation

In this population-based study, almost one in five people with first-ever stroke suffered a recurrence within ten years of the initial stroke. Furthermore, recurrence risk declined between 2010 and 2020.

Funding

Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development, EU's Horizon 2020 research programme and the Erasmus Medical Centre MRACE grant.

Cross-Sectional Validation of a Novel Computed Tomography-Based Carotid Mean Calcium Density Measurement

Background The purpose of this study was to validate a technique for measuring mean calcium density and to determine associations of cardiovascular risk factors with carotid calcium density. Methods and Results We performed a cross-sectional study in a random sample of 100 stroke-free participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study. The mean calcium density of the combined left and right carotid bifurcations was quantified with a threshold of 130 Hounsfield Units (HU) using a novel density technique. To validate the methodology, carotid calcium volumes acquired using the technique in the current study were compared with measurements computed using dedicated clinical software (semiautomatic technique based on a threshold of ≥130 HU). Next, we investigated the associations of participant demographics, total calcium volume, and known cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, obesity, and smoking status) with the newly derived mean carotid calcium density measurement using linear regression analyses. Calcium volumes obtained with the 2 methods showed a high agreement (intraclass correlation coefficient=0.99, P<0.001), underlining the validity of the density technique. The total calcium volume was statistically significantly associated with the mean calcium density (cardiovascular risk factors adjusted model (B: 0.48 [95% CI, 0.30-0.66], P<0.001). We also found an association between hypercholesterolemia and mean calcium density (0.46 [0.09-0.83], P=0.017). No other significant associations were found between participant demographics or cardiovascular risk factors and mean carotid calcium density. Conclusions We demonstrated the feasibility of a carotid calcium density measurement technique. The data warrant a subsequent longitudinal study to determine the association between carotid calcium density and the risk of cerebrovascular events.

Hypertensive retinopathy and cardiovascular disease risk: 6 population-based cohorts meta-analysis

Background

The cardiovascular risk associated with different levels of hypertensive retinopathy, including mild, remains unclear. We performed an individual participant meta-analysis from 6 population-based cohort studies to determine the relationship of hypertensive retinopathy with incident cardiovascular outcomes.

Methods

We identified cohort studies that objectively assessed hypertensive retinopathy from photographs, documented incident cardiovascular outcomes, and were population-based. Six studies contributed data from 11,013 individuals at baseline with 5-13 years follow-up. Participants were recruited if they had hypertension and did not have confounding conditions such as diabetic retinopathy. Main outcome measures were incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke and a composite endpoint of cardiovascular disease (CHD or stroke). Pooled estimates of incident risk ratios (IRR) were obtained after adjusting for age, gender, systolic blood pressure, serum total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein and smoking.

Results

Among eligible participants with hypertension and without diabetes, there were 1018/9662 (10.5%) incident CHD events, 708/11,013 (6.4%) incident stroke events and 1317/9378 (14.0%) incident CVD events. Mild hypertensive retinopathy was associated with increased risk of CVD (IRR 1.13, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.27) and CHD (IRR 1.17, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.34) but not stroke; moderate hypertensive retinopathy was associated with increased risk of CVD (IRR 1.25 95% CI 1.02 to 1.53) but not stroke or CHD individually.

Conclusions

In persons with hypertension, both mild and moderate hypertensive retinopathy were associated with higher CVD risk.

NT-proBNP and changes in cognition and global brain structure: the Rotterdam Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between NT-proBNP and changes in cognition and global brain structure.

METHODS

In the Rotterdam Study, baseline NT-proBNP was assessed at baseline from 1997 to 2008. Between 1997-2016, participants without dementia or stroke at baseline (n= 9,566) had repeated cognitive tests (every 3-6 years) for global cognitive function, executive cognitive function, fine manual dexterity, and memory. Magnetic resonance imaging of the brain was performed repeatedly at re-examination visits between 2005 and 2015 for 2,607 participants to obtain brain volumes, focal brain lesions, and white matter microstructural integrity as measures of brain structure.

RESULTS

Among 9,566 participants (mean age 65.1±9.8 years), 5,444 (56.9%) were women, and repeated measures of cognition were performed during a median follow-up time of 5.5 years (range = 1.1-17.9), of whom 2,607 participants completed at least one brain imaging scans. Higher levels of NT-proBNP were associated with a faster decline of scores in the global cognitive function (P value = 0.003), and the Word-Fluency test (P value = 0.003), but were not related to a steeper deterioration in brain volumes, global fractional anisotropy and mean diffusivity, as indicators of white matter microstructural integrity, or focal brain lesions.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher baseline NT-proBNP levels were associated with a faster decline in cognition, however, no association with global brain structure was found.

Association of Bone Mineral Density and Dementia: The Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

& Objective: Low bone mineral density and dementia commonly co-occur in the elderly, with bone loss accelerating in dementia patients due to physical inactivity and poor nutrition. However, uncertainty persists over the extent to which bone loss already exists prior to the onset of dementia. Therefore, we investigated how dementia risk was affected by bone mineral density at various skeletal regions in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

In a prospective population-based cohort study, bone mineral density at the femoral neck, lumbar spine, and total body and the trabecular bone score were obtained using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in 3,651 participants free from dementia between 2002-2005. Persons at risk of dementia were followed up until 1 January 2020. For analyses of the association between bone mineral density at baseline and the risk of incident dementia, we used Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses, adjusting for age, sex, educational attainment, physical activity, smoking status, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol level, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, history of comorbidities (stroke and diabetes mellitus), and APOE genotype.

