Higher New York Heart Association classes and increased mortality and hospitalization in patients with heart failure and preserved left ventricular function

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation in Heart Failure

Atrial fibrillation and heart failure are common cardiovascular conditions that are intricately linked to each other, with a significant impact on morbidity, mortality, and quality of life. These two conditions can create a vicious pathophysiologic milieu associated with neurohormonal changes, elevated cardiac filling pressure, myocardial remodeling, systemic and regional inflammation, fibrosis, and diminished myocardial contractility. It is well known that cardiomyopathy can cause atrial fibrillation and vice-versa, but often it is difficult to sort which came first. Unfortunately, the disease burden will only continue to rise with an aging population, and understanding the epidemiology of the disease and the interplay of these two conditions is vital to improved patient care.

Non-emergent Conditions of the Ankle, Hindfoot, and Midfoot in Elderly Patients Are as Mobility Limiting as Congestive Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Mobility limitations are well linked to increased morbidity and mortality. Older patients with chronic pathologies of the foot and ankle can suffer from significant mobility limitations; however, the magnitude of limitation experienced by this cohort is not well characterized. Conversely, the effects of congestive heart failure (CHF) on patient mobility are routinely assessed via the New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification. New York Heart Association classification is determined by a patient's physical activity limitation and is strongly correlated to functional status. We hypothesized that non-emergent conditions of the foot and ankle would be as mobility limiting as CHF.

METHODS

Life-Space Mobility Assessments (LSAs) were prospectively collected from orthopaedic patients at their preoperative visits and from CHF patients at a cardiology clinic. Patients over the age of 50 years were included in this study. Congestive heart failure patients NYHA class II or greater were included. The non-emergent foot and ankle cohort included Achilles tendonitis, ankle joint cartilage defects, ankle arthritis, subtalar arthritis, and midfoot arthritis. Patient demographics and LSA scores were analyzed using Mann-Whitney U and chi-squared tests.

RESULTS

A total of 96 elderly, non-emergent foot and ankle operative patients and 45 CHF patients met inclusion criteria. All medical comorbidities, except smoking status, were significantly more prevalent in the CHF cohort. No statistical difference was observed between CHF and preoperative foot and ankle LSA scores (56.1 vs 62.4, P = .320). Life-Space Mobility Assessment scores in the foot and ankle cohort were significantly improved relative to CHF patients, at 6-month and 1-year postoperative visits (P = .028, P < .0001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Non-emergent ankle, hindfoot, and midfoot pathology is associated with similar mobility limitation to that of NYHA class II and III CHF. Older patients undergoing elective foot and ankle procedures exceeded the mobility of CHF patients at 6 months post-operation, and the mobility gains persisted at 1-year post-operation.

LEVELS OF EVIDENCE

Level II: Prospective cohort study.

Modified Delphi expert elicitation of the clinical and economic burden of obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in England and Northern Ireland

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the resource use of patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), stratified by New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, in the English and Northern Irish healthcare systems via expert elicitation.

DESIGN

Modified Delphi framework methodology.

SETTING

UK HCM secondary care centres (n=24).

PARTICIPANTS

Cardiologists who actively treated patients with HCM were eligible, of whom 10 from English and Northern Irish centres participated. Recruitment of participants to the study was limited to one expert per site.

METHODS

Responses were collected by electronic quantitative survey. Following the discussion of survey results in a virtual panel, aggregated responses from a final survey were analysed and stratified by NYHA class. Data were analysed without (base case) and with (scenario) interventional cardiologists who conduct septal reduction therapies (SRTs).

RESULTS

Based on expert opinion, as NYHA class increased, so did the mean±95% CI number of primary care consultations (classes I-IV: 0.64±0.35; 1.07±0.33; 3.29±1.02; 6.00±2.46, respectively) per patient per annum. This was also observed across all types of secondary care consultations, such as mean±95% CI number of cardiovascular-related outpatient visits (classes I-IV: 0.69±0.26; 0.88±0.24; 2.13±0.78; 3.25±1.42, respectively) and inpatient admissions (classes I-IV: 0.01±0.01; 0.04±0.07; 0.94±0.39; 1.90±0.65, respectively) per annum. Patients in NYHA class III were most likely to undergo SRT in their lifetime (mean±95% CI proportion of patients:17.25%±7.19% or 26.30%±13.61% including interventionalists). Across NYHA, experts estimated that septal myectomy was more costly than alcohol septal ablation (mean±95% CI: £15 675±£10 556 vs £6750±£5900, respectively). Prescription of beta-blockers was higher than calcium channel blockers, irrespective of NYHA class.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of obstructive HCM is associated with a substantial clinical and economic burden in England and Northern Ireland; the burden of the disease increasing with NYHA class is driven by the need for intensive disease management, hospitalisations and the potential burden of undertaking SRTs.

Influencing and prognostic factors of end-stage hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

AIMS

End-stage hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (ES-HCM) is a disease with severe complications and a poor prognosis. This study aimed to explore the influencing and prognostic factors of ES-HCM.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1282 patients with HCM who were hospitalized for the first time at Fujian Medical University Union Hospital between 1 January 2013 and 30 September 2021 were recorded. The patients with HCM and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% were defined as having ES-HCM, and a control group (LVEF ≥ 50%) was generated from the collected medical records of HCM. The patients were matched in a ratio of 4:1 based on age and sex. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the influencing factors of ES-HCM. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to analyse the clinical outcomes of ES-HCM patients. A total of 250 inpatients with HCM were enrolled in the study; 50 patients had ES-HCM, and 200 had HCM with LVEF ≥ 50%. The mean age of the patients at enrolment was 62.5 ± 10.3 years, and 215 patients (215/250, 86.0%) were male. The median follow-up time of the patients was 2.8 (1.4-5.4) years. The incidence of all-cause death and cardiovascular death in patients with ES-HCM was higher than those in patients with HCM and LVEF ≥ 50% (22/50 [44.0%] vs. 13/200 [6.5%]; 12/50 [24.0%] vs. 4/200 [2.0%], all P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the influencing factors associated with ES-HCM included age at first symptom onset (odds ratio [OR] = 0.95, 95% CI [0.90, 1.00], P = 0.042), New York Heart Association (NYHA) class (OR = 7.73, 95% CI [2.93, 20.41], P < 0.001), heart rate (OR = 1.07, 95% CI [1.02, 1.12], P = 0.003), QRS duration (OR = 1.03, 95% CI [1.00, 1.05], P = 0.020), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) (OR = 1.15, 95% CI [1.04, 1.28], P = 0.006), left atrial anteroposterior diameter (LAD) (OR = 1.13, 95% CI [1.03, 1.24], P = 0.012), and maximum left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) (OR = 0.80, 95% CI [0.68, 0.93], P = 0.005). Among the 50 patients with ES-HCM, NYHA class (P < 0.001) and heart rate (P = 0.017) were each associated with a higher likelihood and earlier occurrence of heart transplantation or all-cause mortality in univariate analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The influencing factors for ES-HCM included the age at first symptom onset, NYHA class, heart rate, QRS duration, LVEDD, LAD, and MLVWT. Both NYHA class and heart rate were related to the prognosis of ES-HCM.

Efficacy and Safety of Cardioband in Patients with Tricuspid Regurgitation: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Single-Arm Trials and Observational Studies

Background/Objectives: The incidence and prevalence of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) are increasing worldwide. "Traditional" drug therapy with diuretics is often ineffective and the identification of new strategies, including non-pharmacological ones, is an urgent need. The aim of this study was to summarize the results on the efficacy and safety of Cardioband, one of the few approved transcatheter tricuspid valve repair systems, in patients with TR. Methods: Three databases (Medline, Scopus, and CENTRAL) were searched to identify clinical trials and observational studies on the efficacy (primary outcome) and safety (secondary outcome) of Cardioband. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed with R software (version 4.3.3). Survival and freedom from heart failure (HF) hospitalization were estimated with the method of reconstructing individual patient data from Kaplan-Meier curves (IPDfromKM). Results: Eleven studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Cardioband significantly reduced annulus diameter (-9.31 mm [95% Confidence Interval, CI: -11.47; -7.15]), vena contracta (-6.41 mm [95% CI: -8.34; -4.49]), and effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA) (-0.50 cm2 [95% CI: -0.72; -0.28]) in patients with TR. Cardioband reduced the severity of TR and the extent of heart failure in 91% [95% CI: 85; 97] and 63% [95% CI: 52-75] of patients, respectively. Finally, Cardioband implantation was associated with prolonged survival and freedom from HF hospitalization (80.1% and 57.8% at 24 months, respectively). Conclusions: This study demonstrates that Cardioband implantation leads to cardiac remodeling and mechanical improvements, reduces the severity of TR, and improves quality of life. Therefore, Cardioband is an effective option for the non-pharmacological treatment of TR.

Predictive value of quality of life as measured by KCCQ in heart failure patients: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Studies on the predictive ability of disease-specific health quality of life (QoL) in patients with heart failure (HF) have produced conflicting results. To address these gaps in knowledge, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the predictive value of QoL measured by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) in patients with HF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched PubMed, and Embase databases to identify studies investigating the predictive utility of baseline QoL measured by the KCCQ in HF patients. The outcome measures were all-cause mortality and HF hospitalisation. The predictive value of QoL was expressed by pooling the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the bottom versus the top category of KCCQ score or for per 10-point KCCQ score decrease.

