Risk Factors for Heart Failure in the Community: Differences by Age and Ejection Fraction

Assessing the risk of heart failure in type 2 diabetes: a prediction algorithm to sustain the evaluation of NT-proBNP in primary care

PURPOSE

Heart failure (HF) is a disease that leads to approximately 300,000 fatalities annually in Europe and 250,000 deaths each year in the United States. Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) is a significant risk factor for HF, and testing for N-terminal (NT)-pro hormone BNP (NT-proBNP) can aid in early detection of HF in T2DM patients. We therefore developed and validated the HFriskT2DM-HScore, an algorithm to predict the risk of HF in T2DM patients, so guiding NT-proBNP investigation in a primary care setting.

METHODS

Using a primary care database, we formed a cohort of patients aged ≥18 years diagnosed with T2DM between 2002 and 2022. A multivariate Cox model was adopted to assess the determinants associated with the occurrence of HF to combine them to form an individual score.

RESULTS

Within a cohort of 167,618 patients (52.3% males; mean age 64.4 (SD: 14.4); HF rate equal to 6.7 cases per 1000 person-years), we developed the HFriskT2DM-HScore. When it was applied to the validation sub-cohort we found an explained variation and discrimination value of 43% (95% CI: 42-44) and 81% (95% CI: 0.80-0.83), respectively. Calibration slope was equal to 0.93 (95% CI: 0.81-1.1; p = 0.3123).

CONCLUSION

The HFriskT2DM-HScore might be implemented as a decision support system for primary care to appropriately ease the prescription of NT-proBNP and early identification of HF.

Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure: Medical Management and Future Direction

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading etiology of heart failure (HF) and serves as a significant therapeutic target to ameliorate HF-associated morbidity and mortality. Key management considerations include pharmacologic treatment, electrophysiological devices, and coronary revascularization, aimed toward preventing CAD progression, left ventricular remodeling, sudden death, and reinfarction. The optimal revascularization strategy for patients with CAD and HF who are surgical candidates requires careful assessment of each patients' unique risk/benefit profile and individual preferences. Several novel pharmacologic agents are in development with hopes of adding to the armamentarium of treatment of CAD and HF.

American registry of ambulatory and acute decompensated heart failure (AMERICCAASS registry): Rationale and design

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) is a highly prevalent and progressive condition associated with significant morbidity and mortality rates. Acute decompensated HF precipitates millions of hospitalizations each year. Despite therapeutic advances, the overall prognosis of HF is poor. The varying clinical courses and outcomes of patients with this disease may be due to region-specific gaps and since most HF studies are conducted in developed countries, the participation of Latin American and Caribbean countries is low. Considering this, the American Registry of Ambulatory and Acute Decompensated Heart Failure (AMERICCAASS) aims to characterize the population with ambulatory and acute decompensated HF in the American continent and to determine rehospitalization and survival outcomes during the 12 months of follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS

AMERICCAASS Registry is an observational, prospective, and hospital-based registry recruiting patients with ambulatory or acute decompensated HF. The registry plans to include between two and four institutions per country from at least 20 countries in the Americas, and at least 60 patients recruited from each participant institution regardless of their ambulatory or acutely decompensated condition. Ambulatory patients with confirmed HF diagnosis or inpatients presenting with acute decompensated HF will be included. Follow-up will be performed at 12 months in ambulatory patients or 1, 6, and 12 months after hospital discharge in acutely decompensated HF patients. This ongoing study began on 1 April 2022, with recruitment scheduled to end on 30 November 2023, and follow-up on 31 January 2025. Ethics approval was obtained from the Biomedical Research Ethics Committee of Fundación Valle del Lili. Data collected in the AMERICCAASS registry is being stored on the electronic platform REDCap (Research Electronic Data Capture), which allows different forms for patient groups to enable unbiased analyses. For quantitative variables comparison, we will use the Student's t-test or non-parametric tests accordingly. Categorical variables will be presented as proportions, and groups will be compared with Fisher's exact test. The significance level will be <0.05 for comparisons. Readmissions and post-discharge mortality will be calculated as proportions at 1, 6, and 12 months, with a survival analysis by conditional probability and the Kaplan-Meier method.

CONCLUSIONS

AMERICCAASS Registry is intended to be the most important registry of the continent for obtaining important information about demographics, aetiology, co-morbidities, and treatment received, either ambulatory or hospitalized. This registry may contribute to the optimization of national and regional evidence and public policies for the diagnosis and treatment of HF disease.

Survival and predictors of mortality in patients with heart failure in the cardiology department of the Center Hospitalier Basse Terre in Guadeloupe: historical cohort study

BACKGROUND

Despite the progress made in recent years in the treatment of Acute Heart Failure (AHF), its prognosis remains poor in the developing country. The objective of this study is to analyze the survival and predictors of mortality of patients with acute heart failure in the cardiology department of the Basse Terre Hospital Center in Guadeloupe.

METHODS

this was a historical cohort study carried out over a period from June 2021 to June 2022, targeting all acute heart failure patients undergoing cardiac monitoring in the cardiology department of the Basse Terre Hospital Center in Guadeloupe. Sociodemographic, clinical, biological characteristics and outcome (recovery or death) were studied. Survival was described using the Kaplan Meier method α = 5%.