RESULTS

Among the 3,651 participants (median age 72.3±10.0 years, 57.9% women), 688 (18.8%) developed incident dementia during a median of 11.1 years, of whom 528 (76.7%) developed Alzheimer's disease. During the whole follow-up, participants with lower bone mineral density at the femoral neck (per SD decrease) were more likely to develop all-cause dementia (Hazard ratio [HR] _{total follow-up}: 1.12, 95% Confidential interval [CI]: 1.02-1.23) and Alzheimer's disease (HR _{total follow-up}: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02-1.28). Within the first ten years following baseline, the risk of dementia was greatest for groups with the lowest tertile of bone mineral density (femoral neck bone mineral density, HR_0-10years 2.03; 95% CI, 1.39-2.96; total body bone mineral density, HR_0-10years 1.42; 95% CI, 1.01-2.02; trabecular bone score, HR_0-10years 1.59; 95% CI, 1.11-2.28).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, participants with low femoral neck and total body bone mineral density and low trabecular bone score were more likely to develop dementia. Further studies should focus on the predictive ability of bone mineral density for dementia.

Validity of stroke severity assessment using medical records in a population-based cohort

OBJECTIVES

Stroke severity is an important prognostic indicator of morbidity and mortality, but often not recorded outside of specialised stroke centres. We aimed to develop a scoring rule and validate standardised assessment of the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) from medical records.

METHODS

We developed a standardised assessment of the NIHSS from medical records. Four trained raters independently assessed the charts of 100 patients with first-ever stroke, randomly selected from the population-based Rotterdam Study cohort. Interrater agreement was determined using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and Fleiss' kappa for major versus minor stroke. We validated the scoring method against 29 prospective, clinical NIHSS ratings, using Kendall's tau and Cohen's kappa.

RESULTS

Of 100 included patients with stroke (mean age 80 years, 62% women), 71 (71%) were admitted to hospital and 9 (9%) were seen in outpatient clinic, whereas 20 (20%) were treated exclusively by their general practitioner or nursing home physician. Interrater agreement for retrospective, chart-based NIHSS ratings was excellent when assessed continuously (ICC: 0.90), and for minor versus major stroke (for NIHSS>3: κ=0.79, NIHSS>5: κ=0.78). Interrater agreement was good both for hospital-based and out-of-hospital settings (ICC: 0.97 and 0.75 respectively). Overall, assessment from medical records was in excellent agreement with prospective NIHSS ratings (τ=0.83; NIHSS>3: κ=0.93, and NIHSS>5: κ=0.93). However, for severe stroke (NIHSS>10) retrospective assessment tended to underestimate severity by 1-3 points on the NIHSS, which was accompanied by a somewhat lower interrater agreement for those more severe cases (NIHSS>10: κ=0.62).

CONCLUSIONS

Assessment of stroke severity according to the NIHSS on the basis of medical records is feasible and reliable in population-based cohorts of patients with stroke. These findings facilitate more individualised risk estimates in observational studies that lack prospective ascertainment of stroke severity.

Chronic Cough-Related Differences in Brain Morphometry in Adults: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Individuals with cough hypersensitivity have increased central neural responses to tussive stimuli, which may result in maladaptive morphometric changes in the central cough processing systems.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Are the volumes of the brain regions implicated in cough hypersensitivity different in adults with chronic cough compared with adults without chronic cough?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Between 2009 and 2014, participants in the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort, underwent brain MRI and were interviewed for chronic cough, which was defined as daily coughing for at least 3 months. Regional brain volumes were quantified with the use of parcellation software. Based on literature review, we identified and studied seven brain regions that previously had been associated with altered functional brain activity in chronic cough. The relationship between chronic cough and regional brain volumes was investigated with the use of multivariable regression models.

RESULTS

Chronic cough was prevalent in 9.6% (No. = 349) of the 3,620 study participants (mean age, 68.5 ± 9.0 years; 54.6% women). Participants with chronic cough had significantly smaller anterior cingulate cortex volume than participants without chronic cough (mean difference, -126.16 mm³; 95% CI, -245.67 to -6.66; P = .039). Except for anterior cingulate cortex, there were no significant difference in the volume of other brain regions based on chronic cough status. The volume difference in the anterior cingulate cortex was more pronounced in the left hemisphere (mean difference, -88.11 mm³; 95% CI, -165.16 to -11.06; P = .025) and in men (mean difference, -242.58 mm³; 95% CI, -428.60 to -56.55; P = .011).

INTERPRETATION

Individuals with chronic cough have a smaller volume of the anterior cingulate cortex, which is a brain region involved in cough suppression.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Netherlands National Trial Registry (NTR; www.trialregister.nl) and the World Health Organization's International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP; www.who.int/ictrp/network/primary/en/) under the joint catalogue number NTR6831.

The Association of Serum Immunoglobulins with Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: the Rotterdam Study

PURPOSE

Inflammation is implicated in cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the association of total serum immunoglobulin (Ig) A, G, and M with CVD across the whole spectrum of atherosclerosis in community-dwelling elderly is unknown.

METHODS

This study was embedded in the Rotterdam Study, an ongoing population-based cohort study. We performed Cox regression for the associations of Igs with incident atherosclerotic CVD (ACVD; composite of myocardial infarction, revascularization, and stroke), cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality, and multinomial logistic regression for the association between Igs and coronary artery calcification (CAC) scores. We adjusted for age, sex, lifestyle, and cardiovascular risk factors and presented results per standard deviation increase.

RESULTS

We included 8767 participants (median age 62.2 years, 57% women). Higher IgG was associated with an increased ACVD risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.01-1.15). Higher IgA and IgG were associated with an increased cardiovascular mortality risk, mainly within Ig reference ranges, and with an increased all-cause mortality risk, although less marked. Higher IgA was associated with severe atherosclerosis, i.e., CAC score > 400 (odds ratio: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.03-1.62), while for higher IgG a trend was seen with severe atherosclerosis.

CONCLUSION

In middle-aged and older individuals from the general population, higher serum IgA and IgG, but not IgM, are associated with CVD, cardiovascular mortality, and severe atherosclerosis, particularly within Ig reference ranges and independent of serum C-reactive protein. Future studies are needed to elucidate potential causality of the reported associations.

Air Pollution and the Risk of Dementia: The Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

Exposure to air pollution has been suggested to increase the risk of dementia, but studies on this link often lack a detailed screening for dementia and data on important confounders.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association of exposure to air pollution with the risk of dementia and cognitive decline in the population-based Rotterdam Study.