RESULTS

Twelve studies reporting on 11 articles with a total of 34,927 HF patients were identified. Comparison of the bottom with the top KCCQ score, the pooled adjusted HR was 2.34 (95% CI 2.10-2.60) and 2.53 (95% CI 2.23-2.88) for all-cause mortality and HF hospitalisation, respectively. Additionally, a 10-point decrease in KCCQ score was associated with a 12% (95% CI 7%-16%) increased risk of all-cause mortality and a 14% (95% CI 13%-15%) increased risk of HF hospitalisation.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor health-related QoL as determined by the lower KCCQ score, was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalisation in patients with HF. Measuring disease-specific health-related QoL using the KCCQ score may provide valuable predictive information for HF patients.

Prognostic value of quality of life and functional status in patients with heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Functional health status is increasingly being recognized as a viable endpoint in heart failure (HF) trials. We sought to assess its prognostic impact and relationship with traditional clinical outcomes in patients with HF.

METHODS

MEDLINE and Cochrane central were searched up to January 2021 for post hoc analyses of trials or observational studies that assessed independent association between baseline health/functional status, and mortality and hospitalization in patients with HF across the range of left ventricular ejection fractions to evaluate the prognostic ability of NYHA class [II, III, IV], KCCQ, MLHFQ, and 6MWD. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals were pooled.

RESULTS

Twenty-two studies were included. Relative to NYHA I, NYHA class II (HR 1.54 [1.16-2.04]; p < 0.01), NYHA class III (HR 2.08 [1.57-2.77]; p < 0.01), and NYHA class IV (HR 2.53 [1.25-5.12]; p = 0.01) were independently associated with increased risk of mortality. 6MWD (per 10 m) was associated with decreased mortality (HR 0.98 [0.98-0.99]; p < 0.01). A 5-point increase in KCCQ-OSS (HR 0.94 [0.91-0.96]; p < 0.01) was associated with decreased mortality. A high MLHFQ score (> 45) was significantly associated with increased mortality (HR 1.30 [1.14-1.47]; p < 0.01). NHYA class, 6MWD (per 10 m), KCCQ-OSS, and MLHFQ all significantly associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HF.

CONCLUSION

Identifying such patients with poor health status using functional health assessment can offer a complementary assessment of disease burden and trajectory which carries a strong prognostic value.

An Innovative Patient-Centred Approach to Heart Failure Management: The Best Care Heart Failure Integrated Disease-Management Program

Background

The management of heart failure (HF) is challenging because of the complexities in recommended therapies. Integrated disease management (IDM) is an effective model, promoting guideline-directed care, but the impact of IDM in the community setting requires further evaluation.

Methods

A retrospective evaluation of community-based IDM. Patient characteristics were described, and outcomes using a pre- and post-intervention design were HF-related health-service use, quality of life, and concordance with guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT).

Results

715 patients were treated in the program (2016 to 2023), 219 in a community specialist-care clinic, and 496 in 25 primary-care clinics. The overall cohort was predominantly male (60%), with a mean age of 73.5 years (± 10.7), and 60% with HF with reduced ejection fraction. In patients with ≥ 6 months of follow-up (n = 267), pre vs post annualized rates of HF-related acute health-service use decreased from 36.3 to 8.5 hospitalizations per 100 patients per year, P < 0.0001, from 31.8 to 13.1 emergency department visits per 100 patients per year, P < 0.0001, and from 152.8 to 110.0 urgent physician visits per 100 patients per year, P = 0.0001. The level of concordance with GDMT improved; the number of patients receiving triple therapy and quadruple therapy increased by 10.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.4%,17.8%) and 19.6% (95% CI, 12.0%, 27.3%), respectively. Within these groups, optimal dosing was achieved in 42.5% (95% CI, 32.0%, 53.6%) and 35.0% (95% CI, 23.1%, 48.4%), respectively. In patients with at least one follow-up visit (n = 286), > 50% experienced a clinically relevant improvement in their quality of life.

Conclusions

A community-based IDM program for HF, may reduce HF-related acute health-service use, improve quality of life and level of concordance with GDMT. These encouraging preliminary outcomes from a real-world program evaluation require confirmation in a randomized controlled trial.

Translation and Linguistic Validation of the Multidimensional Dyspnea Profile into Hindi in a Palliative Care Setting

Objectives

The Multidimensional Dyspnea Profile (MDP) comprehensively addresses dyspnea, incorporating both perceptual and affective components, and has proven effective in assessing breathlessness among patients with chronic lung conditions. Despite its validation in High-Income Countries, its applicability in Low/Middle-Income countries remains uncertain. Additionally, the MDP has not been translated into Hindi or validated in an Indian context. Our aim was to translate the MDP into Hindi and linguistically validate it for use in an Indian palliative care setting, with a high rate of illiteracy.

Materials and Methods

The comprehensibility and acceptability of the translated MDP in Hindi were assessed through in-depth interviews with seven Hindi-speaking patients with cancer. The study focused on tailoring the MDP in a socioeconomically disadvantaged population characterized by a high rate of illiteracy. The translation process involved forward and backward translations by independent certified translators, with input from in-country Indian palliative medicine physicians and healthcare personnel.

Results

The Hindi version of the MDP was adapted for use in an Indian context and in a population with a high rate of illiteracy, aligning with international guidelines for Patient-Reported Outcomes demonstrating relevance in a specific cultural and healthcare context. The MDP increased healthcare staff 's understanding of underlying causes of dyspnea in a socioeconomically disadvantaged population enrolled into palliative care and with a high rate of illiteracy.

Conclusion

The study underscores the importance of linguistic validation and cultural adaptation in ensuring the applicability of Patient-Reported Outcomes measures in diverse healthcare settings. Because the MDP can be perceived as time-consuming, selected parts of the instrument may be used as needed.

Minimal clinically important differences in patient-reported outcomes after coronary artery bypass surgery in the arterial revascularization trial

OBJECTIVES

This article identifies minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) in quality of life (QoL) measures among patients who had coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and were enrolled in the arterial revascularization trial (ART).

METHODS AND RESULTS

The European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) and the Short Form Health Survey 36-Item (SF-36) physical component (PC) and mental component (MC) scores were recorded at baseline, 5 years and 10 years in ART. The MCIDs were calculated as changes in QoL scores anchored to 1-class improvement in the New York Heart Association functional class and Canadian Cardiovascular Society scale at 5 years. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate associations between MCIDs and mortality. Patient cohorts were examined for the SF-36 PC (N = 2671), SF-36 MC (N = 2815) and EQ-5D (N = 2943) measures, respectively. All QoL scores significantly improved after CABG compared to baseline. When anchored to the New York Heart Association, the MCID at 5 years was 17 (95% confidence interval: 17-20) for SF-36 PC, 14 (14-17) for the SF-36 MC and 0.12 (0.12-0.15) for EQ-5D. Using the Canadian Cardiovascular Society scale as an anchor, the MCID at 5 years was 15 (15-17) for the SF-36 PC, 12 (13-15) for the SF-36 MC and 0.12 (0.11-0.14) for the EQ-5D. The MCIDs for SF-36 PC and EQ-5D at 5 years were associated with a lower risk of mortality at the 10-year follow-up point after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

MCIDs for CABG patients have been identified. These thresholds may have direct clinical applications in monitoring patients during follow-up and in designing new trials that include QoL as a primary study outcome.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN46552265.

Characterizing advanced heart failure risk and hemodynamic phenotypes using interpretable machine learning

BACKGROUND

Although previous risk models exist for advanced heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), few integrate invasive hemodynamics or support missing data. This study developed and validated a heart failure (HF) hemodynamic risk and phenotyping score for HFrEF, using Machine Learning (ML).

METHODS

Prior to modeling, patients in training and validation HF cohorts were assigned to 1 of 5 risk categories based on the composite endpoint of death, left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation or transplantation (DeLvTx), and rehospitalization in 6 months of follow-up using unsupervised clustering. The goal of our novel interpretable ML modeling approach, which is robust to missing data, was to predict this risk category (1, 2, 3, 4, or 5) using either invasive hemodynamics alone or a rich and inclusive feature set that included noninvasive hemodynamics (all features). The models were trained using the ESCAPE trial and validated using 4 advanced HF patient cohorts collected from previous trials, then compared with traditional ML models. Prediction accuracy for each of these 5 categories was determined separately for each risk category to generate 5 areas under the curve (AUCs, or C-statistics) for belonging to risk category 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5, respectively.

RESULTS

Across all outcomes, our models performed well for predicting the risk category for each patient. Accuracies of 5 separate models predicting a patient's risk category ranged from 0.896 +/- 0.074 to 0.969 +/- 0.081 for the invasive hemodynamics feature set and 0.858 +/- 0.067 to 0.997 +/- 0.070 for the all features feature set.

CONCLUSION

Novel interpretable ML models predicted risk categories with a high degree of accuracy. This approach offers a new paradigm for risk stratification that differs from prediction of a binary outcome. Prospective clinical evaluation of this approach is indicated to determine utility for selecting the best treatment approach for patients based on risk and prognosis.