RESULTS

this study involved 242 acute heart failure patients whose median age was 75 years and the majority were male (sex ratio 2 M/1F). Among these patients, 14.9% died, the most common cause of death was cardiogenic shock (52.8%). After adjustment, tobacco consumption (aHR: 2.90; 95% CI: 1.36-8.09), Chronic Kidney Disease (aHR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.22-5.20), infection (aHR: 2.14; 95CI %: 1.99-4.58), hyponatremia (aHR: 1.90; 95% CI: 1.10-2.86), mitral regurgitation (aHR: 3.04; 95% CI: 1.98-9.47) and N-terminal pro Brain Natriuretic Peptide > 10000ng/ml (aHR: 2.57; 95% CI: 1.21-5.49) were independently associated with the risk of death in heart failure patients.

CONCLUSION

Acute heart failure leads to high mortality, mainly due to cardiogenic shock and factors of multiple organ failure.

Dietary Sodium Intake and Outcomes: a Secondary Analysis From Sodium-HF

OBJECTIVES

This post hoc analysis of SODIUM-HF (Study of Dietary Intervention under 100 mmol in Heart Failure) assessed the association between baseline dietary sodium intake and change at 6 months with a composite of cardiovascular (CV) hospitalizations, emergency department visits and all-cause death at 12 and 24 months.

BACKGROUND

Dietary sodium restriction is common advice for patients with heart failure (HF). Randomized clinical trials have not shown a beneficial effect of dietary sodium restriction on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the association of dietary sodium intake measured at randomization with primary and secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

The study included 792 participants. Baseline sodium intake was ≤ 1500 mg/day in 19.9% (n = 158), 1501-3000 mg/day in 56.5% (n = 448) and > 3000 mg/day in 23.4% (n = 186) of participants. The factors associated with higher baseline sodium intake were higher calorie consumption, higher body mass index and recruitment from Canada. Multivariable analyses showed no association between baseline sodium intake nor magnitude of 6-month change or 12- or 24-month outcomes. In a responder analysis, participants achieving a sodium intake < 1500 mg at 6 months showed an association with a decreased risk for the composite outcome (adjusted HR 0.52 [95% CI 0.25, 1.07] P = 0.08) and CV hospitalization (adjusted HR 0.51 [95% CI 0.24, 1.09] P = 0.08) at 12 months.

CONCLUSION

There was no association between dietary sodium intake and clinical outcomes over 24 months in patients with HF. Responder analyses suggest the need for further investigation of the effects of sodium reduction in those who achieve the targeted dietary sodium-reduction level.

Comparative effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan versus angiotensin receptor blockers in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: A real-world study

PURPOSE

Sacubitril/valsartan (SAC/VAL) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) are recommended therapy for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), but little is known about their real-world comparative effectiveness among patients with HFpEF. The objective of this study was to determine the comparative effectiveness of SAC/VAL vs ARBs in preventing HF-related hospitalization or all-cause hospitalization among patients with HFpEF.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study using IBM MarketScan commercial and Medicare supplemental databases to identify patients aged 18 years or older with a diagnosis of HFpEF and initiation of SAC/VAL (2015-2020) or ARB (2009-2014) therapy. The index date was the date of the first SAC/VAL or ARB prescription fill. After propensity score (PS) matching with a ratio of 1 up to 3, Cox proportional hazards regression was used with robust variance estimators to compare the risks of HF-related hospitalization and all-cause hospitalization between the 2 therapies. Several subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to check the robustness of the main analysis.

RESULTS

After PS matching, 2,520 patients (846 receiving SAC/VAL and 1,674 receiving an ARB) were included in the final analyses. After controlling for covariates, there was no difference in the risk of HF-related hospitalization between SAC/VAL and ARB recipients (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.99-1.77). There was also no difference in the risk of all-cause hospitalization between SAC/VAL and ARB recipients (aHR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.91-1.24).

CONCLUSION

Among individuals with private or Medicare Advantage insurance plans, there was no significant difference in the risk of HF-related hospitalization or all-cause hospitalization between adults with HFpEF who received SAC/VAL and those who received ARB therapy.

Self-Administration of Aspirin After Chest Pain for the Prevention of Premature Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States: A Population-Based Analysis

BACKGROUND

Aspirin, an effective, low-cost pharmaceutical, can significantly reduce mortality if used promptly after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, many AMI survivors do not receive aspirin within a few hours of symptom onset. Our aim was to quantify the mortality benefit of self-administering aspirin at chest pain onset, considering the increased risk of bleeding and costs associated with widespread use.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We developed a population simulation model to determine the impact of self-administering 325 mg aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset. We created a synthetic cohort of adults ≥ 40 years old experiencing severe chest pain using 2019 US population estimates, AMI incidence, and sensitivity/specificity of chest pain for AMI. The number of annual deaths delayed was estimated using evidence from a large, randomized trial. We also estimated the years of life saved (YOLS), costs, and cost per YOLS. Initiating aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset delayed 13 016 (95% CI, 11 643-14 574) deaths annually, after accounting for deaths due to bleeding (963; 926-1003). This translated to an estimated 166 309 YOLS (149391-185 505) at the cost of $643 235 (633 944-653 010) per year, leading to a cost-effectiveness ratio of $3.70 (3.32-4.12) per YOLS.

CONCLUSIONS

For <$4 per YOLS, self-administration of aspirin within 4 hours of severe chest pain onset has the potential to save 13 000 lives per year in the US population. Benefits of reducing deaths post-AMI outweighed the risk of bleeding deaths from aspirin 10 times over.