METHODS

Between 2009 and 2010, we determined air pollutant concentrations at participants residential addresses using land use regression models. Determined air pollutants include particulate matter <10μm (PM10) and <2.5μm (PM2.5), a proxy of elemental carbon (PM2.5 absorbance), nitrogen oxide (NOx), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). As the individual air pollutant levels were highly correlated (r = 0.71-0.98), we computed a general marker covering all air pollutants based on a principal component analysis. We followed participants up for dementia until 2018 and determined cognitive performance during two subsequent examination rounds. Using Cox and linear mixed models, we related air pollution to dementia and cognitive decline.

RESULTS

Of the 7,511 non-demented participants at baseline, 545 developed dementia during a median follow-up of 7 years. The general marker of all air pollutants was not associated with the risk of dementia (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.04 [0.95-1.15]), neither were the individual air pollutants. Also, the general marker of all air pollutants or the individual air pollutant levels were not associated with cognitive decline.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we found no clear evidence for an association between exposure to air pollution and the risk of dementia or cognitive decline.

Determinants of Perivascular Spaces in the General Population: A Pooled Cohort Analysis of Individual Participant Data

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Perivascular spaces (PVS) are emerging markers of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD), but research on their determinants has been hampered by conflicting results from small single studies using heterogeneous rating methods. In this study, we therefore aimed to identify determinants of PVS burden in a pooled analysis of multiple cohort studies using 1 harmonized PVS rating method.

METHODS

Individuals from 10 population-based cohort studies with adult participants from the Uniform Neuro-Imaging of Virchow-Robin Spaces Enlargement consortium and the UK Biobank were included. On MRI scans, we counted PVS in 4 brain regions (mesencephalon, hippocampus, basal ganglia, and centrum semiovale) according to a uniform and validated rating protocol, both manually and automated using a deep learning algorithm. As potential determinants, we considered demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, APOE genotypes, and other imaging markers of CSVD. Negative binomial regression models were used to examine the association between these determinants and PVS counts.

RESULTS

In total, 39,976 individuals were included (age range 20-96 years). The average count of PVS in the 4 regions increased from the age 20 years (0-1 PVS) to 90 years (2-7 PVS). Men had more mesencephalic PVS (OR [95% CI] = 1.13 [1.08-1.18] compared with women), but less hippocampal PVS (0.82 [0.81-0.83]). Higher blood pressure, particularly diastolic pressure, was associated with more PVS in all regions (ORs between 1.04-1.05). Hippocampal PVS showed higher counts with higher high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (1.02 [1.01-1.02]), glucose levels (1.02 [1.01-1.03]), and APOE ε4-alleles (1.02 [1.01-1.04]). Furthermore, white matter hyperintensity volume and presence of lacunes were associated with PVS in multiple regions, but most strongly with the basal ganglia (1.13 [1.12-1.14] and 1.10 [1.09-1.12], respectively).

DISCUSSION

Various factors are associated with the burden of PVS, in part regionally specific, which points toward a multifactorial origin beyond what can be expected from PVS-related risk factor profiles. This study highlights the power of collaborative efforts in population neuroimaging research.

Effects of Eligibility Criteria on Patient Selection and Treatment Implications from 10 Multidomain Dementia Prevention Trials: A Population-Based Study

INTRODUCTION

Dementia prevention trials have so far shown little benefit of multidomain interventions against cognitive decline. Recruitment strategies in these trials often centre around dementia risk or cardiovascular risk profile, but it is uncertain whether this leads to inclusion of individuals who may benefit most from the intervention. We determined the effects of eligibility criteria on the recruitment of potential trial participants in the general population.

METHODS

In a systematic search until January 1, 2022, we identified all published and ongoing large (≥500 participants), phase-3 multidomain trials for the prevention of cognitive decline or dementia. We applied trial eligibility criteria to 5,381 participants of the population-based Rotterdam Study (mean age: 72 years, 58% women), to compare participant characteristics, predicted risk of cardiovascular disease, and dementia risk, between trial eligible and ineligible persons.

RESULTS

We identified 10 trials, of which 5 had been published (DR's EXTRA, FINGER, preDIVA, MAPT, and HATICE) and 5 are ongoing (US-POINTER, MIND-CHINA, MYB, AgeWell.de, and J-Mint). Among all Rotterdam Study participants, eligibility across published trials ranged from 48% for MAPT to 87% for preDIVA, in line with original trial reports. Variability in eligibility was wider for ongoing trials, from 1% for US-POINTER to over 94% for MYB trial. Over 70% of trial eligible individuals are recommended preventive intervention in routine care based on their cardiovascular risk, similar for lipid-lowering (71%) and blood pressure-lowering treatment (73%). Ten-year risks of dementia were similar for eligible compared to ineligible individuals (12 vs. 11%).

CONCLUSION

Multidomain dementia prevention trials fail to preferentially include those at the highest risk of dementia and mostly include individuals who qualify for interventions already on the basis of cardiovascular prevention guidelines. These findings call for better targeted enrolment of individuals for whom trial results can improve clinical decision-making.

The association of serum immunoglobulins with cognition and dementia: the Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

Chronic inflammation is involved in the pathophysiology of dementia, but the association of serum immunoglobulins with dementia has been understudied and longitudinal data are currently lacking. We investigated the association of serum immunoglobulin (Ig) A, G, and M with cognition and dementia in a population-based cohort.

METHODS

This study was embedded in the Rotterdam Study. Participants with information on serum immunoglobulin levels, measured between 1997 and 2009, were followed for incident dementia until 2016. Assessment of cognitive function and dementia was performed according to validated tests and clinical criteria respectively. We studied the association between serum immunoglobulins with prevalent and incident dementia using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses respectively. We performed linear regression analyses to quantify the cross-sectional association of serum immunoglobulins with global cognition as well as separate cognitive tests. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, lifestyle, and cardiovascular factors.