Insights into the Novel Cardiac Biomarker in Acute Heart Failure: Mybp-C

(1) Background: Given its high cardiac specificity and its capacity to directly assess the cardiac function, cardiac myosin-binding protein (MyBP-C) is a promising biomarker in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). The aim of our study was to investigate the clinical utility of this novel marker for diagnosis and short-term prognosis in subjects with AHF. (2) Methods: We measured plasma levels of MyBP-C at admission in 49 subjects (27 patients admitted with AHF and 22 controls). (3) Results: The plasma concentration of MyBP-C was significantly higher in patients with AHF compared to controls (54.88 vs. 0.01 ng/L, p < 0.001). For 30-day prognosis, MyBP-C showed significantly greater AUC (0.972, p < 0.001) than NT-proBNP (0.849, p = 0.001) and hs-TnI (0.714, p = 0.047). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, an elevated level of MyBP-C was the best independent predictor of 30-day mortality (OR = 1.08, p = 0.039) or combined death/recurrent 30-days rehospitalization (OR = 1.12, p = 0.014). (4) Conclusions: Our data show that circulating MyBP-C is a sensitive and cardiac-specific biomarker with potential utility for the accurate diagnosis and prognosis of AHF.

The Validity of Patient-Reported Outcome Measures of Quality of Life in Palliative Care: A Systematic Review

Importance: A recent systematic review and meta-analysis found that palliative care was not associated with improvement in quality of life (QOL) in terminal noncancer illness. Among potential reasons for a null effect, it is unclear if patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) measuring QOL were derived or validated among populations with advanced life-limiting illness (ALLI). Objective: To systematically review the derivation and validation of QOL PROMs from a recent meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCT) of palliative care interventions in people with terminal noncancer illness. Evidence Review: EMBASE, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO were searched from inception to January 8, 2023 for primary validation studies of QOL PROMs in populations with ALLI, defined as adults with a progressive terminal condition and an estimated median survival of less than or equal to one year. The primary outcome was the proportion of PROMs that were derived or validated in ≥1 ALLI population. Findings: Twenty-one unique studies of derivation (n = 13) and validation (n = 11, 3 studies evaluated both) provided data on 9657 participants (mean age 63 years, 50% female) across 15 unique QOL PROMs and subscales. Among studies of validation, 9 were in people with cancer (n = 2289, n = 5 PROMs), 1 in neurodegenerative disease (n = 23, n = 1 PROM), and 1 with mixed diseases (n = 248, n = 1 PROM). Across 15 QOL PROMs and subscales, 47% (n = 7) were derived or validated in an ALLI population. The majority of these seven PROMs were exclusively derived or validated among people with cancer (57%, n = 4). QOL PROMs such as Quality of Life at End of Life, EuroQoL-5 Dimension 5-level, and 36-item Short Form Survey demonstrated validity in more than one terminal noncancer illness. Conclusions: Most QOL PROMs that measured the effect of palliative care on QOL in RCTs were neither derived nor validated in an ALLI population. These findings raise questions about the inferences that palliative care does not improve QOL among people with terminal noncancer illness.

The 'Surprise question' in heart failure: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The Surprise Question (SQ) is a prognostic screening tool used to identify patients with limited life expectancy. We assessed the SQ's performance predicting 1-year mortality among patients in ambulatory heart failure (HF) clinics. We determined that the SQ's performance changes according to sex and other demographic (age) and clinical characteristics, mainly left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and the New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional classifications.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study in two HF clinics. To assess the performance of the SQ in predicting 1-year mortality, we calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios, and the positive and negative predictive values. To illustrate if the results of the SQ changes the probability that a patient dies within 1 year, we created Fagan's nomograms. We report the results from the overall sample and for subgroups according to sex, age, LVEF and NYHA functional class.

RESULTS

We observed that the SQ showed a sensitivity of 85% identifying ambulatory patients with HF who are in the last year of life. We determined that the SQ's performance predicting 1-year mortality was similar among women and men. The SQ performed better for patients aged under 70 years, for patients with reduced or mildly reduced ejection fraction, and for patients NYHA class III/IV.

CONCLUSIONS

We consider the tool an easy and fast first step to identify patients with HF who might benefit from an advance care planning discussion or a referral to palliative care due to limited life expectancy.

Impacts of systemic inflammation response index on the prognosis of patients with ischemic heart failure after percutaneous coronary intervention

Background

Atherosclerosis and cardiovascular diseases are significantly affected by low-grade chronic inflammation. As a new inflammatory marker, the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) has been demonstrated to be associated with several cardiovascular disease prognoses. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of SIRI in individuals having ischemic heart failure (IHF) following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods

This observational, retrospective cohort study was conducted at a single site. Finally, the research involved 1,963 individuals with IHF who underwent PCI, with a 36-month follow-up duration. Based on the SIRI quartiles, all patients were classified into four groups. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were the primary outcomes. Every element of the main endpoint appeared in the secondary endpoints: all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and any revascularization. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was conducted to assess the incidence of endpoints across the four groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis confirmed the independent impact of SIRI on both the primary and secondary endpoints. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to assess the nonlinear association between the SIRI and endpoints. Subgroup analysis was performed to confirm the implications of SIRI on MACE in the different subgroups.

Results

The main outcome was much more common in patients with a higher SIRI. The Kaplan-Meier curve was another tool that was used to confirm the favorable connection between SIRI and MACE. SIRI was individually connected to a higher chance of the main outcome according to multivariate analyses, whether or not SIRI was a constant [SIRI, per one-unit increase, hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.01-1.07, p = 0.003] or categorical variable [quartile of SIRI, the HR (95% CI) values for quartile 4 were 1.88 (1.47-2.42), p <0.001, with quartile 1 as a reference]. RCS demonstrated that the hazard of the primary and secondary endpoints generally increased as SIRI increased. A non-linear association of SIRI with the risk of MACE and any revascularization (Non-linear P <0.001) was observed. Subgroup analysis confirmed the increased risk of MACE with elevated SIRI in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III-IV (P for interaction = 0.005).

Conclusion

In patients with IHF undergoing PCI, increased SIRI was a risk factor for MACE independent of other factors. SIRI may represent a novel, promising, and low-grade inflammatory marker for the prognosis of patients with IHF undergoing PCI.

Non-pharmacologic autonomic neuromodulation for treatment of heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Treatment strategies that modulate autonomic tone through interventional and device-based therapies have been studied as an adjunct to pharmacological treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). The main objective of this study was to perform a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials which evaluated the efficacy of device-based autonomic modulation for treatment of HFrEF. All randomized-controlled trials testing autonomic neuromodulation device therapy in HFrEF were included in this trial-level analysis. Autonomic neuromodulation techniques included vagal nerve stimulation (VNS), baroreflex activation (BRA), spinal cord stimulator (SCS), and renal denervation (RD). The prespecified primary endpoints included mean change and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), NT pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and quality of life (QOL) measures including 6-minute hall walk distance (6-MHWD), and Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire (MLHFQ). New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class improvement was reported as odds ratios and 95% CI of improvement by at least 1 functional class. Eight studies were identified that included 1037 participants (2 VNS, 2 BRA, 1 SCS, and 3 RD trials). This included 6 open-label, 1 single-blind, and 1 sham-controlled, double-blind study. The mean age (±SD) was 61 (±9.3) years. The mean follow-up time was 7.9 months. Twenty percent of the total patients were female, and the mean BMI (±SD) was 29.86 (±4.12). Autonomic neuromodulation device therapy showed a statistically significant improvement in LVEF (4.02%; 95% CI 0.24,7.79), NT-proBNP (-219.80 pg/ml; 95% CI -386.56, -53.03), NYHA functional class (OR 2.32; 95% CI 1.76, 3.07), 6-MHWD (48.39 m; 95% CI 35.49, 61.30), and MLHFQ (-12.20; 95% CI -19.24, -5.16) compared to control. In patients with HFrEF, the use of autonomic neuromodulation device therapy is associated with improvement in LVEF, reduction in NT-proBNP, and improvement in patient-centered QOL outcomes in mostly small open-label trials. Large, double-blind, sham-controlled trials designed to detect differences in hard cardiovascular outcomes are needed before widespread use and adoption of autonomic neuromodulation device therapies in HFrEF.

Sense of Coherence as a Mediator Between Functional Status and Health-Related Quality of Life in Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Poor functional status relating to heart failure (HF) negatively affects health-related quality of life (HRQOL). Patients with HF, especially those with New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III or IV HF, often exhibit poor HRQOL because of physical limitations and HF-related symptoms. Although sense of coherence (SOC) has been reported to be a determinant of HRQOL, its role as a mediator between functional status and HRQOL remains unclear, and few studies have explored the prevalence of HF in patients in NYHA Classes I and II.

PURPOSE

This study was designed to investigate SOC as a mediator between different functional status classes and HRQOL in patients with HF.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted on patients with HF recruited from a hospital in northern Taiwan from April 2020 to September 2020. The Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire and a questionnaire on sociodemographic characteristics; functional classification in terms of NYHA Classes I, II, and III; and SOC were administered. The PROCESS v3.5 (by Andrew F. Hayes) macro was applied to analyze the effects, and Model 4 was used to examine the mediating role of SOC on the relationship between NYHA functional class and HRQOL.

RESULTS

Of the 295 participants, SOC was found to mediate the effects of functional status on HRQOL more significantly in patients in Class II than those in Class III but not more significantly in patients in Class I than those in Class III. A weaker mediating effect of SOC was noted on the relationship between functional status and HRQOL in patients with HF in NYHA Class II than those in Class III.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HF, poor functional status often reduces HRQOL significantly. SOC mediates the relationship between functional status and HRQOL more significantly in those in NYHA Class II than those in Class III. Nursing staff should work to increase patients' SOC by strengthening their coping capacity and improving their functional status to improve their HRQOL.