Heart failure with mildly reduced and preserved ejection fraction: A review of disease burden and remaining unmet medical needs within a new treatment landscape

This review provides a comprehensive overview of heart failure with mildly reduced and preserved ejection fraction (HFmrEF/HFpEF), including its definition, diagnosis, and epidemiology; clinical, humanistic, and economic burdens; current pharmacologic landscape in key pharmaceutical markets; and unmet needs to identify key knowledge gaps. We conducted a targeted literature review in electronic databases and prioritized articles with valuable insights into HFmrEF/HFpEF. Overall, 27 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), 66 real-world evidence studies, 18 clinical practice guidelines, and 25 additional publications were included. Although recent heart failure (HF) guidelines set left ventricular ejection fraction thresholds to differentiate categories, characterization and diagnosis criteria vary because of the incomplete disease understanding. Recent epidemiological data are limited and diverse. Approximately 50% of symptomatic HF patients have HFpEF, more common than HFmrEF. Prevalence varies with country because of differing definitions and study characteristics, making prevalence interpretation challenging. HFmrEF/HFpEF has considerable mortality risk, and the mortality rate varies with study and patient characteristics and treatments. HFmrEF/HFpEF is associated with considerable morbidity, poor patient outcomes, and common comorbidities. Patients require frequent hospitalizations; therefore, early intervention is crucial to prevent disease burden. Recent RCTs show promising results like risk reduction of composite cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization. Costs data are scarce, but the economic burden is increasing. Despite new drugs, unmet medical needs requiring new treatments remain. Thus, HFmrEF/HFpEF is a growing global healthcare concern. With improving yet incomplete understanding of this disease and its promising treatments, further research is required for better patient outcomes.

Prognostic influence of weight loss on overweight/obese young heart failure patients

OBJECTIVES

To explore the prognostic influence of weight loss (WL) on young overweight/obesity (OW/OB) individuals with heart failure (HF).

METHODS

Heart failure enrollees (younger than 45 years, body mass index [BMI] of ≥25 kg/m2) who received medical treatment at Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Beijing, China, were classified into 2 groups according to whether they experienced significant WL (≥5% from baseline one year after discharge). One-year occurrence rate of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) comprising cardiac death and rehospitalization for HF was determined.

RESULTS

Of the 191 individuals recruited for this study, 47 had significant WL. The incidence of ischemic heart disease and obstructive sleep apnea syndrome, as well as BMI and blood pressure, were higher in those with significant WL compared to the control group. Although there was no noteworthy discrepancy in the occurrence of cardiac death between the 2 groups, significant WL correlated independently with a lower incidence of HF re-hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR]=0.32, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [0.11-0.91], p=0.032) and overall MACEs (HR=0.37, 95% CI: [0.14-0.94], p=0.036) in young OW/OB individuals with HF.

CONCLUSION

Significant WL may correlate with favorable prognosis in OW/OB young HF patients.

Management of Heart Failure in Hospitalized Patients

Heart failure affects more than 6 million people in the United States, and hospitalizations for decompensated heart failure confer a heavy toll in morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. Clinical trials have demonstrated effective interventions; however, hospitalization and mortality rates remain high. Key components of effective hospital care include appropriate diagnostic evaluation, triage and risk stratification, early implementation of guideline-directed medical therapy, adequate diuresis, and appropriate discharge planning.

MMP-2 Associates With Incident Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

MMP (matrix metalloproteinase)-2 participates in extracellular matrix regulation and may be involved in heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), and coronary heart disease.

METHODS

Among the 4693 ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) participants (mean age, 75±5 years; 42% women) without prevalent HF, multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate associations of plasma MMP-2 levels with incident HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction (≥50%), HF with reduced ejection fraction (<50%), AF, and coronary heart disease. Mediation of the association between MMP-2 and HF was assessed by censoring participants who developed AF or coronary heart disease before HF. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess associations of MMP-2 with measures of left ventricular and left atrial structure and function.

RESULTS

Compared with the 3 lower quartiles, the highest MMP-2 quartile associated with greater risk of incident HF overall (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.21-1.81]), incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (1.44 [95% CI, 1.07-1.94]), incident heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (1.48 [95% CI, 1.08-2.02]), and incident AF (1.44 [95% CI, 1.18-1.77]) but not incident coronary heart disease (0.97 [95% CI, 0.71-1.34]). Censoring AF attenuated the MMP-2 association with HF with preserved ejection fraction. Higher plasma MMP-2 levels were associated with larger left ventricular end-diastolic volume index, greater left ventricular mass index, higher E/e' ratio, larger left atrial volume index, and worse left atrial reservoir and contractile strains (all P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher plasma MMP-2 levels associate with diastolic dysfunction, left atrial dysfunction, and a higher risk of incident HF and AF. AF is a mediator of MMP-2-associated HF with preserved ejection fraction risk.

The association between erector spinae muscle content and chronic heart failure and its severity

AIMS

Previous studies have shown a significant reduction in skeletal muscle content in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). The present study focused on the erector spinae muscle (ESM) to determine whether ESM content is associated with the development and severity of CHF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 652 patients were included in this trial for the study. According to the diagnostic criteria of CHF, 652 patients were divided into two groups, namely, the control group (268 patients) and the CHF group (384 patients). Meanwhile, to assess whether the ESM is associated with the severity of CHF, patients in the CHF group were divided into two groups according to left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) values: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF, LVEF ≥50%, 256 patients) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF, LVEF ≤40%, 68 patients). Receiver operating curve analysis was performed to assess whether ESM content could predict CHF and determine its severity. Compared with the control group, the patients in the CHF group were older, the prevalence of coronary heart disease (CHD) and atrial fibrillation was higher, the colour ultrasound results showed that LVEF decreased significantly, and the left ventricular end-diastolic internal diameter and left ventricular end-systolic internal diameter increased significantly. Besides, patients in the CHF group had significantly lower ESM content, and ESM is an independent predictor of heart failure, with an odds ratio of 0.713 (CHF group vs. control group, 95% confidence interval 0.626-0.811, P < 0.001). Compared with the HFpEF group, the HFrEF group has a lower prevalence of CHD, LVEF decreased significantly, the left ventricular end-diastolic internal diameter and left ventricular end-systolic internal diameter increased significantly, also patients in the HFrEF group had significantly lower ESM content compared with patients in the HFpEF group, and ESM is an independent predictor of the severity of heart failure, with an odds ratio of 0.514 (HFrEF group vs. HFpEF group, 95% confidence interval (0.418-0.633, P < 0.05). The results of receiver operating curve analysis showed that the sensitivity and specificity of ESM content for the diagnosis of CHF were 65.6% and 71.6%, respectively, while the sensitivity and specificity of ESM content for predicting the severity of CHF were 47.1% and 89.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The ESM is of great value in predicting the onset and severity of CHF.

