When fear backfires: Emergency department accesses during the Covid-19 pandemic

Chat-GPT in triage: Still far from surpassing human expertise - An observational study

BACKGROUND

Triage is essential in emergency departments (EDs) to prioritize patient care based on clinical urgency. Recent investigations have explored the role of large language models (LLMs) in triage, but their effectiveness compared to human triage remains uncertain. This study assessed the effectiveness of ChatGPT 4.0 in triaging ED patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed data from 2658 patients. Triage codes assigned by human triage personnel were compared with those assigned by Artificial Intelligence (AI) triage using Chat-GPT 4.0. Agreement between human and AI triage was assessed using Cohen's kappa statistic. Clinical outcomes were evaluated through Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves to determine predictive accuracy. Sensitivity and specificity of both triage systems were compared across different symptoms using 2 × 2 contingency tables.

RESULTS

The Cohen's kappa statistic for agreement between human and AI triage was 0.125 (95 % CI: 0.100-0.134). ROC analysis demonstrated that human triage outperformed AI in predicting all study outcomes, with statistically significant differences. For 30-day mortality, the ROC of human triage was 0.88, while for AI triage it was 0.70, p < 0.001. A similar result was observed for life-saving interventions, where human triage had an ROC of 0.98 and AI triage 0.87, p = 0.014. For specific symptoms, human triage showed superior sensitivity and specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

LLMs like Chat-GPT 4.0 have limited utility in ED triage, particularly due to their lower sensitivity for high-risk patients, which lead to under-triage. Human triage remains more reliable than Chat-GPT.

The COVID-19 Pandemic and the Hospital Surge Preparedness and Response Index: A Retrospective Study in an Italian Hospital

OBJECTIVE

To quantitatively assess key performance indicator changes between selected pre-pandemic and pandemic periods at the Sant'Anna Hospital emergency department (ED) in Como, Italy through the retrospective use of Hospital Surge Preparedness and Response index (HSPRI).

METHODS

This study collected the average length of stay (LOS), time-to-physician initial assessment (TPIA), and left-without-being seen (LWBS) rates for 2 pre-pandemic (control group) and 3 pandemic periods (study group) in the COVID ED (C-ED) dedicated to treat COVID-19 patients and the non-COVID ED (NC-ED) dedicated to non-COVID cases. Quantitative analysis was based on hypothesis testing. A retrospective qualitative theme and subtheme analysis based on the HSPRI was conducted on baseline strategies before each pandemic period and on the actions implemented thereafter.

RESULTS

LOS increased across all pandemic periods. TPIA decreased in the first 2 pandemic periods in comparison to pre-pandemic. LWBS decreased between pre-pandemic and pandemic periods. Of the 22 action items listed in the HSPRI, 8 were implemented in the first pandemic period, 8 in the second and 1 in the third, for a total of 17 items.

CONCLUSIONS

The HSPRI demonstrated value as a tool for a hospital staff to actively utilize during a pandemic to identify KPI triggers to formulate actions to maintain pre-pandemic care or ameliorate the deterioration of care during the pandemic.

Diverging trends in alcohol-related harms: The role of comorbid mental health, suicide and self-harm behaviors in ambulance attendances for alcohol intoxication during the COVID-19 pandemic in Victoria, Australia

BACKGROUND

Alcohol harms changed significantly during COVID-19, but did not affect the population equally. Vulnerable groups including people with pre-existing mental health or suicidal behaviors may be at greater risk of alcohol-related harms, yet limited public health data are able to assess these.

METHODS

The present study utilised a novel, statewide surveillance system to examine ambulance attendances for alcohol intoxication over a four-year period prior to, and during the strictest lockdowns in Victoria, Australia.

RESULTS

While there was an overall reduction in alcohol-related attendances during lockdown (n = 15,064) compared to the 2018-19 period (n = 16,989), alcohol- intoxication attendances involving mental health symptoms increased by 40 % in Melbourne (IRR: 1.40 [1.30-1.51], p < 0.001), and by 25 % in regional Victoria (IRR: 1.25 [1.07-1.44], p = 0.005).There was also a 7 % increase in alcohol-intoxication attendances with co-morbid suicidal behaviors in Melbourne (IRR: 1.07 95%CI [1.02-1.13], p = 0.006), and a 21 % increase in regional Victoria (IRR: 1.21 [1.08-1.35], p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that extra services and supports for individuals with co-morbid alcohol-related harms are required to ensure their clinical care needs are being met.

Rising out-of-hospital mortality in Canada during 2020‒2022: A striking impact observed among young adults

OBJECTIVE

Out-of-hospital mortality rates surged during the early COVID-19 pandemic. While expecting a return to pre-pandemic levels, the evolving patterns of out-of-hospital mortality in Canada remain uncertain. We investigated whether these rates returned to pre-pandemic levels.

METHODS

This retrospective study, employing linked administrative data, analyzed out-of-hospital mortality trends among adult residents in Ontario, Alberta, and Nova Scotia. Interrupted time series analysis assessed trends in age- and sex-standardized rates/100,000/quarter during pre-pandemic (April 2014-March 2020) and pandemic periods (April 2020-March 2022), while considering April to June 2020 as the pandemic onset period. Crude mortality rates were also examined, stratified by sex and age groups.

RESULTS

Pre-pandemic, Ontario's standardized out-of-hospital mortality rates were rising, while Alberta's and Nova Scotia's remained stable. At the pandemic onset, all provinces experienced significant increases in standardized out-of-hospital mortality rates/100,000 (Ontario: β 14.6, 95% CI [3.97, 25.22]; Alberta: 21.3, 95% CI [9.26, 33.34]; Nova Scotia: 10.5, 95% CI [1.06, 19.88]). During the pandemic, standardized out-of-hospital mortality rates/100,000/quarter remained above pre-pandemic levels, with no significant departure from the increased pandemic onset levels (Ontario: - 1.6, 95% CI [- 3.63, 0.52]; Alberta: 0.45, 95% CI [- 1.47, 2.36]; Nova Scotia: - 0.06, 95% CI [- 2.18, 2.06]). Crude out-of-hospital mortality rates increased most prominently among individuals aged 18 to 45 in Alberta and Ontario, and among males across all provinces.

CONCLUSION

The sustained increase in out-of-hospital mortality, observed from the pandemic's onset, spanning more than 2 years, potentially suggests its persistent direct and indirect effects on population health in Canada.

Acute coronary syndrome rates by age and sex before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel: nationwide study

BACKGROUND

There have been reports of sharp declines in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study aims to assess nationwide ACS emergency department (ED) visit rates across age and sex subgroups and the general population, with a comparison before and throughout the pandemic's various phases.

METHODS

A multiple interrupted time series analysis was used to assess 61 349 ACS nationwide hospital visits from January 2018 to December 2021 at monthly intervals. The study period was divided into three periods: January 2018-February 2020 (pre-pandemic period); March 2020-January 2021 (early-pandemic period); February 2021-December 2021 (late-pandemic period). Segmented regression with a seasonally adjusted autoregressive moving average structure was used to build predictive models with an estimated reference trendline (counterfactual).