Prognostic value of signs and symptoms in heart failure patients using remote telemonitoring

INTRODUCTION

Heart failure is a serious burden on health care systems due to frequent hospital admissions. Early recognition of outpatients at risk for clinical deterioration could prevent hospitalization. Still, the role of signs and symptoms in monitoring heart failure patients is not clear. The heart failure coach is a web-based telemonitoring application consisting of a 9-item questionnaire assessment of heart failure signs and symptoms and developed to identify outpatients at risk for clinical deterioration. If deterioration was suspected, patients were contacted by a heart failure nurse for further evaluation.

METHODS

Heart failure coach questionnaires completed between 2015 and 2018 were collected from 287 patients, completing 18,176 questionnaires. Adverse events were defined as all-cause mortality, heart failure- or cardiac-related hospital admission or emergency cardiac care visits within 30 days after completion of each questionnaire. Multilevel logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the association between the heart failure coach questionnaire items and the odds of an adverse event.

RESULTS

No association between dyspnea and adverse events was observed (odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 0.79-1.30). Peripheral edema (odds ratio 2.21, 95% confidence interval 1.58-3.11), persistent chest pain (odds 2.06, 95% confidence interval 1.19-3.58), anxiety about heart failure (odds ratio 2.12, 95% confidence interval 1.44-3.13), and extensive struggle to perform daily activities (odds ratio 2.23, 95% confidence interval 1.38-3.62) were significantly associated with adverse outcome.

DISCUSSION

Regular assessment of more than the classical signs and symptoms may be helpful to identify heart failure patients at risk for clinical deterioration and should be an integrated part of heart failure telemonitoring programs.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of leadless cardiac resynchronization therapy

BACKGROUND

The Wireless Stimulation Endocardially for CRT (WiSE-CRT) system is a novel technology used to treat patients with dyssynchronous heart failure (HF) by providing leadless cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). Observational studies have demonstrated its safety and efficacy profile, however, the treatment cost-effectiveness has not previously been examined.

METHODS

A cost-effectiveness evaluation of the WiSE-CRT System was performed using a cohort-based economic model adopting a "proportion in state" structure. In addition to the primary analysis, scenario analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed to test for uncertainty in input parameters. Outcomes were quantified in terms of quality-adjusted life year (QALY) differences.

RESULTS

The primary analysis demonstrated that treatment with the WiSE-CRT system is likely to be cost-effective over a lifetime horizon at a QALY reimbursement threshold of £20 000, with a net monetary benefit (NMB) of £3781 per QALY. Cost-effectiveness declines at time horizons shorter than 10 years. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that average system battery life had the largest impact on potential cost-effectiveness.

CONCLUSION

Within the model limitations, these findings support the use of WiSE-CRT in indicated patients from an economic standpoint. However, improving battery technology should be prioritized to maximize cost-effectiveness in times when health services are under significant financial pressures.

Incremental Value of Right Ventricular Outflow Tract Diameter in Risk Assessment of Chronic Heart Failure Patients with Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators: Development of RVOTD-ICD Benefit Score in Real-World Setting

Background

Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) remains the basic reference for the prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD) patients, while right ventricular (RV) abnormalities have now been associated with SCD risk. A modified benefit assessment tool incorporating RV function parameters in consideration of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) insertion should be taken into account.

Methods

We enrolled 954 chronic heart failure (CHF) patients (age 58.8 ± 13.1 years; 79.0% male) with quantitative measurements of right ventricular outflow tract diameter (RVOTD) before ICD implantation and then divided them according to the median level of RVOTD. The predictive value of RVOTD in life-threatening ventricular tachycardia (VT)/ventricular fibrillation (VF) vs. non-arrhythmic mortality (defined as death without prior sustained VT/VF), was evaluated respectively. Based on RVOTD and other identified risk factors, a simple risk assessment tool, RVOTD-ICD benefit score, was developed.

Results

A higher RVOTD level was significantly associated with an increased risk of VT/VF (per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase, hazard ratio [HR], 1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.33; p = 0.002) but not non-arrhythmic mortality (per 1 SD increase, hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.66-1.33; p = 0.709) after multivariable adjustment. Three benefit groups were created based on RVOTD-ICD benefit score, which was calculated from VT/VF score (younger age, higher RVOTD, diuretic use, prior non-sustainable VT, prior sustainable VT/VF) and non-arrhythmic mortality scores (older age, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors use, diabetes, higher left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, New York Heart Association III/IV, higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels). In the highest RVOTD-ICD benefit group, the 3-year risk of VT/VF was nearly 8-fold higher than the corresponding risk of non-arrhythmic mortality (39.2% vs. 4.8%, p < 0.001). On the contrary, the 3-year risk of VT/VF was similar to the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality (21.9% vs. 21.3%, p = 0.405) in the lowest benefit group. RVOTD-ICD benefit score system yielded improvement in discrimination for VT/VF, non-arrhythmic mortality, and all-cause mortality than Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial (MADIT)-ICD benefit score in this cohort.

Conclusions

Higher RVOTD was associated with significantly increased risk of sustained VT/VF in CHF patients. A simple risk assessment tool incorporating RVOTD (RVOTD-ICD benefit score) could be generalized to ICD populations, and optimize the decision-making process of ICD implantation.

Contrast-Enhanced Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging With a Manganese-Based Alternative to Gadolinium for Tissue Characterization of Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background Late gadolinium enhancement cardiac magnetic resonance imaging is an effective and reproducible method for characterizing myocardial infarction. However, gadolinium-based contrast agents are contraindicated in patients with acute and chronic renal insufficiency. In addition, several recent studies have noted tissue deposition of free gadolinium in patients who have undergone serial contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. There is a clinical need for alternative forms of magnetic resonance imaging contrast agents that are acceptable in the setting of renal insufficiency. Methods and Results Three days after 80 minutes of ischemia/reperfusion of the left anterior descending coronary artery, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging was performed to assess myocardial lesion burden using both contrast agents. Late gadolinium enhancement cardiac magnetic resonance imaging was examined 10 and 15 minutes after contrast injection. Contrast agents were administered in alternating manner with a 2- to 3-hour washout period between contrast agent injections. Lesion evaluation and image processing were performed using Segment Medviso software. Mean infarct size and transmurality, measured using RVP-001, were not different compared with those measured using late gadolinium enhancement images. Bland-Altman analysis demonstrated a nominal bias of 0.13 mL (<1% of average total lesion volume) for RVP-001 in terms of gross infarct size measurement. Conclusions The experimental manganese-based contrast agent RVP-001 appears to be an effective agent for assessment of myocardial infarction location, size, and transmurality, and it may be useful as an alternative to gadolinium-based agents.

Treatment outcomes and associated factors among chronic ambulatory heart failure patients at Jimma Medical Center, South West Ethiopia: prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Heart failure has been one of the major causes of hospitalization across the world. Focusing on the treatment outcomes of ambulatory heart failure patients will reduce the burden of heart failure such as hospitalization and improve patient quality of life. Even if research is conducted on acute heart failure patients, there is limited data about treatment outcomes of chronic ambulatory heart failure patients. Therefore, this study aimed to assess treatment outcomes and associated factors of chronic ambulatory heart failure patients at Jimma Medical Center, South West Ethiopia.

METHODS

A hospital-based prospective observational study was conducted on 242 chronic ambulatory heart failure patients at Jimma Medical Center from November 2020 to June 2021. The data were collected with pretested data collection format, and analyzed with Statistical Package for Social Sciences version 23. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regression model were used to identify factors associated with treatment outcomes of outpatient heart failure, and with a reported p value < 0.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) was considered statistical significance.

RESULT

From 242 patients, 126 (52.1%) were males and 121 (50.0%) patients were aged between 45 and 65 years. Regarding treatment outcomes, 51 (21.1%) of patients were hospitalized, and 58 (24.0%) and 28 (11.6%) of patients had worsened and improved clinical states respectively. Clinical inertia [AOR = 2.820; 95% CI (1.301, 6.110), p = 0.009], out-of-pocket payment [AOR = 2.790; 95% CI (1.261, 6.172), p = 0.011] and New York Heart Association class II [AOR = 2.534; 95% CI (1.170, 5.488), p = 0.018] were independent predictors of hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

Hospitalization of ambulatory heart failure patients was relatively high. More than half of the patients had clinical inertia. And also, this study showed most ambulatory HF patients had inadequate self-care. Clinical inertia, out-of-pocket payment, and New York Heart Association class II were independent predictors of hospitalization in ambulatory heart failure patients. Therefore, it is better to give more attention to ambulatory heart failure patients to prevent hospitalization and the burden of heart failure.

Cost-Effectiveness of Adding Empagliflozin to Standard Treatment for Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction Patients in China

OBJECTIVES

Heart failure is a worldwide health problem and is the leading cause of hospitalization in older patients. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) accounts for about 38% of heart failure cases. The latest EMPEROR-Preserved study shows that empagliflozin can reduce the risk of hospitalization in HFpEF, but whether empagliflozin is cost-effective in HFpEF in a Chinese setting remained uninvestigated.

METHODS

A simulation of lifetime horizon for a 72-year-old HFpEF patient was conducted using a Markov model. The primary outcome was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), expressed as incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Three times the per capita GDP of China was set as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold. Empagliflozin was considered cost-effective if the ICER was below the WTP threshold, otherwise it would be regarded as not cost-effective. One-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were used to assess uncertainty.