RESULTS

We included 8768 participants (median age of 62.2 years, 57% women, median follow-up 10.7 years). Overall, none of the immunoglobulins was associated with prevalent or incident dementia. Higher IgG levels were associated with lower scores of global cognition (adjusted standardized mean difference - 0.04; 95% confidence interval:- 0.06; - 0.02) and separate cognitive tests.

CONCLUSION

In middle-aged and older individuals from the general population, serum Igs were not associated with prevalent or incident dementia, which may imply that serum Igs are not involved in the pathophysiology of dementia. Although higher IgG levels were associated with worse cognitive function, studies with longitudinal data should exclude reverse causation.

Migraine and the risk of stroke in a middle-aged and elderly population: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

It has been suggested that patients with migraine have a higher risk of stroke. Despite considerable research on this topic in younger populations, a clear answer is still lacking for older individuals. We studied the association between migraine and the risk of stroke in a middle-aged and elderly population.

METHODS

Within the ongoing prospective population-based Rotterdam Study, the presence of migraine was assessed using a validated questionnaire in a structured interview between 2006 and 2011, which formed the baseline. The association between migraine and the risk of stroke was analyzed using Cox proportional-hazards models with adjustments for age, sex, and cardiometabolic risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 6925 (mean age 65.7 ± 11.3 years, 57.8% females) stroke-free participants were included. At baseline, 1030 (14.9%) participants had lifetime history of migraine. During a median follow-up of 6.2 years, 195 participants developed a stroke (163 ischemic stroke). Analyzing the association between migraine and stroke, we found a hazard ratio of 1.44 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.96-2.15. The results were similar for the ischemic stroke (HR 1.50, CI: 0.97-2.32).

CONCLUSION

Our data suggested an association between migraine and the risk of stroke in a middle-aged and elderly population, but this was not statistically significant.

Exome sequencing identifies rare damaging variants in ATP8B4 and ABCA1 as risk factors for Alzheimer's disease

Alzheimer's disease (AD), the leading cause of dementia, has an estimated heritability of approximately 70%1. The genetic component of AD has been mainly assessed using genome-wide association studies, which do not capture the risk contributed by rare variants2. Here, we compared the gene-based burden of rare damaging variants in exome sequencing data from 32,558 individuals-16,036 AD cases and 16,522 controls. Next to variants in TREM2, SORL1 and ABCA7, we observed a significant association of rare, predicted damaging variants in ATP8B4 and ABCA1 with AD risk, and a suggestive signal in ADAM10. Additionally, the rare-variant burden in RIN3, CLU, ZCWPW1 and ACE highlighted these genes as potential drivers of respective AD-genome-wide association study loci. Variants associated with the strongest effect on AD risk, in particular loss-of-function variants, are enriched in early-onset AD cases. Our results provide additional evidence for a major role for amyloid-β precursor protein processing, amyloid-β aggregation, lipid metabolism and microglial function in AD.

Adiposity in the older population and the risk of dementia: The Rotterdam Study

INTRODUCTION

We determined associations of total and regional adiposity with incident dementia among older adults.

METHODS

Within the population-based Rotterdam Study, adiposity was measured as total, android, and gynoid fat mass using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry in 3408 men and 4563 women, every 3 to 6 years between 2002 and 2016. Incident dementia was recorded until 2020.

RESULTS

Higher adiposity measures were associated with a decreased risk of dementia in both sexes. After excluding the first 5 years of follow-up, only the association of gynoid fat among women remained significant (hazard ratio 0.85 [95% confidence interval 0.75-0.97] per standard deviation increase). No major differences in trajectories of adiposity measures were observed between dementia cases and dementia-free controls.

DISCUSSION

Higher total and regional fat mass related to a decreased risk of dementia. These results may be explained by reverse causality, although a protective effect of adiposity cannot be excluded.

HIGHLIGHTS

Total and regional adiposity were assessed using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans in 7971 older adults. All adiposity measures were associated with a decreased risk of dementia. The results suggest a beneficial effect of gynoid fat on the risk of dementia in women. Reverse causation and competing risk may explain these inverse associations.

Sex-specific patterns and lifetime risk of multimorbidity in the general population: a 23-year prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity poses a major challenge for care coordination. However, data on what non-communicable diseases lead to multimorbidity, and whether the lifetime risk differs between men and women are lacking. We determined sex-specific differences in multimorbidity patterns and estimated sex-specific lifetime risk of multimorbidity in the general population.

METHODS

We followed 6,094 participants from the Rotterdam Study aged 45 years and older for the occurrence of ten diseases (cancer, coronary heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, depression, diabetes, dementia, asthma, heart failure, parkinsonism). We visualised participants' trajectories from a single disease to multimorbidity and the most frequent combinations of diseases. We calculated sex-specific lifetime risk of multimorbidity, considering multimorbidity involving only somatic diseases (1) affecting the same organ system, (2) affecting different organ systems, and (3) multimorbidity involving depression.

RESULTS

Over the follow-up period (1993-2016, median years of follow-up 9.2), we observed 6334 disease events. Of the study population, 10.3% had three or more diseases, and 27.9% had two or more diseases. The most frequent pair of co-occurring diseases among men was COPD and cancer (12.5% of participants with multimorbidity), the most frequent pair of diseases among women was depression and dementia (14.9%). The lifetime risk of multimorbidity was similar among men (66.0%, 95% CI: 63.2-68.8%) and women (65.1%, 95% CI: 62.5-67.7%), yet the risk of multimorbidity with depression was higher for women (30.9%, 95% CI: 28.4-33.5%, vs. 17.5%, 95% CI: 15.2-20.1%). The risk of multimorbidity with two diseases affecting the same organ is relatively low for both sexes (4.2% (95% CI: 3.2-5.5%) for men and 4.5% (95% CI: 3.5-5.7%) for women).

CONCLUSIONS

Two thirds of people over 45 will develop multimorbidity in their remaining lifetime, with women at nearly double the risk of multimorbidity involving depression than men. These findings call for programmes of integrated care to consider sex-specific differences to ensure men and women are served equally.