RESULTS

Over 11 months of the early-pandemic period (lockdowns), the largest decrease in visits was seen in women aged 65 and above, of 18.4% [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77-0.86]. The lowest decrease was observed in men aged 25-64, of 7.2% (IRR 0.93; 0.91-0.94). During the late-pandemic period, which included high vaccination coverage and no lockdowns, the largest further decrease was in women aged 25-64 of 20.1% (IRR 0.80; 0.75-0.84) on average.

CONCLUSIONS

The pandemic influenced ACS ED visits variably, with substantial declines during phases of high COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. Older individuals, particularly women, demonstrated the largest decrease in ACS ED visits, highlighting the need for tailored public health strategies to maintain public confidence in access to critical care during future health emergencies.

Emergency Departments in Contemporary Healthcare: Are They Still for Emergencies? An Analysis of over 1 Million Attendances

BACKGROUND

Over the past few decades, emergency departments (EDs) have experienced an increasing workload. However, the variation in the types of patient accesses to these departments remains poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the 5-year temporal trend in the volume of patients attending EDs based on the urgency of their conditions.

METHODS

This multicenter observational retrospective study was conducted from 1 January 2019, to 31 December 2023, across seven Italian EDs located within the same province. All patients accessing the EDs during the study period were included, totaling 1,282,735 patients. The triage code was used as an urgency index; non-urgent patients were defined as those who received a code 4 or 5 in triage, while urgent patients were defined as those who received a code 3, 2, or 1 in triage. Temporal analyses of admissions were conducted, also evaluating individual age groups to understand behavior over time.

RESULTS

From 2019 to 2023, there was a significant 10% increase in ED attendances by non-urgent patients. This increase was observed during both daytime and nighttime shifts. Notably, all age groups showed an increase in non-urgent patients, except for pediatric patients aged 0 to 14.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past 5 years, there has been a consistent upward trend in ED attendances by non-urgent patients. Healthcare policies should consider implementing strategies to manage or mitigate the overload in EDs, particularly related to non-urgent patient accesses.

Development and validation of a nomogram for assessing comorbidity and frailty in triage: a multicentre observational study

Assessing patient frailty in the Emergency Department (ED) is crucial; however, triage frailty and comorbidity assessment scores developed in recent years are unsatisfactory. The underlying causes of this phenomenon could reside in the nature of the tools used, which were not designed specifically for the emergency context and, thus, are difficult to adapt to the emergency environment. The objective of this study was to create and internally validate a nomogram for identifying different levels of patient frailty during triage. Multicenter, prospective, observational exploratory study conducted in two ED. The study was conducted from April 1 to October 31, 2022. Following the triage assessment, the nurse collected variables related to the patient's comorbidities and chronic conditions using a predefined form. The primary outcome was the 90-day mortality rate. A total of 1345 patients were enrolled in this study; 6% died within 90 days. In the multivariate analysis, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, an altered motor condition, an altered cognitive condition, an autonomous chronic condition, arrival in an ambulance, and a previous hospitalization within 90 days were independently associated with death. The internal validation of the nomogram reported an area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.91 (95% CI 0.884-0.937). A nomogram was created for assessing comorbidity and frailty during triage and was demonstrated to be capable of determining comorbidity and frailty in the ED setting. Integrating a tool capable of identifying frail patients at the first triage assessment could improve patient stratification.

COVID-19 and psychiatric disorders among young people: a cross-sectional study

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a significant rise in mental health issues was observed. Particularly, children and adolescents have shown a higher risk of developing mental disorders than adults. This study aimed to describe the evolving features of the requests for psychiatric emergency interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic in young people. We conducted a cross-sectional study comparing the number, characteristics, and symptoms of people aged between 12 and 18 years old attending one Emergency Department (ED) for psychiatric issues, considering three different periods: T0 (8 March 2019-7 March 2020), T1 (8 March 2020-7 March 2021), and T2 (8 March 2021-7 March 2022). Total admissions were 220: 99 (45%) during T0, 40 (18.1%) for T1, and 81 (36.8%) for T2 ( P  < 0.001). A significant decrease in the mean age from T0 to T1 was found ( P  < 0.01). Admissions for psychomotor agitation decreased, while admission due to anxiety disorder and nonsuicidal self-injury raised significantly ( P  < 0.05), as for first psychiatric presentation ( P  < 0.01). Regarding substance use, a significant reduction was observed ( P  < 0.05). The rates of eating disorders ( P  < 0.001) and early insomnia ( P  < 0.01) increased from T0. These findings highlight the worsening of psychiatric symptoms in the young population during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Ensuring sexual and reproductive healthcare services amidst a pandemic: Experiences from health workers in Lima, Peru

Nowadays there is an emerging interest on health system resilience capacity during emergencies as the one created by the COVID-19 Pandemic. This article contributes to this emerging field of studies by analysing the impact of the state´s policy responses COVID-19 (as lockdowns) on the Peruvian health system, specifically on the delivery of non-covid services, sexual and reproductive health services, and describe the strategies deployed by health workers to adapt to the COVID-19 crisis in Peru, a country that have been dramatically impacted by the pandemic. The article, based on the analysis of depth interviews with 11 health workers and one health supervisor working at sexual and reproductive health services at public health services Lima during 2020 and 2021, describe how pre-existing conditions of the health system (as poor infrastructure and deficit of human resources) magnified the negative effects of the measures taken to control de pandemic, undermining the "resilience" of the health system.

The hidden toll of the pandemic on nonrespiratory patients

While many empirical studies have focused on the health consequences of COVID-19 for infected individuals, little attention has been given to its consequences for patients with nonrespiratory medical conditions. In this study, we apply machine learning and regression analysis techniques to complete-coverage administrative records of inpatient hospitalizations in Italy in 2012-2021 to investigate how the outbreak has impacted on the treatment of nonrespiratory patients in one of the countries most acutely affected by the pandemic. A comparison of hospital- and population-level excess deaths suggests that 53.7% of COVID-19 deaths occurred outside of hospitals. We interpret this as evidence of limited hospital resources, and we show that a higher number of hospital beds per capita is associated with a greater proportion of in-hospital deaths. We also document a 22.6% decrease in hospitalizations of nonrespiratory patients, more pronounced for patients in less severe conditions, and a conditional decrease of 0.5 days in the average length of stay for nonrespiratory patients. We attribute these changes to fear of infection and hospital resource limitations, and we show that the drop in admissions is more pronounced in areas that were more impacted by COVID-19 and had fewer hospital beds per capita. Our findings suggested that the pandemic's direct impact on infected individuals is just a fraction of the broader health losses in the population.

Triage-clinical reasoning on emergency nursing competency: a multiple linear mediation effect

BACKGROUND

Triage is the first step in providing prompt and appropriate emergency nursing and addressing diagnostic issues. Rapid clinical reasoning skills of emergency nurses are essential for prompt decision-making and emergency care. Nurses experience limitations in emergency nursing that begin with triage. This cross-sectional study explored the mediating effect of perceived triage competency and clinical reasoning skills on the association between Korean Triage and Acuity Scale (KTAS) proficiency and emergency nursing competency.

METHODS

A web-based survey was conducted with 157 emergency nurses working in 20 hospitals in South Korea between mid-May and mid-July 2022. Data were collected utilizing self-administered questionnaires to measure KTAS proficiency (48 tasks), perceived triage competency (30 items), clinical reasoning skills (26 items), and emergency nursing competency (78 items). Data were analyzed using the PROCESS macro (Model 6).