The Diagnostic Accuracy of N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Soluble ST2 for Heart Failure in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients: A Comparative Analysis

BACKGROUND N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels are often markedly elevated in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Identifying novel biomarkers is an important step toward effective diagnosis. Interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 (IL1RL1) protein and human/Soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2) are promising biomarkers for heart failure (HF). This study aimed to assess the trend of NT-proBNP and sST2 in chronic kidney disease and their diagnostic value for HF. MATERIAL AND METHODS This study was carried out on 420 patients who were divided into a no heart failure group (N=182) and a heart failure group (N=238). Spearman correlation analysis was used to test the association of sST2 and NT-proBNP with renal function. The diagnostic value of each biomarker was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves according to 3 different forms: Total group (n=420), non-CKD group (n=217), and CKD group (n=203). RESULTS A striking correlation between eGFR and NT-proBNP (r=-0.525; P<0.001) seemed to be far stronger than that with sST2 (r=-0.147; P<0.05). The optimum cutoff points for sST2 and NT-proBNP to detect HF were 28.960 ng/mL and 1280 pg/mL, respectively, in total, 28.71 ng/mL and 481 pg/mL, respectively, in non-CKD patients, and 30.55 ng/mL and 3314 pg/mL, respectively, in CKD patients. The combined model of sST2 and NT-proBNP was superior to the model of sST2 or NT-proBNP alone, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS The diagnostic value of sST2 is less affected by decreased renal function. sST2 combined with NT-proBNP may improve the diagnostic accuracy of HF.

Association between cardiac conditions with venous leg ulcers in patients with chronic venous insufficiency

INTRODUCTION

Venous leg ulcers (VLUs) are the final stage of chronic venous insufficiency. This study aims to characterize the association between cardiovascular diseases and VLU.

METHODS

A multicentric case-control study analyzed 17,788 patients between 2015 and 2020. Cases were matched (1:2) by age and sex, and odds ratios (OR) were analyzed with conditional logistic regressions adjusted by risk factors.

RESULTS

The prevalence of VLU was 15.2%. 2390 cases were analyzed. Diseases found to be associated with VLU were atrial fibrillation (OR, 1.21; 95% CI: 1.03-1.42), pulmonary hypertension (OR, 1.45; 95% CI: 1.06-2.00), right heart failure (OR, 1.27; 95% CI: 1.13-1.43), peripheral artery disease (OR, 2.21; 95% CI: 1.90-2.56), and history of pulmonary embolism (OR, 1.45; 95% CI: 1.06-2.00).

CONCLUSIONS

Certain cardiovascular conditions showed an association with VLU. Further studies are warranted to evaluate the effect that treating concomitant cardiovascular diseases might exert on the natural history of venous leg ulcers.

Trends in pharmacotherapy utilization among patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Study objective

Half of patients with heart failure have preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Over the years, guidelines have recommended or advised against various therapies for HFpEF management. However, there is limited evidence on the trends in utilization of the various medications. The aim of this study was to examine the trends in the use of pharmacotherapies among patients with HFpEF from 2008 through 2020.

Design

Retrospective cohort study of patients with HFpEF used MarketScan® Commercial and Medicare Supplemental Databases (2007-2020).

Participants

Patients with HFpEF.

Outcome measures

Utilization rates for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs), angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNIs), aldosterone receptor antagonists (ARAs), diuretics, β-blockers, calcium channel blockers (CCBs), phosphodiesterase 5 inhibitors (PDE5Is), nitrates, digoxin, and sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) within 90 days of the first HFpEF diagnosis.

Results

We identified 156,730 patients with HFpEF (mean [SD] age, 73 [13.4] years; 57 % females). From 2008 to 2020, we found increased utilization rates for ARNIs (0.02 % vs. 0.17 % of all patients, p < 0.01), ARBs (14.3 % vs. 18.6 %, p < 0.01), ARAs (7.0 % vs. 8.4 %, p < 0.01), CCBs (30.6 % vs. 33.4 %, p < 0.01), and SGLT2i (0.001 % vs. 0.021 %, p < 0.01). By contrast, the utilization of ACEIs (30.4 % vs. 20.5 %, p < 0.01), digoxin (9.5 % vs. 2.4 %, p < 0.01), nitrates (10.7 % vs. 4.9 %, p < 0.01), diuretics (54.1 % vs. 50.4 %, p = 0.20), and β-blockers (52.6 % vs. 51.7 %, p < 0.01) decreased, while utilization rates of PDE5Is remained stable (1.5 % vs. 1.1 %, p = 0.90) .