RESULTS

After a simulation of lifetime horizon, a 72-year-old HFpEF patient is expected to have an expected QALY of 4.80 in the empagliflozin group, and 4.67 QALY with standard treatment. The costs of empagliflozin and standard treatment are 34,987 (US$5423) and 27,027 (US$4189) Chinese Yuan (CNY), respectively, with an ICER of 63,746 (US$9881)/QALY, lower than the WTP threshold. One-way sensitivity and PSA show that our results are robust.

CONCLUSION

In Chinese HFpEF patients, adding empagliflozin to standard treatment is cost-effective, but studies based on real-world data are needed.

Cardiovascular outcomes by time-varying New York Heart Association class among patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a retrospective cohort study

AIMS

Assess the relationship between New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used the Optum Market Clarity database with linked claims and electronic health records. Adults (aged ≥18 years) with obstructive HCM and ≥1 NYHA class assessment after first HCM diagnosis were eligible (selection period: 2007-2021). Thirteen outcomes were assessed following the index date (first documented NYHA class assessment after first HCM diagnosis in the study period): all-cause mortality; first occurrences of all-cause hospitalization; CV-related hospitalization; primary ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA); myocardial infarction (MI); deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE); and major adverse CV event (MACE); as well as first incident events of atrial fibrillation or flutter; primary ischemic stroke or TIA; heart failure; acute MI; DVT/PE; and a composite endpoint of pacemaker and cardiac resynchronization therapy. Their associations with the index NYHA class were described using the Kaplan-Meier method (mortality) or cumulative incidence functions (other outcomes). Hazard ratios between NYHA class over time and outcomes were evaluated using time-varying Cox models, adjusting for age at first observed HCM diagnosis, sex, and race.

RESULTS

Among 4,631 eligible patients, the mean age was 59 years at the first observed HCM diagnosis (female, 47%; White, 77%). The risks of all outcomes increased with worse (higher) index NYHA class and worsening NYHA class over time. Deterioration in the NYHA class from the index date was associated with increased risks of outcomes.

LIMITATIONS

The study population may not be representative of all patients with obstructive HCM in the real world. Documented NYHA classes may not fully reflect the longitudinal variation of NYHA class for each patient.

CONCLUSIONS

Worsening NYHA class was associated with increased risks of all-cause mortality and CV outcomes in obstructive HCM.

Dapagliflozin and New York Heart Association functional class in heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction: the DELIVER trial

AIMS

This pre-specified analysis of the DELIVER trial examined whether clinical benefits of dapagliflozin in heart failure (HF) with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >40% varied by baseline New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and examined the treatment effects on NYHA class over time.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Treatment effects of dapagliflozin by baseline NYHA class II (n = 4713) versus III/IV (n = 1549) were examined on the primary endpoint (cardiovascular death or worsening HF event) and key secondary endpoints. Effects of dapagliflozin on change in NYHA class at 4, 16, and 32 weeks were also evaluated. Higher baseline NYHA class was associated with older age, female sex, greater comorbidity burden, lower LVEF, and higher natriuretic peptide levels. Participants with baseline NYHA class III/IV, as compared with II, were independently more likely to experience the primary endpoint (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.16 [95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.33]) and all-cause death (adjusted HR 1.22 [1.06-1.40]). Dapagliflozin consistently reduced the risk of the primary endpoint compared with placebo, irrespective of baseline NYHA class (HR 0.81 [0.70-0.94] for NYHA class II vs. HR 0.80 [0.65-0.98] for NYHA class III/IV; pinteraction  = 0.921). Participants with NYHA class III/IV had greater improvement in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire total symptom scores between baseline and 32 weeks (+4.8 [2.5-7.1]) versus NYHA class II (+1.8 [0.7-2.9]; pinteraction  = 0.011). Dapagliflozin was associated with higher odds of any improvement in NYHA class (odds ratio [OR] 1.32 [1.16-1.51]), as well as improvement to NYHA class I (OR 1.43 [1.17-1.75]), versus placebo at 32 weeks, with benefits seen as early as 4 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

Among symptomatic patients with HF and LVEF >40%, treatment with dapagliflozin provided clinical benefit irrespective of baseline NYHA class and was associated with early and sustained improvements in NYHA class over time.

Accurate long-term prediction of death for patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cirrhosis is a major cause of death and is associated with extensive health care use. Patients with cirrhosis have complex treatment choices due to risks of morbidity and mortality. To optimally counsel and treat patients with cirrhosis requires tools to predict their longer-term liver-related survival. We sought to develop and validate a risk score to predict longer-term survival of patients with cirrhosis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with cirrhosis with no major life-limiting comorbidities. Adults with cirrhosis within the Veterans Health Administration were used for model training and internal validation, and external validation used the OneFlorida Clinical Research Consortium. We used four model-building approaches including variables predictive of cirrhosis-related mortality, focused on discrimination at key time points (1, 3, 5, and 10 years). Among 30,263 patients with cirrhosis ≤75 years old without major life-limiting comorbidities and complete laboratory data during the baseline period, the boosted survival tree models had the highest discrimination, with 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year survival rates of 0.77, 0.81, 0.84, and 0.88, respectively. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year discrimination was nearly identical in external validation. Secondary analyses with imputation of missing data and subgroups by etiology of liver disease had similar results to the primary model.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated (internally and externally) a risk score to predict longer-term survival of patients with cirrhosis. This score would transform management of patients with cirrhosis in terms of referral to specialty care and treatment decision-making for non-liver-related care.

Providers' accuracy in decision-making with assessing NYHA functional class of patients with heart failure after use of a classification guide

BACKGROUND

Correct assignment of New York Heart Association Functional Classification (NYHA-FC) I-IV is essential in applying guideline directed care.

OBJECTIVE

Examine the validity, reliability, and accuracy of HF and primary care (PC) provider's assignment of NYHA-FC using the NYHA-FC Guide.

METHODS

Study utilized a cross-sectional, quasi-experimental known-groups design with validated vignettes. Providers (n = 75) used the Guide to assign NYHA-FC. Known-group validity comparisons (HF specialist/Non-HF specialist - PC provider) and interrater reliability were used to evaluate validity and reliability of the NYHA-FC Guide.

RESULTS

HF provider's accuracy total mean scores were significantly higher compared to PC (M = 6.0 vs. 5.4, p = 0.020). HF (62%) and PC providers (80%) reported that the Guide assisted them with deciding HF class.

CONCLUSION

The NYHA-FC Guide showed promise for facilitating accuracy of assignment. Further research to evaluate the accuracy of using the NYHA-FC Guide compared to the gold standard six minute walk test is warranted.

Unmet Needs in Patients With Heart Failure: The Importance of Palliative Care in a Heart Failure Clinic

Background

There are increasing calls to establish heart failure (HF) clinics due to their effectiveness in the interdisciplinary management of people living with HF. However, although a recommendation exists for palliative care (PC) providers to be part of the interdisciplinary team, few of the established HF clinics include them in their teams. Therefore, in this qualitative study, we aimed to understand the unmet PC needs of patients with HF attending an already established HF clinic.

Methods

Secondary qualitative analysis of structured interviews undertaken within a larger study to validate the German version of the Needs Assessment Tool: Progressive Disease—Heart Failure (NAT: PD-HF). The NAT: PD-HF is a tool that aims to assess unmet needs in patients with HF. The interviews took place between January and March 2020 with patients from the ambulatory HF Clinic of a University Hospital in Switzerland. For this analysis, we transcribed and thematically analyzed the longest and most content-rich interviews until we reached data saturation at 31 participants. The interviews lasted 31 min on average (24–48 min).

Results

Participants (n = 31) had a median age of 64 years (IQR 56–77), the majority had reduced ejection fraction, were men, and were classified as having a New York Heart Association functional class II. Participants were in general satisfied with the treatment and information received at the HF clinic. However, they reported several unmet needs. We therefore identified three ambivalences as main themes: (I) “feeling well-informed but missing essential discussions”, (II) “although feeling mostly satisfied with the care, remaining with unmet care needs”, and (III) “fearing a referral to palliative care but acknowledging its importance”.

Conclusion

Although patients who are receiving multidisciplinary management in ambulatory HF clinics are generally satisfied with the care received, they remain with unmet needs. These unmet needs, such as the need for advance care planning or the need for timely and tactful end-of-life discussions, can be fulfilled by PC providers. Including personnel trained in PC as part of the multidisciplinary team could help to address patients' needs, thus improving the quality of care and the quality of life of people living with HF.

Primary care-based integrated disease management for heart failure: a study protocol for a cluster randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Heart failure (HF) is a common chronic disease that increases in prevalence with age. It is associated with high hospitalisation rates, poor quality of life and high mortality. Management is complex with most interactions occurring in primary care. Disease management programmes implemented during or after an HF hospitalisation have been shown to reduce hospitalisation and mortality rates. Evidence for integrated disease management (IDM) serving the primary care HF population has been investigated but is less conclusive. The aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy of IDM, focused on, optimising medication, self-management and structured follow-up, in a high-risk primary care HF population.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

100 family physician clusters will be recruited in this Canadian primary care multicentre cluster randomised controlled trial. Physicians will be randomised to IDM or to care as usual. The IDM programme under evaluation will include case management, medication management, education, and skills training delivered collaboratively by the family physician and a trained HF educator. The primary outcome will measure the combined rate (events/patient-years) of all-cause hospitalisations, emergency department visits and mortality over a 12-month follow-up. Secondary outcomes include other health service utilisation, quality of life, knowledge assessments and acute HF episodes. Two to three HF patients will be recruited per physician cluster to give a total sample size of 280. The study has 90% power to detect a 35% reduction in the primary outcome. The difference in primary outcome between IDM and usual care will be modelled using a negative binomial regression model adjusted for baseline, clustering and for individuals experiencing multiple events.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study has obtained approval from the Research Ethics Board at the University of Western Ontario, London, Canada (ID 114089). Findings will be disseminated through local reports, presentations and peer-reviewed publications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04066907.