RESULTS

Perceived triage competency indirectly mediate the relationship between KTAS proficiency and emergency nursing competency. Perceived triage competency and clinical reasoning skills were significant predictors of emergency nursing competency with a multiple linear mediating effect. The model was found have a good fit (F = 8.990, P <.001) with, a statistical power of 15.0% (R² = 0.150).

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicates that improving emergency nursing competency requires enhancing triage proficiency as well as perceived triage competency, which should be followed by developing clinical reasoning skills, starting with triage of emergency nurses.

Impact of the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department-to-intensive care unit admissions in Korea: an interrupted time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in significant disruptions to critical care systems globally. However, research on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intensive care unit (ICU) admissions via the emergency department (ED) is limited. Therefore, this study evaluated the changes in the number of ED-to-ICU admissions and clinical outcomes in the periods before and during the pandemic.

METHODS

We identified all adult patients admitted to the ICU through level 1 or 2 EDs in Korea between February 2018 and January 2021. February 2020 was considered the onset point of the COVID-19 pandemic. The monthly changes in the number of ED-to-ICU admissions and the in-hospital mortality rates before and during the COVID-19 pandemic were evaluated using interrupted time-series analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 555,793 adult ED-to-ICU admissions, the number of ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic decreased compared to that before the pandemic (step change, 0.916; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.869-0.966], although the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 0.997; 95% CI 0.991-1.003). The proportion of patients who arrived by emergency medical services, those transferred from other hospitals, and those with injuries declined significantly among the number of ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic. The proportion of in-hospital deaths significantly increased during the pandemic (step change, 1.054; 95% CI 1.003-1.108); however, the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 1.001; 95% CI 0.996-1.007). Mortality rates in patients with an ED length of stay of ≥ 6 h until admission to the ICU rose abruptly following the onset of the pandemic (step change, 1.169; 95% CI 1.021-1.339).

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected ED-to-ICU admission and in-hospital mortality rates in Korea. This study's findings have important implications for healthcare providers and policymakers planning the management of future outbreaks of infectious diseases. Strategies are needed to address the challenges posed by pandemics and improve the outcomes in critically ill patients.

Applying Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) to improve patient flow in emergency departments: a multicentre randomised, implementation study

BACKGROUND

To determine the effectiveness of applying the Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) in conjunction with senior early assessment in different Emergency Departments (EDs).

METHODS

This multicentre implementation study, conducted in two metropolitan EDs, used a convenience sample of ED patients. Patients who were admitted, after presenting to both EDs, and were assessed using the existing senior ED clinician assessment, were included in the study. Patients in the intervention group were assessed with the assistance of START, while patients in the control group were assessed without the assistance of START. Outcomes measured were ED length of stay and proportion of patients correctly identified as an in-patient admission by START.

RESULTS

A total of 773 patients were evaluated using the START tool at triage across both sites (Intervention group n = 355 and control group n = 418 patients). The proportion of patients meeting the 4-hour length of stay thresholds was similar between the intervention and control groups (30.1% vs. 28.2%; p = 0.62). The intervention group was associated with a reduced ED length of stay when compared to the control group (351 min, interquartile range (IQR) 221.0-565.0 min versus 383 min, IQR 229.25-580.0 min; p = 0.85). When stratified into admitted and discharged patients, similar results were seen.

CONCLUSION

In this extension of the START model of care implementation study in two metropolitan EDs, START, when used in conjunction with senior early assessment was associated with some reduced ED length of stay.

Acute care pathway assessed through performance indicators during the COVID-19 pandemic in OECD countries (2020-2021): a scoping review

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted care for non-COVID patients. Performance indicators to monitor acute care, timely reported and internationally accepted, lacked during the pandemic in OECD countries. This study aims to summarize the performance indicators available in the literature to monitor changes in the quality of acute care in OECD countries during the first year and a half of the pandemic (2020-July 2021) and to assess their trends.

METHODS

Scoping review. Search in Embase and MEDLINE (07-07-2022). Acute care performance indicators and indicators related to acute general surgery were collected and collated following a care pathway approach. Indicators assessing identical clinical measures were grouped under a common indicator title. The trends from each group of indicators were collated (increase/decrease/stable).

RESULTS

A total of 152 studies were included. 2354 indicators regarding general acute care and 301 indicators related to acute general surgery were included. Indicators focusing on pre-hospital services reported a decreasing trend in the volume of patients: from 225 indicators, 110 (49%) reported a decrease. An increasing trend in pre-hospital treatment times was reported by most of the indicators (n = 41;70%) and a decreasing trend in survival rates of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (n = 61;75%). Concerning care provided in the emergency department, most of the indicators (n = 752;71%) showed a decreasing trend in admissions across all levels of urgency. Concerning the mortality rate after admission, most of the indicators (n = 23;53%) reported an increasing trend. The subset of indicators assessing acute general surgery showed a decreasing trend in the volume of patients (n = 50;49%), stability in clinical severity at admission (n = 36;53%), and in the volume of surgeries (n = 14;47%). Most of the indicators (n = 28;65%) reported no change in treatment approach and stable mortality rate (n = 11,69%).

CONCLUSION

This review signals relevant disruptions across the acute care pathway. A subset of general surgery performance indicators showed stability in most of the phases of the care pathway. These results highlight the relevance of assessing this care pathway more regularly and systematically across different clinical entities to monitor disruptions and to improve the resilience of emergency services during a crisis.

Demand for emergency services during the COVID-19 pandemic and disease burden: a case study in Portugal

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic brought changes in the pattern of care use. A significant increase in the volume of emergencies was expected. However, a significant decrease was observed worldwide.

Methods

An observational, analytical and cross-sectional study of all records of emergency episodes of patients aged 18 years or older admitted to the emergency services of the University of Porto Hospital Centre (2018-2022) were analysed.

Results

During the pandemic, a significant reduction in emergency episode admissions (up to 40% during lockdowns), an increase in pre-emergency services, and discharges from Infectious Diseases and Internal Medicine was observed. The discharges from General Practice and General Practice and Family Medicine were residual.

Conclusion

The lower use and type of use of emergency services during the COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on the disease burden. This could be prevented in future pandemics through the development of strategies to promote confidence in the use of health resources and establishing contingency plans for virtual assistance.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Inpatient Utilization for Acute Neurologic Disease

Background and Objective: The initial months of the Corona Virus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in decreased hospitalizations. We aimed to describe differences in hospitalizations and related procedures across neurologic disease. Methods: In our retrospective observational study using the California State Inpatient Database and state-wide population-level estimates, we calculated neurologic hospitalization rates for a control period from January 2019 to February 2020 and a COVID-19 pandemic period from March to December 2020. We calculated incident rate ratios (IRR) for neurologic hospitalizations using negative binomial regression and compared relevant procedure rates over time. Results: Population-based neurologic hospitalization rates were 29.1 per 100,000 (95% CI 26.9-31.3) in April 2020 compared to 43.6 per 100,000 (95% CI 40.4-46.7) in January 2020. Overall, the pandemic period had 13% lower incidence of neurologic hospitalizations per month (IRR 0.87, 95% CI 0.86-0.89). The smallest decreases were in neurotrauma (IRR 0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.95) and neuro-oncologic cases (IRR 0.93, 95% CI 0.87-0.99). Headache admissions experienced the greatest decline (IRR 0.62, 95% CI 0.58-0.66). For ischemic stroke, greater rates of endovascular thrombectomy (5.6% vs 5.0%; P < .001) were observed in the pandemic. Among all neurologic disease, greater rates of gastrostomy (4.0% vs 3.5%; P < .001), intubation/mechanical ventilation (14.3% vs 12.9%, P < .001), and tracheostomy (1.4 vs 1.2%; P < .001) were observed during the pandemic. Conclusions: During the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic there were fewer hospitalizations to varying degrees for all neurologic diagnoses. Rates of procedures indicating severe disease increased. Further study is needed to determine the impact on triage, patient outcomes, and cost consequences.