Sex-specific added value of cardiac biomarkers for 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction

AIMS

To evaluate the sex-specific predictive value of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and creatine kinase myocardial band (CK-MB) for 10-year risk prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF) and composite outcomes.

METHODS

Five-thousand four-hundred thirty individuals (mean age 68.6 years, 59.9% women) from the Rotterdam Study, with biomarker measurements between 1997 and 2001, were included. Participants were followed until 2015. We fitted 'basic' models using traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Improvements in c-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for events and non-events were calculated.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 14 years, 747 (13.8%), 563 (10.4%), and 664 (12.2%) participants were diagnosed with CHD, stroke, and HF, respectively. NT-proBNP improved the discriminative performance of the 'basic' model for all endpoints (c-statistic improvements ranging from 0.007 to 0.050) and provided significant event-NRI for HF (14.3% in women; 10.7% in men) and for stroke in men (9.3%). The addition of hs-cTnT increased c-statistic for CHD in women by 0.029 (95% CI, 0.011-0.047) and for HF in men by 0.034 (95% CI, 0.014-0.053), and provided significant event-NRI for CHD (10.3%) and HF (7.8%) in women, and for stroke (8.4%) in men. The added predictive value of CK-MB was limited.

CONCLUSION

NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT provided added predictive value for various cardiovascular outcomes above traditional risk factors. Sex differences were observed in the predictive performance of these biomarkers.

Association of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Fibrosis With Incident Dementia and Cognition: The Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) might affect brain health via the so-called liver-brain axis. Whether this results in an increased risk for dementia remains unclear. Therefore, we investigated the association of NAFLD and fibrosis with incident dementia and cognition among the elderly.

METHODS

We performed longitudinal and cross-sectional analyses within the Rotterdam Study, an ongoing prospective cohort. Participants visiting between 1997 and 2002 with available fatty liver index (FLI) (set 1) or participants visiting between 2009 and 2014 with abdominal ultrasound (set 2) and liver stiffness (set 3) were included. Exclusion criteria were secondary causes for steatosis, prevalent dementia, and missing alcohol data. NAFLD was defined as FLI ≥60 or steatosis on ultrasound and fibrosis as liver stiffness ≥8.0 kPa. Dementia was defined according to the DSM-III-R. Associations between NAFLD, fibrosis, or liver stiffness and incident dementia were quantified using Cox regression. Finally, the association between NAFLD and cognitive function was assessed cross-sectionally.

RESULTS

Set 1 included 3,975 participants (age 70 years, follow-up 15.5 years), set 2 4,577 participants (age 69.9 years, follow-up 5.7 years), and set 3 3,300 participants (age 67.6 years, follow-up 5.6 years). NAFLD and fibrosis were consistently not associated with an increased risk for dementia (NAFLD based on ultrasound, hazard rate [HR] 0.84, 95% CI 0.61-1.16; NAFLD based on FLI, HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.69-1.22; fibrosis, HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.58-1.99) in fully adjusted models. Of interest, NAFLD was associated with a significantly decreased risk for incident dementia until 5 years after FLI assessment (HR 0.48; 95% CI 0.24-0.94). Moreover, NAFLD was not associated with worse cognitive function, covering several domains.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD and fibrosis were not associated with an increased risk for incident dementia, nor was NAFLD associated with impaired cognitive function. In contrast, NAFLD was even protective in the first 5 years of follow-up, hinting toward NAFLD regression before dementia onset.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

Clinical Trial Number: NTR6831.

Biological aging for risk prediction of first-ever intracerebral hemorrhage and cerebral infarction in advanced age

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

successful interventions to prevent cerebrovascular disease and stroke require early identification of persons at risk before clinical manifestation of disease. The literature remains to be sparse on accessible plasma-based biomarkers for monitoring brain health and cerebrovascular disease in advanced age. We assessed the predictive value of biological age (BA) as an early indicator for cerebrovascular disease and risk of first-ever intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and cerebral infarction (CI) in advanced age and compared these relationships with chronological age (CA) and commonly used biomarkers including tau and Aβ40 and Aβ42.

METHODS

The study included Individuals who consented for blood draw and follow-up. We computed biological age using structural equation modelling. The criteria for the biomarkers included their representability of the various body systems; their availability in the Rotterdam study and their pre-hypothesized reflection of aging in other populations. The algorithm integrates biomarkers that represent six body systems involved in overall cerebrovascular health including metabolic function, cardiac function, lung function, kidney function, liver function, immunity, and inflammation. Time to event analysis was conducted using Cox-regression models. Prediction analysis was conducted using Harrel's C and Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

The sample included a total of 1699 individuals at baseline followed up over a median of 11 years. During a period of 15, 780 and 16, 172 person-years, a total of 17 first-ever intracerebral hemorrhage and 83 cerebral infarction cases occurred. In time-to-event analysis, BA showed higher magnitude of associations with ICH compared to CA (HR_BA-ICH: 2.30, 95% CI: 1.20, 4.30; HR_CA-ICH: 1.40, 95% CI: 0.76, 2.53) and higher precision with CI (HR_BA-CI: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.01,1.75; HR_CA-CI:1.90, 95% CI: 1.48, 2.66). BA outperformed CA for prediction of ICH (AUC: 0.68 vs 0.53; Harrel's C: 0.72 vs 0.53) and for CI (AUC:0.63 vs 0.62; Harrel's C: 0.68 vs 0.67).

CONCLUSIONS

Biological aging (delta biological aging) based on integrated physiology biomarkers provides a novel tool for monitoring and identification of persons at highest risk of cerebrovascular disease in advanced age with varying degrees of precision and magnitude for stroke subtypes. These variations are likely related to differences in pathophysiology of intracerebral hemorrhage and cerebral infarction. Wider validation and applicability require extension of these findings in other comparable samples and in clinical settings.