2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" replaces the "2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" and the "2017 ACC/AHA/HFSA Focused Update of the 2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure." The 2022 guideline is intended to provide patient-centric recommendations for clinicians to prevent, diagnose, and manage patients with heart failure.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 2020 to December 2020, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, the Cochrane Collaboration, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other relevant databases. Additional relevant clinical trials and research studies, published through September 2021, were also considered. This guideline was harmonized with other American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines published through December 2021. Structure: Heart failure remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. The 2022 heart failure guideline provides recommendations based on contemporary evidence for the treatment of these patients. The recommendations present an evidence-based approach to managing patients with heart failure, with the intent to improve quality of care and align with patients' interests. Many recommendations from the earlier heart failure guidelines have been updated with new evidence, and new recommendations have been created when supported by published data. Value statements are provided for certain treatments with high-quality published economic analyses.

2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure

AIM

The "2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" replaces the "2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" and the "2017 ACC/AHA/HFSA Focused Update of the 2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure." The 2022 guideline is intended to provide patient-centric recommendations for clinicians to prevent, diagnose, and manage patients with heart failure.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 2020 to December 2020, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, the Cochrane Collaboration, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other relevant databases. Additional relevant clinical trials and research studies, published through September 2021, were also considered. This guideline was harmonized with other American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines published through December 2021.

STRUCTURE

Heart failure remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. The 2022 heart failure guideline provides recommendations based on contemporary evidence for the treatment of these patients. The recommendations present an evidence-based approach to managing patients with heart failure, with the intent to improve quality of care and align with patients' interests. Many recommendations from the earlier heart failure guidelines have been updated with new evidence, and new recommendations have been created when supported by published data. Value statements are provided for certain treatments with high-quality published economic analyses.

Telemedicine to Support Heart Failure Patients during Social Distancing: A Systematic Review

Background

Heart failure (HF) has been described as an emerging pandemic as its prevalence continues to rise with a growing and aging population. HF patients are more vulnerable to infections with higher risk of hospitalisation, morbidity, and mortality. During this COVID-19 pandemic, telemedicine has emerged as an alternative to usual out-patient care. This study aimed to systematically review available literature regarding the effect of telemedicine on mortality, health-related quality of life (HR-QoL), and hospitalisation rate of HF patients.

Method

A literature search was conducted on five databases (PubMed, Medline, EMBASE, SCOPUS and Cochrane Central Database) up to 21^st May 2022. Data from studies that fulfilled the eligibility criteria were collected and extracted. Included studies were critically appraised using suitable tools and extracted data were synthesized qualitatively.

Results

A total of 27 studies were included in the qualitative synthesis with a total of 21,006 patients and sufficient level of bias. Reduction in the mortality rate, HF-related hospitalisation rate, and improvement in the HR-QoL were shown in most of the studies, although only some were statistically significant.

Conclusions

The use of telemedicine is a promising and beneficial method for HF patients to acquire adequate health care services. Further studies in this field are needed, especially in developing countries and with standardized method, to provide better services and protections for HF patients. Telemonitoring and patient-centred partnership via interactive communication between healthcare team and patients is central to successful telemedicine implementation.

PROSPERO Registration Number

CRD42021271540.

Agreement of the modified Medical Research Council and New York Heart Association scales for assessing the impact of self-rated breathlessness in cardiopulmonary disease

Background

The functional impact of breathlessness is assessed using the modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) scale for chronic respiratory disease and with the New York Heart Association Functional Classification (NYHA) scale for heart failure. We evaluated agreement between the scales and their concurrent validity with other clinically relevant patient-reported outcomes in cardiorespiratory disease.

Methods

Outpatients with stable chronic respiratory disease or heart failure were recruited. Agreement between the mMRC and NYHA scales was analysed using Cramér's V and Kendall's tau B tests. Concurrent validity was evaluated using correlations with clinically relevant measures of breathlessness, anxiety, depression, and health-related quality of life. Analyses were conducted for all participants and separately in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and heart failure.

Results

In a total of 182 participants with cardiorespiratory disease, the agreement between the mMRC and NYHA scales was moderate (Cramér's V: 0.46; Kendall's tau B: 0.57) with similar results for COPD (Cramér's V: 0.46; Kendall's tau B: 0.66) and heart failure (Cramér's V: 0.46; Kendall's tau B: 0.67). In the total population, the scales correlated in similar ways to other patient-reported outcomes.

Conclusion

In outpatients with cardiorespiratory disease, the mMRC and NYHA scales show moderate to strong correlations and similar associations with other patient-reported outcomes. This supports that the scales are comparable when assessing the impact of breathlessness on function and patient-reported outcomes.

There is moderate agreement between the mMRC and NYHA scales for assessment of functional impact of breathlessness in outpatients with COPD and heart failure.https://bit.ly/2XBPuXF

Hemodynamic Determinants of Activity Measured by Accelerometer in Patients With Stable Heart Failure

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the link between accelerometer recordings and cardiac pathophysiology measured with right heart cauterization at rest and with exercise in patients with HFrEF.

BACKGROUND

Patient-worn accelerometers are increasingly being used in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) to assess activity and serve as surrogate endpoints in heart failure trials.

METHODS

Physical average daily activity (PADA) and total average daily activity according to accelerometer units were assessed in 63 patients (mean age 58 ± 10 years; mean ejection fraction 26% ± 4%). Patients underwent hemodynamic exercise testing and accelerometry. Patients were divided according to PADA in PADA_Low and PADA_High activity level groups based on median counts per minute of physical activity.

RESULTS

Patients in the PADA_Low group were older and more frequently treated with diuretics. At rest, the PADA_Low group was characterized by a lower cardiac index (2.2 ± 0.4 L/min/m² vs 2.4 ± 0.4 L/min/m²; P = 0.01) and stroke volume (70 ± 19 mL vs 81 ± 17 mL; P = 0.02) but not pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (12 ± 5 mm Hg vs 11 ± 5 mm Hg; P = 0.3). The PADA_Low group reached a lower cardiac index (4.8 ± 1.7 L/min/m² vs 6.6 ± 1.7 L/min/m²; P < 0.001) but not in pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (31 ± 12 mm Hg vs 27 ± 8 mm Hg; P = 0.2) at peak exercise. The attenuated increase was associated with an attenuated increase in stroke volume (94 ± 32 mL vs 121 ± 29 mL; P < 0.001) rather than a reduced increase in heart rate (42 ± 23 beats/min vs 52 ± 21 beats/min; P = 0.07). PADA and total average daily accelerometer units were associated with patient-reported functional impairment according to the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire but not with New York Heart Association functional class.

CONCLUSIONS

Among stable ambulatory patients with HFrEF, lower daily activity is associated with poorer cardiac index reserve and reduced cardiac index during exercise. (Empagliflozin in Heart Failure Patients With Reduced Ejection Fraction; NCT03198585).

Delay in seeking medical care for worsening heart failure symptoms: predictors and association with cardiac events

AIMS

The association of delay in seeking medical care to subsequent cardiac events remains unknown in patients with worsening heart failure (HF) symptoms. The aims of this study were to (i) identify factors predicting care-seeking delay and (ii) examine the impact of care-seeking delay on subsequent cardiac rehospitalization or death.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied 153 patients hospitalized with an exacerbation of HF. Potential predictors of delay including demographic, clinical, psychosocial, cognitive, and behavioural variables were collected. Patients were followed for 3 months after discharge to determine time to the first cardiac rehospitalization or death. The median delay time was 134 h (25th and 75th percentiles 49 and 364 h). Non-linear regression showed that New York Heart Association functional class III/IV (P = 0.001), worse depressive symptoms (P = 0.004), better HF knowledge (P = 0.003), and lower perceived somatic awareness (P = 0.033) were predictors of delay time from patient perception of worsening HF to subsequent hospital admission. Cox regression revealed that patients who delayed longer (more than 134 h) had a 1.93-fold higher risk of experiencing cardiac events (P = 0.044) compared to non-delayers.

CONCLUSIONS

Care-seeking delay in patients with worsening HF symptoms was significantly associated with an increased risk of rehospitalization and mortality after discharge. Intervention strategies addressing functional status, psychological state, cognitive and behavioural factors are essential to reduce delay and thereby improve outcomes.