[Characterization of infectious conjunctivitis in a fourth-level care center, Bogota, Colombia]

Objective

The purpose of this study is to describe the characteristics of the populations that consulted to the emergency service due to conjunctivitis from March 1 of 2019 to March 1 of 2021 and evaluate the frequency of presentation of contagious ocular pathologies like is the case of bacterial conjunctivitis.

Methods

A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted in a historical cohort in the Department of Surgery, Ophthalmology Unit of the Hospital Universitario San Ignacio, Bogotá D.C. from March 2019 to March 1, 2021. The study included patients with a diagnosis of bacterial conjunctivitis and patients with a diagnosis of superinfected viral conjunctivitis, and excluded all patients with a positive result for COVID-19 and patients with symptoms suggestive of SARS-infectionCoV-2. Of the patients, 629 met the selection criteria.

Results

Between March 2019 and April 2020, 534 consultations were registered in the emergency department of the ophthalmology unit, and from April 24, 2020 (when resolution 666 on biosecurity measures started) until March 2021, 95 consultations were registered. The majority of the patients presented with viral conjunctivitis, followed by superinfected viral conjunctivitis, and bacterial conjunctivitis.

Conclusion

We hypothesize that biosecurity measures such as isolation, frequent hand washing, and the use of face masks could explain the marked reduction in cases of infectious conjunctivitis in the community.

Investigating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the occurrence of medication incidents in Canadian community pharmacies

As the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded, community pharmacies adapted rapidly to broaden and adjust the services they were providing to patients, while coping with severe pressure on supply chains and constrained social interactions. This study investigates whether these events had an impact on the medication incidents reported by pharmacists. Results indicate that Canadian pharmacies were able to sustain such stress while maintaining comparable safety levels. At the same time, it appears that some risk factors that were either ignored or not meaningful in the past started to be reported, suggesting that community pharmacists are now aware of a larger set of contributing factors that can lead to medication incidents, notably for medication incidents that can lead to harm.

Evaluating the association of COVID-19 restrictions on discharge planning and post-discharge outcomes in the community hospital and Singapore regional health system

Objectives

The COVID-19 is a global health issue with widespread impact around the world, and many countries initiated lockdowns as part of their preventive measures. We aim to quantify the duration of delay in discharge to community from Community Hospitals, as well as quantify adverse patient outcomes post discharge pre and during lockdown period.

Design and methods

We conducted a before-after study comparing the length of stay in Community Hospitals, unscheduled readmissions or Emergency Department attendance, patients' quality of life using EQ5D-5l, number and severity of falls, in patients admitted and discharged before and during lockdown period.

Results

The average length of stay in the lockdown group (27.77 days) were significantly longer than that of the pre-lockdown group (23.76 days), p = 0.003. There were similar proportions of patients with self-reported falls post discharge between both groups. Patients in the pre-lockdown group had slightly better EQ-5D-5l Index score at 0.55, compared to the lockdown study group at 0.49. Half of the patients in both groups were referred to Community Care Services on discharge.

Conclusion

Our study would help in developing a future systematic preparedness guideline and contingency plans in times of disease outbreak and other similar public health emergencies.

Epidemiology of pediatric trauma and fractures during and beyond the COVID-19 pandemic

Purpose

Previous literature has shown decreases in pediatric trauma during the COVID-19 outbreak, but few have analyzed beyond the peak of the pandemic. This study assesses the epidemiology of pediatric trauma cases in a high-volume teaching hospital in New York City before, during, and after the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

Institutional data on pediatric trauma orthopedic cases from January 1, 2018 to November 30, 2021 were extracted. The following time frames were studied: (1) April 1-June 22 in 2018 and 2019 (pre-pandemic), (2) April 1-June 22, 2020 (peak pandemic), and (3) April 1-June 22, 2021 (post-peak pandemic). Inferential statistics were used to compare patient and trauma characteristics.

Results

Compared to the pre-pandemic cohort (n = 6770), the peak pandemic cohort (n = 828) had a greater proportion of fractures (p < 0.01) and had a significantly decreased overall traumas per week rate (p < 0.01) and fractures per week rate (p < 0.01). These decreased trauma (p < 0.01) and fracture rates (p < 0.01) persisted for the post-peak pandemic cohort (n = 2509). Spatial analysis identified zip code clusters throughout New York City with higher rates of emergency department presentation during the peak pandemic compared to pre-pandemic, and these areas aligned with lower-income neighborhoods.

Conclusion

During the peak of the pandemic, overall trauma and fracture volumes decreased, the types of prevalent injuries changed, and neighborhoods of different economic resources were variably impacted. These trends have mostly persisted for 12 months post-peak pandemic. This longitudinal analysis helps inform and improve long-term critical care and public health resource allocation for the future.

Level of evidence

Level III.

Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Management and Outcomes of Acute Cholecystitis at US Academic Centers

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has had wide-ranging effects on management of medical conditions. Many hospitals encountered staffing shortages, limited operating room availability, and shortage of hospital beds. There was increased psychological stress and fear of contracting COVID-19 infection, leading to delay in medical care for various disease processes. The objective of this study was to examine changes in management and outcomes attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic in patients presenting with acute calculus cholecystitis at US academic centers.

STUDY DESIGN

Using the Vizient database, patients with the diagnosis of acute calculus cholecystitis who underwent intervention during the 15 months before the pandemic (prepandemic, October 2018 to December 2019) were compared with 15 months during the pandemic (pandemic, March 2020 to May 2021). Outcomes measures included demographics, characteristics, type of intervention, length of stay, in-hospital mortality, and direct cost.

