Sex-specific added value of cardiac biomarkers for 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction

AIMS

To evaluate the sex-specific predictive value of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and creatine kinase myocardial band (CK-MB) for 10-year risk prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF) and composite outcomes.

METHODS

Five-thousand four-hundred thirty individuals (mean age 68.6 years, 59.9% women) from the Rotterdam Study, with biomarker measurements between 1997 and 2001, were included. Participants were followed until 2015. We fitted 'basic' models using traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Improvements in c-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for events and non-events were calculated.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 14 years, 747 (13.8%), 563 (10.4%), and 664 (12.2%) participants were diagnosed with CHD, stroke, and HF, respectively. NT-proBNP improved the discriminative performance of the 'basic' model for all endpoints (c-statistic improvements ranging from 0.007 to 0.050) and provided significant event-NRI for HF (14.3% in women; 10.7% in men) and for stroke in men (9.3%). The addition of hs-cTnT increased c-statistic for CHD in women by 0.029 (95% CI, 0.011-0.047) and for HF in men by 0.034 (95% CI, 0.014-0.053), and provided significant event-NRI for CHD (10.3%) and HF (7.8%) in women, and for stroke (8.4%) in men. The added predictive value of CK-MB was limited.

CONCLUSION

NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT provided added predictive value for various cardiovascular outcomes above traditional risk factors. Sex differences were observed in the predictive performance of these biomarkers.

Thyroid Status and Brain Circulation: The Rotterdam Study

CONTEXT

Whether thyroid dysfunction is related to altered brain circulation in the general population remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We determined the association of thyroid hormones with different markers of brain circulation within community-dwelling elderly people.

METHODS

This was a population-based study of 3 subcohorts of the Rotterdam Study, starting in 1989, 2000, and 2006. A total of 5142 participants (mean age, 63.8 years; 55.4% women), underwent venipuncture to measure serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4). Between 2005 and 2015, all participants underwent phase-contrast brain magnetic resonance imaging to assess global brain perfusion (mL of blood flow/100 mL of brain/minute). Arteriolar retinal calibers were assessed using digitized images of stereoscopic fundus color transparencies in 3105 participants as markers of microcirculation. We investigated associations of TSH, FT4 with brain circulation measures using (non)linear regression models.

RESULTS

FT4 (in pmol/L) levels had an inverse U-shaped association with global brain perfusion, such that high and low levels of FT4 were associated with lower global brain perfusion than middle levels of FT4. The difference in global brain perfusion between high FT4 levels (25 pmol/L) and middle FT4 levels (FT4 = 15 pmol/L; P nonlinearity = .002) was up to -2.44 mL (95% CI -4.31; -0.56). Higher and lower levels of FT4, compared with middle FT4 levels, were associated with arteriolar retinal vessels (mean difference up to -2.46 µm, 95% CI -4.98; 0.05 for lower FT4).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that thyroid dysfunction could lead to brain diseases such as stroke or dementia through suboptimal brain circulation that is potentially modifiable.

Associations of Cytomegalovirus Infection With All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Multiple Observational Cohort Studies of Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Whether latent cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection in older adults has any substantial health consequences is unclear. Here, we sought associations between CMV-seropositivity and IgG titer with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in 5 longitudinal cohorts.

METHODS

Leiden Longevity Study, Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk, Longitudinal Study of Aging Danish Twins, and Leiden 85-plus Study were assessed at median (2.8-11.4 years) follow-up . Cox regression and random effects meta-analysis were used to estimate mortality risk dependent on CMV serostatus and/or IgG antibody titer, in quartiles after adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

CMV-seropositivity was seen in 47%-79% of 10 122 white community-dwelling adults aged 59-93 years. Of these, 3519 had died on follow-up (579 from cardiovascular disease). CMV seropositivity was not associated with all-cause (hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], .97-1.14) or cardiovascular mortality (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, .83-1.13). Subjects in the highest CMV IgG quartile group had increased all-cause mortality relative to CMV-seronegatives (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.04-1.29) but this association lost significance after adjustment for confounders (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, .99-1.29). The lack of increased mortality risk was confirmed in subanalyses.

CONCLUSIONS

CMV infection is not associated with all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in white community-dwelling older adults.