Thoracic Aortic Diameter and Cardiovascular Events and Mortality among Women and Men

Background Thoracic aortic diameter may have a role as a biomarker for major adverse cardiovascular events. Purpose To evaluate the sex-specific association of the diameters of the ascending (AA) and descending (DA) thoracic aorta with risk of stroke, coronary heart disease, heart failure, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality. Materials and Methods Study participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study who underwent multidetector-row CT between 2003 and 2006 were evaluated. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted to evaluate the associations of AA and DA diameters indexed and not indexed for body mass index (BMI) with cardiovascular events and mortality for men and women. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated per 1-unit greater SD of aortic diameters. Results A total of 2178 participants (mean age, 69 years; 55% women) were included. Mean follow-up was 9 years. Each 0.23-mm/(kg/m²) larger BMI-indexed AA diameter was associated with a 33% higher cardiovascular mortality risk in women (HR, 1.33; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.73). Each 0.16-mm/(kg/m²) larger BMI-indexed DA diameter was associated with a 38% higher risk of stroke (HR, 1.38; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.78) and with a 46% greater risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.46; 95% CI: 1.10, 1.94) in women. Larger BMI-indexed AA and DA diameters were associated with greater risk of all-cause mortality in both sexes. Conclusion Larger ascending and descending thoracic aortic diameters indexed by body mass index were associated with greater risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in women and men. Clinical trial registration no. NTR6831 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Williams in this issue.

Case-Control Studies in Neurosurgery: the Issue of Effect Estimates

OBJECTIVE

Clinical research questions are commonly answered using a case-control design. The decision to use this design is usually justified due to low cost, feasibility, and ease of execution. However, the case-control design presents challenges in execution, selection of cases/controls, and interpretation of effect measures (odds ratios, among others). In this paper, we clarify for a neurosurgical audience the design and appropriate effect size measures obtained from case-control studies.

METHODS

A narrative review was conducted of published literature on the topic. The future implementation of such studies was discussed and highlighted with several examples from neurosurgical practice.

RESULTS

In a case-control design, participants are selected for a study based on their outcome status. Some participants have the outcome of interest (cases), whereas others do not (controls). Controls can be selected from a variety of sources, such as the general population, relatives/friends, or hospital patients without the disease under investigation. The most important criterion is that these controls come from the same study base as cases. Furthermore, it is essential to realize that measures of association obtained from a case-control study depend on the sampling strategy of the controls and, as such, have equivalent counterparts available from cohort studies. We delineate traditional case-control, case-cohort, and incidence-density sampled case-control studies and their applicability to common conditions encountered in daily neurosurgical practice (e.g. glioblastoma, aneurysms, and epilepsy).

CONCLUSIONS

Neurosurgeons must understand the types of case-control studies and their associated effect measures to properly conduct research and incorporate research findings into clinical practice.

Carotid Plaque Composition and Prediction of Incident Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND

Whether information on carotid plaque composition contributes to prediction of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains to be investigated. We determined the sex-specific added value of carotid plaque components for predicting incident ASCVD events, beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

METHODS

Between 2007 and 2012, participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study with asymptomatic carotid wall thickening >2.5 mm on ultrasonography were invited for carotid magnetic resonance imaging. Among 1349 participants (mean age: 72 years [SD±9.3], 49.5% women) without cardiovascular disease, we assessed plaque thickness, luminal stenosis (>30%), presence of intraplaque hemorrhage, lipid-rich necrotic core, and calcification. Follow-up for ASCVD was complete until January 1, 2015. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we fitted sex-specific prediction models including traditional cardiovascular risk factors (base model). We extended the base model by single and simultaneous additions of plaque characteristics and calculated improvement of model performance by the C statistics.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.8 years, 60 men and 48 women developed ASCVD. In women, presence of intraplaque hemorrhage was associated with incident ASCVD (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.37 [95% CI, 1.81-6.25]). The C statistic (95% CI) improved from 0.73 (0.66-0.79) to 0.76 (0.70-0.83) after single addition of intraplaque hemorrhage to the base model. Simultaneous addition of plaque components, plaque thickness, and stenosis did not change the results. In men, only carotid stenosis was statistically significantly associated with incident ASCVD (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.00-3.08]); yet, the association diminished after the addition of other plaque characteristics, and no improvements were observed in C statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

Presence of intraplaque hemorrhage contributes to the prediction of incident ASCVD in women, beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors, other plaque components, plaque size, and stenosis.

Plasma Amyloid Beta, Total-Tau and Neurofilament Light Chain Levels and the Risk of Stroke: A Prospective Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To unravel whether Alzheimer's disease-related pathology or neurodegeneration play a role in stroke etiology, we determined the effect of plasma levels amyloid β (Aβ), total-tau and neurofilament light chain (NfL) on risk of stroke and its subtypes.

METHODS

Between 2002 and 2005, we measured plasma Aβ40, Aβ42, total-tau, and NfL in 4,661 stroke-free participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study. We used Cox proportional-hazards models to determine the association between these markers with incident stroke for the entire cohort, per stroke subtype, and by median age, sex, Apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carriership, and education.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 10.8 ± 3.3 years, 379 participants suffered a first-ever stroke. Log2 total-tau at baseline showed a non-linear association with risk of any stroke and ischemic stroke: compared to the first (lowest) quartile the adjusted hazard ratio for the highest quartile total-tau was 1.68, 95% CI: 1.18-2.40 for any stroke. Log2 NfL was associated with an increased risk of any stroke (HR per SD increase 1.27, 95% CI: 1.12-1.44), ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke (HR 1.56, 95% CI: 1.14-2.12). Log2 Aβ40, Aβ42, and Aβ42/40 ratio levels were not associated with stroke risk.Discussion Participants with higher total-tau and NfL at baseline had a higher risk of stroke and several stroke subtypes. These findings support the role of markers of neurodegeneration in the etiology of stroke.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that higher plasma levels of total-tau and NfL are associated with an increased risk of subsequent stroke.