RESULTS

There were 146,459 patients with acute calculus cholecystitis identified (prepandemic: 74,605 vs pandemic: 71,854). Patients in the pandemic group were more likely to undergo medical management (29.4% vs 31.8%; p < 0.001) or percutaneous cholecystostomy tube placement (21.5% vs 18%; p < 0.001) and less likely to undergo laparoscopic cholecystectomy (69.8% vs 73.0%; p < 0.001). Patients in the pandemic group who underwent procedural intervention had longer length of stay (6.5 days vs 5.9 days; p < 0.001), higher in-hospital death (3.1% vs 2.3%; p < 0.001), and higher cost ($14,609 vs $12,570; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this analysis of patients with acute calculus cholecystitis, there were distinct changes in the management and outcomes of patients due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Changes in the type of intervention and outcomes are likely related to delayed presentation with increases in the severity and complexity of the disease.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on medical-seeking behavior in older adults by comparing the presenting complaints of the emergency department visits

BACKGROUND

The outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused a catastrophic event worldwide. Since then, people's way of living has changed in terms of personal behavior, social interaction, and medical-seeking behavior, including change of the emergency department (ED) visiting patterns. The objective of this study was to analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the ED visiting patterns of the older people to explore its variable expression with the intention of ameliorating an effective and suitable response to public health emergencies.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study conducted in three hospitals of the Cathay Health System in Taiwan. Patients aged ≥ 65 years who presented to the ED between January 21, 2020, and April 30, 2020 (pandemic stage), and between January 21, 2019, and April 30, 2019 (pre-pandemic stage) were enrolled in the study. Basic demographics, including visit characteristics, disposition, and chief complaints of the patients visiting the ED between these two periods of time, were compared and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 16,655 older people were included in this study. A 20.91% reduction in ED older adult patient visits was noted during the pandemic period. During the pandemic, there was a decrease in ambulance use among elderly patients visiting the ED, with the proportion decreasing from 16.90 to 16.58%. Chief complaints of fever, upper respiratory infections, psychological and social problems increased, with incidence risk ratios (IRRs) of 1.12, 1.23, 1.25, and 5.2, respectively. Meanwhile, the incidence of both non-life-threatening and life-threatening complaints decreased, with IRRs of 0.72 and 0.83, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Health education regarding life-threatening symptom signs among older adult patients and avocation of the proper timing to seek medical attention via ambulance were crucial issues during the pandemic.

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Hospitalization Rates due to Prosthetic Valve Thrombosis

Background

Studies have shown a decline in the admission rates of various diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic. Prosthetic valve thrombosis (PVT) is a rare condition followed by surgical or transcatheter valvular interventions. Considering the lack of data on hospitalization rates due to PVT during the pandemic, this study evaluated the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic on PVT admissions and characteristics in a tertiary referral center.

Methods

Data from all the consecutive patients hospitalized due to PVT between February 2020 and February 2021 (the first year of the pandemic) were collected from medical records and compared clinically with the corresponding time before the pandemic (February 2019 through February 2020). Variables of interest included the number of hospitalization, patient and valve characteristics, diagnostic and management strategies, and in-hospital events.

Results

Forty patients (32.5% male, age: 54.0 [46.5-62.0 y] comprised the study population. We observed a considerable decline in hospitalization rates during the pandemic, from 31 to 9 patients. Admitted patients were 8 years younger, had a higher proportion of the New York Heart Association functional class III or IV symptoms (44.4% vs 22.6%), were more often treated with fibrinolysis (33.3% vs 22.6%) or surgical approaches (33.3% vs 22.6%), and were discharged 6 days sooner.

Conclusion

We described a reduction in PVT hospitalization. Patients presented with a higher proportion of severe dyspnea and had increased treatment with fibrinolysis/surgical approaches. These observations highlight the necessity of the active surveillance of patients with prosthetic valves by caregivers for timely diagnosis and appropriate management during the pandemic.

Fear of COVID-19 and Related Factors in Emergency Department Patients

This study was aimed to determine the fear of COVID-19 and related factors in patients. This study was conducted with 639 patients who were admitted to the emergency department. Data were collected using the sociodemographic characteristics form, Fear of COVID-19 scale (FCV-19S). The data were evaluated with Student's t-test to compare two groups and one-way ANOVA and post hoc Tukey's honestly significant difference (HSD) more than two groups. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between dependent and independent variables. The mean age of patients was 46.12 ± 17.02, 53.4% were male, 70.7% were married, 42.4% had a chronic disease, 18.3% stated that they had symptoms of COVID-19, and 38.0% stated that they experienced economic difficulties due to COVID-19. The COVID-19 fear scores were significantly higher in 57 ages and over, female, had lung disease, had COVID-19 symptoms, and had children. Having a lung disease, female gender, and fear of COVID-19 were statistically significantly correlated with FCV-19S scores. As a result, it was determined that patients admitted to the emergency department had fear of COVID-19. Further research is recommended to support our study findings. As an emergency nurse, strategies must be developed to cope with these fears.

A Demographic Analysis of Craniomaxillofacial Trauma in the Era of COVID-19

Study Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Objective

The challenges of COVID-19 could magnify socioeconomic vulnerability for craniomaxillofacial (CMF) trauma. This study compares subjects who presented with CMF fractures to a regional healthcare system during the pandemic with those in 2019. We hypothesized societal circumstances of 2020 would correlate with disproportionately more CMF fractures in vulnerable patients compared to pre-pandemic trends.

Methods

An IRB approved retrospective study of CMF fracture presentations in 2019 and 2020 was performed. Demographics, injury details, and management details were collected. A residence-based poverty index was calculated for each subject utilizing census data. Pre-pandemic and pandemic cases were compared to identify differences between cohorts.

Results

A large decrease in presentations was noted between pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. There was significantly greater poverty the pre-pandemic cohort as compared to the pandemic cohort (P = .026). Overall, there was a significant correlation between higher poverty and violent MOI (P < .001). This association was maintained pre-pandemic, (P = .001) but was insignificant in the pandemic cohort (P = .108). Difference between cohorts with respect to violent injury was non-significant (P = .559) with non-significant difference in demographics including age (P = .390), place of injury (P = .136), employment status (P = .905), insurance status (P = .580), marital status (P = .711), ethnicity (P = .068), and gender (P = .656). Management was not significantly different between cohorts including percent hospital admission (P = .396), surgical intervention (P = .120), and time to operation (P = .109).

Conclusions

Contrary to our hypothesis, this analysis indicates that the societal changes brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic did not magnify vulnerable populations. Some changes were noted including in volume of presentation, demographic distribution, and injury detail.

COVID-19 health policy evaluation: integrating health and economic perspectives with a data envelopment analysis approach

The COVID-19 pandemic is a global challenge to humankind. To improve the knowledge regarding relevant, efficient and effective COVID-19 measures in health policy, this paper applies a multi-criteria evaluation approach with population, health care, and economic datasets from 19 countries within the OECD. The comparative investigation was based on a Data Envelopment Analysis approach as an efficiency measurement method. Results indicate that on the one hand, factors like population size, population density, and country development stage, did not play a major role in successful pandemic management. On the other hand, pre-pandemic healthcare system policies were decisive. Healthcare systems with a primary care orientation and a high proportion of primary care doctors compared to specialists were found to be more efficient than systems with a medium level of resources that were partly financed through public funding and characterized by a high level of access regulation. Roughly two weeks after the introduction of ad hoc measures, e.g., lockdowns and quarantine policies, we did not observe a direct impact on country-level healthcare efficiency, while delayed lockdowns led to significantly lower efficiency levels during the first COVID-19 wave in 2020. From an economic perspective, strategies without general lockdowns were identified as a more efficient strategy than the full lockdown strategy. Additionally, governmental support of short-term work is promising. Improving the efficiency of COVID-19 countermeasures is crucial in saving as many lives as possible with limited resources.