Conclusions

During the 13-year study period, the utilization of ARNIs, ARBs, ARAs, CCBs, and SGLT2i increased while the utilization of digoxin, nitrates, diuretics, and β-blockers decreased among patients with HFpEF.

Establishment and validation of a torsade de pointes prediction model based on human iPSC‑derived cardiomyocytes

Drug-induced cardiotoxicity is one of the main causes of drug failure, which leads to subsequent withdrawal from pharmaceutical development. Therefore, identifying the potential toxic candidate in the early stages of drug development is important. Human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (hiPSC-CMs) are a useful tool for assessing candidate compounds for arrhythmias. However, a suitable model using hiPSC-CMs to predict the risk of torsade de pointes (TdP) has not been fully established. The present study aimed to establish a predictive TdP model based on hiPSC-CMs. In the current study, 28 compounds recommended by the Comprehensive in vitro Proarrhythmia Assay (CiPA) were used as training set and models were established in different risk groups, high- and intermediate-risk versus low-risk groups. Subsequently, six endpoints of electrophysiological responses were used as potential model predictors. Accuracy, sensitivity and area under the curve (AUC) were used as evaluation indices of the models and seven compounds with known TdP risk were used to verify model differentiation and calibration. The results showed that among the seven models, the AUC of logistic regression and AdaBoost model was higher and had little difference in both training and test sets, which indicated that the discriminative ability and model stability was good and excellent, respectively. Therefore, these two models were taken as submodels, similar weight was configured and a new TdP risk prediction model was constructed using a soft voting strategy. The classification accuracy, sensitivity and AUC of the new model were 0.93, 0.95 and 0.92 on the training set, respectively and all 1.00 on the test set, which indicated good discrimination ability on both training and test sets. The risk threshold was defined as 0.50 and the consistency between the predicted and observed results were 92.8 and 100% on the training and test sets, respectively. Overall, the present study established a risk prediction model for TdP based on hiPSC-CMs which could be an effective predictive tool for compound-induced arrhythmias.

Temporal trends in characteristics, treatment, and outcomes of heart failure in octogenarians over two decades

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Octogenarians represent the most rapidly expanding population segment in Europe. The prevalence of heart failure (HF) in this group exceeds 10%. We assessed changes in clinical characteristics, therapy, and 1-year outcomes over 2 decades in chronic HF outpatients aged ≥ 80 years enrolled in a nationwide cardiology registry.

METHODS

We included 2520 octogenarians with baseline echocardiographic ejection fraction measurements and available 1-year follow-up, who were recruited at 138 HF outpatient clinics (21% of national hospitals with cardiology units), across 3 enrolment periods (1999-2005, 2006-2011, 2012-2018).

RESULTS

At recruitment, over the 3 study periods, there was an increase in age, body mass index, ejection fraction, the prevalence of obesity, diabetes, dyslipidemia, pre-existing hypertension, and atrial fibrillation history. The proportion of patients with preserved ejection fraction rose from 19.4% to 32.7% (P for trend <.0001). Markers of advanced disease became less prevalent. Prescription of beta-blockers and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists increased over time. During the 1-year follow-up, 308 patients died (12.2%) and 360 (14.3%) were admitted for cardiovascular causes; overall, 591 (23.5%) met the combined primary endpoint of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular hospitalization. On adjusted multivariable analysis, enrolment in 2006 to 2011 (HR, 0.70; 95%CI, 0.55-0.90; P=.004) and 2012 to 2018 (HR, 0.61; 95%CI, 0.47-0.79; P=.0002) carried a lower risk of the primary outcome than recruitment in 1999 to 2005.

CONCLUSIONS

Among octogenarians, over 2 decades, risk factor prevalence increased, management strategies improved, and survival remained stable, but the proportion hospitalized for cardiovascular causes declined. Despite increasing clinical complexity, in cardiology settings the burden of hospitalizations in the oldest old with chronic HF is declining.

Temporal trends in characteristics, treatment, and outcomes of heart failure in octogenarians over two decades

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Octogenarians represent the most rapidly expanding population segment in Europe. The prevalence of heart failure (HF) in this group exceeds 10%. We assessed changes in clinical characteristics, therapy, and 1-year outcomes over 2 decades in chronic HF outpatients aged ≥ 80 years enrolled in a nationwide cardiology registry.

METHODS

We included 2520 octogenarians with baseline echocardiographic ejection fraction measurements and available 1-year follow-up, who were recruited at 138 HF outpatient clinics (21% of national hospitals with cardiology units), across 3 enrolment periods (1999-2005, 2006-2011, 2012-2018).

RESULTS

At recruitment, over the 3 study periods, there was an increase in age, body mass index, ejection fraction, the prevalence of obesity, diabetes, dyslipidemia, pre-existing hypertension, and atrial fibrillation history. The proportion of patients with preserved ejection fraction rose from 19.4% to 32.7% (P for trend <.0001). Markers of advanced disease became less prevalent. Prescription of beta-blockers and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists increased over time. During the 1-year follow-up, 308 patients died (12.2%) and 360 (14.3%) were admitted for cardiovascular causes; overall, 591 (23.5%) met the combined primary endpoint of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular hospitalization. On adjusted multivariable analysis, enrolment in 2006 to 2011 (HR, 0.70; 95%CI, 0.55-0.90; P=.004) and 2012 to 2018 (HR, 0.61; 95%CI, 0.47-0.79; P=.0002) carried a lower risk of the primary outcome than recruitment in 1999 to 2005.

CONCLUSIONS

Among octogenarians, over 2 decades, risk factor prevalence increased, management strategies improved, and survival remained stable, but the proportion hospitalized for cardiovascular causes declined. Despite increasing clinical complexity, in cardiology settings the burden of hospitalizations in the oldest old with chronic HF is declining.