Physical Functioning in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is increasingly prevalent, yet interventions and therapies to improve outcomes remain limited. There has been increasing attention towards the impact of comorbidities and physical functioning (PF) on poor clinical outcomes within this population. In this review, we summarize and discuss the literature on PF in HFpEF, its association with clinical and patient-centered outcomes, and future advances in the care of HFpEF with respect to PF. Multiple PF metrics have been demonstrated to provide prognostic value within HFpEF, yet the data are less robust compared with other patient populations, highlighting the need for further investigation. The evaluation and detection of poor PF provides a potential strategy to improve care in HFpEF, and future studies are needed to understand if modulating PF improves clinical and/or patient-reported outcomes. LAY SUMMARY: • Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) commonly have impaired physical functioning (PF) demonstrated by limitations across a wide range of common PF metrics.• Impaired PF metrics demonstrate prognostic value for both clinical and patient-reported outcomes in HFpEF, making them plausible therapeutic targets to improve outcomes.• Clinical trials are ongoing to investigate novel methods of detecting, monitoring, and improving impaired PF to enhance HFpEF care.Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is increasingly prevalent, yet interventions and therapies to improve outcomes remain limited. As such, there has been increasing focus on the impact of physical performance (PF) on clinical and patient-centered outcomes. In this review, we discuss the state of PF in patients with HFpEF by examining the multitude of PF metrics available, their respective strengths and limitations, and their associations with outcomes in HFpEF. We highlight future advances in the care of HFpEF with respect to PF, particularly regarding the evaluation and detection of poor PF.

Heart failure related to adult congenital heart disease: prevalence, outcome and risk factors

Aims

Information on the prevalence, outcome and factors associated with heart failure in patients with adult congenital heart disease (CHD) (ACHD‐HF) is lacking. We aimed at assessing the prevalence and outcome of ACHD‐HF, the variables associated with ACHD‐HF, and the differences between major anatomical/pathophysiological ACHD subgroups.

Methods and results

We included 3905 patients (age 35.4 ± 13.2 years) under active follow‐up in our institution (last visit >2010). Outcome of ACHD‐HF cases was compared with sex‐ and age‐matched cases. Univariable and multivariable binary logistic regression with ACHD‐HF diagnosis as a dependent variable was performed. Overall prevalence of ACHD‐HF was 6.4% (mean age 49.5 ± 16.7 years), but was higher in patients with cyanotic CHD (41%), Fontan circulation (30%), and a systemic right ventricle (25%). All‐cause mortality was higher in ACHD‐HF cases when compared with controls (mortality rate ratio 4.67 (2.36–9.27); P = 0.0001). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, age at latest follow‐up [per 10 years; odds ratio (OR) 1.52; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.31–1.77], infective endocarditis (OR 4.11; 95%CI 1.80–9.38), history of atrial arrhythmia (OR 3.52; 95%CI 2.17–5.74), pacemaker implantation (OR 2.66; 95% CI 1.50–4.72), end‐organ dysfunction (OR 2.41; 95% CI 1.03–5.63), New York Heart Association class (OR 9.28; 95% CI 6.04–14.25), heart rate (per 10 bpm; OR 1.27; 95% CI 1.08–1.50), ventricular dysfunction (OR 3.62; 95% CI 2.54–5.17), and pulmonary hypertension severity (OR 1.66; 95% CI 1.21–2.30) were independently related to the presence of ACHD‐HF. Some variables (age, atrial arrhythmia, pacemaker, New York Heart Association, and ventricular dysfunction) were related to ACHD‐HF in all anatomical/physiological subgroups, whereas others were not.

Conclusions

ACHD‐HF is prevalent especially in complex CHD and is associated with poor prognosis. Our data provide insight in the factors related to ACHD‐HF including differences between specific anatomical and physiological subgroups.

Predicted benefit of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator: the MADIT-ICD benefit score

AIMS

The benefit of prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is not uniform due to differences in the risk of life-threatening ventricular tachycardia (VT)/ventricular fibrillation (VF) and non-arrhythmic mortality. We aimed to develop an ICD benefit prediction score that integrates the competing risks.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study population comprised all 4531 patients enrolled in the MADIT trials. Best-subsets Fine and Gray regression analysis was used to develop prognostic models for VT (≥200 b.p.m.)/VF vs. non-arrhythmic mortality (defined as death without prior sustained VT/VF). Eight predictors of VT/VF (male, age < 75 years, prior non-sustained VT, heart rate > 75 b.p.m., systolic blood pressure < 140 mmHg, ejection fraction ≤ 25%, myocardial infarction, and atrialarrhythmia) and 7 predictors of non-arrhythmic mortality (age ≥ 75 years, diabetes mellitus, body mass index < 23 kg/m2, ejection fraction ≤ 25%, New York Heart Association ≥II, ICD vs. cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator, and atrial arrhythmia) were identified. The two scores were combined to create three MADIT-ICD benefit groups. In the highest benefit group, the 3-year predicted risk of VT/VF was three-fold higher than the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality (20% vs. 7%, P < 0.001). In the intermediate benefit group, the difference in the corresponding predicted risks was attenuated (15% vs. 9%, P < 0.01). In the lowest benefit group, the 3-year predicted risk of VT/VF was similar to the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality (11% vs. 12%, P = 0.41). A personalized ICD benefit score was developed based on the distribution of the two competing risks scores in the study population (https://is.gd/madit). Internal and external validation confirmed model stability.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose the novel MADIT-ICD benefit score that predicts the likelihood of prophylactic ICD benefit through personalized assessment of the risk of VT/VF weighed against the risk of non-arrhythmic mortality.

Health State Utilities of Patients with Heart Failure: A Systematic Literature Review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

New treatments and interventions are in development to address clinical needs in heart failure. To support decision making on reimbursement, cost-effectiveness analyses are frequently required. A systematic literature review was conducted to identify and summarize heart failure utility values for use in economic evaluations.

METHODS

Databases were searched for articles published until June 2019 that reported health utility values for patients with heart failure. Publications were reviewed with specific attention to study design; reported values were categorized according to the health states, 'chronic heart failure', 'hospitalized', and 'other acute heart failure'. Interquartile limits (25th percentile 'Q1', 75th percentile 'Q3') were calculated for health states and heart failure subgroups where there were sufficient data.

RESULTS

The systematic literature review identified 161 publications based on data from 142 studies. Utility values for chronic heart failure were reported by 128 publications; 39 publications published values for hospitalized and three for other acute heart failure. There was substantial heterogeneity in the specifics of the study populations, methods of elicitation, and summary statistics, which is reflected in the wide range of utility values reported. EQ-5D was the most used instrument; the interquartile limit for mean EQ-5D values for chronic heart failure was 0.64-0.72.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a wealth of published utility values for heart failure to support economic evaluations. Data are heterogenous owing to specificities of the study population and methodology of utility value elicitation and analysis. Choice of value(s) to support economic models must be carefully justified to ensure a robust economic analysis.

An analysis of the cost-effectiveness of transcatheter mitral valve repair for people with secondary mitral valve regurgitation in the UK

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A proportion of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients will experience regurgitation secondary to ventricular remodeling in CHF, known as functional mitral (MR) or tricuspid (TR) regurgitation. Its presence adversely impacts the prognosis and healthcare utilization in CHF patients. The advent of interventional devices for both atrioventricular valves modifies both aspects. We present an economic model structure suitable for comparing interventions used in MR and TR, and assess the cost-effectiveness of transcatheter mitral valve repair (TMVr) plus guideline directed medical therapy (GDMT) compared with GDMT alone in people with MR.

METHODS

An economic model with a lifetime time horizon was developed based on extrapolated survival data and using New York Heart Association classifications to describe disease severity in people with functional MR at high risk of surgical mortality or deemed inoperable. Cost and utility values (describing health-related quality-of-life) were assigned to patients dependent on their disease severity. The analysis was conducted from a UK National Health Service perspective. An incremental cost per additional quality-adjusted life year (QALY) was estimated, and sensitivity (one-way and probabilistic) and scenario analyses conducted.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Compared with GDMT, the use of TMVr results in an additional 1.07 QALYs and an increase in costs of £32,267 per patient over a lifetime time horizon. The estimated incremental cost per QALY gained is £30,057 and would therefore be on the threshold of cost-effectiveness at £30,000 per quality adjusted life year. Thus, from a UK reimbursement perspective, in patients with severe functional MR who are at high risk of surgical mortality or deemed inoperable with conventional surgery, TMVr plus medical therapy is likely to represent a cost-effective treatment option compared with GDMT alone. The choice of device (MitraClip or PASCAL) will need to be confirmed once further clinical data are reported.

Minimal Clinically Important Differences and Feasibility of Dyspnea-12 and the Multidimensional Dyspnea Profile in Cardiorespiratory Disease

CONTEXT

Breathlessness is a cardinal symptom in cardiorespiratory disease and consists of multiple dimensions that can be measured using the instruments Dyspnea-12 (D12) and the Multidimensional Dyspnea Profile (MDP).

OBJECTIVES

The objective of the study is to determine the minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) of all D12 and MDP summary and subdomain scores as well as the instruments' feasibility in patients with cardiorespiratory disease.

METHODS

Prospective multicenter cohort study of outpatients with diagnosed cardiorespiratory disease and breathlessness in daily life. D12 and MDP were assessed at baseline, after 30-90 minutes and two weeks. MCIDs were calculated using anchor-based and distributional methods for summary and subdomain scores. Feasibility was assessed as rate of missing data, help required, self-reported difficulty, and completion time.

RESULTS

A total 182 outpatients (53.3% women) were included; main diagnoses were chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; 25%), asthma (21%), heart failure (19%), and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (19%). Anchor-based MCIDs were for D12 total score 2.83 (95% CI 1.99-3.66); D12 physical 1.81 (1.29-2.34); D12 affective 1.07 (0.64-1.49); MDP A1 unpleasantness 0.82 (0.56-1.08); MDP perception 4.63 (3.21-6.05), and MDP emotional score 2.37 (1.10-3.64). The estimates were consistent with small-to-moderate effect sizes using distributional analysis, and MCIDs were similar between COPD and non-COPD patients. The instruments were generally feasible and quick to use.