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the urgency of patients admitted to the emergency department

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Interactions between COVID-19 and Lung Cancer: Lessons Learned during the Pandemic

Simple Summary

COVID-19 is a respiratory infectious disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. Lung cancer is the leading cause of all cancer-related deaths worldwide. As both SARS-CoV-2 and lung cancer affect the lungs, the aim of this narrative review is to provide a consolidation of lessons learned throughout the pandemic regarding lung cancer and COVID-19. Risk factors found in lung cancer patients, such as advanced cancers, smoking, male, etc., have been associated with severe COVID-19. The cancer treatments hormonal therapy, immunotherapy, and targeted therapy have shown no association with severe COVID-19 disease, but chemotherapy and radiation therapy have shown conflicting results. Logistical changes and modifications in treatment plans were instituted during the pandemic to minimize SARS-CoV-2 exposure while maintaining life-saving cancer care. Finally, medications have been developed to treat early COVID-19, which can be highly beneficial in vulnerable cancer patients, with paxlovid being the most efficacious drug currently available.

Abstract

Cancer patients, specifically lung cancer patients, show heightened vulnerability to severe COVID-19 outcomes. The immunological and inflammatory pathophysiological similarities between lung cancer and COVID-19-related ARDS might explain the predisposition of cancer patients to severe COVID-19, while multiple risk factors in lung cancer patients have been associated with worse COVID-19 outcomes, including smoking status, older age, etc. Recent cancer treatments have also been urgently evaluated during the pandemic as potential risk factors for severe COVID-19, with conflicting findings regarding systemic chemotherapy and radiation therapy, while other therapies were not associated with altered outcomes. Given this vulnerability of lung cancer patients for severe COVID-19, the delivery of cancer care was significantly modified during the pandemic to both proceed with cancer care and minimize SARS-CoV-2 infection risk. However, COVID-19-related delays and patients’ aversion to clinical settings have led to increased diagnosis of more advanced tumors, with an expected increase in cancer mortality. Waning immunity and vaccine breakthroughs related to novel variants of concern threaten to further impede the delivery of cancer services. Cancer patients have a high risk of severe COVID-19, despite being fully vaccinated. Numerous treatments for early COVID-19 have been developed to prevent disease progression and are crucial for infected cancer patients to minimize severe COVID-19 outcomes and resume cancer care. In this literature review, we will explore the lessons learned during the COVID-19 pandemic to specifically mitigate COVID-19 treatment decisions and the clinical management of lung cancer patients.

Impact of COVID-19 by Pandemic Wave among Patients with Gastroenterology Symptoms in the Emergency Departments at a Medical Center in Taiwan

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected emergency department (ED) usage. This study examines changes in the number of ED visits for gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding and nonemergency GI conditions, such as acute gastroenteritis (AGE) and constipation, before the pandemic and at the peak and slack periods of the pandemic in Taiwan. This retrospective observational study was conducted at a referral medical center in northern Taiwan. We recorded the number of weekly ED visits for GI bleeding, AGE, and constipation from 2019 to 2021. We then compared the baseline period (calendar weeks 4–18 and 21–31, 2019) with two peak pandemic periods (period 1, calendar weeks 4–18, 2020; period 2, calendar weeks 21–31, 2021) and their corresponding slack periods. The decline in the number of ED visits during the two peak pandemic periods for GI bleeding (−18.4% and −30.2%) were not as substantial as for AGE (−64.1% and −76.7%) or for constipation (−44.4% and −63.6%), but GI bleeding cases were still significantly lower in number relative to the baseline. During the slack period, the number of ED visits for all three diagnoses rebounded but did not exceed the baseline. Our study revealed that there was a significant decline of GI complaint during the pandemic. This phenomenon was more prominent in nonemergency complaints (AGE and constipation) and less prominent in serious complaints (GI bleeding).

The Level of Fear Experienced by the Individuals and their Applications to Health Institutions during the Covid-19 Pandemic

AIM

The study aims to investigate the effect of the level of fear experienced by individuals during the COVID-19 pandemic on their application to health institutions.

METHOD

This descriptive study was conducted between July and September 2020 with the participants who met the inclusion criteria in Turkey. When the mean COVID-19 Fear Scale score was considered and the standard deviation values ​​were taken as 18.83 ± 6.01, the sample size was determined as 98 individuals, with 95% confidence level, 90% test power, and 0.331 effect size. With the snowball sampling method, the study was carried out with 577 people who filled out the Google form. The Personal Information Form and the COVID-19 Fear Scale were used as data collection tools. The data were analyzed with SPSS 20.0. Descriptive statistics, correlation, Mann-Whitney U (U), and Kruskal-Wallis tests were performed to analyze the data. Ethics committee approval was obtained prior to the study.

RESULTS

The mean age of the participants was 32.06 ± 11.25 (min 18-max 71); 77.8% were female; 66% were university graduates, and 54.9% were single. The total mean score of the participants from the COVID-19 Fear Scale was determined as 16.84 ± 5.68 (min 7-max 34), which points to moderate level of fear. The COVID-19 Fear Scale scores of the female participants, the participants with high income, and those living with their families were found to be higher (p < 0.05). The COVID-19 Fear Scale scores were found to be higher in those who sleep less than 7 hours a day, who have a psychological disorder, who applied to health institutions during the coronavirus process, and who postponed their application to health institutions in an emergency due to the fear of infection (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

It has been determined that during the coronavirus process, 21.5% of individuals attend in person to health institutions and 40.7% of individuals attend in person to health institutions in emergencies. It was found that the level of fear was higher in the participants who applied to health institutions during the pandemic. The participants who postponed their application to health institutions in emergencies due to the fear of infection were found to have higher levels of fear.

Patients with Musculoskeletal Disorders Presenting to the Emergency Department: The COVID-19 Lesson

BACKGROUND

Musculoskeletal disorders (MSKDs) are the most common class of complaints among patients presenting for care in the Emergency Department (ED). There is a non-urgent patient population with musculoskeletal complaints attending ED services that creates a burgeoning waiting list and contributes to overcrowding in Emergency Departments (EDs), which is a major concern worldwide. The recent (Coronavirus disease-19) COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented challenge that is revealing the structural and situational strengths and weaknesses of healthcare systems.

METHODS

This study retrospectively and prospectively assessed patients presenting to the Emergency Department before and after the COVID-19 outbreak (from 21 February 2019 to 3 May 2019 and from 21 February 2020 to 3 May 2020) with non-traumatic or low-severity musculoskeletal conditions to test the hypothesis that these patients should have access to care outside the ED and that the COVID-19 outbreak has changed patients' care and health perception.

RESULTS

A total of 613 patients were identified, and 542 of them (87.56%) participated in a personalized survey. From this number, 81.73% of the total accesses took place in 2019, and only 18.27% of the accesses took place during the first outbreak and lockdown. More than 90% of patients admitted to the ED accessed care during the day shift in both periods. A total of 87.30% of patients presenting to the ED with a MSKD followed their general practitioner's (GP) advice/referral in 2019, and 73.87% did so in 2020. The differences in the means of transport to the ED was statistically significant (p-value 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

The outbreak and lockdown period confirmed that there is an inappropriate use of the ED related to patients with MSKD. However, the ED appears to be the only available solution for these patients. New services and pathways are therefore needed to enhance MSKD management and reduce ED crowding. Additional observational studies shall be developed to confirm and compare our findings with those of various EDs. The main limit of the inferential part of the study is probably due to the small sample of patients in 2020.