Thyroid Status and Brain Circulation: The Rotterdam Study

CONTEXT

Whether thyroid dysfunction is related to altered brain circulation in the general population remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We determined the association of thyroid hormones with different markers of brain circulation within community-dwelling elderly people.

METHODS

This was a population-based study of 3 subcohorts of the Rotterdam Study, starting in 1989, 2000, and 2006. A total of 5142 participants (mean age, 63.8 years; 55.4% women), underwent venipuncture to measure serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4). Between 2005 and 2015, all participants underwent phase-contrast brain magnetic resonance imaging to assess global brain perfusion (mL of blood flow/100 mL of brain/minute). Arteriolar retinal calibers were assessed using digitized images of stereoscopic fundus color transparencies in 3105 participants as markers of microcirculation. We investigated associations of TSH, FT4 with brain circulation measures using (non)linear regression models.

RESULTS

FT4 (in pmol/L) levels had an inverse U-shaped association with global brain perfusion, such that high and low levels of FT4 were associated with lower global brain perfusion than middle levels of FT4. The difference in global brain perfusion between high FT4 levels (25 pmol/L) and middle FT4 levels (FT4 = 15 pmol/L; P nonlinearity = .002) was up to -2.44 mL (95% CI -4.31; -0.56). Higher and lower levels of FT4, compared with middle FT4 levels, were associated with arteriolar retinal vessels (mean difference up to -2.46 µm, 95% CI -4.98; 0.05 for lower FT4).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that thyroid dysfunction could lead to brain diseases such as stroke or dementia through suboptimal brain circulation that is potentially modifiable.

Risk factors, neuroimaging correlates and prognosis of the motoric cognitive risk syndrome: a population-based comparison with mild cognitive impairment

Background and purpose

This study was undertaken to compare risk factors, neuroimaging characteristics and prognosis between two clinical prodromes of dementia, namely, the motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCRS) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI).

Methods

Between 2009 and 2015, dementia‐free participants of the population‐based Rotterdam Study were classified with a dementia prodrome if they had subjective cognitive complaints and scored >1 SD below the population mean of gait speed (MCRS) or >1.5 SD below the population mean of cognitive test scores (MCI). Using multinomial logistic regression models, we determined cross‐sectional associations of risk factors and structural neuroimaging markers with MCRS and MCI, followed by subdistribution hazard models, to determine risk of incident dementia until 2016.

Results

Of 3025 included participants (mean age = 70.4 years, 54.7% women), 231 had MCRS (7.6%), 132 had MCI (4.4%), and 62 (2.0%) fulfilled criteria for both. Although many risk factors were shared, a higher body mass index predisposed to MCRS, whereas male sex and hypercholesterolemia were associated with MCI only. Gray matter volumes, hippocampal volumes, white matter hyperintensities, and structural white matter integrity were worse in both MCRS and MCI. During a mean follow‐up of 3.9 years, 71 individuals developed dementia and 200 died. Five‐year cumulative risk of dementia was 7.0% (2.5%–11.5%) for individuals with MCRS, versus 13.3% (5.8%–20.8%) with MCI and only 2.3% (1.5%–3.1%) in unaffected individuals.

Conclusions

MCRS is associated with imaging markers of neurodegeneration and risk of dementia, even in the absence of MCI, highlighting the potential of motor function assessment in early risk stratification for dementia.

Genetic Determinants of Serum Calcification Propensity and Cardiovascular Outcomes in the General Population

Background:

Serum calciprotein particle maturation time (T50), a measure of vascular calcification propensity, is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We aimed to identify genetic loci associated with serum T50 and study their association with cardiovascular disease and mortality.

Methods:

We performed a genome-wide association study of serum T50 in 2,739 individuals of European descent participating in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, followed by a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to examine causal effects of T50 on cardiovascular outcomes. Finally, we examined associations between T50 loci and cardiovascular outcomes in 8,566 community-dwelling participants in the Rotterdam study.

Results:

We identified three independent genome-wide significant single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) in the AHSG gene encoding fetuin-A: rs4917 (p = 1.72 × 10−101), rs2077119 (p = 3.34 × 10−18), and rs9870756 (p = 3.10 × 10−8), together explaining 18.3% of variation in serum T50. MR did not demonstrate a causal effect of T50 on cardiovascular outcomes in the general population. Patient-level analyses revealed that the minor allele of rs9870756, which explained 9.1% of variation in T50, was associated with a primary composite endpoint of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular disease [odds ratio (95% CI) 1.14 (1.01–1.28)] and all-cause mortality alone [1.14 (1.00–1.31)]. The other variants were not associated with clinical outcomes. In patients with type 2 diabetes or chronic kidney disease, the association between rs9870756 and the primary composite endpoint was stronger [OR 1.40 (1.06–1.84), relative excess risk due to interaction 0.54 (0.01–1.08)].

Conclusions:

We identified three SNPs in the AHSG gene that explained 18.3% of variability in serum T50 levels. Only one SNP was associated with cardiovascular outcomes, particularly in individuals with type 2 diabetes or chronic kidney disease.

MIND diet and the risk of dementia: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Adherence to the Mediterranean-DASH Intervention for Neurodegenerative Delay (MIND) diet has been linked to a decreased risk of dementia, but reverse causality and residual confounding by lifestyle may partly account for this link. We aimed to address these issues by studying the associations over cumulative time periods, which may provide insight into possible reverse causality, and by using both historical and more contemporary dietary data as this could give insight into confounding since historical data may be less affected by lifestyle factors.

METHODS

In the population-based Rotterdam Study, dietary intake was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires in 5375 participants between 1989 and 1993 (baseline I) and in a largely non-overlapping sample in 2861 participants between 2009 and 2013 (baseline II). We calculated the MIND diet score and studied its association with the risk of all-cause dementia, using Cox models. Incident all-cause dementia was recorded until 2018.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 15.6 years from baseline I, 1188 participants developed dementia. A higher MIND diet score at baseline I was associated with a lower risk of dementia over the first 7 years of follow-up (hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] per standard deviation (SD) increase, 0.85 [0.74, 0.98]), but associations disappeared over longer follow-up intervals. The mean follow-up from baseline II was 5.9 years during which 248 participants developed dementia. A higher MIND diet score at baseline II was associated with a lower risk of dementia over every follow-up interval, but associations slightly attenuated over time (HR [95% CI] for 7 years follow-up per SD increase, 0.76 [0.66, 0.87]). The MIND diet score at baseline II was more strongly associated with the risk of dementia than the MIND diet score at baseline I.