CONCLUSION

D12 and MDP are responsive to change and feasible for use for assessing multidimensional breathlessness in outpatients with cardiorespiratory disease. MCIDs were determined for use as endpoints in clinical trials.

Building a Heart Failure Clinic: A Practical Guide from the Heart Failure Society of America

Heart failure (HF) remains a leading cause of mortality and morbidity and a primary driver of health care resource use in the United States. As such, there continues to be much interest in the development and refinement of HF clinics that manage patients with HF in a guideline-directed, technology-enabled, and coordinated approach. Optimization of resource use and maintenance of collaboration with other providers are also important themes when considering implementation of HF clinics. Through this document, the Heart Failure Society of America aims to provide a contemporary, practical guide to creating and sustaining a HF clinic. The guide discusses (1) patient care considerations for delivering guideline-directed and patient-centered care, and (2) operational considerations including development of a HF clinic business plan, setting goals, leadership support, triggers for patient referral and patient follow-up, patient population served, optimal clinic staffing models, relationships with subspecialists, and continuous quality improvement. This document was developed to empower providers and clinicians who wish to build and sustain community-based, successful HF clinics.

Hepatic Encephalopathy and Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis Improve Cirrhosis Outcome Prediction: A Modified Seven-Stage Model as a Clinical Alternative to MELD

Classification of cirrhosis based on clinical stages is rapid and based on five stages at present. Two other relevant events, hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), can be considered in a clinical perspective but no study has implemented a seven-stage classification and confirmed its value before. In addition, long-term validation of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) in large cohorts of patients with cirrhosis and comparison with clinical findings are insufficient. Therefore, we performed a study to address these items. From the Chang-Gung Research Database (CGRD), 20,782 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled for an historical survival study. The MELD score, the five-stage clinical score (i.e., occurrence of esophageal varices (EV), EV bleeding, ascites, sepsis) and a novel seven-stage clinical score (i.e., occurrence of EV, EV bleeding, ascites, sepsis, HE, SBP) were compared with their Cox models by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The addition of HE and SBP to the seven-stage model had a 5% better prediction result than the five-stage model did in the survival ROC analysis. The result showed that the seven clinical stages are associated with an increased risk for mortality. However, the predicted performances of the seven-stage model and MELD system are likely equivalent. In conclusion, the study (i) proved that clinical staging of cirrhosis based on seven items/stages had higher prognostic value than the five-stage model and (ii) confirmed the validity of the MELD criteria vs. clinical assessment.

Evaluation of a Heart Failure Telemonitoring Program Through a Microsimulation Model: Cost-Utility Analysis

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is a major public health issue in Canada that is associated with high prevalence, morbidity, and mortality rates and high financial and social burdens. Telemonitoring (TM) has been shown to improve all-cause mortality and hospitalization rates in patients with HF. The Medly program is a TM intervention integrated as standard of care at a large Canadian academic hospital for ambulatory patients with HF that has been found to improve patient outcomes. However, the cost-effectiveness of the Medly program is yet to be determined.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to conduct a cost-utility analysis of the Medly program compared with the standard of care for HF in Ontario, Canada, from the perspective of the public health care payer.

METHODS

Using a microsimulation model, individual patient data were simulated over a 25-year time horizon to compare the costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) between the Medly program and standard care for patients with HF treated in the ambulatory care setting. Data were sourced from a Medly Program Evaluation study and literature to inform model parameters, such as Medly's effectiveness in reducing mortality and hospitalizations, health care and intervention costs, and model transition probabilities. Scenario analyses were conducted in relation to HF severity and TM deployment models. One-way deterministic effectiveness analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to explore the impact on the results of uncertainty in model parameters.

RESULTS

The Medly program was associated with an average total cost of Can $102,508 (US $77,626) per patient and total QALYs of 5.51 per patient compared with the average cost of Can $97,497 (US $73,831) and QALYs of 4.95 per patient in the Standard Care Group. This led to an incremental cost of Can $5011 (US $3794) and incremental QALY of 0.566, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of Can $8850 (US $6701)/QALY. Cost-effectiveness improved in relation to patients with advanced HF and with deployment models in which patients used their own equipment. Baseline and alternative scenarios consistently showed probabilities of cost-effectiveness greater than 85% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of Can $50,000 (US $37,718). Although the results showed some sensitivity to assumptions about effectiveness parameters, the intervention was found to remain cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

The Medly program for patients with HF is cost-effective compared with standard care using commonly reported willingness-to-pay thresholds. This study provides evidence for decision makers on the use of TM for HF, supports the use of a nurse-led model of TM that embeds clinically validated algorithms, and informs the use of economic modeling for future evaluations of early-stage health informatics technology.

A nomogram based on a patient-reported outcomes measure: predicting the risk of readmission for patients with chronic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Health-related quality of life, as evaluated by a patient-reported outcomes measure (PROM), is an important prognostic marker in patients with chronic heart failure. This study aimed to use PROM to establish an effective readmission nomogram for chronic heart failure.

METHODS

Using a PROM as a measurement tool, we conducted a readmission nomogram for chronic heart failure on a prospective observational study comprising of 454 patients with chronic heart failure hospitalized between May 2017 to January 2020. A Concordance index and calibration curve were used to evaluate the discriminative ability and predictive accuracy of the nomogram. A bootstrap resampling method was used for internal validation of results.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period in the study was 372 days. After a final COX regression analysis, the gender, income, health care, appetite-sleep, anxiety, depression, paranoia, support, and independence were identified and included in the nomogram. The nomogram showed moderate discrimination, with a concordance index of 0.737 (95% CI 0.673-0.800). The calibration curves for the probability of readmission for patients with chronic heart failure showed high consistency between the probability, as predicted, and the actual probability.

CONCLUSIONS

This model offers a platform to assess the risk of readmission for different populations with CHF and can assist clinicians with personalized treatment recommendations.

Clinical Predictors Influencing the Length of Stay in Emergency Department Patients Presenting with Acute Heart Failure

Background and objectives: Acute heart failure is a common problem encountered in the emergency department (ED). More than 80% of the patients with the condition subsequently require lengthy and repeated hospitalization. In a setting with limited in-patient capacity, the patient flow is often obstructed. Appropriate disposition decisions must be made by emergency physicians to deliver effective care and alleviate ED overcrowding. This study aimed to explore clinical predictors influencing the length of stay (LOS) in patients with acute heart failure who present to the ED. Materials and Methods: We conducted prognostic factor research with a retrospective cohort design. Medical records of patients with acute heart failure who presented to the ED of Ramathibodi Hospital from January to December 2015 were assessed for eligibility. Thirteen potential clinical predictors were selected as candidates for statistical modeling based on previous reports. Multivariable Poisson regression was used to estimate the difference in LOS between patients with and without potential predictors. Results: A total of 207 patients were included in the analysis. Most patients were male with a mean age of 74.2 ± 12.5 years. The median LOS was 54.6 h (Interquartile range 17.5, 149.3 h). From the multivariable analysis, four clinical characteristics were identified as independent predictors with an increase in LOS. These were patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class III/IV (+72.9 h, 95%Confidence interval (CI) 23.9, 121.8, p = 0.004), respiratory rate >24 per minute (+80.7 h, 95%CI 28.0, 133.3, p = 0.003), hemoglobin level <10 mg/dL (+60.4 h, 95%CI 8.6, 112.3, p = 0.022), and serum albumin <3.5 g/dL (+52.8 h, 95%CI 3.6, 102.0, p = 0.035). Conclusions: Poor NYHA functional class, tachypnea, anemia, and hypoalbuminemia are significant clinical predictors of patients with acute heart failure who required longer LOS.

Sacubitril-Valsartan Compared With Enalapril for the Treatment of Heart Failure: A Decision-Analytic Markov Model Simulation in China

Objectives

Heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is a major health concern globally due to high mortality rates, frequent hospitalization and considerable medical expenditure. The prevalence of HFrEF is steadily rising in Asian countries, and populous, developing countries like China are facing a significant socio-economic burden as a result. Sacubitril-valsartan (Sac-Val) is currently a class I recommendation for treating HFrEF in major guidelines, although it has not been pharmaco-economically evaluated in China. To this end, we compared the cost-effectiveness of Sac-Val and enalapril based on the negotiated prices in order to fully assess the expected costs and benefits of the clinical use of Sac-Val in China.

Method

A Markov model was constructed to estimate long-term clinical and economic outcomes of Sac-Val versus enalapril for HFrEF patients in China over a 10-year horizon. Primary model outcomes were total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

Results

Treatment with Sac-Val resulted in 4.67 QALYs at the cost of $4,684.25, while enalapril yielded 4.40 QALYs at the cost of $4,014.47. Compared to enalapril, Sac-Val was associated with a gain of 0.27 QALYs, resulting in an ICER of $ 2,480.67 per QALY. Deterministic sensitivity analysis showed robust results. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested that Sac-Val has a 99.99% probability of being cost-effective at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $10,276.

Conclusion

From Chinese patients’ perspective, Sac-Val is a cost-effective treatment option for HFrEF in China compared to enalapril. Our findings can aid clinicians plan the Sac-Val regimen, as well as decision makers to discuss the value and position of novel angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors (ARNIs) in future.