Improving the Emotional Distress and the Experience of Hospitalization in Children and Adolescent Patients Through Animal Assisted Interventions: A Systematic Review

Introduction

Animal Assisted Interventions (AAIs) are increasingly common in pediatric care settings as a means to promote the physical, mental, and emotional well-being of hospitalized children and adolescents.

Objectives

The aim of this work was to review published studies implementing AAIs in hospital settings and to assess the effects of AAIs on the biobehavioral response to stress and pain, social behavior, quality of life and level of satisfaction with hospitalization in children and adolescents. Stress and burden, quality of life, mood and level of satisfaction with hospitalization in parents/caregivers as well as stress and burden, perception of the work environment and job satisfaction in hospital staff were also reviewed.

Methods

All published studies reporting quantitative assessments were systematically searched using PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest and Web of Science databases in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. The aim was to identify studies examining the effects of AAIs on behavioral, psychological and physiological responses to stress in children and adolescents (0-18 years) formally admitted to a hospital for a stay, as well as in those undergoing a visit for treatments or medical examinations.

Results

Of the 350 studies screened, 21 were eligible for inclusion. Most of them focused on stress, pain, and anxiety reduction in pediatric patients, and used both physiological parameters and behavioral and psychological observations/scales. All studies employed dogs. Results show the potential of AAIs to reduce anxiety and behavioral distress in pediatric patients while acting on physiological measures associated with arousal.

Conclusion

Although further, more rigorous studies are still needed, the findings of this review may have implications for clinical practices suggesting appropriate planning of AAIs by pediatric healthcare professionals.

Systematic Review Registration

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=178993], identifier [CRD42020178993].

Acute Appendicitis During the COVID-19 Pandemic - Changes in Incidence and Clinical Presentation but not in Patients' Outcome

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing severe issue. The aim of this study was to compare the incidence, severity and treatment of acute appendicitis (AA) before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted between January 2019 and April 2020 in one high-volume center. A comparison was performed between two groups (group A: patients admitted with AA before the COVID-19 pandemic; group B: patients admitted with AA at the beginning of the pandemic) in terms of the incidence of AA and clinical and pathological outcomes. The incidence of AA was also analyzed in six surrounding peripheral hospitals.

RESULTS

A total of 94 patients were identified, 54 in group A and 40 in group B (57% vs. 43%). Demographic data was comparable between groups. AA in group B showed a significant higher rate of histological advanced cases (10 (18.5%) group A vs. 20 (50%) group B, p=0.001) and the need for postoperative antibiotic treatment (6 (11.1%) group A vs. 11 (27.5%) group B, p=0.045). During the pandemic, a higher percentage of patients was treated at peripheral hospitals (group A: 54/111 vs. 40/126).

CONCLUSION

During the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic there was a significant decrease of patients with AA in a high-volume center, which showed more advanced disease of AA. This significant decrease in the high-volume center correlates with an increase in patients with AA in peripheral hospitals and represents a change in patient flow during the onset of the pandemic.

Examination of the relationship between emergency department presentations and population mortality: a multicenter analysis of emergency department presentations during the COVID-19 pandemic

BACKGROUND

In the spring of 2020, Italy experienced a significant reduction in the number of emergency department (ED) presentations during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. If ED access has an impact on patients' prognosis, such a reduction in ED presentations would be expected to correlate with a parallel increase in the mortality rate of the corresponding population. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the impact of reduced ED presentations on the all-cause mortality of the general population.

METHODS

Absolute and relative variation in ED accesses from March 1 to April 30 of both 2019 and 2020 in three hub hospitals in areas with different COVID-19 prevalence and age-standardized mortality data from January 1 to June 30 in 2019 and 2020 of the same areas were evaluated.

RESULTS

During March and April 2020, ED consults were decreased of approximately 50% in all three hospitals, as compared with the same months in 2019. There was a marked increase in cumulative mortality in Milan (high SARS-CoV2 infection spread zone) compared with the same period in 2019. In the other two municipalities (Ferrara and Perugia), which had intermediate and low levels of infection spread, the mortality in 2020 was not substantially changed from that of 2019.

CONCLUSIONS

Taking into account the increase in mortality due to SARS-CoV-2, reductions in ED access did not seem to affect death rates. If this finding will be confirmed, ED organization and access would need to be reconsidered.

Association of the COVID-19 pandemic and dying at home due to ischemic heart disease

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been associated with a declining volume of patients seen in the emergency department. Despite the need for seeking urgent care for conditions such as myocardial infarction, many people may not seek treatment. This study seeks to measure associations between the COVID-19 pandemic and location of death among individuals who died from ischemic heart disease (IHD). Data obtained from death certificates from the Arkansas Department of Health was used to conduct a difference-in-difference analysis to assess whether decedents of IHD were more likely to die at home during the pandemic (March 2020 through September 2020). The analysis compared location of death for decedents of IHD pre and during the pandemic to location of death for decedents from non-natural causes. Before the pandemic, 50.0% of decedents of IHD died at home compared to 57.9% dying at home during (through September 2020) the pandemic study period (p < .001). There was no difference in the proportion of decedents who died at home from non-natural causes before and during the pandemic study period (55.8% vs. 53.5%; p = .21). After controlling for confounders, there was a 48% increase in the odds of dying at home from IHD during the pandemic study period (p < .001) relative to the change in dying at home due to non-natural causes. During the study period, there was an increase in the proportion of decedents who died at home due to IHD. Despite the ongoing pandemic, practitioners should emphasize the need to seek urgent care during an emergency.

Elderly People's Access to Emergency Departments during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Results from a Large Population-Based Study in Italy

Across the world, people have avoided seeking medical attention during the coronavirus pandemic, resulting in a marked reduction in emergency department (ED) visits. This retrospective cohort study examines in detail how the present pandemic affects ED use by the elderly. The regional database on ED visits in Veneto (northeastern Italy) was consulted to extract anonymous data on all ED visits during 2019 and 2020, along with details concerning patients' characteristics (access mode, triage code, chief complaint, and outcome). A year-on-year comparison was drawn between 2019 and 2020. There was a 25.3% decrease in ED visits in 2020 compared to the previous year. The decrease ranged from -52.4% in March to -18.4% in September when comparing the same months in the two years. This decrease started in late February 2020, with the lowest numbers of visits recorded in March and April 2020 (during the "first wave" of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy), and in the autumn (during the "second wave"). The proportion of visits to the ED by ambulance has increased sharply since March 2020, and patients arrived more frequently with severe conditions (red or yellow triage tags) that often required a hospitalization. The greatest decrease was in fact observed for non-urgent complaints. This decreased concerned a wide range of conditions, including chest pain and abdominal pain. The sharp reduction observed in the present study is unlikely to be attributed entirely to the effect of lockdown measures. Individual psychological and media-induced fear of contagion most likely played a relevant role in leading people to avoid seeking medical attention.