Effect of Lycopene Supplementation on Some Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Markers of Endothelial Function in Iranian Patients with Ischemic Heart Failure: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Aim

This study aimed to explore if supplementary lycopene tablets may help heart failure (HF) patients improve their lipid profile, BP, and the flow-mediated dilation (FMD) index for endothelial function.

Methods

Fifty patients with ischemic HF with a reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were randomly assigned to one of two groups: the lycopene group which received 25 mg lycopene tablets once a day for 8 weeks and the control group which received placebo tablets containing starch once a day for 8 weeks.

Results

Our results showed that after two months, the amount of triglyceride (TG) and FMD improved significantly compared to the control, TG decreased (219.27 vs. 234.24), and the mean of FMD increased (5.68 vs. 2.95). Other variables, including total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density cholesterol (HDL-C), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), showed no improvement. Also, only SBP and FMD showed intragroup improvement in the intervention group. In the intervention group, only SBP and FMD exhibited intragroup improvement.

Conclusions

It can be concluded that supplementing with lycopene can enhance endothelial function and reduce the TG levels in ischemic HFrEF patients. However, it had no positive effect on BP, TC, LDL-C, or HDL-C. Trial Registration. This clinical trial was registered at the Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials with IRCT registration number: IRCT20210614051574N4.

Current Status of Dapagliflozin in Congestive Heart Failure

Heart failure is a prominent clinical condition and a top concern as a widespread health issue. The incidence of heart failure is rising alarmingly on a global scale. Heart failure significantly strains the whole healthcare system financially, degrading the patient's quality of life and increasing the risk of morbidity and mortality. Heart failure treatment has changed over time with ongoing research and the development of new medications and equipment.

Recently, the FDA and European Union (EU) approved the drug dapagliflozin, which is an inhibitor of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT-2i), for treating people with cardiovascular conditions and symptomatic heart failure (HF). In this review article, we will find out whether Dapagliflozin, when given at a dose of 10 mg/day in people with type 2 diabetes and in those without type 2 diabetes who have or are at risk for atherosclerotic alterations, can considerably lower the risk of cardiovascular mortality or hospitalization for HF. In the presence of concomitant HF therapies, dapagliflozin's benefits remained. Dapagliflozin's overall safety profile was comparable to its safety profile for other applications. It was often well tolerated in patients in a study group. In this review article, dapagliflozin is found to be the well-tolerated and effective novel treatment of choice for symptomatic HF. Because of the scarcity of research on dapagliflozin, it was necessary to provide data to help reduce the mortality of patients while providing further guidance on the clinical medication of dapagliflozin. 

Development of Advanced Heart Failure: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Some patients with heart failure (HF) will go on to develop advanced HF, characterized by severe HF symptoms despite attempts to optimize medical therapy. The goals of this study were to examine the risk of developing advanced HF in patients with newly diagnosed HF, identify risk factors for developing advanced HF, and evaluate the impact of advanced HF on outcomes.

METHODS

This was a population-based, retrospective cohort study of Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents with a new clinical diagnosis of HF between 2007 and 2017. Risk factors for the development of advanced HF (2018 European Society of Cardiology criteria) were examined using cause-specific Cox proportional hazard regression models. The associations of development of advanced HF with risks of hospitalization and mortality were examined using the Andersen-Gill and Cox models, respectively.

RESULTS

There were 4597 residents with incident HF from 2007 to 2017. The cumulative incidence of advanced HF was 11.5% (95% CI, 10.5%-12.5%) at 6 years after incident HF diagnosis overall and was 14.4% (95% CI, 12.3%-16.9%), 11.4% (95% CI, 8.9%-14.6%), and 11.7% (95% CI, 10.3%-13.2%) in patients with incident HF with reduced, mildly reduced, and preserved ejection fraction, respectively. Key demographics, comorbidities, and echocardiographic characteristics were independently associated with the development of advanced HF. Development of advanced HF was associated with increased risks of all-cause hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.0 [95% CI, 2.7-3.4]; P<0.001), HF hospitalization (hazard ratio, 10.2 [95% CI, 8.7-12.1]), all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 5.0 [95% CI, 4.5-5.6]; P<0.001), and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 7.8 [95% CI, 6.7-9.1]).

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based study, development of advanced HF was common and was associated with markedly increased morbidity and mortality.

Construction of a Non-Mutually Exclusive Decision Tree for Medication Recommendation of Chronic Heart Failure

Objective: Although guidelines have recommended standardized drug treatment for heart failure (HF), there are still many challenges in making the correct clinical decisions due to the complicated clinical situations of HF patients. Each patient would satisfy several recommendations, meaning the decision tree of HF treatment should be nonmutually exclusive, and the same patient would be allocated to several leaf nodes in the decision tree. In the current study, we aim to propose a way to ensemble a nonmutually exclusive decision tree for recommendation system for complicated diseases, such as HF.

Methods: The nonmutually exclusive decision tree was constructed via knowledge rules summarized from the HF clinical guidelines. Then similar patients were defined as those who followed the same pattern of leaf node allocation according to the decision tree. The frequent medication patterns for each similar patient were mined using the Apriori algorithms, and we also carried out the outcome prognosis analyses to show the capability for the evidence-based medication recommendations of our nonmutually exclusive decision tree.