CONCLUSION

Better adherence to the MIND diet is associated with a decreased risk of dementia within the first years of follow-up, but this may in part be explained by reverse causality and residual confounding by lifestyle. Further research is needed to unravel to which extent the MIND diet may affect the risk of dementia.

Peripheral Immune Cell Numbers and C-Reactive Protein in Parkinson's Disease: Results from a Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

The immune system is known to be involved in Parkinson's disease (PD) pathogenesis, but the temporal relationship between peripheral immune responses and PD remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We determined the association between peripheral immune cell numbers, C-reactive protein (CRP), and prevalent as well as incident PD.

METHODS

This study was embedded in the population-based setting of the Rotterdam Study. We repeatedly measured peripheral immune cell numbers (differential leukocyte count and platelet count, granulocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio [GLR], platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio [PLR], and adapted systemic immune-inflammation index [adapted SII]) and CRP between 1990 and 2016. Participants were continuously followed-up for PD until 2018. We estimated the association of the markers with prevalent and incident PD using logistic regression models and joint models, respectively. Models were adjusted for age, sex, smoking, body mass index, and medication use. Odds ratios (OR) and hazard ratios (HR) are shown per doubling of the marker.

RESULTS

A total of 12,642 participants were included in this study. The mean age (standard deviation) was 65.1 (9.8) years and 57.5%were women. Participants with a higher lymphocyte count were less likely to have prevalent PD (adjusted OR: 0.34, 95%CI 0.17-0.68). Participants with a higher GLR, PLR, and adapted SII were more likely to have prevalent PD, but these effects were explained by the lymphocyte count. The peripheral immune cell numbers and CRP were not significantly associated with the risk of incident PD.

CONCLUSION

We found participants with a higher lymphocyte count to be less likely to have prevalent PD, but we did not find an association between peripheral immune cell numbers nor CRP and the risk of incident PD.

Changes in the Diagnosis of Stroke and Cardiovascular Conditions in Primary Care During First 2 COVID-19 Waves in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Although there is evidence of disruption in acute cerebrovascular and cardiovascular care during the COVID-19 pandemic, its downstream effect in primary care is less clear. We investigated how the pandemic affected utilization of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular care in general practices (GPs) and determined changes in GP-recorded diagnoses of selected cerebrovascular and cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

From electronic health records of 166,929 primary care patients aged 30 or over within the Rotterdam region, the Netherlands, we extracted the number of consultations related to cerebrovascular and cardiovascular care, and first diagnoses of selected cerebrovascular and cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, lipid disorders), conditions and events (angina, atrial fibrillation, TIA, myocardial infarction, stroke). We quantified changes in those outcomes during the first COVID-19 wave (March-May 2020) and thereafter (June-December 2020) by comparing them to the same period in 2016-2019. We also estimated the number of potentially missed diagnoses for each outcome.

RESULTS

The number of GP consultations related to cerebrovascular and cardiovascular care declined by 38% (0.62, 95% CI: 0.56-0.68) during the first wave, as compared to expected counts based on pre-pandemic levels. Substantial declines in the number of new diagnoses were observed for cerebrovascular events: 37% for TIA (0.63, 0.41-0.96), and 29% for stroke (0.71, 0.59 to 0.84), while no significant changes were observed for cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction (0.91, 0.74-1.14), angina (0.77, 0.48-1.25)). The counts across individual diagnoses recovered following June 2020, but the number of GP consultations related to cerebrovascular and cardiovascular care remained lower than expected also throughout the June-December period (0.93, 0.88-0.98).

DISCUSSION

While new diagnoses of acute cardiovascular events remained stable during the COVID19 pandemic, diagnoses of cerebrovascular events declined substantially compared to pre-pandemic levels, possibly due to incorrect perception of risk by patients. These findings emphasize the need to improve symptom recognition of cerebrovascular events among the general public and to encourage urgent presentation despite any physical distancing measures.

Morphological Subtypes of Intracranial Internal Carotid Artery Arteriosclerosis and the Risk of Stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Accumulating evidence highlights the existence of distinct morphological subtypes of intracranial carotid arteriosclerosis. So far, little is known on the prevalence of these subtypes and subsequent stroke risk in the general population. We determined the prevalence of morphological subtypes of intracranial arteriosclerosis and assessed the risk of stroke associated with these subtypes.

METHODS

Between 2003 and 2006, 2391 stroke-free participants (mean age 69.6, 51.7% women) from the population-based Rotterdam Study underwent noncontrast computed tomography to visualize calcification in the intracranial carotid arteries as a proxy for intracranial arteriosclerosis. Calcification morphology was evaluated according to a validated grading scale and categorized into intimal, internal elastic lamina (IEL), or mixed subtype. Follow-up for stroke was complete until January 1, 2016. We used multivariable Cox regression to assess associations of each subtype with incident stroke.

RESULTS

The prevalence of calcification was 82% of which 39% had the intimal subtype, 48% IEL subtype, and 13% a mixed subtype. During a median follow-up of 10.4 years, 155 participants had a stroke. All 3 subtypes were associated with a higher risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI] for intimal: 2.11 [1.07-4.13], IEL: 2.66 [1.39-5.11], and mixed subtype 2.57 [1.18-5.61]). The association of the IEL subtype with stroke was strongest among older participants. The association of the intimal subtype with stroke was noticeably stronger in women than in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Calcification of the IEL was the most prevalent subtype of intracranial arteriosclerosis. All 3 subtypes were associated with an increased risk of stroke, with noticeable age and sex-specific differences.