Early prediction of in-hospital death of COVID-19 patients: a machine-learning model based on age, blood analyses, and chest x-ray score

An early-warning model to predict in-hospital mortality on admission of COVID-19 patients at an emergency department (ED) was developed and validated using a machine-learning model. In total, 2782 patients were enrolled between March 2020 and December 2020, including 2106 patients (first wave) and 676 patients (second wave) in the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy. The first-wave patients were divided into two groups with 1474 patients used to train the model, and 632 to validate it. The 676 patients in the second wave were used to test the model. Age, 17 blood analytes, and Brescia chest X-ray score were the variables processed using a random forests classification algorithm to build and validate the model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the model performances. A web-based death-risk calculator was implemented and integrated within the Laboratory Information System of the hospital. The final score was constructed by age (the most powerful predictor), blood analytes (the strongest predictors were lactate dehydrogenase, D-dimer, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, lymphocyte %, ferritin std, and monocyte %), and Brescia chest X-ray score (https://bdbiomed.shinyapps.io/covid19score/). The areas under the ROC curve obtained for the three groups (training, validating, and testing) were 0.98, 0.83, and 0.78, respectively. The model predicts in-hospital mortality on the basis of data that can be obtained in a short time, directly at the ED on admission. It functions as a web-based calculator, providing a risk score which is easy to interpret. It can be used in the triage process to support the decision on patient allocation.

Covid and Cardiovascular Diseases: Direct and Indirect Damages and Future Perspective

SARS-CoV-2 infection determines a disease that predominantly affects lungs. However the cytokines storms, determined by the huge immune response to the infection, could affect also other organs and apparatus such as heart and vessels. Beyond the acute inflammation itself also hypercoagulative status has been linked to SARSCoV-2 infection and this surely relates to the increase seen in prevalence of pulmonary embolism and myocardial infarction. A number of cardiac abnormalities and pathologies have been observed, with special attention to cardiac arrhythmias and myocardial involvement. Furthermore, indirect damages determined by the reduction in acute and chronic cardiovascular care, results in a strong mortality and morbidity outcomes in cardiological patients. In this review we will summarise current knowledge on both direct and indirect cardiovascular damages determined by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemia.

Long-term care at home and female work during the COVID-19 pandemic

This study analyzes the impacts of COVID-19 on two elements: long-term care at home, which is available for care recipients who live in their own home, and working status in Japan. A regression analysis of municipality data reveals that the number of users of adult daycare is negatively correlated to COVID-19, both nationally and regionally. This finding is intuitive because people avoid daycare due to the increased risk of exposure to infection. However, the number of users of home care is positively correlated to users of daycare, which implies that home care has not functioned as a replacement for daycare, despite government encouragement. Furthermore, a regression analysis using prefecture data shows that working hours for both females and males were negatively correlated to the national status of the pandemic, while the regional status of the pandemic was negatively correlated only to female working hours. This implies that female labor status is more vulnerable to such outbreaks in Japan. Also, we find consistent results with a situation in which informal care compensated for the decline in daycare use; and this care has been provided primarily by especially females who have reduced their working hours by COVID-19.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on radiology department emergency ultrasound utilization

Purpose

To analyze the change in utilization of healthcare resources through a review of ultrasound examinations performed in the emergency department of an urban healthcare system in NYC during the time of peak COVID-19 outbreak.

Methods

This is a retrospective review analyzing ED ultrasound exams performed by the radiology department of an urban healthcare system during the 8-week time period of the peak COVID-19 outbreak in NYC, compared to a time-matched period one year prior. Data regarding the examination type and indication were obtained in addition to patient demographics and indicators of outcomes including admission, length of stay, and mortality.

Results

There was a 58% decrease in ED ultrasounds performed by the radiology department during the COVID-19 time period. Exams performed during the pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period were more likely to be performed on men (28.3 vs 18.0%, p < 0.01), older patients (36 vs. 35 years, p = 0.02), and patients subsequently admitted (17.8 vs. 13.4%, p = 0.03). There was also a difference in the distribution of exam type (p = 0.01). There was no difference in death, rate of surgery/intervention performed, or distribution of clinical indication. When correcting for gender, there was only an increase in studies leading to hospital admission in the female-only group (14.9 vs. 10.7%, p = 0.05).

Conclusion

COVID-19 had a drastic impact on the utilization of emergency department ultrasounds performed by the radiology department, with a decrease in total exams performed and changes in patient demographics, including a higher proportion of male patients and increases in some markers of disease severity, including rate of hospital admission.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and governor mandated stay at home order on emergency department super utilizers

BACKGROUND

Despite the trend of rising Emergency Department (ED) visits over the past decade, researchers have observed drastic declines in number of ED visits due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of the current study was to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and governor mandated Stay at Home Order on ED super utilizers.

METHODS

This was a retrospective chart review of patients presenting to the 12 emergency departments of the Franciscan Mission of Our Lady Hospital System in Louisiana between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2020. Patients who were 18 years of age or older and had four ED visits within a one-year period (2018, 2019, or 2020) were classified as super-utilizers. We examined number and category of visits for the baseline period (January 2018 - March 2020), the governor's Stay at Home Order, and the subsequent Reopening Phases through December 31, 2020.

RESULTS

The number of visits by super utilizers decreased by over 16% when the Stay at Home Order was issued. The average number of visits per week rose from 1010.63 during the Stay at Home Order to 1198.09 after the Stay at Home Order was lifted, but they did not return to Pre-COVID levels of approximately 1400 visits per week in 2018 and 2019. When categories of visits were examined, this trend was found for emergent visits (p < 0.001) and visits related to injuries (p < 0.001). Non-emergent visits declined during the Stay at Home Order compared to the baseline period (p < 0.001), and did not increase significantly during reopening compared to the Stay at Home Order (p = 0.87). There were no changes in number of visits for psychiatric purposes, alcohol use, or drug use during the pandemic.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant declines in emergent visits raise concerns that individuals who needed ED treatment did not seek it due to COVID-19. However, the finding that super utilizers with non-emergent visits continued to visit the ED less after the Stay at Home Order was lifted raises questions for future research that may inform policy and interventions for inappropriate ED use.

Uncertainty, alexithymia, suppression and vulnerability during the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has expanded to reach many countries, involving healthcare systems facing high numbers of infected patients. The repercussions concern every segment of the population; therefore it is necessary to understand the extent of psychopathological variations.

PARTICIPANTS AND PROCEDURE

355 subjects aged from 18 to 78 years old (M = 36.51, SD = 13.08) with a prevalence of female subjects (70.3%) were involved in completing the protocol during the early 10 days of lockdown. The module provided for the collection of personal information, such as age, gender, and years of study. The variables considered concerned the administration of the IUS-12, the TAS-20, the PVDQ-15 and the SMQ. Descriptive statistics, correlational and linear regressions analyses were performed in order to highlight significant relationships and dependences among the variables.

RESULTS

Several relationships emerged with reference to the included variables. In particular, uncertainty and alexithymia proved to be indices with an important predictive role in developing psychopathology. The suppression of disturbing and unknown contents represented a defense for overcoming representations, whose impact proved to be negative in terms of adaptation. The results clarified the general tendencies of the population to cope with anguish due to the lack of knowledge in the first 10 days of lockdown.

CONCLUSIONS

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the population is evident. The decision to analyze uncertainty, alexithymia and contamination as relevant issues brought the need to analyze a dynamic of conscious suppression of disturbing contents. The results may represent key points to establish interventions.