Results: Based on a large database that included 29,689 patients with 84,705 admissions, we tested the framework for HF treatment recommendation. In the constructed decision tree, the HF treatment recommendations were grouped into two independent parts. The first part was recommendations for new cases, and the second part was recommendations when patients had different historical medication. There are 14 leaf nodes in our decision tree, and most of the leaf nodes had a guideline adherence of around 90%. We reported the top 10 popular similar patients, which accounted for 32.84% of the whole population. In addition, the multiple outcome prognosis analyses were carried out to assess the medications for one of the subgroups of similar patients. Our results showed even for the subgroup of the same similar patients that no one medication pattern would benefit all outcomes.

Conclusion: In the present study, the methodology to construct a nonmutually exclusive decision tree for medication recommendations for HF and its application in CDSS was proposed. Our framework is universal for most diseases and could be generally applied in developing the CDSS for treatment.

Age-related changes in clinical characteristics and outcomes of chronic heart failure outpatients in a cardiology setting. A report from the Italian Network on Heart Failure

AIMS

Ageing and comorbidities are increasing frailty/complexity of heart failure (HF) patients globally. We assessed evolving trends over two decades according to patients' age and time of recruitment in a nationwide cardiology setting in Italy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Chronic HF outpatients recruited between 1999 and 2018 (N = 14,823) were divided into 3 cohorts: 1999-2005 (N = 5404); 2006-2011 (N = 3971); 2012-2018 (N = 5448). We analyzed temporal changes in clinical characteristics, therapies, and outcome (1-year all-cause mortality/cardiovascular hospitalization), overall and by age group: <65 (n = 5465); 65-79 (n = 6838); ≥80 (n = 2520) years old. Across enrolment epochs, comorbidities (atrial fibrillation, hypertension, obesity) increased by both epoch/age groups (p < 0.001), whereas the prevalence of ischemic etiology declined among patients ≥65 years (p = 0.05). Accordingly, the preserved LVEF phenotype (HFpEF) increased in all age categories (p < 0.001) over time. Moreover, the use of betablockers, mineralocorticoid-receptor antagonists and loop-diuretics rose by enrolment epoch in all age groups (p < 0.05). In parallel with these epidemiologic/treatment changes, age-adjusted survival free from cardiovascular hospitalization improved over time (p < 0.0001). However, divergent trends in the end-point components were apparent according to age groups: mortality decreased in patients<80 years, although hospitalizations remained stable in the youngest group, while subjects ≥65 years were less likely to be admitted for cardiovascular causes (all p < 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Over two decades in a cardiology outpatient setting, the prevalence of comorbid HFpEF increased in all age categories. Mortality improved among patients<80 years and cardiovascular hospitalizations decreased in patients≥65 years. These findings point to the value of cardiologist' input in the management of adult chronic HF patients at all ages.

Hierarchical management of chronic heart failure: a perspective based on the latent structure of comorbidities

AIMS

Chronic heart failure (CHF) has an increasing burden of comorbidities, which affect clinical outcomes. Few studies have focused on the clustering and hierarchical management of patients with CHF based on comorbidity. This study aimed to explore the cluster model of CHF patients based on comorbidities and to verify their relationship with clinical outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Electronic health records of patients hospitalized with CHF from January 2014 to April 2019 were collected, and 12 common comorbidities were included in the latent class analysis. The Fruchterman-Reingold layout was used to draw the comorbidity network, and analysis of variance was used to compare the weighted degrees among them. The incidence of clinical outcomes among different clusters was presented on Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using the log-rank test, and the hazard ratio was calculated using the Cox proportional risk model. Sensitivity analysis was performed according to the left ventricular ejection fraction. Four different clinical clusters from 4063 total patients were identified: metabolic, ischaemic, high comorbidity burden, and elderly-atrial fibrillation. Compared with the metabolic cluster, patients in the high comorbidity burden cluster had the highest adjusted risk of combined outcome and all-cause mortality {1.67 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.40-1.99] and 2.87 [95% CI, 2.17-3.81], respectively}, followed by the elderly-atrial fibrillation and ischaemic clusters. The adjusted readmission risk of patients with ischaemic, high comorbidity burden, and elderly-atrial fibrillation clusters were 1.35 (95% CI, 1.08-1.68), 1.39 (95% CI, 1.13-1.72), and 1.42 (95% CI, 1.14-1.77), respectively. The comorbidity network analysis found that patients in the high comorbidity burden cluster had more and higher comorbidity correlations than those in other clusters. Sensitivity analysis revealed that patients in the high comorbidity burden cluster had the highest risk of combined outcome and all-cause mortality (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The difference in adverse outcomes among clusters confirmed the heterogeneity of CHF and the importance of hierarchical management. This study can provide a basis for personalized treatment and management of patients with CHF, and provide a new perspective for clinical decision making.

Impact of the Look-Back Period on Identifying Recurrent Myocardial Infarctions in the Danish National Patient Registry

Purpose

Studies examining myocardial infarction (MI) often seek to include only incident MIs by excluding recurrent MIs. When based on historical data, identification of previous MI depends on the length of the look-back period. However, international registries often cover a short time period, consequently containing left-censored data, making it impossible to determine if a first MI in a period is truly an incident MI. We evaluated whether the proportion of MIs identified as recurrent MIs depends on the look-back period, and how including recurrent MIs in a planned incident MI cohort impacts survival estimates.

Patients and Methods

We used the Danish National Patient Registry, covering all Danish hospitals since 1977 to identify first MIs during 2010–2016 (index events). The hospital registry history preceding the index event was then searched for previous MIs. We plotted the proportion of index events identified as recurrent MIs as a function of the look-back period. Moreover, we calculated 5-year all-cause mortality and confidence intervals (CIs) using the 1-Kaplan–Meier method for five cohorts based on the index events and defined by look-back periods of 0, 5, 10, 20, and up to 39 years.

Results

Among 63,885 index events, 3.4% were identified as recurrent MIs with 5 years of look-back, 7.9% with 10 years, 14% with 24 years, and 15% with up to 39 years. All-cause mortality risk was 36% (95% CI: 36–37%) with 0 years of look-back, 35% (95% CI: 35–36%) with 5 years, 35% (95% CI: 35–36%) with 10 years, 34% (95% CI: 34–35%) with 20 years, and 34% (95% CI: 33–34%) with up to 39 years.

Conclusion

Most recurrent MIs were identified with a look-back period of 24 years. Including recurrent MIs in a planned incident MI cohort, due to shorter look-back periods, overestimated the mortality risk.

PUFA Supplementation and Heart Failure: Effects on Fibrosis and Cardiac Remodeling

Heart failure (HF) characterized by cardiac remodeling is a condition in which inflammation and fibrosis play a key role. Dietary supplementation with n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) seems to produce good results. In fact, eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) have anti-inflammatory and antioxidant properties and different cardioprotective mechanisms. In particular, following their interaction with the nuclear factor erythropoietin 2 related factor 2 (NRF2), the free fatty acid receptor 4 (Ffar4) receptor, or the G-protein coupled receptor 120 (GPR120) fibroblast receptors, they inhibit cardiac fibrosis and protect the heart from HF onset. Furthermore, n-3 PUFAs increase the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), reduce global longitudinal deformation, E/e ratio (early ventricular filling and early mitral annulus velocity), soluble interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 (sST2) and high-sensitive C Reactive protein (hsCRP) levels, and increase flow-mediated dilation. Moreover, lower levels of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and serum norepinephrine (sNE) are reported and have a positive effect on cardiac hemodynamics. In addition, they reduce cardiac remodeling and inflammation by protecting patients from HF onset after myocardial infarction (MI). The positive effects of PUFA supplementation are associated with treatment duration and a daily dosage of 1–2 g. Therefore, both the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) define dietary supplementation with n-3 PUFAs as an effective therapy for reducing the risk of hospitalization and death in HF patients. In this review, we seek to highlight the most recent studies related to the effect of PUFA supplementation in HF. For that purpose, a PubMed literature survey was conducted with a focus on various in vitro and in vivo studies and clinical trials from 2015 to 2021.

Epidemiology of Heart Failure: A Contemporary Perspective

Designated as an emerging epidemic in 1997, heart failure (HF) remains a major clinical and public health problem. This review focuses on the most recent studies identified by searching the Medline database for publications with the subject headings HF, epidemiology, prevalence, incidence, trends between 2010 and present. Publications relevant to epidemiology and population sciences were retained for discussion in this review after reviewing abstracts for relevance to these topics. Studies of the epidemiology of HF over the past decade have improved our understanding of the HF syndrome and of its complexity. Data suggest that the incidence of HF is mostly flat or declining but that the burden of mortality and hospitalization remains mostly unabated despite significant ongoing efforts to treat and manage HF. The evolution of the case mix of HF continues to be characterized by an increasing proportion of cases with preserved ejection fraction, for which established effective treatments are mostly lacking. Major disparities in the occurrence, presentation, and outcome of HF persist particularly among younger Black men and women. These disturbing trends reflect the complexity of the HF syndrome, the insufficient mechanistic understanding of its various manifestations and presentations and the challenges of its management as a chronic disease, often integrated within a context of aging and multimorbidity. Emerging risk factors including omics science offer the promise of discovering new mechanistic pathways that lead to HF. Holistic management approaches must recognize HF as a syndemic and foster the implementation of multidisciplinary approaches to address major contributors to the persisting burden of HF including multimorbidity, aging, and social determinants of health.

Model-based comorbidity clusters in patients with heart failure: association with clinical outcomes and healthcare utilization

BACKGROUND

Comorbidities affect outcomes in heart failure (HF), but are not reflected in current HF classification. The aim of this study is to characterize HF groups that account for higher-order interactions between comorbidities and to investigate the association between comorbidity groups and outcomes.

METHODS

Latent class analysis (LCA) was performed on 12 comorbidities from patients with HF identified from administrative claims data in the USA (OptumLabs Data Warehouse®) between 2008 and 2018. Associations with admission to hospital and mortality were assessed with Cox regression. Negative binomial regression was used to examine rates of healthcare use.

RESULTS

In a population of 318,384 individuals, we identified five comorbidity clusters, named according to their dominant features: low-burden, metabolic-vascular, anemic, ischemic, and metabolic. Compared to the low-burden group (minimal comorbidities), patients in the metabolic-vascular group (exhibiting a pattern of diabetes, obesity, and vascular disease) had the worst prognosis for admission (HR 2.21, 95% CI 2.17-2.25) and death (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.74-2.01), followed by the ischemic, anemic, and metabolic groups. The anemic group experienced an intermediate risk of admission (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.44-1.54) and death (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.30-1.64). Healthcare use also varied: the anemic group had the highest rate of outpatient visits, compared to the low-burden group (IRR 2.11, 95% CI 2.06-2.16); the metabolic-vascular and ischemic groups had the highest rate of admissions (IRR 2.11, 95% CI 2.08-2.15, and 2.11, 95% CI 2.07-2.15) and healthcare costs.

CONCLUSIONS

These data demonstrate the feasibility of using LCA to classify HF based on comorbidities alone and should encourage investigation of multidimensional approaches in comorbidity management to reduce admission and mortality risk among patients with HF.